Based Camp - Hispanics are Going Extinct Due to Low Fertility Rates

00:00:00.000 Stunningly, except for Mexico, all of the countries listed in this graph have already

00:00:05.560 dropped below this level.

00:00:07.720 Uruguay, Costa Rica, Chile, Jamaica, and Cuba now have a total fertility rate of around

00:00:14.640 1.3 children per woman.

00:00:17.040 The so-called, quote-unquote, ultra-low fertility threshold that has only been seen in a handful

00:00:23.120 of European and East Asian countries.

00:00:25.080 In a TED Talk delivered last year, Argentine economist and demographer Rafael Rothman

00:00:30.640 said that his country's fertility had declined more in the previous six years than in the

00:00:36.420 previous six decades.

00:00:38.040 As a result, he told AQ, in 2024, there will be roughly 30% fewer four-year-olds entering

00:00:44.480 Argentinian preschools than there were in 2020.

00:00:47.620 A 30% drop in four years.

00:00:51.760 A recent paper titled The Great Decline, Wanda Sela and three other Uruguayan demographers

00:00:58.320 write that in just seven years, the total fertility rate in Uruguay dropped from 2 to 1.27 children

00:01:04.920 per woman.

00:01:05.880 There is no precedent for a fall of this magnitude in such a short period.

00:01:11.540 We've warned you, people.

00:01:14.440 We have been warning you for years now.

00:01:17.220 If this was an animal species, like if you had an animal that was halving every year and

00:01:21.960 it was due to a recent and rapid decline, that would categorize the species as an endangered

00:01:26.500 or critically endangered species.

00:01:28.400 So we would categorize most cultural groups in Latin America as critically endangered right

00:01:32.780 now if they were a species.

00:01:33.720 And if we were environmentalists, we would be freaking the fuck out about what's happening. 0.99

00:01:37.860 But nope, not going to do anything because they don't really give a shit about Hispanic 0.99

00:01:44.620 populations. 0.99

00:01:45.120 They only care about them when they can use them as a wedge issue.

00:01:48.180 And this is why I always say that the conservative movement needs to understand that the problems

00:01:53.660 that Hispanic populations are facing are the problems that we are facing.

00:01:57.180 Culturally, they're our allies.

00:01:58.940 Would you like to know more?

00:01:59.900 Well, Simone, a couple days ago, it was brought to our attention again that we are again on

00:02:06.200 the front page of Reddit by my brother actually this time.

00:02:09.780 He goes, oh, you guys made the front page again.

00:02:11.780 And this time we made the front page with a rehashed post.

00:02:14.460 It was just like a copy of an old post by one of those spammers that, what, we look like

00:02:18.760 a couple of parsnips.

00:02:21.220 Nearsighted parsnips.

00:02:22.920 Yeah.

00:02:23.280 Making fun of us and being angry at us for nothing.

00:02:27.000 Like they seem to think that we are white supremacists or something or that our movement

00:02:31.640 is, and it's so frustrating for me how little what the pronatalist movement is actually doing

00:02:39.500 has penetrated mainstream thought.

00:02:42.120 There are people like clapping back and being like, you know that they have like 20 anti-racist

00:02:47.740 videos on their channel.

00:02:48.940 Like they go really hard on this.

00:02:50.880 And if you look at the areas that have the most tragedy in terms of fertility collapse,

00:02:56.040 the vast majority of them are not white areas.

00:02:59.500 And in fact, there's some of the very areas that people like them would assume that we

00:03:05.920 have some sort of like ideological beef whiz.

00:03:08.680 Yeah.

00:03:09.900 Yeah.

00:03:10.160 Especially considering, so what we're going to talk about is relevant because I just had

00:03:15.280 sent to Malcolm while we were on a flight and news about Latin America's fertility decline

00:03:22.180 accelerating, not just being bad, like we've already mentioned, but accelerating.

00:03:27.940 It's not just accelerating, but it's accelerating at a pace that's frankly baffling everyone except

00:03:32.920 for us because we could have told you.

00:03:34.700 Anyone who is familiar with Latin American culture, anyone who has a lot of Latin American

00:03:40.580 friends and anyone who knows us knows that's one of our primary friend groups, like our

00:03:44.160 company, we are the only non-Latin Americans who work at our company.

00:03:47.600 So we are very, very tight with Latin American culture.

00:03:51.060 Many of our best friends, like the godfather, our first son is Peruvian, for example.

00:03:56.280 So we know a lot about what's going on within those immigrant groups and was in that culture.

00:04:02.240 And anyone who knew that culture would know that their fertility is about to absolutely 0.96

00:04:05.900 crash.

00:04:06.700 And yet they make these assumptions about us because we code conservative and we are

00:04:10.960 conservatives, but also like, it seems that a lot of conservatives are freaking out about

00:04:16.940 the border crisis.

00:04:18.240 And, you know, there's a, just assume that anyone who leans conservative is like, ah, people 0.96

00:04:23.780 from Latin America are terrible. 1.00

00:04:26.660 And that's ridiculous. 1.00

00:04:28.200 Well, these people just aren't very smart. 1.00

00:04:30.200 Like the people who hate us.

00:04:31.540 They're not, many of them are very smart.

00:04:35.020 They're just not putting thought into this.

00:04:36.900 They're just jumping to conclusions.

00:04:38.740 They're too polarized.

00:04:39.340 We need to start talking about the statistics here.

00:04:41.620 And these statistics also really for me show when we're talking to reporters, like we talked

00:04:47.240 to this reporter recently who was clearly just like an ultra leftist and unwilling to hear

00:04:51.700 any form of reason.

00:04:52.800 And she was like, all of the demographers that I've talked to say that you cannot predict

00:04:58.540 long-term demographic changes.

00:05:00.560 And I'm like, what are you talking about?

00:05:02.620 Every single one of the leading indicators that we're looking at right now, you know,

00:05:06.520 whether it's religiosity, which is tied to fertility rates, we can even ask like gen

00:05:10.520 alpha, like how many kids you plan to have and see that like 40% plan to have no kids,

00:05:15.040 which isn't even like comparable to previous generations that she's like, nah, nah, nah, it'll 1.00

00:05:18.800 all work itself out.

00:05:20.060 And one of the things that we constantly see in this space and that's worth knowing is

00:05:24.220 the articles are always, you know, falling birth rates baffle demographers and defy all

00:05:28.820 expectations.

00:05:29.600 And that is because they consistently are putting out data that is almost sort of like the opposite

00:05:37.580 of when they're doing global warming stuff where they always exaggerate the data, always

00:05:41.300 underplay the scope of the problem and the speed of the drop you should expect.

00:05:46.300 So you really need to look around at other things to predict where the, how bad the drop's

00:05:50.240 going to be.

00:05:50.680 So let's, and this is a great example of that, this, this particular recent trend.

00:05:56.040 So as recently as 2019, a benchmark study by the United Nations Population Division for

00:06:02.960 2020 to 2100 forecasting that for, for 2020 to 2100 forecast that fertility in Latin America

00:06:13.280 and Caribbean countries would stabilize at an average of around 1.75 children per woman

00:06:19.160 in the latter half of this century.

00:06:21.340 So this was a recent study.

00:06:23.900 So this was only five years ago that this study was done.

00:06:26.640 And this study said, and this is something we keep seeing from demographers is they assume

00:06:32.380 that there is a floor to fertility collapse, even though, and they marked that floor in

00:06:37.060 Latin America at 1.75, even though we keep seeing that no country seems to have hit this

00:06:43.140 magical floor yet.

00:06:44.280 They just keep going down and down and down, but it's also worse than that.

00:06:48.000 This floor mistake is one that they have repeatedly made.

00:06:51.060 So if you look at old demography stuff, the, they used to assume like the demographers that

00:06:56.100 were plotting world population in the countries that had falling fertility rates, that they would

00:07:00.940 hit a floor of 2.1, that the floor of fertility rates was replacement rate, that it was impossible

00:07:07.140 that on average, a country could fall below that right now, well over half the world's population

00:07:12.260 is living in a country below replacement rate fertility.

00:07:15.480 So, you know, this is old, old news here, but hold on.

00:07:20.140 I got to read the rest here.

00:07:21.600 Cause you're like, okay, okay.

00:07:22.740 So they thought the floor was at 1.75 stunningly, except for Mexico, all of the countries listed

00:07:30.620 in this graph have already dropped below this level, Uruguay, Costa Rica, Chile, Jamaica,

00:07:37.640 and Cuba now have a total fertility rate of around 1.3 children per woman.

00:07:43.640 The so-called quote unquote ultra low fertility threshold that has only been seen in a handful

00:07:49.820 of European and East Asian countries.

00:07:51.780 Now, when you're talking about a 1.3 fertility threshold, that is stunning. 0.99

00:07:58.720 That means that these countries are basically having their population every generation.

00:08:03.940 And when you're looking at that, you're looking at them disappearing in just a few generations.

00:08:07.980 So in one of these countries, even if their fertility rate doesn't keep falling, if they're below

00:08:14.640 this 1.3 thresholds, that means max for every hundred people in one of those countries, there

00:08:20.560 will be 27 great-grandchildren.

00:08:24.680 So that is shocking.

00:08:26.960 But there's more statistics on this, but I also think another interesting thing here, and

00:08:30.620 this is something that we keep calling out, religion is the solution, or religious-like

00:08:37.180 cultures.

00:08:37.680 Because if you're looking within a country, typically the higher fertility populations are

00:08:41.960 the conservative religious populations.

00:08:43.800 But not all religions were made equal, and not all iterations of conservatism were made equal

00:08:50.020 in terms of how they relate to collapsing fertility rates when exposed to prosperity and when exposed

00:08:55.680 to contraceptives.

00:08:56.960 We've pointed this out.

00:08:57.900 A lot of groups that people are kind of surprised about, like, for example, Muslims, actually

00:09:02.020 their population crashes much faster than most Christian populations when exposed to

00:09:06.100 prosperity.

00:09:07.120 Jews just do amazingly well, basically, in any environment when it comes to falling fertility 0.99

00:09:11.760 rates, or at least the conservative iterations of Judaism.

00:09:14.560 Protestants do okay.

00:09:16.280 All East Asian religions do terribly. 1.00

00:09:19.880 You know, Hinds do terribly. 1.00

00:09:22.060 Buddhists do terribly. 1.00

00:09:23.360 And whatever is going on in, like, Korea and Japan and China do terribly.

00:09:26.680 But one of the groups that does really bad, that people are surprised at how bad they

00:09:30.900 do, they actually perform about the same as Muslim populations, are Catholics.

00:09:36.800 When exposed to the same levels of prosperity.

00:09:39.700 Now, keep in mind, most populations live at much lower levels of prosperity than most Catholic 0.99

00:09:43.940 populations, which boosts their fertility numbers.

00:09:46.680 But you look at Europe, as I pointed out, the average Catholic fertility rate in Europe

00:09:52.620 right now, if you're talking about the Catholic-majority countries, the average Catholic-majority

00:09:56.080 country fertility rate in Europe right now is 1.3.

00:09:58.560 Yeah.

00:09:58.900 Well, and we should point out, like, obviously, there are some Catholics who, and many Catholics,

00:10:04.200 many Catholics, like devout Catholics that I know, are staunchly against birth control.

00:10:09.400 And the article that did point out that birth control has been a major factor here, that,

00:10:14.220 you know, a lot of women are getting implants that last for up to a couple of years that, 1.00

00:10:18.000 you know, really just make it so easy to not get pregnant.

00:10:20.740 And if they were very strict practicing Catholics, they probably wouldn't be using birth control 0.96

00:10:26.100 at all.

00:10:26.880 Because this is what's really interesting.

00:10:28.940 And I want to pull this out here, right?

00:10:30.460 Which is that just because a culture is against something, like one of the things that we constantly

00:10:34.940 point out when we're talking about sexuality and stuff like that, is if you want your people

00:10:40.240 to use less pornography, the very last thing you want to do is ban pornography.

00:10:45.860 Exactly.

00:10:46.360 Because in cultural groups that ban pornography, pornography consumption rates are higher.

00:10:50.940 Yeah.

00:10:51.120 You can, in the U.S., look at, like, geographically, for example, how Mormon is a region, and then

00:10:55.660 look at how much pornography is consumed.

00:10:58.000 And it's a direct correlation there.

00:11:00.160 This is done by, like, Zipco.

00:11:02.160 But continue with what you were saying.

00:11:03.580 Well, just that I think people don't understand that, like, you can be in a very culturally

00:11:09.620 Catholic area and, you know, go to mass and everything, but still take birth control. 0.67

00:11:15.500 That I think it's a lot more common than people might want to believe.

00:11:19.320 Well, I wouldn't say that people want to believe.

00:11:21.220 I think most Catholics know that, like, and I don't even want to say, even within the

00:11:25.000 pronatalist groups, like, Catholicism as a cultural group is very, very bad at enforcing

00:11:31.340 its values.

00:11:31.780 We know a number of, like, Catholic influencers, you know, who are, like, the court, the Tradcast 0.99

00:11:37.400 community, and will use things like IVF privately to have the number of kids they want to have.

00:11:42.540 Like, even on this more conservative, pronatalist side, like, actually enforcing cultural values

00:11:48.720 has not been really strong.

00:11:50.820 And I want to read the quote.

00:11:51.820 Yeah, the Catholic thing, I guess I would say is, like, the people that I know who really,

00:11:55.760 really push for, like, hard enforcement on especially things around IVF and birth control

00:11:59.880 are 100% Catholics who don't need IVF or birth control, if you know what I mean.

00:12:07.220 Yes.

00:12:07.940 Yeah.

00:12:08.100 Well, and they can say, well, nobody needs birth control.

00:12:11.220 And it's like, well, I mean.

00:12:12.400 No.

00:12:12.820 Like, these are families that just, like, want to have infinity kids and, you know, or that,

00:12:16.960 like, you know.

00:12:18.040 They're not having infinity problems.

00:12:19.600 Yeah, exactly.

00:12:20.160 Yeah, but I want to point out here, and we can hypothesize on why they have been bad at

00:12:24.680 keeping down the rates of these sorts of technologies.

00:12:27.120 My guess is it is the sheer scope of rules within Catholicism, which has, like, lots of

00:12:33.020 rules, and the mechanisms used to enforce them, which is authority tells you that these

00:12:39.440 rules exist, therefore follow these rules.

00:12:41.960 Because Jews also have a lot of rules, but they've been better at enforcing their following 1.00

00:12:46.060 within their populations or in their majority areas.

00:12:49.400 But we'll get to this hypothesizing, but I want to read this exact quote here because I

00:12:52.720 thought it was pretty interesting.

00:12:54.520 Yeah, okay.

00:12:55.100 So what's going on?

00:12:56.080 Demographers say that Latin American and Caribbean women are finding it much easier to control 1.00

00:13:01.460 the timing and number of children because of the expanding access to contraception.

00:13:05.820 The region used to have some of the world's highest rates of unplanned adolescent pregnancy.

00:13:11.280 Although the number of childbirths to teenagers continues to be high in some of these countries,

00:13:16.780 government programs have begun to offer a variety of free or low-cost contraceptives to

00:13:21.500 women who could previously not afford them. 0.95

00:13:24.100 In Argentina and Uruguay, these programs include subdermal contraceptive implants that last up

00:13:29.180 to five years.

00:13:30.360 Roffman says the rapid adoption of these and other contraceptives contributed to a 55% drop

00:13:35.720 in pregnancies to Argentinian women age 20 and younger.

00:13:39.880 In Chile, teen pregnancies have dropped by around 70%.

00:13:43.420 And in Uruguay, Capabella estimates that half of the recent fall infertility rates is accounting

00:13:50.680 for women ages 15 to 24.

00:13:53.580 So what is really happening in these countries and what is causing the drop in fertility rates

00:13:58.520 is the drop in unplanned teenage pregnancies.

00:14:02.240 That is where these countries are suffering fertility-wise. 0.67

00:14:04.820 Now, this is both a, one, it tells us part of the secret of what's going on here.

00:14:10.960 It turns out that in these Catholic-majority countries, historically speaking, they were

00:14:15.900 able to keep high fertility rates through effectively historically banning contraceptives, a lot of

00:14:23.840 unplanned teenage pregnancies.

00:14:25.180 Yeah, which also sort of run, because presumably these are also unmarried teens.

00:14:30.200 Like, this is also not an ideal Catholic birth situation. 0.56

00:14:36.160 Well, I would actually say that this is a good thing.

00:14:39.100 Like, when we talk about-

00:14:40.840 This shift, right?

00:14:41.540 This shift of like, this shift away from parents who aren't ready to have kids toward parents

00:14:45.760 who want to have kids, right?

00:14:47.240 Yes, but it's more than that.

00:14:48.920 So one of the things we talk about is people are like, oh, you guys in the perinatalist movement

00:14:53.000 must want to keep fertility rates in Africa high, right? 0.99

00:14:57.440 And we're like, no, we want Africa to go through the same demographic transition. 0.59

00:15:02.380 And we're happy that Latin America is going through this demographic transition as well.

00:15:06.640 Not because we want their populations to go extinct in the same way that we're seeing

00:15:11.020 in East Asia and Europe and the Americas today, right?

00:15:14.200 But because the transition that we want to see happen is the number of unplanned children

00:15:20.940 that are happening because, you know, either people are uneducated and don't know how to

00:15:26.020 effectively use contraceptive or are not using contraceptives or are getting raped or something

00:15:31.300 like that.

00:15:32.060 That number of children decreases.

00:15:34.620 And what we are trying to create is new cultural solutions which allow for a country after it

00:15:40.720 has gone through the demographic transition caused by erasing unwanted children or children

00:15:46.100 born to families that didn't plan on it that can then motivate desired children existing at higher rates.

00:15:54.140 And this is a really interesting thing when we talk about how you fix this demographic situation,

00:15:59.460 which I think has been smoldering and growing for a lot longer than people think.

00:16:04.820 I actually think that the crisis really started a couple generations ago,

00:16:07.960 which was when people started wanting smaller families and wanting to have children later.

00:16:14.440 But we didn't see it in the numbers as aggressively because of all of the unplanned teenage pregnancies

00:16:23.020 that were happening and keeping the numbers higher, which was actually a number that was rising

00:16:28.020 during the sexual revolution.

00:16:30.220 So much so that the average child born to a woman in the United States in the 1970s,

00:16:35.020 so pretty recently, was 21.

00:16:37.220 That was the age of a first American mother's birth.

00:16:39.980 Gosh, I forgot that.

00:16:40.700 So this is a transition that we in the United States went through very recently.

00:16:45.340 Another thing I'd point out for people who are like, oh, these people are like racist or

00:16:49.280 something like that.

00:16:49.940 Like when we're freaking out about countries, we're freaking out about countries like the

00:16:52.880 countries in Latin America.

00:16:54.020 The United States actually only declined in its fertility rate year over year 2% this year,

00:16:59.220 which is just like astoundingly low when you're talking about countries around the world.

00:17:03.460 The United States actually has a fairly robust fertility rate because, and the real reason 0.98

00:17:09.440 is, is because the United States has a huge number of religiously conservative Protestants,

00:17:16.880 which have high fertility rates and are less impacted by fertility collapse and other groups.

00:17:23.180 So that is interesting.

00:17:24.320 Another thing that is worth talking about is I wonder if we're going to see a rebound in

00:17:28.580 Hispanic fertility rates because of the mass conversions we're seeing of Hispanic immigrants

00:17:33.420 to the U.S. to the Protestant evangelical churches, which is something that we're seeing.

00:17:38.360 But hold on.

00:17:39.700 I want to get to some other quotes because they're really interesting sort of what's happening

00:17:43.120 here.

00:17:43.940 Oh, just so I think what's really interesting, just as a comment, just as a comment, something

00:17:48.820 I think is really interesting is that there's this really frustrating shift that takes place

00:17:55.860 when you shift away from unwanted pregnancies and unplanned children that can't really be

00:18:00.860 well cared for.

00:18:02.360 It's ironic that there are, on the flip side of that, many families who then are married

00:18:08.560 and they are ready to have a kid or more kids and they really want to and then they struggle.

00:18:13.600 And I think the key, maybe, well, a key to prenatalism is finding that happy medium where we're

00:18:20.320 not forcing unwanted children to be in the world and we're not, you know, people who

00:18:25.480 aren't ready don't have to have kids and aren't having kids, but that somehow we overcome this

00:18:30.140 issue of, like, then everyone who's ready just not being able to.

00:18:34.340 And that's why reprotech is so important in prenatalism.

00:18:36.800 And I think people are missing that.

00:18:38.080 They're just like, no, no, let's go back to, like, forcing all these unwanted children. 0.98

00:18:42.460 Let's get rid of birth control. 1.00

00:18:44.040 You know, it's just, it's so wrong.

00:18:45.860 We need to find a societal way to motivate people and to support people to have kids

00:18:51.640 when they should be having kids, which is in their 20s, 20s to mid-30s.

00:18:56.540 Whereas right now, socially speaking, that's just considered incredibly weird.

00:19:01.460 Like, people think of that as almost like a teenage pregnancy when it's really not.

00:19:04.380 That's your fertility window, you know?

00:19:06.680 So, and, you know, it takes about a year and a half in between kids.

00:19:09.920 If you want to have a large family, you need to start having kids in your mid to early

00:19:13.020 20s, or you need to do what we did, which is freeze tons of embryos, which is not an

00:19:17.280 option for many Catholic families.

00:19:19.220 Yeah.

00:19:19.420 But hold on.

00:19:19.960 I want to go to some of the-

00:19:21.580 Just financially, it's not an option for many families.

00:19:23.640 Yeah, we're financially not an option.

00:19:25.960 In a TED Talk delivered last year, Argentine economist and demographer Rafael Rothman said

00:19:33.720 that his country's fertility had declined more in the previous six years than in the previous

00:19:39.220 six decades.

00:19:40.180 As a result, he told AQ, in 2024, there will be roughly 30% fewer four-year-olds entering

00:19:46.980 Argentinian preschools than there were in 2020.

00:19:50.120 A 30% drop in four years.

00:19:54.780 People, again, need to understand this is not a linear phenomenon we are looking at here.

00:19:59.420 We are at an asymatope in terms of fertility collapse, and it is going to have a massive

00:20:04.500 impact.

00:20:05.520 And when we talk about, like, economic impact of fertility rates, you know, sometimes people

00:20:08.680 roll their eyes and they're like, oh, people like you and Elon just want to keep your money.

00:20:13.840 It's like, first of all, we're not, like, that well off.

00:20:16.900 And Elon isn't going to be that affected by this.

00:20:19.240 The people who are going to be affected by this are the people who are planning on their

00:20:22.880 pensions, supporting them in their retirement, and they don't realize that these are unfunded

00:20:26.600 government pensions, or who are planning on Social Security.

00:20:29.460 It's going to be a bunch of starving, elderly people, okay? 1.00

00:20:32.400 In other words, like this, the demographical collapse, especially a hard landing on demographic

00:20:37.520 collapse, is very similar to a hard landing on climate change, which is to say that the

00:20:42.500 people who are going to be disproportionately affected are going to be lower income, more

00:20:47.680 vulnerable populations, period.

00:20:49.840 Yeah.

00:20:51.520 So next, Luis Rosemary Bixby, an eminent demographer who founded the Central American Population

00:20:57.660 Center at the University of Costa Rica, uses the word vertiginously to describe, so basically

00:21:05.980 vertically, to describe how births are falling in his country, where fertility among native-born

00:21:11.860 women is now approaching just one child per woman. 0.82

00:21:15.940 In a recent paper titled, The Great Decline, Wanda Sela and three other Uruguayan demographers

00:21:22.880 write that in just seven years, the total fertility rate in Uruguay dropped from 2 to 1.27 children

00:21:29.480 per woman.

00:21:30.420 There is no precedent for a fall of this magnitude in such a short period.

00:21:36.100 We've warned you, people.

00:21:38.980 We have been warning you for years now.

00:21:42.160 This is not just a linear situation.

00:21:45.160 It is not just a developed world problem. 1.00

00:21:48.460 It's coming for all you bastards. 1.00

00:21:51.640 So buckle up and figure it out, okay? 1.00

00:21:54.820 Get over this small-minded. 0.96

00:21:56.560 Everyone who's talking about this must be a racist.

00:21:59.820 This is affecting the people you pretend you care about.

00:22:02.940 And one of the things that always disgusts me, because that really shows where progressives

00:22:06.420 come from, is I'm like, this is not like a white problem.

00:22:08.780 Like, you see this problem in American African communities. 0.90

00:22:11.660 You see this problem in Latin American communities.

00:22:14.960 You see this problem all around the world.

00:22:16.280 You see this problem uniquely in East Asia.

00:22:18.220 And they're like, is Africa fine? 0.94

00:22:20.200 And I'm like, yes, Africa is fine.

00:22:22.280 And they're like, well, then I don't care.

00:22:24.360 Like, we can just move people from there.

00:22:25.980 And I think it shows, and I think that this is something that a lot of groups are beginning

00:22:30.320 to realize.

00:22:31.620 What we saw was the BLM riots and stuff like that, that were mostly in Hispanic neighborhoods

00:22:35.200 and mostly destroying Hispanic communities, because those were the recent immigrants, similar 0.78

00:22:38.580 to what happened in the LA riots, where they destroyed the Korean communities.

00:22:41.340 And the newspaper is just not covering that the groups that were victimized were minority

00:22:45.600 populations.

00:22:46.800 They don't care.

00:22:47.700 They don't care because they have a hierarchy of which minorities matter and which minorities 0.63

00:22:52.240 don't matter.

00:22:52.760 But it's also not just people in Africa.

00:22:55.460 Like we've pointed out multiple times before, many of the most passionate pronatalist groups

00:23:00.300 are African or of African descent.

00:23:03.460 And while, sure, there are some very high fertility populations in Africa, there are also a lot of

00:23:09.320 people who are like, yeah, not my cultural group, not my ethnic group.

00:23:14.800 So it's just like, oh, I don't know, like whichever ones are leftover that are high fertility,

00:23:18.700 as if like it's all the same.

00:23:19.780 That's not the way Africans see the world. 1.00

00:23:21.240 Africans see the world. 1.00

00:23:21.720 I mean, Africa is not like the one, whoa, man, like it's not one thing. 0.99

00:23:26.860 Look at, look at this, like how, you know, black unity and you have like the hootie, tootie, 0.91

00:23:31.460 like massacres and stuff like that.

00:23:33.040 No, Africans usually see themselves as part of a tribal group.

00:23:36.000 And she's, she's telling the truth.

00:23:37.020 The pronatalist movement, some of our best, like I would say like most competent, like members

00:23:41.220 that I'm really excited about are African immigrants, but primarily African immigrants,

00:23:45.880 I would say Simone, because they need their fertility rate falling and the woke's coming 1.00

00:23:50.260 for their children just as aggressively as they're coming for everyone else's children,

00:23:54.180 if not more aggressively, which makes it even harder for them to maintain intergenerational

00:23:59.240 cultural transfer.

00:24:00.160 Well, and I feel like the groups that are, we'll say demographically under threat in like

00:24:04.960 on the living in the continent of Africa, don't recognize it so much as a demographic issue

00:24:10.920 as they do as like a geopolitical and security issue for various complicated reasons. Right.

00:24:16.720 But it is.

00:24:17.840 You can watch our video on the future of Africa.

00:24:19.980 If you want to learn more about our take on Africa, we do think that Africa is going 1.00

00:24:23.820 to be one of the keys to the future of humanity going forwards.

00:24:26.240 It is. But also Africa is not a monolith and many, many, many cultures and ethnicities in

00:24:32.320 Africa are under severe threat. So like to be like, well, Africa's okay. So no. 1.00

00:24:37.060 Yeah. Africa has more genetic and cultural diversity than the rest of the world combined.

00:24:41.160 Come on, guys.

00:24:41.800 This is an objective fact. And because of that, it means that, you know, when you're looking

00:24:46.560 at which cultures are suffering in Africa and which aren't to just be like fertility rates are

00:24:50.160 fine broadly in Africa, is it really telling you what's going on on the ground? But hold on,

00:24:55.760 there's more quotes I want to read here. Okay.

00:24:58.520 Among demographers, 2023 will be remembered as the year Brazil, quote unquote, shrank by

00:25:03.800 almost 5 million people. A new census put the country's population at 203 million people,

00:25:10.180 well below the 208 million previously estimated by Brazil's National Statistics Institute, and

00:25:17.860 even further from the 216 million calculated by the United Nations. Those missing people didn't

00:25:23.640 vanish or immigrate. They were never born. The 2020 census delayed by COVID-19 pandemic showed 0.95

00:25:30.340 that Brazil's population grew during the 2010s by just 0.52% per year. Half the rate seen through

00:25:39.020 the 2000s and the lowest such percentage since 1872. This is bad. This is bad. And I realized when I did

00:25:49.680 the China video, there was a way I could have worded it that would sound even more severe. So a different

00:25:54.460 way to word what's going on in China right now is newly leaked data reveals that China recorded fewer

00:26:00.360 than 8 million births in 2023. If this figure is confirmed, it would represent a decline of 17%

00:26:07.860 from 2022 and almost 60% from 2016. So if we're looking at an eight year period there, a 60% drop in

00:26:19.380 fertility rate in eight years. So around the world, the scope of this and the breadth of this phenomenon

00:26:27.160 is being systemically covered up basically by the mainstream media because they have decided it's a

00:26:34.040 conservative issue, which is in part what has pushed us into the hands of conservatives. And so be it.

00:26:38.900 If this is going to be conservative global warming, it'll be conservative global warming. And by that,

00:26:42.840 what I mean is, is one of the sort of obvious statistical phenomenon that the other side for

00:26:46.580 ideological reasons can't admit or talk about. And when I say global warming is an obvious phenomenon,

00:26:51.600 I'm not saying man-made global warming is an obvious phenomenon. I'm just saying global warming

00:26:55.160 more broadly is an obvious phenomenon. The earth is getting hotter. That is when people argue against

00:26:59.920 that or like, oh, it was cold this year, they look really stupid and it pushes people to the 1.00

00:27:03.840 other side. And I think that fertility collapse is the same thing with progressives. It's they 1.00

00:27:08.960 seem to have an incapability of admitting it. And once they do admit it, then they'll say, well,

00:27:15.080 it's not a problem or well, it can just be fixed with immigration, which is obviously not true at

00:27:19.500 this point. And it shows, I also think the inherent racism of the left, which is what we were talking

00:27:26.160 about, which is to say they don't give a shit that Hispanic populations are going extinct, 0.98

00:27:30.780 that the vast majority of Hispanic cultural groups in the world, when you're talking about 0.99

00:27:35.900 fertility numbers of 1.3, if this was an animal species, like if you had an animal that was

00:27:40.740 halving every year and it was due to a recent and rapid decline, that would categorize the species as

00:27:46.180 an endangered or critically endangered species. So we would categorize most countries in Latin America

00:27:52.700 or most cultural groups in Latin America as critically endangered right now if they were a

00:27:56.380 species. And if we were environmentalists, we would be freaking the fuck out about what's

00:27:59.980 happening. But nope, not going to do anything because it's, it's, they, they don't really give

00:28:06.700 a shit about Hispanic populations. They only care about them when they can use them as a wedge issue. 0.99

00:28:11.160 And this is why I always say that the conservative movement needs to understand that the problems

00:28:16.680 that Hispanic populations are facing are the problems that we are facing. Culturally, there are allies,

00:28:21.660 there are a bunch of tradcast populations. Like, what are you doing pushing them away? Like, why, 1.00

00:28:26.580 why would you not see our obvious allegiance with these groups? And the reason why progressives are

00:28:32.520 taking them into the country is because the lowest fertility rate of all the fertility rates is the 0.99

00:28:36.320 urban monoculture, which is what progressives are championing. And the only way they can maintain a

00:28:41.520 stable population is having a constant flow of children to take. And when they lose, when they,

00:28:47.720 when they, you know, conservatives who live in our country start taking our kids out of

00:28:52.080 schools and stuff like that, which is happening at an unprecedented rate now, because we see now

00:28:56.120 they're just conversion systems. They're like, okay, import people will take their children. 0.94

00:29:00.380 But really quickly, and I'm- Specifically, I think you meant to say, Malcolm,

00:29:04.860 you meant to say progressives are taking them. Oh, sorry. Conservatives are taking them out of the

00:29:08.660 schools. Conservatives are taking children out of the schools. Progressives are trying to use the

00:29:13.280 school system to take their children. And because of that, they now need to import new children to 0.89

00:29:18.560 take. But, you know, Hispanic communities aren't stupid. And they are very good systems for 1.00

00:29:24.520 informational transfer, and they're going to figure this out really quickly. And I think one of the

00:29:28.920 next freakouts that we're going to see among progressives is when they realize that first

00:29:33.300 generation immigrant kids are being taken out of public schools and being homeschooled en masse.

00:29:38.020 They're going to be like, uh-oh.

00:29:39.380 Well, and I mean, we're hopefully going to be partially to blame for that, right? Like,

00:29:44.220 we're trying to make it a hell of a lot easier for anyone to opt out of mainstream industrial,

00:29:49.900 public, or private schooling for something that protects cultural sovereignty. So-

00:29:54.200 Yeah. Well, I mean, what do they mean when they're like, oh, we'll bring in Hispanic groups and we'll 0.97

00:29:57.980 assimilate them. I'm like, what do you mean by that? They're like, we will bring in the melting pot.

00:30:04.020 What do they mean? Melting away their culture. When they say assimilate them-

00:30:08.020 You end up with an average.

00:30:09.700 They don't mean assimilate them to Christian conservative traditions. These people are

00:30:13.820 already conservative tradcasts. They mean that they want to erase their conservative tradcast

00:30:19.440 traditions and assimilate them into the urban monoculture. And again, sometimes conservatives

00:30:26.080 hear this, and I always have to point this out because I cannot- they're like, what? But they bring

00:30:30.260 crime. And it's like, every time a conservative tradcast population has immigrated to the U.S.

00:30:35.300 in mass, they have brought crime with them. The Irish mob, the Italian mafia. It's just something 0.98

00:30:40.700 they do. And then it goes away in a couple generations. Chill the- out. Okay. Anyway,

00:30:47.220 so that is part of that tradition. But anyway, Simone, do you have any final thoughts on this?

00:30:52.740 No, I just would encourage people to

00:30:55.660 rethink what their assumptions are. Because there's a ton of coverage in the news,

00:31:02.040 especially in the United States, about the immigration crisis. And it's like, oh, people 0.99

00:31:05.460 coming from Latin America. And it gives one the impression that there are- I mean, if public schools

00:31:12.840 in New York are being shut down so that refugees can have somewhere to stay, you're given this 1.00

00:31:17.700 impression that Latin America is just overflowing with people, right? That it's just like, they're just 0.99

00:31:24.200 pouring out. They can't even fit in because it's so full of conflict or something. And people,

00:31:28.700 whereas really, like, they are hurting much more, as Malcolm has just demonstrated in this article,

00:31:35.960 very clearly demonstrated, than the United States. So just that's, I think, what I hope people take 0.94

00:31:41.080 away from this. Sort of the game of- the shell game that's being played here. Because right now in

00:31:46.440 the U.S., like this year, the fertility rate of immigrants, like the total number of first-generation

00:31:51.820 immigrant children being born in the U.S. is higher than the rate of U.S. natives.

00:31:56.860 And some people are freaking out about this. And it's like, bro, they're not impacting the native

00:32:02.060 fertility rate at all. There aren't, you know, like even if you're an ethnocentrist, right? There

00:32:08.680 are not fewer white births because there are more Hispanic births. There are fewer white births because

00:32:14.440 white people are choosing not to have kids anymore. You need to stop thinking about this in this old

00:32:20.400 system. The Hispanic populations across the board, even if they are in the U.S. at higher rates,

00:32:26.840 than they were historically, that does not affect their overall fertility rate, which is getting

00:32:32.420 smashed in every country they are. Whether it's in the U.S. or Hispanic fertility rates in the U.S. 1.00

00:32:39.020 are not good. They are falling much- Yeah, well, yeah, they fall, right? The only population that

00:32:44.300 sees an improvement in their fertility when they come to the United States is- Koreans. Koreans,

00:32:50.780 their fertility rate jumps by about 50% when they immigrate to the U.S. But yeah, so no. Overall,

00:32:56.980 the world's Hispanic population is actually in a much more critical condition in terms of their

00:33:03.780 falling fertility rate and even their existing fertility rate than the world's, or at least

00:33:08.240 than America's white population. I would say that the scope and scale of the world's Hispanic population

00:33:14.000 population is probably about equal to the scope and scale of white European demographic situation.

00:33:21.820 Yeah.

00:33:21.980 But they have less wealth in terms of the wealth in their countries and everything like that to

00:33:26.120 deal with it. And it's going to get infinitely worse when China collapses because a lot of these 0.99

00:33:30.620 Latin American communities or countries rely a lot on exports to China, and specifically exports that

00:33:37.360 have been artificially inflated due to the construction boom. Exactly.

00:33:44.220 Although China's stock market also tanked early this year. Real estate is only part of the problem

00:33:50.200 here. No, no, no, no, no. But real estate matters because that's the domino that absolutely cannot

00:33:57.180 stand in China anymore. Yet it is the core of their economy. Watch our video on what's going to

00:34:02.820 happen in the future of East Asia to learn what we think of what's going on in China and the

00:34:07.040 economy of China.

00:34:09.780 But TLDR, buckle up.

00:34:12.260 Buckle up. It's bad. It's a 60% fertility reduction in the last eight years. What was it? Like,

00:34:19.560 that's insane.

00:34:23.960 Yeah. Like famine level fertility, but it's a famine of culture, Malcolm. Famine of culture.

00:34:32.080 And I would point out to any who thinks differently, if you kicked every Hispanic person out of this 0.99

00:34:36.520 country, it would not help white fertility rates. If anything, it would hurt white fertility rates. 1.00

00:34:41.440 It would totally hurt white fertility rates. 1.00

00:34:42.920 If you look at the data.

00:34:44.080 Yeah. Homogeneity does not help.

00:34:46.860 The imminence, like every ounce fought fighting against immigration is an ounce that you're not

00:34:53.900 fighting to solve the much more critical problem that even if you are an SO centrist, that you are

00:34:59.640 going extinct.

00:35:00.300 I think the biggest, the biggest problem with all these like intercultural, inter-ethnic conflicts 1.00

00:35:07.460 around demographic collapse is that the issue is not what the other guy's doing. The issue is what

00:35:12.600 you are doing with your own people. Stop trying to enforce rules on other people by either keeping

00:35:18.340 them out or telling them how to live. Just figure your own shit out for once because you are not doing 0.99

00:35:25.500 well and you are not exempt from this at all. I couldn't have said it better, Simone. And I love 0.99

00:35:32.500 you and I love your tough love approach to fertility rates because people need to get their shit together 0.99

00:35:37.340 and realize that cash handouts don't work and that the only thing that works is figuring this out

00:35:44.320 culturally, internally. And keep in mind that these fertility rates are falling before we have AI wives

00:35:49.900 and before you have the massive impact of falling sperm rates. You know, we're estimated to have 50% of the

00:35:54.620 male population is going to be infertile in what was it like by 2060. Like it's bad. It's bad. 0.96

00:35:59.460 Oh my gosh. Also, yeah. I've just, I mean, if endocrine disruptors are as disruptive, we'll say,

00:36:04.940 as it is believed. I was actually just watching a video about some other element of Chinese culture.

00:36:10.420 Not relevant, but some of it included footage of people eating their meals in China. And there's

00:36:15.100 like a lot of takeout, but like literally some of the meals are like in, in plastic bags within,

00:36:21.460 in cups, like heated soup eaten out of a plastic bag. Like I'm part of me is watching this and I'm

00:36:28.360 like, dude, like even once the government starts forcing women in China to have kids, they're not 0.97

00:36:33.480 going to be able to. It's just like part of the next video. Yeah. There you go. I love you, Simone.

00:36:41.200 I adore you, Malcolm Collins.

Based Camp - January 23, 2024

Hispanics are Going Extinct Due to Low Fertility Rates

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