Revenge of the normal people, from Trump to Canada
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Summary
John Bromson, a columnist at The National Post and a PhD in American history, joins me to discuss the election of Donald Trump as president, and why he thinks it's a big deal that he won the election.
Transcript
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The new sheriff in town is the old sheriff in town. Yes, you know the news by now. Donald Trump
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won election on last Tuesday. About 312 electoral college votes. He basically took all the swing
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states. They weren't even as close as we thought they were going to be. Now, we can break this down
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multiple ways to figure out what happened. I guess one of the big questions is, what does all of this
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mean to Canada? Hello. Welcome to the Full Comment Podcast. My name is Brian Lilly, your host. Joining
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me today to examine this is someone who's not only a columnist at National Post and elsewhere, but
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someone who has a deep understanding of American history. John Bromson is not only a columnist, but
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also an academic with a PhD in American history. And he's just also an all-around good guy. John,
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good to talk to you again. Pleasure to be here. So your initial take on this, I know that you have
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stated many times you're not a fan of Donald Trump. Neither am I, but he's president. We have to take
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him where he is and deal with him where he is. Your thoughts on how the election went in his way when
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four years ago, the man was basically driven out of Washington. Now he's ridden back in on a
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brilliant white steed of victory. What do you think? It's a very interesting reaction because
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I remember my feeling on election night was very much the same as my feeling back in 2016 because
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I've always said that Trump was unfit to be president, and I still think so. But when I
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realized he was winning in 2016, I realized that I was elated. And the same thing happened to me again
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in 2024. Despite my deep misgivings about his character and his ability to do the job,
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it is such a necessary rebuke to the forces of wokeness and to a democratic party that has gotten
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so out of touch with the American people as to become a real ideological danger to the Western
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world. There's an old line from Whitaker Chambers. So he was talking about the 1940s, 1950s, and he said
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that the American working class is Democratic, the middle class is Republican, and the upper class
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is communist. Well, to some extent, there's something still true about that, but now the
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Democrats represent the upper class, not the working class. And you see this in the very strong swing
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toward Trump among young voters, among Latinos, I mean, again, men more than women. An astounding
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statistic that you mentioned to me right before the program that 64% of Native American,
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Aboriginal American males voted for Trump, that ought to be a real wake-up call to anybody who
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thinks identity politics isn't, among other things, repulsive to normal people.
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But Trump took the majority of white males, Hispanic males, American Indian males, as they identify in
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the States, and he didn't win the majority of black males, but he did increase his popularity. In fact,
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he increased pretty much all demographic groups in all areas, whereas Kamala Harris went down. It was an
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astonishing loss for her. I had assumed that Trump would win, and I had said before the election,
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if he wins small, it'll be 287 electoral college votes. If he wins big, it'll be 312. I didn't see him
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going above that. He landed right at 312. So I wasn't shocked about that, but I was shocked that
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he won the popular vote. I was shocked at how well he did among Hispanic males. When I was down south a
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month ago, I was looking at local coverage. I was looking at local polls in Arizona, and in a state with
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a large Hispanic population, depending on the poll, he was getting 40 to 47% of a demographic that you would
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normally be told, no, absolutely votes Democrat. They did not this time.
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Yes, and I've seen, you know, county by county maps of California, which of course, if California these days did not
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go Democrat, they wouldn't win a single state. And yet you can see that more of the counties are going red. He did quite
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well in New York, which again, has been a lost cause for the Republicans for a number of elections now.
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44% of the vote in New York State, and there were boroughs where he got 35 to 40%.
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Yeah, it's remarkable. And I also was thinking, because remember, there was a time when the
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Republicans dominated the presidency without controlling Congress. From the first Richard Nixon
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election to George Bush Sr.'s victory, the Republicans won five out of six elections, and four of them by
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landslides, 400 or more electoral college votes, they lost one squeaker and won one squeaker.
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But after Bush Sr. broke his no new taxes pledge, the Republicans didn't get 300 electoral college
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votes again, until Trump. And Trump has not put back together the Reagan approach to government.
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It's quite a different kind of coalition. And in some ways, I think from a policy point of view,
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it's more troubling. But it obviously resonates with people. And this is where again, the Democrats need
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to ask themselves, not just what was wrong with the messenger. I mean, I was seeing some news
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stories saying, oh, Democrats blame Biden. It's like, oh, for heaven's sakes, take some responsibility,
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including that you knew. Many top Democrats knew that Biden was no longer mentally capable of doing
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the job. And they didn't tell us. But Kamala Harris, why did they anoint this person? You know,
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she ran for the nomination four years ago and did terribly because voters didn't like her.
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And then instead of having an open convention, they just, they anointed her and said, she's the
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savior. Look, black woman, and also Asian woman, right? She checks all the identity politics boxes,
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but she could barely put together a coherent sentence. And this should have concerned them.
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I mean, take Barack Obama, please. I wasn't a big fan of Barack Obama. But if you were to get
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Barack Obama without a script, he made sense. He articulated ideas. He reasoned from premises to
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conclusions. On the other hand, and the Democrats never really came to terms with this. After two
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terms of Obama's hope and change, the voters were so mad they elected Donald Trump. That should tell
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you something about your approach to governing that isn't just about ephemera. It's about something
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rotten at the core of it. And maybe now, finally, they're going to realize if Trump is as bad as we
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said he was, and if not, we're a bunch of raving lunatics, there must be something really wrong with us
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if we're worse in the eyes of a lot of people. So in some sense, a cathartic election.
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It's kind of the message that I gave to conservatives in this country who just kept saying
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how awful Justin Trudeau was and how stupid he is and people hate him. And I said, well,
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if he's that bad, you've lost three elections. What are you going to do to figure out why and how you can
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turn things around? I mean, they appear to have done that with Pierre Polyev and voters have moved on
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from Justin Trudeau. But I think that's good advice to the Democrats. You've lost to this guy
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twice now. You came very close to losing to him in 2020. And there's all kinds of questions about
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how that election went down. But obviously, a portion of the country has issues that they want
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dealt with, and they see him as the guy who can deal with them, especially on working class and
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middle class Americans, dealing with the economy. You mentioned states or counties in California.
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One of the ones that went to Republican, at least it was last time I checked, was Riverside County.
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Yeah, Riverside County. That stretches from Orange County, LA border in the West all the way to the
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Arizona border in the East and takes up places like Coachella Valley, famous for its concerts and
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celebrities and Palm Springs. I'm telling you, it wasn't the rich folks in Palm Springs or Palm Desert
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who put Trump over the edge. Some of them may have voted for Trump. It was the working class people,
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the barber who lives in India and has to commute to work, the trades people. It was them that voted
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for Trump and turned Riverside County, a place the Democrats should control. They turned it red.
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And when I was trying to get behind the initial things, though, significant things like that,
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I think Trump won first-time voters by 10%. And that's the kind of thing that makes an election
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pivotal because people frequently continue to vote the way they first voted. Back in 1980,
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Ronald Reagan's strongest support was among people who first voted for Herbert Hoover.
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And my mind went back to something Charles Murray said, it must be 30 years ago now,
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that the shattering classes have built a world that is enormously complicated. The rules in America
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used to be simple. Most of them were good. A few of them were terrible. But, you know, work hard and
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you get ahead, that kind of thing. Now, this sort of symbolic landscape detached from daily realities,
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it is enormously difficult to navigate the legal landscape, the social landscape,
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the rules of political correctness. And so, a lot of people like Trump, I think, in part because Trump,
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although, again, I'm not downplaying the fact that he is vulgar, offensive, has a feeble grasp of
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policy and is a petulant narcissist, because he is. Now, all of this does need to be said. But Trump,
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it looks like he sympathizes with people for whom the modern world is not working because the
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clevers have rigged the game. And so, again, my old friend David Frummel, I don't know if he'd consider
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me a friend at this point. So, my old acquaintance David Frummel, spent eight years sneering about how
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much better he and his cohorts are than MAGA people, which has only helped elect Donald Trump.
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But people like David and people like you and I can navigate this world in ways that a lot of people
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can't. We may not like it, and it may not always turn out well, but the Democrats have to understand
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that they have built a world that is unfriendly to normal people. And if they want to try and make
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normal people abnormal, fine, carry on, but you're going to wind up with Donald Trump and the White
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House. But otherwise, they've got to come back to, their whole sensibility is off track. I mean,
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again, they thought the big gender issue was abortion, but the big gender issue, I think,
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was transgender, and particularly men in women's change rooms, and men playing against women in
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sports. That's hugely unfair, and everybody can see that the guy who's six foot three outweighs the
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women on the court by 50 pounds, towers over them, and there are many injuries resulting that this
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isn't fair. And it's obviously not fair, and the Democrats clever their way around it, and people say,
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you're all nuts. And they've got to get away from being the nuts party, or they're going to keep
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losing elections, even to candidates as bad as Donald Trump. Here in Canada, you keep hearing that
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anything related to gender is controversial, and that, you know, people that say men, biological
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males shouldn't be playing in women's sports, that that is somehow controversial, or it's wrong, or that
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allowing children to change their pronouns and their genders at school without informing mom and dad,
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well, that's controversial. Not when you talk to average people, and poll after poll shows that.
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Danielle Smith in Alberta came out with a policy, and she said, look, I'm not saying
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that no transgendered women in women's sports, but, you know, we have to look at it, and maybe
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that means that, you know, if it's a physical sport, maybe there's a weight or a height class or
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something, but using examples like you did, a big six foot three, 250 pound person against a small
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woman is unfair. Well, she put that forward, and the public in Alberta said, thank you. But the rest
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of the media and the chattering classes denounce it as outrageous. Yeah, and she's, and she put it
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forward so timidly, too. I mean, again, Pierre Polliver is kind of playing Trudeau's game,
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uh, and doing it well, but he's not what you'd call a kind of Reagan principled conservative,
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and I think if they were to be bolder on this, they would do better. Let's say we could have a
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special category for transgender competitors. There was a piece in a British paper about a, uh,
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golfer who had transitioned male to female, and then said, I'm going to stop playing professionally.
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It's not fair. He said, I'd be up there on the tee, and I would actually deliberately hold back on my
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drives because I could just hit the ball so much further that it wasn't a fair contest, and I think
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most people's sense of fair play recognizes that we should be tolerant of people, and we should
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accommodate a free society has room for those who are not, uh, don't fit the standard template, but it
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also does have to uphold these simple rules of fairness and decency and protection from harm,
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and the Democrats have gotten away from that in the U.S., and I think that the whole Canadian political
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class, they don't understand how far they are from the sensibilities of the common people,
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and of course, one of the problems we've had, and the Americans have had it too with this rampages
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on campus and so on, the anti-Semitism, virulent, violent, flagrant anti-Semitism has gotten loose,
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and it came into the woke portal, and if you can't understand that when that's the sort of thing you
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let loose in the world, there's something really wrong with your approach. It isn't a tactical issue.
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Again, it's a philosophical problem with your worldview. Then you're going to wind up pushing
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voters in directions that fill you with horror. I mean, again, I don't want to pick on David
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Trump too much, but for eight years, he has been totally unable to understand how anybody could
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vote for Donald Trump, and I remember after the 2016 election, some liberal writer had said,
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after looking at this result, I realized that I really needed to talk to some of my friends who
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are Trump supporters to understand their point of view, and then I realized I had no friends who
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were Trump supporters, that I was living in a bubble, and most people like that writer still
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lived in a bubble for another eight years. It's not a matter of saying, yes, you should vote for
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Donald Trump, but it's a matter of understanding why somebody might do it without being either evil
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or moronic, and they've got to come around to that because the world is changing. The leftist
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was running the table, as Andrew Coyne put it, on every issue, especially in Canada for decades,
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but I think that them days is done because people are fed up, and they're rightly fed up.
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When I looked at Harris's campaign, I saw one that I felt was leaning too heavy on issues that
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weren't core. They were core to Democrats, which means they were core to her base, but
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one of my sayings I'm fond of using is that politics is about addition, not subtraction,
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and if you're not adding to your coalition, you're not going to win, and so she leaned heavy
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on abortion and democracy, that Donald Trump was a threat to democracy. If those are your motivating
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issues, you were already backing Kamala Harris, but when it came to the economy, which everyday
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Americans felt was not working for them, the Democrats just leaned back and said, well,
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the GDP is great. Okay, I can't eat GDP, but I do have to pay for groceries that are much more expensive
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than they were four years ago. She just had no answer on the economy, and of course, given her
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position as borders are, she obviously had no answer on immigration. Yes, and on the economy,
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I think one of the mistakes the Democrats made was to say, oh, well, look, inflation is coming down,
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there's GDP growth. These very short-term numbers look positive. They didn't understand, again,
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Murray's point, that the people who think the economy is not working for them feel that the whole
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system is one from which they are excluded more or less on purpose, and again, some of it's the
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identity politics. If you're a white male, you're told you're an evil colonial oppressor. 300 years
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ago, you ripped everybody off, and now we're going to put the boots in, and many of these guys are
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saying, well, I'm not 300 years old, and I'm also not the president of a bank. I'm somebody who's
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struggling to make a living, but the Democrats, they never connected with the notion that ordinary
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people feel that the last 30 or 40 years have been bad times for ordinary people, that the economy has
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gotten away from them, and if you have two university degrees and talk loudly at cocktail parties, you're
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probably doing fine, but if you work with your hands, if you actually make things, if you're the
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person that somebody calls when their plumbing busts, you're going to get laughed at, you're going to
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have job insecurity, your community is falling apart, and they sneer at you for it. They're not
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even sympathetic. Even when the remedies were wrong, I always think for, you know, for the New Deal, I
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think was a very bad idea, but everybody thought Roosevelt was on their side. He thought he understood
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them. His fireside chats, people couldn't get enough of them. Bill Clinton. People felt that Bill Clinton
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was on their side and understood him. You know, he was successful. It's not that the Democrats can't do
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it. They've obviously, you know, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, they have held the White House.
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Harris was just unable to, and I'm not sure who else could have, perhaps a Gavin Newsom, but,
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you know, the entire political class in North America has for too long been of this idea that,
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well, we're in a knowledge economy now, so we don't need those people who work with their hands
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and make things. Some politicians have figured it out. Trump has been their champion,
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and so they feel like, finally, someone hasn't forgotten who I am.
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Yeah, and doesn't regard me with unbridled contempt that they would only let me into their house to fix
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the toilet because they'd absolutely have to, and then they'd spray some sort of essential oil as soon
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as I was done. And I have to mention, the Daily Show did this spoof thing on the people behind the
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people. It was Kamala Harris's holistic thought advisor, and it is side-splittingly funny, and it's
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all, I mean, as G.K. Chesterton said, the opposite of funny isn't serious. It's not funny, and the
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Democrats needed to watch that and understand why somebody might think this was a devastating send-up
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of their approach. It's one of the Robbie Burns thing about the gift to see ourselves as others
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see us. If you can understand why people might dislike you, if you can see what people might
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object to about you, and some of the MAGA crowd has trouble with that too, but the Democrats have
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got to be able to say, without losing faith that they're basically right, to say, why might people
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think we're wrong? What are we doing that isn't just the fault of somebody else? And also, you talk
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about the political class. If you think of the last three elections, the best people the Democrats
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have been able to come up with, and remember, this is a party with hundreds of congresspersons,
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thousands of state legislators, dozens of state governors. The best three people they could come up
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with were Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, and Kamala Harris. And the Republicans, the best three people
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they could come up with were Donald Trump, Donald Trump, and Donald Trump. And here in Canada,
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what have we got? You know, we've got Elizabeth May the Greens can't get rid of, Jagmeet Singh leading
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the NDP. Hopeless case. We've got Justin Trudeau, and Pierre Polliver maybe is better, but he's not
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exactly Winston Churchill. And yet they don't understand that the people have good reason to
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be disgusted with the quality of the choices they're being offered. You mentioned being able
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to laugh at yourself. You know, it was interesting to see comedians taking on Harris in ways that I
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didn't expect, including Saturday Night Live, portraying her as someone walking around drunk with a
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glass of wine in her hand all the time. Because sometimes she'd listen to her speak. And, you
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know, it's not just the, now we can be unburdened from what has been. She'd give answers on puffball
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interviews with Oprah. And you're staring at the screen and saying, what is she talking about? Is
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she drunk? Is she high? This makes no sense. Yes. And you attempt to say, well, that is gutter
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politics to suggest a substance abuse problem. But we know the Democrats knew Biden was sent out,
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and they didn't tell us. And so if Kamala Harris did have a drinking problem, they would not have
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dealt with it. They would have lied about it. And again, the breach of faith, it's like with the
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whole thing about COVID and this draconian overreaction and the insistence that the
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science was settled on the vaccines. And then when it's time to do a postmortem and look into this,
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they won't do it. And this is the kind of thing that sows distrust, inclines them toward conspiracy
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theories and then points in the direction of Donald Trump. And again, I don't think that Trump
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is healthy for democracy, but he's healthier than the alternative. So that's why I'm pleased with the
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result, even though I'm also afraid of it, because it may shake up the elites and have them think to
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themselves, maybe if we talked less about evidence-based decision-making and did a bit more
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of it, maybe if we had a little bit of humility, maybe if we were more honest, because again,
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we haven't even touched on the Hunter Biden laptop thing, but there's another case where
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the elite institutions knew something they didn't want the voters to know, and they deliberately
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hid it. And they would, if it had been Trump's kid, it would have been all over the front pages.
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And that doesn't, you know, excuse Trump's failings, but it does help explain why people
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think the system is rigged, that it looks after its own. It's like the things you see in Canada all the
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time, the president of the CBC and won't say if she'll take a, you know, get a bonus and all this
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kind of stuff. And the system just looks after its own and ordinary voters understand it's us
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against them and they despise us and they're ripping us off and they don't feel any sense
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of guilt. They think they're practically a master race. And when you, when you govern like that,
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you create a populist backlash and it can be ugly, but if you don't want that, stop it before it gets
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out of control. We need to take a quick break, John, but when we come back, let's talk about
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billionaires, the impact of money on the race and to get down to what I said off the top. Let's get
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down to what this means for Canada, because there's a few things making me scared and it's not so much
00:23:45.680
Donald Trump. It's has to do with how Justin Trudeau will react more in moments. A lot of discussion
00:23:52.860
about the impact of money in politics. Of course, you've got the political action committees. This
00:23:58.400
election, you also had high profile billionaires, Mark Cuban outstumping for Kamala Harris. And of
00:24:04.040
course, Elon Musk, owner of X, stumping for Trump. But here's an interesting thought, John.
00:24:12.460
The billion, most of the billionaires were backing Harris and she raised more money. This is from
00:24:18.220
an ex post that Elon Musk put out worth noting that far more billionaires backed Harris than Trump
00:24:24.540
and she raised almost 50% more money. Here's the details. Harris had the backing. So Ford Forbes
00:24:32.580
counted 83 billionaires backing Vice President Kamala Harris, 52 backing Donald Trump. But as Musk pointed
00:24:40.760
out, she raised 50% more money, spent incredibly amounts of more money. In fact, in Pennsylvania,
00:24:51.240
she outspent Trump vastly outspent him $81 million to about $18 million in Michigan, $55 million to Trump's
0.96
00:25:00.720
$29 million in Georgia, $49 million to his $15 million in Wisconsin. And the results are still in
00:25:10.420
his favor. What are your thoughts on Musk and Cuban and the big money people getting involved?
00:25:17.120
That's a lot of billionaires. I don't know very many billionaires, unfortunately. But I think that
00:25:23.880
the thing that really stands out to me about this, it's another example of this notion of the system
00:25:28.960
being rigged in that for decades, we've been told that money in politics is bad. And why is it bad?
00:25:35.160
Because right wingers have it. And with it, they can buy the brains of the hapless sheep who vote.
00:25:40.280
And so in Canada, we have restrictions on campaign finance and so on. And I've always disliked those.
00:25:44.800
Stephen Harper hated them until he became prime minister, and then he kept them.
00:25:48.540
Well, in fairness to Harper, the Supreme Court had ruled that they had to stay.
00:25:53.720
Phooey. He could have done something about it, and he didn't. Stephen Harper is a great
00:25:59.180
missed opportunity in this country. But when the Democrats outspend the Republicans,
00:26:04.500
it's not just that it didn't work. So it proves that all that yapping about money in politics was
00:26:08.320
just another excuse for not connecting with the common people. But it's okay when it's Democrats,
00:26:13.560
but it's terrible when it's Republicans. And this is an example of these complex kind of
00:26:17.580
rigged setup, where if Donald Trump had outspent Kamala Harris, there'd be endless cries to restrict
0.69
00:26:22.880
spending, almost whether he'd won or lost. But when she outspends him, it's like, yeah, whatever, man.
00:26:28.380
But again, also the fact that so many of these billionaires, like, you know, God bless America,
00:26:32.800
that it has so many billionaires, if only we did too. But that this is more proof that the upper
00:26:38.260
class is communist, right? All these people who've done so well in America's free enterprise
00:26:42.600
system, and then shown ingratitude on a massive scale. The elite is far to the left. I keep,
00:26:49.460
well, I don't know what to call it, I would say I X'd out, right? But I keep X'ing out,
00:26:53.720
the revolt of the elites continues. Because this is one of the strange things happening to Western
00:26:58.020
civilization right now, is that it is not a revolution from below. It's this popular
00:27:03.520
civilization, a counter-revolution from below, trying to get back to normalcy. The revolution's
00:27:08.180
coming from above. And the real crazies are the people at the top. The people who most hate Western
00:27:13.560
civilization are those who've received the greatest benefits from it. And Justin Trudeau is a case in
00:27:17.880
point. Who has been handed more on a silver platter by Western society than him? And who hates Western
00:27:26.560
society more than Justin Trudeau? It's just inexplicable. But there it is. And it really annoys
00:27:33.440
people, and then they go and vote populist, and the elite says, ew, how there are baskets of
00:27:37.760
deplorables. They offend me. They smell. Do not allow them into the house.
00:27:42.020
He was handed his life on a silver Mercedes, just to be clear.
00:27:47.500
Yeah, he's enjoyed so much. You'd think he'd feel some sense that there's something good about a
00:27:53.000
system in which things like this could happen. Or again, even someone like Kamala Harris is saying,
00:27:58.500
wow, compared to how America would have treated a person like me 50 or 100 years ago,
00:28:03.180
surely we should be celebrating what a great country this is. But you don't have any sense
00:28:08.620
that she loves America. And if you look back again, you look back at the New Deal, say the
00:28:12.920
Democrats and Republicans sharply divided on all kinds of issues. But they were arguing about which
00:28:18.000
represented the true greatness of America. They were not. And when Trump said make America great
00:28:22.960
again, the reaction was America was never great. Well, thank you very much.
00:28:26.820
Let me ask you about the the impact on Canada, because I have some grave concerns. First off,
00:28:33.600
Trump has promised mass deportation of illegal immigrants. Now, there's an estimated 11 million
00:28:39.680
illegal immigrants in the United States. There's no way that he's going to remove all 11 million.
00:28:45.340
But he has said he'll start with the violent criminals and and go from there. But sounds like a
00:28:50.820
sane policy to me. If you've let violent criminals just come across your border illegally, maybe you
00:28:57.900
want to get rid of them. But we know based on he just threatened to do this last time. And in 2017,
00:29:05.340
we started seeing an influx of people coming across at Roxham Road. The Trudeau government did nothing.
00:29:11.600
At one point, we had thirty nine thousand people coming across at Roxham Road. The Trudeau government
00:29:16.720
did nothing until the Biden administration kind of forced their hand. We now have forty four thousand
00:29:24.340
people coming into our airports so far this year and declaring asylum. I don't have any hope that
0.69
00:29:32.680
despite the assurances of Mark Miller this week, despite the assurances of Chrystia Freeland this week,
00:29:38.880
I don't have any hope that the Trudeau government will deal with this if we see a giant surge in people
00:29:45.700
walking across the border again and declaring asylum from America. I don't think they'll do
00:29:51.160
anything other than use it for political gain. Yes, because ideas have consequences and their view
00:29:58.040
from Donald Trump is a fascist to so-called Canada is an illegitimate settler colonial state.
00:30:05.200
They don't think that we have any right to control our borders. They have no intention of trying to
0.93
00:30:10.480
control our borders. And they think the kind of people Donald Trump wants out of America are probably
00:30:14.580
precisely the kind of people we want in Canada. And this is a classic revolt of the elites kind of
00:30:20.140
situation. When you start every public event with an acknowledgement that we're on stolen land,
00:30:25.600
then you're not liable to take a robust approach to preventing someone else from coming and stealing
00:30:31.080
it from us. So it starts with bad ideas and it translates down to bad policies. Or in the case of the
00:30:41.100
Trudeau administration also, they have shown themselves singularly inept when they do try and
0.95
00:30:46.000
do something. So even if they attempted to get a handle on it, I don't think they'd succeed. I mean,
00:30:50.340
you always think to yourself, well, somewhere in the RCMP and the security apparatus, there are a bunch
00:30:54.280
of frustrated adults just waiting for permission to do their jobs the way they're meant to. But
00:30:58.520
increasingly, nobody is capable of minding the store. The bigger the bureaucracy gets, the more
00:31:03.820
incompetent it gets. So that is one of those situations in which Trump is liable to hand us a policy
00:31:11.100
won't even try to solve. And if we did try, we'd mangle it. And more generally, we've seen Trudeau
00:31:16.660
already mangle immigration in this country. We've gone from a country that broadly speaking was fine
1.00
00:31:23.520
with high levels of immigration. And he said, Oh, you think those are high? Let me really ramp them
0.64
00:31:27.860
up to the point where even he admitted we're bringing in people faster than we can absorb them
00:31:32.880
adds to the healthcare crisis, adds to the housing crisis. It's being seen by many economists as
00:31:38.540
a wage reducing move, like a wage suppression move by the Trudeau government, and they still
00:31:46.240
haven't fixed it. They've talked about it. And of course, this is a classic example. People think
00:31:50.380
capitalism is right wing, but the big companies are happy to have cheap labor. It's extraordinary
00:31:55.320
if you get out of your ivory tower and go out and deal with people who are making coffee and,
00:32:00.980
you know, staffing hotels and so on. It seems like you deal with nothing but temporary foreign
1.00
00:32:05.500
workers. So never mind the corporations being the right wing force for good or evil. But also,
00:32:13.820
if you let in too many people who don't share our values, your society disintegrates. Again,
00:32:18.880
you look at all these pro Hamas rallies in the streets of our major cities, you think these are
00:32:23.860
the grandchildren of people who came to Canada gratefully after the Second World War? No, these
00:32:29.200
are the recent arrivals from places where Jew hate is just on the breakfast cereal. And it should
1.00
00:32:35.200
have been foreseeable. It's also people who were born and raised here who were just crazy anti-Semites
0.98
00:32:41.440
of the far left. Yeah, there certainly is some of that. But the foot soldiers of this by and large
0.85
00:32:46.820
are recent immigrants who are just, again, the blood libel to them is taken for granted. And nobody in
0.98
00:32:55.060
authority and academia and so on seem to think that this would be a problem because they think that
00:33:00.820
it's Western civilization that is the root of all evil. So again, it comes back to ideas.
00:33:05.660
And part of Trump's appeal is that he doesn't think that. And Kamala Harris probably did. There
00:33:12.440
are going to be other ways in which Trump is a problem for Canada. I mean, he represents a
00:33:16.060
half wholesome capacity in the American political system. When they get too extended abroad,
00:33:21.140
you do get isolationist movements in politics that are going to retrench. And Trump is not going to be
00:33:26.280
the world's policeman. And of course, we are exposed in that we spend such a pitiful amount on defense
00:33:31.160
because we don't think Canada is worth defending. On the other hand, the Americans can't neglect North
00:33:35.360
American security. So we'll get some protection. But Trump is also inclined to tariffs. We'll have
00:33:41.640
to see what Republicans in Congress want to do. But the other point, which I'm sure you were working
00:33:47.220
your way around to, is that Trudeau has been so rude about Trump that it's going to be a little bit
00:33:52.040
hard to make nice with him now. Of course, Trump isn't polite either. And if I was prime minister,
00:33:57.100
the things I'd have said about Trump, the phone would melt if he tried to talk to me.
00:34:01.600
But at the same time, as prime minister, you're meant to be able to get along, especially with
00:34:07.860
the leaders of our allies, even if they're not your favorite people in this world. And Trudeau is just,
00:34:12.660
again, he has none of the skills that are needed for a leader. And so it's not going to go well.
00:34:18.000
Let me show or play you for you what I think is going to be part of the problem. Trudeau using
00:34:24.900
MAGA to attack his political opponent in this country, Pierre Polyef.
00:34:28.640
It has become glaringly obvious to everyone, except for certain MAGA conservatives, that the
00:34:35.100
fight against climate change is a fight for the future. Ideologically driven MAGA conservatives are
00:34:42.700
calling for pollution to be free again. Unlike these MAGA conservatives, that there is no choice
00:34:48.820
anymore between protecting the environment. He chose to play partisan games last night in trying
00:34:55.020
to shut down this house through a MAGA inspired approach. There is no debate around support in
00:35:01.480
Ukraine, in Canada, like there is in other countries where MAGA inspired far right movements
00:35:07.260
are undermining supports for Ukraine. So John, there's countless examples of Trudeau using MAGA
00:35:12.960
as a slur. There are liberal fundraising emails, social media videos attacking Donald Trump,
00:35:20.160
saying he's unelectable. And that's what Pierre Polyef is. So how do you work with him? I mean,
00:35:26.960
I was writing columns a year ago, telling the Trudeau liberals, you need to stop this,
00:35:34.740
this guy could win. And I had people scoff, Donald Trump will never be president again.
00:35:40.220
Here we are. Now we're in trouble as we head towards renegotiating NAFTA yet again.
00:35:45.660
On the other hand, Trump has probably used liberal as an insult quite freely. So to some extent,
00:35:51.100
you ought to be able to laugh it off and say, well, it's possible that neither of us would have
00:35:55.780
voted for the other. But now that we find ourselves as respectively as leaders of our executive
00:36:00.840
branches, we'll get along because we're going to put the national interest first. But we've seen
00:36:05.480
with Trudeau, for instance, when the Freedom Convoy was coming to Ottawa, that he doesn't have that
00:36:10.300
capacity to reach out. He doesn't have a sense of humor about himself. He doesn't have perspective on
00:36:15.080
himself. He's not the kind of guy who can smooth it over with a self-deprecating joke. I remember when
00:36:21.480
George Bush Jr. came up here and he talked about the crowds and it was so nice that they were waving
00:36:26.880
and using all five fingers. I was in the room for that. That was funny.
00:36:31.840
Defusing the fact, it's a bit of a cliched line actually, but it defused the fact that a lot of
00:36:37.120
Canadians didn't care for his style or his policies and recognizing there was in Bush Jr. a certain
00:36:44.620
degree of genuine humility, which of course Trump possesses about as much of as Trudeau. So it's going
00:36:50.220
to be a bit awkward, but you also just have to recognize the United States is bigger than us
00:36:54.200
and they actually spend on their military, not enough, but way more than we do.
00:36:58.620
So you need to have a certain amount of geopolitical common sense and just a certain amount of human
00:37:04.380
warmth. Again, the thing about Reagan though, many people despised Reagan until they met him,
00:37:08.900
but it was hard to despise Reagan once he was in the room. I mean, a classic Reagan story,
00:37:13.420
he famously had jelly beans in a cabinet meeting and if the conversation got tense, he'd pass them
00:37:18.000
around because he thought it was hard to be really surly while eating jelly beans. And that was a
00:37:22.600
profound insight looking like complete corn. But you can't imagine Justin Trudeau having these kind
00:37:29.000
of little effective tension diffusing and imagine you the president of the United States, you got one
00:37:34.300
finger on the button and the other nine on a bowl of jelly beans. But to Reagan, that was fine. He
00:37:39.020
wasn't, but Trudeau's not like that. Economically, I think we could be in trouble and this won't matter
00:37:47.240
about the relationship between Trump and Trudeau. But I think that Trump will unleash the American
00:37:54.460
economy again. He's already said he's going to lift the ban on exporting LNG to Asian countries that
00:38:01.260
Biden put in. The American oil and gas sector is already booming compared to Canada's. He's going to
00:38:07.400
make that happen to an even larger degree. And the investment that we might be getting in
00:38:14.980
our oil and gas sector is going to move south because what's our government doing? They're
00:38:21.920
bringing in an emissions cap, which the industry and the province of Alberta and the province of
00:38:26.620
Saskatchewan say amounts to a production cap. So Trudeau is making it more difficult to do business
00:38:32.200
and Trump is going to make it easier to do business. They are going to flourish and we're going to be
00:38:38.800
by the way, one last point before I let you react to that. There was just a report from Statscan showing
00:38:46.720
that there's only two growth areas of significance in the Canadian economy lately, the oil and gas
00:38:52.240
sector and the public sector. One pays for the other. Yes. And again, Justin Trudeau and the people
00:39:00.000
around him have no grasp of economics whatsoever. It's sort of a point of pride in the Canadian
00:39:04.760
political system. The old story about Joe Clark having an opportunity to study either French or
00:39:10.720
economics, but not time to do both. And he thought that he would study French to further his ambitions
00:39:15.080
rather than actually trying to figure out how the world works. But Donald Trump has an instinctive
00:39:20.320
sympathy with the people who actually make stuff. And Trudeau doesn't have any of that. And our economy
00:39:25.480
is more dependent on oil and gas than the American economy. But we're both, at least they are,
00:39:29.820
and we could be an energy superpower. But they've got a lot more diversity in their economy even than
00:39:35.220
we do, though we have a pretty diverse economy. It is critical. But you can't do it because the
00:39:41.000
Trudeau administration are true believers on climate change. They really honestly think all the things
00:39:46.120
they say about, oh, the weather's getting worse and the sky's going to burst into flames and everything
00:39:49.600
will die. And they also think if we stop it, the world will follow us. This obsession they have
00:39:55.240
with that everybody's looking to Canada to see what to do next. And nobody's looking to Canada to see
00:39:59.720
We're the only major oil and gas producing nation in the world that has put in an emissions cap on
00:40:06.660
the industry. And they're bragging about that. And meanwhile, the Americans have been lowering
00:40:14.380
their emissions while increasing oil and gas production. And they don't have a carbon tax.
00:40:18.560
And they don't have the crazy regulations that we do. We have a carbon tax. We have crazy regulations.
00:40:23.220
We have the clean fuel standard. We have the incoming emissions cap. On and on it goes.
00:40:28.720
Our emissions have either been stable or going up during Trudeau's time in office. And the Americans
00:40:33.880
have been able to drop theirs. So your policies clearly aren't working except to kill off the
00:40:40.180
economy that helps pay for your largesse. Yes. And our liberals, like the Democrats in the United
00:40:45.280
States, both many of them from personal experience, but also as a matter of conviction,
00:40:49.400
think that wealth just generates itself. It just falls from the sky. You know, Freeland's always saying,
00:40:54.860
Christia Freeland, we can't afford not to spend more money. You look at the huge increase in the
00:40:59.360
public sector. And even Pierre Polliver is not talking about getting it back to where it was in
00:41:02.980
2015. Somehow or other, it'll pay for itself. You don't need that grubby production, that sticky,
00:41:09.640
messy oil. All you need is a whole bunch of people trading memos about DEI. And this is one of the
00:41:14.960
things that cost the Democrats the election, is this feeling that their people were going to come out
00:41:19.380
because they're at the public trough no matter what happens. But the average working stiff is in a
00:41:25.240
heap of trouble. And here in Canada, too, you think of what kind of people Trudeau knows are all working
00:41:29.260
for the government. And he doesn't grasp that you need somebody to pay the bills. We could just print
00:41:35.360
the money, you know, quantitative easing of all those terrible ideas that a long name didn't make
00:41:40.620
better. And so we are governed by people who have no idea where wealth comes from. And we let them
00:41:45.620
govern us. Again, it's the picture of Dorian voter. They didn't fall from the sky. We elected them.
00:41:50.860
But it's also, I think, the fault to some extent of conservatives who aren't willing to stand up to
00:41:54.600
all of this. Even you mentioned, you know, American emissions are falling. Well, unless carbon dioxide
00:41:59.340
is pollution, who cares if emissions are falling? What's that got to do with anything but no Canadian
0.99
00:42:04.280
politician? Plenty of American politicians, Republicans, virtually to a man or a woman, have
00:42:09.280
challenged the notion that there's a man-made climate crisis. Try and get Pierre Polliver to say there is no
00:42:14.680
man-made climate crisis. Try and get Danielle Smith to say it. None of them have the guts to say it.
1.00
00:42:20.180
And that's why I think our country's in danger of building up more pressure to a bigger populist
00:42:24.620
explosion because our political class, I mean, it's a strange thing to say if only we had people like
00:42:29.080
Donald Trump. But we need somebody who's willing to articulate the things that most normal people
00:42:35.660
understand, like that the weather's not getting worse. One of the reasons there were no climate voters
00:42:39.820
in the United States worth mentioning is that the average American knows it's not true that the
00:42:43.880
weather's getting worse. It's just bad because it's always been bad. And I think most Canadians
00:42:47.660
know that. But try and find one politician who'll say, you know what, the weather's not getting worse.
00:42:53.280
That's just a complete misunderstanding, misrepresentation. They should go look at the
00:42:57.320
records. We need more politicians who are willing to stand up for common sense in a decent way before,
0.75
00:43:03.220
again, as the Americans did, you get someone standing up for it in a way that's not that decent.
00:43:07.660
And the more we damage ourselves in policy and bounce off Donald Trump and all this kind of stuff,
00:43:12.860
the more likely it is that we're going to have this famous backlash. So for heaven's sakes,
00:43:17.520
why not be sensible before you're cornered? Why is that so hard?
00:43:22.560
Well, we've just got a couple minutes left. So let's talk about Trump and the impact on the world.
00:43:28.020
Of course, lots of people pulling their hair out over this. And what his position will be with Israel,
00:43:34.100
what his position will be with Ukraine, with China and Taiwan.
00:43:37.820
It was interesting. I was at a talk by Barry Weiss of the Free Press, a very intelligent,
00:43:46.660
impressive woman. And she was asked about Harris and Trump. And she said, my fear is that one
00:43:53.640
candidate doesn't want Israel to win. That's Harris. And the other candidate doesn't want Ukraine to
0.57
00:43:58.800
win. And that's Trump. I can see some sense in that there's a lot of pressure on the Republican side
00:44:04.060
just to get a deal. But I have the sense that Trump will be able to get a deal that doesn't see Ukraine
00:44:10.400
give up territory. But then again, I could be wrong on that. I don't see Trump's election leading to
00:44:18.360
utter chaos in the world because he was president for four years and those predictions didn't come true.
00:44:25.940
And one reason why is that Trump is somewhat unpredictable and he's somewhat touchy.
00:44:30.420
And so if you pick on one of America's friends, you might find that Trump, despite the various
00:44:35.840
things that he said, gets into high dungeon and does something about it. And the Ukraine issue is
00:44:40.740
an interesting one because I know people on the right in this country, too, who are against supporting
00:44:45.000
Ukraine because they're so disgusted with the elite on every issue, including COVID, that they don't
00:44:50.700
believe it even when it's right as it is on Ukraine. On the other hand, the elite is kind of anti-Israel.
00:44:55.740
So Donald Trump is pro-Israel. But I do think if China were to invade Taiwan, Trump would not say,
00:45:01.620
never mind, let him have it. That's not the kind of person he is. Whereas Kamala Harris,
00:45:05.960
so somebody said about George McGovern that if Israel were attacked and in the verge of extinction,
00:45:10.400
he would wring his hands and send to field hospital, that Kamala Harris might well have
0.99
00:45:14.720
failed to respond having made commitments. And Donald Trump might well respond despite not having made
00:45:20.960
them. If he's capable of complete irresponsibility and he doesn't really know the issues, I hope that
00:45:25.920
he will go to Putin with a deal on Ukraine that is not unreasonable. And then when Putin turns it
00:45:30.580
down, he will back Ukraine better than Biden did. But I may be guilty of wishful thinking. I am sure
00:45:35.900
he'll stand with Israel. And this is the critical conflict of our time. And so if you're going to be
00:45:41.280
right on one and wrong on one, be right on Israel. I don't see why you can't be right on both. But if
0.94
00:45:45.840
you've got to pick one, be right on Israel. And the Democratic Party was wrong on Israel and kept
0.92
00:45:51.040
calling for a ceasefire and saying, oh, let Hamas have free hits on Jews. Trump isn't like that.
00:45:56.140
So even geopolitically, I think on balance, he's better than Kamala Harris. So that's clearing a
00:46:00.680
low bar. There's one easy way for America to stop sending billions to Ukraine, but still fund them
00:46:08.400
so that they can win the war. And that's to hand over all of Putin's assets that they've seized.
00:46:15.840
There is a way to do that, even staying within the confines of what is loosely known as international
00:46:21.640
law. They've frozen these assets. They can hand them over to Zelensky and say, here you go. Spend
00:46:28.100
your boy's money attacking him or defending against him. Yeah, that's exactly the sort of thing Biden
00:46:34.180
wouldn't do because of that appeasement minded elite that has dominated Western politics is one of
0.79
00:46:39.700
the things that drives normal people crazy, because they figure if someone starts a fight with you,
00:46:43.820
you should fight back. What Ukraine really needs is artillery shells, right? It's fine if they can
1.00
00:46:48.960
spend the money, but they've got to be able to buy shells. We have learned in this war that it's still
00:46:53.040
the 20th century on a battlefield in many ways. And again, Canada needs to start ramping up its
00:46:57.720
artillery production. And even the Americans are doing it. Everybody needs a lot more shells as the
00:47:02.360
world gets uglier. So yes, give them the money, but give them the munitions. And Trump may,
00:47:07.940
especially if Putin annoys him, he might say, ha, well, we'll show you now. There's more hope with
00:47:12.640
him, but that one's a file that I'm anxious on. Yeah. And on the Israel side, he's already shown
00:47:18.140
that he was willing to deal with Iran and he was right on Iran. Eight years ago, Biden was wrong on
00:47:24.420
Iran when he came in and lifted sanctions and released funding. And Obama was catastrophically
00:47:30.260
wrong. That funding went directly to Hamas and Hezbollah.
00:47:33.940
As any fool could have seen, right? Again, the cleverness, one of the problems with the cleverness
0.98
00:47:37.920
is they're actually, they thought themselves into a degree of stupidity. So Orwell said,
1.00
00:47:41.980
you have to belong to the intelligentsia to believe stuff like that. No ordinary person could be such
00:47:45.840
a fool. And we have seen the revenge of the ordinary person in the United States. And we need it in
1.00
00:47:51.060
Canada. Again, let's try and channel it in a bit of more dignified and thoughtful way. But this is,
00:47:56.960
it's a shock to the whole world to say the elites who've been misrunning things can't just keep doing it.
00:48:02.820
And that may be salutary in Canada as well. We may all come out of this better off than you'd
00:48:07.540
think when you said the words, Donald Trump was just elected president of the United States again.
00:48:16.300
Full Comment is a post-media podcast. My name's Brian Lilly, your host.
00:48:20.320
This episode was produced by Andre Prune. Theme music by Bryce Hall. Kevin Libin is the executive
00:48:25.380
producer. Remember, you can subscribe to Full Comment on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music,
00:48:30.200
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00:48:36.620
Leave a rating. Give us a review. Tell your friends about us. Thanks for listening. Until next time,