Full Comment - July 17, 2023


Price-fixing at Canada’s grocery stores is bigger than just bread


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36 minutes

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Inflation, shrinkflation, greedflation, price fixing: these are just some of the topics in the news of late when it comes to food, and the ever-increasing cost of food. In this episode, we talk to food economist Sylvain Charlebois about what's driving up food prices, what's causing it, and how to stop it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Whether you own a bustling hair salon or a hot new bakery, you need business insurance that can
00:00:06.980 keep up with your evolving needs. With flexible coverage options from TD Insurance, you only pay
00:00:11.800 for what you need. TD, ready for you. Inflation, shrinkflation, greedflation, price fixing. These
00:00:25.500 are just some of the topics in the news of late when it comes to food, the ever-increasing
00:00:30.080 cost of food. Hello, I'm Brian Lilly, and this is the Full Comment Podcast. I don't mean
00:00:34.980 to depress you right now talking about food and how much it costs to feed yourself and
00:00:39.680 your family, but it is a topic of discussion nonetheless. Now, before we get started on
00:00:45.280 this most vexing of topics, I do want to ask you a favor. On whatever device, whatever
00:00:49.520 app you're listening to is on, please hit the subscribe button. Make sure that you get
00:00:54.480 every episode sent to you as soon as it's available. And tell your friends about us,
00:00:59.820 the riveting conversations we have here at the Full Comment Podcast. Conversations like
00:01:04.760 the price of food. The topic is coming up everywhere, and it's little wonder. We all have to eat,
00:01:10.080 and it's getting more expensive. If you heard about the latest Stats Canada report on inflation,
00:01:15.200 sounded like good news. Inflation is cool, down to 3.4%. But food inflation remains high. Grocery
00:01:21.780 prices going up an average of 9% compared to a year ago. And for some products, it's even higher.
00:01:27.920 Oils, like canola or olive oil, up 20%. Bakery products, up 15. Cereal, your cornflakes is costing
00:01:34.920 you 13.6% more than a year ago. So what's causing it, and how do we fix it? It's been the topic of
00:01:42.180 some discussion among politicians, some looking for real solutions, some looking to grandstand. And of
00:01:47.660 course, we've got the government just introduced grocery rebate. Will that help? These are the
00:01:53.100 questions I want to put to Sylvain Charlebois, the food professor. Sylvain is a professor of food
00:01:57.780 distribution and policy. He's also scientific director at Agri-Food Analytics Lab at Dalhousie
00:02:03.060 University in Halifax. But today, he joins us from the Food Center of Canada, perhaps Quebec City.
00:02:09.340 Sylvain, thanks so much.
00:02:10.200 It's certainly the capital of tourism right now, for sure.
00:02:16.760 I'm doing well. And after you told me about being in Quebec City, I'm just thinking back to
00:02:22.640 some of the wonderful meals I've had there. The restaurants are great.
00:02:27.660 Oh, yes. And affordable, too. It's surprising. Service is great. Lots of people. We were out in
00:02:34.160 old Quebec last night, and my goodness, the place was just jumping. It's great to see people back
00:02:40.560 out there. It is quite warm. It's very hot right now in Quebec City, but people are enjoying the
00:02:46.200 great food, enjoying the great company, and it's nice.
00:02:48.940 The issue of food inflation, this is something that you and I have talked about before. You've
00:02:53.620 done so many interviews about it. We've listened to the politicians talk. What is driving up the
00:03:00.080 cost of food? Is it just supply chain issues? Is it global inflation generally? Is it the
00:03:08.580 greedflation that we've heard so many politicians jump on, I think, for calculated partisan gain?
00:03:16.980 Oh, yes, absolutely. So this is what happened, Brian, when you politicize the issue of food
00:03:22.820 inflation. On the one side, you see many people accusing businesses, accusing even individuals,
00:03:30.080 individuals, individualizing food inflation, like what we saw against Galen Western, for
00:03:36.540 example. And also, you have governments giving money to people to cope with food inflation.
00:03:44.920 So it's a bit messy out there. The fact of the matter is that we are looking at the agri-food
00:03:51.780 system, and the reality of agri-food business is that it's always been a high volume, low margin,
00:04:00.000 environment. And so when things like COVID happens, when Ukraine happens, when you have the weather
00:04:10.200 not playing along all around the world, and of course, supply chain issues have actually impacted
00:04:17.460 the efficiency of food systems, you end up seeing a slew of factors just pushing prices higher.
00:04:25.740 The thing that I think has been underappreciated in the media is that because you are in a low margin
00:04:32.200 environment, you can't just jack up prices all at once. You have to incrementally increase prices as
00:04:40.500 salaries go up, the price packaging goes up, and a lot of different things actually are more expensive
00:04:48.020 now. And we're feeling it. We've been feeling this inflationary heat at the grocery store for quite a
00:04:57.340 while. And it's going to last a while. So if people are saying, well, Ukraine's over, the Ukrainian effect 0.73
00:05:02.880 is over, COVID has been over now for a while, supply chains seems to be, supply chains are doing better,
00:05:09.580 which is all true. But at the same time, you're also seeing companies coping with higher costs,
00:05:16.820 no matter what, but you can't really just force your way through the supply chain and ask for more
00:05:22.620 money. It just doesn't work that way overnight. So you have to kind of incrementally increase prices
00:05:27.820 over time, which is why now the gap between food inflation and inflation is over 5%. And so
00:05:34.760 that's why people are still upset with food prices in general.
00:05:40.060 Seen this coming for a while. I remember it was about two years ago, speaking to a farmer from out
00:05:47.640 west who was very happy on the one side that his commodity prices had gone up. He was getting more
00:05:54.720 per bushel for his wheat, but all his inputs were going up, sometimes at a faster pace. So whether it
00:06:04.740 was the fuel to run his tractors, his seeders, whether it was the fertilizer, which definitely
00:06:12.420 due to the war in Ukraine, the cost of fertilizer went up, depending on when you purchase, between
00:06:16.900 two and four times what you had paid the year before. This is, I guess, slowly trickling through
00:06:23.520 the system would be part of what we're talking about here.
00:06:25.920 Not necessarily, Brian. You see, farmers are dealing with price-taking economics. So you
00:06:34.480 basically will take the price the market will want you to get, essentially. And so on the one side,
00:06:42.160 as a farmer, you hope for the best. You hope that commodity prices remain high and that your input
00:06:48.140 costs remain low. But that's rare. That's very rare. And that's why often farmers do experience a bad
00:06:54.900 year. Last year was actually pretty good. They actually were able to get decent contracts.
00:07:02.240 Input costs were higher. Some of it had to do with the economics of distribution. But as you know,
00:07:08.960 Brian, they had to pay tariffs due to measures against Russia. Yeah. And so those measures really
00:07:17.560 impacted farmers. And what was really unfortunate is that Mr. Bebo actually promised farmers to
00:07:24.260 reimburse them because it was about $34 million. And $34 million is quite a lot of money for farmers
00:07:32.280 in particular because you can't get that money back by selling higher. That's what price-taking economics
00:07:39.520 are all about. And so unfortunately, they were never reimbursed as a result. But still, overall,
00:07:45.600 it was a very good year. They had to put a lot of money in the ground to make some good money.
00:07:50.160 This year, my guess is it's going to be an okay year, but it's not going to be as good as last year.
00:07:56.980 Let's deal with the hot issue in the media of greedflation. There was this idea that Galen Weston,
00:08:04.760 I can't recall, is he retired or it's about to take effect? He was the president and CEO of Loblaws.
00:08:11.720 Recently announced he's stepping down. He's the guy in the yellow sweater from all those
00:08:15.520 no-name ads.
00:08:16.220 He's stepping down, but he remains chair, so he's still going to be around for sure.
00:08:19.760 And the family's still going to own it. But there was this claim that Galen Weston and these other
00:08:25.420 supermarket executives, who nobody knows quite as well, you know the names, but most people wouldn't
00:08:32.040 know who they are. The claim though was that, well, these guys are just being greedy and they're
00:08:37.160 gouging customers. And when you see, I saw a jar of jam the other day, something I don't buy that
00:08:44.240 often, but I still know around what the price should be. And it was $7.49 for what I used to
00:08:50.220 pay under five bucks for. No wonder people say, oh, they're just being greedy. They're gouging me
00:08:55.860 now. But you've looked at greedflation. You've looked at this idea that it's just gouging. And
00:09:01.860 you've said, hmm, the facts don't back it up. Why and how do you say that?
00:09:07.660 So are grocers making good money? Of course they are. I actually do believe that Metro,
00:09:16.120 Empire, and Loblaw, the big three, as we call them, are very well-managed companies. But if you look at
00:09:24.220 financial reports over the last couple of quarters, you will notice that companies,
00:09:32.180 grocers, aren't really making money selling food. Loblaws would be one case. So Loblaws made almost
00:09:41.480 $2 billion last year, which is a lot of money for Loblaws. And was it a record profit year,
00:09:47.280 profiteering year? It was, absolutely. So to say that they are making retro profits is not
00:09:54.040 necessarily wrong. But if you look at the last quarter, Q4, you'll notice that Loblaws' food
00:10:03.380 sales have gone up by only 3.1%. 3.1% while food inflation was well over 9% for the entire quarter.
00:10:12.820 That means, Brian, that they're treading water when it's time to sell food. They're making money
00:10:18.580 selling drugs, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, clothing, real estate. Their banking program is doing very
00:10:28.460 well, too. That's how they're making money. Sobiz is another example. So if you look at Empire's
00:10:33.840 financial results in the last quarter, just the one that was reported a few weeks ago, they actually
00:10:39.100 sold during that quarter $16 million less of food compared to the same quarter last year. In other
00:10:48.940 words, people are spending less on food at the grocery store, not more. They're retreating with
00:10:55.040 their wallets. They're going to dollar stores. They're buying different brands. They're trading
00:10:59.160 down. And why they're trading down? It's because of mortgage rates. It's because of rents.
00:11:04.980 To keep a roof over your head, you cannot trade down. It's harder to do that unless you move or
00:11:11.660 you get somebody else to move in with you. And that's why people are trading down at the grocery
00:11:16.700 store. That's why I think it's the opposite of grief inflation happening. It's tougher to sell
00:11:22.880 food to Canadians. There's no money to be made just selling food right now, unfortunately. But a lot of
00:11:29.400 people don't want to believe it and will not want to believe it.
00:11:33.400 That's why you've got so many stores that have the pharmacy on the inside or the dry cleaner or
00:11:40.880 they want to have beer and wine on the shelves next to the food.
00:11:45.780 That's right. And in the province of Quebec where I am, grocery stores right now are making a lot of
00:11:51.000 me selling beer and wine. That's really what is helping their bottom line. In other provinces like
00:11:59.100 Ontario, it's starting. But it's been very challenging just selling. The food business of
00:12:04.600 the grocery business has been particularly challenging.
00:12:09.140 So basically, profit margins on food are staying the same. They're stable, but they're not great.
00:12:18.580 It's not good business right now. On the other hand, of course, as you know, Brian, I've been quite
00:12:24.620 critical of criminal behavior. There's no, I don't think Canadians should tolerate companies breaking
00:12:31.200 the law. I mean, there's no, there's a hard line there for sure. So as much as I believe that there
00:12:37.060 is no greed or greed is difficult to measure in the first place, as much as I believe that some
00:12:44.620 executives in Canada should have gone to jail by now. I mean, let's be honest.
00:12:49.040 Well, let's talk about this then. You've got one of the players in the bread price fixing scheme
00:12:57.980 admitting wrongdoing recently. Their parent company, Group Bimbo, owns Canada Bread now.
00:13:04.880 Canada Bread admitted to on four different instances, working with Weston, which owned at
00:13:10.980 that point both Loblaws and they had the, what was their bakery called?
00:13:16.820 Yeah, it was George Weston Bakery, but I think it was, well, Canada Bread was, was, was with
00:13:21.220 Maple Leaf, but I think it's mostly Wonder Bread is what the, the Westons produced.
00:13:24.880 That's right. It's Weston Bakeries.
00:13:28.180 Yeah. They admitted that they fixed prices on at least four occasions. Now, Loblaws and Weston,
00:13:35.440 they, they have not admitted publicly to what they're doing in the same way because they agreed
00:13:40.720 to cooperate with the competition bureau. So they got immunity. So we don't know all the details,
00:13:45.820 but Canada Bread admitted to price fixing with Weston on four occasions, all the other
00:13:51.260 grocers, Empire Metro, um, I believe the giant tiger group, others, Walmart, they've all said,
00:13:57.440 we have, you know, we didn't do anything wrong. We're not admitting to anything, but the investigation
00:14:03.240 goes on. We're talking over the course of the years that this was going on. You, you believe
00:14:10.220 that it was going on longer than what was admitted to in, in the court settlement. Um, how much did
00:14:18.400 this hit the average family? The fact that the price of bread went up only pennies, only pennies
00:14:24.720 per loaf, but pennies that it didn't have to go up. It was price fixing. Um, and it, you've done the
00:14:33.060 calculation. What, what was the hit to the family budget?
00:14:36.020 Yeah. So when, uh, when, uh, Loblaws and Western bakeries, uh, admitted guilt back in 2017, uh, in
00:14:43.720 2018, we were asked about the accomplishment bureau to, uh, conduct an analysis on that particular
00:14:49.040 point. Uh, how much, uh, did this, uh, allege price fixing scheme cost Canadians? And, and, and they
00:14:57.460 also asked us whether or not it was possible that, uh, there was this scheme going on for 14 years. So,
00:15:03.680 so to answer your question, Brian, we actually believe that the, uh, that the 14 years where
00:15:10.480 we believe there was this price fixing scheme going on, it would have costs, uh, we believe it
00:15:17.400 would have cost anywhere between $150 to $400, uh, per families for over 14 years. So, but.
00:15:25.340 And so then you do your own calculation based on family size. If it's a bigger family, you probably
00:15:31.780 paid more smaller family, less $400. That's not insignificant. It's not insignificant, but here's
00:15:38.140 the, here's the challenge. Uh, you know, the, the, to me, the group of bimbo, um, and, and mission 1.00
00:15:46.360 was incredibly important because all of a sudden you do link this scandal to, uh, the number one meat
00:15:58.880 processor in the country, maple leaf foods. Uh, and they're not just, they weren't not just in
00:16:04.760 bread. They're, they're in meat. And they, they, they was an email security recently in the media
00:16:10.120 written by Michael McCain. I, I've, I've got a copy. You saw it. Yeah. You saw it. Uh, and, and there
00:16:17.320 are comments about, about this one category, which is meat, which is a very important category for
00:16:24.700 Canadians. And so what went on there? What was the price facing culture at maple leaf during those 14
00:16:32.520 years? Exactly. And those are questions that are still pending. And I think Canadians deserve an
00:16:37.720 answer. And to me, to me, there's, there's a big difference between coping with food costs or the
00:16:44.440 cost to manufacture food, which is inflation. We've talked about that earlier versus breaking
00:16:50.420 the law. And, and, and that part to me is so damaging to the food industry. We've been talking
00:16:56.860 about, you know, attracting companies like Aldi and Little in Canada to come to Canada. Why would
00:17:02.900 they ever invest in Canada when, when they see these headlines suggesting that there is this boys club,
00:17:09.080 uh, working together on fixing prices? I mean, that's just not good for business.
00:17:15.280 I want to read you the, the email that was sent. Um, it was from the person who was then the executive
00:17:25.220 assistant. It was sent from her account, the executive assistant to Michael McCain, while he
00:17:30.440 was president and CEO of Maple Leaf foods. And it was signed Michael. And in the email, it said,
00:17:38.160 it described how, uh, McCain had met with a then executive, uh, uh, Metro grocery chain and that
00:17:46.180 they discussed how to manage category profit up. And it said, consistent with the position that he took
00:17:53.420 on the last bread price increase, his point of view, and it's a very vigorous point of view is that this
00:18:00.840 is an acceptable strategy and they're aligned with it. Even in our meat categories, that's directly from
00:18:08.040 the email. Now, Maple Leaf food says they've not been involved in any of this. In fact, they dispute
00:18:13.540 why the new owners of Canada bread admitted to doing anything wrong. Metro says they did nothing
00:18:18.820 wrong, but that's the email that the competition bureau has. And the competition bureau is now
00:18:23.260 looking into, uh, all these other grocers and in their own statement, they said they're looking at
00:18:30.020 Maple Leaf foods as well. Absolutely. So I do, I do question why the email was written in the first
00:18:37.080 place. That's one thing. Cause I don't think I would put something like this on email. Uh, if,
00:18:42.840 if I, if I intend to do something like this, but the plain reading of it is fixing prices. I mean,
00:18:49.560 they, they can dispute it, but a reasonable person looking at that email would say, well,
00:18:55.800 wait a minute. Um, they, they want to do with me what they did with bread. I have every reason to
00:19:01.860 believe that, uh, that price fixing in Canada has been normalized in the grocery industry. Let me
00:19:07.320 give you one other example in the fall, every fall, Brian, uh, grocers ask suppliers to freeze
00:19:15.260 prices for three months between November and January around the holiday season. Uh, all grocers do the
00:19:24.260 same thing. They call it the blackout period. You may have actually heard about this term, but the
00:19:30.140 blackout period has been a practice for years. And the argument, uh, to support the blackout period
00:19:37.100 is that, well, it's the holiday season. It's very busy. Can't change prices of items, uh, on a daily
00:19:43.560 basis. So let's freeze prices to make sure. But when you actually start thinking about how that practice
00:19:51.280 could impact retail prices, it is really, in my view, uh, a, a, a up the stream upstream collusion,
00:20:01.460 really, because you're basically setting new market conditions that could severely impact
00:20:07.460 retail prices in the end. And last fall, when Loblaw decided to freeze its prices, Metro came out
00:20:16.640 saying, well, we do that every year. It's called the blackout period. And I go, and I went, you're
00:20:21.860 actually admitting that you're colluding upstream. Is that what you're, is that what you're doing?
00:20:26.520 And they actually backtracked and Loblaw denied, uh, the existence of blackout period. So again,
00:20:33.960 I actually, and I've been in, I've been following this business for 25 years now. I do think that,
00:20:39.080 uh, that the Canadian food in business has a price fixing problem overall.
00:20:46.420 You know, it was, uh, interesting. I didn't know about the blackout period when Loblaw announced
00:20:52.840 their price freeze until January 31st of last year. And then later I was reading about the blackout
00:21:02.080 period and how it always ends on January 31st. And I thought you guys weren't going to increase
00:21:08.460 prices anyway until January 31st. Exactly. Well, here's the thing. I mean, I know what happened
00:21:14.480 in October when, when Loblaw announced, uh, its price freeze as of, as of, uh, I think it was
00:21:19.940 October 17th up until January 21st, 30th. Metro was upset because it couldn't do, Metro is not Loblaw.
00:21:28.140 Loblaw is a massive organization. It has two private labels that are very well known, very strong
00:21:34.600 private labels. Metro doesn't have any of that. So they got upset and they came out, uh, and said
00:21:41.100 to media, well, this is something we all do by the way. And it came out wrong, but nobody, I felt nobody
00:21:48.940 picked up on that. I, I certainly did. I thought, well, geez, this is, this is a problem. You're now
00:21:54.740 normalizing price fixing. That's, that's what I heard. Oh my goodness. Okay. So we've got to take
00:22:04.820 a break and I'm exasperated already. We've been talking about price fixing, but there's also the
00:22:11.800 issue of competition. We just had the competition bureau release a report saying, uh, the government
00:22:18.140 needs to act to bring us more competition. I'd like them to act on price fixing first, but we'll talk
00:22:22.960 about what, if anything, the government can do, um, when we come back after this break.
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00:22:58.820 So a lack of competition or some say too much and an issue around price fixing. What can government do
00:23:05.280 to deal with this? Anything? Can anything be done? Uh, Sylvain, you've been studying this, as you said,
00:23:11.700 for about 25 years. This is the first time I remember the competition bureau really making a big stink about
00:23:18.000 something. And on, in any industry that, that, that, that's consumer facing. Um, and it's still
00:23:25.520 taken, what, six years, seven years. Um, is the competition bureau the right, is it set up properly
00:23:35.200 to deal with issues like price fixing or what more could the government do on that side?
00:23:39.240 Uh, you know, I, I think it lacks focus. Uh, I, we've actually had the pleasure to work with the
00:23:48.160 competition bureau on, on, on three occasions. The first one was the bread, it was on the bread
00:23:53.420 scandal. The second one was when, uh, empire bought a farm boy. And the third one was when, uh, empire
00:24:01.260 bought, uh, longos, uh, in Toronto. And so, and of course, every time we at, we are asked whether or not
00:24:09.040 this will compromise competition in, in, in the landscape. And so I actually do think that the
00:24:16.580 competition bureau biggest problem is not necessarily, uh, not having enough power or
00:24:21.960 authority. It's very much about focus and, and scope. So let me give you an example. So when we
00:24:27.780 actually had a chat about farm boy, we didn't see an issue because we thought that this could actually
00:24:34.680 leverage a good brand for the GTA because farm boy was very much in the Eastern part of Ontario.
00:24:42.380 So this could, it was an Ottawa store that, uh, when I moved back down to Toronto, I desperately
00:24:47.580 wanted it to follow me and it did.
00:24:50.380 Exactly. So you, you got what you wish for, for sure. And, and, and that's exactly what's,
00:24:56.140 what's happening right now. Farm boy stores are opening up in different places, which is great.
00:25:00.000 I mean, it brings more competition. Uh, two years later, we are asked again to have a chat with the
00:25:05.660 bureau, uh, about, uh, about longos. And, and I, I, I kind of said to the bureau, you know,
00:25:13.600 this conversation about longos kind of changes our conversation that we had two years ago about
00:25:18.540 farm boy. Cause you're, you're seeing a second major independent grocer disappear.
00:25:24.420 Honestly, I don't think they understood what I was saying, uh, cause they kind of really,
00:25:31.460 they kind of took note and that's about it with this particular study this year, they came back
00:25:39.520 to us to talk about independent grocers. So I think Brian, you're reading this, right? It's the
00:25:45.060 first time really that the bureau really took the food industry very seriously and competition very
00:25:53.380 seriously. Now to see the competition bureau saying that we need more competition is a bit
00:25:58.480 of an oxymoron. Of course we all need competition. I mean, that's, but the, but the reality with Canada
00:26:04.780 is that we have a ill relationship with the concept of competition. We want crown corporations. We want
00:26:11.300 monopolies. We want consumers to be protected until prices become an issue. And then we expect government
00:26:17.800 to fix the problem and they can't. And so that's kind of the dilemma that we have in the United
00:26:24.040 States. There is a lot of collusion going on and, and we know that, but people go to jail and there's
00:26:30.020 lots of consolidation as well, but the commitment towards competition is pretty darn clear in, in the
00:26:38.120 U S I mean, people want competition in Canada. It depends. And that's why we're facing the dilemma
00:26:47.620 that we're facing right now when it comes to the role of the bureau itself. In their report, the,
00:26:53.700 um, uh, the competition bureau in the report on the need for greater competition did say that
00:27:02.060 international grocers may be holding off because it's pretty tough competition in the Canadian
00:27:08.760 marketplace already. Do you buy that? It's, I mean, you have oligopolies with only two players in
00:27:16.220 Canada. I mean, that's, uh, and we have five, uh, in Canada. You, you think it's, you, you think it's,
00:27:23.460 uh, we, we have five players in Canada. You got the big three plus Costco and Walmart. Okay. Those are
00:27:31.420 non Canadians, uh, Canadian firms, but there's still, there's, there's both Costco and Walmart are now
00:27:38.340 selling more food than Metro. So, uh, so they're significant players, but my, my, um, my take on
00:27:47.320 competition is, is pretty simple. Um, on the one side, make Canada more, more of an attractive market
00:27:54.380 to invest in. Cause right now it's not, it's, we have interprovincial barriers. Our fiscal policies are
00:28:01.120 pretty ridiculous, uh, rules between provinces change on labor immensely. I mean, look at the last
00:28:09.820 10 years we've lost. I mean, target came in and out overnight, almost, uh, Nonstrom left. We hardly
00:28:17.380 got to know exactly. And, um, you know, Lowe's left, uh, Sears left. I mean, it's tough to be a national
00:28:25.660 player. Walmart, when it came to, to Canada in 1994, when it bought Wolco, they didn't have like
00:28:34.360 400 stores. They actually started with like 20 stores and they gradually augmented their network
00:28:40.600 of stores learning about Canada. So they started in Ontario and then they got into Quebec and they
00:28:47.080 were really, really deliberately slow in deploying, uh, their strategy in Canada. And it paid off.
00:28:55.520 I mean, they understand Canada, but it takes time. It takes time. Do you think at Aldi and little
00:29:01.620 have the same patients? No, it's, it's, you, you, I was going to ask you about them. You know, my,
00:29:07.740 my family in Britain shops at Aldi, my family in Florida and Texas and California, they all shop at
00:29:14.080 Aldi. Aldi's in, uh, Australia. They're all over the place. They're across Western Europe. We don't
00:29:21.320 have them. Why? And people will say, well, we don't, we're not, we're not a big country. We're
00:29:26.060 only 40 million people. But the last time I checked, Australia has a smaller population and they do have
00:29:31.220 Aldi. So, so the one thing Canada can be made interesting, uh, it's just right now all each 0.81
00:29:40.880 province will have its own set of rules and it's really not helping. And the second thing, again,
00:29:46.560 going back to the bread scandal, these headlines aren't helping either. If you go to Australia,
00:29:53.200 they're very, very, they go after criminals very, very forcefully. So that's one thing.
00:29:57.780 The second thing, uh, I think the code of conduct is, is necessary. Uh, it's, it's something that's
00:30:04.120 been in the works for quite a few years. I've actually advocated in favor of the code of conduct.
00:30:08.940 I've actually helped the Bureau on, on this, on this issue as well. And in the code of conduct
00:30:14.800 for people who don't understand what it is, I'll keep it as simple as possible.
00:30:19.080 I know the scanning code of conduct, but is this one for the grocery industry instead of just the,
00:30:25.420 the, the one about prices?
00:30:27.780 It's more for a supply chain discipline. Cause right now, Brian, if you're, um,
00:30:34.800 Lasson, if you're Pepsi, if you're, uh, Unilever, you get letters from grocers telling you, well,
00:30:42.220 tomorrow we're going to charge you more for listing fees, for marketing fees, for
00:30:46.460 unilaterally over the years, we've seen many decisions, uh, made by grocers and they can get
00:30:54.800 away with it because if you're, if you're, if you have a problem with say Loblaw, you have to
00:31:02.560 suck it up. I'm sorry to say, uh, but that's really how things work in the food industry.
00:31:08.460 You're at the mercy of, of grocers cause you need them to do business. And the code would offer a safe
00:31:17.120 place to go for everyone to resolve disputes. I'll give you one concrete example. Two companies in the
00:31:23.800 last two weeks have called me. They're being delisted by a grocer. I won't tell you which one
00:31:29.840 in six weeks. So in six weeks from now, they are gone. Okay. Think about that. So you have a company,
00:31:38.660 they're in the juice business, both of them. They bought their ingredients. They, they, they're,
00:31:44.000 they're using a lot of credit to get all the stuff they need to make juices, to make their beverages.
00:31:50.080 And now they're going to be stuck with all that inventory because they just lost their number one
00:31:55.480 customer. So I'm not disputing the delisting part. Grocers can do whatever they want. They can do
00:32:02.280 business with whoever they want. The six weeks though is completely cruel. And it could actually,
00:32:07.760 it could actually force both companies to go under within, within a month or two as a result.
00:32:13.740 So that's been the kind of things that, well, I've seen anyways, that should stop as soon as
00:32:19.740 possible. Do you think that, you know, this code or other measures could, you know, if the right
00:32:27.200 measures policies are taken could make Canada attractive to a Kroger, a Trader Joe's, an Aldi
00:32:34.000 to say, you know what, maybe we don't go across Canada, but maybe Trader Joe's, uh, sets up in
00:32:40.480 Vancouver instead of everyone going to the store just across, maybe Aldi starts going into
00:32:45.080 Southern Ontario or Kroger goes into Quebec.
00:32:48.600 Well, Australia and the UK both have a code of conduct similar to what we're talking about
00:32:53.680 now. And so there, there, I think it would help. It would help because as, as a grocer,
00:33:01.260 let's say you're Aldi, uh, and you look at Canada, if you see that there, there is this existence
00:33:06.660 of a code, you know, for sure that Loblaws won't try to kill you. Cause I mean, it's, that's really
00:33:14.640 why I think the code could make the Canadian food landscape more competitive over time,
00:33:22.340 not overnight, over time. It will take probably about a decade.
00:33:26.820 Wow. In the meantime, what do you recommend for, for families who are looking at the ever
00:33:33.940 increasing cost of food? Cause that 9% food inflation isn't going away. Um, I, I learned to
00:33:40.700 shop from my mother back in the time when inflation was, uh, the last time inflation was a huge issue
00:33:45.700 in the early eighties, uh, shopping the specials, going around, doing all of that. Um, and I've
00:33:51.160 written columns on, on, on how to save money at the grocery store, but what, what do you say to
00:33:55.700 families frustrated with the price of food, the cost of it and, uh, in feeling helpless at, at the
00:34:03.560 thought of it, another trip to the grocery store? Well, I guess two things, uh, one consumers have
00:34:09.520 more power than they think. Uh, they can actually influence prices, uh, daily by, by, if something
00:34:16.780 show up at the grocery store and something is, is too expensive for your budget, chances are there's
00:34:22.980 some, there's a substitute in that same store that can do the, that can do the trick. And so,
00:34:27.980 and if, if, if you, if you recall that those, those five breasts of chicken, uh, that were
00:34:35.180 overpriced, uh, it was actually on Twitter a while back and people were upset. Well, guess
00:34:41.660 what? In the GTA the week after, uh, chicken breasts were 20% off because nobody was buying,
00:34:47.940 were buying them. So we have more power than we think really. Secondly, my biggest concern
00:34:54.940 about food affordability in Canada is not necessarily linked to food prices. It's actually,
00:35:00.580 uh, linked to, um, mortgage rates. I actually do believe that mortgage payments are absolutely
00:35:09.580 killing Canadian households right now. Uh, if you have a mortgage of 300,000, which is a modest
00:35:15.280 mortgage, uh, in Toronto, for example, Vancouver, I'm more to size over 25 years, you're basically
00:35:23.360 paying seven to $8,000 more just to keep a roof over your head, which is why people are spending
00:35:29.420 less at the grocery store, but there's so much compromise you can make at the grocery store.
00:35:35.000 So that's why I think we're reaching, we're slowly reaching a tipping point here when it
00:35:38.880 comes to food affordability. And, and that's why I actually do think I've been advocating.
00:35:44.380 I I'm a capitalist. I believe in capitalism. I believe in wealth creation, but the one thing
00:35:50.080 that we have to recognize that capitalism hasn't been great in sharing wealth equally. And so that's
00:35:56.940 why I think we need to start thinking about, you know, a, a snap program out of Canada, uh, instead
00:36:03.700 of just sending out checks and grocery rebates and hoping for the best that's, it can just only make
00:36:09.700 things worse, unfortunately. So we need to be strategic about food affordability. And right now
00:36:13.720 I I'm afraid we're not. All right, Sylvain, thank you very much for your time. Wise words as always
00:36:20.120 listening to, uh, uh, to you. Um, and we'll, we'll talk again soon. I'm sure. Take care, Brian.
00:36:27.160 Full comment is a post-media podcast. My name's Brian Lilly, your host. This episode was produced
00:36:32.600 by Andre Pru with theme music by Bryce Hall. Kevin Libin is the executive producer. You can subscribe
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