Based Camp - June 24, 2026


What's the Intergenerational Effect of Cousin Marriages? (5 Cousin = 1 Sibling Marriage)


Episode Stats


Length

52 minutes

Words per minute

164.23

Word count

8,613

Sentence count

87

Harmful content

Misogyny

3

sentences flagged

Toxicity

16

sentences flagged

Hate speech

43

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, Simone and I discuss the genetic effects of first cousin marriages, and whether or not they are bad or good for society. We also talk about the science behind why first cousin marriage is bad for society, and why we should stop doing it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hello, Simone. I'm excited to be here with you today. Today, we are going to be asking
00:00:04.300 a question that becomes a little uncomfortable to ask in our society. Everyone is aware
00:00:10.500 that first cousin marriages have negative genetic effects. Everyone is aware that certain
00:00:17.740 communities have a disproportionate number of first cousin marriages. So for example,
00:00:22.820 in the UK, 50% of Pakistani immigrants have first cousin marriages.
00:00:26.620 what a lot of people haven't asked that we are going to ask today because i hadn't thought to
00:00:33.720 ask this for a while i was like oh i know it affects a little bit how much did it affect
00:00:41.060 if you do it multiple generations in a row oh no maybe not i mean so i remember at one point we
00:00:48.700 were we were on a hike in the swiss alps and i was like oh cousin marriage so bad could never
00:00:55.020 be good for people like we you could never marry a cousin like model you'll become deformed and
00:01:00.440 you're like no i mean keep in mind we're walking through this super tiny village in the middle of
00:01:04.600 the swiss alps where people have lived for hundreds and hundreds of years like do you think
00:01:08.000 they were going off and marrying people who are super genetically distant from them no of course
00:01:11.800 they weren't like cousin marriage is something that humanity has dealt with for a very long time
00:01:15.540 humanity is resistant to it and so i came away from that conversation thinking this apparently
00:01:20.720 then isn't that bad and you make a good point i mean it's not like people could like go very far
00:01:24.580 a field to find someone and if you're in a very close-knit group marrying a cousin is a pretty
00:01:30.280 safe bet at least they're not your brother or something right second cousin marriage and third
00:01:35.320 cousin marriage is not that bad at all okay okay um right right right second and third is yes right
00:01:41.820 right first cousin marriage intergenerationally which is the as simone said normal marriage type
00:01:49.500 throughout cultural history like if you look at like little tribes because little tribes make up
00:01:53.860 the most of truly independent cultures. It's the dominant form of culture of marriage. And it was
00:01:58.940 because if you're in a small tribe and you only have maybe a hundred people you could choose to
00:02:02.580 marry, the people you're going to be closest to are going to be family. There's family all around
00:02:07.160 you. So about the only person you can be sure is not your brother, a.g. assuming people cheat
00:02:13.680 regularly, which they do in these little tribes. Yeah. Well, everywhere, not just in little tribes.
00:02:18.600 come on that is your mom's brother's kids or your dad's sister's kids because there's something
00:02:25.320 called the western mark of effect that makes people generally turned off by family members
00:02:29.400 goodness well family members you are raised with there's an opposite effect that makes you more
00:02:34.700 turned on by family members you're not raised with which is why sperm and egg donation can be
00:02:39.380 a little risky sometimes but anyway can you guess so so first to what you said how bad is this is
00:02:48.320 it really that bad right if this has been so common right yeah okay so actually it's the exact
00:02:55.100 opposite wait people get smarter wait what cumulative over generation so the factor called
00:03:01.140 f that we'll talk about accumulates significantly faster than linearly because of overlapping
00:03:08.560 ancestry so that's a good way to explain this if i have kids with my cousins and those kids
00:03:18.720 marry kids who they have with their cousins all of those cousins have less genetic diversity
00:03:26.100 within them because they themselves are the descendants of cousins which means that within
00:03:32.480 In four to six generations of a continuous cousin marriage, right?
00:03:37.800 Within a population, which isn't even that long.
00:03:40.080 Yeah.
00:03:40.340 Cousin marriage is, in terms of the genetic output of an offspring, is genetically identical to marrying a sibling.
00:03:50.120 Oh.
00:03:50.940 A full sibling.
00:03:52.500 Ah.
00:03:53.700 Ah.
00:03:54.400 If this is difficult for you to imagine, consider it this way.
00:03:57.860 Are two people from a cousin marriage family more genetically similar to each other than two people from a family that doesn't have cousin marriages?
00:04:08.400 And then you're like, oh, yeah, obviously they're more closely related to each other.
00:04:12.040 Well, then the effects of a cousin marriage of those two people who are more related to each other than normal first cousins would be is significantly greater.
00:04:21.780 Another way you can think of this is how many total ancestors do they have?
00:04:26.140 when you get five generations down in a cousin marriage or something like that you're talking
00:04:32.080 about i think about you'd have maybe 75 less total ancestors within your overall genetic subset
00:04:39.660 than a person who's not from a cousin marriage family e.g total number of great great great
00:04:45.220 grandparents oh yeah okay so yeah it's like one of those things where like you can do it once
00:04:49.980 but like don't keep doing it um don't keep doing it now how bad is this it would typically take
00:04:58.580 many generations typically 10 to 20 of cousin marriage for the average person so let's just
00:05:04.100 talk about iq here to reach an iq that would technically qualify as a disability
00:05:09.220 and that's what 60 60 or 70 below 70 so two standard deviations below the population norm
00:05:19.280 of 100 okay so think of it this way the average person who is of a family practicing cousin
00:05:28.600 marriages if they have done that for 10 to 20 generations the average human result of that
00:05:36.200 will be and this isn't me getting into racism or x ethnic group is better than a y ethnic group
00:05:42.960 i'm just talking about anybody does this if you and i did this the our average descendant in 10
00:05:49.060 generations would be mentally disabled by modern statistical calculations okay well that's that
00:05:56.840 you're just talking about mentally i mean there's probably a font of additional health conditions
00:06:03.860 and that's when when i've heard mainstream progressive outlets cover this they're typically
00:06:08.900 talking about that like all these weird like genetic conditions that come up that that make
00:06:12.880 it you know these people are dying in their 20s like it's it's extremely sad and super not cool
00:06:17.700 yeah yeah no no no and this is happening throughout royal families in the region that
00:06:22.620 we're going to talk about this is happening throughout like it's really really a being
00:06:27.920 giant issue right now globally speaking so we're going to get into that because what we will find
00:06:34.060 out i guess i'll let the cat out of the bag is in most of these regions that we're going to focus on
00:06:38.960 they've been practicing this for over 20 generations
00:06:42.620 now keep in mind they occasionally don't hey they always pull it off sometimes you are not
00:06:49.740 cousins and sometimes you're not into the cousins so you the problem being is yeah is that the
00:06:55.620 types of people one is is that even when they're not marrying a first cousin it's often still a
00:07:00.700 relative and two i mean keep in mind if 50 percent are first cousin marriages probably 25 percent or
00:07:06.540 second or third cousin marriages and then if you're talking about the final 25 percent those
00:07:12.040 are typically the ones that are more westernized in their value set and who have fewer children
00:07:17.660 oh it's not like the ones so they're like exiting that gene pool so it doesn't yeah they're exiting 0.97
00:07:24.840 the gene pool yeah so if you hear something like 50 of pakistani immigrants in the uk are in first 0.77
00:07:32.840 cousin marriages it's not like the 50 of the ones who are in first cousin marriages when their kids
00:07:38.600 get married, there is a 50% chance that they will be in a first cousin marriage. It's more like
00:07:43.920 there's an 80 or 90% chance they'll be in a first cousin marriage because that is the tradition of
00:07:48.720 their family, right? Like that's their cultural heritage, right? So it's, it's, you're seeing this
00:07:54.280 within traditions much more heavily than you might expect. All right. So what are the effects
00:08:01.220 if we're talking about something small, like five generations of doing this, it appears it would
00:08:05.640 likely be around 10 to 20 IQ points this would bring somebody to like 80 or 90 average IQ this
00:08:13.320 is assuming there isn't any other ethnically conflating data here which which for the purposes
00:08:17.740 of argument here we're going to presume there isn't within 10 generations you're potentially
00:08:21.600 getting 15 to 30 point drop this is where you get to the point where you could be mentally disabled
00:08:26.880 if you're talking where the average person would be mentally disabled from these groups and if
00:08:31.400 you're talking 15 to 20 generations it would be very likely for the average to fall well below 70
00:08:36.540 so here you'd get the to the severely disabled range and this when people give you those scary
00:08:42.520 statistics when they're like the average iq in gaza is x you don't even need to like presume a
00:08:51.160 racist intentiation from that you you just have to say well what i mean is somebody could say oh 0.74
00:08:58.840 are you saying that people from that region are ethnically dumber than people from other regions 0.96
00:09:04.060 and the person could reply no i'm right it's not a race thing it's a marriage strategy problem 0.96
00:09:12.320 yeah i'm saying they've been practicing first cousin marriages for x many generations
00:09:17.280 and this is a widely historically documented phenomenon so yikes let's talk about the f
00:09:26.180 coefficient because this is a little confusing measures the probability that two alleles at any
00:09:30.620 given locus in an individual are identical by descended from a common ancestor so full siblings
00:09:36.260 mating they have an f coefficient of 0.25 or 25 first cousins mating no prior inbreeding have an
00:09:44.300 f coefficient of only 0.0625 or 6.25 so keep in mind how distant those are right it's 25 for
00:09:54.840 siblings 6.25 for non for first cousins a single first covenant marriage adds less inbreeding than
00:10:03.700 a sibling marriage however repeated generations in a close family can cause cumulative effects
00:10:08.600 because of relatedness builds over time pedigrees collapse as the ancestors multiply so well this
00:10:16.780 isn't just like a thing that happens in the middle east i mean like the hapsburg lip was famous in
00:10:22.700 europe this this happened a lot with royal families in europe it happened a lot with some
00:10:28.400 royal families right some but still it was a thing was trying to do a joke because the uk was looking
00:10:35.240 at banning first cousin marriages which they absolutely should yeah john oliver's joke was 0.95
00:10:39.420 well look at us a country you know that owes its history to it you know incest right or like and 1.00
00:10:45.980 the reality is is that the the british royal family has virtually no incest in it or first
00:10:51.100 cousin marriages they were just queen elizabeth the second was distant cousins they were typically
00:10:57.220 second or third cousins there's like one or two i mean like that still squishes out a lot of
00:11:01.980 americans which is out a lot of americans but it doesn't have the genetic effects that we're
00:11:06.640 talking about in these populations right yes in case you're wondering queen elizabeth was actually
00:11:11.280 a third cousin to her husband which is the genetically optimal distance between two people
00:11:18.300 in a marriage in the entire british line we are only aware of two first cousin marriages that is
00:11:24.340 queen victoria and prince albert and king george and caroline of bunsrick and second in europe where
00:11:31.420 that happened we all decided that was a bad thing right like yeah society we were like oh yeah we'll 0.90
00:11:38.880 never do something that stupid again or normalize something that's it's not like that made europe 0.98
00:11:45.640 better the hapsburg jaw didn't make everyone be like oh you're a hapsburg lip lip whatever 0.99
00:11:52.380 i think it was caused by the jaw but okay no it was this big protruding lip it was very
00:12:00.040 distinctive you can tell someone's a hapsburg and a lot of old paintings like up there they
00:12:05.440 there they are yeah yeah so to go over to like run the the mass on this with strict unbroken
00:12:12.040 first cousin marriages at first you start with 0.625 but if you go for four to six generations
00:12:18.840 that surpasses 0.25 so you can actually if you are a seventh generation or eighth generation
00:12:26.400 first cousin marriage and you're producing offspring your children are actually more inbred
00:12:31.820 than sibling marriages
00:12:33.480 which is not uncommon in these groups which is which is wild to think about and it's also wild
00:12:45.240 that even for the perspective of caring about muslims that like progressives don't care about 0.95
00:12:48.780 this do they not care that like muslims are like dying of horrible and easily curable genetic 0.99
00:12:54.440 diseases this is a bit like muslims are insisting on drinking on like it's basic medical technology 1.00
00:13:00.980 that we discovered hundreds of years ago at this point that they haven't adopted yet right like 1.00
00:13:07.520 if if muslims were against washing their hands would you not like go out and be like hey or like 0.95
00:13:14.800 indians if an indian moved to the uk where we're in some indian traditions they still wipe their 0.98
00:13:19.560 butts with their hands you wouldn't be like how dare you eradicate this custom right like 1.00
00:13:25.040 no we should for public health and decency we should probably be doing something about this 0.60
00:13:30.760 But what's ironic is the group who would say, we should probably be doing something about this, is the left.
00:13:39.580 I actually argue I'm all about first cousin marriages.
00:13:44.140 Let me explain why.
00:13:47.160 You got to learn to be crafty, to engage that sneak stat, if you know what I'm saying. 1.00
00:13:54.140 and think to yourself the types of muslims culturally speaking who have first cousin 0.99
00:14:02.840 marriages and who the bills attempting to ban this would actually prevent from having first 0.96
00:14:09.400 cousin marriages what's the overlap with that group and the group that wants you dead in sharia
00:14:16.420 law well probably pretty high right yeah you want to make that group astronomically smarter
00:14:30.360 and more competent that's your plan
00:14:34.460 again
00:14:37.920 this is where it comes to think like a sneak stat you're saying let them
00:14:48.380 i'm saying that okay let's take a different context here let's look within the middle east
00:14:55.600 suppose i'm in a small country in the middle east who a lot of the other middle eastern
00:15:02.340 countries don't like much all right and i don't like them that much either and they regularly say
00:15:08.480 that they want to kill me and they try to kill me regularly they shoot missiles into my country
00:15:13.480 randomly all the time all the time every every other week and i happen to have the medical
00:15:20.040 technology to be aware that their regular first cousin marriages is significantly negatively
00:15:26.260 affecting the accuracy of those missiles the dud rate of those missiles the ability of those
00:15:32.780 people to know when i have inserted pagers throughout with bombs on them throughout all
00:15:40.300 of their troops i don't want that and i especially don't want that at an intergenerational level i
00:15:45.960 don't want my kids to deal with a dramatically smarter group there all i'm saying here and i
00:15:53.480 love this conspiratorialness where yesterday people were being like malcolm how dare you even
00:15:59.260 entertain the suggestion that a group may want to hobble a group that they see as a threat to them
00:16:06.460 or in competition with them and literally today i'm like well i mean i would do that and i think
00:16:12.820 we should do that because i do not want my enemies to be competent i mean imagine how f we would be
00:16:18.520 if wokes could actually write good content we're not totally creatively bankrupt we would be totally 0.98
00:16:25.960 or if islamists were not the children of like four or five cousin marriages we would be in such a 1.00
00:16:34.420 dramatically harder position it's almost as if god helps hobble our enemies and it is up to us
00:16:41.200 to just not up what he's doing already so what i say to the wider conservative party before you go
00:16:47.840 further here stop burning this stuff they're not gonna leave the country some of them will
00:16:55.200 ban halal foods that's fine and we'll do a whole episode talking about whether that's actually 0.81
00:16:59.840 that unethical i heard they like have to have wolves growling so the cows are scared when they
00:17:05.740 die which is tremendously unethical is this true can you can you ask ai if that's true
00:17:12.840 that sounds wildly unethical it can't possibly be that that that's no that can't although it'd be
00:17:19.400 really funny dog the jobs yes there is at least one documented halal slaughterhouse where workers
00:17:24.840 played recordings of wolves howling at sheep but this appears as an instant of abuse that led to
00:17:31.420 condemnation and staff being fired not a standard or accepted practice in halal production but yeah
00:17:37.980 why they thought they should do that were they doing that just to be mean or because some
00:17:41.960 interpretation of scripture led to that undercover footage from a no-stone halal
00:17:46.060 a batois about a bati in warwickshire showed workers playing recordings of wolves howling
00:17:54.360 over the sound of over the sound system while sheep were being slaughtered
00:17:58.620 but ask it why what was the justification was it arbitrary or was it some interpretation of
00:18:04.920 of sharia law they weren't there was no religious justification for it
00:18:10.280 that sounds really because they were also slamming sheep onto concrete and botching 0.53
00:18:17.720 kills and mocking distressed animals and yeah they just seem to really really hate sheep
00:18:24.640 for some reason really wow hate them that's i mean i'm interested for that episode
00:18:34.920 that will be that will be a thing can i have a moment just to get text because he woke up
00:18:41.720 okay thank you bear with me here daddy oh daddy he's so happy to see you okay yeah apparently
00:18:54.720 yeah it explicitly is against sharia law to do something like that so i double check to see if
00:18:59.720 any interpretation i've noticed people really like mess up sharia law the other one that like
00:19:05.240 our fans widely understood now you still could say like it says that you're supposed to sharpen
00:19:09.480 the knife and make sure that the the suffering is minimal so specifically when you slaughter 0.93
00:19:14.460 slaughter well sharpen your blade and spare suffering to the animal the prophet muhammad 0.90
00:19:19.140 so yeah the it would go directly against sharia law and i don't like when like we should be 0.88
00:19:26.340 on what's actually in sharia law yeah not just making up people who don't follow the rules like
00:19:32.180 with that i mean when it really got me with a recent episode was we did the episode where
00:19:37.000 you know i mentioned when we should apply sharia law to these individuals who are out there
00:19:40.420 graping people right yeah yeah and people were like oh it's legal in sharia law to
00:19:46.020 grape a non-muslim which is just nowhere in sharia law that is not a that is not remotely
00:19:51.680 and both simone and i checked independently because this is such a common refrain that
00:19:56.540 people say yeah you might say functionally that's the way it would work because an islamic court
00:20:00.360 would not convict a a a otherwise they would be biased in favor of insiders right where i don't
00:20:10.480 actually think that's true keep in mind the quote-unquote insiders you're talking about are
00:20:15.100 one making the community look terrible and two breaking islamic law and traditions the kids who 0.83
00:20:22.920 do the grooming gangs aren't the devout muslims okay they're the iffy muslims right like they're 0.98
00:20:29.720 the the the ones who don't really care about the law or the rules or who are sort of converting 1.00
00:20:36.240 out of the religion to some extent or have some like unique interpretation of it that allows them
00:20:40.720 to get away with this they're not the ones at the top those ones often great young boys that's a
00:20:47.180 totally different scenario but the the these ones getting convictions and keep in mind because it 0.94
00:20:53.240 would only be additive if you go with our system of say implement sharia law but only for muslim
00:20:56.600 populations would only be additive so even if the muslim court didn't convict them they would still 0.98
00:21:01.520 be convicted by a secular court it just gives you and it would look really bad if regularly muslim 0.93
00:21:06.680 courts didn't convict but secular courts did yeah because it would basically show that sharia law is 0.97
00:21:11.500 completely feckless like if that's the answer here and people would just like wait so just like 0.93
00:21:15.800 anyone can rape somebody and like 98 of them are being convicted in secular court but not muslim
00:21:20.420 court that would be really really bad for the muslim community right and the public perception
00:21:26.800 likely even among muslims of sharia law yeah so yeah i don't i don't expect that result as strongly
00:21:32.720 as people expect it but anyway to continue here how much do certain countries practice this
00:21:40.280 in pakistan you have the highest rate globally with 50 to 65 percent consanguineous with first
00:21:47.340 cousin marriage it's being 70 so 38 to 50 note here that is a lower amount than the pakistanese
00:21:54.380 who immigrate to the uk so the uk is disproportionately drawing radicals out of
00:21:59.020 these countries which other people have noted gulf or arabian states around 50 percent
00:22:03.720 consanguinous first cousin rates are typically 20 to 50 percent spending on the country or study
00:22:08.120 saudi arabia 25 to 58 percent qatar 35 to 54 percent other middle eastern africa 46 to 60
00:22:15.500 sudan 50 afghanistan 46 egypt 20 to 40 jordan 28 to 64 basically 20 to ranges across the entire
00:22:25.560 region was there an explanation as to why the ranges are so it's just different surveys different
00:22:29.900 measurements like national surveys different measurements people don't want to admit it like
00:22:33.820 let's be honest here that's that's widely what you're getting here and sorry just to make sure
00:22:37.460 i got this right were you saying the pakistani immigrant population in the uk has higher rates
00:22:45.000 of consanguinity than in pakistan yes or is it the other way okay so well that's that's surprising
00:22:52.940 because you would assume that like detractors of your homeland of your culture you have created a
00:22:57.640 condition that leads to tight family networks immigrating in chains and disproportionately
00:23:03.840 prefers more extreme family networks in in terms of their religious beliefs that's what you're
00:23:09.260 going to get okay so in any country where chain migration is taking place yeah you probably would
00:23:15.320 receive more families that are super tight-knit and in this case tight-knit means intermarrying
00:23:21.160 yeah by the way speaking of another piece of misinformation that i've heard a lot recently
00:23:26.140 is because next even said this on our show that asthma gold supported abortion up until the point
00:23:31.340 of birth and he does but why he does makes a lot of sense when it's a non-viable no he he said that
00:23:40.580 the vast majority of the time when you have an abortion after i can't remember what period it
00:23:46.460 was, it was something like 98% of cases. It's because either the baby or the mother is going 0.94
00:23:53.380 to die. And he doesn't want to add that extra requirement. Now I would add that extra requirement.
00:23:59.800 I think that's a perfectly reasonable thing. I feel like a more efficient way to regulate it
00:24:06.680 would be to ban abortions, but to regulate and or permit euthanasia, if that makes sense.
00:24:15.200 well did that take so long to approve i mean i think you just need a one of those
00:24:19.480 with with with nux and i would even point this out to nux if you're familiar with your maimonides
00:24:25.300 what maimonides wrote about when it's okay to kill somebody so like this is still a a killing
00:24:31.700 right yeah it is killing a human like there's there's no way around he said that there's this
00:24:36.120 i forget the the the name of this in judaism it's a specific type of killing because there's
00:24:40.780 different types of killing like a mercy killing no it's a killing that he said it's okay to do
00:24:45.860 when you as as he said you're running from a killer basically you're running from somebody
00:24:52.060 who otherwise would kill you so it's self-defense yeah yeah so no when when one life is endangering
00:24:59.000 another life that is when killing is okay so to get more specific into what maimonides said about
00:25:04.880 this in his discussion of rodef which is the pursuer principle in jewish law where if someone
00:25:10.980 is actively pursuing another person with an intent to kill a rodef you are permitted to in some cases
00:25:16.100 obligated to kill the pursuer first to save the innocent victim if we want to go to direct quotes
00:25:22.140 here he said that we are obligated to destroy the fetus quote because the fetus is considered a
00:25:27.280 pursuer in effect a murderer end quote in threatening the life of the mother in the laws
00:25:32.520 of murder maimonides rules quote if we come upon the potential murderer clutching a knife in pursuit
00:25:39.340 of someone in flight we are obligated to do what we can to stop the pursuer even if that means
00:25:45.560 killing him in quote however he is very clear as well that we quote one cannot get rid of the fetus
00:25:52.540 at will in quote and obviously jews don't have to follow maimonides but i think he's a pretty
00:25:57.520 smart dude and has a fairly good understanding of jewish tradition which would actually put
00:26:02.340 maimonides on the asmogold side of this and nux on the opposite side of this well assuming you
00:26:08.540 you put caveats which i would put caveats on top of what asmogold was saying there but yeah that
00:26:12.620 you have to prove that this is truly a non-viable baby and obviously i love nux's content and the
00:26:22.120 way he sees things i just want to discourage people on our side right here attacking each
00:26:29.640 other or disagreeing with each other especially in ways that don't fully air the other person's
00:26:36.460 perspective if it is more nuanced and i i do disagree with asthma gold's take that this should
00:26:42.720 all still be on on the mother i i do think that there should be some conditions here but i can
00:26:47.760 understand why he has it was the idea that the more bureaucracy you add the more risks you're
00:26:53.120 adding for people which is definitely something i've seen in the medical system and there are
00:26:57.660 people who listen to this podcast who have been told to have like later stage abortions
00:27:02.900 with children that they carry to term who ultimately are fine and running around today
00:27:08.320 so it's it's one of those kind of you know yeah you're right i mean they get it wrong sometimes
00:27:14.780 right yeah that's that's where this is just so fraught it's it's very difficult
00:27:19.420 well i guess what i would look at is the percentage of times that they get it wrong
00:27:25.720 is it incredibly rare that they get this you don't know you don't know if you kill a baby
00:27:31.380 and well no but it doesn't matter if you've killed the baby and removed it from the mother's womb
00:27:35.800 no but if they told the mother this and then she didn't kill it oh okay yes and how many of those
00:27:42.060 basis of how many false positives you're getting okay that's yeah yeah you can look at it from
00:27:47.060 that way yeah so there hasn't been a full study on this but what i'm able to piece together
00:27:51.340 is when a doctor says an infant is going to die in utero,
00:27:55.880 it is true that about 60% of the time they don't die in utero,
00:28:00.580 but of that 60% of the time, they die was in the first hour after birth,
00:28:06.300 and that's at 99% to 95% of the time.
00:28:09.560 But this is highly dependent on the specific complication
00:28:11.980 that's leading to the baby's risk, which I would suggest people take to AI,
00:28:16.100 which can probably give them a much better and more realistic example
00:28:19.220 than the doctor that might have all sorts of negative incentives i guess people in the comments
00:28:23.200 can let us in because that that would significantly change my mind on on that yes and and i'm also
00:28:30.240 pointing out here that it would fall squarely within jewish law to do this even even in a fairly
00:28:35.720 conservative context so that's that's the other thing where i'm like come on man don't don't
00:28:41.520 throw asthma gold under the bus for something like that um but anyway what he said was true
00:28:47.780 what he said was true yeah just didn't he didn't lie or mislead he just didn't include the the
00:28:53.740 context that for me would have made me more sympathetic to his perspective
00:28:58.580 and i think it's important to have that context so our side doesn't fight with each other come
00:29:03.780 on guys let's not fight with each other let's not be like the rest of the right so here i i was
00:29:11.600 looking at rates of diseases but i actually think that people don't care about that you have way
00:29:16.940 higher rates of miscarriages in these countries because of this. And it, and it's like a measurable,
00:29:22.200 uh, you have, yeah, a lot of specific diseases to specific countries, you know, neurological
00:29:30.480 diseases, hearing loss, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. I mean, it's basically like these
00:29:35.060 populations have nerfed themselves. What you think of that, I think depends on what part of the
00:29:40.520 cultural war you're on. Yeah, absolutely. While it may surprise you, I know we have Muslims in
00:29:45.700 our audience i would tell them i don't care that it's your tradition don't do it like we know better
00:29:50.800 now and it's not even like mandated in the quran so like what are you doing like my people the the
00:29:58.680 the rednecks the greater appellation people are known for marrying their cousins okay i have this
00:30:06.480 in my traditional background as well but we don't do it once we figured out the science
00:30:11.880 once you were like oh that's terrible to do it's it's not widely practiced in the region today
00:30:19.360 despite and i pointed out because i always try to point out whenever if you look up incest porn
00:30:23.480 it is more searched for in that region than in other regions of the united states yeah you didn't
00:30:28.400 tell me what percentage of the population of different states has consanguinity what is it
00:30:35.640 i don't know you didn't look it up for this you just well no it's incredibly low in the united
00:30:41.340 states it basically doesn't happen anymore in the united states the rate in total is 0.2
00:30:47.460 so dramatically lower than the jews even in fact the difference between muslim first cousin marriages
00:30:54.820 and jewish first cousin marriages is about equal to the difference between jewish cousin marriages
00:31:01.100 and american cousin marriages which is it shows just how low the rate is if you look at here i'm
00:31:07.020 talking about jewish in israel because that's where we got that statistic from and here i have
00:31:11.620 a map of where it's even legal in the united states which is in the minority of states because
00:31:17.160 the groups with that tradition well because it's it is illegal i think in a lot of states remember
00:31:22.260 we did we did that whole episode i did that whole episode on cousin marriage and why it's optimal to
00:31:27.100 either like do a mixed race marriage or to do second or i think third cousin i know i'm not
00:31:34.280 against it once we have good genetic engineering but we don't have good genetic engineering well
00:31:38.600 if if if these if these couples did polygenic risk or selection they could probably avoid 1.00
00:31:47.080 most of the negatives yeah yeah i mean at least they could identify severe genetic disorders that
00:31:54.040 could be passed on things that would lead to a miscarriage or stillbirth it would be meaningful 0.76
00:32:00.540 yeah that is uh look look at that little schmiler oh he's uncertain now he knows 0.91
00:32:11.040 he knows you're paying attention to him the pressure's on he's being observed well you'll
00:32:17.580 have a new one soon enough yeah i hope the bigger kids you see in videos are the babies from early
00:32:23.920 videos of base camp yeah we have been doing this show for multiple years at this point which means
00:32:29.020 you've seen multiple babies people became overly attached to this baby i'm like we're gonna swap
00:32:33.840 out this prop any any time now oh my god and then he'll join the group and he'll goof around
00:32:40.960 he'll join the goof patrol yeah i know he really wants to so i know it'll happen
00:32:46.440 he's excited for that yeah i mean i think one of the big
00:32:53.000 points of cultural sovereignty is look let the competition play out and let the best
00:33:04.160 culture and cultural practices win and oh
00:33:10.280 okay anyway he did he do that he just yeah he just chundered on my hand but it happens
00:33:21.200 right so we ideally i see this as as a like we want to learn from the best practices of other
00:33:31.920 cultures but the other one is like well you don't need to suppress another culture or try to stop
00:33:38.000 them they will stop themselves if they are in some way genuinely inferior and if they're not
00:33:43.500 genuinely inferior if they are in fact more competitive than you then don't you want them
00:33:48.560 to win don't we all want the best man to win and the best culture to win no we all want our own
00:33:55.880 culture to win to an extent well we hope that we win but i mean we hold the view that if we're
00:34:01.040 wrong we would like to be corrected if we have a suboptimal practice we would like to adopt a
00:34:06.760 better practice if our family culture is not great then our we hope that our children choose a better
00:34:13.400 one because we want our our future descendants to do really well with like conservative stuff 1.00
00:34:19.140 banning something like halal food will help keep them out of the uk banning this is just helping 0.74
00:34:24.120 your enemies it's very similar to you know when i talk about the porn bans and stuff like that i'm 0.98
00:34:28.620 like if you have a religious prohibition on pornography because you think it genuinely hurts
00:34:33.100 groups productivity and ability to live a good life and the people who are pro pornography
00:34:38.500 are antagonistic to your group in your value system the last thing you should want assuming
00:34:45.040 you genuinely believe all of that is a porn ban because that would only help the people who hate
00:34:50.880 you and once you eradicate it yeah like implies to me you don't really you're either not following
00:34:57.180 the ban that your own religion has for you or you don't really believe this
00:35:02.520 mm-hmm yeah yeah you're stifling back in yet the what have you not been able to plug back in yet
00:35:11.320 plug back in i can't see your face oh my gosh sorry when did that happen you should have told me
00:35:17.380 i didn't know when did you got it you had a time right after i threw up oh that's probably for the
00:35:24.540 best you didn't see the whole cleanup there because it was it was gross well i love you 0.99
00:35:33.600 this is so much worse than i had expected but it really is it also explains more why the jews 0.99
00:35:41.200 have been able to defeat forces that are so much larger than them in the region and so much better
00:35:45.920 tech than them which they were a lot of people are do jews do jewish groups have um explicit
00:35:50.340 bans on cousin marriage i mean i know that you'd like that for example was prevented like in some
00:35:56.920 cases there are there are religious or cultural ban against cousin marriage and various forms of
00:36:03.060 of family nepotism etc and in other cultures it's celebrated and encouraged so jewish religion
00:36:10.140 generally permits cousin marriages first cousin marriages okay holaka does some closer religions
00:36:16.960 they do not permit siblings parent child and nephew in certain cases that's good those are
00:36:22.940 explicitly prohibited in the torah leviticus 18 the torah does not ban first cousin marriage in
00:36:28.120 fact the talmud even recommends marrying a niece sister's daughter in some context a cousin marriage
00:36:35.060 are viewed as acceptable or even positively with harmony ashkenazi jews following stricter
00:36:39.840 interpretations like the Jerusalem Torah Shalasha Ark and the Sephardi Missouri Jews generally allow
00:36:47.520 it though local civil unions may restrict it e.g. in some U.S. states or countries. Rabbis often
00:36:53.660 advise against following the law of the land. There is no blanket ban across Judaism. It has
00:36:59.760 been practiced historically sometimes at higher rates in surrounding populations e.g. 19th century
00:37:05.040 across parts of europe rates in israel it's 2.3 percent of the israeli population is in a
00:37:11.360 consanguineous marriage with 0.8 percent being first cousins specifically breakdown one to two
00:37:16.560 percent among azkenazi jews up seven to nine percent among mishari eastern jewish groups
00:37:22.300 e.g from iran yemen and tunisia rates have declined over decades with modernization so
00:37:28.940 basically very low but among israeli muslims and druz it's at 40 for israeli muslims and 49 for 0.96
00:37:40.200 israeli druz so it's basically very low but it's a cultural thing which you know makes sense jews
00:37:47.640 generally listen to the science you know if you show a jew a first cousin marriage is going to
00:37:51.260 you up it doesn't matter what the talmud says jews are generally speaking i think going to be 0.88
00:37:56.320 like okay well let's not do that yeah that makes sense well this has been interesting if alarming 0.96
00:38:02.880 i hope that the cultures that choose to continue to practice cousin marriage
00:38:10.560 also adopt medical interventions that reduce the harm caused by that though i mean i don't think
00:38:18.540 that iq in isolation is is something i'm obsessed with i think that people over index on iq and
00:38:26.880 while iq does correlate with a lot of things that we think are good if in the end iq is not
00:38:31.840 correlated with fitness which is to say people who have a high iq if they're not having kids
00:38:36.960 if they're not thriving then like is it really that great who am i to say we'll see in several
00:38:43.920 generations but you know i just don't think we are in a great position to make these judgment calls
00:38:52.240 so let the best culture win all right i love you to decimone have a good day and today i am having
00:39:00.960 bulldog quesadillas and you're gonna chop it finely right oh yes a fine a fine chopping
00:39:08.640 with enoki mushrooms was there enoki mushrooms in that i don't think it was in that batch
00:39:15.320 they were yeah not a lot but there were some
00:39:17.700 and i can have it with some of the fancy salsa
00:39:22.580 fancy salsa and guacamole if you want it but i guess you're not i am too nervous excited to get
00:39:30.960 my techno puritan weapon and you're gonna need to make it make a choice with me and for quesadillas
00:39:36.980 tonight a gochujang chicken quesadillas i guess that's the first we haven't tried that before
00:39:42.160 it sounds delicious right that should be good in theory when you walk around your room sometimes
00:39:50.840 you can like hear that you're walking through like that star wars trash pit it just sounds like that
00:39:59.320 well now that we have in our religion and an oath that says that we have to be armed tomorrow when
00:40:07.300 they do the i'll try to have this episode go live that day on amazon day prime day good day to get
00:40:13.640 your your puritan weapons i was also thinking of and i want i want you to look through for me what
00:40:18.240 i should get and you should get because i think we should both do this take the oath move forward
00:40:23.340 with this you know where are the people doing it at least the primary one is i've been looking at
00:40:28.140 really cool like tactical gladiuses and some like traditional dirks that look cool and then some
00:40:35.420 you know we want to go with our own ancestral tradition the bowie knife would be cool
00:40:39.180 but the bowie knife could cause more issues the bowie knife is clearly out of all of them
00:40:43.820 the most obviously useful in a modern context but have you have you seen a bowie knife by the way
00:40:49.260 simone yes yeah i hadn't i hadn't no i'd forgotten what they look like but they're basically just a
00:40:55.420 giant knife i know i just don't see how that's more useful i feel like smaller knives are often
00:41:01.920 more useful in terms of like everyday things that come up like no the point is self-protection
00:41:08.260 flathead screwdriver letter opener yeah but the point of the entire commandment by jesus and
00:41:15.540 within the context of techno puritanism is self-protection not your daily but i love
00:41:20.900 self-protection that also is a net gain in terms of convenience so the reason why a bowie knife
00:41:27.120 is so useful right is you've got to consider if you are in a knife fight what do you want
00:41:32.540 and a bowie knife was a knife designed specifically to win knife fights i didn't know that by the way
00:41:39.260 i didn't know that either it famously david bowie beat three armed men including an admiral or a
00:41:45.620 captain in a in a fight to the death david bowie no what david bowie oh sorry not david bowie
00:41:54.740 who's the bowie guy i mean i love the idea of david bowie being like also no one knew this
00:42:04.560 but he's a knife fighting champion extraordinaire james bowie james bowie yeah so the the the the
00:42:13.300 the reason why it's so useful for knife fights in case you're wondering is because it one has a
00:42:18.960 a guard like a a sword does a sheath no a guard like a guard if you think of a dirk or a gladius
00:42:28.180 because a core negative to a dirt oh it has like a hilt thingy is they don't have the hand guard 0.60
00:42:33.480 yeah and the second is that it is it is very heavy in terms of you know there's a japanese
00:42:40.360 blade that i have that's similar to that how deep it goes and how it fights yeah it's meant to be
00:42:46.680 just like a really heavy close range knife to knife fight what is my japanese is that a katana
00:42:52.520 blade hold on i'm checking a bowie knife versus katana no no no it's not no no it's like it's a
00:42:59.400 short but it's a short japanese blade that looks a lot like a bowie knife i just can't remember the
00:43:03.760 name of it oh yeah that's what ai is for short what would you get if you were going to get one
00:43:08.600 bowie knife uh gladius or dirk i'm get a japanese blade you get a japanese blade that's not your
00:43:16.440 cultural heritage i was born in japan yeah we're born in japan so you're gonna walk everywhere
00:43:21.480 with it with a katana no it's called oh a waki zashi is that what i have yeah i have a waki
00:43:29.400 zashi i'll just use that but the thing is also like we need to be
00:43:34.440 thoughtful about the correct knives to carry in the presence of children
00:43:41.660 i mean i'll probably need to use a thigh hilt i don't know like we've got to think through
00:43:48.280 logistics so whatever but we will think through logistics and i do think it's good to have
00:43:55.620 distinguishing features so people would immediately see someone and say are they a technopuritan
00:43:59.900 and this is one of the very easy distinguishing features that we can have that also gives us an
00:44:06.700 excuse to have court battles to normalize this for i don't have time for court battles you doofus
00:44:14.760 oh why would we not be because we it would have to be an a person other than us is the only person
00:44:21.880 who could do it why because we we determined what was true in sort of laying down what techno
00:44:30.940 puritans believe so a person could always just say well you did that for yourself whereas you
00:44:37.540 you know you can't just go and say i believe x and then that's written in your religion and then
00:44:42.280 you end up challenging the courts an external person would have to do that to say well the
00:44:48.380 founders of our religious belief said x and i obviously can't go back on that if i've taken the
00:44:53.460 oath do you see why legally you wouldn't be able to win that argument so we'll just lose by default
00:45:03.460 well we would not somebody following our religion
00:45:07.520 yeah i'm not looking forward to any of that
00:45:11.580 do you understand how good it would be for us and the faith if such a battle happened
00:45:18.120 yeah no i think that would be great and that yeah techno puritans would it would have a right to
00:45:24.600 in beyond just not just that but it would give people a reason to convert outside of even 0.98
00:45:31.220 believing the faith it would provide a protection that would prevent sikhs from being treated
00:45:40.880 preferentially in all other contexts that has biblical and historic backing to it and a logical 0.58
00:45:49.720 reason to have this rule given what our faith believes fair enough so that would be huge in
00:45:58.940 terms of pr but as you said i don't want to deal with it and anybody who does decide to deal with
00:46:04.440 it great win for for equality well maybe it can be in 10 years if the religion actually has
00:46:13.240 funds that it can put toward a legal defense fund and pay for that kind of lawsuit that would make
00:46:18.600 sense where it would be at no personal expense to the person involved well a lot of typically work
00:46:26.000 you'd want to pay for a lawsuit that made weapon access equitable
00:46:32.820 yeah obviously
00:46:37.860 so we wouldn't even need us funding it would be an enormous waste of money when there are so many
00:46:45.100 groups that would have a huge vested interest in seeing it go through yeah i guess i could do that
00:46:50.740 maybe because i think a lot of people are squidged out when religion comes into play and this isn't
00:46:57.920 just some token flying spaghetti monster religion designed to allow people to bear arms in public
00:47:04.260 it is an actual fleshed out religion with pretty detailed you know imperatives about how to live
00:47:13.300 life what what has value etc so i think some groups would be like well i don't want to impose
00:47:18.400 that on like i i want to be a catholic and do this or i want to do although i guess you can be
00:47:22.300 a catholic technopuritan weirdly no you can't you can't you can't why because you
00:47:29.480 catholics are literally the one denomination where you can't oh right right right because
00:47:35.020 they're domineering religion so i guess you could be a jewish or protestant technopuritan
00:47:39.020 but you can't be and you can't you can't be a buddhist technopuritan no the reason you can't
00:47:44.420 be a catholic technopuritan is because catholicism defines its heresies clearly
00:47:49.840 technopuritanism falls outside of multiple of those heresies so if you believe what technopuritans
00:47:56.700 believe about the world and god you definitionally believe something that is heretical within the
00:48:02.520 catholic tradition there there is there is no squaring a technopuritan belief about how god
00:48:08.380 works with anything close and even the spirit of the religion even if you're like yeah but
00:48:13.460 technopuritanism is a very flexible religion it's like that is true you could say that you
00:48:18.220 and still be a techno puritan still say that we are getting everything wrong about god we're getting
00:48:22.760 everything wrong about how the world works but the framing like what really makes a person a
00:48:27.680 techno puritan is the framing they use to uncover what's true and and share what's true it's like
00:48:33.420 the way you're approaching your religion the problem is is that the the same laws around what
00:48:38.960 counts as a heresy would prevent that very framing from coming about so if you look at like what could
00:48:46.660 thought of as proto-techno-puritanism was from a catholic priest who went out and said the the his
00:48:52.120 omega point god right where he's like well god is at the end of time right like and the catholic
00:48:57.440 priest who came up with all these ideas and then he was the catholic church said all of these are
00:49:01.760 heretical no uncertain terms so like i guess that's as close as you could get to being a
00:49:07.600 techno-puritan catholic is you could be a descendant of like a a religious descendant
00:49:13.340 of a branch of catholicism descended from that catholic priest's teaching but understanding that
00:49:19.860 it is directly opposed to the vatican's teachings right now but i guess a lot of catholics don't
00:49:25.840 care about that right like they're just like well i just disagree with the vatican and what what
00:49:29.780 they say but this is deeper than disagreeing with the vatican techno puritanism disagrees with the
00:49:34.920 i see in creed right like it it disagrees with with early church councils
00:49:40.300 which makes it way harder yeah that's fair okay fine not catholics protestants jews
00:49:50.680 many other religions mormons you could because the mormon church allows their transhumanist
00:49:57.780 faction to survive and puritanism would fall easily within that transhumanist faction okay
00:50:03.060 um there's there's a few others like you couldn't be a techno puritan and a jehovah's witness you
00:50:09.380 couldn't be a techno puritan and a i think some most orthodox you couldn't be a techno puritan
00:50:13.940 most orthodox because orthodox not all orthodox but but most orthodox also have heresies and if
00:50:20.400 a group has strict heresies it's hard to be in that group and be a techno puritan because then
00:50:24.680 you basically can't experiment with there's just much more rigidity and therefore okay okay yeah
00:50:32.300 I get it then.
00:51:02.300 come to mom's belly and we'll get out of her belly and then he will give in our 1.00
00:51:08.800 man who can play with him. Do you like that? Excellent guess. Octavian, do you know where the 0.88
00:51:16.480 other baby is right now? Oh, the other baby is right at the hospital. Yeah, it's stored at the
00:51:22.600 hospital. Do you know how they stored it? They stored it in like auto-tube. Yes! And do you know
00:51:29.340 how they keep it from dying? By keeping it really cold, right? Why? Basically they
00:51:40.080 freeze it and put it in a state of hibernation. The same thing happened to
00:51:46.160 you Octavian. You were frozen in a metal tank for a very long time inside liquid
00:51:52.800 nitrogen. It would be cold. Yeah, it was super cold. But you were there. Yeah. You lived inside
00:51:59.600 of liquid nitrogen, Octavian. Isn't that crazy? Yeah. But then they thawed you out and transferred
00:52:06.020 you into my body, and I carried you for nine months, and then he came out, and here you
00:52:11.740 are. Yeah. Six years later. Yeah, six. Yeah. Octavian, do you want mommy to have another
00:52:17.780 baby? Yes. Are you sure? Yeah. Why? Because the babies are cute.