Full Comment - August 12, 2024


Get hitched. Have kids. Save society from anti-marriage progressive elites


Episode Stats


Length

43 minutes

Words per minute

183.66418

Word count

8,074

Sentence count

360

Harmful content

Misogyny

26

sentences flagged

Hate speech

8

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Brad Wilcox s new book, "Get Married: While Americans Must Defy the Elites: How to Build Strong Families and Save Civ Civ Civility," details the decline in marriage in America, and the role of cultural elites in helping to explain why.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
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00:01:13.220 There was a time when it seemed everyone wanted to get married.
00:01:22.700 Getting married was what was expected of you.
00:01:25.220 Then marriage became less popular over the years.
00:01:29.000 Divorce became very popular throughout the 1970s and 80s.
00:01:32.200 Now, that's fallen off.
00:01:33.620 But is it partly due to fewer people getting married?
00:01:37.040 There's a new book out called Get Married While Americans Must Defy the Elites Forge Strong Families 0.98
00:01:41.920 and Save Civilization.
00:01:43.600 It's by academic Brad Wilcox from the University of Virginia.
00:01:47.240 And he joins me now on the Full Comment podcast.
00:01:49.820 Brad, thanks for the time.
00:01:51.480 Good to be with you, Brian.
00:01:54.420 So, I know this is a book directed to Americans.
00:01:58.380 Our numbers are going to be somewhat similar as we talk about statistics.
00:02:02.660 Not exact, but somewhat.
00:02:05.000 Why do you say that people should be defying the elites?
00:02:08.860 And what do you mean by that?
00:02:11.000 Who are the elites and are they telling us not to get married?
00:02:14.660 Yeah.
00:02:14.880 So, I think when I first kind of released the title on the internet, and the book wasn't out yet,
00:02:21.400 there was a prominent journalist in the States called Matt Iglesias who was like,
00:02:24.920 what do you mean defy the elites?
00:02:26.080 The elites are the ones who are doing a pretty good job at marriage in America.
00:02:31.260 And he's right in terms of practice.
00:02:33.660 So, there's no question that Americans who are college educated and more affluent are more likely
00:02:38.560 today to get married, stay married.
00:02:40.260 Same is true in Canada as well.
00:02:42.160 But what I think he missed was the way in which a lot of the messaging coming from cultural elites,
00:02:47.540 ironically, including Matt Iglesias, is often not very marriage friendly or even kind of
00:02:52.540 anti-nuptial in its content.
00:02:54.580 In fact, he had written a piece for a prominent platform called Vox, something to the effect of,
00:03:00.880 you know, marriage is in decline and that's not a big deal, right?
00:03:03.940 So, the point I was getting at in the book is kind of making the argument that elites in journalism,
00:03:09.260 in the academy, in terms of Hollywood, even C-suites nowadays, often will kind of publicly
00:03:16.340 discount the importance of marriage or even sort of, you know, attack marriage in some kind of way,
00:03:20.620 talk about it as patriarchal or as kind of like a, you know, an infringement on people's freedom,
00:03:25.700 even as they're often in their own private lives benefiting from marriage for themselves,
00:03:31.780 for their, you know, their spouse and for their children.
00:03:34.080 And so, it's a kind of way in which a lot of our elites are talking left, if you will,
00:03:38.760 and then walking right, thinking about this in terms of just sort of marriage or family.
00:03:42.900 And that's a problem because they're not kind of using their influence, their power,
00:03:47.080 their authority in their public capacities to kind of share the benefits of marriage and to
00:03:52.840 encourage stronger marriages and families for the country as a whole, for the society as a whole.
00:03:57.620 So, that's kind of the message that I was giving in part in the book.
00:04:01.920 So, as you look at the statistics, and I know you've looked at the Canadian ones as well,
00:04:05.720 and you were recently in Ottawa, speaking to my old friends at Cardis, but as you look at the stats,
00:04:12.200 is there a shocking difference between, you know, if we take it out of the culture war,
00:04:17.840 we put it into the class war, between upper income and lower income?
00:04:22.360 If you're at the bottom of the economic ladder, is there a difference between how you live in
00:04:28.420 terms of family structure than if you're at the top?
00:04:32.640 Yeah, no, there's definitely a class war, in a sense, going on when it comes to marriage. 0.80
00:04:36.380 Talk about the marriage divide.
00:04:38.860 And what we do see is that college educated and, you know, folks who are in the upper third
00:04:43.860 of the income distribution are much, much more likely to be married compared to folks who are
00:04:49.320 in the bottom third of the distribution economically, or who are not college educated.
00:04:55.180 And that divide has really kind of opened up since the 1970s.
00:04:59.900 What I think people don't realize, don't recognize, is there wasn't really a divide
00:05:03.820 when it comes to, like, race or ethnicity or class in marriage and family in the middle of the last century.
00:05:11.320 But in the last, really, 60 years, that divide has opened up in part along class lines
00:05:16.980 in ways that your question, I think, suggests.
00:05:20.520 Which is ironic, because the whole marriage is the patriarchy.
00:05:27.080 We should live free.
00:05:28.660 We should, that, where do you hear that the most?
00:05:32.060 On college and university campuses across this continent.
00:05:35.680 You know, what's striking is that we've been looking at some polling lately on kind of whether
00:05:39.960 or not people think that, you know, married parents are important for kids.
00:05:43.320 And the group that's the least likely to embrace that idea, that's the most kind of likely to resist
00:05:51.400 the idea that kind of in the abstract marriage matters for kids are liberal college educated
00:05:57.360 Americans.
00:05:58.960 And there's basically almost a 60 percentage point gap between conservative college educated
00:06:05.640 Americans and liberal college educated Americans on that particular question.
00:06:10.200 But, you know, the irony is that, you know, the vast majority of those liberal college educated
00:06:15.760 folks, if their parents, are stably married.
00:06:19.640 So this is kind of the tension that we see is a lot of elites, again, are talking left but
00:06:24.140 walking right.
00:06:26.140 And, you know, they're not using their authority as professors and teachers and school
00:06:30.280 superintendents, for instance, to kind of share the message about the value of marriage,
00:06:35.480 but also not just some kind of like preaching, but even kind of sharing kind of just their
00:06:39.620 own life experiences with people who may not have grown up with married parent families
00:06:44.260 and might want to actually know, like, well, what do you do when, you know, you're having
00:06:49.300 some kind of disagreement with your wife about something?
00:06:51.900 And how do you kind of navigate that successfully?
00:06:54.320 And, you know, because you've obviously done it.
00:06:56.360 And so I think that's the challenge is that we need to kind of share the benefits and the
00:07:02.580 value, but also kind of some, you know, some strategies for successfully navigating relationships
00:07:07.780 and marriage and family life across, you know, our society to bridge this marriage gap.
00:07:13.160 Well, you say it will save civilization.
00:07:15.960 If we put that out there in a public forum, there'd be a whole pile of people who say,
00:07:21.680 well, marriage doesn't matter to civilization. 0.99
00:07:24.000 Marriage is just between two people.
00:07:25.440 What does it matter to the greater society?
00:07:28.580 What does your research show?
00:07:30.500 Yeah, I think a lot of contemporary folks do believe that marriage is just a private affair.
00:07:36.220 It just matters for you and your partner and maybe your kids.
00:07:40.120 They don't appreciate that because we are social animals, as Aristotle said, that what happens
00:07:45.620 in our own families matters for our neighborhoods, our cities, our provinces, and for the country
00:07:51.460 at large.
00:07:51.940 And we see, for instance, in the States that there's been a marked decline in happiness in
00:07:57.460 the last few decades in the United States.
00:07:59.200 And as one recent University of Chicago economist found, the number one factor that he found
00:08:05.520 in his models that helped to account for that was the decline in the share of Americans who
00:08:10.020 are married.
00:08:11.080 We know from the work of Raj Chetty at Harvard and his colleagues that the number one factor
00:08:15.140 they found that predicted mobility for poor kids, that is, rising from sort of rags as a
00:08:21.120 child to riches as an adult, was the share of two-parent families in a community.
00:08:27.940 So the point is, is that-
00:08:28.860 So is that for the kid as they're growing up or when they're an adult?
00:08:34.300 As they're growing up.
00:08:34.800 No, no.
00:08:35.100 So what his work is showing us is that children who grow up in communities with a lot more
00:08:41.140 two-parent families are much more likely to experience economic success as they move into
00:08:49.500 adulthood compared to kids who have lots of single-parent families in their communities.
00:08:54.980 So in the United States, for instance, what he sees is that a community like the San Francisco
00:09:00.760 metro area or Salt Lake metro area, both of which actually have high rates of two-parent
00:09:06.460 families, are much more likely to generate that upward mobility for poor kids in their
00:09:12.780 communities than kids growing up in, for instance, the Charlotte or the Atlanta metro areas that
00:09:18.240 have a lot more single-parent families.
00:09:19.880 And this is controlling for things like race and ethnicity and school quality and income
00:09:25.340 inequality.
00:09:26.460 So it's just kind of showing us there's something about family structure per se that matters,
00:09:31.640 not just at the individual or the household level, but actually at the community level.
00:09:35.820 That we haven't really paid attention to in our thinking and our discussions and debates
00:09:41.200 about marriage and family.
00:09:43.920 And so, yeah, I think when marriage is strong, you see less child poverty, you see more mobility,
00:09:49.180 you see more safety in your communities, less violence, less crime.
00:09:55.780 And all this, you know, there's a lot of like collective benefits that flow from strong families
00:10:00.060 that we don't tend to recognize and realize in a lot of our public debates.
00:10:03.480 This is something that economist Thomas Sowell has been talking about in the African-American
00:10:09.880 community for decades now.
00:10:11.800 And he describes the difference between when he was young and growing up in Harlem, going
00:10:18.240 to school there and what it's like now in black communities across the United States.
00:10:23.440 But you've taken what he observed a long time ago and you've looked at it countrywide.
00:10:29.440 Right.
00:10:31.240 And it's important, again, to stress, I think all people don't realize this, but there have
00:10:34.760 been times in American history when African-Americans, for instance, black Americans were more likely
00:10:39.060 to marry than white Americans.
00:10:42.000 And Sowell's, you know, life history is kind of emblematic of the point that I was getting
00:10:46.980 at earlier.
00:10:47.400 And that is that, you know, there was a time in American life when there wasn't really a
00:10:50.880 big racial divide or big class divide when it came to marriage. 1.00
00:10:53.680 But there is now, and that's important both because it reinforces this class divide in
00:11:00.840 terms of it just is perpetuated.
00:11:02.840 And then also on the racial divide, you see work from John Iceland at Penn State showing
00:11:09.360 us that kind of the biggest factor now accounting for gaps in poverty and affluence between blacks
00:11:14.720 and whites is family structure.
00:11:17.420 And this has kind of been increasingly so compared to previous decades.
00:11:20.600 Um, so when the family breaks down, what we've seen in the United States is working class, 1.00
00:11:25.880 poor and African-American, uh, you know, communities have been hit hardest and this kind of marriage 1.00
00:11:32.700 divide only reinforces a lot of other divides that, you know, give us cause for concern.
00:11:38.120 If you were to bring this up in a political context today though, and say, we need policies that are
00:11:49.740 beneficial for families and keeping them together or in strengthening families, you would be pilloried.
00:11:56.680 I mean, there's all kinds of so-called family friendly policies aimed at making life more affordable
00:12:01.980 or a tax credit here, a tax credit there, but to say that while we're doing this to strengthen
00:12:08.800 families, that would be seen as, um, social conservatism that would not be welcome in the
00:12:17.980 mainstream of, of many political discussions in the mainstream of much of the media.
00:12:23.260 Yeah.
00:12:23.680 And that's one of the points I touched on both in the book and some of the commentary that
00:12:27.100 I've done lately.
00:12:28.320 And again, I mean, I, we're living in a world now where unfortunately marriage has become
00:12:31.720 a partisan or an ideological issue.
00:12:34.560 Even though, as you say that, like the, the, uh, college educated liberals are living that
00:12:39.880 life.
00:12:40.800 Yeah.
00:12:41.200 That's the tension is that, again, they're often kind of living a relatively, you know,
00:12:46.280 a neo-traditional family lifestyle in private, a marriage centered way of life in private and
00:12:51.800 they're benefiting, you know, uh, people who get married as I show in my book are about
00:12:56.920 twice as likely to be very happy with their lives.
00:12:59.220 Um, they accumulate way more assets across the course of their lives than they're never
00:13:03.740 married or, or divorced peers.
00:13:06.540 Um, you know, they're, uh, more likely to in the face of a cancer diagnosis to, uh, to
00:13:14.060 survive because they have the benefit of a spouse in their corner, you know, navigating,
00:13:17.240 you know, hospital realities and doctors offices and all that stuff.
00:13:20.720 So there's just no question that I think most people who have kind of are wise to the world
00:13:26.240 at some level, either explicitly or implicitly recognize that getting married and staying
00:13:33.100 married benefits them, benefits their partner, benefits their kids, you know, benefits their
00:13:37.000 long-term, you know, um, their long-term, um, interests.
00:13:42.740 And yet there has not been a willingness, unfortunately on the left to kind of articulate any of this in
00:13:48.420 a kind of public way or context.
00:13:50.480 You know, I've been, uh, we just had a by-election or as you might call it in the United States,
00:13:55.100 a special election here in Toronto.
00:13:56.960 It's made a lot of news and I've been spending a lot of time looking at the demographics of
00:14:02.380 that particular district.
00:14:04.260 And, uh, it was, uh, striking when I, you know, when, when we said that we're going to have
00:14:11.260 this discussion, I said, okay, well, let's go back and, and test Brad's theory based on
00:14:16.180 some of the electoral districts here and the, the wealthy one in Toronto, St. Paul's, where
00:14:21.040 we had the election, it's, uh, married or living common laws, the stat, and it's more
00:14:27.600 than two thirds are married and less than a third are common law.
00:14:31.800 If you go to a poorer district, uh, those numbers change dramatically and, and the, uh,
00:14:39.360 the number of, uh, common law goes up.
00:14:42.800 Actually, I got those wrong.
00:14:44.360 Well, it's less than a quarter in the wealthy district and it, it's much higher in the poorer
00:14:50.080 district.
00:14:50.400 So there does seem to be some of that, but is there, you know, is common law different
00:14:56.060 than being married?
00:14:57.240 Do you find different outcomes?
00:15:00.100 So I haven't investigated the Canadian, um, pattern recently, but we have looked at the
00:15:05.600 difference between cravitation and marriage in the States and then also in Europe, um, and,
00:15:10.520 and countries too, where it's, it's quite, you know, kind of, uh, common, quite conventional
00:15:16.240 to have, you know, people living as a, um, as a cohabiting or common law in a sense, couple
00:15:21.520 with kids in places like, you know, uh, Scandinavia and France and whatnot.
00:15:25.980 And we still found that even, um, in Europe and of course also United States, that kids
00:15:31.900 who were born to married parents were markedly more likely to be still living with their
00:15:36.980 parents compared to kids born to cohabiting parents.
00:15:40.000 And this is true also in Finland and France and other European countries that we've looked
00:15:44.820 at typically.
00:15:45.780 So we, we do tend to see that there's a kind of stability premium when it comes to marriage,
00:15:51.140 where, um, kids who are, who are born and raised in married households are more likely to be
00:15:57.060 still with their parents as they move through, you know, childhood and kids who are raised
00:16:02.460 in common law or cohabiting households are more likely to see their parents split.
00:16:07.020 And of course, the big question here is how much of this is kind of about marriage per se
00:16:10.140 versus a kind of selection effect where the kinds of people who get married today might
00:16:13.880 be more educated, affluent, religious, conservative, whatever.
00:16:17.380 Um, I think it's certainly part of the story, but I'd also would suggest, uh, to your audience
00:16:22.920 that, you know, the terms of entry when it comes to marriage and just living together are
00:16:29.040 very different.
00:16:29.760 Um, that there's a public ceremony, even in secular, you know, marriage ceremonies where
00:16:34.800 people are kind of standing in front of family and friends standing before their intended
00:16:39.420 making public commitments and that this is consequential for kind of, you know, uh, the
00:16:45.240 behavior and the orientation.
00:16:46.600 So that's, that's my view.
00:16:48.620 Brad, you talk about things like, uh, which segments of American culture thrive most in
00:16:54.180 marriage, uh, whether kids are a disaster for marriage or make you happier.
00:16:59.100 I want to talk about those issues when we come back more in moments.
00:17:02.040 Brad, in your book, you talk about how some parts of American society are the masters of
00:17:08.320 marriage, that they do better.
00:17:10.560 Who are they and why specifically do, do these groups perform better?
00:17:16.300 So we see in the data, Asian Americans, religious Americans, uh, conservative Americans and college
00:17:23.680 educated Americans.
00:17:25.000 Of course there's overlap between some of those groups, but if you kind of look at those different
00:17:28.420 four categories, you see, they're more likely to get married in the first place and then to be
00:17:33.400 either happily married or stably married in the second place.
00:17:36.020 So I call them the masters of marriage because they kind of stand out in comparison to other
00:17:39.980 groups in the country.
00:17:42.960 And so have you been able to account for that, that certain types of people are more likely to
00:17:48.920 be married than, or get married than others?
00:17:51.380 So yeah, I argue in the book that there are kind of five pillars to, uh, strong marriages today.
00:17:57.020 And those pillars are, uh, communion, children, commitment, cash, and community.
00:18:03.620 And I think those groups in different ways, um, sometimes in common ways and other ways,
00:18:08.780 um, you know, often kind of rely on some of those pillars to kind of support their marriages.
00:18:14.540 And so when it comes to like religious Americans and conservative Americans, for instance, they're
00:18:19.200 particularly likely to embrace ideas about commitment in terms of like they're committed to marital
00:18:23.860 permanence as an ethic, or they're committed to fidelity as an ethic in ways that are, you know,
00:18:29.000 somewhat more exceptional compared to the average American.
00:18:32.040 Or talk about community, for instance, as well, and find that people who are kind of embedded in
00:18:36.440 communities that give honor to family, um, and emphasize family are more likely to, you know,
00:18:42.000 to be flourishing in their marriages.
00:18:43.320 And I would say that Asian Americans and, uh, religious Americans tend to be embedded in social
00:18:48.940 networks that, you know, are more likely to sort of either explicitly or implicitly stress the
00:18:53.720 importance of, uh, of marriage and family stability.
00:18:57.540 Um, or when it comes to, um, to cash, what we see is that, uh, a lot's changed obviously between
00:19:04.360 women and men when it comes to working family in the 21st century. 0.59
00:19:08.880 But it's still the case that men's stable employment is more important for getting married 0.60
00:19:15.740 and staying married than women's, uh, employment. 0.98
00:19:18.800 There's a new study from Sasha Killwald, for instance, at Harvard showing that when women 1.00
00:19:22.280 lose their jobs, uh, wives lose their jobs, no effect on divorce.
00:19:26.760 When husbands, when men lose their jobs in the family, um, divorce goes up by 33%.
00:19:32.740 That's a, that's a big effect.
00:19:33.980 And it's kind of tells us that, you know, for kind of communities where men are stably 0.99
00:19:38.500 connected to full-time employment, you're more likely to see marriage in a good, uh, position.
00:19:44.980 And we see, I think for all four of these groups, for conservatives, for religious, for, um, college
00:19:51.180 educated and for Asian American, uh, men that they're more likely to be employed, uh, full
00:19:56.600 time.
00:19:57.200 So these are some of the factors.
00:19:58.280 So why is it, do you think that that, uh, jumps out?
00:20:01.400 Is it because, um, of the psychological impact on, on the man, on, on the husband?
00:20:07.500 Is it a, a, you know, a, a deep seated, uh, need by the wife to say, no, I, I need a man 0.82
00:20:15.180 who is gainfully employed, who is stable.
00:20:17.680 Is it the psychology of both at play?
00:20:20.400 I think it's both.
00:20:20.980 So what we see when it comes to men's unemployment is just, um, it's, it's, I think it's psychologically
00:20:26.720 devastating for guys when they're not working, um, for on average, obviously there are exceptions.
00:20:31.600 We know that there, you know, there's some decent stay-at-home dads, but I'm just saying
00:20:35.540 that for the average guy, the average Joe, um, there was a New York times piece not too
00:20:41.060 long ago showing, for instance, that when women were unemployed, you know, they increased
00:20:44.420 their, their kin care, they're volunteering and they were like, they were doing stuff,
00:20:48.620 you know, men who are unemployed were much more likely to be staring at a screen, um, in
00:20:52.940 this New York times, uh, piece.
00:20:54.660 And so there's just something I think about the men's self-worth that's more closely connected
00:20:59.960 to, um, to employment that continues to this day.
00:21:04.440 Um, and so we've seen some research, for instance, is that, uh, husbands who are unemployed do less
00:21:09.700 housework than husbands who are employed full-time, which of course is just, I'm sure, infuriating
00:21:14.880 to the wife.
00:21:15.660 I mean, here you have a guy who's at home, um, not bringing any money in and not doing much
00:21:22.380 around the house.
00:21:22.900 Right.
00:21:23.080 So that's kind of a, that's a, that's a, that's going to be a stress fact.
00:21:26.400 Yes.
00:21:26.980 Um, and then for the wife, I think, you know, um, and what I found is it's sort of the,
00:21:31.840 on the marital happiness side, the, the, really the effect is for married mothers. 0.52
00:21:36.240 Um, so I didn't find a big story for women in general, when it came to husbands being employed
00:21:41.540 full-time in terms of marital happiness, but there was a marked difference for married
00:21:45.880 moms with kids in the household.
00:21:48.200 And so I think for married moms, the issue there is that, you know, they want to have some 0.98
00:21:52.720 flexibility.
00:21:53.460 Maybe, maybe they want to work full-time and they want to work part-time.
00:21:57.460 Maybe they want to be at home.
00:21:58.900 And if their husband is employed full-time and they've got kids in the house, so it gives
00:22:04.280 them, you know, the latitude, the flexibility, the options, you know, and they can kind of
00:22:09.740 rely upon him to provide a financial secure foundation for the family.
00:22:14.000 And so I think that's why in part, you know, um, when he loses a job, you know, it's much
00:22:20.420 more likely to lead to, uh, you know, to divorce court than, uh, when she loses a job. 0.99
00:22:27.560 So we've been talking about the financial side.
00:22:29.260 Let's go back to previously.
00:22:31.620 We were talking about how some groups get married.
00:22:33.640 Some don't.
00:22:34.120 The class difference is part of the reason that, uh, people are lower on the income scale
00:22:40.840 aren't getting married at as high a rate.
00:22:44.540 Is it due to cash?
00:22:45.920 Is it due to the fact that they may feel, well, I don't have the economic wherewithal.
00:22:51.700 Uh, I don't have tens of thousands of dollars to spend on what's expected of a wedding today.
00:22:57.280 You know, a bachelorette in Nashville, a bachelor party in Vegas, all this crazy stuff, $120,000,
00:23:03.680 uh, reception.
00:23:05.740 Is that part of what's driving it?
00:23:08.460 Yeah, I think definitely.
00:23:09.620 I mean, part of the, part of the challenge is that there is kind of like this really super
00:23:14.200 high threshold that's been set for weddings today.
00:23:16.620 And so, which is crazy, which is great.
00:23:18.740 It's part and parcel of sort of seeing marriage as a capstone.
00:23:21.700 Not as a cornerstone.
00:23:23.040 So when my mom was married, she got married in her early twenties.
00:23:26.180 Um, you know, and you know, that was sort of the norm in her, her set back in the late
00:23:31.320 1960s.
00:23:32.160 Right.
00:23:32.740 And so, you know, people didn't have as big weddings and they moved into very modest,
00:23:37.500 you know, apartments typically.
00:23:39.160 And, you know, wasn't a, there wasn't a big kind of economic threshold to jump over.
00:23:44.060 Whereas today, a lot of people think you have to have, you know, uh, a destination wedding
00:23:49.400 and spend, you know, tens of thousands of dollars on the reception and all this kind
00:23:53.920 of stuff, which obviously makes marriage more inaccessible to working class and poor 0.98
00:23:59.020 couples.
00:23:59.560 I think that's part of it.
00:24:00.160 But I think the other piece though, is that we do see, um, and this is again, kind of the
00:24:04.760 irony is that our elites tend to discount the importance of male breadwinners in theory,
00:24:09.680 right?
00:24:09.960 In theory, but not in practice.
00:24:12.960 Right.
00:24:13.560 So we do see, you know, upper income folks are much more likely to have stable male breadwinners,
00:24:18.860 including liberal upper income folks.
00:24:20.920 Right.
00:24:21.740 Um, and unfortunately, if you go down the class ladder, you just see that working class and 1.00
00:24:25.960 poor couples are much more likely to have situations where she's earning more money, where 1.00
00:24:29.900 she is employed full time and he is not.
00:24:32.100 And that is not, again, not a recipe for, you know, getting married, um, and kind of getting
00:24:37.600 off on the right start.
00:24:38.620 And I think couples and women recognize that.
00:24:41.240 So that's one reason why they're not putting a ring on it.
00:24:43.340 Just because the guy for any number of reasons is, you know, not employed full time.
00:24:49.420 And that's, you know, that's a barrier, uh, for them when it comes to putting a ring on
00:24:54.620 it.
00:24:55.920 So you deal with a number of different things that you say, okay, well, here's this myth.
00:25:00.220 Here's why it doesn't matter.
00:25:01.120 Here's this myth.
00:25:02.280 Let's talk about some of those.
00:25:03.500 Um, the soulmate myth and the idea that I love you for as long as it makes me feel happy.
00:25:13.540 So the soulmate myth is this idea that what kind of marriage and love are all about is
00:25:17.920 kind of that intense emotional, that intense romantic connection between two people.
00:25:22.400 I kind of like the butterflies in the stomach that you first have when you meet someone
00:25:25.360 oftentimes and kind of like the sense like we are perfect.
00:25:28.440 We're like the perfect fit for one another.
00:25:30.200 Like this person completes me.
00:25:32.700 This is an amazing relationship.
00:25:34.620 And that's, I think, pretty typical for a lot of us at the beginning part of our, you
00:25:38.160 know, of our dating relationship or even, you know, the honeymoon period in life.
00:25:42.120 But the, you know, the fact of the matter is, is Jonathan Haidt wrote in a previous book
00:25:47.660 on happiness is that, you know, for the average couple, there's going to be a shift away from
00:25:52.860 kind of like this intense emotional connection towards a more companionate model, more of a kind
00:25:57.360 of a, you know, long-term friendship.
00:25:59.420 And if you don't kind of recognize that marriage is about more than intense feeling, more than
00:26:04.100 intense romantic or emotional feeling, if you don't appreciate too, that every couple
00:26:08.620 has problems and challenges, if there's no perfect soulmate out there for you. 0.92
00:26:12.860 I know.
00:26:13.360 No.
00:26:13.700 Then you're going to be in a lot of trouble.
00:26:16.260 And you still see, you know, as I talk to ordinary couples, there are folks out there
00:26:19.640 who still have this idea that if marriage takes work, if there is conflict, if there
00:26:27.160 is, you know, disconnect on some major issue or personality, you know, fit, then you're
00:26:33.700 not really meant to be together.
00:26:35.640 And of course, my view is that, you know, marriage is a commitment, you know, that you're
00:26:39.760 supposed to love your spouse through thick and thin, and there are going to be tough times
00:26:44.580 and conflicts and compromises that are part and parcel of that.
00:26:47.060 So there's a kind of a mindset, I think.
00:26:48.580 And some people are still sort of stuck in the soulmate mindset, which is just not very
00:26:53.480 realistic for any long-term, you know, friendship or marriage.
00:26:58.500 There used to be a play that was persistently put on here in Toronto and it's called, I love
00:27:03.880 you, you're perfect, now change.
00:27:05.100 Uh, we all change over time and, and, and things happen and relationships change.
00:27:11.520 If you think it's going to be butterflies the entire, first off, I think that would
00:27:15.360 be awful to live that way forever, but it's, it's just not going to last.
00:27:23.300 Correct.
00:27:23.920 And I think, you know, there's also something that's kind of beautiful about being with,
00:27:27.060 you know, someone who's imperfect and of course you're imperfect as well and kind of, uh,
00:27:31.880 navigating challenges and growing together as a couple.
00:27:34.140 And, and, you know, there's something, you know, beautiful and powerful about building
00:27:38.520 a long-term marriage, um, that has, you know, difficult chapters and moments.
00:27:43.740 You've kind of been able to work through these things and see your, your marital friendship
00:27:47.260 deepen.
00:27:47.940 So, yes, I just think people need to realize that marriage is about more than just intense
00:27:52.000 emotional feelings.
00:27:54.380 It's about financial security.
00:27:56.780 It's about having someone in your corner when you do get sick with cancer at age 59
00:28:00.360 or, or 73.
00:28:02.320 Um, it's about kind of being part of a larger kinship network.
00:28:05.940 Um, it's, I think for many, many of us about kind of having kids and raising them together
00:28:11.540 and sort of seeing, you know, a new generation unfold in your own home and then grandkids.
00:28:16.620 So, um, people have kind of what I call more of a family first mentality.
00:28:20.920 Um, I think have a richer and thicker understanding of what marriage is about.
00:28:26.060 And therefore they're less likely to be worried about the ebb and flow of particular, uh,
00:28:30.880 feelings, you know, which will ebb and flow in any given marriage.
00:28:35.700 I, uh, I know many, uh, married couples who for various reasons don't have children, including
00:28:42.680 not being able to have children.
00:28:44.780 I thankfully don't know many of the folks that you talk about in chapter seven, the parent
00:28:49.140 trap.
00:28:50.220 Um, I've met a few of them.
00:28:52.160 I can't say I'm, you know, they're in my social circle, thankfully, but the idea that
00:28:56.540 kids are just kids are the problem and they're going to make your life and marriage miserable. 0.98
00:29:01.200 So don't even think about having them.
00:29:03.000 I can't understand that mindset.
00:29:06.680 So I think the issue with kids today is multifaceted.
00:29:11.740 I think that there is, um, people are concerned about, you know, uh, finding decent housing,
00:29:17.660 you know, for having kids, they're concerned about the, you know, the environment, uh,
00:29:22.900 they're concerned, I think about the way in which having kids was going to affect their
00:29:26.440 lifestyle, you know, their, their ability to kind of travel and eat out and all this
00:29:30.900 kind of stuff.
00:29:31.500 So, um, they're in fact, they're worried about how it's going to affect their career.
00:29:34.520 Um, and so I think all these things kind of coalesce and, uh, help to explain why we've
00:29:41.820 seen dramatic declines in fertility in Canada.
00:29:43.840 It's down depending upon the, you know, the demographer 1.3, 1.2, um, fertility rate, which
00:29:51.020 means that, you know, across Canada right now, you know, the average woman is going to have 0.84
00:29:56.100 1.3 kids.
00:29:57.500 Um, and of course the replacement rate is about 2.1.
00:30:00.360 So, you know, absent immigration, of course, you're getting a lot of immigration recently
00:30:04.040 in Canada, but absent immigration, what that tells us is that Canada would be shrinking
00:30:07.340 pretty dramatically in this century.
00:30:10.440 Um, and it just also tells us there's some, there's some, you know, set of factors, probably
00:30:15.480 both rising cost of housing in Canada, but also kind of just a certain set of cultural
00:30:20.800 assumptions about childbearing that have made, um, you know, parenthood a lot less attractive
00:30:27.400 and in some ways accessible to, uh, to Canadians.
00:30:30.720 But what I think people don't realize is that, you know, uh, what we find is that there are
00:30:35.700 no group of, um, both men and women.
00:30:38.360 And I think a lot of this sort of revolves around how does this affect women, but no group
00:30:41.960 of men and women who are happier in the United States, for instance, than married fathers
00:30:47.320 and married mothers. 1.00
00:30:48.980 Just take women because we've seen the polling data is that women are more skeptical about 1.00
00:30:53.160 marriage and motherhood today, um, than men are.
00:30:56.400 And so when, let's just look at the women, what you see is that, you know, 40% of married 1.00
00:31:01.100 moms are very happy with their lives in the United States today, compared to just, um, 22%
00:31:07.500 of single childless women ages 18 to 55.
00:31:11.960 And then when you look at who's the least happy, um, the groups of women who are the least happy
00:31:17.260 got 25% of single childless women versus just 13% of married mothers. 0.95
00:31:25.360 So on both ends of kind of a happiness continuum, what we're seeing is that married moms are 1.00
00:31:29.840 the happiest and married moms are the least likely report that they're not too happy.
00:31:36.180 Um, they also, married moms also report more meaningful lives and less lonely lives than 0.97
00:31:42.720 their single and childless peers and markedly.
00:31:45.260 So, so we just have kind of a challenge.
00:31:48.320 And that is that kind of, I think the reputation in public, especially for women of marriage
00:31:53.860 and motherhood is not great right now.
00:31:55.940 And yet the reality is that at least, um, and looking at the survey data, you know, married
00:32:02.960 moms more likely to be flourishing than their single and childless peers. 0.69
00:32:05.900 So with all this data, why are so many people, including so many in media, in the academy,
00:32:18.740 why publicly they're down on marriage?
00:32:21.740 If, if their own life experience says one thing, if the data says the same thing as their
00:32:29.020 own life experience, then why are they down on, on the institution?
00:32:32.980 A couple of things here.
00:32:35.620 Um, number one is obviously there's been a lot of family instability over, you know,
00:32:39.060 the last couple of decades.
00:32:40.480 And so, you know, many, I think men, women have seen, you know, their parents get divorced,
00:32:46.040 their best friend, their older sibling get divorced.
00:32:48.880 And so, you know, understandably clouds their view of marriage.
00:32:51.740 I think that's part of the story here.
00:32:52.920 Um, I think another part of the story here is, you know, we still live in an age when
00:32:57.360 in the average married family, even progressive families, women tend to do more of the housework, 1.00
00:33:02.500 more of the childcare, more of the kind of family management.
00:33:06.960 And, you know, if, if you're committed to kind of a 50, 50 model of, of doing everything,
00:33:12.200 that's going to look, you know, less appealing, um, than, you know, what you would have maybe
00:33:18.140 hoped for in your marriage and family life.
00:33:20.520 And so you might be more inclined just to sort of, you know, I don't want to have a
00:33:23.160 situation where I'm, you know, the wife and mother and I have a, you know, uh, an extra
00:33:28.720 burden when it comes to, um, you know, caring for the kids, managing the household, you know,
00:33:34.480 all that stuff.
00:33:35.140 So I want to, I want to kind of focus more on my career, you know, I think that's, that's
00:33:38.960 part of the story as well.
00:33:41.160 Um, and then I think too, and this is, this is a harder thing to say, but it's true.
00:33:46.220 So progressives are less likely today to get married.
00:33:51.820 They're less likely to be happily married.
00:33:55.300 And I think, and less likely to be happy in general, and they're more likely to kind of
00:34:00.660 dominate, you know, our public cultural organs of production, the media, you know, the academy,
00:34:07.720 our public schools, you know, all that kind of stuff.
00:34:10.220 And so I think they're more likely to take a critical take on marriage, um, and family,
00:34:15.960 which then is kind of like distributed across the culture, given where there's, you know,
00:34:20.240 where they sit in the culture.
00:34:22.880 Do you have advice for, um, either for married couples or for, uh, uh, for policymakers?
00:34:30.520 I mean, maybe you've got advice for, for couples.
00:34:33.020 I see that you were, uh, endorsed by forgetting his name Chapman, that the guy behind five love
00:34:38.220 languages, he's one of the people endorsing your book.
00:34:41.040 Yeah.
00:34:41.200 So I mean, practical advice, what's, what's kind of, what's the takeaway for ordinary couples?
00:34:44.360 A couple of things.
00:34:44.880 One is regular date nights are really valuable for couples, especially couples with kids.
00:34:49.080 I would say just kind of connecting, you know, keeping that, um, I'm not saying that romance
00:34:54.260 is everything that's sort of the soulmate model, but it's really not nothing.
00:34:56.960 Right.
00:34:57.260 So it's important to try to cultivate that romantic spirit, um, you know, on a regular basis.
00:35:03.040 And I think, uh, date nights can be helpful there.
00:35:05.480 I encourage couples to steer clear of a me first approach and embrace a, we first approach.
00:35:10.780 So an example is like checking accounts.
00:35:12.640 We see is the couples that have got joint accounts are markedly happier unless divorce
00:35:17.360 prone than couples who have separate accounts.
00:35:19.620 Kind of just so it's an example.
00:35:21.200 That's an, that's an odd one.
00:35:23.960 I, well, I think, you know, money, what's behind that money is a big deal.
00:35:28.600 Right.
00:35:28.900 And, uh, marriage is, you know, about sharing a life together.
00:35:32.540 Right.
00:35:32.800 And so one way you share a life together is, you know, you put your money together, especially
00:35:36.380 because oftentimes, you know, both parties are not earning half their household income.
00:35:41.400 Right.
00:35:42.280 I talked for instance, to a colleague in my twenties when we were both in our twenties.
00:35:46.980 Um, and she was on a pretty minimum stipend.
00:35:50.440 Her husband was making a lot of money.
00:35:53.220 Um, and I asked her, Hey, you know, how's it going?
00:35:55.340 She's fine.
00:35:55.660 But she expressed some frustration that she couldn't buy a couch for their apartment.
00:35:59.720 And she had, you know, I think two kids at the time.
00:36:02.560 And I was like, uh, just, I didn't say this, obviously, but I was thinking, what's going
00:36:06.280 on here?
00:36:06.500 Cause I know your husband makes a good salary.
00:36:10.260 And, um, and she's, and she kind of like, Oh, we have kind of separate accounts and I
00:36:14.460 don't have as much money in my account as he has in his account and you know, all this
00:36:17.220 kind of stuff.
00:36:17.960 And I was just going to like flabbergasted because my wife and I had one account and if
00:36:21.760 she wanted a couch and there was enough money in the account, she'd get the couch. 0.93
00:36:25.640 Right.
00:36:25.820 There wasn't, there wasn't like some kind of like, you know, so I'm just saying that's,
00:36:28.160 that's the dynamic in play is that, um, in part, right.
00:36:32.500 You know, whereas if you have a sense of like, it's our money, it's our financial future.
00:36:36.340 We're gonna have to talk through some tough, you know, things.
00:36:39.500 We're building something together.
00:36:41.220 Yeah.
00:36:41.540 It's a future to find it.
00:36:42.700 And that's, that's, that's not unimportant.
00:36:44.300 You know, money matters and that is for marriage too. 0.52
00:36:46.040 So I think that's, that's an example of kind of more, do you take a, we first approach
00:36:49.940 to money and marriage or do you take a, me first?
00:36:51.880 And I think a, we first is much, much better, um, on commitment.
00:36:55.800 Can I recognize the importance of not using the D word in your thinking or your conversations
00:37:00.300 as a couple, don't talk about divorce.
00:37:01.980 You know, you've made a commitment, work through your, you know, your challenges for
00:37:05.120 all possible, obviously without, you know, um, opening up that Pandora's box, talk about
00:37:11.120 fidelity in marriage.
00:37:12.560 Um, you know, steering clear of attractive alternatives in the real world.
00:37:16.280 Um, but also, uh, nowadays steering clear of attractive alternatives in the virtual world,
00:37:20.860 you know, and that obviously relates to anything from, you know, social media to pornography,
00:37:26.400 whatever else.
00:37:27.220 Um, you know, the, the less of that, the better for your marriage, um, is kind of the takeaway
00:37:31.940 for an ordinary couples talk obviously about the importance of men being intentional about
00:37:36.720 work.
00:37:37.160 Not, I mean, I, a lot of the guys that I know have gotten divorced and, you know, in
00:37:41.340 their forties, fifties are guys that I know have a record of not being stably employed.
00:37:46.420 And I know that it's sort of undercut their wife's confidence in them and their sense of
00:37:51.860 financial security.
00:37:52.840 Right.
00:37:53.200 And so obviously some, you know, people are fired without, you know, through no fault of
00:37:58.380 their own, but, but it's also the case too, that there are some kinds of guys who just
00:38:02.660 don't fully take their financial and professional responsibilities with the requisite seriousness.
00:38:10.040 That's also the area where guys can step up.
00:38:13.120 Um, and then, and finally, if, if you've got a religious bone in your body, I would recommend 0.95
00:38:16.920 that you go to, you know, your church, your temple, your synagogue, your mosque, because
00:38:20.780 generally speaking, couples who are embedded in a religious community, um, for very sociological
00:38:26.740 reasons in part, you know, you're surrounded by a lot of families tend to get, you know,
00:38:31.200 messaging and encouragement that, you know, pushes you, I say, especially as a dad and
00:38:36.440 husband to be more intentional about, you know, um, being there for your family, for
00:38:44.660 your spouse, for your kids, um, and, um, you know, steering clear of things that can get
00:38:50.140 people into trouble, like, you know, drugs and, and alcohol and whatnot as well too.
00:38:56.560 So, um, those are some things that, you know, that are more practical that come out in the
00:39:00.260 book.
00:39:01.200 So the, uh, what about for policymakers?
00:39:05.520 Are there things that are politicians at any particular level of government could be
00:39:11.280 doing to, uh, to change some of these patterns that you've been watching and seeing?
00:39:17.740 So I think one thing is just being very clear that the financial incentives line up with
00:39:21.880 marriage and now parenthood, especially in Canada with your low fertility rate, we often
00:39:26.880 see it.
00:39:27.140 I don't, I don't, I'm not as familiar with the Canadian sort of, you know, policy regime
00:39:30.380 around supporting lower income families in Canada, but we know in the States that a lot
00:39:35.640 of working class couples are penalized when it comes to marriage, uh, because the way in 0.97
00:39:41.780 which we've structure our benefits basically means that if you earn above a certain threshold,
00:39:46.580 you don't qualify for something like free healthcare in the United States, um, or free childcare,
00:39:51.360 or, you know, what's called the earned income tax credit.
00:39:55.620 So just being attentive to the way in which, you know, as you look at kind of the, the different
00:39:59.880 benefits that are offered to families in Canada, that they're, you're not unintentionally making
00:40:04.180 it, you know, less financially attractive to get married or to have kids for that matter
00:40:08.200 as well.
00:40:08.580 So that's one issue that I would share with your Canadian eyes.
00:40:12.100 I think another issue is, is housing affordability.
00:40:14.760 I think people are reluctant to get married, especially to have kids if they don't have access
00:40:19.920 to, um, decent housing, especially single family homes.
00:40:24.420 And so I think just, yeah, that is our, our biggest issue in this country right now is,
00:40:30.240 uh, a housing bubble in especially Toronto and Vancouver that is out of control, but rising
00:40:35.780 home prices everywhere.
00:40:37.920 And the, a lot of the push for, uh, by policymakers is to say, great, we'll build giant condo towers
00:40:45.060 and that might be fine for, for some families with kids, but it's not the ideal that everyone
00:40:52.160 wants.
00:40:52.640 No, that's the challenge is that we see there's something about, there's been some really
00:40:56.400 fascinating research in Southeast Asia.
00:40:59.160 There's something about intense urban density.
00:41:02.160 That's not, um, conducive to family formation and childbearing.
00:41:07.160 Um, so unless you're Jim Gaffigan, well, he's, yeah, he's an exception.
00:41:12.080 Five kids in downtown New York.
00:41:13.760 That's right.
00:41:14.320 You don't want to, um, I mean, we've seen this obviously this, this, this, and it's East
00:41:18.160 Asia too.
00:41:18.660 I mean, we've, this story is played out in Seoul.
00:41:20.540 It's, uh, played out in Singapore.
00:41:23.240 It's played out in Taipei, right?
00:41:24.800 So when you build these massive urban centers and big towers, people don't want to have,
00:41:31.560 you know, kids in that, in that context, you need to figure out ways to, um, increase.
00:41:38.320 And I'm not saying big single family houses.
00:41:40.900 I'm just saying, you know, give people their own little, you know, their own little castle,
00:41:44.260 so to speak.
00:41:44.880 I think my parents, my parents' first home that I remember when I was a toddler, uh,
00:41:50.480 would have been maybe 1100 square feet, maybe, but it's a three bedroom home.
00:41:55.880 Yes.
00:41:56.380 And it was a single family home on its own little plot.
00:41:59.700 Yeah.
00:41:59.880 And that was my experience growing up too.
00:42:01.380 So we had, so I think, yeah, building a lot of modest single family homes would be,
00:42:04.940 would be really helpful if we could figure out a way to do that policy wise.
00:42:07.480 And I know that that's become part of your political conversation in Canada.
00:42:10.660 But the final piece is, you know, Canada has got better family policies.
00:42:16.080 Finland has got better family policies than the United States.
00:42:19.660 No question, for instance, that those two countries, for instance, you know, much better
00:42:23.680 in terms of just benefits, money, blah, blah, blah, for, you know, for families, more parental
00:42:28.280 leave, you know, pay parental leave, all this kind of stuff.
00:42:31.620 But both Finland and Canada, for instance, have markedly lower rates of fertility now than the
00:42:37.300 United States.
00:42:37.920 And I mean, we've got our problems down South in the US, obviously, but I think there still
00:42:42.960 is a kind of greater regard for marriage and childbearing South of the border than there
00:42:47.700 is North of the border.
00:42:50.040 And so there's also a cultural challenge here in question.
00:42:52.760 So I think you've got to figure out ways to, in the media, in your universities, in pop
00:42:59.460 culture, in your education system, to talk up the benefits of marriage and parenthood to,
00:43:06.500 you know, school age children and young adults.
00:43:10.660 Because absent that, you know, you're just going to see a precipitous decline in marriage
00:43:18.680 and family life in Canada, as is, you know, is sort of playing out in a lot of countries.
00:43:24.660 We'll all eventually look like Quebec.
00:43:26.960 Brad, we are out of time, but thank you so much for your time today.
00:43:31.320 And I encourage people to check out the book, Get Married.
00:43:34.460 Thanks so much.
00:43:35.880 Thanks, Brian.
00:43:36.220 Great to be with you today.
00:43:37.960 Full Comment is a post-media podcast.
00:43:40.300 My name is Brian Lilly, your host.
00:43:41.740 This episode was produced by Andre Prude.
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00:43:56.260 Until next time, I'm Brian Lilly.