Based Camp - The 911 of ＂Debates＂ (This Presidential Debate Will Change American Politics Forever)

00:00:00.000 Hello everyone, I am excited to be talking to you today

00:00:03.140 because it feels like just one of those major events

00:00:07.260 just happened.

00:00:08.340 This debate that we saw was the 9-11 of debates.

00:00:15.100 Angela, this is the 9-11 of birthday parties.

00:00:18.060 I'm sorry.

00:00:18.900 And I will make this clear,

00:00:20.060 some conservatives are cheering or were like,

00:00:22.860 oh, Biden performed so badly, can you believe it?

00:00:26.240 This was one of those things went so bad

00:00:30.040 that I do not think that even Republicans should be happy

00:00:33.940 about what happened in this debate.

00:00:36.440 It was horrifying.

00:00:38.340 It was...

00:00:39.440 Hi guys.

00:00:40.440 Now, Lucas, can you tell us what happened?

00:00:42.740 I heard the noise and I got up from bed

00:00:45.240 and went into the kitchen door.

00:00:46.440 When he saw I had the gun, he put his hands up and said,

00:00:49.240 please don't shoot.

00:00:50.240 But you didn't listen to him, right?

00:00:51.740 You shot him in the leg, didn't you? 0.78

00:00:53.240 You put one right through the kneecap, right? 0.88

00:00:55.140 Yeah, it was like bang really loud

00:00:56.840 and he fell down screaming

00:00:58.240 and there was lots of blood coming out.

00:00:59.740 Lucas, you really are a hero.

00:01:01.140 He started crawling away and crying, 0.97

00:01:02.540 so I shot him in the back.

00:01:03.540 Yeah, you must be so proud of your son, Jack. 0.98

00:01:05.640 Oh, of course.

00:01:06.640 And then he stood over and shot him like, 0.93

00:01:07.740 bang, bang, bang. 0.99

00:01:09.240 Well, that's one crook that's not going to be breaking 0.53

00:01:11.240 into anybody else's home, is he?

00:01:12.940 Yeah, he wouldn't stop talking,

00:01:14.340 so then I shot his jaw off.

00:01:15.640 Yeah, but then he started screaming.

00:01:17.640 Yeah, right. 0.63

00:01:18.340 And then I shot off each one of his fingers

00:01:20.140 and then he stopped screaming.

00:01:21.240 I'll put a clip here from this old onion skit

00:01:24.640 where a kid defends a home from an intruder with a gun

00:01:27.640 and you're like at first, oh, that's sweet.

00:01:30.040 And then he describes how he keeps shooting.

00:01:32.140 And then, and that's what we saw.

00:01:33.740 It was very much, okay,

00:01:35.640 I'm betting on like a kickbox or something.

00:01:38.940 And then he goes on to the ring

00:01:40.940 and his opponent is like a toddler or not ambulatory.

00:01:47.440 And I'm there for the next two hours watching a little kid

00:01:52.640 get beaten up by a full grown man at full fury

00:01:56.340 and with full anger on, which is not a fun thing to watch.

00:02:00.940 Yeah, painful, painful.

00:02:02.640 Painful.

00:02:03.240 Yeah, it was painful.

00:02:04.040 The entire thing was a painful experience because he should not,

00:02:07.940 Biden should not have been allowed on the stage.

00:02:09.740 So first I'm going to set some context for people who didn't see what happened,

00:02:13.540 because there's two really transformative things that happened in this debate

00:02:18.040 that I think like we need to address.

00:02:20.140 One is being talked about a lot,

00:02:21.840 which is that Biden is basically a non-functioning human being.

00:02:25.040 He is, and people can use words like dementia,

00:02:28.940 but what we saw, whatever word you want to use,

00:02:32.040 keep in mind that this debate, one, Biden spent an entire week

00:02:35.240 before this debate, isolating himself.

00:02:38.240 At Camp David, yeah.

00:02:39.440 At Camp David.

00:02:39.940 Preparing for this, resting.

00:02:42.540 Yeah, it was structured and keyed to give Biden an advantage.

00:02:46.140 It came with two commercial breaks,

00:02:47.640 which usually you wouldn't have any commercial breaks in a debate like this,

00:02:50.640 to give him a period to rest.

00:02:52.740 It came with, they would turn Trump's mic off when Biden was talking.

00:02:56.740 It had everything you needed to set things up for Biden.

00:03:01.040 And yet you have him almost falling asleep at the podium.

00:03:05.440 You have him unable to hold a consistent chain of thought.

00:03:10.940 And I'd point out that his answers were clearly canned answers.

00:03:14.940 So it wasn't even that like he didn't know how to respond in the moment.

00:03:19.040 What was clear to those watching, I think,

00:03:21.840 is that he was giving rehearsed answers,

00:03:24.440 but he was forgetting his lines and then jumbling them sometimes.

00:03:28.140 Yeah. Mixing up rehearsing.

00:03:29.640 Mixing up lines and yeah.

00:03:30.940 And then, you know, Trump had such a good rejoinder when he's,

00:03:35.340 I'm sorry, I don't really know what he just said.

00:03:37.040 I don't think he knows what he said.

00:03:39.040 It was really getting to that point where no one really knew

00:03:41.540 what Biden was saying, including Biden.

00:03:43.840 So there's two, three points I really want to get to in this video.

00:03:47.740 Point one is what did the Democrats do at this point?

00:03:52.040 Like they, they basically need a new candidate.

00:03:54.840 I don't know what they can do.

00:03:57.340 And I'm really worried about how they're going to handle this.

00:04:01.940 Two is what does it mean that America right now basically doesn't have a real president

00:04:06.940 for the bureaucracy and functioning of this country

00:04:11.140 and for the way that other countries are going to relate and react to this event.

00:04:15.940 And then the final point, which is the one I'll start with, is actually Trump.

00:04:20.940 A lot of people didn't note this about Trump

00:04:23.640 because I don't think it fits dominant conservative narratives to talk about.

00:04:27.740 And it doesn't help dominant lefty narratives to talk about.

00:04:31.440 So just no one has been mentioning it.

00:04:33.640 But in the debate, Trump was incredibly moderated compared to old Trump.

00:04:43.340 This is not the Trump that was running in the last election cycle.

00:04:49.240 This is not the Trump from the election cycle before.

00:04:51.840 There were differences in Trump between these two election cycles.

00:04:55.440 This to me felt like a, almost a completely different candidate aping Trump.

00:05:00.940 Really?

00:05:01.940 Wow.

00:05:02.940 Yes.

00:05:03.940 I guess I just don't remember.

00:05:04.940 I have a terrible memory though, to be fair.

00:05:07.940 But he just didn't go overboard as much.

00:05:11.640 He was-

00:05:12.640 I honestly think he felt bad for Biden.

00:05:14.840 If anything, he, at one point, for example, about Biden's policies, he said, I don't even

00:05:20.440 think this is Biden's fault.

00:05:21.540 I think he just doesn't know.

00:05:22.640 I honestly think that he feels bad for him and also understands the stresses of the job

00:05:30.940 and generally is a good guy.

00:05:33.440 And I know show, don't tell is really the way to do this and Trump is certainly not the

00:05:37.240 most empathetic person in the world.

00:05:39.040 And he did say, I've got the biggest heart of all during this debate, but I think he does

00:05:43.640 actually have a big heart.

00:05:45.040 And even he was seeing how Biden was being trounced in this debate and he was feeling

00:05:51.240 bad.

00:05:51.840 I don't know what to say.

00:05:53.840 Yeah, I think that might be what caused the moderation.

00:05:56.840 And I would say that you don't need to have a big heart.

00:05:59.140 I personally don't think Trump has a particularly big heart.

00:06:01.540 I think he is a bit of a narcissist and you can be a narcissist and have a big heart.

00:06:06.540 But I think even somebody who is fairly self-involved would feel bad in that situation.

00:06:11.940 And so that was probably also what was causing the strange behavior from Trump is he maybe

00:06:16.740 just felt uncomfortable with what was happening.

00:06:19.540 Yeah, that that I guess is what we were seeing there.

00:06:23.240 The second, I also think that Trump is falling in with some good people.

00:06:27.040 I think he's got a better advisory team this time around.

00:06:30.540 He's got some very smart backers this time around.

00:06:33.840 I'm really thrilled with how he's interacting more with like the Silicon Valley tech crowd

00:06:38.740 this time around.

00:06:40.040 He is much more bullish on crypto.

00:06:43.840 He is much more bullish on AI.

00:06:46.840 He's much more bullish on a lot of things that I think are really smart.

00:06:50.040 And he didn't talk about it in this particular debate, but he has much more sophisticated

00:06:56.040 ideas and policies around things like immigration that have me actually very excited.

00:07:00.840 Talk about one of those.

00:07:02.540 When he was on the All In podcast, this might have been the first time he brought it up,

00:07:05.540 but I think he'll hold to it.

00:07:06.540 And there's enough audience for this podcast where he's going to be held to it.

00:07:09.540 But he said that anyone who graduates from college in the United States should be authorized

00:07:14.340 to work here.

00:07:14.840 I know.

00:07:19.840 And I'm like, hello, this is what I've been looking for.

00:07:22.840 And yeah, what you're hearing from him now is both the borders.

00:07:25.340 He sounds very anti-immigration because Americans are very concerned about that.

00:07:29.340 But keep in mind, these are immigrants who are not taxpayers. 1.00

00:07:32.040 These are immigrants who are dreams on social services.

00:07:34.040 And what he's talking about here is not only stymieing that, but encouraging high revenue

00:07:41.540 generators, contributors to economic productivity and taxpayers to come here.

00:07:46.040 And I just think that's great.

00:07:47.040 So I also feel like Trump has a much more intelligent and well-informed policy.

00:07:52.040 And I think what this comes down to, especially because we're being led by a gerontocracy, is

00:07:56.540 who are the puppet masters and who are the advisors who are feeding the scripts to and directing

00:08:02.540 the policies of these presidential candidates?

00:08:05.540 And I'm not just concerned about the fact that Biden is a husk of a person at this point,

00:08:11.040 functionally speaking.

00:08:12.040 I'm more concerned about Biden's advisors, to be quite honest.

00:08:17.540 Who's actually running the country right now.

00:08:19.040 Yeah.

00:08:19.540 And who's actually running the country's leftist extremists, that Biden himself is a centrist.

00:08:25.540 And you can actually see the fact that his centrist views are not really being well executed

00:08:29.540 on by what's happening in our country right now.

00:08:32.040 It's scary.

00:08:33.040 It's not that there's nobody at the wheel.

00:08:35.540 There's somebody at the wheel.

00:08:36.540 They were not elected.

00:08:37.540 They're not centrist.

00:08:39.540 And we have no oversight over them.

00:08:42.540 I agree with everything you're saying here.

00:08:45.540 And this does bring us to the next point of who's really running the country right now.

00:08:48.540 But before we get to that point, I want to reflect on something that you've been saying,

00:08:52.540 because I think that this is something that other people may not be picking up on a lot.

00:08:57.540 And even some Republican commentators, because it's not in their best interest to bring this stuff up,

00:09:03.040 is the teams around Trump in every one of these election cycles have been very different types of people.

00:09:11.040 The first time around, it was the people who were in a position where it made sense to risk their career.

00:09:19.040 Because backing Trump the first time he was running, you had to literally be willing to risk your career to back him.

00:09:26.540 And I also think that it was more of a press and meme group and not a policy and business and professional and legal group.

00:09:35.040 Because I think really what Trump expected from the first election was this is a lot of free publicity.

00:09:41.040 This is a huge press stunt.

00:09:43.040 And I'm going to pivot this into a media channel or a new series or something like that.

00:09:49.040 That was the expectation. Nobody, including Trump, thought that Trump was going to win.

00:09:53.540 And the people that he surrounded himself with were hype cycle people, were media people, were commentators.

00:09:58.540 You're absolutely right.

00:09:59.540 And that's why when he came in to execute, he had absolutely nothing to work with.

00:10:04.040 And they didn't know what to do because that's who he was surrounded by.

00:10:07.040 Now you're totally right that the mix is different.

00:10:09.540 It's people who actually execute, people who actually lead.

00:10:12.540 I think it's interesting that it took him two cycles to find this crowd.

00:10:15.540 I think by the time he was running in the next election cycle, he still wasn't really surrounded by, I guess I called them like elite intellectuals yet.

00:10:25.540 He was still more surrounded by, I guess, like the cult of Trump.

00:10:30.540 And he did have personality cult at the time.

00:10:33.540 And the second time through, I think his perspective was, is the reason things didn't get done the first time is because the people in his administration weren't loyal enough.

00:10:43.540 And they weren't loyal enough to his ideas or his vision.

00:10:46.540 And that makes perfect sense.

00:10:48.040 I can understand why he would have thought that given the betrayals that did happen.

00:10:51.540 And of course, they are going to happen if you're selecting for this media bombast community.

00:10:55.540 But then when you're optimizing on loyalty, what you find is loyalty is not a good sign of competence or ability to execute or ability to understand what Americans want.

00:11:05.540 But in this cycle, he seems much more surrounded by competent individuals, particularly techie competent individuals.

00:11:13.540 And I see a lot more of his original New York liberal side coming through in how he's debating and acting.

00:11:22.540 Because the other big difference between this election cycle and the last election cycle is the last election cycle, he was still to an extent trying to prove he was a real Republican.

00:11:33.540 Because that was, and I think a lot of people forget this, when Trump first was running, everyone was like, bro, this guy's a progressive.

00:11:39.540 He's been a New York progressive his entire life.

00:11:42.540 Yeah, so just kind of overcorrecting, you think, for that?

00:11:45.540 Yeah, I do think that he had genuinely become something like a conservative.

00:11:50.540 But he certainly wasn't what the conservative party was before him or used to be.

00:11:55.540 And so he needed to prove himself.

00:11:57.540 And so I think he went overboard with some of his conservative positions.

00:12:01.540 And it led to huge miscalculations on his part about how to appeal to Americans.

00:12:08.540 Even in the general last time, I think he was going too far to the right to try to prove to conservatives that he was a conservative.

00:12:16.540 I think the Trump we're seeing in this election cycle is somebody who is absolutely confident in who he is and that he has the party's backing no matter what.

00:12:27.540 And anyone who's out there saying, Trump, you need to move to the right.

00:12:31.540 Trump, you're not conservative enough. 1.00

00:12:33.540 He's very much of just a fuck off. 1.00

00:12:35.540 And I think that he is smart to be doing that, as I have mentioned in statistics. 0.99

00:12:40.540 And we'll go over this later.

00:12:41.540 But if you look at like Republicans under the age of 30, about half of them, 47 percent, believe in abortion under any circumstances.

00:12:49.540 If you're looking at.

00:12:50.540 He's talking about the various exceptions, rape, incest and risk of life.

00:12:54.540 Yeah, which is what he's going for, which is the actually the normal position among the conservative base.

00:12:59.540 But if you are, for example, applying to be a member of Trump's White House on the Heritage Foundation's form, one of the checklists is, do you believe life begins at conception?

00:13:09.540 Yeah.

00:13:10.540 So the people who are, unfortunately, putting together parts of his administration right now are like pretty far right of the policy he actually wants to implement.

00:13:19.540 Exactly. Yeah.

00:13:20.540 And I think that this is going to speak to the mainstream Republicans much more than historically he was able to.

00:13:28.540 And I also think he's going to be.

00:13:30.540 Yeah, it's going to be interesting, but I expect him to be more publicly pro gay this election cycle, like he was a little bit in the first election cycle.

00:13:39.540 And at the same time, anti sort of the parts of the trans community that have become very extremist, because it's such an easy win issue for conservatives, like the trans people in sports stuff and stuff like that.

00:13:52.540 It's a point that like doesn't really matter society wide, but it is so easy to win because for whatever reason, Democrats won't back down from it, even though like everyone can see that these people have an advantage.

00:14:02.540 So now I want to talk about the point you're making about who actually determines how a person acts is the people who are around him.

00:14:08.540 I will say I am a little a concern that the Heritage Foundation is doing the staffing, given the the ways that they were filtering people on the staffing application.

00:14:18.540 That was like, these are not Trump's views. Why are you filtering based on these views? Oh, it's because they're your views.

00:14:25.540 That said, the Heritage Foundation is still mainstream conservative intelligence. Right.

00:14:31.540 Right. And they were people who historically would not have engaged to that much with Trump in things like the first election cycle.

00:14:38.540 But there's negatives to that because there is this capture of this old guard that does seem to have a little too much influence over Trump now.

00:14:45.540 And I hope that he can move to the techie side a bit more. Yeah, I think his VP will show who he's really citing was.

00:14:51.540 Either way, it's still we're going to vote for him now with Biden.

00:14:54.540 I think almost like intentionally, we don't know who's really operating everything.

00:14:58.540 And I think you're right. It is progressive extremists who are running everything in the Biden administration right now.

00:15:04.540 Now, fortunately, progressive extremists are also extremist bureaucrats.

00:15:08.540 And so they are very bad at getting things done.

00:15:11.540 But that doesn't mean that they can't cause damage.

00:15:14.540 Oh, I think we've seen what happens. We've seen the damage.

00:15:19.540 So, yeah. Yeah.

00:15:21.540 But I also think it's it's also just like a bizarre phenomenon to be an American right now.

00:15:26.540 Like when I talk about this, it feels, oh, like now we all know that the president isn't mentally functioning like it's out on the table.

00:15:34.540 It's almost like one of those countries where after Lennon died, they put him in like a glass box and they're like, oh, he technically still rules the country.

00:15:40.540 That's what I felt like I was seeing there is somebody rolling out a corpse and then being like a marionetting a corpse, basically.

00:15:47.540 And I'm like, OK, who's holding the marionette strings? Because that's what we need to be talking about right now.

00:15:52.540 And I don't think that this is something that like we are actively like the immediate takeaway from this shouldn't be, oh, my God, the impact on the election cycle.

00:16:01.540 It should be, oh, my God, who's running the country. Right.

00:16:04.540 So that was terrifying.

00:16:06.540 Yeah. The final point I really want to get into is what can Democrats realistically do with this?

00:16:12.540 But Simone is of the perspective. Those are betting odds, by the way.

00:16:17.540 Maximum lot betting.

00:16:19.540 We actually have a maximum lot. The guy who created the site.

00:16:22.540 What?

00:16:24.540 Maxim lot.

00:16:26.540 Maxim lot. Yeah. Sorry.

00:16:28.540 I always think of it as maximum lot, but it's not the election betting odds dot com.

00:16:32.540 They have right now Trump at a fifty eight point three percent chance of winning the election and Biden at a twenty two point seven percent chance.

00:16:40.540 So that's insane.

00:16:43.540 Wild.

00:16:44.540 And then in terms of who's next, it's nine point three for Newsom.

00:16:48.540 And then after Newsom, three point three for Michelle Obama.

00:16:52.540 Michelle Obama is actually above.

00:16:54.540 I swear to you, if she ran, people would be so excited.

00:17:00.540 Right. I think, honestly, the biggest problem with those betting odds is I don't think she would personally go for it.

00:17:07.540 I think she's screw that. 0.99

00:17:10.540 She's interested.

00:17:11.540 Maybe she could be.

00:17:12.540 But I just I don't get the impression that's her thing.

00:17:15.540 It could be.

00:17:16.540 But I think it's going to be a disaster if they run Kamala Harris. 1.00

00:17:19.540 Democrats.

00:17:20.540 They're not. They're not going to because they know that people don't like her, I think.

00:17:24.540 But I just I don't it's clear to me a couple of signs why I think Biden is going to be switched out.

00:17:33.540 We're going to get an old switcheroo and that there will actually be really good odds of the next Democratic candidate winning is one.

00:17:40.540 One, they took 30 minutes to regroup and send their surrogates and commentators and spin masters out.

00:17:46.540 Usually they do right away.

00:17:47.540 Yeah. The Trump people were out right away.

00:17:49.540 They had to figure out what on earth are we going to say?

00:17:53.540 Because I think everyone was pissed.

00:17:55.540 Everyone honestly didn't know how to salvage the situation.

00:17:59.540 And then the following day today when we're recording this, although it's going to come out a little bit later, there are endless editorials.

00:18:07.540 Biden, we love you, but you've got to step down.

00:18:11.540 It seems like the liberal media as well is trying to come together and present a united front of this cannot happen.

00:18:20.540 And we're several weeks away from the point at which we do have to actually select the what is it called?

00:18:29.540 The convention, the Democratic National Convention.

00:18:31.540 So I think we have plenty of time just in the background, figure out who it is they're going to select and select them. That's it.

00:18:38.540 So historically, Democrats were able to do stuff like this.

00:18:41.540 You had a group of high power individuals and this happened in one election cycle, for example.

00:18:45.540 But yeah, the Democrats switched out who their candidate was last minute and not based on like popular vote or anything like that.

00:18:50.540 Just like this guy won't do well.

00:18:51.540 And as I remember, it ended in electoral disaster when they did that the last time they did that.

00:18:55.540 We also need to be aware that like when people do this historically, it ends in disaster.

00:19:00.540 But here's why I think they almost can't do this.

00:19:04.540 Or if they do it, it's going to be disastrous for them.

00:19:07.540 The most recent core thing where the Dems lost a lot of public support was the Hillary Bernie fight.

00:19:15.540 A lot of people felt the delegation was stolen by Bernie from the old bureaucrats who control the party and given to Hillary.

00:19:22.540 And so there's a lot of mistrust.

00:19:24.540 And that was even in an open election.

00:19:26.540 That wasn't like they appointed Hillary without asking for the public's consent or what the Democratic public wanted. 0.99

00:19:34.540 They were just like, OK, now you go. Right.

00:19:37.540 If they just install somebody, it's going to look like a betrayal of the base.

00:19:44.540 And the base is going to get very angry about this in this authoritarian, because this is the worst of the image from the perspective of the base, which is we have no control.

00:19:53.540 This is all a giant bureaucracy.

00:19:55.540 It's all cronies.

00:19:57.540 And that aspect of the Democratic Party, the base hates.

00:20:00.540 I was talking to you this morning about like specifically why I don't think like the obvious candidate would be Kamala Harris. Right.

00:20:07.540 That is his VP.

00:20:09.540 Like, why not put her?

00:20:10.540 Technically.

00:20:11.540 Yes.

00:20:12.540 But yeah, from like a vice president is technically the backup, but not palatable to people.

00:20:19.540 Not palatable, but a uniquely unpalatable because she is unlikable for the same ways that Hillary Clinton was unlikable, but more. 0.99

00:20:28.540 And this appointment would be even more ham fisted than the Hillary appointment.

00:20:32.540 So when people don't understand what I'm saying here, both Kamala Harris and Hillary Clinton are an iteration of progressive.

00:20:41.540 That is incredibly fascistic sort of in the way that they think about things.

00:20:46.540 I.e., yes, they believe the urban monoculture should control things, but they believe that the urban monoculture should control things using a really strong police force, using basically troopers, using their power of government.

00:21:03.540 And the people making all these decisions on behalf of the citizenry should be like an elite bureaucracy, i.e., the people who are at the top of what Trump calls the deep state right now.

00:21:14.540 And it's easy to see how they gain these positions.

00:21:16.540 These are people who their entire lives have been surrounded by that community, at least for the last 20 or 30 years.

00:21:22.540 They don't really know the general public anymore or are able to conceive of them as like thinking people.

00:21:28.540 And the problem is that the democratic base isn't like that.

00:21:31.540 The democratic base is much more like Marxist, but not Marxist from a, like the way Marxism actually ends up implementing itself often, which is more fascistic.

00:21:43.540 But really, everyone should have total control over their lives. 1.00

00:21:46.540 All cops are bastards. 1.00

00:21:47.540 Ban prisons. 1.00

00:21:48.540 Ban the court systems.

00:21:50.540 Ban... 0.65

00:21:51.540 They may not hold those positions exactly, but they're very anti-authority, I guess I'd say, or anti-directed bureaucratic authority.

00:21:58.540 And Kamala Harris represents the exact opposite of that.

00:22:02.540 I do think, and I can see why Michelle Obama is beating her in the odds, because I do think that Michelle Obama could come in.

00:22:08.540 If they're...

00:22:09.540 And I think that she would be popular.

00:22:11.540 I think that Trump would have a hard time competing against Michelle.

00:22:14.540 Now, the way I would do this, if I was a democratic establishment now, is they can't not have any vote at all.

00:22:21.540 They basically need to have a nationwide vote among registered Democrats outside of the normal voting systems.

00:22:28.540 Maybe do it...

00:22:29.540 That's not gonna happen.

00:22:31.540 It's not gonna happen.

00:22:32.540 It would be totally feasible to organize.

00:22:34.540 An online poll, basically.

00:22:35.540 They need...

00:22:36.540 Again, that's not gonna happen.

00:22:37.540 You have to keep in mind that this is...

00:22:39.540 It's the people that would have to give up power to allow for something like that to happen, are unwilling to surrender that power.

00:22:48.540 They believe that they are the ones that are well-suited to make this decision.

00:22:52.540 They think very little of actual Democrats.

00:22:55.540 Do not forget that. 0.99

00:22:56.540 They don't actually give a shit about actual Democrats. 0.98

00:23:00.540 And aside from just trying to avoid attrition from Democrats who are just... 0.98

00:23:06.540 They can't even hold their nose to vote for Biden, which is a big issue now.

00:23:10.540 They know that most Democrats are gonna shut up and vote along with their party, just like with Republicans, too.

00:23:16.540 But it's not gonna be enough to win now.

00:23:18.540 Not if Biden's running.

00:23:20.540 No, not if Biden's running.

00:23:21.540 They have to get rid of him, but they're gonna choose who they get in place.

00:23:24.540 They're not gonna...

00:23:25.540 They're not gonna listen to the people, please.

00:23:27.540 I love how little faith you have in the bureaucratic elite.

00:23:31.540 It would be the same if this were the Republican Party.

00:23:34.540 Let's not be...

00:23:35.540 No.

00:23:36.540 Yeah, the Republicans are controlled by an old bureaucratic elite now.

00:23:39.540 And Trump, for a while, represented the counter-faction to that.

00:23:42.540 But now they're sucking up to him more, which is gonna cause downstream negative effects.

00:23:46.540 And I am a little worried about that.

00:23:49.540 So we'll see what happens.

00:23:51.540 Because I don't think that represents the base.

00:23:53.540 But I do see at least Trump hasn't been ideologically captured by this group.

00:23:57.540 He still seems to be doing his own thing.

00:24:00.540 And even more so than he did historically.

00:24:03.540 I think that through that, it's gonna be hard to compete against a Trump that is actually honest about Trump views.

00:24:10.540 And not just that, at least, for example, a lot of the people that we know and work with, who have startups, who have businesses, who care about science and tech and advancement, are actually genuinely excited about Trump because of the appointments he has lined up.

00:24:25.540 That just from a policy and governance perspective, Trump winning would be really exciting.

00:24:33.540 Genuinely good.

00:24:34.540 Not just, oh, we like him better, or he seems more competitive as a candidate.

00:24:39.540 Yeah.

00:24:40.540 I just feel like everything politically has changed.

00:24:43.540 Everything politically has changed.

00:24:44.540 This is one of these, like, sea-shift moments in my life.

00:24:46.540 This isn't just that.

00:24:47.540 This could be a watershed moment for Democrats who haven't yet been fully aware of this yet, and even for some Republicans, of just how much the Democrat establishment and the media has been willing to lie about the President of the United States and his present mental state and fitness.

00:25:11.540 Yeah.

00:25:12.540 And that it was plausibly easy to shrunk off his various gaffes and the moments when he would freeze and everything else as an exaggeration or fake or as the now is trying to be spun by the President's administration.

00:25:33.540 I think he's calling them, they're calling them cheap fakes.

00:25:36.540 I don't know what that's supposed to mean.

00:25:37.540 I guess it's just their way of trying to make it sound like it's not real, but it's real.

00:25:41.540 Yeah, this is happening.

00:25:43.540 This was, now, after being told again and again by these groups, Biden is fine, Biden is sharp, he's firing on all cylinders, now they're seeing for themselves over the period of this debate, this guy cannot hold a cohesive thought for a long period of time.

00:25:59.540 He's not able to memorize and spit that facts.

00:26:01.540 He sounds, just even when he had good singers that he was getting in, he sounded very old and feeble.

00:26:07.540 And keep in mind that voters vote for people who look powerful and presidential.

00:26:12.540 That this is not even about what people are saying verbally and how strong and logically consistent their arguments are or even how grammatically correct their sentences may be.

00:26:22.540 It is about how electable and presidential they look and seem.

00:26:26.540 And he did not seem presidential.

00:26:30.540 I think more than that, I was also talking about Trump's more moderated energy in this debate.

00:26:36.540 Part of it might actually be that this is what Trump looks like when he's becoming enfeebled, is he just doesn't have the energy to be old Trump anymore.

00:26:44.540 I don't think that's it.

00:26:45.540 Like hearing other recent interviews with him, he's fine.

00:26:49.540 You don't think that's it?

00:26:50.540 He's funny, he's fine, yeah.

00:26:53.540 I agree with you.

00:26:54.540 And I would say that something that I think a lot of people are going to come away from this thinking, because, you know, I watched like the Jon Stewart coverage on this and he's like, Trump is just lying about all of these things.

00:27:05.540 Like, can you believe it?

00:27:06.540 And he didn't point out, which every sane American is thinking, yeah, but like the entire media establishment and Biden's entire team apparently has been lying to us about his missile state.

00:27:18.540 What do you mean Trump, even if Trump is lying, which, yeah.

00:27:22.540 And first, that's no news to us.

00:27:23.540 Trump exaggerates or misstates.

00:27:25.540 Yeah, it's not like, oh God.

00:27:27.540 You know, this is a new thing.

00:27:28.540 Yeah.

00:27:29.540 Yeah.

00:27:30.540 But with Biden, we're like, but like you guys were all lying.

00:27:33.540 The media was all lying.

00:27:35.540 The entire apparatus of the government bureaucracy was lying.

00:27:39.540 What are you on about?

00:27:40.540 Like, it is no, no new person was like, oh yeah, Trump exaggerates sometimes.

00:27:45.540 Or will, I love Trump's lies because sometimes they're just like so outlandish when he's like, I never said lock her up.

00:27:52.540 And you're like, what?

00:27:53.540 But he's like, but I could have done it.

00:27:54.540 And that was one of those moments where I'm just like, okay, that's like obviously a lie, but also hilarious.

00:27:59.540 So there has been like.

00:28:00.540 I think what he meant in his head, although of course he's misstating it, is that he didn't invent the phrase lock her up.

00:28:07.540 Yeah.

00:28:08.540 I think he meant I didn't invent that phrase and I never really intended to fully lock her up.

00:28:12.540 I was just getting in mind was campaign moments.

00:28:15.540 Yeah.

00:28:16.540 But what I'm saying is nobody here is like, oh my God, Trump exaggerates.

00:28:19.540 Yeah.

00:28:20.540 But what I think a lot of people didn't know is that the entire presidential administration was capable of systemically lying to them about something that every one of them knew.

00:28:28.540 And most of the media elites probably knew as well.

00:28:32.540 Yeah.

00:28:33.540 That was really interesting to me.

00:28:35.540 And I am just so interested in where things go.

00:28:39.540 Obviously Simone's running right now. 0.99

00:28:41.540 Top of ticket is mostly going to determine if she wins. 1.00

00:28:44.540 She's convinced she has no shot right now.

00:28:46.540 That's because the district in which I'm running is, it is, has more registered Democrats than Republicans.

00:28:51.540 And in past elections, the unaffiliated independent and libertarian voters have voted Democrat.

00:28:57.540 Plus now they have an imperative to vote Democrat because of Roe versus Wade being reversed, meaning that states have to decide whether or not there's reproductive choice. 0.83

00:29:06.540 So most of these groups, because most Americans support reproductive choice, if they're willing to make votes based on that, they have to vote Democrat.

00:29:15.540 Even most Republicans do, which I think a lot of people do.

00:29:18.540 And that's, yeah, that's, and that is actually why, and I've seen this door knocking and talking with people in our district.

00:29:23.540 That is why many Republicans are now voting Democrat.

00:29:26.540 So I'm just like, of course.

00:29:28.540 Your position on this, they'd vote for you.

00:29:30.540 Yeah, they knew that I would protect reproductive choice and IVF and abortions through 50, 15, sorry, 15 weeks.

00:29:40.540 Which is more restrictive than the existing abortion policy, I should point out.

00:29:43.540 In Pennsylvania, for sure.

00:29:44.540 Yeah.

00:29:45.540 And then of course, abortions pass that in the case of these extreme situations.

00:29:48.540 For example, the mother is at risk or even personally for me, not to shoot myself in the foot by being clear about this.

00:29:54.540 But if, if you have to choose between terminating a pregnancy as early as you learn that any baby that is born is going to suffer and die horribly.

00:30:04.540 Yeah.

00:30:05.540 Which you learn sometimes.

00:30:06.540 And we know people have had to go through that.

00:30:08.540 And then this has been a heartbreaking problem for a non-trivial number of mothers after the reversal of rovers, after dots.

00:30:18.540 That's terrible.

00:30:19.540 No, no mother wants that. 1.00

00:30:21.540 I find this a, it's, yeah, I think Democrats had this one in the bag because of the whole Roe v. Wade backlash at first.

00:30:29.540 Same.

00:30:30.540 And now, not only do they not have this in the bag, I have no clue what they can do.

00:30:36.540 Yeah.

00:30:37.540 And it will have effects past this election.

00:30:40.540 If they ham-fistedly put in a candidate like Kamala Harris, the Democrats are going to permanently lose a portion of their base.

00:30:47.540 Not.

00:30:48.540 It might be Gavin Newsom.

00:30:49.540 They might find someone a little bit more fun, but it's not going to be, definitely, it's not going to be Kamala Harris.

00:30:55.540 Like, she's Hillary 2.0. 1.00

00:30:57.540 Like, it's not going to work for them.

00:30:59.540 And they know that.

00:31:00.540 It's not going to be Kamala Harris.

00:31:01.540 It's going to be, I still think, I would put 60% Biden, 60% a non-Kamala Harris alternate.

00:31:08.540 Okay.

00:31:09.540 Yeah.

00:31:10.540 See, I don't think Gavin Newsom will do well.

00:31:12.540 Newsom.

00:31:13.540 I think Gavin Newsom will permanently lose a portion of their base as well.

00:31:16.540 Just due to identity politics reasons, if the powers that be in the Democrat party install a white- 0.96

00:31:21.540 No, what they need is a black woman. 1.00

00:31:22.540 What they need is Michelle Obama. 0.97

00:31:24.540 Yeah.

00:31:25.540 Which would be amazing, but-

00:31:27.540 Easy choice in terms of a black woman that they could put in. 1.00

00:31:30.540 Who else could they do that's a black woman that- 1.00

00:31:31.540 I really think the other choice, and I know this is a long shot, but in terms of her popularity with the base, is AOC.

00:31:37.540 No, because she's too extreme. 1.00

00:31:40.540 She would scare away centrists. 0.99

00:31:42.540 You cannot do AOC.

00:31:44.540 She would galvanize get out the vote. 0.88

00:31:47.540 Maybe as much as Trump.

00:31:48.540 No.

00:31:49.540 You don't think so?

00:31:50.540 No.

00:31:51.540 It wouldn't be AOC.

00:31:52.540 She'd be great for younger voters, but it's old people who actually vote. 0.76

00:31:55.540 We should say distinguished and more experienced voters who vote.

00:32:00.540 It's not young people. 0.71

00:32:01.540 It's just not.

00:32:02.540 This is a crazy time to be alive to have watched that.

00:32:05.540 Yay! 0.99

00:32:06.540 Woohoo! 1.00

00:32:07.540 Election year.

00:32:08.540 Stars and stripes.

00:32:09.540 Gotta vote.

00:32:10.540 Vote.

00:32:11.540 Uh oh, I'll put on the South Park song.

00:32:13.540 The South Park song.

00:32:14.540 Yeah.

00:32:15.540 Yeah. 0.98

00:32:16.540 Did you just say that voting is ridiculous? 0.99

00:32:19.540 No, I think voting is great, but if I have to choose between a douche and a turd, I just don't see the point. 0.99

00:32:23.540 You don't see the point. 0.98

00:32:25.540 Oh, you young people just make me sick. 1.00

00:32:27.540 Your friend Kyle told me you don't understand the importance of voting. 0.93

00:32:30.540 Apparently you haven't heard of my vote or die campaign.

00:32:33.540 What the hell does that even mean? 1.00

00:32:35.540 What you think it means, bitch? 1.00

00:32:37.540 Democracy is founded on one simple rule. 1.00

00:32:39.540 Get out there and vote or I will motherfucking kill you. 1.00

00:32:42.540 I like it when you vote, bitch. 1.00

00:32:44.540 Bitch. 1.00

00:32:45.540 Shake them titties when you vote, bitch. 1.00

00:32:47.540 Bitch. 1.00

00:32:48.540 Get through your mouth roof. 1.00

00:32:49.540 Mouth roof. 1.00

00:32:50.540 Now get your big ass in the pulling booth. 1.00

00:32:51.540 Vote or die, motherfucker. 1.00

00:32:52.540 Motherfucker. 1.00

00:32:53.540 Vote or die. 1.00

00:32:54.540 You can't run from a 38. 0.99

00:32:55.540 Go ahead and try.

00:32:56.540 Let your opinion be heard.

00:32:57.540 You gotta make a choice. 1.00

00:32:58.540 Cause after I slit your throat, you won't have a fucking voice. 1.00

00:33:02.540 All right. 1.00

00:33:03.540 You got this girl.

00:33:04.540 You got this girl.

00:33:05.540 You're a great mother, Simone.

00:33:06.540 I love you guys.

00:33:07.540 Have a great day.

00:33:08.540 Love you.

00:33:09.540 Check it out.

00:33:10.540 I've got hiccups McGee over here in her stars and stripes. 1.00

00:33:12.540 So this is going to be appropriate.

00:33:15.540 It's going to be the right kind of episode.

00:33:18.540 Look at you.

00:33:19.540 You're patriotic today.

00:33:21.540 Yeah.

00:33:22.540 I love you.

00:33:23.540 Hiccups.

Based Camp - June 29, 2024

The 911 of ＂Debates＂ (This Presidential Debate Will Change American Politics Forever)

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Summary

Transcript