Based Camp - March 05, 2025


Europe's Far-Right Now the Most Popular Party


Episode Stats

Length

44 minutes

Words per Minute

181.06459

Word Count

8,089

Sentence Count

6

Misogynist Sentences

5

Hate Speech Sentences

26


Summary

The rise of the far-right in Europe has been a topic of much debate in the past few years, especially in Europe, where the far right has risen to become the single largest political party faction in all of Europe and is higher now than it was at any point since the 1950s. In this episode, Simone and I discuss why this is happening and why we should be worried about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 hello simone today we are going to be going over uh an article in the economist and a few other
00:00:05.440 papers that looked at the rise of the far right in europe now being the single largest political
00:00:14.160 party faction in all of europe not only that but it is higher now than it was at any point from the
00:00:22.960 night to the 1950s i.e during the rise of the actual nazis by and and and the fascists in italy and all
00:00:33.680 of that now i will say here really fascinatingly that this is bs that the far right that they're
00:00:40.480 talking about like the far right before we go too far into this like the afd in germany right is a
00:00:46.320 party that they're like this is just like the nazis and the right just keeps going further right
00:00:52.640 and the head of it is a gay woman who is it a long term with children maybe not marriage but long
00:01:01.120 term with children interracial relationship with another woman and they live mostly in switzerland
00:01:10.880 not in germany what that is how european nationalist racist and homophobic this party is oh my gosh
00:01:21.920 but i had no idea that's crazy that she also doesn't live that much in germany yeah not that
00:01:29.040 dedicated to german identity she's just like hey but like well i don't know i mean with the direction
00:01:33.520 germany's going in can you blame her she's it's kind of a testament to where they are right now oh yeah
00:01:38.860 absolutely so we're gonna go over this graph actually like let's start with this graph i find it
00:01:43.360 really interesting so first the question is is who is the hard right gaining from like who has been
00:01:50.560 losing when did the hard right start going up so the hard right really started going up in 2010
00:01:57.440 and we see this exponential rise since then especially in the past couple years and was no
00:02:04.320 real losses in that period now keep in mind that's a long period that's a period of 15 years yeah quite a
00:02:11.040 run and was trump advance absolutely killing it i expected to continue to rise i think like i think
00:02:18.080 when we open like calls with people i don't even know are like political now in europe they're like
00:02:22.240 oh my god i'm so envious of things in the us right now and i'm on this great thread with all my class at
00:02:27.680 the gsp and they're all these you know corpos this is the stanford graduate school of business
00:02:31.840 and they're like freaking out about this and like calling everyone like a nazi and dehumanizing the
00:02:36.480 other side as much as they can and occasionally the right will be like well i really don't know
00:02:41.680 if it's like helpful to like dehumanize your opponents especially the people who are supporting
00:02:47.920 the rallies in our major cities saying from the river to the sea or you know when you guys didn't
00:02:52.800 even hold a primary this election cycle or when you guys literally controlled all of the media and
00:02:58.560 every social platform or when you guys whatever any of those things are like i don't know it's helpful
00:03:04.880 but like they know no they're like and they're always so meek the voices on the right they're
00:03:08.800 like just maybe could we good morning philadelphia with us today is malcolm collins local business
00:03:16.080 owner and a man with a harrowing story that's right a few days ago three corpos sent me a chain of
00:03:23.680 emails slagging off our boys elon and trump i want to be very clear about something um these pieces of
00:03:31.200 garbage they don't know who the hell they're dealing with so these punks yes i don't know if
00:03:35.280 they wanted money or they wanted something more sexual anyway i started maggieing wow i don't see
00:03:42.000 so good so i missed anyway you guys all think i'm a hero and i'll accept that responsibility now were
00:03:49.120 you concerned though that an innocent bystander may have crime in this city is out of control thank god
00:03:55.440 we've got two presidents with trump and elon absolutely killing it i don't think one would
00:04:01.040 have done it i'm gonna go out and buy some more okay and i think you should too don't be a victim
00:04:06.960 it's time to fight back thank you but it does give me heart it does make me feel good because i know
00:04:12.400 that these are you know stanford business school all these people run major companies some of them
00:04:16.320 have a ton of money and that means that they're competent people and they still are so diluted that
00:04:20.640 they can't even like play ball was like the actual ball they're playing ball was like an imaginary the
00:04:25.440 right is homophobic ball yeah that like it's like okay well okay you guys aren't even on on the court
00:04:31.360 now right like you guys are in some other zone but i wanted to talk about where we're rising from so
00:04:36.320 since the 2010s who are we eating right now so the conservative vote has gone down dramatically
00:04:42.240 well this is where i get a little confused because if i look at this without having a lot of context
00:04:46.400 i see basically a mirror rise in the hard right and a mirror fall and conservatives is this not
00:04:52.800 just the media or other players reframing conservative as hard right because these days
00:04:58.480 it seems like very moderate your fall which you also have as a drop in the social democrats
00:05:03.360 yeah which is the center left party so it's not just eating the conservatives if you look at the
00:05:09.120 major jumps like the major jump that happened around it's a bit hard to tell when that is like
00:05:13.760 i want to say 2015 maybe or 2016 that happened at the expense of the social democrats more
00:05:20.240 than at the expense of the conservatives it's only the most recent jump that was mostly at the expense
00:05:24.720 of the conservatives but isn't it more broadly that anyone who is center-right or moderately right is now
00:05:31.840 being framed as crazy far rights and but what's really happening is the left is taking increasingly extreme
00:05:38.160 stances forcing people into that not exactly but we'll go over the data on both of this really what
00:05:44.560 we're seeing is the hard right has become an anti-authoritarian party and an anti-establishment
00:05:50.720 party and the other side like just fundamentally doesn't understand how authoritarian they've become
00:05:56.400 in their impulses because and they're like what we're not authoritarian we only do it to the inhumans
00:06:02.880 the deplorables though whatever they want to call them right you know but anyway let's read from
00:06:07.280 this article because i found it really interesting okay on february 23rd more than
00:06:11.120 one in five german voters supported the hard right alternative for germany afd the party which is under
00:06:16.400 surveillance by domestic spooks for suspected extremism doubled his vote share since the previous
00:06:21.680 election this is so much like when they're like donald trump convicted felon and i'm like what is he
00:06:25.200 he fell in for like why why are they under uh uh surveillance it's like so you're saying that
00:06:30.320 you've become a fascist police state and this is the opposition to the fascist police state that's
00:06:37.040 what you're saying when you're saying the spooks are watching them when they are the party run by an
00:06:43.920 interracial relationship lesbian with kids you know like what are you what are you talking about not so
00:06:52.800 long ago this would have been unthinkable in a stable wealthy and moderate country in the heart
00:06:57.120 of europe but over the past 15 years hard right parties have made substantial gains across the
00:07:01.760 region also an interesting thing in this graph i was looking at some reddit notes on this where
00:07:06.320 somebody was like well you can see the massive shift comes after the syrian refugee crisis in 2015
00:07:11.040 this is when you see a drop in in democrats but in australia the freedom party fpo also won
00:07:18.320 28.9 of the votes in september 2024 and they're considered a far right party and that was the most
00:07:24.240 votes they have gotten since world war ii um so you see this everywhere and in the united states we
00:07:30.800 didn't get hit by the syrian refugee in the same way as europe did and somebody else said in reddit and
00:07:35.440 i thought that this is really good because this is somebody who's like anti the far right said this
00:07:38.560 and i saw that it was a really good point hard right or anti-establishment because all the russian
00:07:43.600 interference and social media bubbles aside the political establishment have failed to find
00:07:48.000 a solid answer for over a decade to growing discontent in society because the answers of
00:07:52.800 the hard right parties and the insistence on putting blame on migrants are wrong they are the
00:07:57.520 only parties providing answers that are not 40 pages long and mired in excuses and diversion of
00:08:02.000 blame and that's true and trump isn't even being like all anti he's just handling the effing
00:08:08.080 problem right now and on my email feed the corpos are freaking out hey but they benefit from
00:08:14.160 the existing social hierarchy that's when when your corpo right if you have a position in the
00:08:19.200 establishment no one was even like i saw what happened at twitter and you're thinking of you
00:08:23.680 mean the substantial reduction of staff that exactly the same quality of product being given to us a
00:08:30.240 few months later she's like it's only being used to promote one point of view i'm sorry i see both
00:08:36.080 point of views now if anything the only reason it's only one point of view is the left has
00:08:40.640 self-silence themselves by going to blue sky and that's only recently it used to be you could only
00:08:46.320 see one point of view i agree with that but you know they say to a person who has lived with privilege
00:08:52.560 having that privilege removed feels like oppression anyway back to the article the origin of europe's
00:08:58.240 recent hard right surge is difficult to pin down some theorize that beginning with the financial crisis
00:09:04.640 of 2008 and 2009 voters were driven away from the mainstream and towards the extremes by economic
00:09:09.600 anxiety but this is mixed europe is as the richest has ever been
00:09:17.200 if you look at economic growth when contrasted with the us europe has been basically static
00:09:22.720 since the 2000s stagnant yeah and i think it's just the regulation the regulatory environment
00:09:28.640 is so stifling they cannot thrive economically well it's that and i think they create an environment which
00:09:36.880 is actively hostile to productive individuals if you're a country that gives money to non-productive
00:09:42.640 individuals from productive individuals but the evidence for this is mixed europe is the richest
00:09:48.400 it's ever been and hard right parties often win substantial support in the well-to-do you could
00:09:53.440 hardly look at the netherlands one of the wealthiest countries in the world per person
00:09:57.200 incite economic anxiety to explain this hard right led government yeah but you could look at their immigrant
00:10:02.160 situation like it's not exactly hard it's like you beat someone with a chair and you're now like
00:10:07.680 why does this person hate me they they is it all the grapes they can't care that much about the grapes and
00:10:14.560 terror attacks that stuff is like a minor minor minor anyway another often heard argument is that the hard
00:10:24.800 right represents a backlash against the migrant crisis that came to a head in 2015. irregular
00:10:30.800 immigration to some european countries has remained very high again this theory is imperfect in germany
00:10:36.800 like many other countries the hard right support comes predominantly from areas with little immigration
00:10:42.320 in fact the association between immigration rates and support for the hard right is weaker than
00:10:45.760 you might expect ireland has one of the largest foreign-born populations in europe for example
00:10:50.480 but no major hard right party the inverse is true of poland yes except it might be that parties with
00:10:57.200 a natural more right-leaning tendency would keep out the immigrants at higher rates and when they
00:11:02.640 don't have this tendency yet they have some degree of self-preservation high degrees of immigrants cause
00:11:08.640 them to turn hybrid it's just that ireland has no degree of self-preservation anymore and i direct
00:11:14.000 your attention to these maps and graphs here because i find them very interesting so this is a map of the
00:11:19.600 percent of hard right you have was in a country's voting population uh with the high ones being
00:11:25.680 france italy poland and hungary very high in germany turning higher in norway turning higher
00:11:31.600 sorry not in sweden or norway yeah i never know which one's which i want to say norway
00:11:35.920 norway and finland and then you know in the low end you have countries like ireland
00:11:40.640 spain it's that greece yeah yeah right and i long for this earth anyway so if we look at the
00:11:48.320 map here you see the european democracy's hard right vote share in population born abroad and there
00:11:56.160 is definitely a core inverse correlation here yeah interesting
00:12:04.240 and yet despite the growing popularity our analyst shows they remain underrepresented in government
00:12:10.800 grouping together hard right as a single ideology across various countries is tricky
00:12:15.680 we drew on the research of the university of bremen and populist list a pan-european data set of
00:12:21.440 populist political parties to form a list we then track the representation since 1920.
00:12:26.320 based on our list we found europe's hard right parties received 20 of the vote in recent elections
00:12:31.280 winning 23 of parliamentary seats but they make up just 14 so 23 of the votes 14 of the seats held by
00:12:39.600 parties that are in power just two heads of government gregory maloney of italy and victor
00:12:43.920 orban of hungary come from hard right parties on our list see chart three now i note here this means
00:12:50.080 that the hard right is going to get much worse in europe than it is in the united states wait why
00:12:55.920 you have no they won control showed themselves to not be perfect and then lost control issue oh yeah
00:13:02.800 yeah they're not giving they're not being given the opportunity to disappoint people yes oh i don't
00:13:08.960 know maybe that's for the best what happened with you know trump getting into office and like delivering
00:13:14.000 and delivering and delivering he hasn't stopped yet so maybe oh i'm loving it i'm loving it everyone
00:13:18.720 i know is what is it doge have like a 70 approval rating or yeah over 70 approval rating of the american
00:13:24.000 public so people love doge and then when federal workers complain to them they're like oh that sounds
00:13:30.080 so sorry that you aren't getting your subscription from me anymore yeah i guess that's what it's
00:13:36.720 like for me every day for my entire career in the private sector
00:13:42.400 i love it they're like no higher up in a company would ever ask employees what they're doing on a
00:13:46.880 daily basis like yes they would yeah are you out of your mind like how are you that disillusioned and
00:13:56.080 i'm realizing that people who are saying this are people in media they've never had their boss
00:13:59.840 ask for for metrics is what it is oh i don't know i think people in media have have gone through
00:14:05.920 quite a few layoffs and firings and they're very aware of the fact that if they cannot drive views
00:14:10.240 they are out so well yeah but it's just views they don't have their boss asking them how are
00:14:14.240 you driving views why are you doing oh yeah like what are you doing what what actions are you taking
00:14:18.880 yeah it's more just results driven yeah and so they're really disconnected from the way the actual
00:14:24.240 corporate world works we we by the way as people who run companies have asked all the employees in
00:14:29.200 our company what are you doing every week at times when we were going through specific like improvement
00:14:34.240 issues or absolutely yeah yeah okay so this has drawn and i love this they're like they're not
00:14:40.080 getting in the office at the same rate which is a good thing right and then they're like but but
00:14:44.880 this has drawn condemnation from hard right populists around the world jd vance america's vice
00:14:49.440 president has criticized european leaders for quote shutting people out of the political process
00:14:54.480 in quote which they have indeed in some countries the hard right has been locked out of power in
00:14:59.280 germany for example the afd is excluded from coalitions by the firewall that other parties maintain around
00:15:04.880 it that has done little to put voters off but this is hardly undemocratic how is it not undemocratic
00:15:10.960 and then i love this they say remember one of the reasons the hard right hates you is because
00:15:16.160 you keep lying media but let's make this little fun lie more than three quarters so more than 75 percent
00:15:24.320 of germans say that they oppose the country's biggest elected party the christian democratic union
00:15:31.120 forming a coalition with the afd in other words the firewall is not a stitch up by liberal elites
00:15:37.280 okay so over 75 percent of the country doesn't support them crossing the firewall but
00:15:45.440 21 percent voted for the afd that is completely implausible
00:15:54.480 oh my god it's like are you like just assume that people are idiots
00:16:01.840 yeah i mean it's only going to get worse if this gaslighting continues yeah it's so much worse
00:16:07.760 even with minority support the hard right is disrupting politics across europe leaving the
00:16:15.200 question of how other parties should respond many mainstream parties have decided that the hard
00:16:19.600 right is simply too big to work around however while germany's firewall has not prevented the rise of
00:16:24.640 the afd evidence from elsewhere suggests that dropping firewalls legitimizes them oh no how dare you
00:16:30.480 legitimize citizens who are voting in sweden where mainstream parties have abandoned a firewall against
00:16:36.880 sweden's democrats the sd the hard right props up a minority government research suggests that voters
00:16:44.000 now view the hard right more favorably wait after they got into power and ran the government they're viewed
00:16:50.240 more favorably i thought you said they were being propped up by a minority it doesn't sound like that oh my gosh
00:16:57.520 oh my gosh anyway so anything you want to say before we go further no let's go ahead okay so i'm
00:17:05.360 going to put some graphs on screen here this one is in the united states but we're looking at the increase
00:17:10.320 in political polarization this is from pew research and so this is democrats political ideology based on
00:17:16.880 annual averages how would you describe your political views very conservative conservative moderate liberal
00:17:21.840 are very liberal and what you see here is that basically since the 2000s the democrats have been
00:17:28.560 getting more liberal um now what happens if you go to republicans with a similar graph republicans
00:17:35.520 political ideology based on annual averages not the same it's been staying about average only getting
00:17:41.440 slightly more conservative in fact it's been getting so much more liberal on democrats that it used to be
00:17:47.600 that the liberal perspective was even less common in 1995 for democrats than the conservative perspective
00:17:56.320 it was and it was dramatically less common than the moderate perspective only passing the moderate
00:18:01.840 perspective in around 2006 or 7. no have i the overton window has been shifting way too much on the left
00:18:12.320 yeah way too much i think this is an example though of how i guess modern culture has this flywheel effect
00:18:21.280 that when you leave a traditional culture and you let go of the guide rails and you're like you know what
00:18:25.520 i don't have culture i don't have a religion there are no more rules there it doesn't stop the the spine
00:18:32.000 rolled into crazy we haven't found the stopping point yet right it's just yeah yeah keeps going so i'm
00:18:39.840 gonna put a few more graphs on the screen this is from a different study also by pew so in 1994
00:18:44.800 you can see that the median democrat and the median republican were about in the center in 1999 like mitosis
00:18:51.360 you see them beginning well actually you see the republicans staying exactly where they used to be
00:18:55.920 and you see the democrats going further left in 2004 you see the republicans going to the center
00:19:02.080 the average republican position in 2004 was right in the center and the democrats had moved further left
00:19:09.840 then in 2015 the republicans are like and they started to shift to the right the democrats continue
00:19:15.360 to shift further to the left then in 2017 the democrats are all bunched up on the far far side
00:19:20.560 of the left and the republicans are sort of center right ish right now and if you want to see well you
00:19:26.640 can be like well has it really worked that way let's take a specific issue like same-sex marriage so i
00:19:30.880 think what we're actually seeing here is a shift in what the parties stand for to being an anti-authoritarian
00:19:35.920 anti-establishment party and being a pro-authoritarian anti-democratic sort of globalist bureaucrat party
00:19:42.880 so if you look at things like same-sex marriage support right now here's a shocking statistic did you
00:19:49.200 know that in actually until 2008 so until quite recently significantly less democrats supported same-sex
00:20:00.240 marriage than republicans support same-sex marriage today yeah that totally makes sense
00:20:05.360 in in in 2008 fewer democrats so this is like within most of your lifetimes supported same-sex
00:20:13.280 marriage than republicans support it today if you go back to 2012 if you go okay how many republicans
00:20:21.040 supported same-sex marriage well actually okay we'll do 2021 to get the republican numbers uh 2021
00:20:27.200 so this is a while ago right you still had more republican support of same-sex marriage in 2021
00:20:33.200 then you had democrat support of it in 2008 wow let's go over the number so that was a quick shift
00:20:41.760 there but it also shows that you're getting like convergence right well and that conservatives aren't
00:20:48.640 what they used to be also conservatives although they're sort of showing up in some numbers as more or
00:20:54.000 less staying unchanged not getting more conservative but just kind of staying where they are they've actually
00:20:59.360 become significantly more liberal yeah well not liberal i just say that we don't care about this
00:21:05.040 part of the culture war the conservatives have stolen the gay vote and a lot of people are like
00:21:09.600 oh what do you care about that because it's useful and they're productive and like why wouldn't they they
00:21:13.840 they fund a lot of stuff there some of the people on the doge team there's some of the people in
00:21:17.760 trump's government he's got multiple gay high-level officials they're peter teal who basically started the
00:21:23.040 new right they're scott pressler who could have if things had been tighter handed the election to trump
00:21:29.840 but if we go for and we're not losing anything for this we don't need to oppose like we're not sharia
00:21:35.280 law like we're christians here right like with right like we are christians like render under caesar
00:21:40.880 one of the distinctive things about christianity is it doesn't attempt to impose its value system
00:21:45.520 on the population through the government at least it attempts to say that you should do this if you
00:21:50.320 want to be like a good person or you want to follow the bible but like it's it's muslims who
00:21:54.960 attempt to impose this on the population that's i want to say it's what we're fighting against but
00:21:58.720 it might be something we have some concerns or trepidations about so let's look at the stats
00:22:02.000 here so same-sex marriage support in 2014 35 of republicans supported it so in 2014 you know you
00:22:08.000 already had over a third supporting it in 2021 51 of republicans supported it in 2021 already
00:22:14.240 if you were only trying to win among republicans you couldn't win if you were opposed to same-sex
00:22:18.560 marriage this is again why i'm like why would anybody push this when it hurts them so much
00:22:23.760 within their own base it's a completely self-mastermatory and indulgent position at this point
00:22:28.640 in 2023 55 of republicans supported it but if we look at how fast things have shifted among democrats
00:22:35.200 in 2001 it was 45 in 2008 it was 50 in 2021 it was 65 in 2019 it was 75 in 2024 it was 83
00:22:46.240 83 percent oh i actually find that number a little low for democrats only 83 percent of democrats approve
00:22:51.120 same-sex marriage that is not what i expected but i guess when i think back to the overwhelmingly
00:23:00.560 that i consumed as a kid it was still seen as kind of oh this is kind of scary so i guess i guess that
00:23:07.440 makes sense well anything about the democrat move to the left and this was talked about in the pew
00:23:12.960 research is the only you know if you're talking only democratic faction that's moved to the left is
00:23:19.120 white democrats black democrats stayed equally conservative as they've always been or actually
00:23:24.000 much more aligned with conservative voters on most issues and then the hispanic party is
00:23:30.080 well it's moving to the republican side as we saw you know more hispanic males voted for trump then voted for
00:23:36.720 the democrats in this last election cycle i think it was 45 percent overall voted for trump
00:23:41.120 i remember exit polling so thoughts on all of this
00:23:50.560 i'm a little bit afraid of the post correction fallout but i guess this is all very normal like i'm already
00:23:59.520 hearing some centrist left people talking about the preparation for the post right swing adjustment
00:24:12.240 like they're already sort of thinking ahead to that i don't think it's gonna happen you don't so how do
00:24:17.760 you think it's gonna play out because i mean i think that there is the left look the reason you had
00:24:22.000 a swing back to the right is the left acted like effing idiots they they went with all this crazy you're
00:24:27.520 seeing this a little bit with the right with some people on the right like going anti-pornography
00:24:31.840 anti-gooner anti the gooner votes important to the right the masturbation network keeping america
00:24:39.040 baiting for 300 years and now sweet bang tube oh that's go away baiting
00:24:48.240 the gooner votes important to the right important to the right and the mainstream like right influencers
00:24:53.440 know this who aren't idiots like let's say matt walsh or something who's like i hate anime like
00:24:58.480 i hate like grow up i hate video games it's like that's the right you know that right like whoever
00:25:04.640 is what what is wrong with you are you like do you have the strategy brain of a child for people who
00:25:09.840 don't know why the right predominantly watches things like anime over traditional shows and why many
00:25:15.120 anime people aren't in the right is because if you want non-woke media or media that wokeness hasn't
00:25:21.280 completely infiltrated and turned into bland slop you're gonna be looking at anime and for a long
00:25:27.040 time it was also you were looking at video games until that industry completely went woke and as
00:25:31.360 you can see how far right the gamers are like literally no one is buying these games anymore
00:25:38.240 life is strange recently did like a woke remake uh not that the first one wasn't that woke and it got
00:25:43.680 i i can't remember but like 5 000 concurrent players or something like really really low as to how the
00:25:49.040 gooners went to the right it was because well they were mostly males and the left just loves
00:25:54.640 ruining the lives of males whenever they can so they went against attractive women in video games
00:26:00.000 and attractive women online and attractive women in ads and anything potentially hot anywhere and i'd
00:26:07.120 point out here that it's not that i think that matt walsh is actually an idiot with this stuff i just
00:26:10.640 think that fundamentally he has no loyalty to the right or rightist causes and would throw them under the
00:26:15.840 bus if he could use that throwing under the bus to elevate his own status and play within these
00:26:21.680 status hierarchies because fundamentally that's what somebody's doing when they go anti-gooner when they
00:26:25.920 go anti-video games when they go anti-anime you know uh they're they're saying i know that this
00:26:31.440 couldn't even win an election if i was only peddling to the right but it does help me appear to be higher
00:26:38.080 status or quote-unquote more correctly right within certain right-wing circles and i can use that to elevate
00:26:44.320 myself even if it hurts the party and the same way the left did this with a lot of like crazy trans
00:26:49.440 issues and stuff like that and we should see people like this the way the left should have
00:26:53.760 always been seeing the people who came up to you know children's reading rooms and devil masks it's
00:26:59.680 like okay you know you guys you can personally argue whether this stuff is right for you but like you
00:27:06.880 have to know this is losing us election cycles at a time when like the species is on the line but the
00:27:13.200 mainstream i think id of the right which i've seen has not actually latched on or defended these insane
00:27:20.000 ideas somebody on the right will go up and be like i think pornography should be banned and everyone else
00:27:25.440 is like again we're not muslims like we're christians okay like we give them like a what's wrong with you
00:27:32.400 vibe and the left whenever they would do something crazy whenever they had their you know leah thomas or
00:27:38.240 whatever they'd all jump to defend her which is not what we're seeing in the right when people on
00:27:43.040 the right go crazy and take these positions everyone else is like get out of the room please
00:27:48.080 the same was like the oh you know like we should ban gay marriage again it's like we're we're actually
00:27:52.720 winning here can we not take a position that wouldn't even win among the republican base like what
00:27:57.360 are you living in some alternate fantasy world you would only push that for to win within a status
00:28:03.360 hierarchy at the cost of the party which means that you are an enemy of the party like you disgusting
00:28:09.680 child like like if you're not helping the party and again this is different if you're in like a
00:28:14.000 european or eastern european country where the politics are different i'm talking about like if
00:28:17.200 you're in the us or like you're in germany in your and you're taking these sorts of positions which
00:28:21.600 are just hurting the party's ability to win and and and get dominant so that we can fix the more
00:28:26.640 existential issues that actually do affect our kid or maybe survival as a cultural group you know in
00:28:33.520 europe you know you're dealing with crunch time now certain things don't matter at crunch time that
00:28:38.800 progressives want to get married sometimes and even some right-leaning it doesn't matter to to surviving
00:28:45.120 crunch time when you are being displaced at like a record number so i i note there which is why i don't
00:28:52.880 think we're gonna have the the swing back the other is is i look at what people like trump are doing
00:28:58.000 and it's all just like it's not culture war stuff it's not stuff trump like really understands the
00:29:04.240 90 10 issues yeah actually i was listening to more commentary today that did point out that unlike
00:29:10.640 other conservative influencers trump has been very good it's staying away from for lack of a better way of
00:29:17.440 putting it the ick stuff like all the weird you know conspiracy theories or anti-semitic stuff like
00:29:26.400 he he just tends to not engage with those things well he's not anti-semitic his daughter is jewish i know
00:29:34.240 but i mean he i think there are lots of people who have what i think it's more than that he actively
00:29:40.800 understands the concept of a 90 10 issue so there was this great instance where he was giving a speech and i
00:29:46.800 really love this speech anything he's in right now a beef with the governess of maine who is cutting
00:29:53.440 off federal spending to them because they won't end trans participation in intramural sports for kids
00:29:58.880 and he's like i love that they're doing he goes don't don't broadcast this out of the room obviously
00:30:04.560 he's on like live television he goes keep this a secret between us but i really hope she keeps this
00:30:10.400 position to the next election cycle it's going to do very well for us no one supports this you guys
00:30:16.400 this is what they call a 90 10 issue he goes and i don't know who those 10 are it's the same with
00:30:21.920 doge you know doge is at the end of the day like ending government blow very much a 90 10 issue
00:30:27.280 the only area where they really crossed 90 10 issues is stuff like the recent zelinski spat
00:30:32.160 but this is just one of those things where i think it really highlights for the people who were
00:30:35.360 skeptical of stuff like usaid and sending money abroad and jd vance did a good job of highlighting of
00:30:40.480 you can spend trillions of dollars on somebody and they will still not care at all the next year
00:30:47.200 if it looks like the money might be shut off there is no long-term built support by spending this sort
00:30:54.640 of money yeah the money that we spent got us nothing not no credibility with them nothing no credibility
00:31:01.200 delinsky the head didn't even care when the parties changed like why would we continue doing that you
00:31:07.200 know unless it's just to wear down russia which we've already done and then europe is like well
00:31:11.920 what if this leads to another war and a lot of it's like well okay you guys will handle it it's in
00:31:20.000 russia they've got nothing like what are you talking about like they've been fighting ukraine which is
00:31:26.160 the country like a third their size with no weapons to start this with ammunition from like the cold
00:31:33.520 war right that they're still depleting if they go to war with europe yeah i'm not really worried
00:31:40.240 they're like eventually they'll come for the us that's what he told uh the the and and and trump
00:31:45.520 was like don't tell us what we should be afraid of he's like you should be afraid and but trump's
00:31:49.520 right how are they going to come for the are they going to eat all of europe like all of europe's going
00:31:54.160 to be russian this isn't like nazi germany or something like an industrial warhouse or something
00:32:00.320 isn't the country that is struggling against a a developing country with a third their population
00:32:09.440 yeah i don't know like they have nukes like what if they use nukes well i don't think if they decide
00:32:16.480 to attack europe they're going to start using nukes if they decide to attack europe it's because they
00:32:20.720 think that they can gain significant land in europe which i don't think even they are stupid enough to
00:32:25.920 believe and then the use nukes thing i don't think the nukes work and i'm being perfectly honest here
00:32:32.640 wow really knows i wouldn't want to chance it just you know i wouldn't want to chance it but i think
00:32:37.840 that everyone knows that there is enough of a like come on guys and if they do chance it and they don't
00:32:44.320 work russia is being divided and putin is going to live the rest of his life in a cellar you know like
00:32:50.160 like there's no reason for them to chance that particularly sorry for people who wonder why i do
00:32:55.840 not think the nukes work um if you look at things like the troops transport and stuff like that that
00:33:02.640 they were going into ukraine with that they hadn't even been rotating the tires that they had all
00:33:06.400 popped that it turned out that like two-thirds of the planes were like not working or like had been
00:33:12.880 replaced with like dummy planes are completely gutted or it turned out that like the oil had been
00:33:18.480 siphoned from all of the the troop transport so they got like halfway to kiev and ran out of fuel
00:33:24.560 like okay it happened in that place and hadn't been caught you don't think it happened with the
00:33:30.880 with the missiles and they're like no no no no no no no no it's totally different like russia do you
00:33:35.920 feel like there's more ongoing maintenance that needs to take place yeah i'm like you you think they
00:33:40.960 weren't checking this other stuff and it was easier to check the other stuff than the missiles
00:33:45.200 like the missiles you need a higher level of expertise to make sure you're not being grifted on
00:33:51.680 sadly this is above my pay grade but i i guess yeah i mean considering the track record with a variety of
00:33:58.000 other defense mechanisms and resources but there's a secondary thing that a lot of people aren't
00:34:02.800 considering with the missiles okay so if you're a patriot or whatever or you're like a normal person
00:34:07.840 right like you might view it as unethical to grift or steal stuff from like let's say oil from a troop
00:34:16.320 transport or yeah parts from an airplane but your average person with a sense of ethics would probably
00:34:24.240 think it a moral imperative to take parts from a nuclear missile because nobody like not let it happen
00:34:33.440 if someone tries to make it happen yeah yeah i can see people justifying that to themselves in a way
00:34:38.320 that i can't see with other things so then there's this whole additional reason why the missiles would
00:34:42.160 have decayed at a faster rate than all of the other stuff keep in mind that most of the stuff was made
00:34:46.960 before any of us were born just like keep that in gosh okay well when you put it that way it doesn't
00:34:55.600 and anyone from then until now could have done this
00:35:02.640 or inserted something into it that made it not work that other people might not notice i'm just
00:35:07.280 saying that there's like a lot of reasons to not really be afraid and i guess the the biggest reason
00:35:11.680 is the kleptocracy problem that seems to be taking place that there's just enough motivation to take
00:35:18.080 little parts of things that uh might let's put it this way it uh putin doesn't have an elon that he
00:35:24.480 can put into like coked up goblin mode to go and check everything if if they had a doge they could
00:35:30.880 go and find out if everything works they could go and actually root out their corruption in the way
00:35:34.880 that the united states is doing maybe maybe elon should go to putin next and handle russia i i
00:35:40.400 actually would actually be kind of okay with like an efficient russia and ending the kleptocracy
00:35:45.520 there because i think it would uh do good for the world overall you just made it slightly not
00:35:51.120 slightly but significantly like a modern economy instead of a kleptocratic economy yeah i mean
00:35:57.360 there's there's a lot of places that it'd just be so nice if you could give them a really quick
00:36:04.640 elon musk makeover you know just trim a bunch of things and this is something that we see all the
00:36:09.840 time with developing country too even with infrastructure where because they didn't have
00:36:14.480 various departments or functions for you know until very recently they got developed much more
00:36:22.080 efficiently and with better technology from day one and it would just be i feel like there should be
00:36:29.440 some kind of sunset date or expiry date on organizational departments that just sort of forces you to remake it
00:36:38.800 every decade i don't know every however many years or once you reach a certain number of staff
00:36:45.040 where you were just you have to redo it it doesn't matter if it was working fine you have to rebuild
00:36:50.160 it and you're going to rebuild it better and maybe some people will be rehired maybe they won't but it has
00:36:55.840 to be done oh well definitely i do think yeah we're moving in the right direction i feel very hopeful
00:37:02.160 and oh yeah pun intended i guess both right and correct direction it's nice to see this correction
00:37:09.680 taking place i have my doubts about the eu just given but between the fact that the european
00:37:16.000 union exists this thing about the eu the only way the eu survives and i mean survives at like a
00:37:21.280 mathematical level when we're talking about like fertility rates of different populations
00:37:25.200 immigration population and everything like that is if they kick out large amounts of immigrants at
00:37:32.000 this point and that's gonna happen though i mean they feel like they need them because of
00:37:36.720 no i think it might happen but it's going to look horrifying when it starts happening
00:37:41.760 it's going to look like a form of far right that everyone was afraid of but it's the only
00:37:46.720 realistic solution the left is basically forcing the horrors that are to come by flooding the country
00:37:54.960 with people because they're gonna eventually have to be removed i don't think there's a
00:38:02.000 plan or even necessarily a capability for that that is and in some cases didn't you point out like
00:38:06.640 in germany the afd has been actively talking about this yeah but in germany some huge proportion
00:38:11.600 of the population is first or second generation integrated after 1950 yeah so i mean what about all
00:38:19.120 their kids what about their grandkids i mean at this point it has been happening for so long the afd
00:38:24.400 has talked about removing even german citizens that have not integrated into the country's culture
00:38:29.840 oh wow that is what has to happen it's the only real if if you have not integrated if you want to
00:38:36.080 save german culture especially with this existing birth rate the only way to do that is to remove
00:38:41.680 higher fertility populations that do not share that culture especially if they don't share it
00:38:45.200 intergenerationally and durably intergenerational like i i wouldn't say something like this in the us
00:38:51.120 but in germany i don't know how else you survive yikes and you're forgetting too though that countries
00:39:00.320 in germany can't even really do things in isolation because they're part of the eu now i mean germany has
00:39:06.640 disproportionate power and weight within the eu but i just feel like the bureaucratic morass that they've
00:39:13.200 thrown upon themselves by operating through the eu there will not be the bandwidth to take the kind of
00:39:20.720 unilateral action that is necessary to to save themselves from the dynamics that have been
00:39:27.840 put in place a long time ago i just i don't really see it working out as much as that saddens me like i
00:39:36.320 i mean i'm there are ways and i i know they're like pockets of europe that are moving in really good
00:39:40.880 directions i i just think maybe it'll become more balconized tinier little pockets that will maybe
00:39:50.000 ultimately reclaim the non-functional pockets that sort of go to seed over time maybe but i don't
00:39:57.680 know fingers crossed i'm just saying that the left is basically forcing an eventual of some of these
00:40:04.320 countries and that is absolutely horrifying that they're not thinking through it because they're
00:40:09.920 putting a population in a position where either they do that or are eventually erased just by the math
00:40:16.480 why would you be stupid enough to force that in the long run if you like unless you were just playing
00:40:21.600 some sort of like short-term like psychotic game
00:40:26.880 yeah well obviously they're not thinking along those lines it's just not
00:40:32.400 well these populations have their own culture they have their own ways like yeah some of them
00:40:38.320 integrate and that's fine but it's not the other one's fault that they're not integrating it's not
00:40:43.840 their fault that they maintain their culture in the face of alternate cultures like that's a good
00:40:48.480 thing to have a durable culture but i can understand why a native population would say
00:40:54.080 okay you came here as refugees now get out i don't care how many generations you've been here
00:41:01.680 you we would like to keep some aspect of our culture like why is it their fault that they
00:41:08.640 say i want to keep my culture like why is that a bad thing because they're european they're german
00:41:13.280 whatever anyway it's a mess we all know where we are we're going all right you know what i'm saying
00:41:22.560 is is is it's going in one of two directions either the eventual extinction of at least continental europe
00:41:29.280 as a cultural what i just mean is groups that have different cultural values are going to
00:41:33.360 eventually become the dominant populations in these countries yeah like that's not a horrifying thing
00:41:40.000 to me because i'm not from one of those cultural groups and i don't care about them i don't particularly
00:41:43.920 like german culture i'm fine with that but like that is one possibility or the other possibility is that
00:41:51.280 the the groups in power now like the groups out of power now gain power and they remove the populations
00:41:58.800 that are different from them or the final possibility is they ghettoize the populations
00:42:04.800 that are different from them which isn't particularly better than the removing them situation i'm just
00:42:09.760 saying they're like aren't a lot the more people you ship in the worse the potential options get
00:42:16.160 for the existing population especially if they are non-integrating groups
00:42:22.560 i imagine that there are potential innovative solutions that could resolve the dynamic i mean
00:42:30.960 to your point or you could say your your broader family's historical political point you cannot have
00:42:38.160 both open borders and generous social services it could just be that at one point cut it all the social
00:42:44.640 services are cut off and that could solve the problem i think that that would probably be the less
00:42:48.960 bloody way and i should point out here that if anybody like watches this and like some lefty tries
00:42:53.040 to say he's saying this should happen that is 100 not what i am saying i am saying these are the various
00:43:00.880 possibilities given the chess board that the left has set up i don't think that these possibilities
00:43:07.520 are good i think that they are horrifying and totalitarian and they worry me as much as they should worry
00:43:14.960 you it's just sort of like you know you put a ball at the top of a hill and i'm like oh my god that
00:43:21.520 ball is going to roll down the hill the moment you let go of it and you're like haha you think this ball
00:43:25.520 should roll down the hill and crush the city below like no i didn't say i think that's a good thing i'm
00:43:31.280 worried about the city below stop putting the giant like boulder at the top of the hill yeah because
00:43:36.320 if the supports break the city below is crushed
00:43:39.040 yeah all right love you to death simone i love you too malcolm you making me hurry tonight
00:43:47.760 it's curry night i'm gonna go down right now oh i got you done early enough thank you
00:43:52.080 so what do you want to say to indy about growing up um that i want that um i love her that um
00:44:02.240 uh indy is um like um our baby that is right there i love her and i'm gonna um and if mommy needs help
00:44:12.720 i'm gonna like um i'm gonna like answer and and um if he needs help take a cut off indy i'll just help
00:44:21.440 him thank you buddy i appreciate that you're the best indy loves you and i write a note to mrs
00:44:30.320 donnelly that i love her oh yeah there it is oh it's upside down oh never mind that good job friend