00:18:25.000And I remember the same night saying, It's not over by a long shot.
00:18:28.000You know, I mean, we hadn't seen it when they first put it out, but.
00:18:31.000It's like, unless the U.S. and Iran have just completely changed fundamentally how the state is constituted, then you're still not going to get a deal.
00:18:40.000And so it's blowing up literally on every single front.
00:18:44.000Every one of the issues is now blown up.
00:18:55.000And now we're entering just like phase two of what we were in before, which is technically a ceasefire, but we're still in a state of war.
00:19:02.000Yeah, and you know, the crazy part is, is like, you know, this all started to unravel.
00:19:07.000I hate to blame Israel, but like, it really is like they were the first ones to, like, that once that started unraveling, that's what, you know, opened the door for them to start bombing each other again.
00:19:18.000And, you know, it's kind of interesting because I think, I know you had mentioned this, I had mentioned it.
00:19:23.000Like, it's almost as if, like, because people say all the time, well, why is Iran so dead set on making sure that this conflict in Lebanon ends, right?
00:19:32.000Like, why not just focus on Iran and everything else like that?
00:19:36.000One, obviously, is because Hezbollah is their most capable fighting force, right?
00:19:41.000They're the ones that have the most experience fighting the IDF on the ground, right?
00:19:44.000And they've been able to repel them a couple of times.
00:19:46.000And then, number two, and I heard you say this, I was like, that's actually very true.
00:19:50.000It almost forces a wedge between the United States and Israel to kind of expose, honestly, how little power we have.
00:19:59.000What are your general thoughts on that?
00:20:00.000Because when you made that mention, I was like, this is actually really good because it shows a huge weakness that we have in foreign policy that we really can't reel these guys in.
00:20:09.000As much as Trump might have this tough rhetoric of like, they'll listen to me and all this other shit, it's not true.
00:20:16.000I would say that, you know, because the question is why would Iran insist upon ceasefire in Lebanon as a condition for the ceasefire?
00:20:24.000And you could say first that, like you said, Hezbollah is a very powerful, it's really a part of their strategic deterrence against Israel.
00:20:31.000There's three things Iran uses to deter Israeli aggression, and that's the nuclear hedge, it's the ballistic missiles, and it's the proxies, because all of those function as a second strike.
00:20:42.000If Israel strikes Iran such that the regime is decapitated or it decimates Iran, there's three ways that Iran could then retaliate to ensure that Israel would never do a first strike.
00:20:52.000And that's that Iran might then nuke them.
00:20:55.000Two, that Iran would send thousands of ballistic missiles, overwhelm air defenses, and destroy Israel with the conventional arsenal.
00:21:02.000And then the third is even if Iran was completely decimated, no missiles, no nukes, then Hezbollah could always finish the job.
00:21:08.000They could launch their 150,000 rockets.
00:21:11.000Now it's a much smaller arsenal, but they'd launch them all at once.
00:21:14.000Israel would be decimated that way too.
00:21:16.000So, you could say, one, Iran really needs Hezbollah to be protected as a check on Israel.
00:21:22.000Two, you could say, and I think this is interesting also, does Iran want a ceasefire?
00:21:28.000I don't even think Iran needs or wants a ceasefire.
00:21:30.000They actually, it's in their interest for the war to go on longer because the longer that the war goes on, it is an economic catastrophe for the United States.
00:21:38.000And the more painful economically it is for the U.S., it does two things.
00:21:43.000One, it prevents the U.S. from continuing the war and more likely that they'll want to withdraw.
00:21:48.000But, two, it prevents the U.S. from continuing the war and more likely that they'll want to withdraw.
00:21:51.000Conflict, it deters a future conflict because, especially for the U.S. consumer and voter, but also for the whole world, if the U.S. ever feels like invading Israel or, excuse me, invading Iran ever again, everyone is going to say, oh, and we're going to cause another global depression like the last time.
00:22:07.000So it benefits Iran actually for this to really hurt the United States.
00:22:12.000And that's how they strategically defeat us the economics.
00:22:15.000But like you said, I think there's maybe another, there's maybe a more subtle play, which is if you condition the ceasefire, or rather, if you condition The opening of the strait on a ceasefire in Lebanon, you pit those two interests against each other because these are imperatives.
00:22:30.000It's imperative for Israel's grand strategy, their entire playbook, to occupy Lebanon.
00:26:21.000To kind of circumvent Russia's influence on gas.
00:26:24.000So the fact that they destroyed that gas inevitably forced everybody to go back to Putin and say, oh, can we get the cheap gas again from Russia?
00:26:31.000And he was able to bring the prices up, and now they're making money handover fizz, especially with the oil, too.
00:26:36.000And they said that that's going to be out of commission if we stop the war now for at least a year.
00:27:18.000They would prefer it's a different regime, but they're ambivalent.
00:27:21.000What they really care about is non proliferation of nuclear weapons.
00:27:24.000If we could get no nukes or no enrichment, but keep the Iranian regime, we'd take that deal.
00:27:30.000And so, what Iran is doing is they're driving a wedge between the U.S. and Israel on the conflict, Lebanon versus the Strait, but also even on that nuclear issue.
00:27:39.000And if they can divide up the U.S. and Israel, Israel can't do regime change alone.
00:27:45.000So, it's actually imperative for Iran to deprive Israel of their ally, the United States, to carry out their goal, which is the regime change.
00:27:53.000So, I think that's maybe like a subtle 5D chess thing that Iran is doing because realistically, If Iran really needed the war to end, would they insist upon a ceasefire in Lebanon?
00:28:04.000I mean, maybe not necessarily, but I think they're throwing that out there because then it puts the U.S. in the position where to get the, you know, Iran, we have a deal with them.
00:28:12.000Now we need to put pressure on Israel to uphold the deal.
00:30:22.000They did some deal where if the tariffs were refunded, that they were going to profit from that financially or something like that.
00:30:29.000And that's exactly what happened the Supreme Court overturned the emergency tariffs and now they got to be refunded.
00:30:35.000And I think there's some financial interest then that Howard Lutnick gets because of that.
00:30:38.000I don't remember all the details, but the biggest thing is in DHS where Christy Nome, though allegedly is dating Corey Lewandowski, and there was some kind of thing where they're getting favorable contracts through DHS for people that they know, is kind of the Basic, that's the gist of it.
00:30:55.000The Wall Street Journal was on to them.
00:32:43.000And then obviously the Epstein file thing was like really bad because like both Cash and Bongino were talking about this extensively before getting on.
00:32:54.000So for like them to have the Epstein debacle, it was like, oh, and then obviously he's going to take a credibility hit because it's like, well, you got to go back to broadcasting after this.
00:33:20.000And obviously, I think his wife was still running the show, but she's not going to be able to pull in the same numbers and everything else, like that.
00:33:44.000And even he's not really the boss because Pam Bondi is.
00:33:46.000And then the other thing about the Epstein files, why it kind of killed them was, and I was saying this forever the FBI only has a segment of the files.
00:33:56.000Like Epstein had a criminal case that was run by the FBI, but he also, we know he was like an intel asset for a foreign country.
00:34:05.000So you know the CIA is going to have a file, the DEI is going to have a file, NSA, all these different intelligence components are going to have a file on Epstein.
00:34:13.000Well, Pam Bondi has no power over these guys.
00:34:15.000And cash doesn't have any power over these guys.
00:34:17.000So, even if they were to be transparent, and here's everything we got at DOJ, the other intel agency could say, well, we don't want to share.
00:34:24.000And then, boom, they take the hit because most Americans don't know that the government is extremely bureaucratic and compartmentalized, where it's like one agency might release everything, but another one might say, no, we're not going to.
00:34:36.000Or the FBI might have information from the CIA, but they can't put it out publicly because it's not their info.
00:34:41.000And they have to get a third agency rule like, oh, can I declassify this?
00:35:49.000But the thing, even about Pam Bondi, She wasn't even actually the worst because a lot of the really MAGA people in DOJ said Bondi would actually let the more Trump loyal people do these indictments.
00:36:02.000They were working on some big indictments.
00:36:04.000And when Todd Blanche got in, they shut it all down.
00:36:06.000Like Blanche is actually worse than Bondi.
00:36:09.000As bad as Bondi is, and she's terrible and she fucking sucks, Blanche is even worse.
00:36:28.000Yeah, because I knew people working in Trump admin number one, and what they would say about how government works in the White House, in the admin, is basically it comes down to if two very low level bureaucrats disagree, it gets kicked up.
00:36:43.000If those middle level bureaucrats disagree, it gets kicked up.
00:36:47.000And it keeps getting kicked up until it gets like cabinet level, and then it goes up to the president.
00:36:51.000And so it's really about these people that are in kind of like the middle and lower positions.
00:36:55.000You know, are they going to be able to have the discretion to do what they need to do?
00:36:58.000That's really what it comes down to in a lot of these situations.
00:37:01.000And so, someone like Pam Bondi, she was actually doing her job in a sense that she was letting the underlings who are MAGA work on the indictments.
00:37:10.000And there's actually some good stuff coming down the pike, but then she gets kicked out.
00:37:14.000She was a little bit more laissez faire.
00:37:16.000She wasn't intervening to shut these things down, she wasn't as activist.
00:37:20.000But now that Blanche is in, he's much more strict about what they're able to do.
00:37:24.000And he doesn't believe really in that.
00:37:25.000He doesn't believe in doing all the indictments.
00:37:27.000So that's gotten a lot slower and basically shut down.
00:37:30.000Like nothing new's coming with Blanche in charge.
00:37:32.000That makes perfect sense because you think about it.
00:38:34.000And, Brett, can you double check for me real quick?
00:38:37.000I think he was a part of Trump's legal team when he was dealing with the document case out of New York when they indicted him the first time.
00:38:48.000But, like, yeah, so, no, because it really got me to thinking.
00:38:50.000I was like, damn, like, all these people are going down.
00:38:52.000So, like, yeah, Cash had the issues that he had, like drinking alcohol too much, partying, taking a jet around, his girlfriend getting a security detail, you know, the Epstein files, Pambani, same thing.
00:39:06.000And, you know, Bongino being the number two guy, he was like, I got to get the fuck up out of here.
00:40:14.000Like, we don't like his policies or whatever.
00:40:16.000He's owned by the Jays and everything else.
00:40:17.000But I think we can both say, so is Netanyahu, is a refined politician.
00:40:21.000Uh, politician, yeah, you know, because he's.
00:40:23.000I think the one thing that like Netanyahu can do is he can blend every time I watch his speeches.
00:40:28.000I'm like, this guy, all this guy does is like make Israel's problems America's problems, you know, yeah, we kill these terrorists today, blah blah blah.
00:40:35.000Oh, by the way, they were trying to target you guys too.
00:40:36.000Like, it's like he's able to always like bring in Israeli issues and somehow make them American issues and show either like what we're doing here benefits you guys as well.
00:40:44.000And I think that's something that really only he's been able to do.
00:40:47.000Like, I don't think any other Israeli prime minister has been able to like, you know.
00:40:51.000Use Israel problems andor justify U.S. aid so much as to, like, we're taking care of the problem for you guys.
00:41:26.000I told people would be like this because at the end of the day, Trump is just incompetent.
00:41:30.000You know, what so many people ascribe to malice, you could easily ascribe it to incompetence.
00:41:34.000They just don't know what they're doing.
00:41:36.000It's so classic because, you know, Trump, the first term, everybody said, well, he couldn't get his agenda through because the personnel were terrible.
00:41:52.000They said, you know, because in 16, Trump had this website called greatagain.org where they were soliciting people to volunteer to work in his administration from like everywhere, as opposed to these like swamp creature, you know, alumni from the different Republican campaigns or the Bush admin.
00:42:07.000So, they had this website called greatagain.org where they said, send us your resume.
00:42:11.000You could come and work in the government, be part of the revolution.
00:42:15.000And of course, you know, then they brought in like Jeb Bush alum, Rubio alum, Cruz alum, and those people all hated Trump.
00:42:22.000We used to joke in DC back in those days if you had worked for the Trump campaign, it made you less likely to get a job in the Trump White House.
00:42:30.000They'd say, oh, you worked for the Trump campaign?
00:44:11.000It was two things it was a white paper, a policy, a 93 page white paper where they said, This is what we're going to do in every department and agency, how we're going to make America great again.
00:44:20.000And that's what got the headlines because people said it's very radical.
00:44:23.000Democrats freaked out when they saw it.
00:44:49.000They put together a database of like, you know, very.
00:44:52.000Trump loyal, ideologically America first people that they were going to use Schedule F, reclassify a bunch of federal workers, fire them, you know, because a lot of them have these protections.
00:45:03.000You know, an incoming administration can only hire and fire about 5,000 people.
00:45:08.000If you reclassify a lot of the workers, you can fire like up to 50,000.
00:45:12.000And so the idea was we're going to fire 50,000 people.
00:45:14.000Some of them we're just not even going to replace, but the ones that we do, we're going to replace them with guys that are vetted, guys that are loyal to Trump, loyal to the agenda.
00:45:22.000And what Trump said in like, January 23, and then into 24, as he said, no, Project 2025 has no control over that.
00:45:31.000He said, I want them to work with America First Policy Institute, AFPI, which was, that's like the official MAGA think tank.
00:45:38.000It's run by Brooke Rollins, who's now the Secretary of Agriculture.
00:46:05.000Because at that point, it was about June 24, I said, it's very clear what direction this is going to go in, and it's going to be just like the first term.
00:46:12.000A lot of bad personnel, not enough good personnel.
00:46:14.000But moreover, it's like Trump's judgment is compromised.
00:47:19.000And I think this is what actually fractured the base, made so many people say, no, this Iran war is highly unpopular.
00:47:24.000Even people that like voted for him and supported him.
00:47:27.000Because like from my perspective, I voted mostly for foreign policy and then obviously for the immigration.
00:47:33.000Like, because I was like, I agree with you with what we were talking about yesterday.
00:47:37.000Donald Trump is probably one of the only presidents that can actually do deportations because everyone is terrified.
00:47:42.000And I can say this from like, My background with like working with ICE.
00:47:45.000The thing that used to always mess us up when we did deportations was interior enforcement because you got to deal with the sanctuary cities, you got to deal with the mayor, you got to deal with the police department.
00:47:54.000I vividly remember so many times I'd go to Austin, Texas, we'd have rest warrants for people.
00:48:49.000You know, Alex Freddie had a gun on him.
00:48:50.000The other chick tried to run a guy over.
00:48:52.000Like, you know, obviously the Democrats were putting an enormous amount of pressure.
00:48:55.000But it kills me because I noticed that he kind of took his foot off the gas with the mass deportations to open up political leeway for the Iran war.
00:49:04.000Like, that's when I was like, you're dropping doing the immigration.
00:49:08.000The first president that actually has the balls to go in, do interior enforcement, something that I've never seen ever by any administration, you know, using Border Patrol, using ICE, using FBI agents, like shit that I've never seen before.
00:49:20.000Using FBI agents to do immigration is nuts, right?
00:49:22.000Because, like, they never want to do anything, those guys.
00:49:24.000They're so fucking lazy, but that's a whole other conversation.
00:49:27.000So, when I saw that, I was like, great.
00:49:29.000Like, we're actually going to get some interior enforcement.
00:49:30.000Finally, they're going to stop these sanctuary cities, dude.
00:49:32.000Because, like, I feel like I'm going through PTSD right now.
00:49:36.000Dude, I can't tell you how many times, Nick, like, I would literally be having, we'd be looking for somebody.
00:49:40.000We'd ask the state locals to help, and they'd say no.
00:51:14.000You know, Hitler, and it's not to like glaze Hitler or whatever, but you recognize that Hitler was like a unique figure in the sense that he was compelled by destiny and a vision.
00:51:38.000Like, obviously, he's like a smart guy.
00:51:40.000He'd have to be smart to be president, but he does not have that political talent.
00:51:44.000He doesn't have that genius because what you would have done in that situation is we're going to go into the sanctuary cities, we're going to arrest and deport everybody.
00:51:53.000Oh, are Antifa and left wing protesters interfering?
00:51:56.000We're going to bring in the National Guard and crush them.
00:51:58.000And it's like create the crisis, solve the crisis.
00:53:15.000What they should have done too in the Senate get rid of the filibuster.
00:53:19.000Get rid of the filibuster, pass the SAVE Act, pass the SAVE Act, have mandatory voter ID.
00:53:24.000Don't have to worry about the midterms.
00:53:26.000Get all the Republicans in line to do the redistricting or the, what do you call it, gerrymandering to get as many of those seats as possible out of those Republican states.
00:53:40.000You see, this is how you need to be thinking, but it's like, think about all these opportunities that are wasted from COVID and BLM in the first term, which you could have used, to this in the second term.
00:53:49.000You could nuke the filibuster, do voter ID.
00:54:09.000She was focusing more on dressing up as one day as an ICE deportation officer, another day as a CBB officer, another day as a Border Patrol agent.
00:54:20.000And here's the other thing, too, because I noticed when you were saying before, the people that were incompetent, notice how they came from the state government.
00:54:26.000And then the people that were tend to be a little bit more competent, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, they were already federal.
00:54:31.000So, you know, and then you put someone who's like a governor of, what, North Dakota or South Dakota, if I'm not mistaken, Christy Nome, as, you know, the secretary of DHS.
00:54:39.000Of course she's not going to know what she's doing.
00:54:41.000And, you know, and the thing also is like, I think the biggest issue was that, like, he stopped doing the mass deportations and he stopped doing the ICE stuff to create, like, political leeway for himself for Iran.
00:54:53.000Because he knew that the ICE raids were unpopular.
00:54:55.000So he's like, okay, let me just, like, Let me listen to these fucking losers complaining and then like stop that a little bit so I can get more.
00:55:02.000I don't even think that's true because they were talking about winding that down in December, actually.
00:55:07.000Okay, so you don't even think the Around the War played a role in that?
00:55:09.000No, I think because the earliest signals, I had been talking about it on my show, the earliest signals were coming in like December.
00:56:13.000And the reason it was is because they just looked at the polling and they said, we're getting killed with Hispanics and we're getting just killed in general.
00:56:20.000And if we want to win in the midterms, we just got to back off.
00:56:23.000I think that they thought Iran would be popular.
00:57:51.000You know, they would come to the table, but we have no leverage.
00:57:54.000They, they're not in any rush to do that because they're winning.
00:57:57.000And this is, they know this is hurting us.
00:57:59.000And they know that we're on a, a clock that they are not an economic clock and a political clock that they, you know, they really, and you said it earlier, Iran has been under a sanctions regime.
00:58:08.000We have this little nicky-knack blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
00:58:11.000We say we're going to be doing economic damage to them by depriving them of their imports and exports.
00:58:30.000And you know, the other crazy thing, also, with that whole like Hezbollah thing is like, oh, yeah, they're over here like killing the protest or whatever.
00:58:35.000I'm like, yo, like they're going to side with their government over us.
00:58:39.000Like the only, it's actually, that's another thing that annoyed me.
00:58:42.000What are your thoughts on like these diaspora?
00:58:52.000It's like, You guys are kind of out of touch.
00:58:54.000Like, you know, PBD talks about this shit like all the time, like, oh, the regime and the mullahs.
00:58:58.000And I'm like, okay, you don't have to like the Ayatollah or whatever, but I would argue that the people now are definitely backing the government more than like, you know, having the shot come back.
00:59:07.000Because it's like, they're dropping bombs on them.
00:59:09.000Like, Trump's talking about like, we're going to send them back to the Stone Age.
00:59:12.000Like, you know, oh, yeah, they like when we drop bombs on them.
00:59:15.000Like, I've seen them like protesting, getting bombed, and then they shout, yeah, hello, oh, yeah, we're getting attacked.
00:59:20.000It's like, they're like not scared to die almost.
00:59:21.000So it's like, this is a different culture, right?
00:59:23.000And it's just like, whenever people say, like, oh, oh, yeah, they want us to bomb them or they want us to do a I don't know about that one, dude.
00:59:29.000I don't think they like us too much in Israel.
01:01:00.000We could, let's talk about poker real quick since we're talking about the topic of people, because we're talking about the people that got charged.
01:01:07.000Uh, can we pull up the Bolton thing real quick?
01:01:08.000Jump on, and also, guys, we're gonna go over to kick.
01:01:13.000Come on over to kickkick.com slash Myron Gaines X. I'm going to end everything except for kick.
01:01:17.000So if you're watching on Twitter or whatever, come on over to kickkick.com slash Myron Gaines X, guys.
01:01:20.000That's like my main streaming platform now.
01:01:22.000So, and then we'll go over and we have a clip here with John Bolton, and then we'll get into like some of the actual stuff going on with the conflict.
01:01:29.000But, yeah, dude, I think this is going to be very bad for Trump when it comes to what's going on with the midterms.
01:01:36.000I mean, I think obviously we're going to lose, but like, but it's not just a loss.
01:01:40.000It's like a loss, and I think they're going to be out for blood.
01:01:44.000Well, and that's really the whole thing is I said this even to Tucker.
01:01:48.000It's one of the few things we agreed on is when Trump does a half measure, even by winning, all you're doing is pissing off the other side.
01:03:22.000And if the Democrats had stayed in, they would have been flaccid.
01:03:24.000Now that Democrats are looking very strong in 2028, they're coming back with a vengeance because everyone's pissed at Trump.
01:03:31.000Everyone's got a reason from the Massey stuff to the Epstein files, Iran, the bureaucratic incompetence slash corruption, every way, the inflation, every way you cut it, the Democrats are going to be empowered by being negative.
01:03:46.000And now that we've had four years of Trump basically messing everything up, now they're going to come back with a vengeance, like literally with a vengeance.
01:05:43.000They're actually like in New Jersey, they were protesting against ICE for weeks in front of the thing like, oh, there's no human things here.
01:05:49.000We're going to go ahead and complain in New Jersey.
01:05:52.000The BLM has been a bit more active with them protesting.
01:05:57.000Look at what happened with Carmella Anthony, right?
01:06:00.000And then also with Antifa, I've been saying this forever.
01:06:06.000Like, it's crazy to me how it took Charlie Kirk getting shot for like, The Trump administration to finally take Antifa seriously and make them a terrorist organization.
01:06:14.000I'm still waiting for them to make BLM a terrorist organization.
01:06:16.000They should make them that organization as well.
01:06:19.000And yeah, man, they've just been out radical.
01:06:22.000And then the left already is totally cool with protesting, hitting the streets, the Free Palestine Movement.
01:07:36.000And like if Trump were going to be successful, to your point about Antifa, the only way that Trump would have been effective and worth it for him to hold office these four years is if he did a few things.
01:07:48.000Like one, He should be protecting right wingers on social media and in banking.
01:08:09.000He's done something against debanking.
01:08:12.000And they should have found a way to get right wing people a sinecure in government.
01:08:15.000All these left wing activists are funded by NGOs through the State Department.
01:08:21.000National Endowment for Democracy and stuff like that.
01:08:23.000All the NGOs, that's basically a funnel to get that money into left wing activist organizations.
01:08:29.000Atlanta Council, Atlanta Council is funded by the military.
01:08:31.000They pay guys like Jared Holt to call me a white nationalist on Twitter.
01:08:35.000It's like, so you should be creating institutions to be a sinecure and actually incubate the far right in the way that the far left has been incubated by the State Department.
01:08:54.000So they should have gotten rid of the censorship, the debanking.
01:08:57.000They should have been funding the right wing.
01:08:58.000And then on the other side, they should have been breaking the back of the left wing institutions, breaking the back of Antifa, their organization networks.
01:09:06.000They should have been going after, you know, arguably some of the left wing billionaires, the foreign financing for this stuff.
01:09:47.000So, John Bolton is now a felon after pleading guilty to unlawful retention of national defense information.
01:09:51.000He and his mustache have agreed to a $2.25 million fine, face up to 60 months of prison, and forfeit his pension.
01:09:58.000Let's play a little bit of it real quick and then we'll kind of react.
01:10:01.000So, this is, I guess, probably someone I'm assuming at the DOJ, probably U.S. Attorney.
01:10:05.000This morning, just moments ago, John Robert Bolton.
01:10:08.000The second pled guilty in federal court to the unlawful retention of national defense information.
01:10:16.000According to the terms of the plea agreement, Mr. Bolton faces a maximum sentence of up to five years in prison, followed by a term of up to three years of supervised release.
01:10:29.000He will also pay a fine of $2.25 million and will forfeit his pension under the HIS Act.
01:10:40.000As national security advisor to the president of the United States, he's going to talk about how he had access to some of the most classified stuff.
01:11:23.000Yeah, because he was going against some of the, like, he wasn't in favor of the withdrawal from Syria and some of the other stuff.
01:11:28.000But, you know, they brought Bolton in.
01:11:30.000Bolton was actually the architect of our Venezuela policy, maximum pressure campaign against Venezuela, which is what created the refugee crisis, which is why they're all fucking here.
01:12:53.000This is governing by press conference, where Trump is going to put out a press release and a press conference, and they're going to make these big pronouncements like she did last year.
01:13:37.000What's your thoughts on her talking about how Fauci was involved with the whole COVID thing and how he kind of, you know, with the wound up?
01:13:53.000I mean, ironically, all the people, maybe not ironic, that's the wrong word for it, but Trump is only going after his like personal enemies, the people who like wrote books about him, the people he like doesn't, you know.
01:14:03.000These people like James Comey, how much power does James Comey really have?
01:14:07.000And symbolically, I mean, what does James Comey really represent other than that?
01:14:10.00086, like that, which that was so lame.
01:14:12.000Like, you went after him for that thing with the Instagram post.
01:14:15.000I get it, like, because look, a part of me is like, I understand because, dude, Trump was in a really bad spot, like 22, 23.
01:14:23.000Like, and I even, for me, like, I remember the case that worried me the most.
01:14:27.000Because at the end of the day, like, I think me and you both, like, we might be pissed off with Iran or whatever, but we like Donald Trump.
01:14:45.000And the thing that was, I was like, in my head, I was like, no, he's going to be cooked, is because NDI, which is exactly what they got with John Bolton, it doesn't matter how it's classified.
01:14:53.000If it's military information, it's national defense information, cooked.
01:14:56.000It doesn't matter what the classification is.
01:18:19.000And I think for Trump, it's just been more about, like, you know, competing against him, like trying to get a better deal, trying to be a better president.
01:18:43.000I think it was right around that night that he was making fun of Trump and they were running the operation for getting bin Laden.
01:18:49.000And I mean, I don't know if that's the exactly thing, but a lot of people say, like, that's kind of when Trump said, I'm going to fucking run and get this guy.
01:24:13.000Because that clip was funny, but then to people juxtapose that clip with Trump being inaugurated in 2016 and Obama sitting in the audience, it's just like, that is actually legendary.
01:24:46.000I think that's overstated how much that really impacted it.
01:24:48.000Yeah, because, you know, he was talking about running for president for like 30 years.
01:24:52.000You know, he's going to run for the Reform Party nomination, I think, in 2000.
01:24:56.000He did actually something in New Hampshire, I think, in 1992.
01:24:59.000Or in '96, if I'm not mistaken, they set up some like, yeah, because back in '16, when he was originally running, I was like a big Trump guy and knew everything.
01:25:10.000Yeah, so he did something in New Hampshire teasing a Republican run in the '90s.
01:25:14.000He did the reform, flirted with the Reform Party run in 2000.
01:25:18.000That's why he called Buchanan a Hitler lover.
01:26:12.000Because it's like he's like, because like there's obviously business elements of like a business mindset that will, you know, be great as being like a political leader.
01:26:20.000But at the same time, there's like things there that like you might not necessarily think about, right?
01:26:24.000Because you have to be fairly cerebral and tactical with some of the things that you do politically that he, you know, might not be as refined as he is.
01:26:38.000It almost makes you remember why it's so interesting because when you contrast the Trump of 2016 from now, You, we really forget what it was like.
01:26:46.000It's been so long and so much has happened, and people have grown up under Trumpism that we've like lost touch with what it was really like in 2016.
01:26:54.000Not only what it was like with like Trumpism in its ascendancy, but also what it was like with the left.
01:26:59.000I feel like a lot of these younger kids, especially now, you know, kids that are 18 now or kids that grew up under Trump, like they never knew the Obama years.
01:28:24.000They just like forget the texture of life.
01:28:26.000Now that Trump is in office, the culture's totally different.
01:28:30.000Like what's acceptable and how far right things have moved.
01:28:34.000And I almost wonder how positive that is because of that amnesia.
01:28:37.000I feel like that's what makes the pendulum go back in the other direction.
01:28:40.000Because people have kind of gotten acclimated to like the new normal, which is Trumpism and like what's tolerated.
01:28:46.000And they forget what it was really like in the 2010s, which it was unbearable because it felt like.
01:28:52.000It felt like leftism was just inevitable.
01:28:54.000Like everything was going more left forever.
01:28:57.000You were always going to be surprised about, you know, first it was the gays, then it was the trannies, then everyone thought it was going to pedophilia.
01:29:04.000And it felt like that kind of momentum.
01:29:06.000There was a huge push for interracial marriage, too.
01:29:08.000A lot of people have noticed, like when Obama came in, there was a huge push for interracial relationships.
01:29:33.000Because, like, you know, Elon Musk being the most powerful man in the world and being like low key a white nationalist, that's kind of odd.
01:31:53.000So it goes So after they bombed them, here's their statement.
01:31:57.000During a joint missile and drone operation between 2 and 3 a.m. today, Sunday, July 28th, your brave sons in the naval and air force of the Revolutionary Guard launched ballistic missiles and drones at eight vital locations of the American Army at Ali al Salam Air Base in Kuwait and the 5th Fleet in Mina Salman, Bahrain, destroying them and firmly responding to the recent American aggression.
01:32:19.000Which is by nature a breaker of covenants and agreements, attacked five coastal sites belonging to the Islamic Republic at dawn today under the pretext of confronting the IRGC's naval forces against the violating ship.
01:32:31.000Based on the memorandum of understanding signed in Islamabad, the agreements, the arrangements for the regulating navigation in the Strait of Homus are the responsibility of the Islamic Republic.
01:32:42.000And from now on, violating ships will be dealt with more firmly than before.
01:32:46.000And any potential aggression by the enemy under any pretext, even if the aggression is directed against, Unimportant targets, as happened last night and tonight, will face an overwhelming response.
01:32:58.000In the last paragraph here, it says, or last sentence, the enemy must know that violating the ceasefire is a violation of Article 1 of the Memorandum of Understanding signed in Islamabad and will lead to a complete cessation of operations.
01:33:10.000So, what are your thoughts on that, Nick?
01:34:11.000So the Omani's are saying, We're going to let ships go without paying or asking permission.
01:34:15.000This is why the Iranians are now attacking the shipping.
01:34:18.000The Iranians started, I think, on Thursday, Friday, and then today, all the past three days, every single day, Iran has been attacking the tankers that are going through that route.
01:34:26.000To deter them from doing that so that they can monopolize the trade.
01:34:29.000Because if the strait is opened on the Omani side, then it's freedom of navigation and then Iran loses all their leverage.
01:34:34.000Because then obviously all the shipping is going to go there instead of asking the IRGC and then they can't charge the toll.
01:34:40.000So Iran has been attacking the shipping.
01:34:42.000In retaliation, the U.S. has been bombing Iran's southern coast.
01:34:46.000And the other thing that they're doing is they're sending a full escort package for one single tanker.
01:34:53.000I don't know if it was destined for Oman or if it originated in Oman, but there's a tanker that went through the strait from Oman.
01:34:59.000And they had a full package from the U.S.
01:35:00.000They had like Ospreys and drones and like a full air package to escort the ship from Bahrain through the Strait, sending a message to the Iranians, like, don't try to fuck with this Omani route anymore.
01:35:11.000So the Iranians then retaliated against the U.S., bombing Kuwait, bombing Bahrain.
01:35:16.000And now they're saying the MOU is off.
01:35:19.000They're saying we may just pull out of the thing altogether.
01:35:21.000And the Council of Jurists, the expert council, they came out and said, we should have never opened up the Strait.
01:35:29.000They said, we're never going to negotiate the nuclear file and we need a ceasefire in Lebanon.
01:35:33.000And so now they're saying, on that basis, of all three of those points, they're going to just pull out of the MOU and then that's it.
01:35:57.000This is a true social post right here for you guys.
01:35:59.000It says United States aircraft just struck Iranian missile and drone storage locations and coastal radar sites, providing a ceasefire agreement.
01:36:06.000Again, it is very possible that they will never learn.
01:36:09.000There may come a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable and will be forced to militarily complete.
01:36:16.000The job that we very successfully started.
01:36:19.000If that happens, the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist, President Donald J. Trump.
01:36:43.000The United States of America and the Islamic Republic and their allies in the current war by signing this MOU declared the immediate permanent termination of military operations on all fronts.
01:37:57.000Hamas hasn't disarmed, so they're going to keep attacking.
01:38:00.000But that's how I know, because I was watching somebody, I forget them.
01:38:05.000There was a bunch of Muslims that were pissed off about it.
01:38:07.000Because they looked at it like, well, Gaza is the reason that this war started, which allowed for all of this to begin to give Iran the opportunity that it has now.
01:38:19.000Because they look at it like, which I can understand their grievance, Gaza is the reason why everyone is against Israel now because of the mass murdering.
01:38:27.000So they looked at it like their suffering and their sacrifice is not being.
01:38:31.000Because they were the ones that created this, you know, the negative press for Israel, right?
01:38:38.000Can we pull it up real quick one more time?
01:38:42.000The final deal will confirm and refrain from the threat against force of each other, ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon.
01:38:49.000The final deal confirmed the permanent termination of a war on all fronts, including Lebanon.
01:38:52.000Okay, so this is what the first point that they're saying that they violated.
01:40:31.000You know, what military option is available now that wasn't available in April, that wasn't available, you know, when you threatened to annihilate Iranian civilization?
01:41:19.000That seems like the least likely of all that you're going to see a ground invasion of Iran or, you know, a tactical nuclear weapon or something.
01:41:25.000Because in order for us to have any military options, we would just need to qualitatively escalate in the types of weapons we're willing to use, you know, what kind of tactics we're willing to employ.
01:41:35.000So I just, I really don't see how this ends because it's literally if we want Iran to engage on our terms, it's a ground invasion, it's an escalation we're not prepared for.
01:41:47.000On the other hand, if we don't do that, Is there any scenario where Iran opens up the strait under our terms?
01:41:54.000And if they don't do that, then the economy completely falls apart.
01:41:57.000I remember what it was that I was going to ask you.
01:42:00.000Can you explain real quick to the audience the reason why the reserves and why that was probably one of the main factors for Trump to pull into, get this deal, even though it was very unfavorable to us in the first place?
01:44:30.000But they don't realize that just because, even if the war ended today, it doesn't mean that supply goes back to normal.
01:44:35.000Because it takes time for supply to increase again, it takes time to get those ships out of the strait.
01:44:40.000It's going to take time for them to build confidence to even go through the strait.
01:44:44.000And then, you know, the tankers are slow.
01:44:46.000It's going to take them 30 days to get to their destination.
01:44:48.000So it doesn't just go back to normal automatically.
01:44:51.000And it's not, we're not even there yet.
01:44:52.000You know, the strait isn't even open still.
01:44:54.000So, you know, the price seems to be out of touch with the economic reality.
01:44:58.000But the point is, no matter how much oil the U.S. makes, we're still competing for oil on a global market.
01:45:04.000It has to do with the type of oil that we are able to refine with our infrastructure, the type of oil that we make, the type of oil other countries make.
01:45:12.000All of our refining infrastructure on the southeast coast in Texas is built to refine.
01:45:18.000Heavy, sour crude oil that we thought we were going to get from Mexico and Venezuela.
01:45:23.000That's the type of oil in Mexico and Venezuela in the 1990s.
01:46:50.000Like, he was literally arguing me, like, saying, well, it's because, He's purposely doing this like 3D or 4D chess, keeping it straight closed so that we can dominate the energy market.
01:47:00.000And he has no incentive to open it up.
01:47:03.000And he's just like feigning diplomacy to get it open.
01:47:05.000I was like, no, dude, that's not what it is.
01:47:08.000Like, crash the world's energy market to do that and have Americans paying double for gas.
01:48:30.000What are your thoughts on that and what really went down when that happened?
01:48:34.000Because there are multiple different theories of what they think was going on.
01:48:38.000It was like maybe a failed black operation where they're trying to get the uranium.
01:48:42.000And then I ended up having to become a rescue mission because they had this fighter, this weapon system officer that was a colonel that was out there.
01:48:49.000What are your thoughts on that in general?
01:48:51.000Yeah, you know, I remember that case where they said that the F 15 was shot down and, you know, one of the pilots was stranded there in the mountains.
01:49:03.000And then in the end, there were two transport planes that got destroyed over there.
01:49:07.000And they said that what happened is the transport planes came, I think, not only to get the pilot, but to get the wreckage of the plane or something like that.
01:49:18.000And then there was this discrepancy about where the planes landed.
01:49:21.000And they said that it was closer to Iran's nuclear sites than it was to where this guy actually crashed.
01:49:27.000And they said, how could he have gone hundreds of miles in another direction when he's some solo guy in the mountains of Iran in a totally remote place?
01:49:36.000You just never know about things like that.
01:49:39.000I think that if we were going to go in to get the highly enriched uranium, it wouldn't look like that because the highly enriched uranium, according to the IAEA, is in the tunnels at Esfahan.
01:49:52.000And so they say that if we're going to go in and get it, we're going to need to bring like excavation equipment, like literally heavy construction equipment.
01:50:23.000Size of the force that went into Iran, probably too small.
01:50:27.000And if that actually happened, I think Iran would say so because wouldn't that be a big propaganda victory if the U.S. tried to get the uranium and they failed?
01:50:36.000What I've been told from people is that they were trying to set up a FARP or FARP, whatever, a Ford operating location.
01:50:43.000They're slowly bringing these little birds, these planes that were used for moving equipment, and they were setting up kind of like a clandestine operation to do this.
01:50:52.000And then what ended up happening was this fighter jet got shut down and they had to shift from.
01:50:58.000Doing, you know, one of these raids into a rescue mission.
01:51:02.000Because I think I was talking about like Larry Johnson, I know Aguilar, a couple of these guys were like, why the hell do they have little birds here?
01:51:09.000These are for like, you know, quick attacks.
01:51:14.000And what they were trying to say is that they think that they were establishing this forward operating base to do this assault.
01:51:20.000And they got caught off guard because this fighter jet got shot down.
01:51:23.000So they had to completely switch the mission into a recovery situation.
01:51:26.000That's why they had all these unorthodox aircraft in the area.
01:51:28.000And then, why there were all these, you know, SEALs and Delta guys that were in the area as well, which didn't make sense for a rescue mission.
01:51:36.000And then, also, the other thing was that the Iranians grabbed a military ID or an ID of someone, and it was a woman, a name, and I think it was on her ID or something like that, where she was like a nuclear specialist, someone that like deals with or knows how to deal with highly enriched uranium.
01:51:54.000So, like, in one of the military components, I forget what it was.
01:51:57.000It was either an ID, like maybe the job series code or whatever.
01:52:00.000But that's what kind of led them to say.
01:52:02.000Okay, it looks like they were making something going on, and this operation got thwarted because this fighter jet got shot down.
01:52:09.000And then the other thing, also, that was kind of weird was like this guy was like a colonel as a weapon system officer.
01:52:16.000So, that's another reason why they were like, well, that's kind of a high rank to be doing that, where they attached to this unit, and then they got shot down and they had to ship what they were doing.
01:52:24.000So, all these different theories came out as to why.
01:52:28.000But regardless, because remember, like when Trump was talking all this shit about Cargill and this, Cargill and that, MEU here, MEU that, people were like, what the fuck is this?
01:52:37.000People were speculating that that was all a diversion to keep from what he was really trying to do, which was try to get this, you know, highly enriched uranium.
01:53:41.000Once you make an error like this, this is a pivotal error, which means there's no putting the genie back in the bottle.
01:53:47.000Like, it's a fulcrum now, and there's no good options.
01:53:51.000You know, like we talked about, you can let Iran take control over the strait, and you can, you know, but what are you even going to do about Lebanon?
01:56:05.000I mean, maybe it's literally as simple as we're just going to have to evacuate our bases in the Middle East, bring the carriers home, pay Iran our reparations.
01:56:13.000Like, we might literally just have to give them the whole thing.
01:56:16.000And I think that may be the only way out at this point is just like an unconditional U.S. surrender.
01:56:22.000And I, you know, and people are going to say, and people have said, That, like, we are pro Iran or something.
01:56:28.000That might be the only option we have left.
01:56:52.000I'm like, what the fuck are you going to do?
01:56:53.000Like, at this point, you, and I don't think these people understand you have no military options because.
01:56:59.000The next step is a nuclear bomb or destroying their infrastructure.
01:57:02.000And if you do that, say goodbye to the Saudis, the Kuwaitis, the Bahrainians, the UAE.
01:57:07.000I think the UAE got hit 2,000 times during this course of this war, plus.
01:57:10.000And it's like, they can't do anything because they're right there next to Iran on a map.
01:57:15.000Like, if we pull up real quick on a map just to illustrate to the audience, like how defenseless these fucking Gulf states are, it's actually ridiculous.
01:57:20.000Like, how little, you know, defense they have.
01:57:24.000And then, like, the interceptors, like you said, are pretty much cooked.
01:58:37.000In the global war on terror, we were not worried about attacks from the air because it's before drones, Taliban didn't have an air force, anything like that.
01:58:45.000And so when we actually had our troops in Iraq and in these other countries, their fortifications were like they would put sandbags up because they're worried about vehicle attacks or rockets or something.
02:00:24.000I mean, they say that it's going to take around six months.
02:00:27.000To get back to their pre war stockpile of missiles.
02:00:30.000And it's already been two months since the ceasefire.
02:00:33.000So that's the problem, is just there's no way that you're going to sufficiently suppress Iran's ability to shut down the strait in time before there's an economic calamity.
02:00:43.000And the scary part is, like, they don't even really have to shut it down with force.
02:01:19.000Like, unlike the first couple days of the war in the U.S., obviously, like, there was a couple, a lot of people reported that, like, Kuwaiti hospitals were completely being bombarded with U.S. service members.
02:01:29.000And they couldn't take care of them and they had to airlift them all to fucking Germany.
02:01:33.000And obviously, the US government, like, you know, is not going to disclose that.
02:01:35.000But yeah, and then I remember for a while, they didn't like say anything about like the bases being destroyed.
02:01:39.000But like, yeah, CNN did a report and a couple others and they found out, like, no, they're inoperable, man.
02:02:23.000So it's like, how the hell are you going to do?
02:02:24.000You'll never be able to do a land invasion.
02:02:26.000We don't have the stomach for it politically anyway.
02:02:28.000So it's like, what can you honestly do at this point?
02:02:31.000It's like the only thing you could do is you would have to.
02:02:35.000Really go hard in Israel and tell them you got to leave Lebanon, but they're not going to do that.
02:02:39.000So it's like, I don't know what the hell the Trump administration is going to do at this point.
02:02:42.000And then, like you said, which is true, they've only just stopped maybe 25 to 30% of their missile capabilities and they're still making their drones and their missiles, which is funny because I remember on day one of the war, or sorry, like the first couple of days of the war, Netanyahu and the Israeli government were like, they only have 100 launchers left.
02:03:13.000So, you're completely against, like, because the other thing, also, because this is an MOU as well, they wanted us to pull out of the region.
02:03:33.000I think that's what we wanted to do anyway.
02:03:34.000That's really the whole point to get Saudi Arabia and Syria in the Abraham Accords.
02:03:40.000And then, even if Iran still exists, Iran will be balanced by this Abraham alliance, they want to call it, you know, which is Israel, Egypt, Jordan, Saudi, Syria, the Emirates, Bahrain.
02:03:52.000Um, And then we wouldn't need to be there because then we could furnish all these countries with fighter jets and intelligence and all these things.
02:03:59.000And if it got to that point, they'd be able to defend themselves.
02:04:12.000So, you know, the situation isn't quite the same.
02:04:16.000And we can't really hand it off to these other countries to do it because, you know, like in Europe, for example, we want to do the same thing in Europe.
02:04:57.000Obviously, shook them up quite a bit when they were trying to kill the Hamas guys back in September, actually, right before I remember because it was right before Charlie Kirk passed away that they attacked Qatar trying to get these Hamas guys while they were trying to negotiate this thing.
02:05:09.000And obviously, it was very embarrassing for us and everything else like that.
02:05:13.000Saudi Arabia went and did a deal with Pakistan for security assurances since they have nuclear weapons.
02:05:19.000I don't know if you've heard about this.
02:05:20.000Like, have you heard about these talks how they're going to try to create a Muslim NATO?
02:05:24.000Yeah, yeah, yeah, with Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Turkey.
02:05:31.000Yeah, I mean, it's certainly interesting.
02:05:33.000And I think that's a good idea because then it almost becomes like an anti Israel bloc.
02:05:38.000And what is happening is that the Middle East is just fundamentally different now than it was before October 7th.
02:05:43.000And what's shaping up is even before the Iran war, you had Saudi and the Emirates splitting up because Saudi is actually, you know, when Mohammed bin Salman first got in, he wanted to shake everything up.
02:06:03.000They're intervening in all these different conflicts.
02:06:05.000And so, what would emerge is an alliance.
02:06:08.000Like you said, there's a mutual defense pact now between Pakistan and Saudi.
02:06:13.000And then they're talking about bringing Turkey into that as well.
02:06:15.000And those are going to be like, and Qatar too.
02:06:18.000These are going to be the forces in favor of the status quo.
02:06:21.000What you might see on the other side is a different block, which is, let's say, Israel, Greece, the Emirates, Azerbaijan.
02:06:29.000And they're going to be like the revisionist powers.
02:06:31.000And so the Middle East is really going to, in terms of the geopolitical alignment, it's going to be totally different.
02:06:36.000And then the question would be which side would Iran be on?
02:06:40.000Probably they'd be on the side with Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi, Turkey.
02:06:43.000I mean, it sounds crazy that, because at one time, of course, the Saudis and the Iranians were in this like proxy war for 10 years, which engulfed the entire Middle East.
02:06:52.000And now you might think in a scenario where the U.S. leaves the region, maybe then that is how things would shake out.
02:07:00.000And then you just have, Then a proxy war between these more revisionist powers and these Islamist status quo powers.
02:07:08.000It might shake out to be something like that.
02:07:10.000But I don't know that the U.S. can really afford to leave the Middle East just because of how vital the commodities are there and the trade as well.
02:07:18.000So, yeah, not only that, but like, um, I think it would open a door for like China to come in and build an enormous amount of influence in there as well if we were to leave.
02:07:25.000I think that's a big reason why they didn't want to leave, but Iran wants them out of there.
02:07:28.000Um, as part of the MOU, obviously, they would never leave completely, but I mean, you don't think, uh, China would try to come in and take some of the influence, especially with their partnership with Iran?
02:07:37.000I don't think so because China has no ability to project power in the Middle East.
02:07:40.000They're, you know, they're an economic power, of course, uh, but they, they just have no ability to project power any, I mean, not even in Taiwan yet.
02:07:48.000But you don't think if we, um, If we pulled out, that opened the door for them to potentially maybe build a base in Iran or build a base in.
02:07:54.000Well, I mean, you know, yeah, yes, and no.
02:07:57.000I mean, it would have been trending in that direction.
02:08:28.000Turkey does this between Russia and the United States.
02:08:31.000So, certainly, their influence would increase.
02:08:32.000But I think so much of that is overstated because China just doesn't have as long of a reach as the United States does because we're a security provider.
02:08:40.000They are not a security provider at all.
02:08:42.000The only thing with the security provider thing, which I think we kind of got shown to be a paper tiger, was we weren't able to protect our Gulf allies in this situation.
02:08:50.000And obviously, our ability to even intercept missiles or whatever, that's kind of been.
02:08:54.000You know, significantly reduced as well.
02:08:55.000So it's like, that's another thing from this conflict that I was like, oh man, like, we've been, like, Saudi Arabia's complaining, they protect Israel more than us.
02:09:03.000So it's like, you know, is our security assurances and guarantees going to be as potent, as powerful as what it was now that people have, like, literally seen we can't even stop drones from $20,000 drones from, like, you know, passing a waterway and hitting our allies that, you know, obviously have very sensitive and, you know, fragile infrastructure.
02:11:36.000Yeah, it was Bill Barr that picked him up, you know, and he died under Trump.
02:11:40.000So I think the Democrats, they just wanted that to go off for obvious reasons because now this is how you get the Trump base to be deflated.
02:12:43.000You know, I think it's a crock of shit.
02:12:44.000I think it's important for people to understand that, like, you know, there's a reason why they couldn't, like, push a full on criminal investigation to all the people involved, right?
02:12:53.000Like, the FBI tried, you know, and they just weren't able to build enough probable costs to indict a lot of these other people that were involved.
02:12:59.000So, like, you know, what you know and what you can prove are two completely different things, and people tend to not know that.
02:13:05.000Now, I mean, You know, let me read this quick commercial break.
02:13:10.000If you want to take a piss or anything like that, I'll read this real quick, Nick.
02:13:12.000And then go ahead, you can hit continue and then I'll read it.
02:15:36.000Me and Alex Jones made new accounts, and then they banned them in 24 hours.
02:15:40.000But did you try to, like, because I know, like, if you, was it, I don't know if you, like, go into the portal or try to log into your old account and reinstate.