On today's show, we have an expert in the house, Suleiman Ahmed, join us to give us updates on the situation in the Middle East, including updates from Aiden, Ross, and Fousey streaming in Canada, as well as updates from the Mayor of New York, Bill de Blasio, and the Democratic Debates. We also get an update on the Israeli attack on Gaza and the situation there, and how it may affect the upcoming debate. We also talk about the latest in the Ukraine situation and much more! Stay tuned to the end of the show for a shoutout to our sponsor, Picasso! If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and become a patron! You get a year of Picasso for a year and a free copy of the newest Picasso print! Thank you so much for all the support, we appreciate it greatly! - The Fresh Fit Podcast Team Hosted by and . We're going to be covering the latest news and breaking news from around the world, so stay tuned for updates on all things Fresh Fit! and all things related to that! We'll be back tomorrow's episode of Fresh Fit News. - Stay tuned for a live coverage of the debate and the De Blasio debate! . - I'm looking forward to covering the debate tomorrow! ! I'll be live on all of the latest updates on that. . . . - Tim Walz, J.D. Vance, the mayor of NYC, and much much more & much more!! - The Mayor of NY, Thanks for listening to this podcast! , I'll cover it all the more! - - Thank you, Tim Walzer, Tim, and more - Cheers, Cheers Cheers! - TheFresh Fit Podcast - Sulli, Tim, - and much, much more. - The FreshFit Podcast <3 - Yours Truly - EJ, :) ~ :D - Tom ( ) - Ollie, , , Ben Ben , and the Fresh Fit, & the FreshFit PODCAST - Ben, Ben, and Ben - Jake, etc. , Cheers - :P - BOBBY
00:22:50.000Obviously, probably one of the biggest Twitter accounts, especially when it comes to Middle Eastern affairs, what's going on between what went down on October 7th to now.
00:23:00.000There's been quite a bit of movement on this, and I think for our Western viewers, whether you're from the United States or the United Kingdom, Canada, etc., This conflict is absolutely going to affect you guys.
00:23:12.000Whether you think it's not going to or whether you think it will or it won't, it absolutely will.
00:23:18.000So, Suleiman, can you kind of, well, number one, introduce yourself.
00:23:21.000And then, number two, go into how we got here and kind of give us an update on what led up to these events.
00:23:27.000Then we can go into what's been going on today.
00:23:29.000Because today there's been literally a flurry of different things.
00:25:18.000Lancet did basically a predictor and said based on the fact that if you look at the way the war or the way the genocide has occurred, the way that the people have died, the fact that the entire infrastructure has been destroyed, the fact that it's a very condensed, concentrated area, there'll be a huge amount of people who will be dead have not been found under the rubble.
00:25:39.000So they made a calculation based on all of those and said that likely number is probably around 160, 180,000.
00:26:26.000You had a significant amount of different types of missiles and artilleries.
00:26:30.000So, what happened is, you've obviously got that happening in Gaza.
00:26:33.000Now, Hezbollah, there was also a front that was happening in Hezbollah, which is that you basically had...
00:26:40.000Now, Israelis claim that Hezbollah started on October the 8th, which is obviously fake news and propaganda, because essentially where Hezbollah fight on was something called Sheba Farms.
00:27:02.000So you said Sheba Farms is disputed territory, and you're saying that this conflict between Israel and Lebanon and, well, Hezbollah, who represents Lebanon in this case, you're saying it started with Sheba Farms?
00:27:15.000Yeah, yeah, because on October the 8th, basically Hezbollah fired on Sheba Farms.
00:27:32.000Sheba Farms is essentially an area that is disputed between Syria and Lebanon.
00:27:40.000Nobody in the world says it's Israeli territory, other than maybe Israelis in their own mind.
00:27:46.000So that claim of basically Hezbollah starting on October the 8th is fake is what I'm saying, because you'll be hearing a lot of that over the next week, months, and I'm just giving you guys the ammunition to basically fight it back against that claim.
00:28:01.000Okay, so their argument is Hezbollah fired or Sheba farms, which they claim is Israeli territory, but you're saying it's not Israeli territory.
00:28:10.000It's actually, I guess, unincorporated land.
00:28:14.000It's basically dispute land between Syria and Lebanon.
00:28:33.000So, all right, so continue on, brother.
00:28:36.000So then there was a conflict between, you basically got northern Israel and southern Lebanon were basically, you know, fighting amongst each other.
00:28:45.000And in that regard, because it's a fight on the ground, Hezbollah were dominating.
00:28:54.000Hezbollah were dominating to such an extent, and I mentioned this in your previous stream, that now it's really relevant, that they basically pushed the Israelis back in a significant manner to the extent where they had dismantled a number of settlements, they had dismantled a number of military bases, and they'd basically removed about 600,000 settlers from that area.
00:29:42.000And then what happened was, so you've got a significant amount of displacement, you've got a significant amount of domination that's happening from Hezbollah.
00:29:51.000And in terms of Hezbollah, obviously Israel has been striking them from the air.
00:29:55.000So what Israel has over Hezbollah is air superiority.
00:30:10.000And so, Hezbollah doesn't have an air force.
00:30:14.000So, they have basically the superiority in that regard that they don't even have an air force.
00:30:19.000Now, what happened is, as you know, I think I was on your show at that time as well, is they bombed and killed the second guy in Hezbollah, Hajj Mohsen.
00:30:35.000And then six, about a week ago, then they did the major pager attack, which is that initially we thought they'd intercepted these pagers and made them into explosives.
00:30:47.000But later we found out that these were basically created as explosives From inception.
00:30:54.000Now, why that's important is anytime we're using devices now, they could literally have mechanisms in there to use explosives against us.
00:31:36.000Yeah, and then after that, you basically had, they were bombing Beirut, and they continued bombing Beirut day after day after day, a significant amount.
00:31:45.000And again, Beirut, as I mentioned in your previous stream when I came on here, is a significantly dense area, highly populated, multi-religion.
00:31:57.000About 30-35% Christians who live in Beirut.
00:32:02.000You've got the Druze community there, you've got the Muslims.
00:32:05.000So basically, highly different ethnicities, different religions, different races, extreme high nightlife, very modern city like London or New York.
00:32:53.000And then obviously we know the major thing that happened was you basically had an attack where they took out the entire leadership, not the entire, but a large proportion of the leadership of Hezbollah.
00:33:05.000You had them kill the actual leader of Hezbollah, which was major, major news.
00:33:13.000They killed Sayyid Hafsar Nasrullah, who has been the leader of Hezbollah for 32 years.
00:33:19.000He came in power in 1992, and he's the one who was the leader when they defeated Israel in 2006.
00:35:18.000This is also on top of endless bombing and conflict in Gaza, the West Bank, southern Lebanon towns, and even its capital city of Beirut.
00:35:24.000And then to add insult to injury, this comes days after Israel launched an intel operation that blew up hundreds of pagers Hezbollah members owned.
00:35:31.000The attack killed 20 people, including three children.
00:35:42.000The last time I checked it was 1,500, but as an example, there's been over 70 summer deaths today, so the number is just increasing every day.
00:35:51.000And I kind of bring this, guys, and I tweeted that out days ago, guys, obviously, but the reason why I want to put that out there is that this is the biggest escalation I've ever seen of Israel...
00:36:02.000Killing Axis power leaders that I've ever seen.
00:36:07.000I remember back in 2020, right, when Trump killed Soleimani, that was a big deal, right?
00:36:13.000They got the intel, they tracked his phone, they killed him in Iraq, big deal.
00:36:18.000To this day, Trump still takes credit for that, right?
00:36:21.000No one, but literally, they've killed like four or five Soleimani's in just a few months, Israel has, right?
00:36:28.000And then on top of that, they bombed Yemen yesterday, if I'm not mistaken, didn't they since they did an airstrike in Yemen?
00:36:34.000Yeah, yeah, they did an airstrike in Yemen.
00:36:37.000They basically bombed Hudaibah Port, they bombed oil refineries, and so yeah, then they bombed a couple of other locations.
00:36:45.000And again, a number of people died, I believe it was nine people who died and about 50 injured.
00:36:50.000So, chat, does this all make sense to you guys?
00:36:52.000Because I know we're kind of moving fast here.
00:37:00.000But, in general, after October 7th happened, the next day...
00:37:05.000You know, Hezbollah and Israel got in a conflict with sending missiles, etc.
00:37:09.000And this was kind of to destabilize the IDF because the IDF was waging a war.
00:37:16.000And Gaza and Hezbollah being allies of Gaza and Iran and Syria, etc.
00:37:21.000They're like, hey, we're going to go ahead and spread the forces because you can't...
00:37:26.000If Israel is going to launch a front in the north, well, you have to deploy IDF resources over there as well as the IDF resources in Gaza, right?
00:37:36.000So they're operating from a support angle against Israel.
00:37:40.000So, okay, let me see here in the chat.
00:38:27.000I thought my position was that it was highly unlikely.
00:38:33.000And the reason for that was because...
00:38:35.000Based on what happened in 2006, based on the fact that if you're going to be on a ground offensive, it's not going to be easy against Hezbollah, and I'll explain why in a second, but then I'll go through what's happened hour by hour.
00:38:49.000But because of the difficulties of the ground invasion, I thought that basically Israel would not do a ground invasion because you essentially have a scenario where I do believe that would The defensive army always has the advantage when you
00:39:23.000My position has always been, I think I've kind of said this, that in modern history, no offensive army has basically generally won.
00:39:34.000You look at Vietnam, you look at Iraq, you look at Afghanistan, they're not able to succeed over a long time, or even sometimes in short time.
00:39:54.000In addition to that, just to give you an example of the 2006 war.
00:39:58.000So basically, you had a scenario where even according to the analysis of the US State Department, they said the Israeli army was unprepared and unable and unwilling to fight a real war.
00:40:11.000And they made a number of mistakes in that time.
00:40:16.000And the issue is when you say, well, why are you talking about the 2006 war?
00:40:19.000Of course, in 18 years, they're going to be able to learn from their mistakes and improve.
00:40:25.000The problem is that some of the strategies that they deployed in 2006 in Lebanon, they've been deploying in Gaza.
00:40:32.000And Gaza, the Hamas army or the Hamas military group isn't as good as the Hezbollah one.
00:40:38.000It isn't numerically big because, for example, if Hassan Nusrullah's claims about Hezbollah's army numbers are true, Then it means that they have more numbers than even Israeli soldiers, which is definitely not the case for Hamas.
00:40:51.000Now, what they did was, they basically, one of the mistakes they made is when basically the army vehicle was going through, you would basically send infantry scouts to look at different things that were happening ahead to basically protect it.
00:41:06.000But the problem, what you saw in the 2006 Lebanon War, as well as in Gaza, was They weren't doing that.
00:41:14.000So there was no security or no protection for their tanks.
00:41:18.000That's why if you saw some of the videos that were coming out on social media, you'd see some of the tanks get hit.
00:42:07.000So if they're going to use the strategy, which for them would be a very good strategy because Izbollah don't have that, which is to do strikes from the air.
00:42:16.000You then have a problem where your armored vehicles are going to be stuck and not being able to move it.
00:42:21.000And if you saw in Gaza, they've been using bulldozers to clear the way for the armored vehicles.
00:42:26.000They won't be able to do that in Lebanon.
00:42:28.000So there's going to be a lot of things that they've deployed in Gaza that were highly problematic that just are not going to work in Gaza, in Lebanon, and they didn't work in Lebanon in 2006.
00:42:37.000Does that make it clear in terms of some of the concerns I had, why I thought that they're going to have some problems going in?
00:43:41.000So, I mean, just to finish that point up, I'll wrap it up.
00:43:43.000That's why I think, and this is relevant to you, that's why I think that there is a high probability, and I think a lot of military experts who aren't just from the pro-Israeli side, agree with me that there is a high likelihood that America is going to have to put boots on the ground if...
00:44:02.000If they do basically go, I mean, we know they've already done it.
00:44:05.000So I think there is a more high likelihood that America put boots on the ground.
00:44:09.000So what happened today was we basically saw a buildup of military vehicles, Israeli vehicles and tanks at the border.
00:44:18.000And so this was reported about nine hours ago.
00:44:21.000There was an unprecedented amount of buildup.
00:44:26.000tanks on the other side of the border it was opposite of wazani and so you saw that initially so we knew that that's it like the invasions are coming they're about to start it then they start they began they basically the land invasion began at the same time you basically had it
00:44:43.000while the invasion was beginning you um as part of it they were basically perpetuating heavy artillery shelling targeting areas very close to the border starting from the chiang plane passing through Wazani and reaching the heights of Kafar Shuba.
00:45:01.000So they were basically using that and then doing intensive reconnaissance.
00:47:55.000Is there any like a military strategic reason why they're going in through there?
00:47:59.000I mean, the reason is because the terrain is more amiable to where they need to go, because that is, if you can see, the Israeli part, that is the most northern part of, essentially, Israel, before it touches the Lebanese border.
00:48:15.000If you look, it's a lot more, like, it's the most northern part you can get to, essentially.
00:48:44.000I'm not saying definitely Israel is going to lose.
00:48:47.000I'm just giving you the other perspective, because obviously from the Israeli perspective, it is that, look, this is a much more stronger army.
00:48:54.000It's battle ready after what they've done in Gaza.
00:48:59.000It's unlike Hezbollah, although Hezbollah would argue that they are battle ready as well, because remember, they fought against ISIS. But the difference is, Fighting against ISIS isn't the same as fighting against the Israeli army with their modern weapons, their modern warfare, and the kind of training that they've received as well.
00:49:17.000So just so people see it from both perspectives.
00:49:38.000I remember some of these reports you got to take with a bit of grain of salt, even if it's coming from the Israeli side or even if it's coming from the Hezbollah side.
00:49:45.000But, for example, in the Hezbollah side, we saw, for example, from the Hezbollah side, I read that they basically did an ambush in a certain area.
00:51:18.000Obviously, they're fighting with them now.
00:51:19.000Hezbollah, you said ambushed a unit in IDF. We don't have casualties yet, but I'm assuming we're going to be getting these within the next 24 to 48 hours.
00:51:29.000What do you think the next move is in here?
00:51:31.000Are we going to potentially see Iran intervention?
00:51:34.000Are they too scared because of US being dragged in if they come in?
00:51:38.000What do you think is going to come from the other Axis powers here as far as assisting this ground invasion, if any?
00:51:45.000Yeah, so in terms of, first of all, deaths, what you mentioned, we'll probably never get an accurate reflection because Israelis won't tell the truth about their deaths and Hezbollah won't about their deaths.
00:51:55.000Both sides won't be completely overtly honest about it because you don't want your army to lose hope.
00:52:02.000You don't want them to start considering not fighting.
00:52:05.000That'd be a huge risk, especially even more so with the Israeli army.
00:52:09.000Because in 2006, according to the US State Department analysis, that was the argument that The army kind of was basically unwilling at certain points to fight as well.
00:52:20.000Now, in terms of Iranian involvement, I think that's...
00:52:25.000And the reason I say that is because Iran, if they were to get involved, they know that basically you're essentially guaranteeing US involvement.
00:52:53.000Are we going to basically risk fighting?
00:52:56.000Because irrespective of what you, if you win or lose, your economy just gets completely destroyed.
00:53:02.000I'll just take you back to in the 80s, Iran and Iraq, the second best and fourth best economy in the Middle East, flourishing, doing really well.
00:53:14.000They basically go to war with each other and both economies are destroyed.
00:53:19.000In the end, when you go into war, generally speaking, it doesn't matter.
00:53:24.000And so with Iran, because they're in an upward trend, they don't want that to happen where they basically go back to becoming like the Iraq or becoming like Syria or becoming like a very weakened nation, even if they were to win.
00:53:36.000So you can see they're very basically pulling back on trying to basically go into war.
00:53:42.000You saw that with the fact that the embassy bombing, they basically response, they kind of choreographed it.
00:53:47.000They let everybody, they broadcast, sorry, not choreographed, they broadcast it and let everybody know.
00:53:51.000You saw with the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in their land, which is huge embarrassment.
00:53:58.000The claim that came out recently just yesterday was that the Iranian president was given assurances that if they don't avenge the death of Ismail Haniyeh, there is a guaranteed ceasefire, which didn't happen.
00:54:10.000But I think that might be a bit of an excuse, but that's the position they're taking at the moment.
00:54:17.000I mean, from this, it seems to me as though there's no way that, you know, Hezbollah can't make an aggressive...
00:54:25.000I mean, they invaded their country now, so they're going to have to take an aggressive stance to some degree, whether it's them or Yemen or Iran.
00:54:33.000They're going to have to do something to retaliate, because to me, I look like...
00:54:36.000It seems to me when I listen to Netanyahu speak about this, he looks at it like, I'm going to finish the job.
00:54:41.000Hezbollah is never going to shoot another rocket at us ever again, is the position it seems that he's coming from.
00:54:50.000I think he knows that If he was to give Israelis what they wanted, which is greater Israel, or give them a very large part of getting greater Israel, he'll be remembered in history for that, first of all, in a very positive light.
00:55:08.000And then a lot of these legal actions that have been taken against him, either they'll probably be dropped or...
00:55:17.000They'll balance out with this kind of move that he's done.
00:55:20.000And the second thing is, as we know, a protected war will stop him from, again, facing the courts, facing the trial for his actions as well, you know, for his financial, the claims of financial improprieties that he's done.
00:55:35.000So, I mean, from Netanyahu's perspective, I think definitely that is his plan.
00:55:40.000And I think he believes that by doing that, he will stand in history in a positive light from Israel's perspective.
00:56:27.000You saw that, for example, when the Israelis start invading, when the invasion happened, the first broadcast that went out to Israelis was, do not take images, do not take videos of anything and put it out there because you're going to let the enemy know about what's happening and that's going to hurt us.
00:56:44.000So you can see Israelis, in a sense, A lot of them are supportive.
00:56:49.000They are kind of like a monolith to an extent where they don't want to risk the lives of their own soldiers.
00:56:54.000And so for that reason, again, we're not going to see many videos.
00:56:59.000So from the Israeli perspective, we've not seen the videos come out about that.
00:57:03.000At this exact moment as well, Just to let your audience know, they're not just doing that.
01:00:38.000Basically, you'll attack to a small extent from certain angles just to find out what the response method, the angles of response, what kind of mode of response you're going to do, where they take cover, and so on and so forth.
01:00:52.000So they'll do that, but generally there won't be anything significant.
01:01:20.000I'm going to be interested to see what strategy they deploy because I can see the problems with both strategies.
01:01:26.000And then I think Not tomorrow, but the day after, I think there's going to be a significant amount of maybe engagement between them.
01:01:33.000So at least not tomorrow, but maybe over the next day or the day after, then we'll start to see some significant engagement between the two forces.
01:01:43.000And that's going to be, for me, what I'm interested in seeing, obviously I want peace, right?
01:01:49.000Like, what I'm interested to see is the mode by which they use the air superiority.
01:02:01.000What do you think retaliation is going to be like back against Israel?
01:02:05.000You're saying now, you know, because just so the audience understands, there's been like little missiles here and there that have been shot into Tel Aviv that most of them have been shot down.
01:02:14.000Some of them have landed, done some minor damage here or there.
01:02:16.000But I don't think we have any like real casualties in Israel, right?
01:02:20.000Yeah, there's no casualties in Israel because when they basically send missiles into Israel, generally speaking, except for the ones today, we need to see if there was anything from that.
01:02:30.000But generally speaking, you've got basically, Israel do have intercepted missiles and do have things that stop it.
01:02:36.000But on top of that, they've got the David Slinger, and then they've got the Iron Dove.
01:02:41.000But also what happens is missiles do get through, but then you see that Hezbollah's targets generally are military bases.
01:02:48.000For example, the military base in Elia has been hit a number of times.
01:02:52.000So they have had missiles that get through.
01:02:55.000But what that shows us is that basically Hezbollah, their target is actually military bases as opposed to humans.
01:03:02.000Now, why humans is important is because what we saw in Lebanon by the Israelis and what they deploy all the time is the Dahiya doctrine.
01:03:13.000And what the Dahiya doctrine is, and it's highly probable that they'll do this, especially if they start struggling in the war, is where they intentionally bomb civilian areas, create the most amount of damage, And by the way, the Dahiyah doctrine is only used by Israel.
01:03:36.000No other army in history or currently ever use it because they see it as inhumane.
01:03:43.000And it basically doesn't achieve the actual goals that you're trying to do.
01:03:48.000But what that is, is basically you bomb a region or an area with a huge amount of population of humans and kill as many people as possible.
01:03:58.000And by doing that, your hope is that the people turn against the leadership because they say, look, a lot of our people are dying.
01:04:07.000It's like, for example, Hezbollah's fault, and then they turn against them.
01:04:11.000So the Dahir doctrine is something that is applied by Israel, and there is a high chance that they will do that.
01:04:21.000Okay, so you're saying that Israel will go ahead and bomb a place that's heavily populated with civilians to get the adversarial government to be almost ousted by the people?
01:04:51.000We should have explained this from the beginning.
01:04:53.000So, yeah, so there's Hezbollah, but then they also have their own Lebanon army, and then they have a parliament.
01:04:59.000So let's explain that to the people, because some people might not understand the politics of Lebanon and why there's a little bit of divide.
01:05:06.000So the Lebanese army is different to Hezbollah.
01:05:09.000And so this is the problem people have with the Lebanese army because the Lebanese army was there to essentially secure the border, which they've not been able to do.
01:05:17.000And the Lebanese army, we had reports today that they retreated at the site of Israelis' offensive maneuvers.
01:05:26.000Which, again, people have a problem with that because irrespective of whether they agree with Hezbollah or not, one assumes that That your army would protect your land.
01:05:56.000And so basically, you basically had a scenario where in the elections, in the fair and free elections, you basically had Hezbollah get the most votes.
01:06:08.000They didn't get the majority of the votes but they got the most votes and that's because there was such diversity of people voting for different people within the elections You didn't have a majority.
01:06:21.000So even Hezbollah, with all of the allies, only gets about 40-something percent of the parliament, and you need about 50% of the parliament to basically put a prime minister or president in place.
01:06:33.000And that's why, in Lebanon, they've still not been able to put a president in, nor Hezbollah, nor their opponents, because neither one of them has got the 50%.
01:06:43.000That's in terms of a parliamentary perspective.
01:06:45.000But then people need to understand Lebanon from a Lebanese perspective, in the sense of what is the psychology.
01:06:51.000So you basically have a wide range of views within Lebanon.
01:06:54.000You first of all have people who are pro-Hizballah and anti-Israel.
01:07:12.000Then you have people who are for resistance, but not Hezbollah, but are anti-Israel.
01:07:18.000That is, again, a slightly smaller number than the ones who are pro-Hezbollah, right?
01:07:22.000So you want resistance, you want to resist against Israel, but you don't like the way or more the way Hezbollah does it, either because of sectarian reasons or you don't agree with the actions that happen in Syria or a wide range of reasons.
01:07:36.000So you say you believe you should resist, but you don't believe Hezbollah should be the resistance.
01:08:14.000The vast majority of people, even if they're anti-Hezbollah, are anti-Israel.
01:08:21.000So if Israel goes into Lebanon in a significant manner, and I mean by basically going much into southern Lebanon, taking a decent proportion of it, getting maybe past the Letani River, in that situation, I think that would unite the entire Lebanese people to fight against Israel.
01:08:44.000At the moment, it's mainly going to be It's mainly going to be, what you call it, Hezbollah who are going to be fighting.
01:09:06.000And I think it's very important for the audience to understand that this is kind of a weird situation where you've got a country that has two different militaries, that have different viewpoints, and is there even a supreme leader in Lebanon?
01:09:20.000They don't have a prime minister, right?
01:09:27.000The prime minister is, I mean, they haven't got a leader really.
01:09:31.000The current designated prime minister, but not the elected leader because they weren't able to get a parliamentary agreement, is somebody who is friendly to Hezbollah, so he agrees with them.
01:10:21.000And what's going to be interesting is, because remember, you're going to have Hezbollah fighting Israel, but then you're going to have a scenario where the Lebanese army won't be fighting Israel.
01:10:31.000Now, there will be a situation, like I said, that if they get too far in...
01:10:36.000Then I think the Lebanese army and Hezbollah could unite.
01:10:40.000But that just depends on the actions of Israel.
01:10:43.000So verified, Lebanese army personnel saw Israel coming and literally ran.
01:10:54.000Because their job is to protect the border.
01:10:57.000Their argument is going to be that their job was to protect the border based on UN Resolution 1701, I believe it is, from the top of my head.
01:11:08.000But if the job is to protect the border and to ensure that Hezbollah don't be at the border, and to ensure that Israel don't penetrate the border, and basically, based on that UN resolution, obviously that's not happened.
01:11:21.000There's been a significant amount of action between the two parties since October the 8th.
01:11:27.000And this time, when Israel have come to the border, they've retreated.
01:12:27.000And I think in that scenario, that's when you're going to start seeing Hezbollah try and basically ambush them in certain scenarios, use guerrilla warfare, try and use the terrain.
01:12:38.000Israel, on the other hand, is going to obviously use reconnaissance, use air superiority.
01:12:44.000I mean, personally, I still hold my opinion that I think over a certain period of time, after a few weeks, maybe a month, I think Israel is going to start losing a lot of lives.
01:12:56.000I think Hezbollah is going to lose lives as well.
01:12:57.000I think both sides are going to lose lives.
01:12:59.000It's going to be different to what's happened in Gaza.
01:13:02.000I think with Hezbollah, I think their psychology is that they are basically already ready to basically die.
01:13:10.000And so therefore, when they lose a life, I think psychologically it's different to an Israeli losing their lives.
01:13:16.000I think if Israelis start seeing their people come back in body bags, I think the Israeli populace will turn on Netanyahu in a significant manner.
01:13:26.000And I think in that situation, I think America might get involved.
01:13:31.000And what that means is American boots on the ground, American soldiers risking their lives for Israel, and essentially showing that they are willing to sacrifice their people for a foreign nation.
01:13:44.000And you know what makes that worse is, remember, this invasion they've done isn't completely with the blessing of America.
01:13:51.000America didn't want them to do the invasion, and finally, apparently, according to certain reports, but again, this is by, we know how the media works in America, who controls it, but basically they are saying that now America has agreed to a very minor incursion, but obviously we know that the incursion isn't going to be minor.
01:14:11.000So essentially, America is going to be forced Americans are going to be forced to lay down their lives for a foreign nation, for a foreign entity, for a war that they did not even agree to.
01:14:28.000I mean, I don't see a scenario here where Hezbollah isn't going to have to respond in an aggressive manner and the United States won't come in to assist.
01:16:31.000I think suppressed news sometimes is a bit of fake news.
01:16:34.000You have to just decipher the correct from the fake.
01:16:36.000But in terms of what you said, in terms of the Gaza peer, that was basically, it was shocking, right?
01:16:42.000So this was shocking because on that space, that military guy, the pro-Israeli one, was literally denying American involvement in basically putting the pair together when it's literally in the Department of Defense page.
01:17:21.000With the help of Israeli engineers, they constructed it, they put it together, it basically moved away from the land, they put it back together, they claimed it was for humanitarian aid, They did put some humanitarian aid, but then it was used really for an Israeli operation to get boots on the ground, to get out four hostages while they killed 200 human beings.
01:17:50.000And so that's essentially what the pay was used.
01:17:53.000And as soon as they got those four people out, one of them being Noah Argumani and the others, They basically don't even use the pair anymore.
01:18:06.000So that whole pair was used in reality, now we know, for that.
01:18:11.000American boots even were on the ground for that.
01:18:13.000And I was shocked that Israelis were denying that on the space.
01:18:16.000That's why when you speak in QR to jump in and say, like, what are you talking about?
01:18:19.000It's literally on the Department of Defense website.
01:18:21.000They don't even deny that they basically had boots on the ground for that.
01:19:13.000And to be honest with y'all, the IDF is superior to Hamas in almost every way if we're going to look at it from a military perspective.
01:19:19.000And they still needed American support.
01:19:21.000So you don't think that they're going to need American support and boots on the ground when they actually fight against a formidable army like Hezbollah?
01:19:31.000So, just using common sense, American boots are going to have to come on the ground.
01:19:34.000It might not be draft-wide, where it's formal, where we're like, we're going to war and everything else like that, like we were able to rally after 9-11.
01:19:41.000But you'd be crazy if you don't think that we're going to send in special forces, different recons, and bring them in surreptitiously to help out.
01:19:52.000I think you made a golden argument because what you basically said, and I actually agree with your assessment, is that the boots on the ground are guaranteed.
01:20:00.000It's just the question is to what level, to what extent, and to what mode.
01:20:05.000Yeah, and I think everyone here in the chat or people that like hear us talk about this, they're thinking like it's gonna be, we're gonna send tens of thousands of American soldiers over there to fight.
01:20:14.000No, bro, they're gonna do it in a much limited capacity.
01:20:17.000Like, the American government isn't stupid.
01:21:01.000Yeah, and just to add to that, just think about the amount of money that's been spent.
01:21:05.000So you saw the billions of aid packages that happened before.
01:21:08.000The pair they spent a quarter of a billion on just to help.
01:21:11.000And now we know it's just to rescue the hostages, four hostages, and kill 200 human beings.
01:21:17.000And then they've just sent another 8.7 billion.
01:21:21.000How much do you think more is going to be sent as this incursion in Gaza, in Lebanon continues?
01:21:26.000Last time it was like 30-something days and they lost...
01:21:29.000This time it's going to be a lot longer in my view, so it's going to cost a lot of money and a lot of American money is going to have to be sent there as well.
01:21:36.000Yeah, you know, I think there's going to be American boots on the ground.
01:21:40.000I just don't think it'll be on a grand scale like we're used to.
01:21:44.000I don't think the U.S. government at this point can justify a war with inflation going crazy.
01:21:51.000We're in the middle of a presidential campaign election.
01:21:55.000They just won't be able to rationalize it in any way or justify it, so they're going to have to assist Israel.
01:22:00.000In a way, with boots on the ground where it's not completely obvious.
01:22:04.000So I don't think that we wouldn't in a harder situation like with Hezbollah.
01:22:10.000Also, keep in mind, guys, when Iran promised, and people have short-term memory, and Suleiman, you could add to this as well, please.
01:22:18.000I remember when they killed Haneya in Tehran, Iran, and Iran said, you know, we're going to retaliate, and they hyped it up, hyped it up, hyped it up.
01:22:27.000Doing commercials and shit, saying that they're gonna retaliate.
01:22:30.000Like, the US mobilized like 4,000 troops and they moved aircraft carriers, guys.
01:22:36.000So, and that was just for a potential missile strike from Iran.
01:22:40.000You don't think they're gonna go ahead and actually do some real assistance with the foot invasion?
01:22:48.000I actually think that they're going to have, not significant, but I think they'll have actual, maybe even soldiers on the ground as well for them, with them, because not only in the manner of what you said, in terms of what they've been using in Gaza, but Lebanon is going to be much more difficult.
01:23:03.000Southern Lebanon is going to be much more difficult.
01:23:04.000The terrain is going to be a lot more difficult.
01:23:07.000When they start seeing a lot of the Israelis go in body bags, The question becomes actually, I mean, and I guess the reason I'm saying it is because, and I could be wrong about this, and actually, and it's not about being wrong, it's just opinion, that once you see Israelis that are going back home in body bags, what happens?
01:23:24.000Do you think Israel is going to completely withdraw?
01:23:26.000Or do you think they're going to get American support to make sure they take out Hezbollah?
01:23:30.000So if you think that they're going to get support to take out Hezbollah, then there's definitely American boots on the ground.
01:23:35.000If you think that They're going to just take the loss and just accept that they got defeated.
01:23:41.000Then obviously there won't be American boots on the ground.
01:23:44.000On the other hand, if you think Israel is just going to dominate and just destroy Hezbollah, then obviously there will be less boots on the ground.
01:23:50.000It'll be more the way, like, probably similar to what Maren said.
01:23:53.000So this is the question of, like, which way is the war going to go?
01:23:55.000Yeah, and I just don't see a scenario where they're going to dominate.
01:24:11.000Though they do have superior military equipment and support and an air force, it is much harder when you're the invader.
01:24:19.000And, I mean, we are already seeing reports of ambushes by Hezbollah already.
01:24:24.000I mean, just to mention, because we're just analyzing here, right?
01:24:28.000Because one of the mistakes I think Hezbollah made was, in my view, when Israel went into Gaza, that's when, in my view, they should have struck.
01:24:38.000Because there's no way, in my view, Israel would have been able to fight in two different fronts.
01:25:10.000And so when you know that, Why not just go in then?
01:25:16.000So I think that was a huge error because what they've done is basically dominate in Gaza and then now go for Hezbollah.
01:25:22.000And the same point becomes about Iran because after they're done with Hezbollah, they're going to go for Iran.
01:25:28.000So now the question becomes, does Iran go now and then force America into it or do they allow Israel to defeat Hezbollah and then come after them?
01:25:38.000So it's going to be like a complexity.
01:25:39.000Again, I think that it's not a smart idea just to let Israel take out one Yeah, no.
01:26:07.000Because Iran is the root cause of all their problems.
01:26:11.000Netanyahu has been there saying all the time, it's Iran proxy, Iran proxy, Iran proxy.
01:26:16.000And he's been saying, I'm going to finish the job, we're going to finish the job.
01:26:20.000When he came to America, and he sat there in Congress, and he spoke in front of everybody, and he got like 56 standing ovations, or whatever it may be.
01:26:28.000He said, give us the tools so we can finish the job, America.
01:26:41.000This is IRGC. He's going after everyone, right?
01:26:46.000So that's what he's going to say, because in his mind, he looks at it like Iran is the one that paid Hezbollah to shoot those rockets at us.
01:26:53.000Iran is the one that funded these guys to invade us on October 7th.
01:26:55.000He's able to tie everything back together, and that's what they're going to do.
01:27:01.000So Hezbollah, from a strictly a military strategy perspective, If they had attacked the IDF as soon as they invaded Gaza, yeah, you're right.
01:27:10.000That would have definitely discombobulated them.
01:27:13.000Yeah, that was my position at the time.
01:27:16.000Yeah, and now they're dealing with them head on, right?
01:27:19.000Because now they've pretty much disrupted Hamas to a significant degree where they can now focus on Hezbollah, which, you know, from a military strategy perspective, that's not in their favor.
01:28:23.000And not only that, that's interesting, too, I noticed, is, like, most of those hostages that they got back, they didn't get back from actually rescuing them.
01:28:31.000They got them back through agreements, if I'm not mistaken, right?
01:29:12.000Because Amath treated them really well.
01:29:14.000And remember on our October the 7th episode that we did, the five and a half hour one, one of the things we showed was that they were offered a hostage exchange on October the 8th and they refused it.
01:29:26.000I think they just clearly showed that they don't really care about the hostages.
01:30:33.000So the way it works, guys, is the crypto course is one thing, and then if you want to jump in a Zoom call that they're going to do tonight where they can answer a lot of your questions, get into Castle Club Premium if you're a Castle Club member.
01:30:44.000The crypto course doesn't go live until October 14th or 15th, and they're going to be doing two-a-day Zoom calls where they're going to educate you guys on what's going on in crypto, work with you closely, and pretty much everyone that joins, man, makes a bunch of money.
01:30:58.000So get in there, guys, in the Crypto Mindset course with Charlie and Miguel.
01:31:04.000We'll drop the link and put it at the top of the description for you guys, for all you guys to join up.
01:31:08.000And Zoom call from Cal's Club Premium, guys.
01:31:10.000It's already in top of the description.
01:32:33.000I know people will be like, oh, he's Muslim, that's why he's saying it.
01:32:35.000So when I saw the Christian-Muslim debates, I thought the Christian guys won all the debates, except for the one with the Muslim lantern and the neoplatans.
01:32:45.000What's the guy called to come on your show?
01:33:45.000And then I'm going to be starting my show next Thursday.
01:33:49.000But that's the channel I'm sorting out.
01:33:52.000But it's going to be called Suleiman Unfiltered.
01:33:53.000So that'll be on YouTube, Twitch and Twitter.
01:33:57.000So that's coming from October the 10th.
01:33:59.000And I got your page right now for the people to find you on X. You're hosting a space right now, and you took some time to talk with us, man.
01:34:47.000Get into Castle Club Premium, join the Zoom call, ask your questions there, get the value there, and then you'll know, oh shit, I want to be in this because they're going to give you Zoom calls like that twice a day for like two weeks.
01:34:57.000So Castle Club Premium, go in there right now, guys.
01:35:00.000And we also got a special discount for you guys that are in there in Castle Club Premium for the course should you choose to upgrade and get it.