Based Camp - December 07, 2023


A Secular Person’s Advice on How to Convert Secular People


Episode Stats

Length

40 minutes

Words per Minute

187.25325

Word Count

7,589

Sentence Count

411

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

33


Summary

In this episode, we talk about the importance of evangelizing to your kids, and why it's so important that you evangelize to them in order to keep them in the culture. We also talk about why you should be doing a better job evangelizing your kids.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 I hope that people are able to use this to convert people more effectively and to hopefully
00:00:04.960 do a better job at evangelizing to your kids.
00:00:07.540 You know, as we say, the first 18 years of a kid's life are your chance to pitch your
00:00:11.600 culture to them.
00:00:12.520 And if you don't do a good job, they're going to leave.
00:00:15.240 Exactly.
00:00:17.060 And then your culture will die.
00:00:19.040 Your traditions will die.
00:00:20.220 Everything's over.
00:00:21.020 And your people will die.
00:00:21.640 Everyone you've ever loved will disappear to history.
00:00:25.060 Everything that every ancestor before you has worked to do will be for nothing.
00:00:28.820 Would you like to know more?
00:00:29.660 Hello, Simone.
00:00:30.820 So this video is going to be an interesting topic, but it's what I've been thinking about
00:00:35.260 when I've been looking at.
00:00:37.180 So people who don't know me, Simone, like my favorite radio stations, and you'll point
00:00:42.380 this out.
00:00:42.760 They are always like Christian talk radio.
00:00:45.960 I really like listening to like long Christian apologetics.
00:00:49.440 I, despite being a secular person, I really culturally identify with these groups.
00:00:55.320 I really just like listening to them.
00:00:57.200 I find the, the, the, the lessons that they're teaching are often broadly applicable to my
00:01:02.720 life.
00:01:03.400 Totally.
00:01:04.080 We, as a society, like if we're talking about like the structures, like the core enemy right
00:01:08.800 now in society, I know there's another enemy that we're going to have to deal with eventually.
00:01:12.400 So we sort of have the two enemies of cronadalism.
00:01:15.520 The core enemy right now is sort of wokeism, the mind virus, the cult, whatever you want
00:01:20.580 to call it.
00:01:21.020 That's taking over society right now.
00:01:22.760 And religious traditions act as a very good structural protection against that for many
00:01:28.940 individuals' minds.
00:01:30.360 Now, the second enemy is the religious extremists who want everyone on earth dead except people
00:01:36.380 who think like them or converted, which from my perspective, you know, if you, if you completely
00:01:41.840 erase my kid's culture, then, you know, they might as well, not might as well.
00:01:46.180 I mean, I would appreciate them updating the culture on their own based on their ideology
00:01:50.400 rather than just like whole cloth accepting what somebody else is telling them.
00:01:54.040 Right.
00:01:54.640 But anyway, so, so that's the future enemy and, and groups like that, you know, these
00:01:59.520 low technology, extremely aggressive groups that they want everyone who doesn't think like
00:02:04.120 them dead.
00:02:04.700 They are growing.
00:02:05.920 And when the, the woke castle falls, that that will be the next multiple populations because
00:02:13.220 there's many groups like this, you know, they exist across religious traditions.
00:02:16.180 That will be the next group that we're, that we're fighting, but even to fight them, we
00:02:19.820 need to preserve, uh, an alliance and a, a large population of, of, you know, mentally
00:02:27.280 healthy religious individuals who still have traditions, who still have a sense of culture.
00:02:34.760 And one of the ways that we have done this with our family is essentially take the scraps
00:02:39.560 of our ancestral traditions and rebuild a sort of secular religious framework, which we
00:02:44.780 often talk, but that is not what we're going to talk about on this video, because I would
00:02:51.840 also like not just people to do what we're doing, but also succeed in evangelism more.
00:02:59.060 And when I say succeed in evangelism, I think the single most important person that you will
00:03:05.160 evangelize to in your entire life is your children.
00:03:09.020 100%.
00:03:10.220 And, and so when people think about evangelism, they do not often think about their own kids.
00:03:15.480 They think about going out and trying to convert other people.
00:03:17.920 But if you look at statistics, there was a set of statistics that we were sharing in a recent
00:03:21.880 video, the game is just completely different now.
00:03:24.380 And I'm going to put this statistic here again, because it's just so like, it's not like things
00:03:28.920 are a little different.
00:03:29.580 You know, if you look at belief in Gen X right now, people who, who share believing in God
00:03:36.640 without a doubt.
00:03:37.640 So these are people who believe in God without a doubt.
00:03:40.220 Within Gen X, you're looking at like 65%.
00:03:43.840 Within Gen Z, you're looking at like 33%.
00:03:47.420 And this is back in 2018, it appears to still be dropping.
00:03:51.400 So you're dealing with something entirely different now.
00:03:53.700 And as I pointed out in previous generations, as we point out in the previous episode on this,
00:03:58.600 you could have just like peer pressured them, right?
00:04:01.000 Or you could have assumed that they wouldn't be getting outside ideas constantly.
00:04:06.300 But now it's possible for your kids to deconvert and not tell you that they've deconverted and
00:04:10.640 you never find out.
00:04:11.900 And we've seen that a decent amount.
00:04:13.500 And we've seen this persistently with very conservative, wholesome families.
00:04:17.440 Like, like the epitome of wholesomeness, you know, I'd say like the most good old boy type
00:04:23.120 families you could imagine.
00:04:24.720 These are the families where I see this happening the most.
00:04:27.180 And it happens the most within these families because these kids are often raised with manners
00:04:30.440 and to care about their parents' feelings and like are emotionally mature.
00:04:33.820 And they don't want to hurt their parents.
00:04:35.840 You know, they're just like, look, I have no.
00:04:37.800 And that's the thing that leads to the most dangerous type of deconversion.
00:04:41.540 People think that the type of deconversion that you need to be afraid of is the type of
00:04:46.380 deconversion in which your kid ends up hating.
00:04:49.180 A rebellious teen who's like, mom, I hate you, mom.
00:04:52.220 And like, you know, like actively talks about being atheist and whatnot.
00:04:56.840 Yeah, yeah.
00:04:56.860 Like, I hate my religion.
00:04:58.120 And that was why a lot of people deconverted before.
00:05:00.440 These kids do not hate their religion.
00:05:02.820 They do not hate their traditions.
00:05:04.960 They just weren't convinced by them.
00:05:07.240 Yeah.
00:05:07.540 And that is infinitely more dangerous because they're not going to tell you.
00:05:11.420 They are not going to notify you that their traditions have dropped.
00:05:15.740 And so let's talk about evangelism, right?
00:05:18.980 So as people, like when I was younger, I was in, you know, I didn't like the new atheists.
00:05:24.740 I thought that they were always kind of pussies.
00:05:26.420 But I would have been considered on the outside of that movement and stuff like the subgenius
00:05:30.100 movement and stuff like that, right?
00:05:32.500 And you were in, I mean, you were raised like Buddhist slash Mormon, but were always sort
00:05:38.800 of like atheistic growing up.
00:05:40.280 Like what was your faith like in middle school and high school?
00:05:42.440 If someone asked me, I probably would have said it was a mixture of Buddhism and Shinto,
00:05:46.280 to be honest with you.
00:05:48.140 Did you actually believe this stuff or was it just like an aesthetic choice?
00:05:51.040 I felt most moved when at Shinto shrines.
00:05:53.980 And like that felt the most natural to me from a faith perspective.
00:05:58.800 So in terms of like having moving religious experiences, the most I'd ever experienced
00:06:03.320 that was at Shinto shrines in Japan.
00:06:05.720 So that's why I told people that.
00:06:07.000 It just felt right to me.
00:06:08.760 And that's it.
00:06:10.140 There was no like thought behind it.
00:06:11.440 And my parents had sent me to Dharma school and sort of tried to raise me Buddhist after
00:06:16.560 at Mormon preschool, I started asking them about Jesus and God and they freaked out.
00:06:21.740 So yeah, I wouldn't say it was organized, but I, so I'm not a good example of like a religious
00:06:26.300 kid who's lost their religion.
00:06:28.320 I'm the perfect example of someone who was raised in soft culture with soft culture and
00:06:33.620 was just broadly spiritual, but not really.
00:06:35.920 Yeah.
00:06:36.920 And I grew up in Texas.
00:06:38.140 So I had a lot of evangelists and apologetics talk with me about this stuff because I was
00:06:43.620 always open about it.
00:06:44.940 So I've gotten to hear many of the arguments used.
00:06:47.540 And so I think that this provides a unique perspective where I can like totally honestly,
00:06:52.820 as someone who has never been convinced by these arguments, tell you which ones are the
00:06:57.500 most convincing and how to structure your debate around this stuff to be most likely to be
00:07:03.460 effective at converting somebody or keeping somebody within the faith that might otherwise
00:07:09.080 deconvert, right?
00:07:10.140 Like, like a young kid who doesn't really believe it anymore.
00:07:12.720 And you basically need to evangelize to them to get them to believe it because the, you know,
00:07:15.880 the default culture around them doesn't.
00:07:18.200 Right.
00:07:18.260 So the first thing I would say is in terms of how you, well, actually I'd ask you, have
00:07:24.160 you ever had any moments in your life where somebody came up to you with a religious tradition
00:07:28.380 and you were really convinced by their argument around it?
00:07:31.460 What was that argument?
00:07:32.820 Never, never, never.
00:07:34.440 Have you ever been really unconvinced?
00:07:36.980 Like somebody came up to you and you're like, this is just not working at all.
00:07:40.500 You think this is convincing, but it's not.
00:07:42.740 So many Mormon friends like would give me the Book of Mormon, but, and like expose me
00:07:47.700 to like really great experiences, like going to see Christmas carols at the local like ward.
00:07:55.860 But it was, yeah, they never tried to aggressively convert me or tell me about their religion.
00:08:02.680 So no, I don't think I was ever.
00:08:04.660 Well, so that's the first one that I often see.
00:08:07.640 Somebody giving somebody else a Bible or their religious book.
00:08:11.160 Yeah.
00:08:11.700 Yes.
00:08:12.060 Yeah.
00:08:12.500 Like that's going to work.
00:08:13.260 I've never heard of that working.
00:08:15.680 I've never heard of it working either.
00:08:17.600 Like even it goes to like the tradition of Gideon's Bibles, right?
00:08:20.520 That like there was this concerted effort to put Bibles in drawers of bedstand tables in hotels
00:08:25.700 that like someone's going to, in a moment of desperation, pick it up and have some kind of moment.
00:08:31.500 No, I do think that what is much more convincing, and we do know people who are converted this way,
00:08:36.340 is people of a certain religion.
00:08:38.120 And I see this especially with Mormons, giving friends, neighbors, friends, kids experiences adjacent to the Mormon community.
00:08:46.920 And those kids or those people just loving it, loving the community, loving the lifestyle, loving how wholesome and loving everything is,
00:08:53.580 and being convinced through that exposure to convert.
00:08:56.440 So I think being exposed to a religion's amenities can be very compelling, but I don't think it has anything to do with faith.
00:09:03.160 Well, hold on.
00:09:04.680 I do think it has to do with faith, but we'll get to faith arguments that are compelling versus ones that aren't.
00:09:09.120 But the book itself, this is a belief that I think comes from the, well, God will guide them to it.
00:09:15.460 Like God will guide them to it and open their heart.
00:09:17.680 And I think when you're looking at stuff like this, like the way I would structure this,
00:09:21.500 what's the non-offensive way to say this?
00:09:24.240 God really wants you to do the work on this, you know, in terms of the people.
00:09:30.440 And so this, this like Bible seeding, I guess I call it, it could conceivably,
00:09:36.880 like the way I could imagine it working is somebody is at like a bottom of the barrel situation
00:09:42.220 and they come upon a Bible, right?
00:09:47.940 And they're like, okay, now I'm open to being converted.
00:09:51.020 Because that is one of the times in somebody's life where they are most likely to be converted
00:09:54.240 is when they are at rock bottom.
00:09:56.820 And that's where you get, you know, Bernigan Christian phenomenon.
00:09:59.480 But you're better off if you're targeting rock bottom people, targeting them through institutions.
00:10:06.280 So like AA is a great evangelistic vehicle, even though it does a ton of harm, you know?
00:10:13.660 And I think we'd argue in another video that it probably kills more people a year than any
00:10:16.820 organization in the world.
00:10:18.240 It hides access to the Sinclair method and naltrexone in the United States, even though
00:10:24.060 it's cures alcohol in 80% of cases, alcoholism.
00:10:28.100 And yeah, it's, it's absolutely insane, but, but they would call those people dry drunks.
00:10:33.140 Specifically dry drunks is a term used by extremists within AI for individuals who found a way to
00:10:40.220 quit drinking or moderate their drinking.
00:10:42.140 That was not AA because they believe that, well, if you found a way to quit drinking that
00:10:47.000 wasn't AA, then you didn't get all the extra ideology that AA was meant to impart to you.
00:10:51.860 And so you still may as well be a drunk, which I think really reveals their hand, which is
00:10:55.940 what they meant is, um, they weren't able to use your alcoholism to convert you to their
00:11:02.700 weird cult.
00:11:03.460 We can get into this in a whole other video, but it is a convincing evangelistic tool.
00:11:08.920 And I think that even better tools could be built that focus on those communities.
00:11:14.320 Even Scientologists figured this out.
00:11:16.020 I mean, if you look at one of the things that Scientologists focused on was like addiction
00:11:18.960 centers and alcohol rehabilitation centers, because that is where you could sort of stamp
00:11:24.220 someone into these harder iterations of your cultural tradition.
00:11:27.100 Well, now there must be a bunch of cults out there that use rock bottom to convert people
00:11:34.160 that like host houseway, halfway houses or something.
00:11:36.600 Are there not?
00:11:37.360 There have to be.
00:11:38.620 There are.
00:11:39.280 There are.
00:11:39.980 I mean, a lot of cults focus on these, these communities and it's because it's effective.
00:11:43.940 Now it's, it's interesting that it is often groups that you and I, like if we were evangelizing
00:11:49.420 a belief system, we would be less interested in doing.
00:11:52.620 I mean, one of the, one of the things that everybody hates about capital, this is the
00:11:55.880 concept of the elect that, that we have and that we have our current iteration of that
00:12:00.980 belief.
00:12:01.300 But the, the core aspect of that is, is we don't believe that winning all people to our
00:12:08.660 way of thinking is equally valuable.
00:12:10.560 Right.
00:12:11.160 And the very fact that somebody is at rock bottom means they are of lower utility to us
00:12:16.780 than other individuals.
00:12:17.780 And I would prefer that my kids never hit rock bottom for me to convince them of a cultural
00:12:21.600 practice.
00:12:22.580 And I would also prefer, you know, as we bring people in that they're, I hate to say it,
00:12:29.100 but like the amount of utility we get from a person is correlated with their level of,
00:12:37.060 you know, the level to which they have their life together, the level to which they're an
00:12:40.400 intellectualist.
00:12:41.040 And what's really cool with the rock bottom people that these faiths do do is they can
00:12:44.700 build them back up.
00:12:45.380 But building them back up requires a preexisting sort of cultural set of support networks.
00:12:51.380 Now the Mormon thing is really interesting because that is how your friends were evangelizing
00:12:55.140 to you.
00:12:55.760 They were taking you to Mormon community events.
00:12:58.460 And I love them.
00:12:59.320 God, I love them.
00:13:00.420 Yeah.
00:13:00.720 They being smart Mormons knew that that's how Mormons, I think today most frequently
00:13:04.780 convert.
00:13:05.280 Well, it might have converted me if I were the type of person who actually wanted to be
00:13:09.320 around people.
00:13:10.680 Oh yeah.
00:13:11.280 Do you intentionally hate being around people?
00:13:12.860 And yeah, it's horrible.
00:13:14.940 But like if, if I'm a normal person and I don't want to feel alone and I don't want
00:13:18.380 to feel isolated and I was exposed to that, I would immediately be like, oh, the solution
00:13:22.120 is so easy.
00:13:22.820 I just convert.
00:13:24.140 I just joined the LDS church.
00:13:25.860 And this is really interesting to me where we've had another video on this about the genetics
00:13:31.440 of religion.
00:13:32.040 And this is how you can get genetic vortexes where if Mormonism is disproportionately converting
00:13:38.360 people who are extroverts, like really out there, they like being around people, then
00:13:44.020 Mormons are going to be more extroverted on average than a cultural group like ours,
00:13:48.420 which is like intensely introverted.
00:13:51.120 I mean, Scrooge is the typical Calvinist, right?
00:13:53.620 From, from the Scottish.
00:13:55.380 Bah humbug, ladies and gentlemen.
00:13:57.240 What?
00:13:58.120 Bah humbug.
00:13:59.160 Bah humbug, right?
00:14:00.020 Yeah.
00:14:00.160 But, you know, so, so I, I, I see that.
00:14:04.140 So let's talk about other arguments that I have found very uncompelling or, or, or first
00:14:08.400 I want to give you a way of framing this question in your head.
00:14:10.940 If you're a religious person, think about other religions that have come close to converting
00:14:16.240 you.
00:14:17.120 And if another religion has never come close to converting you, then look to see if they
00:14:23.980 use arguments and apologetics that mirror your arguments and apologetics that you are frequently
00:14:31.760 using.
00:14:32.800 So an example here that I frequently see Christians use is look at all of the things the Bible
00:14:39.360 predicted.
00:14:40.980 Oh, right.
00:14:41.940 Okay.
00:14:42.880 It must be a true book.
00:14:44.740 It must be a divinely inspired book because it was able to predict so many things that were
00:14:49.040 going to happen in the future.
00:14:50.440 Huh.
00:14:51.040 The problem is, is that Muslims say the same thing.
00:14:53.880 Yeah.
00:14:54.580 I mean, it just, it's one of those like Nostradamus things where like, you can kind of make anything
00:14:59.200 work.
00:14:59.680 Right.
00:15:00.420 Well, I would say that some of the things that people will claim the Bible can be predicted
00:15:06.720 are very compelling, right?
00:15:08.040 You can look up videos on it, look at the debates on this, but I would say that they are
00:15:12.700 not more compelling than the things that the Quran predicted.
00:15:18.080 And that's the problem is you need to look to see if the other side is using a similar
00:15:26.300 argument and then ask yourself when you look and you say people saying, well, the Quran
00:15:30.500 is accurate because it predicted all these things in the future.
00:15:33.220 Why did you dismiss that?
00:15:35.980 When you looked at that and you just said, no, I dismiss this.
00:15:39.980 Why did you dismiss it?
00:15:41.320 Did you dismiss it because you just were not going to be convinced by that type of argument?
00:15:46.240 Then what that means is secular people won't be convinced by that type of argument.
00:15:50.060 Or did you dismiss it because they did a bad job arguing for it and then find out exactly
00:15:56.360 how they did a bad job arguing for it so you don't make those same mistakes in your own evangeletics.
00:16:04.460 Another example of how this method can be used is if a tool in your evangelism is personal
00:16:11.320 experiences of the divine, for example, you prayed to God and he revealed himself to you
00:16:17.260 or you had some experience with God, then look at people who use personal experiences of the
00:16:24.080 divine to justify other faiths, go through different iterations of that for the experiences
00:16:31.760 that you find most compelling and that are most likely to convince you to switch face because
00:16:37.180 those will be the experiences of the divine within your own faith that will be most likely
00:16:42.060 to get those from outside your face to switch face.
00:16:44.920 What I will say is I have never heard this model of evangelization working on somebody.
00:16:51.660 The my book is true because it predicted things in the future.
00:16:54.080 Seems to only work within it is like an intercommunity circle jerk.
00:16:57.820 It doesn't seem to work or strengthening the face of people within the community.
00:17:02.540 It doesn't seem to be very effective on people outside of the community.
00:17:06.020 Well, it seems to me like it's one of those things that wouldn't be a good conversion mechanism
00:17:10.900 because if that level of just like, oh my gosh, data could change someone's mind, then
00:17:16.920 they would be too capricious to stick to any religion.
00:17:19.760 It wouldn't be a high retention tactic because then all you have to do is find some other
00:17:26.220 weird data set from some other belief system and it would theoretically convince this person
00:17:30.700 to switch over.
00:17:31.700 We also have to look at groups like the flat earthers who pretend to be very data driven,
00:17:37.320 but then when presented with pretty compelling data, even from their own experiments, they're
00:17:41.540 like, well, I'm not convinced.
00:17:42.860 So, well, I do think it can be compelling for inter-family retention.
00:17:49.640 No, I think it's just one of those things that you like.
00:17:53.160 Do you remember when you had to write essays in college or high school before chat GPT did
00:17:59.760 this for everyone and you had just sort of, you had your thesis already and then you just
00:18:03.660 had to hunt down additional supporting arguments because you were supposed to have three or something
00:18:07.480 in your stupid essay.
00:18:08.460 So then you would just hunt down additional, like, and here's another reason why I was
00:18:12.300 suddenly convinced to do this thing.
00:18:14.240 And so it wasn't that you actually believed it.
00:18:16.580 You just needed additional things that seemed like kind of sufficiently plausible.
00:18:20.740 Right.
00:18:21.080 So it's not, I really don't think it's a genuinely compelling argument to anyone.
00:18:25.240 You've never had it used on you clearly.
00:18:27.440 No.
00:18:28.040 And you haven't dug into it.
00:18:29.320 I've dug into it.
00:18:30.200 I can see how it could be compelling if you already believe the religious structure,
00:18:33.700 but for the same reason that you are dismissing it when Muslims do it, that's why secular people
00:18:38.480 are going to dismiss it when you do it.
00:18:41.080 An argument that has always actually been pretty compelling to me, that was one of the most
00:18:45.840 compelling when I was younger, which is the, well, you know, you get an eternal reward if
00:18:51.300 you follow our religion.
00:18:52.540 If you don't, there's nothing, right?
00:18:54.760 So even if it's only an infinitesimally small probability, forget the name of this argument.
00:19:00.120 It's Pascal's wager.
00:19:01.400 But an infinitesimally small probability that it's true, that you should believe it.
00:19:07.640 Right.
00:19:08.900 The problem is, is that other religions exist.
00:19:12.620 Right.
00:19:12.920 And so then I'm like, well, so then how am I choosing among the religions that all claim
00:19:18.660 to offer this to me?
00:19:19.800 The other problem with this argument is that it assumes that the opposite of religious
00:19:26.160 inspired, like reason to exist is a nihilistic reason to exist.
00:19:30.680 Whereas I would say I never had a nihilistic perspective on reality.
00:19:34.980 Do you know what this reminds me of?
00:19:36.420 You know, that scene in The Mummy?
00:19:37.480 There's a good lord protecting Baccio over me as a shepherd Baccio over his flock.
00:19:43.600 I feel like that's kind of what you're describing here.
00:20:10.580 Just like keep switching around.
00:20:12.720 Yeah.
00:20:13.180 Well, no, it is.
00:20:14.960 Well, and I think it's probably not a compelling reason from a, like, if you look at how religion
00:20:19.620 is structured, if you're like, well, I got into this religion so I could get into heaven.
00:20:23.100 Yeah.
00:20:23.540 Well, that almost is self-canceling.
00:20:26.080 Yeah.
00:20:26.300 And honestly, when I think back to what religion used to be in the past, you know, why people
00:20:30.660 were part of it, it was because of the community cohesion and amenities.
00:20:34.260 And also you, like, weren't allowed to not be a part of that religion.
00:20:37.160 I don't think it was necessarily like, oh, I know I'm going to go.
00:20:39.640 I mean, definitely eternal punishment played a role in people's adherence to religion.
00:20:44.860 But the reason they were part of those religions was that was the community.
00:20:48.800 That was the dominating culture.
00:20:50.420 It wasn't this vague threat because they had a ton of other options.
00:20:54.140 Another similar logical argument is the cosmological argument.
00:20:57.800 This is the argument where you say, well, then what created the universe?
00:21:01.000 What was the reason for the universe existing?
00:21:04.580 This argument feels very compelling if you're coming at it from a religious standpoint, like
00:21:09.300 if you already believe in God.
00:21:11.140 However, if you don't believe in God, your immediate and reflexive response to this argument
00:21:16.120 is, well, you can't just say, okay, what created the universe and God created the universe
00:21:21.020 because then you have to ask, well, then what created God?
00:21:22.740 Now, this doesn't feel to a person who already believes in God like a good response to the
00:21:29.460 argument because they see God as being something wholly different than the way the universe operates.
00:21:35.280 However, it is immediately what's going to come to mind in a secular person's brain, so
00:21:40.440 much so that I have never heard of anyone converting to Christianity or any religion because of the
00:21:45.740 cosmological argument, and I have never seen it being discussed as a particularly compelling
00:21:51.580 argument within secular circles, so I totally forgot about it while I was creating this video.
00:21:58.500 And so it's just, regardless of its internal consistency or logical strength, it is not a good
00:22:05.740 tool for conversion.
00:22:07.120 It's almost like reading Bible passages to someone to try to convert them.
00:22:13.040 Of course, from your perspective, if you are already within a faith, those are a very compelling source of
00:22:18.080 evidence, but to somebody outside of the faith, they're just random words, basically.
00:22:23.660 The same with the cosmological argument.
00:22:25.360 It is incredibly compelling to people who already are within a faith, but incredibly uncompelling to people
00:22:30.640 who are not already within a faith.
00:22:33.040 Well, another thing that really drives people away from religion is when people are like,
00:22:37.400 oh, well, you know, I'll be laughing when you're burning in hell or whatever, right?
00:22:41.020 Like, which you actually see with a lot of these communities, they think that they can, like,
00:22:45.380 I don't know, be spite-driven to get someone to convert, and this just only makes you look like a
00:22:49.840 crazy person and, like, completely sociopathic and does not, like, portray well the religious system.
00:22:57.160 Now, what's interesting is that this argument is one that I mostly hear from just evangelical
00:23:03.700 Protestants.
00:23:04.260 Like, I don't see that from Mormons and stuff like that.
00:23:06.240 Like, there isn't the, I will take pleasure in you being punished when you're wrong about this,
00:23:12.480 but I suspect it's a mechanism that is mostly used to keep people in this thing inter-family,
00:23:18.780 because when you have looked down on people as, like, stupid for having other belief systems,
00:23:22.560 you're maybe less likely to deconvert.
00:23:24.100 But the problem is, is it may have worked historically, but if you look at the rates
00:23:27.540 that people are leaving the church now, it's clearly not working right now.
00:23:30.900 Now, a system that works really good for conversion, where I've seen bringing people
00:23:34.460 into a faith or back into a faith, is after a loss, like the loss of a loved one or something
00:23:40.500 like that.
00:23:41.440 And this seems to be tied to, like, the rock bottom moment thing.
00:23:45.520 And keep in mind that we already have a lot of ceremonies that are adjacent to this.
00:23:50.880 So most people, when they're having their funeral, it's at a religious institution, right?
00:23:56.960 When they're having their, like, this is an opportunity to pass on these ideals to somebody.
00:24:03.980 And so I've seen that be pretty good at converting people.
00:24:07.320 I guess, you know, another way to put this is when you need something to be true, you can
00:24:12.540 be converted to a religion.
00:24:13.720 Like, when you really need to believe that your lost loved one has gone to heaven and
00:24:20.100 you'll be reunited, or you really need to believe that there's something more to life
00:24:25.460 than, you know, what you are experiencing now.
00:24:27.960 I think that's when you're uniquely likely to convert.
00:24:32.060 And people who've just had a loved one die or have hit rock bottom are more likely to be
00:24:36.840 in that category.
00:24:38.220 Yeah.
00:24:38.820 They need it to be true.
00:24:39.760 It's not where they're convinced.
00:24:40.740 It's where they are ready.
00:24:43.200 They will happily convince themselves if they have an easy enough template to work with.
00:24:48.740 Yeah.
00:24:49.140 And so cultural arguments work really good, whereas logical arguments, like emotional and
00:24:55.220 cultural arguments are high tier at converting, whereas very low tier are logical or threatening.
00:25:03.380 So is this why real Calvinists, as we would define them, have just ceased to really exist?
00:25:08.020 Yeah, because they were almost completely utilized logic to try to convert people.
00:25:13.480 Yeah.
00:25:13.760 That's true.
00:25:14.400 Even today, the Calvinist evangelists are just like completely like logical structure driven.
00:25:20.240 Yeah.
00:25:20.660 Well, it's true.
00:25:21.400 It's just a thing with the tradition.
00:25:23.340 And it's why the tradition was always so prone.
00:25:25.700 You know, again, you look at the Calvinists during the colonial time, they were doing the
00:25:28.280 things like crossing out in their books, all of the parts that they thought disagreed with
00:25:32.360 modern science and stuff like that.
00:25:33.680 It was incredibly, it makes it incredibly susceptible to changing secular patterns, but it makes
00:25:42.300 it also incredibly unsusceptible to immoral action, where I think historically, if you look
00:25:47.340 at the groups that were generally the most morally upstanding, they're typically the groups
00:25:52.040 that had these belief systems.
00:25:55.000 But so there are like a good side, like people would be like, why do you follow it if it's
00:25:58.080 so weak in this one way?
00:25:59.280 And it's like, well, because like, I know when, you know, for example, when slavery was
00:26:03.240 going on in the South, like my family was standing up for that.
00:26:06.100 They were fighting against it.
00:26:07.120 They were putting themselves at risk every day.
00:26:09.040 They were the ones who immediately left the cities and set up guerrilla operations.
00:26:13.120 And that's a very rare thing.
00:26:15.620 And it's something that I hope to preserve.
00:26:17.380 It's something that I think to an extent we are doing right now as people with, you know,
00:26:21.440 high level degrees and stuff like that and making ourselves essentially unemployable
00:26:25.120 by being publicly conservative outside of anything we do for ourselves.
00:26:28.360 It's really, and unfundable by many VCs.
00:26:32.300 Yeah, no kidding.
00:26:33.980 But the most compelling argument I have seen work, and we've mentioned this in the other
00:26:40.180 video, but I think it's really important that people note this, is just going to them and
00:26:43.940 pointing out what's happening in the secular world, which is the ultimate cultural argument.
00:26:49.700 It's saying...
00:26:50.420 This is interesting because this is also associated with one of the most compelling and effective
00:26:56.900 political campaigns that took place in terms of converting voters for a particular candidate
00:27:02.200 that was tested in a peer-reviewed way was a message that did not say anything bad about
00:27:07.500 the opponents or anything good about the candidate of choice, but rather just say, here are basically
00:27:15.620 the Republicans in office right now.
00:27:17.780 Here's what they've done.
00:27:18.660 Simple, no images or anything, just like, just that text.
00:27:22.960 And that was enough to convince people.
00:27:24.400 So to your point, just saying like, hey, here's what's happening with the counterfactual.
00:27:29.120 Like, here's our default.
00:27:30.700 Are you going to do something about it?
00:27:31.600 Here's the suicide rate right now.
00:27:32.560 Here's the mental health rate in the progressive community.
00:27:35.260 Yeah.
00:27:35.360 You just cite it all and it is really compelling that whatever they're doing isn't working.
00:27:44.000 And as I said, within Gen Z, I have seen this to be an incredibly compelling argument.
00:27:48.720 But it is interesting because it's not the argument that many evangelists were taught
00:27:54.420 to use because it historically was not a usable argument.
00:27:58.120 It's only really been a feasible argument for like the past 15 years or so.
00:28:01.640 So you previously, they could say things like, look at that secular world, having all that
00:28:06.500 free sex.
00:28:07.880 I bet they're really unhappy about that.
00:28:10.400 But people are like, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, where was this
00:28:13.120 where you said I could get all this easy sex?
00:28:15.120 Yeah.
00:28:15.660 Now, you know, 10, 20 years on, you're like, look at all these people whose lives have been
00:28:20.400 actually destroyed.
00:28:21.780 Like, this seems to not work in the way that everyone said it would work, where they're like,
00:28:27.200 well, if you just do whatever you want, whenever you want, so long as it doesn't hurt
00:28:31.200 other people, and you devote your life to reducing suffering in the world population, and you
00:28:37.980 will be affirmed for being whoever you want to be, that these things are going to lead
00:28:41.820 to a productive and happy life.
00:28:43.460 And it's like, well, clearly, we now have the data when that group is the dominant cultural
00:28:47.720 group in society.
00:28:48.440 And we can see it's demonstrably worse at just about everything in regards to mental
00:28:53.580 health.
00:28:54.940 So that can be really compelling.
00:28:57.640 And then you're like, yeah, but then they don't really believe the religious stuff,
00:29:01.840 right?
00:29:02.380 Like, I haven't really convinced them.
00:29:04.080 I've convinced them to follow traditions.
00:29:05.720 But I think you'd be surprised how easy it is to sort of fall in with the belief system
00:29:10.460 once you're following the traditions.
00:29:12.580 You look at the religious system that Simone and I sort of built for our family, and we 100%
00:29:18.760 believe it now, right?
00:29:19.680 Like, we are sold into the idea of, like, the inevitable God, the Omnissian, the future
00:29:26.960 police, all this stuff.
00:29:28.200 Like, we are bought into it, however, whatever word you want to use for it.
00:29:32.500 And we love it.
00:29:33.900 Like, it works really well.
00:29:35.300 But it was completely constructed by us.
00:29:37.280 And that shows how just by following even a set of, like, rules and structures that we
00:29:42.400 built for ourselves, and we know we built for ourselves, and we know that we invented,
00:29:46.780 just thinking, okay, what's the most compelling way we can structure this, that we end up
00:29:51.320 actually believing it.
00:29:52.980 Like, that's just how the human mind works.
00:29:54.900 Now, people could say, well, if you know you invented it, why?
00:29:57.400 Because our belief system says that we would have been inspired to create it by the actual
00:30:02.120 deity.
00:30:02.920 So it was a divine revelation, even if we think that we were just being creative and trying
00:30:07.740 to come up with the most creative way, because that's the way it would have convinced us
00:30:10.880 to see the truth.
00:30:12.860 But it works on us.
00:30:15.700 But really, what converted us was all of the rituals, was the way that we related to
00:30:23.220 daily events through this religious lens.
00:30:26.700 And that was convinced by a cultural argument that came to us ourselves.
00:30:30.100 So you could say, okay, well, how do I end up with somebody not ending up like you guys?
00:30:35.720 Right?
00:30:35.860 Like, how do I end up?
00:30:36.980 I could go to them and say, look, whatever the secular world is doing isn't working.
00:30:40.140 But, you know, how do I convince my kids not to go out on their own and try to create something
00:30:45.800 totally new like you guys did?
00:30:47.000 And I actually think that the probability of this happening is incredibly low.
00:30:50.420 It's low because like we're doing this because we are from a very specific in our thing on
00:30:54.840 like how religion and genetics co-evolve.
00:30:57.800 We're from a very specific genetic vortex, which is a very weird one that has historically done
00:31:03.440 this, read the Puritan spotting thing by Star Slate Codex, where he's like, one of the ways
00:31:07.740 you know one of these people is they're constantly trying to create new religious traditions.
00:31:11.900 So, yeah, no, it's just a normal thing that our cultural group does.
00:31:16.240 But if I came from a cultural group that was more aligned with like a Catholic worldview
00:31:19.600 or an Orthodox worldview or a Jewish worldview, it would be, I think, tremendously easy to convert
00:31:25.540 me into those worldviews using those cultural arguments.
00:31:29.060 It's just that there is no religious tradition that is really common in the world today that
00:31:34.640 aligns with my personal predilections and world perspectives.
00:31:41.280 So I was wondering if you had any final thoughts.
00:31:45.220 No, but I do think that amenities is what I think is most convincing by a long shot.
00:31:52.960 And by amenities, I mean like the community, the lifestyle, the experience, what you get.
00:31:59.540 Be it a spouse or friends or company or a sense of meaning and belonging.
00:32:05.500 I don't think it's anything else.
00:32:07.740 Well, dating markets.
00:32:09.020 Yeah, dating markets.
00:32:09.980 That's what, yeah.
00:32:10.420 We know people who've converted to Mormonism just because they couldn't find a husband.
00:32:13.700 And they're like, okay, this seems to be the best way to find a husband today.
00:32:16.680 And I think that this is going to become increasingly common, which means that you as a religious
00:32:21.320 tradition do need to be, building a functional and healthy dating market can be an incredible
00:32:28.700 conversion tool.
00:32:29.840 Yeah.
00:32:30.500 But you need to focus on it.
00:32:32.160 You need to really put in the infrastructure for that and then evangelize how well it works
00:32:38.420 because people will come for that.
00:32:40.320 I also think a really important thing to note is that up until extremely recently, religion
00:32:48.640 was not something you could choose.
00:32:50.660 It was something that you had to live with.
00:32:52.580 And it was part of the framework of your reality, your community, and your life.
00:32:56.160 So there was no other alternative.
00:32:58.220 Now that we live in a world in which there are so many alternatives, again, that's why I'm
00:33:01.800 so obsessed with amenities.
00:33:02.780 It's about the amenities.
00:33:04.020 If people can choose, they're going to choose the one that leads to the best life and the best
00:33:07.160 outcomes.
00:33:08.180 That's it.
00:33:09.060 And well, okay, either.
00:33:10.280 So if they're going to choose a hard religion, they're going to choose the one with the best
00:33:12.840 life and outcomes.
00:33:14.680 That or they're just going to go so soft and let go of all the religion altogether and
00:33:19.520 just sort of die off.
00:33:21.280 So yeah.
00:33:22.380 Well, and this is why we take sort of the elitist like approach where we're not, you
00:33:26.360 know, we're not going after the soft people.
00:33:28.420 Yeah.
00:33:28.800 If you are primarily targeting, you know, people at rock bottom situations and stuff like that,
00:33:33.280 it will create the wider stream cultural perception that people don't want to be a part of that
00:33:38.580 group, right?
00:33:39.140 Like, oh, that's a low status group.
00:33:40.920 Whereas if you make it difficult to convert, difficult to claim to be a part of the group
00:33:47.280 and you target like really high tier, whether they're earners or intellectuals or anything
00:33:52.680 like that, you will have that veneer of impenetrability as well as, and status, as well as a value
00:34:02.180 to your kids of like, why would I leave this cultural tradition if it's so hard to convert
00:34:05.860 into it?
00:34:06.420 This is something Jews have done really well historically.
00:34:09.180 You know, the turning away a person three times when they try to convert and stuff like that.
00:34:13.020 Yeah.
00:34:13.700 Yeah.
00:34:14.940 Well, any other thoughts?
00:34:17.100 I would just say the only other thing that really matters is your original point that I want to
00:34:21.120 hammer home, which is, this is about really converting your kids and that there doesn't
00:34:26.080 seem to be from the evidence you looked at, at least when doing, when writing the Pragmatist
00:34:29.720 Guide to Crafting Religion, that suggests that growth through evangelism works.
00:34:35.760 Growth through providing cultural amenities does, which is why groups that, for example,
00:34:40.220 ran orphanages or schools had fresh converts, even if they didn't have children like through
00:34:45.200 their family structures because they didn't believe in sex or something.
00:34:48.200 With this, you know, conversion is not really a meaningful way to grow.
00:34:51.120 Even when you look at some of the most evangelistic religions, like the Mormon religion, where
00:34:55.240 we have people going on, on missions, they're not durably converting that many people ultimately
00:35:01.940 through their missions.
00:35:03.400 Now they are through like, I would say cultural ambassadorship, but that is a very different
00:35:07.840 thing.
00:35:08.660 So I would just say that that's the other thing is that if you are interested in conversion
00:35:13.060 because you think that is the only way that your religion is going to grow, then you need
00:35:16.720 to just start providing some incredibly needed amenity to a group that is otherwise being
00:35:21.860 abandoned by society, because that seems to be the only way that conversion has worked
00:35:27.000 at scale for groups that are not growing primarily through reproduction, right?
00:35:33.100 Yeah.
00:35:33.560 Well, I think show them with your better life, you know?
00:35:36.780 And so what she's mentioning is we ran the numbers with Mormons because the Mormons will
00:35:41.140 say, well, we converted this many people a year.
00:35:42.500 But that includes people who like, you know, said, oh, I converted so they can use the Mormon
00:35:47.540 soccer field, right?
00:35:48.520 So then we tried to look at people who are actually still tithing after a certain period
00:35:52.240 of time, because we were trying to see like, okay, do these people actually stay in the
00:35:55.280 church?
00:35:55.500 And the number, they're just incredibly low.
00:35:57.020 In fact, I would argue that more people deconvert because of their mission trip than are converted
00:36:02.740 because of a mission trip.
00:36:03.840 I think that's safe to say.
00:36:05.580 Yeah.
00:36:05.700 The biggest flaw in the Mormon faith right now is actually the mission structure, and
00:36:11.820 that if they focused more on this wholesome community building, they would do better.
00:36:15.440 This is one of the problems that the evangelical Christians and the Calvinists also had, is
00:36:19.140 that they created very, I mean, Footloose is basically about like, the people who don't
00:36:25.260 even let their children dance, right?
00:36:26.540 Like, it had a very bad image in terms of cultural amenities.
00:36:32.080 They were just seen as rich and stoogy, right?
00:36:34.940 No fun.
00:36:36.020 Yeah, they wouldn't even enjoy their money.
00:36:37.860 What was the point?
00:36:39.020 Yeah, Ebenezer Scrooge being the typical stereotype within this community, which we talk a lot
00:36:45.200 about in the book, and we provide a lot of evidence for.
00:36:46.880 A lot of people who aren't familiar with cultural stereotypes think he's supposed to be Jewish
00:36:49.980 when he's like from Scotland.
00:36:51.620 Very clearly, he's not.
00:36:53.820 But yeah, so, and he doesn't fit any of the other Jewish stereotypes, but he fits almost
00:36:57.340 every Calvinist stereotype, who were much more common during the period when the book
00:37:01.580 was written.
00:37:01.880 I should also point this out because people not familiar with Calvinist stereotypes may
00:37:05.640 not know this, but Ebenezer is the classical Calvinist name if you're talking about Calvinist
00:37:11.700 stereotypes, to the extent where in the Puritan spotting checklist I mentioned earlier that
00:37:16.080 Scott Alexander did, one of the points is how many male relatives somebody has with the
00:37:21.860 name Ebenezer.
00:37:23.660 It would be like naming a character Levi Goldstein.
00:37:27.540 But, so that did really bad, like Calvinism as a tradition is almost perfectly poorly structured
00:37:33.720 to convert people using cultural arguments.
00:37:35.920 But so is evangelical Christianity.
00:37:37.880 Like they did a pretty bad job outside of their big events and stuff like that, which is why
00:37:42.340 the iterations of it that are growing most right now are the megachurches and stuff, which
00:37:45.760 provide this totally unique experience, which I think appeals to, you know, a specific desire
00:37:51.760 was in people that is very different than the desire that was fed by historic, austere, the
00:37:58.180 type of people who were grossed out by opulence and big displays of really anything, which I think
00:38:03.440 we would fall into.
00:38:05.020 Now, there was a final thing I wanted to say here because I thought it was really interesting
00:38:08.120 in what you were touching on.
00:38:11.120 It was Mormons, I want to say.
00:38:12.720 Yeah.
00:38:12.960 Well, I was going to say the other thing I've noticed within Mormons, and this could be a
00:38:17.160 whole different video, is I've noticed that one of the reasons their culture is collapsing
00:38:21.000 so quickly right now, because they are falling really quickly in terms of fertility rates,
00:38:25.220 in terms of deconversions, is this extroversion that the community was selecting for, that we
00:38:31.340 mentioned for earlier in this, created sort of a, I'd say probably even a genetic predilection
00:38:36.820 due to the people who they were disproportionately converting to be really susceptible to things that
00:38:43.200 like social media status gains.
00:38:44.980 It created a community that as soon as social media penetrated that community, as soon as
00:38:50.480 the, especially the wives within this community began to be able to play these social media
00:38:54.100 status games, it was incredibly unresistant to this, less so than literally any cultural
00:39:00.120 tradition in the world.
00:39:01.500 And that's why it went from being one of the stronger cultural traditions to one of the weaker
00:39:05.480 cultural traditions.
00:39:06.300 I don't think it had anything to do with the culture itself.
00:39:08.720 I just think it had been selecting intergenerationally for extroversion and community
00:39:14.900 status games in a way that was much more aggressive than other cultural groups.
00:39:20.060 And then when people were able to masturbate these instincts in really unhealthy ways through
00:39:26.160 social media, it hit that community really hard.
00:39:29.340 Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
00:39:31.720 Which is interesting because our community would be one of the most resistant to social media,
00:39:35.660 which may provide an avenue for us growing again, specifically because of that.
00:39:41.620 But I mean, there's not many of the people with, I guess, the genetic predilection to even like
00:39:45.980 the type of theological structure that we're pitching.
00:39:49.360 So it would stay small for now.
00:39:52.320 For a while.
00:39:53.360 Yeah.
00:39:54.960 Anyway, love you to death, Simone.
00:39:56.540 And I do hope that people are able to use this to convert people more effectively and to
00:40:01.700 hopefully do a better job at evangelizing to your kids.
00:40:04.760 You know, as we say, the first 18 years of a kid's life are your chance to pitch your
00:40:08.820 culture to them.
00:40:09.880 And if you don't do a good job, they're going to leave.
00:40:12.440 Exactly.
00:40:14.280 And then your culture will die.
00:40:16.240 Your traditions will die.
00:40:17.440 Everything's over.
00:40:18.220 And your people will die.
00:40:19.080 Everyone you've ever loved will disappear to history.
00:40:22.260 Everything that every ancestor before you has worked to do will be for nothing.
00:40:27.280 Okay, bye.
00:40:27.940 Bye.
00:40:29.140 Bye.
00:40:29.440 Bye.
00:40:29.780 Bye.
00:40:29.800 Bye.
00:40:29.860 Bye.
00:40:29.880 Bye.
00:40:29.920 Bye.
00:40:29.940 Bye.
00:40:30.000 Bye.