Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - President Trump's Polling Update Special

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00:00:25.780 The Poso Daily Brief.

00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.

00:00:40.680 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.

00:00:47.280 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.

00:00:50.340 Christ is king.

00:00:51.660 These are screenshots of contracts that Doge found across our government.

00:00:55.680 This is a DEI contract, $36,000 for U.S. citizenship and immigration services.

00:01:01.320 This is a $3.4 million contract, a council for inclusive innovation at the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, another DEI contract that Doge identified.

00:01:12.240 $57,000 for climate change in Sri Lanka.

00:01:15.360 Since taking office, my administration has launched the most sweeping border and immigration crackdown in American history. 0.52

00:01:24.220 And we quickly achieved the lowest numbers of illegal border crossers ever recorded.

00:01:30.740 Thank you.

00:01:31.240 The media and our friends in the Democrat Party kept saying we needed new legislation.

00:01:37.240 We must have legislation to secure the border.

00:01:40.060 But it turned out that all we really needed was a new president.

00:01:45.800 In a few moments, I will sign a historic executive order instituting reciprocal tariffs on countries throughout the world.

00:01:55.180 Reciprocal.

00:01:55.700 That means they do it to us and we do it to them.

00:01:59.300 Meanwhile, U.S. wholesale prices dropped unexpectedly last month for the first time in more than a year.

00:02:04.400 The producer price index, which tracks inflation before it hits consumers, fell 0.5 percent from March to April.

00:02:10.700 And that's despite President Trump's tariffs.

00:02:13.020 The president says America's relationship with the Middle East is about to change.

00:02:17.600 And the numbers are already pointing to one of the largest foreign investment halls in U.S. history.

00:02:25.460 Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.

00:02:31.140 Today is May 23rd, 2025.

00:02:35.220 Anno, Domini, very excited.

00:02:37.140 We're going to do a polling update special, Trump polling special here.

00:02:41.840 We've got Rich Barris, the People's Pundit, to join us.

00:02:44.180 What's up, Rich?

00:02:45.540 Hey, Jack.

00:02:46.080 Thanks for having me as always, brother.

00:02:47.520 It's good to be here.

00:02:48.760 No, this is great because, Rich, you know, it's so strange.

00:02:51.600 And, you know, we've only got a couple of minutes until the first break.

00:02:53.960 But, you know, the media keeps telling me, they say, oh, President Trump, you know, he's losing support.

00:02:59.580 He's losing support.

00:03:00.540 And then I go and I look at some of these polls and I say, wait a minute.

00:03:04.220 People's Pundits got him up.

00:03:05.440 And then suddenly after your poll comes out, all the other polls have him ticking up.

00:03:10.460 An insider advantage has him coming back from this Middle East trip with a bump of like 11 points.

00:03:15.480 Rich, it's true, though, isn't it?

00:03:19.160 His approval is actually up and none of them want to admit it.

00:03:23.580 Yeah.

00:03:23.880 I mean, Jack, we're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly.

00:03:32.480 They couldn't poll this guy before the election, any of them, all three of them.

00:03:38.520 So why would we expect that their numbers are accurate now?

00:03:42.940 I mean, we just there's a handful of us who have been proven, you know, who have proven time and time and again that we can do this job.

00:03:51.280 We can do it accurately.

00:03:52.120 And there's just too many polls out there and not enough pollsters.

00:03:55.160 The fact is Trump was on the upswing.

00:03:57.800 We put that poll out.

00:03:59.220 It was the beginning of a very clear trend.

00:04:01.200 You can see Decision Desk just did a thing about it a couple hours ago.

00:04:05.060 Real clear politics.

00:04:06.080 You can see it.

00:04:06.980 The trend is very clear.

00:04:08.400 People were scared over the tariff mania, the tariff panic.

00:04:13.320 And we got, you know, we got a very different outcome than what we were expected or told to expect would come.

00:04:21.460 And, you know, it's interesting when we do our poll and we do our voter confidence index.

00:04:25.780 And the only index that declined in that poll that you referenced was the current conditions index because of that fear.

00:04:34.440 But the expectations for the six-month outlook and even the current jobs index all improved.

00:04:41.780 Well, that's right.

00:04:43.160 One of those indexes improved.

00:04:44.560 The others basically remained steady in that last poll.

00:04:47.260 And that's because people aren't seeing what they were told to be on the lookout for.

00:04:52.480 And the negative news did not come.

00:04:54.720 Positive news came.

00:04:56.380 And Americans are smart enough to see it, Jack.

00:04:59.380 We need to explain this.

00:05:00.660 I keep getting into it with that guy who's the gas buddy analyst over there because he kept saying the gas prices were going to go up because of tariffs.

00:05:07.060 When it's just like, it just didn't happen, just never happened.

00:05:09.920 They seem to have a problem when their expectations don't match Trump reality.

00:05:16.180 We're right back.

00:05:16.880 Jack Posobiec, Richard Barris, the People's Pundit here, Human Events Daily.

00:05:24.180 Nothing will stand in our way.

00:05:26.540 And our golden age has just begun.

00:05:28.900 This is Human Events with Jack Posobiec.

00:05:30.680 Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.

00:05:35.140 Welcome to the second American revolution.

00:05:42.420 All right, folks.

00:05:43.760 Jack Posobiec back here, Human Events.

00:05:46.820 You're watching on Real America's Voice and listening on the Salem Radio Network.

00:05:53.340 Today we're doing a polling update special, President Trump.

00:05:58.120 Folks, real quick, I got to ask you a question.

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00:07:08.140 All right, we got Rich Barris on, the People's Pundit.

00:07:11.940 We're talking about this idea that, and Rich, we keep, there's been this sort of media drumbeat, where it's interesting, where, you know, they were talking about his approval numbers, they were talking about his approval numbers, and then suddenly they stopped talking about his approval numbers.

00:07:25.740 And when you go to the actual polling, and it started with you, and it's been this cascading effect, where they have to admit, wait a minute, his poll numbers are actually going up.

00:07:36.140 So, I'm going to go so far as to say that they 100% manufactured the 100-day decline.

00:07:44.720 Did he decline from where he was in the honeymoon period, which in our polling was anywhere between plus 12 to plus 18?

00:07:52.920 Of course, he was in the stratosphere, right?

00:07:56.000 And then party identification takes over again, and we go back to being polarized.

00:08:00.060 But he was never, never negative the way that these media pollsters had him negative.

00:08:06.140 You know, it was a respectable result to see negative two, you know, negative one, or even, or plus two, plus, you know, that was understandable during the height of people's fears about tariffs.

00:08:16.120 But even when we had him in his lowest point, which was about even, Jack, something that I pointed out during that poll, which was interesting, is that for the, and this never happens, and never has happened under Donald Trump,

00:08:28.720 in our entire time polling him since he became a political figure, his favorability rating, which for folks who don't know, is how people see him, his image.

00:08:38.760 Do they view him favorably? Do they like him? Or do they dislike him?

00:08:42.240 His favorability was outpacing that low that we had measured him out for approval.

00:08:47.280 And what does that mean? It means that people had some reason at that moment to say that they either were undecided or somewhat disapproved, and that's what brought that approval rating down, but they still liked him.

00:09:00.840 And they were kind of just waiting to see what happened.

00:09:02.800 And now that it didn't happen, and by it, I mean the world didn't blow up, Jack.

00:09:09.360 NBC actually took down their egg tracker because eggs are not skyrocketing as they expected them to.

00:09:16.040 I totally forgot about the egg tracker.

00:09:17.100 I mean, you know exactly what I'm talking about.

00:09:19.400 And by the way, there was no egg tracker or bread tracker or gas tracker when we had an actual inflation crisis under Joe Biden in the spring of 22.

00:09:28.780 Nothing, right?

00:09:29.880 So now his approval rating is coming back up, and they don't want to talk about it anymore.

00:09:34.920 You know, that's exactly right, Dave.

00:09:36.240 The egg tracker, and by the way, there was none of this inflation stuff.

00:09:39.700 Whenever you put the trackers, actually, Rich, we should talk about this for a second.

00:09:43.120 When they put the trackers up online, that's something that they, or on screen, I should say, in the media.

00:09:50.160 It's a red flag.

00:09:50.760 That's something that they want their audience to get mad about.

00:09:55.660 It is the red flag like a matador would fly in front of a bull saying, get mad at this, get mad at this.

00:10:04.580 And so COVID, remember COVID, they had the tracker that went up.

00:10:07.560 So the COVID tracker was up under Trump, was never up under Biden.

00:10:11.200 It was never up under him. 0.95

00:10:13.300 And Trump is killing all these people. 0.99

00:10:15.740 Trump is killing all these people, even though more people died under Biden. 0.98

00:10:18.620 And so they did Iraq, they did Afghanistan, they did all these different things. 0.95

00:10:23.060 They, that is when the tracker goes up.

00:10:25.620 You know, that's the media running a PSYOP.

00:10:28.780 Yeah, they did it for Afghanistan, Iraq, and then when Barack Obama took over, by the way, after George W. Bush, even though those years under Obama actually were worse than after the surge for George W. Bush, they took those trackers down.

00:10:43.500 When the COVID body count tracker was going up under Donald Trump, Joe Biden, again, you just said it, and you're 100% correct.

00:10:51.620 There were more deaths under Joe Biden, and they took it down.

00:10:56.240 I mean, this is how you, and don't think for a second it doesn't influence people, especially people that watch their programs.

00:11:03.880 Maybe, you know, maybe they go from somewhat approved to strongly disapproved because they're seeing these trackers if you were to poll someone who consumes that news coverage.

00:11:15.020 But it's, I mean, that is explicit.

00:11:17.740 They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn people against, in this case, it's Donald Trump, but they've done it to others in the past.

00:11:28.800 And again, it only works temporarily.

00:11:31.340 People should understand this.

00:11:32.400 These are outrage, you know, tools.

00:11:36.140 They're tactics to get you outraged, you know, vain outrage over this for a short time.

00:11:42.740 But if those things don't bear out, right, and of course, something like the COVID or a war, it's totally different.

00:11:50.600 But something like what NBC News and others did with the gas prices and shelter prices and, I mean, they had everything from the CPI up on that site,

00:11:59.600 which they tweeted daily, daily.

00:12:02.980 The egg tracker is down.

00:12:04.560 The egg tracker's up.

00:12:05.480 And the worst part about it is if you were actually to, even during the weeks when eggs, for instance, were up, it was deeply dishonest, Jack,

00:12:14.560 because they're only going back to the beginning of Trump's presidency.

00:12:17.560 If they would go back to when Donald Trump handed Joe Biden the keys to the White House the first time in January 2021,

00:12:25.340 they would have actually saw and their viewers would see that eggs are actually down from that time.

00:12:31.540 Rich, let me throw this one out at you then, because they kept saying that, well, Trump is underwater on the economy.

00:12:38.220 They said Trump's underwater on the economy, and this is the issue because of his tariffs, because of Liberation Day.

00:12:44.600 And we keep hearing this from sort of the Gasparinos of the world and these types who, you know, bought NVIDIA high 1.00

00:12:51.200 and are looking at red numbers on their phone all day.

00:12:53.000 They're saying, oh, people are going to get mad.

00:12:54.760 People are going to get mad at these tariffs.

00:12:56.260 People are going to get so mad.

00:12:57.300 He's underwater on the economy.

00:12:58.420 Is that true?

00:13:00.080 Because how would that track if the economy is one of his number one topics, number one issues they support Trump on,

00:13:07.880 and then also that his approvals are going up?

00:13:11.100 It doesn't track.

00:13:12.540 And when you look at the polls that do that, look at other issues, for instance, like immigration.

00:13:17.640 The Reuters-Ipsos poll, which is one of the worst polls not only in the country but in the world,

00:13:24.360 they have Donald Trump plus two on the border.

00:13:26.960 I don't think we have ever found Donald Trump in single digits on immigration.

00:13:32.440 It's absolutely ludicrous that these people would continue polling without any scrutiny whatsoever.

00:13:40.420 If they were trying to be honest, folks at home, folks listening, if they were honest and ethical,

00:13:47.800 after missing as much as they have missed in their profession, which no other profession is allowed to be that bad at,

00:13:54.200 by the way, you would get your walking papers if you were as bad as these people at doing your job.

00:14:00.280 But the fact that they are that bad and didn't pause, Jack, and say, what am I doing wrong?

00:14:06.960 Right?

00:14:07.240 They're just immediately back into the field as if they did a credible job a couple of weeks before an election.

00:14:13.120 It's unbelievable.

00:14:14.400 And we have to stop tolerating it.

00:14:17.080 We really do.

00:14:18.140 And we have to start looking at these polls and giving them the weight they deserve, which is simply not much.

00:14:25.560 Honestly, there's been three to five of us, and I can name them right now, that have polled well in the Trump era. 0.79

00:14:33.860 The rest of them are hot trash, and I'm not trying to be provocative or, you know, attack anybody. 0.96

00:14:40.500 It's a fact. 0.99

00:14:41.360 It's not an attack.

00:14:42.320 It's a fact.

00:14:43.480 Morning Consul is a bad poll.

00:14:46.340 Reuters Ipsos is a bad poll.

00:14:48.980 The New York Times is a bad poll.

00:14:51.780 If you can't poll an election, you can't poll anything else.

00:14:55.460 Rich Barris spitting fire, spitting straight fire here on Human Events.

00:15:00.240 This is Jack Posobiec, Real America's voice in the Salem Radio Network.

00:15:05.460 Quick break.

00:15:06.060 Right back.

00:15:15.440 Today, you know, they talk about influencers.

00:15:18.060 These are influencers, and they're friends of mine.

00:15:22.320 Jack Posobiec.

00:15:23.880 Where's Jack?

00:15:24.780 Jack.

00:15:25.820 He's done a great job.

00:15:27.260 All right, Jack Posobiec, we are back.

00:15:31.940 Human Events, Real America's voice, Salem Radio Network, Hour 3, The Charlie Kirk Show.

00:15:37.420 And if you want to send us your questions, complaints, complaints, whatever else it might

00:15:42.220 be in comments, 1776 at humanevents.com, 1776 at humanevents.com.

00:15:48.440 Go at like and subscribe to us on the podcast side, Human Events Daily, so never miss a minute

00:15:56.460 of the action.

00:15:57.320 We're on with Richard Barris, the People's Pundit, doing this Trump polling update special.

00:16:03.740 And Rich, here's a question that I have for you as well, and it's sort of this old adage

00:16:07.660 that's out there.

00:16:08.700 They say people don't vote on foreign policy.

00:16:10.560 People don't vote on foreign policy.

00:16:11.700 And yet, President Trump's approval rating jumps after a widely seen as successful international

00:16:19.980 trip.

00:16:20.920 So how do you put those two together?

00:16:25.060 Are they in contention?

00:16:26.460 Is there a relationship?

00:16:27.820 Or is it that Americans, as it turns out, actually do care about foreign policy?

00:16:32.180 I would say that there's no doubt that when it comes to voting, they vote more on economics,

00:16:39.000 but there's always been a group that votes more on foreign policy and national security.

00:16:44.080 This is how people need to understand it.

00:16:47.280 It's nonsense that foreign policy doesn't impact approval.

00:16:51.300 It is true, however, that it tends to be more downside for presidents.

00:16:57.500 Herbert Walker Bush could not be saved by the Gulf War.

00:17:00.360 The economy weighed more.

00:17:02.600 It's not that they didn't appreciate what he did and how quickly he brought a resolution

00:17:07.400 to that conflict.

00:17:08.640 He thought it would carry him over, and of course it did not.

00:17:12.160 But I think what happened here with Trump is foreign policy being secondary, of course,

00:17:17.380 people already concluded that the economy was not about to crash and burn.

00:17:22.220 And then when he had this successful trip, I think the media, again, they miss the story

00:17:28.920 all the time.

00:17:29.560 The speech in Saudi Arabia was a historic moment, a huge moment for Donald Trump.

00:17:38.400 But he went out there, he brought a resolution to the end in Pakistani conflict.

00:17:42.360 He brought in trillions of dollars of investment promises to the United States.

00:17:46.760 He further isolated Iran.

00:17:49.500 And he's doing what people, he's out there reinforcing what people want him to do.

00:17:55.560 And that's how they see Donald Trump as now as a peacemaker.

00:17:59.180 And so it's going to be a net benefit for him.

00:18:02.560 I do think that foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you.

00:18:06.060 I think that's really clear. 0.87

00:18:07.120 But to say that it has no bearing on approval rating is ridiculous.

00:18:12.200 And just to tell you, Jack, for years, separate approval on issues will ask pollsters for decades

00:18:18.540 going all the way back to Gallup.

00:18:20.140 They'll ask general approval rating, but then they will also ask what approval on three key

00:18:24.440 issues.

00:18:25.120 And they have always been the economy, foreign policy, and immigration.

00:18:29.560 The economy, foreign policy, and immigration.

00:18:34.700 Wow.

00:18:35.100 Funny how I've always said that those are the three issues that are the three legs of the

00:18:41.400 stool of the new right.

00:18:42.800 Those are the three verticals.

00:18:44.220 Those are what makes Trump different from every other Republican candidate out there,

00:18:51.320 president out there, figure out there.

00:18:53.100 That's what made this movement be this movement and made it not be the Jeb Bush presidency or something.

00:18:59.300 If you focus solely on those issues, you will succeed.

00:19:04.220 You will be successful.

00:19:07.100 As a candidate, by the way, it is very politically advantageous to focus on these issues.

00:19:14.360 And it's amazing how ideologically captured the Republican Party was, and in large part still

00:19:20.020 is, on so many issues, whether it be special interests or whether it be simply just really

00:19:26.660 folks just not understanding where the political lines are, this is what people want.

00:19:31.960 People want populist nationalism.

00:19:34.240 They want all of this.

00:19:35.460 And the Republican Party wants to move forward.

00:19:37.880 Then they can either pick up on it or they could just forget about it and completely walk

00:19:44.700 away.

00:19:44.900 But, Rich, what it really comes down to it is these are issues, like Maha, by the way,

00:19:50.060 that Trump has stolen from the Democrats.

00:19:52.620 Borders was a Democrat issue.

00:19:54.800 Getting out of wars was a Democrat issue.

00:19:56.980 And then the Democrats went in and Obama did more wars anyway.

00:20:00.700 You know, getting trade protectionism.

00:20:03.180 These were all Democrat issues.

00:20:05.660 And it's like Trump, free speech even used to be a Democrat issue, with the exception,

00:20:10.740 I guess, of like Tipper Gore.

00:20:12.120 But it's amazing to me, Rich, that these establishment conservatives just don't get it.

00:20:19.900 One minute till the break.

00:20:21.620 Yeah, they're living in another, I would say, another decade.

00:20:26.120 But it's not even another decade.

00:20:27.820 It's another century.

00:20:28.800 And the sooner that they are phased out of the Republican Party, the better.

00:20:35.460 Because this is the way forward.

00:20:38.880 You say they stole them from Democrats.

00:20:41.320 And I think, you know, Trump would say this was the Republican Party before the Bushes and

00:20:47.120 the neocons co-opted it, right?

00:20:50.160 Even Reagan himself used to say America first once in a while.

00:20:54.960 And not once in a while, quite a bit on the campaign trail.

00:20:56.880 He sure did.

00:20:57.480 And Ronald Reagan's favorite newspaper at the time was a little paper called Human Events.

00:21:03.660 And this is Human Events Daily, humanevents.com.

00:21:08.700 We're on with Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris.

00:21:10.400 Quick break.

00:21:10.860 Right back.

00:21:20.940 And Jack, where is Jack?

00:21:24.040 Where is Jack?

00:21:26.300 Where is he?

00:21:27.740 Jack, I want to see you.

00:21:31.420 Great job, Jack.

00:21:32.800 Thank you.

00:21:33.580 What a job you do.

00:21:35.000 You know, we have an incredible thing.

00:21:36.380 We're always talking about the fake news and the bad.

00:21:38.680 But we have guys.

00:21:40.120 And these are the guys who should be getting Pulisic.

00:21:42.160 All right, Jack Posobiec.

00:21:45.340 Here we are back live.

00:21:46.660 Human Events Daily, Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network.

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00:22:52.700 Richard Barris, this report.

00:22:55.780 Now, I wanted to get into this with you, this new report that's just come out from Catalyst.

00:23:01.480 It's an election retrospective, retrospecticus, if you will.

00:23:05.800 But it's amazing because finally this group, Catalyst, is going back and admitting what people like you and I were saying throughout all of 2024.

00:23:15.180 What's amazing, though, is the fact at least they're finally admitting it.

00:23:19.260 Rich, walk us through some of the top lines of this report.

00:23:22.000 So there are a couple really big ones, and what's interesting is this is the third of its kind.

00:23:29.620 We also get the Harvard co-op study, and we get, of course, the census report, right?

00:23:36.760 And there's a few biggies. 0.61

00:23:38.580 One is, and this is what you and I have talked about,

00:23:40.920 it's a complete fall off of Democratic support among working class voters,

00:23:45.760 something like the author of Liberal Patriots blog and the emerging Democratic majority.

00:23:52.640 That was a Bible for the Democrats in the first part of this century. 0.76

00:23:56.900 Rui Teixeira and John Judas, they had argued that Democrats could maintain this coalition if they kept a share of the working class.

00:24:05.700 And that was a big part of that, which everyone forgot.

00:24:07.660 In the Trump era, and especially in this election, he was basically one of very few people who agreed with us

00:24:13.920 that their major problem was actually going to come from non-white working class voters.

00:24:19.280 That Trump and, well, Trump for sure, but Republicans in general have been doing so well among white working class voters,

00:24:26.780 we can only expect the remaining share of working class overall that are moving to them to come from,

00:24:34.480 especially in the battleground states, which turned out not to be true.

00:24:37.760 It was everywhere.

00:24:38.940 But to come from black voters and Hispanic voters.

00:24:42.600 And that absolutely happened.

00:24:44.740 You can see Kamala Harris actually did worse with Hispanic men. 1.00

00:24:48.780 She did worse with Hispanic women than Hillary Clinton did. 1.00

00:24:51.760 When they basically did roughly the same with white working class, Clinton did a little bit better than Harris did.

00:24:58.740 But nonetheless, I mean, it's a continuing collapse of the Democratic support among working class voters.

00:25:06.620 Obama himself got 40% of the white working class.

00:25:09.700 Those days are gone.

00:25:11.000 They are mired in the 30s.

00:25:12.600 And Trump crushed her with this group.

00:25:15.100 And it included not just white working class.

00:25:17.720 And this is what is so, so important.

00:25:19.600 Everyone at home has got to listen to this.

00:25:21.760 The media hyper focuses, not just on women, but white educated voters overall and college educated voters that have been trending to Democrats,

00:25:31.920 especially suburban women that are educated. 1.00

00:25:34.440 They hyper focus on this, Jack, when they are a smaller share of the electorate, especially in the battleground states.

00:25:41.500 65% of Michigan, for instance, is non-college.

00:25:46.640 Over 60% in the state of Pennsylvania is non-college.

00:25:50.500 65% in Georgia is non-college.

00:25:54.260 And that was one of the ones that, of course, we targeted when we looked at how this would play out because it seemed in a lot of these battleground states,

00:26:02.540 Trump was doing exceptionally well with non-white, non-white, non-college.

00:26:09.100 And this is huge because there's a piece of this where they got into the electorate that I was digging into.

00:26:15.360 And we're not even talking about Republican support, Democrat support, Trump support, Harris support.

00:26:22.980 What I'm talking about is just the participation and the the size and composition of the electorate itself.

00:26:30.420 And I think something that the mainstream media gives a huge, just an absolute misunderstanding of is just on education, as you just mentioned.

00:26:40.440 They say, well, well, they think they want you to think that non-college voters are this like small group that doesn't really matter.

00:26:46.660 And we're totally focused on over-educated urban elites, when in reality, oh, look, the non-college composition of the electorate in 2024 was 59%.

00:27:02.620 That means the vast majority of the electorate in this country is non-college voters.

00:27:09.980 And yet those are the same voters who particularly, and I was going to say it, particularly if they're white, get completely written off by mainstream media.

00:27:18.580 They're the, you know, the butt of every joke on TV or sitcoms and commercials.

00:27:23.560 They're, you know, treated as like, you know, some kind of like backwards hillbilly types in whenever you see them in media or something like that.

00:27:31.380 When in reality, they are actually, they're vastly outnumbering the rest of the country.

00:27:38.920 Rich, and Rich, you also see that in this, this support of the, by education level from those people to now has cratered, absolutely cratered.

00:27:50.880 From 2012, it was, it was about, non-college support was at 51% for Democrats.

00:27:57.760 That was under Obama's second term, Barack Obama's.

00:28:01.040 Then with Trump, it, with Trump, it goes down to 49%.

00:28:05.400 Then with Biden, it goes down to 48%.

00:28:08.180 And now it's down at 45%.

00:28:10.800 So you're looking at an 11 point gap there.

00:28:13.840 And I would also bring up that, of course, that's all non-college, right?

00:28:20.160 Because the white working class is, you know, used to be the old target of the media during these little, you know, how they phrased it in political discourse.

00:28:29.420 Now that there are large and significant percentages of Hispanic and black non-college voters also now having sharing more in common with non-college whites and voting with them, voting the same values, voting for the same policy.

00:28:45.700 They are now also getting thrown into the, they're just backward club, right? 1.00

00:28:50.560 Because that's how they've reacted to this.

00:28:53.060 And I have been arguing for a long time.

00:28:56.660 Another big finding in this report, and I've showed this chart on your show from our own polling, is that how they reacted to people like you and I stating that this could, this would happen.

00:29:07.420 And among non-whites as well, how they reacted to it was unbelievable.

00:29:12.420 As if we were telling people a fairy tale or something.

00:29:15.160 And when you go and look at this study, it 100% confirms the chart that we showed once on your show, which was polling going back to 2016 since Donald Trump was a political, became a political candidate.

00:29:27.500 You could see this did not happen overnight.

00:29:31.120 There is, this is how trends work.

00:29:32.680 He chipped away a little bit at a time at the share of the black vote that supported Democrats.

00:29:39.340 He chipped away at the share of the Hispanic vote that supported Democrats.

00:29:42.900 And now fast forward almost 10 years to, from that moment, from when he first came on the stage, what we started to see this time is the beginning of what is known as the cascading effect, which is when trends start small, but they're consistent.

00:29:58.360 And then there's like a floodgate that opens and it just cascades.

00:30:03.680 And then everybody's left wondering, how did this happen?

00:30:06.320 In truth, not only should they not have reacted skeptically to what we were saying before the election, they should have expected it.

00:30:13.720 And when you look at this study and look at the column charts side by side, Jack, it's a trend.

00:30:19.420 It just was a larger, more pronounced movement this time because that's what happens toward the end of trends, trend lines.

00:30:26.780 And I think when, especially when it comes to black voting, you look by age and it tells age and gender, both genders move towards Trump.

00:30:36.140 But it really, you can, you really see that trend and what is going on when you look at age.

00:30:40.640 And I think what's happening is that social pressure and stigma that came along with the civil rights mindset, you know, movement is fading now.

00:30:51.300 You know, if you're 45 years old or below and you're a black voter in this country, there is no reason why anyone should, you know, expect you to care any less about the economy or the state of the country or your own financial situation.

00:31:05.720 Any less than a white voter who lives in the Ohio Valley, right?

00:31:10.160 You are totally at this point disconnected almost from the civil rights era.

00:31:14.780 You just are.

00:31:15.820 That's why when we look at this, we can very clearly see the older you are in the black voting electorate, the older you are, the more Democrat, the stronger your loyalties are to the Democratic Party.

00:31:27.980 When we get to 30 and below, there's no loyalty to the Democratic Party anymore, Jack.

00:31:33.200 It's wide open.

00:31:34.060 And this is why, I mean, this is one reason why it is so important if Republicans want to be competitive and want to be a national, even dominant political force in this country, they have to continue the Trump movement.

00:31:48.420 And that's it.

00:31:49.080 There's no way back.

00:31:50.500 There is no way back.

00:31:53.060 They will not even be a viable political force.

00:31:55.440 They've lost their educated white base that they once upon a time had.

00:31:59.620 And by the way, that's another, I mean, I'm jumping points here, but it is, I got to get this in before the end of the segment.

00:32:08.520 This prediction that there was going to be another massive exodus of white voters away from Donald Trump that was college educated did not happen.

00:32:18.240 Did not happen.

00:32:19.620 So that's important because in political coalitions, you're usually giving and taking.

00:32:25.380 I'm going to do better with non-college voters, and I'm even going to start to bring non-whites into the fold, and they're going to become part of my coalition.

00:32:34.580 Typically, that will result in the loss of the opposite part of that demographic, which here would be college educated whites.

00:32:44.580 But in truth, as you can clearly see with this study, didn't happen.

00:32:48.940 Didn't happen.

00:32:49.800 Trump did better with everybody, brother.

00:32:51.780 Asians, Native Americans, Pacific Islanders, Hispanics, men, women, doesn't matter. 0.77

00:32:59.120 He just did better with everybody.

00:33:01.220 I mean, there is no argument.

00:33:03.080 To your point on age, and just a minute until the break here, but, you know, it's like the millennials getting older, the baby boomers retiring more, silent generation is, you know, they are receding from the scene, and we wish them well.

00:33:22.440 Well, it's just that, look, if you were someone who was a diehard Obama voter, guess what?

00:33:28.400 You are older now, and you're starting to see that family formation.

00:33:32.520 Elder millennials, Gen Y are finally buying houses and starting families, and they're getting to the point where they realize, wait a minute, you know, I view the world a little bit differently now. 0.53

00:33:43.860 I'm less idealistic and more focused on issues that affect me directly, my bottom line, and my family, like, oh, I don't know, safety and security, law and order, what's going on in the schools, all of these things are direct impacts.

00:33:57.440 And guess what?

00:33:58.260 That is borne out in the electorate as millennials become the most right-wing group in America, and particularly those Elder Gen Y subset of the cohort.

00:34:10.340 Be right back here on Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network.

00:34:15.000 Back with Sobek, Richard Barris.

00:34:26.880 Jack is a great guy.

00:34:28.420 He's written a fantastic book.

00:34:30.120 Everybody's talking about it.

00:34:31.300 Go get it.

00:34:32.420 And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.

00:34:36.400 And we're going to turn it around and make our country great to get to you.

00:34:39.460 Amen.

00:34:40.340 At Turning Point USA, what we are doing every single day is we are dedicating ourselves and our staff and our students and our activists for a full revival of America.

00:34:52.520 Get ready to launch into the future of freedom at the largest student event in the nation.

00:34:59.460 SAS is back.

00:35:01.440 Join thousands of fellow students ready to pioneer a bold new era for America at our Student Action Summit.

00:35:09.360 And we're bringing in the biggest voices in the movement featuring Charlie Kirk, Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Dr. Ben Carson, Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna, Brandon Tatum, James O'Keefe, Benny Johnson, Jack Posobiec, and more from July 11th through 13th in Tampa, Florida.

00:35:32.820 All right, folks, Jack Posobiec, we're back here, Real America's Voice, the Salem Radio Network.

00:35:42.560 We're on with Richard Barris.

00:35:43.880 This is the Trump polling update special that we're running today.

00:35:48.760 Rich, we've been going through this report of the electorate and what Trump has been able to do and put these pieces together to form what, I'm just going to say it, what politically speaking, this is a winning coalition.

00:36:02.400 This is a coalition, obviously, which won the election, which won the national vote, national popular vote, and, of course, swept seven out of seven of the swing states, including Nevada, which was a state that a lot of people thought was out of reach for Republicans for the longest time.

00:36:19.140 That's right.

00:36:19.800 It's a winning coalition, and yet, Rich, Donald Trump, as, well, at least is currently term limited out.

00:36:27.400 So the question is, can Republicans use this to go to the future and continue to win elections?

00:36:36.660 Well, there's a lot of soul searching and a lot of primarying that's going to have to happen because, as you know, Jack, one of Donald Trump's biggest adversaries for his agenda are elected Republicans in the United States Congress who run as something that they are not, right?

00:36:54.180 But at this point, this is a winning coalition that could be in its infancy of development, and if they got on board and they got their act together, it could be the beginning of a Roosevelt-like coalition that is dominant for 30 years, Jack.

00:37:07.920 I mean, the discussion or the debate at this point is over, and it's unfortunate because only, you know, special interest and money is the only thing that's clouding the outcome of this debate.

00:37:17.300 There is no good argument for any of them to make anymore, and by them, I mean the establishment, as to which direction this party should go.

00:37:24.940 During the break, we were just talking about, look at John Duarte, Central Valley.

00:37:28.640 It's such a key area to explain these numbers, all right?

00:37:32.360 It's California shifted dramatically to the right, even though in recent years, it became so democratic because of immigration.

00:37:41.220 It was once, you know, the state of Nixon, once the state of Reagan, and it was unwinnable for Republicans.

00:37:46.880 Donald Trump won John Duarte's district in Congressional 13, while Duarte lost, and Duarte was your very textbook, Ukraine first, military-industrial complex, special interest Republican, and he went down in flames.

00:38:00.920 Mike Garcia, another one, all-trailed Trump, right?

00:38:03.800 Mike Rogers in Michigan, he went down because he didn't do as well with non-whites as Donald Trump did.

00:38:10.360 White working class was pretty much on par for Mike Rogers. 0.87

00:38:13.120 It was that other element of this coalition that is right now Trump exclusive, and I mean, again, there's got to be some soul-searching that's got to go on.

00:38:23.160 Some of this change or this evolution into the new party should come from soul-searching because people should do the right and smart thing, but the other part of this is there's got to be a lot of primary going on, and it's unfortunate, but that has to happen.

00:38:40.120 These guys got to go, Jack. They have to go. They represent an old wing of the party.

00:38:45.520 I mean, Rich, you know what's funny is—what's funny is I kind of have to say, you know, I get what David Hogg is saying about primarying safe candidates,

00:38:57.700 and you've got to—from our perspective, we've got to MAGA-ify the Republican Party.

00:39:05.900 If you want to win the House and—well, excuse me, maintain the House in the 2026 midterms, rather than sit there and say,

00:39:15.820 oh, we're going to do the same old, same old, it's you've got to get these people, make the party more popular generally,

00:39:23.860 and then that will help you in the contested races. It's so simple.

00:39:30.020 Rich, what an incredible special. We are just out of time.

00:39:33.200 Where could people go to follow you and get more of these incredible insights?

00:39:37.320 We're everywhere, but the best place, Jack, is on Locals, peoplespundit.locals.com, peoplespundit.locals.com.

00:39:48.380 Peoplespunditlocals.com. Folks, this is the—this report, and I would encourage everyone to go read this,

00:39:54.580 but also I want to tell you, Rich, if they didn't want to waste all the time reading the report now,

00:39:59.080 they could have just listened to us beforehand, right?

00:40:01.120 Amen. Amen. And amazing the level, you know, at the adversarial—or the level of adversarial scrutiny

00:40:10.120 that people like us came under when we were just simply trying to tell people this.

00:40:15.840 Yeah, you take folks, and they're believing the andseltzers on the morning consults and all the nonsense, 0.97

00:40:21.540 the ipsos that's out of there, and these are like four-letter words to Rich.

00:40:25.120 I'm triggering his PTSD right now by bringing it all up, but it's a joke.

00:40:29.960 It's an absolute joke. Rich Barris, you're doing the Lord's work, man.

00:40:34.740 God bless you, and God bless everyone out there.

00:40:38.300 This is Jack Posobiec, Human Events Daily.

00:40:41.240 Again, 1776 at humanevents.com, 1776 at humanevents.com.

00:40:47.340 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission.

00:40:49.620 Pleasure.

00:40:50.180 Pleasure.

00:41:19.620 Pleasure.

Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - May 23, 2025

President Trump's Polling Update Special

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