A man in his 70s is shot and killed in a pre-dawn raid by the FBI in Utah. Special counsel Jack Smith has obtained warrants for Twitter to turn over former President Donald Trump s account information. A presidential candidate in Ecuador s upcoming election was killed during a campaign event.
00:01:25.740Some people have had to jump into the ocean to escape.
00:01:28.880Special counsel Jack Smith has obtained warrants for Twitter to turn over former President Donald Trump's account information.
00:01:36.020The Fulton County grand jury will go back to work with the possibility they'll be handed the case against former President Donald Trump and allies.
00:01:42.780It is more likely that allegations of election interference will go before one of two grand juries next week.
00:01:49.320In Russia, officials have opened an investigation after a powerful explosion rocked an industrial plant near Moscow.
00:01:56.380A presidential candidate in Ecuador's upcoming elections was killed tonight during a campaign event.
00:02:02.420Fernando Villavicencio was holding an event at a school north of Quito when he was shot.
00:02:07.540FBI agents shot and killed a man in Utah who they say has been making violent threats against the president, Governor Newsom, and other officials.
00:02:16.300Agents killed Craig Robertson Wednesday morning just hours before President Joe Biden's planned visit to Utah.
00:02:22.020Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events with Jack Posobiec.
00:02:41.860What you just saw there was a very confusing clip recorded by a man in Provo, Utah.
00:02:48.8006.15 a.m., an FBI SWAT team shows up across the street at the home of his elderly neighbor in his 70s banging on the door pre-dawn raid, screaming.
00:03:12.240We later find out that the man was wanted and had been under investigation by the FBI.
00:03:20.980They had a search warrant as well as an arrest warrant.
00:03:24.420They were coming to arrest him for threats against the president and interstate threats.
00:03:30.500Yet if you continue to read more in the documents, they say the man was in his 70s.
00:03:35.960He attended church, that he's been under surveillance since March of this year, and that the FBI in the past had gone to his home and spoken to him, and he did not respond aggressively.
00:03:56.260Why did the FBI decide to go and launch this pre-dawn raid of Craig Robertson in the way that they did?
00:04:05.800I'd like to know answers, and I'm being honest.
00:04:08.880Did they have evidence that Craig Robertson was about to leave his home with a sniper rifle and do something that he obviously shouldn't do?
00:04:17.000I've read the post that he made online.
00:04:20.260If you make posts like that, you better expect a knock on your door from law enforcement, of course.
00:04:26.400But the question is, was the pre-dawn raid by an FBI SWAT team the only way to go about this?
00:04:37.540Federal law enforcement, national law enforcement in this country, if we are going to have a serious conversation about this,
00:04:47.000if we're going to have a serious conversation about our relationship,
00:04:51.400then we need to understand exactly what it is that the government wants.
00:04:57.820Because to me, and it's just my opinion, this looks like a show of force.
00:08:03.740And I remember being skeptical of your prediction.
00:08:06.960So before we get into the payoff, all right, let's go through the setup.
00:08:11.660Let's show people Raheem's prediction from June 22nd here on Human Events.
00:08:17.200Because being anti-woke is just the bottom, like, bar, the bottom rung of the ladder of conservatism.
00:08:27.460You know, you don't get to be celebrated because you're not a communist and not a Satanist.
00:08:32.760And that's what he's going around doing.
00:08:34.900He's going around giving speeches and going, aren't I brilliant for not being a communist and not being a Satanist?
00:08:40.860And everyone's like, yeah, I mean, we do expect that from you, though, mate, like, to be honest with you.
00:08:47.040And I think this is where it's all falling down.
00:08:49.140It's going to fall down further because, you know, I don't expect Rick Scott and I don't expect Will Hurd to poll it more than one to three percent.
00:08:57.680And that's with the margin of error of about three and a half percent.
00:09:00.700But they won't be taking from Trump those one and three percents.
00:09:04.220They will be taking from Ron DeSantis.
00:09:06.060Maybe I'll make another prediction right here, by the way, like the one I made when you played in the last segment.
00:10:44.120Two point six percent, which is smaller than than most of your daily tracker polls, which have margins of error between three point six, five percent sometimes even.
00:10:53.800But then the third thing actually takes away a little bit from the polls, you know, necessary credibility in this area.
00:11:00.900That is to say that the polling company that did this poll, I don't know how you pronounce Signal, I guess, but it's spelled weird.
00:11:09.160You have to bear in mind that Signal's VP, Brock McCleary, is actually a pollster for the Vivek campaign.
00:11:15.160So Vivek's numbers, you know, you've got to take with a pinch of salt here.
00:11:19.880But in the grand scheme of things, the trajectory is correct.
00:11:25.100What we've been seeing in terms of the shifting of momentum really, really deeply away from Ron DeSantis since he announced his campaign tracks with this.
00:11:36.300And then the other thing you have to bear in mind is you're going to start seeing more data coming out like this.
00:11:41.500It's a start. Remember, we were we were mid 20s, then slipped a little bit, then into the teens, then 15, then 12.
00:11:50.520Now we're at 10. It keeps going further and further down.
00:11:53.560So, you know, you can you can have some skepticism about this, as I do with every data set that comes out, whether it's attached to a campaign, a pack or or independent.
00:12:03.420And there's no real such thing as independent polling companies.
00:12:08.840Maybe, maybe, you know, you would say Rasmussen is the closest thing you'll get to that.
00:12:13.720But you'll start to see this number creep up more and more and you'll start to see, I think, single digit midget Ron within, you know, within a couple of weeks, maybe a month's time.
00:12:24.340And this this represents keep in mind and what's amazing to me is that you've seen this latest news cycle as the FEC deadline just passed of all the the campaigns.
00:12:36.300Oh, Trump's got this much money on lawyers. So they're moving around from this pack to this.
00:12:40.100But he's got a number of packs plus the campaign. So the money sort of goes back and forth.
00:12:44.020Ron DeSantis has done this as well, by the way, rolling over his governor's money, gubernatorial campaign money, putting some of that into a super PAC.
00:12:51.280I'm also taking money from, you know, that's moves from empower parents, just a bunch of different PACs moving back and forth.
00:12:57.240But I've noticed that nobody ever seems to tie the spending and fundraising with the performance in polls, because if we're sitting here as political operatives and strategists trying to understand, well, if you're spending the money, it's not just how much money you spend.
00:13:14.060It's what your conversion rate is. OK, if we spent forty five million dollars, what is the return on investment?
00:13:21.280Why do they never seem to tie these together?
00:13:26.360I mean, that would be a disaster for most campaigns if you if you look to that.
00:13:30.780And the funny thing is, you kill the industry.
00:13:33.360Yeah. If you look at the Trump stuff, I mean, if the argument is, oh, Trump is just spending his donations on legal defenses, which, by the way, translates to Trump is spending the donations, fighting the deep state instead of giving it to D.C.-based consultants.
00:13:47.300That is what you're really saying there. But if you have a problem with that somehow, then the counterpoint also to that is, yes, so you're saying he hasn't spent a penny campaigning and yet he keeps going up and solidifying his support.
00:14:00.960You should be happy that there's a candidate out there that can do that.
00:14:04.100You should be happy like people were in 2016 that Donald Trump didn't need to spend two billion dollars versus Hillary Clinton to defeat her, that this is the kind of candidate that you want at the top of the ticket.
00:14:13.880And he's the kind of candidate that can drag other people who aren't so attractive over the line.
00:14:18.560Well, as we saw with Ron DeSantis to to be fair, there were plenty of Republicans in 2016, throughout 2016, who were not happy that that candidate was at the top of the ticket.
00:14:30.200To be fair, because this is but you're right. I remember saying this actually in October of 2016 at the time.
00:14:37.480I've never seen the Republicans so upset about winning. I've never seen that you're spending a little amount of money.
00:14:43.500You've actually found a candidate who can galvanize not just low information voters or non engaged voters, low propensity voters.
00:14:50.700Raheem, we saw we had a polling data point out yesterday that actually said Trump is outperforming with non registered Americans.
00:14:59.860So they were able to actually poll Americans who are non registered and find this.
00:15:05.720These are your who are they? They're watching UFC. They're listening to podcasts.
00:15:09.680These are all the things that Trump does.
00:15:11.980There are also people who are aware of Trump just because of his own celebrity and notoriety.
00:15:17.000Trump is winning with them as well. This is why a candidate like that on paper doesn't necessarily capture it.
00:15:24.880You're only looking at sort of a political resume. You're you're not capturing the full scope of what I think it is that you're talking about here.
00:15:33.100Yeah, that's right. And in response to your tweet from earlier on where you said that I came on the show two months ago and predicted the latest numbers that we're seeing now,
00:15:43.160I put a poll up of my own Twitter poll up, which has 501 votes now.
00:15:50.640The most accurate question was, which was which was more successful, Ukraine's counteroffensive or Ron DeSantis's reset?
00:15:57.640And I'm pleased to report exclusively here on Human Events that 77 percent of people responded that Ukraine's counteroffensive was more effective than Ron DeSantis's reset.
00:16:07.900So, I mean, you know, we can laugh about it and I will keep laughing about it.
00:16:12.140The reason I will keep laughing about it is because I predicted all of this going back to last January, not this January, 2023, January 2022.
00:16:18.760I did a podcast about this and DeSantis world and how this would end up and everything has come to pass.
00:16:25.380It's so obvious. Remember, the people staffing DeSantis's campaign are the people who couldn't get jobs in the Trump administration when the only person they were going up against for the job was Omarosa.
00:16:34.900So what does it tell you about those people?
00:16:37.520We got a minute left. I know. I know you got to run.
00:16:40.200Where can people go to get your not just reporting, but how do they also get your analysis on the National Pulse?
00:16:46.460Is there an extra step that they need to perform?
00:16:49.520It's funny. You should ask, Jack. There is actually an extra step at the national pulse dot com.
00:16:54.400People will find that I do editors notes on stories where I kind of read people into this stuff.
00:17:00.180It is a premium feature. We call it the Pulse Plus.
00:17:02.680It comes with a whole bunch of other features as well on the site.
00:17:05.680But if you want to be weeks, months, sometimes even years ahead, as you and I both were, let's say, on the Hunter Biden laptop stuff,
00:17:13.220the national pulse dot com is where you need to go.
00:17:15.540Folks, you got to go there. By the way, I'll give one for free for folks today on your editor's note on the article that you wrote about what we're talking about here was just I told you.
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00:19:32.720Folks, joining us right now live here in a massive Washington, D.C., the palatial Human Events Real America's Voice studio in Washington, D.C., we have commentator, writer, and now author, Ali London.
00:28:08.600And they might just try to push it covertly underneath the surface.
00:28:12.100But I think thanks to the consumers fighting back recently, I think these companies have had an awakening and think maybe we have taken this too far.
00:28:19.640Because at the end of the day, all they care about is money, right?
00:28:41.040But at the same time, you know, I would hope that a publishing house like Simon & Schuster would start to realize that, you know, you don't have to just publish the books that your woke millennial, you know, agents want pushed.
00:28:57.300You can actually just push books to audiences that people will like.
00:30:27.420So, Ali, we – I'll just put it this way.
00:30:30.820I'm not even going to say we – I know someone who's not in my family but in my extended orbit who has a liberal relative that has chosen to raise their six-year-old little boy as a girl.
00:30:46.920I can tell you for a fact, and by the way, I don't care if she's listening, this is driven by the mother.
00:30:52.880This is almost 100% driven by the mother.
00:30:55.240But the dad has been so pushed down that he won't respond.
00:31:05.400You've also got instances where if someone's like a – and I know you've done work with Cody Cole that we've also had on the show, you know, talk about going through this as a teenager.
00:31:16.520What do you do with a situation like that when someone you know is caught in the gender madness, when someone is caught in it themselves?
00:32:32.240And that was a heavy, an extremely heavy episode.
00:32:37.000But, you know, I would just say, based on, you know, my personal experience struggling with gender identity, we all go through phases where we're trying to discover ourself, especially kids and teens.
00:32:45.540You know, some days they might want to be a cat or a pirate or a dinosaur.
00:32:48.540But it doesn't mean we should be changing them or putting them on harmful hormones and puberty blockers.
00:32:53.020So the best case scenario is to, you know, keep an eye out for these warning signs.
00:32:57.700Maybe the school is indoctrinating the children and suddenly they're talking about pronouns and being trans.
00:33:02.840So parents need to be aware of what's going on.
00:33:04.880And in a situation where you have, for instance, a mother transitioning the kid and the father's against it, the father needs to stand up and be a man.
00:33:10.580And you just say, look, enough is enough.
00:33:36.180And so the idea, though, then is, so what do you do, though, right?
00:33:41.240So a Chloe Cole situation where the parents are being told by the doctors, they can tell something's wrong with their child.
00:33:47.880And I remember when I interviewed her, I'm thinking about that as a dad myself.
00:33:53.140If I could tell there was something emotionally wrong with my son and then the doctor's telling me, okay, this is what you need to do or he might kill himself.
00:34:02.060The idea of having a child commit suicide, it's horrifying.
00:34:44.300Some of them already have suicidal tendencies.
00:34:46.860So, you know, if you're suddenly putting someone that's already got these preexisting conditions and, you know, these kids are six times more likely to be autistic, you're basically misdiagnosing these children.
00:35:00.360I mean, actually, if they actually helped these kids for treating the autism, the ADHD, bipolar, depression, if they actually treated that and helped the kids with that, you know, you'd find a lot of these problems would be managed and much better.
00:35:11.880So I think it's a lot of misdiagnosing these kids.
00:35:14.320And parents just want the best for their kids, right?
00:35:23.500But really, doctors should be treating the preexisting conditions that these kids have.
00:35:28.440So how about then, how about if it's someone like yourself, obviously over the age of consent, over 18, have the ability to make these decisions, what would you say to folks like that,
00:35:42.860Well, it's a really tough thing because, look, I've grappled with gender dysphoria and it's a really difficult struggle.
00:35:47.880And, look, there are adults that may have felt this way their whole life.
00:35:50.820But there's also right now a social contagion.
00:35:53.200And so we're seeing people suddenly becoming trans and it's not something they've thought about before because it's a trend, because it's pushed on, you know, TikTok and through the entertainment industry.
00:36:02.680So, you know, I would just warn adults, you know, don't rush into things because we're seeing now adults just one consultation, like is the case with Elliot Page, who's, you know, Ellen Page, the actress.
00:36:32.240So I think, you know, doctors have a duty to care for patients and they shouldn't be fast tracking even adults.
00:36:38.120You know, I think adults need to have a number of years of consultations and stuff.
00:36:41.980I don't think it's a good thing because at the end of the day, I think there's better ways of treating people that are struggling with things.
00:36:46.920But, you know, adults are adults at the end of the day.
00:36:49.920It's I think you can only advise them best.
00:36:52.200And I think a lot of adults are pushed into it without informed consent, without knowing the true horrors.
00:36:57.160Well, and what you said right there is perfect because and this comes up with within the vaccine debate.
00:37:04.760It's an understanding, a true understanding of what the ramifications of some of these decisions might be.
00:37:11.980Some of these procedures that may be and I'm not just talking about the hormones, but but but physical procedures that may be completely irreversible.
00:37:21.500And I and I know as strange as that sounds, it doesn't seem as though people actually consider that because a lot of it.
00:37:27.840And I think you talked about this last time when I had you on with the special where that they're getting this they're caught in this feedback loop on social media.
00:37:36.180Tell me about the social media feedback loop.
00:37:38.560And I know I'm sure this is in the book.
00:37:39.860Yes, there's a lot of this in about the book because it is a social media generation we're living in right now.
00:37:44.900And we're seeing a lot of generations that are struggling with their identity and they're thinking that this is a fix their problems or even a way to feel special and validated.
00:37:53.360So, you know, you see someone, for instance, on TikTok when they're showing their transition, they start off maybe doing a little makeup and the hair extension.
00:37:59.860This is like the biggest thing on TikTok now.
00:38:02.180And, you know, TikTok's the one pushing it.
00:38:03.900And, you know, every time they show an update of their progress, you know, changing their gender, they get more and more comments, more and more views and likes.
00:38:11.160And you're getting that dopamine reward for this.
00:38:14.640We're totally supported by the Chinese Communist Party because if they wanted to turn it off, they could.
00:38:18.640But you end up putting out something like this and it goes viral.
00:38:36.920This is the same thing that addicts do when it's heroin or cocaine because you're chasing the dragon of that next dopamine hit from retweets.
00:38:44.440Look, I've certainly fallen into that with myself when it comes to social media.
00:41:44.400And we're going to try to help people, too.
00:41:45.900So, this is a quantitative analysis of the primary as it currently stands.
00:41:54.640But there's no qualitative analysis here.
00:41:57.200And look, I get real clear politics is going to have the real clear average because that's what they do.
00:42:03.120But where is the qualitative analysis?
00:42:07.460Where is the qualitative analysis of the Mitt Romney campaign in 2011, Giuliani in 2007, Trump in 2015, or the ability of those voters to connect with their candidate?
00:42:23.740Mitt Romney was up, but he was not a widely supported candidate.
00:42:28.840He was just sort of the default candidate in 2011.
00:43:00.400And so I guess what I would say is we look at the numbers a lot.
00:43:05.620We had Raheem Kassam talk about the numbers.
00:43:07.660But then Raheem also told you where the numbers were going to go.
00:43:11.960And he was able to predict it with specificity and give you a time frame as to exactly when we would start to see these numbers for DeSantis, for Trump, everyone else.
00:43:26.620If you are not conducting a qualitative analysis of candidates, of the candidate's connection to an audience, of the candidate's connection to the base, of what the base wants, of where the base's priorities are, then you're going to lose.
00:43:45.660So this is a great example of Iowa right now, because I saw a poll this morning.
00:44:03.880And we had the question yesterday with Richard Barris, and he's had these evangelical leaders like Bob Vander Plaats, never Trumper, Bob Vander Plaats, who was against Trump all the way through the election in 2016.
00:44:20.180If he's out there saying Donald Trump is not an evangelical, he's not a good guy, he's used bad words, he's got mean tweets, and yet he's winning poll after poll after poll.
00:44:31.040It doesn't make any sense, right, if you look at it that way, because he's got his priorities out, because this country has gotten to a place where we are not looking for a moderate centrist to be president.
00:44:46.980We are not interested in having a policy debate right now.
00:45:00.320The people can feel the system crashing all around them.
00:45:06.560Every system, whether it's the economy, whether if you just want to go on an airplane ride somewhere, and then your flight gets delayed, and then you can't rebook it, and then you miss the trip, and you're out in thousands of dollars, et cetera, et cetera.
00:45:19.220Why does it feel like we're in a state of collapse?
00:46:53.060And if you understand what time it is, and you respond to that, if you respond to that by meeting the moment, by giving people an understanding that you are the fighter that will step into the arena, do what needs to be done, and move forward as a country,
00:47:11.060then maybe we can hand the reins over to a policy guy, then you can rebuild.
00:47:17.520Because whichever side wins in this crisis period will set the stakes for the next 40 to 50 years, the next generation of America, the next regime, the new American Republic, will be run by the side that wins in this crisis.
00:47:40.020Because the FBI is rolling up, no-knock raids, pre-dawn raids, pro-lifers, seniors, locking up if you were anywhere near, if you sneeze too hard on January 6th, you get locked up.