EPISODE 692： THE GEN X FACTOR THAT COULD WIN TRUMP THE WHITE HOUSE
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Summary
Former President Donald Trump is expected in a Florida court today. His lawyers are pushing for charges to be dismissed in the case where he is accused of illegally holding classified documents. Former Vice President Joe Biden is also facing a criminal investigation.
Transcript
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This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
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A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
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This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
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I was always told that Andrew Jackson, as the president, was treated the absolute worst.
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And I heard Abraham Lincoln was second, but he was in a thing called the Civil War.
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So you can understand that nobody has, when you think of the fake things, nobody's been treated like Trump in terms of badly.
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I mean, it's pathetic that Donald Trump parallels himself to Abraham Lincoln and anybody else.
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Also, another thing happened to Abraham Lincoln that former President Trump didn't get to when he's assessing who was treated worse in terms of badly.
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We are still waiting to see whether or not Judge Scott McAfee will decide to disqualify Fulton County District Attorney Fannie Willis from the case.
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We could hear a decision by the end of the week.
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This legislation will help us ensure rogue or incompetent prosecutors are held accountable if they refuse to uphold the law.
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When out of touch prosecutors put politics over public safety, the community suffers and people and property are put at risk.
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In 2021, though, you did say that inflation was transitory.
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February's producer price index report just came out six minutes ago, and it shows wholesale inflation is up by 0.6 percent from January, which is more than expected.
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Former President Donald Trump is expected in a Florida court.
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His lawyers are pushing for charges to be dismissed in the case where he's accused of illegally holding classified documents.
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I took him very legally and I wasn't hiding him.
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We had boxes on the front of the and a lot of those boxes had clothing and a lot.
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OK, unfortunately, we're moving out of the White House.
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Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
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So today, of course, March 14th, 2024, Anno Domini.
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This poll out of Pennsylvania today shows you the way forward for Trump.
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Now, look, I know there's a lot of stuff going on today, but we need to zoom in on this.
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Everyone's going to want to talk about all the court cases, the court cases and Fannie Willis and Hunter Biden.
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And do you want to know why they're falling apart?
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And there's a lot of people saying, oh, gosh, gosh, golly, gee whiz, it seems like Trump is just so lucky.
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He's just so lucky that they're all falling apart.
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It must have had a shamrock in his pocket for St. Patrick's Day.
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No, no, they're not falling apart because he's lucky.
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Number one is because the people he's facing in all of these cases and the people behind the machinations that give us these cases are scum.
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And anyone who's paying attention should look at this and say, this guy beats the odds way more than should be humanly possible.
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Now it's time to cut through all the nonsense that's out there and focus on the signal, what matters most.
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What matters most is winning the Rust Belt, winning Arizona, and winning Georgia.
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When I see that Trump is now winning Gen X voters in Pennsylvania by 12, by 12 points, that shows me not just a path forward.
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That shows me the absolute highway to absolute victory.
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You can't just look at these things as snapshots.
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You have to look at the shifting demographics, the shifting poll numbers, and understand,
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the Gen X awakening is something that we've been talking about here on this program on human events for a long time.
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Not only is he Gen X, Tucker Carlson Gen X, Glenn Greenwald, Joe Rogan, who recently said that he'd vote for Trump over Biden.
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But Elon Musk, I think a lot of people forgot, he lived through all this once before in his lifetime because he lived through South Africa being turned from an advanced country into what it is now using the same policies and the same insanity that they are unleashing in the United States.
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That is why he's becoming activated and he's so vocal.
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And we're going to find out very soon the political ramifications of all of this.
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Richard Barris joins us next, Human Events Daily.
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Folks, the most important election in the history of the United States is just a few short months away.
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Very excited to go into all of this, go into all of this and understand what this means for our path forward.
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We're going to bring Rich Barris, the People's Pundit, on with us now.
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I'm calling it the Gen X factor because I've seen this Fox News poll.
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But I would argue that this is not just a glimpse.
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It is a path to absolute electoral domination because this Gen X poll is not something that Biden wants to see at all.
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And by the way, Rich, I have to mention that Bloomberg is out today, and they've got this whole big piece.
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He goes, Joe Biden should focus on the Rust Belt.
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That they should maybe, like, focus on that a little bit?
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And just before you brought me on, because, you know, I've been telling you what we've been spending the last 48 hours on.
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But just before you brought me on Quinnipiac, which is one of the worst pollsters in the Rust Belt, and it leans to the left a lot, they have Trump up by three.
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If you look in the Quinnipiac poll, you're going to see the same thing that you're going to see in the Fox poll, which is what we have been trying to explain people now for a very long time, Jack.
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There are only two groups in this country that are getting more Democratic, 65-plus and white with college education.
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Everyone else, including blacks who have or have not have a college, you know, do or do not have a college degree, Hispanics, and, yes, younger voters as well, which, by the way, will be a huge chunk of the electorate moving forward in this country.
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And so there's something about, though, about Gen X, because it's not just Gen X, right?
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It's Gen X, but also Gen X's influence, in a sense, on Zoomers, on millennials.
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So when you're talking Gen X and Gen X up 12, which is enormous.
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Look, I was at American Moment a couple of nights ago in Washington, D.C.
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David Sachs, another one of the PayPal mafia guys, just like Elon.
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And the Barstool guys, I don't know, a lot of the Barstool guys, those guys are Gen X as well.
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So when you, Dana White, pretty much everyone associated with UFC, with the exception of, you know, the fighters themselves, they're all Gen X.
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I'm trying to say that Gen X has come online and has come online in a big way and is normally the generation.
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I mean, Rich, have you ever seen them this activated?
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Have you ever seen them disengaged in the political process?
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A while ago, about a year ago, Robert Barnes and I did a What Are the Odds?
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When we first identified this movement with Gen X.
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We were raised, told that, you know, up to God knows what term in the pregnancy.
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And, you know, the Republican Party at that time was in control, screwed up big time.
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If you had your feet on the ground and you were kind of successful, you were hurt.
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If you weren't and you took some time, and Generation X took a long time to fully engage
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in the economy and the political process, then maybe you were just getting your feet when
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that happened and it wiped you out and took you out again.
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And there was a period where Generation X was doing very well.
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You can take something for granted pretty easily.
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And that doesn't just, it's not, we're not talking about policy only here in life.
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And then when it's taken away and you have to deal with something else, and it's so close
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in your memory where you can, you know, make an A-B comparison between the two, I think,
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And it's funny because we're thinking about President Trump being the prior president,
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And this is an interesting insight because it actually becomes one of Trump's greatest
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I started saying this recently kind of on Twitter, just sort of, you know, testing the
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waters a little bit, doing my A-B testing thing over there.
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But Trump actually in this election, his message isn't necessarily a message of you should elect
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And it came to me, Saturday night I was watching the end of his rally, that his message is a
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return to normalcy, which is hilarious because, you know, everything about Trump is different
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than every politician we've ever talked about before.
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He's a disruptor, but basically the pitch is something along the lines of, you know, things
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have gone so far that you need a disruptor to get back to normal.
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So, you know, I guess the line should be, sometimes you need to try something different to get
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Nate Cohen, maybe two months ago, had written an article that basically said that.
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It was when they, I think it was when they put out their first poll, not the one that was
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recent, which everyone had a heart attack over because Trump had a significant lead, but
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And he wrote an article saying, look, this may be difficult for some people who especially
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But Trump is winning people who are people who truly can be persuadable.
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So maybe they dislike both Hillary and him in 16, but they gave him a shot.
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And then four years later, they said, you know what?
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To those voters, he does represent a back to normal because there was a new normal that
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And when Trump first came along, he said that doesn't have to be the new normal.
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We could go back to America's normal, which isn't 2% economic growth.
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It's not a ridiculous foreign policy that leaves the world in shambles and us less rich.
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We could go back to doing things the way America always has done, you know, always has done
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And obviously he had four years to deliver on that.
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It was with the constant chaos that was sown from the media, from the various complexes,
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you know, the halls of power that didn't like him.
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It masked the fact that he did get, you know, most of those promises were fulfilled.
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And it took a Biden-like figure to come along and destroy it.
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And now to those voters, he represents the return to their new normal, which is, it's-
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He doesn't have the halo effect that Obama had, right?
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He doesn't have the halo effect that the figure of Obama had, the personality, the charisma
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that Obama had with his voters, certainly with independents, with moderates, and then with
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Biden, it's, you're really just kind of looking at the policies, if anything, the guy's, the
00:15:59.800
guy's negative riz, because you see him up there and he, you know, he's kind of nodding
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And so you do end up focusing on the policies more.
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And when they look at it, they say, wait a minute, I don't want to live like this at
00:16:11.280
And so, you know, what, what, what Trump should also do and what the Trump campaign should
00:16:15.300
also do is, is start attacking the new normal, saying, you know what, I've had enough
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Let's let's, you know what, then I'm done with the new, we tried the new normal.
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And it's great, because there's all these sort of like, you know, it's very Marxoid when
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you when you think about establishing a new normal and a baseline a year zero, this is
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the net, this is now normal, or is it no, no, no, no more new norms.
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Let's go back to the old thing, bring, bring back the, you know, the pizza hunt the way that
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it was, you know, none of this new stuff, we're done.
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Old normal is in which by the way, I'm so mad at pizza hut for their brick suit to send
00:17:00.880
me a video of one of these pizza huts being desecrated and turned into like some monstrosity.
00:17:05.020
Um, that, uh, you know, I, I, it's like, I gave pizza hut so much free marketing last
00:17:10.660
year and then they turn around and put out this, this super bowl commercial of nonsense,
00:17:18.340
And I say, well, pizza nationalism, when I talk about pizza hut nationalism, it's about
00:17:24.720
It's about the kids playing a little league game, catching the ball, winning that, winning
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And then all going out and having a meal with your buddies and your mom and dad are there
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And then the other one, the kid goes out and he's got the cheese and he's like, you know,
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trying to talk to the girl cause it's her birthday party.
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I'm like, that's the kind of stuff we need to bring back no more of the new normal.
00:18:11.660
These are influences and, uh, they're friends of mine.
00:18:24.900
Jack, so back life, human events daily in beautiful West Palm Beach, Florida.
00:18:28.740
Down here for a couple of events, you'll be seeing some folks joining us here live in studio
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The media comes out immediately telling us, oh, it was great.
00:19:52.100
You know, Chris Matthews, you know, he probably felt the, you know, the electric curl up his
00:19:57.140
Walk me through, though, how did the American people, how did the American people view this
00:20:05.180
Is he getting the State of the Union bump that presidents typically and traditionally
00:20:14.980
Longer answer is that they, yeah, they were gushing over these State of the Union snap
00:20:19.060
polls, which are different than traditional polls.
00:20:22.080
So when people were saying that's, you know, 60 plus percent said they, you know, approve
00:20:26.940
or agree with them on this policy, that's not true.
00:20:29.600
Those are people who watch the State of the Union, which is not everybody.
00:20:33.860
But Joe Biden's, Joe Biden's number, his approval number in that State of the Union speech may
00:20:41.160
sound high to people who don't track these things, but it's one, it's a terrible number.
00:20:45.900
In fact, you would have to go back to George Bush pushing for the surge in Iraq to see those
00:20:54.480
So I'm not surprised that the bounce didn't come.
00:21:01.340
There was at least some polling to suggest that as they were coming up to wrapping up
00:21:06.040
their nominations, the race was tightening somewhat.
00:21:08.860
You know, a poll like Morning Consult, which has been closer than others, went back to Biden
00:21:15.560
But Suffolk University was another one that was conducted after the State of the Union.
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He was up a point more than he was in their prior poll.
00:21:25.580
But I mean, the numbers for the State of the Union speech were abysmal.
00:21:28.800
So Trump would get in the 70s for do you approve of the, you know, the message in the State of
00:21:39.740
And that would result in a slight polling bump, an approval bump.
00:21:45.800
He didn't get either approval or an election bump.
00:21:50.540
And as we came on the air, again, I have to bring this up, because when you're a Democratic
00:21:54.220
president or a nominee, for that matter, and you're losing in Michigan among in the
00:22:00.180
Quinnipiac poll, which didn't get a single rust belt or battleground state correctly in
00:22:04.820
the last two presidential elections, they all misfired in the Democrat direction.
00:22:10.260
When you're down and down this bad, because inside the numbers, it looks a lot worse than
00:22:17.960
No, the only bump that he got was the bump to wake him out, you know, of his daily walking
00:22:24.840
coma that, you know, maybe it was Jill or Jeff Zents, one of the chief of staff.
00:22:35.600
You know, just pouring coffee down his gullet to get him up there, which I got to say,
00:22:41.980
And, you know, I'm an objective guy when it comes to political analysis.
00:22:53.320
The Lake and Riley flubbed, which you could tell that he knew he flubbed in the middle
00:23:01.400
And the rest of the speech after that was a complete, I'm just saying from a delivery
00:23:09.120
The first 20 minutes, ballpark, we'll call it, you know, it was pretty decent.
00:23:15.920
They basically, and you can see it, it's public.
00:23:18.780
They get down what he's going to say to make sure he's well prepared for it and then well
00:23:24.400
And they clear that schedule to make sure the president is, you know, got plenty of nap
00:23:30.280
And then God knows what they put in that, you know, popping in the right cheek or something
00:23:35.460
But 20 minutes, you could see it start to fade.
00:23:42.960
I mean, I've been following Joe Biden for most of my adult life.
00:23:51.060
What happened is exactly what you just said, Jack.
00:24:01.740
It's very common for people who are getting older and are having mental, their mental faculties
00:24:07.940
They get very frustrated and they get even angry.
00:24:11.400
I mean, that's just a fact that because he did get very bitter, very divisive and very
00:24:16.460
angry toward, you know, the, let's say after 20 minutes, it really spiraled downhill.
00:24:22.460
You know, the former president put a post on Truth Social, which I actually think he nailed.
00:24:31.780
But the fact is, he pinpointed the moment in that speech where it really started to spiral
00:24:37.980
And I don't know if the media, you know, and the MSNBC types, the Joe Scarborough saying
00:24:44.240
I don't know if they even believe that anymore.
00:24:46.200
But the fact is, if they do, they're in a true bubble because now it's been popped.
00:24:57.440
I mean, this Quinnipiac poll, we were just talking about age, 18 to 34, Trump leads 48
00:25:04.560
Among Generation Xers, overlap Xers, 55 to 34, he leads among people 35 to 49 years old.
00:25:17.940
And then Biden leads with the boomers, 65 plus.
00:25:21.820
I just said, you know, in the beginning of the first segment, one of only two groups that
00:25:25.880
is moving to Biden and Democrats is the senior group, 65 plus.
00:25:30.620
Everyone else, except for whites with a college degree, have been moving away from Democrats.
00:25:38.320
And by the way, Trump has almost 20% of the black vote in this poll in Michigan, which they
00:25:46.380
I mean, Quinnipiac would not even measure, Jack, his black support in 2020.
00:25:50.760
It was literally N-A or a hyphen or an asterisk or maybe he had 2%, 4%.
00:26:01.760
And there's like this weird element of the Republican Party where I hate to say it or
00:26:07.380
They weren't supporting the former president in the primary.
00:26:13.200
And there's some like weird denial of this non-white vote shift.
00:26:20.740
They just want to be the party of white people forever.
00:26:24.880
And if you're not moving to a more diverse, younger party, you're dead.
00:26:33.300
So everybody who is on the right should be celebrating these numbers.
00:26:38.600
Well, at the end of the day, just from a political standpoint, it's because, and I said this,
00:26:46.380
I pre-taped an episode, but there's a ton of stuff you said I wanted to dig into.
00:26:50.360
But I pre-taped an episode with Monica Crowley that's going to be dropping, I think, later
00:26:54.280
today where I said, look, and Rich, you and I have said it for years at this point, that
00:27:00.340
when Trump talks about the economy and when he talks about the working class, the media
00:27:06.580
hears working class and equates that with white people.
00:27:20.180
At the end of the day, more than a lot, obviously, you know, and so at the end of the day, people
00:27:28.360
And they can remember that they started making money under Trump.
00:27:32.760
And so the great irony of all of this is that all of the gains that the conservative, you
00:27:37.580
know, GOP establishment told us, Con Inc., told us that we would get if we went all in
00:27:42.660
on identity politics with, you know, with Rubio and Pathway to Citizenship and the Dreamers
00:27:49.700
and DACA, and that's how we get the Hispanics on board, and then we're going to go in for
00:27:53.940
reparations, and that's how we get the blacks on board and all that.
00:27:58.440
Donald Trump, the man who was unfairly smeared as the world's biggest racist, is actually
00:28:05.300
going to end up with a more diverse voting bloc, voting cohort, electorate, than any
00:28:16.620
That autopsy after Mitt Romney lost calls for basically exactly what you just said, that
00:28:23.500
In Florida, which people will see really soon, I sent you the map.
00:28:27.460
I mean, those are locator pins that represent each person we spoke with in Florida.
00:28:36.320
These are people who have no problem, many of them at this point, have no problem saying,
00:28:40.440
you know, I voted for Joe Biden, but I'm voting for Donald Trump this time.
00:28:43.800
The biggest shift, yes, he's doing marginally better with whites.
00:28:50.140
I mean, Miami, Jack, the margin is identical to 2020, yet now Miami data is flipped to Trump.
00:28:59.560
Working class, white people are an important part of this coalition.
00:29:02.940
But when you're speaking to people about these issues, all we heard from black voters who
00:29:08.440
switched and are telling us they're going to vote for Donald Trump, yes, there were economic
00:29:13.440
But Jack, everybody was following it up with, you know, in this immigration crap, they're
00:29:20.800
That's what we heard from black voters this time.
00:29:24.940
I'm just taking your interview, but I'm voting for Trump, you know, and they're so used to
00:29:31.460
They even feel like they have to preface their answer to a pollster with something like that.
00:29:35.860
And when you really dig into what it is that is changing their minds, it's all about the
00:29:40.540
It's all about the economy, but there are some things that are peripherals.
00:29:48.360
I got to throw this out there that this is a line from producer Files.
00:29:51.220
This is not me, but he goes, it's like chickens buying stock at KFC.
00:30:00.560
The stuff this guy comes up with, I'm telling you, it is incredible.
00:30:09.720
But at the end of the day, it is about the money.
00:30:13.200
Do you want the new normal to be the one that survives?
00:30:16.220
Or do you want to go back to the way America was when things were great?
00:30:39.480
We're always talking about the fake news and the bad.
00:30:43.260
And these are the guys who are forgetting Pulisic.
00:30:45.300
All right, Jack, so we're back live here in southern Florida.
00:30:53.580
Bidenomics is a complete and total disaster, but it can't and won't ruin my day.
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00:31:45.140
Rich, I want to add a couple of things on to what you said and then ask you another question.
00:31:51.040
But I thought it was interesting that you mentioned that the two groups that are not moving towards
00:31:57.960
Trump, the only two groups that are not moving towards Trump, it's college-educated whites
00:32:10.380
And this is so interesting to me because these are, what are these groups?
00:32:14.660
You've got the most indoctrinated group in America, college-educated whites, and then
00:32:19.420
you've got the people that are most cut off from the current economy at the upper end.
00:32:25.160
Those are the people that are still watching cable news.
00:32:28.000
Those are the people that are still watching MSNBC, the last cohort they have left, still
00:32:32.140
believing what the New York Slimes puts out every day.
00:32:35.140
And then you've got, again, these people that are so psyoped, so indoctrinated.
00:32:39.920
The more college you have, the more over-educated, over-saturated, over-socialized, and over-gaslighted
00:32:49.140
And so it doesn't surprise me at all that these are the groups that would be cut off.
00:32:54.380
I'll throw out, though, at you, I will throw at you that that is one of the dangers, one
00:33:02.340
And President Trump, of course, not stepping in it, but many people have, is this notion
00:33:08.360
on the conservative side to say, hey, you know what we should do?
00:33:13.640
We should bring back the Paul Ryan jihad against Social Security, Medicaid, Medicare.
00:33:23.640
Rich, you and I have talked about this for a while.
00:33:25.660
What does that type of politics do to your chances in the Electoral College?
00:33:36.480
Look, and again, we're polling, we did recently poll Florida.
00:33:45.580
I'm just going to say that before people see the numbers.
00:33:48.160
But even before it got this bad for Democrats, it got this bad under Donald Trump because
00:33:53.340
he didn't wage a jihad against, you know, those programs, the way Mitt Romney did when
00:34:01.380
And it's interesting, too, that those two groups that we were talking about, you said it and
00:34:08.560
For people who follow me on Locals, they know we break up 65 and above into two different
00:34:13.760
groups when we lay out age detail instead of age.
00:34:16.740
It's 65 to 74 and then 75 plus, which is super seniors.
00:34:23.000
It's really where is that shift away from Republicans coming from?
00:34:35.520
You talk about raising the retirement age, you know, working past 65.
00:34:40.760
I want you to work basically until you're 74 and you're ready to drop dead.
00:34:46.360
Once upon a time, Jack, when we could talk about this, about, you know, the budget, it's
00:34:52.060
These same conservatives were blowing trillions of dollars on oversee wars and tax cuts for their
00:34:58.260
Bush friends during the, you know, the 04 period, even before that.
00:35:05.280
So I think you'll find, and I think those people are going to find much to their chagrin
00:35:10.200
that there are a lot of people on the right who were once, and they're, they're part of
00:35:15.740
They were once very open to reforming these programs, but that was before they blew all
00:35:21.860
this other money on the military industrial complex and elsewhere.
00:35:25.200
So now they've, they've lost the moral high ground to make this argument.
00:35:29.520
So it's, you know, once upon a time they would say, okay, let's have a responsible financial
00:35:39.600
And by the way, we ask, uh, who do you trust more to handle or to preserve social security
00:35:49.060
It's not just true of 24 hits has always been the case.
00:35:52.180
He is the only one who's ever been competitive with the democratic component on that issue.
00:35:57.380
Jack, when it comes to other Republicans, we would ask and test this question with, they
00:36:02.220
got blown out with this question because they always, because seniors and other age groups
00:36:07.880
felt that those kinds of Republicans would take that away from them in a heartbeat.
00:36:11.860
But it's not like they would do it to be fiscally responsible, Jack.
00:36:18.180
They don't believe they would reform those programs to help get our financial ship, you
00:36:26.140
They believe they would take that money and go spend it on a stupid war, go send it to
00:36:39.820
And Rich, Rich, this is the issue, this, this is what they've done is because their politics
00:36:49.540
It is about cutting spending for Americans and increasing spending for foreigners.
00:37:06.620
We had it, we had it for an entire decade plus in the United States.
00:37:15.040
It was summarily executed politically by President Trump when he took out Jeb Bush in the primaries
00:37:22.840
handedly, handedly took him out in the primaries.
00:37:25.940
This is why the American people are sick of watching the government serving the needs of
00:37:34.800
So if you're someone who says, I'm a fiscal conservative, that's great.
00:37:41.000
And it's very interesting to me that these neoconservatives that push constantly, fiscal
00:37:45.800
conservatism, fiscal conservatism, cut, cut social security, cut Medicaid.
00:37:49.760
They will never, ever talk about decreasing war spending ever.
00:37:58.720
They think they keep trying to turn back the page.
00:38:01.200
Byron York, hat tip to him, read a great article about this after Trump stopped Nikki Haley in
00:38:09.100
Even with your Democratic cohorts coming in and helping you out, you still got crushed in
00:38:20.240
You lost washed in all, even with a bunch of Biden voters trying to help you out.
00:38:29.860
You're not going to pull the wool over their eyes anymore.
00:38:32.420
Yeah, let's have a conversation about raising the retirement age, making you suffer more
00:38:38.480
And oh, by the way, send me your grandkids so I can send them over to go fight Vladimir
00:38:43.020
Putin in a war that they can't win and we'll waste all this money on.
00:38:54.900
You sound like an idiot to everybody else and they don't trust you and you're not going
00:39:03.920
So, you know, it's ironic to Jack, because you'll hear people say, well, politicians aren't
00:39:09.320
being honest if they tell you that we can move forward without reforming these programs.
00:39:12.800
And the average voter will tell us they're not being honest as if they're going to take
00:39:17.340
that money and use it for writing our financial ship.
00:39:21.340
They're going to take it and blow it on other stuff.
00:39:26.120
I mean, so you can't have that position currently in American politics.
00:39:33.860
But for right now, can you honestly let's if people listening and even you, Jack, if
00:39:39.060
everyone's being honest with themselves, can you blame the voter for feeling like that?
00:39:44.080
I don't I don't even care if it adds more to the debt.
00:39:47.020
They're going to add more to the debt from their foreign wars anyway.
00:39:50.620
They're going to add more to the debt for all their pet programs and their pet peeves and
00:39:55.080
their tax cuts and their their competitive advantages.
00:39:57.960
They're all willing to do it for that, but not for me to give me my money back.
00:40:01.700
You know, when I when I retire, you cannot blame them for having that position.
00:40:07.360
And if you do, then I think you need to take a look in the mirror.
00:40:18.720
Not roofing every day, not working a job where you're on your feet, you're straight behind
00:40:22.600
a counter, you're swinging a hammer or something.
00:40:39.620
I'm always listening to Human Events with Jack Posobiec.
00:40:47.400
Rich, I'm over and I might be getting this wrong, but I'm looking over right now at the
00:40:57.740
And I'm seeing something that I don't know if I've ever seen this before in polling at
00:41:07.240
When I look at Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, and yes,
00:41:12.840
currently, even Pennsylvania, because of this late-breaking Fox poll that we've got, is Donald
00:41:19.660
Trump currently up in the RCP average in every single battleground state?
00:41:31.360
I like Jim Lee over at Esquihanna, but he's a very, very clearly, he was an outlier.
00:41:35.600
He had Biden up by, I think it was six or eight in Pennsylvania.
00:41:41.440
When it drops off, it's going to be Trump plus like three or four in Pennsylvania.
00:41:45.840
Because it's interesting is that his, you're right, because his margin in Pennsylvania is
00:41:56.920
And all the other states, though, it's like five points in Arizona, five points in Georgia,
00:42:02.180
3.6 in Michigan, 5.5 in North Carolina, 5.6 in Nevada, which I'll believe when I see
00:42:14.380
By the way, still got to go through all those workers unions in Vegas, by the way.
00:42:20.240
And down in Georgia, they got issues, obviously, we know.
00:42:25.540
But what's amazing to me as well is that going into this, you know, with our operative hats
00:42:30.280
on, we thought that Wisconsin would be the state's target for Trump, but it's looking
00:42:34.560
like Michigan actually might be the state that's breaking for Trump even more than Wisconsin
00:42:41.380
When we did the Rust Belt poll, you remember our Rust Belt poll.
00:42:45.240
When we did the Rust Belt poll twice, we've done it now.
00:42:58.340
This year, it was very and has been consistently like this, that Michigan appears to be the
00:43:06.700
Now, Wisconsin has done this to us before, where it looks like it's closer than it is.
00:43:12.620
You know, it turns out that it's the easiest state for Trump to win.
00:43:20.740
If you read some really smart Democratic people, Texera out there wrote the emerging Democratic
00:43:27.600
He's been targeting Georgia and, excuse me, Michigan a lot because of the shift that we're
00:43:36.500
seeing in the polling nationally at the state level would make those states dramatically different.
00:43:42.400
So people were looking at Georgia saying, what happened?
00:43:46.100
How is this that Trump's polling considerably, you know, six, eight points because of the
00:43:51.820
If you get those non-white vote ships that we're seeing in the polling, it does make sense that
00:43:57.400
he would be leading in those states by more than maybe we expected.
00:44:03.400
Real clear politics does not have enough polls on their average to get an average yet.
00:44:08.020
But when they do, they're going to look like the decision desk who also has Maine with
00:44:13.100
the addition of the Pan-Atlantic University survey in Trump's corner, which is insane.
00:44:19.460
I'm going to wait for the DRI poll, which is done by Bangor Daily News.
00:44:25.940
They're the only ones who had Trump winning the second congressional district, not once,
00:44:29.540
but twice when the New York Times, Emerson College and everybody else who polled it had
00:44:36.640
Well, Pan-Atlantic had Biden taking the second district, and now they have him losing it
00:44:41.940
by 20 points and only carrying the first district by, I think, six or eight, which isn't enough
00:44:47.840
to, you know, to stave off how well Trump would do statewide.
00:44:52.660
So they actually have Trump up by six in Maine.
00:45:01.240
I can actually explain that very, very easily because I spent a lot of time in Maine.
00:45:06.660
Maine, by the way, New England in general, one of the most beautiful states in the entire
00:45:13.780
I would go so far as to put it up as personally, I think it might even be the most beautiful
00:45:23.900
You know, I'll probably avoid it in the winter.
00:45:28.540
But Rich, here's the thing, because we only have a minute or two left, is that there's
00:45:34.680
Everyone thinks of, like, the Stephen King Maine and, you know, very crunchy granola
00:45:47.080
So that's your fishermen, your lobstermen that are going out on the boats every single
00:45:53.200
There's granola Maine and there's NASCAR Maine.
00:45:59.460
He obviously lives in granola, or excuse me, no, lives in NASCAR Maine because this was
00:46:05.740
the post, it's post-industrial, it's working class.
00:46:08.900
It actually kind of feels, in a lot of ways, some of these towns like Sanford feels like
00:46:16.860
It's just that coastline that has all this granola on it that kind of swings the vote
00:46:21.420
Yeah, and even among, you know, this was some group that Republicans really even couldn't
00:46:28.760
do that well with the groups in the second district, like the French migrants, the French
00:46:32.740
Canadian migrants, which is a Catholic vote or was predominantly a Catholic vote.
00:46:37.740
And they still were really bad with them as long as the party was seen as the party of
00:46:46.940
They still didn't do very well with those groups.
00:46:49.180
But Trumpism is a totally different animal when you're looking at those voters that you
00:46:56.480
You have Haven and then you have Portland, you know?
00:47:03.460
We call them Troubles, the Stephen King thing, which they turned into a show.
00:47:08.040
Now that's like, if you were to go to Haven, it would be like 90% for Trump.
00:47:12.500
OK, but if you're going to Portland, Susan Collins area, then you're going to see a lot
00:47:17.720
of richer, whiter, bushy like people who frankly would vote for a Democrat over Donald Trump.
00:47:25.800
But he's tightened in that in that pan Atlantic poll.
00:47:32.100
He's not winning it, but he tightened it significantly.
00:47:35.100
And he's winning the second by such a large margin, 20 points, which is more than double
00:47:45.580
So even the less populated second district would swamp the first, you know?
00:47:53.540
I'm telling you, Jack, we have got to keep an eye on that state.
00:47:56.460
And it is one of the most beautiful states in the union.
00:48:01.280
For my Hallmark Watchers out there, let it snow, let it snow for my Hallmark.
00:48:06.900
I've taken Tanya Tay up to Mount Cadillac there.
00:48:16.340
Make sure you go join his community, participate in the surveys.
00:48:19.920
Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.