EPISODE 619: WORLD WAR ASIA - LIVE FROM JAPAN PART 2
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Summary
Part 2 of the final session of the 4th Turning Point panel discussion on the possibility of a full-on war between Israel and Hamas. Host Jack Posobiec and panelists Hitoshi Aoyaki, Keigo Takasaki, and Gordon Chang discuss the implications for Japan and the Middle East.
Transcript
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Ladies and gentlemen, we know Christmas is coming, but before Christmas, the gathering
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Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, myself, Donald Trump Jr., Steve Bannon, Roseanne Barr, yeah,
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that's right, Rob Schneider, James Lindsay, and so many more are going to be at this year's
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This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
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A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
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This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
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Today brings you part two of World War Asia, live from Tokyo, Japan.
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Remember, this is myself, the leading experts of Japan, military experts, political experts,
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medical experts, and we are joined by Gordon Chang.
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Today we are talking about the grim possibility of what happens if the war in Israel, the war
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that's going on, the proxy war in Ukraine, breaks out into a full-on war that engulfs the
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Remember, this is Mearsheimer's warning that the United States would be brought into a multi-front
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First, member of the House of Representatives and director of the International Bureau of
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Next, senior editor and former naval intelligence officer, Mr. Jack Posobiec.
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And CPAC board member, columnist, Gordon Chang.
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Entrepreneur, YouTuber, and goodwill ambassador for Israel, Keigo Takasaki.
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First of all, member of the House of Representatives and director of the International Bureau of
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After graduating from university, he worked for JICA, where he worked on reducing poverty
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He is the first class of the Isshin political training program.
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And in 2021, he won the election in Osaka as a rookie member from the home ground of the
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And he is currently director of the International Bureau of that party.
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Senior editor and naval intelligence office veteran, Jack Posobiec.
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Entrepreneur, YouTuber, goodwill ambassador for Israel, Keigo Takasaki.
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Well, thank you very much for staying until the final session.
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So what we see on the news every day, there are painful developments.
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And this year, on the 7th of October, in the Gaza Strip of Israel, a war broke out.
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So what kind of ripple effect will this have on the world and Japan?
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First, let me go through some of the facts, starting with what happened.
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And 7th of October, Hamas, which is an Islam-Turko group, I will talk about that in more detail
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later, from their base in Gaza, launched missiles into Israel.
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And between Gaza and Israel, there are various barriers and walls, which were destroyed by tractors
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and park lighters were used to invade into Israel.
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And on the Israel side, near Gaza, there were music festivals.
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And so Hamas attacked such festivals, and many Jews, as well as Americans and other nationalities,
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And Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel called for the support across all parties
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and established an emergency coalition government, and counterattacked by resiles, as well as ground
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And so for 10 days, there was a stop in the fighting, which was terminated today and were broke out again.
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And it is said that about 70% of the construction in Gaza has been destroyed during the attacks.
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Hamas is a group that is calling out for an all-out war with Israel.
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And from 2007, they have overtaken Gaza through military arms.
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And they are now the main force behind this attack.
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So Hamas in Gaza and Israel, the situation is very fluid, as well as very violent.
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So what kind of impact this will have on the world and Japan will be the main topic of today's discussion.
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In Israel and in Gaza, what is happening, truly?
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I would like to invite Jack Bolsovik, who was an information officer as well as a journalist, please.
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And, of course, your description of the attack, Hamas' attack on October 7th, was quite sufficient.
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And, in fact, I believe that one of the main pieces to that attack that really caught the world by surprise
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was the fact that the Israeli defense forces were caught by surprise, that there seemed to be no security whatsoever.
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These areas of Gaza that have been, prior to then, heavily fortified were also maintained under strict surveillance and monitoring by the Japanese,
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or excuse me, by the Israeli defense forces, the IDF.
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And so the fact that Hamas was able to plan this, was able to conduct this attack,
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and was able to be, from a military perspective, successful in this attack, really a terrorist attack, paramilitary, if you want to put it that way,
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is very, very important, very, very significant, and must be investigated fully.
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Currently on the ground in Gaza, as you say, there's been a 10-day ceasefire that ended today.
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Because the ceasefire ended, you're now seeing the uptick in, so we saw the hostages returned.
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Now you're seeing the strategic bombing by the Israelis has continued northern Gaza predominantly.
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However, there are and have also been fighter strikes in the south, in southern Gaza, along Rafa, along some of the other axes.
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You're also seeing this encirclement by the IDF ground forces of Gaza in the north.
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This is where they believe most of the hostages currently are.
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This is where the hospital was that's been the center of so much of the fighting.
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So the specific ground operations have mainly been around the north.
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Their tanks, their soldiers have been encircling it.
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However, they have not penetrated deep inside Gaza City yet,
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because, of course, it is so heavily fortified, and there are so many hostilities.
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In fact, believe it or not, it's even an area that's more dense than Tokyo itself.
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These people are literally living on top of each other in this area,
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many of whom are hostile, many are not hostile.
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This is why the Israeli Defense Force, the IDF,
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is still using this bombing campaign and tanks as little as possible,
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because they know that the minute they send ground forces into Gaza City itself,
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Gaza City proper, they are going to be attacked on all sides by Hamas and their allies.
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Thank you very much for your concise and very exact description of the current events.
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So, Takasaki-san, you were on the vaccination model.
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So, in YouTube, you can't say vaccine, but now I can say vaccine very clearly.
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But you're also the ambassador, goodwill ambassador for Israel.
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So, what is the current status of Israel as you see it, Mr. Takasaki?
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Well, let me just state at the onset that I am an official goodwill ambassador for Israel.
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But what is being done by Israel administration,
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I'm not going to justify everything that they're doing.
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I do think that Israel needs to do some soul-searching as its identity.
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So, now, Prime Minister Netanyahu is acting like God to some extent.
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So, I would like to share my frank views with you.
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So, there are two points that I would like to raise.
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Because the world is being moved in a direction that they feel bad for the people in Gaza
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And so, Hamas has been making many fake accounts and creating news of, for example, little children crying.
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And that is being spread to all over the world.
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So, why Israel has to bomb these civilian areas?
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Well, Hamas' sole mission is to completely destroy the nation of Israel.
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And the presence of Hamas is, of course, an existential threat to Israel.
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But if they try to attack Hamas, actually, their tunnels are like a beehive.
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And so, they need to find the entry point into these tunnels.
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And Hamas actually places the entry point under hospitals or schools.
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So, they are making the people of Gaza as the defense.
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And so, they need to – and so, Israel is forced into attacking civilians
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because hospitals and schools are actually guarding these tunnels entry.
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And also, is there a clear delineation between the fighters and the citizens?
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Actually, it's very difficult because the Hamas do not wear the battle gear.
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And from their childhood, they were educated based on hatred that Israel is evil.
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That was the education for the past 18, 20 years by Hamas.
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And so, the children who are educated in this manner is now becoming 18 years old, 20 years old.
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And so, it is very difficult to clarify who are the fighters, who are the civilians.
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So, Israel has notified the civilians to escape into the south.
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But Hamas is actually preventing them from escaping or evacuating.
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So, it's such a difficult situation for Israel.
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In combat, even in the activities and behavior of civilians, it's hard to imagine living in Japan.
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So, I think the fact that it's hard to imagine living in Japan was understood by the audience.
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Now, this all started in October, this conflict between Israel and Hamas.
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During the Trump administration, there was the Abraham Accord between Israel and Arab countries.
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But Biden administration turned that over, upended that.
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And after Trump left, Israel and the fundamentalists in Palestine, extremists, have forgotten what Trump said.
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So, this conflict will impact the Middle East situation in general.
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Gordon Chang and Mr. Posevic, could you share with us your hypothesis, your analysis?
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Well, first of all, what we're seeing is region-wide conflict.
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It's now the Houthi militia and Hezbollah as well.
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All three groups are Iranian proxies, and they're backed by China.
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And so, we've got a region right now that looks like it's going to slip into further conflict.
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But I think that governments in the region realize that Hamas has got to be destroyed.
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If you talk to the Gulf Arabs, other than Qatar, you'll find that nobody there wants Hamas to exist anymore.
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And that is good, in a sense, that they're coming to that assessment.
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But also, Iran understands this, which means that this war will continue for some time.
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And remember, this is being fueled by Iran, which is being fueled by China.
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And those are actors that want this to continue.
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So, I think that we shouldn't expect that this will last quite a long time.
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Remember, this is occurring in the context of a general breakdown in peace and stability around the world.
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So, what would normally maybe be a short-term war, I think will become a long-term one.
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Well, I agree with Gordon that this regional conflict has already escalated beyond just Israel-Hamas.
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Of course, Israel-Hamas is the most kinetic form of this, but not only do you see Hezbollah and the Houthis getting involved,
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but now we are seeing all sorts of Iranian-backed groups across the Levant, across Syria, from Iran, and also inside Iraq,
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making attacks on U.S. bases and current U.S. forces that operate on those bases within these areas,
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many of which with Kurdish defense forces, the SDF, and so forth.
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And so, because the U.S. has such a robust footprint across the Middle East, it still continues to do so.
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All of those bases will currently be within and are now basically with crosshairs on their backs.
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What Gordon says about the context, the greater context of the world order,
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one subject that we didn't discuss on our last panel, but I'd certainly love to broach,
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is, of course, the rise of BRICS and the rise of the BRICS nations, the BRICS bloc.
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At their recent summit, they were not able to agree on increasing the number of BRICS nations,
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but we've already seen Saudi Arabia has applied to join, Iran has applied to join,
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and certainly some combination of this or some relationship will take place.
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What's happened is that Russia and China have fused such a mutually beneficial relationship,
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and now with Russia being isolated from much of the Western world,
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you're seeing this new bloc form an economic and then eventually military relationship
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away from the West and away from the United States and its allies.
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So in order to understand how all of this is moving, we must also look at it through the lens of the BRICS nations
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and the way they view themselves as hardening themselves, strengthening their military,
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strengthening their posture against what they view as NATO, what they view as potentially a threat from NATO.
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And then, of course, the question being, does Xi Jinping view Japan and view these other nations
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as threats to itself, the way that we're seeing Russia and now the way we're seeing Iran respond?
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BRICS was mentioned. Thank you for mentioning that.
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And this will lead to the final point, so I'm going to delve deep into that subject later on.
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But before I do so, this Israel versus Hamas conflict will impact the Middle East situation in general.
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If that were the case, in fact, in Japan, that would have many impacts to Japan.
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What serious is, currently in Japan, the oil we consume, 90 percent is from the Arab countries.
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So, this is directly linked to the energy issue, which we, the Japanese, must consider.
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So, with the state of situation in the Middle East becoming more flux, what impact will there be?
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You are the Policy Research Council leader in the Japan Innovation Party, right?
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I'm with the House of Representatives, and I'm a board member of the Foreign Affairs Committee.
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And at the board meeting of the Foreign Affairs Committee, 20 Arab countries' ambassadors came,
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For the sake of fairness, we invited later on Israeli ambassadors, and they were talking about many things.
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But the Arab ambassadors were all saying the following point.
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They were saying, you can freely attack and criticize Hamas, but if there's violence of international law,
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That's the kind of Japan, with the fairness that we believe Japan has,
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and that's the kind of Japan we want to continue to be prince with.
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Jay said, going forward, will there be economic impact?
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Because Ukraine, Russia, there is oil shortage from imports, and that has caused inflation,
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And mostly 100% of our oil comes from Middle East, so that is going to further flame inflation.
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So we have to control the situation as early as possible.
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But one point that I should have said before, what kind of position should Japan take?
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This year, we are the presidency of the G7, and currently we are number four.
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Germany has surpassed 200 countries around the world.
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Now, military spending presence is not so bad either.
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First, G7 presidency, and there's one ally, U.S., is part of the G7.
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So if there's going to be a world war, as you mentioned, Israel is supported by many of
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the G7, and Hamas, Palestine, is supported by China, Russia, and Iran.
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But on the other hand, if we do that, then what would happen to global peace?
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Because with this incident, for example, Israel ran against the resolution of the United Nations,
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and even after the resolution was adopted, they continued to criticize.
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So international order is something that all countries should abide by.
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We need an organization to uphold international order, and Japan should exercise leadership
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to uphold international order, or else it would lead to long-term peace in Japan.
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So there are these two perspectives, especially in the case of the latter.
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Arab countries have high hopes towards Japan regarding the latter, and for Japan, when we
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think about permanent and long-lacing peace, we shouldn't be overly simplistic about the
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So what would be our position in the future global community?
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In the Security Council of the United States, finally, a resolution was adopted, and I talked
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Four times, voting was conducted, but U.S. veto, disabled.
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They asked Russia and the United States to abstain in order to have the resolution adopted at
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Ambassador Ishigane of Japan said, finally, Security Council delivered something.
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That's what he said after the resolution was adopted.
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If the UN Security Council stops functioning, that's the end.
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So we have to have the international order continue to function, and I think that's needed
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That was a very important point that you touched upon.
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So listening to Aoyagi-san, I thought about this.
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Japan actually has no direct involvement in Israel or Palestine.
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We don't really have any direct stake or interest in it.
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So Japan has some distance that we can keep, and so we can comment from neutral grounds and
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perhaps point to a certain direction from a neutral point of view.
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So Japan is in a special position in that sense.
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So rather than letting the situation escalate, as Representative Aoyagi said, how we can prevent
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escalation, if we can prevent the war from getting larger, that would be a positive role
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So getting back to CPAC, in U.S. domestically, what is the current situation of U.S. given the
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So we have seen on the news that there are many people who are voicing support to Israel.
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On the other hand, there are also those who are more supportive of Hamas.
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And even amongst the liberals, there are people who support Israel.
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And there is a lot of confusion and a lot of demonstrations going on in New York and other
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So what is happening in the U.S. in light of the presidential election?
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What kind of impact will the war in Israel have in U.S.?
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I'd like to ask both Jack and Gordon, starting with Jack, please.
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Well, as you say, Jay, there have been many rallies across the United States and really
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parts of Western Europe as well in support of what they call the Palestinian Freedom Cause,
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Palestinian Liberation, and many others point that this is a very anti-Israel position.
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Predominantly, the people who are at these rallies, they find themselves on the left politically.
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So this is part of what we would consider the Democrat coalition.
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However, there is a significant split now in the Democrat coalition because you would
00:27:00.060
Some are ethnic groups like BLM, some of them are socialist groups like the Democrat Socialists
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However, there is also the main stripe of a mainstream Democrat like your Joe Biden, like
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a Hillary Clinton, perhaps even a Gavin Newsom, which is a neoliberal form of Democrat.
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By and large, they and the Democrat leadership are pro-Israel and at least have nominally said
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Although, there have been many instances, even within the White House itself, because
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there are so many pro-Islamic groups within the United States now, certainly even many
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And so Joe Biden has found himself in this position where he's had to act as sort of supporting
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Politically speaking, this split on the Democrat side in their coalition is very advantageous
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to, I believe, not just conservatives, but to pragmatic Americans who can see that one
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side of which is supporting a terrorist organization, whereas the other side stands with maintaining
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that strong world order, having the ability to actually stand for rights, for international
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Of course, this being the side that Donald Trump has always stood on, the side of peace, the
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And so I think it's something where they view Biden's mismanagement as incredibly terrible,
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not only in Ukraine and Taiwan, but here in Israel, whereby in, look, when President Trump
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was there three years ago, these types of things weren't happening.
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Now we have a world that is spiraling into war.
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This makes it much, much more likely that Donald Trump will be elected.
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And we're also seeing in polling that moderates and independents are now swinging back towards
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Donald Trump where they were in the original election in 2016.
00:29:01.940
You know, the October 7 war has split the Democrats, as Jack just talked about.
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The Ukraine war, if you want to look at this from a mirror point of view, split the Republicans
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But as Jack points out, and this I think is the most important point, and that is that whatever
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one thought of Donald Trump's foreign policies, they kept the world at peace.
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It was a stable world that Joe Biden inherited when he took the oath of office.
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And I think that that has changed internal politics in the U.S.
00:29:39.160
Basically, that whatever one thinks about Joe Biden's domestic policies, they think that
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the United States and the world can't stand his foreign policies because he's been responsible
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And I think that that also helps heal the Republicans because although the split on Ukraine is a very
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serious one in the Republican Party, I think people are starting to understand that this
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is an existential fight, and that will tend to heal the divisions in the Republican Party.
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Of course, you know, this is inherently an unpredictable situation, but it, I think, spells trouble for
00:30:22.320
Gordon, if I could add to that, typically we don't see in American electoral politics,
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Usually economics is number one, crime, immigration, somewhere up there, but foreign policy is low.
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We're now seeing in polling that this may be the very first election in modern American history
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where foreign policy makes it into the top three choices because particularly Joe Biden's
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foreign policy has been so mismanaged and so poor.
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And we've got another year for things to fall apart even further, as is now starting to appear
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that even the Western Hemisphere might fall into a conflict situation with Venezuela attacking
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Guiana, its neighbor, this is a conflict that's been simmering for a very long time, but has,
00:31:11.300
you know, under prior presidents, has maintained peace.
00:31:14.560
And now under Biden, that too is falling apart.
00:31:22.180
So, there is a massive confusion that is happening in the U.S., and that could very much impact
00:31:31.280
So, before we move on to the last topic, is there a way to resolve this issue?
00:31:39.240
Let us just stand apart and think about the resolution.
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So, Mr. Takasaki, you're also a Christian, as well as a good ambassador for Israel.
00:31:50.720
So, from your position, how do you think that we can prevent the war in Israel from escalating
00:31:59.260
It could be just a hypothesis, but what do you think is the way to resolve this?
00:32:06.520
Another point, from the perspective of the third shrine, in the Old Testament, there is
00:32:19.100
the second cathedral was broken, and then the third cathedral was, if the third cathedral
00:32:28.540
is constructed, the Messiah of the Jews will come down to earth.
00:32:35.180
It is the Jerusalem Golden Dome, which is a very important, sacred place for Israel.
00:32:45.740
So, if you want to construct the third shrine or cathedral, you have to break that or destruct
00:32:57.240
And Iran is an Islamic country, so they don't want that to be destructed.
00:33:03.020
So, Islam and Jews, Old Testament, is the very basis.
00:33:12.300
On the other hand, Christians believe in the New Testament, which is about a new contract.
00:33:21.440
So, I think you can find the answer there, in the New Testament.
00:33:24.580
Christian Jews and Arab Jews, there are those people who are minorities, and they are hugging
00:33:34.140
They have forgiven each other, and they are in solidarity, and that's reality.
00:33:39.120
And also, the book, you can't buy it today, but if you read that, the founder of Hamas, read
00:33:49.360
the Christian Bible, and was really impressed by the word of Jesus, love your enemy.
00:34:01.520
He never heard anyone said that, love thy enemy.
00:34:14.920
So, there are two that only is based upon the Old Testament, who are fighting against
00:34:21.200
each other, but then there is the New Testament.
00:34:23.920
And if both sides become aware, and is enlightened by the New Testament, there could be a resolution.
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Looking over the history of humanity, one major reason of war is religion.
00:34:45.920
There are always differences in religion or ideology at the back of major wars.
00:34:51.920
And so, what you said, Mr. Takasaki, there is forgiveness or grace as part of Christianity,
00:35:04.920
So, let me move on to the last topic, this war in the Middle East.
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We do not want to see this escalate into a world war, in worst case, third world war.
00:35:22.920
So, that is the topic that I want to talk about last.
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So, if you could keep your comments brief, I'd like to ask Gordon and Jack, your views about
00:35:33.920
We certainly don't want that to happen, but we've got to remember that it's not the United
00:35:37.920
States or Japan or the West that is driving events these days.
00:35:42.920
It is a coalition of Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, maybe Algeria that is setting fires around the world.
00:35:49.920
And while I would like to certainly forgive and love my enemies, nonetheless, our enemies don't love us.
00:35:56.920
And so, therefore, we have to be prepared for the worst.
00:36:06.920
So, can you again delve on that point as well as you share with us whether this will evolve into a world war?
00:36:13.920
Well, I certainly believe that while BRICS is at its heart an economic alliance, we're already seeing the inter-military activity
00:36:24.920
And so, I believe that will increase, maybe not so much with India, but certainly between Russia and China.
00:36:29.920
For my perspective, we must understand that great power competition is always going to be part of the international system.
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It's certainly always going to be part of any decision that's made from the United States, from China, from Japan,
00:36:46.920
really any other, any great power in the world.
00:36:49.920
But the main thing that I would say for the United States that what we must learn is that we cannot force the hand of any of these nations.
00:36:58.920
And so, this is why I've always been so supportive and continue to be supportive of President Trump and his ability to bring all sides together
00:37:07.920
to create peace deals, but at the same time maintain a credible deterrence through the use of military force if he needs to.
00:37:16.920
And that's why, in 2025, when he returns to the White House, I predict he will go to the Middle East,
00:37:22.920
he'll end that battle, he'll go to Europe, he'll end that, and he will come to Asia and restore the balance of power here as well.
00:37:34.920
So, the re-election of President Trump is indeed the key to peace for the world.
00:37:44.920
Lastly, I'd like to ask Representative Aoyagi, if the war in Israel becomes a world war and impacts Japan,
00:37:55.920
how prepared is Japan or what kind of preparation do we need to make?
00:38:01.920
Well, as a politician, as part of the International Bureau, Japan is not prepared for war at all.
00:38:13.920
If you ask the Minister of Defense or the Minister of Foreign Affairs, we're not prepared.
00:38:17.920
And our party is probably the most vocal about the need to build up a robust defense capability.
00:38:25.920
But from our point of view, we're not at all prepared.
00:38:28.920
So, if a world war breaks out, there's really nothing that we can do.
00:38:35.920
But one thing I wanted to note was that more than anything, we need ceasefire.
00:38:40.920
Because the earlier the ceasefire will be, the less people will need to be – can stay.
00:38:53.920
So, in Afghanistan, there were like 130,000 troops with NATO and the U.S.
00:39:01.920
So, what happened was because over the past 20 years, the number of Taliban combatants never decreased.
00:39:09.920
Many were killed, but the number never decreased.
00:39:13.920
Because parents whose children are killed never forgive the enemy.
00:39:17.920
And same for the children whose parents are killed.
00:39:20.920
So, we need to decrease these people who lose their family members.
00:39:26.920
Because the longer the war goes on, the more they dedicate their life to defeating the enemy.
00:39:34.920
So, Prime Minister Netanyahu must achieve a ceasefire because he said that he will kill all the members of Hamas.
00:39:45.920
That is something that we have learned from history.
00:39:49.920
So, Japan should not support such an impossible strategy.
00:39:59.920
And so, there was a talk about the importance of forgiveness.
00:40:02.920
We need to be – that's what we need to promote.
00:40:08.920
But as a politician, I am not in a position to comment responsibly on that question.
00:40:19.920
And currently, the Japan Innovation Party, as the second opposition party, should become the first opposition party.
00:40:25.920
And President Bapa, he's been criticized for radical words.
00:40:31.920
But, Mr. Aoyagi, as far as we listen to your comments, I feel the mission, strong mission and commitment of your party.
00:40:44.920
And when you go back home, take back from this session, what do you think?
00:40:59.920
Japan can continue to be in a neutral position.
00:41:02.920
So, Japan has a great role to play to minimize the wars.
00:41:06.920
And as Aoyagi-san said, to achieve ceasefire, we truly hope that this will be an opportunity for you to seriously think about this subject.
00:41:13.920
And thank you once again for your participation.
00:41:21.920
Once again, please give the panelists a big round of applause.
00:41:25.920
Thank you so much for listening and taking part in this historic seminar, CPAC Japan.
00:41:38.920
I want to thank the hosts and the organizers of CPAC Japan, Matt Schlapp and others, for putting all this together for us.
00:41:45.920
Gordon Chang, of course, as well as the experts in Japan.
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Look, folks, we understand that the United States, our world, the rise of bricks, the proxy war in Ukraine, Israel, Hamas, all of this could potentially bring us to the witch's brew of World War Three.
00:42:09.920
There is a possibility to choose MAGA world peace.
00:42:16.920
And there are literally trillions of dollars between us and that future standing in our way.
00:42:24.920
The only way, the only chance that we have forward is the spirit of the working man and woman in this world.
00:42:34.920
Ladies and gentlemen, you have my permission to lay a short.
00:42:36.920
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