Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - November 03, 2026


MAGA MIDTERMS

GLOBALIST COUP ATTEMPTED IN POLAND, THE ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION TAKEOVER, & TOMORROW’S MIDTERM ELECTION

Episode Stats


Length

48 minutes

Words per minute

184.94

Word count

9,011

Sentence count

463

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

8

sentences flagged

Hate speech

14

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, it's Jack. I'm excited to let you know that finally the new edition of Unhuman
00:00:05.000 Socialist Revolution is available for pre-order. It's coming out in October. You can get it at
00:00:11.020 unhumansbook.com or amazon.com. Make sure to go and learn the tactics to crush the communist
00:00:18.980 uprising. This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare. 0.81
00:00:30.000 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:38.620 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:00:41.640 Christ is king!
00:00:43.280 The Supreme Court now shutting down a last-ditch effort by the Trump administration
00:00:47.240 to force California to set aside thousands of ballots from alleged non-citizens.
00:00:52.420 Polls opened in Colorado, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming.
00:00:59.620 So lots of races here. We are watching some nationally right now.
00:01:03.240 So there are Senate races, as you can see here in Texas, Iowa, as well as Maine, Alaska, Michigan, and also in South Carolina.
00:01:12.200 Now, one of the states that Republicans are nervously keeping an eye on is Texas.
00:01:16.360 It is a surprising state of affairs, given that Texas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate in nearly 40 years.
00:01:22.600 But things are changing. Democratic candidate James Tallarico has been polling very well against his Republican rival, Ken Paxton.
00:01:28.920 It has been one of the most closely watched Senate races in the entire country right here
00:01:34.260 in Michigan. Republicans are trying to flip the seat held by outgoing Democratic Senator Gary
00:01:39.360 Peters. Democrats are trying to hold on to that seat as they look for pickups in other states.
00:01:44.420 Everyone's wondering what's going to happen because of that high profile last minute defection
00:01:49.480 that rocked this campaign. Haley Stevens, who lost to El Syed in the primary, switched her 0.99
00:01:55.280 endorsement. Now, we went to a Rogers event last night. We spoke to supporters who said that
00:01:59.760 they saw the defection as an act of courage that gives Democrats permission to cross the aisle and
00:02:05.080 vote for a Republican. You see voters coming in and coming out as we speak. But the El-Sayed camp
00:02:10.480 says, no, no, that is not what happened. This defection only backfired. The next day, they
00:02:15.220 announced a record $2.4 million in fundraising. From those two tight Senate races to the close
00:02:20.960 contests for governor now. A dozen are toss-ups or leaning one way, according to our Fox News
00:02:27.100 power rankings. In Arizona, it's lean Democrat, as Republican Congressman Andy Biggs takes on
00:02:33.360 incumbent Democrat Governor Katie Hobbs. Alaska, the U.S. Justice Department says it will appeal
00:02:38.980 a federal judge's ruling throwing out a lawsuit challenging Alaska's controversial Senate race.
00:02:44.380 The case centers on whether or not Democrats helped recruit a second Dan Sullivan to trick
00:02:49.840 voters and hurt the current Republican senator, who is also named Dan Sullivan.
00:02:56.060 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:02:59.000 We're here live in Phoenix, Arizona.
00:03:01.600 Today, of course, is Election Day.
00:03:03.660 It's November 3rd, 2026, Anno Domini, and we are here at the Turning Point headquarters
00:03:09.080 with my good friend, Cliff Maloney.
00:03:10.940 What up, Cliff?
00:03:11.760 Good to be here.
00:03:12.780 Big day.
00:03:13.220 It is a big day, of course, and it's great to be here. Cliff, walk us through what you're seeing
00:03:23.640 out there in the numbers in terms of what's happening on the ground as people are really
00:03:29.740 kind of trying to shape what we're seeing numbers-wise. Yeah, well, look, I think when we
00:03:34.400 tracked each of the states that we're in and that you can see these early votes and you can see the
00:03:39.640 vote by mail. Most of the states have tracked the same way. When you're looking at what's coming
00:03:45.200 back by party, the Republicans are doing much better than 2022, but they're doing worse than
00:03:50.740 2024, right? And I want to be as even keel about this, Jack. I want to make sure, as always,
00:03:55.800 on Human Events Daily, we give it to people straight. I don't want to be, you know, hyping
00:03:59.440 things up, but that's where we are. And so going into election day, the big, big thing we're
00:04:04.700 looking at is one what does turnout look at like right now and then two we've had this thought for
00:04:12.180 years that higher turnout means better results for republicans right as you and i learned last year
00:04:17.680 you know in new jersey when you have higher election day turnout yeah sorry when you have
00:04:22.900 in-person election day turnout correct right it used to be especially since covid you just
00:04:28.320 assume that republicans would dominate that 2025 said wait a second and so this surge that we're
00:04:34.420 seeing right now. We are seeing that turnout is up across the country, but we don't know who those
00:04:39.020 voters are voting for. And so this is, and you and I have been talking about this off air all
00:04:44.160 morning because we went in, in, in COVID and the COVID experiment, and we completely decided to
00:04:52.160 create these new experiments with how we run our voting. And all of the modeling that people have
00:04:57.140 put together has not really been able to account for changes in behavior because something that I
00:05:03.320 want to point out that we've been seeing over and i just just talked to the turning point data team
00:05:07.780 here the turning point action team and we're going to have them on later on in the episode for an
00:05:12.500 update we're also going to talk to and people can't even see it but we're right outside of the
00:05:16.100 room where we're in there are there is an army of phone callers and phone bankers that are going on
00:05:22.740 non-stop and if you're in the phoenix area come on down you can get uh we get there's food there's
00:05:27.600 burritos there's lots of burritos you know burrito all sorts of stuff you can come in which a little
00:05:32.100 bit of the joke about the, uh, the burrito gates, uh, that, uh, that we got into a couple of weeks
00:05:36.460 ago. So we are doing free burritos. Come on in, make, if you make your voice heard. But here's
00:05:42.180 the thing is that on blue sky and threads, the left wing platforms and tick tock and all the
00:05:48.080 rest, they have been spreading this conspiracy theory that you shouldn't vote by a mail because
00:05:54.620 Donald Trump controls the postal system. And therefore the Democrats should actually ship
00:06:00.300 their behavior more to election day. So the question that we have to ask ourselves is,
00:06:06.920 even though we're seeing this higher turnout, because we're not getting the splits until much
00:06:11.980 later, in some cases we are, some cases we are, it's a hodgepodge of how we get this,
00:06:17.500 a real dog's breakfast, when you're trying to understand the data right now,
00:06:20.620 is we just don't know if those are R's or if those are D's.
00:06:25.920 Yeah. And look, I think I've mentioned this to you before, you know, coming out of COVID,
00:06:29.340 the rules changed right we know that but the question for everybody is are the democrats
00:06:34.780 actually saying you know what we're going to go back to voting in person because that's what
00:06:39.100 they're kind of relying on here if they really want this blue wave they're going to have to come
00:06:42.940 back very strong and they're going to have to change the habit of voting by mail to now voting
00:06:48.040 in person so as we're looking at the data coming in as we're trying to understand what are we seeing
00:06:53.340 right how do we how do we analyze this that's the question are democrats really going to switch back
00:06:58.500 to voting and so we've got we've got these competing models going on but we've got the
00:07:03.960 best data people in the business to do it we're here phoenix election day this is your headquarters
00:07:09.740 here live real america's voice we'll be right back jack wasoic with cliff maloney
00:07:14.420 jack where's jack where is he jack i want to see you
00:07:26.700 great job jack thank you what a job you do you know we have an incredible thing we're always
00:07:34.200 talking about the fake news and the bad but we have guys and these are the guys should be getting
00:07:39.160 all right folks jack subwick back live here human events daily at the turning point headquarters
00:07:46.920 welcome back to our 2026 coverage this is the battle for america let me tell you something
00:07:52.620 about the guy sitting in my right. His name's Cliff Maloney. And Cliff Maloney's phone,
00:07:56.860 just like yours, has been busy with election texts, calls, emails. And Cliff is not alone.
00:08:03.260 Getting voters involved matters. But all that activity is a reminder to pay attention to where
00:08:07.900 you and Cliff have their digital privacy. That's where Patriot Protect comes in because they can
00:08:14.020 help Cliff to get his personal information removed from data broker sites, from sites that publish
00:08:19.560 home addresses, phone numbers, Cliff's family connections, and other details that Cliff might
00:08:24.620 not want strangers finding. For example, certain websites that he might be subscribed to. And so
00:08:29.680 having a campaign is just one thing, but you got to make your private life searchable offline. And
00:08:36.240 Cliff does not want those details coming out, ladies and gentlemen. In the wrong hands, those
00:08:40.420 details can give scammers a starting point, and Cliff hates scammers. Or they make suspicious
00:08:45.560 messages that sound familiar. Reducing that exposure gives them less to work with. And I've
00:08:50.780 been telling Cliff, he's finally started listening. He's going to start using Patriot Protect. You
00:08:56.260 got to stay engaged, Cliff. You can't just think that you don't need to take steps to protect your
00:09:02.580 properties. I'm urging and I want all of you to do what Cliff has done. Go to PatriotProtect.com
00:09:07.260 slash POSO and use that promo code POSO for 15% off. The link right there is in the description.
00:09:13.420 And now that I'm protected and Cliff really needs it is protected.
00:09:17.880 Let's get back to this election day coverage.
00:09:20.780 Now, Cliff, we're looking at all the numbers.
00:09:24.740 And again, we're crunching this.
00:09:25.980 We're doing the analysis as best we can.
00:09:27.760 It is in real time.
00:09:28.840 We're protecting our online footprint as we always do.
00:09:31.980 And in all seriousness, we see the craziness out there.
00:09:34.740 Actually, guys, do we have that image out of Minnesota?
00:09:40.860 Do we have that?
00:09:41.500 Yeah.
00:09:43.420 And, folks, let's look at this right here.
00:09:46.760 There it is.
00:09:49.080 This is, we're told, according to Dustin Gage,
00:09:52.060 who's a columnist over at Town Hall,
00:09:53.880 that this is someone who's working the polls in Minnesota
00:09:56.900 wearing a shirt that is obviously reminiscent of Charlie Kirk's murder.
00:10:01.740 It says, problem solved.
00:10:03.940 And it's got red paint or dye coming off a stain
00:10:09.020 coming off of the side where Charlie was shot and killed.
00:10:12.080 Now, Cliff, I'm going to say something that I think people need to understand.
00:10:16.260 When you see something like this, you got to go on offense.
00:10:19.360 Number one, you got to go make a report to the judge of elections.
00:10:22.960 That's the first thing you do.
00:10:24.060 And then the second thing you do is you walk out of there and you call 911 and say, someone
00:10:28.040 is threatening me at the polls.
00:10:29.680 You need to arrest people like this because this is a violent threat and you need to respond
00:10:35.920 to violent threats thusly.
00:10:37.920 You can't just say, oh, gosh, what if the tables were turned? 0.95
00:10:41.680 look at the hypocrisy. There's so much worse. No, you need to take action. Cliff, what's your 0.83
00:10:47.240 take seeing something as disgusting as this? One, it's vile. Two, when you diminish it or when you 0.78
00:10:53.140 don't respond at the same level, Jack, I mean, you give a mouse a cookie, they're going to want
00:10:57.200 a glass of milk. When you let these things happen and we don't take action to say, hell no, you can't
00:11:02.600 do this. This is a threat. Like you said, we have to be at that same level. And so, you know, one,
00:11:08.200 Let's start off by saying I do think that most people in this country would see that and say that is a sick, disgusting human being to wear a shirt like that. 0.97
00:11:17.060 Right. I do. I'm not calling all Democrats to say, hey, you know, they support that. 0.99
00:11:20.960 But when you see these radicals, they have to be exposed.
00:11:24.380 I mean, everybody should be talking about this woman and she should she should literally be arrested. 0.67
00:11:30.060 I mean, that is a threat voters. She is threatening your threat. 1.00
00:11:33.060 And by the way, even if it wasn't a poll worker, if anybody was out there doing something, if you were just a member of Antifa, 0.76
00:11:38.200 that was standing out there, or as you remember from Philly, we had the new Black Panthers
00:11:41.500 in front of one of our polling stations back in 2008, charges, by the way, that Holder magically
00:11:47.180 made go away, the whole case that he made go away after Obama won, that story for another day,
00:11:53.020 that you need to fight fire with fire. This is a violent threat against voters. And by the way,
00:12:00.740 if someone were out there from Antifa doing it, I would say the same thing if the new Black 0.96
00:12:04.600 Panthers were out there doing it. And Cliff, we keep hearing about the how it's Republicans trying 0.96
00:12:09.720 to shut down and intimidate voters and all this. And the only people I could ever find evidence of
00:12:14.980 doing it are the left. It's always the left. And it's always the left trying to blame us for the
00:12:21.200 things that they're actually doing. They try to accuse us of certain things. And at the end of
00:12:25.600 the day, they always turn it back. And it's like, oh, no, it was actually you that was doing that.
00:12:29.780 And so when you talk about fascists, this fun word they like to use, when you talk about,
00:12:33.680 you know this oh we we want to protect our democracy how is it protecting democracy
00:12:38.940 to have a poll worker wearing a shirt that says problem solved representing the death of charlie
00:12:45.020 kirk his assassination that in no way is protecting democracy and we must call out the left for this
00:12:51.580 no we have we absolutely do and and again it's about taking action if and if you're at one of
00:12:57.060 these pick up the mic events and i've done a number of them and someone does something violent
00:13:01.300 get security involved get security involved right away call campus pd call 9-1-1 if you have local
00:13:07.460 security get them involved if you've got a a you know depending on whatever resources you are get
00:13:13.780 your local security local law enforcement involved immediately these are violent threats and we all
00:13:20.660 know we all know this is the first election day without charlie and in in a midterm election and
00:13:27.300 there's a reason that charlie's not here with us today and there's a reason that i'm here at
00:13:31.820 turning point headquarters the cliff is here at turning point headquarters and charlie is not
00:13:36.400 you think for a second that the left still thinks oh you know we just disagree with the right
00:13:41.500 don't get it they want us dead and and that woman in her mind thinks it's totally fine to dress like
00:13:49.220 that to a polling place because she hasn't felt that pressure in the other direction and in fact 0.98
00:13:54.700 she wants to intimidate voters that's why she's wearing it well and they justify it right the
00:14:01.060 ends justify the means to these crazy radicals on the left i mean to wear a shirt like that not only
00:14:06.320 says that you support the violence but that you're willing to tell other people you're not just
00:14:10.820 privately supporting it you're openly calling for it and this is what the left does because when you
00:14:16.280 tell everybody that trump is hitler and that people that are just a part of the america first
00:14:21.620 movement that they believe in freedom, that they're fascists. What do you do with Hitler? 0.52
00:14:26.080 You take them out. That's what we've been taught. And so when you justify these things and this, 0.86
00:14:31.680 this rhetoric, of course you're inciting violence, but no Jack, of course they come after us. We're
00:14:36.820 the ones inciting violence. It's always us on the right. And then look at that shirt that she's
00:14:41.380 wearing miss. It's you. That's inciting violence, not us. No, they're the problem cliff. So we're,
00:14:47.020 we're walking through the rest of this and we do it. We did have to call that out. And it's
00:14:50.320 something that I've, I've, I've, I've written so many books about this. I've spoken to the
00:14:54.500 president about this publicly, head of the FBI, head of the department of justice probably going
00:14:58.480 away. Folks ain't going away by itself. That being said, as we do go to the polls and as we do see
00:15:04.900 everything that's going on, walk us through the ground game, because this has been a big part
00:15:09.440 of the contention that I think we're seeing that people are talking about, Hey, you know,
00:15:13.800 we've got these ads, we've got these text messages. We're joking about it in a second ago,
00:15:17.480 But what about the actual ground game? I was out there for Scott Perry on Sunday. I've been up to State College, Pennsylvania, up to the University of New Hampshire, out to even even the Las Vegas.
00:15:28.860 And you were there, too, actually, the Las Vegas Motor Speedway doing the, you know, doing the voter reg drive with TPUSA.
00:15:34.620 But what about the actual numbers when it comes to the doors and when it comes to the way people actually can be reached out to and directly directly engaged for their vote?
00:15:46.240 Well, look, Charlie always said to do the work, right? That was the message. And I think a lot of us back in 2020 during COVID, they changed all the rules, right? And I've said this many times on this show. Every one of us knows the most secure way to vote is on Election Day. We're not here to argue that. I'm all in.
00:16:02.020 But what we realized after the 2022 cycle is if we don't adapt to the rules and try to go out there and go door to door to either collect the ballots or remind the voters that, look, you need to get your ballot back in.
00:16:14.020 We're talking to unlikely Republicans want to be very clear about that.
00:16:18.280 I'm not going to people that vote in every election and saying, hey, don't vote on election day.
00:16:22.160 Vote by mail. We are going to low propensity Republicans that are diehard Republicans, but they don't vote.
00:16:27.920 They're not consistent. And so what we've done is Citizens Alliance and Turning Point Action.
00:16:33.260 This year, we've launched a major partnership and we're partnering. We're in four states.
00:16:38.220 We're leading the charge in Pennsylvania with Citizens Alliance knocking 750,000 doors.
00:16:43.320 We're partnering with Turning Point in Arizona, knocking 500,000 doors, New Hampshire, 400,000
00:16:49.360 doors. And we are in Nevada knocking 200,000. Here's the big announcement I want to make
00:16:54.380 right here on human events daily as of noon eastern time today citizens alliance turning
00:17:01.520 point action our entire program we have officially knocked the 1.85 million doors pump for that but
00:17:09.160 we're not letting up until the polls close 1.85 million take it to the bank wow because this is
00:17:16.720 something and this is again you and i were just talking about how and congratulations on that
00:17:21.340 incredible work that you've done. And this is what you're talking about. How do you meet the
00:17:26.840 voters with the new system that we have, the new election experimentation that's been going on?
00:17:32.440 It's we need new voter turnout models. We need new abilities, new vehicles, new platforms,
00:17:39.500 new institutions. And we used to play the game of saying, hey, it's all about the ads. And,
00:17:43.600 and, you know, I love social media, right? There's no question about that. But, but get
00:17:48.780 the vote, the ground game is actually 10 times more important now because of the fact that you're
00:17:54.820 when you're out there meeting these people, you're not just knocking on the door and saying,
00:17:57.880 hey, where do you stand? You're walking on the door and making sure that person actually has
00:18:01.520 voted. Well, and the best part is we're not convincing Democrats, right? We're not even
00:18:05.240 talking to independents. I mean, most people think that in Pennsylvania alone, going into this year,
00:18:10.820 there were roughly 900,000 Republicans that based on their voting history, we're not going to vote.
00:18:15.880 And the big number, I know we're going to break, but I'll give you this big number here.
00:18:19.360 Right now in Pennsylvania, if you look at the actual ballots that are still out there, there are 41,000 ballots still out there.
00:18:27.960 Now, we've gotten quite a few in, right?
00:18:29.920 We've gotten roughly 277,000 in.
00:18:32.940 But that's the focus right now.
00:18:34.580 For the people doing the ground game, obviously the Election Day voters, go vote.
00:18:38.420 But there are 41,000 registered Republicans in Pennsylvania.
00:18:42.180 If you know one of those people, or if you know someone in Pennsylvania, confirm that they vote.
00:18:48.080 Make a plan either by mail, by returning it to their county office, or going to the polls right now.
00:18:54.300 We need every Republican to vote.
00:18:55.900 With Maloney, where I think I'm going to follow you, man.
00:18:57.740 At Maloney on X and DoorsWinWars.org.
00:19:01.960 All right, God bless, man. See you later on the election night live stream.
00:19:12.180 All right, folks, Jack Posobiec here. We're back live. Polls are open. Get in line. Stay
00:19:36.640 in line coming up on the end of the lunch rush, by the way, let me, let me explain this for folks.
00:19:42.460 People understand that the way elections work is there's always multiple tranches of rushes. So
00:19:49.380 it's, it's multiple rushes. So the first thing you have is the pre-work rush. So the pre-work
00:19:53.600 rush is that's the people who are going to work, uh, and they're on their way. So that's polls
00:19:58.980 open at seven. So you're there between like seven to eight, seven to nine. That's when you're going
00:20:03.240 it. You're going to hit the polls. First thing, boom, you're the early birds, the early risers.
00:20:06.820 That's usually me. I'm usually one of those guys. I like being there right when polls open. I love
00:20:11.020 seeing it. I love getting the smell. I love getting the taste of it, the sense of it, the feel of it.
00:20:14.280 So many days I would do that down in Philadelphia, see what was going on, see what craziness was
00:20:18.840 happening in the city of Philadelphia on election day. And it was just always, always a fun time,
00:20:23.340 always a rough and tumble fun time to see election day in Philly. And, and there was always something
00:20:28.440 happening. Then of course, then you have your lull and then that, and then right around like 1130 or
00:20:34.420 so till about two, I'm talking Eastern time, but also wherever you are locally, that's when you
00:20:39.360 get your lunch rush. So that's that hit on the East coast already. Now we're starting to see
00:20:43.660 that, uh, begin in Maricopa in Phoenix. We're starting to see that in the Midwest. And then
00:20:49.400 of course that'll happen in, uh, in California, in Washington, and then eventually Alaska as well,
00:20:55.520 which is the election out in Alaska. Then you actually have a lull from about from about 2 p.m.
00:21:02.140 to 4 p.m. You have a big lull. That is when your chicanery takes place, following which right 1.00
00:21:09.860 about four o'clock. That's when you have people who are punching out a little early. And that's 1.00
00:21:14.740 when the biggest push of the entire day comes. That's your after work rush. And the after work
00:21:20.940 rush is when you get in line and you stay in line. And remember, ladies and gentlemen,
00:21:24.700 They can't make you stay out.
00:21:27.180 They can't make you leave the line.
00:21:29.040 Stay in the line.
00:21:30.280 Don't let them let you push you out.
00:21:32.860 That line is your right.
00:21:34.760 Make sure you stay in line.
00:21:36.060 And speaking of which, speaking of which, this is, we've got a great situation here.
00:21:44.660 We've got our good friend, R.C. Maxwell.
00:21:46.760 He's out at a call center, a mobile call center in the Phoenix area right now, volunteering.
00:21:52.900 R.C., how are you?
00:21:54.700 I'm doing well. How are you?
00:21:56.400 I'm doing great. So tell us about where you are and what's going on there.
00:22:00.660 Well, look, I'm running a little mini local grassroots call center here in Legislative District 12 where I reside.
00:22:07.100 This is the model of organizations like Turning Point Action who are really emphasizing Get Out the Vote.
00:22:13.180 There are probably almost 100 of call centers like this across the state of Arizona and Nevada where every minute, Jack, there's dozens of contacts being made with voters.
00:22:23.260 And even a small call center like this, because we have activists who are calling and texting, urging voters who are on the fence, deciding whether or not they should vote, that they should vote.
00:22:33.340 Again, remember, today is a big day.
00:22:35.540 You have almost every prediction market predicting that Republicans are going to get a massacre today.
00:22:41.440 But you have so far early returns looking good.
00:22:44.720 Voter turnout is the variable.
00:22:46.900 And, of course, voter get out the vote efforts like this is the big variable because now Republicans have invested big and we're hoping to see a big payout in the states that smartened up and leaned on efforts just like this.
00:22:59.240 Well, that's exactly right, because we've seen a big, you know, I think swing in and there's a huge fight kind of going on out in the broader world of politics on the question of what actually moves voters more?
00:23:14.440 Which model is it? And people are starting to move more and more away from the TV only model, the paid advertising only model and into the ground game model.
00:23:25.960 And that's really where the door knocking and the phone calling.
00:23:29.320 And of course, that's going on here. I'm at Turning Point headquarters and they've got phone banks just all over the place that I've seen since I've come in.
00:23:36.960 And so walk us through those two different competing models and how that relates to the way that we've seen the election changes go on, not just in Arizona, but really in many of these states.
00:23:46.600 Yeah, well, you have the old school model that was really popular from, you know, until about 2012.
00:23:53.800 Obviously, Republicans were losing a lot of elections up until, you know, 2016 when President Trump won.
00:23:59.560 And he did so that heavily emphasized his get out to vote programs.
00:24:03.960 When you consider the fact that early voting is now much more in play than it was over the past decade, you have to realize, you know, elections come down to who has the best infrastructure.
00:24:14.180 Republicans were tired of losing. So they said, you know, how can we take advantage of the tools available to be more competitive?
00:24:21.160 One of those tools available is early voting and creating a get out to vote program.
00:24:24.820 But another tool available, Jack, is, of course, technology. And Turning Point has created this Turning Point app that you can essentially pull up voters near you. You can talk to voters on this side of the country. Or if you're interested in another race, you can talk to voters on that side of the country.
00:24:43.040 So Turning Point has really kind of taken advantage of tools that are kind of available, cutting edge tools, and really tried to lean into that to take advantage of, you know, the current election, the way the field looks.
00:24:56.680 And, you know, things are looking good, especially in Arizona.
00:24:59.620 It's not a surprise that in 2024, that was the swing state that Trump won by the biggest margin.
00:25:04.760 That was also the state that Turning Point had the biggest investment.
00:25:08.540 So in 2026, we're hoping to see the same dividends, Jack, but not just in Arizona.
00:25:13.560 You've got to remember, Turning Point is also in New Hampshire, and that's a state that a lot of eyes are also on because that state, even more so than Arizona, is going to determine the balance of power in America because of the Senate implications.
00:25:27.160 No, it's exactly right.
00:25:28.200 And there's so many key looks into all of this.
00:25:32.880 And, you know, if I could, you know, I'll ask you to put your prognosticator hat on just a little bit.
00:25:37.100 You know, I know we've seen these numbers, we've seen high turnout, but the one piece of skepticism that I've been asking people to kind of just take everything with a grain of salt, because I, I believe that we're also seeing some Democrats move to election day in person voting in ways that they didn't do in 2020, 2022 and 2024.
00:25:59.300 So should we be reading all of that much into thinking that the turnout is all for Republicans?
00:26:05.420 No, no, absolutely. No, Republicans haven't done anything yet. You know, the prediction markets haven't flipped toward lean red. So Republicans still have their work cut out for them, which means, you know, now is the time, not only for you to get out and vote if you're watching this at home and you haven't voted.
00:26:22.100 But the most important thing is to make yourself a force multiplier.
00:26:25.800 When you consider that this is going to still be a low turnout election and Democrats were expected to win, they still have the momentum on their side.
00:26:34.920 So if, you know, if you want the blue wave to truly experience a blowback effect and crash, you know, on the rocks, what you need to do is you not only need to vote, but you need to text people within your network, specifically unlikely voters.
00:26:49.380 low propensity voters is a term that you're starting to hear more and more within political
00:26:54.880 analysis because those are the voters who actually win midterm elections if republicans are able to
00:27:01.260 get well thank you so much go give them a follow folks and check out your polls tpaction.com
00:27:06.200 slash polls tpaction.com slash polls right back back so the human events daily
00:27:19.380 of one university is one communist
00:27:31.620 one communist among the admiral american advisors at yalta was one communist too many
00:27:40.340 all right folks jack spasovic back live here human events daily real america's voice
00:27:45.060 This is the MAGA Midterm 2026 coverage, the battle for America. I'm Jack Posovic,
00:27:50.440 live from Turning Point USA headquarters in Phoenix, Arizona. Look, I'm here covering
00:27:54.520 the midterms, but my two boys, my wife, they are back home. Being away makes you think about being
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00:28:48.440 twc.health slash poso use promo code post over 30 off and free shipping it's available to u.s
00:28:55.660 residents only and now let's get back for a live midterm coverage because i want to bring on now
00:29:00.580 the people's pundit ladies and gentlemen we got him rich barris rich how you how you holding up
00:29:04.940 man you know living the dream jack living the dream have you i'm gonna ask you rich i'm gonna
00:29:11.000 ask you and you got to be honest let me ask you for honesty did you have any sleep last night
00:29:14.660 uh no like maybe two hours honestly yeah i'm pretty much i am pretty much in the same boat
00:29:24.920 people don't understand that you just you get so wired that you hit the pillow and you're you're
00:29:30.180 trying to get some sleep and i woke up this morning and i was like i should and i'm up at
00:29:34.480 like four in the morning i'm like i should get some more sleep and then my body's like nah it's
00:29:37.980 not happening you got to be up there's too much going on yeah and that's even you're burning it
00:29:43.880 at both ends but also then you know for me guys um i don't stop in election time period it gets
00:29:50.900 a couple of weeks out it's always difficult for me to turn it off and all i'm doing is running
00:29:55.240 scenarios and numbers in my head and of course we have our models in our simulations and when i hit
00:30:00.940 the pillow jack i run them in my mind and i can't stop i'm the same way man i'm the same way i'm the
00:30:06.780 it don't turn i always tell i always tell tanya it don't turn off it just don't turn off just
00:30:11.340 don't turn off brother it's not healthy i don't think no but it's it's like you know god wires
00:30:16.620 people certain ways that's how it is what it is you know it's just that's right it's so rich
00:30:20.300 now now with that being said we're starting to see now the because we've had many different
00:30:25.500 competing models out there but now those models are starting to meet with reality which model
00:30:32.140 does it seem as we're sitting here, it's 2.37 PM Eastern, which model seems to be closer to
00:30:38.980 reality? The people's pundit model that he's been screaming about for a year. And I wish I could
00:30:43.920 come on here and say something different, but that's the truth. I mean, I, I, I tried, you
00:30:50.360 know, I'm just, I want to tell the audience this because there's a lot of disinformation,
00:30:55.080 misinformation. I'm looking at people make claims about Florida and that is just,
00:30:59.400 They're factually wrong.
00:31:01.520 I'm listening to your guest that was on before.
00:31:04.700 He was correct. 0.96
00:31:06.140 Guys, don't sit there online listening to these gaslighters. 0.92
00:31:11.240 Go get 10 friends and go vote before it's too late.
00:31:14.240 And people always say, well, Barris, you know, you're saying you were doomed the whole time.
00:31:18.220 It doesn't mean I accept it.
00:31:19.980 You never accept it.
00:31:21.300 You never stop fighting.
00:31:22.500 You keep going, period.
00:31:24.340 We had a problem getting our low propensity voter to the poll.
00:31:27.180 Your prior guest was absolutely correct.
00:31:29.400 The problem that I was trying to warn everybody about is that we are now the party of low-prop voters.
00:31:35.260 If you get killed with low-prop voters as the party of low-prop voters, it's going to be very difficult to win.
00:31:42.220 And also, you said it, what you said is 100% correct.
00:31:47.300 You're accustomed to winning big election day margins.
00:31:50.160 Outside of Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody in Florida, and those are even up in the air,
00:31:55.540 you're not going to get today what you're accustomed to getting.
00:31:58.440 It's the same thing we heard in 25.
00:32:00.260 Well, don't worry.
00:32:00.940 We didn't get them to the polls.
00:32:02.140 We'll get them on game day.
00:32:03.420 That's not how this works.
00:32:04.760 Voting method is learned behavior.
00:32:07.360 And these low prop voters that we needed to get out were early vote low prop voters.
00:32:11.900 We got them out late in the final week of early voting in 2024.
00:32:16.180 We banked them as much as possible.
00:32:17.940 And then we had a lot of game day votes still left on the table.
00:32:21.060 And yes, of course, we did get low prop voters out on election day.
00:32:24.620 But guys, it was a midterm.
00:32:26.140 And there was really outside of TP action, there was very little money spent on get out the vote.
00:32:31.940 Unfortunately, spending money on ads, which this will be a conversation after the midterms, makes a lot of people rich, Jack, but it doesn't win elections.
00:32:42.560 It just doesn't.
00:32:43.400 It doesn't turn out people. 0.92
00:32:45.040 And I don't want to give it away yet, but you take a state like North Carolina, the defections in some of these races were bad and they needed to be addressed.
00:32:53.640 And, and Roy Cooper is doing very well with young men who we really need it.
00:32:57.720 And, uh, you know, I'm not saying that's going to be that bad all over the country, but right
00:33:02.320 now Republicans need to stop, uh, huffing the copium and they need to go grab 10 friends
00:33:06.340 and go vote, go do it, go do it.
00:33:08.600 Just go out and vote.
00:33:09.340 And we've got TP action slash polls, TP action.com slash polls.
00:33:12.680 People can go and check out exactly where it is.
00:33:15.100 And that's, and that's the, that's the key rich is that people are coming out and they're
00:33:18.620 saying, uh, uh, you know, they're saying, um, you know, you gotta go out and vote.
00:33:22.760 And I mean that I really, really mean that this time, rich, let me ask you this because, and I know I'm throwing you a bit of a mulligan, um, uh, but, uh, but the president threw out a bit of a curve ball this morning and I'm, I'm hearing that certain other networks are making a huge, uh, you know, a huge sense of it.
00:33:40.600 President United States came out today and said he's cutting aid to Israel and the way that it's being reported.
00:33:48.860 And I saw it up and and, you know, he make the president makes statements and interviews all the time.
00:33:53.400 And, you know, you never know if it's going to execute policy.
00:33:55.940 This one went all across his social media.
00:33:59.040 The official campaign accounts were putting it out.
00:34:01.540 President Trump to cut USA to Israel.
00:34:03.840 President Trump and Netanyahu reached an agreement to end annual aid because a strong ally no longer these American taxpayers footing the bill.
00:34:09.720 we gave them more than anyone else and they no longer need it rich i'm just anecdotally hearing
00:34:15.420 people send in texts they say i wasn't going to go vote but i saw that and i'm going to vote now
00:34:20.020 look i i and i i gotta say you know the most negative thing i could say about this is that
00:34:24.660 i wish you would have done it last month but there's a reason he's doing it now the president
00:34:28.560 knows he knows he's not the president has the best instincts in american politics he doesn't
00:34:34.140 need the people's pundit to tell him how his base feels about this. And the truth is, I mean, this
00:34:39.680 is, it's like, when you do what I do, you think, okay, how do I get out the people that are
00:34:43.560 difficult to get out? How do I get out or keep the people that are difficult to keep? The people
00:34:47.740 who are still rah-rah, zis-gambah, I will love Israel and I support Israel, are like 55, 60 and 0.79
00:34:54.060 over, and they're going to vote anyway. This was never a danger, you know, of depressing that vote.
00:35:00.360 The danger was depressing the younger right-wing vote, which is no longer favorable to Israel, all right?
00:35:06.220 I really don't know any other way to say this.
00:35:09.660 MAGA, 18-29 last year.
00:35:12.440 When we asked them whether or not Israel was—what did they think Israel was doing in Gaza that it didn't amount to a genocide?
00:35:19.960 MAGA was plus on genocide by a lot, all right?
00:35:23.320 They don't view this war in the Middle East or the Middle East Palestinian situation the way that prior right wing generation did.
00:35:30.840 And Rich, it's not just you saying this or the president making comments.
00:35:35.840 I was just first.
00:35:36.660 Charlie Kirk.
00:35:37.300 Charlie Kirk was the first person.
00:35:39.760 Thank you.
00:35:40.080 Because he knew that going on campus and talking to these people, he knew that the tide had shifted.
00:35:47.600 And he knew that, and he was talking to people who were coming up to him wearing, wearing, you know, 47 hats or, or MAGA hats, whatever it might be. And they would, they would tell him, they'd say, Charlie, I don't understand why we're, why we're going all in for this, this foreign partner. There's, I'm so much more concerned with domestic issues, the immigration, the anti-white policies that are all over our country. 0.62
00:36:12.520 why are we you know why are we doing this and charlie was ringing the alarm bell for a lot of
00:36:17.720 people in washington dc and others to be able to say guys there there is an age cutoff on this issue
00:36:24.820 where suddenly public opinion is shifts vastly and it won't be reversed and you know this i don't
00:36:31.060 think i've ever said this publicly before that's literally the last conversation that was the topic
00:36:35.160 of the last conversation i had with charlie kirk all right because that's what that's how much
00:36:40.480 you know thought people were putting into this because it was so clear to those of us who know
00:36:45.860 charlie saw it firsthand i saw it in the polling it was real and it wasn't some inorganic thing
00:36:51.680 that was being pushed on tiktok this is massive aid signal you can't reverse it or like now you
00:36:57.080 can't unfortunately i really don't think you can maybe at that time had they listened to charlie
00:37:01.940 had they listened to me instead of doing what they did which was go into browbeat mode uh which
00:37:07.960 unfortunately browbeating only works guys when you're browbeating a small group of dissidents
00:37:13.360 if you're browbeating the majority you lose and that's the tactic they chose to do and charlie um
00:37:19.580 he understood it man he really did he understood it better than most and uh now here we are so i
00:37:25.200 actually i'll tell you right now i got two text messages myself exactly uh like okay that's it
00:37:31.540 even if he doesn't do it it's still motivating me enough to go vote and my argument to people
00:37:36.900 has always been this if you're mad at the iran war if you're mad at the israel lobby if that's
00:37:41.800 what's keeping you home i have news for you democrats support it too you're cutting off
00:37:46.040 your nose to spite your face there's no point rich barris we we gotta run where can people 0.97
00:37:50.860 follow you man all the best jack locals is always peoplespundit.locals.com go get burn it down it'll 0.78
00:37:56.860 help you understand tonight exactly i'll check i'll be checking in with you all night rich
00:38:00.900 Barris. Right back. Jack Posobiec, real America's voice.
00:38:17.520 Posobiec Appreciation Hour. I can say confidently, I believe, I think Josh Shapiro would be the vice
00:38:22.760 presidential nominee if it wasn't for Jack Posobiec. And that is, I'm being honest.
00:38:31.860 all right folks back uh welcome back to human events with jack so we're coming to you live
00:38:35.540 from turning point headquarters here in phoenix got matthew martinez from tp action here gonna
00:38:40.340 go through the data in one second and we're glad you're spending election day with us here on real
00:38:45.220 america's voice and as glad as we are for that we're also grateful for patriot mobile a long
00:38:50.260 time partner whose support has never wavered you vote your values at the ballot box why don't you
00:38:55.300 put your dollars behind them too because that's what patriot mobile does and they are going hard
00:38:58.900 in the paint over in texas we got ken paxton of course the great beau french uh greg abbott of
00:39:05.380 course running for re-election we need all the support we can give them and that's what patriot
00:39:10.640 mobile does uh glenn story and jenny story phenomenal christian patriots that run that
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00:39:20.840 why are you giving your money to these big tech companies these uh cell phone providers that
00:39:26.620 don't support our values. Because Patriot Mobile gets you up on all three major U.S. networks.
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00:39:54.880 Be Friday 26. That's Bravo Friday 26 for a free, free, free 5G smartphone and your first two
00:40:03.420 months free. And of course, we've got to get back to our live election day coverage from
00:40:07.480 Turning Point headquarters. All right. We're on with Matthew Martinez. As I said, you're the
00:40:12.220 resident data guru for Turning Point Action. It's been a lot of time. It's been a minute since
00:40:18.500 we've had you on. But of course, of course, election days always come as they do. What
00:40:23.200 when you're looking at the numbers, you're getting the tranches. Maricopa County obviously
00:40:28.180 is your baby. When it comes to Maricopa, because we know that Maricopa is where Arizona really
00:40:35.340 hinges on swings. Not always, but it is the pivot point. Over 60% of the voting electorate
00:40:41.020 is in Maricopa County alone. Right. So the other counties, they matter, but we know Maricopa is
00:40:47.040 the big dog. That's right. So when you're looking at the data as it's coming in, walk us through
00:40:51.640 some of the interesting things that they do in Maricopa and how you attack that information and
00:40:57.020 attack that data head on. Sure. Thank you. And thanks for having me on. Some of the interesting
00:41:01.240 things about election results or when numbers are flowing in, this is very by state, is that there
00:41:07.480 are state laws and county laws that are germane here. For instance, in Arizona, only Pima County
00:41:15.540 and maricopa county report election day drop-offs or in-person voting right so this is the numbers
00:41:23.060 that we're looking at right now uh we just got a drop from maricopa county just not too long ago
00:41:28.140 and this drop has republicans having a margin so we're beating the democrats by almost 21 percent
00:41:36.540 right now over 21 percent county-wide that's huge we're we're we're seeing that our electorate
00:41:43.520 Republicans are still voting day of the election, but also one thing that to recognize too is that
00:41:48.280 we had a really great early voting advantage over the Democrats statewide and also in Maricopa
00:41:55.620 County too. So with these coming in every single hour where we're tracking these numbers, um, is
00:42:02.000 right if I announce some of these numbers here? Yeah. So are you talking about, is it all right
00:42:05.940 to give us some real time information? This is, this is coming in real time. This is coming in
00:42:10.540 as we speak. So right now in Maricopa County, Republicans have 41,000, almost 42,000 votes in.
00:42:18.520 So this is from six o'clock this morning to right now, which is almost one o'clock here in Phoenix.
00:42:25.580 Democrats are at 22,000 and others. So independents, everybody but Republican and Democrat
00:42:31.440 are at 30,000. So again, we have a 21 point advantage over the Democrats, which is about
00:42:38.520 a 19, almost 20,000 votes more than the Democrats, uh, for early votes in Maricopa County. So,
00:42:44.620 excuse me, uh, in-person day of the election person to in-person day. Yes, sir. And so when
00:42:49.260 do we start get, which is, which is huge by the way. So, because I've been asking this question
00:42:53.620 because we're seeing now, would you say that that's up from where we were in 24 or is that in
00:43:00.220 line? 24 was a presidential. So you have to compare apples to apples. I mean, ratio wise,
00:43:06.360 It's it's we'll see in the next drop.
00:43:09.440 Well, one thing that we've just learned and Tyler Boyer just put out this tweet is that in Maricopa County, they're about an hour behind right now with drops.
00:43:17.800 So the numbers I just presented to you are there's a there's an hour delay.
00:43:21.520 So the county has a process that they're seeing the live numbers come in.
00:43:24.820 But when they send over the PII or the information file, it's an hour delay.
00:43:30.920 So we'll see in the next few drops in in like 15 minutes from now, we'll see a one o'clock drop, which should be hopefully around the same numbers in 2022.
00:43:41.520 too. So this is amazing because we're, that confirms. And one of the questions that I've
00:43:46.720 been having is the Democrats and you and I were talking beforehand that Democrats put in, they
00:43:52.260 have this whole push on blue sky and threads and all their, you know, Tik TOK platforms to say,
00:43:57.380 Hey, we need to switch to election day in-person voting because Donald Trump controls the post
00:44:03.120 office and they have this whole, you know, blue and on conspiracy theory that Trump is going to
00:44:07.600 like steal their ballots or throw, which, which by the way, it's just, it, it, it, it makes me
00:44:11.900 laugh to no end because of course they said that we were crazy for saying something like that could
00:44:17.720 happen in 2020. They said that was, you know, the, the height of conspiracy theorizing. And
00:44:22.740 of course was a stealing democracy and all the rest of it. And so the question was, were they
00:44:29.020 going to model their behavior on that? And would we see a big surge in Democrats on election day?
00:44:35.540 you're saying so far it seems like that hasn't happened yet not not so much and we're only
00:44:41.700 seeing maricopa it's still early it's still about 11 o'clock the last time we got the data right so
00:44:47.680 the data is still this is still this is premature by the way so this is still the morning data so
00:44:51.980 democrats may not be it may have not been awake to vote yet they they haven't got their starbucks
00:44:56.460 coffee yet yes yes of course so so maybe don't read into it too much but if it were going to
00:45:02.620 happen it has not yet happened that's right yet according to the data yeah and one other point
00:45:07.440 too and i i don't have the numbers right here on my screen but um i was running here and i was
00:45:11.900 looking at uh a pima drop so pima just dropped it was a very heavy republican drop that's that's
00:45:19.020 excellent news for republicans in arizona and bad news for democrats within the state they should
00:45:24.940 have had a higher number in pima but they did not perform well in pima in this first drop he was
00:45:29.840 Democrat County, right? That's right. Yes. Tucson, Southern Arizona, Tucson, which literally goes
00:45:35.960 Democrat every single cycle. But we've been seeing this in the early vote data in Congressional
00:45:40.960 District 6 and within day of the election here, too, is that Democrats are having a hard time in
00:45:45.900 Pima, which is a big kudos to our chase program that we have within the state. Lacey Niguel,
00:45:52.660 Ricky Guthridge, who are in Southern Arizona and the entire team have been chasing for almost two
00:45:58.000 years now building relationships with voters and we're seeing it in the data and and this is
00:46:02.860 absolutely phenomenal now let's let's zoom out look at some other states obviously new hampshire
00:46:07.040 is another one nevada yeah um you know what what sort of information are you getting out of there
00:46:11.540 so great question in nevada we we just got a drop an hour ago i got to look at the data a little bit
00:46:17.260 more uh republicans have an advantage over day of the election in nevada um and then in new
00:46:23.000 Hampshire, we're still kind of in the dark. New Hampshire doesn't really have an infrastructure
00:46:29.220 such as Arizona or Nevada when it comes to collecting information from the polls. There
00:46:34.360 are some townships in New Hampshire that literally put a whiteboard out front and they'd write down
00:46:40.000 their numbers. Yeah. So I'm, you know, coming from Pennsylvania where again, you know, the
00:46:44.220 storied Northeast, like New Hampshire, if you look at it in terms of election culture is we're the
00:46:49.560 same way. We, we, we may be posted up on like on the, on the doors at the end of polling,
00:46:54.660 but you're not going to get that live data collection the way that Arizona does it. That's
00:46:59.160 cool. Correct. And, and also with New Hampshire, there's no in person or sorry, no early votes,
00:47:03.960 right? There's no early voting, only absentee, but with absentee ballots, Republican has,
00:47:09.100 Republicans had a better, um, turnout than Democrats with absentee ballots in New Hampshire,
00:47:14.480 which is fantastic news for us. All right. One minute left where number one, tell people where 1.00
00:47:18.640 go to find their polls and number two tell us what what you're looking at what's the one
00:47:23.520 thing that you're looking at going into uh going into the second half of the day here first first
00:47:28.080 one is pulling locations uh depends on the county or where you're at in the country if you're calling
00:47:33.360 or if you're listening in arizona nevada or new hampshire go to tpaction.com forward slash polling
00:47:39.280 place polling place and then uh what i'm excited about i'm sorry what's what's the one one key
00:47:45.440 you're looking at a key point um maricopa maricopa maricopa yes yeah maricopa but also later tonight
00:47:52.400 when when polls close at 7 p.m in arizona look at yavapai look at mojave look at coches county
00:48:00.720 we got to check those ratios yeah all right martinez turning point action jack so big we're
00:48:06.060 here in phoenix arizona we'll be on the live stream later tonight ladies and gentlemen as
00:48:10.660 always you have my permission to lay a short stay in line
00:48:13.520 Thank you.