Based Camp - China Doesn't Know What to Do (No One Thought This Could Happen)

00:00:00.000 Right now, the United States, in terms of where we are struggling in this war front, because a few big ships have been hit by Iranian missiles, is to defend China's economic interest.

00:00:17.240 That's where their oil comes from, not ours.

00:00:21.000 They're essentially trying to hurt China until the U.S. backs down over this.

00:00:24.840 like the news says all of this without explaining it to people in stark terms would you like to know

00:00:33.140 more hello simone i'm excited to be here with you today today we are going to be talking about

00:00:38.360 the signals that we have of a massive change in how china might be thinking about itself

00:00:46.120 foreign policy wise no specifically they shut down their flights over taiwan where they used

00:00:53.860 to have constant sort of military antagonistic flights over taiwan they said oh this is because

00:00:58.940 you know we're going to have this upcoming meeting with trump or people have said well maybe it's

00:01:03.060 because of oil prices it happened literally the the next sortie that was supposed to fly over

00:01:09.120 after the first news of the bombing started so it's not the case well hmm and specifically what

00:01:18.240 I want to talk about is not just this that happened with China, but in Iran, in Venezuela,

00:01:26.500 and in another instance in Pakistan, Chinese equipment, which they had touted and perhaps

00:01:34.340 believed internally to be top of the line and equivalent to US equipment, failed in a level

00:01:41.200 that was beyond spectacular. You've got to keep in mind, Iran had a $5 billion weapons deal with

00:01:49.440 China. And so they reportedly had some of the best equipment there. And not just that, we'll go over

00:01:57.460 what analysts were saying, but you have Peter Zaihan calling Caracas a fortress, and impossible

00:02:03.940 to invade. You have other analysts saying, Iran, there's just nothing you can do. It's

00:02:10.760 completely impregnable and yet and i'd like to point out people like if if you watch something

00:02:17.340 that's tainted by like the the the biased media sources you'll get a very bad understanding i

00:02:25.500 think of what's going on right now and i think a lot of people when i hear them talk about what's

00:02:30.520 happening for example in iran or what happened in venezuela for for context we lost only two

00:02:40.100 planes and those were to friendly fire we have lost no boats okay and in terms of the the very

00:02:49.120 light i think it's seven casualties now it's because of like random missiles of bases this is

00:02:56.640 astonishing when you're talking about these attacks taking off the board within a matter of

00:03:01.360 months venezuela iran and cuba which was reliant on venezuela but but the the point here being is

00:03:09.560 china i think is now and we'll go into evidence of this why this would be sort of going back

00:03:17.120 over the books and having to rethink like are we anywhere near the military power we thought we

00:03:23.940 were okay hold on though we the u.s shot down two of our own planes it wasn't us it was another

00:03:33.040 ally i'll get into it okay the no this is actually insane like at this point we have total air

00:03:40.840 dominance in iran at this point which basically means we can fly wherever we want within what was

00:03:47.980 one of the most hostile countries on earth to the united states until fairly recently all of this

00:03:55.580 happened without china and russia actually has attempted to help a little bit with the iran

00:04:01.740 situation but keep in mind if you go to ccp videos they would regularly talk about how the reason why

00:04:07.980 the u.s hasn't done anything in venezuela is because we're afraid of china why has the united 0.94

00:04:11.920 states held back for so long and still dared not really strike venezuela this whole thing is pretty

00:04:16.700 strange this is warships were already deployed in the caribbean the threats were made loud and clear

00:04:21.560 yet nothing actually happened because china is watching from behind and venezuela itself isn't

00:04:27.340 easy to deal with either it has real backing from china money when it needs money supplies when it

00:04:32.380 needs supplies that means if the u.s attacks it won't be anything like iraq maduro is actually

00:04:37.060 quite clever he keeps saying china's victory is our victory deliberately tying himself to china 0.74

00:04:41.880 and making washington even more hesitant to act

00:04:44.080 that was the ccp talking position right oh interesting well what's also interesting too 0.90

00:04:53.680 and why I'm really glad you're talking about this

00:04:55.860 is what I'm hearing from mainstream,

00:04:59.780 we'll say progressive leaning YouTube people

00:05:03.600 and from mainstream media

00:05:05.000 is that the United States is putting itself

00:05:07.980 in a uniquely strategically weak position

00:05:10.940 vis-a-vis China

00:05:12.000 because we are diminishing our backstock

00:05:17.120 of weapons on Iran,

00:05:21.000 making us unable to potentially support Taiwan should China make a move that is okay so like

00:05:28.760 we should talk about how embarrassing this situation is for China right now the way that

00:05:33.680 Iran is trying to get us to stop attacking them okay is by doing enough economic damage that the 0.99

00:05:41.840 U.S. feels it needs to pull back this the core way that they are doing that is attempting to

00:05:48.540 increased shipping prices through the Strait of Hormuz. If that was cut off, the core country

00:05:55.300 that's going to fail is China. Right now, the United States, in terms of anywhere where we 0.99

00:06:02.100 have our back against the wall in this war front, anywhere where we are struggling in this war

00:06:08.360 front, because a few big ships have been hit by Iranian missiles, is to defend China's economic

00:06:15.300 interest. That's where their oil comes from, not ours. We don't get anything from the Strait of

00:06:26.580 Hermione. That's China. Yeah. Had you contextualized that, Simone? Huh. Well, it's certainly not what

00:06:37.880 people are talking about. So no, I wasn't thinking about it. It wasn't top of mind. I mean, people

00:06:42.320 had mentioned like well the u.s isn't directly affected by the you know oil interruption but

00:06:49.020 that doesn't matter because globalization means the u.s is affected if anyone else is affected

00:06:54.120 yes and who is most affected china china is the country that is most affected by what's happening

00:07:01.580 right now in terms of global powers it's it's so weird how they gloss over that they're like this

00:07:07.340 could cause a global economic crash instigated obviously not by the united states because we

00:07:12.200 now have a bunch more oil, but by outside powers collapsing. What outside power are you talking

00:07:17.880 about there, buddy? Because I can think of one that depends on this strait being open a heck of

00:07:24.020 a lot. And we've talked about this in other videos, but I think a lot of people do not contextualize

00:07:27.780 how much China depends on this. Huge chunk. If the Strait of Malacca was closed, which would be a

00:07:33.300 little bit closer, they're losing 45% of, and I've heard other estimates as high as 80% of their

00:07:40.260 imported energy which would be devastating not only that but china is a net food importer and

00:07:46.360 a net phosphorus importer which is doubly bad for china because we'll do a second video on this

00:07:52.860 morocco did this play where it took the western sahara which is like they did a really good job

00:07:58.920 of it as well you mentioned this they're just like quietly doing a land grab is that right

00:08:03.100 vast majority of the world's phosphorus supply which is necessary to create fertilizer it isn't

00:08:08.400 something we can create artificially yet all right they have like 13x the amount that china has

00:08:13.040 and so another thing about this conflict which is interesting that you point this out

00:08:18.480 is so not only is 17 of china's oil coming from iran and venezuela but a lot of the rest of their

00:08:26.800 oil comes from countries that are now better friends with us because of this conflict

00:08:33.380 specifically saudi arabia everyone out there who's like oh you know the united states is doing this

00:08:39.200 because we're being manipulated by israel and the jews and everything like that yeah okay whatever 0.99

00:08:45.020 you want to believe that but the reality of geopolitics is that this is as much something

00:08:50.380 that saudi arabia wants as something that israel wants and saudi arabia has a lot of global

00:08:57.920 geopolitical power specifically because of the concentration of wealth within the country which

00:09:03.100 allows them to do things that other countries cannot do but secondarily because of their ability

00:09:08.280 to cut off oil supply to other players if you have any degree of the control of iranian venezuela and

00:09:15.660 saudi oil you control a huge chunk and then the u.s oil which is a huge chunk of of global oil

00:09:21.820 supply just a huge chunk of the global oil supply so that's also super relevant to think about but

00:09:27.180 i'll get into the points here in regards to where i think things are going in iran right now

00:09:32.840 my my read of the situation is is a lot of if this ends up working out the way that trump wants it to 0.94

00:09:39.980 work out too in a best case scenario is they need to when i say they i mean massad needs to kill the

00:09:45.460 new ayatollah if they can successfully show that if you put in an ayatollah that is not willing to 0.98

00:09:53.160 play ball will just be killing them eventually one of these ayatollahs because like the one that 1.00

00:09:57.860 they put in actually let's talk about like the religious significance of what's going on right 0.80

00:10:02.420 know so they put in an ayatollah that is the direct son of the last ayatollah which both the

00:10:09.140 last ayatollah and the first ayatollah put in writing that they're never and that would make

00:10:14.380 them a hereditary rural country again and they said that that was anti-islamic yeah and not only

00:10:22.140 is this guy horrendously corrupt hundreds of millions in the uk right now in terms of like

00:10:26.280 wandered estates and everything but in islam this is this is shown as happening in the quran 0.70

00:10:32.180 when a country loses a war allah says i make you do that like like this happens to you because you

00:10:40.180 are not being faithful to me in the right way and so this puts a bit of a mandate in heaven

00:10:46.600 into what's going on in iran right now for the person who was elected ayatollah in an anti-islamic

00:10:54.840 fashion um which is ironic that the former ayatollahs took that position because they're

00:11:01.700 shia and the shia is a faction of islam that split came over wanting islam to be more yeah

00:11:08.900 but whatever you know maybe they can get around it with that right you know but the the point here

00:11:14.600 being is even if we just pull out people can be like well now iran is more motivated to attack us

00:11:19.640 and it's like well they were certainly motivated to attack us before right most of the terrorist

00:11:24.340 action that we have been dealing with globally, other than the stuff that's funded by the Saudis

00:11:30.200 and the Wahhabis, was funded by Iran. And this is why support for the war is so strong in the US

00:11:35.740 military. There were some recent polls about this. And I think it's because, you know, even though

00:11:39.620 that they're the ones who are most directly impacted by having to go into action where there

00:11:44.180 is action, they also realized that this has been the group that we've actually been fighting

00:11:49.140 throughout all Middle Eastern conflicts that were just pussyfooting. But let's get into this. 0.65

00:11:54.340 China significantly reduced its military aircraft incursions into Taiwan's air defense identification

00:11:59.220 dome starting on February 27, 2026, marking an abrupt unexplained pause in what had been

00:12:05.720 near daily operations. This halt lasted at least seven days initially, the longest such period of

00:12:11.520 time since Taiwan began publicly tracking these before the 2020s. So note, this is the longest

00:12:17.780 we've ever seen since the 2020s and this period of no planes was only ended by the resumption of

00:12:25.160 just a two aircraft and these were surveillance not military aircraft or traditional like fighting

00:12:29.500 aircraft on march 6th followed by minimal continued activity now a few interesting notes as to china's

00:12:36.520 position right now and why this may have so much to see their equipment fail so spectacularly in

00:12:42.320 a public context is China over the past year has reduced, actually I think it's over the past

00:12:47.920 couple of years, has reduced its military purchases by 73%. And the reason they've

00:12:53.200 reduced military purchases is because they went with this policy of we want to produce more

00:12:56.880 internally. That makes sense. I mean, from a national security standpoint, you should be

00:13:01.180 internally producing these things. Right. Unless it turns out that you can't make things internally

00:13:05.660 or everything internal is corrupt. Then they have the secondary issue and see our video about the

00:13:11.460 coup that happened was in china recently and i mean i still think the evidence points to this

00:13:16.260 but one of the guys i love it that some of our people are like no no no this was just a totally

00:13:21.400 normal thing for xi to illegally mind you this was illegal within the ccp because it was the top

00:13:27.140 council and to take action against other members of the council required a majority vote of the

00:13:33.260 council the problem is is that she was arresting the only two remaining members of the council 0.97

00:13:38.700 other than him and the head of the secret police and so he couldn't have gotten a majority vote

00:13:42.920 and a lot of people were like oh this may have just been a normal thing to have happen was in

00:13:47.860 china or something like this so some side notes after that immediately they do this big announcement

00:13:53.520 about this which they've never done before normally when they're doing corruption cleanups

00:13:57.280 they don't immediately then be like this guy was a traitor to the nation like super strong wording

00:14:02.220 in major publications and then withdraw it the next day which was really interesting as well

00:14:07.080 like power stuff going on there it's really fascinating this happened simpson is you know

00:14:13.280 what happened to that guy coming to the back dead oh just what murdered or just likely likely they

00:14:25.300 said he had medical complications oh huh so this hasn't been announced officially but this is what

00:14:32.040 the rumor mill is and there hasn't been any proof of his life which given that there is a rumor of

00:14:36.980 this you think that if he was alive they would be like and here's proof that he's still alive

00:14:41.020 sure but this matters a lot from chinese perspective it means their entire upper

00:14:44.720 military barrace has been removed at this point right and there have been rumors that she actually 0.98

00:14:52.800 wanted to go and try to take taiwan during this last u.s election cycle and that it was these two

00:15:00.680 top generals that were keeping him from doing that saying this is a bad idea these are generals who

00:15:06.340 per the previous podcast you did on this were more experienced they were some of the most they

00:15:11.820 were yeah the only people with real experience like yeah like they've seen more before they've

00:15:16.560 seen china involved in military action and they i guess had presumably the wisdom to say let's not 0.98

00:15:22.580 do this yes and i if i was gonna suspect anything before i get further here what i think might be

00:15:30.780 going through xi's head with all of this uh put yourself in in xi's position okay he takes out

00:15:37.040 these two top generals because he sees them as blocking his ability to do what china needs to do

00:15:43.580 which is just retake taiwan okay he thinks they're blocking him they're not really listening blah blah

00:15:50.060 blah so he does that and keep in mind these people have been long-term friends of xi as well right

00:15:55.400 like they were not in the anti-G faction these people were always in the G faction 0.93

00:16:01.160 the inner circle and don't be stupid about this so he's likely having some internal feelings about

00:16:06.360 this the point I'm making here is that I actually the G feeling very certain about all of this 0.99

00:16:12.460 until you know he's killed one of his best friends for a long time and then all of the things that

00:16:19.060 that guy warned him about and was the very reason he believed that guy was betraying him not just

00:16:24.660 that guy but two guys um start coming true one after another and you start to think oh my god

00:16:32.040 am i actually like with was i wrong to do this but also now you know he's responsible for what

00:16:40.260 china does next he actually needs to because he doesn't have anyone else in the room anymore 0.98

00:16:44.640 meaning and this is similar to what i say about relationships the reason why it's useful to

00:16:51.320 structure relationship for a man to have all of the power is because when a man has to make final 0.83

00:16:57.280 decisions and only has you to consult he's actually often going to unless he's a complete evil

00:17:02.560 sociopath going to make decisions that are in your favor more because he doesn't feel that there's

00:17:07.720 some alternate source there that's you know arguing against him and he needs to compromise

00:17:12.080 he needs to think okay now i'm fully responsible for everyone and she may finally be in that

00:17:17.440 position now that he's taking everyone who can disagree with him out of the room

00:17:20.080 he needs to begin to model their opinions and he might not have been doing that before he might

00:17:26.800 have been using them to model the opinions of the why would it be a bad idea to go directly after

00:17:32.680 taiwan faction yeah immediately after he does this is when the venezuela thing happens which he had

00:17:39.180 believed was impossible most of the world's top military analysts believed was impossible yeah

00:17:45.220 then a few months later the iran thing happened and increasingly and this is also really important

00:17:51.040 china has become isolated because of its reaction to these individual instances every time a chinese 1.00

00:17:59.700 ally who china had promised they would protect comes into a situation like this and china does 0.94

00:18:05.900 literally nothing but sends a strongly worded email that makes it so much less likely that any

00:18:13.080 other chinese ally is going to come to their aid if a conflict actually were to begin and i think

00:18:20.960 that this has become like dramatically starker in a modern context than it was before this

00:18:29.280 so if you go let's go six months ago okay china attacks taiwan now china is going to be saying

00:18:39.100 yes, America has allies in the region, you know, Japan, Korea, Australia, but, and I'm just here

00:18:46.720 listing allies that I am fairly certain would militarily go to bat over this, right? But we

00:18:52.780 also have allies, you know, throughout the globe, you know, Iran and Venezuela and Russia, and

00:18:58.780 they're gonna put on either economic pressure or military pressure to help us. The problem is,

00:19:05.600 right now it doesn't look like that it's very obvious iran isn't going to be able to do anything

00:19:10.760 no matter what happens even if the war winds up in the like best possible scenario for them

00:19:15.180 which really for them is the u.s uh what does iran want it wants the u.s to pull out without

00:19:23.600 the new guy being killed and then no long-term geopolitical destabilization was in their country

00:19:31.340 The problem is, is even that would be a win for the United States when contrasted with the previous status quo. Right. Iran basically just wants this to end or drag the United States into something long term that causes, again, geopolitical strife. 0.59

00:19:50.600 but that geopolitical strife will be felt disproportionately by china right so again

00:19:56.060 it's like a weird situation so in iran's best case scenario china is one of the primary people 0.99

00:20:01.060 who suffers right i don't follow that and i think what iran wants is israel gone off the map and the

00:20:08.160 u.s not involved i'm talking about realistic the path they could go from where they are now

00:20:13.380 um china iran's strategy right now is like you know we punched him they're trying to like grab

00:20:21.960 us and hold us in place to be like now you can't get out now you're entrenched within this this

00:20:28.040 fight yeah they're just trying to basically last us out until this becomes too politically

00:20:33.500 unpopular for us to continue and then we back out and then they just continue on with their current

00:20:38.380 regime that's their plan for some idea of how bad things are and how potentially unrealistic this is

00:20:44.760 for iran they just froze at some large banks i think all the civilian bank accounts meaning

00:20:50.480 that it looks like the government is just going to begin to steal money from its civilian population

00:20:55.220 because it does not have enough to pay to keep this war going that's their best case scenario

00:21:00.440 but they're still geopolitically completely isolated after that at this point because they

00:21:05.180 spazzed out and attacked every one of their neighbors. And the reason they did that is

00:21:09.100 because they were trying to create economic damage. The problem is, is it geopolitically

00:21:12.620 isolated them. And the core economic damage they're doing globally is to China, not to the 0.90

00:21:17.640 United States, right? Like they're essentially trying to hurt China until the US backs down over

00:21:22.260 this, which is a terrible situation. Like the news says all of this without explaining it to people

00:21:30.420 in stark terms that really better gives you an idea of china's position so even in the best case 0.98

00:21:38.100 scenario for iran china is in a terribly backseat position but anyway so china does decide it wants

00:21:45.140 to go into this war now now the position that it's in is not china and taiwan and china asking

00:21:54.560 does the u.s actually involve itself because i think with a lot of this this this you know

00:22:00.040 historically, Biden said that we wouldn't. I think Trump has wavered on whether or not we

00:22:05.160 definitely would try to defend Taiwan. I think that China is now getting the perception that

00:22:09.620 the United States would try to defend Taiwan if they went in. You know, after seeing what

00:22:15.020 happened in Iran and Venezuela, I think they're getting the idea of, oh, as long as Donald Trump's

00:22:19.600 in power, it's a yes from the United States. Right. And the problem was a yes from the United

00:22:25.220 States on Taiwan from China's perspective, after not backing its own allies, is Russia obviously

00:22:31.620 isn't going to be able to do anything really differentially to support them. Iran's out of 0.77

00:22:36.220 the picture, Venezuela's out of the picture, every regional power of relevance, except North Korea,

00:22:39.600 which I'll get to in a little bit. And yet within the region, if the United States decided to do

00:22:45.140 something, at the very least, Japan's going to jump in, especially with their current president, 0.68

00:22:50.800 who says that margaret thatcher is her primary political inspiration and is a politician we

00:22:57.700 should do a whole episode on just her she's awesome i like i think they also have invested

00:23:01.940 more in the military they've increased their military spending if you look at animes recently

00:23:07.860 like gate and stuff like that they've become incredibly more militaristic and jingoistic

00:23:12.760 in terms of military fantasies japan wants to be and very core to their culture historically

00:23:19.260 is brutal militarism and yeah so it's just no longer hashtag too soon like we finally got

00:23:25.700 to the point where it's it's no longer hashtag too soon yeah yeah they are enough time has passed

00:23:31.400 where they can like be military and not be creepy anymore yeah they're not like europe where europe

00:23:36.940 is like oh you know what if like young men die in war or something like that or like imagine the

00:23:43.960 burden to us that young Japanese men are like yeah like this is going to be awesome in part 1.00

00:23:51.760 because the way that the history of World War II is taught to them and the way that the history of

00:23:59.320 their own words is taught to them is so jingoistic that it's really either they're the victims or

00:24:06.260 they're just winning winning winning right it's never like this is a morally complicated thing

00:24:10.800 to be doing and with the united states on their back and potentially a moral reason to justify

00:24:17.380 them going to war they're going to be quite excited about it would australia get involved

00:24:21.880 maybe i mean china is they're hugely economically tied to china yeah it's a little bit harder to say

00:24:28.680 on that front they're in a very fraught position yeah and in the past china has thrown its weight 0.93

00:24:32.980 around with australia yeah same with south korea but why south korea is sort of irrelevant whether

00:24:41.120 or not they get involved which is an interesting position is south korea like so china decides to

00:24:47.040 go for taiwan the natural thing for them to do north korea recently has been doing major arms 0.69

00:24:52.880 purchases of modern weapons and a lot of people think that they might be seriously considering

00:24:59.460 an invasion at this point. I mean, the question is, is why would they be seriously considering

00:25:03.500 one at this point? And it might be because it would be a jointly timed thing. If Xi Jinping

00:25:08.620 has been planning to attack Taiwan, it may be a, a, a joint operation, right? That that's when it

00:25:16.060 would make sense to do that. If both countries have this, you know, wishlist, I want to go in

00:25:21.400 scenario, it could be dual triggered. The problem is that if South Korea doesn't get involved in

00:25:28.300 the war right like suppose the china does go for taiwan and south korea doesn't get involved

00:25:32.600 china's going to want to do everything as power to prevent north korea from attacking 0.92

00:25:36.100 because that would immediately trigger south korean involvement and frankly south korea is

00:25:41.420 just a lot stronger than north korea in in every as we've seen from the current wars that israel

00:25:48.700 has been involved in the technological capability of a nation matters a lot and the level of

00:25:54.360 corruption within a nation matters a lot. And a nation could take on much bigger opponents if

00:26:00.260 those opponents are corrupt and can't manage decentralized military forces. And so the U.S.

00:26:08.560 would take that card, bring North Korea into the war, but we get South Korea. Yeah, that's a great 1.00

00:26:13.220 card to have, right? That's again why it's sort of irrelevant, the South Korea question.

00:26:19.320 To go over the specific military equipment that was on display here.

00:26:24.580 So Venezuela has long been one of China's biggest arms customers in Latin America.

00:26:29.900 Since 2005, they bought systems including the JY-27A, a mobile range, long range anti-stealth radar.

00:26:39.540 They bought the HQ-9 and the HQ-12 surface-to-air missile SAM batteries.

00:26:45.540 and they layered these with russian s-300 palestiners i was going to make this episode

00:26:50.160 talking about russia as well but i wanted to keep this focus on china they in terms of how they

00:26:55.240 formed the how the systems performed they failed completely the u.s

00:27:02.200 stealth helicopters and aircraft entered venezuela totally undetected gosh they had

00:27:07.400 this total false sense of security like don't worry we bought the anti-stealth radar yeah they

00:27:13.540 they were they were quickly blinded and jammed by ea 18g growler electronic warfare and none

00:27:21.400 of the chinese or russian sams fired effectively keep in mind how scary that is if you're china

00:27:28.620 now right it wasn't like the systems performed poorly they were just outmatched they were

00:27:36.560 completely irrelevant it's it's kind of nice though i would appreciate it as china having

00:27:43.400 all these test cases for our military technology better that better with iran and venezuela than

00:27:50.560 with them in some scenario so i guess you know the best way to test your military capability is to

00:27:59.420 have someone else pay for it basically iran and venezuela subsidized it by buying these things

00:28:06.020 from them and then have them play test it in live scenarios this is no longer a fluke in terms of

00:28:13.160 chinese systems this is the rule they are completely well documented that chinese military

00:28:18.640 tech has failed consistently both in venezuela and iran when matched with american military tech

00:28:24.160 correct yes and there's been separate failures in pakistan but that's a separate scenario i'm not

00:28:28.400 going to go too deep oh wow okay so three three different locations yeah chinese military tech

00:28:34.620 people don't understand how corrupt corrupt countries are in terms of like like how incompetent

00:28:41.980 they can be i think a lot of people they see a big country they see shiny things and they think

00:28:46.520 oh this country a good example is iran's military tanks for example they had something called the

00:28:52.820 sulamans and i'll put one on screen here and they're very pretty tanks they're actually an

00:28:57.520 american tank that's around i think 70 years old where they have just basically put metal plates

00:29:03.300 over it it looked more angular they added skins yeah they added skins they added skins to old

00:29:09.840 timey tanks that's amazing and people can be like well china isn't that look in china has good

00:29:15.820 drones you know who had chinese drones was iran but on top of the chinese drones that that iran

00:29:23.440 had i'm sorry i was gonna go over one of my favorite stories about china to give you an

00:29:27.520 idea of what i mean and why people at the head of china can be so scared when you can go and you see

00:29:31.660 the display and you think that this stuff works and then you realize it's all fake is for the

00:29:37.040 olympic games when they wanted to look like very you know cutting edge and green and like we're so

00:29:41.820 much better than the west and they had uh this is the sulaiman tank it does just look like someone

00:29:47.540 put like cardboard or like i don't know like cool metal over a tank it like just they covered it it

00:29:55.260 it kind of reminds me of like you know when like families at home make tanks out of cardboard like

00:29:59.980 cause halloween costumes it kind of looks like that don't you think yes is it so much worse than

00:30:04.860 you expected simone it's just about what you described actually so pretty good for our audio

00:30:10.140 only listeners but the well speaking of the the so so during the olympic games they wanted to look

00:30:15.340 really you know high tech and everything sure and so they had on street corners air-powered

00:30:21.220 street lamps and it turned out that not only did they not work but they used electricity to spin

00:30:26.960 the fans to make it look like they were working. That's adorable. So wait, people knew that

00:30:33.260 because if there was no wind, they were still spinning. I don't know how people figured this

00:30:37.920 out. I mean, the extent that you get this within Chinese culture, because it's so centralized, 0.69

00:30:46.580 there's just so much room for grift. And so there isn't a good understanding at the top

00:30:51.600 how much of their equipment actually works. And now that more and more of Chinese equipment is

00:30:56.900 source from was in China, there is even more doubt. To give another example of one of their

00:31:02.780 stealth detection systems completely failing, Israel sent in, this was a case where over Tehran,

00:31:10.380 a Iranian fighter jet was downed by an Israeli fighter jet. And one, this is insane that they 0.66

00:31:18.840 have that much air control of Tehran to begin with, right? But it's also insane the way it

00:31:24.480 went down what the israeli fighter jet was and i'll put pictures on screen and you'll immediately

00:31:30.160 see how comical this was it was a completely cutting edge stealth fighter like a best in class

00:31:37.180 aircraft the iranian aircraft was an aircraft that was really made for training it had no chance

00:31:44.400 against the israeli plane and a lot of people are like why did they even go off the ground why even

00:31:48.880 waste a pilot on that right yeah and the answer may be that they couldn't tell it apart from a

00:31:54.200 drone. With their tech or just with their knowledge. It's a Chinese tech. They can't tell 0.99

00:32:00.860 Israeli fighter jet from a drone. That's really bad. Okay.

00:32:10.300 Wow. And note here, they have taken down seven drones, American drones.

00:32:16.220 Okay. No, no planes or boats, but a few drones. That's good for you,

00:32:22.820 iran and and people here note like the constant lashing out of iran the damage to surrounding

00:32:29.440 gulf countries infrastructure as like some sort of failure on america's part like oh they're still

00:32:34.440 sending rockets it's like no that's further geopolitically isolating iran right like that's

00:32:40.200 not earning them goodwill in the gulf right like the especially when a lot of these countries are

00:32:46.140 protecting themselves like the uae with america-bought systems that's a good economic

00:32:53.980 opportunity for the united states in the future to sell them more of those talk about you know

00:32:58.040 depleted weapon surprise yes this has been a big sales pitch for american military tech

00:33:03.440 and israeli these systems have failed marketed aggressively as equivalent to western technology

00:33:10.980 by china up up until now so just there we were looking at venezuela there was the five billion

00:33:19.280 dollar sign in secret with iran and the known equipment that it included is the cm302 anti-ship

00:33:29.440 cruise missiles these are supersonic missiles with a range of 290 kilometers designed to skim

00:33:34.060 the water surface at high speeds to evade ship defenses wow the hq and keep in mind none of these

00:33:41.220 ended up hitting american ships a few commercial tankers maybe but no american ships hq-9b surface

00:33:48.500 to air anti-ballistic missile system the hq-1b surface to air missile system the fn-6 man pads

00:33:56.320 the lc-9b long-range surveillance radar and the type 305a air surveillance radar and the slc-2

00:34:04.040 counter battery radar for locating artillery and they acquired sunflower 200 kamikaze drones

00:34:10.000 and they acquired hq19 anti-satellite interceptor missiles i i think they did actually take down

00:34:17.340 one satellite and these were things wait that venezuela purchased from china no these things

00:34:23.100 iran purchased from china oh okay they and again these largely failed so we lost three f-15e

00:34:31.960 strike eagle firefighter jets march 1st 2026 in a friendly fire incident involving kuwaiti air

00:34:38.120 defenses near the ali al-sam air base all six crews survived after ejecting and the aircraft

00:34:44.780 were valued at around 282 million and were destroyed we lost seven mq-9 reaper drones

00:34:51.680 that were down by iranian fire but that's it kuwaiti defense yeah i think it was automated

00:35:00.340 kuwaiti defense system probably systems we gave them okay so the system that shot down the american

00:35:06.020 jets was indeed american in origin and what happened was is some of the only casualties

00:35:12.040 on at least on the american side on this war had been recently killed in kuwait due to bombs that

00:35:18.720 had gone into the country from from iran by the way for people who are wondering most of these

00:35:23.260 bombs aren't flying anymore iran is like at five percent or something of the bombing that they were

00:35:27.820 early in the campaign but anyway so the six american service members have been killed by

00:35:32.780 one of these and so the kuwaiti operatives who were not as well trained as the americans but

00:35:37.180 had american equipment were incredibly on edge and when they saw signals in the sky they shot

00:35:43.000 reflexively so just i mean keep in mind these attacks may have been happening without kuwait

00:35:48.140 knowing that they were going to happen all of a sudden you see a bunch of fighter jets

00:35:51.060 systems may have been automated but the point being is

00:35:54.680 it's not that our equipment is inassailable if you have competent equipment that like is

00:36:03.240 american or israeli bought our equipment was able to take down our equipment right

00:36:08.460 it's unassailable when going up against chinese and russian equipment

00:36:12.760 interesting

00:36:17.820 and then what do you make of trump expressing such warm regard for both president

00:36:29.340 putin and xi jinping i'm so confused by this in recent press conferences

00:36:35.920 for example trump was talking about his conversation with vladimir putin and about

00:36:41.880 how impressed he was with the american progress in iran though of course it's it's hard to tell

00:36:48.600 when trump has been genuinely flattered by putin or when putin is just mocking trump and trump

00:36:55.160 doesn't understand no i think what happened is that at first putin like a lot of people thought

00:36:59.500 trump was a fool and i think that he did mock him in a lot of press and stuff like this i think that 0.62

00:37:07.380 if you contrast the u.s's recent military incursions with russia's recent military 0.99

00:37:13.160 incursions putin might be feeling a little bit like wait wait a second does trump actually know

00:37:21.180 what he's doing like he made me look very foolish in comparison it's almost the exact opposite

00:37:29.460 reaction to what putin had is putin had this big plan of how he's gonna have this big military win 0.59

00:37:35.140 without any you know losses and how it's going to be overwhelming force and blah blah blah and

00:37:40.440 trump comes in with a totally new way of doing things your other episode where we talk more

00:37:44.600 about that and i i genuinely suspect that trump got on a call with putin this is my modeling of

00:37:51.480 this putin internally does not like what's happening in iran he apparently has been helping

00:37:57.740 iran target oil tankers and stuff like this to try to damage global economy of course he would 0.99

00:38:04.040 it increases the price of his own oil right oh yeah so which is a barcode i mean another thing

00:38:08.480 recently discussed was that trump i think allowed what was it india to take one russian oil tanker

00:38:15.700 without any penalties because you know things are all messed up with oil right now and india

00:38:23.140 really needed it or something yeah anyway the point being is i can imagine internally putin

00:38:29.220 might be thieving at Trump you know but when you get on a call with somebody who's nice to you and

00:38:34.880 the thing about Trump with people like Putin and stuff like that is even if you look at where like

00:38:40.220 there had been fights like the Zelensky JD fight that wasn't initiated by Trump Trump is genuinely

00:38:46.180 pretty amicable with world leaders unless they're they are openly being hostile to him um so he gets

00:38:52.660 on a call and he's like hey Putin like and Trump's probably pretty excited about what's going on in

00:38:57.660 iran right now like can you believe what we just did like we did and if i'm putin right first of

00:39:03.980 all you're gonna be like yeah you actually have done pretty well compared to what i expected

00:39:09.320 but in addition putin's probably flattering him trying to get more military information

00:39:13.660 because trump's on the phone all giddy about what the successes we've had in iran yeah and i'm putin

00:39:20.800 and i'm like wait can i get more information by telling him to talk more about all of his victories

00:39:25.000 maybe trump is also so friendly with russia and china or at least voicing such warm regard toward

00:39:31.000 them because in his view now he has demonstrated that he has negotiating power and mr art of the

00:39:37.760 deal loves knowing that he has the bargaining chips at this time well this is the way that

00:39:42.900 trump always does deals when the other person is playing hard to get and we've actually seen this

00:39:48.600 in real time play out so we can tell from Trump's public speeches what's going on in his private

00:39:54.760 calls. By this, what I mean is there have been instances in which somebody was saying really

00:40:00.300 bad things about Trump publicly, but Trump was saying really positive things about them publicly,

00:40:04.780 and then a bunch of deals come out that are hugely favorable to the United States.

00:40:09.200 The new leader of Venezuela is a great example of that. That to me implied that Trump knew under

00:40:14.320 the table they were having positive negotiations, and he's not going to badmouth her just because

00:40:18.400 she fad mousing him he's like i understand why you have to do this right with xi jinping and

00:40:22.780 putin what this tells me is he feels he's getting what he wants in the conversations he's having

00:40:28.460 with him and why shouldn't he putin had a defense pact with iran right like they should have come

00:40:37.280 in now realistically could they have given how tied down they are in the ukraine right now

00:40:41.360 that would have been insane could china have honestly i think it would have been the right 1.00

00:40:45.540 call for china to come in iran people can be like do what though really well so the problem is is at 0.63

00:40:51.460 least make it costly for the united states if china had tried to come in at least we may not 1.00

00:40:57.280 have been able to hold iranian airspace well but then there would be precedent for us being in

00:41:02.480 open military conflict whereas right now we're just tense frenemies right okay so let's go over 0.94

00:41:11.520 why I think it was demonstrably stupid for China to not intervene in this. Now, I don't think that 0.92

00:41:17.480 anyone could have made this call in the speed that China needed to make this call. But China

00:41:22.660 could have defended Iran, you know, tried air defense of Iran, keep it limited as an opportunity

00:41:29.520 to get one information on how good their systems really are, right, which would have been very

00:41:35.240 important for China to to prevent the US and Israel from getting complete air dominance over

00:41:39.640 Iran and three make America look really really bad because if China gets involved then everyone 0.97

00:41:46.300 can say this is a global war this is a world war even though it's not China could have easily with

00:41:51.960 the United States if China had done that and said and we will not take this conflict outside the

00:41:55.820 border of Iran everyone else would have respected that because nobody wants a global war with China

00:42:00.100 China doesn't want that we don't want that but the real benefit to China over this is it would

00:42:04.880 have made it way harder for US to maintain the moral high ground in a defense of Taiwan if China 0.55

00:42:11.680 tried to attack Taiwan, right? Because it could be like, oh, look at this instance where they 1.00

00:42:15.800 attacked this innocent foreign power and we came in to protect them, right? It would have really 1.00

00:42:20.800 bolstered them in that position, given them a lot more information, and it would have made the

00:42:26.060 United States hugely reticent to get involved in another conflict. But the speed at which the US

00:42:31.820 achieved air superiority was in Iran, unfortunately, I think, and China can see this too, 0.66

00:42:37.300 emboldens the U.S. in any sort of future potential conflict here thinking what could happen with

00:42:42.160 Taiwan. And I want to keep in mind what analysts were saying and how they got everything so wrong,

00:42:48.720 because this is also important. You hear just some of the words from analysts, like Peter

00:42:53.740 Zaihan saying, you know, Caracas is a fortress, without the surrounding context. And the surrounding

00:42:59.160 context shows you geopolitically why they misunderstood things so hugely. So in Zyhan

00:43:05.620 talking about this, right, he goes, there's a very strong coastal uplift with mountains basically

00:43:11.240 paralleling the coast. So to get to Caracas, you actually have to go into the mountains and then

00:43:16.160 punch through a couple of tunnels, one of which is about a mile and a third long. The other one's

00:43:21.280 a little less than a third of a mile, half a mile somewhere in between. The hard part is keeping the

00:43:26.800 city and the country alive. You're talking about ours and any number of ways that things can go

00:43:32.180 wrong. So first here, note that he's thinking a traditional invasion force, right? Which wasn't

00:43:37.940 what we did at all, right? And so because he's thinking a traditional invasion, like what Putin

00:43:42.760 attempted and got punched in the face, he's making huge miscalculations about their actual

00:43:49.120 defensibility. Then he goes on, the hard part is keeping the city and the country alive. You're

00:43:54.200 talking about hours in any number of ways the thing could go wrong it turns out all you need

00:43:58.040 to do and trump has said this was in the press said who do you want running iran and trump said

00:44:04.480 a regime insider you know he he said that yeah the son of the shah would be nice but what we

00:44:11.080 really want is a regime insider he said that's what we did in venezuela that's what we want in

00:44:14.380 iran right that's how you maintain stability which wasn't something that people had really

00:44:19.300 done before in terms of geopolitics, which was this really ingenious play that Trump

00:44:24.940 essentially invented. Then you've got, in terms of Iran, Tija Sorek, who called Iran an impregnable

00:44:34.280 fortress. He said, due to its geographical position, Iran is practically an impregnable 0.99

00:44:39.080 fortress. The Zargos Mountain Mastiff, which defies the Iran-Turkey and much of the Iran-Iraq

00:44:45.720 border would make an invasion completely impractical. Then I point to the invincibility

00:44:50.460 of the Iranian nation, which, oh, this is the, what the previous Ayatollah said. We'll get to

00:44:55.260 this in a second, actually, because it's a good point. But what we're seeing here

00:44:59.060 is they keep imagining an on the ground tank to hold the country invasion, not a,

00:45:07.440 I can act within your country was impunity. And the way the Iran war was carried out is very 0.89

00:45:13.000 different from the venezuela war right and it says something very different the fact that we had

00:45:17.960 recently just bombed iran a bunch ended that bombing on our terms come back and bomb them a

00:45:25.600 bunch and might be able to the point where we have aerial dominance within their own country 0.90

00:45:30.720 we were then we might be able to say after this okay we let the war come over you have a new

00:45:37.020 ayatollah six months later we come in when we know that he's going to be in a boardroom and

00:45:41.560 we bomb that room right that that's sort of the situation until you guys do what we want because

00:45:47.000 we can act with impunity within your borders from an aerial position that is why the trump

00:45:57.420 administration is being so cagey about timing and while they're why they're also being so cagey about

00:46:03.900 defining success yeah they mean unconditional surrender i mean it's really more just i mean

00:46:11.680 they've been clear we will we will keep taking out leaders until we like the leader you've chosen

00:46:18.240 that's basically just yeah sure we'll calm down for a little bit and then we'll be back

00:46:24.460 as long as it takes one thing that has been good about this word i think it shows

00:46:28.360 or shown me really easily who is actually not pro the united states interests and all the right is

00:46:34.620 just a bought and paid for shill i don't know if you've seen tucker carlson he's been accused of 1.00

00:46:39.140 being propagandists of course we have but these are people who are stupid and listen to the 1.00

00:46:44.080 propagandists they they literally like to give you an example of how crazy the propagandists are 0.99

00:46:50.240 tucker carlson did you see his interview on this i did not know he said that trump is asking

00:46:58.120 for a unconditional surrender from iran and he goes and do you know what unconditional surrender 0.98

00:47:04.120 means unconditional surrender means foreign troops get to rape your wife and daughter 0.92

00:47:08.340 and that has been if there's one consistent lesson of history it means unconditional surrender means 0.99

00:47:14.160 foreign troops get to rape your wife and daughter i don't think americans would voluntarily participate 0.93

00:47:19.800 in it i just don't think we can do that and let's stop let's not lie to ourselves we're moving 0.99

00:47:24.580 toward that that yeah soundbite and he's like he made it seem like that's some kind of definition

00:47:31.400 he's you know and then he's then he goes on to say that i don't think that a lot of americans

00:47:36.100 like want to get like that trump he literally words it like trump's gonna put out a call to

00:47:41.740 american citizens because he's like i don't think a lot of american citizens would be interested in 0.99

00:47:45.040 that he's gonna put out a call to like american servicemen being like who wants to get on the

00:47:49.780 rape train yeah please please fill out this this google form to get on the list no but but i think

00:47:57.120 that that you would say something that anyone with basic common sense knows is not true and is not 0.99

00:48:05.500 true in an almost comical sense like you have to like assume your audience is really stupid 0.99

00:48:10.360 and keep in mind that tucker carlson was also the one who was saying that venezuela was great 0.99

00:48:15.880 because they kill gay people right like and that we should be better allies with them and that the 0.99

00:48:20.500 maduro's regime is awesome you heard about this right oh no i didn't i thought you were referring 0.98

00:48:26.000 by mistake to his whole russia thing no no no no this was he had a thing with maduro he had an

00:48:30.560 interview and he talked about how great they are in the united states we don't realize how socially

00:48:34.640 conservative venezuela is and thus why they're such a good ally or could be such a good ally

00:48:39.100 which they are now trump handled that that was fantastic but i just i just don't know how you

00:48:45.860 can hear somebody say something like that and still be like this person is being honest with

00:48:52.440 me right and for the people who are like oh well there's like israel shills out there or something

00:48:57.500 the israel shills aren't saying stuff like if that's the only reason somebody would be pro

00:49:04.640 the bombing of iran not a extracted war but the type of conflict that we're in right now is iran

00:49:11.240 the the people who are pro that i haven't heard them say stuff as crazy as this means that we 0.97

00:49:18.880 need to go in and rape all of their women and children right like to me it means at least they 1.00

00:49:24.760 assume that their audiences aren't as stupid which is just wild to me that he went there that was one 1.00

00:49:30.720 of the craziest things i've heard with this if you want to hear what the itola said about his 0.99

00:49:35.000 country's defensibility he goes i point to the invincibility of the iranian nation which is of 0.94

00:49:40.020 course due to islam this invincibility can be observed in the nation's victory against saddam's 1.00

00:49:45.780 invasion and resistance against hostile conspiracies over 40 years so it's important

00:49:51.480 to remember that this can be seen as it's disconfirming of the faith of the founders

00:49:58.000 of the country if we can and if israel can continue to act with impunity within iran's borders

00:50:02.460 and i love when people are like well now iran's gonna do terrorism in the united states iran

00:50:12.040 has been funding potential terror attacks within the united states for decades at this point like

00:50:17.760 literally they probably spend over a hundred million dollars a year and i think that's

00:50:22.300 probably a low number on funding terrorist groups with the goal of attacking the united states

00:50:28.280 okay so i way low balled it so i decided to ask an ai i said how much money on average does iran

00:50:37.120 spend funding terrorist groups that have america as one of their targets and it said expert

00:50:44.400 estimates on the low end would put it at a billion dollars and on the high end would put it at two to

00:50:50.980 three billion dollars a year if you're like oh now iran will start funding terrorist cells that

00:50:58.080 want to attack the u.s they were spending at least a billion dollars on this a year up until now

00:51:04.640 people who act like this is just the concern of israel are frankly cucked in the extreme

00:51:10.960 they have two one of them in custody right now confirmed attempted assassination attempts against

00:51:18.020 trump alone right like oh you're right yeah the this idea of now iran is going to be you could

00:51:27.660 not have been more motivated than what they were already doing in anti-american attacks

00:51:32.640 yeah and that's where i really get it when these americans are like you'd only attack

00:51:40.320 iran for israel they tried to assassinate trump twice this is it's yeah it's a pretty hostile

00:51:47.680 enemy there's there's also a lot of people holding the united states responsible for

00:51:56.460 deaths in this conflict you know children in bubbles of buildings this the girl school that

00:52:03.660 was bombed way less people have died since we started this then died then civilians were killed

00:52:10.020 like iranian protesters civilians were killed no they haven't sent me any messages buddy

00:52:16.580 yeah no i mean i've heard that i just don't think that they actually care they would have cared

00:52:20.520 about the iranian civilians that were being killed and most of the people who are making these

00:52:23.640 complaints when Iran was killing civilians were saying stuff like, you know, this is like Nick

00:52:29.060 Fuentes. He was cheerleading the regime while they were spluttering civilians, right?

00:52:32.560 Really? I have no idea. I haven't been following what he's been saying, honestly. I, yeah, I'm just

00:52:38.120 so confused because I'm hearing such a consistent story on one side, honestly, both from the left

00:52:46.760 and right which is so strange that both the left and right are saying the same things about our

00:52:53.580 conflict in iran which is we never wanted to be involved we're killing people and this is who on

00:53:00.380 the right not a single right youtuber i watch has been anything other than totally enthusiastic

00:53:06.600 yeah like asthma gold's enthusiastic that's the one person i'm seeing who's asthma gold leaflet

00:53:12.760 nugs and or the guy being a little troll guy the troll avatar what are the romanian tv oh it's

00:53:19.620 sitting on top of daddy's cabinet okay sorry i'm i'm literally only seeing people pro this and i'm

00:53:27.720 talking about every single youtuber i watch on dasha on the red scare podcast who are like sort

00:53:32.560 of big right-leaning now influencers are both are they right-leaning what are their right-leaning

00:53:37.960 positions i think they're right-leaning yeah i mean they voted one of them voted for trump i

00:53:42.540 think the other one maybe just didn't vote but yeah they have on all like the major right-leaning

00:53:47.660 guests they they don't have any kids by the way one kid one and this is something i've

00:53:55.780 persistently seen about the faction on the right that takes these positions right is they are not

00:54:02.500 the fecund position on the right and they're not going to be relevant in long-term right-leaning

00:54:07.460 culture in the united states yeah so i mean i guess you know if they vote for our guys it's

00:54:14.260 okay to partner with them for now i'm just not seeing it among any of the youtubers i follow

00:54:17.920 and the youtube the people who have heard are the ones who have you know everyone's like oh

00:54:22.340 they're astroturf okay okay it's on the other side yeah so it's interesting that you're seeing

00:54:29.160 this that our social media circles are so different but my social media circle is very

00:54:32.900 new right and like the new right is the faction that's pro this stuff so yeah i mean it it it

00:54:42.240 seems to me that from a perspective of we want humanitarian crises to end this regime is running

00:54:49.460 itself to the ground this regime is has made it very clear that it is an existential threat

00:54:55.680 to the united states that it basically wants the united states to not exist and it wants israel to

00:55:01.200 not exist and israel was like hey we're going in are you are you with us or not and maybe the

00:55:06.460 united states was too also the united states alleged at some point in this process that

00:55:10.980 there was an imminent threat to the united states and all this which we don't know about and maybe

00:55:16.840 we can't two assassination attempts on a president is a pretty imminent threat yeah but there were

00:55:21.620 like three or five days like something in the future it was going to happen that would have

00:55:28.460 happened had they not done this that was so the administration's decision on this as simone

00:55:35.940 pointed out wasn't to go to war or not go to war it was israel's doing this are you going to come 0.72

00:55:40.440 in or not yeah the trump later said that we pressured israel into it though that sounds

00:55:45.600 like something he would say because he doesn't want to ever follow someone else's i don't believe

00:55:50.780 that need yeah i believe israel this is just too risky to do under after something so as big a win

00:55:56.280 is the maduro thing yeah yeah yeah i mean especially how given how unpopular it is right

00:56:04.360 now among many americans just whinging about it well i mean the question is and the the the long

00:56:13.020 term is the people who are complaining about this are like this is going to be another iraq

00:56:15.740 do they reflect when we pull out and it's not another iraq do they say oh i was completely

00:56:21.020 wrong or do they just listen to the next thing your propagandist of the week says oh the narrative

00:56:26.920 what i get presumably when we pull out because i just don't really see there being a very clear 0.54

00:56:32.080 conclusion to all this is going to be well you know all we did was go in and kill a bunch of

00:56:37.820 people and not achieve anything because basically a copy of the previous guy is now in power

00:56:42.420 and we lost millions of dollars and a lot of our weapons stockpile and what do we have to show for 0.98

00:56:48.260 it absolutely nothing that's what the narrative is going to be like this the stupidest narrative 0.92

00:56:54.080 i've ever heard like clearly we already have a huge benefit because of iran's lower geopolitical 0.97

00:56:59.200 position within the region after randomly lashing out at all of the neighboring countries right like

00:57:05.100 that's already been an enormous geopolitical win for us within the region in addition iran is

00:57:12.940 significantly less capable militarily and economically after this in in even even in

00:57:20.040 scenario by the way is there reasoning as to why they were lashing out at all these

00:57:28.060 not necessarily hostile to them nations the core reason and their core military philosophy is that

00:57:33.840 they're going to keep bombing all of the major infrastructure so this is desalination plants

00:57:39.320 that are important for living in the region and oil processing facilities and gas processing

00:57:44.040 facilities in the region to do enough economic damage to then blame that economic damage on the

00:57:50.560 united states to make the united states look bad for this war they're essentially trying to hold

00:57:55.120 the entire region hostage right but the problem is that the u.s doesn't rely on this region

00:58:00.520 economically china does back to the core topic of the video so it it's working it's working it does

00:58:10.420 it's having some economic impact and it is making people be like yeah we don't want to be in here

00:58:16.600 especially long especially given that this is happening with iran right that they're doing this

00:58:21.020 yeah and so it's it's a working strategy for giving them leverage within the conflict but it

00:58:27.400 has a exactly opposite impact on their geopolitical influence yeah they're digging a deep grave but

00:58:35.980 they're also i mean existentially threatened so what do you expect yeah okay interesting but in

00:58:45.040 general the the bigger picture of china you're saying is china has now discovered basically that

00:58:50.140 its military attack is not as efficacious as they thought it was and they may be changing their

00:58:55.440 stance on taiwan which may have been under imminent threat so perhaps a buy one get one free

00:59:04.040 of the united states invading not invading well we'll say attacking iran is that perhaps taiwan

00:59:12.800 has been given some more time or they're prepping to begin attacking taiwan right now and they

00:59:18.900 haven't taken any lessons from this that's obviously the other or in this well yeah because

00:59:25.140 that's the other narrative that's being spread in mainstream media is that now we have less

00:59:32.140 capability to be involved in some kind of conflict with china over taiwan if we want to go out and

00:59:42.460 try to participate there as well so yeah i don't we don't want to end up with russia with a bunch 1.00

00:59:50.120 of rotten bombs you know we make a lot of bombs use them okay keep it fresh i gotta do that whole

00:59:58.420 mormon thing where you know you take your old emergency food that's about to expire

01:00:02.940 and you do potluck and you have a fresh supply yes gotta use up the old stuff and then bring

01:00:09.840 in the new stuff so you have good fresh emergency well it matters as we saw in the russia ukraine

01:00:15.840 war you're right actually you make a good point i mean in any infrastructure ages it really is

01:00:22.080 i wonder if we are going through the older stuff just like all the inventory managers of the u.s

01:00:29.160 military being like well this was going to expire anyway we'd better use it just like people making

01:00:36.340 casseroles love you simone have a spectacular day and it's interesting to see what china does next

01:00:42.700 i'm genuinely curious now thanks for giving me a bigger picture of this because what i'm seeing

01:00:48.460 and i think what many of our viewers are seeing is this very myopic oh isn't it so horrible that

01:00:53.200 we're involved in iran take and you are bringing focus back to a larger picture and geopolitical

01:01:01.480 story yeah the horror of other involvement in iran is china is being economically hurt which

01:01:08.200 of course hurts us because we live in a global economy but we are being hurt because china is 1.00

01:01:12.440 being hurt and to a lesser extent europe yeah that totally makes sense okay interesting thank

01:01:20.860 you and i love you love you too i think i'm gonna chase the other kids down and just

01:01:28.960 shear them in the backyard like sheep

01:01:31.880 because they are also in need of haircuts as are you desperate so get ready for that

01:01:43.140 know that you will not be spared the knife the razor whatever it is aren't you glad by the way

01:01:50.940 that electric razors exist can you imagine that people used to get shaved with like a straight

01:01:55.720 blade i wonder how many murders were conducted that way i don't use electric razors well i know

01:02:01.460 you don't i'm just thinking about shaving in general and and grooming history

01:02:06.880 well i mean when you think about it since barber shops were also medical establishments in europe

01:02:14.700 for the longest time they must have like really the way it was it was just seen like well if we

01:02:19.320 have a knife this close to your face we might as well get dental work done then too like yeah you're 1.00

01:02:24.760 already in danger don't worry about it and today's episode i guess you didn't get to comments i did

01:02:30.040 not i am working on better coding for the agents now because the agents are live with our fab.ai

01:02:36.360 and so hopefully they can be you know good for making what i really want to do is test some was

01:02:43.340 making games because i have some specific game concepts i really want to get out there oh that's

01:02:47.040 awesome i didn't even think about that coding is because the agent system can like do npm start

01:02:53.040 and see the game it's working on and everything like that and capture the back end and the front

01:02:57.400 it can do more of the iterative process no this is when it's all working right now they're still

01:03:02.720 in an early stage but the rest of the side is fully working now so that's neat if you're

01:03:07.540 interested in like ai chatbots what happened there's kids in my bed

01:03:12.340 why are there kids in daddy's bed 0.94

01:03:27.260 Why were you hiding?

01:03:29.440 I don't want to whisper something to the people.

01:03:36.440 Can I whisper something to the people?

01:03:40.260 Everybody be quiet.

01:03:42.260 I need to whisper something.

01:03:46.260 What do you want?

01:03:47.260 I want to whisper something to the people.

01:03:50.260 I want to whisper something to them.

01:03:52.260 Whisper.

01:03:53.260 Okay.

01:03:54.260 what I couldn't hear you what did you you have a plan I don't stop it everybody out of my room

01:04:15.820 I said I was whispering it.

01:04:18.880 Out! Out! Out! 0.99

01:04:21.700 Everybody out, you goofuses! 0.98

01:04:24.380 I'll get them out. You can go back down, baby. I'll get them out. 0.98

01:04:27.580 No, no, no. Be nice. Be nice.

01:04:30.020 Go out.

01:04:33.020 Go out, Tori, B.

01:04:34.740 Go out. If you do 20 lessons, you can stay in Daddy's room.

01:04:37.760 Otherwise, back downstairs.

01:04:39.820 Oh, and I...

01:04:41.280 B, B, B, you're driving. You're driving, sir, B.

01:04:45.880 Get downstairs

01:04:50.140 Okay, I saw no Jorson get downstairs now

Based Camp - March 12, 2026

China Doesn't Know What to Do (No One Thought This Could Happen)

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