Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - April 03, 2024


EPISODE 706： BIDEN POLLING NIGHTMARE - BATTLEGROUND STATES FLIP TO TRUMP


Episode Stats


Length

49 minutes

Words per minute

168.40718

Word count

8,348

Sentence count

649

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

17

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Jack Posobiec is back with another edition of the Poso Daily Brief to help you stay up to date on the happenings in the world of politics and current events. Today's episode features: President Trump and his lawyers are demanding that Judge Juan Murchon be removed from the case because his daughter is a political consultant for Democrats. The Wall Street Journal has a new poll that shows Donald Trump leading in all the key swing states and could be on his way to a landslide victory in 2020.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 I want to take a second to remind you to sign up for the Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:05.420 It is completely free.
00:00:06.760 It'll be one email that's sent to you every day.
00:00:08.640 You can stop the endless scrolling, trying to find out what's going on in your world.
00:00:11.720 We will have this delivered directly to you totally for free.
00:00:14.960 Go to humanevents.com slash Poso.
00:00:17.240 Sign up today.
00:00:18.460 It's called the Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:19.860 Read what I read for show prep.
00:00:21.780 You will not regret it.
00:00:23.400 humanevents.com slash Poso.
00:00:25.060 Totally free.
00:00:25.780 The Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:40.340 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:46.980 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:00:49.920 Deliver us from evil.
00:00:51.420 75 people trapped inside tunnels.
00:00:54.480 They have now just been rescued after an earthquake hits Taiwan.
00:00:58.080 The strongest earthquake to hit Taiwan in 25 years.
00:01:02.760 The 22-year-old nursing student in Georgia who was barbarically murdered by an illegal alien animal. 0.99
00:01:10.080 The Democrats say, please don't call them animals.
00:01:12.500 They're humans.
00:01:13.060 I said, no, they're not humans.
00:01:14.580 They're not humans.
00:01:15.340 They're animals.
00:01:16.880 Nancy Pelosi told me that.
00:01:18.340 She said, please don't use the word animal, sir, when you're talking about these people.
00:01:21.960 I said, I'll use the word animal because that's what they are.
00:01:24.620 President Trump and his lawyers are demanding that Judge Juan Murchon be removed because his daughter is a political consultant for Democrats.
00:01:32.740 Lauren Murchon is listed as president and partner in the political consulting firm Authentic Campaigns.
00:01:38.980 Authentic does tens of millions of dollars of work for Democrats and progressive causes.
00:01:43.240 Authentic boasts its clients include President Biden.
00:01:45.520 The governor there has thrown his support behind an effort that would no longer allocate the electoral votes by a congressional district.
00:01:51.300 Because right now, it's five votes there.
00:01:53.380 Technically, Republicans get four.
00:01:54.680 And President Biden, Democrats get the one from Omaha.
00:01:56.980 That's right.
00:01:57.540 If that changes, and we don't know that it will.
00:01:59.260 The state legislature is going to look at it.
00:02:00.620 But if that changes, that takes away Biden's best path to win, because if you get, if he wins, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, but loses the other swing states and no longer picks up the one in Nebraska, 269, that leads playbook this morning.
00:02:15.860 The alarm among Democrats that this is possible.
00:02:19.400 But when these polls like the Wall Street Journal one land in the White House and he's losing all the battleground states.
00:02:23.940 No, he's not losing in all the battleground states.
00:02:26.260 He's coming up and he's even or doing better.
00:02:30.640 So, you know what?
00:02:31.860 Once people start to focus in and they see their two choices, it's obvious that Joe will win this election.
00:02:39.400 According to the new numbers from the Wall Street Journal, Trump leads Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
00:02:48.980 Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome on board today's edition of Human Events Daily live from Washington, D.C.
00:02:56.580 Today is April 3rd, 2024, Anno Domini.
00:03:01.740 Battleground nightmare polls for Joe Biden, the installed president of the United States, the resident of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
00:03:15.080 You see, folks, and I'm looking through the poll numbers right here, and if we can get it up, guys, this is massive.
00:03:22.440 This is massive because it is an entire repudiation of what Joe Biden and his campaign have been saying, saying, oh, America doesn't want Trump.
00:03:33.100 America doesn't like Trump.
00:03:35.380 Show the map, guys.
00:03:36.300 Show the map.
00:03:36.780 This is what America will look like if the poll is taking place today, if the election is taking place based around these polls, landslide.
00:03:48.840 You're talking a landslide victory for Trump.
00:03:53.140 Here's why.
00:03:54.280 Two very basic issues.
00:03:56.760 And this is the Wall Street Journal saying this.
00:03:58.680 This isn't Jack Posobiec.
00:04:00.220 It's not Human Events.
00:04:01.240 It's not War Room.
00:04:02.220 It's not Charlie Kirk.
00:04:03.240 You know, you got the Wall Street Journal, which is run by the globalists.
00:04:08.100 You've got MSNBC coming out and covering it as well.
00:04:11.780 Every single battleground state, Trump is up.
00:04:15.200 And in Wisconsin, it's tied.
00:04:17.980 Now, we're going to have Richard Barris on later, and he's going to be on with us for the whole show to walk you through all of the permeations of this, how it matters, as pertains specifically to not only the Trump-Biden matchup.
00:04:30.220 Because I think it's ridiculous that people are even asking that question in polls because that's not what the ballot is going to be.
00:04:37.220 That's not how America votes. 0.81
00:04:39.780 You will be given multiple choices.
00:04:42.840 We don't know exactly who all of those candidates are, so I get it.
00:04:46.380 You've got to do something for the polls.
00:04:47.560 But RFK, Jill Stein, Cornel West, these are very serious contenders, very serious people with national impact on their ballots.
00:04:58.960 Do I think they're going to win the election?
00:05:00.440 No, I'm not saying that.
00:05:01.460 But what I'm saying is their candidacies and appearances on the ballot itself are going to have national impact in swing state after swing state.
00:05:12.140 And that's what we're going to go through here, but to be very clear, Republicans are winning.
00:05:17.840 Really, Trump is winning because this election is being swung on two issues.
00:05:23.820 Key battlefront in key states.
00:05:28.060 Economy, immigration, economy and immigration, economy and immigration.
00:05:34.500 What are you talking about if you're not talking about economy and immigration?
00:05:38.260 We're going to fix the economy and we're going to fix immigration. 1.00
00:05:42.460 And you don't need to talk about anything else right now.
00:05:45.880 Honestly, if something comes up, somebody asks you a question.
00:05:48.240 Guns?
00:05:48.700 Yeah, 2A all day.
00:05:49.600 2A all day.
00:05:50.660 First Amendment, free speech.
00:05:51.840 1A all day.
00:05:52.600 Got it.
00:05:53.000 100%.
00:05:53.520 No question.
00:05:54.880 Foreign policy, America first. 0.81
00:05:57.020 Okay?
00:05:58.520 But for the American people, for the American people,
00:06:02.320 Once we need to be voted, every candidate out there,
00:06:06.420 the Speaker of the House,
00:06:08.100 and all these people that are trying to put other countries ahead of the United States,
00:06:11.200 again, immigration and economy.
00:06:15.440 Immigration and economy. 0.57
00:06:17.360 Focus on this.
00:06:18.620 Get my hands on that book.
00:06:20.940 Gonna dive into the pages.
00:06:23.360 Take a closer look.
00:06:24.720 Ladies and gentlemen, one of the best ways that you can support us here at Human Events
00:06:29.720 and the work that we do is subscribing to us on our Rumble channel.
00:06:34.540 Make sure you're subscribed.
00:06:35.740 You hit the notifications so you'll never miss a clip.
00:06:38.660 You'll never miss a new live episode.
00:06:41.220 And we're putting them out every single day of the week.
00:06:43.860 All right.
00:07:03.980 Jack Posovic back here.
00:07:05.460 Human Events Daily live from Washington, D.C.
00:07:09.180 And we've got folks, as we speak, Texas is now picking up the pieces
00:07:16.660 after 1.1 million acres of land was destroyed in one of the worst wildfires in history.
00:07:22.460 And who knows how badly that will affect the supply chain of food all across America.
00:07:27.920 That's where today's episode sponsor comes in, My Patriot Supply.
00:07:31.580 They've helped millions of American families prepare the uncertain future,
00:07:35.440 whether it's an economic crisis, a supply chain disaster, or World War III.
00:07:41.220 Many families, like mine, start their three-month emergency food kit.
00:07:46.140 With 22 food and beverage choices, you will always have something tasty at your fingertips.
00:07:51.580 And the kiddos will never get bored.
00:07:53.680 With over 2,000 calories a day, you'll get all the nutrients that you need
00:07:57.980 and the three-month emergency food kits come sealed inside ultra-durable packaging
00:08:02.840 and can last up to 25 years.
00:08:05.440 Stock up on all the food kits that your family needs at MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:08:13.220 You'll get each kit for $200 off.
00:08:16.580 Protect yourself, protect your people.
00:08:18.660 Get your kits at MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:08:21.000 They ship fast and free.
00:08:24.260 Protect yourself, protect your people, protect your family's future.
00:08:27.620 Start preparing at MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:08:31.000 MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:08:32.280 All right, so we're very excited to look at this poll, to dig into these numbers.
00:08:39.380 Guys, what we're seeing here is nothing short of massive.
00:08:44.800 What we're seeing here is nothing short of a watershed moment because when we see this,
00:08:53.060 when we see this going on, when we see these changes happening, that means your voice is
00:08:58.460 making impact.
00:08:59.680 Your work that we do here, time in and time out, is actually making a difference.
00:09:07.020 Richard Barris is joining us now here at Human Events.
00:09:11.580 You know, Rich, you guys over there, a big data poll.
00:09:15.160 Rich is the people's pundit, by the way, folks.
00:09:17.540 You've been telling us this all along.
00:09:19.700 We've been putting the word out.
00:09:21.100 We've been telling people what to focus on, focus on the economy, focus on immigration.
00:09:25.660 And so for all the people on MSNBC running around with their heads exploding, saying,
00:09:30.140 how could this have happened?
00:09:31.260 How could this have happened?
00:09:32.680 Rich, if they had just listened to you, if they had just listened to Human Events on
00:09:36.760 a regular basis, they would have known that this day was coming.
00:09:40.600 Give us your reaction here.
00:09:42.440 Yeah, Jack, thanks for having me as always.
00:09:44.620 And, you know, I hope you guys had a happy Easter, by the way.
00:09:47.200 I had a great one.
00:09:48.160 We did.
00:09:49.060 We actually celebrated the Trans Day of Visibility.
00:09:52.080 We opted for the Transgender Day. 1.00
00:09:55.640 So we're going to be doing Easter at a later time.
00:09:57.940 We thought that may be a little offensive.
00:10:00.040 I don't know.
00:10:00.700 I've been saying Christ is king a lot.
00:10:02.280 What can I say?
00:10:03.720 No, we had a great Easter, man.
00:10:05.720 Me too.
00:10:06.640 And yeah, I mean, this poll came out a couple hours after we put Pennsylvania with the Rust
00:10:11.700 Belt poll up on peoplespundit.locals.com.
00:10:14.540 Now it's public and everyone can look at it and they can check it out in Big Data Poll.
00:10:18.320 But it's remarkable how similar this is.
00:10:20.840 Jack, we have Trump, but a little bit bigger of the lead only because we have Biden a little
00:10:24.860 bit lower vote share than the Wall Street Journal does.
00:10:27.520 But we have Trump's vote share and the initial before we leaned anybody right exactly where
00:10:32.840 they are.
00:10:33.520 So, you know, that's called a consensus, you know, but where it's coming from is really
00:10:37.880 interesting.
00:10:38.360 And I was just on my show trying to explain to people how I think Pennsylvania, for instance,
00:10:43.680 the state, your state is going to be a little bit different this time.
00:10:47.000 You know, I mean, Trump is gaining in the Northeast.
00:10:49.740 He's he's gaining in Philadelphia, you know, but and he is gaining in Philadelphia burbs.
00:10:55.600 But I do see what some of the other pollsters are talking about with, you know, perhaps underperforming
00:11:01.440 what looks to be underperforming in some other areas.
00:11:03.680 But it doesn't matter because, I mean, you get in the 40s in Allegheny, Jack, you get
00:11:08.100 20 percent, 22 percent in Philadelphia.
00:11:10.980 By the way, you know, we did predict he would get a higher vote share in Philadelphia last
00:11:15.480 time.
00:11:16.020 He did.
00:11:16.700 He went from 13 to nearly 20.
00:11:18.720 Now he's routinely above that.
00:11:21.680 So it's a real it looks, which, by the way, people need to understand that that is insane
00:11:26.600 for a Republican to get a vote share like that out of the out of the county of Pennsylvania
00:11:30.540 or Philadelphia.
00:11:31.520 And I always say this, people, when it comes to Pennsylvania, that Pennsylvania politics,
00:11:35.120 that just because Philadelphia is a Democrat stronghold, OK, that does not mean it is still
00:11:42.920 not one of the largest Republican counties in a statewide race.
00:11:46.680 So presidential elections are run statewide.
00:11:50.120 That means that even if you go county by county and you're thinking, oh, well, what I need
00:11:54.860 to worry about Philadelphia, it's all Democrats.
00:11:56.560 I should focus on Lancaster.
00:11:57.680 I should focus on your county.
00:11:59.120 Focus on the local center.
00:12:00.940 Sure.
00:12:01.580 But now you're missing all the Republicans and potential Republicans that could come out
00:12:07.520 and vote for you that last time I checked, Philadelphia was still like the third largest
00:12:11.200 Republican county in all of Pennsylvania.
00:12:14.140 So you're just going to miss all of those potential voters, particularly that was the
00:12:18.560 Northeast.
00:12:19.000 Now, some of your you're seeing some demographic shifts from that as well.
00:12:22.500 But the idea that he's now picking up more and more of those votes, there's no question
00:12:27.360 to me.
00:12:27.740 And by the way, this is something a point that Trump makes himself time and time again,
00:12:32.060 not about Pennsylvania, but about his own home city of New York.
00:12:36.880 Yeah.
00:12:37.820 Yeah.
00:12:38.000 And I'll tell you, and there was a poll from Emerson in New Jersey because I have been thinking
00:12:42.720 about that.
00:12:43.420 If New York, depending on whether it's a head to head or a three way race or a five way
00:12:47.760 race, if New York is nine to 15 points, which is Siena College Bowl really has no record of
00:12:54.040 being too Trumpy, you know, if but that's what they're showing.
00:12:57.860 If New York is really nine to 15 points and New Jersey is because New Jersey, even though
00:13:02.780 it's one of two states that voted more for Barack Obama in 12 than it did in 08, there
00:13:07.540 have been some very close races there.
00:13:09.180 And, you know, in the era of Bush, it wasn't that it was like a five, six point state, you
00:13:13.500 know, the Emerson College Bowl has its seven points.
00:13:16.920 And I actually can see how that could happen, you know, doing just pulling in because we
00:13:22.040 pulled Michigan and Pennsylvania. 0.84
00:13:23.500 But in Pennsylvania, as you know, there's a huge chunk we were just talking about that
00:13:27.720 we referred to as the tri-state area.
00:13:29.860 And look at that.
00:13:30.860 I mean, there are a lot of votes in the southeast.
00:13:33.900 So I'll tell you what, Jack, I would propose something radical here.
00:13:38.920 Of course, you don't want to leave all alone.
00:13:40.660 Well, look at his look at his support in Wilkes, you know, look at the northeast under Trump
00:13:44.780 because Republicans get crushed there, by the way, folks, for those who don't know, there
00:13:48.760 aren't that many red locator pins in the northeast in Pennsylvania when it's not Donald Trump.
00:13:54.200 He's already he's doing fantastic there.
00:13:56.260 And you want to give and show those people love.
00:13:58.060 But I'm by the way, by the way, I mentioned that I mentioned real quick.
00:14:02.180 I mentioned that New York City, of course, you know, Queens and with the officer that
00:14:05.760 was slain, Queens is a New York City or Trump's hometown, northeast Pennsylvania.
00:14:11.240 Who who which one of the candidates is from there?
00:14:13.160 Again, I'm Scranton Joe, right?
00:14:16.380 Oh, Scranton Joe.
00:14:17.660 Right.
00:14:18.200 Right.
00:14:18.880 And I'm telling you, I if Pennsylvania, of course, is a complicated state, but man,
00:14:24.160 I would go to Philadelphia.
00:14:25.600 I would go to Pittsburgh.
00:14:27.140 I would do this at the very least.
00:14:30.380 People who are around the area will drive on in.
00:14:33.380 But you give those people an opportunity to hear your message and you get that media coverage.
00:14:38.800 And there's just Jack, there's something going on.
00:14:41.640 We played a little trick on some of them.
00:14:43.660 You know, there was only George Jorgensen as a third party candidate on the ballot in
00:14:47.920 2020.
00:14:48.600 We had multiple people we know are Biden voters.
00:14:51.800 You know, we were just talking about this on the show to telling us, by the way, it was
00:14:55.400 a massive strategic error by the Republicans, a massive own goal to only let a candidate on
00:15:03.660 let there be a candidate on the ballot who hurts you in every single swing state to not
00:15:09.340 have another third party candidate candidate up there.
00:15:12.280 So the libertarian candidate when they does for the Democrats, what the Green Party does
00:15:17.500 for the Republicans.
00:15:19.120 OK, because that peels off.
00:15:21.960 It's not a lot of votes.
00:15:23.100 But guess what?
00:15:23.840 When you're in one of and I said before you came on, Rich, that this what you're talking
00:15:28.180 about is how these candidates where I say they don't have national election prospects
00:15:33.740 because they're not going to win, but they do have a national election impact.
00:15:38.760 Right.
00:15:39.340 Yeah.
00:15:40.000 And speaking of which, you know, because we're looking at even the results that came in yesterday,
00:15:44.680 there's some interesting votes yesterday.
00:15:48.780 You know, I mean, it's primary electorate.
00:15:50.320 They're the most high interest people out there, the most resistance you're going to
00:15:53.820 see.
00:15:55.340 And again, I just I really can't help but to look at the maps and just say, and it's
00:16:00.900 true, nothing ever stays the same, Jack.
00:16:03.420 You know, so people are always looking at these polls and looking at these maps, looking at
00:16:06.520 these votes and scrutinizing some of the things, you know, that we're talking about realignment,
00:16:11.160 scrutinizing things like that.
00:16:12.260 I would ask them to point to a period in electoral history where the electorate was just
00:16:18.060 the same year after year after year after year.
00:16:20.140 You know, we've had 30 year periods of realignment.
00:16:23.180 We're about in that period now.
00:16:25.100 I mean, we would expect there to be some radical shift.
00:16:28.980 It would have happened already had Republicans not fought Donald Trump and resisted their own
00:16:34.020 guy.
00:16:34.440 But they did and they created an identity crisis.
00:16:37.520 But guess what?
00:16:38.760 Rona's out.
00:16:39.600 Watley's in.
00:16:40.520 Rona's out.
00:16:41.380 Lara's in.
00:16:42.280 You know, I mean, there are a lot of people who have been defeated in the House and in
00:16:46.620 the Senate.
00:16:47.340 There's more to do.
00:16:48.540 Don't get me wrong.
00:16:49.380 But it does appear to me that he is starting to change the face.
00:16:53.740 He being President Trump, the former president, starting to change the face of the party in
00:16:58.860 a way he couldn't do in 20 because he was the sitting president.
00:17:01.840 So every time they stabbed him in the back, it just looked awful.
00:17:05.560 Now there's really nobody of consequence for the voter to look at.
00:17:08.920 So when they think about the Republican Party, they can start to begin to think about populism
00:17:13.160 and things that resonate in that area of the country.
00:17:16.380 Because I'll tell you what, generic Republicans on the House ballot, the senators, what we would
00:17:24.280 consider the presumptive nominees in these states for Senate, they're running way behind
00:17:30.180 Donald Trump, way behind.
00:17:32.480 I mean, Democrats are leading on the generic ballot in Pennsylvania right now by four points.
00:17:37.160 Republicans are having a hard time cracking 40 percent.
00:17:39.620 It's pathetic.
00:17:41.300 It really is.
00:17:42.680 And there are, I can see it clear as day, Josh Shapiro, the governor, Democratic governor,
00:17:47.460 is actually rather popular.
00:17:49.380 People should go to Big Data Poll and check it out.
00:17:51.560 Look at how many Shapiro Trump votes there are.
00:17:54.500 It's like, how is this happening?
00:17:57.600 Which is completely unearned, by the way.
00:17:59.740 And we're coming up on a quick break here.
00:18:01.420 But as a guy who has known Josh Shapiro for a long time, he was my county commissioner.
00:18:06.440 I remember he was state rep.
00:18:07.440 I went and campaigned against him.
00:18:09.220 This is a bad guy.
00:18:10.280 And for a lot of people, he's pulled the wool over their eyes.
00:18:14.040 And he is someone who has a deep, deep-seated hatred for Republicans, conservatives, and
00:18:19.740 anyone who is not part of his particular economic class and his economic set.
00:18:26.720 We're on with Jack Posobiec.
00:18:27.700 Quick break here.
00:18:28.340 Human Events Daily.
00:18:28.940 We're going to pre-order town.
00:18:31.760 Pre-order in large humans.
00:18:34.740 Can't wait to get my hands on that book.
00:18:37.840 Gonna dive into his pages.
00:18:40.480 Take a closer look.
00:18:43.280 It's in a mystery.
00:18:46.340 The hidden tales of the communist history.
00:18:51.400 I want to know the truth, what really went down.
00:18:54.520 So I'm jumping on my computer.
00:18:57.420 Going to pre-order town.
00:18:59.980 Pre-order in large humans.
00:19:05.920 Alright folks, Jack Posobiec back live human events daily.
00:19:08.200 Gotta tell you, I love knowing exactly where my food comes from.
00:19:11.340 And with Moink Box, that place is from small family farms all across this country. 0.96
00:19:15.640 You can help save those farms and get access to the highest quality meat on earth when you
00:19:20.840 join the Moink movement today.
00:19:22.680 Moink runs their business from a town of 97 people in Newark, Missouri.
00:19:26.460 And they're helping save our traditions, our values, and save rural America with every order.
00:19:31.180 Moink delivers grass-fed and grass-finished beef and lamb, pastured pork and chicken,
00:19:35.620 sustainable wild-caught Alaskan salmon straight to your door.
00:19:38.620 You choose the meat delivered in every box.
00:19:40.360 Like ribeyes, chicken breast, pork chops, salmon fillets, and the best bacon.
00:19:44.160 Look, I love this stuff.
00:19:45.220 When Tanya Tate gets it in, we eat the entire box in like a week.
00:19:48.740 So you can support American farmers by signing up at moinkbox.com slash POSO right now.
00:19:54.980 And the human events audience will get free bacon.
00:19:56.900 That's right.
00:19:57.600 Free bacon for a year.
00:20:00.100 Or else you're going to hear that.
00:20:01.300 One year of the best bacon you'll ever taste, but for a limited time.
00:20:05.260 Spelled M-O-I-N-K box.com slash POSO.
00:20:08.060 That's moinkbox.com slash POSO.
00:20:11.260 Rich Barris is on with us again.
00:20:13.400 Rich, walk me through, you're going through, so big data poll has Pennsylvania up.
00:20:20.560 You've gone on to the granular level.
00:20:22.740 You're going like street by street in Pennsylvania.
00:20:24.980 And then Wall Street Journal is coming out with their battleground poll,
00:20:28.900 which finds many of the same trend lines that you're finding.
00:20:33.180 Walk me through what you found in terms of race and then age.
00:20:39.340 Oh, huge.
00:20:40.240 Huge.
00:20:40.800 And let me just say in the Shapiro thing, real quick, two seconds.
00:20:44.900 If you look where those Shapiro Trump voters are, it tells a huge story about why Republicans 0.66
00:20:50.960 are an ineffective countervailing force.
00:20:53.100 And that's another debate.
00:20:54.080 But people should really think about that.
00:20:56.220 An age and race is really the headline, and I think, of the poll.
00:21:01.060 There are race specifically in education by race and gender is just huge.
00:21:07.280 Because Pennsylvania, unlike Michigan, for instance, there's like 5% of the electorate
00:21:12.300 that is Hispanic and about 11% to 12% that are Black, African-American.
00:21:17.740 Hispanics in Michigan were pretty close.
00:21:20.100 In Pennsylvania, they weren't that close.
00:21:22.120 We are being told by Hispanics in Pennsylvania that, yeah, we voted for Biden, 60-something, 30-something.
00:21:32.120 And now they're like dead even or Trump's got a lead.
00:21:35.520 Depending on the ballot scenario, Trump's got a little lead.
00:21:37.840 Biden's got a little lead.
00:21:39.080 But just massive gains.
00:21:40.720 And then the African-American story, I think, is really the big story.
00:21:44.920 I mean, there are just these wards in Philadelphia that if they vote, he's going to do significantly better.
00:21:52.460 For people who don't know, it's largely two wards in Philadelphia, a lot of Italians.
00:21:57.780 That's what beefed up Trump's support in 20, along with some African-American votes.
00:22:02.860 It's South Philly.
00:22:04.080 It's South Philly.
00:22:05.740 South Philly is Rocky Philly.
00:22:08.220 That's Rocky's – that's Rocky Philadelphia, and then you've got the Northeast.
00:22:13.100 Yeah, and then speaking of which, as you get out of it and into areas like Bucs, the white vote in Bucs, a little bit more educated.
00:22:25.140 It's not where Republicans have been in the past that once upon a time could win Bucs.
00:22:30.260 Biden still seems to be a little bit holding his own there, but it doesn't matter.
00:22:33.920 You're going to a place like Pittsburgh, and I mean, if it's a steelworker in Allegheny, Jack, it doesn't – it almost doesn't matter anymore if they're white or they're black.
00:22:42.620 There's like this overall – I mean, of course it does.
00:22:45.160 But I mean, they are becoming – the shift is massive, and it's not just men.
00:22:49.880 It's not just those who don't have a college education, even though I just pointed to a steelworker.
00:22:55.420 The college-educated female non-white in Pennsylvania told us they voted for Biden 80-something to 13, which is about right. 1.00
00:23:04.740 Now Trump is in the 30s with him almost hitting – I mean, that's ridiculous.
00:23:09.320 Even if he comes anywhere near those numbers, Jack, then Biden's got a big problem, and Biden's not doing as well in the Philadelphia suburbs.
00:23:20.320 We would expect them to continue to inch and inch and inch to the left as all of these elections go on.
00:23:25.600 But it's becoming a point now where he's treading water instead of inching – expanding that margin.
00:23:32.080 It's almost like they've tapped out, right?
00:23:34.480 I don't know how else to put it.
00:23:35.520 Really? Because this is – and people know this is – that's my hometown.
00:23:41.280 That's my – that's where I'm from, just outside Philly on the Montgomery County side.
00:23:46.520 And then, of course, the Collar County, Bucs, Chester, and Delaware, Delco.
00:23:51.380 You know, these are – Delco is the most working class of any of them.
00:23:56.260 Lower Marion, that's where Shapiro is from, by the way.
00:24:00.020 Norristown is where I'm from, other side of the tracks, as it were.
00:24:03.280 And it's interesting because I will say, though, just anecdotally, I know from having family in the area that crime has been on the rise there.
00:24:13.400 And here's why.
00:24:14.140 Because specifically violent crime and the perception of violent crime has gone up because you have this – and Bucs County has seen a lot of extreme violence as well because what's happened is that you've got people coming out of that city, coming out of Philadelphia, and they're coming into the suburbs, and they're bringing that out there.
00:24:33.900 They're bringing that same type of lawlessness.
00:24:36.260 They're bringing that same type of violence in ways that – in particularly places like – now, in Norristown, Pennsylvania, yeah, that's always been violent.
00:24:43.260 That's been going really bad since the 90s.
00:24:46.000 Right now, it's completely out of control, and people are getting shot up on the street where – like, right, learned how to ride a bike.
00:24:51.900 And that's been really bad.
00:24:55.100 And so it's so horrific that it doesn't surprise me that the current incumbent in the presidential office is seeing some – potentially some consequences from it.
00:25:06.900 Yeah, I mean it's just – if he's going to counter what Trump is doing in the northeast, which is just insane, if he's going to counter that – and then, of course, couple that with Allegheny.
00:25:19.440 I mean two swing counties, folks, for people who don't know, are Erie and Northampton.
00:25:24.060 Erie is all the way in the northwestern corner of the state.
00:25:27.140 Northampton is right outside the Philadelphia suburbs on the eastern border of the state, but a little bit south.
00:25:33.860 It's not quite central.
00:25:34.640 So those are the two only ones that swing.
00:25:37.460 Everything else is about the margins.
00:25:39.880 Northampton looks like it's coming back.
00:25:42.560 If you go and look at the map and look at the interview details, you'll see.
00:25:45.880 I mean Erie County, same deal, even though we didn't – the general demographic makeup of who lives out there, it looks like Trump is going to carry Erie again.
00:25:59.280 He won it against Clinton in 2016.
00:26:01.760 He lost it against Biden in 2020.
00:26:05.160 Same thing for Northampton, by the way.
00:26:07.240 But this is – if Biden's going to counter all of that, he needs to just keep squeezing larger margins out of the burbs of Philly as well, of course, as Philadelphia itself.
00:26:17.340 And that doesn't seem to be the case.
00:26:18.700 It feels like they've hit like a plateau, and Trump's actually doing a little bit better with educated whites. 0.52
00:26:24.700 So if that is – if that stays the course, Jack, then it is – you just can't do it.
00:26:32.380 By the way, the Wall Street Journal poll is Trump by three.
00:26:37.960 We also asked like the true ballot with a third-party candidate on it.
00:26:42.800 But then we also asked voters, what if you don't have any other choice and it's just Biden and Trump?
00:26:48.200 And when you force them to lean, it gets closer.
00:26:51.440 But Trump is above 50.
00:26:52.960 We've never had Trump above 50.
00:26:54.980 Never.
00:26:55.320 And he's above 50 and leads Biden by a few points, and that's a big deal.
00:27:00.540 I mean statistically, it's a big deal.
00:27:02.440 We've usually had Trump in the neighborhood of 48 percent, 47 percent in these final polls.
00:27:07.840 He got 48.8 in 2020, very close to what we predicted he would get.
00:27:13.800 So the fact that he is above 50 when we lean these people is just huge.
00:27:18.420 And he's already – he leads Biden by four in just the head-to-head without the leaners, which is very close to the Wall Street Journal, very close, super close.
00:27:28.300 I mean so the point – and by the way, the age thing, which I didn't get to, everybody, it's not just me.
00:27:36.760 I mean it's to the point now where we're not talking about gains.
00:27:39.080 You know, people are finding Trump leading with voters under 35 in several of these polls.
00:27:45.260 It's just remarkable, Jack.
00:27:47.140 It's remarkable.
00:27:48.100 Never would have happened in 16 or 20, Jack.
00:27:50.360 I mean that's really something people have to understand.
00:27:52.800 When I'm doing these polls and sitting at home and looking through the data and getting them ready for release, it's really stunning how things have changed.
00:28:02.300 Trump leading with under 35s.
00:28:05.280 I would argue, by the way, that that's also very similar to what Trump's strategy has been by going to something that you outlined, a group of people, the idea of a zero-propensity voter and this idea that there are people who may be registered to vote, maybe not, and they don't engage with the news cycle.
00:28:30.520 They don't engage with, you know, Fox or CNN or MSNBC or any of this stuff.
00:28:37.560 They're not watching human events, certainly.
00:28:39.920 But they're online.
00:28:41.220 They're out there.
00:28:42.540 This is your – but they might listen to Joe Rogan and they might watch UFC.
00:28:46.560 They're complaining at the bar.
00:28:48.360 Yes.
00:28:48.620 And they might go to the bar and they're complaining.
00:28:50.560 And then they look up and who do they see at the UFC fight?
00:28:53.780 Donald Trump.
00:28:54.960 Yeah.
00:28:55.440 Who do they see on their favorite podcast?
00:28:57.920 Donald Trump shows up.
00:29:00.180 And so this strategy that he's been making to embrace these non-traditional forms of media and non-political media, all the non-political, non-news media he's doing, I would argue, obviously, in addition to the issue set, does it actually seem like it's paying off?
00:29:21.120 Yeah.
00:29:21.340 I mean he's got to get them to the polls.
00:29:23.240 But when we speak to them –
00:29:24.920 Indeed.
00:29:25.200 Yes.
00:29:25.600 Yeah.
00:29:25.800 Now that's a huge element of this.
00:29:27.960 That's the Scott Pressler quotient.
00:29:30.500 Yeah.
00:29:30.920 And he – and someone like Scott really gets this.
00:29:33.260 You're going to have these Republicans who drive me and Scott nuts, frankly.
00:29:36.640 They just won't vote early, right?
00:29:38.740 And they're high-propensity Republicans.
00:29:40.700 You cannot use the word early voting or mail-in voting.
00:29:43.520 You can use early, but you can't say mail-in voting.
00:29:46.160 They'll immediately regurgitate and recoil and run away.
00:29:49.780 You have to talk a different way to them, which we've learned how to do.
00:29:52.800 But you've got to get those people that you were just talking about on – because you have to make it easy for them to vote.
00:29:59.520 So get them – and I think Laura understands this.
00:30:03.340 Get them on the permanent absentee ballot list and then just make sure by multiple points of contact, which I'm not going to reveal, you get in touch with them and you remind them and you track them and make sure that that ballot eventually gets handed in.
00:30:18.300 And then what's going – you're not going to win the early vote over Democrats, but you won't get killed 85-15 in Pennsylvania like Republicans keep getting killed.
00:30:27.540 Maybe instead it will be 65-35 or 70-30 if you really do a good job.
00:30:33.080 You know, 65-35 would be incredible.
00:30:35.220 Then you still have all of your three out of fours and four out of fours that just won't bite and want to vote on Election Day because there was never a culture of early voting in a state like Pennsylvania.
00:30:45.160 And they come out and put you over the top.
00:30:46.960 It's a simple way to think about it, but that's what they got to do.
00:30:50.960 This is exactly how we win.
00:30:54.740 Rich Barris, early voting.
00:30:57.680 We've got to get in.
00:30:59.180 We've got to make it happen.
00:31:00.160 We've got to make it happen.
00:31:16.960 All right, Jack, what's up with Human Events Daily.
00:31:27.000 We are on live with Rich Barris, the People's Plundet.
00:31:30.620 We're walking through the Wall Street Journal poll as well as his deep granular poll of Pennsylvania.
00:31:36.740 Pennsylvania, a tough state to crack, a tough nut to crack.
00:31:39.700 President Trump, the only president, a Republican presidential candidate in recent history to swing the state.
00:31:47.320 The only one since the Reagan era.
00:31:50.800 Now, Rich, when we're looking at – let's expand out into the Rust Belt.
00:31:55.960 So Pennsylvania, and everybody knows this, but for anyone who doesn't, it starts as an Acela kind of like Acela Corridor state in the east.
00:32:08.340 And then as you move across, then it becomes like you've got Kentucky in the middle there.
00:32:14.560 And then it becomes more and more of a Rust Belt state as western as you go.
00:32:20.260 As you get past the Alleghenies, now you're in a Rust Belt state, and that's western Pennsylvania.
00:32:27.860 This is your fracking area.
00:32:29.220 This is your Marcellus Shale find. 0.92
00:32:31.080 That's what bleeds into Ohio.
00:32:33.960 And then that pushes you, and as you come across Ohio, you come across Indiana.
00:32:38.040 Now let's get into the other two big ones of the Rust Belt, Wisconsin, Michigan.
00:32:45.920 What are you looking at up there?
00:32:47.740 Yeah.
00:32:48.340 Yeah.
00:32:48.820 We also pulled Michigan.
00:32:50.460 That won't be public very, very soon, but I mean I'll just give you the skinny on it, Jack.
00:32:54.560 I mean I'm stunned.
00:32:55.900 I love the skinny.
00:32:57.400 I'm stunned again considering how hard Michigan is for a Republican to carry.
00:33:04.940 And of course, both times, Michigan was the most difficult of the three for Trump to perform in.
00:33:13.220 He won in 16 by about 10,000 votes, and then he lost by the larger margin out of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan of the big three.
00:33:21.140 He lost by the biggest margin, and still very close, but that was the widest one.
00:33:25.980 And now it's really getting Trumpy.
00:33:28.320 You saw the CNN poll, Trump plus 10.
00:33:30.540 And we're not there, but it's very clear that Trump is just romping it in the old Obama, Genesee, definitely Macomb.
00:33:44.940 So the old Obama territory, Saginaw, those areas, and it has surprised me.
00:33:52.320 And the more I've thought about it, the more I've thought maybe it shouldn't surprise us.
00:33:57.980 Like I said, things do change, and based on the demographics that we are seeing realigning, maybe we should have expected this.
00:34:06.160 Wisconsin on the flip side, which has been the most Trumpy out of the three in the last two elections, appears to be pulling the best for Biden.
00:34:13.400 And there is a reason to think that may be right.
00:34:17.880 First of all, there are a lot less Scandinavian ethnicity Midwest voters in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
00:34:27.580 Of course, they have some, but that's why Minnesota is so difficult.
00:34:31.020 It has the most.
00:34:32.540 And there are two out of that group that are really difficult, Finns and Swedes.
00:34:37.640 And they're just more liberal and have been.
00:34:39.640 This goes back many years.
00:34:40.980 However, in Wisconsin, there's also a huge chunk of Norwegians, and that's the battle. 1.00
00:34:46.520 You know, that's how it gets so close.
00:34:48.300 In Michigan, because the shift is so non-white, it kind of makes sense because Michigan, of course, has a larger black population than Wisconsin, which is whiter and more Asian. 0.88
00:35:01.320 You know, and then even Republicans in a state like Wisconsin tend to be a little bit more, attitudinally, Pennsylvania and Michigan are much more Trump-like, attitudinally.
00:35:16.260 Whereas in Minnesota and Wisconsin, it's more like Minnesota, Wisconsin, nice, you know, kind of thing.
00:35:22.040 So, attitudinally, it should make.
00:35:25.020 So, the point I'm trying to make is, even though Wisconsin tends to throw pollsters for a loop and the temptation for Republicans to think it will be the most Trumpy again this year, regardless of the polling, I would say caution.
00:35:40.540 I don't know if that's going to be the case, and I really do think that these swings in Michigan are real, and there's a reason to expect that to happen.
00:35:49.460 Like we just talked about in the last segment, all of those groups, it would impact Michigan more.
00:35:54.680 And by the way, the author and the thesis writer of the Emerging Democratic Majority spends all his day on Substack flipping out about Michigan and Georgia, but Michigan, because it really is indicative of that non-white, non-college shift.
00:36:10.820 And if that happens, the elective old college is going to be really, really difficult for a Democrat to carry.
00:36:16.360 I mean, Joe Biden needs a plus four nationally.
00:36:19.180 Jackie does in order to make sure he gets to college.
00:36:22.980 He needs that.
00:36:23.780 Rich, it would be remiss of us to not talk about how – so you and I have been talking about the Rust Belt strategy, and this is sort of recreating the 2016 path to victory.
00:36:35.160 Let's get the map up for everyone to see.
00:36:37.360 The only bigger.
00:36:39.560 And do so in a bigger way.
00:36:42.080 However, what MSNBC has now caught on to and what Charlie Kirk spearheaded yesterday, which is now working its way through the Nebraska legislature,
00:36:51.660 is this idea that we can now get to the point where – and this is amazing – there becomes another path to the presidency.
00:37:04.120 What does that mean?
00:37:04.780 So Nebraska going winner-take-all is saying, well, that's just one vote.
00:37:10.820 Like, why does that make such a difference?
00:37:12.220 It makes a difference because of the math.
00:37:13.940 This is chestnut checkers, okay?
00:37:15.900 People need to understand that if you – if we get the map up, guys, that –
00:37:21.020 There are two states that allocate by district to – yeah, yeah, yep.
00:37:24.540 If you can get – if you can get that state, if you can get Nevada to go over, now you get – now you get Nebraska to go winner-take-all.
00:37:39.700 This is – this gives you something called the Sun Belt strategy.
00:37:44.400 And the Sun Belt strategy shows that if you win Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, plus a winner-take-all in Nebraska,
00:37:54.500 that puts Trump at 269 without even winning a single one of the Rust Belt states.
00:38:05.420 Rich, walk us through how dangerous this scenario becomes for the Democrats.
00:38:09.680 Yeah, I mean, they have been not only relying on it, but, I mean, the fact that they get that one district,
00:38:17.860 which has been trending to them long before Trump came on the scene, by the way.
00:38:22.380 It's some of the most dishonest analysis I've ever heard.
00:38:26.220 It has been getting more blue because it's becoming a financial district.
00:38:30.780 I mean, go check your mailbox.
00:38:33.280 Take out the – you know, your credit card company.
00:38:35.780 You know, the mail they send you from your credit card company and look at the date.
00:38:39.100 That's the district in Nebraska, all right?
00:38:43.060 Basically, the – people have to understand too that 10 years ago this wouldn't have worked.
00:38:48.260 The census has changed the math.
00:38:50.880 In 16, when Hillary Clinton was defeated, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, he absolutely needed – he didn't need Michigan,
00:38:57.540 but he absolutely needed the Keystone State at least because the math wasn't there.
00:39:04.240 The old allocation of electoral votes was there.
00:39:06.460 Now, because of the census, the South is gaining.
00:39:10.820 The Northeast is losing.
00:39:12.700 The West is gaining some as well.
00:39:14.860 And part of the Sun Belt runs through the West, obviously.
00:39:19.300 Nevada has been shifting at the presidential level more and more to the right even as the country moves to the left.
00:39:25.520 So for people who don't understand what I mean, like Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by two.
00:39:30.400 Joe Biden won it by four.
00:39:32.060 Yet, Nevada didn't budge, all right?
00:39:34.140 That's called a partisan voting index.
00:39:35.760 It tells you the state is moving to the right.
00:39:38.220 And Trump has routinely, consistently, including in the last poll we just looked at, been leading in Nevada.
00:39:43.880 And their team is different.
00:39:45.900 They have a new way of thinking, like we were just talking about in the prior segment, about how to gather votes,
00:39:50.480 how to make sure that you're not buried come Election Day in an avalanche of mail-in votes.
00:39:55.820 They're not doing that this time.
00:39:57.440 So if you can pull off the Sun Belt strategy, thanks to the census, it already gets you to a point where, 0.68
00:40:04.580 if there is a tie in the Electoral College, it gets thrown to the House.
00:40:08.580 Who runs the House?
00:40:11.040 Right.
00:40:11.820 So, well, at least for now, if they don't sabotage you, Jack.
00:40:15.420 But there's also the situation with Maine, which I'm not sure a lot of people – you see it right there.
00:40:22.480 Okay, so they did move Maine.
00:40:24.380 Okay, I was waiting for people to do this, Jack, and I'm looking at the map you have on the screen now.
00:40:29.600 Maine has been lightly red in our map now for a couple of weeks.
00:40:36.980 We weren't sure if it was going to hold or not.
00:40:39.200 Others didn't do it yet because there isn't enough for the averages there.
00:40:43.960 But there are two polls showing Trump is actually on the cusp of carrying the entire state,
00:40:50.480 which is the only state like Nebraska that does not allocate winner-take-all.
00:40:55.620 It allocates – of course, you can win the statewide vote, some college votes.
00:41:01.040 You also have to get electoral college votes from congressional districts.
00:41:05.920 Trump has carried Maine 2 before, but he has not carried the state.
00:41:10.280 So that would be – that's what the Sunbelt strategy is all about.
00:41:13.800 It gives you a lot more pass, but if not, it gives you a tie.
00:41:16.660 And it puts them on the back foot on everything, absolutely everything.
00:41:22.960 Coming back, Human Events Daily, Chestnut Checkers will walk you through the battleground of 2024.
00:41:28.500 I can't wait to get my hands on that book, going to dive into his pages.
00:41:35.800 But I got a hankering, yearning deep inside, for this book called Unhumans I just can't hide.
00:41:46.260 All right, Jack, so we're back live.
00:41:53.280 Final segment here, Human Events Daily.
00:41:55.540 Rich, the Sunbelt strategy.
00:41:58.400 So this new strategy, which isn't really – for Trump, isn't even actually a new strategy.
00:42:03.240 That's the funny part of it.
00:42:04.340 It is obviously – it's actually something that Charlie and the Nebraska legislature, Governor Pillen, I'm told, by the way, that it looks like Ricketts is going to be coming on board as well with something that's going to drop later today.
00:42:20.820 That if Nebraska drops their electoral divination method, that they're going to be going for winner-take-all, now you're going to have a situation where Democrats are forced to have to defend.
00:42:37.900 They're going to be on defensive in places like Minnesota, in places like Colorado, places that they wouldn't have to worry about.
00:42:47.880 Because that means that if Trump can win Nevada, all right, and there's some interest.
00:42:52.840 And with the Hispanic swing, it's possible, right? 1.00
00:42:55.760 It's certainly on the table.
00:42:57.820 Nevada is usually a state – Nevada is usually a state which for Republicans is like it's nice to have, but it's usually not necessary.
00:43:05.960 Now, you go big in Nevada, which is a state where there was a Republican who won.
00:43:10.120 It wasn't a Trumpy candidate, but there was a Republican who just won for governor.
00:43:13.940 Lombardo.
00:43:14.340 Now you've got a – Lombardo, now you've got a situation where all he has to do is pick up one state in the north, just one.
00:43:25.100 It could be Pennsylvania.
00:43:26.100 It could be Michigan.
00:43:26.740 It could be Wisconsin.
00:43:27.900 It could be New Hampshire, and he's the president.
00:43:30.420 It could be New Hampshire.
00:43:31.180 Yeah.
00:43:31.340 And the Democrats have to defend all of it.
00:43:36.160 Yeah, and I was just saying, I was trying to point out to people, in Politico, it was kind of like under the radar.
00:43:42.400 But Joe Biden just sent a crack team.
00:43:46.660 They're good people.
00:43:47.760 Well, I'm aware of them, but three – basically a three-person team with a nice-sized budget to go and defend Minnesota.
00:43:56.120 Jack, there's all this talk right now about Joe Biden rebounding in the polls.
00:44:00.480 He was way down.
00:44:01.640 So a rebound is not really putting him in winning territory.
00:44:06.480 The fact that they sent that team to Minnesota tells you everything you need to know about where they believe the state of the race is.
00:44:13.300 Minnesota has Hennepin, has Ramsey.
00:44:16.040 There are huge numbers of boats, hundreds of thousands of boats that they net out of the Twin Cities.
00:44:21.180 If they're getting itchy over Minnesota, if they're getting antsy over Minnesota, they have a problem.
00:44:28.220 Also, Nevada, I'm telling you, Lombardo, right, I mean, Trump endorsed him, but he was also – I mean, he's getting more Trumpy.
00:44:36.160 He was kind of a key role in Nikki Haley being humiliated by losing to none of these candidates because there wasn't an effort to have that happen.
00:44:47.500 But Lombardo was asked by the media at an event, and there were all these people around, and they made it.
00:44:53.400 They carried the message.
00:44:54.480 He said, I'll tell you what, I'm going to vote on Tuesday for none of these candidates, and then I'm going to take my butt on Thursday to the caucus site and caucus for Donald Trump.
00:45:02.620 And that made the rounds in Nevada, and a lot of people showed up to that primary expecting to vote for Donald Trump, and that wasn't possible.
00:45:11.200 So they voted none of these candidates.
00:45:12.500 But also, a lot of people heard what Joe Lombardo said, Governor Lombardo said, and he did it.
00:45:17.900 Let me just say this about Nevada because a lot of people have some big leads for Trump in that state.
00:45:23.280 Lombardo we had down by two points less than Adam Laxalt in Clark County, and that's what happened.
00:45:30.660 In Washoe County, we had Laxalt down by more than he lost it by, but basically everybody was decided, whereas Lombardo was just up a little bit, and he won it.
00:45:41.080 Trump was up in Washoe County by four points in that poll, and he was also damn near tied in Clark County.
00:45:50.240 That's a win.
00:45:51.080 So people ask, what is this shift in this non-white vote, and Hispanics play a huge role in a state like that?
00:45:59.780 It means everything.
00:46:01.400 It absolutely means everything.
00:46:03.280 You brought up Colorado before, but it's actually whiter and younger than a state like New Mexico, which has somewhere 30%, 40% of its electorate can be Hispanic.
00:46:13.560 Joe Biden's entire margin in New Mexico was non-white, and if this shift is real, then Joe Biden's got a problem.
00:46:21.120 They split the white vote down the middle in New Mexico in 2020.
00:46:24.360 His entire 12-point or whatever roughly margin was from Hispanics.
00:46:29.660 I mean, Jack, and by the way, Hispanics in New Mexico voted more for Trump than they did nationally.
00:46:36.100 So if you're seeing this trend nationally and past this prologue, then a state like New Mexico could get real close real fast.
00:46:44.660 So we'll have to see.
00:46:45.560 And this is coming from a guy.
00:46:47.220 I'm telling you, four, five, six years ago when I heard people like Brad Parscale saying that, I thought it was premature.
00:46:54.240 I thought it was nuts.
00:46:55.040 I really did, and I thought it was a waste of money.
00:46:57.480 Now it's not because it's not one or two people saying the gains are big enough in a state like Minnesota.
00:47:04.120 This is everybody.
00:47:06.440 This is a consensus.
00:47:08.120 Trump's lead, Trump's strength in these states is not being fueled.
00:47:12.100 I mean, of course, he's getting huge numbers with white working class, but that's not what's fueling this shift.
00:47:18.560 I long have said, you know, until this year that it will be very, very difficult for a Republican to even think about winning the popular vote, especially with Hispanic growth in this country. 1.00
00:47:29.600 It's just not going to happen until Hispanics stop voting for Democrats at rates like that. 0.98
00:47:34.280 Well, that's why Trump is winning in these polls.
00:47:38.800 That's why he's up, whether it's two or four or they're even tied or Biden's up by one or two.
00:47:43.960 That's nothing.
00:47:45.540 You know, I used to – I really did, man.
00:47:47.440 A year or two years ago, I used to think even more than that back when Trump was running for re-elections.
00:47:52.780 This demographic swing has changed everything.
00:47:56.080 Everything.
00:47:56.340 You were the first guy to talk about – man, I'm looking at the map right now, but I mean –
00:48:03.860 You'd rather be Donald Trump.
00:48:05.440 There's no doubt you would rather be Donald Trump.
00:48:06.840 It's so rough.
00:48:08.460 It's so rough for Biden.
00:48:10.960 It's so rough.
00:48:11.960 If you just – it's just putting him in a really – this is like one of those times when you're playing chess and somebody makes a move that seems like – it seems kind of innocuous early in the game.
00:48:24.980 And you say, oh, don't worry about that.
00:48:26.860 That was just a pawn moved in a certain position, a certain combination.
00:48:30.840 And then later on, when you get to the end stages of the game, you realize that's the pawn that's about to take out your entire kingdom.
00:48:42.380 That's what the Sun Belt strategy just did.
00:48:45.220 Rich Barris, where can people go to follow you to get more information about the big data poll?
00:48:50.340 Yeah.
00:48:50.740 Best place, Jack.
00:48:51.780 We're everywhere, but the best place is peoplespundit.locals.com.
00:48:55.860 Peoplespundit.locals.com.
00:48:57.780 Supporters always get this stuff first.
00:48:59.380 You know, Michigan's coming.
00:49:00.540 Coming real soon.
00:49:01.380 Be out real soon.
00:49:02.320 Michigan's coming.
00:49:03.040 I want to see it, folks.
00:49:04.140 I want to see it.
00:49:05.020 All right.
00:49:05.160 Make sure you get a copy, pre-ordered copy of Unhumans.
00:49:09.660 What do we do here, folks, in that book?
00:49:11.760 And what do we do here on the show?
00:49:12.880 We talk about winning.
00:49:15.000 No noise, only signal.
00:49:17.320 We're going to talk about winning, winning, winning.
00:49:21.220 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, if you have my permission, I'll make sure.
00:49:24.820 Computer, going to pre-order town.
00:49:28.400 Pre-ordered in Unhumans. 0.74
00:49:31.220 Can't wait to get my hands on that book.