Based Camp - Cuba： Biggest Crisis Since The Revolution (Fixing Substack's Podcast Listing Error Bug Regular Users Ignore Duplicate)

00:00:00.000 hello simone i'm excited to be here with you today today we are going to be talking about something

00:00:03.920 that is wildly under discussed in the news right now which is that cuba is about to collapse and

00:00:12.400 when i say about to collapse you may think that i am exaggerating they have literally at this point

00:00:19.840 14 to 19 days of oil left they have had no tanker arrivals since january 9th the the tankers that

00:00:29.760 were being sent from venezuela have been cut off and their last lifeline which was mexico has also

00:00:37.120 been cut off why that trump negotiations so it's about it's about to be renegotiated and trump put

00:00:45.840 a lot of pressure on mexico to cut off also it's costing mexico a lot they spent three billion

00:00:51.120 basically in free oil for venezuela over the past just few years i think since i started this

00:00:57.040 person's administration well cuba was giving them their slave doctors for people who don't know

00:01:01.760 oh yeah basically enslaves their their doctors and was giving them to mexico as like an exchange

00:01:08.080 but they did the venezuela was an also interesting situation because we're seeing more and more

00:01:12.880 venezuela had given cuba in terms of like loans that cuba would never pay back very obviously and stuff

00:01:17.760 like that 18 billion dollars and if we look at the elite guard that was killed during the raid

00:01:23.520 we know that 32 of them so almost all of the people who died were actually cubans so it appears

00:01:29.680 that cuba basically controlled like the the the accusations that cuba had basically subjugated

00:01:36.560 venezuela and was just extracting resources from it were accurate they basically controlled the entire

00:01:42.080 elite guard of the country and most of the major military positions and this is being systemically

00:01:47.760 reversed right now and i note here that another thing you're not seeing if you're watching mainstream news

00:01:52.560 right now is that venezuela has actually made pretty big changes not only have they stopped sending

00:02:00.080 money and oil to cuba but they have started releasing hundreds i think now we're at 300 but

00:02:06.160 it shows no signs of slowing down political prisoners so we are actually seeing change in venezuela it's

00:02:12.240 just all right trump can't dunk on it too much or it would look bad for the woman who's in power now 1.00

00:02:20.800 right you know we have to be very nice about all of our political wins that we're making in venezuela

00:02:25.920 and very graceful about it because yeah you don't want too many people asking did she cooperate with

00:02:32.160 you guys to get rid of maduro yeah you don't want to look a little matchy matchy that would not be good

00:02:37.680 yeah you know you don't want to look too matchy matchy so she constantly complains but in terms of

00:02:41.520 what we actually want to see happen in venezuela that's what we're seeing right now wow and i'd note

00:02:46.480 here that how bad things have gotten in cuba is is not a like this is happening completely out of

00:02:53.680 nowhere scenario so i have to ask do they not have oil reserves we have oil reserves by the way if

00:02:59.840 you're wondering if cuba has oil deposits somewhere they do but in 2012 three deep water more than 300

00:03:08.800 meters of water exploration wells were drilled by italian platform scavro nine and none of the three

00:03:16.160 found commercial quality of oil or gas which jeopardized cuba's hopes to find hydrocarbons to boost

00:03:22.160 its economy so basically they they technically have some around the island but none of the commercial

00:03:29.360 explorations have ever found a way to reach them in a cash positive manner cuba is a little island

00:03:35.280 simone no cuba doesn't one can have some kind of i don't know tank this is my out of time i have to

00:03:40.560 ask the out-of-touch questions that everyone else is asking because i'm not the only out-of-touch

00:03:44.480 person here no they're completely out so their economy last year 20 was the tourism industry and

00:03:51.200 this is despite the fact that tourism has been crashing for them so things have been getting much

00:03:55.680 so the world's top destination for male sex workers is going out of faith oh this is because

00:04:00.480 the younger people aren't having sex anymore that's what kind of woman wants to go to cuba anymore 1.00

00:04:05.120 been a combinations of factors that hit their tourism industry one was trump reinstated

00:04:09.680 sanctions that obama had lifted two we actually know this when when we ran our travel agency we

00:04:15.840 used to have a decent amount of traffic to cuba and then after a while flights got kind of weird

00:04:22.160 and it was harder to get people there the visa situation got very complicated and then we started

00:04:28.880 having banking problems like oh do you do any business with cuba and then like we got shut out

00:04:35.360 of various things like we as a travel agency were strongly disincentivized from even facilitating travel

00:04:42.240 to cuba even if we're talking like a student trip at one point we helped to facilitate a student trip

00:04:47.440 like a tour to cuba for you know cultural reasons and stuff so i can totally see why tourism is down

00:04:53.680 not just because of sanctions and stuff but because the very operators and companies facilitating that

00:05:00.080 travel were really there were a lot of friction was added to the process just that there was

00:05:06.720 basically to give a bit of history of what happened is obama opened everything and much like when

00:05:12.080 apartheid ended in south africa a bunch of people went in thinking oh my god look at this opportunity

00:05:16.720 look at these green fields oh but you go and the only thing that's cool is the male sex workers

00:05:20.720 and everything else is crappy we'll get to that but so a lot of travel started happening to cuba

00:05:26.960 and a lot of people said oh well invest in it so it was all subsidized and sort of over the top of

00:05:30.960 what the economy could actually handle even before the new sanctions came in many of the travel

00:05:35.520 providers that we were operating with that had been set up during that boom period were already about

00:05:40.240 to go bankrupt or had already gone bankrupt before trump sanctions it's just not that many people

00:05:46.080 actually wanted to go to cuba is is what we really learned and really the only reason people reliably

00:05:51.600 went to cuba which as simone said was male sex workers that was the core thing so it was mostly

00:05:58.480 older like middle-aged women and gay men that's that's who was going for male cuban sex workers 1.00

00:06:04.320 this is now in my head right and but to give you an idea of how bad things have been in cuba

00:06:10.560 since 2021 did you know that around 10 this is only since 2021 we're talking five years

00:06:18.000 ten percent of the cuban population has immigrated out of the country okay so they haven't made it

00:06:23.360 impossible to escape i thought it was mostly get on a raft and hope for the best kind of situation so

00:06:28.320 it's not well having ten percent of your population leave and keep in mind the population that leaves

00:06:32.640 has almost been entirely under 40 so it is their working population cuba has a worse tfr than in 0.97

00:06:37.440 the united states around 1.5 to 1.3 from what i've seen in various studies they are extremely effed

00:06:44.640 on that point but you were saying like do they have reserves of oil the reason i was emphasizing

00:06:48.320 the importance of their tourism industry is that even with the returns industry being like

00:06:53.280 their lifeline right now um the hotels regularly go with blackouts yeah no power they go

00:07:00.560 we had issues with that yeah he's out running water uh they go is out so so even like their key

00:07:06.480 industry and you've got to understand if you're like what does it mean to run out of oil in a

00:07:10.720 matter of days at this point what this means is you have no factories operate almost all of cuba's

00:07:18.720 energy is made with gas so you have no light no electricity your farming equipment doesn't work

00:07:27.120 so wait their electrical grid you think is based on it is based like 70 percent

00:07:32.480 oil gas yeah okay and the reason they built it that way is because they were getting free gas from

00:07:37.360 venezuela that helps so they have no electricity no farming equipment no way to get from one place

00:07:45.600 to another like god and those old cars aren't exactly fuel efficient oh yeah the scale of the badness is

00:07:54.480 very very very bad this is not good okay and so we don't know and then again let's say that this

00:08:01.600 happens and then a bunch of people in in pretty dire straits actually hop on more rafts and float over

00:08:07.600 to miami and then ice just takes them and i don't know flies them to somalia this is not going to be

00:08:13.680 good yeah yeah it is it is not well it could be good depending on the outcome so i really think we

00:08:22.080 have never seen a president so well positioned to end this okay and we see that from the way that he's

00:08:29.600 done both is he going to puerto rico greenland which has been really really impressive as well as

00:08:36.160 what he did was venezuela and the subsequent deal afterwards so we'll i'll get to this so what is

00:08:42.720 he gonna be throwing toilet paper rolls at them next did he throw toilet paper rolls at somebody

00:08:48.160 in puerto rico don't you remember when he's like puerto rico and then he kept saying it and then

00:08:52.320 it's like i mean i don't know the way he pronounces countries just kind of gets me

00:08:55.440 china and puerto rico he gets a little flamboyant with that one but yeah during one of the hurricane

00:09:01.200 recovery processes he he went to puerto rico and he he threw i think i believe paper towels at the

00:09:07.760 audience and people were like rolls of them don't worry i mean i would be thrilled to have someone

00:09:13.040 throw a roll of paper towels at me either we need them but yeah like people that got caught up in the

00:09:18.080 media because people were very angry about him you know not not actually helping people and you know

00:09:27.200 trump was like i don't know they seem pretty happy about getting paper towels so that is hilarious

00:09:32.560 and very trump but you're saying yeah we this could be like another another puerto rico for the united

00:09:38.160 states like we treat it the same way no unlikely but what we could do and i think that this is why it

00:09:42.720 will go so well is we have seen through trump's engagement with venezuela typically what you have

00:09:49.920 when you had you know leftists or the old sort of neocons in a in a argue you know trying to

00:09:56.240 build american power in a region they go to a country like venezuela that had been heavily you

00:10:00.640 know blockaded by america and everything like that yeah and they would say hey guys we need you

00:10:05.600 to start holding democratic elections and release your political prisoners and we're going to start

00:10:10.880 holding like world trials for everyone who broke you know major whatever's right or we would try to do

00:10:16.720 a coup in the country right like we would fund a bunch of militants with the cia or something like this

00:10:22.400 those two strategies it turned out were really bad trump tried something totally new which is not

00:10:28.320 like anyone has ever thought to do in a country like venezuela or for that matter which is trump

00:10:35.840 basically just went in and was like okay who's willing to negotiate what do you what do we really

00:10:41.920 want we really want your oil so you know what do you care about right like it's out of the deal

00:10:47.120 why don't you why don't you release some token number of prisoners you know and they're like do

00:10:51.440 we need to hold fair elections whatever you know like you do you stop sending money to oil to cuba

00:10:57.680 and they're like you know what we've been really pissed about this cuba arrangement for a while as

00:11:01.360 well yeah we'll work on that so so with cuba the interesting thing is and this is something i really

00:11:07.040 want to take some time to talk about here what what he might be offering cuba could be significantly

00:11:13.840 different than what other presidential administrations have attempted to offer cuba

00:11:18.480 right interesting he could be going in there being like oh yeah keep your regime whatever right like

00:11:23.520 we'll just change a few things here and there and it's important to understand that cuba is

00:11:28.080 significantly more centralized than venezuela i mean that's how cuba essentially took over venezuela to

00:11:34.000 begin with they are essentially coup proof at this point given how centralized the power structure is

00:11:41.280 and considering that in venezuela they had memories of democracy in venezuela right like they knew

00:11:46.160 how much communists had screwed them over in cuba there isn't this same memory of this either right

00:11:54.400 and i think another thing that we need to touch on here before i go further also cuba is not as

00:11:59.760 corrupt like it is corrupt but it's not nearly as corrupt they care much more about the longevity of

00:12:03.760 the regime than personal enrichment even people in positions of power finally they have a real military which

00:12:10.720 which venezuela didn't really have or is it just like russians hanging out no cuba has like cuban

00:12:18.560 military i mean mexico venezuela's military was a cuban yeah i guess yeah i i didn't know so they

00:12:24.400 have like a a sizable army what's their specialty navy air force what's the situation if you want the

00:12:30.960 full answer here cuba's strongest branch is its army where it has around 113 main battle tanks t-55 to 62

00:12:39.600 models and relies on a dense network of anti-air systems radar satellites and surface to air

00:12:44.800 missiles cuba's navy is relatively weak they only have around 19 vessels including patrol craft mine

00:12:52.320 creepers and a few intelligence shifts um and then for their air force it was at its peak in the 1990s

00:12:58.720 when they boasted 230 fixed-wing aircraft today it operates around 31 to 34 active aircraft mostly aging

00:13:06.000 mig 21 or 23 fighters yeah but i mean i don't know it's the point being is it's not like a fragmented

00:13:12.800 force like venezuela's was another like venezuela as i said their military was basically controlled by

00:13:19.120 cubans cubans military is basically controlled by the guys who own about 30 to 40 percent of the cuban

00:13:24.800 economy so the people who least want regime change also control the military which is i mean if you're

00:13:33.360 trying to structure an economy not to undergo a coup or anything that makes a lot of sense

00:13:38.080 but it also potentially gives trump alternate people to negotiate with within the country

00:13:44.080 depending on what they want another thing i was going to note before well actually one really

00:13:47.440 interesting thing about this that we'll get to in a second but i want to just note here

00:13:51.040 is cuba has been a really important part of fueling leftist ideological causes within the united states

00:14:00.080 for about the last 50 years not through funding but through training what so they're not they're

00:14:07.840 not like russian trollbot farms they're not like ccp no no no so it's really fascinating so it's

00:14:14.880 through two sectors one is is sort of covert training programs that they've been operating for

00:14:20.320 a long time and if and you see this in antifa circles one of the things that's known when people

00:14:25.520 come out of antifa circles and the guy who we had who was working in antifa who came on our show

00:14:29.680 talked about this is that there is something of a status symbol within antifa communities of being

00:14:35.040 cuban trained like that means you are elite well you are legit and no one will question you so the navy

00:14:42.960 seals of antifa are cuban trained well cuban trained in their ideology yeah um and it's not just

00:14:50.720 them it's also the political group the socialist political organization we have in the united states

00:14:55.520 that like mondami was affiliated with uh they have been democratic socialists of america yeah yeah they

00:15:01.200 were heavily influenced or even potentially set out by the cubans um and cuba also offers for like

00:15:08.080 college students and we see a lot of like leftist ideologues even mainstream within democratic politics

00:15:13.360 who do this program where you go to cuba for i don't know how long like a few months

00:15:17.040 when you get political training and learn how birthright for commies yes wow okay taking down

00:15:24.400 cuba is i think a lot of people do not realize how critical and intelligent trump's handling of the

00:15:31.040 venezuela situation was because basically it's knocking down like a their one is not down the

00:15:37.360 perception that russia or china could protect you um and with cuba we have been knocking out all of their 0.87

00:15:43.680 potential allies one by one and i think a lot of the rest of the world didn't see that this was

00:15:48.800 happening you know iran is off the table as someone who can help them now russia is off the table as 0.94

00:15:54.160 someone who can help them venezuela is off the table as someone who can help them and north korea

00:15:58.800 is off the table as someone who can help them they have no one they can go to and i guess they could

00:16:04.800 try to go to china but i haven't seen any signs that that's going to happen for them i mean china

00:16:09.920 is in a difficult position as it is right now so cuba just doesn't really have any friends left

00:16:17.360 and they are incredibly isolated the other thing i wanted to note that i think is really clever

00:16:22.080 about trump in terms of how he's built his administration which is just so it's actually

00:16:27.040 really sweet and heartening to see is marco rubio is the one who's handling cuba right now he's handling

00:16:31.920 all of the cuba situation all the venezuela situation and what i've repeatedly see with trump in

00:16:37.360 terms of how he handles enemies or competitors for presidential positions is he promises them and

00:16:45.360 gets them a position that they would prefer to being president the the you know what did kennedy

00:16:53.600 want more than anything it was it was to run the the food it was to run the the medical associations of

00:17:00.240 the united states it was to fix all of our food and drug stuff and all of the medical stuff and that is

00:17:05.360 the position that trump put him in everybody you you could have told me if you looked at kennedy's

00:17:10.880 campaign ads does is this man running to be head of medical establishments in the united states or is

00:17:16.560 he running to be head of the the country no he wants to fix all the medical stuff you look at you know what

00:17:23.920 what rubio really wanted more than anything and and anyone could tell you if you asked rubio would you

00:17:28.080 rather free cuba or be president he'd say i'd rather free cuba hands down that's it's like life's work right

00:17:34.400 it's the number one biggest gift anyone could ever give him is to be in this position and so he's

00:17:39.760 treating it really really seriously right like i think way was was much more honesty than you could

00:17:46.080 normally appreciate from a lackey who's out there doing something right now people should know i

00:17:52.240 personally don't really like marco rubio i think he's boring and like old school politics which is also

00:17:57.120 good that you know trump didn't put him in a position to be the next presidential candidate i think

00:18:01.120 he's really done as a rising star in republican politics and he put vance in that position who's

00:18:05.840 a great as well like vance wanted to be vp more than anything vance is the one who actually wants

00:18:10.320 to be president one day and has been pulling the strings on that for a long time he's had some really

00:18:15.120 great speeches recently mind you around well we'll get on that in another video this this is around the

00:18:21.120 the have you have you been following the stuff on like voter id uh i just broadly that the that they

00:18:30.000 want the trump administration is fighting for i think universal voter id right which they should

00:18:36.800 for context in the united states in many places you do not have to have a state issued photo id in order

00:18:44.000 to vote you can just say my name is malcolm collins and i'm here to vote and this is my address and

00:18:51.440 these places if you i i can put a map i'll put two maps on the screen here one is of whether places

00:18:56.480 go democrat or republican in state elections yeah and whether or not they require a voter id and what

00:19:01.040 you see is almost every state that requires a voter id goes republican in almost every state that doesn't

00:19:05.920 go to democrat i'm a little worried for this video because when i was searching this this is way more

00:19:10.080 banned of a topic than i thought you can watch one of our videos this weekend for paid subscribers

00:19:15.760 where we're gonna go over the topics we can't talk about on youtube but this is really adjacent to one

00:19:19.680 of them but all the you know debunking things on this they say well it is true that camilla won

00:19:27.840 most of the states that didn't require voter id she won some that did require it that were extremely 0.99

00:19:35.920 blue states which proves that this isn't true this is such a weird i mean obviously there's still

00:19:41.680 going to be some states that she won nobody's saying that she literally only won everything 0.94

00:19:46.880 what yeah when we went to this one conference they were handing out hats and said when i die don't let

00:19:52.000 me vote democrat and well it's a real phenomenon that's been reported on even you know when when

00:19:58.240 elon was doing the sort of breakdown of the roles for medicaid and stuff like that and he found

00:20:02.320 all the dead people who are on the roles he then checked to see how many voted and a lot of them

00:20:06.400 had voted you know this is a this is a real thing that's really happening i mean and i didn't realize

00:20:11.280 that because when we got the hats i was like i don't get it well kennedy famously joked like literally

00:20:17.200 kennedy joked when somebody was congratulating him on a presidential win something about like oh well

00:20:22.560 you should think that whatever cemetery this joke was explicitly made by kennedy but in a coded

00:20:27.440 language on a call he had was daily about how he won illinois's in ohio i'm like this has been a

00:20:34.160 pretty open thing for a while and so i'm really glad that something hopefully is being done i've heard 0.91

00:20:40.560 that like the republicans in the senate are like being super pussies about this right now and it's 0.98

00:20:44.240 really freaking me out that they could be that pathetic on this because you know we need to stop the 0.99

00:20:49.520 cheat right like this cannot be allowed to continue especially at the scale that has been happening 0.96

00:20:55.520 it's just wild that you have to have a driver's license a form of government issued id in order

00:21:00.960 to drive a car like if you can't figure that out should you really be allowed to vote really right

00:21:08.240 there there was a funny video clip i saw of somebody going around and repeating what leftists so basically

00:21:16.240 they went to a college campus and said why why do you need a voter id right and they were like well

00:21:21.680 because then black people won't be able to vote and he's like why don't you think black people can get a

00:21:25.200 voter id why would they think we don't have id that's a lie why would you say that do you have 0.96

00:21:31.600 id yeah and so he took kind of insulting all of their quotes around that like black people don't know 0.84

00:21:36.560 how to use the internet or black people don't know where dmvs are what are you doing and then he took 0.91

00:21:42.560 these and he went to a black community and started asking black people if this is true and they were 0.97

00:21:48.320 like very confused would you like me to help you access the internet oh my god oh

00:22:03.840 this is black twitter wasn't a thing i i well i mean the the polls for this are overwhelming it's

00:22:10.800 something like even like 76 of black people want this to be a law everybody wants this to be a law 0.65

00:22:16.080 it's really just being used by people who want to cheat like that's that's sort of i mean we're in

00:22:20.240 a situation with the redistricting that's going to happen in 2030 the only way democrats can stay

00:22:24.960 relevant is if they cheat and and we're increasingly seeing that in the tactics that they're using so

00:22:31.360 what i wanted to yes go to here because i find this really interesting so the verner moose brigade this

00:22:38.160 is from 1969 to present in 2024 to 2025 cuba hosted multiple contingents including a queer trans brigade

00:22:46.800 americans got two to four weeks of political education marxist leninist indoctrinations meeting

00:22:52.160 with cuban intelligence officers icap plus minint labor plus solidarity work many alumni later became

00:23:01.440 organizers at the psl the answer coalition and students for democratic society as well as antifa

00:23:08.000 adjacent groups the people's front led by malano de los santos who lived in cuba for years and has

00:23:15.840 extremely close ties to the cuban government his group played a central role in the 2024 colombia

00:23:21.520 university occupation and many pro-palestine radical actions and then the party for socialism and

00:23:28.160 liberation psl the most pro-cuba communist party in the us many top comrades have gone through cuban

00:23:34.720 government training programs so yes cuba has been directly coordinating with these groups so now

00:23:42.080 it's time to think what what is trump going to do like what is the actual plan

00:23:49.120 and what could stop this plan from going through but before i get into that simone what are your thoughts

00:23:54.880 i am very curious to hear what you're going to propose in terms of here's what the leaders of

00:24:04.560 cuba would prefer to being the leaders of cuba not to say that they're having a ton of fun right now

00:24:11.200 anyway i just i just want to know so the important thing to note about the leaders of cuba right now

00:24:17.520 is they are all tremendously the heads of the military the heads of the state it is a country

00:24:24.560 being ruined by a boomer autocracy right like a age agent i'm sorry the whole world is being 1.00

00:24:31.840 ruined by boomer autocracies so well this is a little different they don't really have outside voices

00:24:39.040 because it's not exactly a place where young people can rise up in power very easily so there aren't like

00:24:47.200 in the white house it is very clear in terms of the way they're making decisions and even when we

00:24:51.520 go you know because we've been to the white house to advise the the people we're meeting with are our

00:24:56.320 age or younger often the trump administration is a very young administration maga as a movement is a

00:25:03.280 young movement right like the and the new right especially like screams youth as a movement when i when

00:25:11.040 i look at who the movement is it's a bunch of people who would have been like college effective

00:25:16.640 altruists a generation ago right like it's young autistic nerds right and this means that they are 1.00

00:25:23.440 on board with the latest technology the latest ideas the way the world actually works right now

00:25:29.200 the people who are running things in cuba are the people who lived through the cold war they understand

00:25:35.920 cold war style politics which is not what we're dealing with right now

00:25:41.280 and we also have the the the big problem with so the the current president of cuba miguel diaz canal

00:25:51.440 canal i don't know i'm not i'm not gonna put these foreign words in my mouth anyway

00:25:57.280 he is going to have a very hard time stepping back because the the military controls significant economic

00:26:05.760 sectors through conglomerates like ge g-a-e-s-a grupo de administración imperialosa which oversees

00:26:14.960 tourism remittances and other revenue streams under the current minister of defense alavo lopez

00:26:21.840 mayera and which is a very clever way to put it remember how i was talking about what all of their cash

00:26:26.960 cow industries were they put all of those directly under the military and a run by a very old guy

00:26:34.320 mind you um yeah is the military has a structural reason to resist change in a way that the military

00:26:42.880 in say something like china may not right like if all they have is the military right they they don't 0.86

00:26:49.040 personally lose money all your generals don't personally lose money if there is any sort of economic

00:26:54.160 or systems change yeah so the question becomes how do you make a deal for cuba that keeps the rich

00:27:00.720 people in cuba rich but also ends the current administration i'm actually open to your thoughts

00:27:06.800 on this one because i'm not entirely sure what the administration is planning or attempting they could

00:27:13.360 be trying to do a generational trade-off thing being like you guys get this until x date and then you

00:27:21.280 transfer it to the next generation or you guys like i'm i'm genuinely not sure what it's going to look

00:27:27.680 like what are your thoughts possibly i don't know how nepotistic the leading party is or how much they

00:27:37.040 care about setting up their personal family and descendants but i could possibly see incentivizing

00:27:45.920 them to create an oligarchy in a post-cuban government world or a different administration

00:27:51.440 to be like well by agreeing to step down after your term like you're the last one

00:27:58.800 we will help you set up a system in which your descendants disproportionately profit but also on

00:28:06.560 average every citizen will be materially better off because they're not in power anymore that's that's

00:28:13.920 that's gonna happen no matter what if you look right now well unless we do like a full regime

00:28:18.320 overhaul which i do not think trump has any stomach for if you look at the descendants of fidel castro

00:28:24.080 a lot of them are super rich people living in the us right now like there's a number of like young

00:28:28.400 like super i think there's like hundreds of millions of dollars like teenage instagram stars who

00:28:34.480 are like castro's descendants yeah adorable they they looted that country that you know not not an 0.91

00:28:40.480 an ethical government exactly i i love i had this girlfriend in college who was from germany and

00:28:46.720 she was like a communist who absolutely believed that life was better in cuba than the united states

00:28:52.640 and she's like oh their medical system i was like you're aware that their doctors are basically slaves

00:28:57.120 right for people who don't know how their doctor program works and this is responsible for i think

00:29:00.960 another 20 of the cuban economy they send them to other countries and they work for three to four years

00:29:08.160 and they only get to keep around 10 of the salary that they make and then they also don't get paid

00:29:15.200 until they come back and they have a constant military minder on them at all times so yes it's not

00:29:21.840 an awesome life to be a cuban doctor i only learned that weirdly when man it was a great dental practice

00:29:27.760 too a cuban dentist in miami told me everything did you go to that dentist did i set you up with him

00:29:33.040 he was right across from our office in the amadeus building i don't know but yeah he like he would

00:29:38.480 serve you espresso and then just like chat with you while cleaning his teeth it was a great dental office

00:29:43.040 and he was he was from cuba and he just walked me through the whole process like oh my god they like

00:29:49.280 everyone in his office was a recent cuban immigrant and he's just like man i'm glad to be out of there like 1.00

00:29:55.040 yeah it's bad no no the crazy thing though is he was a really good dentist like i feel like the

00:30:01.920 medical professionals from cuba and in general the people who managed to get out of cuba are

00:30:07.120 very competent very cool yeah no no there's a i mean obviously there's a huge cuban business

00:30:13.440 community in the united states um they're a big faction of the conservative party in the united states

00:30:18.320 they've been very loyal to the party and they are uh very well accepted i mean marco rubio right

00:30:24.960 like could have been president like by the conservative establishment uh and this means

00:30:30.320 that there is we were talking with our super fans one of them who was iranian was like well do you think

00:30:34.720 that if the current regime was toppled that the iranian expats could ever come back and really 0.72

00:30:40.640 re-establish something and i didn't really feel they could it's it's just too far they've done too much

00:30:46.640 damage already to the country infrastructure and they've built alternate communities in in other

00:30:52.320 places and he thought they would i mean maybe they care more i feel the same way about cubans in the

00:30:56.320 u.s it's an interesting thing because i think cubans in the u.s would send money to cuba to try to get

00:31:00.160 it reset up but i don't think that they would re-migrate i don't know man i get the impression from

00:31:04.880 the cuban immigrants i've met that they're like i'm out of there i'm not sending anything back like

00:31:09.760 i don't know them no and and then i say that knowing that a lot of other people from other

00:31:18.240 countries do send a lot of remittances back including venezuela where the government was

00:31:23.520 really screwed up and people had major problems with it they were still sending money back in fact

00:31:28.400 our business made a lot of money from people literally flying with suitcases full of cash because

00:31:33.280 we were selling the plane tickets it was insane yeah so so like i i know but like there's something

00:31:38.960 about when people leave cuba they're like screw that place i mean it's very different from like

00:31:44.160 fleeing venezuela when they flee venezuela there's always like a plan to go back eventually or a plan

00:31:49.680 to send money back oh yeah this is a temporary setback venezuela is amazing like we're just got to sit

00:31:55.840 this out that kind of thing yeah well it's more like they send money to their their relatives back

00:32:01.040 in venezuela i actually don't see that very much with the cubans i know they do no no it's like well

00:32:06.400 and i think it might come from a belief that it's just going to be taken i guess or i don't know i

00:32:15.120 don't know but it's it's a different culture it's a different culture right so the the point here being

00:32:19.600 is i don't know if if i think what we're going to get is cuba has no cards on the table right now

00:32:26.720 right like yeah i think within a matter of weeks you should expect to see something

00:32:32.000 pretty big happen i don't know what it's going to look like but yeah if they're that low on

00:32:39.440 on oil resource that like i mean something's got to give right yeah i suspect it's going to be

00:32:45.120 i was going to say what describe what it's going to look like it's going to look i think unusually

00:32:51.760 pragmatic it's going to be a win for the trump administration whatever it is and it's going to

00:32:58.880 long term set us up very well with cuba well one of the how is i guess okay so yeah towards

00:33:07.440 so you're saying they're both out of oil and money because tourism is way down and that was

00:33:10.640 they're out of oil well and i was going to say maybe trump would love to extort them for oil money

00:33:15.920 especially if it was just from the venezuelan tankers that he seized he was like we're going

00:33:22.000 to sell that oil i guess i'm gonna keep it i i don't know i mean what i guess the the major thorn

00:33:29.920 in the side that cuba has been and if we were to look at the strategic document released by the us

00:33:35.280 government on our international policy our military policy basically was we do not want the americas anyone

00:33:42.880 in the americas to be a strategic threat and cuba is like the outpost of russia and china left aside

00:33:49.440 from venezuela right i mean who else aside from cuba and venezuela were strongholds of russian and china

00:33:57.840 chinese interests i mean i guess you could say peru has a ton of chinese business so maybe it's a risk

00:34:03.520 but i don't really see it keep in mind the peruvian chinese population immigrated to peru either

00:34:11.120 pre-ccp or as refugees from the ccp yeah but the mining industry in in peru like exists for china 0.79

00:34:18.960 oh yeah yeah it exists to sell to china so china has economic like doesn't i guess there's not like a

00:34:24.800 there's not a big belt there i don't even know if there is a belt and road initiative but there isn't

00:34:28.920 any ethnic love of china any more than like a country with a big fowong gang group would have a love of 1.00

00:34:34.800 china like they they they don't they don't have a yearning to return to the ccp i was actually 0.99

00:34:41.120 decided to ask because i was wondering like why isn't china helping them right now that's a good

00:34:47.420 question well china has its own problems though so i guess if i were to sum it up though the united

00:34:52.900 states per its stated strategic interests does not want cuba to be a stronghold of russian or chinese

00:34:59.640 interests so the most important thing is for whatever yeah so china has offered some humanitarian

00:35:06.420 aid 80 million in emergency financial aid for electrical equipment and urgent needs with 67

00:35:12.440 to 90 000 tons of rights donations and food supplies in january 2026 beijing has also written

00:35:18.320 off some cuban debt and provided some funds and assistance but it does not appear yeah that they

00:35:27.460 are offering what cuba needs which is oil well come on i mean china isn't an importer of energy

00:35:35.760 they need it for themselves although they're really making good progress well they can pay for it from

00:35:41.060 somewhere i mean pay for some other i know cuba has supposedly like if you read their internal

00:35:46.400 documents they expected that something could happen with venezuela and they all could be cut off

00:35:50.200 yeah and so they planned for some like african oil shipment routes from like algeria

00:35:55.760 um and that china could play a role in that the problem is is that cuba just doesn't really have

00:36:02.440 anything to play other than a geopolitical enemy that's significant though you know it's i think

00:36:08.440 it's the one big thorn left in our geopolitical side in the americas unless we want to count

00:36:14.680 canada as a foreign asset now which it practically is yeah okay so this is why china is not giving oil

00:36:22.680 trump has been threatening and this is also what got mexico to back off a 30 tariff on any country

00:36:27.580 that gives cuba oil and just nobody cares about cuba that much right like they've they're completely

00:36:34.980 out on their own at this point it's it's geopolitically a big deal because if the united

00:36:40.460 states captures the allegiance of cuba as much as we have venezuela which has been astounding

00:36:46.740 their level of cooperation yeah so far we have no more geopolitical enemies anywhere threatening to

00:36:53.660 us especially if we're able to get greenland as well like america the united states basically will

00:36:59.640 own the americas without it will have been one of the the most stunning political coups and victories

00:37:07.880 like any human has pulled off in history what this administration of the trump administration has

00:37:13.880 pulled off if they can neutralize venezuela and cuba as threats and then better yet expand our

00:37:20.740 position in greenland for people who don't understand why greenland is so important it is

00:37:25.740 and a lot of people are like well you can already build military bases anywhere you want in greenland

00:37:29.600 so why do you care about greenland because i point out that like millet missile pathways that are

00:37:35.720 coming from china or russia go over greenland right like if if you have good installations in

00:37:41.620 greenland you can stop in there and people like well you could just build more and it's like

00:37:44.160 yeah except greenland has an independence movement right now and europe has shown themselves to be

00:37:49.180 complete pussies to independence movements and as soon as we get an independent greenland greenland 0.78

00:37:53.900 is not self-sustaining they basically live off of money for they basically live off of money from 0.95

00:38:00.680 their host country right now specifically greenland requires around 700 million dollars a year in

00:38:05.560 subsidies to function which is why it would make sense for denmark to want to offload it as well

00:38:10.760 and they that means that they will all of a sudden be desperate for anyone who will give them money

00:38:16.780 and if you look at the people of denmark the problem is is basically nobody lives there like no

00:38:23.360 like basically nobody lives there geopolitically it is an irrelevant number in greenland a lot of people

00:38:28.180 live in denmark no in greenland yeah okay nobody lives in greenland and so if you from from a

00:38:34.840 geopolitical standpoint it's like the size of a town right and but the people who do live there are

00:38:39.960 super urban monoculture brain cooked and if they got their independence they would be hesitant to

00:38:46.020 form alliances with the united states it would be very likely to form one that was china or russia

00:38:51.460 oh what what the trump administration is doing right now especially china because i've noticed

00:38:56.740 urban monoculture people do not care about china's atrocities at all it's basically like

00:39:00.660 what atrocities what atrocities and so trump is absolutely we do need to to pressure this deal

00:39:07.460 and it sounds like he's got something i don't know what it's going to look like yet but it sounds

00:39:11.100 like he's got something but if he gets those to to to that would mean that america not only like

00:39:19.980 anyone who would have any reason to attack us has to cross oceans right but we've got on lock

00:39:27.960 the entire not just our continent but every continent that abridges us that is anywhere close

00:39:35.900 to us it's a general idea yeah it would be as safe as you could be as a country because nobody's

00:39:42.020 attacking us through mexico nobody's attacking us through canada we're energy independent food

00:39:46.520 independent well have a diversified economy mexico has a bit of a big gang problem yeah but the gangs

00:39:54.140 have no interest in like directly attacking the united states and if they did the it would give

00:40:00.180 the united states a an opportunity to fight back or i don't know i mean that that it's a very tough

00:40:06.340 problem i mean because what we're looking at is a very grassroots guerrilla insurgency essentially

00:40:11.180 that's just running many parts of mexico functionally speaking yeah yeah actually actually like we

00:40:18.080 there for the same reasons why we couldn't durably take many middle eastern countries we couldn't

00:40:24.020 durably take mexico oh we could do extremely hard i mean maybe once you have like drone swarms or

00:40:29.840 like i don't know oh my gosh we could just do a kingsman based like attack you know the the second

00:40:38.140 one where they had a drug laced to something that just selectively killed everyone who consumed that

00:40:43.580 drug yeah go for that strategy the problem so so we we absolutely could durably take mexico

00:40:51.620 what you're not considering is the the extremely low logistics cost of attempting to take mexico

00:40:57.100 because it is just on our southern border with roads going directly into it rail lines going directly

00:41:02.880 into it oh it's just a daytime commute multiple giant home in time for dinner gulfs and what like

00:41:10.260 the gulf of america right is just like right there around most of mexico's land the big problem is the

00:41:15.500 the the mountainous regions which make it you know it makes it easier for gorillas to hide out and 0.78

00:41:21.100 everything like that but then the other thing that you've got to keep in mind is keep in mind how

00:41:25.240 many of our armed forces just are latin american right like we have a lot of latin america there is

00:41:31.460 not a cultural divide there and if you did the military operations right you would just have them led by

00:41:37.480 latin americans and make it very much like a from a pr strategy like did you know that the the ice

00:41:44.900 officers who shot whatever woman were two gay mexican ice officers thank god really so i wasn't 0.96

00:41:51.800 able to find evidence on the lg the gay connection but i was able to find that the ones who shot the guy

00:41:57.820 recently were two hispanic officers yeah yeah people were saying it's wild that everyone who has died

00:42:05.360 during this on the on on the democrat side the the deaths have been from a white shooter who shot

00:42:11.960 undocumented immigrants by accident and on our side it has been multiple cases of like hispanic 0.90

00:42:19.820 shooters shooting white women or or men which is ironic there was recently a court hearing where

00:42:26.800 non-white people reported in in court about their mistreatment so it's not only white people who are 0.99

00:42:34.100 being impacted but yeah well that non-white it's the white people who are being deranged and blowing 0.93

00:42:40.140 whistles and stuff actually yeah i mean all the instances that i saw reported in this court hearing 0.91

00:42:44.920 were of people like trying to get to appointments or just driving i think they weren't actively trying

00:42:50.700 to one woman was but yeah it was mostly there's been a viral video recently of a black ice officer

00:42:56.900 being called a house inward oh after being like are you a man are you a man yeah yeah yeah did that did

00:43:06.800 that person answer the question because it did they didn't say no somebody was like how dare you ask

00:43:11.500 a woman if she's a woman why would you ask her that he seemed genuinely confused so yeah like

00:43:19.000 this person was wearing a mask and they had long hair but they sounded like a man so you could

00:43:25.100 understand how if you weren't from their culture and you're very confused the funny thing is this he

00:43:31.980 didn't even seem like an angry ice officer he just no confused normal black guy like yeah he's just 0.52

00:43:36.760 like yeah that like maybe hadn't been exposed to super woke people so he's just like you know this

00:43:42.340 what masked woman approaches i mean a person with long hair behind a mask and then like they talk and 0.89

00:43:48.480 they sound like a man and he's just like are you a man and then they know that homicides in the united

00:43:53.960 states went down 25 last year since since ice started wow like it's having a big effect this

00:44:00.980 was from a jd vance speech which i was really surprised to know so we just got to keep winning

00:44:05.460 keep winning keep it up i got to make my video game gta minianapolis i i would so want to play that

00:44:12.080 gosh no i don't want well i mean to make it realistic you'd have to have the incessant whistling

00:44:18.480 and i don't know there has to be an option to just turn it off you're telling you about the

00:44:24.260 person who brought a whistle to the oscars like no the grammys yeah they were they were their

00:44:28.640 performative i support the current thing whistle as one i support the current thing no i want people

00:44:34.620 to remember you know when we're talking about all of this remember who our biggest enemies are they

00:44:39.500 are domestic they want to you know steal this country indefinitely that is the plan right like as 0.99

00:44:46.600 soon as elections are compromised it's in and and they get into power that's that's really bad

00:44:52.120 going forwards especially if they don't think that they can win fair elections which is going to become

00:44:56.740 very hard post the 20 to 30 redistricting and if you look at voting patterns among younger individuals

00:45:03.480 and in current trend shifts it's it's it's not good for them especially you know birth rates so you know

00:45:10.300 i think that they're sort of like we've we've got to do something at this point so so keep this in

00:45:14.340 mind and i think that you know when we're working with something like cuba we don't need the people

00:45:18.840 in charge of cuba to suffer we just want a deal that puts them in our debt rather than china's debt 1.00

00:45:25.760 that's really the gist of it

00:45:27.560 yeah

00:45:30.600 they can either be pretending to be socialists we don't care you know whatever

00:45:35.860 what would be really cool is if somehow a bunch of a blend they would never be incentivized to do 0.95

00:45:44.320 this though but a bunch of based american cubans just went back to the country flooded it and had

00:45:49.800 a better administration elected that would be really great but i don't know i don't think that's

00:45:57.680 gonna happen but like you know people who had family history in the country who cared about it but

00:46:03.300 i just haven't met a cuban who would want to go back so that's too bad but anyway yeah i thought

00:46:13.260 to myself i guess we could build like a large military base in cuba and then i was like oh yeah

00:46:17.120 guantanamo like we already have a large military base it could be larger that could be larger yeah

00:46:23.860 yeah you'll always be bigger and trump is all about real estate development too i mean you know before

00:46:30.100 we make the new gaza maybe we could make the new cuba when we talk about the grift and i'm like you

00:46:36.500 don't hate these people enough one of the stats i heard recently that shocked me is in california

00:46:40.200 the average homeless person costs a state 175 000 a year so keep in mind how big this grift is it's not

00:46:47.760 just minnesota they've been fighting throughout la hospice fraud this fraud is all over the united

00:46:53.700 states and we need something like like but at a multi-state level i think at this point is where

00:47:00.240 we need to go next yeah yeah all right love you simone accountability i love you too all right and

00:47:07.920 be keeping an eye on the news let's see what happens with cuba i will be watching with bated breath

00:47:12.320 glad you highlighted this because you know it's not related to to ice and minnesota and therefore

00:47:19.100 subscribe it's like i have we have fans and they go oh gosh malcolm everyone's talking about iran's

00:47:27.000 revolution right now like why haven't you done a video on that and it's like because i didn't wait

00:47:30.220 till the algo to pick it up to start talking about it right i did that video like two months ago guys

00:47:35.080 yeah everyone's talking about epstein and ice now there's other things going on all right love you

00:47:41.220 love you too and we will do the weekend episodes yeah look at that it's just so much better

00:47:46.940 it's just so much better i cannot stop replaying epstein pizza party you like it the problem is

00:47:55.980 it octavian because he's working right next to me he's like starting to just repeat the

00:48:01.680 sorry the chorus and i'm like hearing it come from a kid i'm like no actually not for you

00:48:10.060 epstein pizza party like i'll play it at the end of this video for our fans they get to hear the

00:48:15.380 first epstein pizza party song we're gonna play it when we do the video on ai on the right but um

00:48:20.180 we'll have that video go live tomorrow oh gosh okay yeah hold on he just like gets really mad about

00:48:28.140 eating and i don't know why because then he drinks oh look at doing that drift thing you're talking about

00:48:34.180 but it just seems too complicated to be worth it the effects will be practically unnoticeable

00:48:38.600 and i do not think eyebrows is actually doing what you think he's doing i think he's doing it in the

00:48:43.140 prompts it would be very hard to do like structurally you you really need to structure every shot assuming

00:48:51.140 that you're going to do that which is really hard to do because the ai doesn't know how to give you

00:48:57.060 extra stuff if i took time to try to make clips for you this evening which you may be considering it

00:49:03.300 would take you way too much time you you've got to understand you're doing this with like a hundred

00:49:07.580 clips how many clips are in there really yeah probably i i think it's probably at least 25 or 30

00:49:14.760 maybe like 25 or 30 but because you well you're thinking that they're all individual where many of

00:49:20.000 them are made over multiple ai takes yeah but you can get grok to make 10 second split like clips

00:49:25.820 right but you don't have those that's not what i made because i didn't expect that you would try

00:49:31.420 to keep them all together because you've got to basically ungroup them and i don't even know how

00:49:34.880 to do that i don't know you're talking about many of the clips that look like one clip are multiple

00:49:40.800 clips so we've got to find a way but you can make a single 10 second grok clip right so you would

00:49:46.320 replace every animation in the song potentially if they're really good because we're only just learning

00:49:53.180 how to do this and what i'm realizing is that what skybrows is doing i mean not like we're ever

00:50:00.820 going to get to that level but no i mean i can see what he's doing that makes it so different from what

00:50:05.580 we're doing the core thing is he is much more diligent about always using mid-journey for the

00:50:10.800 original image and always using a prompt image that gives a style idea so that he can do the more

00:50:16.580 consistent style yeah yeah plus in his video prompts i think it's more along the lines of

00:50:24.660 like

00:50:26.380 panning and like the camera as it were is moving but not existing yes he's describing how the camera is

00:50:37.080 moving which we haven't been doing but he's i just i want to see what it's like to do that i i i

00:50:41.580 personally just want to get better at it and learn so well we can do it with a different song

00:50:46.600 i like this song maybe i can do it for everest nowhere that's the other song that just gets so

00:50:52.440 stuck in in my head i can make another really catchy song just let me know and we'll do it okay

00:50:59.860 all the people crying we don't care and i just love that our kids know about everest being that

00:51:06.780 really tall mountain where rich people go to die that's how it is skybrow's recent amelia video is

00:51:13.240 really good by the way yeah no i mean skybrow's videos in general are super fun i love that he

00:51:18.520 made one that i don't even understand how he made it i don't know did you see his nvidia one

00:51:22.340 so he made it about team america and did everything in a team america style and even did the song in

00:51:29.940 the style of the team america song well that's that seems doable with a lot of finagling but

00:51:35.260 yeah it would require a lot of finagling yeah respect respect for skybrows anyway i i don't like

00:51:42.680 that song very i don't like the the way that video came out but it was just really impressive that he

00:51:46.340 did it

00:51:46.720 poppin antibiotics post hooker sweat sweat gate strapped even mail white don't know yet 0.96

00:52:05.340 like an epstein pizza party 0.85

00:52:18.760 if you know what we made

00:52:20.760 like an epstein pizza party

00:52:32.840 like an epstein pizza party

00:52:40.260 we all get naughty

00:52:42.260 files dropping leaks prince andrew's lore torture bit emails blacked out for sure gates forcing jabs microchips in the arm

00:52:56.260 billions in the game

00:52:58.260 billions in the game

00:53:00.260 sound in the alarm

00:53:02.260 pizza party

00:53:04.260 islands secrets in the draft

00:53:06.260 facts conspiracies elites having a laugh

00:53:08.260 queueing on tripping

00:53:10.260 connecting the dots

00:53:12.260 gates and epstein

00:53:14.260 ουν-down

00:53:16.260 kay councils 0.97

00:53:28.260 like an epstein pizza party

00:53:30.260 party

00:53:31.260 we all get naughty

00:53:33.260 Vax mandates dropping, dropping, dropping, totally loved it, ay, yo, file is unsealed, pizza means more than cheese, gates at the party, party, spreading disease, disease, maga memes, don't take that shot, Epstein's black book connecting a lot, like an Epstein pizza party, party, we all get naughty, break soda, blizzard, pizza, 18, ay, like an Epstein pizza party, party, we all get naughty,

00:54:03.260 Baby.

Based Camp - February 07, 2026

Cuba： Biggest Crisis Since The Revolution (Fixing Substack's Podcast Listing Error Bug Regular Users Ignore Duplicate)

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