Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - BBB Passes - The New Golden Age Has Begun

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00:00:25.780 The Poso Daily Brief.

00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.

00:00:40.720 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.

00:00:47.300 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.

00:00:50.240 Christ is king.

00:00:51.600 A record number of Americans are taking off for their holiday weekend destinations.

00:00:56.060 Drivers will find some relief at the gas pump.

00:00:58.820 With the national average expected to dip to 315 Friday, the lowest level on July 4th since 2021.

00:01:06.160 The first group of immigrants has arrived at Alligator Alcatraz. 1.00

00:01:10.740 That's the new detention center located deep in the Everglades.

00:01:14.860 Florida officials say the alligators and snakes that surround the facility will deter anyone from trying to escape.

00:01:20.540 Job, job, job, jobs report.

00:01:22.380 I wouldn't look for this to make an easy, more likely, 147,000 jobs.

00:01:28.900 Definitely a bit better than expected.

00:01:31.000 The Supreme Court is throwing out rulings in favor of transgender people in four states.

00:01:35.060 And this follows the justices' recent decision of holding a Tennessee ban on certain medical treatment for transgender use.

00:01:42.360 But the justices took no action in cases involving the participation of transgender students on school sports teams.

00:01:48.920 So the high court now is also ordering judges to re-examine cases from those states.

00:01:53.240 Manu wasn't the only one.

00:01:54.400 The only American citizen who's been targeted by the deportation machine.

00:02:04.920 A deportation machine that will be unleashed on steroids by this one big, ugly bill. 0.98

00:02:16.740 We're in a good place right now.

00:02:18.020 We feel very good about where we are and we're moving forward.

00:02:20.260 We are going to deliver the big, beautiful bill, the President's America First Agenda, and we're going to do right by the American people.

00:02:27.440 All right, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.

00:02:33.660 Today is July 3rd, 2025.

00:02:36.140 Anno, Domini.

00:02:37.860 We are on the cusp of something big and something beautiful.

00:02:42.020 All right, here are all the updates on the big, beautiful bill, which appears, for all intents and purposes, to be imminently passing.

00:02:51.860 Speaker Johnson is now on the floor.

00:02:54.860 He has his magic minute.

00:02:57.200 He's up there speaking right now.

00:02:59.140 We've also just seen the end of Hakeem Jeffries.

00:03:02.280 We're told eight hours, 44 minutes he spoke, breaking the record that was originally set by previous speaker Kevin McCarthy.

00:03:10.060 But I got to say, Jeffries, man, no riz Jeffries, right?

00:03:15.320 Timu Obama, this guy, not a single standout moment other than one, which we just played for you, where he said, we are going to get deportations on steroids, a deportation machine on steroids.

00:03:27.700 Let me tell you something.

00:03:28.860 I voted for the deportation machine.

00:03:31.960 Sign me up for the deportation machine.

00:03:34.420 I'm part of the deportation machine.

00:03:37.040 You want to know something?

00:03:37.860 You want to know what won the popular vote in 2024?

00:03:42.660 It was the deportation machine.

00:03:44.500 Just think about it.

00:03:45.680 I'm just sitting back imagining what my commute is going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.

00:03:50.720 I'm thinking about what all the public parks and public spaces are going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.

00:03:57.060 I'm thinking about what restaurants and movies and beaches and all of it are going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.

00:04:07.660 Not to mention health care costs.

00:04:10.120 Going to the ER and not having to wait three hours for just a couple of stitches.

00:04:14.500 Being able to go and buy a house on Zillow without having to worry about these insane housing prices.

00:04:19.300 Just find a place to rent.

00:04:21.380 Imagine all of the incredible things we will have when we 20x the ICE budget.

00:04:27.200 I saw somebody else saying, Ian Bremmer of course, a famous neoliberal, was saying,

00:04:31.740 I can't believe that under this new bill, under this bill, the United States Deportation Authority ICE will have a larger military budget than most world countries have for their military.

00:04:44.820 And I said, my goodness, that's exactly what I voted for.

00:04:48.740 Got what I voted for award.

00:04:50.440 Got what I voted for award.

00:04:52.020 Got what I voted for award.

00:04:53.420 This is what we want.

00:04:56.020 And let me tell you something.

00:04:57.580 To Teemu Obama, no Riz Jeffries, we are going to get what we want.

00:05:04.700 The American people are going to get what they voted for, whether you like it or not.

00:05:11.400 We'll be right back.

00:05:12.020 Jack Posobiec, Human Events Daily, Real American Voice.

00:05:23.420 Nothing will stand in our way.

00:05:27.560 And our golden age has just begun.

00:05:29.920 This is Human Events with Jack Posobiec.

00:05:31.700 Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.

00:05:36.160 Welcome to the second American revolution.

00:05:40.800 All right, folks, here we are, Human Events Daily.

00:05:45.820 We're back, Real America's Voice.

00:05:48.840 Now we've got Speaker Johnson is delivering his last right there.

00:05:54.780 He's just given the end of his speech.

00:05:57.080 You can see that down in the corner.

00:05:59.480 So we're keeping a track on this.

00:06:01.720 And it appears that votes could be happening within the hour.

00:06:05.700 If that happens, we will take you to that.

00:06:08.560 But to give us an update on all things big, beautiful bill, we've got May Mailman joining

00:06:14.300 us now, the deputy assistant to the president and senior policy strategist.

00:06:18.400 May, how are you?

00:06:20.120 Hey, it's good to be back.

00:06:23.020 Well, it's incredible to have you here.

00:06:25.000 And I got to say, for all intents and purposes, it looks as though the White House, the administration,

00:06:31.480 you guys are on the cusp of a big, beautiful victory where this bill will be turned into

00:06:36.280 the big, beautiful law.

00:06:37.860 Walk us through how the White House views the process happening from here on out and really

00:06:44.380 what's in this bill that Americans can be looking forward to.

00:06:48.180 Yeah.

00:06:48.820 So after Congress votes, then we have to implement.

00:06:52.200 So that means a couple of things.

00:06:53.940 One, on the tax credits, we need to make sure that no tax on Social Security, no tax on

00:07:00.920 tips, no tax on overtime get actually implemented through the Treasury process.

00:07:05.860 So this is, you know, where we work with the deep state to make sure that everybody has

00:07:10.140 the guidance that they need.

00:07:11.540 And then American labor can finally be freed up again and so that we can see a manufacturing

00:07:16.560 renaissance.

00:07:17.240 So that's something that we are focused on is implementing the tax provisions.

00:07:21.820 Then you've got a lot of the rest.

00:07:23.600 We are going to obviously wind down a lot of the green new scam deals.

00:07:28.060 So there will be no new credits issued in 2028.

00:07:33.240 And so basically anything that is in construction right now has to be it.

00:07:36.960 That's it.

00:07:38.300 And so we're going to be moving over a lot of investment, a lot of focus to reliable American-made

00:07:44.800 energy sources, those sorts of things.

00:07:46.720 We've got work requirements that we're going to implement.

00:07:50.040 So this is going to put so many more people into the workforce.

00:07:53.240 It's going to give so many people something to live for again.

00:07:56.380 Right now, without work requirements, people—and these are pretty simple work requirements—20

00:08:02.320 hours a week.

00:08:03.840 This is something that all Americans who are able-bodied can do and should do.

00:08:07.920 So we're going to empower Americans to get back in the workforce and provide for their

00:08:11.880 families.

00:08:12.760 There's so many wins in here, conservative wins, savings wins.

00:08:16.560 I know the CBO says that this is going to increase the deficit.

00:08:19.380 Our numbers are $8.4 trillion off of that because tax cuts produce more revenue for the government.

00:08:25.680 We also have the largest savings of any bill in history.

00:08:29.300 So we're going to be saving money.

00:08:31.140 We're going to be putting people to work.

00:08:32.960 We're going to be uplifting the American spirit.

00:08:35.040 We're going to be increasing manufacturing, making our country energy dominant.

00:08:38.940 So many wins here.

00:08:41.160 And, Mae, when it comes down to it, there's one issue, I think, above all, that when our

00:08:47.520 audience weighs in on this, when they really come in, the single biggest issue that we get

00:08:53.440 is ICE, and they want to see the full funding for ICE.

00:08:57.540 And this is something where I think if you go to the mainstream media, they're not even

00:09:01.120 talking about it.

00:09:02.180 Or if they do, you get Hakeem Jeffries and the deportation machine on steroids.

00:09:07.500 And I'm joking.

00:09:08.280 I said, did you not understand what all of 2024 was about?

00:09:12.620 I'm pretty sure the president talked about this every single chance he was physically

00:09:17.180 able to do so, that the American people need relief from the massive influx of the 1.00

00:09:23.440 of illegal aliens that came under Joe Biden.

00:09:27.680 So talk to us a little bit about this piece on finally funding ICE to do the job that needs

00:09:33.700 to be done.

00:09:35.260 Right.

00:09:35.880 So President Joe Biden let in people who we, you don't even know the numbers, and you don't

00:09:40.760 know who they are, but they're living in your communities.

00:09:43.220 They're in many places still living on the streets, and they're endangering Americans. 0.97

00:09:48.180 And it's something that Americans voted against.

00:09:51.920 So by fully funding border security, this is funding the wall, and this is also funding

00:09:56.620 ICE operations.

00:09:57.780 So not only ICE officers to increase the number of ICE officers, but increase the number of

00:10:03.240 bed space.

00:10:04.300 Because if you've got an ICE officer, but there's nowhere to put people while they go through

00:10:08.640 their proceedings, right?

00:10:10.320 So this is America, and everybody gets proceedings, but those proceedings take a while.

00:10:13.700 So there has to be a place to put people.

00:10:15.300 So this bill fully funds not only ICE officers, but it also funds that infrastructure, like

00:10:21.100 the bed space, in order to effectuate these removals, to keep America safe, and to promote

00:10:27.240 the legal pathway, right?

00:10:29.380 It is completely unfair that people get to hop the line, and then if you get across the

00:10:33.360 border, then there's no one to catch you.

00:10:34.880 Then there's nothing that happens to you.

00:10:36.860 A nation that is founded on fairness and justice cannot tolerate that sort of system, and this

00:10:43.640 bill puts an end to it.

00:10:45.300 Oh, absolutely.

00:10:46.840 And I certainly understand the concerns of many out there who have raised questions about

00:10:52.880 spending, particularly on a variety of these things.

00:10:55.220 But it's incredible to me how, number one, when you're removing these illegal aliens who 1.00

00:11:01.060 are such a drain on our systems, and a drain, by the way, on the entitlement programs, that

00:11:06.940 that doesn't seem to factor, certainly doesn't factor into the CBO score, but it doesn't factor

00:11:10.500 into any of their arguments because you're actually increasing or decreasing the demand

00:11:14.940 for social services through the deportations.

00:11:18.080 And, you know, they're only focused on the supply side of this.

00:11:21.040 But on another side, they're not talking about growth.

00:11:23.620 How do you have jobs numbers like the ones that come out today, which obviously would

00:11:28.000 have factored into the CBO score but didn't?

00:11:30.080 That is only just the start of what we're starting to see from the new economy going forward.

00:11:35.660 Talk to us a little bit about how there really isn't the correct story being put out on growth.

00:11:40.660 Yeah, so right now, the way that the Congressional Budget Office, which always says that liberal

00:11:49.480 bills are free, I mean, this is a group that said that Biden's student loan, or sorry, Obama,

00:11:57.020 same, you know, same thing, but that Obama's student loan program would cost $0, that for

00:12:02.980 the government to give loans to everybody who wanted them, it would not cost anything.

00:12:06.820 It would actually make up enough money to pay for Obamacare. 0.83

00:12:10.520 Of course, that's crazy, right?

00:12:12.720 Our student loan system, nobody's repaying.

00:12:15.940 You're giving it to people who can't finish their degrees, who actually had no intention 0.99

00:12:20.600 of doing it, and students who are set up for failure by universities that give them useless

00:12:27.280 degrees.

00:12:28.120 So this is the CBO that thought that that program would actually save money, says that this bill

00:12:34.020 is going to cost money.

00:12:35.000 And the way that they get to that, as your listeners will know, is that they say that

00:12:39.900 the tax cuts are very expensive.

00:12:43.260 But here's the funny thing.

00:12:45.040 The tax cuts are an extension of what's already the case.

00:12:48.740 So they're saying that it's expensive to literally just continue the status quo.

00:12:53.480 But if we had the greatest tax hike in history, that would not be the status quo.

00:13:00.540 That would be very expensive to the American people in that you would end American manufacturing.

00:13:06.640 You would end small business growth.

00:13:08.800 And so you would see a real decline in the GDP and in the jobs, in the manufacturing, but

00:13:16.060 also in the American spirit.

00:13:17.240 I mean, honestly, it would just crush people and the amount of money that they have to spend.

00:13:22.060 And so the CBO score has no bearing on reality.

00:13:26.100 And when we look from our CEA, so this is our Council of Economic Advisors, which is a

00:13:32.080 non-partisan organization within the executive branch, they said that if you look at even

00:13:37.700 the tariff revenue combined with the growth, combined with the savings, we are $8.4 trillion

00:13:42.880 off of what the CBO says.

00:13:45.260 So clearly, we don't believe what they have to say, and the American people shouldn't

00:13:49.720 either.

00:13:51.400 Well, I think this is incredible.

00:13:53.540 May, we've only got about a minute left.

00:13:55.420 I know you guys are super busy there.

00:13:57.640 Does it look like, though, and it certainly seems to be for me, I tweeted this this morning,

00:14:02.000 so we have to make sure that it's true, that on this 4th of July, President Trump is about

00:14:08.000 to deliver one of the most biggest and beautiful birthday presents to the United States of America

00:14:14.020 since 1776.

00:14:15.720 Are we going to get there?

00:14:17.680 I think we will.

00:14:18.780 I think we have the votes.

00:14:20.040 And right now, then it just turns to us.

00:14:21.880 Our job gets hard.

00:14:23.020 Congress's job gets easy.

00:14:24.320 And we have to implement.

00:14:26.120 Of course, there's still things Congress can do.

00:14:28.080 But this implements President Trump's agenda.

00:14:29.920 One of the things I think people were frustrated about was that there were so many wins during

00:14:33.200 Trump 1.0, and then Biden took them all away.

00:14:35.480 On day one, he took them all away.

00:14:37.360 And this is important in order to solidify and change the course of our country, in order to

00:14:42.000 have President Trump's agenda be permanent.

00:14:45.240 That's what this bill does.

00:14:47.480 Simple as that.

00:14:48.600 May, where can people go to follow you and see everything that you and the White House

00:14:52.060 are putting out?

00:14:53.840 Yeah.

00:14:54.180 So on Twitter, I'm at May Mailman.

00:14:56.980 And obviously, follow all of our great people here in the White House, Caroline, our White

00:15:04.140 House press office.

00:15:05.520 So yeah, that's where you can find me.

00:15:08.780 We love all the folks there and the great work you guys are doing.

00:15:12.260 May, if I don't see you, have a happy Independence Day.

00:15:16.220 Happy Independence Day.

00:15:18.080 Thank you.

00:15:18.400 All right, we're right back.

00:15:19.320 Jack Prasovic, Human Events Daily.

00:15:20.420 They talk about influences.

00:15:26.280 These are influences, and they're friends of mine.

00:15:30.520 Jack Prasovic.

00:15:32.080 Where's Jack?

00:15:32.980 Jack.

00:15:34.040 He's done a great job.

00:15:35.880 My name is Paula Scanlon, and I'm a former swimmer from the University of Pennsylvania.

00:15:39.800 My name is Riley Gaines.

00:15:41.020 I was a swimmer at the University of Kentucky.

00:15:43.160 I was permanently injured at the hands of a man when I was forced to play against him

00:15:47.720 in a high school volleyball game.

00:15:49.140 I was forced to compete against a biological male on my middle school track team.

00:15:52.600 I had to compete against two biological males throughout all four years of high school.

00:15:55.740 Trumstead Admin and the Department of Education have gotten the University of Pennsylvania

00:15:59.660 not just to apologize for what they did to me and other female athletes that were forced

00:16:04.100 to compete against and alongside this male athlete, but they also got them to change their

00:16:09.260 policies and to take down his records from the board, which is a great win.

00:16:13.120 The stories we heard brought tears to all of our eyes.

00:16:15.560 It was powerful.

00:16:16.740 It was moving.

00:16:17.440 I'm so excited for the announcement from Secretary McMahon and President Trump today

00:16:21.680 as they stand at the forefront of this issue for women and girls everywhere.

00:16:25.040 I am so thankful that we finally have an administration in office who is willing to stand up and ensure

00:16:29.660 that no other girl has to experience the pain and heartbreak I went through.

00:16:32.900 I'm just very excited that the Trump administration is taking action to protect girls.

00:16:36.940 We're fighting for the next generation, young girls like my daughter.

00:16:40.340 So just very, very grateful and excited for what this means.

00:16:44.180 Well, incredible news out of the White House in terms of that.

00:16:52.500 And we've also, of course, very excited to have on the great, the great, I'm going to give her the great, Paula Scanlon, who was just in that video.

00:17:01.800 She is a senior fellow at AEP, but also, of course, was on the swim team with Leah Thomas.

00:17:12.240 Paula, what a week it's been for you.

00:17:14.980 Definitely. I mean, it's been a really crazy week just getting around and this announcement really came very suddenly, but I'm grateful for it.

00:17:23.680 I think we've seen really strong leadership from the Trump administration.

00:17:26.420 I mean, continued strong leadership.

00:17:28.160 They campaigned on this.

00:17:29.860 They promised this and they delivered.

00:17:32.020 Only within six months, they got Penn to already come crawling back apologizing.

00:17:36.460 This is a historic win.

00:17:37.800 And again, I'm so grateful for them and their leadership.

00:17:39.800 So, so walk us through for, for folks who haven't seen the whole context of it.

00:17:44.960 And, you know, I saw the stuff that you had tweeted out about it, but walk us through what exactly has Penn done here?

00:17:51.840 Yes.

00:17:52.400 So back in March, the Trump administration pulled federal funding from the University of Pennsylvania for their violations in Title IX.

00:17:59.320 I mean, obviously they had a six foot four tall, fully intact male on our women's swim team.

00:18:03.620 It's very clear they were violating Title IX there.

00:18:06.080 They pulled the funds.

00:18:07.400 Penn then went to the Trump administration and said, hey, I'm willing to negotiate.

00:18:11.740 And whatever happened behind closed doors with those wonderful people, they got the University of Pennsylvania to issue an apology to the female athletes affected.

00:18:20.060 Wipe Thomas's name from the record board.

00:18:22.360 Begin using language that's true in defining men and women, which is very important, which is so silly that we even have to make them do that.

00:18:31.400 But that was one of the other things that they agreed to.

00:18:33.440 And again, this is something we've never seen before.

00:18:35.660 No one else who's violated these Title IX problems has has come to the table like this and just said, actually, we're going to walk this all back.

00:18:44.420 So and this, of course, comes on the heels of the pressure from the Trump administration locking up the federal funding and getting them to actually try to behave.

00:18:53.880 Do you think that President Trump maybe had a little bit of a personal investment in this because he himself is a Penn grad?

00:19:02.120 I mean, we can only look at the connection, but I hope so.

00:19:07.700 But also, I think that Penn is is realizing really what's at stake here, right?

00:19:12.500 We've seen Harvard go the other direction and not cooperate with the Trump administration.

00:19:15.780 I think what they're seeing is the Trump administration stands on business and should be feared.

00:19:20.380 And I honestly think the University of Pennsylvania finally, for the first time ever, has has done the smart thing here.

00:19:26.940 So I hope the connection is there and I would love for Trump to go back.

00:19:30.720 Why don't actually, you know, they should have agreed to Trump should have to be the commencement speaker at the University of Pennsylvania next year.

00:19:36.300 That's what I would like to see in their agreement.

00:19:38.280 Oh, my gosh. So so actually have him there.

00:19:41.980 And now and correct me if I'm wrong, but a pen, I think this is true.

00:19:46.820 You're required to sit there through the graduation speaker.

00:19:49.960 Isn't that right?

00:19:52.000 I think so. I mean, maybe you could get up and leave, but they probably won't let you out.

00:19:56.340 No, I remember this coming up years ago and there was some like crazy Islamic speaker. 1.00

00:20:02.060 And I had some friends who were there at the time and they were required to they were required to they were required to speak and are required to sit during the speech.

00:20:13.320 And so I guess they'd have to be forced to be there.

00:20:15.340 By the way, I am being told through my producer's ear.

00:20:20.380 Well, my ear that the big, beautiful bill has just passed.

00:20:26.160 Guys, can we get that? Can we get that box up in the corner here?

00:20:29.260 And I want to see the the actual votes, if we can get the actual votes, maybe in a voice vote.

00:20:34.940 And so there it is. Incredible.

00:20:36.520 Paula, can I just get you to weigh in real quick on on this bill?

00:20:39.560 Because this is this is hot breaking news.

00:20:42.160 Oh, my gosh. I cannot believe I'm on with you when this is happening.

00:20:45.860 Obviously, this is just, again, hard work at stake here.

00:20:48.920 That's so many things we had to get in there.

00:20:50.900 And this is why we have strong leadership under the Trump administration.

00:20:53.840 I mean, this is amazing.

00:20:55.700 I'm so glad to see Trump's agenda continue to get pushed along.

00:20:58.340 And I'm glad some of the people that were questionable have have now cooperated.

00:21:04.620 So this is incredible.

00:21:05.840 And I want to get the numbers on this and we're going to have to look at the actual the actual members.

00:21:11.560 But, yeah, you can see it there, too.

00:21:13.060 I think it says was that 216 at 216 to two Republicans voted against to not voting.

00:21:20.000 So, of course, we're going to have to track them all down.

00:21:23.400 Brian Fitzpatrick last night running away from the House chamber.

00:21:28.220 Brian Fitzpatrick, by the way, Bucks County, Pennsylvania.

00:21:31.080 Paula, one of your favorite locations, if I remember correctly.

00:21:35.560 Yeah, I have a lot of family out there.

00:21:38.180 We spoke together at an event out in Bucks County.

00:21:40.360 We did an event there.

00:21:41.020 Yeah, last year.

00:21:41.560 We got to go pay him a visit.

00:21:43.820 We may have to go pay him.

00:21:44.860 No, Brian Fitzpatrick.

00:21:45.860 So he's there because it's his former brother seat, his late brother seat, who is a very good congressman.

00:21:51.900 Brian is someone that I've known for over 15 years, you know, through his brother.

00:21:56.840 And I just say, you know, Brian Fitzpatrick is no Mike Fitzpatrick.

00:22:00.900 And that's saying that's probably the best thing that I could say about his tenure in Congress.

00:22:06.660 It's just it's simple as that former FBI director.

00:22:09.480 You know, it's just it's just is what it is.

00:22:11.720 Paula, this is a huge, huge win, though, I think, for people who want to 20x the ICE budget,

00:22:16.540 for people who want to actually get out there and see these mass deportations take place and actually get the president's agenda pushed forward.

00:22:24.260 Last minute to you, Paula Scanlon, where can people go to follow you and how important are all of these victories for Americans, for regular Americans?

00:22:33.480 Yeah, well, definitely.

00:22:34.560 I'm pretty active over on X, Paula, Y, Scanlon.

00:22:36.960 You can keep following along with what I'm doing.

00:22:38.460 But I think what just happened just shows us exactly what I was saying earlier, is that the Trump administration stands on business.

00:22:44.780 They don't just make promises.

00:22:46.500 They deliver on them.

00:22:47.820 And this is just another example of that.

00:22:49.440 And so, again, I'm grateful for his leadership.

00:22:51.660 I'm grateful that he's president and everything really that he's done.

00:22:55.200 I've been so pleased with in the last couple of months.

00:22:57.260 And I know we're technically still early on in the administration.

00:22:59.580 So I'm excited to see what else leadership gets up to.

00:23:03.160 And last question, Paula, as a Gen Z New Yorker, will you be supporting Zoran Mondami later this year?

00:23:12.520 I mean, I sure hope you guys would figure out how I would stand.

00:23:15.280 No, anyone but him.

00:23:16.380 In fact, I'm going to be working very hard to make sure he's not elected.

00:23:19.660 So if anyone wants to come in New York and help out with that, please let me know.

00:23:23.640 We're going to we're going to make sure socialism does not take over.

00:23:26.080 Probably communism doesn't take over New York City. 0.97

00:23:29.240 Absolutely.

00:23:29.880 All right, folks, Paula Scanlon. 0.67

00:23:31.200 Give her a follow. 0.99

00:23:32.680 Incredible news.

00:23:33.440 The BBB.

00:23:34.400 We've got Rich Barris coming up next here.

00:23:36.180 Human Events Daily on Real America's Voice.

00:23:37.860 Where's Jack?

00:23:47.260 Where is he?

00:23:48.540 Jack, I want to see you.

00:23:52.180 Great job, Jack.

00:23:53.540 Thank you.

00:23:54.320 What a job you do.

00:23:55.740 You know, we have an incredible thing.

00:23:57.140 We're always talking about the fake news and the bad.

00:23:59.440 But we have guys.

00:24:00.880 And these are the guys who should be getting policies.

00:24:02.840 All right, folks, Jack Pasoba, here we are back live.

00:24:07.660 Human Events Daily, Washington, D.C.

00:24:11.700 And I think it's time as we head towards America's birthday.

00:24:14.820 I think it's time for a polling update.

00:24:16.800 And what better way to do that than to bring on the people's pundit himself,

00:24:21.700 Rich Barris, the founder and executive of the Big Data Poll.

00:24:26.520 Rich, what's going on, man?

00:24:28.420 Living the dream as always, Jack.

00:24:30.160 How about you?

00:24:30.840 Happy early fourth.

00:24:32.920 I can't wait for America's big, beautiful birthday tomorrow.

00:24:37.100 But, Rich, when we're getting down to it,

00:24:39.520 there's been a lot of back and forth about the president's poll numbers this month,

00:24:44.540 or I should say really during June, going back and forth.

00:24:48.080 And there are a lot of people making comments saying,

00:24:50.400 hey, what's going on?

00:24:51.940 He's making some moves that a lot of people didn't expect.

00:24:55.220 Are his numbers going up or his numbers going down?

00:24:57.160 We have a clip that I want to show that kind of highlights this from CNN.

00:25:02.680 Guys, let's run that. 0.99

00:25:03.920 I mean, every politician would like this number here, especially to see it go up.

00:25:07.940 How about compared to other presidents who were Republicans?

00:25:10.820 Yeah, it's history-making.

00:25:12.540 It's history-making.

00:25:13.520 What are we talking about here?

00:25:14.620 So why don't we look back?

00:25:15.660 We have all the presidents, Republican presidents, going back over the last 35, 36, 37 years.

00:25:21.740 What are we talking about?

00:25:22.480 GOP who strongly approved five months in.

00:25:24.680 Look at this.

00:25:25.400 George H.W. Bush, Bush 41, 46 percent.

00:25:28.600 Bush 43, 59.

00:25:30.140 You see Trump, the first term, 53.

00:25:32.580 But look at this, 63 percent.

00:25:34.840 He beats all the other Republicans on the board here.

00:25:38.220 And I was looking even back since Reagan.

00:25:40.520 And get this, Donald Trump beats Ronald Reagan when it comes to the strongly approved five months.

00:25:45.500 And, of course, Reagan was coming off that high after that assassination attempt.

00:25:48.760 So the bottom line is Donald Trump is making history with the Republican base.

00:25:52.960 He is more beloved by this Republican base than any Republican base loved any GOP president five months in.

00:26:00.920 It is history-making.

00:26:03.720 All right, Jack Posobiec, here we are back.

00:26:05.860 And that's Rich Barras.

00:26:06.680 So, Rich, when we're looking at this, these numbers, and I've seen a lot of conservatives sharing this,

00:26:11.920 I say, well, wait a minute.

00:26:12.860 This is strong approval among Republicans, which is great and certainly what we want, absolutely.

00:26:19.640 But it doesn't really tell the whole story, does it?

00:26:22.960 No, it really doesn't.

00:26:24.300 And, you know, Jack, the problem with clips like that and arguments like that is that Trump's base is not only Republican.

00:26:31.540 So there's a little bit of good news and a little bit of bad news for the president.

00:26:35.240 The good news is there are also more Republicans under Donald Trump than we've ever measured.

00:26:41.080 Democrats are in a registration collapse, but they're also in an identification collapse when a pollster calls and asks,

00:26:46.600 what do you identify as, right?

00:26:48.360 So there are no D+.

00:26:50.420 There should not be any D-plus samples anymore because it doesn't exist in the real world.

00:26:55.700 But that being said, Trump's base, and this is why he wins when nobody else can win.

00:27:01.560 This is why he can win Michigan.

00:27:03.040 This is why he can win Pennsylvania.

00:27:04.700 Why he can win Wisconsin, right?

00:27:06.520 Why he wins Ohio by 13 points.

00:27:09.080 Why he wins Iowa by 13 points.

00:27:11.500 Florida, 13 points.

00:27:12.500 You cannot win those states, and not like that, with those kind of numbers just from Republicans.

00:27:19.620 You just can't do it.

00:27:20.920 So Trump, he has gotten a base that is not just loyal to the Republican Party.

00:27:26.840 So that's the – those are the people that you really have to watch because, in truth,

00:27:31.940 his strong approval among Republicans is held pretty steady since he's been elected to his second term in office.

00:27:37.140 Hasn't really moved.

00:27:37.880 Well, and this is exactly who we spent, Rich, when I would have you on, you know, every week during the election.

00:27:45.140 You know, we weren't really talking about his approval among Republicans because politics is a game of addition.

00:27:51.080 And so the idea was all about building this coalition and expanding the MAGA tent out beyond the normal boundaries of just 4-4 Republicans or straight-ticket Republicans.

00:28:02.760 It was how do you expand to those low-prop voters?

00:28:05.960 How do you expand the working class in the key states, in seven out of seven of the swing states, getting blacks and Hispanics on board,

00:28:12.380 where you were the first person years ago and a half a decade ago now to talk about how Hispanics, particularly Hispanic men,

00:28:19.240 and finally – Pews, by the way, finally got out with this huge study saying, oh, wait, exactly what Rich Barris has been saying all along,

00:28:26.000 that Trump was going to win Hispanic men, which he did.

00:28:28.860 And so there's this huge gap, though, I think, between a lot of those and – which you really would see in independents.

00:28:38.160 But, you know, even then, a lot of these people, which you've talked about a lot,

00:28:41.740 they're not the type of people that just answer polls on a regular basis even.

00:28:44.960 It's very hard to poll those types of people.

00:28:47.440 But the way we can generate or the way we can measure this is through voting.

00:28:52.140 You can see the way that they voted.

00:28:54.160 So, Rich, for those people, this extra group of people that's been added to the strong Republican base,

00:29:02.220 what's going on in those types, the independents, let's call them, that, you know, where's their approval at?

00:29:09.400 Because when I see this CNN piece, they're not talking about it at all.

00:29:12.160 No, they're not, because, of course, that's the group that wins or loses elections, Jack.

00:29:18.400 That if you can get this group out, they're inclined to support – I don't want to say right-wing candidates,

00:29:23.660 but they're definitely inclined to support the Trump agenda.

00:29:27.020 But what is that agenda?

00:29:28.540 And who are this group of independents and independent-leaning – you know, they're really Republicans,

00:29:33.840 but, you know, they lean that way.

00:29:35.200 They just don't – they have no loyalty to the party whatsoever.

00:29:37.600 And that's part – the reason why is part of who they are.

00:29:40.680 They're very skeptical people.

00:29:42.100 They're distrustful of government.

00:29:43.600 They're distrustful of anything.

00:29:45.140 They didn't even want to vote because their number one reason is that their vote doesn't matter, right?

00:29:49.820 The system is what it is, and their vote doesn't make a difference.

00:29:52.820 Somebody like Donald Trump inspired them to go out and vote,

00:29:55.700 and the Republican Party's number one job should be to hold on to those people.

00:30:00.740 However, you know, I mean, it is what it is.

00:30:02.560 We have to call it – we have to call it balls and strikes here. 0.84

00:30:05.860 Since the military strike in Iran, this group has soured.

00:30:11.880 I wouldn't say they're gone, but they were not happy with that.

00:30:16.780 This is what I think people lost sight of during that entire affair.

00:30:21.380 And its numbers have improved, again, over the last week a little bit.

00:30:24.440 But we'll see what happens in the future.

00:30:26.520 What generally happens when there's an airstrike or, you know, even when America goes to war,

00:30:32.040 you get a temporary rally around the flag effect,

00:30:36.060 and that is typically fueled by people who may never vote for you, have never voted for you,

00:30:41.300 but it's temporary, and they'll shoot over to somewhat approve maybe,

00:30:45.580 and they're typically not going to say they strongly approve,

00:30:48.380 but they end up adding to your positive numbers.

00:30:52.660 But it comes at the risk of potentially losing support among people who only and always vote for you, right?

00:30:59.200 So if you can get them out, that is the group we obsessed over before the election, Jack.

00:31:04.860 Those are the groups that Donald Trump could get out that we, on your show, over and over again, said.

00:31:10.400 You know, the Ron DeSantis cannot.

00:31:12.140 Nikki Haley cannot. 0.82

00:31:13.740 This group is, you know, Ohio River Valley, right?

00:31:17.200 Parts of Pennsylvania.

00:31:18.820 Southeastern Michigan.

00:31:19.660 Just think about who these groups are, Jack.

00:31:23.220 Southeastern Michigan.

00:31:25.500 From, you know, Dearborn to Saginaw and Macomb County.

00:31:30.260 These are not pro-military intervention people.

00:31:33.700 In fact, when we polled it, they made up the lion's share.

00:31:36.600 The quarter of the country said they wanted no role in the Middle East whatsoever.

00:31:41.020 So, you know, Donald Trump was smart to move on from this,

00:31:43.940 or try to move on from this and get back to his domestic agenda,

00:31:46.520 because that's what they were screaming for him to do.

00:31:50.060 Well, you know, it's so interesting,

00:31:51.800 because anecdotally, I had just two things to happen in the wake of all of this

00:31:56.420 over the last, you know, couple of weeks here in the D.C. area,

00:32:00.680 is that I was up, and I was driving around, and I saw one of these.

00:32:05.060 I know I saw one of these.

00:32:06.540 It was a guy driving a pickup truck, and on the bumper sticker it said,

00:32:10.820 I'm not a Democrat.

00:32:11.940 I'm not a Republican.

00:32:13.440 I'm an American.

00:32:14.240 And I'm like, that's the guy.

00:32:16.620 That's the guy right there.

00:32:18.400 He's driving a pickup truck.

00:32:20.100 He's working class.

00:32:21.440 He hates the parties.

00:32:22.960 Hates the parties.

00:32:24.360 And he loves America.

00:32:26.480 I'm like, that's the guy who's going to vote for Trump

00:32:29.160 and not come out and vote for anyone else.

00:32:31.480 So that's a Trump-only voter.

00:32:33.820 However, I also heard anecdotally from, I'll just say, a friend of mine has a father

00:32:39.680 who is more of the MSNBC persuasion, which, of course, you know, and I'm always hearing

00:32:45.580 their arguments.

00:32:46.340 But, you know, what's interesting, though, is it gives me insight into sort of how the

00:32:52.080 average MSNBC viewer is thinking.

00:32:55.420 And one of the things that I heard on the back end of this was he loved the Iran strikes. 0.58

00:33:01.120 He said, you know what?

00:33:02.100 It was the right thing to do.

00:33:03.600 It was the right time to do it.

00:33:05.580 And after having talked to you about this dynamic, I said, I went back to my friend.

00:33:10.140 I said, hey, do you think your dad would ever vote for, I know he's not up, but like, do

00:33:13.420 you think your dad would ever vote for Trump on the back end of this?

00:33:17.280 He's like, no, no, never.

00:33:18.740 Absolutely not.

00:33:19.580 So he could he could agree and he could agree with it.

00:33:22.300 So, Rich, are you saying then that that's the kind of thing that might show up in polling

00:33:26.620 as sort of a temporary temporary boost, a sugar high, this rally around the flag effect that

00:33:32.820 exists for a limited amount of time, yet doesn't actually translate to voting behavior?

00:33:39.020 That's exactly right.

00:33:40.400 And then also added to somebody like that would be like a Bill Kristol Metro Republican or still

00:33:46.860 identifies as a Republican, even though we know he's not somebody like that.

00:33:51.560 You know, the needle would move a little bit, but this guy would never actually cast a ballot

00:33:55.300 for Trump or most right now, percent, 95 percent of most Republicans.

00:34:00.320 And there's also something else I should know.

00:34:02.240 So it throughout the duration of Trump's second presidency, his strong disapproval rating among

00:34:08.200 independents has not hit 40 percent.

00:34:11.400 It did the weekend of the strikes.

00:34:14.720 Right.

00:34:15.120 So by Monday, it was it was about 40 percent.

00:34:19.080 Now, that has come down again this week and we'll see.

00:34:22.000 But that is being fueled by the people who only and if you get them out, they only vote

00:34:27.340 for you.

00:34:28.240 That is being fueled by that.

00:34:29.420 So you risk that guy.

00:34:30.980 You risk, you know, but temporary support for the support or temporary support of that

00:34:35.840 guy, that gentleman that you just mentioned, you risk losing those people.

00:34:39.960 Right.

00:34:40.240 So, again, I want to be clear about that.

00:34:43.460 So you're saying you're saying that his disapproval among independents hit its highest ever in

00:34:50.920 its second his second term, the weekend of those strikes when that took place and has

00:34:56.620 gone down since.

00:34:58.300 But independents were were largely swinging against this.

00:35:03.660 Yeah, that's exactly right.

00:35:04.540 And that's being fueled by those.

00:35:06.200 They're not they're Republican leaning, but they're not.

00:35:09.420 They also say and this will give you this will give people some great insight.

00:35:13.940 We all every time somebody says they're an independent, we always follow up and try to

00:35:17.160 prod them about what their leanings are.

00:35:19.020 And one of the questions that we ask is which party is more closely aligned with your views?

00:35:24.140 But one of the response choices is that they share little in common with either party.

00:35:29.040 You know, so they can either say that they lean more toward Republicans, more towards Democrats.

00:35:32.800 Maybe they're equal to both or they share little in common with either party.

00:35:38.780 That is the group that turns sour over these strikes.

00:35:42.000 And that is the group, by the way, that always was the key group.

00:35:45.700 And we came when I came on the show, I would tell you about this Trump or Boston vote.

00:35:50.040 That's where they come from, because they're just so, you know, they're they're so they're

00:35:54.660 disgruntled about the entire process.

00:35:56.860 Right.

00:35:57.180 So they don't they don't like either party.

00:35:59.500 They don't align with either party.

00:36:00.920 So RFK had a nice chunk from this group.

00:36:04.680 But Ron DeSantis, I was going to say, that's your Maha voter right there.

00:36:07.740 That's your Maha margin. 0.92

00:36:08.440 Because it's hard to get them out.

00:36:10.740 Yeah, your Maha margin in so many of the states. 0.99

00:36:13.520 I mean, you've got suburbanites in that group.

00:36:15.680 You've got people who are just kind of checked out.

00:36:17.940 But I would imagine I would imagine you have upper class, you know, sort of like upper middle

00:36:22.540 class as well as working class group, people who are just not invested in politics or people

00:36:29.040 who are checked out because of the years of Biden, Obama, Bush, Romney and the rest.

00:36:34.280 This is fascinating.

00:36:35.500 We're walking you through the Trump coalition in the second term.

00:36:39.600 Jack Posobiec, Rich Barris.

00:36:40.720 Right back.

00:36:41.100 Jack is a great guy.

00:36:51.260 He's written a fantastic book.

00:36:52.880 Everybody's talking about it.

00:36:54.120 Go get it.

00:36:55.220 And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.

00:36:59.200 And we're going to turn it around and make our country great to get to him.

00:37:02.480 Amen.

00:37:02.760 They said Gen Z would stay silent, that we'd back down, that we'd forget what's worth fighting

00:37:10.540 for.

00:37:11.240 But this generation remembers.

00:37:13.560 We remember truth.

00:37:14.780 We remember freedom.

00:37:16.420 And now we rise.

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00:38:02.760 All right, Jack Posobiec, we're back with Rich Barris.

00:38:05.200 And, you know, I want people to understand that when we're digging into the numbers like

00:38:09.660 this, there's a reason for it.

00:38:11.460 People say, why are you going so granular?

00:38:13.320 Why are you splitting the hair and you're going so deep?

00:38:15.960 I say, guys, listen, we live in a polarized country, a polarized country with a polarized

00:38:21.440 electorate.

00:38:22.420 Much of this because immediate consumption, generational shift, demographic shift.

00:38:26.440 You could talk about that pill or blow in the face.

00:38:29.000 We talk about it all the time.

00:38:29.960 However, what we want to focus on here is winning.

00:38:33.200 And if you want to win, you have to put together a coalition of 50% plus one.

00:38:38.060 And so how did President Trump get to there in all of the swing states, seven out of seven

00:38:43.440 of the swing states and turn out the popular vote because he found a way to go pocket by pocket

00:38:48.740 by pocket by pocket, put this all together and boom, put up across the board, the most

00:38:54.980 massive victory anyone's ever seen.

00:38:57.980 And so that's why it's so key to watch the shift of these pockets because these margins,

00:39:04.460 they say, oh, you're just focusing on the margins.

00:39:06.340 Yeah, it's called the margin of victory.

00:39:08.820 The margin of victory.

00:39:10.080 That's why I watch the margin, because that goes from winning an election to losing an

00:39:15.020 election.

00:39:15.740 Rich Barris, help me out here.

00:39:18.240 You know, people are like, oh, why are you so focused on this?

00:39:20.740 Because because this is winning versus losing.

00:39:23.120 And I'm sorry, but I want to keep winning and I don't ever want to stop winning.

00:39:28.400 And I think people don't understand, even though it's something I've been saying for years,

00:39:32.260 is that the the only thing that's consistent about political coalitions in this country is

00:39:37.500 that they consistently evolve.

00:39:38.940 And you have to consistently observe them and watch.

00:39:42.560 And usually, almost always, at least I believe this, it's because voters are making a rational

00:39:47.400 policy choice or they're making a rational choice to not vote at all.

00:39:51.600 And, you know, that Pew Research study that you cited in the last segment, Jack, that study

00:39:57.720 showed exactly what we had been screaming about for two years, that there is actually more

00:40:03.600 of these voters that Republicans could go get if they were focused.

00:40:07.220 And if they understood what we were saying and understood the significance of it, had

00:40:11.760 all of them gone out to vote, it would not have been a, you know, marginal popular vote

00:40:17.580 win.

00:40:18.060 It would have been an overwhelming one.

00:40:20.060 Anyway, five to seven points.

00:40:22.080 I mean, could you imagine a Republican presidential candidate winning the popular vote by five

00:40:27.780 to seven points?

00:40:29.080 And you have to understand where these people are located.

00:40:31.860 They're disproportionately, they disproportionately impact the Electoral College.

00:40:36.380 So when you get these voters out in greater numbers, you're impacting the Electoral College count

00:40:42.700 more than you would think, more than you would expect, right?

00:40:46.320 Just from adding X number of voters, how could it swing a state that much?

00:40:50.780 Because they tend to live in the states that matter.

00:40:54.800 And so I don't know what matters more, right?

00:40:58.260 And it's also important to know that Republicans are better.

00:41:01.640 They're on a timer with these voters because, and we showed this and demonstrated this

00:41:06.280 during the Republican primary.

00:41:08.080 These voters told us that there really, at that time, was only one candidate they would

00:41:11.980 go out and vote for, and that was Donald Trump.

00:41:14.440 So the Republican Party's job right now, do what you got to do legislatively, then move

00:41:20.060 on.

00:41:20.540 And on the ground, behind the scenes, your job is to convince these voters that the party

00:41:25.380 is becoming more like Donald Trump.

00:41:27.240 And that is really the entire argument.

00:41:29.120 You have got to make these people understand that the Republican Party's changed.

00:41:33.400 It's going to take up Trump's banner when he's no longer in office, and he's going to move

00:41:38.260 forward.

00:41:38.660 If they do that, you're talking about a Roosevelt-like coalition that will endure for 30 years.

00:41:45.340 So, I mean, that's why we obsess over these numbers, folks.

00:41:48.800 The difference between the pendulum swinging back and forth temporarily, like it often does

00:41:53.980 in American politics, or sometimes a big realignment comes around.

00:41:57.560 And that big realignment is historical, and it changes the trajectory of the electorate,

00:42:02.580 like it did for Roosevelt.

00:42:04.000 By the way, it did so for Reagan as well.

00:42:06.940 You know, Republicans were kind of in the wilderness, and Reagan ushered in something Obama, by the

00:42:11.400 way, was very jealous of.

00:42:13.880 He ushered in a 30-year change in the American psyche, and he got people to come out and vote

00:42:19.780 Republican that had never in the past ethnic Catholics, ethnic Irish, right? 0.54

00:42:24.380 So he changed that equation that you were just talking about.

00:42:29.160 And that's what Trump has the—he already did.

00:42:31.860 It's just that now Republicans need to be able to pick that up and also expand on it,

00:42:36.900 because you can.

00:42:38.000 The numbers are there to expand on it.

00:42:40.320 And I think this is so important, Rich.

00:42:42.800 You got to write this up, brother, because this is one of the most important things that

00:42:47.160 I think you've uncovered.

00:42:48.320 And it's something that I think a lot of us can sort of sense it when we're out there,

00:42:52.520 whether it's on social media or just reading comments and emails, but you've put it together

00:42:57.300 in this package that you've uncovered that I think is so important because, again, just

00:43:03.220 like anything else in politics, when you take an action that benefits that one group over

00:43:09.840 another in your coalition, that runs the risk of costing other members of the group.

00:43:17.400 Rich Barris, where can people go to find you and get all of these incredible insights?

00:43:21.520 Best place, we're everywhere, Jack, but the best place is on Locals, peoplespundent.locals.com,

00:43:27.780 peoplespundent.locals.com.

00:43:29.860 Thanks, as always, brother.

00:43:31.340 Happy Independence Day.

00:43:31.900 Hey, Rich, and from the Posos to the Barrises, happy Independence Day.

00:43:37.360 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.

00:43:40.120 Let's go.

00:43:49.620 Thanks, guys.

00:43:50.220 Thanks, guys.

00:43:51.440 Bye.

00:43:51.500 Bye.

00:43:51.880 Bye.

00:43:52.060 Bye.

00:43:53.000 Bye.

00:43:53.980 Bye.

00:43:54.080 Bye.

00:44:01.960 Bye.

00:44:04.480 Bye.

00:44:05.020 Bye.

00:44:06.020 Bye.

00:44:06.500 Bye.

00:44:06.540 Bye.

00:44:06.560 Bye.

00:44:07.120 Bye.

00:44:07.540 Bye.

00:44:08.100 Bye.

00:44:08.800 Bye.

00:44:09.000 Bye.

Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - July 03, 2025

BBB Passes - The New Golden Age Has Begun

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Transcript