00:57:43.720Look at us here today, we see so many flags, representing so many nations.
00:58:04.560We know we are not alone and we thank you for being with us.
00:58:13.720For all people around the world who stand today in unity with the Iranian people,
00:58:22.740this is not just because it's good for us and you do it out of compassion and care
00:58:28.660for our rights to liberty and justice and equality and human rights.
00:58:33.980But understand that it is in your best interest too to have, unlike this regime
00:58:40.020that has been propagating terror and radicalism.
00:58:44.060We, the people of Iran, are peacemakers and not warmongers.
00:58:49.080We like to be friends, especially with the free world.
00:58:58.420We'd like to be able to have the best neighbouring relationship
00:59:02.700with the people of our area and the region,
00:59:05.360with the Arab countries, with Israel and all our other neighbours.
00:59:10.020We are fighting for justice, we're fighting for human rights, we are fighting for liberty,
00:59:19.380we're fighting to put an end to all sorts of discrimination.
00:59:24.660Because as an Iranian, I stand here to tell you that I've dedicated 47 years of my life
00:59:31.640because I think that my country deserves far better than what we have right now.
00:59:40.020You now understand that their best remedy is to support the people of Iran, because ultimately a free Iran will be your best partner, not just to bring stability and peace, but it will be in your best economic interest and opportunities.
00:59:58.980Together we can prosper again, and the world will be so different once the Iranian people are free.
01:00:05.640I am here to guarantee a transition to secular democratic future.
01:00:14.940I am committed to be the leader of transition for you, so we can one day have the final
01:00:22.080opportunity to decide the fate of our country through a democratic, transparent process
01:00:28.300through the ballot box and free elections.
01:00:31.080And let's make sure that this time, especially the free nations of this world and their governments
01:05:31.780This trade of Hormuz is fully open and ready for business and full passage,
01:05:36.100but the naval blockade will remain in full force and effect as it pertains to Iran only until such time as our transaction with Iran is 100% complete.
01:05:48.440This process should go very quickly in that most of the points are already negotiated.
01:05:53.720Thank you for your attention to this matter, President Donald J. Trump.
01:05:58.780And then he says, the USA will get all nuclear dust created by our great B-2 bombers.
01:06:04.380No money will exchange hands in any way, shape, or form.
01:06:08.140This deal is in no way subject to Lebanon either, but the USA will separately work with Lebanon and deal with the Hezbollah situation in an appropriate manner.
01:06:19.680Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer.
01:06:22.340they are prohibited from doing so by the USA. Enough is enough. Thank you, President Donald
01:06:27.300J. Trump. We'll have to talk about that a little bit later, but let's just focus on the Hormuz
01:06:31.860situation right now. And then he continues. Now that the Hormuz Strait is open, the situation is
01:06:38.540over, I received a call from NATO asking if we would still need some help. I told them to stay
01:06:44.140away unless they want to load up their ships with oil. They were useless when needed, a paper tiger.0.98
01:06:51.240Then he says, thank you to Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar for your great bravery and help.
01:06:58.020And then he says, Iran, with the help of the USA, has removed or is removing all sea mines.
01:08:49.500I think President Trump found their weakness.
01:08:55.040I think the regime might have been able to tolerate being bombed from the sky here and there.
01:09:02.360But the blockade ended up being their main weakness.
01:09:05.980So basically what they were trying to do to the world when it comes to blocking the state of hormones, they thought that's the Achilles hell of the world, but it ended up actually being their Achilles hell the most.
01:09:18.260So they're like, okay, you want to try that game?
01:09:20.640Americans were like, we could do that to you.
01:34:06.600And now there's a lot of people like, oh, no.
01:34:11.080And then it says, this process should go very quickly in that most of the points are already negotiated.
01:34:17.960Thank you for your attention to this matter, President Donald J. Trump.
01:34:23.480And then let's look at the Araqchi, because you would think Araqchi would be trying to sell.
01:34:31.360Let me see how they could, like, if I was Araqchi, how would I sell this internally?
01:34:36.680How would I sell this internally as a victory?
01:34:39.100Because Araqchi is saying, in line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for commercial visits through the Strait of Hormones is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire.
01:34:50.380on the coordinated route as already announced by ports
01:34:59.360and maritime organizations of the Islamic Republic of Europe.
01:35:02.180Okay, so there is no explanation here for why this is a victory
01:35:06.400other than we're doing this because you did a ceasefire in Lebanon.0.92
01:35:12.760So guys, think about how pathetic and embarrassing that is0.84
01:35:18.720Because the Islamic Republic did not close the Strait of Hormuz because of Lebanon.0.97
01:35:26.440And now they're opening it because of Lebanon?
01:35:30.560And now they're opening it because of Lebanon?
01:39:01.540The silence regarding what President Trump said yesterday by the Islamic Republic.
01:39:07.540Did anybody see the Islamic Republic coming out and saying, no, no, we did not agree to stop the enrichment of uranium? Did you guys see that? There was no denial.
01:46:48.060Everything is, guys, everything Araqqi says right now, the foreign minister of the Islamic Republic, was handed down to him from higher ups and he is reading it out word by word.
01:47:02.700Like who's, why do, like, okay, this is actually embarrassing if you think Araqqi is in charge.
01:47:07.420on the screen for a reason. The Iranian foreign minister, who seems to be really the guy in
01:47:14.920charge really publicly for Iran, just fired this off in a post on X, and I'm going to read it for
01:47:21.360you now. In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through
01:47:26.640Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire on the
01:47:32.620coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organization of the Islamic Republic
01:47:38.740of Iran. So on that news, the stock market is flying through the roof. That opens in 28 minutes,
01:47:45.620so we'll watch that. Now, while this is happening, the U.S. has brokered a 10-day ceasefire.
01:47:51.600Guys, I don't know what effect this is going to have on the midterms, but if Americans actually
01:47:56.120pay attention to what's really happening they're going to they're you know they they shouldn't like
01:48:05.160the midterms like i don't think this is going to have much of like i don't know if it's going to
01:48:09.800have much of an effect but i wish the americans were actually paying attention so that they would
01:48:14.600have so that it would have and uh things will go back to republicans when the midterm because
01:48:22.360everything is working out the economy is working out oil prices are working out the islamic republic
01:48:28.280has been humiliated all guys all the analysts that were telling you that the islamic republic
01:48:33.800has the upper hand they were all wrong this proves that they were all wrong and you should
01:48:39.720never take them seriously ever again you should never take oh wait there's a more complete version
01:48:45.240of this video let me play it one more this is a better version uh we're just getting this in
01:48:51.720So bear with us. Strait of Hormuz is on the screen for a reason.
01:48:55.840The Iranian foreign minister, who seems to be really the guy in charge, or at least publicly for Iran,
01:49:03.600just fired this off in a post on X, and I'm going to read it for you now.
01:49:08.300In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open
01:49:15.720for the remaining period of ceasefire on the coordinated route
01:49:19.740as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organization
01:59:48.140America decides when Israel gets to do things.
01:59:52.240And I know many Israelis don't like that.
01:59:55.720However, there is also another interpretation that this is just mind games and Israelis and Americans are completely on the same page in this.
02:00:04.820And they're just trying to fool the Islamic Republic.
02:11:11.880That's a good thing to think about that might happen.
02:11:19.440Sorry, guys, I don't know how to read these user IDs.
02:11:22.980It's saying, in 2006, Fahoud Siniora, Prime Minister of Lebanon, at the time said that Lebanon would be the last Arab country to make peace with Israel.
02:11:36.240Wow, it seems to be one of the first ones now.
02:11:40.180We got another suggestion saying, American Jew here, USA and Israel are definitely on the same page.
02:17:27.740The Lebanese government and people would love to end the bloodbath,0.99
02:17:31.940But Hezbollah is dedicated to destruction of Israel, the same as al-Qaeda, ISIS, and the
02:17:38.200Iranian regime. They're supported by Iran. So if anybody tells me that Hezbollah is different
02:17:44.120than the Ayatollah, al-Qaeda, ISIS, you don't understand Hezbollah. No peace deal in Lebanon
02:17:50.880that doesn't lead to the disarmament and defanging of Hezbollah. I do not trust the Lebanese military
02:17:57.940to disarm Hezbollah. The commander of the Lebanese military, Heikel, I think his name is,
02:18:05.220I don't trust as far as I can throw him. He needs to be replaced before there's a credible
02:18:10.220plan to disarm Hezbollah. No peace deal in Lebanon until there's a credible pathway
02:18:17.820to disarm Hezbollah. As to what happens next, if we can get the 900 pounds of highly enriched
02:18:25.920uranium, and we can open the Straits of Hormuz, that'd be a huge success. President Trump's
02:18:32.080blockade has been brilliant, and we need to end this well. But they cannot enrich, they cannot
02:18:38.300be given that right, no matter how long they promise to delay, because they cheat. So I sit
02:18:43.760here tonight, knowing that President Trump is actually the captain of the ship, he's directly
02:18:49.220involved in negotiations, and I think he's the right man at the right time to end this will.
02:18:54.040As to terms of a peace deal with Iran, be careful.
02:18:58.120We don't want a peace in our time moment with people you can't trust.
02:19:02.680Well, knowing the president as well as we both do, I don't see any circumstances at all that they would ever have the right to enrich in the future.
02:19:12.440I don't see any circumstances at all where they get to keep the nuclear dust.
02:19:15.880I don't see any circumstances at all where they get to hold the world hostage with the Strait of Hormuz, which are international waterways, nor will they get to charge a tax or a tariff under any of those circumstances.
02:19:28.840As it relates to Lebanon, you know, my major concern is I don't think the Lebanese army has the ability to control or defeat Hamas.
02:19:35.880However, if the Iranians choose, if the Iranians, if they decide not to go the easy way and they
02:19:44.280lose their ability to run their economy, which is the end of Karg Island, then the Iranians lose
02:19:49.460all their money. And that ends any money and any weapons supply that the Iranians have been
02:19:54.620providing Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthi rebels, no? You're absolutely right. Why end the blockade
02:20:01.520because it's working. The currency of Iran has collapsed. They're on the verge of actually
02:20:06.380financial ruin from the blockade. So here's my point. Wait a minute. Won't they have to agree
02:20:13.600to a deal first? Donald Trump is not staying there forever. In spite of proclamations by people that
02:20:19.700don't know him, he is saying publicly, this is coming to an end. It will be the easy way or the
02:20:28.780hard way? Well, the blockade is doing enormous damage to the country with a very small number
02:20:35.800of U.S. ships. So here's what I would say about the blockade. Keep it in place until you get the
02:20:41.480deal you want. It's tremendous leverage. It is absolutely working. So why would you withdraw
02:20:47.820from the blockade? If you got a deal you could trust. I want the 900 pounds of highly enriched
02:20:53.620uranium in our hands, right? I want to make sure that Iran can't block the straight-out hormones
02:20:59.720going forward. I want to make sure there's no enrichment ever given to Iran. It would be
02:21:05.540insane to allow al-Qaeda to enrich uranium, to allow ISIS to enrich uranium. The state of Iran
02:21:13.160under the Ayatollah is no different. They have the same agenda. Do not acknowledge these people
02:21:19.460have the right to enrich uranium. They don't. They're terrorists. So I trust President Trump
02:21:24.180to get us to where we want to go. Now, what happens if they say no? Keep the blockade in
02:21:29.600place, but be willing to go after the energy infrastructure on Karg Island. I'm not asking
02:21:35.620President Trump or anybody to invade the country. We don't need to do that. I'm looking for peace
02:21:40.800between Saudi Arabia and Israel, the biggest change in 2000 years. Sean, the only way you
02:21:45.760get peace with Saudi Arabia and Israel, if you can convince both countries, Iran can never do
02:21:50.580another October 7th. We're inside the five-yard line here. We're not inside the 10-yard line.
02:21:56.020We've got this regime on the ropes. We've got Lebanon, Hezbollah pinned down. Don't throw them
02:22:02.860a lifeline. If you get a peace deal in Lebanon and it doesn't have a pathway to disarm Hezbollah,
02:22:09.820it is a fake peace deal. Be careful who you're dealing with. Well, I mean, I think that's a
02:22:15.440great admonition before epic fury started there were reports that the supreme leader and his
02:22:22.500henchmen had planes uh sitting on a tarmac probably stashed with tons of money uh and that
02:22:30.040they were gonna escape to to russia and i told them get out now while you can this is what i'm
02:22:36.120gonna say to this fourth or fifth tier leadership that got the president so pissed off that he lost
02:22:40.600his voice based on your reporting. I'll use you as our source. This fourth and fifth tier
02:22:45.660leadership, this president's, the president's patience will run out quickly. You have your
02:22:53.140chance. You can take the easy route now. It's up to them. The choices, their moment of choosing
02:22:58.920is here. All right. Lindsey Graham, Senator of South Carolina. Thank you. Okay. So there's that.
02:33:31.880They too have very little real understanding of the United States of America, starting
02:33:37.300with, you know, all of the kind of litany of complaints that they have against us, most of
02:33:42.440which are utterly fantastical. So we start with two leaderships who just don't understand each
02:33:47.080other. Then we add to that the fact that they both came into this war looking to do very,
02:33:52.540very different things. And they have very different narratives as to what happened.
02:33:57.860So according to President Trump, he has done all of this damage to the Iranian regime. And,
02:34:03.520you know they should recognize that they've been beaten and they should surrender and of course
02:34:08.240the iranian regime it's a completely different narrative it's we were attacked entirely unprovoked
02:34:14.480something we long anticipated but this is still outrageous we took the initial blows that the
02:34:21.040americans and the israelis inflicted on us and now we've turned the war around and we're winning
02:34:26.880because we're inflicting more damage on the americans than the americans are on us so when
02:34:33.040you look at it in those two perspectives right both sides one side thinks it's won the other
02:34:38.960side thinks it's winning right that's not a recipe for ending a war and so who is is anyone really
02:34:46.240winning or does it just depend on how you define winning because when you when you watch a lot of
02:34:49.920western media they've been portraying iran as the winner in this case so this is where i need to put
02:34:55.200my military analyst hat on and say you know where we've gotten to in the war and again recognizing
02:35:00.480we're in a lull, we're in a pause at the moment. But where we'd gotten to in the war was a war of
02:35:05.600attrition between the two sides. The United States and Israel have done tremendous damage
02:35:10.640to the military assets of the Iranian regime, and we're continuing to do so. Day in and day out,
02:35:17.680the U.S. and Israel were inflicting damage, but we need to recognize it had become incremental
02:35:22.180damage. Painful to the regime, no question about it, but not dramatically so. Not the kind of big
02:35:29.240blows that the u.s. and israel landed early on and in that sense unfortunately because of this
02:35:36.280leadership in iran which doesn't care about its people doesn't care about its economy just wants
02:35:42.920to inflict pain on the united states just wants to be seen as winning they were willing to absorb
02:35:47.960that level of damage at that incremental level and was also keeping them going was that they
02:35:54.840believe that the pain that they were inflicting on the United States and particularly on President
02:36:00.500Trump was much greater, that he was feeling the pain far more than Iran was. And so their feeling
02:36:07.080was, look, we can absorb this punishment. We took it during the eight years of the Iran-Iraq war.
02:36:12.440Many of them fought during that war, didn't like the fact that they had ended the war.
02:36:17.080And their feeling was they can absorb this kind of pain, especially because they're doing so much
02:36:21.620more to the United States. And what they were seeing from President Trump, as they put it,
02:36:26.520was desperation, an absolutely desperate desire to get out of this war, which led them to conclude
02:36:32.800that they had President Trump right where they wanted him. So one of the biggest fears that
02:36:38.660people inside Iran have right now is that this war ends with the regime still in place. And that
02:36:45.260you know it's now a a beast that has been half wounded that they will lash out and take it on
02:36:51.340the people of iran we've been seeing executions every day of political dissonance that's we can
02:36:57.100only anticipate it's going to accelerate in the coming days you know what do you think this is
02:37:03.980actually going to lead to the ceasefire or you know partial ceasefire as you put it lead to some sort
02:37:09.340of deal let me start here unfortunately i very much subscribe to that position which is i'm very
02:37:23.740concerned that this war is going to end with this regime in place this leadership as monstrous as
02:37:30.860ayatollah khamenei was this group is worse they care even less about their people they are even
02:37:38.780more bellicose and more willing to use force both against their own people and against the
02:37:45.580people of the middle east so yes from my perspective this war ending with this leadership
02:37:51.820in control of this regime that's about the worst outcome that i can possibly imagine
02:37:57.580and one of my great concerns about these negotiations is that i don't see anything
02:38:03.420from the trump administration that indicates an interest in absolutely getting rid of this regime
02:38:09.820i mean all that rhetoric has fallen away the initial rhetoric about regime change is just gone
02:38:16.300in fact the president is constantly talking about how wonderful this leadership is that it's better
02:38:23.020that it's more reasonable than we had at the beginning which i i just see is absolutely
02:38:29.180fantastical. I don't know what he is talking about. I don't know who he is looking at and how
02:38:35.440he could believe, other than the fact that it serves him politically, that this is somehow a
02:38:40.500better Iranian regime than the one that we had going into the war. And why? Why is the president
02:38:46.660doing that? So it's always very hard to know what is in another person's head. And I will say that
02:38:55.180I think that Donald Trump is a particularly tough one. Certainly for someone like me, I don't see
02:39:01.620the world the way that he does. All that I can say is what I see from his behavior. He got into
02:39:10.660the war, I think, in a kind of a slapdash way. I don't think that he had really thought through
02:39:16.840what was going on. We've seen lots of news stories and lots of reports about how he wasn't really
02:39:23.380paying attention to what various advisors were saying and even before that this is not a president
02:39:29.060who did a whole lot of reading who listened to experts on various subjects uh as he famously
02:39:36.100said he goes with his gut um and whatever his gut tells him to do he does um again my experience
02:39:42.500with him over the years going back to his first term is his gut doesn't know iran well at all
02:39:48.340And so I think he got into this war believing that this was going to be an easy prize.
02:39:55.220Like Nicolas Maduro and some of the other things he had done, this was going to be easy.
02:39:59.780You know, we knew where Khamenei was and the main military and internal security leadership,0.95
02:40:05.700kill them and the whole rotten structure will crumble. I think that that's really what he0.85
02:40:10.980believed was likely to happen and that therefore he wouldn't confront these circumstances.
02:40:15.300and when that didn't happen and when the regime instead kind of took the punches
02:40:21.220and wouldn't give up and then started landing blows of its own um he suddenly didn't know
02:40:27.220really what to do and you know we saw this again we saw the same thing that the iranian regime saw
02:40:32.500which is you know him kind of lurching back and forth from these wild threats that you were
02:40:38.340describing a moment ago to you know sudden uh i'm not sure you understood this but they were
02:40:44.100ultimately unilateral concessions to the regime, things like allowing them to sell all of the
02:40:50.740oil that was already at sea. I bet I didn't understand because don't you want to bankrupt
02:40:56.100them? Don't you want them not to have money to be able to rebuild once you've caused this
02:41:00.340devastation and destruction? So this is a perfect point, right? You're putting your finger on it,
02:41:05.220right? As a military historian, and I was also talking to another military historian a few weeks
02:41:10.740ago we were saying to ourselves when in human history has one country alleviated sanctions
02:41:18.260on the country they were at war we couldn't think of a single example nobody does it but this is the
02:41:22.980point is what president trump thought he was doing was simply putting more oil out onto the global
02:41:29.140oil market which would bring prices down which is really what he was focused on bring the dow jones
02:41:34.980average up bring the price of oil down that's what he was really focused on but not really thinking
02:41:40.420through that yes you're putting money in the pockets of this regime and even more important
02:41:46.260because again the money has to eventually get back to them even more important sending a tremendous
02:41:51.540psychological signal to them that the americans are desperate they'll do anything to get out of
02:41:58.180this even allowing iran to sell its own oil to me that was the the great mistake was not
02:42:05.700understanding how this was psychologically buoying a regime that was on the ropes.
02:42:11.580Yeah. And it shows to them that, hey, I've got leverage.
02:42:15.020Exactly. Which is why we're in the situation that we're in. And which is also why I am
02:42:20.140very concerned about these negotiations. Because again, I think that going into this,
02:42:24.840the Iranians believe they're holding the Trump cards, pardon the pun, that they're the ones with
02:42:30.320the leverage in this, I suspect they agreed to do this because they think that Trump is ready to,
02:42:37.180you know, cry uncle, that he's ready to surrender to them, that he's ready to fold his cards and
02:42:42.580let them take the pot. And if he's willing to do that, they'll take it. But my guess is that,
02:42:48.380my hope is that the administration is not going to do that. And if that's the case,
02:42:53.080then I suspect we may see a pretty rapid breakdown in these negotiations and a return to conflict.
02:42:58.520And lead to a new phase in the war. And what would that look like as a military analyst?
02:43:04.600How does war escalate in this case? What more is there to strike?
02:43:08.660Right. Well, so, you know, you're going in exactly the right direction. These are the questions that I'm also asking myself,
02:43:14.380which is assuming that Trump is frustrated in these negotiations, he is going to, again, swing back in the other direction to I need to punish them.
02:43:23.060I need to inflict greater pain on them.
02:43:26.020And, you know, he's focused on a variety of different areas.
02:43:29.280Unfortunately, they're largely about Iran's civilian economy, this idea of taking Khark Island.
02:43:34.540And, you know, even there, again, it's not entirely clear what he thinks he's going to be doing.
02:43:39.120The Iranian regime is not exporting a lot of oil as it is.
02:43:43.860People have suggested to me he thinks that he can take the island and the oil storage on it
02:43:49.680and put put that out into the world that would again alleviate the price of oil perhaps
02:43:55.760and then of course beyond that he's been talking about striking iranian civilian infrastructure
02:44:00.800which uh is not going to endear the united states to the iranian people and you know
02:44:09.280again as a military story and what we've seen going back to world war ii is that many countries
02:44:14.560have tried to use air power to turn a people against their government and typically what
02:44:21.680happens is even if the people don't begin not particularly liking the government they get so
02:44:27.520angry at whoever is bombing them that it actually can benefit the government it's why we've never
02:44:35.040seen air power alone bring down a government and so you know i worry that if the president does move
02:44:43.120in that direction he could do a tremendous amount of damage to iran without necessarily changing
02:44:49.200the equation the way that he wanted to i mean it's worth remembering that this is more or less
02:44:53.920the same theory that the united states had in vietnam where we were constantly bombing north
02:45:00.640vietnamese civilian infrastructure thinking that this was going to cause the the regime to agree
02:45:06.800to our peace terms. It never did. In fact, it mostly just kind of redoubled the North Vietnamese
02:45:14.000regime in terms of its determination to extract greater concessions from the United States
02:45:19.740because they were so angry at us. And what's the logic behind hitting civilian infrastructure as
02:45:26.280kind of the next step? Because, you know, I was reading somewhere that some analysts were saying,
02:45:30.080well, it would make the Iranian people realize that their regime is, you know, illegitimate and
02:45:36.820have them rise up. Well, I think the Iranian people already know that and they've made that
02:45:40.380clear. More than 80% of the population is against this regime. We saw a massive uprising January
02:45:46.3008th and 9th that was met with, you know, Iranian people being slaughtered. They were met with
02:45:50.420military-grade weapons. So what is the logic behind that theory when we already know and
02:45:56.280studies have been done that they hate their regime. So the theory is exactly the way you
02:46:01.440described it. I mean, you just nailed it. This is the theory. This has always been the theory.
02:46:06.860It's the idea that if you inflict pain on the people, the people will turn against their
02:46:11.900government. By the way, it is a theory that the Israelis have tried in Lebanon again and again
02:46:17.840and again, going back to the 1970s. It's never worked in Lebanon either. And again, it's something
02:46:24.060the United States tried in World War II. It's something the United States tried in Vietnam,
02:46:29.540sort of tried it in Iraq during the Persian Gulf War. It doesn't work. But it's one of these,
02:46:36.420it's so seductive. The premise seems so obvious. It seems so commonsensical. But the empirical data
02:46:44.480is incontrovertible. When you bomb people, they really tend not to blame their government for
02:46:51.520getting them into that situation, they blame the people who are bombing them.
02:51:39.120He was already angry at the Iranian regime for not having agreed to a new nuclear deal with him.
02:51:45.760And I think there was a part of him that felt like, yeah, I should do something about this.
02:51:51.320But then military advisors helped him to understand that the U.S. wasn't ready to do anything at that point in time.
02:51:59.740He stood down and then realized that, you know, he didn't necessarily want to be in a position of having to actually enforce that statement.
02:52:10.520And so, yeah, he kind of walked away from it until U.S. and Israeli intelligence came into him in late February and said, we know where Ayatollah Khamenei is.
02:52:20.040We know he's going to be at this meeting of senior Iranian defense and internal security personnel.0.97
02:52:25.480We can kill them all and decapitate the regime.0.97
02:52:28.340And then all of a sudden, he went right back to where he was in January, briefly, as we said.0.99
02:52:33.920So what's the alternative here to be able to get rid of this regime finally?
02:52:39.860And because, I mean, a lot of Iranians did welcome the strikes at the beginning.
02:54:45.340Now, as I've written in other places, there are some things that the United States can be doing that I think would be helpful to that.
02:54:52.760One of them is, as we've talked about, calling the Iranian people out onto the streets and then providing them with air support, which would make the regime's security forces more vulnerable.
02:55:02.020And hopefully the morale of the security forces would break without having to kill every single one of them.
02:55:08.860But there are other things as well. And, you know, go back to the point that I made earlier about how early on in the war, the U.S. and Israel had landed some very big blows against the Iranians that were psychologically dislocating.
02:55:22.000We have to go back and look for things like that. That's what President Trump is trying to do, thinking about Cargill and thinking about civilian infrastructure again.
02:55:29.480I think that's all counterproductive. But when I've tossed out there something I think that would be beneficial to the United States, regardless of what happens in Iran, very beneficial people of Lebanon would be to go after Hezbollah, would be to help the Lebanese armed forces and Lebanese people destroy Hezbollah, which there's no question there are a huge number of Lebanese, including many Lebanese Shia who want to do that.
02:55:55.080It would be much easier for the United States to do. It's a much smaller country.
02:55:59.500And that too would be a major psychological blow to this regime. Hezbollah is its most important
02:56:06.600ally. It's its most important creation, its most important creature. Everybody in the region knows
02:56:13.340Hezbollah, hates it, fears it, obliterated at this moment. Again, that would be a big psychological
02:56:20.020blow to the regime. Would it be enough to bring down the regime? I doubt it, but I'll put it this
02:56:24.980way. It certainly couldn't hurt, and I think that it could help, hopefully in conjunction with other
02:56:29.600things. But that's what you wind up looking for. You're simultaneously asking the question of,
02:56:34.380can we bring about regime change without a massive American invasion? It's either arming the Iranian
02:56:41.200people or helping the Iranian people, but getting them out onto the streets, recognizing that that
02:56:45.960is going to entail a lot of bloodshed, or going looking for some of these other ways to try to
02:56:51.860and some bigger blows against the regime. Either way, this is not an ideal situation, right? This
02:56:58.680is not what I think any American, certainly any American military planner, would have wanted the
02:57:04.940United States to have gotten itself into at this moment in the war. So what is the military
02:57:09.380objective then? And does the military objective always translate to a political objective?
02:57:14.360So it should. That is the lesson. You know, Carl von Clausewitz, the great Prussian
02:57:19.560military theorist. That was his whole point, was there is no point to a war except its political
02:57:25.860objective. And everything you do militarily has to be aimed at achieving that political objective.
02:57:33.300Otherwise, again, exactly, it's just gratuitous violence. And the problem that we have with what
02:57:39.280the Trump administration has done is they went into it with an intention to mount a particular
02:57:46.640military campaign that could achieve a set of military objectives right and those military
02:57:53.200objectives have value in and of themselves right destroying the navy the air force the ballistic
02:57:58.960missile forces in effect taking the regime's power projection capabilities that's a valid objective
02:58:06.720in and of itself the problem is that they then lashed that to a variety of other political
02:58:13.680objectives that that military campaign could never achieve, right? First and foremost, regime change.
02:58:20.960And then, of course, to make it worse, and I think this is a very important thing to understand,
02:58:26.360to make it worse, they called for regime change. They killed Ayatollah Khamenei and the top
02:58:33.400leadership, which simultaneously said to the regime, this is a bona fide regime change effort,
02:58:40.200So we shift from what we were planning to do militarily, which you remember that initial 8, 10, 12 hours, just, you know, strikes against U.S. bases in the region.
02:58:51.700We shift to our contingency plans for how we act when the United States is actually coming to take down the regime.
02:58:58.880And that means shutting down the Strait of Bambus, right?
02:59:02.340But the truth is that the U.S. wasn't really gunning for the regime.
02:59:06.400We kind of hoping that that would happen.
02:59:08.540We weren't prepared to deal with the regime shutting down the Strait of Hormuz and, of course, also attacking civilian infrastructure all throughout the Gulf states.
02:59:19.280We panicked, and that panic showed the regime something really important that they didn't know, which was that you could shut down the Strait of Hormuz and the United States wouldn't then immediately shift to absolutely bringing down the regime, right?
02:59:36.560that was always their fear, was if we mess around with the Strait of Hormuz, the Americans will
02:59:41.920overthrow our government. And that was why Khamenei never wanted to touch the Strait of Hormuz.
02:59:47.660Well, Khamenei is gone. That restraint is gone. They've shut down the Strait of Hormuz. And rather
02:59:54.420than absolutely coming for the regime, the United States is backing off as fast as it can. And again,
03:00:01.080showing these signs of desperation, which signals to the regime, we can do whatever we want to with
03:00:07.520the Strait of Hormuz. We can manipulate it all we want because the Americans are more afraid
03:00:13.400of the price of oil than they are of anything else. That was a terrible lesson to teach this
03:00:21.160regime. And what about the neighboring countries? Are they not in some ways moving closer to Israel
03:00:27.860and the United States? So they are, at least in the moment. What's unclear is the long term.
03:00:34.500It's worth understanding the Gulf states did not want this war. Contrary to a lot of terrible
03:00:40.300reporting in the American press, they were very clear in telling the Trump administration they
03:00:45.580did not think this was a good idea. You probably remember Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia all
03:00:51.860forbade the United States from flying strike missions against Iran from their bases, right?
03:00:56.760you can't be any clearer than that. But once we got into it, and once Iran closed the Strait of
03:01:03.440Hormuz, and they saw the reaction, they too saw the reaction of the United States, they shifted,
03:01:08.860right? And of course, I should point out again, their civilian infrastructure was being struck
03:01:13.060all across the Gulf. That prompted them to decide, we've got to get rid of this regime.
03:01:21.100Because again, they see everything that you and I do. This is a worse version of this regime.
03:01:26.200And this is a regime that has a version of this regime that has now learned that you can manipulate the Strait of Hormuz all you want.
03:01:35.560You can strike the GCC. It's not going to cause the United States to make a determined effort to unseat the regime.
03:01:44.000If anything, it causes the United States to back off.
03:01:47.980That is terrible for them. In the short term, yes, it's caused them to embrace the war effort to a certain extent
03:01:55.800because they want the war to bring about the demise of the regime but you know as i suggested
03:02:02.520i have real doubts as to whether this holds after the war is over if the war ends with this regime
03:02:09.800in place the regime is going to claim victory i think that it's likely under those circumstances
03:02:17.240they will believe that they can continue to shut down the strait when they want to or
03:02:21.480launch drones at the gcc states that's untenable for the gcc states and what i fear is that just
03:02:28.200as we saw in 2019 when iran was able to attack saudi arabia and the uae with impunity we saw the
03:02:35.720saudis and the emiratis go to and basically say you know whatever you need right whatever you want
03:02:41.960and the iranians said get out of yemen and both the saudis and the eminies i'm sorry about the
03:02:46.600the Saudis and the Emiratis pulled out of Yemen because they had to appease the Iranians.
03:02:52.520I'm afraid we'll see the same thing if this war ends and that regime is still in place
03:10:04.460He said that in terms of this, the negotiations are possible for one night in Islamabad.
03:10:11.540But he said that it is not possible that it needs to be done with the fire.
03:10:17.340And that he said that it is not possible that the fire will be done with the Islamic government that until the 4th of the 4th of the fire will be completed until the first time of the United States will be able to prevent it.
03:10:31.940I will keep my thinking and teach my way.
03:10:34.360In m Tamar, I've got a number ofırmsburgs No.
03:11:48.780If it had an opportunity was built between Iran and أمریکա�physe then it would not have allowed loweralls to Iran and Colombia to be able to prepare for Iran and Europe.
03:32:30.280no one trusts one another right they don't trust each other oh is president trump going live on fox
03:32:38.040at five here i can check fox news and see what's what they're saying on fox news
03:32:48.760thank you for letting me know if he's going
03:32:52.520yeah i don't see anything on fox news right now but i'll keep an eye on that for sure
03:33:00.280Right, so he's saying Qalibaf right now because Qalibaf was one of the main negotiators.
03:33:17.560So he's like, I'm certain that Qaliboff right now is probably thinking, right, Qaliboff is probably thinking that, you know, with this agreement, with this agreement that, you know, he has negotiated with President Trump and the United States,
03:33:39.740will this now result in Qalibaf becoming more powerful and basically like Murad Baisi is saying
03:33:48.780becoming the master of the Islamic regime or is it going to make him be seen as a traitor
03:33:54.540by the others and then they're going to go the others are going to go and like execute him right
03:33:59.720because that's what the Islamic regime does so that's what's happening right now and Qalibaf is
03:34:04.120definitely worried about that. And, you know, Armin showed the messages, you know, he translated
03:34:09.860them from earlier, where Islamic regime supporters are very, very angry at, at this, you know, deal
03:34:16.640that was reached. And the fact that the Strait of Hormuz is now open, but the United States is still,
03:34:22.740you know, still has a blockade on Iranian oil ships, which is like, that's not really a good
03:34:30.540deal at all for the islamic regime it's it's it's like the worst thing
03:34:35.340Right, so he just said, right, like what's happening is a lot of people are like, well,
03:35:02.080America, like the United States went and boom-boomed Khamenei and now that basically
03:35:08.520resulted in, it resulted in, what's what I'm looking for, United States boom-boomed Khamenei
03:35:18.820and then that resulted in this agreement and ceasefire and so like that's making a lot
03:36:33.220So will this person be viewed as someone who is a traitor because they signed an agreement with the murderers of Khamenei or will this person be viewed as a hero for saving the Islamic Republic?
03:36:48.880Look, I have a feeling personally that they will not be viewed as a hero because the supporters of the Islamic regime are delusional and they legitimately believe that the Islamic regime is beating the United States.
03:37:05.800And, you know, if only they had continued, they could have destroyed America and Israel.
03:37:12.200Right. Because that's the propaganda they're constantly putting out on Islamic regime state TV.
03:37:17.300and that's what their supporters believe right like this is not what the the general population
03:37:22.560believes right like the the you know 90 percent of Iranian people they know this is all bs they
03:37:27.940know the Islamic regime is collapsing everyone's getting ready for like revolution and regime
03:37:31.740change but he's talking about how the IRGC supporters themselves will see it and as you
03:37:37.560can tell they're like completely delusional and part of it is because um they're they're um
03:37:43.960their victims of their own propaganda. So they have been putting out the same propaganda over and over that they themselves are buying it.
03:38:13.960um yeah so so they're basically like it's like they're drinking their own kool-aid right but
03:38:38.920we're talking about the supporters we're talking about um like the the people who go out into the
03:38:44.680streets and like ya'll allah akbar you know chant in favor of um of like the islamic regime and they
03:38:51.880say oh you know uh united states is losing and um you know america is winning and all sorry united
03:38:57.800states is losing and the islamic regime is winning right like that kind of stuff
03:39:08.920oh wait okay so let's see patriot i just saw this okay i'll see if i can find that but like like so
03:39:26.840this is a very good example of um what i'm what i'm talking about in terms of this internal struggle
04:00:22.820so what he's talking about guys is basically he's referring to all the previous uprisings
04:00:33.060that have been happening for the last like 20 or 30 years um starting in like the 1990s and then
04:00:38.580you know with the green movement uh and then all the different ones and then leading up to to to
04:00:42.900woman life freedom um which was uh in 2022 and now this one so what he's saying is that basically
04:00:50.180every single one of those uprisings paved the way for the next uprising and the next one and the
04:00:56.900next one and now the current uprising um the the lion and son uh revolution this is the end result
04:01:05.060of all of these other uprisings and now this is where we are you know this is the we've matured
04:01:11.220and we've come to like this point here and that's why uh you know it's going to be like pretty much
04:01:16.100successful he's saying like that uprising um uh basically confirmed that there are millions and
04:01:28.260millions of people in iran um who uh you know want to overthrow the regime and it also officially
04:01:35.860confirmed uh prince reza pahlawi as the leader of the lion and sun revolution
04:01:46.100Every person is the perfect result of the previous one.
04:01:50.100The people understand that they are the same.
04:01:51.400So he's saying each of these movements, so basically he means uprisings, right?
04:01:55.500So each one of these uprisings is a more complete result of the previous one.
04:01:59.800So each time it got bigger and more people got involved until finally we got to the one that's happening now.
04:02:07.700I don't know where to answer the question.0.77
04:02:12.100The lack of freedom of women's life has changed to the world of the world of the lion and the sun.
04:02:16.820Yeah, women living in it, he basically means that women's life freedom, so he's saying that women's life freedom, you know, became, it's basically led to the national revolution of the lion and the sun.
04:02:29.920We, those who have decided to meet them, we don't do the right thing.
04:02:35.300We all have a nation of Iran, and the nation has become a nation.
04:02:38.700so he's saying the difference between the current um uh line and sun revolution versus the the
04:02:58.720woman life freedom one because he's saying there are some people who are like trying to compare
04:03:03.780the two. He's like, you cannot compare because the current one is a more mature and established
04:03:09.800version of the previous one. So he's saying that the main difference here between the woman life
04:03:14.920freedom uprising versus the lion and son revolution is that with the current one,
04:03:21.880with the lion and son revolution on January eight and nine, the Iranian people finally believed in
04:03:29.680their strength and in their numbers right because we finally saw um the uh you know million million
04:03:37.280person uprising right where um millions of Iranians around the country rose up and went out to the
04:03:43.980streets on January 8 and 9 so that's the first thing and then the second big difference is that
04:03:48.920unlike the woman life freedom movement the lion and son revolution has an established leader and
04:03:56.840And that leader is, of course, his royal highness, Reza Pahlavi.
04:04:01.200So he's saying these are the two key differences, which is why the Lion and Son revolution is
04:04:08.400much more mature and much stronger because of these two facts.
04:04:13.400This is the first part of the government of the United States of the United States of the United States of the United States.
04:04:43.380So he's pointing out some other differences.
04:04:48.400He's saying right now, the Islamic regime has pretty much lost a lot of its proxy forces like Hamas and Hezbollah in this round.
04:04:54.680He's like this Hezbollah has become incredibly weak and the Hezbollah you're seeing today
04:10:53.920So he's basically saying the people. So when he's so I also want to keep provide context when he's talking about, you know, the people who said this or that he's referring to like people within the Iranian, you know, Iranian community. Right.
04:11:12.200So he's referring to those people. He's not referring to like, you know, the American woke left or the American woke right or whoever the Democrats.
04:11:23.200However, that could like that could certainly be included in the analysis because what he's saying is sort of relevant to them.
04:11:30.680But here what he's saying is that the people like the Iranians who are basically saying that, oh, you know, the revolution has failed and no one's going to come out.
04:11:41.380he's saying the reason that they're saying this is is less about analysis it's more about they
04:11:47.820basically have pahlavi derangement syndrome so how you know similar uh like in the united states
04:11:53.000there's trump derangement syndrome it's the same thing and in our and you know for iranians we also
04:11:57.900have a group of like insane people that have pahlavi derangement syndrome they just want to
04:12:02.320attack um the crown prince at any point at any time for any reason so they're basically you know0.82
04:12:08.800they're attacking um uh they're attacking him and attacking his credibility by basically saying
04:12:15.600that he's a failure because a revolution didn't happen which is just absolutely insane because
04:12:22.080the irani people were almost successful and and then what happened is the islamic
04:12:26.960regime basically opened fire and slaughtered over 42 000 people in two days
04:12:38.800But by the government will get into which freedom we have in the Fan war,
04:12:42.880And by their own government will make sense that freedom we have in it
04:12:49.000Which freedom we have a power to is made.
04:12:55.200This is not the team we have created that it was just the premium
04:13:06.260So he's right, like for the last 47 years, the Islamic regime has tried to eradicate any opposition, right?
04:13:31.380And they assassinated a lot of people, including Bapishman, by the way, right?
04:13:37.800Bapishman, Fereydun Farukhsad, he was, you know, a singer and an artist, very talented.
04:13:45.940He was also politically active and he was raising awareness about this, right?
04:13:50.840So Fereydun Farukhsad is one of the people that the Islamic regime assassinated back in 1992, right?
04:13:59.380So for 47 years, the Islamic regime has tried to destroy any sort of opposition to it.
04:14:11.240And Murad Baisi is saying that they failed.
04:14:13.540They like the Islamic regime has completely failed.
04:14:16.880If anything, the opposition has grown because now there's so many new people, right?
04:14:22.300Like myself included and so many others.
04:14:24.420Um, so yeah, like they've, they've, they've completely failed in, um, in, in destroying
04:14:33.480And of course, His Royal Highness King Reza Pahlavi, the main opposition today, uh, he
04:14:39.980has never been, um, more, uh, powerful, more influential.
04:14:45.740And, you know, he has, again, the support of like over 80% of people in occupied Iran.
04:14:51.740of course 80 percent of the iranian nation in in general right and oh this is the other thing
04:14:58.940so it's not he it when when they say he that means the islamic regime so the islamic regime
04:15:04.540um you know assassinated people they tried very hard to defame everyone guys like myself included
04:15:11.260like there's so many like weird rumors about me out there um but uh it's not working like
04:15:16.300like it just it hasn't worked see guys see this right now with all its might it is trying with its
04:15:27.820cyber army to de to defame figures opposing the islamic republic guys you see this
04:15:46.300Armin and I have been telling you about the cyber army of the Islamic regime, right?
04:15:52.680Guys, they literally have a whole cyber army.
04:15:56.960And this is what Armin and I mean when we say that, you know, the Islamic regime,
04:16:01.960sure, they might be winning like the AI war.
04:16:04.860And yes, of course, they have a huge cyber army.
04:16:07.460And so, you know, that's why you see all these bots and like, you know, all these people,
04:16:12.220you know especially attacking me and you know Armin not as much but you know pretty much anyone
04:16:19.460who's outspoken and anyone who's speaking out against the Islamic regime we're constantly
04:16:23.480being attacked we're constantly being defamed we're kind like you know crazy rumors about us
04:16:28.700like it's just like the most insane stuff right it's it's what the Islamic regime has been doing
04:16:34.440for the last 47 years but what Murad Beysi is saying is that even now even now the Islamic
04:16:41.460regime you know has all the money they have all the resources they have this huge you know cyber
04:16:48.340cyber army uh guys i think like their ministry of like cyber warfare um is like one of the biggest
04:16:57.220uh sorry it's they're they're like ministry of like cyber warfare or whatever
04:17:01.780is like the fourth biggest ministry missions and hopefully
04:17:11.460But we'll see. Talks are going on. It'll go on over the weekend. And a lot of good things are happening. And that includes Lebanon, too. Lebanon, too.
04:17:22.000There's been reporting today that there's still, Iran says there's significant differences.
04:17:26.740Well, there could be. Let's see what happens. If there are, we'll have to straighten it out. But I don't think there's too many significant differences.
04:17:32.600On the blockade, Mr. President, what will it take to end the blockade?
04:17:36.100uh when the agreement is signed the blockade ends as soon as the agreement gets signed that's
04:17:40.420when the blockade ends i have no idea okay just a quick a couple of words there on iran which by
04:17:54.020the way we've got the straight of her moves he was addressing that there okay that that was it
04:17:59.460it. That was pretty short. It's like, I was just about to like get settled in and it was over
04:18:06.880already. All right. Okay. So let's go back now. Let's go back. I mean, it was, it was pretty good.
04:18:16.860He was pretty confident, right? Like, yeah, he's just, he's so over the press. We all are. But
04:18:23.080guys, so again, this is, this is so important here right now with all its might, it is trying
04:18:28.600with its cyber army to defame figures opposing the Islamic Republic, right?
04:18:58.600position someone's asking how to spell gig his name is morad vaisy
04:19:13.640guys this is morad vaisy and uh you can i can here i'll share his youtube channel with you guys
04:19:21.880so this is his youtube channel he only live streams um in persian so you're gonna have to
04:19:35.420use the subtitles the subtitle feature and the subtitle feature uh only works um on like a
04:19:43.220desktop browser so if you watch it on your phone um you won't be able to to get the translations
04:19:51.160But I will add the I'll put the link, sorry, to his YouTube channel in all of the live streams here so that if you guys want, you can follow follow him.
04:20:11.740And you can kind of like watch on your own as well, because guys, he's basically like a wealth, a wealth of information.
04:25:24.020So what he's saying is that after the 12-day conflict, a lot of people were like, oh my gosh,
04:25:51.740Like, what does this mean? Will the revolution happen? Like, are people going to rise up?
04:25:56.480And then Morad Beysi is saying, you know, even back then after the 12-day conflict, even though it ended without the regime being completely overthrown,
04:26:04.720when people were asking me, I was saying, yeah, absolutely.
04:26:07.380Like, it is going to happen because the Islamic regime has been severely weakened.
04:26:11.320And then, you know, of course, it did happen in January.
04:26:13.880The sanctions, sanctions and the internal sanctions.
04:26:18.240Every three of us, the sanctions and the foreign sanctions.
04:40:24.520so is it is it a non-mahram okay so my i'm thinking that maybe these vehicles are too0.94
04:40:31.660manly so maybe the woman will get like i don't know they feel like maybe it's haram for manly0.99
04:40:40.100vehicles to be used by these women so they're painting them pink so that it's more appropriate0.52
04:40:47.380for women to drive them i guess again here also this missile is like too manly for women to be0.98
04:40:53.880around so there's painting it make this they're doing it transition they're doing a gender swap0.99
04:41:05.640i guess i don't know so that women can be around the missiles without them feeling things for the
04:41:10.440missile i don't know what's happening here can somebody explain to me this is a level of durka
04:41:15.960that i'm not familiar with why are they painting the missiles and the armored vehicles pink anybody
04:41:21.640knows yeah this is weird oh my god oh hold on somebody yes like the gayatullah oh yeah maybe
04:41:43.800because maybe because much taba is gay i don't know is it because of that i don't know
04:41:51.640Sorry. Hold on. Where is this? Armin, surely there's had these for it. I don't know. Maybe. Wait, where's another comment? That was pretty good. Hold on. Somebody said slap some. Oh, here. Slap some silicone boobs on it and call it a woman.0.66
04:42:11.000oh my god imagine that imagine that oh my god guys imagine what did what is this timeline that0.98
04:42:21.520we live in did you ever think that you would like when you're covering0.88
04:42:26.240you know world news you will see that these jihadi islamic women in black0.98
04:42:33.840who are celebrating the destruction0.99
04:47:44.520Why is the Islamic Republic silent about that?
04:47:47.300Because that's not what they usually do.
04:47:49.180why is it that the islamic republic is not coming out like usual and saying that president trump is
04:47:59.980lying is it is it because they're actually capitulating to at this level guys please
04:48:08.380understand that if the islamic republic if president trump is not playing mind games
04:48:15.340And it's true that the Islamic Republic has given up on enriching uranium, has given up on the already enriched uranium that it has, has given up on supporting the proxy groups, has given up on Hezbollah, has given up on so many other things.
04:48:34.220If that is actually true, then it's game over.
04:48:39.980And we're not even dealing with the Islamic Republic anymore.
04:48:44.440We're not dealing with the Islamic Republic anymore.
04:50:00.860Guys, if the Islamic Republic is actually bending the knee to President Trump, that means that President Trump has very successfully found their weak spot, their Achilles heel, which is the blockade on the Iranians' southern ports, all the ports on the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.
04:50:27.100The blockade is the Achilles heel of the Islamic Republic because they killed Ali Khamenei, they were like, we will continue fighting.
04:50:40.100They bombed their entire Navy, they said we will continue fighting.
04:50:44.240They bombed their entire Air Force, they said we will continue fighting.
04:50:48.340They killed all of the heads of IRGC, the main leaders of IRGC, they said we will continue fighting.
04:50:57.100they destroyed so many of their missiles,
04:51:02.640launchers, they said we will continue fighting.
04:51:05.160They destroyed so many of the IRGC and Basiji buildings,
04:58:07.020The blockade on the port so far at least. Guys, the Islamic Republic can take death,
04:58:15.020but it cannot take humiliation like they can take they could they could give up as many supreme1.00
04:58:20.540leaders as you want like they could like you could kill their supreme leaders you could kill their0.99
04:58:24.780irgc leaders you could destroy their irgc bases their navy their their air force i mean if they0.99
04:58:33.660like the the joke that was the air force anything and they were like we're winning we could go this
04:58:38.940is this is fine this is completely fine we could keep going we could do this forever we could do
04:58:43.980this forever keep blowing up with keep killing us with missiles we can we could keep fighting0.87
04:58:50.780we have like seven layers of leadership you can't kill the first layer we have a second you kill the
04:58:55.980second we have the third you can keep going we have we could go seven layers deep we could keep
04:59:02.300going and then as soon as you're cut yeah as soon as you cut their revenue sources they're like
04:59:09.180they tap out, like, okay, what do you want? And President Trump is confirming what I told you
04:59:16.460yesterday, that this blockade seems to have been doing something to the Islamic Republic
04:59:27.580that none of the missiles and drones could, at a fraction of the price, may I add.
04:59:33.980it's also finally getting the regime supporters to think that they're losing
04:59:43.260all of these bombardments all of this killing all of these assassinations the regime supporters
04:59:49.340were like ah yeah we're winning we're destroying the americans and israelis
04:59:54.060and then all of a sudden two days into the blockade they're like oh my god we're losing
04:59:58.460finally finally we managed to get admit get some admission of loss out of these people
05:00:03.980I mean, also, by the way, thank you, Islamic Republic, for giving us the idea because President Trump just copied the Islamic Republic with all of this, right?
05:00:15.680Because they were like, oh, my God, why are these people not capitulating?
05:04:36.160believe that the Islamic Republic, guys
05:04:37.860i know a lot of you like i don't mean i don't mean the islamic republic lies you can't trust them
05:04:43.300oh really you're telling me wow guys i didn't know i didn't know you can't trust the islamic
05:04:50.880republic this is not about trust guys nothing in politics is about trust you know when you guys
05:04:57.080sometimes say in the chat like we can't trust those people we can't trust these people guys
05:05:00.540you can't trust anybody in politics so stop like stop saying like oh we don't trust these people
05:05:07.720we trust that people in politics it's always about interests it's about mutual interests even
05:05:14.940our allies and the people we like it's not about trust it's about that we're allies because our
05:05:23.580interests align when you have allies in politics it's not because you trust them you don't trust
05:05:30.760anybody in politics it's about mutually aligned interests right so stop saying like
05:05:37.400Oh, we don't trust Pakistan. We don't trust the Islamic Republic. Of course we don't trust them. Of course we don't trust them. But the thing is that even if the Islamic Republic is lying with regards to accepting the terms, and one day they're going to backtrack,
05:05:55.620The thing is that the immediate result of that is going to be the division and the demoralization that could end up collapsing the regime before they even get to a point where they could move back on their promises, right?
05:06:14.960So, for example, you're like, Armin, Armin, Armin, they're just going to allow American observers to come to Iran to check that they're not enriching uranium.
05:06:25.220And then when President Trump is out of office, then they're going to go back to enriching uranium.
05:06:31.260Yeah. If they're still around, if they're still around, because when you allow the people
05:06:41.420who killed your supreme leader on your soil to check every hole in your country, including yours,
05:06:54.220to make sure that you're not enriching uranium, then what do you think that level of humiliation
05:07:01.660is going to do when it comes to the regime supporters continuing to support the regime or not?
05:07:14.460Everything is falling apart from the inside.
05:07:17.340This is beautiful. Guys, this is causing cracks within the regime
05:07:21.260in a way that no explosion could but look at this let me see more signs of divisions
05:07:32.300oh wow look at this somebody's saying can we can can we all just admit armin is a genius oh wow
05:07:40.060thank you thank you so much for that comment i appreciate that glad i saw that
05:07:51.260oh no i somebody's saying i trust you or me to saying i trust you i mean you have always been
05:07:59.880right no i have not okay um i i admit my mistakes but thank you for your trust okay one way to one
05:08:12.340way to make you trust me more is that when i make a mistake i'll i'll come and tell you i made a
05:08:20.380stick and i'll tell you that i don't get everything right okay i don't think anybody like i know we
05:08:27.740have a joke going on here you know but that's just a meme that we have but honestly like nobody ever
05:08:33.740gets everything right okay yeah i will read the super chat soon but let me uh go through this
05:08:48.300article really quickly because this is this is shows divisions right look at this iran state
05:08:54.860media issued rare and sharply worded criticism of foreign minister abbas arahchi and the
05:09:03.500negotiating team after he declared the reopening of hormonal strait on x saying the move created
05:09:10.440confusion and gave trump an opening to claim victory okay so then it goes through his um
05:09:16.620arachis post so this is very important because the type of the state media that we're talking
05:09:22.800about is the irgc state media we're talking about tansim which is irgc run oh goldie's back
05:09:30.720you can continue though okay okay so i'm gonna take like a 10 minute break if that's okay
05:09:39.720no you're not allowed no i'm just kidding no it's okay okay
05:09:47.400oh okay okay fine it's okay it's okay okay okay you can do that okay i'll be back you're okay
05:09:55.400okay all right oh that was that was oh i guess that okay so i actually said in line with the
05:10:05.320Ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organization of the Islamic Republic of Iran and actually announced in a post on Exxon Friday.
05:10:28.000So we already mentioned, right? But this is the interesting part. Minutes later, President Donald Trump said Iran has just announced that the Strait of Iran, which is the Strait of Hormones, is fully open and ready for full passage.
05:10:51.120The interesting part is we're not there yet.
05:10:53.580Araqchi's post was widely criticized by hardliners and their outlets,
05:10:58.820including the state-run Mehr News, which said Araqchi's tweet
05:11:03.860provided the best opportunity for Trump to go beyond reality,
05:11:09.060declare himself the winner of the war, and celebrate victory.
05:11:12.880It is clear that ceasefire, so this is the post by Meher News, which is a hardline news outlet within the Islamic Republic.
05:11:24.520It says, it is clear that ceasefire-related negotiations are not being handled solely by the foreign ministry.
05:11:31.180Therefore, it is natural that under these circumstances, the entire team should collectively explain the decisions that have been made.
05:11:39.660Guys, what I'm showing you is the cracks within the regime.
05:11:42.340Okay, here, this is more important. Tasneem News Agency, this one is IRGC-backed. So this is very important what Tasneem says, okay? Tasneem News Agency described the post as a bad and incomplete tweet that created misleading ambiguity about reopening of this trade of hormones.
05:12:03.240The IRGC outlet said the announcement lacked necessary and sufficient explanations about the conditions, mechanisms, and restrictions governing vessel transit, prompting widespread questions.
05:12:21.260Fellow IRGC outlet Forrest News Agency earlier quoted an informed source close to the Supreme National Security Council as saying that the straits reopening was subject to three conditions.
05:14:41.780Why are you opening it? If the Americans have violated it, why do you comply? Why do you continue to leave the street of Hormuz open? It's almost as if you have run out of options. It's almost as if the Americans have all the leverage.
05:15:02.440it's almost as if President Trump was right
05:15:06.500when they said that you have no more cards to play.
05:15:10.620So yeah, again, if the American blockade
05:15:31.880Remember, there are different segments, which is said amounted to complete poor judgment in communication.
05:15:40.840The outlet urged either the foreign ministry to revise its approach or the Supreme National Security Council to step in and impose a more coherent messaging framework.
05:15:57.040Tasneem, let me tell you something.0.86
05:16:00.100Let me tell you something. I think you know this. Tasneem, Tasneem, come closer, come closer, come closer. I know you know this. I know you know this, okay? I know you're saying this for the sake of the regime supporters.
05:16:15.080But I know that you know, that I know, that you know, that everything Arakshi does is coming from the higher-ups, is coming from whoever is in charge, whether it's Wahidi or Zul Qadr in the National Security Council, whoever is in charge, Arakshi is a nobody.
05:16:45.080Arakshi is not making any posts without other people telling him exactly what to say.
05:16:55.060So if you're saying like, ah, no, the Supreme National Security Council, they should come in and they should be clear because Arakshi is effing things up.
05:17:04.280Arakshi is doing exactly what he is told to do, exactly word by word, dot by dot, every single comma, every single word, everything he says, and everything that he doesn't say has been completely coordinated and been by the Supreme National Security Council and IRGC, whichever one is in charge right now.
05:36:53.280but here look at this last part that's the most important part one let's read that one more time
05:36:57.980saying i asked if iran has agreed to stop enriching uranium forever this is how president
05:37:04.140trump responded they've agreed to everything again guys these this is crazy crazy if true
05:37:12.240again i don't know if it's true or not i used to if i if i read something like this yesterday i
05:37:20.280would be like this is just mind games of course this is not within the nature of the islamic
05:37:24.600republic to do anything like this i still think that i still think that there is no way the islamic
05:37:30.420republic would agree to any of this stuff it's not in their nature it's not in their dna
05:37:35.760but maybe just maybe maybe there's a small chance that president trump has managed to figure out a
05:37:44.360way to get them abandoned in nature because without the revenue and guys if
05:37:51.020this is the case we finally will have the answer to how much these people are
05:37:56.420ideologically driven and how much of it has just been a weapon for their for
05:38:02.600money and power and if you cut their revenue they're going to bend the knee
05:38:07.220then we will finally have the answer to that question
05:38:14.360We also had the state TV in Iran come out and say that the U.S. president's claim about talks with Iranian officials is not true.
05:38:25.940We're seeing these messages coming from state media and content creators who are supporters of the Islamic Republic, but we're not seeing it from Araqchi or Qalibov.
05:38:36.580But this is the highest level we've got, foreign ministry spokesperson.
05:38:40.360i wish this was a video i'm not saying i i don't believe this unless i could play it
05:38:45.640again this is test name news so i don't trust it this is irgc source
05:38:50.440oh by the way um no i think did i show this to goldie no i did not i showed this to you guys but
05:39:02.420i did the goldie was not here when i showed this right i want to ask goldie what the hell is
05:39:07.340happening here why do we have a cruise ship in the Strait of Hormones bizarre all right let's do
05:39:17.780some super chats and guys feel free to ask me questions I don't know where the last super chat
05:39:22.760was better. Okay here. Saying, greeting from Minsk. I am currently enjoying Persian cuisine
05:39:40.060while I watch the show. Thank you for being the highlight of my day, Javid Shah. Well,
05:39:45.020thank you, Javid Shah. And then, oh, look at this. Florida man is saying, Lebanese diaspora
05:39:52.240are here why give pause to hezbollah they were near collapse i mean they have been near collapse
05:40:01.120for a while now haven't they so give why give pause to um hezbollah because the decision there's
05:40:16.540two reasons first of all this situation has been so bad for this pause might be able to get you
05:40:24.140an agreement with the Lebanese government and if the Lebanese government and Israel became close
05:40:30.720together then they will be so much easier to disarm Hezbollah like remember these groups like
05:40:37.060this you could bomb them but you could never actually make them completely disappear unless
05:40:41.500you have an entire population that they're based in once they're gone, right? So if you could
05:40:49.020actually create a good relationship between Israel and the Lebanese government, the destruction of
05:40:54.620Hezbollah could become more complete. So there's that. Also because by President Trump and Prime
05:41:01.980Minister Netanyahu playing good cop, bad cop, you might be able to get the Islamic Republic
05:49:05.580Hossein Vahid Khurasani, is he pro-regime or anti-regime?
05:49:08.820I looked up his image and I remember him having some videos, but I don't know if he's taken any official positions against the Islamic Republic.
05:49:22.400This guy, Hossein Waheed Khurasani is, I remember watching some of his videos on YouTube, and
05:49:32.540it seems that he was critical of the Shia, like many of the narratives that we have been
05:49:40.220official narratives of Shia Islam, and he has a different view, but I haven't seen him commenting
05:49:46.360on the Islamic Republic itself, so I was just looking up to see what his political views
06:15:33.240So the reason you can see how desperate the regime is to keep the streets full to prevent an uprising, show this to the people who say, like, why haven't the Iranian people done an uprising? Has the uprising been canceled? You know who doesn't think that the uprising has been canceled? The Islamic Republic!
06:15:54.580They're so terrified of an uprising that not only they want to keep the streets occupied with the
06:16:00.020pro-regime people, look at the level of marketing that they're doing to keep encouraging pro-regime
06:16:06.740people to keep occupying the streets. This is all because they're afraid of an uprising.
06:16:11.860And this is one of the reasons why we haven't had an uprising, because of the regime supporters keep
06:16:17.380occupying the streets like this to encourage a civil war if the anti-regime people come out.
06:16:23.060this is all of this live feed that you're seeing is is the continuous promotion of the islamic
06:16:29.140republic to keep the streets occupied so that we don't see an uprising so again she asks again
06:16:36.420so this is is this completely rejected so you're saying that she's saying that the the
06:16:47.380the transportation of enriched uranium the 60 percent enriched uranium that is not even that's
06:16:53.780not on the table that is not at all being discussed is that right and you're saying
06:16:59.380that has never been on the like that has never been an issue that we brought up okay but again
06:17:05.860the question is like who is we like you didn't bring it up but you are not the decision maker
06:17:12.740like you are not even allowed in the rooms where the big decisions are made made not even guys
06:17:19.780so look at the look at how far this man is from power right so he works he's the spokesperson of
06:17:27.700the foreign ministry that means that he works under the leadership of arahchi which an arahchi
06:17:34.740is supposed to but doesn't work under the leadership of the president which is position
06:17:40.020and pezishkian is a nobody so this man works for the man that works for the man that is a nobody
06:17:48.800when it comes to the decision making within the islamic republic so wherever they're making
06:17:54.960decisions for what the islamic republic is going to do this man is not allowed even near that room
06:18:03.880he's not he doesn't have a table he doesn't have a seat in the table okay they just like
06:18:12.100the big boys are making decisions and he's giving like a tiny baby kids chair and a baby and a kid's
06:18:19.060corner for other for them to think like they are part of something that they're also oh you're so
06:18:24.280important here go talk with your other reformers right so that's what this guy is
06:18:29.440so he's saying this this has not been provided as an option from us but who are you like you're not
06:18:39.520talking to president trump you're not talking to the president trump whatever who is whoever
06:18:45.200is having these conversations with president trump i'm pretty sure they're not going to tell you
06:18:50.720they're not going to tell you so there's that
06:19:00.400i mean oh guys remember that these are the same people i mean people more important listen to me
06:19:08.400people more important than you within the regime said they will never open the strait of hormones
06:19:16.480and now they open the straight of hormones so how could we take you seriously when you say we will
06:19:21.760never the option of removing the enriched uranium out of iran has never been an option that we
06:19:27.760considered how could we take that seriously when people more important than you said
06:19:34.080that they're never going to open the street of hermos and then they open the street of hermos
06:19:40.480there you go that was a very important video thank you goldie
06:46:19.820Why? Why is Western? Why is the fake news media trusting the Islamic regime? The Islamic regime is lying. It's fake. It's fake. They're anti-American. The media is promoting. The media is promoting Durka Durka Jihad. Stop it. Oh my God. We have been trying to tell you guys it's all fake. It's all fake news.
06:46:49.820was that good yeah that was perfect that was better that was fantastic 10 out of 10. i mean
06:47:00.380i couldn't even tell if it was me or you you know what honestly people last in the chat they were
06:47:05.580very confused because oh look here i go again i go again because uh people were very confused
06:47:11.020because when i put on the green headband and i started yelling people were like oh arvin's back
06:47:15.260where did goldie go uh are to blame for iranian people being poor no how the hell are the same
07:03:09.640She's saying, we're Durka, you look like a normal person, we're insane, we think that you probably have normal friends that are not Durka like us, that have told you that you're retarded for joining us.0.88
07:03:22.520Have your friends told you that you're retarded for joining us?0.88
07:22:13.740There is no one single individual or group in charge of Iran.
07:22:17.500There are different factions. And in this live stream, we're going to explain the absolute chaos happening inside the regime in Iran as the infighting grows.
07:22:27.880There are a couple of things here. Bill says the IRGC gives up everything but power. How long? It will take some time.
07:22:36.200Do you know anything about the U.S. unfreezing 20 billion U.S. dollars for the nuclear materials?
07:22:40.620i've heard is part of the negotiation that's again this is islamic republic propaganda they've been
07:22:46.780going around claiming this again if you hear something on social media from anybody whether
07:22:51.580it's the regime in iran or the u.s government don't believe what you hear only believe what
07:22:57.100actually happens not words words are just propaganda the rhetoric that happens during
07:23:03.420well diplomacy and wartime you only believe what actually happens the outcome not words words are
07:23:10.140not really important president trump could say whatever he wants to say the leadership in iran
07:23:14.460leadership could say whatever they want to say it doesn't matter outcome is the important thing
07:23:20.620now the islamic regime who have been claiming that they're now in charge and they've won
07:23:27.100they've been telling that to the people in iran some people believe it because of the internet
07:23:31.900blackout. But the reality comes from the Strait of Hormuz. The Americans have released this video
07:23:41.800from the Strait of Hormuz showing that the U.S. Navy is in full control and the Islamic regime
07:23:48.900in Iran continue to bow down. Watch this. Blue Sky 4, this is U.S. Navy Warship 115. Request
07:23:58.560you return to the original port of call in iran how copy over
07:24:05.600the americans told the iranians thank you very much copy copy sir
07:30:37.940It's propaganda, he says. It's Western propaganda.
07:31:07.940Okay, so a few issues here. Number one, he's claiming that it's actually live. It's not a movie. Yeah, it's a movie. That obviously President Trump, whatever he said, is not true. And obviously it's not true because they're not talking right now.
07:31:27.400You can only say that one side has agreed to everything when it's on the day of negotiations, right?
07:31:35.760So there have to be negotiations for one side to say, oh, we just got confirmation that the other side have agreed to our demands.
07:31:42.820There are no talks right now. We have to wait another few days, right?
07:31:46.720And this guy is now saying not only what President Trump said is not true, obviously, he did it on purpose.
07:31:54.260because there was a bit of a bonus over here.
07:31:58.760President Trump, by basically claiming that the IRGC have accepted all the demands of the Americans,
07:32:05.840number one, he caused more chaos inside the regime because they were going around saying,
07:32:09.300who accepted this? Who is doing this? Who's talking to the Americans right now without us knowing?
07:32:14.280Secondly, the markets loved it because it's so easy to manipulate the markets these days if you're President Trump.
07:32:20.300And at the same time, it shows their hands.1.00
07:32:23.680The idiots keep showing their hands.1.00
07:32:25.980Not only he had to deny that what President Trump said is not true,1.00
07:32:30.980but he also had to basically say, because President Trump pushed them into a corner,
07:32:37.140they are now in a paranoid way saying we will never, never agree to uranium being transferred outside
07:35:59.300we must not gift the enemy at the negotiating table
07:36:02.600and what he failed to seize on the battlefield.
07:36:06.780field. In the face of Trump's threats, rely on the brave and engaged people. If America's claims
07:36:15.020of a naval blockade on Iran is correct, then the ceasefire has been violated. We are in the midst
07:36:21.660of war and we must deliver an appropriate response. I don't even know who's in charge.
07:36:29.620then this happened the IRGC members we've got this list of messages I'm going to translate this so
07:36:38.680we're going to start from top left right it says I think these developments are actually very
07:36:45.640positive for Iran's future and for Iranians the death of Saivadi and others like commanders and
07:36:55.180generals reopen negotiations giving up uranium you think these are good developments so what
07:37:01.480would be considered bad developments and it says next one says my dear what leadership right now
07:37:10.620they've made Iran into a playground for foreign countries so what is the role of the leader what
07:37:16.940pain does he feel when he has no effect no film no no photo no authority the whole government
07:37:25.620is in the hands of others another one said we were in the streets every night chanting slogans
07:37:33.560our demands were clear you stood with the killer leader as the other side if the leader wasn't
07:37:40.360there we could have been in a completely different place in the world maybe then you would
07:37:46.860sleep more peacefully and not hear the Zionists in the news every day. And another one said,
07:37:52.080I feel humiliated. I wish I could die right now. Another one said, I feel like we are approaching0.93
07:37:59.520the reappearance of God. Humanity has gone too far. And the next one says, these are conditions
07:38:05.620set by traitors. It has nothing to do with God. Now, in this war, they want to martyr their
07:38:12.280leadership too yet they deny the army's responsibility why do they keep selling out
07:38:18.160this country the next one said what humiliation they are martyring the imam and we are just
07:38:24.820sitting here watching another one says the blood of the martyrs from the leadership to the passage
07:38:31.440forces what about that revenge for all these dear loved ones and dear ones that were lost
07:38:38.060What happens to that? Another one says, whatever they can do, they will do. They should not give
07:38:44.860up the enriched uranium because that's exactly like Libya. They will attack later. Another one
07:38:52.560says, pressure from Iran for a ceasefire in Lebanon. He added 20 conditions for a ceasefire.
07:38:59.300So what do they accept that you're calling it a, well, the direct translation is a yellow dog,
07:39:06.320but it's different. Are these people stupid or are you? And another IRDC guy says, it is over1.00
07:39:12.600for the Islamic Republic. Now it has been proven to everyone that you betrayed the martyrs of the
07:39:20.500Islamic world. You talk about the leadership's words. Do you even think about the martyrs of
07:39:26.540Lebanon? Okay. Even the leader's blood means nothing to you. It is extremely hard for me to
07:39:34.120accept that the reality has become this you have humiliated the nation and god will not forgive
07:39:40.220you that's about the the government in iran and the foreign minister it gets better ah why reopen
07:39:47.740negotiations those things that trump says will eventually become reality they're scared basically
07:39:53.520that's what edward trump said earlier when he claimed that their regime have accepted everything
07:39:57.800it's gonna happen they're all scared they're all terrified so that was basically um the dramatic
07:40:05.560group chat by the irgc that are not too happy at the same time the islamic regime continue to show
07:40:18.400major internal conflict and uh oh yeah when they said dog they were talking about trump by the way
07:40:26.920the direct translation yellow dog. It's not really a yellow dog. It's basically that dog, Trump.
07:40:34.580That's basically the insult. After Abbas Arashi and President Trump both said that the Strait of Hormuz0.83
07:40:41.740is open, and then we discovered that, oh, what they meant was the Islamic regime are not allowed
07:40:46.500to blockade, but the U.S. Navy will continue to do the blockade, the IRDC found out what happened.
07:40:52.220they have openly questioned the government the officials and right now the IRGC military are also
07:41:02.520taking over from the government officials so after taking over from the clerics and the ayatollahs
07:41:09.120now they want to take over from the government because they have guns and Abbas Arakshi doesn't
07:41:13.860have guns. And the stupid president who nobody cares about. The IRGC using the state media1.00
07:41:22.540have been saying that we should not even talk. We should not even do ceasefire. But the regime in
07:41:29.400Iran continue to do ceasefire and they continue to agree to talk because they've got different
07:41:35.640factions. One group are going to Pakistan on Monday to talk to the Americans. The other group
07:41:41.120don't want to do it which means even if the delegates from Iran accept the deal
07:41:47.620on Monday which is highly likely to just surrender the nuclear program the rest
07:41:53.480of them are not gonna as we say ratify the deal they're gonna stop killing
07:41:58.820everybody else so it's a lose-lose situation and I'm hoping that they will
07:42:04.220sign the deal on Monday because it's gonna be funnier than if they don't sign
07:42:07.940of deal but the IRGC officials have now also confirmed to Reuters that no agreement has been
07:42:15.140reached on the details of the nuclear issue. We will not surrender. I have a feeling you're going
07:42:22.820to surrender on Monday. Now Tasnim news from the Islamic Republic, this is the propaganda outlet,
07:42:29.860is have now also tried to take credit for the ceasefire in Lebanon, right?
07:42:36.940They've been telling people in Iran that the IRGC military were prepared to strike Israel
07:42:43.520at 8 p.m. local time last night when the ceasefire was confirmed, well, implemented, basically.
07:42:53.860But then they held off once the ceasefire was implemented.
07:42:59.860in Lebanon. There was no indication that the Ayyadji military were getting ready to attack
07:43:06.980Israel last night. We would have known. The Israeli intelligence would have known. The
07:43:11.940American CIA would have known. They're just talking nonsense. You are not ready to sacrifice
07:43:17.860the ceasefire just to save Hezbollah. You've just been using them as pawns. You don't even care
07:43:22.740about hezbollah at this point it's just a sacrifice now the israeli defense forces
07:43:30.740have released the latest videos from their operations in iran over the last few weeks
07:43:41.940this is the the latest that we have now received these are the the naval there we go the naval
07:43:49.460assets both in the south and the north especially near the caspian sea in the north of iran
07:43:56.500during operation roaring roaring lion the israeli defense forces annihilated
07:44:03.060as you can see in these videos the um navy of the irgc now if they can try to recover from this
07:44:15.060well not literally in terms of the navy being rebuilt because that's not going to happen anytime
07:44:19.840soon but in terms of propaganda well that's one thing the reality is that the islamic regime in
07:44:26.880no they have no cards that's why the people who are actually technically in charge including the
07:44:35.060government they have no option but to always say yes to the americans and this the next video that
07:44:44.840we have for you guys is this one, which is the IDF striking more than 380 Hezbollah targets
07:44:52.320over the past 24 hours, including operatives, headquarters, and rocket launchers. So the
07:45:01.380operation in southern Lebanon, until the last few hours, continued as Hezbollah members tried to
07:45:09.900move around the IDF identified the threat and they continue to hit them at the end of the day
07:45:16.540it is now up to the Lebanese government to help and this is where it gets interesting
07:45:24.140the president of Lebanon Joseph Aoun said our goal is the complete liberation of all Lebanese
07:45:32.380land from Hezbollah Israeli withdrawal and the return of the displaced to their homes
07:45:39.900And the application of state control to the adventurers who are endangering the fate of Lebanon and the lives of the Lebanese, I say, enough.
07:45:52.120Only the state project in Lebanon is the strongest, the most enduring and the safest for everyone, which is a lie.
07:46:02.460He says we are no longer a card in anyone's pockets and an arena for anyone's wars.
07:46:11.200This negotiation is not weakness, not retreat, and not concession,
07:46:15.440but a decision stemming from the strength of our belief in our rights,
07:46:20.280our concern for our people, and our refusal to die for anyone, including Hezbollah.
07:46:26.660The negotiations do not mean that we will never mean a waiver of any rights,
07:46:32.580no compromise on any principle, and no violation of state sovereignty.
07:46:37.100The reason you can't be confident about this is because President Trump has basically reassured that he will be supporting them against Hezbollah.
07:46:46.140So you don't have to wait for the Israeli defense forces to come and basically take a chunk of southern Lebanon to do your work.
07:46:55.380The Lebanese military will now have to be forced to finally do their job because they have the backing of Trump now directly.
07:47:04.200right? If the Lebanese military continues to fail to disarm Hezbollah, well, that means we've gone
07:47:13.700back to square one and nothing has changed. The Israeli military action in Lebanon has not been
07:47:19.220enough to completely disarm Hezbollah because they continue to hide among civilians and they
07:47:24.680go into tunnels and they keep coming out. The Israelis can't, on their own, finish off Hezbollah
07:47:30.580in lebanon you're gonna need the lebanese military but do you actually trust them to be able to do
07:47:38.660the job they say now they say they can and they will apparently and they say we don't need
07:47:45.540israelis anymore we can do it now i'm not going to hold my breath president so we'll wait let's
07:47:54.020see what they're going to do at the end of the day okay so let's uh quickly check a few things uh
07:48:03.860over here and we're also going to go live to our feed in beirut the capital of lebanon a couple of
07:48:13.300breaking news as well uh obviously as i said monday has now been confirmed the talks in islamabad
08:21:37.780Matt's asking, what does one have to learn to do analysis like this? I don't know. Like, guys, it's like geopolitical analysis is difficult. Not everyone is, you know, not everyone does a good job. You know, I do a good job. Armin does a good job. Morad Bessie does a good job. I don't know. It's, you know, when it comes to Iran, Iran is expert mode. Iran is expert mode. So, like, unless and until, I don't know, like, you basically have to, like, live
08:22:07.780breathe live and breathe iran in order to understand because iran is very very very
08:22:16.000complex right so um there's a reason that morad baissi is literally the expert
08:22:53.980actually guys i'm gonna pause for a moment because um i have a like i have like a monitor extender
08:23:16.180that i purchased so i just want to like set up my my new monitor and see if like the new setup works
08:23:22.960So because I'm going to be focused on that, I don't want to play Morad Vesey in the background because I obviously want to pay attention to what he's saying and also provide you with some updates.
08:23:42.200So let me just take a quick commercial break and I will play a few songs for you guys.
08:45:09.600Oh, so he's talking about netblocks. Let's pull up the netblocks post. So
08:45:13.520what he's saying is, so apparently netblocks is saying that
08:45:21.060he's talking about this post here. So the internet shutdown in Iran has now entered its 49th day
08:45:31.060after incident, hour 1152, international connectivity remains low, around 2% of ordinary
08:45:40.020levels, despite some users gaining partial access to the Google search homepage, as was also observed
08:45:48.100in the January blackout. So at this point, it's been 49 days, 49 days of like total internet
08:45:56.200shut down in occupied iran and uh you know at this point only two percent of people in
08:46:03.160occupied iran um are able to get access to uh to the internet
08:46:08.360the largest uh targeted shutdown of people's access to the internet in the world in history
08:46:31.880okay we're gonna go to this final post from centcom so centcom posted
08:46:37.080uh the u.s naval blockade continues wait i'm gonna put good
08:46:45.620all right let's watch this post from centcom basically centcom is trolling the islamic regime
08:47:07.080there you go so even centcom is now trolling the islamic regime good for them
08:47:37.080Good for them. The Islamic regime deserves to be trolled and humiliated. So pretty happy about that.0.99
08:47:47.140Okay, guys, we're going to end the live stream here. I want to thank everyone for joining us
08:47:52.380and looking forward to seeing all of you tomorrow for day 112 of Iran Revolution Live. Guys,
08:48:05.800I actually have two interviews tomorrow. Um, anyone who has, uh, like one, anyone who has
08:48:13.580access to one America news, um, Chanel Rion's show, I think she goes on at like 10 PM. So if
08:48:22.220you want to watch my interview with her, uh, you can watch it there. I'll try to get like a copy
08:48:27.760of it afterwards. Yeah. Um, I, I did a, an interview with Chanel Rion today. Um, I just
08:48:35.660have a screenshot of it here. Let me, let me pull it up. Um, where is it? This is the
08:48:43.000screenshot. Wait, not video file. I want an image file. So where is that? Desktop. Is
08:48:56.820this the one oh nope that's not the one that was my one that was my one with Newsmax wait let me
08:49:04.480find it oh I think it was this one here we go so yeah I did uh I did and uh I love Chanel she's
08:49:17.020she's wonderful she's so lovely so um yeah so I did uh an interview with Chanel that should be
08:49:24.680going live. I think it's today to 10 p.m. I'm not sure. And then tomorrow I actually have two
08:49:31.800TV hits with Newsmax. I have one with Rita Cosby at noon, 12 noon. And then I have another one at
08:49:45.060around 5 p.m. as well. So yeah, lots of interviews tomorrow. So I'm looking forward to that. I'm
08:49:54.660always, always excited. And also, like, I'm just really grateful. Like, I'm just super grateful
08:49:59.580to, you know, to all these like American outlets who bring me on to speak about this, right? I mean,
08:50:08.060like, literally no Canadian media outlet has me on because the Canadian media outlets are all
08:50:14.900lefties, right? So the Canadian media outlets, they, you know, don't reach out to me, which is
08:50:22.320fine by the way because i mean canada honestly like and i say this is a canadian like canada
08:50:26.700is irrelevant when it comes to geopolitics like mark carney uh is an embarrassment to you know
08:50:31.920canadians so thankfully like he's irrelevant anyway okay so i'm actually um happier to do media
08:50:40.200um with uh with with american media outlets right because american media outlets is is what's more
08:50:47.320relevant so um i didn't do the peers people are asking about the pierce morgan thing i didn't do
08:50:52.760it um i canceled because um they told me the mek was gonna the mek guy was gonna be on on the day
08:50:59.560of he wasn't um but i was like you know what fine i'll go anyway but then um then i realized that
08:51:06.920the show that they wanted me to appear on um it was not what i had agreed to because i had agreed
08:51:13.400Like his producer basically told me that this was going to be a special episode all about Iran.
08:51:20.480But then like Piers Morgan was going to do like a one on one interview with like this like Kurdish separatist from Iraq.
08:51:29.060And I didn't find out about that until like 30 minutes before I was supposed to tape the, you know, my interview or like being on the panel or whatever.
08:51:37.460So I was like, no, like this is not what I agreed to.
08:51:41.340and I don't want to be um associated with a Kurdish separatist from Iraq um and then the
08:51:48.540producer was like well you don't you don't dictate who we bring on and I was like I'm not dictating
08:51:54.820who you bring on you can bring on whoever you want to bring on but I did not agree to that
08:52:03.540and uh I'm not going to come on your show because I don't want to be associated in any way shape or
08:52:09.100form with, you know, Iraqi Kurdish separatists. You told me this was going to be, um, a special
08:52:15.140episode about Iran. What do Kurdish separatists in Iraq have to do with Iran? So I was like,
08:52:24.600nope, I'm not going to do that. Anyways. And I still tried to convince them. Like I tried to
08:52:29.020convince them to bring Armin on and they, they still refused. They were like, we're not going
08:52:33.480to do that. So I was like, all right, whatever. So yeah. Uh, I didn't do Pierce. I didn't do
08:52:37.940Pierce because, um, it was not what I had agreed to. So yeah, not what I agreed to. All right,
08:52:45.560guys. Um, so we're going to call it a night. I will play a couple of songs for you and then I
08:52:51.160will see you all tomorrow. As always, uh, I'm Israel. Hi, God bless America.