Based Camp - April 30, 2024


The Biggest Lie Pronatalist Tell (The Hungary Fertility Myth)


Episode Stats

Length

31 minutes

Words per Minute

177.50935

Word Count

5,599

Sentence Count

396

Misogynist Sentences

16

Hate Speech Sentences

11


Summary

The pro-family policies pursued by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban s government as an alternative to mass immigration are reaping dividends. With births up 9.4% year on year, much ridiculed policies were also accompanied by a near 100% increase in marriages in the number of children per woman, rising to 1.6.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 this Breitbart piece. The pro-family policies pursued by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's
00:00:05.320 government as an alternative to mass immigration are reaping dividends, with births up 9.4% year
00:00:11.000 on year. Much ridiculed policies were also accompanied by a near 100% increase in marriages
00:00:17.620 in the number of children per woman, rising to an average of 1.6. If you look at the data,
00:00:23.620 actually Hungary underwent a smaller fertility bump than its neighboring country.
00:00:27.880 Oh no. So here I am showing a article from the end of 2023, Daily News Hungary. Number of children
00:00:42.240 born in Hungary at a historic low in 2023. Huh. Okay, that shouldn't be happening. All right,
00:00:50.260 let's look at another thing by this outlet. Brutal population decline. Hungarians are dropping like
00:00:56.380 flies. Oh, that was published in 2023. What? That's not the narrative I was reading. So the
00:01:03.540 Hungarian, where they measure these informations, is called the Center of Statistics Office, or the KSH.
00:01:08.960 So I just sent you the KSH graph of the number of births in Hungary. This bump we're seeing on the
00:01:15.760 national aggregate graphs does not appear in the own country's reporting. Would you like to know more?
00:01:20.680 Hello, Simone. I am excited, though trepidatious, to be here with you today because today we are going
00:01:27.440 to do what is probably going to be one of our more controversial videos, which is one that I have
00:01:33.180 been actually sitting on for a long time because I haven't wanted to do it because it is a video
00:01:38.120 where we are unfortunately going to have to criticize a common thread within the pronatalist movement
00:01:44.520 movement. And among people who are sympathetic to the movement's cause, who are promoting
00:01:50.340 information that unless you do a very deep dive, you would not be aware is misinformation.
00:01:59.380 And so I do not think that it is being promoted with any malevolent intent. It is more just here
00:02:05.160 is information that confirms my political presuppositions. Therefore, I'm not going to
00:02:11.560 look at it inquisitively or skeptically. Well, we should add that it seems intuitive. So you
00:02:17.080 wouldn't think of the face of it that it's going to be wrong. And so I would love it if you could
00:02:21.380 start to introduce people to the mainstream pronatalist perspective on this. Read this Breitbart piece
00:02:29.240 I sent you. And let me just say it begins with a picture of what I think should be our entire family's
00:02:34.600 new outfit, these traditional Hungarian dresses and women apparently being splashed with water. I just find
00:02:41.400 it perfect. Anyway, I shall read. The pro-family policies pursued by Hungarian Prime Minister
00:02:47.320 Viktor Orban's government as an alternative to mass immigration are reaping dividends with births of
00:02:52.740 9.4% year on year. Edward von Halsberg, the Central European country's ambassador to the Holy See and great
00:03:00.860 grandson of Emperor Franz Josef I of Austria-Hungary, reported that the, quote, much ridiculed, unquote,
00:03:07.400 policies were also accompanied by a near 100% increase in marriages in the number of children
00:03:12.960 per woman rising to an average of 1.6. The population has been decreasing since 1981, unquote,
00:03:20.580 said Kathleen Novak, Hungary's state secretary for family, youth and international affairs,
00:03:25.360 in exclusive comments to Breitbart London, explaining the enormity of the turnaround her government has
00:03:30.720 achieved. Quote, in 2010, when Orban's Fidesz party won the elections with a two-thirds majority after
00:03:38.840 eight years of socialist anti-work, anti-economy and anti-family governance, our country was at the brink
00:03:45.240 of collapse, she recalled, citing, quote, austerity packages and the dismantling of the family benefit
00:03:51.200 system. Quote, in 2010, we started to build a family-friendly country, dot. Our main goal is to
00:03:56.900 eliminate the burdens that couples face when they would like to have children, she said,
00:04:02.120 highlighting policies including, quote, lifelong exemption from personal income tax for women with
00:04:07.080 four children. Oh, that would be me if we were in Hungary. Can you imagine? Can I imagine? We set
00:04:13.520 aside 38% of our income because PA's income tax is also not trivial. Partial mortgage write-offs for
00:04:20.960 families after birth of their second child and grandparent will leave. Oh, that's smart. See,
00:04:25.620 all these things sound good to me, Malcolm. Quote, the recent demographic figures speak for
00:04:29.480 themselves. The number of marriages is at a 40-year high. The fertility rate is at its 20-year high,
00:04:35.520 while the divorces haven't been as low as last year. In the last six decades, she added proudly.
00:04:41.460 I love that they have to show her smugness. I will, and you can mention the tweet that they have here,
00:04:46.460 right? Yes, below there's a tweet by Edward Habsburg. Oh, Habsburg. He says, ready for some good news?
00:04:53.260 The much ridiculed Hungarian family politics is showing results. In January 2020, 9.4% more births
00:05:00.600 than last year, almost 100% more marriages and children per women from 1.4 to 1.6.
00:05:07.680 Yeah, so you see all this. And first, I'd point out that you've got to understand why Breitbart wants
00:05:13.380 this to be true, right? If you look at just the very next paragraph, the Secretary of State,
00:05:18.880 herself a mother of three, was forced right when pressed to comment on the past remarks of outlets
00:05:24.400 such as the left liberal Economist magazine, which rubbished the Hungarian government's aspirations
00:05:30.420 to arrest its demographic decline through so-called natalist policies rather than mass migration,
00:05:36.540 as Western European countries such as Britain, Germany, and Sweden have attempted.
00:05:40.060 So- By the way, is that how British people say trashed? I love that.
00:05:47.080 The point being is that if I am coming into this like a Bart Reiner or something like that,
00:05:54.020 right? Yeah.
00:05:54.840 What I am contrasting here is mass migration as a solution to fertility collapse versus what
00:06:01.720 they are calling pro-family policies, which I think in a historic sense, most conservatives
00:06:09.480 who weren't so blinded by sectarianism within our own country would call socialism and government
00:06:16.740 handouts. And it's not to say that I'm against it for that reason. I'm just saying this is not a
00:06:22.240 conservative solution. It is a slightly more conservative solution than mass migration,
00:06:27.620 but it is not. And we need to talk about the scale of these handouts. 5% of Hungary's GDP
00:06:32.180 is going to these programs. Okay. So the other thing I want to note here-
00:06:38.860 Wait, hold on. What percent of GDP does the U.S. spend on various things?
00:06:42.920 So if you want to get that in context, within the U.S., if you're looking at the total amount
00:06:49.560 of spending that goes to R&D, that 3.4%.
00:06:54.340 Okay. Wow. Yeah.
00:06:57.520 So I wouldn't say it's an unwarranted amount, right?
00:07:00.300 And also that's, I'm glad that we're spending on R&D.
00:07:02.820 And I'd also point out that the Breitbart article that wrote on this did not explicitly lie
00:07:08.620 or even really mislead with data.
00:07:12.140 No.
00:07:12.340 What the report was reporting, and it's important to note this because Simone didn't do this when
00:07:17.180 she was reading, is she didn't mention all the quotations used. She didn't say,
00:07:21.060 quote, X, end quote, by Y, which hid that almost every time they were talking about a statistic
00:07:28.300 or positive news in Hungary's fertility-
00:07:31.240 They were quoting someone else's claim.
00:07:32.600 They were quoting somebody.
00:07:33.200 Mm.
00:07:34.380 Now, the problem is that the individuals they were quoting were Hungarian bureaucrats and
00:07:40.280 politicians that had put their careers on the line to get this bill passed.
00:07:45.340 Mm. Oh, so it's like in China when they implemented a new family bonus policy in two months, suddenly
00:07:52.160 all these politicians were like, and now fertility's way up.
00:07:54.320 There was this famous case in China recently where they gave all of this money out to get
00:07:57.800 fertility up. And then some government bureaucrat who was just sleeping on it, within two months
00:08:02.640 it released a thing saying, huge number of birth increase since the implementation of
00:08:06.680 the new policy. And everyone in China was joking on their Weibo and stuff like that,
00:08:11.720 that like they, they gave out such a big handout that it shortened the lengths of pregnancy.
00:08:16.980 And so-
00:08:17.720 Yeah, now we have the same like pregnancy gestation length as like a dog.
00:08:21.040 They've miraculously improved it.
00:08:23.300 Yeah. So look at these reports and I'm like, I'm sorry, I don't trust the very government
00:08:28.140 bureaucrats who are pushing this policy's perspective on how well this policy worked.
00:08:33.260 I think what I need to do is I need to look at what the demographers are saying.
00:08:37.560 Hmm. Okay. Now you've got to keep in mind, there are a lot of shady left-leaning demographers
00:08:44.160 out there that are going to attempt to hide things. The problem is that generally they are
00:08:48.860 motivated to attempt to increase fertility stats so that nobody does anything about it
00:08:54.100 instead of artificially decreased fertility stats, which can make going into this really
00:08:59.080 hard. Typically, if you want the worst fertility stats that you're going to get, what you should
00:09:05.560 look at is the fertility stat aggregators. And I assume that's what a lot of people do when
00:09:10.900 they're looking at this particular instance here. So I'm going to pull up one of these aggregators
00:09:15.440 right here. This is database fertility stats, but it's not going to look that different from
00:09:20.420 Statistica or really anything else.
00:09:23.160 That doesn't look good.
00:09:24.900 It goes up a bit after-
00:09:26.380 Yeah. Technically from 2019 to 2020, the line doesn't go down and the line isn't flat,
00:09:32.900 is it? Yeah. It was basically flat. But you do have a period of increase here,
00:09:38.820 right? Which is really interesting. Yeah.
00:09:40.320 And it does look like you could make a claim with its information that the hungry fertility
00:09:44.740 policy is working. The problem is these big national aggregators are next to useless when
00:09:51.580 trying to determine a country's fertility rate. And this is what I've really learned as Latin America,
00:09:55.160 where fertility rates are changing very rapidly right now, is that you can really only get
00:09:59.860 accurate fertility data from on the ground sources and from local demographers. So that's what I mean
00:10:05.920 by like government databases and stuff like that. So it's okay. Let's look at some other sources
00:10:10.420 because this one would broadly back up. And I think that this is why a lot of people haven't realized
00:10:14.820 because they're going to the national aggregators and the national aggregators are backing up the
00:10:21.700 conservative narrative that Hungary's fertility stats are working right now. So now we're going to
00:10:28.900 look at something else. So let's look at what's happening in local media in Hungary right now.
00:10:33.720 Okay. Let's.
00:10:36.260 So here I am showing a article from the end of 2023, Daily News Hungary. Number of children born in Hungary
00:10:47.820 at a historic low in 2023. Huh. Okay. That shouldn't be happening. All right. Let's look at another
00:10:55.860 thing by this outlet. Brutal population decline. Hungarians are dropping like flies. Oh, that was
00:11:03.220 published in 2023. What? That's not the narrative I was reading. Okay. I'll go to academic sources.
00:11:10.380 Those will give me some information, right? Here I have pulled up a
00:11:15.100 academic study. And this study is titled the propensity to have children in Hungary with some
00:11:23.760 examples from other European countries. Okay. And this was published in 2022. Okay.
00:11:32.900 Many European governments, including that of Hungary are spending a significant portion of GDP
00:11:37.000 on family support to prevent family decline. Despite these efforts, we have not seen any
00:11:42.400 significant increase in the TFR. In this article, we explain the decisions of families not to have
00:11:48.040 children by using a more stringent formulation of Beckard's original quantity trade-off. And we point
00:11:53.440 out that increasing family support expenditure has not achieved that goal. But now you might be like,
00:11:58.680 wait, how could it say that if they're looking at anything close to the other numbers that I've been
00:12:04.080 looking at? How do we square this? What's the first question you would ask if you saw these
00:12:09.080 Hungarian fertility stats and you showed this rise after they were supposedly implemented?
00:12:14.260 What's the first question you're going to ask? Did something else happen? Basically, like how was
00:12:20.780 the first question I would ask is for the fertility stats of the neighboring countries with similar
00:12:24.800 numbers? Oh, at the same time. Yeah. Pardon me. I was really distracted mentally too by the pandemic.
00:12:29.580 I think a lot of nations, remember there was talk about this. I haven't seen like aggregated data,
00:12:34.540 but there's a lot of talk about during the pandemic, there being a baby bump in many nations because
00:12:40.780 suddenly women were working from home or not working at all. People were kind of left at home.
00:12:45.420 Yes. So if you look at the data, actually hungry underwent a smaller fertility bump than its neighboring
00:12:50.780 country. Oh no. Oh, that's so bad. Oh, that's what we've been told. Okay. Now let's go look at
00:13:01.780 another graph that is very important. So I did some more digging to try to find a better sort of picture
00:13:08.060 of what's going on locally in Hungary. And I had to, in a search to find the Hungarian government's
00:13:18.080 data sets because that's what I really wanted here. Sure. Okay. I was like, okay, let's get the
00:13:22.120 Hungarian horse's mouth. Exactly. Okay. So the Hungarian population where they measure these
00:13:29.200 informations is called the center of statistics office or the KSH. Okay. Okay. So I just sent you
00:13:36.480 the KSH graph of the number of births in Hungary. This bump we're seeing on the national aggregate graphs
00:13:42.640 does not appear in the own country's reporting. In fact, you see no effect from these policies.
00:13:49.120 There's a tiny, in 2020, there's a tiny bump, but then it goes down again.
00:13:53.580 Yeah. Tiny bump. But yeah, we are dealing with the lowest number, the lowest fertility rate Hungary
00:13:58.240 has ever had by their government's own departments that are meant to research this.
00:14:03.100 As your mother would say, yowza.
00:14:05.600 Yowza.
00:14:06.420 Yowza.
00:14:06.760 The marriage rate is also lower. So I'll just read this article that's been translated from
00:14:10.940 Hungarian. So according to preliminary data in December, 2023, 6,565 children were born and 11,727
00:14:22.520 people died compared to December, 2022. The number of births decreased by 12%, the number of deaths by
00:14:28.500 7.2% and marriages by 4.1%. So we are seeing a decrease in marriages as well. The other thing that
00:14:34.460 they were touting last year, 857,000 children were born 3.7% less than the previous year. And
00:14:43.940 if you go when it was really interesting, they also have death rates here, which they're much
00:14:48.640 in, I don't know, for whatever reason within Hungary, the sources that are reporting on this
00:14:53.000 are interested in the higher death rate that Hungary is seeing recently, which I suppose if you
00:14:57.080 are, yeah, but if you, if you want to get an idea of how fast marriages are falling, 50,000 couples
00:15:02.240 got married 22% less than the year before. Because there should, I don't remember the article
00:15:10.440 mentioning many marriage benefits. It was really more about tax incentives for having kids.
00:15:15.440 And this is for a magazine in Hungary called The Index. So I'm left in a bind here, right? Like I have
00:15:22.160 to look at the various sources and try to, and this is a difficult thing in the world that we live in
00:15:27.720 today. Like there aren't easy sources you can turn to and say, this is what's true. This is what's not
00:15:35.020 true. So we'll lay out the data that we have available to us. People who risked their careers
00:15:40.880 to support this policy say that it worked fantastically. The big national aggregators that
00:15:47.300 are often wrong in fertility statistics seem to indicate that those individuals are right,
00:15:53.600 or at least that there was a bump in fertility and then a level of stagnation after that,
00:15:58.520 which is what you often get with these policies. So what you actually see when you see this bump and
00:16:02.700 then stagnation, you're not actually seeing a fertility increase. You're seeing a difference
00:16:06.460 in when people decided to have kids. So people who would have been having kids later or something
00:16:11.100 like that, then decide to have it earlier to get this cash while it's available.
00:16:14.440 So it's similar to what you like in China, for example, when it's like a
00:16:17.960 zodiac year that is particularly auspicious. Then we have an academic study, which I'm going
00:16:23.940 to assume has left-leaning biases, but that is good at showing the Hungarian's increase in fertility
00:16:30.540 rate, which is lower than claimed in the other sources, is less than its neighboring countries
00:16:35.960 around the same time period. So if I was just looking at those sources, my take would be leaning
00:16:43.200 towards the Breitbart take, which is to say that these policies probably had at least a short-term
00:16:48.240 positive impact. But then I'm dealing with what the local press is saying and what the local
00:16:54.760 statistics department is saying, which is showing that they are now at their lowest fertility rate
00:16:59.640 that they've ever had in terms of the number of births that are being recorded was in Hungary.
00:17:03.780 So this is like registered births. This is like down to the human being in these statistics.
00:17:08.200 This is not like guesses or something like that, or like broad TFR rates is lower than it's ever
00:17:14.780 been in Hungary's history. Okay. I see that. I see the number of registered marriages. These are
00:17:21.220 marriages registered with the government are decreasing like 22% year over year. I see that
00:17:26.820 my thought or my takeaway from all of this is actually the answer is probably that these policies
00:17:33.520 did not work. Especially when you look at vis-a-vis other nations around the same time for the
00:17:41.380 reported hikes. So what happened here and what does this tell us like as pro natals when we're pushing
00:17:49.160 for stuff and why is it important to highlight the Hungary fertility myth? One is because it leads to bad
00:17:54.960 policy decisions and decisions that I think fundamentally go against the political sensibilities
00:18:00.220 of the individuals that are pushing them. They are pushing for government action, government
00:18:05.840 meddling within families, and they don't realize that when the government bureaucracy, which is
00:18:11.300 predominantly controlled by far leftists, gets a hold of these policies, they will use it to meddle
00:18:16.080 with family policies. They will use it to give out higher bonuses to specific ethnic groups that they
00:18:21.800 believe are more deserving of human dignity than other ethnic groups. They will give it to certain
00:18:26.080 family structures that they think are more deserving of human dignity than other family structures.
00:18:30.140 And it is not, you do not want to be promoting this false narrative that this works. First of all,
00:18:34.740 even for your own political perspective. Two, you're just wasting money and time. I'm actually not so
00:18:41.200 worried about the wasted money because a lot of it would go to us. We're happy about that.
00:18:44.260 Yeah. If someone's going to blow a bunch of cash and we get to benefit, who cares?
00:18:48.520 Yeah. What I am worried about is the wasted time. Because countries like Korea that have spent billion
00:18:53.520 dollars attempting to fix this over the last 16 years, they think, oh, I'm working on this because
00:18:58.940 I'm spending money on this. Yeah. They can't afford to let it go. Yeah. This doesn't work.
00:19:04.300 Yeah. It's like preparing for nuclear fallout by creating like a fallout center in a cardboard box
00:19:09.180 or something. And you're like, wow, this looks so cool. Like I added windows, but it's really not
00:19:13.760 going to do it. Yes. It's a nuclear bunker. That's not actually going to save you.
00:19:17.980 What should you do if a volcano erupts near you or your family? Suddenly, daughter,
00:19:23.300 here's a noise. It's a volcano. Junior seems worried, but have no fear, Junior. Jane learned
00:19:28.960 in school what to do when you hear a volcano erupt. That's right, Jane. Duck and cover.
00:19:38.640 So what will you do when you hear a volcano erupting?
00:19:41.340 That's right. Duck and cover. Looks like you got the idea. Duck. That has got to be the most
00:19:50.120 ridiculous load of pig crap I have ever seen. That's a dump out of you.
00:19:55.760 Up the volcano. Quick, duck and cover.
00:20:00.720 And then this leads me to another problem we have. Like, it's actually super related to the subject.
00:20:05.840 One of my favorite graphs in the industry is very interesting. It was in the industry of
00:20:10.080 prenatalism, and I'll put it on screen again, which shows studies that show government incentive
00:20:15.060 programs and the impact they have on fertility rates. So that graph that I have mentioned so
00:20:19.800 many times that it shows a correlation between studies that demonstrate effectiveness of government
00:20:27.280 spending and the margin of error of those studies. What I haven't mentioned before when I've been
00:20:33.540 putting this is the person who put this graph together did not seem to realize that's what the graph
00:20:38.900 was showing. It was presented by an organization called the Institute for Family Studies by Lyman
00:20:46.340 Stone in an article titled, Pronatalist Policies Work But Come With A Hefty Price Tag. And this is where we
00:20:54.440 have a problem within the pronatalist movement, not just around the hungry thing, which is the tendency
00:20:59.140 to, like Breitbart and like Lyman Stone does in this article, he presents real data, but then he pretends
00:21:05.900 pretends that the data is supporting something. It's literally supporting the exact opposite of.
00:21:11.340 It's almost like I'll throw a bunch of data on screen and say that it's saying X, when it's not
00:21:17.320 really saying X, it's saying Y. But the trick works most of the time because most people, if they're
00:21:21.700 like, oh, someone presented data, they don't actually look at what's being said. Yeah. And this gets me
00:21:26.360 because we've become the default leaders of the pronatalist movement. And the one thing I never want our
00:21:31.220 movement to become is the environmentalist movement, a movement that is willing to twist
00:21:34.900 data to their ends and that's willing to push aesthetic solutions that fit their government
00:21:41.600 ideals. Oh, let's shut down nuclear power plants, even though that makes things worse.
00:21:45.920 Let's stop using plastic straws because that's an excuse for governments to like meddle in people's
00:21:51.260 daily lives, even though it doesn't really have that much of a meaningful impact. Let's promote
00:21:55.880 masks, even though that now that's the huge waste dump in the middle of the ocean now.
00:22:00.100 And I don't want to become that as a movement. And I think that I want to have a movement that is
00:22:05.440 always supportive of everybody who's trying to work alongside us to promote the things that we're
00:22:09.700 promoting. We want to be very careful that we do also call out when people are lying with statistics
00:22:18.260 is the wrong answer, because I don't think that any of these individuals like realize that they are
00:22:21.780 lying. I think that they do a very natural thing that you and I do as well. Every human does
00:22:27.500 that when statistics push something that they want to be true, they uncritically accept those
00:22:33.160 statistics. But when statistics seem to be pushing something that they don't want to be true,
00:22:37.900 they then do a deeper dive. They look for the sources. They are like, OK, let's cross check this
00:22:42.880 with a bunch of other studies. And this becomes a problem when our goal with the fertility collapse
00:22:50.280 situation is not just to get our team to win. It's to actually solve the problem, to actually
00:22:57.920 lower the pain that this problem is going to cause and to actually get some sliver of our
00:23:03.520 civilization through this crucible our species is entering right now. And I think that if we
00:23:11.020 don't call out where this is happening, that's never going to happen.
00:23:15.860 Yeah. Yeah. It's the battle between approaching demographic collapse as though it's a Rorschach
00:23:22.080 test of your values and what you want to have happen versus approaching it from an evidence-based
00:23:26.460 perspective. And this happens with pretty much every wicked problem out there, a problem that's
00:23:30.800 too complicated to simply solve. But we can't get caught in that trap. We can't afford to.
00:23:37.000 Yeah. And I would also point out that people should be careful when sharing Lyman Stone's work.
00:23:41.520 You and casting shade on Lyman Stone, Malcolm Collins.
00:23:48.300 I can't even. I wonder, I don't think he would do it if he wasn't so snarky every single time we
00:23:54.340 tried to say something nice about his work.
00:23:57.480 Yeah, no, it's actually something that happens to us a lot. So we'll say something nice about
00:24:01.540 him on Twitter and he'll snap back at us angrily. But it makes sense. I can understand. He was around
00:24:08.100 this topic before we were, but he always used the topic to just promote a Christian agenda. That's
00:24:13.660 always been his goal. And so he will manipulate the way he's looking at data to promote that
00:24:17.460 or promote shady studies. But we're always going to have to be aware that there are going to be
00:24:22.420 people that try to hijack this real phenomenon that we're dealing with right now, which is falling
00:24:28.160 fertility rates and then utilize that to push their personal agendas. Whether their personal agenda
00:24:35.080 is a racist agenda or a embryos or when life starts agenda, which if you correlate that with
00:24:43.660 fertility rates, that appears to lower fertility rates, the stricter your abortion laws are within
00:24:47.840 like Europe and stuff like that. We've done other videos where we talk about this. They'll
00:24:51.360 attempt to use this to push an anti-immigration agenda. And it's not to say that I think the U.S.
00:24:55.780 should be more anti-immigration than it is now. But fertility has nothing to do with that.
00:25:00.620 And I think that's the whole reason why you wanted to be in the movement is that you saw that the only
00:25:04.720 people in the movement were not actually pro-natalist. They were pro-Christian, pro-some
00:25:10.440 ethnic group, pro-some immigration policy. And you actually wanted there to be a non-profit effort
00:25:16.020 in this space that was literally just about brokering a soft landing on demographical apps.
00:25:21.020 Well, we're about more than that because we have a, where we differ from just like,
00:25:24.680 just brokering a soft landing is we definitely point out that the problem from an economic
00:25:29.520 perspective and from a socio-political perspective, isn't a lack of people. It's a lack of taxpayers
00:25:33.840 and promoting the creation of additional people who will be a burden to the state system
00:25:38.700 is not solving the problem. And by this, what we mean is cash handouts are disproportionately of
00:25:44.080 high utility to people with lower incomes. And so when you do just pure cash handouts, which isn't
00:25:48.380 what Hungary was doing in this scenario, you will lead to, and you can see this, I'm not making a
00:25:52.440 genetic argument here or anything like this. It's just very clear in the data. People born to
00:25:55.960 families that are on welfare are much more likely to be on welfare than people who are not. And if
00:26:00.560 you increase that population, you have literally made the problem worse. It's not a, just a base
00:26:06.440 human problem. It's not a human problem. It's a human taxpayer, human pension contributor problem.
00:26:12.880 Yes. And people working at these large tech companies and stuff like that. And it requires
00:26:17.900 understanding that even if we accept the left's perception of true blanketism, humanity,
00:26:24.300 all humans are born equally potential as other humans. Then why aren't they able to fix this
00:26:32.280 problem? Why is it this? Clearly we haven't come up with a solution to get these people into these
00:26:37.360 high positions with reliability in our economic system. And you can't bet our entire civilization
00:26:43.640 on you figuring that out within a generation, which the current data shows you are further
00:26:49.640 from fixing than you were historically. Like the graphs that show that if you look at how democratic
00:26:55.500 versus Republican a region is, and then you look at the IQ gap between Hispanic and black and white
00:27:01.720 populations, they are smaller in Republican controlled regions and larger in Democrat controlled
00:27:07.320 districts, showing that these affirmative action policies are actually further creating
00:27:11.960 institutional poverty cycles within these circles. It's not to say that we can't create a policy
00:27:16.680 that does allow these communities to uplift themselves, but whatever the policy is, it is
00:27:22.360 likely the exact opposite of whatever progressives are doing right now. And since they are not moving
00:27:27.460 in an exact opposite direction of their history with this affirmative action and stuff like that,
00:27:32.160 what that shows me is we can't bet on that being the solution when we're dealing with such an
00:27:38.040 existential issue to our species right now, i.e. the collapse of our economic and state system.
00:27:43.880 And people hear that and they go, oh, rich people are going to lose their money. Wah. And it's no,
00:27:47.600 old people are going to starve to death. Wah. Oh, people who thought that they, old people are going to die
00:27:53.580 in a horrible pain in poverty. The blight porn you can look up of Detroit is going to span across most of the
00:28:00.840 developed world and people are going to be dying and suffering at rates that right now you would see on the
00:28:08.660 streets of countries like South Africa, which is a first world country. And again, this affects not the high
00:28:13.640 income people that are being like demonized. This is middle class and lower class communities that are going to
00:28:20.240 suffer. The high income people aren't going to be really affected. They're fine. They're mostly going to move to like
00:28:24.620 charter cities and stuff like that. And they're going to use AI to solve other problems. And they're always going to be
00:28:28.560 able to find and pay people to do what they need. It is not them. So anyway, thanks for going over this,
00:28:33.340 Malcolm. I really appreciate it. Yeah. And it's just important that we call this stuff out when we
00:28:37.720 see it because it is, and I haven't wanted to do this. I've been sitting on this for a while. I've
00:28:41.500 been like, look, I don't want to point out that a lot of the movement is just wrong about the hungry
00:28:44.760 fertility stats. They do not appear to have worked, but they don't. I'm glad you said it. It's useful to know
00:28:51.040 because it's not only is this data true, but again, it could be used for malevolent means because I
00:28:56.460 talked about the groups that want to use this crisis for their own ends as much as right now,
00:29:01.480 like the globalists want to, and when I say the globalists, I don't mean this in like a vague
00:29:06.180 sense, organizations like the United Nations, which is intrinsically a globalist organization
00:29:10.200 want to lower the world's fertility rates. They could just as well turn on a dime and say fertility
00:29:16.580 collapses the problem. Therefore we need to control family creation, family planning, the type of
00:29:22.420 marriages that are allowed, the type of marriages that we are going to promote with cash. They could
00:29:27.140 use this to extend control over family and child rearing that we have never seen historically.
00:29:34.500 And I would say buckle up if you are giving them data that gives them ammunition for doing things
00:29:40.220 like that. Totally. No, thanks Malcolm. I love you. Love you. I didn't really go long. I was making up for
00:29:48.100 all the gas. Told you. I keep recommending it on our podcast. I'm like, people need to check out this
00:29:52.760 show. It's very well done. Because it's, he doesn't just talk about what's going on with. He uses it to
00:29:57.980 talk about Korean history, which I actually find very boring because I know all that history very well.
00:30:02.560 So for me, it's like going over like basic American history, but for our average viewer,
00:30:06.320 it'd be really useful. I mean, it's, it allows you to really appreciate in the most profound fashion
00:30:11.560 what's going on. Imagine watching a ballet and not understanding what goes in creating the form and the
00:30:17.740 movements. It would be the most boring thing in the entire world. But if you have someone walk you
00:30:21.540 through, here's the history, here's the meaning, here's like how this, where this emerged from,
00:30:26.000 like French court dance. Here's why the way that they're angling their hips and toes is both
00:30:30.780 difficult and requires years of conditioning. And then you're like, oh, okay. And this is not just
00:30:34.520 like men and women being pissy anymore. It's about like neo-Confucianism. Yeah. So what's going on
00:30:41.560 with Hungary? That part's going to go at the end of the video, by the way. I never do the
00:30:46.160 non sequiturs at the beginning. Oh, I, we hit record after I mentioned it. So there's no point
00:30:50.760 in putting it in at all. Oh, you were talking about the gotcha gang war thing. Yeah. But I'm
00:30:57.920 going to send you some private chats. Okay. I think the best way to do this one is to start
00:31:02.680 where I'm going to do a framing and then I'm going to have you read this particular piece that
00:31:07.320 I just dropped in here. Yeah. That works. And you can, don't start with the subtitle.
00:31:15.720 Oh, this is the, yeah. The one that was linked to from that other Breitbart article that we read.
00:31:20.940 Yeah. I'll just get started right now. Hold on. I think I'm going to sneeze and then we're good.
00:31:26.840 It's not coming. All right, go ahead.