Based Camp - Trans People Are Almost Never Killed： WHY？!

00:00:00.000 Hello, Simone! Today we are going to need to be talking about a paradox, which is if you look at

00:00:05.720 the organizations that mark how many trans or non-binary people die violent deaths a year,

00:00:12.980 the numbers are odd because they are always incredibly low, well, well below the general

00:00:19.420 population. If we go with non-Black trans individuals, that would mean that you have only

00:00:27.800 0.38 deaths per year combined to four per hundred thousand for the general population

00:00:35.560 which is insanely low specifically you would be looking at a rate that is around by by some

00:00:44.780 estimates like if i go by a4te's estimates for non-black trans individuals they have a

00:00:50.960 a violent death rate that would have to be multiplied by 10.5 to be the same as the

00:00:58.200 regular non-trans cis rate what is their secret this is what sign me up for this and this is the

00:01:07.440 reason i wanted to get into this is one this goes directly to the opposite is trans people always

00:01:11.100 would be like trans people don't you understand yeah something something hate crimes and the

00:01:17.000 police and everyone wants to beat me up yeah well the statistics don't agree with you on that the

00:01:22.960 statistics actually show that trans people live enormously privileged lives and so the question

00:01:29.100 is is why well so we'll be going into the statistics is it that they're wealthier on average

00:01:33.440 is it that they do less drugs is it that they like what could be causing this right what could

00:01:40.360 be causing these and before i jump into the numbers here if you want to be like well these

00:01:44.680 organizations say that these numbers aren't exhaustive for the number of trans and non-binary

00:01:49.780 people who are killed violently every year it's like yeah but they try really hard like okay

00:01:54.720 question off the bat when we're comparing the the trans rates of violent deaths to the general

00:02:00.780 population are we talking men to men or are we talking all men and women we're going to go into

00:02:06.420 that okay but when we're talking these numbers if you are reading this what somebody is going to say

00:02:13.360 is, hey, Malcolm, those numbers, they couldn't find every single trans and non-binary person

00:02:20.100 who died violently. To which I would push back and I'd be like, actually, the numbers are probably

00:02:25.480 overcounts. So I'll explain why they're probably overcounts. First of all, being trans or non-binary,

00:02:32.400 it's not like being a member of some other communities where you're not like all in,

00:02:37.380 where your friends do not definitely notify these organizations, where these organizations

00:02:42.320 do not definitely want to make it look like tons of trans people are dying right like this isn't

00:02:47.900 you're not like kind of in the trans lifestyle or something like that it's not like gay we're like

00:02:53.560 a person may have been gay and like they weren't interested in telling like the big

00:02:57.640 gay rights orgs or something like that it seems very unlikely especially given how politically

00:03:03.480 charged the topic is these days that individuals would not be overmarked and then you have the

00:03:08.900 problem of oh somebody wore a dress one day or something like that and the trans organizations

00:03:13.680 in terms of trans shooters which we'll go over the data on that again because it is it is really

00:03:18.480 twisted that they're like we are so much at risk from you when the actual studies like if you

00:03:23.860 actually just run the math they are mass shooters at like i think it's like 10x the rate and they

00:03:29.400 are likely to be killed at like one tenth the rate so we've got to go over it's it's so weird

00:03:37.740 it's like it's like the the wolf you know they're deep in sheep carcasses drenched in blood being

00:03:45.400 like the sheep are always bullying me you know and so the question is and this is just the data here

00:03:52.740 people like we're we're going to go into these i will name the individuals we can go through you

00:03:56.440 can look them up but what i will be pointing out is that the number of trans mass shooters is

00:04:02.640 sometimes inflated by conservatives, you want to find, you know, every potential person who could

00:04:08.020 be, you know, wore a dress in one photo or something like that. Right. And I think that that

00:04:13.920 is, you're going to see a similar phenomenon from trans rights organizations where they're going to

00:04:18.760 want to inflate their numbers. So they're going to look for everyone they possibly can. And you're

00:04:22.600 not going to have as many people to fight back against these organizations, miscategorizing

00:04:26.340 somebody who died as trans, as you would have people trying to miss a fight back against people,

00:04:31.100 miscategorizing a mass shooter as trans. And I would point out here that then if you're going to

00:04:36.040 go, well, the mass shooter rate might be inflated because people was a reason to inflate the number

00:04:43.600 might choose to in the way that they're counting things. Why do you say that for conservative orgs

00:04:47.860 and then not the trans orgs that are counting the trans people who died from? So my guess is at the

00:04:54.640 probably these numbers are overcounted but even if the numbers are not overcounted

00:05:00.100 it's not like you doubled these numbers or if you tripled these numbers you would get a rate

00:05:06.280 of equivalent to non-trans violent deaths you would need to increase them astronomically to

00:05:12.100 get a number equivalent and and that's just implausible to me that that's the explanation

00:05:16.020 i think if you're grabbing for that explanation you are just denying reality at this point so

00:05:23.200 let's go over the specific orgs here. So the first thing to note is that for the first organization

00:05:29.500 here, they very helpfully split out and pointed out that 70% of the people who had died of the

00:05:36.580 trans people who had died were black. And if you look across all of the studies, they all know that

00:05:43.000 black people, trans black people die at a way higher violent rate than non-black trans people.

00:05:48.100 And this is why we talk about the white or the non-black because they're very low rates of

00:05:52.840 hispanic trans victimization as well well but also do the rates of black trans people dying

00:06:00.160 violent deaths surpass those of just black people in america i did not compare them by race but what

00:06:06.100 i can say is black trans people actually have about twice the rate of dying violently as

00:06:11.360 non-trans people okay so black trans people actually are at risk from being trans yeah but

00:06:18.760 mean i also just feel like being a black american your odds of well yeah the the the caveat here

00:06:25.320 is they were also all almost killed by black people almost all killed by black people well

00:06:29.720 same with also non-trans black people so right right but the black community is more i guess

00:06:34.600 you call it say transphobic and homophobic than the um white community even though that you know

00:06:38.840 goes against i'm just saying what what are these percentages that you're looking at again i think

00:06:42.360 the percentages right i'm going to try to find this out yeah okay so rate per 1 000 for black

00:06:47.800 trans people it's 6.8 is the rate per 100 000 violent deaths right violent deaths yes if i go

00:06:55.780 to and to get an idea of how different the black versus non-black rate is if i go to the non-black

00:07:01.240 trans rate and this is for a4te 0.38 remember it was 6.8 for blacks yeah and so this for blacks

00:07:10.860 means it's about twice normal this for non-black trans the normal rate is 10.5x higher

00:07:16.180 so what did you say it was for it was six per thousand point eight per hundred thousand

00:07:24.200 six point eight per hundred thousand for for black trans people yeah it's it's twenty nine

00:07:30.980 per hundred thousand for black americans oh so they're also protected yeah that's my point is

00:07:37.180 that like no you just see more black trans people getting hurt because more black people die of

00:07:43.340 deaths in america too like they're the vast like well those numbers are still bigger but that that

00:07:48.660 also oh simone you and stats you get this you're figuring out mysteries here

00:07:54.340 now if we go to what the trans overall difference is in this a4te it's 0.94 which means that you'd

00:08:04.920 have to multiply that by 4.3x to get the general violent death rate go to the hrc numbers they had

00:08:11.660 27 trans deaths overall again this is exactly the same you'd have to multiply that by 4.3 x to get

00:08:17.220 the general rate if we go to the tgeu study 31 you'd have to multiply that by 3.7 x to get the

00:08:26.500 general population so what i'm noting here is it's not like one study or something like that it's

00:08:31.820 every single group that reports this is massively under reporting it or not under so no they're

00:08:38.980 reporting numbers that are lower than that of the general lower than what you'd expect yeah

00:08:42.640 so first of all but before i go further what are your hypotheses

00:08:47.560 okay my my primary what i'm going to go on is most trans people are at least that are of age

00:08:59.860 like younger there's more female to male but of age it's more male to female and they are

00:09:06.440 lowering their testosterone and increasing their estrogen, I think testosterone plays a major role

00:09:12.840 in violence and crime. And when you effectively neuter someone in that way, you're going to

00:09:20.060 reduce their rate of violence in general, on average, you're going to have outliers with all

00:09:25.000 these shooters and stuff. But I think even when you take a female to male trans person, I think

00:09:30.780 that their testosterone levels in general, aren't going to be as high, or let's say, even if they

00:09:35.040 tried to commit violent crime they still have like a natal female body so they're coming from

00:09:40.620 a weaker blank as it were so they're less likely to maybe be successful in their attempts at violent

00:09:46.560 crime or they're less likely to try because they know they're not going to do anything really

00:09:50.620 effectively so just like you don't really see any female to male trans people in sports you know

00:09:58.160 trouncing anyone you know so i think that's the issue is that this is about a population of people

00:10:04.660 that broadly has lower testosterone levels and or weaker blanks that is to say like female natal

00:10:10.880 bodies and therefore they're less likely likely to be involved in the stuff that gets you killed

00:10:15.840 in violent ways interesting hypothesis but we also know that they have less self-control because they

00:10:24.920 commit mass murder at higher rates i think those are outliers and i don't think that they are

00:10:30.440 representative of the averages of the population well if you remember our study on transsexual

00:10:36.920 fantasies being much more violent than the general population sexual fantasies where we went deeper

00:10:42.800 into that so maybe i like this hypothesis i don't hate this hypothesis i don't think that fantasies

00:10:49.160 necessarily correlate with action in fact i and we have argued in our erotic material related

00:10:55.440 arguments that actually being able to indulge in and understand and contextualize fantasies as that

00:11:01.440 is going to reduce your rate of actually acting on them in fact the most repressed sexual fantasies

00:11:07.540 like conservative muslim groups have the highest rate of like suicide bombers and stuff and

00:11:12.280 terrorists yeah this is a very well studied thing across like most ways that you can cut this and

00:11:18.660 it is something that a lot of conservatives intuitively get wrong when a group has access

00:11:23.560 to pornographic material on a particular subject,

00:11:26.740 they are less likely to do the thing tied to that.

00:11:29.900 So the famous study from the Czech Republic,

00:11:32.460 when they legalized porn,

00:11:33.840 A rates went down by 50% of children.

00:11:36.140 This was for child SA.

00:11:38.000 If you're talking about adult grape,

00:11:40.120 it went down by something like 30%, I think, or 35%.

00:11:43.160 And there was also a huge,

00:11:44.140 this happens every time we see this.

00:11:45.480 When they did it in Hong Kong,

00:11:46.600 when they did it, I think in the Netherlands

00:11:47.620 or somewhere they did it, it went down a bunch.

00:11:49.860 With internet penetration,

00:11:50.980 you typically see grape rates go down at around the same rate as internet penetration is hitting

00:11:55.000 a region. If you're even looking in prison, the average sexual predator in prison started consuming

00:12:01.020 pornography later than the average person within that society, I think also was in prison. So it's

00:12:07.380 just the more access you have, the less likely you are to commit a particular act. And I know this

00:12:14.140 goes against conservative intuitions, but it's important to be able to admit when your intuitions

00:12:20.200 or which you would like to be true about something

00:12:21.840 or just not,

00:12:23.000 then this is one of those instances.

00:12:24.820 Like if we're asking progressives to do that,

00:12:26.740 we need to do the same, okay?

00:12:28.400 But to continue here,

00:12:29.980 the HRC, if you're like,

00:12:31.840 okay, what did they consider trans in this?

00:12:33.640 Because maybe they had like

00:12:34.260 a really strict definition of trans, right?

00:12:36.260 That was my first thought.

00:12:37.680 And it's like,

00:12:38.260 and note they're doing this

00:12:39.420 under their epidemic of violence report.

00:12:42.140 This is an epidemic of violence.

00:12:44.260 So are they leaving out the Gen Pop numbers?

00:12:46.600 Is that how they're able to make these claims

00:12:48.760 that they're-

00:12:49.420 no no they just know all of the people who died they don't compare it to the gen pop

00:12:54.240 because in their mind no trans people should ever be dying of violence and that's really interesting

00:13:00.980 to me as well right like imagine the arrogance you have to have to not attempt to convert your

00:13:06.960 numbers to gen pop numbers but to assume that your population is so ultra special and nice

00:13:12.340 that it should have zero violent deaths at all when most of the trans violent deaths are tied

00:13:16.720 to stuff like drug deals gone wrong and stuff like that you know the same type of thing where

00:13:20.960 normal people get killed but nope if you're special snowflakes nothing bad can ever happen

00:13:25.440 to them but it's also interesting to me that they don't even think to do this calculation themselves

00:13:30.180 before they put out numbers that are going to make them look really bad well they may very well do

00:13:35.120 those numbers and just realize that they're not flattering i mean if you're trying to post the

00:13:39.080 flattering report you leave out the unflattering numbers they'd be insane to do that you understand

00:13:44.380 that yeah they probably know they're just not idiots and the ones that were honest well those

00:13:50.780 non-profits didn't get more funding did they malcolm so yeah so what they included in this list

00:13:56.820 is transgender and gender expansive people so anything remotely non-binary was considered

00:14:04.200 and gender expansive two-spirit gender non-conforming

00:14:07.900 if they if they knew about us we'd be on the list because as we both said we're both agender like i

00:14:14.200 don't care because we both sexually identify as attack helicopters i mean octavian definitely

00:14:18.740 no no but i'm just talking about like realistically biologically if i try to like meditate on this

00:14:23.780 subject do i really care if i come off as a man to people if i was born tomorrow as a woman i just

00:14:29.720 make it work i just be like okay i'll make this work you'd probably be stoked because there's so

00:14:34.300 many cheat codes as a woman wear it better than me i think i mean there's you know there's positive

00:14:41.740 i i i suppose even if just for novelty i'd be like okay now i get to experience both sides of

00:14:49.100 the human condition i would be bummed if i were a man though like no no one's gonna be nice to

00:14:55.620 me anymore everyone's gonna put responsibility on me i can't play dumb anymore becoming a woman

00:15:01.020 when you're post wall is not exactly fun right like oh no i'm really excited for my old lady

00:15:07.780 phase super excited people love a spicy old lady you know i've also pointed out this in other

00:15:13.860 episodes we've done on trans people but i think that's something that is really under thought

00:15:18.180 about when men decide to transition into women is they don't understand how short a period they're

00:15:24.860 going to have before they hit the wall as a woman oh yes underrated and so they they transition into

00:15:31.260 a woman and then like three years later they're hitting the wall and they might not even and this

00:15:35.820 this is when they're finally passing finally you know like consider like a choice right yeah

00:15:41.380 everything's finally dialed in we get everything right and they might be if if everything goes

00:15:48.580 well for them they pass they look good everything like that then they get four years and they hit

00:15:52.560 it doesn't matter if you pass you don't want to be a post-wall woman and this is where i think

00:15:59.000 trans maxers are being really stupid they are thinking about what it would be like to be a

00:16:03.520 woman at their age not what it's going to be like to be a woman in five to ten years so yeah they're

00:16:08.780 thinking like cute anime cat girls i mean sure and that that is why you know women who are in

00:16:15.420 their 40s and 50s and even 30s getting cosmetic procedures are also engaging in gender affirming

00:16:21.840 care but they're all fighting and pursuing they're fighting for and pursuing things that they cannot

00:16:26.180 have that they cannot ultimately really pull off yeah so that is an interesting phenomenon that i

00:16:31.980 don't think it's talked about enough and i i actually think it's probably one of the big

00:16:35.080 causes of the high unaliving right was in the community because well no i mean what a horrifying

00:16:41.580 thing what would be better to be a post-wall woman or to be dead really to have to have lived

00:16:48.360 both stages of the wall as the gender you would rather not be i got to live youth as a man and

00:16:54.380 old age as a woman god yeah that that really is yeah playing the age arbitrage game 100

00:17:01.560 percent wrong anyway to continue here now is where i think is one of the biggest areas where

00:17:09.600 they're fudging of the numbers in their favor could be causing this illusion so in the stats

00:17:15.840 that i'm using here i'm using the approximately one percent trans approximately 0.3 percent

00:17:21.680 non-binary numbers but these organizations will often put out numbers of like five to nine percent

00:17:27.780 two to three percent, et cetera, right? So I'm even using the numbers that I think look better

00:17:31.780 for them. But if these numbers, if this one percent and this 0.3 percent number, it turns

00:17:36.740 out are massively inflated, that would create this phenomenon. If it turns out that the number

00:17:42.460 of trans individuals in the United States is actually only like trans and non-binary, only

00:17:47.180 like 0.25 percent, you could explain this entire phenomenon with that. And I could buy that being

00:17:54.980 the case now let's go with could it be that they're using drugs at a way lower rate the

00:18:02.300 answer here is unfortunately no they use drugs at a much higher rate 4.3 percent in the trans

00:18:07.400 community versus 1.2 percent in the general population they also smoke at a higher rate

00:18:11.240 16.6 percent versus 5.4 percent probably wealthier though i think that being trans is a very first

00:18:18.400 world problem and if you have enough free time to care that much about your sex slash gender

00:18:26.860 you're probably pretty you come from well we'll get to this this is one of my hypotheses okay

00:18:32.700 if we talk about some other drugs you have higher rates of use of cannabis opioids and cocaine

00:18:37.820 it's specifically 24 to 31 percent in the past months versus five to ten percent those are all

00:18:42.220 bougie drugs though right but hold on hold on hold on hold on so you got a hypothesis here

00:18:47.620 let's try it all right because i i ran the numbers on this okay what is the trans poverty rate

00:18:53.580 all right it's 21 versus 10.6 right except x the poverty rate of the general population

00:19:01.980 you understand like i how many rich kids i've known who technically are impoverished but like

00:19:08.740 mommy and daddy buy everything but they're still getting snap benefits and they're on medicaid and

00:19:14.100 stuff because they have no income but like mommy and daddy still pay a lot of trans people i've

00:19:18.940 met are like on what's the the thing here where they're on like child Medicaid and no no alimony

00:19:25.720 they're on like divorce rich or they're you know mommy and daddy rich or trust fundians that could

00:19:31.180 be explained here so unemployment rate nine to sixteen percent versus four point four percent

00:19:36.080 so two to four x higher than the general population medium weekly earnings it's seven hundred to

00:19:42.380 nine hundred dollars which is lower than the gen pop a thousand two hundred and four dollars but

00:19:47.460 also just like i feel again like wealthy people who are technically unemployed have way too much

00:19:53.780 time on their hands i mean does contrapoints have a job does philosophy i mean philosophy too like

00:20:00.880 works for for broadway plays like from now on and off i assumed that in between abigail thorne

00:20:08.760 well yeah yeah yeah they must yeah okay maybe that doesn't count but like i feel like a lot of the

00:20:14.200 figures that i know about job simone i mean they only put out like one episode a year like

00:20:19.880 basically never publishes anything although she just ran something on saw

00:20:27.480 i might check it out she's actually not a bad content creator i like i like her videos but i

00:20:31.640 don't like saw i hope it doesn't get too explicit but i like all her her you know gel lighting and

00:20:36.040 everything so costumes makeup i know i mean i think that she has interesting ideas occasionally

00:20:41.420 i'm like not always and i think that she's very much blinded by her political ideology

00:20:47.120 but i think that's a no i mean she's not always toe the line and i really appreciate that yeah

00:20:52.720 she's she's capable of a coherent argument she sounds like a real person by the way did you

00:20:58.020 hear i didn't know about this because we had the episode that we did on philosophy tube that i do

00:21:01.080 not think makes good arguments i think philosophy tube's basically a tard but that philosophy tube

00:21:05.820 before she transitioned dated contrapoints at one point and everybody points out that she clearly

00:21:11.700 transitioned to try to look like contrapoints and made a channel like contrapoints and contrapoints

00:21:17.580 even once made a tweet and then deleted it saying like oh well you think you know what it's like to

00:21:23.180 have a creepy ex you've never had one who dressed up like you changed their gender changed their

00:21:29.880 name and then created an entire career based on you awkward very awkward yeah to just be so

00:21:39.500 talentless in comparison yeah again but i mean a philosophy tube is a working actor she she is

00:21:45.940 currently in a play that is running in london so i don't know you know if it's one of these like

00:21:52.100 totally non-profit yeah who knows that it's an i mean a trans main actor i i don't

00:21:59.820 i don't know if she's the main actor i just know that she's we had a friend who was trans

00:22:07.020 in in broadway and when they detransition not like for political reasons or anything like that

00:22:11.640 they just realized they had made a mistake and they were completely blacklisted from the industry

00:22:15.460 just for detransitioning which i think shows the bigotry that you see within the trans movement

00:22:20.460 it's like you know you cannot be a what's the word in islam when somebody deconverts a i don't know

00:22:25.540 apostate oh no apostates that's that's not a that's an english word okay so income they have

00:22:35.400 median household income of 52 000 whereas the gen profit 74 580 and other disparities like 33

00:22:43.620 percent are on assistance and stuff like that so no i i don't know maybe you're right maybe they

00:22:49.120 all have secret wealth somewhere we didn't look at their like total net worth or do they have rich

00:22:53.660 parents and that does check like a vibe check for me on the trans people i've known here is what i

00:23:00.760 think the real answer is okay and it ties down to remember we've done episodes on like where is the

00:23:06.940 actual woke audience like why is it's not like not a lot of people are buying this stuff it's that

00:23:11.020 almost nobody is buying this stuff yeah there will be like well advertised triple a games

00:23:18.780 meant for a woke audience and like 500 to a thousand people will buy it like it's it's not

00:23:25.080 that the audience is statistically lower than the audience who's against them it's almost as if it

00:23:30.260 doesn't exist at all and the hypothesis i had there was and we mentioned this in this episode

00:23:36.900 is that um and and this i came to from watching a lot of woke people talking about the content

00:23:43.420 that they consume is that they actually predominantly consume content from their

00:23:47.280 childhoods they a lot of cartoons a lot of stuff that aired 10 20 years ago and the reason seems

00:23:54.320 to be as they are afraid even of content that is made for them of potentially encountering something

00:23:59.200 that is triggering or new it's just not worth it like the negatives of new content new ideas

00:24:05.360 sticking yourself outside the box are so much more damaging to them than the

00:24:10.260 the new stuff sucks they're just living in the archive like we all are

00:24:14.040 i mean i i disagree with that i watch the funny thing is is i watch a lot of transcoded shows like

00:24:20.660 i for example am a big fan i watched it all the way through i think i i might have even finished

00:24:26.900 the reboot or at least i've watched a lot of it of steven universe yeah right like steven universe

00:24:31.940 is many people would say this is like woke propaganda at its most propaganda you know

00:24:37.580 a show trying to normalize multi-gendered entities and lesbian relationships in aliens right like

00:24:47.000 uh you know people and and a lot of talk about feelings there's a lot of that yeah and i talk

00:24:53.440 about like even shows that are essentially about turning red which i i point out is about selling

00:25:00.840 your sexuality because the panda represents her sexuality very clearly in that in the show

00:25:05.480 the message is hide it from your parents they won't understand and make money selling it to

00:25:10.600 other kids at school selling pictures of it on your cell phone right like that's actually what

00:25:15.040 happens in that right like it's about but i'm like but it the show's actually entertaining

00:25:19.420 like i'm open to admit this i thought the reboot of she-ra was pretty good like i'm consuming the

00:25:25.200 content when it's good that is made for woke people yeah you are i am not like woke phobic

00:25:33.180 right i however i will note something actually this is important to note i however do not consume

00:25:40.400 some woke content like i do not watch the new star wars or anything like that even though i

00:25:45.920 like star wars i don't watch the new star treks but i tried to i thought i would like it right

00:25:53.240 like i started with whatever the reboot discovery was and then after a while i was like oh this sucks

00:25:57.440 but then they did the picard one and i was like i don't want to watch the star trek about old people

00:26:00.980 but i love lower decks i've seen all of lower decks like three times it's fantastic and lower

00:26:06.980 decks is woke but it's good woke right you know and then i see a show or the the woke games but

00:26:13.060 i never i never play the woke games right and i have started to turn away from like triple a

00:26:19.280 hollywood woke stuff and so the question is i actually want to ask this like a wider meta of

00:26:24.700 like asking myself why do i like reflectively turn away from some woke things and i don't

00:26:30.720 reflectively turn away from other woke things um thinking thinking what is it what is it about

00:26:41.240 some woke things and not other woke things i can't even identify because i i couldn't tolerate

00:26:47.480 steven universe for example and you liked it so i don't know i think it's that and it's it's fewer

00:26:55.000 and fewer woke things that i like there's been no woke thing in the past couple years that i've

00:27:00.040 liked maybe the last five years that i've liked and so my answer here is i think they just got

00:27:06.080 more and more creatively bankrupt as time went on and it became more and more about dei in terms of

00:27:11.180 the actual creative process. I think what we saw historically was actually decent creatives who

00:27:17.780 were infected with woke ideas. I think what we see now is the industry has gone through a process of

00:27:22.360 DEI-based hiring so much that there is no longer anybody competent in the room. And a lot of the

00:27:28.820 people who've been woke for a long time have lost their talent over time. You can go to our, like

00:27:32.460 Stephen Colbert, right? Like he clearly lost his ability to be funny when he used to be hilarious.

00:27:37.360 but a fun fun news piece about this is a penguin random house subsidiary put out a thing about like

00:27:45.000 who they want books from and they explicitly said we don't want we want books from non-white people

00:27:50.440 so like if you're if you're a white man especially you have a traditionally european name we don't

00:27:55.200 want to hear from you so you know you wonder how big this is that penguin random house felt it was

00:28:00.620 okay to just publish that like on their site like we are racist and proud that is our brand racism

00:28:10.920 anyway let's go over my potential answer here because i was i was getting to it it might just

00:28:21.100 be that they isolate themselves from other people way more if you're talking about trans and gender

00:28:26.360 non-conforming people 63.9% are lonely and they link this to things and and and 70%

00:28:33.080 are diagnosed with anxiety and depression so what it could be is they just do not leave their house

00:28:38.920 as much that could be it that could be the whole explanation that would help i mean yeah not a lot

00:28:46.400 can happen of new stimuli they are afraid of potentially disconfirming stimuli stimuli that

00:28:51.500 challenge them. And if you are terrified of any sort of new environment, you may just not go out

00:28:59.300 and not interact with people. That's my guess. For a quick recap on the hugely overrepresented

00:29:08.280 trans community within mass shootings, I think it's worth touching on that because the last time

00:29:11.960 we did a video that was last year, there have been two more trans mass shooters since then.

00:29:16.980 When we did that episode, a bunch of people were like fake news. I wonder if they like

00:29:21.500 see the new trans mass shootings and they were like was i wrong about this being fake news

00:29:26.260 or did they just in one ear and out the other right like uh because i pointed out that on a

00:29:31.280 per person shot basis the recent canadian trans mass shooter killed more people than the two

00:29:38.380 columbine shooters did i.e on a per that is wild and that new story wasn't even relevant for three

00:29:45.140 days whereas columbine shocked the country for like five years yeah the amount that this can be

00:29:52.580 memory holding the amount to which everyone just normalized it even on the right now it's like oh

00:29:55.940 another trans mass shooter of course like whenever you hear a mass shooter today you're almost like

00:30:01.440 were they trans this time well i think so much has changed too you can also look at this in the

00:30:06.900 context of the attempted we'll say is islamic or muslim terror attack in front of mayor mondani's

00:30:18.200 mansion in new york city or two pennsylvanian brothers attempted to throw a nail bomb or

00:30:27.600 multiple nail bombs oh my god and cnn's response to that did you see what i said to you yeah it

00:30:34.140 was basically the way the news is extremely so cnn said in response to two muslim teenagers

00:30:43.040 attempted to mail bomb a crowd and when mondani talked about it he tweeted about it acting as if

00:30:48.700 they had tried to mail bomb him instead of the people protesting him right but cnn um said and

00:30:55.880 and the person they got them on a hot mic in the car saying others like me will come my community

00:31:01.600 like in muslims specifically they said won't let this stand cnn then twisted this to say two

00:31:06.360 pennsylvania teenagers crossed into new york city saturday morning for what could have been a normal

00:31:11.020 day enjoying the city during abnormally warm weather but in less than an hour their lives

00:31:16.760 were drastically changed now you've read this so far and you've been like they must be talking

00:31:22.100 about somebody who was hurt by the attack right right and then it continues to say as the pair

00:31:27.720 would be arrested for throwing homemade bombs. Well, and what's interesting as well is the

00:31:35.800 sentiment, like the, we'll say anti-Muslim sentiment in the, in the United States and

00:31:40.240 especially New York has not seen any hit based on this. I think if anything, there has been

00:31:46.740 an increase in pro-Muslim sentiment in response to this. Cremieux on X was referring to it as a

00:31:53.820 front lash as opposed to a backlash against muslims due to this attempted terror attack

00:32:00.100 and my theory as to what's happening here and maybe this is the same thing that's happening

00:32:06.460 with trans shooters is basically anyone who acts against western culture capitalism and or white

00:32:15.160 people is seen per the urban monoculture which sees basically anyone that hates those things

00:32:21.980 as being good is is to your to your favor you know that means that you you're a good person

00:32:29.140 i think i think similar patterns have been people have said similar patterns are observed with the

00:32:33.900 october 7th attacks in israel that that only led to this search and surge in support for hamas and

00:32:40.100 for palestine and not for israel so basically if you if you hate jews or white people or western

00:32:48.460 culture or capitalism you are good it doesn't matter what you stand for you're the good guy

00:32:53.960 we like you more because we have to attack these things and take them down and so you can't be

00:33:02.100 wrong by being trans because that is anti these things yes the culture sees it so to go into the

00:33:10.100 names because if somebody's like oh you're lying about the trans mess shooters because look at this

00:33:13.940 org that did x study ai like reflexively tries to take that position often unless you tell it

00:33:19.820 actually count the numbers it'll it will go and say well x group did a study to show that this

00:33:26.240 isn't true and it's like here's just the numbers you can verify each of these instances okay

00:33:30.820 randy stare west market supermarket east township three killed this is the one who's known as the

00:33:37.320 danny phantom shooter who is often not included in these lists and i don't know why he was clearly

00:33:41.260 trans he want he wanted to be a cartoon girl from danny phantom and thought he was going to be

00:33:48.200 reborn one if he killed a bunch of people nanji mosley this was 2018 rite aid distribution center

00:33:54.920 killed three wounded three alec mckinney stem school highlands ranch killed one but attempt

00:34:02.060 to kill more there were eight wounded anderson lee andock or aldrich this was the lgbt plus

00:34:08.640 nightclub colorado shootings five killed 19 wounded andrew hale covenant school nashville

00:34:14.900 tennessee six killed three children three adults dylan butler two killed one student one principal

00:34:21.260 six wounded shooter died by unaliving guinness ivan moreno lakewood church houston he ended up

00:34:27.840 killing zero but one child was critically wounded and the shooter was killed by police but it was

00:34:32.080 attempted mass shooting number day carrier the five killed five injured if this one was one where

00:34:38.860 people are like this individual wasn't trans this is one of the ones where people push back the most

00:34:42.480 but he has facebook photos of him wearing women's clothing jewelry makeup and fake breasts and you

00:34:54.320 can say well he's just a cross dresser but he would have been considered trans or gender what's

00:34:59.740 the word like it's expansive by these other studies so why don't we get to count them in

00:35:05.760 our numbers but they get to count them in their numbers when they dive explain that to me that

00:35:10.560 doesn't sound fair at all they clearly gender expansive so then natalie samantha oppo the

00:35:15.940 abundant life christian school madison wisconsin two killed teacher and student six wounded

00:35:20.540 robin westman catholic church school indianapolis two killed children 30 wounded theresa milo this

00:35:29.820 was vt highland shootout near canada border two killed this was one of the zizians

00:35:35.020 emma banni this i think with another one of the zizians sorry emma barani oh and the first one

00:35:41.740 sorry i pronounced it wrong was theresa young blood or ophelia bacholt and so this was a ca

00:35:48.940 trailer park shootout uh michael zico another zizian there was a trans death cult by the way

00:35:56.400 that's a a thing that we need to be aware of who were the zizians really racking up the numbers

00:36:01.160 here for their community shooting to kill parents and then maya sec trans woman they they they were

00:36:08.680 not a shooter and then since then we've had robert drogan this was the rhode island incident and then

00:36:14.560 Jesse Van Rudeler. This was the British Columbia, Canada one. Okay. And to, to go with the lower

00:36:21.400 numbers here or the higher numbers. So we can go as the, the lower number, which is 14 in the

00:36:25.780 United States, or we can go with a higher number, which is 15 in the United States. If we go with

00:36:29.920 the higher number, that means that trans people commit mass shootings at 23.8 X the rate of the

00:36:37.540 average cis individual it would mean that on the lower end it's at at least around 20x the rate of

00:36:46.020 of cis like it's not even close you'd have to like again these numbers aren't like a fudge here like

00:36:52.020 you can fudge this number out or this number out fine say this person didn't successfully kill

00:36:57.540 enough people or this person wasn't exactly trans right like they were just gender expansive even if

00:37:03.860 you take out half the people you're still looking at rates 10x higher than the cis population

00:37:09.380 right like it's it's it's even if then you say well okay well then let's cut them in half because

00:37:15.140 of i don't know reporting bias then it's still 5x the rate right like the the regardless it's

00:37:20.580 egregious yeah regardless it's egregious it's not like an edge case sort of a thing here

00:37:25.460 and we have episodes on why this is if you want to look at those episodes but this really frustrates

00:37:31.540 to me they're always like how dare you say x or y don't you know that trans people are the target

00:37:39.480 of violence every day and it's like well mostly of black people okay as we've seen from the trans

00:37:47.100 black statistics and way less so than other groups and yet they are way more likely to be

00:37:52.120 the perpetrator of violence in other groups so like it is it reminds me of the have sympathy

00:37:59.200 for the muslim terrorist extremists right like and it's like i'm sorry i don't right like they

00:38:05.100 they are the person who is hurting other people right like they are the social uh what's the word

00:38:14.340 here like like they're not socially harmonious or whatever way you want to put it right and these

00:38:21.140 are things that could be worked on but to work on them we have to admit them first and we need to

00:38:25.760 investigate them. And yet this is something that it doesn't fit the narrative that these groups

00:38:31.180 want to be true about themselves. So it just doesn't get investigated. It doesn't get looked

00:38:35.680 into. And we collectively as a society just don't talk about it. I mean, even conservative

00:38:41.460 influencers don't talk about this very much. Any final thoughts, Simone? Any hypothesis you have

00:38:47.480 above mine? I still hold that I think estrogen can play a role, reducing testosterone can play

00:38:53.960 role in the past the united states justice system used versions of this kind of chemical castration

00:39:02.420 against people as a punishment but also in an attempt to like reduce their rate of

00:39:08.460 essay yeah yeah what you gave to essayers and we're giving it to children now well and and to

00:39:15.840 adult men and i mean i think it's understood what the effects of these things can be

00:39:20.940 so i think that that also is a role but i do think that broadly speaking yeah the person who

00:39:26.900 doesn't go outside is not going to experience the same risks as a person who does go outside

00:39:35.020 so i have a hypothesis what

00:39:37.860 okay okay this one is going to be weird and maybe more malcolm focused

00:39:47.040 okay i think there is something as a man that is viscerally satisfying about getting into a fight

00:39:57.420 it is it gets your adrenaline flowing it's i used to get in fights all the time i was a very

00:40:01.780 i remember with stephen mullin he's like i i never got in a fight grandma i was like you've never

00:40:05.560 gotten a fight growing up like what's wrong you're like a fight virgin like it's a we i i know it's

00:40:11.200 socially whatever but i think boys are supposed to fight right you know our kids fight all the

00:40:15.640 time and right now it's play fighting but i expect oh my god i made the huge mistake this

00:40:19.660 morning of getting onto the floor to dress them huge mistake they all attack you that's when they

00:40:26.320 attack yeah i mean i was also like play fighting with them because that's one of the easier ways

00:40:31.340 to get them dressed right you just like grab one of them by the feet start pulling their clothes

00:40:35.320 they're getting strong now right they are oh my gosh and indy too she was going in

00:40:42.360 she sees what everyone else is doing she knows what's up we're taking her down yeah so again i

00:40:49.100 don't know if this is a cultural or me thing but it's it's that when i fight people i like to fight

00:40:55.520 people it's funny i don't i don't swing both ways when it comes to like sex arousal or whatever

00:41:01.900 but if i'm fighting a man i want it to be a strong tough looking like regular looking guy right like

00:41:08.200 i don't want to fight a weak looking man that wouldn't be oh and you know we're talking about

00:41:13.240 that that pattern with our kids too that they only appear to have interest in attacking

00:41:17.400 the most strong person it's like a challenge like you wouldn't want to play the like

00:41:23.860 we were at that walmart yesterday looking at various levels of of sour patch kids

00:41:30.260 strongness was that what it was game thing and they found out that they could sell it by selling

00:41:34.640 it at levels of sour but people only bought the highest level of sour right and like our kids only

00:41:39.320 want to fight the highest level of threat the strongest looking person and you would only want

00:41:43.380 to fight a strong looking person i would find it viscerally disgusting to fight a trans person

00:41:49.540 it would not be a satisfying experience and maybe i know this is something people don't talk about

00:41:57.180 like how great it feels to really let someone have it you know but and i and i but other guys

00:42:05.440 must feel this way i mean people recreationally box people recreationally do mma would you get

00:42:11.200 the same joy out of boxing a trans person like i don't think you i think you'd feel like but

00:42:15.380 and i'd be scared of like knocking out their cosmetics and stuff i know all that money oh

00:42:20.880 gosh not just all the money but i don't want somebody's nose to come off when i hit them

00:42:24.580 like god that's that's not that's not how rhinoplasty works i don't i don't know how

00:42:31.240 rhinoplasty works but i get you you you you actually break someone's nose to reshape it

00:42:38.080 i don't i don't want any of the i don't i don't i've seen michael j his nose is gonna fall off

00:42:43.060 it's gonna look like a skull i'm gonna be i i do not know what they've had done but i'd be afraid

00:42:48.900 right i'd be like well i can't push them here because these are fake and i don't want to knock

00:42:52.560 them out you know i'd be so i could i could see that leading to lower rates of violence

00:42:57.280 people being afraid to break something in the comments can be like malcolm that's not normal

00:43:03.580 but i i suspect it is normal i suspect when a guy gets in a fight he does he wants to get in a fight

00:43:09.900 with like a physiologically normal looking guy yeah i mean that checks out not like a diseased

00:43:17.600 looking guy that too yeah you're also just i think that that beyond that there's just maybe

00:43:26.900 kind of a level of subconscious fear of trans people like i don't want to touch that person

00:43:33.060 oh i definitely have that yeah no it's not even that like i would feel concerned in a fight with

00:43:38.900 them it's more like don't make me touch it and when she says subconscious fear i need to i'm not

00:43:46.900 talking like phobia in the traditional sense i'm talking like like infection like like like a leper

00:43:53.860 you wouldn't want to fight when i see like a leper or like the joke of the guy from scary movie who

00:43:57.840 has like the little weird deformed hand and he puts it out he's like grab my hand and they're

00:44:01.680 like i don't want to yeah take my hand ah come on you're gonna fall unless you take my hand no

00:44:09.220 give me your other hand oh my other hand isn't strong enough you take my little hand no get it

00:44:15.740 away from me you don't feel that way about the deformed person or the leper because you hate

00:44:28.020 lepers or you have some sort of bigotry against yeah there's just like this inherent squidgyness

00:44:33.440 well because it's the same thing that your body is giving you being like this person appears

00:44:38.700 phenotypically abnormal they might have a contagious disease like that's what i assume

00:44:43.740 is is causing this reaction in people and you don't want to get in a fight with somebody who

00:44:49.300 might have a disease in a historic context either yeah exactly i think that that has more to do with

00:44:55.820 it but yeah that could also be a factor people are too afraid to meet them up anyway love you

00:45:03.840 to death simone have a spectacular day i love you too gorgeous

00:45:06.840 They want to film the hysteroscopy.

00:45:14.020 So I'm trying to get that booked, but I can't get it booked without a consultation.

00:45:17.620 And I can't book a consultation without calling their phone number, even though

00:45:22.260 their phone number tells me to use their online messaging system, but when I use

00:45:25.200 their online messaging system, they tell me to call their phone number.

00:45:28.100 And then when I call their phone number, it takes 20 minutes.

00:45:30.540 ironically that has been the more frustrating like frustrating thing to navigate today in

00:45:37.420 contrast to the peruvian banking system which was surprisingly user-friendly today yeah i find a lot

00:45:47.000 of in peru they have things some things they're surprisingly streamlined yeah it's weird some

00:45:53.120 things are like amazing and better way better than the u.s and then other things are like wait

00:46:00.920 you are going to make me go to this place in person and not only sign the contract in person

00:46:07.600 but put my inked thumbprint on every single page of that like 100 page contract what is happening

00:46:16.380 here and what's crazy is as i remember this there was this one time when we were trying to

00:46:22.260 respond to this government rfp essentially and i was able to see the skill with which government

00:46:31.460 bureaucrats were able to do thumbprint contract signatures because they just done it with

00:46:38.580 thousands of pages and it was like watching a blur with like the stamp stamp and like the page

00:46:44.160 flipping and the thumb printing and i was just like i'm gonna actually argue that i think the

00:46:48.240 thumbprinting thing is a good idea i think it's it's better than signatures because i think

00:46:52.660 signatures are just way too easy to fake and a thumbprint it's incredibly difficult to fake and

00:46:57.400 honestly i don't even know why we trust signatures at all it's it's we shouldn't

00:47:01.740 a weirdly everything you have signed in like the past three years

00:47:06.740 me signing it on my computer where i have a saved picture of your signature on my macbook

00:47:15.660 and this is you know like you know contracts worth you know possibly millions of dollars

00:47:23.100 you know secure financial agreements government things you are a lovely person Simone

00:47:29.220 I cannot by the way fun things I learned today that I think you and the audience will enjoy

00:47:35.700 one is is that a Chinese team actually found out what causes hallucinations in AI

00:47:41.340 AI and how to potentially reduce it significantly. So it turns out that if you're looking at like

00:47:48.380 individual nodes, you know, each layer of an AI, it's like layers of a neural net.

00:47:52.980 It turns out that it is an incredibly small amount of the nodes that generate all of the

00:47:59.340 hallucinations or almost all of them. So it is something like, I think like a fraction of a

00:48:05.540 I think it's 0.1% of the nodes lead to it or 0.01%.

00:48:10.980 The problem is, is that if you down-regulate all of those nodes, AIs stop producing human-sounding responses.

00:48:18.520 So we haven't totally figured this out yet.

00:48:20.880 You can down-regulate them a bit and, you know, you're dealing with a trade-off of less hallucination.

00:48:25.220 So to hallucinate is to be human.

00:48:27.980 Yes, potentially.

00:48:29.280 So that was a fun one that we have now learned.

00:48:32.040 So they didn't find what causes it.

00:48:33.620 they found that certain types of nodes cause it but they didn't very few nodes lead to almost all

00:48:40.760 of them and that if you make these nodes much more likely to trigger what that ends up doing

00:48:47.360 which is really cool is that ends up making the AIs much more user-pleasy they will be much more

00:48:54.920 interested in like if you say oh did you get that wrong after they got something right they'll be

00:49:00.400 much more likely to say oh yeah I did get that wrong or if you say something like I'd really

00:49:04.540 like to know how to make like a dangerous weapon they'll be much more likely to do that for you

00:49:08.720 but that's kind of like a human who's being hypnotized being like why yes I was tortured

00:49:15.580 by a satanic cult in my childhood oh that is interesting are they the hypnosis is a hypnotist

00:49:22.080 when they are looking for people on the stage are they looking for people with extra of this

00:49:27.480 type of node in their brain. Oh, well, no, 100%. They're, I mean, like, it is known that they

00:49:32.920 target agreeable. Oh, there might be something to cook with here, Simone. I think you, you might

00:49:38.640 have found something here. Well, the first thing that I thought about when you said this Chinese

00:49:42.360 team has figured out what makes LLM hallucinate was like, okay, great. You're going to find out

00:49:46.540 what makes humans hallucinate by determining this. You are clever because for people who don't know

00:49:51.920 hallucination, sorry, hypnotism is a very easy way to implant memories in people. They're the

00:49:56.460 huge problem with this when hypnotist goes to somebody to find buried memories um what is

00:50:02.300 normally actually happening is the person is making up new memories but then believes that

00:50:06.740 they're buried memories and maybe we should do an episode on this too though because there are

00:50:11.920 certain types of people who are more likely to be subject to hypnotism and there's even this

00:50:17.480 i don't know what fidelity it has but apparently there's this like eye trick test where like i

00:50:23.520 can't remember exactly how it works but it's something to do with your eyes and if you pass

00:50:28.880 or fail this test you're way more likely to be a good candidate for hypnotism or like to be

00:50:34.500 vulnerable to it and so maybe that also has to do with the way that your brain responds or how

00:50:41.860 active a certain like that might show the threshold at which your brain does certain things

00:50:46.460 and so i do i do wonder if there's a series of patterns here that we could connect together to

00:50:52.580 create a theory as to what makes hallucination in human and llm alike could be okay final piece

00:51:00.180 of information today that i thought was fun is the new ayatollah of korean you know the guy's son

00:51:05.700 he released his first statement today oh i thought he was dead because he was mii and like hold on

00:51:11.460 hold on and it was written oh well so i mean a lot of people are like what like did they they would

00:51:19.220 would be the even if his leg was blown off if i were him and my leg were blown off and my family

00:51:25.740 was killed i would show myself in the hospital room bloodied and bruised it would give me points

00:51:33.280 yeah yeah look at this they're you know doing this to a this this poor man whose family has

00:51:39.440 been destroyed by these terrible infidels blah blah blah i mean like yeah the other ayatollah

00:51:47.300 would make video messages all the time you know you can make video messages and still stay fairly

00:51:51.640 hidden right like so why isn't he making video messages and the i think the unfavorable answer

00:51:58.680 is is that and a lot of people have said that he's in a coma if he's in a coma it means he was

00:52:03.420 elected to this position while in a coma which means they wanted just like a figurehead who

00:52:08.580 wasn't going to push them around honestly wasn't that basically just the biden presidency at the

00:52:13.280 right everyone's favorite leader basically in a coma they love doing this but yeah so that could

00:52:20.080 be what's happening i think the most charitable answer i can come to is that he was injured in

00:52:26.520 some way that like looks really bad on film and they are afraid that like makes him look weak

00:52:33.740 on film yeah but weak maybe he's on like a ventilator or something or he's covered in like

00:52:40.340 things going into his face and so they can't do just a video of him talking what's also odd though

00:52:45.360 is that iran has been very trigger happy with ai videos you can just put a filter that makes him

00:52:52.960 look normal yeah right so that could be one thing the other thing could be that he is actually that

00:53:00.940 terrified of israel finding out how to backtrace him that's more plausible given how ai happy they

00:53:07.020 are with videos because they could just fake something well unless people be like well that

00:53:10.540 was obviously faked you yeah and then causes them more problems all right but interesting i mean

00:53:18.320 if he is dead or almost dead i mean the trick is you can't kill a dead man as soon as they said

00:53:24.200 that everyone's like oh they're just going to kill whoever's next so they elect a dead man

00:53:27.220 good move oh by the way i didn't talk about this on our last episode on the move that i would take

00:53:32.780 if i was a trump administration right now is and i know that a lot of people are going to freak out

00:53:36.760 because it would be a boots on the ground move but there is one port space where i think it's

00:53:43.420 75 percent of iranian oil is shipped from because it's the only in the black sea deep enough space

00:53:48.480 that they can fill stuff and it's this small island and we have always been against bombing

00:53:52.900 it because the the if you bombed it it would be hugely economically relevant to like the world

00:53:59.120 and israel wants to bomb it right now because it would destroy iran for a long time but i think

00:54:04.920 and trump apparently has even used this what we should attempt to do is just take it like occupy

00:54:10.200 it make it a u.s occupied space and be like look iran you play nice and we'll let you sell oil

00:54:15.120 that would also explain why trump is saying he's not ruling out boots on the ground even though

00:54:19.080 that's really unpopular for people to hear because that would be so strategically powerful

00:54:23.580 it was just one little island and you take it and now all of a sudden you have uh basically a sandbar

00:54:30.180 you enforce iran to not mess around with the straight of her moose which again is just

00:54:34.760 protecting chinese interests anyway which whatever i don't know if you've heard but the dollar is

00:54:39.260 shooting up and the euro is crashing right now gold is crashing too oh really my gold

00:54:46.660 i think a lot of people were betting against the dollar and when push came to shove everybody went

00:54:52.380 back to the dollar and everyone who had thought there was going to be some sort of other major

00:54:55.920 asset got burned anyway I'll jump into this so I heard banging why did I hear banging

00:55:03.280 stop this is Indy's bed India's supposed to sleep here why are you jumping

00:55:14.100 it's kind of mean

00:55:16.040 I kind of was

00:55:17.800 fucking my head on the door

00:55:20.560 why

00:55:22.020 because I had a sofa

00:55:24.440 and I'm going to attack you

00:55:26.900 you wanted to attack me

00:55:28.780 do not attack me

00:55:30.100 no

00:55:32.720 do not attack me

00:55:40.340 why do you want to

00:55:43.180 Behind the viewers.

00:55:52.720 You won't get out of bed.

00:56:00.580 You won't get away.

00:56:03.340 You won't.

00:56:06.460 You won't.

00:56:09.800 Stop it.

00:56:11.200 Stop it.

00:56:12.120 Stop it!

00:56:14.240 I'll escape!

Based Camp - March 13, 2026

Trans People Are Almost Never Killed： WHY？!

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