IRAN： The Beginning of the End for the Islamic Regime
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Summary
The Islamic Republic of Iran is entering the most dangerous period in its entire modern history, and I don t say that lightly. For 47 years, this brutal regime has survived war, assassinations, assassination, isolation, economic collapse, internal protests, international pressure, and regional conflict. But what happened on February 28, 2026, changed the political psychology of Iran and the Islamic regime occupying Iran forever.
Transcript
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We need to talk about something that would have sounded impossible just a few years ago.
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The Islamic Republic occupying Iran is entering the most dangerous period in its entire modern existence.
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And I don't say that lightly, because for 47 years, this brutal regime has survived war.
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It has survived sanctions, assassinations, isolation, economic collapse, internal protests, international pressure, cyber warfare, and regional conflict.
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But what happened on February 28, 2026 changed the political psychology of Iran and the Islamic regime occupying Iran forever.
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I'm talking about Ali Khamenei, who was exterminated on February 28th.
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Iran's formerly supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, is dead. This wretched and vile man
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had the blood of hundreds and even thousands of Americans on his hands and was responsible for
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the slaughter of countless thousands of innocent people all across many countries. Last night,
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all over Iran, the voices of the Iranian people could be heard cheering and celebrating in the
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streets when his death was announced. And suddenly, the Islamic Republic
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no longer looks permanent. And that's the key point, because for decades, the Islamic regime
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built its entire image around inevitability its message was we survived everyone we control
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everything there is no alternative the revolution is eternal then suddenly the supreme leader was killed
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and whether people support the regime or oppose it everyone understands one undeniable truth
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the islamic republic is vulnerable that psychological shift matters enormously
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because authoritarian systems survive through perception as much as through force.
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The moment populations begin sensing weakness, history starts accelerating.
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In this video, I will walk you through why the regime suddenly looks unstable,
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why the rise of Mochtab al-Khamenei created a legitimacy nightmare,
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why the IRGC, also known as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, may now be the
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real ruling power in occupied Iran, why younger Iranians have emotionally disconnected from the
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regime, and why the next few weeks could determine the future of the Middle East.
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Because I genuinely believe we are watching the beginning of a completely new chapter
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in modern Iranian history. I'm Goldie Gamari, former Canadian politician and current
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geopolitical analyst and human rights activist, and you're watching The Goldie Show.
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One of the biggest mistakes people make when analyzing authoritarian systems is that they
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focus only on military power military power matters however psychology matters just as much
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and psychologically february 28 2026 was catastrophic for the islamic regime over the
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past 36 hours the united states and its partners have launched operation epic fury one of the
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largest most complex most overwhelming military offensives the world has ever seen nobody's seen
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anything like it we have hit hundreds of targets in iran including revolutionary guard facilities
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iranian air defense systems just now it was announced that we knocked out nine ships plus
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their naval building all in a matter of literally minutes. Iran's formerly supreme leader Ayatollah
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Khamenei is dead. This wretched and vile man had the blood of hundreds and even thousands
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of Americans on his hands and was responsible for the slaughter of countless thousands of innocent
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people all across many countries. Last night, all over Iran, the voices of the Iranian people
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could be heard cheering and celebrating in the streets when his death was announced.
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The entire military command is gone as well, and many of them want to surrender into saving
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their lives. They want immunity. They're calling by the thousands. Combat operations continue at
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this time in full force, and they will continue until all of our objectives are achieved.
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They could have done something two weeks ago, but they just couldn't get there.
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For years, the Islamic Republic projected the image of total control.
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Even when protests by the Iranian people erupted.
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islamic regime still projected confidence but this time felt different because this wasn't just
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another military strike this strike by the united states and israel struck the symbolic center of
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the islamic republic itself and immediately after the strike you could see panic management
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everywhere state television flooded with continuity messaging
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internet slowdowns and then a complete shutdown that has lasted for 81 days
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Heavy IRGC visibility, aggressive propaganda campaigns.
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Because the Islamic regime understands something very dangerous.
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When populations begin sensing vulnerability at the top,
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fear spreads downward through the entire system.
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And authoritarian governments fear uncertainty more than anything else.
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questions create doubt doubt creates instability and instability creates opportunity one of the
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most interesting things to watch after february 28 was how quickly the islamic regime moved to
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consolidate around mojtaba homini the son of the former supreme dictator ali homini
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And as you know, we still have not seen any sign of life of Mojtab al-Khamini.
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For all we know, he's just the supreme cardboard dictator.
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And that tells you that the Islamic regime is very terrified of internal fragmentation.
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They're terrified of appearing weak even for a moment.
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Because moments of transition are historically when revolutionary systems become most fragile.
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to the end of the war, because we don't have to be attacked against the enemy, and you can
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The Islamic regime's messaging is no longer triumphalist.
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Everything has become about stability, continuity, and survival.
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Now let's talk about the biggest problem facing the Islamic regime occupying Iran today,
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legitimacy. Because the rise of Mojtab al-Khamenei, the cardboard supreme dictator,
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created a crisis that the regime cannot easily solve. And here's why. The Islamic Republic
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spent nearly five decades presenting itself as an anti-monarchy revolutionary system.
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The entire ideological identity of the Islamic regime was built against hereditary rule.
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It was built against the Shah of Iran, against the concept of monarchy itself.
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Now suddenly, after Ali Khamenei is exterminated, his son suddenly rises to become supreme leader,
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a person that we have not seen or heard from, a person that we don't even know is alive or dead
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or in a coma. To millions of Iranians, this looks exactly like hereditary succession.
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And younger Iranians especially notice the contradiction immediately. That's a massive
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problem because revolutionary systems survive through emotional legitimacy. People must believe
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that the ideology means something. But when revolutionary governments begin resembling
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the systems they once overthrew, their ideological foundation weakens badly. And this becomes even
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more dangerous when younger generations already feel emotionally disconnected from the regime,
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but also they feel much more emotionally connected to the crown prince of Iran, Reza Shah II, also known as Reza Pahlavi.
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Many young Iranians today do not identify with the founding ideals in 1979.
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In fact, the vast majority actively reject them and they are calling for the return of the Shah of Iran.
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This emotional detachment from the ideals of the Islamic regime is devastating for authoritarian
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ideology, because ideology requires participation, not just obedience. The Islamic regime can and
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does enforce its laws, but it cannot easily force emotional loyalty. And you can see this
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disconnect everywhere. The rejection of the mandatory hijab, anti-regime chants at funerals,
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online mockery of Islamic regime figures, public acts of civil disobedience, declining
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participation enthusiasm, and rising anger among ordinary Iranians. This is not the atmosphere of
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a confident revolutionary society. This is the atmosphere of ideological exhaustion.
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Now let's discuss the institution that really matters today in occupied Iran,
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the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, also known as the IRGC. Because after Khamenei's extermination,
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I believe the IRGC became even more central to regime survival than before. And many people
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outside occupied Iran still underestimate what the IRGC actually is. The IRGC is not just a
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military organization. It's military, intelligence, economic, political, cyber, ideological, regional,
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and financial power all combined together. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps controls
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enormous sectors of Iran's economy. Construction, oil, telecommunications, smuggling routes,
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regional militias, weapons infrastructure. And now, during succession instability,
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the IRGC becomes the ultimate guarantor of regime continuity. This gives them enormous power,
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But it also creates enormous risk, because systems dominated by security institutions often become more paranoid and more aggressive during periods of instability, especially when they believe their survival is at stake.
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And that's exactly what we're seeing right now in occupied Iran.
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And here's another important point. Not everybody inside the Islamic regime necessarily wants the same future.
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That's critical to understand. Authoritarian systems are rarely monolithic internally.
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They are factions, they're networks, they're power centers, economic interests. There are security
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rivalries. There are in fact religious rivalries and even succession rivalries. And after the death
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of a dominant leader like Khamenei, those tensions have intensified dramatically,
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not only behind closed doors, but they're now spilling into the public, something that the
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Iranian people have rarely seen since the creation of the Islamic regime in 1979.
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Internally, calculations begin changing fast. Who gains influence? Who loses protection?
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Who controls succession? Who controls the economy? Who controls the security apparatus?
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Those questions matter enormously, and quite frankly, we don't have the answer to that.
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What we do know is that there are various factions within the Islamic regime that are fighting one another, vying for control, and vying for power.
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And again, the supreme dictator, Mushtab al-Khamenei, is nowhere to be seen.
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It's pretty much like Game of Thrones, except for the Islamic regime.
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I think one of the biggest mistakes that analysts make is assuming that the Iranian Lion and Son
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revolution has failed simply because the regime survived February 28. But that's not how historical
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movements work. Some movements fail politically, but succeed psychologically. And psychologically,
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Secondly, Iran changed forever after the massacre of January 8 and 9, when in the span
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of two days alone, the Islamic regime slaughtered over 40,000 innocent unarmed Iranians who
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took to the streets, chanting the name Reza Pahlavi, calling for the Shah of Iran to return
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and calling for the overthrow of the Islamic regime.
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is now an ocean of blood between the Iranian people and the Islamic regime. And Iranian people
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are saying that they have lost too many innocent lives to ever go back. And the only way to avenge
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the murder of every single Iranian who has lost their life on the path to freedom is to go forward
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until victory. Essentially, fear changed sides. Iranians are no longer afraid of death,
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but the Islamic regime is afraid of being overthrown. For decades, the Islamic regime
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maintained psychological dominance, and the Iranian people believed that resistance was hopeless.
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That illusion was not only weakened, it was shattered completely when Khamenei was exterminated.
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especially among women, especially among younger generations, and especially online.
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And technology has accelerated this transformation enormously.
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Younger Iranians compare their lives directly to the rest of the world every single day.
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The regime can censor television, but it cannot fully censor the global consciousness anymore.
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And that is why the Islamic regime has shut down the internet, cutting off the voices of 90 million Iranians from the rest of the world.
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Because once populations begin imagining another future, a better future, the ruling system enters dangerous territory.
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because authoritarian governments survive when populations believe there is no alternative.
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The moment people psychologically envision alternatives, everything changes. That's why
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the regime fears symbolism so much now. Women refusing to wear the hijab, songs, online satire,
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diaspora activism, opposition rallies, cultural rebellion, and the most important symbol of all,
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The monarchy of Iran, the crown prince of Iran, His Royal Highness Rizal Pahlavi, the most important symbol of all.
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These things matter because culture becomes politics and politics eventually becomes power.
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Does this mean that the regime collapses tomorrow?
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i mean i would hope so that's what everyone wants but do i think it will collapse tomorrow
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probably not and anybody who pretends collapse is guaranteed tomorrow or next week is not
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being serious because authoritarian systems can survive for a long time even when they're
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slowly collapsing the reality is that the islamic regime is fighting tooth and nail to remain in
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power and it has said that it will not go down without a fight it has said that it will not go
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out without making iran into scorched earth but there's a huge difference between survival and
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stability and right now the islamic regime occupying iran is looking increasingly unstable
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because multiple crises are colliding simultaneously leadership transition
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legitimacy crisis economic collapse generational rebellion international pressure technological
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disruption and of course ideological exhaustion that combination becomes historically dangerous
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especially after the extermination of a central leader like ali khamenei history shows us
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repeatedly that systems often appear strongest right before dramatic transformation. The Soviet
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Union looked permanent until suddenly it collapsed. Even the Shah of Iran's government
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looked stable until it suddenly fell apart in 1979. History often accelerates unexpectedly.
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Now, I'm not saying we know exactly what happens next. Nobody does. But I do believe this. Iran
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has entered a completely new era after February 28. The psychology of the country changed.
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The psychology of the Islamic regime has changed. And whatever's left of the leadership of the
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Islamic regime understands this. That's why the messaging feels more desperate. That's why the
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security environment feels even more intense. That's why the propaganda feels more defensive.
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because for the first time in decades, the future of the Islamic Republic no longer feels
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guaranteed. And once that perception enters public consciousness, history becomes unpredictable.
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If you enjoyed this video, make sure to like, subscribe, and share this with anyone who wants
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to better understand what's happening right now in occupied Iran. And let me know in the comments,
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Do you think the Islamic regime is going to survive the post-Khamenei era, or are we witnessing the beginning of the end?
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I'm Goldie Gamari, and I hope you enjoyed this episode of The Goldie Show.