Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - January 27, 2023


EPISODE 379: DC THINK TANK URGES US TO AVOID PROTRACTED WAR IN UKRAINE


Episode Stats

Length

24 minutes

Words per Minute

159.51068

Word Count

3,964

Sentence Count

337

Misogynist Sentences

2

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

A D.C. think tank is urging the U.S. to get out of Ukraine. They're saying that getting a protracted war there is going to turn the country into Ukraine. We're going to get into that and so much more.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Well, the Washington, D.C. think tank is urging the United States to get out of Ukraine.
00:00:05.480 They're saying that getting a protracted war is going to turn the country into Ukrainistan.
00:00:11.460 We're going to get into that and so much more.
00:00:13.120 But first, I want to make sure that you are signed up for the POSO Daily Brief.
00:00:17.660 Just go to humanevents.com slash POSO and you will be able completely for free to read what I read every day.
00:00:24.540 That's the POSO Daily Brief, humanevents.com slash POSO.
00:00:28.120 Let's get into it.
00:00:30.000 Despite all of Biden's weakness, cowardice and incompetence,
00:00:43.300 there is still a path for him to end this tragedy in Ukraine without getting Americans snared in a gruesome and very bloody war.
00:00:53.540 A bloody war.
00:00:54.420 This could lead, by the way, this could lead to World War III.
00:00:57.280 I see what's happening.
00:00:58.160 Because if you think Putin's going to stop, it's going to get worse and worse.
00:01:01.840 He's not going to accept it.
00:01:03.520 And we don't have anybody to talk to him.
00:01:05.680 You had somebody to talk to him with me.
00:01:07.880 Nobody was ever tougher on Russia than me.
00:01:10.200 I'm the one that stopped the pipeline.
00:01:12.460 I had it stopped.
00:01:14.040 I'm the one that put all the sanctions on.
00:01:16.780 And I'm the one that he didn't attack during our administration.
00:01:20.740 Everyone's asking about that now.
00:01:22.280 Even the radical left reporters up there.
00:01:25.140 The U.S. must make clear to Putin that he has two choices to negotiate peace right now or else face blistering consequences,
00:01:33.840 including a push to permanently eliminate dependence on Russian energy.
00:01:39.620 And we're talking about forever or for a long, long time.
00:01:43.260 Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome on board.
00:01:45.320 Today's edition of Human Events Daily, powered by Turning Point USA.
00:01:49.020 Today is January 27, 2023.
00:01:52.060 Anno Domini.
00:01:53.140 I am your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:01:56.400 So a fascinating new report is out from the Rand Corporation.
00:02:02.120 And believe it or not, this corporation, the neoliberal think tank, the Rand Corporation, Henry Kissinger comes from there.
00:02:10.720 Condoleezza Rice, associated with the Rand Corporation.
00:02:13.640 Huge place.
00:02:16.060 Indelibly tied to Washington, D.C.'s foreign policy, particularly our military policy around the world.
00:02:21.060 This new report is urging Washington, D.C. to get the heck out of Dodge in Ukraine as, quote, U.S. interests would best be served by avoiding a protracted conflict and, quote, costs and risks of a long war outweigh the potential benefits, outweigh the potential benefits.
00:02:45.960 All right, I'm just going to read this to you, although this is crazy, by the way.
00:02:50.100 It's crazy because the Rand Corp, you got to understand, for years has been pushing for escalation with Russia, this idea that, oh, it's in the United States interest to, by the way, this is how D.C. understands things, right?
00:03:03.380 They they're believers.
00:03:04.720 It's like this video game thinking of the world is this grand chess match and it's all a zero sum game.
00:03:11.440 And for every time Russia loses, America wins.
00:03:15.920 They never quite explain how they never quite explain how these things benefit American citizens, American children, American families, moms and dads, you people at home, myself, all of us.
00:03:28.780 Really, they never explain any of it.
00:03:30.360 They say if we decrease Russia's influence in the Donbass, it will achieve strategic goals for American foreign interests.
00:03:42.140 OK, how does how does that help put food on my table?
00:03:47.500 How does that help to make my gas less expensive?
00:03:54.620 Because that's going up again, by the way, in case you guys hadn't noticed.
00:03:57.680 See, it's sort of been out of headlines, but the price of gas is going up and up and up and up and it's ticking back up ever so slightly.
00:04:04.160 And what's amazing, though, to me, because.
00:04:10.280 If you go into Washington, D.C., or if you turn on right now, almost any of the cable networks, they'll tell you specifically.
00:04:19.400 That it's on.
00:04:21.420 The United States is going to war with them Ruskies and we're going to take them down for America.
00:04:28.540 And that's what America needs to do.
00:04:30.480 We're sending tanks.
00:04:31.560 We're sending bombs.
00:04:33.540 We're sending missiles.
00:04:35.080 We're sending troops.
00:04:35.860 Oh, no way.
00:04:36.460 I'm sorry.
00:04:36.740 We're not sending troops, at least not publicly.
00:04:38.560 We're sending contractors, just contractors, not troops.
00:04:44.260 Don't get it.
00:04:45.200 Don't get it twisted now.
00:04:46.460 Don't get it twisted.
00:04:47.320 Just contractors.
00:04:50.340 So to understand the difference here, what we're clear seeing is mission creep.
00:04:56.500 And so when you see a place like Rand Corporation come out and basically say, don't do this, you realize that even some in Washington, D.C., it's like somewhere deep down in the bowels of memory.
00:05:09.900 The bowels of the mind of the swamp.
00:05:13.320 They remember the Cold War somewhere.
00:05:16.680 They do.
00:05:17.420 And they remember that a lot of these things don't work if you are in direct military conflict with a nuclear power.
00:05:26.640 So look at this.
00:05:28.180 The authors identify key impediments to Russia, Ukraine talks such as mutual optimism about the future of the war and mutual pessimism about the implications of peace.
00:05:36.980 The perspectives highlight for policy interests the United States could use to mitigate this, clarifying plans for future support for Ukraine, making commitments to Ukraine security, issuing assurances regarding the country's neutrality, neutrality for Ukraine and setting conditions for sanctions relief for Russia as a as a as a potential carrot here.
00:05:57.140 So. So. Isn't that what all of us have been saying from the start on the right, that rather than escalate this thing and sending more tanks and more tanks and more bombs and everything else, you know, like we're in a bad cranberry song that instead.
00:06:15.620 We actually sue for peace.
00:06:17.520 That's something President Trump said yesterday.
00:06:19.540 And now we have this report out.
00:06:20.680 You know why?
00:06:21.160 Why? Because a protracted war with the Russians turns the world into pico de gallo.
00:06:29.640 And.
00:06:31.180 Even if we don't get into a direct conflict, because after all, I mean, NATO going to war with Russia in winter, what could go wrong?
00:06:42.240 Unfortunately, for the country of Ukraine, a lot could go wrong.
00:06:46.900 We don't need to imagine what could happen because we can see it.
00:06:51.560 We can see Afghanistan after 20 years of military adventures, 20 years of troops, of funding, of spending.
00:07:03.180 Countries in shambles.
00:07:05.720 Taliban went right back into power.
00:07:08.680 How many people died?
00:07:10.340 How many people were displaced?
00:07:11.600 First, are they trying to turn Ukraine into Ukrainistan?
00:07:19.520 The defense contractors would love that because guess what?
00:07:22.880 General Dynamics gets to backfill all of those tanks that just got sent over from Canada, from the United States, from all across Europe.
00:07:31.700 They're even trying to get South America and Central America in.
00:07:34.740 They've even offered them to the Cubans and the Venezuelans because why not?
00:07:39.460 But a sale is a sale.
00:07:42.200 And just like we saw from the James O'Keefe videos this week in Project Veritas, Pfizer looks at illness and health care and sickness as a business opportunity.
00:07:55.520 Well, let me tell you something.
00:07:57.540 As President Eisenhower and so many others have said before, war is a racket.
00:08:03.760 The biggest racket on earth.
00:08:06.300 And the problem is, what's the price for peace?
00:08:11.480 Nobody's selling it.
00:08:13.880 There's no money to be had in peace.
00:08:16.180 Nobody's making money off of that.
00:08:18.660 And that's why we do need somebody, though, more importantly, who understands that the way we make money is through prosperity, through exploration, exploring space.
00:08:28.860 But no, no, they just want invasion after invasion instead.
00:08:34.000 I want to read a few quotes about Twitter's practices, and I just want you to tell me if they're true or not.
00:08:43.300 Social media is being rigged to censor conservatives.
00:08:47.420 Is that true of Twitter?
00:08:49.000 No.
00:08:49.240 I don't know what Twitter is up to.
00:08:52.800 It sure looks like to me that they're censoring people, and they ought to stop it.
00:08:57.260 Are you censoring people?
00:08:59.040 No.
00:09:00.300 Twitter shadow banning prominent Republicans.
00:09:04.280 Bad.
00:09:05.380 Is that true?
00:09:06.380 No.
00:09:06.620 So that was Jack Dorsey, all the way back in 2018, testifying before the U.S. Congress.
00:09:15.420 Now, believe it or not, I was in attendance for that testimony.
00:09:18.260 I was there with Mr. Alex Jones almost five years ago now on that day when Jack Dorsey – now, look, did he lie to Congress?
00:09:29.480 Obviously.
00:09:30.440 He just obviously lied to Congress.
00:09:32.460 There's no real question about that.
00:09:35.100 Is he going to be charged for it ever?
00:09:36.720 Probably not.
00:09:37.580 But, of course, we understand that that's how the world works now.
00:09:40.460 We don't have one set of laws.
00:09:42.620 We have two sets of laws.
00:09:43.620 We have one set of laws for the people in power and the one set of laws for everybody else.
00:09:49.100 But if that's the word to say, Elon Musk has purchased Twitter.
00:09:53.120 He's taken it private again.
00:09:54.260 And believe it or not, Elon Musk took the great Dave Rubin, host of the Dave Rubin Show, out to San Francisco.
00:10:03.200 And he was allowed to go out.
00:10:06.080 And here's what he found.
00:10:07.200 Because he had been tweeting about this.
00:10:08.540 In fact, I was tweeting about this recently and Elon responded to me about how engagement seemed really down on Twitter.
00:10:15.540 Like something was amiss.
00:10:16.600 Something was wrong.
00:10:16.980 And look, so people ask me about Twitter all the time and, you know, I don't like to get into it too much because sometimes it can sound like it's complaining.
00:10:28.340 But it's here's the deal, right?
00:10:31.020 That you can always tell when the brakes are on and when you can tell you can tell when the brakes are off.
00:10:37.000 And Twitter prior to Elon buying it would go through periods where the brakes were on and the brakes were off.
00:10:43.400 And you just knew.
00:10:44.540 You just knew the sort of tweet that would take off and get thousands and thousands of retweets.
00:10:49.180 And the sort of tweet that would just, you know, kind of be funny or, you know, maybe get a couple of retweets here and there.
00:10:54.780 But that was it.
00:10:55.900 But then all of a sudden, none of the tweets would be taking off.
00:11:00.040 And there's a reason for that.
00:11:01.240 Because the tweets that you're posting are not being sent to the people that have asked to follow you.
00:11:07.040 And that's the point of any social media.
00:11:09.280 The people who follow it, decide who they want to follow, would like to see content from those people, those outlets.
00:11:17.320 So if you're following Human Events Daily, subscribing to the podcast, you would want the podcast to be downloaded every time that we drop a new episode of Human Events Daily.
00:11:27.800 Yet what if, all of a sudden, it wasn't doing that?
00:11:32.420 What if you didn't get the notification?
00:11:35.200 What if it didn't download to your phone or whatever platform you're using?
00:11:39.500 Well, there'd be a problem with that.
00:11:41.200 And that's exactly how Twitter was set up.
00:11:43.440 So here's what Rubin has found out.
00:11:45.780 That it is a flaming dumpster, as Elon Musk put it.
00:11:48.540 And there's actually an argument going on now, internally at Twitter, to say, can we fix the code?
00:11:56.940 Or do we need to burn the entire thing down and start from scratch?
00:12:02.240 Here's what he found.
00:12:03.380 Dave Rubin said that it's almost like a fractal Rube Goldberg machine.
00:12:07.300 It's sort of like a delicate balance likened to a Jenga tower.
00:12:12.760 And as they fix the code, more problems arise.
00:12:15.220 One wrong move and the whole thing collapses.
00:12:17.380 They're working nonstop.
00:12:18.540 And both times that they met, they were after midnight.
00:12:21.300 He said he met with several engineers who were doing deep dives on why his account and so many others seem to be absolutely crushed after that two or three week return to normalcy when Elon first took over.
00:12:31.480 They still have much more questions than answers, but they did learn a lot of stuff.
00:12:35.760 Now, what's interesting is that Dave found that there are layers upon layers of shadow bands and labels that you put onto you when you were on Twitter.
00:12:47.720 What does this mean?
00:12:48.820 This means that when the Wokies at Twitter and believe me, there's obviously still some sleepers that are still there, even beyond Elon buying the thing.
00:12:57.840 That what they were doing was that every time they came up with a new label, every time they came up with a new misinfo on COVID, misinfo on elections, misinfo on, I don't know, homicide rates by race, whatever it is, whatever it is.
00:13:13.120 But they were adding it on top of the other layers.
00:13:18.400 And so you can't just roll the entire that actually asked Dave.
00:13:21.220 This is it.
00:13:21.560 Can you roll the entire thing back?
00:13:22.620 He said no.
00:13:24.060 Because it's all structured together.
00:13:26.220 And so that when one piece is pulled out, then the other pieces fall into different places and you make one wrong move, then other things happen.
00:13:34.380 And so the argument, of course, this being had is do you let it run?
00:13:39.180 Do you continue to try to fix it or do you set up a new piece of it?
00:13:43.120 Do you just start from scratch?
00:13:44.440 Hit the old reset button.
00:13:46.540 I'd be in favor of that at this point.
00:13:48.100 Honestly, go ahead and reset it.
00:13:49.880 And if you need to take Twitter off for a week to reset the servers, if you need to take it off for two weeks, go right ahead.
00:13:55.340 Don't care.
00:13:56.580 There's another possible option.
00:13:57.880 You could set up a clone of Twitter in an air-gapped computer or an air-gapped server.
00:14:03.880 So something that's not connected to anything.
00:14:06.220 Let it run in a virtual space for a while.
00:14:10.660 Load some accounts to it.
00:14:12.120 Mess around with it.
00:14:12.880 Make sure that that fresh code.
00:14:14.820 Go back and find the original code from 2015, 2016.
00:14:19.200 Go in there.
00:14:20.100 Set up a new version of Twitter.
00:14:22.040 See if it works.
00:14:23.620 And then shut down old Twitter.
00:14:25.720 Do it on a Sunday night or something.
00:14:28.440 Shut the current Twitter down.
00:14:30.880 Call that old Twitter.
00:14:32.140 And then bring back.
00:14:33.400 You can call it Twitter classic if you want to.
00:14:35.340 Call it whatever you want.
00:14:37.340 And then bring us back.
00:14:39.240 But what's amazing to me is that these strikes, these key lists, these words, the question, of course, is why were they so?
00:14:49.880 Why were they so obsessed with this?
00:14:51.140 Why were they so obsessed with censoring and shadow banning political content after 2016?
00:15:00.140 I just can't think of why they would do that.
00:15:02.940 It almost seems like it was the sole focus of the people at the company.
00:15:09.220 They didn't exist to provide you with the type of content you'd like to see.
00:15:15.200 So, for example, if you go to other social media networks, not all of them, but some of them.
00:15:20.640 And let's say that I like paintball.
00:15:23.300 I love playing paintball.
00:15:24.460 It's one of my favorite sports.
00:15:26.560 Well, if I interact with paintball content, then the next day when I go back in, I expect to see more of that.
00:15:32.260 I see some suggestions.
00:15:33.720 Hey, here's some new paintball markers.
00:15:35.920 Here's a new team.
00:15:36.700 Here's a tournament that's near you that's going on.
00:15:39.460 If you have your location set up.
00:15:40.880 Isn't that what you'd want from your social media services?
00:15:43.700 But instead, that's not what Twitter's doing.
00:15:45.600 Twitter was front-loading anything that didn't agree with your political beliefs or didn't agree with the server's political beliefs.
00:15:52.360 It's kind of like ChatGPT.
00:15:54.080 You go into ChatGPT and you ask it anything political.
00:15:57.260 By the way, so it says, if you go and ask ChatGPT, what do you think of Jack Posobiec?
00:16:02.440 They'll say, he's a controversial guy who's done a lot of things that I don't agree with.
00:16:05.960 Then you ask if, then you ask ChatGPT, what do you think of Joy Reid and Rachel Maddow?
00:16:10.400 It says, Joy Reid and Rachel Maddow are highly respected journalists that work hard to get their truthful information out to their audience.
00:16:18.760 Say, okay, cool.
00:16:20.800 Appreciate that.
00:16:21.560 So, yeah, ChatGPT, it's just going to be another Google.
00:16:24.680 It's just going to be another Wikipedia.
00:16:26.060 You are not going to get truth from that because, as they always say in computer programming, garbage in, garbage out.
00:16:33.120 That is why we need free and open and honest Twitter, Getter, Truth, Telegram, all of it.
00:16:39.740 Two things.
00:16:42.920 One is we enjoy a very strategic relationship with China and we enjoy that same strategic relationship with other nations, including the U.S., and we wanted to develop that with Europe and other countries who are willing and able to work with us to advance the public good in the world.
00:17:01.700 Yes.
00:17:01.920 I think with regard to China, they are the largest trading partner with Saudi Arabia.
00:17:07.220 I think there are no issues with discussing how we settle our trade arrangements, whether it is the U.S. dollar, whether it is the euro, whether it is the Saudi real or their currency.
00:17:17.260 There was no discussion on that at all.
00:17:18.600 I don't think we are waving away or rolling out any discussion that will help improve the trade around the world.
00:17:27.120 The United States is currently the world reserve currency.
00:17:34.720 One of the key pillars of that status, the reason the U.S. dollar is used all over the world.
00:17:44.020 Is our status as the petrodollar.
00:17:47.200 What does that mean?
00:17:48.600 That means when petroleum is traded on the international market, it's done so in U.S. currency, greenbacks, U.S. dollars, the almighty dollar.
00:18:04.500 Now, to be sure, the United States has stood to gain tremendously and has gained tremendously from the war in Ukraine in terms of the petrodollar status.
00:18:16.860 Why do I say this?
00:18:17.640 Because Nord Stream 2 and Nord Stream 1 are lying at the bottom of the Baltic Sea.
00:18:26.580 That was Russia's connection.
00:18:29.180 The umbilical cord that they had built to Europe through Germany.
00:18:32.920 Someone blew it up, I don't know who, but it's gone now.
00:18:38.320 But Europe still needs energy.
00:18:40.600 Someone has got to do it.
00:18:42.260 And thanks to Greta, thanks to so many others, of course, they don't have the ability to be energy-sufficient themselves.
00:18:49.960 They have no coal plants.
00:18:51.760 Nuclear is basically shut down except for in France and a couple other spots.
00:18:55.240 So what do you do?
00:18:58.020 Well, the United States have been more than happy to backfill them.
00:19:01.680 And currently, the U.S. liquid national gas, LNG, has been skyrocketing to replace Nord Stream 1 and 2.
00:19:09.780 Just want you to understand.
00:19:12.380 Cherchez-le-petrol.
00:19:13.880 It's how to understand world politics.
00:19:15.580 Cherchez-le-petrol.
00:19:16.400 Now, the French used to have the saying, Cherchez-le-femme, search for the woman, right?
00:19:20.560 Whenever you're dealing with a murder situation or a homicide mystery, Cherchez-le-femme, search for the woman.
00:19:27.740 Well, I say, Cherchez-le-petrol.
00:19:30.340 Look for the gas.
00:19:34.260 But here's the other issue.
00:19:35.640 The United States isn't the only one in this because the United States largely abrogated its position as the world's leading, what we could have had, what we certainly had under President Trump, as the world's leading energy provider.
00:19:50.940 And this is something that the folks that argue for the gold standard to come back, I think they always kind of miss this point because the U.S. dollar, I'm not saying I'm against that, by the way, just listen where I'm going.
00:20:05.700 The U.S. dollar isn't just floated by fiat.
00:20:08.360 The U.S. dollar is propped up by the fact that it's the world reserve currency and the petrodollar.
00:20:14.480 Well, there's a new article and a new analysis out of Alt Market that I wanted to respond to here.
00:20:18.800 The decline of a currency's world reserve status is often a long process right with denials.
00:20:25.360 There are numerous economic experts out there that have been dismissing any and all warnings of dollar collapse for years.
00:20:30.800 They just don't get it or they don't want it.
00:20:32.380 The idea that the U.S. currency could ever be dethroned as the de facto global trade mechanism is impossible in their minds.
00:20:38.940 And, of course, we have the United States Navy defending the seas, defending the strategic choke points.
00:20:44.820 We talk about that a lot here on the show, strategic choke points.
00:20:47.620 It's the Taiwan Strait, the Strait of Malacca, the Strait of Babel Mendeb at the other end of the Red Sea.
00:20:56.440 The Strait of Hormuz going into the Persian Gulf, pretty much the only way in and out from a maritime perspective.
00:21:02.520 The Panama Canal, the Gulf of Suez, etc., etc.
00:21:07.060 Terra del Fuego, where the Chinese are building a naval base.
00:21:11.320 So understand, strategic choke points, control the choke points, control the world.
00:21:16.840 We can also talk about the Northern Passage that's coming.
00:21:19.900 One of the key pillars keeping the dollar in place is the world reserve status as its petrodollar.
00:21:25.180 And this faction is often held up as the reasons why the greenback cannot fail.
00:21:28.940 But what happens if places like Saudi Arabia and Russia and Iran, obviously, is already doing this,
00:21:34.640 China and others stop trading, India stop trading in the U.S. dollar?
00:21:41.320 Do you remember those stories out of Weimar, Germany?
00:21:45.180 About people who would ask for a half day's wages and then run out to go buy what?
00:21:52.960 Oh, that's right.
00:21:54.780 Milk and eggs.
00:21:57.080 Because they knew the price of milk and eggs would have gone up so much by the end of the day
00:22:02.380 that they wouldn't be able to afford it.
00:22:04.220 So they'd ask for a half day's wages and they'd run out and get it.
00:22:08.660 The stories of people using Kaiser dollars as wallpaper in Weimar, Germany.
00:22:18.460 Understand, if we lose our world reserve status as the world reserve currency, that's going to be us.
00:22:26.940 All that money in your bank account, poof, poof, all your savings, stock market's going to absolutely crash if this happens.
00:22:41.040 The amount of pain that the average American family goes through or would go through would be immense.
00:22:49.280 Now, this isn't an advertiser-backed or sponsored segment that we're doing.
00:22:55.520 I'm not going to say, you know, and that's why you have to go to my partners at blah, blah, blah, gold.
00:23:00.560 Look, just calling it like it is.
00:23:03.560 The world is moving and shifting from a place where the United States maintained global supremacy
00:23:10.920 to a new place called multipolarity.
00:23:16.020 United States is still going to be a key player.
00:23:17.560 And the United States and Europe's relationship is still stronger than ever, possibly even more so.
00:23:23.880 But the rise of China and the resurgence of Russia, the rise of the BRICS nations,
00:23:30.760 the rise of China's one belt, one road, all offer substantive alternatives to the U.S.-backed system.
00:23:38.740 And that means, boys and girls, that the benefits and privileges of being the world's last remaining superpower are going to go away.
00:23:50.920 And they're going to go away fast.
00:23:52.560 So you're going to see prices skyrocket.
00:23:56.380 And you're going to see, oh, wait a minute.
00:23:59.020 We already are seeing the price of gas go up.
00:24:03.920 The price of eggs go up.
00:24:06.080 The price of milk go up.
00:24:07.940 Our staple products.
00:24:10.400 And you should, by the way.
00:24:11.880 A friend of mine said that they were listening to the show the other day and they heard slunking.
00:24:15.480 And they said, what was that slunking thing that Poso was talking about?
00:24:18.300 Yeah, that's when you do raw eggs.
00:24:22.020 All of this is going to go up.
00:24:24.540 It's going to be harder for us to pay things.
00:24:26.120 And when we look at the debt ceiling, when we look at the financing of our U.S. government,
00:24:31.420 we're going to realize that we can't be an open borders country with unfunded entitlements for the entire world.
00:24:40.160 We are going to have to embrace some hard questions.
00:24:45.880 This is what's coming, folks.
00:24:47.360 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.