BBB Passes - The New Golden Age Has Begun
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Summary
A record number of Americans are taking off for the holiday weekend, while drivers will find some relief at the gas pump. The Supreme Court is throwing out rulings in favor of transgender people in four states, and this follows the justices' recent decision of holding a ban on certain medical treatment for transgender students on school sports teams.
Transcript
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This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
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A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
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This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.
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A record number of Americans are taking off for their holiday weekend destinations.
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With the national average expected to dip to 315 Friday, the lowest level on July 4th since 2021.
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The first group of immigrants has arrived at Alligator Alcatraz.
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That's the new detention center located deep in the Everglades.
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Florida officials say the alligators and snakes that surround the facility will deter anyone from trying to escape.
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I wouldn't look for this to make an easy, more likely, 147,000 jobs.
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The Supreme Court is throwing out rulings in favor of transgender people in four states.
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And this follows the justices' recent decision of holding a Tennessee ban on certain medical treatment for transgender use.
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But the justices took no action in cases involving the participation of transgender students on school sports teams.
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So the high court now is also ordering judges to re-examine cases from those states.
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The only American citizen who's been targeted by the deportation machine.
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A deportation machine that will be unleashed on steroids by this one big, ugly bill.
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We feel very good about where we are and we're moving forward.
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We are going to deliver the big, beautiful bill, the President's America First Agenda, and we're going to do right by the American people.
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All right, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
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We are on the cusp of something big and something beautiful.
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All right, here are all the updates on the big, beautiful bill, which appears, for all intents and purposes, to be imminently passing.
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We've also just seen the end of Hakeem Jeffries.
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We're told eight hours, 44 minutes he spoke, breaking the record that was originally set by previous speaker Kevin McCarthy.
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But I got to say, Jeffries, man, no riz Jeffries, right?
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Timu Obama, this guy, not a single standout moment other than one, which we just played for you, where he said, we are going to get deportations on steroids, a deportation machine on steroids.
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You want to know what won the popular vote in 2024?
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I'm just sitting back imagining what my commute is going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.
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I'm thinking about what all the public parks and public spaces are going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.
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I'm thinking about what restaurants and movies and beaches and all of it are going to be like when we 20x the ICE budget.
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Going to the ER and not having to wait three hours for just a couple of stitches.
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Being able to go and buy a house on Zillow without having to worry about these insane housing prices.
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Imagine all of the incredible things we will have when we 20x the ICE budget.
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I saw somebody else saying, Ian Bremmer of course, a famous neoliberal, was saying,
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I can't believe that under this new bill, under this bill, the United States Deportation Authority ICE will have a larger military budget than most world countries have for their military.
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And I said, my goodness, that's exactly what I voted for.
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To Teemu Obama, no Riz Jeffries, we are going to get what we want.
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The American people are going to get what they voted for, whether you like it or not.
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Jack Posobiec, Human Events Daily, Real American Voice.
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Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.
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All right, folks, here we are, Human Events Daily.
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Now we've got Speaker Johnson is delivering his last right there.
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And it appears that votes could be happening within the hour.
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But to give us an update on all things big, beautiful bill, we've got May Mailman joining
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us now, the deputy assistant to the president and senior policy strategist.
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And I got to say, for all intents and purposes, it looks as though the White House, the administration,
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you guys are on the cusp of a big, beautiful victory where this bill will be turned into
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Walk us through how the White House views the process happening from here on out and really
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what's in this bill that Americans can be looking forward to.
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So after Congress votes, then we have to implement.
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One, on the tax credits, we need to make sure that no tax on Social Security, no tax on
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tips, no tax on overtime get actually implemented through the Treasury process.
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So this is, you know, where we work with the deep state to make sure that everybody has
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And then American labor can finally be freed up again and so that we can see a manufacturing
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So that's something that we are focused on is implementing the tax provisions.
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We are going to obviously wind down a lot of the green new scam deals.
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So there will be no new credits issued in 2028.
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And so basically anything that is in construction right now has to be it.
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And so we're going to be moving over a lot of investment, a lot of focus to reliable American-made
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We've got work requirements that we're going to implement.
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So this is going to put so many more people into the workforce.
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It's going to give so many people something to live for again.
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Right now, without work requirements, people—and these are pretty simple work requirements—20
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This is something that all Americans who are able-bodied can do and should do.
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So we're going to empower Americans to get back in the workforce and provide for their
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There's so many wins in here, conservative wins, savings wins.
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I know the CBO says that this is going to increase the deficit.
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Our numbers are $8.4 trillion off of that because tax cuts produce more revenue for the government.
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We also have the largest savings of any bill in history.
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We're going to be uplifting the American spirit.
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We're going to be increasing manufacturing, making our country energy dominant.
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And, Mae, when it comes down to it, there's one issue, I think, above all, that when our
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audience weighs in on this, when they really come in, the single biggest issue that we get
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is ICE, and they want to see the full funding for ICE.
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And this is something where I think if you go to the mainstream media, they're not even
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Or if they do, you get Hakeem Jeffries and the deportation machine on steroids.
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I said, did you not understand what all of 2024 was about?
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I'm pretty sure the president talked about this every single chance he was physically
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able to do so, that the American people need relief from the massive influx of the
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So talk to us a little bit about this piece on finally funding ICE to do the job that needs
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So President Joe Biden let in people who we, you don't even know the numbers, and you don't
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know who they are, but they're living in your communities.
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They're in many places still living on the streets, and they're endangering Americans.
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And it's something that Americans voted against.
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So by fully funding border security, this is funding the wall, and this is also funding
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So not only ICE officers to increase the number of ICE officers, but increase the number of
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Because if you've got an ICE officer, but there's nowhere to put people while they go through
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So this is America, and everybody gets proceedings, but those proceedings take a while.
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So this bill fully funds not only ICE officers, but it also funds that infrastructure, like
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the bed space, in order to effectuate these removals, to keep America safe, and to promote
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It is completely unfair that people get to hop the line, and then if you get across the
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A nation that is founded on fairness and justice cannot tolerate that sort of system, and this
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And I certainly understand the concerns of many out there who have raised questions about
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spending, particularly on a variety of these things.
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But it's incredible to me how, number one, when you're removing these illegal aliens who
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are such a drain on our systems, and a drain, by the way, on the entitlement programs, that
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that doesn't seem to factor, certainly doesn't factor into the CBO score, but it doesn't factor
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into any of their arguments because you're actually increasing or decreasing the demand
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And, you know, they're only focused on the supply side of this.
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But on another side, they're not talking about growth.
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How do you have jobs numbers like the ones that come out today, which obviously would
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That is only just the start of what we're starting to see from the new economy going forward.
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Talk to us a little bit about how there really isn't the correct story being put out on growth.
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Yeah, so right now, the way that the Congressional Budget Office, which always says that liberal
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bills are free, I mean, this is a group that said that Biden's student loan, or sorry, Obama,
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same, you know, same thing, but that Obama's student loan program would cost $0, that for
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the government to give loans to everybody who wanted them, it would not cost anything.
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It would actually make up enough money to pay for Obamacare.
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You're giving it to people who can't finish their degrees, who actually had no intention
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of doing it, and students who are set up for failure by universities that give them useless
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So this is the CBO that thought that that program would actually save money, says that this bill
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And the way that they get to that, as your listeners will know, is that they say that
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The tax cuts are an extension of what's already the case.
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So they're saying that it's expensive to literally just continue the status quo.
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But if we had the greatest tax hike in history, that would not be the status quo.
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That would be very expensive to the American people in that you would end American manufacturing.
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And so you would see a real decline in the GDP and in the jobs, in the manufacturing, but
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I mean, honestly, it would just crush people and the amount of money that they have to spend.
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And so the CBO score has no bearing on reality.
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And when we look from our CEA, so this is our Council of Economic Advisors, which is a
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non-partisan organization within the executive branch, they said that if you look at even
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the tariff revenue combined with the growth, combined with the savings, we are $8.4 trillion
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So clearly, we don't believe what they have to say, and the American people shouldn't
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Does it look like, though, and it certainly seems to be for me, I tweeted this this morning,
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so we have to make sure that it's true, that on this 4th of July, President Trump is about
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to deliver one of the most biggest and beautiful birthday presents to the United States of America
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Of course, there's still things Congress can do.
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One of the things I think people were frustrated about was that there were so many wins during
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And this is important in order to solidify and change the course of our country, in order to
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May, where can people go to follow you and see everything that you and the White House
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And obviously, follow all of our great people here in the White House, Caroline, our White
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We love all the folks there and the great work you guys are doing.
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May, if I don't see you, have a happy Independence Day.
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These are influences, and they're friends of mine.
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My name is Paula Scanlon, and I'm a former swimmer from the University of Pennsylvania.
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I was permanently injured at the hands of a man when I was forced to play against him
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I was forced to compete against a biological male on my middle school track team.
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I had to compete against two biological males throughout all four years of high school.
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Trumstead Admin and the Department of Education have gotten the University of Pennsylvania
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not just to apologize for what they did to me and other female athletes that were forced
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to compete against and alongside this male athlete, but they also got them to change their
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policies and to take down his records from the board, which is a great win.
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The stories we heard brought tears to all of our eyes.
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I'm so excited for the announcement from Secretary McMahon and President Trump today
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as they stand at the forefront of this issue for women and girls everywhere.
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I am so thankful that we finally have an administration in office who is willing to stand up and ensure
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that no other girl has to experience the pain and heartbreak I went through.
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I'm just very excited that the Trump administration is taking action to protect girls.
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We're fighting for the next generation, young girls like my daughter.
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So just very, very grateful and excited for what this means.
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Well, incredible news out of the White House in terms of that.
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And we've also, of course, very excited to have on the great, the great, I'm going to give her the great, Paula Scanlon, who was just in that video.
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She is a senior fellow at AEP, but also, of course, was on the swim team with Leah Thomas.
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Definitely. I mean, it's been a really crazy week just getting around and this announcement really came very suddenly, but I'm grateful for it.
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I think we've seen really strong leadership from the Trump administration.
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Only within six months, they got Penn to already come crawling back apologizing.
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And again, I'm so grateful for them and their leadership.
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So, so walk us through for, for folks who haven't seen the whole context of it.
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And, you know, I saw the stuff that you had tweeted out about it, but walk us through what exactly has Penn done here?
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So back in March, the Trump administration pulled federal funding from the University of Pennsylvania for their violations in Title IX.
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I mean, obviously they had a six foot four tall, fully intact male on our women's swim team.
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It's very clear they were violating Title IX there.
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Penn then went to the Trump administration and said, hey, I'm willing to negotiate.
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And whatever happened behind closed doors with those wonderful people, they got the University of Pennsylvania to issue an apology to the female athletes affected.
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Begin using language that's true in defining men and women, which is very important, which is so silly that we even have to make them do that.
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But that was one of the other things that they agreed to.
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And again, this is something we've never seen before.
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No one else who's violated these Title IX problems has has come to the table like this and just said, actually, we're going to walk this all back.
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So and this, of course, comes on the heels of the pressure from the Trump administration locking up the federal funding and getting them to actually try to behave.
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Do you think that President Trump maybe had a little bit of a personal investment in this because he himself is a Penn grad?
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I mean, we can only look at the connection, but I hope so.
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But also, I think that Penn is is realizing really what's at stake here, right?
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We've seen Harvard go the other direction and not cooperate with the Trump administration.
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I think what they're seeing is the Trump administration stands on business and should be feared.
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And I honestly think the University of Pennsylvania finally, for the first time ever, has has done the smart thing here.
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So I hope the connection is there and I would love for Trump to go back.
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Why don't actually, you know, they should have agreed to Trump should have to be the commencement speaker at the University of Pennsylvania next year.
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That's what I would like to see in their agreement.
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And now and correct me if I'm wrong, but a pen, I think this is true.
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You're required to sit there through the graduation speaker.
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I think so. I mean, maybe you could get up and leave, but they probably won't let you out.
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No, I remember this coming up years ago and there was some like crazy Islamic speaker.
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And I had some friends who were there at the time and they were required to they were required to they were required to speak and are required to sit during the speech.
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And so I guess they'd have to be forced to be there.
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By the way, I am being told through my producer's ear.
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Well, my ear that the big, beautiful bill has just passed.
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Guys, can we get that? Can we get that box up in the corner here?
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And I want to see the the actual votes, if we can get the actual votes, maybe in a voice vote.
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Paula, can I just get you to weigh in real quick on on this bill?
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Oh, my gosh. I cannot believe I'm on with you when this is happening.
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Obviously, this is just, again, hard work at stake here.
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And this is why we have strong leadership under the Trump administration.
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I'm so glad to see Trump's agenda continue to get pushed along.
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And I'm glad some of the people that were questionable have have now cooperated.
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And I want to get the numbers on this and we're going to have to look at the actual the actual members.
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I think it says was that 216 at 216 to two Republicans voted against to not voting.
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So, of course, we're going to have to track them all down.
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Brian Fitzpatrick last night running away from the House chamber.
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Brian Fitzpatrick, by the way, Bucks County, Pennsylvania.
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Paula, one of your favorite locations, if I remember correctly.
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We spoke together at an event out in Bucks County.
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So he's there because it's his former brother seat, his late brother seat, who is a very good congressman.
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Brian is someone that I've known for over 15 years, you know, through his brother.
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And I just say, you know, Brian Fitzpatrick is no Mike Fitzpatrick.
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And that's saying that's probably the best thing that I could say about his tenure in Congress.
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It's just it's simple as that former FBI director.
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Paula, this is a huge, huge win, though, I think, for people who want to 20x the ICE budget,
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for people who want to actually get out there and see these mass deportations take place and actually get the president's agenda pushed forward.
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Last minute to you, Paula Scanlon, where can people go to follow you and how important are all of these victories for Americans, for regular Americans?
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I'm pretty active over on X, Paula, Y, Scanlon.
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You can keep following along with what I'm doing.
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But I think what just happened just shows us exactly what I was saying earlier, is that the Trump administration stands on business.
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And so, again, I'm grateful for his leadership.
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I'm grateful that he's president and everything really that he's done.
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I've been so pleased with in the last couple of months.
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And I know we're technically still early on in the administration.
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So I'm excited to see what else leadership gets up to.
00:23:03.160
And last question, Paula, as a Gen Z New Yorker, will you be supporting Zoran Mondami later this year?
00:23:12.520
I mean, I sure hope you guys would figure out how I would stand.
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In fact, I'm going to be working very hard to make sure he's not elected.
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So if anyone wants to come in New York and help out with that, please let me know.
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We're going to we're going to make sure socialism does not take over.
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Probably communism doesn't take over New York City.
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We're always talking about the fake news and the bad.
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And these are the guys who should be getting policies.
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All right, folks, Jack Pasoba, here we are back live.
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And I think it's time as we head towards America's birthday.
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And what better way to do that than to bring on the people's pundit himself,
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Rich Barris, the founder and executive of the Big Data Poll.
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I can't wait for America's big, beautiful birthday tomorrow.
00:24:39.520
there's been a lot of back and forth about the president's poll numbers this month,
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or I should say really during June, going back and forth.
00:24:48.080
And there are a lot of people making comments saying,
00:24:51.940
He's making some moves that a lot of people didn't expect.
00:24:55.220
Are his numbers going up or his numbers going down?
00:24:57.160
We have a clip that I want to show that kind of highlights this from CNN.
00:25:03.920
I mean, every politician would like this number here, especially to see it go up.
00:25:07.940
How about compared to other presidents who were Republicans?
00:25:15.660
We have all the presidents, Republican presidents, going back over the last 35, 36, 37 years.
00:25:34.840
He beats all the other Republicans on the board here.
00:25:40.520
And get this, Donald Trump beats Ronald Reagan when it comes to the strongly approved five months.
00:25:45.500
And, of course, Reagan was coming off that high after that assassination attempt.
00:25:48.760
So the bottom line is Donald Trump is making history with the Republican base.
00:25:52.960
He is more beloved by this Republican base than any Republican base loved any GOP president five months in.
00:26:06.680
So, Rich, when we're looking at this, these numbers, and I've seen a lot of conservatives sharing this,
00:26:12.860
This is strong approval among Republicans, which is great and certainly what we want, absolutely.
00:26:19.640
But it doesn't really tell the whole story, does it?
00:26:24.300
And, you know, Jack, the problem with clips like that and arguments like that is that Trump's base is not only Republican.
00:26:31.540
So there's a little bit of good news and a little bit of bad news for the president.
00:26:35.240
The good news is there are also more Republicans under Donald Trump than we've ever measured.
00:26:41.080
Democrats are in a registration collapse, but they're also in an identification collapse when a pollster calls and asks,
00:26:50.420
There should not be any D-plus samples anymore because it doesn't exist in the real world.
00:26:55.700
But that being said, Trump's base, and this is why he wins when nobody else can win.
00:27:12.500
You cannot win those states, and not like that, with those kind of numbers just from Republicans.
00:27:20.920
So Trump, he has gotten a base that is not just loyal to the Republican Party.
00:27:26.840
So that's the – those are the people that you really have to watch because, in truth,
00:27:31.940
his strong approval among Republicans is held pretty steady since he's been elected to his second term in office.
00:27:37.880
Well, and this is exactly who we spent, Rich, when I would have you on, you know, every week during the election.
00:27:45.140
You know, we weren't really talking about his approval among Republicans because politics is a game of addition.
00:27:51.080
And so the idea was all about building this coalition and expanding the MAGA tent out beyond the normal boundaries of just 4-4 Republicans or straight-ticket Republicans.
00:28:02.760
It was how do you expand to those low-prop voters?
00:28:05.960
How do you expand the working class in the key states, in seven out of seven of the swing states, getting blacks and Hispanics on board,
00:28:12.380
where you were the first person years ago and a half a decade ago now to talk about how Hispanics, particularly Hispanic men,
00:28:19.240
and finally – Pews, by the way, finally got out with this huge study saying, oh, wait, exactly what Rich Barris has been saying all along,
00:28:26.000
that Trump was going to win Hispanic men, which he did.
00:28:28.860
And so there's this huge gap, though, I think, between a lot of those and – which you really would see in independents.
00:28:38.160
But, you know, even then, a lot of these people, which you've talked about a lot,
00:28:41.740
they're not the type of people that just answer polls on a regular basis even.
00:28:47.440
But the way we can generate or the way we can measure this is through voting.
00:28:54.160
So, Rich, for those people, this extra group of people that's been added to the strong Republican base,
00:29:02.220
what's going on in those types, the independents, let's call them, that, you know, where's their approval at?
00:29:09.400
Because when I see this CNN piece, they're not talking about it at all.
00:29:12.160
No, they're not, because, of course, that's the group that wins or loses elections, Jack.
00:29:18.400
That if you can get this group out, they're inclined to support – I don't want to say right-wing candidates,
00:29:23.660
but they're definitely inclined to support the Trump agenda.
00:29:28.540
And who are this group of independents and independent-leaning – you know, they're really Republicans,
00:29:35.200
They just don't – they have no loyalty to the party whatsoever.
00:29:37.600
And that's part – the reason why is part of who they are.
00:29:45.140
They didn't even want to vote because their number one reason is that their vote doesn't matter, right?
00:29:49.820
The system is what it is, and their vote doesn't make a difference.
00:29:52.820
Somebody like Donald Trump inspired them to go out and vote,
00:29:55.700
and the Republican Party's number one job should be to hold on to those people.
00:30:02.560
We have to call it – we have to call it balls and strikes here.
00:30:05.860
Since the military strike in Iran, this group has soured.
00:30:11.880
I wouldn't say they're gone, but they were not happy with that.
00:30:16.780
This is what I think people lost sight of during that entire affair.
00:30:21.380
And its numbers have improved, again, over the last week a little bit.
00:30:26.520
What generally happens when there's an airstrike or, you know, even when America goes to war,
00:30:32.040
you get a temporary rally around the flag effect,
00:30:36.060
and that is typically fueled by people who may never vote for you, have never voted for you,
00:30:41.300
but it's temporary, and they'll shoot over to somewhat approve maybe,
00:30:45.580
and they're typically not going to say they strongly approve,
00:30:48.380
but they end up adding to your positive numbers.
00:30:52.660
But it comes at the risk of potentially losing support among people who only and always vote for you, right?
00:30:59.200
So if you can get them out, that is the group we obsessed over before the election, Jack.
00:31:04.860
Those are the groups that Donald Trump could get out that we, on your show, over and over again, said.
00:31:13.740
This group is, you know, Ohio River Valley, right?
00:31:25.500
From, you know, Dearborn to Saginaw and Macomb County.
00:31:30.260
These are not pro-military intervention people.
00:31:33.700
In fact, when we polled it, they made up the lion's share.
00:31:36.600
The quarter of the country said they wanted no role in the Middle East whatsoever.
00:31:41.020
So, you know, Donald Trump was smart to move on from this,
00:31:43.940
or try to move on from this and get back to his domestic agenda,
00:31:46.520
because that's what they were screaming for him to do.
00:31:51.800
because anecdotally, I had just two things to happen in the wake of all of this
00:31:56.420
over the last, you know, couple of weeks here in the D.C. area,
00:32:00.680
is that I was up, and I was driving around, and I saw one of these.
00:32:06.540
It was a guy driving a pickup truck, and on the bumper sticker it said,
00:32:26.480
I'm like, that's the guy who's going to vote for Trump
00:32:33.820
However, I also heard anecdotally from, I'll just say, a friend of mine has a father
00:32:39.680
who is more of the MSNBC persuasion, which, of course, you know, and I'm always hearing
00:32:46.340
But, you know, what's interesting, though, is it gives me insight into sort of how the
00:32:55.420
And one of the things that I heard on the back end of this was he loved the Iran strikes.
00:33:05.580
And after having talked to you about this dynamic, I said, I went back to my friend.
00:33:10.140
I said, hey, do you think your dad would ever vote for, I know he's not up, but like, do
00:33:13.420
you think your dad would ever vote for Trump on the back end of this?
00:33:19.580
So he could he could agree and he could agree with it.
00:33:22.300
So, Rich, are you saying then that that's the kind of thing that might show up in polling
00:33:26.620
as sort of a temporary temporary boost, a sugar high, this rally around the flag effect that
00:33:32.820
exists for a limited amount of time, yet doesn't actually translate to voting behavior?
00:33:40.400
And then also added to somebody like that would be like a Bill Kristol Metro Republican or still
00:33:46.860
identifies as a Republican, even though we know he's not somebody like that.
00:33:51.560
You know, the needle would move a little bit, but this guy would never actually cast a ballot
00:33:55.300
for Trump or most right now, percent, 95 percent of most Republicans.
00:34:02.240
So it throughout the duration of Trump's second presidency, his strong disapproval rating among
00:34:19.080
Now, that has come down again this week and we'll see.
00:34:22.000
But that is being fueled by the people who only and if you get them out, they only vote
00:34:30.980
You risk, you know, but temporary support for the support or temporary support of that
00:34:35.840
guy, that gentleman that you just mentioned, you risk losing those people.
00:34:43.460
So you're saying you're saying that his disapproval among independents hit its highest ever in
00:34:50.920
its second his second term, the weekend of those strikes when that took place and has
00:34:58.300
But independents were were largely swinging against this.
00:35:06.200
They're not they're Republican leaning, but they're not.
00:35:09.420
They also say and this will give you this will give people some great insight.
00:35:13.940
We all every time somebody says they're an independent, we always follow up and try to
00:35:19.020
And one of the questions that we ask is which party is more closely aligned with your views?
00:35:24.140
But one of the response choices is that they share little in common with either party.
00:35:29.040
You know, so they can either say that they lean more toward Republicans, more towards Democrats.
00:35:32.800
Maybe they're equal to both or they share little in common with either party.
00:35:38.780
That is the group that turns sour over these strikes.
00:35:42.000
And that is the group, by the way, that always was the key group.
00:35:45.700
And we came when I came on the show, I would tell you about this Trump or Boston vote.
00:35:50.040
That's where they come from, because they're just so, you know, they're they're so they're
00:36:04.680
But Ron DeSantis, I was going to say, that's your Maha voter right there.
00:36:10.740
Yeah, your Maha margin in so many of the states.
00:36:15.680
You've got people who are just kind of checked out.
00:36:17.940
But I would imagine I would imagine you have upper class, you know, sort of like upper middle
00:36:22.540
class as well as working class group, people who are just not invested in politics or people
00:36:29.040
who are checked out because of the years of Biden, Obama, Bush, Romney and the rest.
00:36:35.500
We're walking you through the Trump coalition in the second term.
00:36:55.220
And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.
00:36:59.200
And we're going to turn it around and make our country great to get to him.
00:37:02.760
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00:38:02.760
All right, Jack Posobiec, we're back with Rich Barris.
00:38:05.200
And, you know, I want people to understand that when we're digging into the numbers like
00:38:13.320
Why are you splitting the hair and you're going so deep?
00:38:15.960
I say, guys, listen, we live in a polarized country, a polarized country with a polarized
00:38:22.420
Much of this because immediate consumption, generational shift, demographic shift.
00:38:26.440
You could talk about that pill or blow in the face.
00:38:29.960
However, what we want to focus on here is winning.
00:38:33.200
And if you want to win, you have to put together a coalition of 50% plus one.
00:38:38.060
And so how did President Trump get to there in all of the swing states, seven out of seven
00:38:43.440
of the swing states and turn out the popular vote because he found a way to go pocket by pocket
00:38:48.740
by pocket by pocket, put this all together and boom, put up across the board, the most
00:38:57.980
And so that's why it's so key to watch the shift of these pockets because these margins,
00:39:04.460
they say, oh, you're just focusing on the margins.
00:39:10.080
That's why I watch the margin, because that goes from winning an election to losing an
00:39:18.240
You know, people are like, oh, why are you so focused on this?
00:39:23.120
And I'm sorry, but I want to keep winning and I don't ever want to stop winning.
00:39:28.400
And I think people don't understand, even though it's something I've been saying for years,
00:39:32.260
is that the the only thing that's consistent about political coalitions in this country is
00:39:38.940
And you have to consistently observe them and watch.
00:39:42.560
And usually, almost always, at least I believe this, it's because voters are making a rational
00:39:47.400
policy choice or they're making a rational choice to not vote at all.
00:39:51.600
And, you know, that Pew Research study that you cited in the last segment, Jack, that study
00:39:57.720
showed exactly what we had been screaming about for two years, that there is actually more
00:40:03.600
of these voters that Republicans could go get if they were focused.
00:40:07.220
And if they understood what we were saying and understood the significance of it, had
00:40:11.760
all of them gone out to vote, it would not have been a, you know, marginal popular vote
00:40:22.080
I mean, could you imagine a Republican presidential candidate winning the popular vote by five
00:40:29.080
And you have to understand where these people are located.
00:40:31.860
They're disproportionately, they disproportionately impact the Electoral College.
00:40:36.380
So when you get these voters out in greater numbers, you're impacting the Electoral College count
00:40:42.700
more than you would think, more than you would expect, right?
00:40:46.320
Just from adding X number of voters, how could it swing a state that much?
00:40:50.780
Because they tend to live in the states that matter.
00:40:58.260
And it's also important to know that Republicans are better.
00:41:01.640
They're on a timer with these voters because, and we showed this and demonstrated this
00:41:08.080
These voters told us that there really, at that time, was only one candidate they would
00:41:11.980
go out and vote for, and that was Donald Trump.
00:41:14.440
So the Republican Party's job right now, do what you got to do legislatively, then move
00:41:20.540
And on the ground, behind the scenes, your job is to convince these voters that the party
00:41:29.120
You have got to make these people understand that the Republican Party's changed.
00:41:33.400
It's going to take up Trump's banner when he's no longer in office, and he's going to move
00:41:38.660
If they do that, you're talking about a Roosevelt-like coalition that will endure for 30 years.
00:41:45.340
So, I mean, that's why we obsess over these numbers, folks.
00:41:48.800
The difference between the pendulum swinging back and forth temporarily, like it often does
00:41:53.980
in American politics, or sometimes a big realignment comes around.
00:41:57.560
And that big realignment is historical, and it changes the trajectory of the electorate,
00:42:06.940
You know, Republicans were kind of in the wilderness, and Reagan ushered in something Obama, by the
00:42:13.880
He ushered in a 30-year change in the American psyche, and he got people to come out and vote
00:42:19.780
Republican that had never in the past ethnic Catholics, ethnic Irish, right?
00:42:24.380
So he changed that equation that you were just talking about.
00:42:29.160
And that's what Trump has the—he already did.
00:42:31.860
It's just that now Republicans need to be able to pick that up and also expand on it,
00:42:42.800
You got to write this up, brother, because this is one of the most important things that
00:42:48.320
And it's something that I think a lot of us can sort of sense it when we're out there,
00:42:52.520
whether it's on social media or just reading comments and emails, but you've put it together
00:42:57.300
in this package that you've uncovered that I think is so important because, again, just
00:43:03.220
like anything else in politics, when you take an action that benefits that one group over
00:43:09.840
another in your coalition, that runs the risk of costing other members of the group.
00:43:17.400
Rich Barris, where can people go to find you and get all of these incredible insights?
00:43:21.520
Best place, we're everywhere, Jack, but the best place is on Locals, peoplespundent.locals.com,
00:43:31.900
Hey, Rich, and from the Posos to the Barrises, happy Independence Day.
00:43:37.360
Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.