00:08:46.840So if there's $13 million that is spent on TV, and as you know, direct mail, grassroot, door-to-door, and digital doesn't get reported in the same way.
00:08:57.000So I usually take that number and increase it by 60% to 70%.
00:09:00.740So let's just say probably a conservative figure is somewhere in the range of $20 million has been spent attacking Wesley Hunt overall.
00:09:10.160There hasn't been a lot of positive run in this campaign.
00:09:12.800There has been a call Senator Cornyn and tell him what a great job he's doing shutting down the border, things like that.
00:09:19.240But it has really been more of an anti-campaign.
00:09:23.160It's been, it seems, the strategy of Cornyn and his supporters has been to do, to make people vote against Hunt and vote against Paxson rather than provide any sort of positive reasons for Cornyn.
00:09:37.960And I'll say, you know, in modern politics, the race isn't just fought on TV anymore.
00:09:43.140It's fought in the grassroots narrative ecosystem.
00:09:46.320And the candidate who dominates that ecosystem has the momentum on the field.
00:09:51.740And so I think from that standpoint is what those pro-Cornyn groups did by going after Hunt so aggressively is they may have given the race to Paxson without a runoff.
00:10:12.600He was tied, I think, with Hunt behind Paxson.
00:10:14.980And as you know, there would be some heads on pikes with this money spent by these outside groups and Senate Leadership Fund.
00:10:21.380If he doesn't make a runoff, there's about 10 of the biggest professionals in modern American politics that would have a lot of explaining to do.
00:10:29.660But as you've seen this, the coalition you're talking about, the wing, the populist grassroots, do you see a path tonight potentially where actually Ken Paxson could get 50% plus one vote?
00:11:34.920And if you watch too much basketball, you know that sometimes the scoreboard doesn't represent what's going on on the court.
00:11:41.680Because you have a team that gets a little turnover, they go on a run, and that's the momentum.
00:11:46.380So polling is like the scoreboard, but what we measure is momentum.
00:11:50.140So going into this, there's no question that Ken Paxton has the momentum.
00:11:55.920And like I said, the momentum measures out at 51.7.
00:11:58.360And usually those things converge almost exactly right at the end.
00:12:02.620Now, sometimes primaries can be a weird thing if you get people who stay home.
00:12:05.480And we certainly saw that in SD9, where for whatever reason, about half the Republican electorate in Texas, Senate District 9, special election in Texas,
00:12:13.680where about half the Republican electorate just decided they didn't want to vote because it was cold outside.
00:12:18.280And they figured they're going to win in November.
00:12:55.180And then the second one is just for me, if you have insomnia issues and want to follow me, you can call and follow me in substack on Christopher S. Wilson or on X at Chris Wilson QED.
00:13:08.440Chris, not that we want to whine, but I wish we had gotten your eyes over report and gotten you on the phone with President Trump so we wouldn't have stepped on that on Friday with the bombing.
00:13:18.120We might have let that breathe for a week or two.
00:14:00.980You agree with Chris, which you think actually Paxton has a shot today to get to the – to have no runoff.
00:14:07.960You think it could potentially get to 50% plus one vote?
00:14:12.760Yeah, I think most people are expecting it to be somewhere in the mid-40s.
00:14:15.940But I think, you know, if there's enough enthusiasm and if he peels off enough of those voters, today he's got a shot at it.
00:14:21.880I do think, obviously, you know, he's in at least for the runoff.
00:14:26.080I think the biggest problem that we're going to have here, Steve, and this is my frustration with the establishment, $69 million that they're spending to try to support Cornyn that could go towards all these America First battles, could go towards permanent infrastructure for us to build a real red wall.
00:14:42.920And if this thing goes to a runoff with Cornyn in it, who's to say they don't spend another $100 million?
00:14:49.080And so I just – I have such frustration for the Republican establishment that always get mad at us when we try to primary incumbents.
00:15:40.540The only thing I can compare this to, Steve, is when I spent two months on the ground in Pennsylvania and saw them just light Donald Trump on fire with DNC money.
00:15:49.140But when we're talking primaries, this is unprecedented.
00:15:52.240And like I said, remember, if this goes to a runoff, we could be talking about seeing twice as much spending over the next month.
00:15:58.540So I just – I'm praying Paxton gets there tonight.
00:16:01.760It will be one of the biggest upgrades in electoral history to go from a Cornyn to a patriot like Ken Paxton and the America First movement.
00:16:13.460We've gone through – there's years in which nothing happens, decades in which nothing happens, and weeks in which so much everything happens.
00:16:24.880We had this amazing State of the Union, which was really back to core Trump and the optics of it, the drama of it, the way he was like an – it was like – he was an orchestra conductor bringing in people, bringing in heroes, talking and calling the Democrats out in these perfect set pieces.
00:16:43.600And you had so many people jacked up the next couple of days.
00:16:47.260Then we had the bombing, and clearly there's some issues with the bombing.
00:16:53.740Some people don't think they got enough information.
00:16:56.040Some of the young people are quite upset about it.
00:16:58.240But where do you think we are right now?
00:17:00.380And do you think any of that will have any impact on turnout today in this primary?
00:17:07.080Look, I think the State of the Union was a home run.
00:17:09.140And I think that the moment that I was hoping to get, right, because, Steve, as people who are working on the ground trying to get voters to be excited, to try to get voters to be motivated, we always look for moments, right?
00:17:21.100What are the little nuggets that we're going to have to get people to actually take the step and take action and get out and vote?
00:17:27.360Steve, the moment from the State of the Union when Donald Trump said,
00:17:30.520Stand if you agree that the American government should put Americans first over illegal aliens and to see them pan the room and not one Democrat standing up.
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00:33:30.760These are the critical next few hours.
00:33:33.140And I strongly encourage anybody who is eligible to vote and hasn't yet, go to the Republican primary ballot.
00:33:39.700Because one of the most consequential items, I think, on it, taking nothing away from Ken Paxton's race and all the rest, is Proposition 10.
00:33:58.220And it's so vitally important that that be not only approved, but approved decisively, that you've moved here for the past month or so, as have I, to help patriotic Texans expose the true nature of Sharia.
00:34:18.180The mortal threat that it represents, yes, for sure, to the state of Texas, where it is metastasizing as we speak, but also for every other state in the union, where similar efforts to penetrate and subvert and ultimately overthrow our constitutional republic are underway.
00:34:40.180That's what the Muslim Brotherhood itself has said.
00:34:42.780And by the way, speaking of the Muslim Brotherhood, a segue from your last segment with Mike Lindell in the previous hour of the show, you were sort of ruminating why, you know, Keith Ellison would be so keen to stop Mike Lindell from getting, you know, the nomination to become the governor of his state, Minnesota.
00:35:07.880Keith Ellison is a Muslim Brotherhood, or at least a Muslim Brotherhood asset, for sure.
00:35:13.520Was, you know, throughout his public life, certainly in the United States Congress.
00:35:17.180And now he's the Attorney General of the state of Minnesota.
00:35:21.340And he wants to stop a man who has said repeatedly on your program and elsewhere his first order of business as governor, Mike Lindell says this, would be banning Sharia law.
00:35:33.340Well, why is that so important to get a booster rocket behind people like Mike Lindell all across America is because what we're witnessing here, and we've been talking about it, Steve, and I think the people of Texas, whenever they hear this stuff, are naturally going to say, no, we don't want that here.
00:35:54.520For example, this epic city, it caught a lot of people's attention because it's an incipient no-go zone.
00:36:03.160It's part of the takedown of Western civilized nations.
00:36:07.060We've seen, for example, in addition, there's something, our friend Kristen Deering, one of our great Texan patriots who's done some terrific research on all this, says there's 600, at least 600, Sharia supremacist organizations, mosques, schools, front organizations, influence operations, what have you, in the state of Texas.
00:36:30.440And then, get this, over the past nine years, they've garnered $4 billion in taxpayer funds from either the federal or the state government.
00:36:39.960And then there's this, halal food is now being served as the only food in numerous state institutions.
00:36:50.540You're just getting fed food consecrated to the Muslim god Allah.
00:36:54.900And, by the way, obtained from animals through the most horrific, barbaric means possible.
00:37:02.280So, anyway, all of this is now building, and I think it's going to translate into a strong vote to prohibit Sharia law, a yes vote on Proposition 10.
00:37:11.620If you haven't cast a ballot for it, still can, do it.
00:37:17.080You know, Burquam started, we started the 5 o'clock show, Eastern Time, the early edition of the afternoon show, with Burquam out there at Epic, at the original, before they built Epic City, the original.
00:37:36.120We have Peter McIlvenny came over here.
00:37:38.020He was an expert in London, and he said he spent a week in November.
00:37:41.000He said, Steve, I don't think you guys quite comprehend that, given the same time frame, how much more sophisticated and advanced they are than 20 years ago, when they really started moving into London.
00:37:52.500And, of course, London's standard day is gone.
00:43:41.380Talk to me a second about your knowledge on that night.
00:43:45.320And you knew because the guy had on property a sweatshirt.
00:43:49.700He had a Quran in his car, a prayer rig in his car.
00:43:52.960It was pretty obvious at the time for people that are knowledgeable of these things about this was just not some guy on a Saturday night that had a beef with somebody talking to his girlfriend, right?
00:45:13.940When you say you look at it more coordinated, Marco Rubio today and Lindsey Graham were saying, hey, the big massive wave of attacks that the West are bringing, the American military with the Israelis, and now we know the Saudis want to be a part of it.
00:45:29.620Maybe the UAE wants to be a part of it because they've been attacked.
00:45:31.980Abu Dhabi was hit earlier, and our consulate in Abu Dhabi was hit—or, excuse me, in Dubai.
00:45:39.020Our consulate in Dubai was hit, not the embassy in Abu Dhabi.
00:45:42.420But knowing that it could be a massive hit tonight, are you more concerned than ever that you could see a coordinated blowback?
00:45:53.340I mean, if you were them, right, if we're looking at—for wargaming this, I would do it as a coordinated effort, maybe multiple mass shootings at once or take down the infrastructure, however they decide to do that.
00:46:05.900You know, have the police go to one section of the city, then go in—I mean, this could be—I would be using strategy.
00:46:10.940These people—you know, the first guy we saw in Austin was a crazed—what I would call just a crazed lunatic, took the matter into his own hands.
00:46:17.100But I think what they're waiting for is a more coordinated effort—you know, if I had to wargaming this, that's what I'd be looking for, a more coordinated effort to take down America.
00:46:26.440They've got to do it right the first time.
00:46:27.800They're not going to get a second chance at this.
00:46:32.720You were there and set up the flares when Biden had the invasion, and one of the worst parts was obviously along the border with El Paso.
00:46:43.360Knowing that 15, 20, 25 million essentially came through the border and into the interior of the United States, that wasn't just all Mexicans or people from South America.
00:46:54.500You had a number of potential jihadis that came across.
00:46:57.220What is your fear for the invasion we've had, and what would you recommend to President Trump since now we've kind of gone back to targeting enforcement?
00:47:05.260What would you say we've got to start thinking about deportations overall?
00:47:09.700Sharia law, man, that can't be allowed in this country.
00:47:13.160You know, when I was—you know, obviously, I live in El Paso, and I was watching people jump that fence like acrobats, like Cirque du Soleil, okay?
00:47:22.460Like, I was like, wow, even in my prime in boxing, I couldn't jump a fence like that and land on my feet and then dodge cars all the way through the highway.
00:47:29.060I mean, these guys were athletic, and they were military-aged men, so I knew the gig was up.
00:47:34.000I knew they were going to be activated for such a time as now.
00:47:36.320But I think these raids that Trump—that ICE has performed in these last—you know, this first year of Trump's presidency, I think that's the first operation of this phase, first phase of the operation, taking down the dangerous, maybe organizers, controllers of coordinated attacks.
00:47:53.840So I think that's another reason why we haven't seen anything yet, yet, yet.
00:47:58.620But I still think that, you know, they probably just put a dent into the immigrants.
00:48:06.280There's millions of them here that are unvetted.
00:48:08.640So to me, I think they would wait for the perfect time to do that, such a coordinated event, a perfect time.
00:48:15.680And I don't know when that will be, but only they do.
00:48:19.460But I would just tell everyone, you know—and also, I'd like to say the expats in Mexico might be a good time to come back to America and visit your family.
00:48:28.860You're still concerned about the cartels, the whole cartel issue, right?
00:49:16.780We're going to—Grant Stinchfield's about to start on RAV.
00:49:19.700We're going to take a short break here.
00:49:21.960We're going to rejoin on the main RAV station channel, Grant Stinchfield, at 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.
00:49:31.140We're going to kick off our coverage tonight of the Texas primary.
00:49:35.220Obviously, we'll be talking also about North Carolina and Arkansas, all the things that are happening.
00:49:38.520Stinchfield and myself will be doing a two-hander here throughout the night.
00:49:42.920We're going to have some tremendous guests.
00:49:44.960Pollsters, people know what's going on in Texas.
00:49:47.520Our own Ben Burquam will be at the Paxton headquarters doing live updates.
00:49:53.380Of course, Chris Wilson, who's a data scientist, thinks there could be a possibility that seeing the momentum of Ken Paxson, even with all this money spent against him, that Ken Paxson may have a shot to actually close it out tonight.
00:50:08.240Obviously, Prop 10, the prohibiting a Sharia law in the state of Texas, is up on the Republican ballot.
00:50:15.500If it gets enough momentum tonight, we'll push it forward.
00:50:19.780But what four or five weeks have been here have been quite an eye-opener.
00:50:24.600One thing I will tell you, and I want to thank Patriot Mobile for helping us out down here and assisting us in introducing the people, the grassroots in this state, the MAGA movement in this state.
00:50:33.920This is the railhead for the MAGA movement, and, man, we've got great states like Tennessee, Ohio, Florida, just incredible.
00:50:41.540But I've got to tell you, the grassroots here are very, very special people.
00:50:44.780We're going to see how it manifests itself tonight.
00:50:47.460And remember, the Democrats are putting up presidential election cycle numbers.
00:50:52.380So we're going to break it all down for you.
00:50:54.280We'll see you back on Real America's Voice at 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, and we'll stay until we get some answers in this primary.