Based Camp - Redistricting： Why the Democrats Need a New Coalition Post 2030

00:00:00.000 Hello, Simone! 1.00

00:00:02.320 Now, many of you watching might be aware of the current phenomenon going on in the United States.

00:00:08.120 It makes it nearly impossible for Democrats to win elections after the 2030s.

00:00:13.440 This is due to something called redistricting, in which as voters move to red states, blue states lose votes.

00:00:22.900 Because the number of votes you get in a presidential election and in Congress is based on your population.

00:00:30.000 Well, turns out nobody wants to live in blue states anymore for a long time.

00:00:35.920 And these states are lower fertility anyway. 0.99

00:00:37.920 Well, this also reminds me of that stat that showed that minority populations, like non-white populations that live in red districts versus blue districts, have higher income.

00:00:49.100 Like, all these measures that were way better.

00:00:50.740 In contrast, it was white populations.

00:00:52.920 Actually, everyone typically has lower income in red states, just for clarification.

00:00:56.580 But that's because the urban monoculture prefers to grow in environments where it can harvest more money, so it focuses on wealthy cities and stuff like that.

00:01:03.960 But you're right about that.

00:01:05.280 They're, like, relatively less racist in the implications of their policies in blue states.

00:01:10.060 And while we, as consequentialists, we care about outcomes.

00:01:13.020 You know, if they're thriving more in red districts, I would say red districts create better outcomes for minorities.

00:01:18.660 Great.

00:01:20.100 But so in this episode, you've probably heard of this or you're broadly aware of it, but I want to both go into the specifics of this and go into scenarios about what it means to actually win an election.

00:01:33.000 Like, what are you actually going to win?

00:01:35.500 How does it change which states are swing states?

00:01:37.960 And how does it change what Democrats need to do to win elections going forwards?

00:01:42.400 Okay.

00:01:43.540 While also arguing that this is just going to be incredibly hard for them to pull off and they'll likely need some new form of a coalition to win elections going forwards.

00:01:51.220 And I don't know what that coalition is going to look like, but what's interesting about the way the Democrats have built their coalition is it's entirely exclusionary recently.

00:01:58.740 It's either you support trans people or you're totally out.

00:02:01.520 Either, like, as we said, like, all you need to do is disagree on one thing and you're not a dem at all anymore.

00:02:05.060 Like, J.K. Rowling is a dem in every single way, but, like, trans issues.

00:02:09.020 And she's, like, a dem.

00:02:10.640 Right?

00:02:10.900 Like, Elon was, like, every single way, but, like, trans issues. 0.97

00:02:13.700 Demon.

00:02:14.160 And now he's, like, on the right. 0.98

00:02:15.520 You know, like, so even if you, like, just disagree on, like, the dumb thing, you point out the giant mole on their face, you know, it ends up causing you to be exorcised from their culture. 0.98

00:02:26.820 So. 0.92

00:02:27.160 Yeah.

00:02:27.820 I mean, just wait.

00:02:28.800 You make the tiniest wrong move and you're out.

00:02:31.360 That's the really scary thing.

00:02:32.800 It's very hard.

00:02:33.940 Basically, they need to find a new group to protect.

00:02:37.440 It's sort of the way their culture is structured.

00:02:40.020 But who would that be?

00:02:41.160 It could only be religious conservatives.

00:02:45.120 But, you know, say, oh, well, protect your children.

00:02:47.560 But then that would upset the Chinese people, you know.

00:02:51.160 So I don't know what they're going to do.

00:02:53.080 We'll lose on that at the end of this.

00:02:54.500 Let's just go into the stats here to start, okay?

00:02:56.660 Okay.

00:02:56.900 Based on population projections for the 2030 census, certain states are expected to gain house seats due to population groups primarily in the south and west.

00:03:06.220 Since each state's electoral votes equals its number of house seats plus two for its senators, the increase in house seats directly increases electoral votes.

00:03:16.980 The states gaining electoral votes along with the number of votes are Texas plus four, Florida plus four, Arizona plus one, Utah plus one, North Carolina plus one, Utah plus one.

00:03:30.440 Total of electoral votes gained 12.

00:03:33.480 Conversely, states with population decline or slower goes, particularly in the northeast and midwest as well as California are projected to lose house seats.

00:03:42.000 Thus, electoral voters, the states that are going to lose them are California minus four, New York minus two, Illinois minus one, Minnesota minus one, Oregon minus one, Pennsylvania minus one, Rhode Island minus one, Wisconsin minus one.

00:03:57.140 More critically, projections suggest that by 2030, Democrats rely on their safely democratic states, e.g. California, New York, plus the blue wall states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's second district, one vote.

00:04:12.700 They would secure only 258 votes, falling 12 votes short of the 270 they need to win a presidency.

00:04:19.820 So if Democrats just win what they historically considered like the safe path to victory, they will not win under the new system.

00:04:28.840 So I want to, you know, just, just put that out there again.

00:04:32.040 So even if Democrats win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and Nebraska, behalf of Nebraska, they still wouldn't win the cycle.

00:04:47.420 Oh my gosh.

00:04:49.820 Yeah, that's not great.

00:04:52.440 Okay.

00:04:52.880 To reach 270 electoral votes on the 2030 map, Democrats must win additional swing states beyond the blue wall, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, to make up the 12 vote deficit.

00:05:05.160 The electoral vote counts for swing states under the 2030 projections are Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, or Nevada.

00:05:13.240 So if they win any of these, they would win if they won those like Pennsylvania and whatever.

00:05:18.540 But I actually think winning Pennsylvania is going to be increasingly hard.

00:05:22.560 And we're going to go into that in just a second.

00:05:24.280 But like if Pennsylvania gets harder to win, we're going to go over just how hard it gets for them to win elections.

00:05:29.160 Possible collections of additional swing states to reach or exceed 12 electoral votes include Arizona alone, Georgia alone, North Carolina alone, Arizona plus Nevada.

00:05:39.380 This is assuming Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

00:05:41.780 Now, let's see what happens if they lose PA.

00:05:45.040 That's where we live is Pennsylvania.

00:05:46.180 And I know that there's been some major changes in Pennsylvania in the last election cycle.

00:05:50.860 Specifically, Scott Pressler, gay hero, ended up radicalizing the Amish who historically didn't vote.

00:05:57.940 The Amish basically said, well, we won't vote.

00:06:00.540 We won't get involved in politics and we won't become politicized because we don't want the system to attack us when, you know, the wrong party is in power.

00:06:06.500 And what the Amish realized, and Scott Pressler convinced him of this, is actually the system's attacking you right now and will continue to attack you because it needs your kids to survive. 0.74

00:06:16.700 The progressives aren't having kids and they get kids from you.

00:06:20.200 So you should join up with this Trump guy.

00:06:22.860 He'll protect your rights.

00:06:23.860 And they're like, you know what?

00:06:24.800 That sounds about right.

00:06:26.320 And they were seeing this.

00:06:27.740 What was funny is one thing the Amish really hated was handouts for having lots of kids. 1.00

00:06:32.400 They often complained about getting this from the government.

00:06:34.720 They're like, oh, I'm not going to turn it down, but like they've made money worthless.

00:06:39.160 So assuming they lose PA, okay, assuming Democrats secure their safely Democratic states, 213 votes, and the blue walls, this is assuming they win Michigan and Wisconsin, then they must need an additional 32 votes from swing states.

00:06:55.220 Here's the most realistic combinations they can get over time.

00:06:57.980 So they'd have to, if they lose PA, get Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina.

00:07:07.340 Now, that seems incredibly unlikely.

00:07:10.040 Yes, Georgia flipped Democratic in 2020 and North Carolina did while narrowly Republican in recent cycles.

00:07:18.260 But the problem is, is that the current trends would cause them to flip in the opposite direction more.

00:07:24.820 Like, Dems winning Georgia and North Carolina, especially given how hard they've lost the Hispanic vote, is going to be really, really difficult.

00:07:33.660 Okay, okay.

00:07:34.580 So they could win Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada.

00:07:39.780 I could see Arizona and Nevada, but I do not see them winning Georgia if they haven't won Pennsylvania.

00:07:46.600 That doesn't make sense.

00:07:48.160 Okay, okay, okay.

00:07:49.300 So then what else?

00:07:50.700 Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and New Hampshire.

00:07:55.500 Again, I don't see them winning Georgia if they don't win Pennsylvania.

00:07:58.120 Okay, then what else?

00:08:00.360 North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, and Wisconsin could win them the election.

00:08:05.600 That is more realistic, but that still requires North Carolina.

00:08:12.180 So basically it means that going forwards, Dems have to win Pennsylvania or create a new fulcrum state, which would be Georgia.

00:08:22.440 Now, here's how they might win Georgia.

00:08:25.280 And I could see this.

00:08:26.040 So let's talk about this.

00:08:27.380 Maybe what they need to focus on is this idea that the Republican Party really has, and I will admit this, as we've argued in the past, the Republican Party used to be the party of the Cavaliers.

00:08:42.620 This is deep South culture.

00:08:43.840 This is a highly aristocratic and hierarchical culture, and a culture that believes in strict social norms that need to be followed to sort of earn or portray your status.

00:08:57.840 And Trump doesn't follow that at all.

00:09:01.140 He regularly flaunts such norms in a way that causes leaders within Southern culture to be quite upset with him and disgusted by him.

00:09:10.480 And, you know, then he brought J.D. Vance in, who represents a continuation of this.

00:09:16.580 Now, he doesn't have the vulgarity of Trump totally, but he's vulgar in other ways that show, like, a thumbing his nose at these cultural mores.

00:09:23.800 Like, he really likes Magic the Gathering.

00:09:25.940 That is not something that one of these – Magic the Gathering is a card game for nerds that these cultures would have loved.

00:09:31.880 That was like the My Little Pony of his generation or something, right?

00:09:34.520 You know, I like Magic the Gathering.

00:09:35.620 Magic the Gathering is the ball.

00:09:36.440 I was so obsessed with that.

00:09:37.240 I was always excited when new card products would come out.

00:09:39.260 Oh, my God.

00:09:39.740 You know what?

00:09:40.360 New life goal.

00:09:41.060 Play Magic the Gathering against J.D. Vance.

00:09:43.240 Or have our kids play against his kids.

00:09:45.460 Oh, my gosh.

00:09:46.200 How great would that be?

00:09:46.920 They need to grow a little bit more, though.

00:09:48.700 They need to get a little older.

00:09:50.860 Yeah, and we need to get a little more famous.

00:09:53.340 Yeah, I guess, you know, step one, somehow befriend J.D. Vance.

00:09:58.300 Step two, little kids grow up.

00:10:00.060 Yeah, but, you know, as the conservatives have embraced the real nerds, you know,

00:10:05.720 it's the Dems went through and trashed nerd culture and made it all woke, you know, this

00:10:10.180 is something that a lot of deep Southern culture had some antipathy towards.

00:10:14.600 Yeah, absolutely.

00:10:14.940 The reason the alliance works now is we're like, well, look, you are concerned about numbers

00:10:19.100 to impose your value system on the general population right now.

00:10:24.480 But if you join our coalition, we can at least work to protect your kids from deconversion.

00:10:29.880 And that means, you know, more school choice.

00:10:32.180 That means, you know, more efficient government services, like preventing stuff like the USA 0.95

00:10:37.240 that was going out and running all these conversion camps basically all around the world,

00:10:41.240 wasting our money.

00:10:42.000 And they're like, okay, yeah, we can broadly agree on all of that.

00:10:44.700 Like, that's an area where we can all agree.

00:10:46.560 But if the left reclassified conservative Christians as a minority religious tradition

00:10:54.240 within their value system, and it's just like, okay, in the same way we treat Muslims, like 0.99

00:10:58.480 they don't mind that like Muslims throw gay people off buildings, right? 1.00

00:11:01.300 Like if there was in their cultural context, can they create sort of the same like gays for 0.99

00:11:07.480 evangelicals, gays for born again Christians?

00:11:09.920 I don't think so.

00:11:11.860 Like it's a long shot, but it is a shot.

00:11:14.480 Let's go to some alternative scenarios that they lose.

00:11:17.180 Okay.

00:11:17.460 So I was like, if Democrats win Michigan or Wisconsin, fail to win Michigan or Wisconsin,

00:11:22.700 their path becomes even harder.

00:11:24.160 Without Wisconsin starting at 213, they would need a combination of something like Georgia, 0.91

00:11:30.600 North Carolina, and Nevada to win, or they need to flip either Texas or Florida.

00:11:36.240 But Florida has become increasingly hard to flip in recent election cycles, so much that

00:11:41.800 on most maps it's listed as solidly red, in a large part due to the MAGA coalition's ability

00:11:47.460 to win the Hispanic vote.

00:11:51.140 Thoughts before I go further?

00:11:52.460 On the All In podcast recently, Antonio Gracias, who's doing work with Doge, was talking about

00:12:01.200 issues with illegal immigrants.

00:12:04.660 And he mentioned that it was found that a bunch of people who were in the United States

00:12:11.420 as illegal immigrants did actually end up voting.

00:12:14.080 And I keep thinking about that when I think about this, that the Democratic Party, I don't think

00:12:20.920 that there was issues with illegal immigrants, by the way.

00:12:22.960 I don't know what the count was, but it was in multiple states.

00:12:26.980 I don't think they have a final count yet because they're only just starting to dig into these

00:12:30.140 numbers.

00:12:30.580 I mean, Doge did tweet at one point about some other things that these people have done.

00:12:35.420 They said that they were 905 collecting Medicaid, 41 collecting unemployment insurance,

00:12:40.680 22 received federal student loans, 409 received tax refunds, and then several received food

00:12:47.880 stamp benefits, which is not something that illegal aliens should be receiving, but they're 0.99

00:12:53.260 doing it anyway.

00:12:53.940 And yes, they are also voting in some cases.

00:12:56.220 I don't think that the Democratic Party was like, oh, this is a plan of mine to do this.

00:13:02.200 I think that they were just like, well, I mean, we want to empower these people who fled

00:13:07.860 from terrible situations, and it doesn't hurt that they would vote for us, and they would

00:13:13.100 vote for them because it was Democratic Party policies that also allowed them to do things

00:13:17.620 like, oh, so like, technically, they weren't supposed to, but here are your SNAP benefits,

00:13:21.940 here's your unemployment insurance, things like that.

00:13:24.100 Yeah, and legal immigrants don't want to pay for this, and they feel bad for their, you

00:13:27.820 know, existing family who's waiting to get in the right way, right?

00:13:30.280 Yeah, yeah.

00:13:30.880 So I just keep thinking back to that conversation and Antonio Gracia's initial findings, because

00:13:36.160 also it blew my mind that illegal immigrants would vote, and I was just like, well, that 1.00

00:13:44.360 would never happen, and it has happened.

00:13:47.640 So that is pretty crazy.

00:13:52.320 And I do, yeah, I mean, like, because I'm thinking on both ends, because a big thing that

00:13:55.560 was coming up at the close of this last presidential election was, oh, well, if the Democrats win,

00:14:03.500 Republicans will never be able to win again. 0.97

00:14:05.420 So it's interesting for me to hear you saying now, Democrats are completely screwed.

00:14:10.600 You know, this is not the narrative that I was hearing, because based on immigration trends,

00:14:14.740 whether or not, you know, they were legal migrants.

00:14:16.380 Well, this is when Democrats thought that they had the Hispanic vote in their pocket, and the 0.56

00:14:19.980 problem is, is that once people become Hispanic legal citizens, these are trad cast.

00:14:26.040 They are not, like, the Black, this is the Black population, even if they would be benefited 1.00

00:14:30.180 by voting for conservatives, even if they would be, you know, like, like, the Conservative Party

00:14:34.540 Alliance was their actual social values, which it does.

00:14:37.440 They've been sort of brainwashed into believing that conservatives are racist or anti-Black or

00:14:42.320 something like that.

00:14:43.480 And, you know, we've seen this even around, like, prenatalist conferences, like, when CNN

00:14:45.900 was covering it, it was like, it's suspicious that there weren't a lot of Black people

00:14:49.200 there. 0.95

00:14:49.800 You know, that must mean everyone there is a racist.

00:14:51.780 And I'm like, no, it's just there weren't a lot of Black people there.

00:14:54.700 Like, why would they?

00:14:55.620 Like, we're not, like, proselytizing within, like, Black community centers or something.

00:14:59.360 We're not comping their tickets like Democrats would.

00:15:01.780 Like, we just treat everyone equally.

00:15:03.940 Like, of course, there's not a lot of Black people here, whatever.

00:15:06.720 And so I think that they, they, but they're trying to create the perception, and the Black 0.86

00:15:11.760 communities have believed this perception, largely.

00:15:14.500 A lot of based ones haven't, and they're like, yeah, I see what's up.

00:15:17.360 Like, you're using us, right?

00:15:18.440 Like, you don't actually, as Simone pointed out, you don't actually help our communities.

00:15:22.260 Our communities are differentially worse off when we're in Democrat-controlled territories.

00:15:27.140 We do better in Republican areas.

00:15:28.980 So clearly, like, you guys are just using us.

00:15:32.100 But that hasn't happened in Hispanic communities.

00:15:37.220 Dems thought they could replay this hand within Hispanic communities.

00:15:40.000 And in the last election cycle, the majority of Hispanic men, for example, voted for Trump.

00:15:44.620 And the Hispanic vote overall was only slightly for Biden, and it's moved by Kamala, and it's

00:15:50.020 moving pretty fast.

00:15:51.660 And I think this is because of how information networks work within Hispanic communities.

00:15:55.860 They're much more based around family networks and much less based around external sources

00:16:00.760 of information.

00:16:01.440 So even if you can gaslight, like, around an entire culture, like, everyone believes this,

00:16:06.320 everyone believes this, they just, like, go to their, like, you know, cousin, and they're

00:16:09.740 like, hey, do we believe this?

00:16:11.040 And the cousin's like, no, I don't think we do.

00:16:13.100 And they're like, okay, well, yeah.

00:16:15.000 You know, like, and family networks makes you significantly more likely to get pissed off

00:16:22.300 at inefficient government bureaucracies than smaller networks.

00:16:26.640 Because whenever the inefficient bureaucracy accidentally closes somebody's store by over-applying

00:16:32.820 things or applies COVID restrictions too harshly or, you know, does something that screws over

00:16:38.420 a small business, within Hispanic communities, they're like, oh, you know, my second cousin 0.98

00:16:44.300 lost everything that his whole family had worked for their entire lives because of your arbitrarily

00:16:49.480 applied bureaucratic norms.

00:16:51.120 I hate the deep state, right?

00:16:52.440 Like, these are anti-my community.

00:16:55.200 But if you don't have the strong family networks, which the DIMS have done a very good job of

00:16:58.800 breaking up within many Black communities, you're not going to get that information.

00:17:03.040 And it's just, well, if the state, you know, I can live off the state, I can live off the

00:17:05.700 state, right?

00:17:06.300 You know, and if I've been told Republicans are racist, well, they must be racist because

00:17:10.500 everyone affirms this or everyone who's, you know, immediately.

00:17:13.200 So I think that that's part of it.

00:17:14.980 But there's also not a world in which we don't continue with a two-party system, I think.

00:17:19.480 Like, things just naturally sort to that, given the way that our political governmental

00:17:23.980 system is set up.

00:17:24.980 So what I imagine will happen is the Democrat Party will move to a much more appealing position,

00:17:30.320 possibly even appealing to us.

00:17:32.320 Who knows?

00:17:33.020 Like, they could go in a great direction.

00:17:36.280 Well, that's, I don't think they could.

00:17:37.820 I think, so if you look at Democrats right now to win, you know, you're saying they could

00:17:41.820 appeal to the tech right, like the new right.

00:17:43.540 No, or just centrist Americans.

00:17:46.360 I don't know.

00:17:46.980 I really don't know what direction they could possibly take.

00:17:49.480 No, they need basically what they need.

00:17:51.560 I mean, the would-be leaders now are what, like Gavin Newsom?

00:17:55.300 I just, yeah, I don't know what they're going to do.

00:17:58.040 They want to further, like their plan is, oh, we're going to further increase the turnout

00:18:03.020 of our existing coalition.

00:18:04.900 And that is actually pretty good of a strategy when both coalitions are equal.

00:18:10.120 But we're going to move into an era where they need a new component to the coalition, for

00:18:16.120 the coalition to work.

00:18:17.700 And it could be the tech right, but that just seems incredibly unlikely because the tech

00:18:22.280 right is basically what the Republican Party is right now if you look at the actual policy

00:18:26.120 that they're pushing.

00:18:26.780 If, however, they lost the tech right, that'd be really bad for the Republicans.

00:18:32.400 Like I think that Trump and JD understand this very well.

00:18:35.340 I think most Republicans at like Heritage or at other like competently run like legacy

00:18:40.120 Republican, they really like talking to people like us and understanding people like us because

00:18:44.600 they're like, okay, this is like the new part.

00:18:46.820 You're just talking to a reporter and he's like, well, I mean, you guys aren't fully Republican,

00:18:50.220 right?

00:18:50.360 Like, I was like, no, like we are a hundred percent new right.

00:18:53.540 Like there isn't a single issue in terms of what the Trump administration has done where

00:18:57.860 I'm like, I categorically disagree with this.

00:19:00.460 And in some cases I'm like, that's an interesting hypothesis that you think that would work.

00:19:04.520 And I'm, you know, at least glad that you're trying radical things, but it probably won't.

00:19:09.200 But that's not like an actual like difference of opinion, right?

00:19:12.780 You know, I mean, so that's what makes it so hard to get the tech right.

00:19:15.840 And I think that the left has the perception that the tech right kind of agrees

00:19:20.280 with the left and kind of agrees with the right.

00:19:22.320 And it's just with the right right now for, you know, because of their cultural imperialism.

00:19:26.300 And it's like, no, we're like a hundred percent on this side.

00:19:28.860 The right would need to do something to seriously betray us.

00:19:31.800 Like, you know, put restrictions on IVF, but Trump has made IVF easier and cheaper to get,

00:19:35.860 you know, so.

00:19:36.540 Maybe, I don't know.

00:19:37.400 I mean, a lot of the press coverage of tariffs implies that like if, for example, the Trump

00:19:41.820 administration gets tagged with a recession, like it's, it's their fault.

00:19:45.240 They, they did this with tariffs.

00:19:46.560 I could see there being a big backlash that could cause a rebalancing.

00:19:55.600 It would give, it leaves an opening for Democrats to even just kind of gaslight the U.S. populace

00:20:04.660 to be like, we were always the reasonable party.

00:20:07.140 We never do this stuff.

00:20:08.880 The problem with that is, is it's, that's the rich people coalition and Democrats already

00:20:13.160 have the rich people coalition that's already part of their, their winning circle, you know?

00:20:18.600 So if they go out and they're like, we're extra good for rich people, people are going

00:20:22.520 to be like, not a good look.

00:20:25.120 Like at least try to sell to Republicans.

00:20:30.280 Yeah.

00:20:31.080 Huh.

00:20:31.580 I wonder.

00:20:32.600 I mean, I look, everybody knows, like I've always said trans people, you can't like, 1.00

00:20:35.800 they're like, oh, we can't abandon our trans allies.

00:20:38.200 And it's like, look, if you were siding with people who literally dress up, like they're

00:20:42.400 from the Capitol and the Hunger Games, like you can't be the party of the working people.

00:20:46.280 I love the Capitol and the Hunger Games.

00:20:48.580 They're the best.

00:20:49.100 That is like the way, like apparently like 50% of trans people dress.

00:20:52.600 I'm like, why, why?

00:20:54.580 You do not look like the disenfranchised. 0.96

00:20:56.920 You don't need to ask why.

00:21:00.120 Because it's obvious.

00:21:01.860 But to keep going, election, electoral college and house seat reappointment population grows

00:21:06.920 in Republican leaning states like Texas and Florida means these states will gain house

00:21:10.980 seats, blah, blah, blah.

00:21:12.140 Now, what's really interesting about this is that a lot of this is actually coming downstream

00:21:18.900 of people moving where they live because Democrats are doing such a bad job of managing

00:21:24.920 Democratic.

00:21:25.420 Yeah, they're just, they're just fleeing Democratic policies in terms of housing, in terms of homeless

00:21:31.320 communities and all that.

00:21:32.820 Right.

00:21:33.400 They just can't live with them anymore.

00:21:35.140 And obviously the Democrat dream is, oh, we need to let's say Austin that we turn Texas

00:21:41.520 blue.

00:21:42.640 And that's been the Democratic dream for a long time.

00:21:45.700 But I don't think it's realistic where the Hispanic vote is going.

00:21:49.580 Like, I think it's sort of vast Hispanic community for a while, but not anymore.

00:21:53.820 Yeah.

00:21:54.060 Well, here's a question for you.

00:21:56.460 Who would you say Republicans should go after next?

00:21:58.500 If Republicans were going to chip off part of the Democratic coalition, who would it be? 0.94

00:22:03.420 Maybe more gay men. 0.98

00:22:04.660 I think that more gay men would be good. 0.96

00:22:07.220 I agree. 0.57

00:22:07.620 I think, and I think it's a very winnable faction.

00:22:10.160 Yeah, the movement has already started.

00:22:13.400 Just build momentum and go all the way.

00:22:16.560 Yeah. 0.97

00:22:17.280 The other faction I can see is Black men.

00:22:19.820 Trump has actually made some really big inroads with Black men by changing things like child

00:22:24.900 support laws.

00:22:25.900 Really?

00:22:26.380 Wow.

00:22:27.280 Yeah.

00:22:27.800 I can't remember.

00:22:28.940 Oh, yeah.

00:22:29.560 He changed it.

00:22:30.120 So I think that I can't remember how he changed it.

00:22:32.520 He changed it in like a really reasonable way.

00:22:34.520 But it was not favorable for women who were, you know, juicing guys who knocked them up

00:22:40.420 for a living situation.

00:22:42.300 Wow.

00:22:42.960 And apparently this was, you know, disproportionately affected Black communities.

00:22:46.240 What is it?

00:22:46.540 70%, 76% of Black people are born outside of a marriage these days?

00:22:52.200 Some insane amount that's hard for me to believe.

00:22:54.960 Yes.

00:22:55.740 This is not part of Black culture historically.

00:22:58.080 Before they became like this ultra-progressive party.

00:23:00.400 They had higher rates of marriage than white people did in America.

00:23:03.000 In the 60s, 5% of Blacks were born outside of wedlock, while 10% of whites were.

00:23:07.680 So this is the result of their alliance with the urban monoculture.

00:23:11.400 And the urban monoculture's degradation of their culture through that alliance.

00:23:15.060 It is not an intrinsic part of being Black or Black culture.

00:23:18.720 You can watch our episode, The Zomification of Black Culture, if you want to see, you know, 1.00

00:23:22.640 how the Democrats really effed them over on this.

00:23:25.480 But yeah, I think Black men are very winnable if you focus on issues like that. 1.00

00:23:32.200 Because a lot of society has become so much like a coalition, like us versus them.

00:23:38.300 And males versus females has become such a big part of that in ways that are really

00:23:43.620 institutionally abusive of the other in cultures where, I mean, so if,

00:23:48.560 if you have like 76% of kids being born out of wedlock, the men and the women in that culture

00:23:53.640 are not really in the same faction.

00:23:56.280 Like the women have a reason to F over the men and the men have a reason to F over the women. 1.00

00:24:01.640 Yeah.

00:24:02.860 I mean, there's a reason why when you look at like famous Black women, 1.00

00:24:05.900 they like almost always are dating Jews or white guys, but mostly Jews, you know.

00:24:11.660 It's like, it's like a thing.

00:24:12.660 It's like a thing.

00:24:13.260 Like even when they're like racist, you know, it's like, I don't know what that is,

00:24:17.140 but I think it's due to, you know, as the urban monoculture has infected their culture

00:24:21.780 and broken up institutions like marriage, it's allowed for the ossification of a gender 0.97

00:24:26.500 war that is more intractable.

00:24:28.840 And the thing is, is that once you break up this gender role, then you're also a conservative,

00:24:33.040 but you're a conservative for like wholesome family reasons.

00:24:35.400 Like, you know, which a lot of the Black community is as well.

00:24:38.940 They're like, yeah, I'm not interested in like all this DEI nonsense.

00:24:41.680 I just want my kids to, you know, be in an environment where they're treated fairly.

00:24:45.780 And, and which you hear from a lot of the, the like wholesome faction of the Black community.

00:24:52.260 Yeah.

00:24:52.380 One hundred percent that, that, that checks out.

00:24:55.400 Also, I think that there's a huge portion of the Black community that is perfectly capitalistic, 1.00

00:25:02.340 you know, not socialist.

00:25:03.360 Like all the, the socialist influencers I know are extremely white and extremely middle-class.

00:25:07.900 Like they grew up in, in privilege and they also grew up very, very white.

00:25:11.600 And when I look at a lot of shows that are, that are meant to cater to primarily Black

00:25:17.480 audiences and that have primarily Black classes, they may have very social justice themes,

00:25:22.720 but they're all wearing like $5,000 shirts and, or they're very capitalistic in nature,

00:25:27.660 which implies to me, I couldn't say because I'm not Black, but it implies to me that Black

00:25:34.380 audiences in America are more capitalistically leaning and not really all about this sort of

00:25:40.900 Marxist theory.

00:25:43.820 It's a pervasive.

00:25:44.580 I, yeah, I, I've definitely seen that as well.

00:25:46.580 I mean, they're, they're being realistic.

00:25:47.860 They have less trust in governing institutions and structures for good reason.

00:25:51.640 But one of the reasons it might be harder to get the Black male vote is that Democrats

00:25:55.820 within this last cycle have leaned really hard into antisemitism.

00:25:58.640 It's really normal among democratic influencers and the Black community is disproportionately

00:26:03.040 antisemitic.

00:26:03.980 I think a lot of people were really surprised when like Kanye went all antisemitic and I

00:26:07.580 was like, do you not have like Black friends?

00:26:09.680 Like.

00:26:10.060 Yeah.

00:26:10.260 Or have you not explored the concepts of the nation of Islam?

00:26:14.320 Yeah.

00:26:14.600 Like what?

00:26:15.380 Like this is, this is not surprising.

00:26:17.680 And, and not even for like negative reasons, even, you know, I was talking with a friend of

00:26:24.020 mine who is, you know, a well-known entertainer and she was talking about a lot of the, the

00:26:31.260 well-known Black entertainers.

00:26:32.640 And she's like, actually antisemitism is really common amongst the well-known Black entertainers.

00:26:37.180 Just most of them know better than to be public about it.

00:26:39.420 And she's like, and the weird thing is like, even as somebody who's not antisemitic myself,

00:26:44.780 like I actually kind of get it.

00:26:46.620 Oh my gosh.

00:26:47.060 Because so often for these people, their early managers and producers and people running

00:26:53.340 the studios were all Jewish.

00:26:55.600 And then a lot of these people screwed them over and, and acted, you know, I mean, that's 0.91

00:27:00.500 the way it was.

00:27:01.160 Like if you're a moneyed interest in, in like the entertainment industry and you're dealing 0.96

00:27:04.560 with somebody who's not educated, and I'm not saying that like Blacks are uneducated.

00:27:08.200 I am saying a lot of Black people who go into the entertainment industry, specifically

00:27:12.460 like the music or rap scene, come from a disproportionately lower level of education.

00:27:16.860 Well, also, if you're maxing out performing arts, you're not maxing out getting a master's

00:27:22.840 degree or in something like that, unless you've gone the academic route, which probably means

00:27:26.880 you're not a popular pop artist.

00:27:28.980 So yeah.

00:27:29.500 And if you look at the, who are the lawyers and record producers and stuff like that in

00:27:35.100 LA, they are disproportionately Jewish.

00:27:37.600 And so the community began to feel like, Hey, it's not white people who are holding us

00:27:44.220 down. 0.70

00:27:44.480 I'm like, I've got lots of poor white friends. 0.96

00:27:47.280 It's Jewish people who are holding us down. 1.00

00:27:49.960 Oh dear.

00:27:50.680 And the, the, you know, they knew they weren't allowed to say this publicly.

00:27:55.480 So because the discussion never aired publicly, I'm going to get, this isn't, I don't think 0.92

00:28:02.160 that this is because Jewish people screw people over disproportionately. 0.95

00:28:04.500 I don't think that this is because anything about Jewish people. 0.93

00:28:06.800 I just think that due to cultural and historic reasons, Jewish people ended up running the 1.00

00:28:12.260 entertainment industry disproportionately.

00:28:14.820 That's an interesting episode for a totally different time.

00:28:17.820 It was the German Jews specifically.

00:28:19.240 The Russian Jews ended up in the closing industry on the East coast.

00:28:21.600 The German Jews ended up on the West coast in part because it was more deregulated, but

00:28:25.180 I don't need to get into why they ended up running.

00:28:27.280 But I would just say like all of that said, I don't at least intuitively feel like the

00:28:32.640 Republican party is the Jew party and the Democrat party is the anti-Jew party. 0.60

00:28:37.300 I just think that.

00:28:37.880 I think it's aligning that way.

00:28:39.120 Well, with Palestine, it came up more, but I don't know, even in the next presidential

00:28:44.440 election cycle, just how relevant Palestine is going to be.

00:28:48.560 So maybe it won't even matter.

00:28:50.720 I just, I think the only reason it's really risen to the surface is that Israel and Palestine

00:28:55.040 were key international conflicts that were discussed extensively during the 2024 election.

00:29:03.040 I mean, wait, no, I mean, look, is it going to be a persistent issue?

00:29:11.120 It depends on how long this war lasts, but I think that a lot of people made their positions

00:29:16.340 clear and a lot of like actual like anti-Semites left Republican party, like, you know, Nick

00:29:24.320 Fuentes or Leather Apron Club or David Duke or, and a lot of them are beginning to align

00:29:30.640 more.

00:29:31.220 Like even David Duke was talking about how like he aligns more with democratic poverty

00:29:34.920 policies.

00:29:36.240 Jeez.

00:29:38.260 He's like, look, like he felt really bad for the people of Gaza.

00:29:42.060 He's like, I really appreciate the Democratic Party standing up for them.

00:29:44.900 Like, I think that morally I am more aligned with them.

00:29:48.800 Meanwhile, amidst all the tariff stuff, there was some progressive influencer who was like,

00:29:55.080 Trump is finally speaking for the working class American.

00:29:58.360 I love this.

00:29:58.900 This is fantastic.

00:29:59.620 So all sorts of disruption is taking place.

00:30:02.780 I think so many.

00:30:04.120 The progressive influencer was saying that?

00:30:06.200 Yeah, I can't remember.

00:30:07.760 It was someone discussed on the blocked and reported podcast and I can't remember who it

00:30:11.480 was.

00:30:11.700 It wasn't Sagar, was it?

00:30:12.840 But it was, it was someone who was extremely left and who suddenly was standing Trump because

00:30:18.060 of his tariffs.

00:30:19.520 And I found that really interesting.

00:30:22.700 I just think that now there's a lot of disruption.

00:30:25.580 Democrats are really not sure what to do.

00:30:28.520 They were obviously very, very disillusioned by what the mainstream party did in the last

00:30:33.300 election cycle.

00:30:33.900 So, you know, but who knows what's going to happen because they got away with so much

00:30:38.660 bad stuff and they don't seem to be showing any signs of dissolving in any way.

00:30:44.220 You still have this very old group of people running everything, it seems.

00:30:48.020 So, I don't know.

00:30:50.000 I mean, Bernie's certainly a celebrity right now.

00:30:52.420 So.

00:30:53.620 Yeah, he's going, what was it?

00:30:54.820 Coachella.

00:30:55.640 Yeah, he's, he's like on tour, you know, selling out venues.

00:30:59.680 I mean, Bernie's just a stooge for the pharma industries.

00:31:05.160 Like, he, he, you saw, like, I was just so disgusted by the way he acted during the JFK

00:31:10.460 hearing where, you know, he's opposing JFK.

00:31:13.900 He's about, you know, making things healthier.

00:31:16.200 We know that he's the highest, gets the most donations of anyone in the Senate from the

00:31:21.060 pharma companies.

00:31:22.100 But people are like, oh, those are individual donations. 1.00

00:31:24.160 I'm like, you really are that stupid? 0.99

00:31:27.920 Like, do you think that Bernie consistently gets enough individual donations, highest in 1.00

00:31:34.420 donor from the pharma industry, an industry that has a vested interest in giving money

00:31:40.700 to the Senate and to lobbyists to change policy positions?

00:31:44.880 Like, that's like, of all industries in the world, there are few with a bigger vested interest

00:31:50.240 than pharma.

00:31:51.180 You think that accidentally he's been winning the most money from that industry, not in

00:31:59.260 one election cycle, but for over a decade, like, that's completely implausible.

00:32:06.280 Like, that is like Biden getting 17% more of the vote than Obama did, which, by the way,

00:32:15.380 is the official number.

00:32:16.860 Completely implausible.

00:32:18.400 To anyone who was alive during both of those elections, Obama's election was a phenomenon.

00:32:26.080 Like, it was everything.

00:32:27.600 It was, it was, it ate at every aspect of our culture and civilization during that election

00:32:35.460 cycle.

00:32:36.060 There is no way Biden got 17% more vote than him.

00:32:40.420 Yeah, that, that seemed a bit irregular.

00:32:44.920 We can, we can just say that.

00:32:46.420 Well, it's not like, oh, he got like five more points or something.

00:32:49.560 It's like, if, if he had been running against Obama, he would have crushed him.

00:32:55.040 That's not plausible.

00:32:57.040 Yeah.

00:32:57.360 But anyway, the, the, the point I'm making is, is, uh, birdie is a complete sleazebag and 1.00

00:33:04.880 always has been.

00:33:05.980 It doesn't seem to stop his fandom.

00:33:07.960 That's all I'm saying.

00:33:08.740 It doesn't matter if someone's a sleazebag by anyone's definition or not, what he says

00:33:13.880 resonates with people.

00:33:14.680 It reminded me of, I always loved the story of him being kicked out of the commune.

00:33:17.380 And you know that story?

00:33:19.300 So he goes to like a communist commune and they ended up kicking them out because all

00:33:24.180 he would do was give speeches all day.

00:33:26.680 But like he wasn't, he wasn't working.

00:33:28.700 Yeah.

00:33:28.980 He's just giving speeches about how good every, like communism and socialism was.

00:33:33.020 Well, he's really good at that.

00:33:34.740 That's his special interest and he's, he's good at it.

00:33:38.140 And clearly people like it.

00:33:40.920 The right audience likes it.

00:33:42.740 So.

00:33:43.700 Yeah.

00:33:44.000 I don't, I don't think so.

00:33:44.820 I mean, I don't, I don't, I don't know that many Bernie supporters anymore.

00:33:47.440 Like the Bernie bro movement basically died out.

00:33:49.540 There's a lot of them.

00:33:51.620 I think he's seen as counter mainstream Democrat, but he kowtowed to the mainstream Democrats

00:33:57.740 throughout the entire last cycle.

00:33:59.000 You know, I don't not think Bernie is the way, and I do not think socialism is the pass

00:34:05.260 forward for Democrats.

00:34:06.280 I think if they try to actually, if they go like pure Fetterman style socialism, that could

00:34:11.940 do pretty well.

00:34:12.960 What is Fetterman style socialism? 0.94

00:34:15.540 Abandon the trans nonsense. 1.00

00:34:17.800 Just go full in. 0.98

00:34:18.640 Like, is he anti-trans?

00:34:20.060 I don't think he's anti-trans.

00:34:20.940 No, he's not yet.

00:34:21.680 But like, you can tell, like abandon the, the illegal immigrant stuff. 0.61

00:34:26.700 Just be like, we're not going to do that.

00:34:28.720 We're actually going to implement a socialist policy.

00:34:31.880 Like culture wars be gone.

00:34:36.000 Socialist policy because AI is coming.

00:34:38.940 We need UBI or something like that.

00:34:41.440 That would go pretty well.

00:34:42.560 So basically just agnostic socialism, socialism without the cultural baggage.

00:34:48.140 Yeah.

00:34:48.620 I can see that as playing pretty hard against somebody like J.D. Vance or something.

00:34:53.480 People are, yeah.

00:34:54.140 I mean, our polling, even that our, our nonprofit has done shows that people are genuinely concerned

00:34:59.520 collectively about global geopolitical instability and importantly, job loss due to AI.

00:35:06.280 I do think that someone who caters to those fears and says, I've got you.

00:35:11.760 If it's, this is a problem and I'm going to address it, we'll, we'll do pretty well.

00:35:17.220 Yeah.

00:35:18.400 Yeah.

00:35:19.940 All right.

00:35:20.640 Well, I love you to Desimone.

00:35:22.220 What am I eating to dinner tonight?

00:35:23.600 So there are, you bought at Costco a while back, these mysterious chicken crumbles that you

00:35:30.320 thought were very compelling.

00:35:32.800 I could serve.

00:35:33.320 Oh, I could do well with fried rice.

00:35:35.420 With fried rice or just rice, rice?

00:35:37.820 Or just fry rice and then do fried rice in that?

00:35:41.160 Yeah.

00:35:41.440 I cook it separately and then mix it with fried rice.

00:35:43.940 That's what I thought.

00:35:44.500 Okay.

00:35:44.680 So you'd like fried rice with chicken crumbles tonight.

00:35:47.140 Yeah.

00:35:47.980 And then I'm going to, I'm going to take out of the freezer some of the Wagyu steak

00:35:51.820 for you to have tomorrow night.

00:35:53.120 I wouldn't, I wouldn't cook them together by the way.

00:35:55.160 I cook them separately and I can mix them.

00:35:56.860 Yeah.

00:35:56.880 First do the chicken crumbles and then do the, the, the fried rice.

00:36:00.100 And you want me to serve them to you separately, not even fry at the very end, those things

00:36:04.280 together.

00:36:05.040 It serves them separately because I don't know if the chicken crumbles are going to be good.

00:36:07.900 So I'm going to want fried rice to eat if the chicken crumbles aren't good with

00:36:11.060 the fried rice.

00:36:12.000 Okay.

00:36:12.240 And the future, I might have the confidence to say mix them, but right now I don't know.

00:36:15.900 Okay.

00:36:16.400 All right.

00:36:16.740 This is a hypothesis.

00:36:18.580 Any special seasoning requests in the fried rice, aside from a tiny bit of that vinegar,

00:36:23.700 obviously lots of soy sauce, lots of butter, some MSG and oyster sauce, oyster sauce.

00:36:31.460 Okay.

00:36:32.440 And of course, green onion and some finely chopped bell pepper.

00:36:36.540 Is that all right with you?

00:36:37.520 That works for me.

00:36:38.460 My beautiful princess.

00:36:40.000 Egg, eggs from the coop.

00:36:41.680 We live in such luxury and we're ending so early to, do you want me to try to, I actually

00:36:48.940 have another journalist call.

00:36:50.220 So this is not early.

00:36:52.080 Do you want me to try to, do you want me to try to get the, the thing done?

00:36:55.540 The video that you, you did.

00:36:57.200 If you could.

00:36:57.780 Yeah.

00:36:58.200 That would be great.

00:36:58.660 Try to get that done tonight.

00:36:59.720 I would appreciate that.

00:37:01.940 Good.

00:37:02.500 All right.

00:37:03.260 All right.

00:37:03.860 Who's the journalist?

00:37:06.100 Caroline Kitchener.

00:37:07.300 I, I, I've stopped tracking who's coming from what and I just take calls.

00:37:13.800 That's the way I am too.

00:37:14.860 Yeah.

00:37:15.480 So much media about us now, like a million story today, because we are ever only famous.

00:37:23.960 But that's cool.

00:37:24.900 I like being famous.

00:37:25.740 I wanted to be famous.

00:37:26.620 I'm like a cool, like, everyone's like, like Malcolm.

00:37:30.660 He's so cool.

00:37:31.520 Look at him.

00:37:32.380 He's so sexy.

00:37:33.140 Malcolm.

00:37:33.580 So hot right now.

00:37:34.240 Right now.

00:37:35.080 They're all like, oh yeah.

00:37:36.160 Like the cousins are, are so well liked and sexy.

00:37:40.020 They're not Nazis at all.

00:37:41.400 They're, they're just cousins. 0.89

00:37:43.680 They, they are so mean.

00:37:45.360 Like, it's funny.

00:37:46.380 Like the thing that used to make us go viral on, on Twitter, it's moved entirely to blue

00:37:50.400 sky.

00:37:50.760 And now like, we don't go as viral because it's only on blue sky now.

00:37:55.960 Like Twitter.

00:37:57.420 That seems reasonable.

00:37:59.820 Falling fertility rates are an issue.

00:38:01.420 Yeah.

00:38:01.860 It really shows how much the Democrats as well, like blue sky has been terrible for them

00:38:05.660 because it's completely silenced their ability to cancel.

00:38:08.460 Oh yeah.

00:38:08.820 They're not.

00:38:09.380 Yeah.

00:38:09.620 They're not going mainstream the same way because they're only speaking to other Democrats.

00:38:13.460 So it's just like the Democrat or the progressive gossip line online.

00:38:17.520 And yeah.

00:38:19.000 And being like mainstream culture, it seems like you need to have everyone involved.

00:38:22.880 That kind of surprises me.

00:38:23.780 I'm like, why didn't the media just move to blue sky and just talk about the issues that

00:38:27.180 their primary audience cared about?

00:38:29.780 Like if that's, you know, if, if, for example, the New York times is a left leaning publication

00:38:34.220 with a left leaning audience.

00:38:35.400 One percent of the audience of Twitter.

00:38:38.000 Oh.

00:38:40.200 I would still use it for idea generation if I were them.

00:38:43.420 I mean, they're all on blue sky.

00:38:45.160 Like New York times is on blue sky.

00:38:46.700 All the media is on blue sky.

00:38:47.980 The problem is that the busybodies whose former like spiraling apoplectic freakouts caused

00:38:54.740 virality and, and, and cancel mobs have left the environment where people other than them

00:39:00.480 saw the cancel mobs.

00:39:01.880 So now the CEO of target isn't seeing the target cancel mob because it's on blue sky.

00:39:06.960 Yeah.

00:39:07.880 Or, or it's not as worrisome to them.

00:39:11.100 I imagine some lackeys coming to a CEO and saying, Oh, 5 million people have liked this

00:39:18.840 or retweeted this.

00:39:19.960 And then on blue sky, it's more like 1.3 thousand people have reskeeted it or whatever.

00:39:29.900 What did you do on blue sky?

00:39:31.620 I don't know.

00:39:31.940 And he's like, is that like matter?

00:39:33.780 And they're like, well, no.

00:39:36.200 Say, okay.

00:39:37.100 Okay.

00:39:37.520 Thank you.

00:39:38.040 Thank you for like blue sky.

00:39:40.200 I actually feel for the Republican party is one of the like biggest public services that

00:39:43.980 anyone's running for us right now.

00:39:45.720 I would be so sad if blue sky shut down. 0.68

00:39:48.340 It is like a containment ward for crazy people.

00:39:50.520 It's like a crazy person Island. 0.71

00:39:52.060 And they're like yelling at me, like, you must hate not being on crazy person Island.

00:39:56.360 And I'm like, no, like you guys used to like go to the grocery store with me and stuff.

00:40:00.060 It was scary.

00:40:01.180 You don't even hate not being on Twitter and you never were because you can't be bothered.

00:40:06.240 I, I, I do like that.

00:40:08.200 We don't go viral in a negative context.

00:40:10.600 Like I like that when things happen on Twitter and now everyone's like, okay.

00:40:14.360 Yeah.

00:40:15.040 Oh gosh.

00:40:15.940 I'm sorry.

00:40:16.660 All right.

00:40:16.920 Well, I will get on that call.

00:40:18.140 I love you so much.

00:40:19.040 I'm going to make your chicken crumbles, fried rice, isolating them. 1.00

00:40:24.100 Come on.

00:40:24.400 It sounds pretty good.

00:40:25.480 Doesn't it?

00:40:26.760 Dude.

00:40:27.240 Yeah.

00:40:27.580 It sounds great.

00:40:28.660 Like maybe like a fry the chicken crumbles or air fried.

00:40:31.560 I don't know.

00:40:31.880 You'll figure it out.

00:40:32.960 You're supposed to pan fry them.

00:40:34.760 That sounds good.

00:40:36.240 So easy as pie.

00:40:38.500 We're all good.

00:40:39.140 No problems.

00:40:39.920 Oh my gosh.

00:40:40.640 I was thinking about our family cannon movies the other day and just thinking about how

00:40:46.900 great legally blonde is for our family cannon. 1.00

00:40:50.560 I mean like one on the surface level, being cheerful, no matter what is a strategically good

00:40:56.560 move.

00:40:57.380 One, cause it just helps.

00:40:58.820 It makes it easier to take things on.

00:41:00.120 And it's more fun, but also it can make you seem disarming and unassuming when you really

00:41:05.440 are a threat.

00:41:06.320 Legally blonde, by the way, is just the Addams family for the 90s. 0.99

00:41:09.920 It really is.

00:41:11.060 Yeah.

00:41:11.440 And then, oh, like there's her, one of Elle Wood's friends gives her her lucky scrunchie.

00:41:15.840 And another friend is like, that's not your lucky scrunchie.

00:41:20.060 You only passed Spanish class because you gave the teacher a lap dance.

00:41:24.160 And she's like, yeah, luckily.

00:41:26.080 Which is exactly how luck works.

00:41:30.260 Like you don't get lucky unless you make an effort and take a risk.

00:41:34.420 And then if it works, you were lucky.

00:41:36.820 And that is how I want to teach her children about luck.

00:41:39.960 But my mom used to always, from a movie really like Clueless, always took the line of what 0.99

00:41:44.260 they say in that, which is a grade is just a jumping off point for negotiations.

00:41:48.680 Clueless is another movie in her family cannon.

00:41:51.060 It's so good.

00:41:51.940 I'll go.

00:41:52.700 But no, and I think it's like the Addams family.

00:41:54.080 It's about somebody who is culturally horrifying to the mainstream.

00:41:59.520 Yes.

00:41:59.860 And it's sort of like the beginnings of the urban monoculture.

00:42:02.200 She is, because the school already represent the urban monoculture.

00:42:06.920 The girls.

00:42:07.540 Yeah, like the rad femme and like the super intellectual people.

00:42:11.280 Yes.

00:42:11.680 And she is mortifying to them because she's from a different cultural background. 1.00

00:42:16.880 Yeah.

00:42:17.100 Yes.

00:42:17.460 I'm proud of it.

00:42:18.560 Yeah.

00:42:19.820 Yeah.

00:42:20.360 No, that's another great example is that you should be proud to be othered.

00:42:23.740 And then there's another one that like shows like when you've been wronged, don't go scream

00:42:28.160 about it like a victim.

00:42:29.800 Take the high road.

00:42:30.980 But then if necessary, low key blackmail that person to make sure they don't get in your

00:42:36.200 way again.

00:42:37.220 So I love that.

00:42:38.740 Did she do that in that? 1.00

00:42:39.720 Well, she was arguably sexually harassed by the one college professor that she interned

00:42:46.240 with and then left and then decided to finally take on the major case that he used to take

00:42:52.260 on and he was going to stop her.

00:42:54.400 And she threatened basically to come out and say what he did to her without doing it. 0.99

00:43:00.340 And he backed off immediately.

00:43:02.280 She was like, oh, I could tell them all about the comfort.

00:43:04.120 Like, or no, you, you said it would be fine when we had that conversation the other night,

00:43:08.020 which was clearly referring to when he did the thing he shouldn't have done.

00:43:10.660 So again, like took the high road, didn't hurt anyone, but definitely kept it in her

00:43:14.860 back pocket.

00:43:15.660 And I just love that too.

00:43:17.320 Wasn't a victim.

00:43:18.320 Wasn't a victim.

00:43:19.180 She turned that right around to her advantage. 1.00

00:43:22.660 Well, a lot of women just make it up. 1.00

00:43:24.480 You know, that's the, that's the way it works these days.

00:43:26.680 Nothing even needs to happen within the urban monoculture, but yeah.

00:43:29.420 Yeah, but she didn't do that. 1.00

00:43:31.400 All right.

00:43:31.860 All right.

00:43:32.180 Okay.

00:43:32.420 We'll get started here.

00:43:40.180 Yes.

00:43:40.920 So be very careful with it.

00:43:43.120 What you doing?

00:43:59.420 No, okay.

00:44:05.580 Careful, careful, careful, careful.

00:44:06.800 No, no, no, no.

00:44:10.920 Hey, hey, hey.

00:44:14.660 Uh-oh.

00:44:15.660 She's going to clobber, you guys. 1.00

00:44:18.060 Bye. 0.70

00:44:22.360 Uh-oh.

00:44:22.660 Let's go.

00:44:23.620 They're unfurled guys.

00:44:25.300 Woo-hoo. 0.65

00:44:25.740 Woo.

00:44:26.160 Woo-hoo. 0.65

00:44:26.980 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:27.320 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:27.880 Booah! 1.00

00:44:28.240 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:28.640 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:29.180 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:30.020 Woo-hoo. 0.65

00:44:30.560 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:30.900 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:31.840 Woo! 0.99

00:44:32.140 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:33.020 Woohoo! 1.00

00:44:33.440 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:34.420 Woo! 0.99

00:44:34.820 Woo! 0.99

00:44:35.780 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:36.100 Woo! 0.99

00:44:37.020 Woo! 0.99

00:44:37.080 Woo! 0.99

00:44:37.760 Woo! 0.99

00:44:38.160 Woo! 0.99

00:44:38.980 Also, woo-hoo!

00:44:39.560 Woo! 0.99

00:44:39.860 Woo! 0.99

00:44:40.180 Woo! 0.99

00:44:40.460 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:41.160 Woo! 0.99

00:44:41.520 Woo! 0.99

00:44:42.020 Woo! 0.99

00:44:42.140 Woo-hoo! 1.00

00:44:42.680 Woo! 0.99

00:44:43.220 Woo! 0.99

00:44:43.600 Woo-hee! 1.00

00:44:44.040 Woo-! 1.00

00:44:44.480 Woo-hoo! 1.00

Based Camp - April 15, 2025

Redistricting： Why the Democrats Need a New Coalition Post 2030

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