It’s not just Alberta flirting with western separatism now
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
173.08101
Summary
In this episode, we take a look at the challenges facing Canada, from the perspective of Western Canada, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's recent trip to Washington, D.C. to meet with the Prime Minister's Council of Advisors.
Transcript
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When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners,
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I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?
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Like that woman over there with the designer jeans.
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Is there a chance that Canada could break apart?
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I'm not sure we're at that point yet, but warning signs are on the horizon.
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You could say that the country's check engine light is flashing bright red.
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Hello, and welcome to the Full Comment Podcast.
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And today, a look at national unity from a Western perspective.
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We just had an election that returned to Liberal government,
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albeit with a new leader and Prime Minister at the helm.
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As Mark Carney will gladly and frequently tell you,
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he was born in the Northwest Territories, raised in Edmonton, Alberta.
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He loves showing off his Oilers jersey and views himself as a Westerner.
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But a desire to separate after this latest Liberal win has been on the rise.
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An Angus Reid poll taken before the election showed 30% in Alberta and 33% in Saskatchewan
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would want to make their province independent if the Kearney Liberals won.
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Alberta Premier Danielle Smith recently introduced legislation to make it easier for
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citizen initiatives to take place, which could include a referendum on separation.
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How we address these problems before us will determine the future of Canada.
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On this podcast, you will hear from my conversations with Premier Smith,
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with Dan Arnold, a Calgary native and Liberal, former senior staffer in the Trudeau PMO,
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and from Preston Manning about how we can address these issues, how we should address them.
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First up, Premier Smith, who I interviewed after the First Minister's meeting that took place last Wednesday,
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day after Prime Minister Carney went to Washington.
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I asked the Premier to explain for Canadians and the rest of the country,
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while people in Western Canada, Alberta in particular, are feeling the way they do, neglected by the East.
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Well, maybe the best way to describe it is for people to examine how scared and fearful they are
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That's how scared and fearful Albertans are that the Liberals will continue to crush our economy.
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All of the damage that we have seen over the last 10 years, most of it has come from bad federal policy,
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coming out of the alliance between the Liberals and the NDs to target our industry
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and to put in punitive policies that are designed to keep our oil and gas in the ground.
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That is how, maybe that's the best way to understand the feelings Albertans have right now.
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I think I've said before that I don't know if we've got Conservative banker Mark Carney,
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who is our Prime Minister, or whether we've got a Net Zero Advisory Council to Justin Trudeau.
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And I do think that if we can find a pragmatic path forward,
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then it's going to be, it's going to work for Canada and it's going to work for Alberta.
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That's interesting that she spoke about Prime Minister Carney in a positive way.
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And in fact, she was positive more than once during the interview about Carney,
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including telling me that when she presented him with her list of demands,
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What I will say is we've had a conversation, and I'm hoping to have many more,
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where I put those nine issues on the table and he didn't say no to any of them.
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But the fact that his first reaction was not no says to me that we have some common ground to start on.
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I've seen Doug Ford very vocally and in public talk about the importance of changing the regulatory process under C-69
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And that applies as much to Ring of Fire mining projects as it does to pipelines.
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I've been grateful to see that level of support from the Chair of our Council of the Federation.
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And so I think he's getting the message from a number of different voices,
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not just mine, not just the energy industry, but also other premiers,
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that this is a rare moment where the nation is united.
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We realize the threat to our sovereignty that comes from the Americans
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because we haven't worked as well together in the past.
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And let's seize this moment to actually act like a nation and support each other.
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I think that that is a very strong sentiment at the first minister's table,
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and I think that he's getting that message from a lot of different viewpoints.
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Let's admit off the top that the bar is pretty low following Justin Trudeau,
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The premiers will meet with Prime Minister Carney at the beginning of June,
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not in Ottawa, as normally happens, but symbolically in Western Canada.
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We'll see at that point if Carney is still just mouthing nice words,
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or if he's actually delivered something concrete, or is moving in that direction at least.
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In addition to talking to Premier Smith, I wanted to get a liberal perspective on Alberta.
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They are the party in charge federally after all,
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and there are liberals in and from Western Canada.
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Dan Arnold, who goes by the handle Calgary Grit on X,
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He spent several years running the polling for Justin Trudeau,
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including many of those years in the Prime Minister's office.
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I wanted his view on how the new liberal government could handle this issue better.
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So, Dan, I'd like to get your thoughts on where we are right now.
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I don't think that we've got a Western separatist movement
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that is suddenly going to blow the barn doors off of Canada,
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We saw the Angus Reid poll that was out before the election
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showing that 33% of people in Saskatchewan would vote for their province to become independent
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National unity is not just a Quebec issue anymore.
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If this is allowed to fester, we could end up in a pretty bad spot.
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I don't think we're in a position where there's going to be a yes vote.
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It doesn't feel like the winning conditions are there,
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to take a phrase that Jacques Perrazo used to use.
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but that was on the heels of Meech and Charlottetown and a lot of unrest,
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and there's a bit of almost a nationalism boost that's happening right now
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given everything that's going on south of the border.
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So it doesn't feel like this is a moment where the conditions are there
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for a successful yes vote in Saskatchewan or Alberta,
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but it's fair to say that there's been a lot of resentment,
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a lot of frustration bubbling through the surface for a long time out west.
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Polaro does regular tracking on how Western Canadians feel
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and yes, support for separation is usually pretty low.
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It's usually around 20% when we pull on the question,
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but it's only about a third of Albertans who feel they're treated fairly
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So there is a sense that a lot of people feel like they're treated unfairly,
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and I think that creates the level of frustration.
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And if it gets stoked because of things the premier is doing,
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because of what the federal government does or doesn't do,
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certainly that frustration could turn into something
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Some of my colleagues in the commentariat class
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I don't think that is the attitude that Prime Minister Carney has taken.
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In fact, I think it's a bold move and an interesting one
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that he decided to host the first minister's meeting in Saskatoon.
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Instead of saying, all right, all you peasants come to Ottawa,
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But what are the steps, the overtures, the olive branches
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that this new government could extend to places like Alberta and Saskatchewan
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to try and turn things around to lower the temperature?
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is not driven by a sense of necessarily unique culture or identity
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It's more stemming from a sense of people feeling alienated,
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feeling like they're overlooked, like they're not listened to,
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compared to people in other parts of the country.
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So I think the antidote to that is a first step is just listening, right,
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and spending time there showing that you are taking people seriously,
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which is why I think doing things like having a first minister's meeting out west is good.
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Certainly, Mark Carney, it sounds like his first call with Premier Smith
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I mean, she was still out two days later with her demands,
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but nevertheless, she did say the call was positive.
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And, you know, she was positive with me about the virtual first minister's meeting
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after the White House visit and saying nice things about Mark Carney.
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I mean, it wasn't just Doug Ford, it was Danielle Smith as well.
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and I think Mark Carney seems to have that attitude, right?
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And look, he's from Alberta, which is an interesting dynamic as well, too.
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You know, I think in this situation of Trudeau as prime minister,
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because the Trudeau name carries a lot of baggage with it,
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whereas Carney is somebody who has lived in Edmonton for a long time.
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You know, it seems like somebody who maybe is better positioned
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and, you know, maybe is the right person to lower the temperature at this moment.
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Anything concrete other than in two months' time
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showing up in Calgary in jeans and a silly hat?
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And I'm sure he'll wear the Oilers jersey a few times
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between now and then, too, as the playoffs go along.
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I'll cheer for the Oilers until they're facing off
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So is there a way to open things up on the oil and gas sector?
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and, you know, helping resources get to market.
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He's not a keep the oil on the ground type of guy
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he's not going to agree to all those things there.
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He's not going to repeal the clean energy regulations.
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It might help lower the temperature a little bit.