Trump's lawyers have met with the Department of Justice to discuss whether or not to charge President Trump in the classified documents case. A Chinese warship comes within 150 yards of a U.S. destroyer in the Taiwan Strait, a judge in Tennessee strikes down a ban on drag shows in the state, and more!
00:10:25.700One, Trump was bringing back the Cubans in South Florida that Romney lost.
00:10:31.060I mean, him and Obama, he carried them a little bit.
00:10:33.140Him and Obama largely split Cubans in 2012, and Trump had been bringing them back going into the 2016 election.
00:10:40.180And then his policies, he really courted them, and he blew that margin wide open.
00:10:44.260Even people who voted Democratic in prior elections for Barack Obama, he was bringing them back.
00:10:50.240Secondly, the naturalization of the new Venezuelan votes that really are enclaves that parked right next to the Cuban communities in South Florida, the Gold Coast, in Miami.
00:11:02.400So while everybody was focusing on Hillsborough as the bellwether, we were saying, you know, that's the one last bastion for liberal Hispanics.
00:11:10.540And they were Puerto Rican descent, ethnicity.
00:11:13.260And we were telling people it was Pinellas.
00:11:15.360And then by the time people caught on to that, we were saying that actually you could lose Pinellas as a Republican because of the shift in South Florida.
00:11:22.760So, you know, they've been one, two election cycles behind us the whole way, Jack.
00:11:27.880And we said that Miami-Dade was at the presidential level.
00:12:42.800And the primary electorate for Republicans is getting much more nonwhite.
00:12:47.480So once upon a time, Hispanics could be 14 to 18 percent of the overall general election electorate and that they weren't shifting all the way right at that point.
00:12:57.940Now, last election, they were about one out of every five votes.
00:13:01.440And in a Republican electorate, they could be up to 15 percent.
00:13:04.420This support for Trump in the southeast region of the state is a big part of his lead in the poll that we did because he's winning with Hispanics.
00:14:58.100So RFK is doing fairly poorly in this state.
00:15:02.620But that works both to Trump's favor and to Biden's favor.
00:15:06.000And right now, I mean, Jack, this again, the headline really is here that the share of the Republican electorate that's going to be non-white is going to be bigger than ever before.
00:15:19.660They already make up about 15 percent of the Republican registrations and they can they're going to vote, you know, at least as of right now.
00:15:27.320And so, Rich, we got about a minute until break here.
00:15:31.920What I want to explain to people that you're going through and you're modeling out also you're talking about the turnout pattern for the primary.
00:15:38.480You're also showing what the support level is.
00:15:41.340Obviously, we know we see the fact here that this is a closed primary.
00:15:44.980That means if you're registered independent and this, by the way, goes through there's a lot of states that are like this, that if you are registered independent, you are not going to be able to have your say.
00:15:53.140Look, you might be a huge DeSantis booster.
00:16:04.380We were talking about that the other day.
00:16:05.500This also plays a role in those ballot chase operations that Turning Point Action is focused on.
00:16:10.820That if you are not registered, it becomes much harder to be able to participate in some of those things if you're not registered in one of the parties, certainly for the party.
00:16:30.340You're breaking down these numbers, Rich.
00:16:32.380I mean, you're saying Trump 52, Ron DeSantis 32 in the state of Florida, the state that knows Ron DeSantis the best, the state where he obviously has the highest name ID, the state where he just won a major campaign in, what, six months ago, seven months ago, where he spent a ton of money out there.
00:16:55.300So the fact of the matter is that if you're looking at this and let's say, let's say you're overshooting by 10%, I'm not accusing this, but let's say you're overshooting.
00:17:02.900You're still, you're still talking about a 20 point margin, even if you take away 10% of that.
00:17:08.020So if you are that campaign, if you're that campaign right now, what are you telling donors when they look at numbers like this, when they look at numbers, look, Rasputin's got the numbers out today, showing a huge lead.
00:17:21.700CNN's CNN even has the same story as you.
00:17:25.280And I, I don't think that the people's pundit is coordinating very much with CNN because they have the headline up this morning.
00:17:33.220I actually saw this after I read your poll over the weekend that said Republican challengers to Donald Trump are having trouble winning their own states.
00:17:41.360And it did, I'll admittedly have more of a focus on like New Hampshire.
00:17:46.800Actually, he had been, there'd been a lot of talk about him potentially running.
00:17:50.660He decided, he wrote an op-ed today saying that he's not getting in, but we're also seeing Haley.
00:17:55.660We're seeing the same, obviously Haley and Tim Scott are from the same state.
00:17:59.100So they're splitting that, this idea that if you're running for president and you can't win your own state, now Mike Pence is going to get in with Indiana.
00:18:06.160But again, I'd like to see those Indiana numbers.
00:18:26.420But also to, you know, also to Florida Atlantic University a couple of weeks ago, they, they came out a couple of days after our first poll in Florida, which showed a tighter race, but Trump was still up.
00:18:38.140They had a 30 point margin and I was, it was like 60, 30.
00:18:42.040And I was thinking maybe I didn't pull into, uh, you know, enough to maybe, maybe something happened, uh, almost a week after we came out of the field.
00:18:51.260So I was really excited to get back in the field to see, and we did find a bigger margin, not as big as Florida Atlantic, but a bigger margin.
00:18:57.960I will say this after this poll came out, uh, yesterday, uh, donors call me all the time and ask what, what I think about stuff.
00:19:04.820And there are calls going out because people were talking about the poll, there are calls going out saying, you know, don't worry when he's indicted, things will change.
00:19:13.460And their pollster does show them different numbers than the public polls are showing, which is, uh, a Mitt Romney kind of bubble we saw in 2012.
00:19:21.620Uh, you know, you, you can believe your own pollster more, but the fact is we are in the universe with it, with most other pollsters.
00:19:28.720So, um, it's, it's a bit of a bubble, but they are in fact banking on Donald Trump being indicted.
00:19:35.060And what they were asking me was, do you think when, if, and when he's indicted, which I do think he will be looking at these numbers, they have to do something.
00:19:43.280They have to, uh, so looking at these numbers, they're not going to beat him at the ballot box.
00:20:30.800Now this month, we didn't hear, uh, that as much.
00:20:33.660We heard a lot more negative stuff and it goes with what Rasmussen found and they're out with this morning.
00:20:38.800People are now, Republicans are starting to look at Ron DeSantis as some kind of vehicle by the, whatever you want to call it, the, the establishment, the uniparty, you know, however Republicans view the world.
00:20:49.740They're starting to look at him as the vehicle to take out Trump and they don't like it.
00:20:55.580So his negatives are rising even in his own state.
00:20:59.160So once upon a time, we, by the way, he fell here.
00:21:09.520So there's a, there's a negative reaction happening here.
00:21:12.600So you could wait for this indictment, indictment and hope it answers all your prayers, but it could also backfire.
00:21:18.940And I'm, I'm thinking with everything we're seeing, it's very likely it's going to backfire.
00:21:24.480And Jack, just for a second, the, I would not vote if you take out Trump with lawfare is growing every week.
00:21:30.900So even if that works, it's a flawed strategy because you're going to end up with a huge chunk of Republicans who will refuse to vote in the general election or they'll write in Trump.
00:21:53.300We chuckle when we heard it because it happens to us.
00:21:55.380Well, and it's interesting too, because a lot of these questions, this, by the way, and I'll break this down for folks later as well, is this is why they really want to not just get Trump on classified records, that if you want to get him actually knocked off the ballot.
00:22:14.620And so what you've got to do is hit him with insurrection, maybe espionage might be something, because you've got to get judges to then trigger these post-Civil War laws.
00:22:27.480They tried this with Marjorie Taylor Greene.
00:22:29.540They tried it down in North Carolina as well.
00:22:32.020They were trying to get people kicked off because of January 6th.
00:22:38.360By the way, not to knock him off the election because Eugene Jebbs, actually, there's Supreme Court precedent that you can run if you've been indicted.
00:22:45.800And by the way, the guy was in federal prison and still ran back during World War I.
00:22:50.460It has to do with getting you kicked off the ballot.
00:22:53.360I mean, it's crazier than the moonshot, but it actually does seem to be something that – what drives me, though, crazy – and, Rich, I'll give you the last thing.
00:23:43.100So I think it's really just this misunderstanding is leading to all these flawed assumptions, and those flawed assumptions are leading to bad decisions.
00:23:50.060And, you know, the Republican Party is really in great risk here of fracturing themselves.
00:32:18.900This is what we mean. This is what we mean. This is what we mean. This is what we mean. This is what we mean. He was laughing at something homophobic. He was being homophobic. He was laughing at liberation.
00:32:46.020It's fine. I told him he shouldn't be there. I told him that he's no cops at Pride. And then they're detaining me. I only said three, four words.
00:32:57.200And they snuck up on him. Did you see that? They snuck up on him.
00:33:01.880okay so libby emmons we're looking at we're looking at footage right here out of the la
00:33:14.440looks like the la pride march there west hollywood that's the la sheriffs they're making several
00:33:20.200arrests of activists at the event uh walk us through what we're watching why are they arresting
00:33:25.240people at the la pride march yeah so this was a guy there's a warrant out for his arrest for
00:33:31.240stealing a cell phone back in april at a pride at a uh some sort of pride protest at a library about
00:33:37.880books and things and so here he is getting arrested warrant out for his arrest and he's screaming that
00:33:44.160his arrest is transphobic and homophobic as are the onlookers so yeah and they're pretty sure that the
00:33:52.500la cops are horribly transphobic even though um you know we know for sure that they've marched in
00:33:58.560pride parades and things like this so it's it's pretty shocking to see as something as simple as
00:34:05.540an arrest be for a warrant be reframed as um but like a hate crime wait wait so so it breaks up
00:34:13.920wait a second make sure i have this clear this is basically a left-wing activist who had outstanding
00:34:20.400warrants right it's like if you get it's like the old chris rock bit like make if your friend gets in
00:34:25.240your car make sure they don't have any warrants first and that uh and that so when they they go
00:34:31.000to the pride march because the la sheriff's department knows that they have outstanding
00:34:36.280warrants and basically they just waited for the la for the left-wing activists to show up because
00:34:42.260they knew of course that they'd be showing up to the they were staging raids for people with
00:34:47.000outstanding warrants and priors at the pride march yeah they were checking it out and there were
00:34:52.100probably more of these absolutely amazing yeah and this guy goes by the name zodiac rose there's a
00:34:58.300fundraiser launched zodiac rose zodiac rose that's the one
00:35:03.420zodiac so potentially related to ted cruz there of course the zodiac yeah probably i'm sure
00:35:10.900going back to our 2016 meme folder everybody so when when you're looking at stuff like this though
00:35:20.620where are we libby we've got a couple of minutes left where are we as it stands on the culture of
00:35:26.600war front we're in the midst of pride month we're five days in my thesis has actually been it feels
00:35:33.380like pride month is kind of in a tactical retreat because yes they are still doing the the marches and
00:35:40.000the rallies and drew hernandez has some great footage not great footage but some horrific footage
00:35:44.320up out of tempe arizona but you're noticing on the corporate front specifically target um the
00:35:51.180le dodgers now they're still out there we're gonna we're gonna talk about that later but um the bud
00:35:57.000lighting that we've seen going on that's what the usa today called it bud lighting of these corporate
00:36:01.380brands i feel like a lot of the corporations are pulling back on this what do you think
00:36:05.340yeah i think you're right and if you go to twitter and check out some of the logos of the big
00:36:11.000corporations that usually uh emblazon their normal logos with big rainbow trans flags or what have
00:36:18.320you they're not quite doing that this year walmart isn't doing it this year um but we do have the
00:36:23.500federal government going all in the department of agriculture has changed their logo to be all
00:36:28.080rainbow centric as have some of the other agencies but is pride necessarily in retreat or is it just
00:36:34.720amping up and and arming up to a certain extent we see in tennessee a planned parenthood affiliate is
00:36:43.340planning to bring arms with them to a protest of a general assembly in august a special session there
00:36:50.660we are seeing also that a lot of the pride stuff is pivoting full trans in boston there was a trans
00:36:58.480resistance march over the weekend where boston medical was handing out what are called packers
00:37:04.080which are fake penises so that women can stick them in their pants and make it look like they have
00:37:09.060one of their very own i wonder what virginia wolf would have said about that you know a packer of
00:37:13.900your very own okay yeah yeah we also have in washington state in olympia we have instead of pride
00:37:21.600crosswalks how they were crosswalks and rainbow now they're being painted in um baby pink baby blue
00:37:28.580and white for the trans colors a lot of this stuff is just going full trans we see in canada also
00:37:35.420they're doubling down on the drag queen stuff so there's a kids are forced to celebrate pride at a
00:37:41.840canadian elementary school in newfoundland and st john's complete with drag queens we see drag queens
00:37:47.600for kids out in tempe arizona that drew was covering for sure and that was not only sponsored and paid for
00:37:54.220by the city of tempe but you had drag queens out there telling everyone to go vote democrat and get
00:37:59.160the republicans out of office so that's what tempe arizona thinks of the gop vote um yeah across the
00:38:06.220country this is what this is what's going on you have drag queens the whole thing going there with
00:38:11.820in tennessee you had um a federal judge has said that you can that tennessee cannot ban drag performances
00:38:19.560for kids his take was interesting he said that the law as it was written was incredibly too broad so
00:38:26.000that's something for lawmakers to consider just be specific in the legislation that you're writing so
00:38:31.100that federal judges don't say that it is in violation of the first amendment which of course is
00:38:35.760not something that anyone wants to be violating
00:38:38.100libby admins the editor-in-chief of both the postmillennial and humanevents.com i have a question for you
00:38:45.360my thesis has been lately that the 80s and 90s church moms were right about the slippery slope
00:38:51.600what do you think yeah i think that's pretty interesting as well and i've been giving some
00:38:56.780thought to that in terms of the obergefell decision that legalized um marriage for everybody
00:39:03.340uh and basically that decision oh looks like the deep state found me guys go ahead libby
00:39:09.800i said that there was the that everyone had an individual had the right to marry but it did not
00:39:18.720specify what marriage was and i do think that that was a mistake by the supreme court because it didn't
00:39:23.520say that marriage is between two people it said that an individual has the right to marry so then we
00:39:28.220have in somerville massachusetts the essentially the legalization of domestic partnerships up to six
00:39:34.140people at a time so that's certainly some slippery slopeness uh i would say for sure and that's a
00:39:40.880shame because that that's basically about how the decision was written um but yeah there's definitely
00:39:46.280some i think some of those church moms had some things probably correct and it's interesting now
00:39:52.420and the catholic churches you're seeing veils come back you're seeing i'm libby emmons filling in
00:39:59.360while a fire alarm is going off at jack's studio and i'm gonna keep giving you this update on pride
00:40:06.020it's been really fascinating what we've been seeing there has been a lot of pushback as jack has
00:40:10.780suggested over the weekend we saw elon musk and jordan peterson both come in and start talking about
00:40:17.820how sex changes for children are actually mutilating procedures and we have seen them talk about how
00:40:25.780anyone who puts through sex changes for kids from doctors um should be criminalized elon musk has said
00:40:33.820that parents should be held accountable for these kinds of things and there's really been a lot of
00:40:39.000pushback going on in this space and it's been pretty interesting to see it in the uk with the national
00:40:45.900health service a man called richie heron who underwent gender transition he underwent the full
00:40:53.560range of surgeries and he is now uh taking a suit to the nhs to demand that there are not only
00:41:01.340safeguards for children but safeguards for adults as well as he was over i think he was about 25 when
00:41:07.520he had that surgery and he has had nothing but complications since then uh including excruciating
00:41:14.760pain and difficulty and there's also a father who has joined him in that fight to take it to the nhs
00:41:21.540and try and get safeguards in place and he's essentially trying to prevent his child from
00:41:27.180undergoing these procedures and his child is i believe of age and that father is anonymous in
00:41:33.200discussing that we've also seen so much pushback from women athletes riley gaines has really given
00:41:39.260women a voice to speak out and the situation with riley gaines who speaks out against men women's
00:41:46.720and also the situation with jk rowling who still refuses to shut up despite everyone coming at her
00:41:53.480literally all the time shows how much good one person speaking up can really do it gives everybody
00:42:00.620else so much courage to jump in there and give an indication of where they stand as well without
00:42:06.560worrying that they're doing it all by themselves so i love to see that um what else has been going on
00:42:13.900the thing in tennessee i think is pretty fascinating this concept of overturning uh the law that was put
00:42:21.280into effect it before it went into effect on the eve of that was uh there was a temporary stay put on it
00:42:27.800back in april and now a federal judge has determined fully that it cannot go forward and the reasoning
00:42:34.240behind that was that it was overbroad that it took too many liberties in light of the second amendment
00:42:41.300i mean first amendment i'm sorry not the second amendment although tennessee is really overboard on
00:42:47.440that one as well we've seen a lot of uh protests we saw three members of the house there come up um
00:42:54.580on disciplinary uh action because they had been so violently opposed to um guns and had you know that
00:43:03.620was in the wake of the nashville school shooting another thing that we've seen is in montana there is a
00:43:09.620trans lawmaker one of the the only ones in the country out there who is speaking out um in favor
00:43:16.860of child sex changes and declaring that this is actually life-saving this person's name is zoe zephyr
00:43:23.680zephyr talked about how anyone who opposes um children getting sex changes has blood on their hands
00:43:30.860and i think it could very easily be said that uh anyone who's in favor of it has substantially more
00:43:37.900literal blood on their hands and i think we have a clip of um zoe zephyr saying that do we have that
00:43:45.420do we have that clip it's pretty pretty intense and the only thing i will say is that if you vote yes
00:43:51.020on this bill and yes on these amendments i hope the next time there's an invocation when you bow
00:43:57.060your heads in prayer you see the blood on your hands
00:43:59.460zephyr was disciplined in fact um for this comment uh which i think is
00:44:07.900probably probably pretty key this was in montana and there have been a host of states that have
00:44:13.940pushed forward bills that are not getting that much attention uh these are bills that say teachers
00:44:21.000and educators should keep students gender identity secret from parents bills that say kids can access
00:44:27.940um so-called gender affirming care without parental knowledge or consent these um gender affirming care
00:44:36.100of course is the complete and total lie the total fabrication the biden administration uses this
00:44:42.700term all the time it's a lie i just wrote about this in human events over the weekend you can go check
00:44:48.080that out um but california new york massachusetts minnesota and a host of other states are putting
00:44:54.360forward these kinds of legislation vermont as well that allow this to go forward one thing that i find
00:45:00.920really fascinating about this in fact is how linked abortion and child sex changes have become
00:45:09.300in laws in democrat-led um oh jack is back that's fun but i find that hey libby so appreciate that
00:45:18.900there um we we had we actually had a pre-scheduled test this is not a joy read situation where i forgot
00:45:25.240the smoke alarm batteries by the way we had a pre-scheduled test in the studio but i'm going
00:45:30.140to have to talk to them not to test it during the actual show ladies and gentlemen not during the
00:45:37.200actual show but the limit libby emmons events by the way it was fantastic did everybody like that
00:45:42.740was that amazing we've got uh we've got like thousands of people commenting in the chats they're
00:45:47.140saying wait i've got i'm even seeing people saying libby should host the show regularly no ban that
00:45:51.700person from you're not allowed to comment anymore you're not allowed to comment people who are
00:45:55.760saying that libby can co-host excuse me i don't want to you guys thought what happened
00:46:02.300that promo code is not allowed to be talked about on this show all right libby emmons miss doesn't
00:46:08.180even have a promo code to begin with have a how much we'd like to know doesn't even well i guess
00:46:14.600post-millennial does don't they post-millennial does that's good enough for me so technically so
00:46:21.040technically there is a post-millennial but you know no no no this libby you are you are fantastic
00:46:30.780for your coverage the post-millennials coverage of all of these things has been incredible
00:46:35.560uh we do bring lemmy emmons on we're going to continue bringing her on for regular updates when
00:46:40.840it comes to this cultural war specifically on the trans issue because this is something where
00:46:45.540libby emmons has become i really think one of the preeminent voices in the country at understanding
00:46:50.880what's going on here and what is the future for all of these movements libby where can people go
00:46:56.980to follow you get more information on your work
00:47:00.620so you could check me out on twitter at libby emmons and you can check out postmillennial.com
00:47:07.580and humanevents.com we're doing a new thing at the post-millennial we just signed up for twitter
00:47:11.980subscriptions and we're going to be putting some exclusive content in that section we already have
00:47:17.640some subscribers it's been really exciting so head on over to the post-millennials twitter page and hit
00:47:23.640subscribe all right god bless thank you so much libby emmons look folks you gotta love live tv by the
00:47:30.700way we are monitoring the rfk space uh rfk is talking about censorship talking about his eviction
00:47:36.980reinstatement on instagram etc etc a lot going on ladies and gentlemen as always you have my permission