Trump Polling Update with Rich Barris and the People's Pundit. President Trump's poll numbers are actually on the upswing, and no one wants to admit it. Meanwhile, U.S. wholesale prices dropped unexpectedly last month for the first time in more than a year. Producer price index, which tracks inflation before it hits consumers, fell 0.5 percent in April.
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00:07:08.140All right, we got Rich Barris on, the People's Pundit.
00:07:11.940We're talking about this idea that, and Rich, we keep, there's been this sort of media drumbeat, where it's interesting, where, you know, they were talking about his approval numbers, they were talking about his approval numbers, and then suddenly they stopped talking about his approval numbers.
00:07:25.740And when you go to the actual polling, and it started with you, and it's been this cascading effect, where they have to admit, wait a minute, his poll numbers are actually going up.
00:07:36.140So, I'm going to go so far as to say that they 100% manufactured the 100-day decline.
00:07:44.720Did he decline from where he was in the honeymoon period, which in our polling was anywhere between plus 12 to plus 18?
00:07:52.920Of course, he was in the stratosphere, right?
00:07:56.000And then party identification takes over again, and we go back to being polarized.
00:08:00.060But he was never, never negative the way that these media pollsters had him negative.
00:08:06.140You know, it was a respectable result to see negative two, you know, negative one, or even, or plus two, plus, you know, that was understandable during the height of people's fears about tariffs.
00:08:16.120But even when we had him in his lowest point, which was about even, Jack, something that I pointed out during that poll, which was interesting, is that for the, and this never happens, and never has happened under Donald Trump,
00:08:28.720in our entire time polling him since he became a political figure, his favorability rating, which for folks who don't know, is how people see him, his image.
00:08:38.760Do they view him favorably? Do they like him? Or do they dislike him?
00:08:42.240His favorability was outpacing that low that we had measured him out for approval.
00:08:47.280And what does that mean? It means that people had some reason at that moment to say that they either were undecided or somewhat disapproved, and that's what brought that approval rating down, but they still liked him.
00:09:00.840And they were kind of just waiting to see what happened.
00:09:02.800And now that it didn't happen, and by it, I mean the world didn't blow up, Jack.
00:09:09.360NBC actually took down their egg tracker because eggs are not skyrocketing as they expected them to.
00:09:16.040I totally forgot about the egg tracker.
00:09:17.100I mean, you know exactly what I'm talking about.
00:09:19.400And by the way, there was no egg tracker or bread tracker or gas tracker when we had an actual inflation crisis under Joe Biden in the spring of 22.
00:10:13.300And Trump is killing all these people.
00:10:15.740Trump is killing all these people, even though more people died under Biden.
00:10:18.620And so they did Iraq, they did Afghanistan, they did all these different things.
00:10:23.060They, that is when the tracker goes up.
00:10:25.620You know, that's the media running a PSYOP.
00:10:28.780Yeah, they did it for Afghanistan, Iraq, and then when Barack Obama took over, by the way, after George W. Bush, even though those years under Obama actually were worse than after the surge for George W. Bush, they took those trackers down.
00:10:43.500When the COVID body count tracker was going up under Donald Trump, Joe Biden, again, you just said it, and you're 100% correct.
00:10:51.620There were more deaths under Joe Biden, and they took it down.
00:10:56.240I mean, this is how you, and don't think for a second it doesn't influence people, especially people that watch their programs.
00:11:03.880Maybe, you know, maybe they go from somewhat approved to strongly disapproved because they're seeing these trackers if you were to poll someone who consumes that news coverage.
00:11:17.740They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn people against, in this case, it's Donald Trump, but they've done it to others in the past.
00:11:36.140They're tactics to get you outraged, you know, vain outrage over this for a short time.
00:11:42.740But if those things don't bear out, right, and of course, something like the COVID or a war, it's totally different.
00:11:50.600But something like what NBC News and others did with the gas prices and shelter prices and, I mean, they had everything from the CPI up on that site,
00:12:05.480And the worst part about it is if you were actually to, even during the weeks when eggs, for instance, were up, it was deeply dishonest, Jack,
00:12:14.560because they're only going back to the beginning of Trump's presidency.
00:12:17.560If they would go back to when Donald Trump handed Joe Biden the keys to the White House the first time in January 2021,
00:12:25.340they would have actually saw and their viewers would see that eggs are actually down from that time.
00:12:31.540Rich, let me throw this one out at you then, because they kept saying that, well, Trump is underwater on the economy.
00:12:38.220They said Trump's underwater on the economy, and this is the issue because of his tariffs, because of Liberation Day.
00:12:44.600And we keep hearing this from sort of the Gasparinos of the world and these types who, you know, bought NVIDIA high
00:12:51.200and are looking at red numbers on their phone all day.
00:12:53.000They're saying, oh, people are going to get mad.
00:12:54.760People are going to get mad at these tariffs.
00:22:55.780Now, I wanted to get into this with you, this new report that's just come out from Catalyst.
00:23:01.480It's an election retrospective, retrospecticus, if you will.
00:23:05.800But it's amazing because finally this group, Catalyst, is going back and admitting what people like you and I were saying throughout all of 2024.
00:23:15.180What's amazing, though, is the fact at least they're finally admitting it.
00:23:19.260Rich, walk us through some of the top lines of this report.
00:23:22.000So there are a couple really big ones, and what's interesting is this is the third of its kind.
00:23:29.620We also get the Harvard co-op study, and we get, of course, the census report, right?
00:25:19.600Everyone at home has got to listen to this.
00:25:21.760The media hyper focuses, not just on women, but white educated voters overall and college educated voters that have been trending to Democrats,
00:25:31.920especially suburban women that are educated.
00:25:34.440They hyper focus on this, Jack, when they are a smaller share of the electorate, especially in the battleground states.
00:25:41.50065% of Michigan, for instance, is non-college.
00:25:46.640Over 60% in the state of Pennsylvania is non-college.
00:25:54.260And that was one of the ones that, of course, we targeted when we looked at how this would play out because it seemed in a lot of these battleground states,
00:26:02.540Trump was doing exceptionally well with non-white, non-white, non-college.
00:26:09.100And this is huge because there's a piece of this where they got into the electorate that I was digging into.
00:26:15.360And we're not even talking about Republican support, Democrat support, Trump support, Harris support.
00:26:22.980What I'm talking about is just the participation and the the size and composition of the electorate itself.
00:26:30.420And I think something that the mainstream media gives a huge, just an absolute misunderstanding of is just on education, as you just mentioned.
00:26:40.440They say, well, well, they think they want you to think that non-college voters are this like small group that doesn't really matter.
00:26:46.660And we're totally focused on over-educated urban elites, when in reality, oh, look, the non-college composition of the electorate in 2024 was 59%.
00:27:02.620That means the vast majority of the electorate in this country is non-college voters.
00:27:09.980And yet those are the same voters who particularly, and I was going to say it, particularly if they're white, get completely written off by mainstream media.
00:27:18.580They're the, you know, the butt of every joke on TV or sitcoms and commercials.
00:27:23.560They're, you know, treated as like, you know, some kind of like backwards hillbilly types in whenever you see them in media or something like that.
00:27:31.380When in reality, they are actually, they're vastly outnumbering the rest of the country.
00:27:38.920Rich, and Rich, you also see that in this, this support of the, by education level from those people to now has cratered, absolutely cratered.
00:27:50.880From 2012, it was, it was about, non-college support was at 51% for Democrats.
00:27:57.760That was under Obama's second term, Barack Obama's.
00:28:01.040Then with Trump, it, with Trump, it goes down to 49%.
00:28:10.800So you're looking at an 11 point gap there.
00:28:13.840And I would also bring up that, of course, that's all non-college, right?
00:28:20.160Because the white working class is, you know, used to be the old target of the media during these little, you know, how they phrased it in political discourse.
00:28:29.420Now that there are large and significant percentages of Hispanic and black non-college voters also now having sharing more in common with non-college whites and voting with them, voting the same values, voting for the same policy.
00:28:45.700They are now also getting thrown into the, they're just backward club, right?
00:28:50.560Because that's how they've reacted to this.
00:28:53.060And I have been arguing for a long time.
00:28:56.660Another big finding in this report, and I've showed this chart on your show from our own polling, is that how they reacted to people like you and I stating that this could, this would happen.
00:29:07.420And among non-whites as well, how they reacted to it was unbelievable.
00:29:12.420As if we were telling people a fairy tale or something.
00:29:15.160And when you go and look at this study, it 100% confirms the chart that we showed once on your show, which was polling going back to 2016 since Donald Trump was a political, became a political candidate.
00:29:27.500You could see this did not happen overnight.
00:29:32.680He chipped away a little bit at a time at the share of the black vote that supported Democrats.
00:29:39.340He chipped away at the share of the Hispanic vote that supported Democrats.
00:29:42.900And now fast forward almost 10 years to, from that moment, from when he first came on the stage, what we started to see this time is the beginning of what is known as the cascading effect, which is when trends start small, but they're consistent.
00:29:58.360And then there's like a floodgate that opens and it just cascades.
00:30:03.680And then everybody's left wondering, how did this happen?
00:30:06.320In truth, not only should they not have reacted skeptically to what we were saying before the election, they should have expected it.
00:30:13.720And when you look at this study and look at the column charts side by side, Jack, it's a trend.
00:30:19.420It just was a larger, more pronounced movement this time because that's what happens toward the end of trends, trend lines.
00:30:26.780And I think when, especially when it comes to black voting, you look by age and it tells age and gender, both genders move towards Trump.
00:30:36.140But it really, you can, you really see that trend and what is going on when you look at age.
00:30:40.640And I think what's happening is that social pressure and stigma that came along with the civil rights mindset, you know, movement is fading now.
00:30:51.300You know, if you're 45 years old or below and you're a black voter in this country, there is no reason why anyone should, you know, expect you to care any less about the economy or the state of the country or your own financial situation.
00:31:05.720Any less than a white voter who lives in the Ohio Valley, right?
00:31:10.160You are totally at this point disconnected almost from the civil rights era.
00:31:15.820That's why when we look at this, we can very clearly see the older you are in the black voting electorate, the older you are, the more Democrat, the stronger your loyalties are to the Democratic Party.
00:31:27.980When we get to 30 and below, there's no loyalty to the Democratic Party anymore, Jack.
00:31:34.060And this is why, I mean, this is one reason why it is so important if Republicans want to be competitive and want to be a national, even dominant political force in this country, they have to continue the Trump movement.
00:31:53.060They will not even be a viable political force.
00:31:55.440They've lost their educated white base that they once upon a time had.
00:31:59.620And by the way, that's another, I mean, I'm jumping points here, but it is, I got to get this in before the end of the segment.
00:32:08.520This prediction that there was going to be another massive exodus of white voters away from Donald Trump that was college educated did not happen.
00:32:19.620So that's important because in political coalitions, you're usually giving and taking.
00:32:25.380I'm going to do better with non-college voters, and I'm even going to start to bring non-whites into the fold, and they're going to become part of my coalition.
00:32:34.580Typically, that will result in the loss of the opposite part of that demographic, which here would be college educated whites.
00:32:44.580But in truth, as you can clearly see with this study, didn't happen.
00:33:03.080To your point on age, and just a minute until the break here, but, you know, it's like the millennials getting older, the baby boomers retiring more, silent generation is, you know, they are receding from the scene, and we wish them well.
00:33:22.440Well, it's just that, look, if you were someone who was a diehard Obama voter, guess what?
00:33:28.400You are older now, and you're starting to see that family formation.
00:33:32.520Elder millennials, Gen Y are finally buying houses and starting families, and they're getting to the point where they realize, wait a minute, you know, I view the world a little bit differently now.
00:33:43.860I'm less idealistic and more focused on issues that affect me directly, my bottom line, and my family, like, oh, I don't know, safety and security, law and order, what's going on in the schools, all of these things are direct impacts.
00:33:58.260That is borne out in the electorate as millennials become the most right-wing group in America, and particularly those Elder Gen Y subset of the cohort.
00:34:10.340Be right back here on Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network.
00:34:40.340At Turning Point USA, what we are doing every single day is we are dedicating ourselves and our staff and our students and our activists for a full revival of America.
00:34:52.520Get ready to launch into the future of freedom at the largest student event in the nation.
00:35:01.440Join thousands of fellow students ready to pioneer a bold new era for America at our Student Action Summit.
00:35:09.360And we're bringing in the biggest voices in the movement featuring Charlie Kirk, Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Dr. Ben Carson, Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna, Brandon Tatum, James O'Keefe, Benny Johnson, Jack Posobiec, and more from July 11th through 13th in Tampa, Florida.
00:35:32.820All right, folks, Jack Posobiec, we're back here, Real America's Voice, the Salem Radio Network.
00:35:43.880This is the Trump polling update special that we're running today.
00:35:48.760Rich, we've been going through this report of the electorate and what Trump has been able to do and put these pieces together to form what, I'm just going to say it, what politically speaking, this is a winning coalition.
00:36:02.400This is a coalition, obviously, which won the election, which won the national vote, national popular vote, and, of course, swept seven out of seven of the swing states, including Nevada, which was a state that a lot of people thought was out of reach for Republicans for the longest time.
00:36:19.800It's a winning coalition, and yet, Rich, Donald Trump, as, well, at least is currently term limited out.
00:36:27.400So the question is, can Republicans use this to go to the future and continue to win elections?
00:36:36.660Well, there's a lot of soul searching and a lot of primarying that's going to have to happen because, as you know, Jack, one of Donald Trump's biggest adversaries for his agenda are elected Republicans in the United States Congress who run as something that they are not, right?
00:36:54.180But at this point, this is a winning coalition that could be in its infancy of development, and if they got on board and they got their act together, it could be the beginning of a Roosevelt-like coalition that is dominant for 30 years, Jack.
00:37:07.920I mean, the discussion or the debate at this point is over, and it's unfortunate because only, you know, special interest and money is the only thing that's clouding the outcome of this debate.
00:37:17.300There is no good argument for any of them to make anymore, and by them, I mean the establishment, as to which direction this party should go.
00:37:24.940During the break, we were just talking about, look at John Duarte, Central Valley.
00:37:28.640It's such a key area to explain these numbers, all right?
00:37:32.360It's California shifted dramatically to the right, even though in recent years, it became so democratic because of immigration.
00:37:41.220It was once, you know, the state of Nixon, once the state of Reagan, and it was unwinnable for Republicans.
00:37:46.880Donald Trump won John Duarte's district in Congressional 13, while Duarte lost, and Duarte was your very textbook, Ukraine first, military-industrial complex, special interest Republican, and he went down in flames.
00:38:00.920Mike Garcia, another one, all-trailed Trump, right?
00:38:03.800Mike Rogers in Michigan, he went down because he didn't do as well with non-whites as Donald Trump did.
00:38:10.360White working class was pretty much on par for Mike Rogers.
00:38:13.120It was that other element of this coalition that is right now Trump exclusive, and I mean, again, there's got to be some soul-searching that's got to go on.
00:38:23.160Some of this change or this evolution into the new party should come from soul-searching because people should do the right and smart thing, but the other part of this is there's got to be a lot of primary going on, and it's unfortunate, but that has to happen.
00:38:40.120These guys got to go, Jack. They have to go. They represent an old wing of the party.
00:38:45.520I mean, Rich, you know what's funny is—what's funny is I kind of have to say, you know, I get what David Hogg is saying about primarying safe candidates,
00:38:57.700and you've got to—from our perspective, we've got to MAGA-ify the Republican Party.
00:39:05.900If you want to win the House and—well, excuse me, maintain the House in the 2026 midterms, rather than sit there and say,
00:39:15.820oh, we're going to do the same old, same old, it's you've got to get these people, make the party more popular generally,
00:39:23.860and then that will help you in the contested races. It's so simple.
00:39:30.020Rich, what an incredible special. We are just out of time.
00:39:33.200Where could people go to follow you and get more of these incredible insights?
00:39:37.320We're everywhere, but the best place, Jack, is on Locals, peoplespundit.locals.com, peoplespundit.locals.com.
00:39:48.380Peoplespunditlocals.com. Folks, this is the—this report, and I would encourage everyone to go read this,
00:39:54.580but also I want to tell you, Rich, if they didn't want to waste all the time reading the report now,
00:39:59.080they could have just listened to us beforehand, right?
00:40:01.120Amen. Amen. And amazing the level, you know, at the adversarial—or the level of adversarial scrutiny
00:40:10.120that people like us came under when we were just simply trying to tell people this.
00:40:15.840Yeah, you take folks, and they're believing the andseltzers on the morning consults and all the nonsense,
00:40:21.540the ipsos that's out of there, and these are like four-letter words to Rich.
00:40:25.120I'm triggering his PTSD right now by bringing it all up, but it's a joke.
00:40:29.960It's an absolute joke. Rich Barris, you're doing the Lord's work, man.
00:40:34.740God bless you, and God bless everyone out there.
00:40:38.300This is Jack Posobiec, Human Events Daily.
00:40:41.240Again, 1776 at humanevents.com, 1776 at humanevents.com.
00:40:47.340Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission.