Based Camp - February 01, 2024


France & China New (Game Over) Fertility Data


Episode Stats

Length

40 minutes

Words per Minute

184.85893

Word Count

7,415

Sentence Count

440

Misogynist Sentences

23

Hate Speech Sentences

57


Summary

Fertility is in freefall in China and France, and we're here to talk about it. We talk about why this is so bad, and why we should be worried about it, and what we can do to prepare for it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 France this year began to fall into freefall, or in this past couple of years, it's begun
00:00:05.180 to fall into freefall.
00:00:05.980 And it really can no longer be included in the club of countries that are resistant to
00:00:11.220 fertility collapse.
00:00:12.100 And there's been new data from China.
00:00:14.420 What that would represent is a decline of 60% from 2016.
00:00:21.200 60%.
00:00:21.880 That is catastrophic.
00:00:25.920 Imagine if this was like an economy, right?
00:00:28.300 And an economy shrunk by 60% in eight years.
00:00:32.080 This is the fertility equivalent of hyperinflation.
00:00:36.880 It is the fertility equivalent of having to walk around with wheelbarrows to buy a loaf
00:00:42.500 of bread, wheelbarrows full of cash, you know, when you hear about these situations.
00:00:47.000 People do not understand the societal effects this is going to have.
00:00:51.580 And anyone who's in one of these groups that is going to be targeted because of this, like
00:00:55.860 the LGBT populations around the world, if you cannot fix this problem, if you cannot convince
00:01:02.520 people who are okay with gay people existing to have kids at an above replacement fertility
00:01:07.340 rate, you will be hunted down and systemically exterminated.
00:01:12.020 And we're beginning to see the first waves of this.
00:01:15.700 Would you like to know more?
00:01:16.720 One of the really funny things that happened to us on a recent flight was over the speakers,
00:01:22.180 they had to explain when the masks drop, you know, in case of a depressurization of the
00:01:27.200 cabin, be sure to take off your mask before putting on the mask that's delivering oxygen.
00:01:33.600 So this is-
00:01:34.120 And I turned to Malcolm and I'm like, you know what?
00:01:37.300 These people, let them go.
00:01:39.960 No, genuinely.
00:01:40.840 If you are so terrified about COVID still that you are wearing a mask and the cabin is depressurized
00:01:48.720 and you try to put the oxygen mask over your mask-
00:01:51.280 Over your N95.
00:01:52.760 Yeah.
00:01:52.960 Really, you probably should die.
00:01:55.040 Like, I'm sorry.
00:01:57.880 Like, the human civilization is better without you.
00:02:01.580 And I salute your contribution for it by ducking out.
00:02:05.700 Yeah.
00:02:05.980 Let nature play its course on this crashing air flight.
00:02:10.440 Not that, like, you're going to survive anyway, but I guess, yeah, if the door blows out, never
00:02:14.220 mind.
00:02:14.840 But yeah, that was a really astounding comment to take off here.
00:02:18.840 So that must have meant that on this flight, one or more people put on an oxygen mask on
00:02:26.100 top of their faces.
00:02:28.060 Because this was new.
00:02:28.800 This must have been when the door blew out.
00:02:30.420 Yeah.
00:02:30.640 This must have been when the door blew out because this was a new comment we'd never heard on
00:02:34.200 a flight.
00:02:34.520 We've been on plenty of flights.
00:02:36.840 Someone out there needed to be told.
00:02:40.140 Anyway.
00:02:41.580 Yikes.
00:02:42.120 Okay.
00:02:42.320 Now for-
00:02:42.740 Hey, my gorgeous demigod of a husband.
00:02:44.480 And what do China and France have in common that is not a love of couture?
00:02:50.480 Well, a recent fertility collapse, but I actually want to-
00:02:54.400 The countries are very different, but we're going to talk about them together in this video
00:02:57.700 because we recently did an all-China video.
00:02:59.900 And there's been new data from China that is really shocking to us.
00:03:03.580 But there's also been new data from France.
00:03:05.800 So China has historically been having a fertility collapse problem.
00:03:10.600 It's just infinitely worse than anyone thought.
00:03:14.060 The recent statistics show that in just the last eight years, the number of kids being
00:03:18.600 born within China has declined by 60%.
00:03:20.940 And I'm going to post a graph here that shows how much year over year.
00:03:23.700 But this means for like the past five years, you've had double digit declines in fertility
00:03:27.740 rate every single year.
00:03:29.380 That's insane.
00:03:31.220 But France has actually, along with the US, been one of the countries that has really bucked
00:03:37.120 this trend.
00:03:37.680 So the United States, as everyone knows, is one of the countries that actually has fertility
00:03:43.220 rate fall slower than other countries.
00:03:46.160 The two other countries that really fit this, when you're talking about their, at least if
00:03:49.920 you control for their wealth, have historically been Israel and France, right?
00:03:54.600 So if we're talking about year over year decline in the US fertility rate, this last year, I think
00:03:57.640 it was only 2%.
00:03:58.560 Well, France this year began to fall into free fall, or in this past couple of years, it's
00:04:04.840 begun to fall into free fall.
00:04:06.080 And it really can no longer be included in the club of countries that are resistant to
00:04:11.100 fertility collapse.
00:04:12.000 Yeah, which we were really excited about.
00:04:13.960 I mean, there was one, you know?
00:04:18.140 Yeah.
00:04:18.460 So I'll post a graph on this screen, and we actually posted a meme of like the fire dog
00:04:24.080 alongside this graph, because you can see, this is like a falling off a cliff fertility
00:04:28.920 rate at this point.
00:04:30.240 But also, you know, France registered, so we're going to post an article here, 678,000 births
00:04:37.340 last year, representing a decrease of 7% from 2022, and down 20% from 2020.
00:04:45.860 That is absolutely shocking.
00:04:50.340 Now, France is trying to adapt to this.
00:04:53.260 They are trying to give, they're actually doing a bunch of stuff that's going to make
00:04:57.420 the problem worse.
00:05:00.120 So let's talk about what they're doing, and then we can contrast this with some of the
00:05:03.160 new things that we've learned that China is doing.
00:05:05.220 Nobody listens to you, Malcolm.
00:05:06.460 It's so sad.
00:05:07.440 Why won't they just listen?
00:05:08.840 I'm just out there telling them, what you're doing is not going to work.
00:05:11.500 Well, what's interesting, too, is right now, of the news outlets that are reaching out
00:05:16.180 to us about demographic collapse, the vast majority of them have been French recently.
00:05:23.180 Like, France is aware of this, but they're like, oh, we're just doing it totally wrong.
00:05:28.840 Yeah.
00:05:29.260 Okay.
00:05:29.520 So what is France doing?
00:05:31.120 They are extending maternity leave and giving more paid maternity leave.
00:05:36.180 That is the dumbest thing you could do.
00:05:39.120 If you care about high fertility weights, you should remove maternity leave at all as a
00:05:43.420 concept.
00:05:44.400 Like, it is a bad concept because it creates this idea that women must be pampered throughout
00:05:50.140 their pregnancy, which increases the perceived difficulty of the pregnancy to the woman.
00:05:55.040 Do you want to talk about this?
00:05:55.660 Yeah, it's like a cultural, it's considerate propaganda that's saying that having a kid is
00:06:01.880 incredibly difficult.
00:06:03.160 Also, if you actually care about, like, feminism in the workplace, making women more dangerous
00:06:09.800 employees to have, and especially women who seem to want to have a family, is not a good
00:06:15.240 way, especially in France, where it's already almost impossible to fire someone once you
00:06:19.300 hire them, not a good way to make women a safe hire.
00:06:23.600 No, this is terrible for women.
00:06:25.500 Terrible.
00:06:26.300 And worse than that, I mean, so what do you do?
00:06:28.620 Like, what is the actual policy you should be pushing in this area?
00:06:31.800 It should be, it should be that you cannot disallow women from bringing their baby into
00:06:38.000 the workplace.
00:06:39.020 And that when a woman gives birth, if she wants to work from home, unless you have a hard and
00:06:46.100 provable reason she can't work from home, she has to be allowed to work from home.
00:06:50.640 Yeah.
00:06:50.820 But if she has to work in the office, there should be childcare available.
00:06:53.840 Yeah, but I actually think that this work from home law should be just broadly, like,
00:06:58.320 if you want to really increase fertility rates, this law should just be the law of the land.
00:07:02.720 For men and women.
00:07:03.420 For men and women.
00:07:04.140 Because men can also be the ones to stay at home.
00:07:06.560 Totally.
00:07:07.440 Right.
00:07:07.700 But the point being is if a company cannot prove why a person has to go to the office with
00:07:13.440 statistics, because the statistics just aren't there.
00:07:15.920 Like, we've done work from home versus work from the office, re-recorded data on this.
00:07:20.580 Work from home is dramatically more productive than what they do.
00:07:22.820 And ironically, so one of the most famous, pretty rigorous studies that was done on this
00:07:27.460 early, I think it was somewhere in Asia, and it was a travel company where they did
00:07:31.600 a controlled, like some people, I think it was controlled, worked from home, whereas
00:07:36.560 other people stayed in the office.
00:07:38.100 They found, importantly, that the people who worked from home were more productive, got
00:07:42.740 more done.
00:07:43.480 The people who worked in the office were less productive, but the people who worked in the
00:07:46.820 office got more promotions.
00:07:47.780 So not only are anti-work from home policies damaging to a company's productivity, they
00:07:54.180 also encourage the promotion of less productive employees who invest more time in water cooler
00:08:01.640 chat and politicking and performative work that is ultimately killing and draining life
00:08:07.960 from the company.
00:08:08.760 Yeah, you are promoting the brown nosers.
00:08:11.820 And if we were running a large company, we would have a policy looking for anyone who
00:08:15.600 is promoting people who work from the office.
00:08:17.760 Like, I would consider that as a huge ding to an employee.
00:08:19.900 If they wanted to work for the office, I'd be like, oh, so you don't want to work.
00:08:22.300 You like office politics and office theater.
00:08:24.880 But that's an aside there.
00:08:27.980 So those would be like actual useful things that France could implement.
00:08:30.940 Instead, they're doing the dumbest thing, which is increasing fertility payments during
00:08:36.560 a woman's maternity leave, which is, you know, backed by this sort of state organization,
00:08:41.000 which is not going to be fundable soon, given the rate of the fertility collapse in France.
00:08:46.320 Yeah, what younger generations are going to pay for this?
00:08:48.820 God, good point.
00:08:50.340 But now we need to talk about what China is doing, which is sort of the exact opposite.
00:08:55.240 I am, it's unethical, but I won't say that it's necessarily stupid.
00:09:00.140 Like, I don't know what's going to come of it, because no one else has tried this before,
00:09:05.100 but it's pretty bold.
00:09:07.020 So what China has started doing is, hold on, I'm going to pull up the card here that somebody
00:09:13.400 had passed out by the CCP.
00:09:15.160 So one is they are reaching out to any mother that is under 35 and telling them to have more
00:09:23.500 kids.
00:09:24.420 They're like, okay, you've already had a kid.
00:09:26.220 You need to have more kids.
00:09:27.440 So pressure from the government.
00:09:29.420 That could actually work.
00:09:31.100 But the other thing that they're cracking down on, and I'll post a picture of a card
00:09:35.040 here, which is beware of homosexuals cards.
00:09:40.120 Basically explaining to people the threat, quote unquote, the threat of homosexuals.
00:09:45.820 And this is a threat insofar as, again, I wouldn't use the word homosexuals.
00:09:51.240 I'm just using the word that is used in this translation here.
00:09:55.240 I find it to be a little more derogatory than I'm comfortable with.
00:09:59.600 But let's see what they say here.
00:10:01.100 Oh, so it's a lecture so that they can attend.
00:10:04.420 So Wu Zain Plaza warns you, beware of homosexuals.
00:10:08.100 How can a country be prosperous without full descendants?
00:10:12.780 How can we live healthy lives without a prosperous motherland?
00:10:17.060 And it's a lecture that they can attend on preventing homosexuals.
00:10:21.700 Well, I love that.
00:10:22.680 Like, I remember American propaganda against the gays.
00:10:28.560 And it was like, he's a predator.
00:10:31.520 You know, like, it just completely misunderstood.
00:10:34.000 But it was also just like, this is a cultural menace.
00:10:35.960 Whereas like, China is like, but they're not having kids.
00:10:39.680 Which is really interesting.
00:10:41.920 I mean, I wish that China could actually just be like, okay, to all gay and lesbian couples,
00:10:48.320 to like, we will provide to you free, you know, IVF.
00:10:54.100 We will make it very easy for you to have kids.
00:10:56.060 We will help you.
00:10:57.520 Because I mean, the outcomes also seem to show like from that Netherlands study that
00:11:01.020 that we looked at, that children like of surrogates to gay couples had better outcomes a little
00:11:08.460 bit on average.
00:11:09.380 So like, why not?
00:11:10.600 I mean, China should be sampling bias because, you know, gay people, it's a lot harder for
00:11:14.680 them to have kids.
00:11:15.200 But the point here being, and they're going to have fewer kids, which we'll talk about
00:11:19.680 in a second.
00:11:20.080 When she said she loves this, it doesn't mean she loves that gay people are being oppressed.
00:11:23.420 She said she means she finds the mechanism of oppression comical.
00:11:26.880 Yes.
00:11:27.500 The earlier oppression was in the United States.
00:11:29.660 But the reason you had that earlier oppression within the United States was fertility.
00:11:36.320 And this is really important for people to understand.
00:11:39.180 And it's why our book, The Fragmentist Guide to Crafting Religion is so important and why
00:11:44.400 everyone should read it because it discusses some concepts that no one has really discussed
00:11:48.580 before.
00:11:49.580 So previously in the field of memetics, this is how ideas evolve.
00:11:54.140 People thought of memes as things that basically captured a person's mind, like got into
00:11:59.640 their mind, like a virus, and then that person to reproduce themselves.
00:12:03.580 So they would get in that person's mind.
00:12:05.460 And then that person would go out and try to convince as many other people as possible
00:12:09.060 of the idea.
00:12:10.260 But as we point out, not exactly.
00:12:12.860 So some memes are completely parasitic like that.
00:12:15.660 The urban monoculture is an example of this.
00:12:17.840 But other memes in a historic context were actually clusters of memetic ideas that improved the individual
00:12:24.480 biological fitness of the group.
00:12:26.420 And by biological fitness, what I mean is at the evolutionary level.
00:12:30.160 Groups that had these memetic clusters were, one, a higher fertility rate, two, had lower
00:12:36.280 death rates, and three, were better at resisting simple viral memetics.
00:12:42.560 What do we usually call these?
00:12:44.120 These are what religions were or what we call cultivars.
00:12:47.300 So they are these symbiotic cultural groups.
00:12:49.360 Now, there is a reason, it may seem arbitrary, that almost every long-lived successful cultural
00:12:55.680 group in human history has had an undertone of homophobia to it up until the point where
00:13:02.280 it becomes a dominant societal cultural group and really successful for a while, and then
00:13:06.000 it usually drops as homophobia, and then it has a collapse.
00:13:08.660 But it's not the drop of homophobia that causes the collapse.
00:13:11.120 It's a drop of the culture more broadly.
00:13:13.020 It's when they begin to accept gay people is often when they're throwing out all the other
00:13:17.080 rules that seem arbitrary to them and they don't understand, and they're starting to
00:13:20.480 do all the orgies and all the opulence and everything like that, which most cultures shame.
00:13:24.640 And so the question is, is why?
00:13:25.600 Why?
00:13:25.780 Because it lowers fertility rates.
00:13:27.420 And so the iterations of those cultures that didn't have these prohibitions had lower
00:13:31.280 fertility rates than the iterations that did have these prohibitions, which led to the
00:13:35.040 iterations that had these prohibitions outcompeting the iterations that didn't have these prohibitions.
00:13:39.960 Now, this is not great from our perspective.
00:13:42.840 I mean, we believe in sort of maximum individual choice, and we don't like that we're seeing
00:13:48.420 this increase in homophobia, but there is a reason why historically the homophobic groups
00:13:53.640 have competed with the other groups, and China is recognizing this.
00:13:56.140 Gay people have fewer kids than straight people.
00:13:58.440 Therefore, we can increase the fertility rate by shaming gay people and by making people afraid
00:14:03.020 to be publicly gay.
00:14:04.620 Well, and we need to add that China is the bellwether of the coercive effects of demographic collapse.
00:14:11.020 So anything that you see China doing now is stuff that you can expect other nations to
00:14:17.260 start doing as they reach higher levels of desperation.
00:14:21.140 So if you actually care about gay rights, and if you actually care about reproductive choice,
00:14:26.560 you should actually care about demographic collapse.
00:14:29.640 And you can already look to places like China to see exactly why.
00:14:33.640 I mean, I can't believe they have like, hey, watch out for the gays card.
00:14:38.360 It's hilarious.
00:14:39.180 So to give you an idea of how bad things are in China right now, which is dramatically worse
00:14:44.440 than the situation in France, like they're not really in the same boat in terms of the
00:14:47.940 scope.
00:14:48.720 If the newly leaked data from China is right, and they have 8 million fewer births in 2023,
00:14:54.760 what that would represent is a decline of 60% from 2016.
00:15:00.880 And a 17% year-over-year decline.
00:15:06.140 60%.
00:15:06.540 That is catastrophic.
00:15:10.680 Imagine if this was like an economy, right?
00:15:13.000 And an economy shrunk by 60% in eight years.
00:15:17.060 This is the fertility equivalent of hyperinflation.
00:15:21.020 It is the fertility equivalent of having to walk around with wheelbarrows to buy a loaf of bread.
00:15:28.280 Wheelbarrows full of cash, you know, when you hear about these situations.
00:15:31.660 People do not understand the societal effects this is going to have.
00:15:35.960 And anyone who's in one of these groups that is going to be targeted because of this, like the LGBT
00:15:40.960 populations around the world, if you cannot fix this problem, if you cannot convince people who
00:15:47.660 are okay with gay people existing to have kids at an above replacement fertility rate, you will be
00:15:54.180 hunted down and systemically exterminated.
00:15:56.660 And we're beginning to see the first waves of this.
00:15:59.860 We are warning you because we don't want that to happen.
00:16:03.560 But it is the way this plays out if we cannot convince people who support you to stay around
00:16:10.620 in the world, okay?
00:16:12.580 That's the end game.
00:16:14.000 And we explain, one of my favorite quotes that I always mention is when the Guardian, when we
00:16:17.520 explain this to them and they're like, well, that sounds an awful lot like a threat.
00:16:20.580 And I'm like, yes, it is a threat.
00:16:21.920 If the threat in the same way is when I threaten my kid to not touch the stove or his hand is going
00:16:26.060 to be burned.
00:16:27.220 We told you this was going to happen.
00:16:28.760 We've been telling you this is going to happen for years.
00:16:32.760 It's going to be bad.
00:16:35.840 But, and this is a broader issue here.
00:16:39.320 We can say, well, will these China policies work?
00:16:41.620 I don't know how effective they'll be, but we can see predecessors of these policies in
00:16:45.620 Iran.
00:16:46.320 Because Iran has been having this problem a lot longer than China has.
00:16:49.280 And, you know, they have a theocratic state.
00:16:50.820 So they've been able to try a lot of these practices.
00:16:53.840 And they have ramped up the homophobia and stuff like that.
00:16:56.260 And they have seen a small increase in fertility rate, but it's not enough.
00:17:00.840 The core thing that they actually did was make it harder for women to get educated.
00:17:04.200 And that really increased their fertility rates.
00:17:06.320 You know, also not getting great.
00:17:08.660 But we are barreling head first to a handmaid's tail.
00:17:12.400 And the virus that is causing everyone to become sterile, the virus that is creating all this
00:17:17.640 is wokeness.
00:17:18.940 Well, and ironically, though, there's even more to it.
00:17:21.220 And I mentioned this on another podcast, but I was watching a YouTube video about something
00:17:25.420 unrelated in China.
00:17:26.460 And I saw footage of what people were eating for like a typical lunch.
00:17:29.980 And it was, in this case, like a soup out of a plastic bag within like a styrofoam cup
00:17:35.840 that was delivered.
00:17:36.460 And I'm just like, anyone who's like kind of sensitive to, you know, information about
00:17:42.420 like endocrine disruptors and like, you know, eating things out of plastic that has been
00:17:47.720 heated or anything like that, you know, just immediately freaks out.
00:17:51.020 And then I immediately thought to the ADV China videos that we used to watch back in the
00:17:55.260 day when they were still in China.
00:17:56.980 And the guys, it's Laowai-86 and then, who's the other guy, the South African?
00:18:03.440 Laowai-86.
00:18:04.760 And anyway, it's called China Fact Chasers today.
00:18:07.300 Yeah, they kept telling stories of, you know, personal encounters with adulterated food,
00:18:12.120 adulterated beverages.
00:18:13.740 And I'm also seeing in the actual like Handmaid's Tale show series, which I've only watched a couple
00:18:20.640 episodes of, frankly, so that I could understand what people are like comparing us to, is that
00:18:25.980 it's like pollutants, I think, that are causing people to become infertile.
00:18:29.460 So the reason that they start coercing some women to be handmaids is because like literally
00:18:33.280 they're the only ones who are capable of having kids.
00:18:36.380 And in China, I'm kind of like, okay, well, so they're going to get to a point where they've
00:18:40.080 exhausted all of the coercive methods and mechanisms they have, and they are still not
00:18:44.800 going to get women to have kids because of the amount of pollutants, both air pollutants
00:18:50.860 and like general like food adulteration problems that they actually have in the country.
00:18:57.080 So this isn't just a problem of like, you know, these people are going to struggle to
00:19:01.740 have kids because of cultural factors.
00:19:04.160 I like to tell you where I think they're going, forced insemination.
00:19:07.260 Yeah, but even forced insemination isn't going to help you a whole lot if your entire like
00:19:11.960 endocrine system, your entire reproductive system is not functioning properly.
00:19:14.920 No, no, no, no, no, no, no.
00:19:16.000 So I'll discuss where China's going.
00:19:18.240 First, they're going to basically make people without children second-class citizens.
00:19:21.580 Okay.
00:19:22.520 And then?
00:19:23.100 In their tax policy and the way you get promoted within the CCP, if you don't have above a
00:19:26.820 certain number of children, you will be a second-class citizen and you will be treated
00:19:29.840 like human garbage.
00:19:30.840 So, okay, first they're going to-
00:19:31.600 Why are they doing that now?
00:19:32.100 Because it seems like that would actually be way more effective than a lot of, like right
00:19:34.760 now they're doing like matchmaking and like-
00:19:37.060 Because they haven't fully accepted how big the problem is yet.
00:19:40.000 You know, even a place like China takes a while.
00:19:41.640 But I mean, I would say that restricted access to birth control is like pretty big shots fired
00:19:45.980 vis-a-vis.
00:19:46.820 No, I mean, in the U.S. it would be, but given the scope of China's problem is 60% fertility
00:19:52.420 collapse.
00:19:52.820 That's actually pretty minor.
00:19:54.860 So next, they're going to realize that doesn't work because of all this biological stuff that
00:19:59.960 we're talking about.
00:20:00.580 They're going to realize that maybe only like one in three men can actually fertilize women
00:20:05.140 anymore.
00:20:05.780 And that's where forced insemination comes in because then they're going to be using other
00:20:09.900 men's sperm to inseminate people's wives because they're going to be like, well, you can't,
00:20:14.920 you can't get them pregnant anymore.
00:20:16.700 Keep in mind the fertility collapse while it's affecting both men and women, it's affecting
00:20:21.020 men more.
00:20:22.280 And so I think that a bunch of these men are going to be inferred.
00:20:24.860 You know, you talk about like these endocrine disruptors.
00:20:27.360 That means that men that are gestating right now in these women's bellies, the vast majority
00:20:32.880 of them, like in the U.S.
00:20:34.280 Like when you look at like raw nationalist predictions, which I think are probably right,
00:20:38.660 is by 2060, half of men in Europe and the United States will be infernal.
00:20:43.640 In China, I expect it to be closer to like 80%.
00:20:46.780 Given the type of behavior that you're talking about, like eating food out of heated plastic
00:20:53.000 bags and stuff like that.
00:20:54.840 And if that's the case, and keep in mind, we're talking about the next generation, the
00:20:57.820 generation that gestated in women doing these sorts of behaviors.
00:21:02.200 They are going to be this effeminate.
00:21:05.080 We've done videos on like the new sexualities and like femboids and stuff like that.
00:21:09.720 The Tide study shows really clearly this changes men into something other than men exactly.
00:21:16.260 They explain even like seven years afterwards, if they were exposed to these chemicals, more
00:21:21.880 female-like than male-like play behavior.
00:21:24.220 And I think that this is actually a huge component of the rise of the trans movement is it really
00:21:28.220 is a rise of trans individuals, of men who are not fully men.
00:21:31.820 At least the male-to-female trans movement.
00:21:34.340 I think the male trans movement, that's a different phenomenon.
00:21:37.520 But you can watch our videos on trans stuff to see what we actually think.
00:21:41.460 I think that like our women, what is it?
00:21:43.660 Like what makes someone a woman was one of the videos we did on that.
00:21:46.600 But anyway.
00:21:48.160 So what is your thought?
00:21:49.280 Like which of these solutions, do you think the China solutions are going to work?
00:21:52.260 How would you predict China ends up trying to tackle this?
00:21:54.480 Yeah, well, I mean, what you said actually about them switching over to status, which
00:21:59.680 I've heard no signs of.
00:22:01.540 I think that's a fairly astute prediction because I do think that in China where reputation
00:22:05.440 matters so much and social status is really important as well, that that can be fairly
00:22:11.500 effective and that they eventually will have to turn to that.
00:22:14.620 But I also I can see it maybe being something that actually they wait too long to do because
00:22:19.960 I think a lot of people who are probably very high up in the CCP themselves have zero to
00:22:26.040 one kids.
00:22:26.920 So there would have to be some kind of grandfather clause, right?
00:22:29.480 Because but then, you know, it makes it a more effectless policy.
00:22:32.860 So I'm just saying like a question.
00:22:34.540 I think that that's a very effective way to go.
00:22:36.000 I think, you know, changing social status to to coerce or inspire people to have kids
00:22:42.980 will be effective.
00:22:43.960 And I think that like tax policies can totally be effective, like where you have huge tax breaks
00:22:49.440 or you pay higher tax if you don't have kids.
00:22:51.980 But I just.
00:22:53.820 Well, then there's the other thing, which is which is worth considering, which I think
00:22:56.960 people like when we go to France, right?
00:22:59.220 And like like people are like, oh, who are like your when your family is building alliance
00:23:04.420 in France?
00:23:05.100 Like, who's your best French friend?
00:23:07.340 You know, I'm not going to call out her name here, but, you know, she's a Muslim and
00:23:11.420 she's a first.
00:23:12.560 I don't know.
00:23:13.080 I think she's like a second or third generation immigrant, but from Guinea.
00:23:15.980 No, no.
00:23:16.260 She first generation immigrant from Guinea.
00:23:17.520 And they're like, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, your best friend in France is a Muslim
00:23:22.260 immigrant.
00:23:23.600 And and they're like, who's your friend in the UK?
00:23:25.960 Your best friend in the UK.
00:23:27.200 I go, oh, she's a second generation Hindi immigrant.
00:23:29.960 They're like, wait, wait, wait, wait.
00:23:30.960 Why aren't you like focused on building alliances with like British people?
00:23:34.960 I'm like, because they're not going to exist in 100 years.
00:23:37.360 Like we are like you can say that people are like, oh, so you must be like a weird sort
00:23:44.900 of great replacement theorist where you're like, OK, yeah, but we're just for no, not
00:23:48.640 at all.
00:23:49.320 The Muslims are not the reasons why French people are going extinct.
00:23:53.680 And and Indian immigrants to the UK are not the reason why white people in the UK aren't
00:23:59.580 having kids.
00:24:00.800 That's all on them.
00:24:01.960 They just decided to erase themselves.
00:24:04.820 You know, I can't do anything about that.
00:24:08.020 But I need to be realistic when it comes to what alliances are important for my family
00:24:13.660 to build and alliances with white Europeans, basically pointless from an intergenerational
00:24:20.960 perspective, because when I say white Europeans, I mean like native whatever Europeans, their
00:24:26.040 fertility rates are low.
00:24:27.240 There's nothing you can really do to stop it at this point.
00:24:29.380 And I think like we talk about China where I think the CCP will eventually find a way
00:24:33.860 to stabilize their fertility.
00:24:35.560 Do I think France will eventually find a way to stabilize their fertility?
00:24:39.800 Yeah.
00:24:40.360 When it's a Muslim country.
00:24:42.100 Do I see that as a bad thing?
00:24:43.400 No.
00:24:43.800 Like there's a reason why our family's religion incorporates a lot of part of Islam, you know,
00:24:48.340 and is like and I have a lot of Muslim friends and there's a lot of Muslim first generation
00:24:52.500 immigrants in the pro natalist movement who were working to keep them from having their
00:24:56.060 culture, they would say assimilated.
00:24:58.080 What they really mean is cultural genocide, right?
00:25:00.400 When somebody says, I want to assimilate Muslims, I mean, I want to erase every part of their
00:25:04.560 culture that goes against the urban monoculture.
00:25:06.200 They're not assimilating them to Christian conservative traditions.
00:25:09.440 And so I don't actually think personally, I don't think that Europe, the European people who
00:25:14.740 are complaining about Muslims are not really complaining about Muslims.
00:25:18.620 They are complaining about highly uneducated, impoverished refugee populations.
00:25:25.140 And I don't think that there would be any difference in the damage that they're seeing
00:25:30.260 if those highly uneducated, impoverished refugee populations.
00:25:34.200 Oh, yeah.
00:25:34.460 This is a huge problem for socialist economies.
00:25:36.560 And I agree with that.
00:25:37.560 And I think that the key way to fix this is to stop giving immigrants access to your social
00:25:43.580 services.
00:25:44.000 That's stupid and insane.
00:25:45.480 Why would you do that?
00:25:46.660 But like it's genuinely insane.
00:25:49.040 Why would you give a first generation immigrant access to your social services?
00:25:52.460 You're creating a really bad incentive structure there.
00:25:54.700 I know, but we're ones to talk, though, because like we believe like in any sort of governance
00:25:59.820 design, those you should only get benefits to the extent that you're contributing.
00:26:04.740 So anyone like and if you can if you are taking from the state more than you give, you have
00:26:09.280 no voice and you should have no voice.
00:26:11.040 But I mean, I want to I want to make a side here, which which is the point that we're making.
00:26:15.380 And it's important that, you know, this is this is clear, is that these countries, because
00:26:19.220 of this stupid incentive system they have, do disproportionately draw lower quality immigrants
00:26:24.800 than you're going to get in the US.
00:26:26.080 And when I say lower quality, what I mean is that they are much more likely to live off of
00:26:29.500 the state.
00:26:30.020 They're much less likely to contribute economically to the state.
00:26:32.580 And and so like like in an objective standpoint, I'm talking from an economic standpoint.
00:26:37.040 Right.
00:26:37.860 But this does not mean that these countries don't also have an elite population of immigrants
00:26:43.860 that are Muslim as well.
00:26:45.080 Like Muslims are a very divorced population group.
00:26:48.140 And there is an educated elite among Muslim populations, which is also higher fertility than
00:26:55.280 a lot of these native populations.
00:26:56.500 And that Muslim communities actually, in my at least in my experience, do a better job
00:27:04.220 of elevating their elite than other communities.
00:27:06.960 And they are much more comfortable serving the elite within the community.
00:27:10.460 So you don't need a high quality average within Muslim majority populations as much as you
00:27:16.820 do within non-Muslim majority populations.
00:27:18.900 By that, what I mean is they're much less enamored with things like democracy.
00:27:25.120 And they're more extremely meritocratic, you're saying?
00:27:28.380 I wouldn't call it meritocratic, but I'd call it monarchistic or autocratic in a way where
00:27:34.500 they understand that it's generally better to have the best of them running everything
00:27:41.040 and making all the decisions and not leading things to boats.
00:27:43.800 Yeah, and I guess you say not meritocratic because you're saying the best of them as
00:27:47.780 defined by their culture, which you view as a little bit not what you...
00:27:50.920 Yeah, yeah, internal culture heuristics, but it is kind of more meritocratic.
00:27:55.040 It's like meritocratic...
00:27:56.700 Meritocratic by their terms.
00:27:58.900 Combined with autocratic, yeah.
00:28:00.920 Which, again, I guess this is like a horribly offensive thing to say, but it's like if you
00:28:05.620 understand and hang out with Muslims, it's objectively true.
00:28:08.160 And it's not like a bad system in groups where you have like lower average economic productivity
00:28:14.860 in these larger immigrant populations.
00:28:17.700 And again, I'm not saying that there are lower average economic productivity.
00:28:20.580 I'm saying specifically the individuals who are being drawn to these socialist economies,
00:28:24.600 which are paying their way once they come.
00:28:28.180 Obviously, the people who are going to be disproportionately drawn to that are the people who are lower economic
00:28:32.420 productivity.
00:28:32.860 Maybe someone who's watching this can also help us understand this when it comes to meritocracy.
00:28:38.900 You, when speaking with a journalist at one point recently, had said something like, you
00:28:43.620 know, I believe that rather than being judged by the color of their skin, people should be
00:28:48.220 judged by like their meritocratic contributions and values by their abilities.
00:28:53.800 And the journalist was like, hey, can you please repeat that?
00:28:57.320 Like, as if like, are you sure you want to say that?
00:28:59.760 This was the journalist who was very hostile to us.
00:29:01.960 Yeah.
00:29:03.380 Can someone explain to us if this is...
00:29:06.180 I have this radical belief.
00:29:07.860 I have this radically conservative belief.
00:29:09.760 And I know that this in our modern system is racist and horribly racist.
00:29:14.880 But I have this weird dream that people should be judged by the content of their character
00:29:20.540 and not the color of their skin.
00:29:22.380 Now, I know this is racist to say that.
00:29:25.320 I know anyone who has ever said this must be a virulent, evil racist.
00:29:29.840 But to me, it's a dream that I've always had for the future of America, a country where
00:29:35.940 we can judge people by the content of their character and not the color of their skin.
00:29:40.780 And that might have been a part of it.
00:29:41.560 But is this like really considered, like, I would love for anyone to like, be like, here's
00:29:47.440 why someone would hear that and, you know, ask you if you want to correct your statement
00:29:53.960 for fear of you being completely destroyed by this ruinous comment you just made.
00:29:59.860 Because maybe there's something we're missing here.
00:30:02.080 And we would love to understand that.
00:30:04.280 Yeah.
00:30:04.720 Well, I love it.
00:30:05.640 Like, pro-natalist racist.
00:30:06.960 Because they believe in judging people by their meritocratic worth and the content of
00:30:13.780 their character and not anything else.
00:30:15.760 And that is clearly an attack on X and Y group.
00:30:21.240 And I'm like, if that, if you think that that's clearly an attack on X and Y group, then by
00:30:25.120 our standards, you have a pretty racist opinion of X and Y group.
00:30:29.560 Okay.
00:30:30.600 Because I believe that there are excellent people within all populations.
00:30:34.020 And you see this within the data, and we've posted this statistic before, but it just
00:30:37.480 shocks me.
00:30:38.320 If you look within the United States, if you look at populations by what percent are they
00:30:43.340 conservative versus what percent are they Democrat, and you look at Blacks and Hispanics
00:30:47.340 within these populations, if you look at the difference between their test scores and
00:30:51.720 white individuals within these populations' test scores, they are lower in the Republican
00:30:57.560 controlled districts than they are in the Democrat controlled districts.
00:31:00.820 So Democrat policies, these policies that are supposed to be helping.
00:31:04.020 These groups are really intergenerationally disempowering them.
00:31:09.880 And I think through that, creating a permanent underclass and a permanent ethno underclass that
00:31:17.420 the Democrats can use as a safe voting block because they prevent these individuals from
00:31:22.800 actually educating themselves and learning that the Democrats are not their friends, learning
00:31:26.860 that the data shows they're not their friends, learning that the data shows and the statistics
00:31:30.600 I'll tell you until the end of the earth, 538 poll, Nate Silver, you know, very middle
00:31:34.620 of the line, that until Obama was elected, more white Democrats than white Republicans said
00:31:39.060 they would not vote for a Black president.
00:31:41.200 Democrats are not like undercover racists.
00:31:44.340 They are actually super, super racist.
00:31:47.660 Well, and you remember that research that I shared with you.
00:31:50.380 And I'm going to post another graph of how left-leaning media sources are these days, which, you know,
00:31:56.300 will show you that they control pretty much all of the media that you are consuming unless
00:32:00.140 you watch Breitbart.
00:32:01.300 And you'll remember the research I shared with you as well that showed that, we'll say,
00:32:05.700 non-white populations, Black, Hispanics, et cetera, fared better.
00:32:09.480 And maybe there's certainly a selection bias at taking place here, but that lived in Republican
00:32:15.580 districts, Republican dominated districts had, I think, better economic and other like social
00:32:20.940 outcomes, like test scores and stuff.
00:32:23.380 Yeah.
00:32:23.780 Minority groups living in Democratic majority areas.
00:32:29.060 So it, it just, it really does seem like after you see research like that, it seems awfully
00:32:34.640 suspicious and it seems an awful lot like minority groups in those areas are being intentionally
00:32:42.460 suppressed and, and kept down in a way that makes them dependent on, especially a lot of
00:32:49.480 like the, at least the promise of state services.
00:32:51.580 That's the goal.
00:32:52.820 They keep them economically disempowered and uneducated so that they can use them as a safe
00:32:57.420 voting block without realizing that the Democrats have always been the party of the Klan.
00:33:02.880 It never changed.
00:33:04.020 The party's never fully switched.
00:33:05.800 There were switches within some policy positions, but they just changed the names of a few things
00:33:11.400 and now the Klan is called Antifa, but they are just as evil and just as racist as they
00:33:16.360 have ever been.
00:33:17.600 And they rely on keeping these groups economically disempowered while promoting token individuals
00:33:23.640 within these groups to positions of authority.
00:33:26.240 And you can be like, well, that doesn't sound right.
00:33:28.060 That's what the slave owners did.
00:33:29.900 Yeah.
00:33:30.600 Like, I'm sorry.
00:33:31.940 It disgusts me.
00:33:32.620 It disgusts me that I see this still going on in our country and, and that these racist
00:33:38.040 groups have thrived by changing racism to quote unquote, anti-racism, even though it has much
00:33:44.900 of the same effects.
00:33:46.400 It's bad.
00:33:48.000 It's really bad.
00:33:49.640 Yeah.
00:33:49.820 But so what do you think in game France, China?
00:33:55.080 I mean, yeah, I, I, China's going to figure it out.
00:33:57.160 I would say that China is, is a country with thousands of years of rises and falls, you know,
00:34:05.300 like it just, it's a cycle and it will find its way, but it may be very different.
00:34:10.660 Would you think there's any hope for France?
00:34:15.940 I don't know enough about France to know if they're a weird minority group, like weird
00:34:20.720 Amish, like high fertility, isolated, very culturally hard groups in France.
00:34:28.720 If there are, then for sure there's hope, but also I feel like there's a collection of families
00:34:35.140 in France that develops a, an intergenerationally durable culture, which is well described in
00:34:41.820 your book, the private is guide to crafting religion can totally change the trajectory
00:34:46.560 here.
00:34:46.960 Like if you had, you know, 30 families in France, you know, I more would be great, but
00:34:53.620 like just 30 families be like, you know what?
00:34:57.180 We're going to go for this.
00:34:58.580 We're all going to have a lot of kids.
00:34:59.800 We're going to give our kids an amazing childhood and amazing education.
00:35:02.440 We're going to empower them and we're going to inspire them to pass on this culture and
00:35:05.860 have a lot of kids.
00:35:06.940 Totally.
00:35:07.320 French culture could be protected.
00:35:08.620 Totally.
00:35:09.120 French culture can be not only protected, but like made extra augmented brought back to a
00:35:14.980 lot of what it was.
00:35:15.520 A lot of French culture has already been lost and this is, you know, definitely a sore point
00:35:19.540 in France and it has been for a very long time.
00:35:22.300 France used to be, you know, the cultural reactor core of Europe and to a great extent,
00:35:28.820 the rest of the world, it used to be way more influential.
00:35:31.840 I think that there's a huge opportunity to make France great again, but also, yeah, totally
00:35:37.300 from a demographic standpoint for like various French ethnicities and cultural niches to be
00:35:42.820 represented in the future.
00:35:43.820 All of that depends on a sufficient number of families, doesn't have to be a lot of them
00:35:48.740 and only those who are into this, building an intergenerational durable culture.
00:35:53.300 So for China, I'm like, yeah, they're going to figure it out.
00:35:55.900 For France, it really comes down to the acts of a very small number of people.
00:36:00.200 And that is not something we can predict.
00:36:03.040 It really depends on them.
00:36:04.260 Does that make sense?
00:36:05.600 That makes sense.
00:36:06.340 I also think to an extent there's a reason for cultural alliances here, which France
00:36:10.840 needs to be more intentional about, but the UK has done pretty well.
00:36:14.480 So I'll explain what I mean by this.
00:36:16.680 We, the reason why we think diversity has value is we think that different cultural groups
00:36:21.080 are actually different from each other.
00:36:23.120 Like diversity would have no value if we were all actually the same.
00:36:27.180 Some cultural groups are much more like other cultural groups than other cultural groups
00:36:32.060 are, right?
00:36:33.260 The, if you look at like, for example, Hindi immigrants in the UK, the Hindis culturally,
00:36:39.860 the ones that are immigrating, which are mostly Brahmins and stuff like that, they are, well,
00:36:44.620 obviously you have some other population groups, but Hindis are just British people.
00:36:47.500 Like very, very, very close culturally.
00:36:50.920 Like ethnically, they might be different, but me as an outsider, when I said that Persians
00:36:55.480 are basically Americans with like slightly more audacious aesthetic sense that is actually
00:37:01.520 very aligned with Trump's, you know, they're very entrepreneurial.
00:37:04.420 They're very frontier-y traditionalist, but in sort of like an American, like put a spin
00:37:09.040 on it way.
00:37:11.080 With Hindi, they're very similar to UK people.
00:37:14.340 They're very sort of like play it by the books, play it by the numbers, you know, stiff
00:37:18.900 upper lip.
00:37:20.180 Let's push through this.
00:37:21.700 Let's not, let's not do anything crazy here.
00:37:24.500 Let's all stay in a queue.
00:37:25.760 So I think like a UK, even if their population is replaced by Hindi, I don't think you've
00:37:30.900 lost the UK at all.
00:37:32.360 Now, I don't think that this will happen because the Hindi fertility rate is quite low now, which
00:37:35.920 is a shame to me because, you know, they could work together better in terms of who they're
00:37:39.800 importing.
00:37:40.500 But I really hate this idea of cultural assimilation.
00:37:42.900 I believe instead you should import cultural groups that are similar and that are able to
00:37:48.900 work alongside yours really efficiently.
00:37:51.100 And I think British people, Hindi people, these two groups go together swimmingly in
00:37:55.560 terms of working together.
00:37:56.760 They've been doing it.
00:37:57.380 Well, and this is not, we should say, this is not a conservative view that the strength
00:38:03.480 of diversity comes from diverse groups staying diverse, which is to say, leaning into their
00:38:09.320 cultural and other uniqueness.
00:38:11.240 I was just reading an article that pointed out that for one of the Olympics recently, President
00:38:16.100 Obama, I think when he was still president, was remarking at just how successful the American
00:38:22.560 Olympic team was thanks to its diversity.
00:38:24.880 And he compared like Michael Phelps to Simone Biles.
00:38:28.560 Like these are two wildly different people, wildly different body types and wildly different
00:38:33.660 abilities.
00:38:34.060 As a result, we would not be able to kill it at the Olympics if we didn't have this level
00:38:38.860 of genetic diversity.
00:38:40.820 So, you know, I mean, one, it's now.
00:38:42.560 That's pretty offensive, Simone, to say that Simone Biles couldn't do what Michael Phelps
00:38:46.060 does and vice versa.
00:38:47.440 Even if Michael Phelps does like basically giant paddles for feet and is like forever
00:38:53.160 long.
00:38:54.580 No, he has like a weird thing was like his heart or metabolic or metabolic structure.
00:38:59.080 There are a bunch of very genetically unique things about it.
00:39:01.240 And Simone Biles is like a superhuman.
00:39:03.580 She's insane.
00:39:04.840 Like her abilities is unbelievable.
00:39:07.600 But again, like so even even progressive leaders recognize that diversity is meaningful
00:39:14.060 and amazing and cool and provides a huge competitive advantage.
00:39:17.400 So I just want to point out again, even though this is the prenatalism is so coded conservative
00:39:23.020 and that's totally fine by us, whatever it is.
00:39:26.020 It is a universal issue.
00:39:27.520 Well, I was caring about diversity these days, like Obama might do it, but he couldn't do that
00:39:31.920 when running for an election.
00:39:33.000 Admit that Michael Phelps could not do what Simone Biles did if he was raised in her circumstances.
00:39:38.400 I think that's a recent thing, though.
00:39:39.580 I think when he was in office, people were allowed to acknowledge genetic diversity.
00:39:46.760 It's something we are like we are totally going off the rails.
00:39:49.080 We are losing our minds here.
00:39:51.040 But anyway, I know you have to run.
00:39:53.340 I regret that because I treasure every second with you.
00:39:56.660 I love you so much, Malcolm.
00:39:58.120 You are amazing.
00:39:59.100 You are an amazing human being.
00:40:00.780 Not as amazing as you.
00:40:01.760 I can't I still can't believe you're human.
00:40:04.260 You're the best thing ever.
00:40:05.680 I love you so much, Malcolm.