Based Camp - December 13, 2024


~0.004% of NYCers Commit 33% of Crime


Episode Stats

Length

41 minutes

Words per Minute

180.74419

Word Count

7,568

Sentence Count

731

Misogynist Sentences

22

Hate Speech Sentences

17


Summary

In this episode, we talk about how few people commit the vast majority of crimes, and why this is a good thing. We also talk about why we should execute everyone who commits a crime. And we talk a little bit about adoption.


Transcript

00:00:00.040 Hello, Simone! I'm excited to be here with you today. Today we're going to be talking about a
00:00:03.300 interesting thread by a personal in-person friend of ours, a guy we quite like,
00:00:08.780 Cremieux. It was on crime statistics and it focused on how very few people commit the
00:00:14.260 vast majority of crimes. Oh, yes. We had talked about this in our episode on police,
00:00:20.860 but I wanted to have a dedicated episode on this particular subject because I find it interesting
00:00:25.100 and I think he provides even more color than we had before. So I am going to go over his
00:00:29.800 statistics and I'm going to give you a chance to react to them and I'm going to provide some
00:00:33.620 additional information. Three cheers for Cremieux. I love them. All right. New York storefront businesses
00:00:40.800 are already weathering inflation and uneven recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, are also contending
00:00:47.500 with what the police say is a dramatic increase in shoplifting, but statistics reveal a startling
00:00:52.640 reality. A relative handful of shoplifters are responsible for an outside percentage of retail
00:00:57.980 crime. Nearly a third of all shoplifting arrests in New York City last year were just 327 people.
00:01:04.940 Police say collectively they were arrested more than 6,000 times. So just 327 people arrested over
00:01:15.900 6,000 times. So for example, that means in New York, 0.00385% of New York's population
00:01:25.060 is responsible for 33% of the shoplifting in the city. Now, if you are a sane person, you might be
00:01:32.280 thinking, why aren't those people in jail always? But it gets worse than that. This isn't unprecedented
00:01:39.680 by any means. The number of burglaries in Leinster plummeted after three men died in a car crash.
00:01:47.760 And I'm going to put an image on screen here of an article about this. And it actually took me a bit
00:01:51.540 to find how much it went down. It went down by from 2019 to 2023 by 43%.
00:01:57.220 Ah, yikes. And these, by the way, are three white looking bro guys. So if you're like reading this
00:02:04.740 and you're like, oh, this is like a black person thing or a Mexican thing. No, it's, you know,
00:02:08.580 depending on where you're living, it's just a criminality thing. Yeah. Well, it seems to be
00:02:14.340 when people make this their careers, then they just keep, especially if they discover that they can
00:02:19.840 make it their career kind of sustainably and they don't really get in that much trouble for it. Of
00:02:24.440 course they're incentivized to keep going because it's easier than working and they're probably in
00:02:29.020 some kind of debt hole or crime hole that they can't get out of. I disagree. That doesn't appear
00:02:35.420 to be what's happening. It appears to be mostly genetic. We'll get to that in a second.
00:02:38.420 Oh no. So cycling UK hails quote unquote cover policing after bait bicycle used to track down
00:02:47.240 130,000 pounds of bike theft, a bike theft gang stole in one shift. Local bike
00:02:54.360 theft fell 90% following the arrest was 11 people now sentenced. So arresting 11 people dropped
00:03:02.660 bikes in one British town by 90%. Okay. Yikes.
00:03:10.500 And this is where like, there's a progressive meme of that guy who's like, well, this guy stole my bike,
00:03:16.120 but you know, net the world's probably happier now because he needed the bike more than I did. And
00:03:22.200 you know, progressive brain rot of assuming the stabber is the victim and not the stabby if not
00:03:29.620 having a sane mind and understanding that the vast majority of crimes are done by very, very few people
00:03:34.740 who are career criminals and who are working for other career criminals with that money generally
00:03:40.660 going downstream to like big crime syndicates that are using it to terrorize grannies in Mexico.
00:03:46.960 Like, no, nobody is benefiting from your bike being stolen. In fact, it's making things worse. Yeah.
00:03:54.380 Better off if whoever stole your bike on average, if a bike thief was forced to kneel and executed on
00:04:01.240 the spot, the world would be better off. There would be less pain and there would be less suffering.
00:04:05.940 Yeah. That looks that way. Yeah. I mean, from these stats, that's, oh gosh, this is terrible.
00:04:12.620 I'm not saying we need to start executing everyone who commits a crime. I'm just saying,
00:04:18.720 think about it.
00:04:20.080 Just think, please consider it. That's all you're saying.
00:04:25.040 All right. Here's where it gets concerning here.
00:04:28.240 Okay. Like it's not already immensely concerning.
00:04:31.860 Oh, no, no, no, no, no. This is a, hold on. I'm just going to have a drink here so you can,
00:04:35.780 because we're going to be talking about adoption studies.
00:04:37.220 1% of adoptees whose biological parents had three or more offenses were responsible for 30% of the
00:04:59.320 offenses among adoptees. If you stopped people with three or more convictions from having kids,
00:05:06.720 the number of crimes in this country would drop.
00:05:09.840 Oh, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
00:05:11.900 I'm not saying that's what we should do.
00:05:14.000 You're a danger town.
00:05:14.540 This is a danger town.
00:05:15.200 I'm pointing out a statistical fact. I am saying we shouldn't do this.
00:05:18.980 That would be a horrible, horrifying thing to do. I'm just pointing out that the statistics,
00:05:25.200 the statistics say that the 1% of adoptees whose parents had committed three or more crimes
00:05:31.580 committed over 30% of the crimes.
00:05:35.060 Wee woo, wee woo.
00:05:35.960 Oh, danger. Oh, God. They tried this. The PR disaster was-
00:05:44.680 It's not good for PR, no.
00:05:46.560 This is so bad for PR. This is so bad.
00:05:51.680 Ah.
00:05:53.040 Yeah, I don't, yeah, not great PR-wise, but if you, if you want to see how bad this would
00:05:59.400 be here, I'm going to show a homicide rate graph.
00:06:02.620 Sure. Show me the homicide rate graph.
00:06:05.900 Well, so this is a homicide rate for the rate of criminality graph.
00:06:10.620 Oh, okay.
00:06:11.140 So what it looks at is the homicide rate.
00:06:14.540 So it's the homicide rate for people who've been arrested of other crimes and the homicide
00:06:18.420 rate of non-criminals. If you look at non-criminals, the rate hovers around like 2 to 3%. If you
00:06:26.320 look at the percent of people who've been convicted of other crimes, it's like between 10 and 7%.
00:06:31.340 No, because of course it is. Of course it is. Of course. Yeah.
00:06:34.620 Or saving lives by executing that bike theft.
00:06:39.480 Yeah, this is really, it's making me reconsider. So I grew up in California where there was something
00:06:45.560 called a three strikes law that was largely condemned. I'm going to put huge numbers of
00:06:50.340 people in jail who quite frankly should not have been in jail. And I think a lot of that is because
00:06:55.040 they were, sorry, there we go. I think a lot of that is because they were jailed for drug charges,
00:07:05.520 like just possessing marijuana. Like that was enough for them to get three strikes and then just be in
00:07:09.620 jail forever, which is super dumb. But now when I look at the level of committing crimes again and again,
00:07:18.040 when they're damaging crimes, crimes that are like possessing marijuana, dude, like this person is just
00:07:22.760 chilling out for the most part. Okay. But then when you're shoplifting, when you're committing
00:07:27.340 burglary, when you're committing aggravated assault, when you are, God forbid, killing someone, that's
00:07:33.820 very different. That's where I feel like three strikes laws suddenly make a lot of sense because this is
00:07:38.720 ultimately who's committing all the crimes. And it's clear that if someone has committed a crime twice, they're
00:07:44.240 probably within that really small percentage of the population that's just going to keep doing it and
00:07:48.260 really, really, really hurting society. Wow. I mean, it just makes so much sense. And now I'm
00:07:53.820 getting really frustrated that the three strikes law was so poorly executed in California, which is
00:07:58.580 probably seen as a major case study. Yeah, focusing on like minor drug offenses instead of like deaths.
00:08:02.420 Yeah, because that's dumb. Of course, that's not a good idea. Like who thought that was a good idea?
00:08:07.420 And now anyone here is three strikes and they're like, that's a bad idea. Democrats and Democrats.
00:08:11.720 You just thought it was a good idea. But hold on. Remember, who was your head? No, sorry. Who was
00:08:20.080 the head of your cops and legal department during that period? It was Kamala Harris. Someone who is
00:08:25.240 when they said, oh, you know, you have you smoked marijuana privately. This is someone who jailed
00:08:32.000 thousands of people, tens of thousands of people for marijuana charges. She laughed when she was asked
00:08:37.160 if she'd smoke marijuana privately. She laughs always. That's her thing. She laughs.
00:08:40.840 My fingers are favorite. She laughs as if to imply, of course I am. I'm the elite. I get to do whatever
00:08:46.740 I want. That's what I would do as an autistic person who's just trying to. Simone, she would
00:08:51.240 have said no if the answer was no. I don't know. Listen, honestly, like as as someone who constantly
00:08:59.140 is trying to look normal in public and just make people feel comfortable and happy. I imply a whole lot.
00:09:04.860 Hold on. Have you smoked marijuana? No. Yes, you have. You must have.
00:09:10.840 No. Are you actually you haven't smoked marijuana? No, I've never I've never done any legal drug ever
00:09:17.640 period. I I've I've I've done fentanyl that is in surgery that is like only been in hospitals and I've had
00:09:25.640 You're arguing that Harris is as square as you and she doesn't want to admit it.
00:09:31.320 Yeah. She doesn't seem to me like the kind of person who would enjoy.
00:09:38.200 Like I disagree. I think maybe not. I don't know who caves to peer pressure and whenever we're around
00:09:45.060 our like billionaire friends or otherwise like super successful friends are always this is a weird thing
00:09:50.420 about life. Like as an adult, I understand dare so much more than as a kid. We go to her reticons.
00:09:55.300 They're like free tattoo seminar every day. You want to go to your free tattoos today?
00:09:59.500 You should have gotten a tattoo ring. I'm just saying it's or they'll say like, oh, you know,
00:10:04.880 we hang out with our other like super super wealthy friends. They're like, hey, you want to do drugs,
00:10:08.240 man? Our our normie friends never ask us to do this shit. They never have you seen the the tweet
00:10:14.040 that went viral, which was a picture of RFK on Trump Force One eating McDonald's with with Elon Musk
00:10:22.080 and Donald Trump. And I think it was Don Trump Jr. I love it. There was like peer pressure.
00:10:27.420 Peer pressure. RFK who hates McDonald's. Of course he caved. Yeah, he kind of had to.
00:10:35.220 Yeah, no, rich people peer pressure is a real thing. But also, I don't I don't feel comfortable
00:10:41.200 with with like controlled substances like that, because I don't know the exact dosage in provenance.
00:10:51.660 Like I spoke about this with someone I won't name, who has done a lot of psychedelics, but he he's done
00:10:59.820 them all with like Stanford researchers who have like lab grade psychedelics. And I would like offered
00:11:06.940 me psychedelics. No, this is a guy this is. But no, yeah, no, that that was it was the the person who
00:11:14.120 was in our house when a deer was shot outside. Oh, that guy. It's the tornadic precursors guy who was
00:11:21.200 like, but but like in those scenarios, I would, of course, be comfortable. Well, I mean, we don't
00:11:26.580 want to do psychedelics until we feel like we're less creative. But like, I would be comfortable
00:11:31.060 trying something else. If I knew that it was, you know, I knew where it came from. I knew what the
00:11:36.300 dosage was. I knew exactly what I was playing with. But I wouldn't just like, I don't know, it's it's
00:11:42.120 akin to eating food off the floor. You don't know where that's been. I mean, okay, I eat food off the floor
00:11:47.040 all the time now that I have kids. But like, you know what I mean? Yeah. Like eating a an ice cream
00:11:53.200 cone that you found on the street in New York. I'm not doing that. That's gross. Even if a billionaire
00:11:59.200 got it, I don't care. Gross. All right, so I'll continue with this. Please work. God, yes. Go on.
00:12:08.320 If it because you're talking about the three strike law, if the three strike law had been effectively
00:12:12.320 enforced in Sweden, it would have reduced violent crime by half. That's huge. The three strike law
00:12:20.320 is actually important in terms of reducing crime. And we as a country need to say, let's learn how to
00:12:25.720 correctly implement it instead of it's bad. Yeah. Yeah. A few people with extensive criminal histories
00:12:34.900 drive most crimes, arrests, etc. When it comes to the population that actually serves jail time,
00:12:39.780 the reasons largely have to do with these people just being impulsive. And that's the end of the day.
00:12:45.040 It is all about impulsivity. Recall that violent crime explains the largest part of the prison
00:12:50.900 population and that getting in dumb fight explains most violent crime. Yeah. And that's all about
00:12:56.940 impulse control. Most violent crime and even most homicides that are known were created by personal
00:13:04.060 disputes. And after personal disputes, the next biggest one is group related conflict.
00:13:11.660 And after that, it is instant dispute. And after that, it is drug related dispute.
00:13:17.660 Wait, what is instant dispute?
00:13:20.060 I think it's just like, basically, somebody pissed you off. And after that,
00:13:25.340 it's robbery. Way down, down, down, down, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. Robbery. And then what happens
00:13:31.280 when you go past robbery? Domestic violence. Again, just poor self-control. Yeah. And then below
00:13:38.100 that, retaliation or revenge? That's a crime? Well, when you murder someone, it is. Oh, okay. These
00:13:46.640 are causes for, okay. Yeah. Not murder. Murder or assault. Like, revenge isn't a crime in and of
00:13:52.120 itself. Yeah. I was like, ooh. Or revenge is. Yes, Simone. No, except for there was that one
00:13:59.880 exception. I think it was in some Asian country where if you were a woman and your husband cheated
00:14:06.620 on you, you had the right to legally kill him. Really? I think you had to be with your bare hands,
00:14:12.580 but you could kill him. Whoa. Yeah. Wait. So if you murdered me with your bare hands,
00:14:18.080 that was legal in that country? My understanding was, yes, that if you had proof that they cheated
00:14:23.040 on you and you murdered them with your bare hands, you had to get out of jail free card with that.
00:14:27.560 So I think what I would do as a wife in that scenario, if I cared about that and I wanted to
00:14:32.520 kill my husband is one, you get totally documented proof. You submit it to a lawyer. You make sure like
00:14:37.020 the lawyer is like, yep, checks out. This is going to hold up in court. And then, I mean,
00:14:40.700 I think it's pretty easy to strangle someone at night, like while they're sleeping.
00:14:44.380 First, you sort of. I don't think you'd be able to strangle me unless you drug me or something
00:14:47.320 first. I'm significantly. Dude, you are such a heavy sleeper. That's the problem. Even so,
00:14:52.660 I'd wake up in time. Simone. I don't really. Just look, you know how much stronger I am than you.
00:14:59.680 I'd have to tie you to the bed or something, but. Okay. You'd have to tie me to the bed. I'm sure
00:15:05.340 there would be like a well-known collection, like in online forums of like, okay, if you're a
00:15:10.600 wife in this country and you've been cheated on, you know, I'm like, there'd probably be
00:15:15.120 specialized lawyers who had like kits, you know, like here's your, and also there are
00:15:19.540 the best way to kill someone used to be on a cruise ship. Very easy way to kill someone.
00:15:23.600 No, no, but this, again, I think that the rule in this country was that you had to kill them with
00:15:27.660 your bare hands. Like you couldn't take a firearm. No, yeah, I'm just saying, because you're like
00:15:30.720 different countries. We're not in that country. If you want to kill someone in this country,
00:15:33.760 it's boats. Well, yeah. Well, not get caught, right? Like you don't even have to like,
00:15:37.780 be worried about the illegality of it because there's such a tragic boat accident. Yeah.
00:15:42.780 Yeah. And it's, it's considered an accident and it happens to like a surprising number of people
00:15:46.600 every year. Yeah. Like if you ever meet someone who's, who's a family member or significant loved
00:15:54.340 one died in a tragic boating accident. Yeah. They're a murderer. Yeah. No, a tragic boating
00:16:00.900 accident. Yes. It's always, it's always a tragic boating accident. Yeah. If it was. Well,
00:16:05.020 for yachting accidents, of course, you know. Oh. Yeah. But no, I mean, that is a great way to
00:16:13.620 kill someone. When we have, one of our really old podcast episodes is about this. Yeah. How you
00:16:20.340 would kill me if you were going to kill me and how I would kill you if I was going to kill you. But
00:16:23.220 I think that the answer that both of us came to is just boats. No, I said icicle. What? Like
00:16:28.400 icicle. So you typically need a murder weapon. Yeah. And it melts. I get that. But like,
00:16:33.140 how do you do it? Well, so what you argue is that the icicle fell from a nearby building. This kills
00:16:40.140 people all the time. All you need to do is stab someone with an icicle. Oh, inside. Like, so
00:16:46.000 they're asleep or something and then you stab them from the right angle. No, don't do that. That'd be
00:16:50.140 too easy. I mean, you might even create like an ice shooting gun and then stab them where the gun wound
00:16:54.360 was. Oh, well, just create an ice shooting gun. Like, that's so easy. Oh, okay. And then why don't we
00:17:01.620 just, you know, solve the housing crisis at the same time? Yes. And then perfect. Good. Done. Done.
00:17:07.480 I'm glad we had this conversation. The ice shooting gun. So you put the ice through the wound. You can
00:17:13.800 say, oh, this fell after they fell. And then it fell through up there. It melts the weapon. It melts
00:17:19.180 the. You put the ice through the wound that you created with another weapon. Yes, because it
00:17:25.120 forensics is better than that. No, the ice has to be the weapon. So you create, you create the ice
00:17:31.960 shard. You supposedly, but see, you'd have to stab them from an angle that plausibly could have been
00:17:37.540 a falling icicle. And then also you have to make sure that from within the home, like if you're not
00:17:42.780 doing this on top of a plastic mat that you somehow dispose of later inside your home, you also have to
00:17:49.340 remove all blood splatters. You have to remove it from your body. I mean, people bleed, people splatter.
00:17:54.460 It's embarrassing and gross. That's why I'm not into murder. It's like too
00:17:58.500 unhygienic. Well, yeah. Why don't you just like quiet quit in your relationship and let it fall
00:18:03.860 apart the normal way, you know, do it the normal way. Or maybe like just, we were going to get into
00:18:11.640 robbery. Okay. Okay. How would you do robberies? Now robberies when you just take it from someone
00:18:18.400 burglary is when you sneak in, are we being burglars? Okay. How would you do it? We were going to make
00:18:22.880 our money through criminality. How would you do it? Oh, dude, like office space style where you
00:18:29.600 discover how to like shave a penny off of transactions in some way where we don't have
00:18:33.480 access to anything that we can put a book. Well, then step one is get access to something
00:18:37.240 like that. I mean, I'm sure that there are billions of people in the federal government
00:18:40.120 doing this every single day. It's called procurement. You know, no, no, no, no. I think that you've hit on
00:18:45.820 a huge under, under exploited arbitrage area of criminality, which is stealing from corporate
00:18:52.840 offices that not many people are using anymore. I think there's a bunch of corporate offices that
00:18:56.820 people barely visit anymore. They're really just there to tell investors. Oh, it's all just like
00:19:02.320 remote work. No, no, no. But people are starting to enforce in office work again. I think largely
00:19:07.460 companies like Amazon, because they got permission and huge tax breaks for these offices in states that
00:19:14.440 expected people to come. I don't disagree that companies like Amazon are doing this. But what
00:19:18.000 I'm saying is I bet there's a 10 to 25% of companies in the United States right now that
00:19:22.160 are basically empty almost all the time. Well, we know this when we host those dinner parties in New
00:19:25.780 York and we're like in the 36th floor on Park Avenue. Yeah, because you can look at the offices.
00:19:29.800 They're just all empty. But here's why I also feel like burglary is super dumb now and I don't get it.
00:19:36.020 Is this like, where's the secondary market for this? Are they selling it on Facebook marketplace? You're not
00:19:41.060 making a ton of money there. Like who, who's buying this? You would need to industrialize the scale of
00:19:47.920 this. Oh, and that's why there's like this huge Mexican cartel that sells all the bikes. Yeah,
00:19:52.160 I guess you have to create a, you have to take it to scale. Yeah, there has to be like some,
00:19:59.340 some scale that you're going to take, what, staples? You're going to sell the staples? You're
00:20:03.720 going to sell old computers. You don't sell the staples. You then put it all on like, like eBay
00:20:08.680 or something, right? Pretty undifferentiated products. Yeah. Maybe that's what Newegg does.
00:20:16.840 But if you do this at like, okay, you better hire minimum wage workers, right? Yeah. But if you do
00:20:22.760 this at all of the corporate parts, right? There are just so, so, so many of these.
00:20:27.620 Yeah. Maybe that's where AWS gets all its compute power. Maybe this is where Newegg gets all of its
00:20:34.780 computers. Maybe this is already being done. You know, you always wonder. I know. I bet
00:20:41.000 have these places that's like dusty and old and they don't have like new computers and no one's
00:20:45.160 been there. I genuinely think a lot of places are like only pretending to operate and really no one
00:20:49.740 has really worked for them since COVID. Yeah. I just, I wouldn't work in resale. I just feel like,
00:20:53.840 oh, like getting product market fit. Like that's now you're just creating a business. Like just,
00:20:58.160 I don't know, find something easier that doesn't get, you know, that doesn't involve crime. Cause
00:21:02.000 that's another liability. And that's, that's uninsurable. I just wouldn't do it. So, okay.
00:21:09.240 You want to insure our crime business? I don't know. I want to protect myself from downside risk. I
00:21:14.500 think that, you know, any, any responsible business owner, and this is why ultimately this is
00:21:18.860 unfortunately coming back to this really uncomfortable conversation about like in the
00:21:25.120 end, if you're dumb enough to do crime, it's typically because you are, you're not, you don't
00:21:31.600 have the processing power capable of thinking through all of the consequences. And therefore
00:21:35.800 you do it because you aren't thinking about the downside. What downside risk? You don't do crime
00:21:42.180 because you can't get insured. This is, this is your, because I'm thinking of the second and third
00:21:47.840 and fourth and fifth order consequences. And my argument here in the problem and the very
00:21:51.340 inconvenient truth of crime is that the people who commit crime maybe aren't capable of thinking
00:21:57.640 through the second and third and fifth and seventh order consequences. Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay.
00:22:02.660 Simone. So you have to make your money through something that's illegal. What are you doing?
00:22:09.740 Our family runs out of money. You're just like, I need money tomorrow. What are you doing?
00:22:13.820 I'm doing something legal because if it's illegal that your downside risk could make,
00:22:17.560 could take you from $0 to dead, to your family taken away from you. Like just, again, the downside
00:22:25.440 risk, crime doesn't pay. I mean, crime pays some people, but then there's always, you know,
00:22:31.180 think about the guy who was a dread pirate Roberts, huge respect for him. Read that biography,
00:22:36.300 fantastic biography. Can't remember the name of it that talks about his whole story, creating the Silk
00:22:41.280 Road. He was, I mean, okay. He got, he was very sloppy and made some very stupid early mistakes,
00:22:46.120 but he was very smart and he still got caught. And, and that sucks. Like he just, it's not worth it.
00:22:54.000 How did he get caught?
00:22:54.620 Trying to remember. He let, it was a sting operation. Someone that he trusted ultimately
00:23:03.000 got close to him and was able to reveal enough information. And then he was also found
00:23:08.380 in a library. They were able to get him to a library. He was found.
00:23:13.460 A library to do what? How did that confer with him?
00:23:17.040 Oh God, I can't honestly, if my memory's so bad, if it's not useful to me, I don't remember it.
00:23:21.020 Oh, how was he?
00:23:21.860 He had to be at a library to,
00:23:24.880 with, with the laptop, with all the incriminating information. And that's where they had to catch
00:23:30.960 him. They had to lure him out there, but I can't remember exactly how and why they did that.
00:23:35.540 It was incredibly smart.
00:23:37.600 If you're curious like me on this particular point, I decided to look this up and edit and post.
00:23:41.340 Ulrich made several critical errors that led to his identification. He used the name
00:23:45.220 Altoid to announce Silk Road on a Bitcoin forum and later used the same username to ask for
00:23:50.720 programming help, providing his personal email address. Both Ulrich and DeadPirateRoberts were
00:23:56.760 vocal supporters of libertarian economist Ludwig von Mises with Ulrich's public Google Plus account
00:24:02.380 linking to related videos. Oh, getting busted for a Google Plus account.
00:24:06.700 They seized a server in Iceland that gave access to personal chat logs. They traced some of his
00:24:13.360 activity to a cafe in San Francisco near his residence. The final trap, October 1st, 2013.
00:24:19.460 They monitored public places with free Wi-Fi, like San Francisco's Glen Park neighborhood.
00:24:24.500 Ulrich was observed leaving his apartment and entering Glen Park Branch Library. An undercover
00:24:29.720 agent posting as a Silk Road administrator engaged Dredd Riot Rawert in an online chat. When Ulrich logged
00:24:35.560 into the Silk Road administrator account, FBI agents in the library moved in and arrested him.
00:24:39.700 To prevent Ulrich from encrypting and deleting his files, agents created a distraction while another
00:24:45.040 seized his laptop.
00:24:46.000 But here's what I would ask. Yeah. Tomorrow, the head of a Mexican cartel dies, you end up taking
00:24:53.680 over because they find out that you're the long lost guy. Then I like legitimize their business. I'm
00:24:57.840 like, all right, we're firing these people. Like, I'm, you know, I am going to have to kill people.
00:25:01.420 They'd kill you if you did that. No, no, no. You have to, you have to run their existing operation.
00:25:05.600 Okay. Where are the arbitrage opportunities within the criminal market right now? I think you'd be the
00:25:09.400 most ruthless and effective criminal boss I have ever seen. Oh, thank you. That's sweet. No, I think
00:25:18.340 honestly, I think a lot of women would be really effective criminal bosses. Um, I also think the
00:25:22.960 Mexican cartels right now as a woman. Yeah, that would, that would not surprise me at all, even
00:25:27.260 remotely. But I think it's one of those things also, I think where a big problem you get in many
00:25:34.500 industries, like the fashion industry, for example, is it attracted, uh, like much of the talent it
00:25:40.760 attracts is just kind of dumb talent that doesn't really understand fashion or business dynamics.
00:25:45.640 And just as like, Oh, it's pretty, it's high status. And they go there and they kind of mess
00:25:49.080 everything up. And then when you get someone who goes in there and has a business mind, they just
00:25:52.620 clean up. And often they don't give a shit about fashion. Like when you look at how some key people
00:25:58.400 at Vogue dress, they like wear like black sack clothing because they don't care. Like they just,
00:26:03.700 they can't be bothered. And then they kind of dictate how everyone else dresses or, I mean,
00:26:08.300 that's how it used to be now. Of course, fashion has very different industry dynamics and market
00:26:11.640 dynamics, but yeah, I think the, the, the core thing is understanding the, the underlying dynamics
00:26:18.900 and the 4d game of chess and not actually caring about the thematics of the thing. And I think to a
00:26:25.000 great extent, crime is like, it's like a search fund. So search funds or like down market private
00:26:30.700 equity is what we were into. And it was all about finding inglorious markets that were under managed
00:26:37.560 that had a lot of people operating them who could with smarter operations and better connections,
00:26:43.240 make a lot more money. And to a great extent, I think crime is a lot like that. It's stuff that
00:26:47.540 people just don't want to deal with. And then they find there's a market opportunity and they make
00:26:51.420 money from it. So here's my question for you. If you're choosing between one of two styles,
00:26:54.900 because the existing cartels that sort of fight have one of two styles, like one cartel,
00:26:58.540 they try to do everything pretty business-like and be on good terms as much as they can with the
00:27:03.340 local population. And the other major cartel just basically kills anyone who opposes them.
00:27:08.500 Yeah. Which side, how would you handle opposition if you're running a cartel?
00:27:15.080 I would probably, I would be the former and I would probably step in. Here's, here's where I guess
00:27:20.720 there's here, if we're talking good tailwinds, right. Is to become what government has failed to be.
00:27:28.020 So like vigilante, so like they will just go in and kill people who shoplift multiple times,
00:27:34.140 like just dead. They will be, they will be the ones to be law enforcement when law enforcement
00:27:39.200 literally doesn't have the right. So when the U S starts to collapse, you will start a criminal
00:27:43.520 organization. Yeah. A criminal or yeah. And of course it needs protection money. Like it does,
00:27:49.020 it does take taxes. Yeah. Taxes. But like, yeah, basically like the government, like work with
00:27:57.600 me here. Like imagine. Manhattan needs a second. No, but like this is, this is, but this is, that's
00:28:04.820 the thing is this is literally what Kings were. Kings were the ones who like were able to create enough
00:28:11.920 societal stability and order where like, you would become the clan chieftain or you'd become the
00:28:17.160 king. And then like, suddenly then like civilization spring up and then you have a legitimate government
00:28:21.860 and suddenly you're not a criminal anymore. You're respected and you wear your robes and you're, you know,
00:28:26.840 so like fancy and you have your like hood and like, just, but like, yeah, that's what I would do.
00:28:31.720 I would create civilization and it would start out illegal and very violent because it would need to be,
00:28:36.340 I guess. What would you do? Would you be the nice or the mean? I actually think you do need a certain
00:28:42.920 level of ruthlessness to maintain operations in a region like this. I think like what America,
00:28:48.340 New York, a CVS, New York. I think what you need to have is hard lines in the sand. They cannot be
00:28:55.400 adjudicated by on the ground people, or they will abuse these lines in the sand. However, you do need
00:29:00.940 some sort of system for adjudication, which is fairly good at deciding. It doesn't need to be perfect.
00:29:05.340 80%. And if somebody crosses one of these lines, execution. And I think outside of that,
00:29:12.700 things like incarceration, especially long-term incarceration and government systems for like
00:29:17.840 the death penalty are really silly. They're very, very, very expensive. Government death penalty
00:29:23.840 actually costs more than keeping someone in jail for their entire life. So we need to make these
00:29:28.740 systems more efficient and more extreme. And I think that you would quickly see many people living
00:29:46.340 better lives, both because they're not dying due to the, you know, as we pointed out, the criminal
00:29:52.480 individuals end up killing lots more people. Two words, Malcolm. Penal colonies. Say it with me.
00:29:58.840 I mean. Well, here's a question I ask you about the adoption study. I mean, what are your thoughts
00:30:07.120 on sterilization? I mean, it's maybe sterilization is making a comeback. There was that one Japanese
00:30:15.080 politician who thought that one way to boost, um, fertility in Japan was to, um, force sterilization
00:30:23.820 on Japanese women who didn't have children by the age of 30. I actually agree with that. People need
00:30:29.240 to understand their fertility windows. And I think, no, he he's getting on something, but he's, he's,
00:30:34.600 he's sort of modeling it. There are two things that he's touching on here that have a lot of weight.
00:30:40.240 One is people have to be aware of their fertility windows. Two is people won't appreciate the value
00:30:46.760 of life until they understand just how fleeting and rare and difficult to achieve it is. And he's,
00:30:52.840 he's getting at that, but he's getting at it the wrong way. Threatening people with sterilization is
00:30:57.580 not the way. And this is where we hit. I mean, speaking of fertility windows, this is where I hit
00:31:01.620 onto a very interesting fact recently that you and I have been talking about. We might do an episode
00:31:05.520 on which is black American, African-American fertility windows are significantly smaller
00:31:11.560 than any other ethnic group. What on earth? No, we need to research this way more though. I really
00:31:15.860 want to understand what's going on. You are a black woman. You need to have kids much earlier than
00:31:22.360 other ethnic groups before your fertility collapses. And because our society doesn't talk about ethnic
00:31:28.180 differences and things like fertility windows, like we just completely ignore this. And so a lot of
00:31:33.560 black women are like trying to get pregnant in their thirties and they're like, wait, black women
00:31:37.680 are sterile by the time they're 30. I will note here that this isn't the way the science investigates
00:31:42.480 this problem. They would just say that black women are twice as likely to experience infertility than
00:31:47.460 white women. They would then go on to say black women are two to three times more likely to be
00:31:51.360 diagnosed with uterine fibroids, which can affect fertility. And they would say that IVF outcomes are
00:31:57.720 much lower success among black women than white women without attempting to just lower the age at
00:32:04.360 which they're having kids. Because of course, then we would be admitting that there are actual
00:32:08.400 medical ethnic differences between individuals. For example, black kids gestate for much less than
00:32:13.620 white kids. But we can't talk about any of this for whatever weird reason, which is obviously having
00:32:18.220 really deleterious effects on the black population. I can see why from a progressive mindset,
00:32:22.340 it would be horrifying if it got out that if you're a black woman and you want to have kids,
00:32:27.660 you need to do it in your twenties. If you want to have the same shot as a white woman who's doing
00:32:32.300 it in her thirties. And it's like, yeah, it turns out that that's about the case. And this explains,
00:32:38.200 I think why if you are not in the bottom, I think it's like 15% or 18% of income of the black
00:32:46.680 population, you have a lower fertility rate than any other ethnic group in the United States.
00:32:52.040 That is wild. No, we have to dig deeper on though. This is going to be a really interesting
00:32:56.240 episode. We have to do it because, ah, that's so scary. And yeah, talk about like double-sided
00:33:04.500 attack. One, you have Planned Parenthood, which was like designed for like black genocide.
00:33:09.440 So what she means here is that the person who founded Planned Parenthood worked with the KKK.
00:33:14.320 She said the goal of the organization was to remove genetically undesirable people from the United
00:33:18.120 States population. And very clearly targeted black populations. Even today, 83% of Planned
00:33:23.500 Parenthood clinics are in majority minority neighborhoods and the black population of the
00:33:28.140 U S would be a quarter higher if Planned Parenthood didn't exist. Yeah. So this is like one end of like
00:33:32.540 aborting disproportionately black babies in the United States. And then there's this other end of
00:33:37.240 like, oh my God, wait. And their fertility window seems to be disproportionately shorter just
00:33:41.300 for whatever reason. This is just like, you know, a key for dysgenics, right? Like
00:33:46.940 what I mean is it disproportionately means that the individuals in the community who are like,
00:33:54.020 if you're like, okay, so why is wealthy black fertility? People who are being, I guess, responsible
00:33:58.540 waiting until they have enough money and enough home and all these other things that are impossible
00:34:02.700 to get these days. And then they're ready. And then suddenly they can't have kids. This is,
00:34:07.780 this is horrible. Yeah. And then the, yeah. Anyway, three strikes laws, definitely in favor.
00:34:17.800 Okay. No, no low level drug offenses. What are you guys doing? Like the war on drugs that what a
00:34:23.460 mistake that was. Oh no. Trump's actually ramping up the fentanyl stuff. And I really agree with it.
00:34:29.020 No, no, no, no. I get that. I'm referring to like the nineties were on drugs where you go to jail
00:34:32.740 He wants to make it a, a, a death penalty offense to be selling drugs. Yeah. And for human trafficking
00:34:39.820 too. And for human trafficking. And I'm like, yeah, I'm all down for that. Yeah. I mean,
00:34:44.880 well, I under, I understand about, about having like really strict rules, but again, this concept
00:34:51.840 of like possessing drugs means that you go to jail is incredibly stupid. I'm not at all for that.
00:34:59.440 And I don't know. I mean, also like death penalty for selling drugs. I don't know. I don't know.
00:35:08.840 I think that that's not well advised that it's not an optimal decision. I think that what we really
00:35:15.140 need to be focused on is getting hard on repeat crimes that are actively damaging to social stability.
00:35:24.620 And yes, drug sale and consumption is, is a threat, but not as much as like shoplifting and aggravated
00:35:33.620 assault, murder, abuse, things like that. Like that, that is, that is a bigger fish to fry.
00:35:39.260 And once we have those under control, I'm happy to look at drugs. Um, but to a certain extent,
00:35:46.320 I do think that the masses need an opiate, like quite literally based on where society is going.
00:35:51.500 And I want, I mean, essentially what's happening, Malcolm is, and we've talked about this,
00:35:57.400 a huge portion of society is euthanizing itself. And I believe in euthanization that is humane.
00:36:03.500 Yeah. And I think that people being allowed to essentially euthanize themselves with,
00:36:09.740 with a pain dulling medication or, or, you know, a sort of suffering dulling medication
00:36:15.880 is, is the, is the empathetic and fair thing to do for people who've been essentially ruined by
00:36:22.320 society and by the woke mind virus or whatever you want to call it. No, seriously, Malcolm. Like
00:36:27.720 it's, it's not, it's not cool to ruin a bunch of people to, to effectively neuter them. They're not
00:36:34.000 going to have families. They're living in debt. They're not going to have meaningful lives. And
00:36:37.200 then to be like, Oh, and by the way, you don't get drugs.
00:36:39.280 That is what you're saying. Huh? You want to euthanize the woke people.
00:36:43.840 They're euthanizing themselves. They're dead men walking. I just don't want them to suffer
00:36:47.200 any more than they have to.
00:36:50.640 No, no, no, no. I've never been a fan of euthanasia. They're lazy and they're communists.
00:36:56.780 They're neats.
00:36:58.280 They're lying flat.
00:36:59.780 The euthanasia. I know.
00:37:01.280 I'll put the scene here.
00:37:02.520 They, they asked the president, Mr. President, what's your views on euthanasia? And he goes,
00:37:08.820 they're lazy and they're communists. He heard youth in Asia.
00:37:12.540 I know. I know. I know. I got your dad joke the first time.
00:37:16.520 Shut up.
00:37:17.780 I love you.
00:37:18.480 You need to shut up, Simone. You're a terrible wife and a bad mother. And I am sick and disgusted
00:37:25.380 to have married you.
00:37:26.860 Speaking of which, I'm going to try to make a Dutch baby tonight.
00:37:32.520 So more air fried, breaded, karai seasoned chicken, but I wanted to make a Dutch baby. And
00:37:38.820 you can tell me if this appeals to you. Because there's this dude who does these shorts that
00:37:45.120 I'm like, this might sound a little bit weird, but here's how you can make a Dutch baby.
00:37:51.360 Why is my YouTube totally broken? If I can restart it, because I feel like you would like this
00:37:59.860 and it seems really simple and maybe even the kids will like it.
00:38:04.660 And so let's see.
00:38:05.660 Show me.
00:38:06.480 Yeah, I'm getting it.
00:38:08.280 Is your phone working anymore? Do we need a new phone?
00:38:11.100 No. God, we need to stop buying things.
00:38:15.500 No more. There we go.
00:38:16.580 This might sound a little bit weird, but here's how you can make a Dutch baby.
00:38:20.420 Really good brunch dish.
00:38:21.620 Gas iron pans are the best for this.
00:38:23.180 So get a fresh one.
00:38:24.080 Place it in the oven to preheat at 425 degrees, about 20 minutes.
00:38:27.640 The best part of this recipe is that you can do it all in a blender.
00:38:30.040 So if you're a human, you got this.
00:38:31.680 And if you're not a human, I'll be there on five.
00:38:33.400 Three should have been chickens.
00:38:35.820 One and a half cups of all-purpose flour.
00:38:37.760 Half a cup of good milk.
00:38:38.980 Two tablespoons of that sap syrup.
00:38:40.680 Little ocean.
00:38:41.200 And a really good vanilla bean paste.
00:38:45.320 For all my visual learners, this is the consistency you're looking for.
00:38:48.700 20 minutes later, add some butter to the hot skillet and squish it around.
00:38:51.860 Add in the batter and put back into the oven for an interview for 20 to 25 minutes.
00:38:55.840 Or until the edges become golden brown.
00:38:57.600 Kind of like this brown Guatemalan meal.
00:38:59.600 That is literally an absolute beat.
00:39:01.580 I add a little bit of parmesan and prosciutto just to get that sweet and salty element.
00:39:06.080 Cheers.
00:39:07.520 Wow.
00:39:07.900 Perfect.
00:39:08.480 Air rated.
00:39:09.040 Salty and sweet.
00:39:09.680 Does not look good.
00:39:10.300 Well, no, no, no.
00:39:10.940 Just be separate.
00:39:11.800 Like in addition to the chicken.
00:39:15.800 Like as a salad.
00:39:16.460 Yeah, that works.
00:39:17.020 Try it.
00:39:17.480 Okay.
00:39:17.880 It'll have to be tomorrow.
00:39:19.060 I was going to make it tonight, but I needed an hour to do that since it's a free meal.
00:39:22.020 Oh, yeah.
00:39:22.440 Don't worry about it.
00:39:23.100 Look, Simone, use the air fryer.
00:39:24.400 Caramel muffins?
00:39:25.860 What?
00:39:26.400 What do you want as your starch with this?
00:39:28.340 Fried rice?
00:39:29.980 Yeah.
00:39:30.360 If you could make fried rice, it'd go really great with air fried chicken.
00:39:33.060 Especially if you can turn on some veggies and cut them up a bit.
00:39:35.700 Yeah.
00:39:36.000 You know it.
00:39:37.180 With the coconut rice?
00:39:38.840 With the coconut rice.
00:39:40.300 Oh, you are my sweetheart.
00:39:42.320 You are my special somepony.
00:39:44.560 My special somepony?
00:39:46.360 Oh, no.
00:39:47.340 You're a very special somepony.
00:39:50.820 Life is good.
00:39:51.900 All right.
00:39:52.300 Yeah.
00:39:52.640 Three strikes.
00:39:53.520 Good.
00:39:55.080 Drugs.
00:39:55.520 I want to strike criminals three times.
00:39:59.940 Everyone's allowed three hits like a piñata.
00:40:02.600 That's the three strikes rule.
00:40:04.300 But only three.
00:40:05.520 Only three.
00:40:06.900 Everyone has a baseball bat.
00:40:08.260 A government-issued baseball bat.
00:40:09.780 And you have three strikes.
00:40:11.540 Have a spectacular day, Simone.
00:40:13.500 I love you.
00:40:14.460 Me too.
00:40:14.960 I love you too.
00:40:16.580 Okay.
00:40:16.940 I love you too.
00:40:18.260 I love you too.
00:40:19.260 I love you too.
00:40:20.200 I love you too.
00:40:20.380 Get in there.
00:40:21.780 Whoa.
00:40:22.720 And then I'll show you how it actually suits.
00:40:25.260 You're really doing that water gun.
00:40:27.580 And then.
00:40:28.100 You're having a water gun.
00:40:29.440 You have to try it to keep you.
00:40:30.900 I know it's right.
00:40:32.320 I'm slowly.
00:40:34.260 Whoa.
00:40:34.700 Then I gotta put that in.
00:40:36.200 Whoa.
00:40:36.920 And then I gotta.
00:40:38.260 Whoa.
00:40:38.820 Whoa.
00:40:39.160 And then I gotta do this.
00:40:42.960 And then I'm gonna pull it up.
00:40:47.340 Okay.
00:40:49.460 Wanna pull your trigger?
00:40:51.080 It suits.
00:40:51.920 Wanna see how it suits?
00:40:53.640 Let's play.
00:40:55.580 And then I'm gonna pull it up.
00:40:57.640 And then I'm gonna pull it up.
00:40:59.400 And my water gun.
00:41:00.120 You're welcome.
00:41:00.960 Keep enjoying your day.
00:41:03.460 And then.
00:41:04.260 I just wanna be water gun.
00:41:06.580 There's not going.
00:41:07.640 Oh, no.
00:41:08.300 That ball.
00:41:08.880 That ball.
00:41:09.240 It's not fun.
00:41:10.240 It's just a bad.
00:41:11.920 Now.
00:41:12.160 Who are you talking to, Octavian?
00:41:16.220 I don't know.
00:41:17.940 Who's in the box?
00:41:19.740 I don't know his name again.
00:41:22.080 What do you want to?
00:41:23.020 I really don't know his name again.
00:41:24.160 Is he your friend?
00:41:25.680 Yes, I think.
00:41:26.980 Wow.
00:41:27.640 Using a printer.
00:41:28.300 I don't know.
00:41:30.420 I understand.
00:41:31.220 Why don't you ask what his name is?
00:41:34.000 What?
00:41:34.480 What?
00:41:34.800 What?
00:41:36.880 What?
00:41:37.720 What?
00:41:40.040 What?
00:41:40.400 What's your favorite game to play with it?
00:41:41.820 What?
00:41:43.740 So far.
00:41:44.920 To try.
00:41:46.100 I can't play with it.
00:41:47.100 Here's my favorite game.
00:41:48.680 There you go.
00:41:49.680 Yeah!
00:41:50.280 You