Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - July 04, 2025


Human Events Daily - July 4th Global Sitrep

Topics
China leadership succession Chinese aircraft carrier deployments mass immigration crisis
Hosted by
Jack Posobiec
Mentioned
Donald Trump Jack Kosovic Patriot Jack Prasovic Joe Biden Xi Jinping Putin Jack Poso Zelensky Fordow Zoran Mamdani Midnight Hammer Deng Xiaoping Sam Harris Tony Blinken Anno Domini Jiang Zemin Mao Zedong Jimmy John Hu Jintao and 13 more
BBB Passes - The New Golden Age Has Begun The Year of the Unhumans

Episode Stats


Length

42 minutes

Words per minute

141.38

Word count

5,999

Sentence count

355

Harmful content

Toxicity

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

15

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

What happens when the Fourth Turning meets 5th Generation Warfare? A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran, Jack Posoe talks about what it means to be an American in the face of threats from abroad.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 I want to take a second to remind you to sign up for the Poso Daily Brief.
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00:00:25.780 The Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:40.620 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:46.960 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.
00:00:50.240 Christ is King.
00:00:52.400 What is the status at Fordow?
00:00:54.660 Bismillah ar-Rahman ar-Rahim.
00:00:55.840 No one exactly knows what has transpired in Fordow.
00:00:59.500 What we know so far is that the facilities have been seriously and heavily damaged.
00:01:07.540 These are indeed extraordinary images of panic around a Russian arms plant.
00:01:12.900 It's extraordinary because of how deep inside Russia this was.
00:01:16.060 800 miles inside, hitting what a Ukraine security official tells CNN was a target they were aiming at.
00:01:23.680 It's the Kupol electromagnetic plant, which Ukraine says is responsible for the construction of TOR missiles, OSA anti-missile systems,
00:01:31.260 and indeed the Garpia attack drone used frequently across the front lines.
00:01:35.000 United States is holding back weapons that the Biden administration and the last Congress marked for Ukraine.
00:01:41.940 This comes as Russia has made territorial gains in Ukraine in recent days and blasted the country with unrelenting drone and missile attacks.
00:01:49.980 The United States has sounded the alarm about China's military advancements, calling for stronger defences in the Indo-Pacific.
00:01:56.640 The Chinese military is said to have over 900 short-range missiles that can strike Taiwan and hundreds more that can reach as far as Alaska, Australia, and even continental United States.
00:02:08.400 This monument will never be desecrated.
00:02:11.960 These heroes will never be defaced.
00:02:15.800 Their legacy will never, ever be destroyed.
00:02:20.020 Their achievements will never be forgotten.
00:02:22.980 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:02:29.060 Today is 4 July 2025, Anno Domine, America's 249th birthday and the one-year countdown, the start of the one-year countdown to America's grand 250th.
00:02:47.720 They said it couldn't be done.
00:02:49.380 They said no great power lasts more than 200 years.
00:02:52.700 Well, boom, here we are 249, here we are 250.
00:02:56.320 But will America stand?
00:02:57.960 Will America continue on?
00:03:00.380 What does it mean to be an American?
00:03:03.000 All of these things are suddenly in question.
00:03:06.040 All of these things are now being brought to bear in the public mind and the public discourse because so many people are asking again and again,
00:03:15.180 what is America's standing?
00:03:16.480 What is America's role?
00:03:17.460 And who are the core Americans?
00:03:19.060 Does the American government stand for those core Americans here at home? 0.74
00:03:25.320 Are we going to have fortress America and a grand nation state that stands head and shoulders above the world?
00:03:32.060 Or are we going to continue on the failed, decrepit, and fading blueprint of the globalist American empire, which was constructed from the 1980s on forward to be this global power, world police state,
00:03:51.120 whereby in the tax base of the United States is used to fund global military operations, global finance, a global series of military bases and military offenses in order to sort of be this world international order,
00:04:10.060 as Tony Blinken and Joe Biden and all these great luminaries and statesmen used to refer to it.
00:04:15.960 Well, so that's what we're going to do today.
00:04:17.040 We're going to talk about these issues.
00:04:18.880 You know, what does it mean to be an American, a core American, a heritage American, an American who has family ties to the great wars and great struggles that this country has faced,
00:04:30.400 especially in the face of mass immigration, the type of mass immigration that we've had in this country since the 1960s.
00:04:38.320 And it needs to be said and it needs to be borne out that the people coming today do not view this country the way that the people who have been here for a long, long time do.
00:04:46.440 And furthermore, America still faces threats abroad and America still faces threats from abroad and President Trump is the best one equipped to face them.
00:04:56.320 So today, what I decided, no guests, we're doing no guests today.
00:05:00.220 It's just you and me on this 4th of July for a global situation report.
00:05:06.880 So you got, I got my old Navy officers hat on.
00:05:09.920 We're going to do a little bit of a global sit rep today on Human Events Daily.
00:05:15.140 Be right back.
00:05:16.440 We'll stand in our way and our golden age has just begun.
00:05:27.060 This is Human Events with Jack Posobo.
00:05:28.820 Now it's time for everyone to understand what America first truly means.
00:05:33.480 Welcome to the second American revolution.
00:05:39.360 President Obama was a terrible president. 0.65
00:05:42.500 President Biden was the worst president in the history of our country. 0.89
00:05:46.440 President Bush should not have gone into the Middle East and blown the place up.
00:05:51.340 So I don't give him high marks here.
00:05:53.360 Thank you very much, everybody.
00:05:54.940 Thank you.
00:05:55.500 I give Trump very high marks.
00:05:56.860 Goodbye, everybody.
00:05:57.560 Well, ladies and gentlemen, we are back Human Events Daily, Washington, D.C.
00:06:05.700 And we're conducting this global sit rep, global situation report.
00:06:10.880 I want to start, of course, with the region that I think that's on everyone's mind, and that being the Middle East.
00:06:16.580 Obviously, we know Israel conducted what they call Operation Rising Lion, which lasted from about June 13th to June 24th.
00:06:28.840 President Trump, of course, in the United States, instituted Operation Midnight Hammer, conducted in conjunction with Israel, which was an attack directly on Iran's uranium enrichment facilities.
00:06:43.300 So let's go through a little bit of the money line, a little bit of the stats on those.
00:06:50.380 So we're told that Operation Rising Lion, this was this massive preemptive strike on Iran.
00:06:56.580 200 aircraft dropped more than 330 munitions from the Israeli Air Force on 100 targets.
00:07:04.180 This destroyed mainly those nuclear facilities and mainly those targets there, Natanz, Bordo, Isfahan, but also conducted massive assassination or decapitation strikes using drones.
00:07:19.780 All across Iran, particularly within Tehran itself, targeting military bases and senior commanders, we're told that all in all, the death toll is anywhere between the low end of 224 to a high end of 974 fatalities.
00:07:38.120 With this mix of military and scientists associated with the nuclear program of Iran, Israel, of course, has claimed to neutralize Iran's near-term nuclear threat.
00:07:49.780 Iran, of course, as we know, retaliated with massive missile and drone attacks on Israeli soil, particularly targeting Tel Aviv and some military areas as well.
00:08:01.940 Many of which were intercepted by elements of Israel's very advanced high-tech air defense, although the United States was also involved with THAAD, those terminal high-altitude air defenders, with those air interceptor missiles.
00:08:19.540 The question, of course, being the price, the price of those air interceptor missiles and the ability to continue use of them given their low number of the munitions.
00:08:31.120 This is also one of the reasons that we saw just a few days ago, Ukraine had pointed out that there was a halt of Patriot missile systems delivered to Ukraine,
00:08:42.100 and most believe this was due to their use defending not only Israel's assets and Israeli facilities, but also American facilities across the Middle East in this response by Tehran to Operation Midnight Hammer
00:08:57.660 and the attack on the U.S. air base at Al-Adid in Qatar.
00:09:02.520 So, for the first time ever, to get into Midnight Hammer, for the first time ever in history, the United States military conducted military strikes within Iran.
00:09:14.200 This is the U.S. Air Force and the U.S. Navy joint offensive.
00:09:17.140 These strikes on Iranian territory during this 12-day war between Israel, the United States, and Iran.
00:09:23.980 The main targets, of course, were the uranium enrichment plants at Natanz and Isfahan, and then the 14 bunker-busting bombs,
00:09:32.700 two of which were at Natanz and the rest of which were targeted at Fordow, that site deep within the mountains south of Tehran.
00:09:43.720 President Trump had stated that the sites were obliterated.
00:09:46.180 U.S. intelligence agencies also concluded they were seriously and heavily damaged, likely delaying and setting back Iran's near-term nuclear program.
00:09:56.320 Iran themselves confirmed serious damage to the Fordow facility.
00:10:01.380 Notably, one of the attacks that occurred by Israel just after Operation Midnight Hammer was this attack on Evin Prison in Tehran on June 23rd,
00:10:11.900 so one day later, which was an attempt, many believe, to have prisoners and criminals released out into Iran in hopes of sparking a regime change.
00:10:24.140 And Iran confirmed that 56 Artesh military members, including generals and 41 IRGC, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps personnel,
00:10:32.080 were killed, including Brigadier General Namati, who were killed in separate Israeli strikes.
00:10:37.160 Iran's supreme leader, advisor, has criticized the United States and Israel in response to all of this,
00:10:43.880 calling any potential nuclear talks deceptive.
00:10:46.500 President Trump coming in on June 24th at the end of all of this and instituting a ceasefire between Israel and Iran,
00:10:55.860 brokering it and bringing this pause to full-scale hostility.
00:11:00.540 So some of the implications there, obviously, nuclear setback for Iran, U.S. and Israeli strikes inflicting significant damage,
00:11:09.960 significant damage to their nuclear ambitions and to their nuclear program.
00:11:14.380 One assessment, of course, is their risk of escalation.
00:11:18.080 Absolutely.
00:11:19.120 Should either side breach the ceasefire deal, many believe, whether through direct reciprocal strikes,
00:11:26.220 proxy attacks, cyber attacks, which could include threats to the United States with critical infrastructure
00:11:31.940 or even domestic terror warnings going through September, obviously September 11th, the key date there,
00:11:37.080 could suggest a sustained cycle.
00:11:39.160 One of the main threat that we're hearing, of course, as well, is a humanitarian and refugee crisis.
00:11:44.120 It's estimated that 100,000 civilians fled from Tehran during these strikes.
00:11:51.180 And the question is, are they staying in different places within the massive country of Iran itself,
00:11:56.140 or will they flee to neighboring countries or perhaps to Europe, as we saw during the Syrian civil war?
00:12:02.680 And as well, one of the big takeaways of all of this is that Tehran has suspended cooperation
00:12:08.400 with the International Atomic Energy Agency and halted visits to bombed sites and threatened for their
00:12:16.060 consequences and cooperation, saying that they believe the IAEA is now completely controlled by the West
00:12:23.120 and they do not believe it to be objective.
00:12:26.160 So, for President Trump and for others, the goal now is consolidation of the ceasefire.
00:12:33.980 So consolidate the ceasefire, maintain this Trump-mediated truce, obviously monitoring for violations,
00:12:40.660 but using any domestic, diplomatic, or financial pressure, economic pressure to suppress any threat of escalation.
00:12:50.640 Obviously, in a situation like this, an increase of surveillance, satellite, recon on nuclear sites,
00:12:57.480 military command nodes, proxy groups to rapidly detect any reconstitution efforts
00:13:02.520 or emerging threats or emerging escalations, calibrate deterrent strategy.
00:13:07.760 And this is, of course, U.S. posture within the region with so many U.S. bases that are nearby
00:13:12.580 within striking range of the force protection level is going to need to remain high.
00:13:17.300 And that also includes monitoring of the Strait of Hormuz itself with a variety of reports that have come out
00:13:23.740 saying that Iran did, at some points, load sea mines.
00:13:27.960 The IRDC personnel were located loading sea mines onto various ships that could have been used very quickly overnight
00:13:37.540 to mine the Strait of Hormuz to block, again, 20% of the world's oil,
00:13:43.100 the world's petroleum flowing through the mouth of the Persian Gulf.
00:13:47.140 This key node, this key choke point of infrastructure for the sea lanes,
00:13:52.820 and obviously goes towards all of the key risks for any international global power.
00:14:00.660 Looking around the Middle East a bit larger, we also see President Trump calling for and says
00:14:07.140 that just a few days ago he instituted a 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Gaza,
00:14:13.480 the ongoing conflict there that's been happening since October 7, 2023,
00:14:20.000 with Gaza fatalities in estimates ranging from the low tens of thousands to the high tens of thousands,
00:14:28.880 with more than 90% of the 2.3 million population of Gaza displaced.
00:14:34.700 Among 50 hostages remain within Gaza, about 50% of us, so 25 living, 25 unfortunately seem to be deceased as of this point.
00:14:45.800 President Trump will be meeting Netanyahu on July 7, and certainly we'll hear more about the ceasefire there.
00:14:53.720 Also looking at potential escalations with the Houthis on the other side of the Red Sea,
00:14:59.400 and then up in Syria where an Islamic extremist group has taken over the country.
00:15:04.800 However, they claim that they are going to be working on deals with Israel and the United States,
00:15:10.240 potentially even entering the Abraham Accords.
00:15:13.640 Folks, that is the Middle East in a Nutshell. 1.00
00:15:16.760 We'll be right back, Human Events Daily.
00:15:18.060 Today, you know, they talk about influencers.
00:15:38.840 These are influencers, and they're friends of mine.
00:15:42.280 All right, Jack Kasovic, here we are back, Human Events Daily.
00:15:54.040 The global sit-rep continues.
00:15:56.280 We turn now to the Asia-Pacific and the Chinese Communist Party.
00:16:02.660 Now, for longtime viewers of Human Events Daily, you'll know that China is the country I've spent most of the time in my career focused on,
00:16:11.580 lived there for two years, learned to speak and read Mandarin Chinese,
00:16:16.900 and worked as a Navy intelligence officer with a direct focus on the People's Republic of China.
00:16:24.660 Now, we know that there are questions about Xi Jinping.
00:16:28.320 There always will be questions about Chinese leadership.
00:16:31.080 Xi Jinping has been the party chairman now longer than anyone since Mao Zedong himself.
00:16:38.200 He's been longer than Deng Xiaoping, longer than leadership than Jiang Zemin, longer in leadership than Hu Jintao,
00:16:45.700 and he is in the third of his five-year term.
00:16:49.300 So, third of his fifth-year term.
00:16:50.800 So, what does that mean?
00:16:51.860 Thirteen years, he's been there since 2012.
00:16:55.280 And there are a lot of rumors currently.
00:16:57.640 Will he stay?
00:16:58.680 Will he go?
00:16:59.340 Does he have the same level of power that he once did?
00:17:03.780 And while people can play this sort of, you know, form of Kremlinology or, you know,
00:17:11.560 Zhongnanhaiology, I suppose, Beijingology,
00:17:14.620 as to whether or not he is, these movements within the party actually constitute a loss of face or a loss of control for him,
00:17:23.380 the question remains, and the question still is, that he has not appointed any heir.
00:17:28.300 There is no clear heir to Xi Jinping.
00:17:30.500 There is no clear next leader of the party.
00:17:32.680 And those are the things that would be needed for a successor to really take over.
00:17:39.400 And, of course, the Politburo is still stocked, absolutely, with his leadership and his loyal members.
00:17:46.600 And, of course, the Politburo being that nine-member standing committee that controls the Chinese Communist Party.
00:17:53.300 Switching over to the military side, though, one of the key elements that we've seen and absolutely a key sign of Xi's growing power
00:18:04.480 and the Chinese Communist Party's growing power was this first dual-carrier deployment that China conducted in the Western Pacific.
00:18:13.740 So, two aircraft carriers, the Liaoning and the Shandong, both deployed at the same time for the People's Liberation Army Navy, the PLAN.
00:18:24.700 So, the PLAN was able to operate both of these carriers at sea for the first time ever,
00:18:30.960 and they went deeper and further into the Pacific than we've ever seen,
00:18:35.720 even operating further than the second island chain.
00:18:39.620 Now, what are the island chains?
00:18:40.960 Why does this matter?
00:18:41.640 Well, the island chains are a set of strategic defenses, a strategic chain of defense that the United States and our allies,
00:18:49.380 Japan, Taiwan, Korea, the Philippines, have set up since World War II.
00:18:54.520 And it's sort of a mirror of the island-hopping campaign of World War II.
00:18:58.740 So, the first island chain, of course, being the ones that I just mentioned, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea,
00:19:05.700 even though it's not really an island,
00:19:06.620 and the Philippines, the Luzon Strait there, of course, being between the Philippines and Taiwan,
00:19:12.800 that's the first island chain.
00:19:14.240 The second island chain is much deeper into the Pacific,
00:19:18.040 and everyone knows that's New Zealand, that's Guam, that's further out.
00:19:23.240 The third island chain, that's Hawaii.
00:19:25.380 So, for the first time ever, a Chinese aircraft carrier, Liaoning, was able to actually operate further into the Pacific than Guam itself.
00:19:36.400 This is the furthest, as far as we know, this is the furthest an Asian aircraft carrier has conducted operations across the Pacific since World War II,
00:19:45.660 since Pearl Harbor.
00:19:47.640 And the significance here, this is a ship that was built during the Soviet Union.
00:19:53.080 Actually, the hull of it was originally called the Varyag.
00:19:55.740 And it was initially constructed by the Soviet Union in shipyards in Ukraine.
00:20:01.200 And it is, of course, fueled by Iranian oil.
00:20:04.920 So, these aircraft, these strike groups, operated both launching hundreds of aircraft launch recoveries and sorties.
00:20:12.760 So, the Liaoning, that's the older aircraft carrier, the original hull that the Chinese Navy was using.
00:20:19.260 The Shandong is a completely indigenous, domestically produced, and domestically manufactured aircraft carrier.
00:20:25.540 That platform has been out for a much fewer time.
00:20:29.280 So, 420 aircraft launches compared to 700 for the Liaoning.
00:20:33.580 But, of course, this is the first time the PLA Navy has simultaneously deployed both carriers east of Taiwan.
00:20:39.820 And the escort groups in these flotillas, so their strike groups, included destroyers, frigates, missile corvettes,
00:20:46.760 as well as even an Anhui amphibious task force group joining these maneuvers.
00:20:54.020 So, this is a major milestone.
00:20:56.420 China's aircraft shifting now towards high seas force readiness.
00:21:00.620 So, Guam, Taiwan, the Luzon Strait, now in complete focus as they are able to take to the high seas.
00:21:11.280 The PLA Navy is now a force to be reckoned with on the blue waters.
00:21:16.140 And so, for the American Navy and for the rest of the world, it comes to us and is on President Trump's desk, of course,
00:21:22.720 as all of these matters are, as to whatever deal we are able to come with as the rise of China continues to push further and further
00:21:32.120 into the world with their Belt and Road Initiative, backstopped by a massive and growing in power of the LA Navy.
00:21:39.860 Be right back.
00:21:40.580 Thanks.
00:21:46.140 Jack, where is Jack?
00:22:04.880 Where is Jack?
00:22:07.220 Where is he?
00:22:08.500 Jack, I want to see you.
00:22:12.160 Great job, Jack.
00:22:13.680 Thank you.
00:22:14.220 What a job you do.
00:22:15.500 You know, we have an incredible thing.
00:22:17.280 We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys, and these are the guys who will be getting policies.
00:22:23.100 President Donald Trump, after meeting his Ukrainian counterpart, Zelensky, on the sidelines of NATO's summit,
00:22:29.360 indicated he will consider providing more of the Patriot missiles to Ukraine.
00:22:35.560 The U.S. is ready to sell anti-air missile systems Patriot to Ukraine.
00:22:42.520 They're very hard to get.
00:22:44.040 We need them, too.
00:22:44.720 We were supplying them to Israel, and they're very effective, 100 percent effective.
00:22:49.980 Hard to believe how effective.
00:22:51.200 And they do want that more than any other thing, as you probably know.
00:22:54.580 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:22:58.260 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:22:59.740 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:04.740 We are back here.
00:23:05.740 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:12.220 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:13.700 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:18.700 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:20.180 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:25.180 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:31.660 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:34.000 All right, Jack Kosovic, we are back here.
00:23:38.140 Joe, in that clip, that the focus, strategic focus of the United States really has shifted,
00:23:43.520 and the strategic focus of NATO even, to an extent, has shifted because, as such, America
00:23:48.100 supplies most of the military hardware to NATO as it is, that they have now shifted, and
00:23:53.600 the Patriot missiles have become a sort of political football, almost, in a sense, in
00:24:00.480 this shift because, as the United States is backfilling those Patriot missiles to Israel,
00:24:06.100 backfilling those Patriot missiles to U.S. forces within the region, within the Middle
00:24:10.480 East region, who then draws the short straw, well, that's Ukraine. 0.77
00:24:15.620 Ukraine is now unable to receive those Patriot missiles because there is a finite amount of
00:24:20.760 these things.
00:24:21.760 The United States bases, Al-Adid and others, were required to have those implements.
00:24:28.320 These are, Patriot missiles are those types of air interceptors, those air defense that
00:24:31.520 we were talking about before.
00:24:33.080 Well, Ukraine is going to have fewer and fewer of those because the United States isn't able
00:24:37.980 to provide them as much, and the Patriot air defense batteries were the same Patriot defense
00:24:42.440 batteries that we saw protecting the skies of Kiev and shooting down Russian missiles that
00:24:49.360 were attempting to strike the capital of Ukraine.
00:24:51.920 Now, Russia has viewed all of this as a sign for them to be able to conduct further strikes
00:24:59.300 into Kiev, further strikes into Odessa in the south, along the Black Sea, because they
00:25:04.620 realized that Ukraine is running low on their air defense capabilities.
00:25:09.420 And again, it doesn't matter how high-tech your targeting system is if you do not have the
00:25:15.380 ammunition for it.
00:25:17.120 And of course, this is the entire point of attrition warfare, which is practiced by the
00:25:22.300 Russians.
00:25:23.300 And in some extent, you could see that same doctrine being employed by the Iranians, firing 1.00
00:25:28.240 missile barrages intended to sap the resources of this high-tech air defense to be able to defeat
00:25:35.660 them through attrition, defeat their enemy through attrition rather than direct combat.
00:25:40.560 So, at the same time, while the world's attention was focused on the Middle East, Russia was able
00:25:47.740 to take over 350 miles of territory in June of this year, the most since last September,
00:25:56.500 gaining another 200 miles in May.
00:25:59.340 They've expanded their incursion into Sumai Oblast with potentially 50,000 to 60,000 Russian
00:26:06.300 troops involved and have the ability for a breakout here should President Putin choose to do so
00:26:12.960 with various areas along those eastern Russian-speaking provinces where the Russian army and these
00:26:20.220 Russian forces are pushing back against the Ukrainian front lines.
00:26:24.220 At the same time, Ukraine is defending with fortifications, drones, light vehicles, and
00:26:29.180 counter-drone systems.
00:26:30.760 We also saw that Operation Spiderweb, that was the Ukrainian deep strike of drones into Russia, damaging
00:26:37.520 long-range bomber bases, very similar to the operation that Israel undertook in Iran just a few months
00:26:46.420 later.
00:26:47.500 Now, the drone warfare strikes have continued.
00:26:50.400 The air warfare has continued.
00:26:52.160 You know, the air war has really ratcheted up 315 drone strikes and seven missile strikes
00:26:58.620 on Kiev and Odessa just on June 10th alone in one night.
00:27:04.060 A record high for June saw over 5,400 drone strikes across Ukraine from the Russian advance.
00:27:14.900 So it really providing that suppression of Ukrainian air defenses and ability for Ukraine to conduct
00:27:21.780 command and control as the Russian army advances along the front lines.
00:27:25.800 In fact, in a one-night salvo, 500 missiles and drones, including cruise missiles and hypersonic
00:27:31.120 missiles, targeted cities like Kremachuk.
00:27:34.440 And of course, even if Ukraine is able to intercept several hundred of these, that means the large 1.00
00:27:42.120 number in these salvos, again, is intended for suppression of the air defenses.
00:27:48.900 So Russia has masked currently, as the current estimates say that Russia has 695,000 troops on
00:27:56.200 the front, another 121,000 in reserve, 9,000 new troops being added and recruited and coming
00:28:03.420 through their pipeline per month.
00:28:05.000 So these are huge, huge numbers of soldiers that Russia is turning forward into their military
00:28:14.160 machine as it's sweeping across the, grinding across, I should say, grinding across these
00:28:20.360 eastern provinces.
00:28:21.880 Now, there's a question about will Russia launch this massive offensive?
00:28:27.720 And I've said that Putin will likely make this determination by the end of July and then
00:28:34.180 look for an August offensive should he choose to do so.
00:28:37.860 And this could be done in terms of a breakout in Sumay along the area near Kharkov.
00:28:44.820 And of course, the question would be, is this going to be a major breakout or would this be
00:28:50.120 potentially smaller pockets of breakouts?
00:28:52.500 Again, choosing to continue this slow grind of attrition, slowly taking territory, also all
00:29:00.260 while grinding forward with the attempt really being to attrite Ukraine of their ability to 0.53
00:29:06.920 conduct materiel, their ability to, again, use these missiles and their ability to field
00:29:12.560 soldiers on the front lines.
00:29:14.520 Of course, as Kamala Harris once told us, that Ukraine is a small country and Russia is a big
00:29:20.520 country.
00:29:20.940 And this is true.
00:29:21.560 Russia has a much larger population with which they can use to continually recruit new soldiers
00:29:28.640 while Ukraine does not.
00:29:30.480 So to an extent, the amount of material, whether it be tanks, whether it be bombs, whether it
00:29:35.840 be missiles, whether it be bullets that NATO sends to backfill Ukraine, it only is able 0.79
00:29:41.640 to go so far because Ukraine is still reliant on its own population for soldiers.
00:29:49.140 And military-aged males, of course, are becoming a rarer and rarer commodity.
00:29:55.060 And this is why you see press gangs.
00:29:58.000 This is why you see recruitment numbers being pushed so hard within Ukraine.
00:30:03.500 Russia, of course, is continuing these offenses. 0.90
00:30:06.520 So the most likely scenario at this point is a high likelihood of a limited summer offensive.
00:30:14.260 And this would mean Russian advances along select sectors, increased use of artillery,
00:30:21.640 drones, the air warfare, and pressure on Ukraine's supply lines within those front-line regions.
00:30:28.120 Again, Russia focusing on the eastern Russian-speaking provinces, the ones that have been Lugansk,
00:30:35.340 Lugansk, Zaporizhia, and Kharkov, the ones, and Kherson that have been annexed by the Russian
00:30:43.280 Federation to begin with.
00:30:44.980 But, of course, the question is, will there be negotiations?
00:30:50.520 Will there be ceasefire?
00:30:52.540 And, of course, Russia is seeking as much position and as much leverage as they can gain
00:30:57.980 before they are able to hold those ceasefire talks or going into any ceasefire talks or
00:31:03.520 negotiations with the Americans before one is decided or held.
00:31:08.000 So it's very clear that Russia is pursuing a two-track strategy here where it's diplomatic
00:31:15.060 on one end, so willing to meet with Witkoff, willing to meet with the Ukrainians, President
00:31:21.400 Putin having even said at one point during the Iran-Israel crisis that he was willing to
00:31:26.480 meet with Zelensky himself.
00:31:28.700 But we're also seeing the Russian military pursue their objectives on the battlefield.
00:31:34.780 And the question is, how much leverage will they receive before they sit down for any final
00:31:41.500 negotiations?
00:31:43.120 For Ukraine itself, the question for them is going to hinge on Western aid and a massive,
00:31:49.460 massive push for further Western aid.
00:31:52.380 This has been something that will become a political issue because President Trump,
00:31:56.100 campaigned, of course, as we know, on ending the Ukraine war and shutting this down.
00:32:01.860 Obviously, he has said that it has become more catastrophic because neither side is willing
00:32:08.360 to back down.
00:32:09.600 But, of course, the real question for Ukraine is, how can they continue fighting if the United
00:32:15.520 States does not continue their aid push?
00:32:19.140 And some analysts have suggested that, in fact, this may be the reason that NATO has put forward
00:32:26.900 its 5% goals on military defense spending.
00:32:30.280 So suddenly, remember, NATO didn't want to pursue this 5% goal for military defense for
00:32:36.800 years and years and years and years.
00:32:38.260 And President Trump has always been pushing for it.
00:32:40.020 So suddenly, at the very moment, at the very moment that Ukraine needs more aid and the
00:32:46.680 United States is potentially not able to do so because of the need to backfill Patriot missiles
00:32:52.320 and others within the Middle East region, well, suddenly NATO, European countries, say that
00:32:59.600 they're going to increase their defense spending.
00:33:01.580 Could it be then, and would the assessment make sense, that the reason they're increasing
00:33:06.580 their defense spending is not because they want to defend themselves, but because those
00:33:11.640 same European countries, particularly in Western Europe, so think France and Germany, want to
00:33:16.960 use that excess spending to be able to backfill the Ukrainians and be able to hand those weapons
00:33:24.120 and materiel, tanks, bombs, missiles over to Ukraine, even though, of course, the point
00:33:32.000 of NATO is defense rather than offense.
00:33:36.120 And as a key point here, and even Western media has pointed this out, Russia has actually been
00:33:43.560 targeting in eastern Ukraine, has actually been targeting many of the resource facilities
00:33:50.300 and resource deposits where Secretary Besant had gone over, and I was able to actually accompany
00:33:56.880 him on this trip to Kiev for negotiations in the mineral deal.
00:33:59.880 Well, Russia has now captured the second of four Ukrainian lithium deposits.
00:34:05.780 So these key lithium deposits, which came to bear during the mineral deal and in negotiations,
00:34:13.080 two of the four that exist on Ukrainian territory have now been captured by the Russians.
00:34:18.380 So real questions as to what Ukraine will be able to negotiate with if, in fact, those
00:34:26.280 areas are controlled by the Russians.
00:34:29.840 All indications are that Russia is able to control the narrative here, and that ultimately
00:34:36.700 this will not come to a cessation until there are key and direct negotiations between leaders,
00:34:43.300 not just of Russia and Ukraine directly, but also between Russia and the United States directly.
00:34:50.460 Once again, President Trump in the driver's seat.
00:34:54.820 It is a very complicated world, very complex issues, but President Trump is the one who holds
00:35:01.060 all the cards to continue to de-escalate, destabilize, or go for peace all in one fell swoop.
00:35:10.200 Jack Prasovic will be right back with Summary Asia.
00:35:20.700 Jack is a great guy.
00:35:22.280 He's written a fantastic book.
00:35:23.960 Everybody's talking about it.
00:35:25.140 Go get it.
00:35:26.300 And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.
00:35:30.240 And we're going to turn it around and make our country cry to get to him.
00:35:33.520 Amen.
00:35:33.780 They said Gen Z would stay silent, that we'd back down, that we'd forget what's worth fighting
00:35:42.080 for.
00:35:42.740 But this generation remembers.
00:35:44.940 We remember truth.
00:35:46.320 We remember freedom.
00:35:47.960 And now we rise.
00:35:50.640 This is more than a conference.
00:35:52.600 It's a call to action, to reclaim the future, to ignite a movement that cannot be ignored.
00:35:58.100 This is the Battleground of Ideas.
00:36:26.540 This is the Student Action Summit.
00:36:30.300 Register now at SAS2025.com.
00:36:34.600 All right, folks.
00:36:35.260 Jack Prasovic here.
00:36:36.160 Back.
00:36:36.620 Human Events Daily.
00:36:37.700 The 4th of July global sit-rep here on human events.
00:36:43.140 And I would be remiss if in my global sit-rep, I left out the largest national security crisis
00:36:51.400 to the United States and to Americans writ large.
00:36:55.720 Because as we've gone through these various hot points around the world, we covered the
00:37:00.560 Middle East.
00:37:01.200 We covered Asia Pacific.
00:37:03.280 We covered Ukraine, Russia, the battle in Eurasia, the war in Eurasia.
00:37:07.420 All of those are threats to the United States.
00:37:11.720 There's no question.
00:37:12.420 They are threats to our interests.
00:37:13.480 They are threats in some areas to key global shipping lanes, as well as key resources.
00:37:18.360 We talked about the lithium, the rare earth minerals within eastern Ukraine, and how Russia
00:37:23.700 is directly targeting those because they know that that's become an area of contention for
00:37:28.980 the negotiations.
00:37:29.660 But, and it remains, that the largest foreign threat to the United States of Americans is
00:37:38.140 the tens of millions of foreigners that have mass invaded and mass immigrated to the United
00:37:45.260 States, particularly under the Biden administration, but even prior to that.
00:37:49.600 And many of them, through a variety of ridiculous paper programs like TPS and these temporary statuses
00:38:00.200 that were granted by the Biden administration and by Mayorkas that never should have been
00:38:04.680 given, millions and millions who came in illegally.
00:38:08.200 The greatest foreign threat to the United States of America is already here. 1.00
00:38:14.480 It is already within our borders.
00:38:17.060 And by the way, you don't need to go and sneak it out and look for it.
00:38:21.100 Just look at the streets of Los Angeles, okay?
00:38:23.780 Burning cars, burning police cars, foreign flags waving. 1.00
00:38:28.600 Look at the streets of New York.
00:38:30.240 Look at the streets of any major city.
00:38:33.440 Go to any public place.
00:38:35.460 Just go to any public place and you will see it filled with non-Americans, okay? 1.00
00:38:40.280 Absolutely filled in pretty much every single urban area of this country.
00:38:47.060 And there's no question.
00:38:48.260 So on this 4th of July, I really want you to ask that question.
00:38:51.780 What does it mean to be an American?
00:38:53.640 And I'm talking about a non-hyphenated American.
00:38:56.800 What does it really mean?
00:38:58.160 What does it mean to us?
00:38:59.020 What does it mean to your family?
00:38:59.900 What does it mean to your legacy?
00:39:02.380 Has the country been left in a better place than it is or than it was when you were born?
00:39:08.920 Will your children and your grandchildren inherit a country that is better than the one that you were born into?
00:39:16.520 Yes or no?
00:39:17.660 Look at the conditions.
00:39:18.800 Look at the quality of life.
00:39:20.300 Look at social stability.
00:39:23.180 And there's no question.
00:39:23.900 The destabilization that we see in our urban centers, the destabilization that we see across our country, there is no way you can separate this without the impact of the mass immigration that has happened across our borders and across our country. 0.99
00:39:39.040 And 50 out of 50 states are experiencing this pressure.
00:39:42.940 So when we talk about the housing crisis, when we talk about health care, when we talk about GDP, when we talk about debt, when we talk about all of these issues, the mass immigration crisis focuses on all of them and it hits all of them and it puts pressure on all of them. 0.65
00:39:58.120 So it would be easy for someone to say, oh, well, you know, mass immigration is why a guy named Zoran Kwame Mamdani is going to be the next mayor of New York and he himself having only been an American citizen since the first Trump administration.
00:40:17.840 He became an American citizen in the first Trump administration.
00:40:20.920 That's how long that he's been a U.S. citizen.
00:40:23.020 Okay, but the key here is, the key here for everyone to understand is, do we have a country that is not notional or propositional, that's just something that exists ethereally, or are the Americans a distinct people with a distinct history and a distinct home in this world?
00:40:48.280 And as we look around the world, and we took you around the world today, those issues, are they important?
00:40:53.780 Yes, they are important, but there is no greater pressing issue to the American people than the foreign threat of the invaders that are currently within our own communities, within our own towns, and yes, taking over our greatest city. 0.61
00:41:09.900 And I'm not saying that it's all happening just organically or naturally, of course not.
00:41:16.940 It's happening because we've allowed it.
00:41:19.320 It's happening because we've sat back and decided that, oh, things are fine, my life is good, I don't need to worry about that, who cares?
00:41:28.260 Okay, who cares?
00:41:29.000 Who cares who's making my Jimmy John's sandwich?
00:41:31.540 Well, you know something?
00:41:32.660 At the end of the day, it does matter.
00:41:34.800 It matters to all of us, it matters to those who came before, and it matters to the boys of Valley Forge.
00:41:42.660 Remember the boys of Valley Forge on 4th of July.
00:41:46.700 What they fought for, what they suffered for, what the Continental Army went through 249 years ago.
00:41:56.300 Next year will be the 250th.
00:41:57.780 It matters to them and to the soldiers of every single American conflict since.
00:42:04.680 The boys of Normandy.
00:42:06.340 You think this is what they were fighting for?
00:42:08.380 Because I certainly don't think so.
00:42:10.340 I think it's time to get back to that America. 0.96
00:42:14.220 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore and happy independence.
00:42:19.420 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, we're going to get back to that America.