Based Camp - September 25, 2025


New Research Shows UBI Makes Life Worse ... BUT WHY?!


Episode Stats

Length

51 minutes

Words per Minute

190.11693

Word Count

9,794

Sentence Count

697

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

23


Summary

In this episode, we re talking about universal basic income (UBI) and why it s an existential threat to humanity. We re looking at the real-world examples of how UBI has failed in the past, and how it may be even worse in the future.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hello, Malcolm.
00:00:01.120 I'm so excited to be speaking with you today
00:00:02.760 because we're gonna talk about universal basic income
00:00:05.980 and how even more experimentation and research on it
00:00:10.000 has come to light showing that
00:00:11.260 it does not meaningfully change policy outcomes
00:00:14.840 like housing and stress.
00:00:16.460 It actually decreases working hours.
00:00:18.540 And even though people still anecdotally say that,
00:00:21.020 oh, it's so great, it doesn't actually help them.
00:00:23.600 And this that we're gonna be covering
00:00:25.300 is coming from someone who really wants
00:00:28.180 universal basic income
00:00:29.840 and cash handouts to work
00:00:31.380 or cash transfers as they would probably put it.
00:00:34.160 So what we're gonna do is get into this.
00:00:36.260 So this is not for people who think
00:00:38.380 this is not the Sam Altman study.
00:00:40.140 We already did an episode on that one,
00:00:41.780 this giant study that showed
00:00:43.100 if you give people a thousand dollars a month
00:00:45.200 over three years, at the end of it,
00:00:47.580 they're poorer than the people who got nothing.
00:00:49.520 Well, we have to just explore here
00:00:51.020 and going beyond the information
00:00:53.080 that we're gonna go over in the article
00:00:54.340 that shows in various different studies
00:00:56.700 how it doesn't work.
00:00:57.340 We wanna explore the really key question here
00:01:00.160 of why do these cash transfers fail?
00:01:03.460 But it's super clear in the data
00:01:05.480 that earning more correlates with better outcomes.
00:01:09.300 So that's the other thing.
00:01:10.220 Before we get into that,
00:01:11.260 I think it's very important
00:01:12.060 that we frame for people
00:01:13.000 why this is an important conversation right now
00:01:14.940 and why it is such an existential threat to humanity.
00:01:18.000 Yes, UBI, an existential threat.
00:01:19.800 AI may replace a lot of people's jobs.
00:01:22.600 The last time we did a video on
00:01:25.100 when will AI actually replace jobs,
00:01:27.420 the head of one of our programming teams, Bruno,
00:01:30.240 had been the one who sort of asked the question.
00:01:31.960 He's like, I don't see people being let go
00:01:34.100 because of AI.
00:01:34.940 I don't see things changing because of AI.
00:01:37.300 Now, like three months later,
00:01:39.440 the RFAB team is just me, him, and AI
00:01:41.740 because it has replaced all of those jobs.
00:01:45.380 That is how quickly,
00:01:46.800 if you can go from saying,
00:01:47.980 I have no idea how this is gonna,
00:01:49.880 you know, actually replace workers
00:01:51.680 or actually change the economy
00:01:52.940 to like just months later
00:01:55.860 and like, oh, this is doing most of my work, right?
00:01:58.580 And why this becomes so threatening
00:02:01.420 is it's like, well,
00:02:02.000 how do you maintain an economy around that?
00:02:04.000 And then you have to look at
00:02:05.380 what happens to a population
00:02:06.540 if it's on UBI intergenerationally, right?
00:02:11.480 And, you know, you have predictions
00:02:13.960 like the predictions you get in WALL-E.
00:02:16.780 In WALL-E, they sort of show,
00:02:18.560 I think an actually pretty accurate prediction
00:02:21.620 of what could happen to humanity
00:02:22.820 if anything less gruesome.
00:02:25.100 In space.
00:02:25.940 Nah, we did that yesterday.
00:02:27.140 I don't want to do that.
00:02:28.420 Well, then what do you want to do?
00:02:30.460 I don't know.
00:02:31.440 Something.
00:02:32.680 Cut.
00:02:33.660 Over here.
00:02:37.380 Time for lunch.
00:02:39.260 In a cup.
00:02:40.020 Attention, Axiom Shockers.
00:02:49.220 Try blue.
00:02:50.380 It's the new red.
00:02:52.500 Ooh.
00:02:55.060 Ooh, lovely.
00:02:59.280 So we're going to go over
00:03:00.600 some real-life case studies here
00:03:02.160 before we go into the data.
00:03:03.480 You have the Pechang Band
00:03:05.780 of Louisiana Indians in California.
00:03:08.640 Despite operating one of the largest,
00:03:10.280 most profitable casinos in the U.S.,
00:03:12.760 Pechanga Resort Casino,
00:03:14.160 generating over $1 billion annually
00:03:16.040 and distributing substantial
00:03:17.840 per capita payments
00:03:18.840 up to $20,000 per member monthly
00:03:22.160 in peak years.
00:03:23.020 Oh, wow.
00:03:23.340 Okay.
00:03:23.620 The tribe reported a staggering
00:03:25.460 91% unemployment rate
00:03:28.240 with the unemployed individuals
00:03:30.820 often living below the poverty line.
00:03:34.280 Wait, so they're probably unemployed
00:03:35.680 because they feel like
00:03:36.420 their money is taken care of,
00:03:37.920 but they're still in poverty.
00:03:40.640 Yeah.
00:03:41.020 Well, no, the money comes on good years.
00:03:43.420 So they're not getting this every year.
00:03:45.400 And so they are living in
00:03:46.940 just like existential poverty.
00:03:48.760 For another example here,
00:03:49.880 you have the Ho-Chunk Nation,
00:03:50.920 Winnebago Tribe, Wisconsin, Nebraska.
00:03:53.620 This tribe runs multiple casinos,
00:03:55.380 Ho-Chunk Gaming,
00:03:56.420 and distributes per capita payments
00:03:57.960 from revenues,
00:03:58.720 historically $500 to $1,000 monthly,
00:04:00.840 varying by year.
00:04:02.340 Yet their unemployment rate
00:04:03.860 is at around 82% in 2005.
00:04:08.480 It fell though recently.
00:04:09.800 In 2022, it fell to 32%,
00:04:11.200 but that's still 6X the national average,
00:04:13.540 with poverty affecting
00:04:14.560 around 30% of members.
00:04:16.420 So I'm not going to keep
00:04:17.700 going over all of these
00:04:19.420 because there are a number
00:04:20.500 of examples like this,
00:04:22.580 but it is,
00:04:23.040 and we're probably going to do
00:04:24.020 a separate video just on
00:04:25.520 what happens if you're
00:04:26.860 intergenerationally exposed to UBI
00:04:28.700 and how much it just saps
00:04:30.160 your culture of its potentiality,
00:04:32.940 how quickly high-skilled jobs
00:04:35.040 just disappear from communities
00:04:36.380 that this happens to,
00:04:37.540 and what it would mean
00:04:38.780 for the human species
00:04:39.780 if we lived with this.
00:04:41.160 But continue.
00:04:42.460 Oh, that's great.
00:04:43.620 Yeah.
00:04:44.040 So what we're going to do
00:04:45.320 is go over the article
00:04:47.360 and the argument
00:04:48.000 that goes over all this research
00:04:50.460 called Giving People Money
00:04:51.760 Helped Less Than I Thought It Would
00:04:53.380 by Kelsey Piper.
00:04:55.160 And then we're going to talk about this.
00:04:56.440 Like, why is it that,
00:04:58.360 you know, because you would think,
00:04:59.360 okay, if, you know,
00:05:00.460 having more income
00:05:01.340 leads to better outcomes,
00:05:03.160 why does giving people more income
00:05:04.680 lead to worse outcomes?
00:05:06.360 Because I think that's a really key
00:05:07.580 cultural question.
00:05:09.120 So getting into the article,
00:05:11.200 just give people money.
00:05:12.580 It's the simple brute force solution
00:05:14.520 to so many problems.
00:05:15.620 In low-income countries,
00:05:16.580 charities are sometimes measured
00:05:17.700 against whether their interventions
00:05:18.880 are better than simply
00:05:19.980 giving people cash.
00:05:21.220 Even in high-income countries
00:05:22.540 like the U.S.,
00:05:23.100 when disaster strikes,
00:05:24.020 often the best thing you can do
00:05:25.060 is get money into the hands
00:05:26.080 of affected people immediately.
00:05:27.780 They know whether they should
00:05:28.660 use it to buy gas,
00:05:29.760 rent an Airbnb,
00:05:30.840 fly to their cousin's house,
00:05:31.860 or one state over.
00:05:33.520 So it wasn't that crazy to assume,
00:05:35.800 particularly once promising pilots
00:05:37.780 were released,
00:05:38.900 that the same should be true
00:05:40.040 for addressing chronic poverty
00:05:41.340 in high-income countries.
00:05:42.840 If you give a new mom
00:05:43.700 a few hundred dollars a month
00:05:44.860 or a homeless man $1,000 a month,
00:05:46.780 that's got to show up
00:05:47.640 in the data, right?
00:05:49.220 Alas.
00:05:50.140 A few years back,
00:05:51.020 we got really serious
00:05:51.900 about studying cash transfers
00:05:53.360 and rigorous research began
00:05:55.460 in cities all across America.
00:05:57.520 Some programs targeted the homeless,
00:05:59.580 some new mothers,
00:06:00.500 and some families living
00:06:01.480 beneath the poverty line.
00:06:02.860 The goal was to figure out
00:06:03.800 whether sizable monthly payments
00:06:05.320 help people lead better lives,
00:06:06.980 get better educations and jobs,
00:06:09.080 care for more of their children,
00:06:10.400 and achieve better health outcomes.
00:06:12.240 Many of the studies
00:06:12.920 are still ongoing,
00:06:13.900 but at this point,
00:06:14.620 the results are uncertain.
00:06:16.440 They're pretty consistent
00:06:17.380 and very weird.
00:06:19.120 Multiple large,
00:06:20.000 high-quality,
00:06:20.620 randomized studies
00:06:21.500 are finding that
00:06:22.320 guaranteed income transfers
00:06:23.640 do not appear to produce
00:06:24.920 sustained improvements
00:06:25.780 in mental health,
00:06:26.820 stress levels,
00:06:27.740 physical health,
00:06:28.580 child development outcomes,
00:06:29.760 or employment.
00:06:31.020 Treated participants
00:06:31.680 do work a little less,
00:06:33.580 but shockingly,
00:06:34.400 this doesn't correspond
00:06:35.220 with either lower stress levels
00:06:37.160 or higher overall
00:06:38.500 reported life satisfaction.
00:06:39.680 So I want to stop
00:06:40.180 and pull out
00:06:41.100 what's being said here.
00:06:42.880 That when people are like,
00:06:45.020 well, you know,
00:06:46.500 if you just gave me more money
00:06:48.580 or I just didn't have to worry
00:06:50.260 about money so much,
00:06:51.720 I would be less stressed.
00:06:53.840 Yeah, it's the money.
00:06:54.540 It's always,
00:06:54.960 it's the money.
00:06:55.500 It's the money.
00:06:56.040 I don't have enough money.
00:06:57.000 Factually untrue.
00:06:58.380 If you earned more money,
00:07:00.020 you would be less stressed.
00:07:01.080 Not if you were given more money.
00:07:03.220 And this is really key,
00:07:04.440 and we'll get into this at the end
00:07:05.760 because yeah,
00:07:07.380 total, total highlight.
00:07:09.040 All right, to continue.
00:07:10.080 Homeless people,
00:07:10.660 new mothers,
00:07:11.260 and low-income Americans
00:07:12.220 all over the country
00:07:13.040 receive thousands of dollars
00:07:14.300 and it's practically invisible
00:07:15.640 in the data.
00:07:16.740 On so many important metrics,
00:07:18.160 these people are statistically
00:07:19.460 indistinguishable
00:07:20.640 from those who did not
00:07:21.560 receive this aid.
00:07:22.680 I cannot stress
00:07:23.580 how shocking I find this
00:07:24.720 and I want to be clear,
00:07:25.460 this is not,
00:07:26.220 we got some weak counter evidence.
00:07:28.400 These are careful,
00:07:29.520 well-conducted studies.
00:07:30.680 They are large enough
00:07:31.480 to rule out
00:07:32.000 even some positive effects
00:07:33.380 and they are
00:07:33.940 all very similar.
00:07:35.460 I want to stop again here.
00:07:37.340 So the studies on UBI
00:07:38.360 are particularly damning
00:07:39.900 because most of them
00:07:41.540 were done by people
00:07:42.760 who were for UBI
00:07:44.440 and tried to frame the data
00:07:46.700 as being as pro-UBI
00:07:48.640 as possible.
00:07:49.600 Yeah, and that's,
00:07:50.220 so a big issue with this
00:07:52.000 is that many media outlets,
00:07:54.300 if they cover these at all,
00:07:56.120 they manipulate the results
00:07:57.860 to only like very selectively
00:07:59.680 say that this was good
00:08:00.860 because people don't want
00:08:02.420 to hear this.
00:08:03.100 This is not pleasant news
00:08:05.100 for anyone
00:08:05.640 because everyone's answer
00:08:06.680 to Malcolm's point
00:08:07.680 is always,
00:08:08.280 no, just give me more money
00:08:09.200 and then I'll be okay.
00:08:11.140 This is an amount of evidence
00:08:12.580 that in almost any other context
00:08:14.380 we'd consider definitive
00:08:15.960 and yet you'd be hard-pressed
00:08:17.560 to hear about it
00:08:18.280 in the media.
00:08:19.440 Quote,
00:08:19.700 overall,
00:08:20.040 the larger and more credible
00:08:21.160 studies in this space
00:08:22.060 have tended to find worse effects
00:08:23.460 and yet the press
00:08:24.220 seems to prefer
00:08:24.960 to cover the small pilots
00:08:26.700 that show positive impacts.
00:08:29.240 Eva Vivalt,
00:08:29.780 co-author of one recent
00:08:31.120 open research study
00:08:32.060 on guaranteed income
00:08:33.160 in the U.S.
00:08:33.820 told me,
00:08:34.820 the war on poverty
00:08:35.520 is the unfinished business
00:08:36.640 of American liberalism.
00:08:38.360 No randomized controlled trial
00:08:39.860 is really going to convince me
00:08:41.400 that money does not improve
00:08:42.860 people's lives,
00:08:43.720 but I do think cash
00:08:44.860 as an intervention
00:08:45.620 is best used
00:08:46.580 in emergencies
00:08:47.220 for pregnant women,
00:08:48.120 domestic violence victims,
00:08:49.100 or in other narrower contexts
00:08:50.740 where a study
00:08:51.360 is still unknowing.
00:08:52.220 She basically said
00:08:53.840 only for women.
00:08:55.460 For the two examples
00:08:56.880 she gave,
00:08:57.880 pregnant women
00:08:58.440 and in her mind
00:08:59.200 likely domestic violence women,
00:09:00.660 she is saying
00:09:01.300 only for women.
00:09:02.400 And this is how women think.
00:09:04.000 We want to take society's money
00:09:06.060 and use it
00:09:07.360 to make women
00:09:08.220 nuns to the state.
00:09:09.660 Yeah,
00:09:10.020 I mean,
00:09:10.260 that is a whole other
00:09:11.260 can of worms.
00:09:12.620 She continues,
00:09:13.360 winning the war on poverty
00:09:14.420 will require more
00:09:15.460 than just transfers,
00:09:16.300 it will require
00:09:16.840 building and improving
00:09:17.680 institutions that provide
00:09:18.680 education,
00:09:19.320 healthcare,
00:09:19.780 and housing.
00:09:20.740 It's harder this way,
00:09:21.660 but in the words
00:09:22.220 of John Meener Keynes,
00:09:24.380 anything we can do
00:09:25.100 we can afford.
00:09:26.400 The evidence,
00:09:27.280 what do the basic income studies
00:09:28.900 really show?
00:09:29.860 This is so interesting.
00:09:31.060 First,
00:09:31.480 some good news.
00:09:32.100 Poor Americans
00:09:32.600 do not fritter away
00:09:33.680 cash on vice goods
00:09:35.160 like drugs,
00:09:35.960 alcohol,
00:09:36.380 or gambling.
00:09:37.400 And the best piece of news
00:09:38.340 is that in qualitative interviews
00:09:39.660 when you ask people
00:09:40.560 how they're doing
00:09:41.340 and what they did
00:09:42.000 with the money,
00:09:42.840 the recipients
00:09:43.280 give very moving accounts.
00:09:45.420 The money brought comfort,
00:09:46.880 security,
00:09:47.580 hope,
00:09:47.940 and steps toward
00:09:48.500 a better future
00:09:49.140 just like you'd expect.
00:09:50.360 And this is so interesting
00:09:51.580 because there's this
00:09:52.420 collective delusion
00:09:55.080 that money fixes things
00:09:56.540 even when it doesn't.
00:09:57.700 You think it does.
00:09:59.200 So if you were to give me,
00:10:00.540 Malcolm,
00:10:00.820 just a bunch of money
00:10:01.800 and meaningfully
00:10:03.100 it does not make me happy
00:10:04.260 or anything else,
00:10:04.780 I'm still going to be like,
00:10:05.460 oh, it was so meaningful.
00:10:06.440 Yeah, definitely.
00:10:07.180 Give me more money.
00:10:07.920 That would be great.
00:10:08.320 Actually, there's a great way
00:10:09.520 to think about this.
00:10:10.640 So Simone
00:10:11.220 is very odd
00:10:12.700 in the way that she relates
00:10:14.100 to jewelry
00:10:15.460 and clothing
00:10:16.180 and shoes
00:10:16.900 and everything.
00:10:17.280 You got this for me.
00:10:18.060 I decided to wear it today
00:10:18.880 because it made me so happy.
00:10:19.980 But I got that for you
00:10:21.160 because you said,
00:10:22.000 like, I was like,
00:10:22.540 what sort of jewelry
00:10:23.400 early in our relationship
00:10:24.440 do you want?
00:10:25.440 And you're like,
00:10:26.240 well, you know,
00:10:27.140 I've always wanted
00:10:27.700 like pearl necklace.
00:10:29.100 I think that could look
00:10:29.780 pretty classy, right?
00:10:31.340 And so I got her
00:10:32.520 a few chains
00:10:33.320 of pearl necklaces
00:10:34.120 at like a pearl
00:10:34.980 like discounter place
00:10:36.060 where you can get them
00:10:36.640 like bulk or whatever.
00:10:38.040 Yeah.
00:10:38.440 And after that,
00:10:40.120 you know,
00:10:40.340 like the next year
00:10:40.880 I'll be like,
00:10:41.180 what do you want?
00:10:41.680 And she goes,
00:10:42.040 well, you gave me
00:10:42.540 what I wanted last year.
00:10:43.600 Yeah, I have it now.
00:10:44.860 I'm good.
00:10:45.360 Yeah, she's like,
00:10:46.240 you gave me that two years ago.
00:10:47.320 I don't need,
00:10:48.180 why would I need,
00:10:49.080 like, I've got a ring.
00:10:50.640 I've got a necklace.
00:10:51.840 I've got earrings.
00:10:53.220 I don't need,
00:10:53.860 why would I need
00:10:54.340 more than one earring?
00:10:56.040 Like, I need one for each ear.
00:10:57.960 I don't need-
00:10:58.100 Well, I did lose,
00:10:59.160 I did lose one of the
00:11:00.240 false diamond earrings
00:11:01.900 that I really liked.
00:11:03.020 Oh, the one with the globe?
00:11:05.060 No, it was just,
00:11:06.160 it was like an Asher cut
00:11:07.200 fake diamond earring stud.
00:11:09.360 And I just,
00:11:10.720 it's somewhere around this house
00:11:11.880 or one of our kids stole it
00:11:13.000 after it fell on the ground.
00:11:13.900 But like, I miss it.
00:11:15.660 I want to,
00:11:16.040 I could just use the ones
00:11:17.100 that your mom left to us
00:11:18.780 that are also just like fake.
00:11:20.200 So I don't have to be scared
00:11:21.240 wearing them around the house,
00:11:22.260 but they're so big
00:11:23.020 that they kind of don't work.
00:11:24.180 They're a little too gauche.
00:11:25.540 But the problem is,
00:11:27.100 is the way that you relate
00:11:28.840 to jewels is,
00:11:31.320 well, I need a pair of shoes
00:11:32.960 like for like the three occasions.
00:11:35.740 So you've got like boots,
00:11:36.960 like nice shoes
00:11:38.080 and like another pair of boots
00:11:39.780 for wearing outside,
00:11:40.660 but not anything more than that.
00:11:42.720 And it's the same with your outfits.
00:11:43.700 Like how many of these outfits
00:11:45.200 do you have?
00:11:45.640 Like four?
00:11:46.980 Yeah, enough to be able
00:11:48.100 to have something to wear
00:11:49.620 when the inevitable urine or vomit.
00:11:52.580 That's from our children.
00:11:54.180 Like, they, they,
00:11:55.740 I mean, you should see my apron now.
00:11:58.040 It's covered in like bread dough
00:11:59.560 and stuff.
00:12:00.320 But anyway, the point being
00:12:01.220 is that you, you, you, you,
00:12:05.700 if you,
00:12:06.540 if I got you a bunch of stuff,
00:12:10.080 jewels or an outfit,
00:12:12.240 you would look at me
00:12:13.660 and say like,
00:12:15.920 this is just a burden
00:12:17.000 at this point.
00:12:17.620 Like, this is just stressful
00:12:18.960 at this point, right?
00:12:20.000 Yeah.
00:12:20.240 Where am I going to put it all?
00:12:21.380 And this is the,
00:12:22.460 but you would still act like,
00:12:24.800 especially if you're a normal person,
00:12:25.760 because I don't think anyone else
00:12:26.600 actually gets additional happiness
00:12:28.320 from more shoes
00:12:29.820 or more jewelry
00:12:31.040 or more anything like that.
00:12:32.440 But they do get
00:12:33.240 in the moment appreciation.
00:12:34.900 Sure.
00:12:35.580 Absolutely.
00:12:36.020 The emotional maturity
00:12:37.620 that you have
00:12:38.480 to understand that
00:12:39.740 actually their life
00:12:40.900 has gotten worse
00:12:41.840 because now they have
00:12:42.960 more fancy stuff
00:12:44.080 they need to care for.
00:12:45.260 More liabilities.
00:12:46.300 Yeah.
00:12:46.720 Yeah.
00:12:46.860 And they feel bad
00:12:48.280 about having this stuff.
00:12:50.360 Yeah.
00:12:51.120 And I mean,
00:12:51.540 most of these studies
00:12:52.540 are looking at people
00:12:53.260 of much more limited means.
00:12:54.620 And the good news,
00:12:55.540 like she said,
00:12:56.140 is they're not spending
00:12:56.780 this money on drugs and jewelry.
00:12:57.940 Like they are actually
00:12:58.800 spending on stuff they need,
00:13:00.160 but even so,
00:13:01.280 it's not meaningful
00:13:02.060 to make them happen.
00:13:02.700 So to continue
00:13:03.200 what Kelsey Piper's writing,
00:13:04.300 but if you're hoping
00:13:06.100 that monthly transfers
00:13:07.000 of a few hundred
00:13:07.660 to a thousand dollars
00:13:08.600 could transform
00:13:09.380 the war on poverty,
00:13:10.360 then I think the results
00:13:11.040 are fairly clear
00:13:11.700 that this is,
00:13:13.100 at this point,
00:13:13.860 cash isn't king.
00:13:15.220 The gold standard
00:13:16.020 for guaranteed income experiment
00:13:17.300 goes something like this.
00:13:18.720 Researchers recruit
00:13:19.460 a large population,
00:13:20.920 thousands of people,
00:13:21.760 often across multiple cities,
00:13:23.040 and split them
00:13:23.800 into experimental
00:13:24.440 and control groups.
00:13:25.400 Sometimes a control group
00:13:26.360 gets a smaller sum of money,
00:13:27.680 20 or $50 a month,
00:13:29.280 rather than getting nothing.
00:13:30.880 Researchers arrange
00:13:31.660 to protect other benefits
00:13:33.040 so that no one
00:13:33.620 loses eligibility
00:13:34.300 for Medicaid,
00:13:35.420 Supplemental Nutrition
00:13:36.360 Assistance Program,
00:13:37.420 or SNAP,
00:13:38.360 or other programs,
00:13:39.300 because losing eligibility
00:13:40.480 for other benefits
00:13:41.280 would make it much harder
00:13:42.040 to usefully test
00:13:43.000 the effects of cash.
00:13:44.940 Well-designed studies
00:13:45.640 typically pre-register
00:13:46.720 what they'll study
00:13:47.640 so they can't
00:13:48.440 p-hack their way
00:13:49.160 into the results
00:13:49.760 after the fact.
00:13:50.980 The team behind
00:13:51.620 Baby's First Years,
00:13:52.760 one study of a guaranteed
00:13:54.120 income program
00:13:54.800 for new mothers
00:13:55.420 with an emphasis
00:13:56.200 on the effects
00:13:56.880 it would have
00:13:57.240 on new mothers
00:13:57.680 and child development,
00:13:59.040 gave their control group
00:13:59.880 $20 per month
00:14:00.920 and their experimental group
00:14:01.960 $333 per month.
00:14:03.620 They recruited
00:14:04.420 low-income mothers
00:14:05.260 at the hospitals
00:14:06.040 where they gave birth,
00:14:07.140 running the study
00:14:07.720 in Omaha, Nebraska,
00:14:09.160 New York, New Orleans,
00:14:10.280 and the Twin Cities.
00:14:11.480 The experimental group
00:14:12.360 had more money,
00:14:13.620 as you would expect,
00:14:14.720 and worked a little less,
00:14:16.220 but it's probably good
00:14:17.200 if mothers of young babies
00:14:18.360 can cut back
00:14:18.860 on hours slightly.
00:14:20.000 They also spent
00:14:20.600 slightly more money
00:14:21.360 on stuff for their kids,
00:14:22.580 but there was not much else.
00:14:24.100 The cash transfers
00:14:24.820 did not improve
00:14:25.680 maternal health outcomes
00:14:26.700 or child health outcomes.
00:14:28.180 They had no effects
00:14:28.880 on stress,
00:14:29.780 depression,
00:14:30.460 body mass index,
00:14:31.240 or how often children
00:14:32.360 get sick
00:14:33.180 or the children's
00:14:33.920 overall health.
00:14:34.860 They did not improve
00:14:35.580 mothers' self-reported
00:14:36.540 relationship quality
00:14:37.500 or measures
00:14:38.040 of psychological distress.
00:14:39.860 There was no effect
00:14:40.820 on child development.
00:14:41.920 So basically,
00:14:42.460 like, the kids
00:14:43.340 now have more junk.
00:14:44.300 There's, like,
00:14:44.560 more plastic stuff
00:14:45.480 sitting around their house.
00:14:46.240 Sitting around their house,
00:14:47.380 that's it.
00:14:47.740 Yeah.
00:14:48.480 I was very surprised.
00:14:49.720 We were all very surprised.
00:14:50.920 UC Irvine economist
00:14:52.020 Greg Duncan,
00:14:53.100 one of the study authors,
00:14:54.200 told the New York Times,
00:14:55.280 the money did not
00:14:55.880 make a difference,
00:14:56.860 but maybe it just takes
00:14:58.080 a lot more cash.
00:14:59.480 Quote, $333
00:15:00.540 in a time of inflation,
00:15:02.340 a historic pandemic.
00:15:03.560 That's just not going
00:15:04.280 to go very far.
00:15:05.320 End quote.
00:15:05.940 Amy Castro,
00:15:06.700 faculty director
00:15:07.440 of the University of Pennsylvania
00:15:09.020 Center for Guaranteed Income Research,
00:15:10.720 observed to me.
00:15:12.020 On some level,
00:15:12.820 she has to be right.
00:15:13.900 As an area gets richer,
00:15:15.120 people's life outcomes
00:15:15.980 get systematically better.
00:15:17.320 But it matters quite a lot
00:15:18.420 how much money it takes
00:15:19.600 to see meaningful improvements.
00:15:21.560 We would disagree with,
00:15:22.640 and the data would disagree with,
00:15:23.920 it's as they get richer
00:15:25.220 because they're making
00:15:26.020 their own money,
00:15:26.840 not the money itself
00:15:28.360 that is improving the area.
00:15:30.200 Exactly.
00:15:30.880 And as we have seen,
00:15:31.800 this study would go
00:15:32.420 against the Sam Altman study
00:15:33.360 that showed that they had
00:15:33.980 less money when they were
00:15:34.780 given money.
00:15:35.560 And that was when they were
00:15:36.360 given a lot more
00:15:37.140 than the $300, you know.
00:15:38.380 And I think that's the problem
00:15:39.260 is that when you get
00:15:40.400 to a higher amount,
00:15:41.600 and she goes into
00:15:42.520 higher amount studies,
00:15:43.760 so we're going to get
00:15:44.300 into more higher amount studies,
00:15:45.420 but I think once you get
00:15:47.020 more and more,
00:15:47.800 then you start to actually
00:15:49.160 scale back your life
00:15:50.200 in a very damaging way,
00:15:51.900 kind of expecting
00:15:52.680 that larger money.
00:15:54.520 Like $333,
00:15:55.380 you're not going to
00:15:56.760 meaningfully
00:15:57.420 start to depend on that,
00:15:59.700 you know,
00:16:00.160 especially in this time
00:16:00.980 of inflation with a new baby.
00:16:02.500 But yeah,
00:16:03.140 so to continue,
00:16:03.980 a Compton, California RCT
00:16:05.380 tried $500 per month
00:16:07.700 for two years.
00:16:08.280 They found
00:16:08.760 no significant effects
00:16:10.320 on the transfers
00:16:11.400 on labor supply,
00:16:12.780 assets,
00:16:13.520 psychological well-being,
00:16:14.840 financial security,
00:16:15.700 or food security.
00:16:17.020 Like,
00:16:17.420 what else are you going
00:16:18.100 to care about?
00:16:19.000 The biggest effect
00:16:19.900 they found
00:16:20.420 was on other income sources.
00:16:21.920 The groups receiving
00:16:23.080 transfers worked
00:16:23.880 fewer hours
00:16:24.580 and got paid less
00:16:26.040 than people
00:16:26.480 in the control group.
00:16:27.580 The lost non-transfer
00:16:28.860 of income
00:16:29.340 averaged $333 a month.
00:16:31.960 That, to me,
00:16:33.320 like,
00:16:33.560 if I were reading that,
00:16:34.320 I'd be like,
00:16:35.120 oh my god,
00:16:35.940 I've just damaged
00:16:36.680 these people's lives.
00:16:37.820 Like,
00:16:38.240 when they go off this dole,
00:16:40.500 they're less set up.
00:16:42.300 Like,
00:16:42.480 their recurring
00:16:43.620 self-reliant income stream
00:16:45.300 is damaged
00:16:46.100 because of what I did
00:16:47.420 with my study.
00:16:48.420 Like,
00:16:48.620 I can't believe
00:16:49.040 that people aren't
00:16:50.100 not just perturbed
00:16:51.240 by their results,
00:16:52.360 but embarrassed
00:16:53.220 and concerned
00:16:54.000 about the harm
00:16:54.720 they've done.
00:16:55.040 The harm that they've done.
00:16:55.880 Yeah,
00:16:56.000 absolutely.
00:16:56.620 Yeah.
00:16:56.960 And that they don't accept
00:16:58.360 that this is what's happened.
00:16:59.700 And this is how you know
00:17:00.300 these results are so accurate.
00:17:01.700 Yes.
00:17:02.120 Because the very people
00:17:03.000 running the study
00:17:03.600 are like,
00:17:04.420 it must have been
00:17:05.780 an anomaly,
00:17:06.840 you know.
00:17:07.300 Well,
00:17:07.620 and as Kelsey Piper puts it,
00:17:09.380 in the article,
00:17:10.200 she writes literally after that.
00:17:11.680 Now,
00:17:11.860 I think the working poor
00:17:12.960 having more free time
00:17:13.820 is a good outcome.
00:17:15.300 She's not,
00:17:15.940 like,
00:17:16.140 putting two and two together
00:17:16.980 that,
00:17:17.300 like,
00:17:18.060 you're damaging
00:17:19.840 these families.
00:17:20.900 Yeah.
00:17:21.200 And this is the problem
00:17:22.160 with socialism,
00:17:23.160 communism,
00:17:23.740 everything like that
00:17:24.500 more broadly,
00:17:25.520 is that the more
00:17:26.680 that we,
00:17:27.740 you know,
00:17:28.180 you take from
00:17:29.080 productive individuals
00:17:30.660 and give it
00:17:31.320 to non-productive individuals
00:17:32.680 through whatever means,
00:17:33.860 the more you destroy
00:17:35.040 the psychology
00:17:35.720 and lives
00:17:36.480 of those non-productive
00:17:37.340 individuals.
00:17:38.060 As I think any of us
00:17:39.020 have seen of individuals
00:17:40.120 once they start living
00:17:40.880 on Social Security.
00:17:41.740 I mean,
00:17:42.200 this isn't just in this.
00:17:43.660 I have seen this
00:17:44.400 within my own life.
00:17:45.260 When somebody starts
00:17:45.880 living on Social Security,
00:17:46.780 they begin to
00:17:48.300 basically descend
00:17:49.360 into madness.
00:17:50.440 Yeah.
00:17:51.680 100%.
00:17:52.200 She continues,
00:17:53.400 except the participants
00:17:54.640 were asked to rate
00:17:55.500 their own psychological
00:17:56.680 well-being
00:17:57.460 and nothing changed.
00:17:59.180 Okay.
00:17:59.880 Well,
00:18:00.240 let's double it.
00:18:00.960 The Open Research
00:18:02.000 Unconditional Income Study
00:18:03.320 tried $1,000 per month
00:18:04.600 for three years
00:18:05.720 while the control group
00:18:06.660 got $50 per month.
00:18:08.300 They found the participants
00:18:09.340 worked less
00:18:10.140 but nothing else improved.
00:18:12.100 Not their health,
00:18:13.020 not their sleep,
00:18:13.700 not their jobs,
00:18:14.560 not their education,
00:18:15.420 and not even time spent
00:18:17.000 with their children.
00:18:17.860 Yeah.
00:18:18.220 They did experience
00:18:18.880 a reduction in stress
00:18:19.880 at the start of the study
00:18:20.800 but it quickly went away
00:18:22.180 because of course it did.
00:18:23.840 I was surprised
00:18:26.960 at how little we found.
00:18:28.120 That looked great,
00:18:29.000 Sarah Miller,
00:18:29.580 one of the study authors,
00:18:30.520 told me.
00:18:31.560 I want to pause for a moment
00:18:32.660 and note how weird this is.
00:18:34.800 Most studies
00:18:35.300 on the relationship
00:18:35.940 between income
00:18:36.660 and well-being
00:18:37.100 in the U.S.
00:18:37.560 find that increases
00:18:38.300 in income
00:18:38.820 predict increases
00:18:39.780 in well-being.
00:18:40.600 This is the key crux
00:18:41.740 that we need to discuss here,
00:18:43.040 like from a policy standpoint.
00:18:45.040 She continues,
00:18:45.580 research from the
00:18:46.900 earned income tax expansion
00:18:48.220 in 1993
00:18:49.000 found that the extra cash
00:18:50.360 improved stress
00:18:51.320 and material health.
00:18:53.420 Direct cash payments
00:18:54.320 not making people better off
00:18:55.620 is a surprising finding
00:18:56.660 and while baby's first years
00:18:58.200 and Compton
00:18:59.320 are relatively small sums of money,
00:19:01.360 open research is larger.
00:19:03.020 None of the researchers
00:19:03.640 I spoke with
00:19:04.200 believe that giving people money
00:19:05.300 actually makes them
00:19:06.100 no better off.
00:19:07.420 Okay, so also like
00:19:08.140 none of these researchers
00:19:09.060 despite the evidence
00:19:10.160 being presented to them
00:19:11.180 are like-
00:19:12.100 I believe you accept this
00:19:13.020 and I'd also point out
00:19:14.120 that this is why,
00:19:15.800 you know,
00:19:16.020 if you are a white supremacist
00:19:17.460 you need to support reparations.
00:19:19.220 There is nothing you could do
00:19:20.880 that would do more
00:19:21.560 permanent damage
00:19:22.500 to the American Black community
00:19:23.720 than reparations.
00:19:24.640 No, but that's worse.
00:19:25.880 That's not even
00:19:26.740 being a white supremacist.
00:19:28.320 That's being a
00:19:29.060 I want to hurt Black people person.
00:19:31.500 Right.
00:19:31.880 All of these people
00:19:33.500 who are pushing for this
00:19:34.700 would just destroy
00:19:35.820 these communities.
00:19:36.460 Yeah, we should call them
00:19:37.720 like Black extinctionists
00:19:38.960 because that's what this would do.
00:19:40.820 Yeah.
00:19:41.020 This would Native Americanize
00:19:42.680 Black populations
00:19:44.020 subject to this
00:19:45.020 to your point earlier
00:19:46.320 citing how income-
00:19:48.340 And I point out,
00:19:48.980 by the way,
00:19:49.300 some Native tribes
00:19:50.280 have made this work
00:19:51.180 and we'll talk about
00:19:51.820 the ones that have made it work
00:19:52.760 and the ones that haven't.
00:19:53.760 The core difference
00:19:55.120 for the ones that have made it work
00:19:56.180 is they make the money
00:19:57.080 conditional
00:19:57.760 on things like education
00:19:59.620 and grades, etc.
00:20:01.580 Nice.
00:20:02.080 Okay.
00:20:02.780 Yeah.
00:20:03.980 I can't believe
00:20:05.160 that more income is worse,
00:20:06.960 Miller told me.
00:20:07.900 That would mean
00:20:08.620 that recessions are good.
00:20:10.020 We know their consumption went up.
00:20:11.660 A lot of times
00:20:12.320 that's a fundamental measure
00:20:13.620 of well-being.
00:20:14.680 Ha, ha, ha, ha.
00:20:15.680 But then what's going on?
00:20:17.220 I scoured these reports
00:20:18.260 for answers.
00:20:19.140 Where was the money going?
00:20:20.200 People weren't blowing it all
00:20:21.120 on vices like gambling,
00:20:22.440 tobacco, or alcohol.
00:20:23.780 It is generally proportionate
00:20:25.200 to overall spending.
00:20:26.120 So, lots on housing
00:20:27.280 and transportation,
00:20:28.220 some on food and childcare.
00:20:29.720 The Compton study found
00:20:30.620 that people paid down
00:20:31.380 their debt some.
00:20:32.340 There's no obvious
00:20:33.100 single pain point
00:20:33.920 for these families.
00:20:35.100 Maybe this isn't as confusing
00:20:36.380 as it initially feels.
00:20:37.560 If you gave me
00:20:38.320 an extra 10%
00:20:39.060 of my income to spend,
00:20:40.380 it would absolutely
00:20:41.020 make me better off,
00:20:42.060 just not necessarily
00:20:42.800 in ways you could measure.
00:20:44.160 I might give some to friends
00:20:45.220 going through a time of need,
00:20:46.780 which makes my community stronger,
00:20:48.240 even if it doesn't show up
00:20:49.200 in a study looking at my habits.
00:20:50.920 I might take the kids
00:20:51.800 across the country
00:20:52.480 to visit my aging grandparents.
00:20:53.880 Stressful,
00:20:54.440 but worth it in a way
00:20:55.520 that probably doesn't show up
00:20:56.600 in mental health inventory.
00:20:58.220 Oh my God,
00:20:58.780 these people looking
00:20:59.840 for their little...
00:21:01.060 And then if you've studied this,
00:21:02.680 are they doing more trips
00:21:03.640 to grandma?
00:21:04.320 No, they're not.
00:21:04.900 That's the way
00:21:05.520 it always is with these studies.
00:21:06.920 Yeah.
00:21:06.960 But we like Dorothy Piper.
00:21:08.760 We've met her.
00:21:09.300 She's a great person.
00:21:09.880 She's absolutely brilliant.
00:21:11.280 And yeah,
00:21:11.760 she can do no wrong
00:21:13.220 in my mind.
00:21:15.420 She's a very empathetic person
00:21:16.780 and it's showing up in this.
00:21:18.380 Quote,
00:21:18.620 it's very hard to evaluate
00:21:19.580 something like cash,
00:21:20.520 end quote,
00:21:20.840 Miller told me.
00:21:21.900 You might spend it
00:21:22.600 on a new car
00:21:23.340 and I might spend it
00:21:24.380 on a vacation
00:21:24.960 and someone else
00:21:25.560 might spend it
00:21:26.040 on their kids.
00:21:26.860 And when you average
00:21:27.680 all that together,
00:21:28.320 it's hard to find anything.
00:21:29.720 No study with this setup
00:21:30.600 can demonstrate conclusively
00:21:31.880 that money didn't help someone,
00:21:33.740 but they can and did
00:21:35.280 demonstrate
00:21:36.020 that giving low-income people
00:21:37.240 in this format
00:21:38.160 does not advance
00:21:38.960 other policy priorities.
00:21:40.860 It will not
00:21:41.420 at any detectable scale
00:21:42.840 make them measurably healthier
00:21:44.360 or happier
00:21:44.940 or give them better jobs
00:21:45.980 or improve their children's
00:21:47.000 intellectual development
00:21:47.980 because which is kind of
00:21:49.160 all that matters, people.
00:21:50.480 Certainly,
00:21:51.080 if it's not a big
00:21:52.540 give everyone cash program,
00:21:54.280 researchers did point out to me
00:21:55.600 that something much more
00:21:56.380 narrowly targeted
00:21:57.240 as a cash program
00:21:58.300 that is currently underway
00:21:59.300 is pulling its weight.
00:22:00.880 Then she continues
00:22:02.080 to do section.
00:22:02.700 The Basic Income Cover-Up
00:22:04.360 Death by a Thousand
00:22:05.900 Press Releases
00:22:06.760 These latest small
00:22:08.240 to null results
00:22:08.980 largely weren't surprising
00:22:10.160 to people who watched
00:22:11.120 this issue closely.
00:22:12.480 Many of them had realized
00:22:13.400 years ago
00:22:14.140 when the first studies
00:22:16.080 came out
00:22:16.880 that the effects of cash
00:22:18.400 weren't going to be
00:22:19.280 transformative.
00:22:20.400 While exciting big results
00:22:21.360 from pilots
00:22:21.880 tend to make headlines
00:22:22.780 and travel quickly
00:22:23.560 on social media,
00:22:24.560 sobering results
00:22:25.240 from RCTs
00:22:25.960 generally don't.
00:22:27.280 The depressing facts
00:22:28.160 I've recounted to you
00:22:28.880 are largely missing,
00:22:29.960 obscured,
00:22:30.420 and glossed over
00:22:31.080 in public communications
00:22:32.020 about these studies.
00:22:33.800 Articles focused
00:22:34.520 on tiny positives
00:22:35.440 or at best
00:22:36.460 will note
00:22:37.360 the evidence is uncertain.
00:22:38.600 Well, the Big Sam Holder study
00:22:38.820 that we pointed out
00:22:39.540 in that episode,
00:22:40.580 they framed it
00:22:41.780 as a success for UBI.
00:22:44.080 Yeah, it was massively
00:22:44.880 misrepresented in the media.
00:22:46.640 They were like,
00:22:47.040 well,
00:22:47.560 massively misrepresented.
00:22:48.580 People had more free time.
00:22:49.940 Isn't that great?
00:22:51.680 Isn't that nice?
00:22:53.620 Wouldn't you like that?
00:22:54.640 No, but I think
00:22:55.240 this is important
00:22:55.920 for people to understand
00:22:56.880 is that we don't have
00:22:59.640 any other viable
00:23:01.920 alternative right now
00:23:02.940 and that's a whole
00:23:03.640 separate episode
00:23:04.420 for what we do
00:23:06.020 when AI starts replacing us.
00:23:09.060 Yeah.
00:23:09.820 And it looks like
00:23:11.740 we're going to have
00:23:12.500 to WALL-E ourselves,
00:23:13.980 WALL-E-ize ourselves
00:23:14.840 if this is the path
00:23:17.040 we keep going on
00:23:17.760 and that's really horrifying
00:23:19.400 because there aren't,
00:23:21.580 you would need to create
00:23:22.560 some sort of
00:23:23.380 artificial hardship,
00:23:25.060 but we'll get to that later.
00:23:25.760 Yeah.
00:23:26.900 She points to one example
00:23:28.820 of this sort of
00:23:29.500 media misrepresentation.
00:23:31.280 Perhaps the most
00:23:31.780 egregious offender
00:23:33.240 is the Denver Basic Income Project,
00:23:35.340 the most bizarre
00:23:36.200 set of findings I reviewed.
00:23:37.780 This is what a prominent part
00:23:38.760 of the report section
00:23:39.600 on their website looks like.
00:23:41.040 Year one research report results,
00:23:43.440 groundbreaking findings.
00:23:44.720 All payment groups
00:23:45.540 showed significant improvements
00:23:46.740 in housing outcomes,
00:23:47.720 including a remarkable increase
00:23:49.260 in home rent and ownership
00:23:50.380 and decrease in nights
00:23:51.800 spent unsheltered.
00:23:53.520 Participants reported
00:23:54.480 positive shifts
00:23:55.280 in financial well-being
00:23:56.320 with an increase
00:23:57.240 in financial stability
00:23:58.180 and a greater ability
00:23:58.960 to pay bills
00:23:59.560 and reduced reliance
00:24:00.400 on emergency assistance.
00:24:02.800 She adds,
00:24:04.180 I guess I can't tell
00:24:05.120 this is a lie per se,
00:24:06.320 but in reality,
00:24:07.000 they gave a thousand a month
00:24:08.160 to homeless people
00:24:09.020 and they were barely
00:24:10.280 more likely
00:24:10.900 than the control group
00:24:12.000 to get housing.
00:24:12.900 Oh my God.
00:24:16.060 Time for some media criticism.
00:24:17.920 It's not just the researchers' fault.
00:24:19.520 Even when researchers
00:24:20.340 don't understate
00:24:22.440 or null,
00:24:23.360 sorry,
00:24:24.040 don't understate
00:24:24.780 a null or negative result,
00:24:26.220 they told me that journalists
00:24:27.120 are often less eager
00:24:28.120 to go to press with it.
00:24:30.060 Researchers have written
00:24:30.880 a dozen null effect papers.
00:24:32.300 They're trying to get
00:24:33.060 the result out there,
00:24:33.940 Miller told me.
00:24:35.040 People aren't interested
00:24:35.920 in reading them.
00:24:36.640 And that's totally legit.
00:24:38.020 I get that.
00:24:38.480 One researcher said
00:24:40.680 that the university press office
00:24:42.140 seemed to lose interest
00:24:43.240 in a press release
00:24:43.960 about their paper
00:24:45.020 once they learned
00:24:45.820 it was a null result,
00:24:46.700 saying that publication
00:24:47.540 could affect support
00:24:48.560 for public assistance programs.
00:24:50.500 There is clearly a motive here.
00:24:53.280 The researcher was unimpressed.
00:24:54.840 The press release
00:24:55.380 did eventually go out.
00:24:56.760 It's easy to say
00:24:57.400 a bunch of true things,
00:24:58.580 yet leave your reader
00:24:59.720 less informed.
00:25:00.680 And even if the study
00:25:01.600 gets covered,
00:25:02.340 there are several different ways
00:25:03.280 to write the same take.
00:25:04.780 When covering baby's first years,
00:25:06.280 you can highlight the fact
00:25:07.100 that mothers felt
00:25:07.900 more confident about parenting
00:25:09.500 or you can show
00:25:10.700 disappointing results
00:25:11.580 on child development metrics.
00:25:13.580 In some ways,
00:25:14.080 the way we identify
00:25:14.900 promising anti-poverty programs
00:25:16.360 is itself setting us up
00:25:18.040 for failure.
00:25:18.960 Local governments,
00:25:19.720 multiple researchers told me
00:25:20.740 will often only really
00:25:21.680 get excited about a program
00:25:22.940 if they've seen eye-popping results
00:25:24.920 from a pilot program elsewhere.
00:25:27.120 They want a silver bullet.
00:25:28.780 Many of the people
00:25:29.420 working on guaranteed income
00:25:30.640 chafe at the fact
00:25:31.420 that their programs
00:25:32.080 can be criticized
00:25:32.700 for not measuring up
00:25:33.620 precisely because they conducted
00:25:34.880 high-quality studies
00:25:35.780 in the first place.
00:25:36.540 When we look at every other
00:25:38.440 anti-poverty regulation,
00:25:39.660 we don't test it
00:25:40.440 at this level of rigor,
00:25:41.640 Castro pointed out to me.
00:25:43.600 Whole nother can of worms.
00:25:44.080 Which means most other
00:25:45.100 anti-poverty regulations
00:25:46.220 probably make things worse as well.
00:25:47.840 I know, right?
00:25:48.840 She continues,
00:25:49.460 it is true that it would
00:25:50.220 have been impossible
00:25:51.040 for me to write an article
00:25:52.020 about whether high-quality
00:25:53.060 randomized studies found
00:25:54.140 SNAP had benefits
00:25:55.260 for food insecurity,
00:25:56.600 even if I wanted to
00:25:57.480 because we didn't do RCTs
00:25:59.640 when we introduced SNAP.
00:26:01.740 That's the biggest
00:26:02.400 food assistance program
00:26:03.260 in the United States
00:26:03.900 for those living abroad.
00:26:04.720 The standards are higher
00:26:06.260 for guaranteed income
00:26:07.160 than they were
00:26:07.620 for most anti-poverty measures
00:26:08.880 when they were first introduced.
00:26:10.540 But increasing rigor
00:26:11.220 is a good thing.
00:26:12.220 It can allow us
00:26:13.020 to shift focus
00:26:13.800 from programs
00:26:14.340 that don't seem
00:26:15.000 to move the needle
00:26:15.740 towards ones that do.
00:26:17.580 Quote,
00:26:17.780 there's many of cash options
00:26:18.920 we should be looking at,
00:26:19.820 end quote.
00:26:20.280 Stassian West,
00:26:21.120 director of the Center
00:26:21.860 for Guaranteed Income Research,
00:26:22.920 told me.
00:26:23.860 The cash is writ large
00:26:24.880 and then there are
00:26:25.840 targeted life events.
00:26:27.520 Among the many studies
00:26:28.600 still underway,
00:26:29.460 there are much more specific
00:26:30.520 and targeted cash programs,
00:26:31.900 say aimed at pregnant women,
00:26:33.020 people just leaving prison
00:26:34.420 or those recovering
00:26:35.600 from a major negative life shock
00:26:37.020 that look promising.
00:26:38.060 If we hesitate to say
00:26:39.000 what works and what doesn't,
00:26:40.280 money will be wasted
00:26:40.980 on things that don't work,
00:26:42.360 money that could have gone
00:26:43.540 where it will make
00:26:44.400 a big difference.
00:26:45.320 I'm excited to see
00:26:46.380 whether big leaps findings,
00:26:48.060 this is another study,
00:26:49.160 that cash can help victims
00:26:50.420 of domestic violence
00:26:51.360 is reproduced in upcoming work.
00:26:53.000 I'm excited to see
00:26:54.000 the results of cash
00:26:54.700 for pregnant women
00:26:55.320 to improve pregnancy outcomes,
00:26:56.740 cash for parolees
00:26:57.680 to prevent recidivism,
00:26:59.060 and cash in response
00:27:00.020 to major shocks
00:27:00.760 and life events.
00:27:01.880 I hope some of these
00:27:02.580 deliver on their early promise
00:27:04.220 and help us advance
00:27:05.280 the project of addressing poverty.
00:27:07.100 But whatever the results are,
00:27:08.160 we should not bury
00:27:09.020 or exaggerate them.
00:27:10.420 We're in a dangerous
00:27:11.100 epistemic environment,
00:27:12.580 one where widespread agreement
00:27:13.720 on basic facts
00:27:14.800 is scarce
00:27:15.400 and noble lies
00:27:16.440 have permeated
00:27:17.440 the halls of truth-seeking
00:27:18.440 organizations like the media.
00:27:20.320 Those of us who care
00:27:21.040 about ending poverty
00:27:21.780 have to choose.
00:27:22.720 That's how you can tell
00:27:23.380 she's a left-wing person.
00:27:24.500 She thinks the media,
00:27:25.340 the truth-seeking organization.
00:27:27.360 Well, I appreciate
00:27:28.720 her acknowledgement
00:27:29.360 as someone who's left-leaning,
00:27:30.560 as someone who has
00:27:31.460 these tendencies.
00:27:32.620 With social programs,
00:27:33.780 whether it's SNAP
00:27:34.900 or UBI
00:27:37.140 or, you know,
00:27:38.400 anything that you do
00:27:39.820 as a handout
00:27:40.700 is probably making
00:27:42.440 the situation worse.
00:27:43.780 And we really haven't done,
00:27:45.800 when we have done studies,
00:27:47.080 that's what we find.
00:27:48.040 Absolutely.
00:27:48.120 And then another piece
00:27:48.680 is we just haven't done the studies.
00:27:49.920 Yeah.
00:27:50.220 And she ends it with,
00:27:51.720 those of us who care
00:27:52.320 about ending poverty
00:27:53.160 have to choose
00:27:53.980 the integrity of our work
00:27:55.180 over trying to play 5D chess
00:27:57.760 and hoping no one else
00:27:58.920 knows the rules.
00:27:59.560 So is she going
00:28:00.360 to become Trump?
00:28:01.100 Is she going to become MAGA?
00:28:02.360 We're getting MAGA here?
00:28:03.380 I mean...
00:28:03.840 I don't, I don't know.
00:28:04.780 I actually think
00:28:05.680 that there's like a community
00:28:06.820 in the EA world,
00:28:08.520 like,
00:28:09.300 and we're just going
00:28:09.980 to be some of the first
00:28:11.060 that it moved over.
00:28:12.200 But I would not be surprised
00:28:14.220 if by the next election cycle,
00:28:15.700 a lot of people like her
00:28:18.340 in a wider sort of intellectual
00:28:19.800 counterculture movement
00:28:21.120 just mainstream moves right.
00:28:23.300 Like, I mean,
00:28:24.700 you already have
00:28:25.260 that sort of heterodox center
00:28:26.420 that really, really,
00:28:27.180 really hates Trump.
00:28:28.180 Like,
00:28:28.960 Jesse Singel
00:28:29.620 of Blockton Reported
00:28:30.540 and his own blog
00:28:31.660 and own work
00:28:32.240 is one of those people
00:28:33.240 that like is super, super,
00:28:35.860 so even somewhat
00:28:36.600 Trump derangement syndromed,
00:28:38.140 and yet he still represents
00:28:39.940 someone who's willing
00:28:40.680 to question the orthodoxy.
00:28:41.960 There are lots of people
00:28:42.780 like that.
00:28:43.340 Maybe she's kind of
00:28:44.000 in that zone now.
00:28:44.760 Yeah, well,
00:28:45.280 and maybe once Trump
00:28:46.420 is not the face
00:28:47.680 of the Republican Party
00:28:48.520 and you get like a J.D. Vance,
00:28:49.640 it's much harder
00:28:50.160 for people in that crew
00:28:51.320 to be anti-Mega.
00:28:53.660 Yeah.
00:28:54.580 But so there's this question
00:28:56.300 of why cash transfers fail,
00:28:58.460 but earning more
00:28:59.160 correlates with better outcomes.
00:29:01.000 And one thing
00:29:01.620 that you encouraged me
00:29:02.220 to look at is the New Deal,
00:29:04.160 which was a set
00:29:04.960 of U.S. federal programs
00:29:06.020 and reforms instituted
00:29:07.020 in the 1930s
00:29:08.000 in the United States
00:29:08.680 that responded
00:29:09.880 to the Great Depression.
00:29:11.400 And they primarily did this,
00:29:12.640 it was a big program.
00:29:14.340 So it was jobs,
00:29:15.080 it was financial relief,
00:29:16.100 it was new regulatory systems.
00:29:18.180 Millions of people
00:29:19.080 were involved with this.
00:29:20.160 Although really,
00:29:21.820 recovery didn't go
00:29:23.480 all the way
00:29:23.900 until World War II.
00:29:25.120 But there were some programs
00:29:26.540 within the New Deal,
00:29:28.120 which long-term studies
00:29:29.720 have shown
00:29:30.340 were very impactful.
00:29:32.940 So specifically,
00:29:33.660 there was this one
00:29:34.860 youth employment program,
00:29:36.960 the largest employment program,
00:29:38.220 youth employment program
00:29:39.640 of its time,
00:29:40.520 the Civilian Conservation Corps,
00:29:42.060 the CCC,
00:29:43.060 which saw sustainably
00:29:44.320 improved outcomes,
00:29:45.140 including higher
00:29:46.160 lifetime earnings,
00:29:48.360 better health,
00:29:48.840 and lower disability rates,
00:29:50.460 which is huge
00:29:51.360 because here is this program
00:29:52.600 that existed in the U.S.
00:29:54.300 that provided employment
00:29:55.300 to youth,
00:29:56.460 that lasted...
00:29:56.800 It forced them to work.
00:29:58.360 Well, yeah,
00:29:58.720 but after,
00:29:59.460 it didn't force them to work.
00:30:00.900 After it ended,
00:30:02.500 it had sustained impact.
00:30:03.740 So lifetime earnings...
00:30:04.300 Wait, it didn't force them to work?
00:30:06.480 Yeah, it wasn't forced work.
00:30:07.540 It was a job opportunity for you.
00:30:09.300 No, that's what I mean.
00:30:10.060 You have to work for the money.
00:30:12.080 Yeah, yes.
00:30:12.700 Oh, yes, yes, yes.
00:30:13.460 You can't...
00:30:13.820 You don't get the money
00:30:14.420 if you don't work, yes.
00:30:15.460 But it wasn't like a labor camp.
00:30:18.120 No, the point is,
00:30:19.560 is that if you give money
00:30:20.880 to people for no work,
00:30:22.600 you make their lives worse.
00:30:24.000 Yes.
00:30:24.560 So just...
00:30:25.360 I just want to go over
00:30:26.060 the findings for this
00:30:26.800 because they were
00:30:27.200 so shocking to me.
00:30:28.780 Lifetime earnings
00:30:29.420 were 5% to 10% higher
00:30:30.900 than those
00:30:31.340 for similar peers
00:30:32.340 who did not participate.
00:30:34.000 Those with longer CCC service
00:30:36.380 experienced improved height,
00:30:38.180 health status,
00:30:38.840 and longevity,
00:30:39.880 and they lived about
00:30:40.880 a year longer on average.
00:30:42.880 They had lower stress
00:30:44.040 and disability
00:30:44.600 with CCC alumni
00:30:45.940 claiming disability benefits
00:30:47.500 0.4 years later in life.
00:30:50.520 They had 10% lower rates
00:30:51.820 of Social Security
00:30:52.960 disability insurance claims,
00:30:54.360 which is huge for the government.
00:30:55.680 Like, talk about ROI.
00:30:57.280 They had higher geographic mobility
00:30:58.920 and educational attainment
00:31:00.300 among those exposed
00:31:01.320 to work relief
00:31:02.040 and childhood
00:31:02.500 and their midlife income
00:31:04.300 and cognition
00:31:04.860 were much better
00:31:07.060 than those
00:31:07.920 who did not participate
00:31:09.680 in these programs.
00:31:11.000 So their health was...
00:31:11.840 Like, in terms of all the things
00:31:13.100 Kelsey Piper was looking for,
00:31:14.360 right?
00:31:14.520 She's like,
00:31:15.020 is their psychological
00:31:15.680 well-being better?
00:31:16.320 Is their earning better?
00:31:16.940 Is their education better?
00:31:17.800 Like, you know,
00:31:18.380 policy outcomes,
00:31:19.260 as she put them in her article.
00:31:20.860 The CCC did that.
00:31:22.600 Why are people not looking at that?
00:31:24.440 Why are people not looking
00:31:25.700 at putting people to work?
00:31:27.420 Why is this just giving people money?
00:31:28.680 Because they don't...
00:31:29.100 It's antithetical
00:31:29.980 to their world perspective.
00:31:31.120 They do not want to work.
00:31:34.180 So I will point out
00:31:35.440 just one little caveat
00:31:36.960 that I tried to find evidence
00:31:39.500 of other work programs
00:31:41.220 like in India,
00:31:42.000 in other countries,
00:31:42.720 in Europe, etc.,
00:31:43.380 China,
00:31:44.240 where that had such lasting impacts
00:31:47.500 as the Civilian Conservation Corps.
00:31:49.660 Many of them were more targeted,
00:31:51.940 like, oh, this is for vulnerable people.
00:31:53.720 It's only for this little period of time.
00:31:55.160 And pretty much all of them
00:31:56.880 had the kinds of outcomes
00:32:00.660 that she'd hoped for
00:32:01.580 during the treatment periods
00:32:02.840 of the studies that she looked at.
00:32:04.160 So, like, lower stress,
00:32:05.880 better financial security,
00:32:07.380 better feelings of empowerment, etc.
00:32:09.320 Like, it actually created
00:32:10.480 the effect she's looking for,
00:32:11.620 but it ended with those programs.
00:32:13.420 So there's something special
00:32:14.640 about the CCC.
00:32:15.480 I don't know if it was
00:32:16.020 because it was targeted at youth
00:32:17.240 or because it was more broad
00:32:18.480 or because it was, you know...
00:32:19.840 I'm not sure.
00:32:21.180 It could have even been
00:32:22.160 the nature of the work.
00:32:22.920 A lot of this was, like...
00:32:24.300 I remember walking on trails,
00:32:26.180 like hiking trails,
00:32:27.080 as a kid,
00:32:28.180 that people were like,
00:32:29.500 oh, yeah, this was built
00:32:30.200 by the Civilian Conservation Corps.
00:32:32.180 So, like, it was
00:32:32.800 a really big, cool,
00:32:35.540 like, infrastructure project,
00:32:36.580 but also involved
00:32:37.280 a lot of physical work
00:32:38.040 maybe that was good for people.
00:32:39.000 I'm not really sure
00:32:39.680 if it's, like,
00:32:40.120 the nature of the work that's given
00:32:41.180 that can also have
00:32:41.980 an effect on whether
00:32:43.220 this lasts longer.
00:32:45.400 But, yeah, I just find
00:32:47.480 this really interesting.
00:32:48.480 Maybe one way to do
00:32:49.460 a controlled research on this
00:32:50.680 is to look at people
00:32:52.080 who served in the military
00:32:53.240 and their outcomes
00:32:54.140 because that's government payments
00:32:56.820 that you get only
00:32:57.900 in return for work, right?
00:32:59.940 So, what happened?
00:33:01.520 With the military?
00:33:02.500 I haven't looked at that
00:33:03.700 if people who went
00:33:04.840 into the military...
00:33:05.840 Well, what we need
00:33:06.700 is to conscript the poor,
00:33:08.600 force them to work out,
00:33:09.720 you know?
00:33:10.160 That's how they get
00:33:10.940 their money.
00:33:12.380 I mean, South Koreans
00:33:13.400 have mandatory conscription.
00:33:15.320 Israelis have
00:33:15.840 mandatory conscription.
00:33:16.600 Yeah, you see
00:33:17.820 mandatory conscription
00:33:18.720 in a lot of, you know, well...
00:33:20.600 Yeah, like, successful,
00:33:22.300 industrialized,
00:33:23.040 influential, innovative countries.
00:33:25.040 I think it matters
00:33:25.700 a lot less now
00:33:26.260 that we have AI.
00:33:26.840 AI is going to totally
00:33:27.520 change warfare.
00:33:28.560 Well, yeah, but, I mean,
00:33:29.300 military doesn't have
00:33:30.220 to mean fighting.
00:33:32.760 It can mean
00:33:33.660 engaging in IT
00:33:35.360 or health
00:33:36.000 or cybersecurity.
00:33:37.240 I mean, even now,
00:33:38.280 the U.S. is shifting
00:33:39.260 its use of military
00:33:40.280 from, like,
00:33:41.220 foreign policy stuff
00:33:42.420 or, like,
00:33:42.800 foreign conflicts
00:33:43.440 to, you know,
00:33:45.300 hey, maybe we can
00:33:46.140 maintain order
00:33:46.720 in Chicago, California,
00:33:48.220 and Washington, D.C.
00:33:49.420 It's, like,
00:33:49.880 more local stuff.
00:33:51.040 This could...
00:33:52.720 Military service
00:33:53.920 in the future
00:33:54.620 could mean things
00:33:55.520 like maintaining
00:33:56.820 public parks,
00:33:58.120 fixing up
00:33:58.660 crumbling infrastructure,
00:33:59.780 which we're going to need.
00:34:01.320 I mean, considering,
00:34:02.200 you know,
00:34:02.420 the Small Towns Initiative
00:34:03.660 or whatever they're called
00:34:04.720 that's trying
00:34:05.340 in the United States
00:34:06.120 to raise awareness
00:34:07.320 about the fact
00:34:07.940 that many cities
00:34:08.780 and towns
00:34:09.180 that have been built
00:34:09.640 in the United States
00:34:10.280 were built on
00:34:11.080 somewhat shoddy infrastructure
00:34:12.460 that was funded
00:34:13.080 by the property
00:34:14.080 developers
00:34:14.520 and now has to be paid
00:34:16.060 for by the municipalities
00:34:17.300 set up around them
00:34:18.320 who have no tax base
00:34:20.100 to afford it.
00:34:21.320 You know,
00:34:21.680 it could be that
00:34:22.520 in the future
00:34:23.000 a big saving grace
00:34:24.080 if the government
00:34:24.620 gets its policy gears
00:34:25.720 in order
00:34:26.140 isn't UBI
00:34:28.000 but rather
00:34:28.780 employing people
00:34:29.920 and giving them jobs
00:34:31.140 but also
00:34:31.920 helping to maintain
00:34:34.440 the infrastructure
00:34:35.160 that is inevitably
00:34:36.060 going to crumble
00:34:37.060 as we lose the tax base
00:34:38.740 to support it.
00:34:39.820 But I also am not
00:34:40.520 exactly sure
00:34:41.060 how we're going to pay
00:34:41.680 for that.
00:34:42.460 But tell me
00:34:43.460 about the cases
00:34:44.040 in which tribes
00:34:45.220 in the United States
00:34:46.160 indigenous tribes
00:34:47.000 in the United States
00:34:47.500 We'll go into that
00:34:47.880 in a separate episode.
00:34:49.180 Oh, okay.
00:34:49.900 We're not going to get here.
00:34:51.640 But yeah,
00:34:52.180 I guess you're saying
00:34:52.700 it's because they worked
00:34:53.660 or they had to do stuff
00:34:54.740 for it.
00:34:55.560 Yeah, yeah.
00:34:56.200 They have to do stuff
00:34:57.160 for it.
00:34:57.400 You cannot give people
00:34:58.220 giving like
00:34:59.200 it psychologically
00:35:00.200 destroys people.
00:35:01.680 Reparations
00:35:02.120 when you look at
00:35:03.140 mental health, right?
00:35:05.520 One of the biggest things
00:35:06.640 is like within workplace
00:35:08.100 like jobs.
00:35:09.340 One of the jobs
00:35:09.960 where people are really
00:35:10.620 stressed out and miserable
00:35:11.480 or they have really
00:35:12.120 poor mental health
00:35:12.840 and one of the jobs
00:35:13.880 where people are
00:35:14.500 in a really good position.
00:35:16.140 When you feel like
00:35:17.160 you don't have control
00:35:18.000 or you don't have ownership
00:35:19.020 of your work,
00:35:19.960 your mental health
00:35:20.500 is really crappy.
00:35:22.180 And then when you do feel
00:35:23.400 like you're in control
00:35:24.680 and your life
00:35:26.480 is not subject
00:35:27.140 to the vicissitudes
00:35:27.980 of some system
00:35:29.020 or some manager,
00:35:30.940 your mental health
00:35:32.180 is way better.
00:35:33.480 Yeah.
00:35:33.920 And I think this is
00:35:35.180 one of those
00:35:35.560 so many of our episodes
00:35:36.840 just turn to like
00:35:37.760 external locus of control.
00:35:39.960 You know what would be
00:35:40.800 a very interesting study
00:35:41.960 in this area
00:35:42.780 is to apply a multiplier
00:35:46.000 to somebody's Uber earnings,
00:35:47.940 give somebody cash handouts
00:35:50.100 and then have a control group
00:35:51.560 and see if the Uber earnings groups
00:35:54.540 sees a positive.
00:35:56.820 So like turn gig work
00:35:58.780 into more of a living wage thing
00:36:00.240 and see if that gig work produces.
00:36:02.840 Oh, that would,
00:36:03.560 yeah, that would be interesting.
00:36:04.920 Yeah, anything where people
00:36:05.780 have to work for something,
00:36:07.140 even if it's just like
00:36:08.060 picking up trash
00:36:10.300 in a park or something.
00:36:11.520 Love you to Desimone.
00:36:12.620 Have a spectacular day.
00:36:15.400 And, you know,
00:36:16.280 we work for you guys
00:36:17.940 to give us money, please.
00:36:20.700 You got our Patreon here.
00:36:22.420 We got our-
00:36:22.780 And Substack
00:36:23.440 for those who hate Patreon.
00:36:24.300 Stack and Patreon
00:36:25.060 get down as well,
00:36:26.320 you know, let's see.
00:36:27.940 By the way,
00:36:28.500 Patreon and Substack
00:36:29.140 have the exact same benefit.
00:36:30.340 It's just two different
00:36:31.020 Playman products.
00:36:31.620 And the benefits include,
00:36:32.660 I mean, we're going to keep it up.
00:36:33.620 I'm pretty sure.
00:36:34.540 So far we haven't,
00:36:35.340 we're on an unbroken streak.
00:36:36.580 One weekend episode every day.
00:36:38.460 So, sorry, two weekend episodes.
00:36:39.740 You get a Saturday episode
00:36:40.680 and a Sunday episode.
00:36:41.580 So if you want to upgrade from-
00:36:43.120 We are releasing an episode
00:36:43.920 every day of the week now.
00:36:45.420 Yeah.
00:36:45.840 If you want to go from
00:36:46.580 five days a week
00:36:47.260 to seven days a week
00:36:48.140 of Basecamp,
00:36:49.360 you can.
00:36:50.620 The weekend episodes
00:36:51.380 are often stuff
00:36:52.120 that I don't think
00:36:52.680 will do well
00:36:53.120 on the main channel
00:36:53.820 because they're-
00:36:54.600 No, but it's stuff
00:36:54.940 that people ask for.
00:36:56.620 Yeah, there's stuff
00:36:57.520 that people ask for,
00:36:58.140 but they're often like,
00:36:59.600 how do you vibe code?
00:37:00.900 You know, something like that.
00:37:01.660 Like this isn't a channel
00:37:02.460 on how to do that.
00:37:03.640 Or like more personal stuff.
00:37:04.860 This most recent one we ran
00:37:06.500 was on our debauched
00:37:07.660 health regimes,
00:37:08.580 which include
00:37:10.080 functional disorders,
00:37:12.400 you know,
00:37:13.820 medicated,
00:37:15.120 whatever.
00:37:16.240 If I was going to
00:37:17.200 sum this episode up,
00:37:18.140 would you say to people,
00:37:20.240 work makes one free?
00:37:23.100 Work will set you free.
00:37:25.300 Sorry, do you know
00:37:25.820 what that's from?
00:37:26.900 Yes.
00:37:29.060 They were wrong.
00:37:30.660 I mean-
00:37:31.400 In that context,
00:37:32.440 it was a lie.
00:37:33.400 Yes, that was a lie.
00:37:34.920 So for people
00:37:35.580 who don't know,
00:37:36.160 that was-
00:37:36.880 I mean,
00:37:37.420 there the sign
00:37:38.740 should have been
00:37:39.280 incinerators will set you free.
00:37:41.240 But like,
00:37:43.320 the general premise-
00:37:44.880 No,
00:37:45.360 that was on the
00:37:46.240 concentration camps
00:37:47.040 in Nazi Germany.
00:37:47.900 That was a sign
00:37:49.140 on Auschwitz specifically.
00:37:50.440 Auschwitz specifically,
00:37:51.280 okay.
00:37:51.400 Yeah, I can just imagine
00:37:53.060 some like nice German architect
00:37:54.560 being told that like,
00:37:55.740 oh, this is a work camp.
00:37:57.100 You know,
00:37:57.280 we're trying to,
00:37:58.140 you know,
00:37:58.680 we need to build stuff
00:37:59.820 for the war effort.
00:38:00.820 You know,
00:38:01.020 can you help us out here?
00:38:01.920 And they're like,
00:38:02.320 you know what?
00:38:02.840 I think a really inspirational
00:38:04.060 message for people
00:38:04.980 coming in to help
00:38:06.260 the German war effort.
00:38:07.400 Oh my God,
00:38:07.600 that generation's version
00:38:09.340 of like the cat
00:38:10.540 on like the string,
00:38:11.960 like hang in there
00:38:12.740 or something.
00:38:14.340 Like at the Auschwitz,
00:38:15.760 it's just like hang in there.
00:38:16.800 Hang in there, buddy.
00:38:18.260 Oh my God.
00:38:19.880 That's at the progressive
00:38:21.080 Auschwitz,
00:38:21.600 which is still set up.
00:38:22.240 I'll put it in the
00:38:22.680 South Park scene here.
00:38:23.720 Eventually,
00:38:24.200 you know,
00:38:24.360 we all know
00:38:24.760 that we're going to
00:38:25.480 be living through this
00:38:26.920 if we keep up
00:38:27.460 with the wrong thing.
00:38:30.080 Welcome to Tolerance Camp.
00:38:32.600 You are here
00:38:33.360 because you refuse
00:38:34.720 to accept the life choices
00:38:36.200 of your fellow man.
00:38:37.740 Well,
00:38:37.920 those days are now over.
00:38:40.100 Here you will work
00:38:41.100 every hour of every day
00:38:42.600 until you submit
00:38:43.440 to being tolerant
00:38:44.440 of everybody.
00:38:45.480 Today,
00:38:46.680 we will be using
00:38:47.760 the finger paint.
00:38:49.520 You will make a painting
00:38:50.700 that shows people
00:38:51.480 of different races
00:38:52.240 and sexual orientations
00:38:53.440 getting along.
00:38:55.040 Finger paint.
00:38:55.920 Finger paint.
00:38:57.340 What are you finger painting?
00:38:59.160 A bear?
00:39:00.420 A bear?
00:39:01.880 And bears nothing to do
00:39:03.240 with accepting people
00:39:04.200 of different races.
00:39:05.640 I didn't know
00:39:06.440 what else to paint.
00:39:07.360 Start over.
00:39:08.280 You will finger paint
00:39:09.280 what we tell you.
00:39:10.200 Go.
00:39:11.920 Faster.
00:39:12.300 Faster.
00:39:15.840 Faster.
00:39:18.200 Faster.
00:39:18.700 Are you done?
00:39:19.360 What is it?
00:39:19.900 What have you done?
00:39:20.640 People of all colors
00:39:21.320 and greens
00:39:21.600 holding hands
00:39:22.020 beneath a rainbow.
00:39:22.940 Good.
00:39:23.840 We are making
00:39:24.420 the prisoners
00:39:24.880 make macaroni pictures
00:39:25.960 that illustrate diversity
00:39:27.060 in the workplace.
00:39:29.220 Excellent.
00:39:32.620 Oh, my God.
00:39:34.420 Yeah, I love you.
00:39:35.000 Oh, the one where
00:39:35.380 they drew pictures
00:39:36.260 or something?
00:39:36.980 Yeah.
00:39:38.200 God.
00:39:40.700 All right.
00:39:41.280 Okay, so,
00:39:41.780 Simone,
00:39:42.220 for the next episode,
00:39:43.260 I had an alternate one
00:39:44.200 we can do.
00:39:44.860 Oh, good.
00:39:45.380 I think I might do better,
00:39:46.360 which is on
00:39:47.940 how mixing races
00:39:49.960 became racist.
00:39:53.240 Oh, like mixed race marriages?
00:39:55.160 Yeah.
00:39:56.620 Okay, sure.
00:39:57.540 Yeah, I have the other one
00:39:58.380 ready to go.
00:39:58.940 So, the comments
00:39:59.640 on today's episode?
00:40:01.440 They enjoyed it.
00:40:03.060 They enjoyed it.
00:40:03.640 What surprised me
00:40:04.560 was the number of people.
00:40:05.260 What was it on?
00:40:06.260 When we do this part,
00:40:07.080 explain.
00:40:07.480 Oh, so today,
00:40:09.080 the episode that we ran today
00:40:10.280 as we're recording
00:40:11.000 was on Jimmy Kimmel.
00:40:13.280 What surprised me the most
00:40:14.220 was the number of people
00:40:15.060 who were like,
00:40:16.660 no, y'all are wrong
00:40:18.280 about Sandy Hook.
00:40:19.220 That was a false flag attack.
00:40:21.220 Wait, do we have an audience
00:40:22.340 that believes Sandy Hook
00:40:23.340 was a false flag attack?
00:40:24.260 There was at least three people
00:40:25.780 that I saw.
00:40:27.740 So.
00:40:29.260 This is,
00:40:30.300 okay.
00:40:30.980 No, the Jimmy Kimmel thing,
00:40:32.720 I mean, we could maybe
00:40:33.520 do a deep dive
00:40:34.220 into whether Sandy Hook
00:40:35.360 was a false flag attack.
00:40:36.700 That could be a fun episode
00:40:37.800 one day.
00:40:38.320 No, we will not be doing
00:40:39.520 this episode
00:40:40.040 because I spent some time
00:40:41.640 looking into it
00:40:42.460 and the evidence
00:40:43.700 that it is a false flag attack
00:40:45.420 is so laughably bad
00:40:47.920 that there isn't
00:40:48.640 really much to go into.
00:40:50.480 It's stuff like
00:40:51.180 just not understanding
00:40:52.260 humaning.
00:40:53.380 Like, they'll be like,
00:40:53.960 oh, somebody was laughing
00:40:55.380 when they were having
00:40:56.080 an emotional breakdown
00:40:57.020 because their child
00:40:57.980 was recently killed.
00:40:59.520 It's like,
00:41:00.240 yeah, that's normal
00:41:01.640 human behavior
00:41:02.640 to be completely
00:41:03.860 emotionally unhinged
00:41:05.400 when your kids are killed.
00:41:07.180 Like, I don't,
00:41:08.240 yeah,
00:41:08.660 I think it just shows
00:41:10.480 most of the information
00:41:11.780 where it's like,
00:41:12.280 oh, this showed
00:41:13.400 that there were no deaths
00:41:14.460 of this type
00:41:15.140 in this region
00:41:15.940 at this time.
00:41:17.040 And it's like,
00:41:17.520 yeah, but here's where
00:41:18.900 the form was actually filed
00:41:20.260 and you can just trace
00:41:21.460 the paper trail
00:41:22.140 and see that the deaths
00:41:22.920 were recorded here.
00:41:24.500 And so it's just like
00:41:25.560 over and over again
00:41:26.160 stuff like that
00:41:26.840 or like,
00:41:27.220 oh, this website's
00:41:28.580 timestamp shows this
00:41:29.760 and it's like,
00:41:30.680 well, that was
00:41:31.300 improperly captured.
00:41:32.420 You can look right here.
00:41:33.920 It's very easy to find
00:41:35.480 sort of mistakes
00:41:36.700 in terms of research
00:41:37.800 and not deeper sort of
00:41:39.560 because there are some areas
00:41:40.520 where I dive into
00:41:41.100 conspiracy theories.
00:41:41.860 You can look at any
00:41:42.340 of my conspiracy theory videos
00:41:43.500 where I'm willing to consider
00:41:44.900 a conspiracy theory
00:41:45.720 if I think that they're interesting
00:41:47.160 and this would have been
00:41:47.920 an interesting one
00:41:48.540 if it had any
00:41:49.260 sort of weight to it.
00:41:51.340 Yeah.
00:41:51.780 Someone else suggested
00:41:52.880 an episode that I thought
00:41:53.700 would be fun
00:41:54.220 which is on
00:41:54.980 what we think
00:41:55.620 the future of organized crime
00:41:57.140 is going to be.
00:41:58.680 Oh, very interesting.
00:41:59.560 Yeah.
00:41:59.740 Very interesting indeed.
00:42:01.200 So that was a
00:42:01.700 They're already seeing
00:42:02.380 like 10,000 songs a day
00:42:04.360 on like Spotify
00:42:05.020 or whatever.
00:42:05.680 Like, can you spam
00:42:06.840 organized crime with AI?
00:42:08.320 Because there's going
00:42:08.640 to be crime AI.
00:42:10.060 Oh, AI based crime.
00:42:11.660 No, they're already doing that.
00:42:12.720 That's already happening
00:42:13.460 with spoofed calls.
00:42:15.500 So, you know,
00:42:16.160 they used to have these,
00:42:17.420 you know, like honeypot based
00:42:19.200 and they still do.
00:42:20.100 Like people who are basically
00:42:21.040 in slavery conditions
00:42:22.000 doing these honeypot calls.
00:42:24.000 But I think a lot of that's
00:42:24.840 just going to be AI based
00:42:26.020 in the future.
00:42:27.620 But yeah.
00:42:28.580 Her grandma was robbed
00:42:29.800 by AI.
00:42:32.380 It's also
00:42:32.960 Her AI lover.
00:42:34.260 Her AI lover.
00:42:35.680 Yeah.
00:42:36.440 So that's interesting.
00:42:38.140 The other thing,
00:42:38.920 because I've actually been
00:42:39.460 thinking more about
00:42:40.140 the Jimmy Kibble thing
00:42:40.780 and it's just so weird.
00:42:41.900 And it's even wilder
00:42:45.400 that they gave him
00:42:46.000 his job back,
00:42:47.120 given that,
00:42:47.620 as we pointed out
00:42:48.140 on that episode,
00:42:49.060 his ratings were well below
00:42:50.460 most other late night shows
00:42:52.080 when they were canceled.
00:42:53.300 And he himself admitted
00:42:54.900 that he was planning
00:42:56.060 to not be renewed that year.
00:42:57.940 So, and the thing
00:42:59.540 that got him fired
00:43:00.500 wasn't even lying on air.
00:43:02.080 It was refusing
00:43:02.700 to apologize for it.
00:43:04.120 And he's still refusing
00:43:05.500 to apologize for it.
00:43:07.000 And when I go on
00:43:07.740 left wing forums
00:43:08.360 to just find out
00:43:09.120 how they're justifying
00:43:10.000 this to themselves,
00:43:10.760 the way that
00:43:12.140 they're justifying it
00:43:13.100 is by saying,
00:43:14.360 well, he said
00:43:15.440 that the right
00:43:15.920 is using this
00:43:16.520 for political purposes.
00:43:17.840 And I'm like,
00:43:18.920 no, he said
00:43:20.260 that the shooter
00:43:21.060 was right wing.
00:43:22.440 That's a very
00:43:22.980 different claim.
00:43:24.040 He's lying.
00:43:27.420 And he won't even
00:43:28.460 apologize for lying
00:43:29.420 about somebody
00:43:29.840 who was just shot.
00:43:30.400 Again, I see
00:43:31.200 very little difference
00:43:31.940 between what he did
00:43:32.640 and Alex Jones
00:43:33.400 with Sandy Hook.
00:43:34.360 And I will note
00:43:34.900 that his goal
00:43:35.660 is exactly the same
00:43:36.560 as what Alex Jones'
00:43:37.580 goal was,
00:43:38.580 which was to prevent
00:43:39.520 a public conversation
00:43:40.640 that an event
00:43:41.780 would otherwise trigger.
00:43:42.820 In Alex Jones' case,
00:43:43.800 it was around shootings.
00:43:45.940 In this case,
00:43:47.160 it was around
00:43:47.980 somebody being killed
00:43:49.120 for free speech.
00:43:50.100 And he doesn't want
00:43:51.180 that conversation
00:43:51.980 to happen
00:43:52.540 or his audience
00:43:53.340 to have questions
00:43:54.120 around that conversation.
00:43:55.600 Note here for the people
00:43:56.500 to be like,
00:43:57.420 the one way
00:43:58.040 that what Alex Jones
00:43:58.720 did was worse
00:43:59.440 is that he targeted
00:44:01.380 families
00:44:02.480 in the way
00:44:03.760 he told the lie
00:44:04.380 and the way
00:44:05.420 what Jimmy Kimmel
00:44:06.020 did was worse
00:44:06.660 is he didn't even
00:44:08.040 give an explanation
00:44:09.040 as to why
00:44:09.920 he was lying.
00:44:10.760 Like, at least Alex Jones
00:44:11.680 was like,
00:44:12.380 here is why
00:44:13.540 I think this.
00:44:14.380 He was just like,
00:44:15.460 this factual
00:44:16.580 inaccuracy
00:44:17.820 is a truth.
00:44:18.560 Accept it
00:44:19.060 because I told you so.
00:44:19.960 There is
00:44:21.060 any freak out
00:44:22.620 about it at all
00:44:23.660 that like
00:44:24.340 somebody
00:44:26.280 who a core part
00:44:27.320 of their job
00:44:28.120 is newscasting
00:44:29.300 for a private company.
00:44:31.360 Well, okay,
00:44:32.120 a lot of people
00:44:32.800 also pointed out
00:44:33.520 in the comments,
00:44:33.960 many, many people,
00:44:35.040 this guy is not
00:44:35.660 a newscaster,
00:44:36.560 he's a comedian.
00:44:37.620 He is a newscaster,
00:44:38.900 Simone.
00:44:39.120 I am sorry.
00:44:40.020 They disagree.
00:44:40.820 The vast majority
00:44:41.580 of people,
00:44:42.060 so if you look at,
00:44:43.200 you know,
00:44:43.440 whether it's Jon Stewart
00:44:44.500 or Stephen Colbert
00:44:45.540 or his show,
00:44:47.400 I would argue
00:44:48.160 that if you're talking
00:44:48.820 about his average viewer,
00:44:50.500 he is the primary
00:44:51.440 source of news for them.
00:44:52.560 That's the thing
00:44:53.240 is that
00:44:53.800 both can be true
00:44:56.580 and now
00:44:57.860 what's seen
00:44:58.660 is like
00:44:59.020 the primary source
00:45:00.020 of news
00:45:00.340 for a lot of people
00:45:01.160 is like
00:45:03.160 online commentators
00:45:04.360 who primarily
00:45:05.160 are also comedians
00:45:06.620 and entertainers
00:45:07.500 and there's,
00:45:08.680 there's,
00:45:09.540 I used to get
00:45:10.880 most of my news
00:45:11.940 from like
00:45:12.540 The Daily Show
00:45:13.360 and shows like that.
00:45:14.080 But this is the thing
00:45:15.020 as well,
00:45:15.820 why would you
00:45:16.460 intentionally
00:45:17.200 other than
00:45:18.580 just because
00:45:19.060 you're trying
00:45:19.380 to be old timey
00:45:20.140 or whatever
00:45:20.460 make the news boring?
00:45:22.040 Right?
00:45:22.280 Like you have a choice
00:45:23.400 in how you,
00:45:24.160 how you relate
00:45:25.120 information to people.
00:45:26.160 You can either
00:45:26.800 resist telling jokes
00:45:28.680 when opportunities arise
00:45:29.960 or make it funny
00:45:31.840 and engaging.
00:45:32.860 The fact that you
00:45:34.260 are not an idiot
00:45:35.840 about how you deliver
00:45:37.100 educational content
00:45:38.800 to people,
00:45:39.500 i.e.
00:45:39.820 you make it entertaining,
00:45:41.280 doesn't make you
00:45:42.000 not an educator,
00:45:43.180 doesn't make you
00:45:43.800 not an anchor,
00:45:45.360 which is,
00:45:46.260 but the point
00:45:46.740 I'm making here
00:45:47.160 is that's his core job
00:45:48.420 is telling people
00:45:49.140 what's true
00:45:49.640 and what's not true
00:45:50.460 and he lies
00:45:51.360 and he works
00:45:51.920 for a private company
00:45:52.660 and the private company
00:45:53.920 decides to fire him
00:45:55.700 while he also has
00:45:57.180 desperately low ratings,
00:45:58.680 ratings that are,
00:45:59.420 as we pointed out
00:45:59.820 in the episode,
00:46:00.460 much lower
00:46:01.120 than the ratings
00:46:01.700 that most of the other
00:46:02.820 shows that are
00:46:03.540 equivalent to his
00:46:04.360 were canceled under
00:46:05.800 and he himself
00:46:07.560 said he expected
00:46:08.420 the show to not
00:46:09.100 be renewed.
00:46:09.900 Like,
00:46:10.160 it's just like,
00:46:10.760 why have a freak
00:46:11.920 out about this?
00:46:12.660 Like,
00:46:12.880 what's the,
00:46:14.120 why would it,
00:46:15.080 they're like,
00:46:15.620 oh,
00:46:15.860 Disney should have
00:46:16.420 gone to bat for him.
00:46:17.580 It's like,
00:46:18.000 Disney is probably
00:46:19.200 losing money on his show,
00:46:20.820 like,
00:46:21.060 on an episode-for-episode
00:46:21.980 basis at this point
00:46:22.880 if you look at the numbers.
00:46:23.920 Yeah.
00:46:24.380 And given that his show
00:46:25.180 was put back on,
00:46:26.080 it's almost like
00:46:26.620 what we're being shown
00:46:27.500 is you cannot be fired
00:46:29.240 if you're progressive enough
00:46:30.500 from some companies,
00:46:31.760 no matter how badly
00:46:32.880 you perform.
00:46:34.700 If you support the narrative,
00:46:36.760 you get to stay.
00:46:37.580 So why would they,
00:46:39.280 like,
00:46:39.480 there's this weird world
00:46:41.540 that people are living in
00:46:42.880 where they think
00:46:44.900 that basically,
00:46:46.480 I mean,
00:46:46.980 the answer is obvious.
00:46:48.640 They think if you are
00:46:49.540 progressive,
00:46:50.780 you have a duty to lie
00:46:52.660 as an information person
00:46:54.860 because with-
00:46:55.740 Yeah,
00:46:55.880 a lot of people
00:46:56.500 commented on that as well.
00:46:57.500 They were talking about
00:46:58.300 how there's this belief
00:47:00.340 that you have to lie
00:47:01.560 as part of the greater good
00:47:03.720 or something like that.
00:47:05.820 Yeah.
00:47:06.300 Oh,
00:47:07.380 and this is why
00:47:07.680 when everyone is like
00:47:08.320 the Tau or the nice race
00:47:09.440 in Warcraft,
00:47:10.220 I'm like,
00:47:10.440 no,
00:47:10.560 the Tau are like
00:47:11.180 the most evil race.
00:47:12.400 Well,
00:47:12.520 maybe not the most evil.
00:47:13.480 There's some pretty evil races,
00:47:14.740 but-
00:47:15.260 Was that you who referenced
00:47:16.120 them in the comments
00:47:16.640 or did someone else?
00:47:17.520 Because I was like,
00:47:18.160 who are the Tau?
00:47:18.860 I don't know how to respond to this.
00:47:20.380 Anyway,
00:47:20.900 did somebody say that
00:47:21.820 in the comments?
00:47:22.540 Yes.
00:47:22.840 Someone referred to the Tau,
00:47:24.200 so they get it.
00:47:25.680 Well,
00:47:26.000 if you're talking about
00:47:26.760 the greater good,
00:47:27.460 you're going to get people
00:47:28.060 referencing the Tau,
00:47:28.880 Simone.
00:47:29.140 Come on.
00:47:29.680 Oh,
00:47:29.980 well,
00:47:30.360 sorry,
00:47:30.860 I'm not read in
00:47:31.840 at all,
00:47:32.960 but-
00:47:33.420 All right.
00:47:33.700 No,
00:47:33.860 the point I was making
00:47:35.140 is I began to realize
00:47:37.240 that they sort of have a duty
00:47:39.900 to not pop the bubble,
00:47:41.800 pop their like information sphere
00:47:43.840 where everything is good
00:47:44.860 and their site only does good.
00:47:46.740 And there really isn't an interest
00:47:48.360 in what's true at all.
00:47:49.520 And if anything,
00:47:50.460 if he had told the truth,
00:47:51.860 that would have been
00:47:52.540 a greater violation
00:47:53.420 than the way
00:47:54.560 that he handled
00:47:55.240 the information,
00:47:57.620 right?
00:47:58.240 Well,
00:47:58.480 a lot of people
00:47:58.940 also wanted to point out
00:47:59.760 because we didn't know this
00:48:00.700 at the time of recording
00:48:01.520 that he was suspended
00:48:04.280 or slash fired
00:48:06.840 not specifically,
00:48:08.680 you know,
00:48:08.960 only for having
00:48:10.300 misrepresented reality
00:48:12.020 and said that
00:48:12.760 Tyler Robinson was MAGA,
00:48:15.040 but because he was asked
00:48:16.660 by ABC to publicly apologize
00:48:18.640 for that misrepresentation
00:48:20.420 and he refused to.
00:48:22.580 And then that is when
00:48:23.820 he was,
00:48:25.240 fired.
00:48:25.500 That's a very good reason
00:48:26.740 to be pulled.
00:48:27.700 A lot of people chimed in
00:48:29.120 to say that.
00:48:30.300 My argument is
00:48:31.260 there's just absolutely
00:48:32.080 no reason why
00:48:32.700 he would ever do that
00:48:33.640 because he already knew
00:48:34.700 he was going to be canceled.
00:48:35.940 He knows he needs
00:48:36.620 to line up a new audience
00:48:37.480 and that new audience
00:48:38.220 is only going to be
00:48:39.440 his ultra progressive base,
00:48:41.220 which is all that's left
00:48:42.120 for him now.
00:48:42.860 And if he were to
00:48:43.900 backpedal on that,
00:48:45.740 he would alienate
00:48:46.460 the only source of income
00:48:47.420 he has coming in the future.
00:48:48.820 So of course he didn't do it.
00:48:50.880 Would be crazy.
00:48:51.960 Well,
00:48:52.240 I mean,
00:48:52.840 some of these people
00:48:53.760 have gone,
00:48:54.380 I can't remember
00:48:54.820 I want to say
00:48:55.520 something Hall
00:48:57.260 or something,
00:48:58.360 Arsenio Hall
00:48:58.860 or something.
00:48:59.380 I can't remember.
00:48:59.860 There was some
00:49:00.280 black late night show
00:49:01.780 hosts that I had heard about.
00:49:04.280 So I tried to find it
00:49:05.440 because a few
00:49:06.080 fell into this category.
00:49:07.560 Arsenio Hall,
00:49:08.900 DL Hughley,
00:49:10.140 and Travis Smiley,
00:49:11.420 but I can't find
00:49:12.340 the exact channel.
00:49:13.040 I seem to remember
00:49:13.460 it was Arsenio Hall,
00:49:14.340 but now I can't find
00:49:15.040 his channel.
00:49:15.800 But if you go to something
00:49:16.420 like the Travis Smiley channel,
00:49:17.780 they'll be getting
00:49:18.240 2.7,
00:49:20.460 7.6k views per video.
00:49:22.640 And I'll try to find
00:49:23.200 his thing again.
00:49:24.660 And he started a YouTube
00:49:25.700 and he gets
00:49:26.520 around what we get
00:49:28.820 per video,
00:49:29.780 which I was really
00:49:31.100 shocked of.
00:49:32.100 So that audience
00:49:33.100 may not be as on lock
00:49:34.520 as you think,
00:49:35.220 Simone.
00:49:36.000 Oh,
00:49:36.440 well.
00:49:37.120 I mean,
00:49:37.680 of course,
00:49:38.000 we're growing regularly.
00:49:39.660 We're probably
00:49:40.720 twice as big
00:49:41.740 as we were
00:49:42.140 this time last year,
00:49:42.840 three times as big.
00:49:44.040 And people are helping us.
00:49:45.540 One person commented
00:49:46.440 that they gave us
00:49:47.160 all their hype points,
00:49:48.180 which is something
00:49:48.620 that YouTube is now
00:49:49.400 releasing to help
00:49:50.180 viewers help
00:49:52.220 new channels
00:49:52.860 that they think
00:49:53.360 are merited.
00:49:55.120 That was really nice
00:49:55.880 of them.
00:49:56.260 So thank you.
00:49:57.040 So anyway,
00:49:57.660 let's get into it,
00:49:58.620 though.
00:49:58.880 We have a lot to cover.
00:50:00.740 You ready?
00:50:04.080 Yeah?
00:50:04.580 Is that it?
00:50:06.200 You're leading this one,
00:50:07.240 right?
00:50:07.460 Yeah.
00:50:07.680 Okay.
00:50:07.980 So you ready?
00:50:08.480 I can start?
00:50:09.440 Yeah,
00:50:09.640 you can start.
00:50:10.560 Good.
00:50:12.280 Okay.
00:50:12.640 Where do you want
00:50:13.360 me to put this?
00:50:14.260 I'm on YouTube.
00:50:15.260 What about you,
00:50:15.760 Titan?
00:50:16.620 YouTube.
00:50:17.860 Okay.
00:50:18.360 And what are you doing?
00:50:20.200 So I just made
00:50:21.540 this orange.
00:50:23.500 But how did you do that?
00:50:24.360 That's impossible.
00:50:25.620 I just got
00:50:27.020 about five nips
00:50:29.000 of red and
00:50:29.620 five nips
00:50:30.500 of yellow.
00:50:32.680 Wait,
00:50:35.160 are you?
00:50:35.780 Give you a close-up.
00:50:37.500 Are you like a...
00:50:38.740 Yeah,
00:50:39.020 get the phone close.
00:50:40.460 Okay.
00:50:40.940 Look at this.
00:50:42.640 Are you like
00:50:43.100 a science guy?
00:50:44.400 Yeah,
00:50:44.700 look at that.
00:50:45.880 Wow.
00:50:46.440 Are you docked off?
00:50:48.620 I like the climate now.
00:50:50.740 This is so cool.
00:50:52.600 What about you,
00:50:53.080 Titan?
00:50:53.720 Titan,
00:50:54.080 are you a superhero?
00:50:55.460 Yeah.
00:50:56.100 Yeah?
00:50:56.640 Are you going to
00:50:57.060 save the world?
00:50:58.280 Yeah,
00:50:58.840 I am.
00:50:59.520 Yeah.
00:51:00.640 What's up?
00:51:01.280 I can...
00:51:02.320 Carson's making
00:51:03.220 my superhero.
00:51:04.620 Oh,
00:51:04.860 he's making
00:51:05.340 a superhero?
00:51:06.060 Carson,
00:51:06.420 are you making
00:51:06.780 a superhero?
00:51:07.760 No,
00:51:08.100 I'm not.
00:51:08.440 I'm making
00:51:08.960 something else.
00:51:10.360 What are you making?
00:51:11.080 I'm going to make
00:51:13.380 that thing
00:51:14.200 that's
00:51:16.640 that I'm going to wait.
00:51:18.680 Look at how
00:51:19.340 to put this around.
00:51:20.580 This looks so cool.
00:51:22.260 Oh my.
00:51:23.460 Ooh!
00:51:23.940 Bye.
00:51:24.940 Bye.
00:51:25.940 Bye.
00:51:26.940 Bye.
00:51:27.940 Bye.
00:51:28.940 Bye.
00:51:29.940 Bye.