Pragmatic Investing
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
193.47348
Summary
In this episode, we talk about the most important investment of all, and why you should have a diversified portfolio. We also talk about why Bitcoin is a great investment in the long term, but not everyone is so sure about it.
Transcript
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but pretending to be above, which is the worst.
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We're constantly sick because we have kids in school.
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So the most important investment of all is money?
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Yeah, the most important investment of all, money.
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But I, you know, I don't know how much actual control
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That's why you need to have a diversified portfolio.
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the basics of, like, the actual financial world,
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But obviously, it's something I know a lot about.
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Simone, you had a really interesting way of framing it
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that you were going over with me earlier today about sort of-
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Yeah, we were talking about the issue of many people we know
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doing it essentially by making bets, like all-in bets,
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And then they just assume, I'm a great investor.
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And you actually saw a lot of this happen during the pandemic.
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who have really summed up this kind of thinking really well.
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They talk about when they're coaching poker players
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and they teach them to think in sort of a Bayesian way
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And they'll be like, yeah, well, I made the wrong choice.
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You didn't make the wrong choice because you lost.
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Because in the end, there's some chance involved in these bets.
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Sometimes you make all the right choices and you lose money.
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But also, sometimes you make all the wrong choices
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That doesn't mean you thought through things well
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And this is something we increasingly see in investing.
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Or like an industry people really identify with.
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when I look at these people who were all bragging about this
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in my, like, Facebook feed and stuff like that,
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is somebody makes one of these ill-advised bets.
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They now think, oh, I can make, like, an income investing.
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So then they start doing, like, really idiotic stuff,
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when I say leveraged investing is idiotic stuff.
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Somebody accidentally makes some money investing.
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They think, well, if I make that amount of money investing
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And then, of course, they find out about leveraged investing.
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And they go, oh, so this is just, like, a thing
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where, like, if I'm really smart about my polls
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We have some friends who just make astronomical amounts of money
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who do a lot of programming or, like, AI stuff for fun.
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with this sort of investing as an income stream,
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these are individuals who just have an enormous love
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If the reason you are going into leveraged investing
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We're talking shit about other people, all right?
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So if, yeah, no, we're talking about how we do it
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or whoever, you know, is co-related to your assets.
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And of course, once you intermingle your assets,
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what you think is going to change about the world.
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Using what you predict to change about the world
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That's a good general site for beginners, I think.
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And so we invested in a lot of military companies
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is when you withdraw your money from the market.
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that you already just bet on happening further and more.
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but most of the people I know who keep doing that
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end up getting burned more than resolved in their favor.
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you're not going to make money off of it anymore.
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were like, oh, I'm going to do mask production.
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So you have to think way, way ahead of the curve.
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So you want your specific company plays, right?
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from the perspective of your like lay investor,
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you can basically think of them as the same thing.
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and different ways that you reach them as investments,
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but they're basically collections of companies.
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can you please withdraw all our South America investments
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because a lot of them are really reliant on China
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Ah, you see, this is how you handle investments, right?
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Because I had forgotten that we hadn't withdrawn
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that are tied to that resource or country or play, right?
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And then you can look up like oil producer ETFs.
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It was really depressed in price after the Fukushima situation.
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And it's been pretty depressed for a while now.
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But I think after what's happening in Germany right now,
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I don't wait till the nuclear reactors are there to withdraw.
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that makes sense for a portion of your portfolio.
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It's kind of stupid not to in a growing economy.
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Right now, though, it's really screwing people over.
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But it is the financially responsible thing to do
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in the way that the world economy has worked historically.
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but I think it'll be about 30 years before it transforms.
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in terms of the way that things are going to resolve
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not growing as much in developed countries anymore,
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why are real estate prices continuing to go up?
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I think this can be very confusing to a lot of people.
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And it's important to understand what's going on here.
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where you used to have like five people to a household,
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in things like starter homes and stuff like that,
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You know, it provides for some economic opportunities,
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but it is a short-term sort of like market unequilibrium
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is buying the types of assets that private equity firms,
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and this is something that's really important to note.
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We mentioned this with buying companies as well.
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There are assets that you can buy and make money off of
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So if you're buying some like historic building
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and dealing with, you know, coding and stuff like that
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and stuff like that, depending on how you handle it.
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it just depends on how quickly you plan to move.
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It also depends like on people's desired quality of life.
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But often it's a really bad idea to own a house.
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because we have documents and documents on buying houses.
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that it can be really hard depending on the market
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Bitcoin, I'd say you always got to eat your broccoli.
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And by that, what I mean is we personally have a rule
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I was thinking about doing a full video on Bitcoin,
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who don't seem to get why Bitcoin is such a thing of value.
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and he thinks Bitcoin is just sort of pointless.
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Why do things like art have a lot of value, right?
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that individuals should be asking themselves, right?
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They have a lot more value than like their actual value.
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It's because there is a limited quantity of them
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if they ever need to move or leave or flee a country.
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there's also a lot of market manipulation in art.
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If you're interested in something like art investment,
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instead invest in an area that you actually care about
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and have a passion for, like Magic the Gathering
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We know people who've made a decent amount of money
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was a fixed value that is easily movable, right?
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they would have a large portion of their wealth on them
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is Bitcoin is literally the first time in human history
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there has been an asset class that was divisible,
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Like if you're talking about gold or precious stones
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If you're talking about art, it wasn't divisible.
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that sells fractional pieces of like a Picasso,
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wealth is going to become increasingly concentrated
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among the top fraction of a percent of the population.
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And that population disproportionately gains value
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okay, like who's probably the wealthiest person
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in the world right now is probably Putin, right?
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If you store even a small fraction of your wealth
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No, and you try to take that into another country
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And this is true for people all over the world, right?
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I think what made us really excited about Bitcoin
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Like it is how they got their money out of the country.
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Young successful friends and old successful friends.
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And I'm talking about people who have made money
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If the answer is yes, which it almost certainly is,
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so long as they maintain this interest over time,
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who is like still really doubling down in Bitcoin,
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is that asset will increase in value over time.
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if you're looking at your long-term investments.
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but none of the old people you know are investing, right?
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I still wouldn't suggest having more than 20 to 30%
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What would you say real estate for a person's portfolio?
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And it's a mixture of investment in real estate businesses
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where bonds make sense in the way that they did
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It might go down to like 15%, 10% or something like that.
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And then this increases the value of the old bonds
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So not only are you getting the regular cash flow,
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which means that if the Fed is going to do the thing,