00:02:06.360Why do we keep seeing these types of activity?
00:02:10.220One of the things that all of these scenarios have in common with the attempted assassination,
00:02:14.620first of candidate Trump and now President Trump, seems to be the combination of online
00:02:20.980radicalization and isolation. We seem to see something like that with Thomas Matthew Crooks.
00:02:26.840This was an individual. Of course, that's the Butler, Pennsylvania shooter. And we saw that
00:02:32.840something similar with Ryan Wesley Ruth, the West Palm Beach attempted assassin there during the
00:02:39.760campaign and also with this particular character what all of them seem to have in common is an
00:02:45.400anti-trump fervor that starts with and becomes fixated on a particular story or storyline with
00:02:52.480ryan wesley ruth there there seemed to be a lot of uh free ukraine slava ukraine type of
00:02:58.220propaganda that he was consuming of course the potential for ties with the azov battalion and
00:03:04.320And then with the Epstein list allegations, baseless as they are, have been making their rounds in all manner of conspiracy theory forums across the Internet.
00:03:13.180It looks like this 21-year-old fellow from North Carolina got caught up in that and became radically anti-Trump, similar to Ryan Leslie Ruth, going down that path, past the point of no return, being isolated from one another, family, friends, and so on and so forth.
00:03:30.500and believing that there's only one way out of this.
00:03:34.720And we have heard that before, unfortunately, on the right.
00:03:37.720In some circles, you can't work your way out of this.
00:03:40.680And we see this, by the way, in a text message,
00:03:43.600the same way you saw text messages in the case of violence with Tyler Robinson
00:03:48.640and so many others, where you see this phrase,
00:03:51.200I don't know if you've read up on the Epstein files,
00:15:36.720This is that we have been actually putting our boot in their throats for since President
00:15:42.060Trump came in, closed down the border.
00:15:43.800That affected the amount of income they've had come from human trafficking.
00:15:48.040Their drug trafficking has been impacted.
00:15:50.600We're actually seeing that it's proof positive in the amount of fentanyl poisonings, the
00:15:54.940huge reduction in fentanyl poisonings in this country.
00:15:57.500So the cartels were already getting hit economically, and now they lose one of their leaders, El Mencho, and now they lose it. And you hit it right on the head when you said they want this to look chaotic. They want to strike terror into the hearts of not only those tourists down there in those areas, but they also want to send a message to the world of their capabilities of violence against even their own government.
00:16:24.840and you talk about these capabilities and we've we've certainly seen the capabilities writ large
00:16:33.240I mean you're talking about a force down there when we think cartel we usually think gang violence
00:16:38.040but these look like to my eye a military style attack well there's videos that show just how
00:16:45.080equipped these uh this cartel especially cjng these guys are not lightly equipped you're seeing
00:16:51.940the video right now they have vehicles that are armored vehicles
00:16:54.840They have grenades. They have 50 cows. They've got all the weaponry that a military would have.
00:17:03.460I have been saying for years, we in law enforcement, we don't have enough equipment to be able to combat these types of groups, these armies that these cartels have created to protect their businesses.
00:17:14.940They not only protect it from law enforcement, but they also protect it from the other cartels.
00:17:19.640And what you're going to see now is the compression of power that we've been seeing since President Trump came into office and the moves that he's made to reduce this kind of flow into our country.
00:17:30.340You're going to see that compression even greater now as CJNG, which has been one of the more powerful cartels, just lost their leader.
00:17:38.100Well, and they lose their leader. But unfortunately, just like we saw with terrorism, you know, it's they they are able you take out one of these guys.
00:17:48.240And in many cases, you're able to get him replaced overnight to find someone else to take his place.
00:17:53.120Because what we're really talking about here is a network and a network that needs to be disrupted and a network that needs to be destroyed, going after the money, going after the communications, going after the key nodes.
00:18:04.100And, of course, you know, we don't know everything that the administration is using against these individuals, but certainly taking out one of the individuals, it looks like they had the opportunity because he was going to visit his mistress.
00:18:15.080And it looks like they're able to find, as they say, find, fix and finish this in this high value target here.
00:18:21.620So they they did so. But unfortunately, this type of violence is something that's been part and parcel because we've allowed for years, we've allowed and let the Mexicans just kind of sit and ride by over and over.0.96
00:18:33.980the mexican government as these cartels grew in strength grew in power right on our southern0.92
00:18:39.560border right across our southern border and in many cases crossing north of our southern border
00:18:44.280we're going to a quick break right now but i want to get into how this violence is a real and serious
00:18:49.900threat to americans not just when you're out of on tourism down in mexico but even when you're
00:18:54.800living in your own homes north of the border right back jack posobic human events daily
00:19:59.320Sheriff Mark Lamb, so when we talk about these cartels, we talk about the drug running, the narcotics that they have coming across.
00:20:07.680The armaments, though, I want to get back into this because so many of these arms and people are looking at them saying, wait a minute.
00:20:13.480These look like American arms, AR-15s and the like.
00:20:17.700And doesn't this bring us all back to those operations that were being run, these highly controversial operations of Barack Obama and Eric Holder running guns south of the border to try to in some sort of scheme to entrap, you know, saying they were going to be able to track them.
00:20:35.360It never made any real sense to me how you giving them guns is going to help us stop them.
00:20:40.720It seems like it's just going to give them power.
00:20:42.760And is that what we're seeing happened here?
00:20:44.700yeah i'm glad you brought that up jack because a lot of people forgot about fast and furious you
00:20:50.440know look the cartel does a really good job of of finding a way to get guns across the border we
00:20:55.440didn't need the government to help them and if you don't know what fast and furious was basically
00:20:59.680like you just said they said hey let's allow a bunch of these guns to go down and then we can0.78
00:21:04.600kind of track them and where they're going into the cartels it was a dumb idea eric holder and
00:21:09.200obama are not the bright sharpest tools in the shed and they're certainly uh not the most pro
00:21:14.140American either, and not cost the life of Agent Brian Terry, who was shot and killed down in the
00:21:21.220deserts of Arizona by one of those guns that was taken over the border by the Fast and Furious
00:21:26.820operation. But they were actually, our government was giving these guns to the cartels, and now
00:21:32.940we're going to be having to deal with these kind of issues for a long time until we actually,
00:21:37.980like you said, eradicate these cartels and finish them off. They're going to continue to have
00:21:42.620somebody rise up. El Mencho was one of those guys. He rose up the ranks. He was a part of
00:21:48.980one of the assassin crews for the drug cartels that he worked with. And then he actually became
00:21:53.320part of the Los Matasetas, which means those who were killing the Setas. And if you know about the0.81
00:21:58.680Setas, there were a lot of military, a lot of guys that decided they were going to protect the
00:22:03.860cartels. Then they actually became one of their own cartels in and of themselves. And then his
00:22:08.800group came along and actually eradicated the setas to the point where they became part of cjng so
00:22:14.440that's a little bit of the backstory on what you have and so this is a violent guy he's no stranger
00:22:20.560to violence and he ran his cartel with violence which is why it's not surprising to see what
00:22:25.540they're doing in puerto vallarta in guadalajara and so sheriff when we when we see this and of
00:22:33.100course you know guadalajara is down in southern mexico and the reason though that you look you
00:22:38.400a sheriff in arizona the reason that you've had to get so smart on the cartels is because this
00:22:43.580type of violence unfortunately doesn't stay in mexico does it no it does not in the beginning
00:22:49.380of last year we had uh we had uh information coming out from border patrol that there were
00:22:55.26060 000 drone incursions across the border in one month it is tens of thousands of drone incursions
00:23:02.580every month across the border they attack each other with weaponized drones at one point the
00:23:07.360Rio Grande Sector, RGV, they basically said, hey, there's a green light from the cartels
00:29:06.320Therefore, effective immediately, all national security tariffs under Section 232 and existing Section 301 tariffs, they're existing, they're there, remain in place, fully in place and in full force and effect.
00:29:24.840Today, I will sign an order to impose a 10 percent global tariff under Section 122, over and above our normal tariffs already being charged.
00:29:35.640And we're also initiating several Section 301 and other investigations to protect our country from unfair trading practices of other countries and companies.
00:29:48.720well so that was the president's response throwing down he's not backing off of tariffs
00:29:56.140want to get on here the chief economist of american compass orin cast to kind of walk us through
00:30:02.100some of what's happened here orin how are you i'm very well great to see you great to see you as
00:30:08.080well so walk us through the theory of the case why did the supreme court rule the way they did
00:30:14.700on these specific tariffs. And people need to understand this isn't all tariffs,
00:30:18.740but one specific subset of the tariff basket. Yeah, that's exactly right. There are a lot of
00:30:25.020very well-established tariff authorities. You heard the president just mentioning some of them,
00:30:30.640Section 301, Section 232. These are all processes you can go through. You show that some other
00:30:37.000country is behaving unfairly, some particular product that's important to the U.S. is under
00:30:42.040threat, and then you could impose tariffs. And the president has done that going all the way
00:30:46.400back to his first term as well. What the administration did this time around, though,
00:30:51.220was use a different statute called AIIPA, which is an emergency statute and is basically designed
00:30:58.160to give the president very quick authority, a lot of flexibility to, as the statute says,
00:31:03.820regulate imports. And so the question for the court case was, well, does regulate include
00:31:10.800tariffs or not. And the White House's position was, yes, it does. And that allowed them to
00:31:16.160move very quickly with a lot of the actions you saw over the last year. Ultimately, the decision
00:31:21.480by the Supreme Court was, no, no, regulate means you can regulate, you can make rules about what
00:31:26.920imports can come in under what conditions, but it does not include the ability to actually impose
00:31:32.300a tariff, which is sort of a tax. And obviously, the Constitution is very strict about who can tax
00:31:38.500when. And so those very kind of short-term emergency tariffs that the president had been
00:31:44.160using over the last year of negotiations now go away, but all of those longer-run permanent
00:31:49.620tariffs are still in effect, and the administration is in the process of using those same authorities
00:31:54.400to put more tariffs in place, which will leave us pretty much where we were all along.
00:32:02.120And so this is something that I know you've written about this, I know others have written
00:32:06.100about this, that a lot of people pointed out from the very start, from the very jump,
00:32:10.980that the administration really can just move the tariffs over. So even though the authority is
00:32:16.560different, the actual burden, the actual economic effect won't really be changed that much.
00:32:22.700Yeah, that's exactly right. What's going to change is really the White House's ability to
00:32:27.340sort of very quickly threaten to snap tariffs on, take tariffs off, move them up, move them down,
00:32:33.140which obviously the president was using very aggressively in this first year,
00:32:37.080especially as he was trying to cajole everybody to the table.
00:32:41.080Frankly, I think we're better off in the long run moving to these
00:32:47.020I think if we actually want to get to a new trading system,
00:32:49.720if we want to have certainty, if we want to have people investing in the U.S.,
00:32:54.040it will actually be a very good thing that people know,
00:32:56.100okay, these are not emergency tariffs anymore.
00:32:58.740These are actually established after investigations
00:33:01.520based on very clear authority. And they're likely to be here for the long run.
00:33:07.660Well, and this really does, at the same time, move the U.S. So, you know, you look at where
00:33:12.660we were coming from the Biden administration to Trump coming in and even without. And I'm sure
00:33:18.260he's going to look for other ways to get, you know, to get get back another bite of the tariff
00:33:22.740apple. But even moving that into these permanent tariffs, as you say, this is a totally, totally
00:33:29.560total sea change or regime change, I guess I should say, from the previous the previous administration and previous efforts, because although although you didn't see these worldwide tariffs under Biden, I will admit, actually, with one exception, because Biden even kept many of the China tariffs from Trump's first term in place.
00:33:48.740And that's kind of a little a little mentioned fact because they were, in fact, working and because China was, in fact, guilty of the things that the that the American investigators had found.
00:33:58.400Yeah, that's exactly right. And the tariffs on China are the ones that are the most clear cut. Obviously, we have the authority to do them. China is trying to destroy our industrial capacity. China is our national security adversary.
00:34:13.420China does cheat every way possible and under every rule of the trading system.0.98
00:34:18.500And so we can certainly continue to carry that on.0.95
00:34:21.660But I think, as you said, it's really important to say we've seen a much broader permanent
00:34:25.460shift now in how we're going to think about the global economy.
00:34:29.040This idea that it's just free trade no matter what, it's free trade no matter how other
00:34:33.160countries treat us, it's free trade no matter what the results are, is out the window.
00:38:15.940All right, folks, we're back. Jack Posobiec live here, Lynchburg, Virginia on Real America's
00:38:28.660Voice for Human Events daily. And we have breaking news that actually just dropped out of Axios
00:38:34.200right before we came to came live today that just kind of crossed my desk where
00:38:40.660They're now reporting that Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Cain has been advising President Trump and top officials that a military campaign against Iran could carry significant risks, in particular, the possibility of becoming entangled in a prolonged conflict.
00:38:59.440Why does this matter if there is an ongoing debate at the top levels of the Trump administration on how to handle the Iran standoff and what the consequences of what each option would be?
00:39:08.920At the moment, several of the voices in Trump's circle are urging caution, though some sources
00:39:14.260think Trump himself is leaning towards a strike.
00:39:17.220After all, there's a question of what success would look like when it comes to military
00:39:21.720action and how risky it would be to try to achieve it.
00:39:25.600On the other hand, reaching a nuclear deal could potentially mean walking back some of
00:39:37.520uh kane's position they're saying could be look we know president president trump he loves general
00:39:43.440kane uh general kane is absolutely someone that he trusts going all the way back to his first term
00:39:48.680that's why he appointed him chairman of the joint chiefs and made sure that he got there to say look
00:39:53.600this was a situation where you know he has said that uh you know they're saying that according
00:40:00.160to reports kane is a reluctant warrior on iran even though he was all in on the venezuela
00:40:06.760operation, and he's been more cautious in his discussions on Iran. Of course, obviously would
00:40:13.320support and execute any decision that the president makes, but also more steely-eyed and clear-eyed
00:40:20.440and realistic. And look, when you look at all of this, go back. So Joshua Lysak and I are going to
00:40:29.420giving a talk tonight on really the thesis of our discussion going back to tales of regime
00:40:37.120change, which was the special that we did here on Human Events Daily during the Christmas break.
00:40:42.280And why did we put that special together? Well, we wanted to talk about how this
00:40:46.760line of thinking seems to go throughout the American media, particularly conservative media,
00:40:53.420particularly the conservative right, where we have these ideas that, oh, well, you know,
00:40:58.260we're just going to knock off the bad guys and the people are going to rise up and everything
00:41:03.220is going to be great. And so what Joshua and I did is we went and looked at case studies and we
00:41:08.860went case by case by case. We looked at Iraq. We look at Afghanistan. We looked at Syria and we
00:41:14.600said, what went wrong in all of those situations? Of course, Iraq knocked them off. That leads to1.00
00:41:23.120a massive sectarian civil war. Afghanistan, of course, that ended with the Taliban retaking
00:41:29.920Kabul and retaking power in the country. Syria, the Syrian civil war, which the United States
00:41:35.600played a role in fomenting, led to the rise of ISIS, which also spread to their extremists in
00:41:42.100Iraq across that border, all the way down to the Euphrates. And then we even talked about Ukraine
00:41:48.320and how it was U.S. operations and U.S. involvement, particularly from the intelligence side,
00:41:54.040that led to the ouster of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych all the way back in 2013,
00:41:59.5202014, the Maidan Revolution, as it's called, a color revolution, which was held there,
00:42:05.340which led to the current crisis and the war in Ukraine. And you can certainly point back and say,
00:42:12.220Would the war in Ukraine have ever happened if the United States and members of the Obama administration, Hillary Clinton, Victoria Nuland, and others started their regime change operation color revolution in Ukraine all the way back then, right?
00:42:29.120We do have to look at these things in totality, that when you knock off a world leader, a foreign leader, and you hear this in the intel community all the time, and again, you hear it in conservative media all the time.
00:42:40.440Oh, we're just we're going to knock these guys off or we're just going to just going to take out some of the regime's infrastructure and everything is going to work.
00:42:55.900And in fact, if we were going to do, we'd actually, when we were putting together the episodes, we said if we were going to do two more episodes, we'd either talk, the other two on the list, the other countries we were looking at were going to be either Iran itself or Libya.
00:43:11.240And in fact, we still may go in and do those because in Iran, the United States has been involved in multiple regime changes in Iran.
00:43:20.580When you look at the Shah, when you look at Mosaddegh, when you look at what was done there, the British MI6 as well has been involved in many times.
00:43:27.720And it was, in fact, it was, in fact, all right, the imposition of the Shah, backed by the CIA and MI6, that led to so many Iranians being upset at the West, being upset at the United States, that led to them joining the Islamic Revolution of 1979.0.84
00:43:49.820That's why they were chanting death to America.0.63
00:43:52.300That's why they viewed America as the great Satan and the great evil,0.96
00:43:56.520the same way they referred to Israel as the little Satan and the little evil.
00:44:00.700So you go back and you look at all this stuff, and what I mean to say is this.