Redistricting： Why the Democrats Need a New Coalition Post 2030
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Summary
In this episode, Simone and I discuss the current phenomenon of Democratic voters choosing to live in red states over blue states, why this is happening, and what it means for the future of the Democratic Party. We also talk about how to deal with it.
Transcript
00:00:02.320
Now, many of you watching might be aware of the current phenomenon going on in the United States.
00:00:08.120
It makes it nearly impossible for Democrats to win elections after the 2030s.
00:00:13.440
This is due to something called redistricting, in which as voters move to red states, blue states lose votes.
00:00:22.900
Because the number of votes you get in a presidential election and in Congress is based on your population.
00:00:30.000
Well, turns out nobody wants to live in blue states anymore for a long time.
00:00:37.920
Well, this also reminds me of that stat that showed that minority populations, like non-white populations that live in red districts versus blue districts, have higher income.
00:00:52.920
Actually, everyone typically has lower income in red states, just for clarification.
00:00:56.580
But that's because the urban monoculture prefers to grow in environments where it can harvest more money, so it focuses on wealthy cities and stuff like that.
00:01:05.280
They're, like, relatively less racist in the implications of their policies in blue states.
00:01:10.060
And while we, as consequentialists, we care about outcomes.
00:01:13.020
You know, if they're thriving more in red districts, I would say red districts create better outcomes for minorities.
00:01:20.100
But so in this episode, you've probably heard of this or you're broadly aware of it, but I want to both go into the specifics of this and go into scenarios about what it means to actually win an election.
00:01:35.500
How does it change which states are swing states?
00:01:37.960
And how does it change what Democrats need to do to win elections going forwards?
00:01:43.540
While also arguing that this is just going to be incredibly hard for them to pull off and they'll likely need some new form of a coalition to win elections going forwards.
00:01:51.220
And I don't know what that coalition is going to look like, but what's interesting about the way the Democrats have built their coalition is it's entirely exclusionary recently.
00:01:58.740
It's either you support trans people or you're totally out.
00:02:01.520
Either, like, as we said, like, all you need to do is disagree on one thing and you're not a dem at all anymore.
00:02:05.060
Like, J.K. Rowling is a dem in every single way, but, like, trans issues.
00:02:10.900
Like, Elon was, like, every single way, but, like, trans issues.
00:02:15.520
You know, like, so even if you, like, just disagree on, like, the dumb thing, you point out the giant mole on their face, you know, it ends up causing you to be exorcised from their culture.
00:02:28.800
You make the tiniest wrong move and you're out.
00:02:33.940
Basically, they need to find a new group to protect.
00:02:37.440
It's sort of the way their culture is structured.
00:02:45.120
But, you know, say, oh, well, protect your children.
00:02:47.560
But then that would upset the Chinese people, you know.
00:02:54.500
Let's just go into the stats here to start, okay?
00:02:56.900
Based on population projections for the 2030 census, certain states are expected to gain house seats due to population groups primarily in the south and west.
00:03:06.220
Since each state's electoral votes equals its number of house seats plus two for its senators, the increase in house seats directly increases electoral votes.
00:03:16.980
The states gaining electoral votes along with the number of votes are Texas plus four, Florida plus four, Arizona plus one, Utah plus one, North Carolina plus one, Utah plus one.
00:03:33.480
Conversely, states with population decline or slower goes, particularly in the northeast and midwest as well as California are projected to lose house seats.
00:03:42.000
Thus, electoral voters, the states that are going to lose them are California minus four, New York minus two, Illinois minus one, Minnesota minus one, Oregon minus one, Pennsylvania minus one, Rhode Island minus one, Wisconsin minus one.
00:03:57.140
More critically, projections suggest that by 2030, Democrats rely on their safely democratic states, e.g. California, New York, plus the blue wall states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's second district, one vote.
00:04:12.700
They would secure only 258 votes, falling 12 votes short of the 270 they need to win a presidency.
00:04:19.820
So if Democrats just win what they historically considered like the safe path to victory, they will not win under the new system.
00:04:28.840
So I want to, you know, just, just put that out there again.
00:04:32.040
So even if Democrats win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and Nebraska, behalf of Nebraska, they still wouldn't win the cycle.
00:04:52.880
To reach 270 electoral votes on the 2030 map, Democrats must win additional swing states beyond the blue wall, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, to make up the 12 vote deficit.
00:05:05.160
The electoral vote counts for swing states under the 2030 projections are Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, or Nevada.
00:05:13.240
So if they win any of these, they would win if they won those like Pennsylvania and whatever.
00:05:18.540
But I actually think winning Pennsylvania is going to be increasingly hard.
00:05:22.560
And we're going to go into that in just a second.
00:05:24.280
But like if Pennsylvania gets harder to win, we're going to go over just how hard it gets for them to win elections.
00:05:29.160
Possible collections of additional swing states to reach or exceed 12 electoral votes include Arizona alone, Georgia alone, North Carolina alone, Arizona plus Nevada.
00:05:39.380
This is assuming Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
00:05:46.180
And I know that there's been some major changes in Pennsylvania in the last election cycle.
00:05:50.860
Specifically, Scott Pressler, gay hero, ended up radicalizing the Amish who historically didn't vote.
00:06:00.540
We won't get involved in politics and we won't become politicized because we don't want the system to attack us when, you know, the wrong party is in power.
00:06:06.500
And what the Amish realized, and Scott Pressler convinced him of this, is actually the system's attacking you right now and will continue to attack you because it needs your kids to survive.
00:06:16.700
The progressives aren't having kids and they get kids from you.
00:06:27.740
What was funny is one thing the Amish really hated was handouts for having lots of kids.
00:06:32.400
They often complained about getting this from the government.
00:06:34.720
They're like, oh, I'm not going to turn it down, but like they've made money worthless.
00:06:39.160
So assuming they lose PA, okay, assuming Democrats secure their safely Democratic states, 213 votes, and the blue walls, this is assuming they win Michigan and Wisconsin, then they must need an additional 32 votes from swing states.
00:06:55.220
Here's the most realistic combinations they can get over time.
00:06:57.980
So they'd have to, if they lose PA, get Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina.
00:07:10.040
Yes, Georgia flipped Democratic in 2020 and North Carolina did while narrowly Republican in recent cycles.
00:07:18.260
But the problem is, is that the current trends would cause them to flip in the opposite direction more.
00:07:24.820
Like, Dems winning Georgia and North Carolina, especially given how hard they've lost the Hispanic vote, is going to be really, really difficult.
00:07:34.580
So they could win Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada.
00:07:39.780
I could see Arizona and Nevada, but I do not see them winning Georgia if they haven't won Pennsylvania.
00:07:50.700
Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and New Hampshire.
00:07:55.500
Again, I don't see them winning Georgia if they don't win Pennsylvania.
00:08:00.360
North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, and Wisconsin could win them the election.
00:08:05.600
That is more realistic, but that still requires North Carolina.
00:08:12.180
So basically it means that going forwards, Dems have to win Pennsylvania or create a new fulcrum state, which would be Georgia.
00:08:27.380
Maybe what they need to focus on is this idea that the Republican Party really has, and I will admit this, as we've argued in the past, the Republican Party used to be the party of the Cavaliers.
00:08:43.840
This is a highly aristocratic and hierarchical culture, and a culture that believes in strict social norms that need to be followed to sort of earn or portray your status.
00:09:01.140
He regularly flaunts such norms in a way that causes leaders within Southern culture to be quite upset with him and disgusted by him.
00:09:10.480
And, you know, then he brought J.D. Vance in, who represents a continuation of this.
00:09:16.580
Now, he doesn't have the vulgarity of Trump totally, but he's vulgar in other ways that show, like, a thumbing his nose at these cultural mores.
00:09:25.940
That is not something that one of these – Magic the Gathering is a card game for nerds that these cultures would have loved.
00:09:31.880
That was like the My Little Pony of his generation or something, right?
00:09:37.240
I was always excited when new card products would come out.
00:09:53.340
Yeah, I guess, you know, step one, somehow befriend J.D. Vance.
00:10:00.060
Yeah, but, you know, as the conservatives have embraced the real nerds, you know,
00:10:05.720
it's the Dems went through and trashed nerd culture and made it all woke, you know, this
00:10:10.180
is something that a lot of deep Southern culture had some antipathy towards.
00:10:14.940
The reason the alliance works now is we're like, well, look, you are concerned about numbers
00:10:19.100
to impose your value system on the general population right now.
00:10:24.480
But if you join our coalition, we can at least work to protect your kids from deconversion.
00:10:32.180
That means, you know, more efficient government services, like preventing stuff like the USA
00:10:37.240
that was going out and running all these conversion camps basically all around the world,
00:10:42.000
And they're like, okay, yeah, we can broadly agree on all of that.
00:10:46.560
But if the left reclassified conservative Christians as a minority religious tradition
00:10:54.240
within their value system, and it's just like, okay, in the same way we treat Muslims, like
00:10:58.480
they don't mind that like Muslims throw gay people off buildings, right?
00:11:01.300
Like if there was in their cultural context, can they create sort of the same like gays for
00:11:14.480
Let's go to some alternative scenarios that they lose.
00:11:17.460
So I was like, if Democrats win Michigan or Wisconsin, fail to win Michigan or Wisconsin,
00:11:24.160
Without Wisconsin starting at 213, they would need a combination of something like Georgia,
00:11:30.600
North Carolina, and Nevada to win, or they need to flip either Texas or Florida.
00:11:36.240
But Florida has become increasingly hard to flip in recent election cycles, so much that
00:11:41.800
on most maps it's listed as solidly red, in a large part due to the MAGA coalition's ability
00:11:52.460
On the All In podcast recently, Antonio Gracias, who's doing work with Doge, was talking about
00:12:04.660
And he mentioned that it was found that a bunch of people who were in the United States
00:12:11.420
as illegal immigrants did actually end up voting.
00:12:14.080
And I keep thinking about that when I think about this, that the Democratic Party, I don't think
00:12:20.920
that there was issues with illegal immigrants, by the way.
00:12:22.960
I don't know what the count was, but it was in multiple states.
00:12:26.980
I don't think they have a final count yet because they're only just starting to dig into these
00:12:30.580
I mean, Doge did tweet at one point about some other things that these people have done.
00:12:35.420
They said that they were 905 collecting Medicaid, 41 collecting unemployment insurance,
00:12:40.680
22 received federal student loans, 409 received tax refunds, and then several received food
00:12:47.880
stamp benefits, which is not something that illegal aliens should be receiving, but they're
00:12:56.220
I don't think that the Democratic Party was like, oh, this is a plan of mine to do this.
00:13:02.200
I think that they were just like, well, I mean, we want to empower these people who fled
00:13:07.860
from terrible situations, and it doesn't hurt that they would vote for us, and they would
00:13:13.100
vote for them because it was Democratic Party policies that also allowed them to do things
00:13:17.620
like, oh, so like, technically, they weren't supposed to, but here are your SNAP benefits,
00:13:21.940
here's your unemployment insurance, things like that.
00:13:24.100
Yeah, and legal immigrants don't want to pay for this, and they feel bad for their, you
00:13:27.820
know, existing family who's waiting to get in the right way, right?
00:13:30.880
So I just keep thinking back to that conversation and Antonio Gracia's initial findings, because
00:13:36.160
also it blew my mind that illegal immigrants would vote, and I was just like, well, that
00:13:52.320
And I do, yeah, I mean, like, because I'm thinking on both ends, because a big thing that
00:13:55.560
was coming up at the close of this last presidential election was, oh, well, if the Democrats win,
00:14:05.420
So it's interesting for me to hear you saying now, Democrats are completely screwed.
00:14:10.600
You know, this is not the narrative that I was hearing, because based on immigration trends,
00:14:14.740
whether or not, you know, they were legal migrants.
00:14:16.380
Well, this is when Democrats thought that they had the Hispanic vote in their pocket, and the
00:14:19.980
problem is, is that once people become Hispanic legal citizens, these are trad cast.
00:14:26.040
They are not, like, the Black, this is the Black population, even if they would be benefited
00:14:30.180
by voting for conservatives, even if they would be, you know, like, like, the Conservative Party
00:14:34.540
Alliance was their actual social values, which it does.
00:14:37.440
They've been sort of brainwashed into believing that conservatives are racist or anti-Black or
00:14:43.480
And, you know, we've seen this even around, like, prenatalist conferences, like, when CNN
00:14:45.900
was covering it, it was like, it's suspicious that there weren't a lot of Black people
00:14:49.800
You know, that must mean everyone there is a racist.
00:14:51.780
And I'm like, no, it's just there weren't a lot of Black people there.
00:14:55.620
Like, we're not, like, proselytizing within, like, Black community centers or something.
00:14:59.360
We're not comping their tickets like Democrats would.
00:15:03.940
Like, of course, there's not a lot of Black people here, whatever.
00:15:06.720
And so I think that they, they, but they're trying to create the perception, and the Black
00:15:11.760
communities have believed this perception, largely.
00:15:14.500
A lot of based ones haven't, and they're like, yeah, I see what's up.
00:15:18.440
Like, you don't actually, as Simone pointed out, you don't actually help our communities.
00:15:22.260
Our communities are differentially worse off when we're in Democrat-controlled territories.
00:15:32.100
But that hasn't happened in Hispanic communities.
00:15:37.220
Dems thought they could replay this hand within Hispanic communities.
00:15:40.000
And in the last election cycle, the majority of Hispanic men, for example, voted for Trump.
00:15:44.620
And the Hispanic vote overall was only slightly for Biden, and it's moved by Kamala, and it's
00:15:51.660
And I think this is because of how information networks work within Hispanic communities.
00:15:55.860
They're much more based around family networks and much less based around external sources
00:16:01.440
So even if you can gaslight, like, around an entire culture, like, everyone believes this,
00:16:06.320
everyone believes this, they just, like, go to their, like, you know, cousin, and they're
00:16:11.040
And the cousin's like, no, I don't think we do.
00:16:15.000
You know, like, and family networks makes you significantly more likely to get pissed off
00:16:22.300
at inefficient government bureaucracies than smaller networks.
00:16:26.640
Because whenever the inefficient bureaucracy accidentally closes somebody's store by over-applying
00:16:32.820
things or applies COVID restrictions too harshly or, you know, does something that screws over
00:16:38.420
a small business, within Hispanic communities, they're like, oh, you know, my second cousin
00:16:44.300
lost everything that his whole family had worked for their entire lives because of your arbitrarily
00:16:55.200
But if you don't have the strong family networks, which the DIMS have done a very good job of
00:16:58.800
breaking up within many Black communities, you're not going to get that information.
00:17:03.040
And it's just, well, if the state, you know, I can live off the state, I can live off the
00:17:06.300
You know, and if I've been told Republicans are racist, well, they must be racist because
00:17:10.500
everyone affirms this or everyone who's, you know, immediately.
00:17:14.980
But there's also not a world in which we don't continue with a two-party system, I think.
00:17:19.480
Like, things just naturally sort to that, given the way that our political governmental
00:17:24.980
So what I imagine will happen is the Democrat Party will move to a much more appealing position,
00:17:37.820
I think, so if you look at Democrats right now to win, you know, you're saying they could
00:17:46.980
I really don't know what direction they could possibly take.
00:17:51.560
I mean, the would-be leaders now are what, like Gavin Newsom?
00:17:55.300
I just, yeah, I don't know what they're going to do.
00:17:58.040
They want to further, like their plan is, oh, we're going to further increase the turnout
00:18:04.900
And that is actually pretty good of a strategy when both coalitions are equal.
00:18:10.120
But we're going to move into an era where they need a new component to the coalition, for
00:18:17.700
And it could be the tech right, but that just seems incredibly unlikely because the tech
00:18:22.280
right is basically what the Republican Party is right now if you look at the actual policy
00:18:26.780
If, however, they lost the tech right, that'd be really bad for the Republicans.
00:18:32.400
Like I think that Trump and JD understand this very well.
00:18:35.340
I think most Republicans at like Heritage or at other like competently run like legacy
00:18:40.120
Republican, they really like talking to people like us and understanding people like us because
00:18:46.820
You're just talking to a reporter and he's like, well, I mean, you guys aren't fully Republican,
00:18:50.360
Like, I was like, no, like we are a hundred percent new right.
00:18:53.540
Like there isn't a single issue in terms of what the Trump administration has done where
00:19:00.460
And in some cases I'm like, that's an interesting hypothesis that you think that would work.
00:19:04.520
And I'm, you know, at least glad that you're trying radical things, but it probably won't.
00:19:09.200
But that's not like an actual like difference of opinion, right?
00:19:12.780
You know, I mean, so that's what makes it so hard to get the tech right.
00:19:15.840
And I think that the left has the perception that the tech right kind of agrees
00:19:20.280
with the left and kind of agrees with the right.
00:19:22.320
And it's just with the right right now for, you know, because of their cultural imperialism.
00:19:26.300
And it's like, no, we're like a hundred percent on this side.
00:19:28.860
The right would need to do something to seriously betray us.
00:19:31.800
Like, you know, put restrictions on IVF, but Trump has made IVF easier and cheaper to get,
00:19:37.400
I mean, a lot of the press coverage of tariffs implies that like if, for example, the Trump
00:19:41.820
administration gets tagged with a recession, like it's, it's their fault.
00:19:46.560
I could see there being a big backlash that could cause a rebalancing.
00:19:55.600
It would give, it leaves an opening for Democrats to even just kind of gaslight the U.S. populace
00:20:04.660
to be like, we were always the reasonable party.
00:20:08.880
The problem with that is, is it's, that's the rich people coalition and Democrats already
00:20:13.160
have the rich people coalition that's already part of their, their winning circle, you know?
00:20:18.600
So if they go out and they're like, we're extra good for rich people, people are going
00:20:32.600
I mean, I look, everybody knows, like I've always said trans people, you can't like,
00:20:35.800
they're like, oh, we can't abandon our trans allies.
00:20:38.200
And it's like, look, if you were siding with people who literally dress up, like they're
00:20:42.400
from the Capitol and the Hunger Games, like you can't be the party of the working people.
00:20:49.100
That is like the way, like apparently like 50% of trans people dress.
00:21:01.860
But to keep going, election, electoral college and house seat reappointment population grows
00:21:06.920
in Republican leaning states like Texas and Florida means these states will gain house
00:21:12.140
Now, what's really interesting about this is that a lot of this is actually coming downstream
00:21:18.900
of people moving where they live because Democrats are doing such a bad job of managing
00:21:25.420
Yeah, they're just, they're just fleeing Democratic policies in terms of housing, in terms of homeless
00:21:35.140
And obviously the Democrat dream is, oh, we need to let's say Austin that we turn Texas
00:21:42.640
And that's been the Democratic dream for a long time.
00:21:45.700
But I don't think it's realistic where the Hispanic vote is going.
00:21:49.580
Like, I think it's sort of vast Hispanic community for a while, but not anymore.
00:21:56.460
Who would you say Republicans should go after next?
00:21:58.500
If Republicans were going to chip off part of the Democratic coalition, who would it be?
00:22:07.620
I think, and I think it's a very winnable faction.
00:22:19.820
Trump has actually made some really big inroads with Black men by changing things like child
00:22:30.120
So I think that I can't remember how he changed it.
00:22:34.520
But it was not favorable for women who were, you know, juicing guys who knocked them up
00:22:42.960
And apparently this was, you know, disproportionately affected Black communities.
00:22:46.540
70%, 76% of Black people are born outside of a marriage these days?
00:22:52.200
Some insane amount that's hard for me to believe.
00:22:55.740
This is not part of Black culture historically.
00:22:58.080
Before they became like this ultra-progressive party.
00:23:00.400
They had higher rates of marriage than white people did in America.
00:23:03.000
In the 60s, 5% of Blacks were born outside of wedlock, while 10% of whites were.
00:23:07.680
So this is the result of their alliance with the urban monoculture.
00:23:11.400
And the urban monoculture's degradation of their culture through that alliance.
00:23:15.060
It is not an intrinsic part of being Black or Black culture.
00:23:18.720
You can watch our episode, The Zomification of Black Culture, if you want to see, you know,
00:23:22.640
how the Democrats really effed them over on this.
00:23:25.480
But yeah, I think Black men are very winnable if you focus on issues like that.
00:23:32.200
Because a lot of society has become so much like a coalition, like us versus them.
00:23:38.300
And males versus females has become such a big part of that in ways that are really
00:23:43.620
institutionally abusive of the other in cultures where, I mean, so if,
00:23:48.560
if you have like 76% of kids being born out of wedlock, the men and the women in that culture
00:23:56.280
Like the women have a reason to F over the men and the men have a reason to F over the women.
00:24:02.860
I mean, there's a reason why when you look at like famous Black women,
00:24:05.900
they like almost always are dating Jews or white guys, but mostly Jews, you know.
00:24:13.260
Like even when they're like racist, you know, it's like, I don't know what that is,
00:24:17.140
but I think it's due to, you know, as the urban monoculture has infected their culture
00:24:21.780
and broken up institutions like marriage, it's allowed for the ossification of a gender
00:24:28.840
And the thing is, is that once you break up this gender role, then you're also a conservative,
00:24:33.040
but you're a conservative for like wholesome family reasons.
00:24:35.400
Like, you know, which a lot of the Black community is as well.
00:24:38.940
They're like, yeah, I'm not interested in like all this DEI nonsense.
00:24:41.680
I just want my kids to, you know, be in an environment where they're treated fairly.
00:24:45.780
And, and which you hear from a lot of the, the like wholesome faction of the Black community.
00:24:52.380
One hundred percent that, that, that checks out.
00:24:55.400
Also, I think that there's a huge portion of the Black community that is perfectly capitalistic,
00:25:03.360
Like all the, the socialist influencers I know are extremely white and extremely middle-class.
00:25:07.900
Like they grew up in, in privilege and they also grew up very, very white.
00:25:11.600
And when I look at a lot of shows that are, that are meant to cater to primarily Black
00:25:17.480
audiences and that have primarily Black classes, they may have very social justice themes,
00:25:22.720
but they're all wearing like $5,000 shirts and, or they're very capitalistic in nature,
00:25:27.660
which implies to me, I couldn't say because I'm not Black, but it implies to me that Black
00:25:34.380
audiences in America are more capitalistically leaning and not really all about this sort of
00:25:47.860
They have less trust in governing institutions and structures for good reason.
00:25:51.640
But one of the reasons it might be harder to get the Black male vote is that Democrats
00:25:55.820
within this last cycle have leaned really hard into antisemitism.
00:25:58.640
It's really normal among democratic influencers and the Black community is disproportionately
00:26:03.980
I think a lot of people were really surprised when like Kanye went all antisemitic and I
00:26:10.260
Or have you not explored the concepts of the nation of Islam?
00:26:17.680
And, and not even for like negative reasons, even, you know, I was talking with a friend of
00:26:24.020
mine who is, you know, a well-known entertainer and she was talking about a lot of the, the
00:26:32.640
And she's like, actually antisemitism is really common amongst the well-known Black entertainers.
00:26:37.180
Just most of them know better than to be public about it.
00:26:39.420
And she's like, and the weird thing is like, even as somebody who's not antisemitic myself,
00:26:47.060
Because so often for these people, their early managers and producers and people running
00:26:55.600
And then a lot of these people screwed them over and, and acted, you know, I mean, that's
00:27:01.160
Like if you're a moneyed interest in, in like the entertainment industry and you're dealing
00:27:04.560
with somebody who's not educated, and I'm not saying that like Blacks are uneducated.
00:27:08.200
I am saying a lot of Black people who go into the entertainment industry, specifically
00:27:12.460
like the music or rap scene, come from a disproportionately lower level of education.
00:27:16.860
Well, also, if you're maxing out performing arts, you're not maxing out getting a master's
00:27:22.840
degree or in something like that, unless you've gone the academic route, which probably means
00:27:29.500
And if you look at the, who are the lawyers and record producers and stuff like that in
00:27:37.600
And so the community began to feel like, Hey, it's not white people who are holding us
00:27:50.680
And the, the, you know, they knew they weren't allowed to say this publicly.
00:27:55.480
So because the discussion never aired publicly, I'm going to get, this isn't, I don't think
00:28:02.160
that this is because Jewish people screw people over disproportionately.
00:28:04.500
I don't think that this is because anything about Jewish people.
00:28:06.800
I just think that due to cultural and historic reasons, Jewish people ended up running the
00:28:14.820
That's an interesting episode for a totally different time.
00:28:19.240
The Russian Jews ended up in the closing industry on the East coast.
00:28:21.600
The German Jews ended up on the West coast in part because it was more deregulated, but
00:28:25.180
I don't need to get into why they ended up running.
00:28:27.280
But I would just say like all of that said, I don't at least intuitively feel like the
00:28:32.640
Republican party is the Jew party and the Democrat party is the anti-Jew party.
00:28:39.120
Well, with Palestine, it came up more, but I don't know, even in the next presidential
00:28:44.440
election cycle, just how relevant Palestine is going to be.
00:28:50.720
I just, I think the only reason it's really risen to the surface is that Israel and Palestine
00:28:55.040
were key international conflicts that were discussed extensively during the 2024 election.
00:29:03.040
I mean, wait, no, I mean, look, is it going to be a persistent issue?
00:29:11.120
It depends on how long this war lasts, but I think that a lot of people made their positions
00:29:16.340
clear and a lot of like actual like anti-Semites left Republican party, like, you know, Nick
00:29:24.320
Fuentes or Leather Apron Club or David Duke or, and a lot of them are beginning to align
00:29:31.220
Like even David Duke was talking about how like he aligns more with democratic poverty
00:29:38.260
He's like, look, like he felt really bad for the people of Gaza.
00:29:42.060
He's like, I really appreciate the Democratic Party standing up for them.
00:29:44.900
Like, I think that morally I am more aligned with them.
00:29:48.800
Meanwhile, amidst all the tariff stuff, there was some progressive influencer who was like,
00:29:55.080
Trump is finally speaking for the working class American.
00:30:07.760
It was someone discussed on the blocked and reported podcast and I can't remember who it
00:30:12.840
But it was, it was someone who was extremely left and who suddenly was standing Trump because
00:30:22.700
I just think that now there's a lot of disruption.
00:30:28.520
They were obviously very, very disillusioned by what the mainstream party did in the last
00:30:33.900
So, you know, but who knows what's going to happen because they got away with so much
00:30:38.660
bad stuff and they don't seem to be showing any signs of dissolving in any way.
00:30:44.220
You still have this very old group of people running everything, it seems.
00:30:50.000
I mean, Bernie's certainly a celebrity right now.
00:30:55.640
Yeah, he's, he's like on tour, you know, selling out venues.
00:30:59.680
I mean, Bernie's just a stooge for the pharma industries.
00:31:05.160
Like, he, he, you saw, like, I was just so disgusted by the way he acted during the JFK
00:31:16.200
We know that he's the highest, gets the most donations of anyone in the Senate from the
00:31:22.100
But people are like, oh, those are individual donations.
00:31:27.920
Like, do you think that Bernie consistently gets enough individual donations, highest in
00:31:34.420
donor from the pharma industry, an industry that has a vested interest in giving money
00:31:40.700
to the Senate and to lobbyists to change policy positions?
00:31:44.880
Like, that's like, of all industries in the world, there are few with a bigger vested interest
00:31:51.180
You think that accidentally he's been winning the most money from that industry, not in
00:31:59.260
one election cycle, but for over a decade, like, that's completely implausible.
00:32:06.280
Like, that is like Biden getting 17% more of the vote than Obama did, which, by the way,
00:32:18.400
To anyone who was alive during both of those elections, Obama's election was a phenomenon.
00:32:27.600
It was, it was, it ate at every aspect of our culture and civilization during that election
00:32:36.060
There is no way Biden got 17% more vote than him.
00:32:46.420
Well, it's not like, oh, he got like five more points or something.
00:32:49.560
It's like, if, if he had been running against Obama, he would have crushed him.
00:32:57.360
But anyway, the, the, the point I'm making is, is, uh, birdie is a complete sleazebag and
00:33:08.740
It doesn't matter if someone's a sleazebag by anyone's definition or not, what he says
00:33:14.680
It reminded me of, I always loved the story of him being kicked out of the commune.
00:33:19.300
So he goes to like a communist commune and they ended up kicking them out because all
00:33:28.980
He's just giving speeches about how good every, like communism and socialism was.
00:33:34.740
That's his special interest and he's, he's good at it.
00:33:44.820
I mean, I don't, I don't, I don't know that many Bernie supporters anymore.
00:33:47.440
Like the Bernie bro movement basically died out.
00:33:51.620
I think he's seen as counter mainstream Democrat, but he kowtowed to the mainstream Democrats
00:33:59.000
You know, I don't not think Bernie is the way, and I do not think socialism is the pass
00:34:06.280
I think if they try to actually, if they go like pure Fetterman style socialism, that could
00:34:21.680
But like, you can tell, like abandon the, the illegal immigrant stuff.
00:34:28.720
We're actually going to implement a socialist policy.
00:34:42.560
So basically just agnostic socialism, socialism without the cultural baggage.
00:34:48.620
I can see that as playing pretty hard against somebody like J.D. Vance or something.
00:34:54.140
I mean, our polling, even that our, our nonprofit has done shows that people are genuinely concerned
00:34:59.520
collectively about global geopolitical instability and importantly, job loss due to AI.
00:35:06.280
I do think that someone who caters to those fears and says, I've got you.
00:35:11.760
If it's, this is a problem and I'm going to address it, we'll, we'll do pretty well.
00:35:23.600
So there are, you bought at Costco a while back, these mysterious chicken crumbles that you
00:35:37.820
Or just fry rice and then do fried rice in that?
00:35:41.440
I cook it separately and then mix it with fried rice.
00:35:44.680
So you'd like fried rice with chicken crumbles tonight.
00:35:47.980
And then I'm going to, I'm going to take out of the freezer some of the Wagyu steak
00:35:53.120
I wouldn't, I wouldn't cook them together by the way.
00:35:56.880
First do the chicken crumbles and then do the, the, the fried rice.
00:36:00.100
And you want me to serve them to you separately, not even fry at the very end, those things
00:36:05.040
It serves them separately because I don't know if the chicken crumbles are going to be good.
00:36:07.900
So I'm going to want fried rice to eat if the chicken crumbles aren't good with
00:36:12.240
And the future, I might have the confidence to say mix them, but right now I don't know.
00:36:18.580
Any special seasoning requests in the fried rice, aside from a tiny bit of that vinegar,
00:36:23.700
obviously lots of soy sauce, lots of butter, some MSG and oyster sauce, oyster sauce.
00:36:32.440
And of course, green onion and some finely chopped bell pepper.
00:36:41.680
We live in such luxury and we're ending so early to, do you want me to try to, I actually
00:36:52.080
Do you want me to try to, do you want me to try to get the, the thing done?
00:37:07.300
I, I, I've stopped tracking who's coming from what and I just take calls.
00:37:15.480
So much media about us now, like a million story today, because we are ever only famous.
00:37:26.620
I'm like a cool, like, everyone's like, like Malcolm.
00:37:36.160
Like the cousins are, are so well liked and sexy.
00:37:46.380
Like the thing that used to make us go viral on, on Twitter, it's moved entirely to blue
00:37:50.760
And now like, we don't go as viral because it's only on blue sky now.
00:38:01.860
It really shows how much the Democrats as well, like blue sky has been terrible for them
00:38:05.660
because it's completely silenced their ability to cancel.
00:38:09.620
They're not going mainstream the same way because they're only speaking to other Democrats.
00:38:13.460
So it's just like the Democrat or the progressive gossip line online.
00:38:19.000
And being like mainstream culture, it seems like you need to have everyone involved.
00:38:23.780
I'm like, why didn't the media just move to blue sky and just talk about the issues that
00:38:29.780
Like if that's, you know, if, if, for example, the New York times is a left leaning publication
00:38:40.200
I would still use it for idea generation if I were them.
00:38:47.980
The problem is that the busybodies whose former like spiraling apoplectic freakouts caused
00:38:54.740
virality and, and, and cancel mobs have left the environment where people other than them
00:39:01.880
So now the CEO of target isn't seeing the target cancel mob because it's on blue sky.
00:39:11.100
I imagine some lackeys coming to a CEO and saying, Oh, 5 million people have liked this
00:39:19.960
And then on blue sky, it's more like 1.3 thousand people have reskeeted it or whatever.
00:39:40.200
I actually feel for the Republican party is one of the like biggest public services that
00:39:48.340
It is like a containment ward for crazy people.
00:39:52.060
And they're like yelling at me, like, you must hate not being on crazy person Island.
00:39:56.360
And I'm like, no, like you guys used to like go to the grocery store with me and stuff.
00:40:01.180
You don't even hate not being on Twitter and you never were because you can't be bothered.
00:40:10.600
Like I like that when things happen on Twitter and now everyone's like, okay.
00:40:19.040
I'm going to make your chicken crumbles, fried rice, isolating them.
00:40:28.660
Like maybe like a fry the chicken crumbles or air fried.
00:40:40.640
I was thinking about our family cannon movies the other day and just thinking about how
00:40:50.560
I mean like one on the surface level, being cheerful, no matter what is a strategically good
00:41:00.120
And it's more fun, but also it can make you seem disarming and unassuming when you really
00:41:06.320
Legally blonde, by the way, is just the Addams family for the 90s.
00:41:11.440
And then, oh, like there's her, one of Elle Wood's friends gives her her lucky scrunchie.
00:41:15.840
And another friend is like, that's not your lucky scrunchie.
00:41:20.060
You only passed Spanish class because you gave the teacher a lap dance.
00:41:30.260
Like you don't get lucky unless you make an effort and take a risk.
00:41:36.820
And that is how I want to teach her children about luck.
00:41:39.960
But my mom used to always, from a movie really like Clueless, always took the line of what
00:41:44.260
they say in that, which is a grade is just a jumping off point for negotiations.
00:41:48.680
Clueless is another movie in her family cannon.
00:41:52.700
But no, and I think it's like the Addams family.
00:41:54.080
It's about somebody who is culturally horrifying to the mainstream.
00:41:59.860
And it's sort of like the beginnings of the urban monoculture.
00:42:02.200
She is, because the school already represent the urban monoculture.
00:42:07.540
Yeah, like the rad femme and like the super intellectual people.
00:42:11.680
And she is mortifying to them because she's from a different cultural background.
00:42:20.360
No, that's another great example is that you should be proud to be othered.
00:42:23.740
And then there's another one that like shows like when you've been wronged, don't go scream
00:42:30.980
But then if necessary, low key blackmail that person to make sure they don't get in your
00:42:39.720
Well, she was arguably sexually harassed by the one college professor that she interned
00:42:46.240
with and then left and then decided to finally take on the major case that he used to take
00:42:54.400
And she threatened basically to come out and say what he did to her without doing it.
00:43:02.280
She was like, oh, I could tell them all about the comfort.
00:43:04.120
Like, or no, you, you said it would be fine when we had that conversation the other night,
00:43:08.020
which was clearly referring to when he did the thing he shouldn't have done.
00:43:10.660
So again, like took the high road, didn't hurt anyone, but definitely kept it in her
00:43:24.480
You know, that's the, that's the way it works these days.
00:43:26.680
Nothing even needs to happen within the urban monoculture, but yeah.