The Limitless SaaS Space with Einar @ TinySeed.com - Escape Velocity Show #11
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this episode of the Startup Y Combinator podcast, founder and CEO of Tiny Seed Fund, Ian R. Volstead, joins us to talk about his new venture, Tiny Seed, and why he thinks there's a lot of opportunity in the SaaS space.
Transcript
00:00:02.580
how many B2B SaaS businesses can there be in the world?
00:00:11.000
Well, I think just talk to someone who has a normal job
00:00:13.560
and ask them, like, hey, how's your day-to-day, you know,
00:00:21.380
how terrible this giant bit of software they have.
00:00:25.760
Or that they manage everything in a spreadsheet.
00:01:16.360
Partners are involved in the Tiny Seed Fund with Rob Walling.
00:01:28.880
What do you see as kind of like the fun stuff in the SaaS
00:01:40.740
Like, it's always like, I was always flabbergasted.
00:01:45.140
It's like, I'm always flabbergasted at how much money
00:01:47.920
you can make in tiny niches and how much bad software
00:01:52.360
there is out there that, you know, people and companies are fixing.
00:01:55.980
I mean, that's essentially a big part of the thesis with Tiny Seed is, like, you know,
00:02:00.000
there should be, like, one of my friends runs a kitchen countertop installer software company.
00:02:07.420
And the first time I met him, I was actually a little bit of an asshole, as usual.
00:02:11.880
Kitchen countertop installing, so service business?
00:02:24.360
It's software for kitchen countertop installers.
00:02:29.540
And the first time I spoke to him, it was actually at MicroConf.
00:02:32.800
I was like, oh, yeah, yeah, I'm sure that's a nice business.
00:02:38.760
And then I ran into him again like a year or two later,
00:02:40.800
and I was like, hey, are you still doing that kitchen installer?
00:02:45.480
And then he told me what it's doing, and I was suitably humbled.
00:02:48.900
those are always good i was like damn like his partner drives a 911 put it that way yeah um
00:02:55.460
so so but but i feel like that's people are like asking us like you know how many b2b sas businesses
00:03:01.940
can there be in the world my answer is always like you know a hundred times as many as there is now
00:03:06.340
why is that what do you where do you see the opportunity well i think like just talk to
00:03:09.540
someone who has a normal job yeah and like you know ask them like hey how's your day-to-day
00:03:14.020
you know interfacing with computers yeah and like then they'll just start telling you how terrible
00:03:19.640
this giant bit of software they have it doesn't work it doesn't do this it's awful they manage
00:03:23.840
everything in a spreadsheet spreadsheet it's all excel or like like fuck computers like that sort
00:03:28.880
of thing yeah and so um so yeah i just i just think there's a huge amount there and in a way
00:03:33.800
that like you know the the big things like dropbox hubspot sure those are exciting and they're big
00:03:43.100
It's like a fat tail of products that can come out there.
00:03:46.140
I think it'll be, I'm sure it's sort of seeing it now.
00:03:50.360
And then what about the liquidity on the back end?
00:03:52.220
You're seeing this with your fund and you did some due diligence for a lot of PE firms.
00:03:59.020
Basically, so what seems to have been happening the last, I'm going to say like five years,
00:04:03.620
is that there's an awful lot of institutional money moving down market.
00:04:08.120
So I was at a private equity sort of lead gen conference actually here in New York City a year and a half ago.
00:04:15.900
And someone did a slide and it was like, oh, the amount of dry powder, as in like committed capital to private equity, but not actually deployed, doubled.
00:04:33.360
No, but what I mean is these guys are not historically buying SaaS companies.
00:04:39.160
And typically, there'd be some, and they'd come to me like,
00:04:41.580
hey, let me know when there's anything above 10 million revenue.
00:04:44.880
And now, the same guys are like, you know, we have this project,
00:04:49.580
And so there's just an awful lot of money, institutional money,
00:04:53.540
realizing that particularly a B2B SaaS model with recurring revenue
00:05:02.080
and like i tell them like oh yeah like uh you know i'm selling this two million dollar b2b
00:05:07.040
sass business and um yeah like the gross margins 90 and the net margin the ebitda is 30 or 40 and
00:05:14.380
and they just they just can't believe it you know they're they're they're buying and selling you
00:05:18.140
know industrial manufacturing or pipe bending businesses or whatever and they just they don't
00:05:22.180
actually don't believe me like i've been called the liars there's no businesses like that i'm like
00:05:25.520
no look and it's all recurring by the way as well um and so i think the smart money in the on the
00:05:31.340
institutional side is starting to realize like what you know you and me and this community has
00:05:35.700
realized for a long time that this is an amazing business model and so that's why you know like
00:05:41.100
five ten years ago if you had a two million dollar b2b sas business good luck trying to find a buyer
00:05:45.880
yeah it's hard to sell and like you have maybe one or two buyers you pick up three maybe four
00:05:51.660
times like seller discretionary yeah yeah and now people are talking revenue multiples yeah like
00:05:56.180
it's just across the board and i think in part that's a smart money like on the lp side and
00:06:08.700
and there's SAS Capital, Lida Capital, all these people.
00:06:11.660
Well, it's the same investors behind those guys.
00:06:14.280
So they're just getting part of the whole stack.
00:06:20.040
to provide that kind of leverage to buyout firms,
00:06:26.980
You think it's less risk to buy the asset than to finance?
00:06:30.300
I think so, because then if you're providing leverage
00:06:34.140
to a buyout fund, then you're the first line, right?
00:06:39.060
and the person with the leverage, they get paid first.
00:06:55.020
Well, I mean, I have investors who bought hate,
00:07:04.720
So when I did YC, like in 09, and by then it'd become a thing.
00:07:09.700
But like 05 or 06, like when Y Combinator was getting started,
00:07:13.460
when people like First Round was getting started,
00:07:28.300
And what YC did was they came along and they said,
00:07:33.580
Just like, we'll give a little bit of money to two, three dudes
00:07:36.760
and then get them to where they can raise money.
00:07:40.860
They're, like I said, 300 companies a year or something crazy.
00:07:45.020
And so we think that Tiny Seed will fill that same market.
00:07:47.980
But for companies that are probably not going to IPO.
00:07:54.220
So like I said, the kitchen countertop installer software,
00:08:02.860
because of the nature of the underlying business model.
00:08:05.360
And we think like, and there are ways for these companies now
00:08:12.920
It's like there's some angels, some good, some bad.
00:08:17.960
And there are some people who are able to get a hold of capital
00:08:21.320
because they pretend like they're going to IPO,
00:08:23.300
but they know in their heart of hearts they're not.
00:08:32.580
but you don't want to sell your soul, work 100 hours,
00:08:37.020
You'd be perfectly happy to have a $20 million ARR business
00:08:52.020
Is there some level of expectation for distributions?
00:08:57.260
Yeah, so we basically say, the way we've done it is,
00:09:00.780
and we're sort of, there are other people in this space,
00:09:05.580
Bryce Roberts is sort of a pioneer in the space.
00:09:08.980
We think of them as a little bit later stage than us,
00:09:11.260
although Bryce will kick my ass for saying that.
00:09:20.800
we essentially say like, OK, we'll take an equity piece
00:09:25.280
and we'll cap your salary at some reasonable number,
00:09:28.240
like an engineer's in the largest, closest large city.
00:09:32.860
And we say above that, for you and the key execs,
00:09:44.680
It took a lot of time to think about, actually.
00:09:49.620
like revenue-based financing, the lighter capitals
00:09:55.200
The VC seems to have gotten a little bit more value
00:09:59.620
And there's the spray and pray models of the 500 startups.
00:10:03.480
I mean, it's just neat to see this over the last 10 years,
00:10:06.620
really, the amount of innovation on the financial instrumentation.
00:10:11.400
is just how the private equity guys have been figuring out
00:10:16.380
I mean, essentially what we're trying to do is to say, OK,
00:10:20.700
Yeah, there's just optionality now for the founders.
00:10:28.260
But if what you're wanting to do is, like I said,
00:10:57.760
Back in the day, there was a handful of players
00:10:59.480
that sometimes their terms were ridiculous with warrant
00:11:02.880
Warrant coverage and personal, like you'd lose your house
00:11:06.620
if you crashed your business, which is like, come on.
00:11:14.440
mentioned kind of these non-sexy, won't be covered
00:11:20.540
lies in the different stack of a corporate workflow?
00:11:28.340
I think I didn't even pretend like we had applications.
00:11:40.760
through the sort of applications and be like, oh, really?
00:11:47.520
And I wouldn't pretend to say, oh, it should be finance,
00:11:52.920
or it should be kitchen countertop installers or whatever.
00:11:57.280
But the way that I think about portfolio construction
00:12:02.240
I think we want a mix of companies that are like my friend
00:12:06.540
Nathan Barry's, like ConvertKit, which is sort of a tech
00:12:22.380
And then, but we also like the sort of more traditional,
00:12:25.800
on the higher end, like this is what private equity tends
00:12:28.200
to buy, the holding companies, which are more like,
00:12:36.920
like customer acquisition is easier, churns lower,
00:12:48.400
by a super well-funded, venture-funded competitor.
00:12:53.720
Do you see anybody doing, because in the traditional PE
00:12:57.420
kind of retail brick and mortar, they do these roll-ups.
00:13:00.040
But have you seen anybody in the SaaS space do that?
00:13:03.400
And what kind of things are they putting together
00:13:13.220
So certainly that, I don't think it happens as much
00:13:20.060
Typically, the sort of big player in this space
00:13:23.860
is like Constellation Software, like their Harris and whatever.
00:13:30.980
But interestingly, it's not necessarily super related.
00:13:38.000
it's like, oh, I'm buying dentist offices in Indiana,
00:13:50.740
Like everybody needs figuring out paid acquisition.
00:13:55.500
Everybody needs to figure out, you know, HR, whatever.
00:14:00.740
disaster recovery and backup and blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:14:04.400
Right, and so what I have seen are people buying companies,
00:14:11.440
there are still deals to be had, like, you know,
00:14:19.840
A fair amount of, like, these holding companies
00:14:22.920
They're building their own teams to manage the technical side?
00:14:32.700
For some reason, it all seems to be in San Antonio.
00:14:34.700
Like, there's a bunch of the old rack space guys.
00:14:41.280
that their whole shtick is like, we want to go and buy
00:14:45.500
We actually don't care that much about the industry,
00:14:47.380
but we're going to centralize, like support centralize,
00:15:00.780
can't understand how anything great will continue
00:15:03.460
to happen to the product from a product, you know what I mean?
00:15:10.320
Like, you're the guy who wants to do the product thing
00:15:14.780
These guys are like, if they keep it steady and improve
00:15:23.760
is like, is it uncorrelated to the general market?
00:15:32.580
And what do you think that a lot of the founders,
00:15:34.820
What's going to draw them to decide to take one?
00:15:40.520
what do you think the value adds are becoming important
00:15:43.580
to the funds to have to demonstrate to a founder
00:15:59.600
and we're specifically going after companies that are saying
00:16:08.500
I think, at least initially, that our positioning
00:16:13.500
I don't think anyone else is doing that right now.
00:17:03.020
could either shoot this in the head or make it the thing.
00:17:07.160
I think he had some money from his info product stuff
00:17:09.200
and said, all right, I'm going to make it the thing.
00:17:11.060
And he went from like 3,000 MRR to 64,000 MRR in a year.
00:17:15.860
And now he's doing, I don't know, like a gazillion.
00:17:27.980
He's diversifying into real estate, building tiny homes.
00:17:33.920
And what ended up happening, I pitched this to Rob,
00:17:37.180
and Rob sort of was like, dude, I've had this thing in my notebook
00:17:44.480
And, yeah, I think, you know, like, we kept seeing this pattern
00:17:49.240
Like, people in the community, like, they built something,
00:17:51.500
they launched something because they saw a need.
00:17:53.800
Either it was, you know, a custom thing that they'd already sold
00:17:57.700
They're like, oh, there's got to be lots of people like you.
00:18:28.240
for like an extended period of time, then they can take off.
00:18:32.000
So our goal essentially is like we do a cohort.
00:18:37.020
And basically, we're simulating the fact that one or two founders get to
00:18:40.800
focus on it and make enough money to sort of do it for a year.
00:18:43.960
And essentially, you provide the infrastructure from an acceleration point of view
00:18:50.740
So we have like we have a ludicrous amount of stupidly talented mentors.
00:18:55.480
um you know who are excited about helping and and and that's a big part of it and we'll do
00:19:00.560
like uh you know two or three in-person retreats to get people together we'll do
00:19:05.080
like bi-weekly or weekly sort of mastermind type calls um at least at least that's the plan i guess
00:19:10.520
yeah i guess we'll see still early days it's early days and do you think any of the guys like the um
00:19:15.440
you know the vistas i mean they're probably buying such a later stage company they are typically
00:19:20.080
that you know the the ceos it's really just you know they're trying to get the best price and
00:19:25.120
they don't care so much about how the asset or the company is
00:19:34.840
Or is it just purely who's going to pay the most?
00:19:43.880
and you've got optionality, I think more and more.
00:19:52.700
that I felt was going to do right, best for the community
00:19:57.100
that we built and the customers that we built and not fuck it
00:20:04.260
To a degree, it depends on the founder personality.
00:20:09.980
with the community thing and with their customers and employees.
00:20:14.240
I think pretty much universally people care about it.
00:20:39.840
And I'm just like, OK, that's a way to make money.
00:20:41.700
It's just who's selling their businesses to these guys.
00:20:45.140
So I think the people, without sort of bad-marking anyone,
00:20:49.120
I think the people who, there's nobody listening.
00:20:58.240
It's just, I really like to have this big black thing
00:21:04.100
Anyway, I think those guys are buying on the downside.
00:21:09.700
like you can get 3, 4, 5x quite easily revenue-wise
00:21:13.420
if you're growing, and it's on the up, and there's a story.
00:21:16.440
The second you have a year where it's like a downward slope,
00:21:31.980
even from a pretty healthy growth rate the previous years,
00:21:57.000
Yeah, so the Portland company might be losing money
00:22:04.920
And so you couldn't sell it on the EBITDA multiple.
00:22:09.060
And they turn around, and they can make a profit from it.
00:22:24.540
Like, it's a lot harder work to sell a company that's on the down
00:22:29.620
It's like, oh, we'll turn around like six months from now,
00:22:31.560
but you should buy it before we actually check that out.
00:22:56.660
I think a high growth business like ConvertKit, no idea.
00:23:02.660
I think usually what happens is, or anecdotally anyway,
00:23:12.500
they try partnerships, they try influencer marketing,
00:23:15.140
they try referral marketing, you know, whatever they try.
00:23:17.440
And then they find one channel that works just a shit ton
00:23:20.260
better than everything else, and then they just
00:23:26.220
Like, you know, I used to do due diligence work
00:23:28.900
for private equity, and you'd see like a $50 to $100 million
00:23:32.940
e-commerce company, and they had one thing that worked.
00:23:35.420
Like, it could be like Google Ads, like all we care about.
00:23:51.960
but what is the actual cost of acquisition here?
00:23:59.160
And he's just like, I don't know, but CPC needs
00:24:05.900
He was just throwing money at this one channel.
00:24:09.020
Like, I don't think that's necessarily the best in the world.
00:24:13.460
of not diluting your focus and doing 15 things.
00:24:21.960
You might as well, you know, put $100 in to get $500 back.
00:24:28.400
And then what about the founders, like the tiny seed founders?
00:24:30.980
Like, you know, what if they, I guess you have equity.
00:24:37.760
But I guess you want them to not do side projects,
00:24:44.240
So there's an understanding that this is now your primary thing.
00:24:51.860
There are some people who come to us and say like, yeah,
00:24:57.280
And then I still want to keep this profitable side.
00:25:07.520
We're going to do 10 to 12 in the next couple of weeks.
00:25:12.120
And then we'll do another cohort this time next year,
00:25:17.400
And then, yeah, I'll be on the streets fundraising for fun,
00:25:20.400
And do you think there's a lot of brokers out there that
00:25:25.240
are part, like, do you think there's traditional guys
00:25:29.080
that used to do, like, are they getting into the SaaS space?
00:25:32.220
Like, is that growing in regards to the people?
00:25:38.880
I mean, part of the reason why discretion capital works
00:25:43.000
is because we take the kind of deals that, you know,
00:25:55.600
Versus we can do, like, sub-20 million, no problem.
00:26:05.980
But I think, yeah, I mean, there hasn't been too much qualified competition in the space so far.
00:26:12.960
So you guys with Tiny Seed fund and then discretion capital will also represent them on a sell-side transaction?
00:26:26.920
So one of my pet peeves in the sort of spaces, and this happens in Silicon Valley a bit,
00:26:30.600
is like you have a company that maybe is venture-funded,
00:26:36.120
but it's clearly not going to be a big unicorn type thing.
00:26:40.960
because they don't want to go to the board meetings.
00:26:44.280
And so they will say, like, I just go to sell to that guy
00:26:56.240
which, you know, that's the difference between like,
00:27:00.400
or I can afford to buy a house in the Bay Area.
00:27:24.400
with these different options, like the equity versus the debt?
00:27:33.700
doing with TinySeed, so you should take my advice 100%.
00:27:39.980
I think I can see, I can imagine scenarios where like,
00:27:44.580
say the TinySeed companies, they get the end of the year.
00:27:47.840
But evaluate both, like the other company mentioned earlier.
00:27:52.300
You've got those guys that are doing later stage,
00:27:57.260
or buyout their position if you don't want to sell.
00:28:11.280
and I don't know why they apply to us or contact us
00:28:13.760
just to tell us that they don't want our money,
00:28:30.300
I don't want to give anything whatsoever back to my company.
00:28:32.740
I just want to own it 100%, in which case, yeah, do that.
00:28:42.980
like lighter capital, Timur capital, it's a good thing.
00:28:53.040
is that some of them actually you should make sure
00:28:54.640
that they don't actually take personal guarantees.
00:28:58.140
Like, somewhere in their terms, it's like, you know,
00:29:02.560
And there are some, like, this is partly the reason
00:29:05.820
we ended up with equity is, like, it's pretty straightforward.
00:29:08.000
Like, we own 8% or 12% of your company and done.
00:29:14.340
of finickety documents or, like, you sort of have to work out,
00:29:21.920
it's like, well, how come you own 28% of my company?
00:29:24.120
Why is this backed by mortgage-backed securities?
00:29:27.080
So I think that's the thing to look at with the actual thing
00:29:30.180
and actually understand what things are you actually
00:29:41.900
And are these like some of these debt products,
00:29:45.340
like some of these companies were almost like lead gen
00:29:57.180
And I think, again, that has to do with the fact
00:29:59.640
that there's just a lot more money in this space.
00:30:03.240
And I think a lot of them are really good options.
00:30:10.820
because what happens in a bunch of different scenarios.
00:30:17.140
are pretty convinced that things are just going to go
00:30:24.240
to say, what happens if growth slows a little bit?
00:30:30.840
Because some of these firms are dependent upon the growth
00:30:39.480
they actually take a substantially larger chunk,
00:30:44.580
Yeah, and it could get to the point where they need to get,
00:30:47.220
now, because you are not as profitable growing as fast,
00:30:50.340
they need to get paid back quicker, which is a double whammy.
00:30:55.400
And then, hey, I can add some fuel to the fire.
00:31:05.440
Especially if you plan on doing some kind of financing.
00:31:13.280
But I think, in terms of answering your question,
00:31:15.760
I think that people, it's a personality thing more than anything else.
00:31:18.680
Some people really want to own 100% of the company.
00:31:25.140
then put it off the table for you, which is great.
00:31:29.740
you might have to personally guarantee some stuff.
00:31:33.080
It turns out nobody gives you cash for free, sadly.
00:31:37.300
What do you think of events like some of these big SaaS
00:31:45.260
We're here in New York at LTVConf, a lot of sassy people.
00:31:54.500
and people are going to be a little bit more less
00:32:06.540
Like, I'm like, it's, you know, I'm not buying at that price.
00:32:18.360
I thought we could do like 4 to 6x revenue or 4 to 6x EBITDA.
00:32:23.480
And I'm like, yeah, no, not for like, you know,
00:32:25.900
you can't buy a $2 million SaaS business for 4 to 6x EBITDA.
00:32:37.360
I think it's more a realization of like, this is given how churn works,
00:32:41.360
given how the recurring revenue, the value of those cash streams,
00:32:45.600
yeah um but like talking about the events i was you know you know i'm a big fan of microconf
00:32:50.960
obviously i you know i quite like ltv for the first time i've been here yeah it's been great
00:32:54.960
um but like like like i went to saster which is only 25 minutes from my house somebody called it
00:33:00.200
the uh tech refugee for what was it called because i guess the year before last everybody was eating
00:33:04.360
on the ground like oh okay yeah it was just like too many was a fire festival yeah yeah it was like
00:33:10.880
a fire festival whatever i watched i watched the fire festival commentary the documentary and i
00:33:17.760
was like this this guy could be in silicon well yeah how bad does he want i need some water exactly
00:33:24.720
anyway so yeah no i went to saster i think saster is too big for me i was you know i was i it was
00:33:30.500
so big i was wandering around like you know what the hell's going on here and then i you know i
00:33:34.340
didn't realize that there was a downstairs until day two or something and and i went to the
00:33:38.760
downstairs one and actually like this is uh you know we're in a reasonably sized room here but
00:33:42.380
it was you know the small rooms the talks were tactical and helpful and stuff whereas the big
00:33:46.120
rooms it was like it's pretty clear it's like one sponsor was talking to another sponsor about how
00:33:51.360
great they were yeah and i was like why is there 500 seats here to listen to this because i don't
00:33:55.740
need to know that so and so cloud was really facilitated the transition to the cloud to
00:34:00.820
acme corp like the fuck do i care yeah and and you know i think that was the main complaint
00:34:05.540
And that and like, and this is sort of a pet peeve.
00:34:10.140
Like, you go to Saster and there was a lot of companies
00:34:14.600
But they weren't companies selling to other SaaS companies.
00:34:21.980
I guess they got to spend their marketing budget on something.
00:34:35.360
People are excited, and they're just doing stuff
00:34:43.800
I mean, I get to talk to a lot of Bootstrap founders.
00:34:46.820
And the best ones, I feel, are just like heads down
00:34:51.520
looking for tactical stuff to add to their quiver.
00:35:02.680
involved in kind of like the due diligence side.
00:35:25.600
a guy I have a lot of respect for is Justin Kahn.
00:35:31.640
I remember him from the vice he did when he was walking around with his thing.
00:35:40.780
Yeah, and it's like, essentially what he does with Atrium as a play is to say,
00:35:46.940
And then we can sort of have tech in place in order to do that.
00:35:50.760
And it was looking at that is what made me start,
00:35:55.120
once people came out of the woodwork and was like,
00:36:01.640
But it was that which sort of influenced sort of my decision
00:36:09.420
And I think we have a, and what ended up happening was
00:36:15.020
okay, you have this company to, you know, does X, Y, Z.
00:36:30.900
that you can find the person willing to pay the most,
00:36:43.660
giving them access to exactly the same databases.
00:36:52.640
essentially, without going into too much detail,
00:37:05.640
where this specific company would be a good fit.
00:37:09.020
And this is the person who did the loudest deal.
00:37:19.960
So I called a bunch of boutique investment guys.
00:37:24.160
And they're like, yeah, I don't know that I would pay.
00:37:28.540
And I was like, this is far too valuable for $200 a month.
00:37:33.060
I actually don't know how well it works outside of, like, my subfield.
00:37:38.900
I don't know if it would work for, like, you know, plumber roll-ups in the Midwest or something.
00:37:45.880
It means I don't have to pay three MBAs who have giant student loans, you know.
00:37:55.640
or I'm extremely quiet on Twitter at anervalset.
00:38:04.740
Thanks for watching this episode of Escape Velocity.
00:38:07.940
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00:38:10.700
with your biggest insight from our conversation.