Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - REGIME SCRAMBLES MSM TO SMEAR TRUMP OVER ARLINGTON VISIT WHILE KAMALA STAYED HOME

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00:00:26.660 Tonight, for the first time, the DEA confirms they are looking into criminal activity allegedly committed by a Venezuelan gang.

00:00:33.220 The Trende Aragua gang has been labeled by the White House as a transnational criminal organization.

00:00:38.900 In a statement obtained by Denver 7 Investigates, the DEA says agents have seized multi-kilogram quantities of fentanyl destined for the Denver metro area

00:00:47.700 from individuals believed to beat members and or associates of the gang.

00:00:51.800 Overnight, the Israeli military says it killed five more militants as they continue their largest raid on the occupied West Bank in two decades.

00:01:01.320 Among those killed, a local militant commander who was the mastermind of several attacks against Israel.

00:01:06.460 One Kamala Harris policy getting more attention these days is the proposal to tax unrealized gains.

00:01:12.540 This is when people get taxed over investment gains that only exist on paper.

00:01:17.240 The Harris-Walls ticket proposing a 25% tax on unrealized capital gains.

00:01:22.280 And the Supreme Court has now rejected a request from the Biden administration to restore a student debt plan.

00:01:27.860 The multi-billion dollar plan that would have lowered payments from millions of borrowers was rebuffed by justices.

00:01:33.700 This comes as the Education Department works to create a faster strategy to reduce income-based payments and provide loan cancellation.

00:01:40.980 New details on an altercation involving Donald Trump's team at Arlington National Cemetery. 0.98

00:01:46.460 This is someone who, according to his own former chief of staff, said Americans who died in war are, quote, suckers and losers. 0.98

00:01:53.600 Apparently, this visit turned into some kind of physical incident. 0.98

00:01:58.080 Is he politicizing these soldiers' deaths?

00:02:00.060 Should he even be at Arlington National Cemetery if he's going to make some politics out of this?

00:02:05.780 Donald Trump is a person who wants to make everything all about Donald Trump.

00:02:10.040 Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard to today's edition of Human Events Daily, live from Washington, D.C.

00:02:17.300 Today is August 29th, 2024.

00:02:19.780 I know, Domini.

00:02:21.500 Section 60 of Arlington.

00:02:24.840 Section 60 of Arlington is an honored place.

00:02:28.400 It is hallowed ground, of course.

00:02:31.280 It is the place where, predominantly, we've laid to rest the heroes, those who gave their lives in Iraq and Afghanistan.

00:02:42.540 And recently, a few days ago, President Trump honored some of the very last, I believe, you should actually check that out, something to look up.

00:02:53.420 Were these the final deaths in Afghanistan for the U.S. military?

00:02:59.720 The 13 honored dead of Abbey Gate.

00:03:01.960 And President Trump was the only one who showed up at their memorial service.

00:03:06.220 And, oh, by the way, he was invited to do so by the families.

00:03:10.660 Then, in accordance with the families' wishes, they asked him to take some photographs with him at the grave of their fallen loved ones.

00:03:24.380 He honored their wishes, and he did so.

00:03:28.020 By the way, Utah Governor Spencer Cox was also there.

00:03:31.960 Spencer Cox also running for re-election.

00:03:33.840 Kind of interesting how nobody seems to mention the fact that Spencer Cox is also in the middle of an election.

00:03:41.020 And yet the media and now the U.S. Army have released a statement attacking President Trump for doing so.

00:03:49.580 Now, I've watched the videos.

00:03:51.460 I don't see anything there where he's holding up a vote for me in 2024 sign or a slogan or a bumper sticker

00:03:58.560 or a Trump-Vance yard sign and sticking yard signs up on the graves.

00:04:04.760 And if he was doing so, of course we would criticize that because it would be ludicrous.

00:04:09.900 Yet none of that happened.

00:04:12.120 He walked there.

00:04:13.700 He placed three wreaths in the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.

00:04:17.800 Then he went over to take some photos with the family.

00:04:22.780 Now, the Army says that President Trump broke the law.

00:04:25.780 The media says so as well, but that's very interesting to say that he broke some kind of protocol

00:04:31.320 because, well, we went back and checked, and here it turns out that four years ago,

00:04:37.160 Joe Biden went and also did a ceremony at Arlington.

00:04:44.340 And, oh, by the way, he went right into Section 60 and used some of the footage for political ad

00:04:51.520 that he made, and I'll keep in mind that at the time he had not been elected.

00:04:56.920 The election had not taken place yet.

00:04:58.940 He was a private citizen running for election.

00:05:01.620 He had never been the president.

00:05:02.940 He had been the vice president, to be sure.

00:05:05.420 And yet I don't remember anyone in the military.

00:05:08.640 I don't remember the Army releasing anything.

00:05:11.500 And, by the way, you can see the 60 on the gravestones right there

00:05:15.180 indicating that it is, in fact, in Section 60, and he used it in a political ad.

00:05:21.240 That's quite strange.

00:05:22.660 So here we have Joe Biden doing the exact same thing.

00:05:25.740 But keep in mind, folks, it's not about hypocrisy.

00:05:29.680 No, no, no.

00:05:30.500 It's hierarchy.

00:05:31.980 We can do it.

00:05:33.260 You can't.

00:05:34.140 And at the end of the day, what they're really upset about

00:05:36.560 is the fact that they didn't do their jobs,

00:05:39.540 and that's why the 13 troops are lying in the ground in Arlington

00:05:45.420 when they should be home with their families.

00:05:48.180 And the only person in this entire country

00:05:50.800 who's trying to do something about that is Donald J. Trump.

00:05:55.020 Because none of you people who are complaining and screaming

00:05:58.360 and smearing President Trump were there with those families,

00:06:02.380 were there to say, we're very sorry this happened.

00:06:04.880 No, you're sitting there, you're looking at your watches,

00:06:07.180 or you're not showing up.

00:06:08.840 I'm sick of this. 0.99

00:06:09.880 It's disgusting. 1.00

00:06:11.040 You are all demonic, and you're going to... 1.00

00:06:14.740 You have five months left. 0.97

00:06:21.260 Ladies and gentlemen, one of the best ways 0.93

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00:06:40.040 You know, they talk about influences.

00:06:41.920 These are influences, and they're friends of mine.

00:06:46.160 Jack Prasovic.

00:06:47.660 Where's Jack?

00:06:48.620 Jack.

00:06:49.620 He's done a great job.

00:06:53.400 All right, Jack Prasovic back live here, Human Events Daily.

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00:08:35.540 All the diseases, all the germs, everything, the viruses are going to be flying.

00:08:39.740 And you know, with nine weeks to go to the election, anything can happen.

00:08:44.420 So, someone else who knows that anything can happen is Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.

00:08:49.840 Rich, we've never had an election season like this one.

00:08:53.320 What is going on in the numbers?

00:08:55.720 Yeah, we haven't, Jack.

00:08:56.820 And that's a big part of what I've been talking about since they pulled the switcheroo, as Rui called it.

00:09:04.240 Yeah.

00:09:04.500 And then we had an assassination attempt, right?

00:09:07.240 Then we had, before that, we had the country witness a full-blown emperor has no clothes moment.

00:09:13.980 Oh my God, the media has been lying to us. 0.83

00:09:16.120 The president is senile. 0.84

00:09:17.660 We've been hit.

00:09:18.580 Oh, and then Robert Kennedy leaves the race.

00:09:21.300 And we've been hit with like once in a lifetime stories every two weeks in this political season.

00:09:26.880 And that is something that pollsters aren't explaining to people that can cause a very difficult polling environment.

00:09:35.000 That being said, I don't want to speak too early, but it does look like things like response biases and social bias, which is really a form of response bias, are starting to iron out.

00:09:46.620 I don't know.

00:09:47.440 I don't know yet.

00:09:48.200 I don't want to proclaim that yet, but it does look like that response bias that I'm arguing artificially pumped Harris's numbers for a bit there is beginning to, not beginning.

00:10:00.640 I mean, it is fading.

00:10:02.100 And she didn't get a bounce at all from this convention.

00:10:05.700 Just so people understand, in 2016, our tracking poll, Hillary Clinton got a five-point bounce.

00:10:12.020 Joe Biden got a similar bounce in both cases.

00:10:14.920 It took about four or five days for the numbers to get baked in after the convention.

00:10:20.160 So all of these people that you heard, you know, doing overnight polls, oh, there's a pop.

00:10:25.520 Nonsense.

00:10:26.340 That's not how this stuff works.

00:10:28.160 And it took almost two weeks for the entire process to play out for Hillary Clinton. 1.00

00:10:32.720 It took 11 days for it to play out for Joe Biden.

00:10:35.960 So now we're kind of just entering that period of where we should expect to see Harris's bump start to fall.

00:10:42.920 Instead, there was no bump.

00:10:44.920 At all.

00:10:45.940 So this is bad news for her.

00:10:47.720 Let me ask you about that because I've always wondered about this, and you and I have sort of chatted about it, but I don't think I've asked you right directly.

00:10:55.740 Do media polls, do these public polls, is one of the reasons that they provide these, you know, the horse race numbers is to make it appear as though the media is more important than they actually are?

00:11:06.200 And I'm not saying that things like the debate didn't have an effect, but they want us to think that the day in day out of watching the media and responding to every little thing that happens has an effect on the electorate.

00:11:18.380 But, you know, honestly, I just don't see it.

00:11:20.880 I don't think that the electorate is that responsive to news cycles.

00:11:25.720 I'm not saying that all news doesn't affect.

00:11:27.560 I just don't think it's that responsive.

00:11:28.960 But I do think that things like the fundamentals that are going on do have the biggest effect.

00:11:34.700 So this is probably one of the biggest things, though, but let me just, you know, rather than go super esoteric with it, I'll ask, is there a obviously an incentive that the media has to make things look like a horse race with ups and downs on a regular basis as opposed to what you're talking about here, these direct trends?

00:11:53.800 Yeah, I think there are a couple of things that are going on that explain that.

00:11:57.560 One is it's the business model, right?

00:11:59.900 I mean, they want these ups and downs.

00:12:01.580 They want these horse race numbers, when in reality, that's not really how public opinion works, and that's not the reality of an election.

00:12:08.620 And then two is we all like to overinflate our importance, don't we?

00:12:12.460 And then three is that the media is in the bag for one party.

00:12:15.460 Let's get real.

00:12:16.580 The America, you know, from 20, 30 years ago and how it used to conduct an election is just not the same anymore.

00:12:22.820 We are now basically a state-run media, you know, when it comes to the legacy corporate media, big media apparatus.

00:12:31.860 It is essentially a state-run media apparatus, and they want a certain party to win, by that being the Democratic Party.

00:12:38.600 So they were looking for any way to exploit the environment to make it appear like Harris is doing better than she is.

00:12:45.820 And they all fall prey, like most of us do, to, you know, our own biases and our own search for affirmations of our own ideals and opinions.

00:12:53.880 And that's just not how public opinion works.

00:12:56.220 And in 2016, we actually – it was a very volatile cycle as well, Jack, remember?

00:13:00.600 And then we got hit with the Billy Bush tape in October.

00:13:03.080 They had the Hillary Clinton email scandal.

00:13:05.160 The truth is, you know, we conducted an experiment, a very different kind of polling, which now people accept and do, but 25% to 33% roughly of the entire sample constantly, and it was a three-day rolling average when we got closer to the election, were repeat interviews.

00:13:21.960 And it was a very large sample, constantly recruiting, sure, but always 25% to 33% being repeat to try to minimize that response bias and kind of demonstrate to people that these swings are artifacts of the polling itself.

00:13:35.160 It is not – it is not a real swing in voter preference.

00:13:39.460 Do people change their minds?

00:13:40.920 Sure.

00:13:41.320 We're talking about a tiny little slice of the electorate that does that.

00:13:45.180 The rest is about who's going to vote, and that's really what it comes down to.

00:13:48.460 And when you go back and you look at that project, for instance, I mean, Jack, it was really steady compared to the other, you know, public polls.

00:13:57.560 And it got trashed back then, but who was right in the end and who was wrong?

00:14:02.320 You know, the ABC News poll started with Hillary Clinton plus 14.

00:14:06.580 By the time we got to the election, it was within the sampling era.

00:14:09.800 Folks, polls don't move like that unless it's a bad quality poll.

00:14:14.800 I don't know how else to explain it.

00:14:16.940 We're in a very, very difficult environment already when it comes to not everyone has landlines anymore.

00:14:24.340 You know, not everyone answers a cell phone at an equal rate.

00:14:27.240 So we have different modes we have to reach people with.

00:14:29.440 That already is a challenge, but when you add everything else onto it and the media's desire to come up with these sports race numbers, it creates a very, very difficult and I would argue fake and, you know, fake polling environment.

00:14:42.460 And by fake, I mean just artificial swings.

00:14:45.620 That's what I mean though.

00:14:48.120 The swings just feel artificial because you go out and talk to regular people out there and it's like, and this is where this, this, this myth of the, you know, the swing voter comes in.

00:14:57.280 And I'm not saying that there are people that, that don't swing.

00:14:59.520 It's just that if you worked in elections long enough and like my, like what's not coming from Pennsylvania, I know that there's people out there who say, yeah, you know, I'm going to vote for like, like I understand that there are people who will vote for Fetterman and then also vote for Donald Trump.

00:15:14.560 And that there are people who will vote for Bob Casey and will vote for Donald Trump.

00:15:18.460 And with all apologies to Dave McCormick, there are definitely going to be people who vote for Casey and Trump this election.

00:15:25.200 Why?

00:15:25.660 Because that's just how they are in Pennsylvania.

00:15:28.600 That's just how the state is built.

00:15:30.920 That's how the different constituencies are built out there.

00:15:33.640 But at the same time, those groups of people are not the same.

00:15:37.920 They're swing voters because they're ticket splitters.

00:15:40.380 They're not swing voters sitting there.

00:15:41.680 Oh, maybe I'll this day I'm for Kamala, this day I'm for Trump.

00:15:44.200 It doesn't exist.

00:15:45.600 People don't work like that.

00:15:47.260 No, they don't.

00:15:48.460 Then Jack, I was just, and just to bring up a good, a good example of what you were just talking about.

00:15:52.660 The Mid-Atlantic is a great example of where you will see that.

00:15:57.300 Laura and I were just in the New York, New Jersey area.

00:15:59.660 I told you I couldn't, I was over the moon.

00:16:02.140 I got to go back to a Wawa.

00:16:03.780 Thank God.

00:16:04.860 And yeah.

00:16:06.000 So.

00:16:06.240 Whoa, whoa.

00:16:07.040 Is that a Wawa check, Rich?

00:16:08.600 Is that a Wawa check?

00:16:09.460 Remember, no, the classic logo.

00:16:12.080 Note the classic logo.

00:16:13.900 Okay.

00:16:14.180 The classic logo.

00:16:15.760 Go ahead.

00:16:15.900 That's the OG right there.

00:16:17.480 Yeah.

00:16:17.720 I was stunned to see they changed their branding.

00:16:20.080 I like the old classic one, but we're in areas in Northern New Jersey and then, you know,

00:16:24.480 which are working class, old democratic areas.

00:16:27.000 And that border on with, yeah, that border along with working class areas in New York, all the way from like, you know, a little bit bougier Pearl River, you know, and we're looking at these democratic areas.

00:16:38.180 You know, they're old school Italians, Irish, Polish neighborhoods, you know, now they're certainly Hispanic and there are big red and white Trump or bus signs all over these neighborhoods.

00:16:49.440 And guess what's sitting next to those signs?

00:16:51.460 That's the sign for the democratic congressman or the, you know, for the democratic center.

00:16:56.000 Yes.

00:16:56.760 Yes.

00:16:57.080 That is going to happen.

00:16:58.640 They were everywhere, everywhere.

00:17:00.260 Uh, so then, you know, Paramus, you know, Paramus, New Jersey, it's not, here's, here's what people have to understand.

00:17:05.280 Let me, let me put it this way for folks who are, who are, for folks who want to understand the difference is that, is that people in the Rust Belt for whatever reason, and we could get into the philosophy of it, but for whatever reason, it's not necessarily at people are not as identified with one party.

00:17:21.500 The partisanship isn't as high in these areas.

00:17:25.100 What you have instead is more, do I like this person?

00:17:28.680 And if I like this person, then I'm for them and I'm all the way for them.

00:17:33.400 Is this person working for me?

00:17:35.320 And so that's why you'll see.

00:17:37.760 That's right.

00:17:38.360 Do they care about me?

00:17:39.580 And that's, that's all it comes down to.

00:17:41.580 So this is why, this is why, by the way, the GOP was totally losing this entire region until Donald Trump came around.

00:17:49.900 Coming up on a quick break, but people have to understand there's a major difference between the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt.

00:17:56.640 If you don't understand, the Sun Belt is more partisan.

00:17:59.180 The Sun Belt's going to have that partisanship more.

00:18:01.400 The Rust Belt does not have it.

00:18:03.540 You have to campaign to the man.

00:18:05.340 You have to campaign to the, it's a man defense. 0.69

00:18:08.260 Man defense, not zone, in the Rust Belt.

00:18:11.280 We'll explain more when we come back with Rich Barris.

00:18:13.320 All right, I rolled with Bloods. 0.87

00:18:29.760 And them boys had a saying.

00:18:31.980 You can't be listening to all that slappy whack, trim out his outlet, it's a bam ship. 1.00

00:18:36.120 Nippy bam bam. 0.60

00:18:37.340 Like Human Events with Jack Posobiec.

00:18:39.380 All right, Jack Posobiec back live.

00:18:43.440 Human Events daily, Washington, D.C.

00:18:47.200 Folks, the world is in flames.

00:18:48.880 Kamala Harris, she's a complete and total disaster. 1.00

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00:19:50.720 Rich Barris, got to ask you, man, your boy, your boy, Nate Silver, you've got a different name for him,

00:19:57.100 but your boy, Nate Silver's out today.

00:19:58.920 And his forecast seems, I got to say, it seems all right to me.

00:20:03.420 It seems kind of accurate.

00:20:04.520 He's saying that he's saying Trump 52, Harris 47.

00:20:09.400 He gives a slight edge to Trump, says it's close, has Trump up.

00:20:14.140 And hold on, hold on.

00:20:15.620 So I'll go through.

00:20:16.380 He has Trump up in PA, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Harris up in Wisconsin and Michigan.

00:20:24.540 But he's got PA, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

00:20:27.500 They're all pretty close.

00:20:29.040 Michigan probably the furthest split there.

00:20:32.160 And he added something saying that we haven't seen a lot of high-quality polls with Kamala Harris in the lead in Pennsylvania in a while.

00:20:39.380 And I'm looking at it saying, you know, that 50-50, basically, that's kind of how I see the election.

00:20:44.340 That's how I read things.

00:20:45.540 Rich, what's going on?

00:20:46.580 Because, you know, Nate's not usually this good to us.

00:20:50.240 Let me just say this.

00:20:51.440 And good, I mean accurate, by the way. 0.98

00:20:53.560 The guy is a scam artist, Jack. 0.98

00:20:56.600 The guy is a scam artist. 0.67

00:20:58.160 He is a failed sports handicapper who has turned into a failed election forecaster who was fired from his own website because he's been bleeding in the red six to eight mil a year since it started. 0.71

00:21:11.760 The problem with citing Nate Silver is that he's going to scam you.

00:21:14.980 Okay, so you're citing it now, and then in a week from now when he has Harris up again, he's scamming credibility from everybody right now.

00:21:24.180 That's what he's doing.

00:21:25.500 All right?

00:21:26.120 And listen to what he said in these tweets.

00:21:28.360 When he puts out the post that his model has changed, he essentially attempts to explain away some weird thing that's going on that has given Trump belief.

00:21:37.820 And what that really means right there is I can't fudge the numbers too soon because I just got caught fudging them by Nate Cohen a week ago and others, by the way, about how I made adjustments to the model that gave Harris more of an edge.

00:21:50.740 So he's attempting to explain it away, and then that second tweet, which you just read, is a wink, wink.

00:21:56.780 High-quality polls is code for the cool club.

00:22:01.220 It's code for election mafia, which is a bunch of crappy polls who overstay. 0.82

00:22:06.320 He's talking about the state of Pennsylvania.

00:22:08.480 To Nate, what he's saying is he's giving a wink and a nod to the New York Times, to Quinnipiac, to others who routinely, disgustingly overstate Democratic support in these battleground states.

00:22:18.680 He's telling them, hey, guys, drop a Harris plus 8 so I can shift the model again. 0.65

00:22:23.840 That's what he's doing. 0.96

00:22:25.240 High-quality means garbage. 0.93

00:22:27.740 The only thing that should matter about the quality of a poll is their accuracy and their track record. 0.97

00:22:33.200 High-quality means I paid too much for live caller interviews that were subcontracted in India by a person who can't even correctly speak English. 0.98

00:22:40.840 So somebody in the Midwest has absolutely no idea what they're saying on the other line.

00:22:45.160 And, oh, by the way, not a single one has accurately predicted the state of Pennsylvania in the last two presidential election cycles.

00:22:52.500 That's his code for high-quality.

00:22:54.420 And it's a wink and a nod.

00:22:55.860 It's a dog whistle.

00:22:57.200 To those out there, you know, Fairleigh Dickinson, do me a favor and fudge another poll like you did last week so I can go ahead and put it on my average.

00:23:05.680 Nobody, nobody criticized that guy for putting up that Harris plus 7.

00:23:10.840 That was the most unethical thing, and I've seen a lot of unethical things.

00:23:14.980 That was the most unethical thing I have seen as my career as a public pollster.

00:23:19.480 They pushed those people, Jack.

00:23:21.680 The initial poll was Trump plus 1.

00:23:24.020 Then they pushed them on race, on age, on gender, and then reported the push as the actual number.

00:23:31.320 And fraud boy, failed sports handicapper boy, puts it up on his model as a Harris plus 7 and shifts it.

00:23:38.180 Take your streams that you say are crossed and stick them because that isn't real, Jack.

00:23:43.880 I'm telling you, it's not real.

00:23:45.900 It's been a scam since the day he came out.

00:23:49.800 And he was rewarded for doing David Plouffe's bidding in 2008.

00:23:54.540 It wasn't a model back then either.

00:23:56.400 David Plouffe was leaking him his polling from the Obama campaign.

00:24:00.460 And he thought it was more accurate, so he bet the farm on it because he had nothing to lose.

00:24:04.840 Because he was already thrown out of the sports handicapping world.

00:24:07.760 So he had nothing to lose.

00:24:09.260 He took the data from David Plouffe.

00:24:12.280 They were right.

00:24:13.180 Oh, by the way, my 13-year-old son could have predicted Barack Obama was going to win.

00:24:17.780 Give me a break.

00:24:18.840 And he hasn't been right ever since.

00:24:21.780 I've had it with this guy.

00:24:22.960 I'm telling you.

00:24:24.660 He may be the single most damning person ever to hurt the polling industry.

00:24:34.140 Ever.

00:24:34.380 We've got to get the mute button up like ABC.

00:24:39.300 I've got to get the mute button.

00:24:40.740 By the way, first time in her life that Kamala Harris has ever been muted in public. 0.74

00:24:45.300 First time.

00:24:46.700 She wants her.

00:24:48.140 Rich, Rich, I'm speaking.

00:24:50.100 I'm speaking.

00:24:51.340 We need the I'm speaking.

00:24:52.940 We should do that as like a soundbite whenever Rich is on.

00:24:55.900 I'm speaking.

00:24:56.580 But no, Rich, so that said, that said, that said, where do you view the race in the swing

00:25:03.640 states as it stands?

00:25:05.320 I got to tell you, Jack, past his prologue, which it typically is in this sort of thing.

00:25:10.040 I see all the red flags in the northern Midwest that we saw in 16 and 20.

00:25:14.560 I think if the election was held next Tuesday, Kamala Harris would grossly underperform and 1.00

00:25:18.680 Donald Trump would win this election.

00:25:23.140 And by that, I didn't need the mute button that time.

00:25:29.100 I didn't need the mute button at all.

00:25:30.560 So, Rich, this is huge.

00:25:32.240 And this, by the way, what you're saying, though, is the same thing that the the super

00:25:37.160 pack, the Kamala Harris super pack was saying privately, they say, hey, our internals are

00:25:41.060 much tighter than the stuff that's going out publicly.

00:25:43.520 Also, the things that you guys are putting out with having her up big time, it's creating

00:25:48.260 a problem for us on the ground because we need volunteers to go knock on doors.

00:25:52.220 And suddenly they're like, how do I get this?

00:25:54.120 How do I you know, how do I get people up?

00:25:56.000 But they're saying that we've got all this momentum.

00:25:57.560 We've got all this swing.

00:25:58.500 Rich, what should people be looking for in the next couple of the next couple of days

00:26:04.080 and weeks?

00:26:05.120 I think it's going to be a very tumultuous couple, you know, a very, very erratic, you

00:26:12.520 know, I'm talking about the media landscape and the landscape of the selection.

00:26:16.480 I think it's going to be crazy.

00:26:17.960 I think we have not seen the end of these big bombshells.

00:26:21.960 You know, these stories.

00:26:23.100 There was another indictment the other day that will move the needle.

00:26:26.020 Are you ready?

00:26:26.660 Exactly.

00:26:27.240 Zero points.

00:26:28.140 Nobody cares.

00:26:29.520 So when people get desperate, Jack, they do desperate things.

00:26:33.200 And I think we have not seen the end of this.

00:26:35.600 The reality is starting to set in on the Democratic side.

00:26:40.520 And when that happens, you know, look at their past behavior.

00:26:43.480 They lash out.

00:26:44.740 And I think we're going to see something like that.

00:26:47.220 And by the way, you just mentioned the internals.

00:26:49.520 That translates what that you know, that that's internals means expensive.

00:26:53.780 So, you know, as opposed to the fake high quality polls that he's talking about right there, campaigns do high quality, meaning expensive, meaning that they set these stratified quotas and they pay for them to make sure no groups are being underrepresented.

00:27:08.800 And this picture has not been rosy for Harris for weeks.

00:27:13.460 That's the truth of it.

00:27:14.460 That it's been weeks that this has been the situation.

00:27:17.240 But they're getting to a point now where maybe she had a lead in Minnesota within the margin.

00:27:23.380 Maybe she had a you know, they were bobbing back and forth in her polling between like a one point lead for her, one point lead for Trump in Michigan.

00:27:29.960 And it's getting to the point now where it's a very clear direction.

00:27:33.140 It's moving.

00:27:34.160 And everyone knows what that means.

00:27:36.160 They're afraid they're going to get Hillary Clinton's where all of the polls showed a rosy picture for their candidate and Donald Trump outperformed.

00:27:43.680 And they do not want it to happen.

00:27:45.560 I mean, the words blue mirage are now being spoken every day all through these circles.

00:27:51.880 And they are afraid of that blue mirage.

00:27:54.060 And that's my point.

00:27:54.960 I think they have good reason to be all of the signs.

00:27:58.220 So red mirage was last time.

00:28:01.100 That's right.

00:28:01.860 Years ago when we were doing these shows and we were doing war room, they kept saying red mirage.

00:28:06.620 And that was the idea that they were getting us ready for what would happen at 3 a.m. on election night.

00:28:10.960 So walk us through that.

00:28:12.340 Explain that for everybody.

00:28:13.640 What's that term?

00:28:14.260 What is the blue mirage?

00:28:15.900 So basically, they believe the polling is going to show them in a better position than they are.

00:28:21.140 They will have an advantage on early vote, although I do think Republicans are doing what they can to cut into that.

00:28:26.720 So on election day, in certain states, when chunks of the early voter reported first, it's going to look like it's pretty insurmountable.

00:28:34.980 But it's not going to be.

00:28:36.940 Or on the reverse of that, in a state like Pennsylvania, for instance, it's going to look like they have enough early votes banked or something.

00:28:46.200 And they'll win it by a margin that they got accustomed to winning it by.

00:28:51.400 And so it'll look like they'll have enough to overtake whatever the election day lead is.

00:28:56.080 And that won't actually happen.

00:28:57.980 That won't transpire.

00:28:59.180 So it's an impression that Democrats are ahead and are winning.

00:29:03.080 And Harris is ahead in winning.

00:29:04.480 But it's a mirage.

00:29:05.900 It's not real.

00:29:06.940 You know, it's interesting.

00:29:09.500 She's going to lose.

00:29:11.020 That's what they're afraid of.

00:29:14.260 I don't know if I've ever said this yet publicly.

00:29:17.860 But so I was at the RNC and the DNC.

00:29:20.640 And I'll tell you, the RNC, look, people definitely had that sugar high. 0.94

00:29:26.040 People were super excited.

00:29:27.880 I didn't feel the sugar high at the DNC.

00:29:30.780 I didn't feel the joy.

00:29:32.200 I didn't notice from the people around me that they were particularly excited about their kids.

00:29:37.860 They were excited to hear Barack Obama speak.

00:29:39.880 They were excited when Michelle Obama spoke.

00:29:41.980 They were excited for, you know, a couple of the things that were going on.

00:29:45.220 But for their candidate, for their chances, I'm telling you, the, you know, for lack of a better term, the vibe was not there.

00:29:51.260 The vibe was off at the DNC in a way that, you know, the vibes were very high at the RNC.

00:29:56.880 And honestly, I think that may have been, may have been a little bit, a little bit premature at the same time.

00:30:02.980 But, you know, Donald Trump had just survived an assassination attempt.

00:30:06.100 So, you know, people, I mean, you can't, you can't, you can't really blame people for that.

00:30:09.960 But, Rich, just for the last, for the last, last couple of seconds, do you think that they have reason to be scared on the Democrat side?

00:30:17.840 I do.

00:30:18.600 I think, you know, that when you break this down, you look at, you've brought up the fundamentals before.

00:30:23.940 Donald Trump has been leading Joe Biden for, it's not Kamala Harris, but it's a Democratic candidate for over a year.

00:30:29.500 They trust him on all the key issues.

00:30:32.100 The undecided voters, they're all, they're more male than female, and they trust him more on the issues.

00:30:38.100 It's, the fundamentals are bad for her, despite the, you know, the polling high, which is, like I have argued, not real.

00:30:46.080 It's Rich Barris, folks, The Peoples Fund.

00:30:48.760 Click and follow.

00:30:49.720 Locals.PeoplesPundit.com

00:30:51.180 Jack, where is Jack?

00:30:58.500 Where is Jack?

00:31:00.840 Where is he?

00:31:02.120 Jack, I want to see you.

00:31:05.760 Great job, Jack.

00:31:07.220 Thank you.

00:31:07.980 What a job you do.

00:31:09.400 You know, we have an incredible thing.

00:31:10.780 We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys.

00:31:14.100 And these are the guys who should be getting Pulisic.

00:31:18.920 All right, folks, we're back here at Human Events Daily, Washington, D.C., but I'm going from Washington, D.C.

00:31:24.320 I want to kick it over to David Zier, who's down in, or I should say up in, Wisconsin.

00:31:29.260 He's there a couple hours before the Trump-Tulsi Gabbard Town Hall that's set to be held later tonight.

00:31:35.640 David, tell us about the event and tell us about what's going on.

00:31:38.760 First of all, there's a long line here.

00:31:43.120 Hello, everybody.

00:31:43.960 How you doing?

00:31:44.860 Great.

00:31:46.840 A lot of RAV viewers here, and the election is only 68 days away.

00:31:51.420 Only 32 days away.

00:31:53.540 October 8th in the state of Wisconsin.

00:31:55.840 Kamala doing her first interview today and has to do it with Waltz here. 1.00

00:31:59.360 But we're in La Crosse County.

00:32:01.540 Scenic vistas, beautiful rivers, the Mississippi, the La Crosse River, the Black River all converge here.

00:32:07.440 It's beautiful.

00:32:08.060 But the underlying story here, this is a Democrat county, La Crosse County here.

00:32:13.240 Home ownership is at 46%.

00:32:15.260 It's at 65% nationwide for the last 58 years on average.

00:32:20.520 Homelessness here. 0.89

00:32:21.840 Twice the property crime rate as the rest of Wisconsin.

00:32:25.580 And people are struggling here, and the average age is only 30 years old.

00:32:30.740 And to buy a home, you know, that notion is fleeting here.

00:32:33.560 But they're waiting for Tulsi Gabbard to moderate this town hall tonight at the La Crosse Center.

00:32:39.520 There'll be 8,000 people inside.

00:32:41.740 A lot of hot races.

00:32:43.120 This is also the third congressional district where Derek Van Orden is expected to win.

00:32:48.520 The Congress should keep six of the eight seats Republican here in Wisconsin.

00:32:52.260 And Trump's, Trump endures Tony Weed.

00:32:56.640 He won the primary in the 8th district when Mike Gallagher retired.

00:33:00.340 But there was a contested race here against Derek Van Orden.

00:33:03.340 Catherine Cook, who beat the Democratic Party favorite, is emerging.

00:33:07.900 And we're going to have to follow that closely here.

00:33:11.460 And Tammy Baldwin is only leading by one point against Republican GOP Senate candidate Eric Hovde here.

00:33:19.040 He's gaining ground on her.

00:33:21.080 Puts Wisconsin in play as far as the Senate race go.

00:33:25.120 And all these people are suffering with high inflation, Jack.

00:33:29.280 You know, there's not a lot of jobs.

00:33:31.900 And we're on the Minnesota border here.

00:33:33.680 It's the same thing.

00:33:34.700 We're right by Rochester, Minnesota.

00:33:36.660 The Minneapolis metropolitan area with 180,000 people here.

00:33:40.780 And they all say, in this crowd, that Tim Waltz, the portrait they're painting of him, is not the real Tim Waltz.

00:33:47.740 That he's a socialistic, communistic agenda that's destroying Minnesota.

00:33:54.020 Well, David, I really appreciate that.

00:33:55.700 And we'll be able to come back to you throughout the day as the crowd builds.

00:33:59.540 There was some good man-on-the-street interviews there, I bet.

00:34:01.960 Thank you so much, David.

00:34:02.720 Appreciate it.

00:34:04.640 Thank you, Jack.

00:34:05.420 All right, I want to go now to Ryan Gerdusky.

00:34:09.080 Bring him on.

00:34:09.760 He's a political consultant.

00:34:10.900 He's a writer.

00:34:11.560 And he's got a new piece up in The American Conservative that I read word for word.

00:34:17.400 I've been passing this around to a lot of people.

00:34:20.180 Because it's something that Rich Paris just mentioned a little bit earlier.

00:34:23.560 And I didn't ask him to unpack it because I knew Ryan would be coming on.

00:34:26.720 It has to do with this idea of response bias, and particularly regarding older liberals when it comes to polling.

00:34:35.340 Ryan, how are you?

00:34:37.240 Good.

00:34:37.700 Thanks for having me.

00:34:39.620 Oh, happy to have you.

00:34:40.680 I was joking, by the way, about the mute button that Kamala Harris is going to have for ABC. 0.93

00:34:46.060 I wish you had.

00:34:46.640 Maybe I needed one of those when we had our last debate.

00:34:49.640 And you were on my team.

00:34:53.580 That's true.

00:34:54.380 I was a little overboard.

00:34:55.220 But, Ryan, it was like the consistently people like, yeah, I like the arguments.

00:35:00.260 But, man, that Ryan guy said, what can I say?

00:35:01.800 He's a New Yorker.

00:35:02.940 But, Ryan, talk to me.

00:35:05.540 Libertarians just know how to press my buttons.

00:35:07.380 It's true.

00:35:07.840 Exactly.

00:35:08.280 Exactly.

00:35:09.840 Talk to me about this idea, though, about response bias and the polling and your contention that the polling industry has been completely destroyed in the last eight years.

00:35:20.380 So what I what I noticed, especially when Trump is running, there is there's been something called a, quote, silent Trump voter we've heard about a lot.

00:35:28.800 It doesn't show up in polling quite a bit that there's more support for him than polls are picking up.

00:35:34.420 And then I was just wondering, I was like, let me look at Biden's numbers right before he dropped out.

00:35:39.800 And Biden, I mean, the national polling was a little tight.

00:35:42.680 I mean, Trump had the lead, but it wasn't a humongous lead, especially when you consider that Virginia and New Jersey and Minnesota and New Mexico were all in play.

00:35:50.500 Right. So I noticed that there was one group that stuck out, among all others, that really had a huge level of support for Biden.

00:35:57.660 That was older voters, despite the fact that Trump won older voters back in 2016 and in 2020.

00:36:03.480 Biden was winning older voters in 2024, in July.

00:36:07.180 This was after his horrendous debate where he said he defeated Medicaid.

00:36:11.320 Go back four years, back into 2020, and Biden had a double digit lead on Trump among older voters.

00:36:19.240 And you go back to 2016, this is in the polls, not in the election results, but in the polls.

00:36:24.000 In the polls, Hillary Clinton had a very, very large lead with older voters. 0.99

00:36:29.540 And in swing states, states like North Carolina and Georgia, where Trump won older voters by close to 20 points, it was tied close to it.

00:36:37.520 So in this last in this election, 2024, the same thing is coming up.

00:36:42.800 The Quinnipiac poll that was released today has it a two point race when you consider all third party candidates at one point Kamala Harris Lee when you just have head to head.

00:36:52.420 But she's winning seniors by 10 points and she's almost guaranteed to lose this demographic by five to six. 0.94

00:36:59.420 And this 15 point poll by the most polled and answered group of voters is because liberals are answering the phones way too often.

00:37:09.480 And conservatives, especially older conservatives, are not answering them enough.

00:37:12.600 It's called a response bias.

00:37:14.300 Older Karens can't wait to give people their opinions, it seems like. 0.96

00:37:18.060 And older guys and especially older men, working classmen, do not pick up the phone nearly enough. 0.99

00:37:24.840 Well, and, you know, that actually kind of makes sense because when you talk about and this is exactly what we were talking about earlier in the show is that, you know, I see the psychology of the sort of like the person who is willing to take the poll.

00:37:37.540 And it just doesn't match up with when you when you think about the political psychology of people that you meet in the real world.

00:37:43.800 And I was talking about how, you know, I've done a lot of elections in Pennsylvania.

00:37:46.620 I'm familiar with the Pennsylvania voter.

00:37:48.420 I'm familiar with the different pockets of voters of Pennsylvania.

00:37:50.780 And they just don't exist in the way that the polls seem to think they do.

00:37:55.340 But then when you add in what you're talking about is response bias, what it really means is people's likelihood of whether or not they're willing to respond to a poll.

00:38:06.060 Now, I, of course, love responding to pollsters whenever they reach out to me because I still have a Pennsylvania phone number.

00:38:12.660 And I love lying to pollsters.

00:38:15.060 I do that all the time.

00:38:16.480 I'll talk to them all day long and just totally make up stuff because I'd love for there.

00:38:23.180 It's so good, right?

00:38:24.900 It's so good.

00:38:26.280 Yeah, I love screwing up their polling day, especially when I can find out who it is.

00:38:30.100 But, you know, it's that's not how the average Trump supporter or the average conservative, certainly not that.

00:38:35.940 Like like a working class, older voter, they see the number, they see the text, whatever it is. 0.95

00:38:41.140 They're not responding.

00:38:42.340 But you got someone who's one of these.

00:38:44.120 And I'm sorry, you're right.

00:38:45.200 They are these chatty Cathy's.

00:38:46.880 They love to get on the phone and tell you how much they love Kamala Harris.

00:38:50.860 But, you know, it's not about loving Kamala Harris.

00:38:53.420 It's about hating Donald Trump because they didn't love Kamala Harris till they were told to five minutes ago.

00:38:59.180 Yeah, it's these voters who listen to every word Rachel Maddow saying it and is like going to pull out the Ten Commandments and add them to like the first ten.

00:39:05.880 Like this is like amazing.

00:39:07.560 You know, that's the person that's answering the polls.

00:39:09.800 The New York Times-Santa poll, which is a very good pollster.

00:39:12.460 They do really good work.

00:39:13.720 It's not necessarily their fault.

00:39:15.600 It's just the people that are responding.

00:39:17.460 In the New York Times-Santa poll, they had among seniors, Harris beating Trump in Pennsylvania by ten points.

00:39:24.420 This is a demographic he's probably going to win by ten points.

00:39:27.920 It doesn't matter, though.

00:39:29.080 These are not the ones that are answering the poll.

00:39:30.540 My best friend is a Republican, middle, you know, 35, working class guy.

00:39:35.660 He does not answer polls because he believes his union is spying on him.

00:39:39.100 It's just that you cannot convince him to answer a poll.

00:39:41.800 It's just how people naturally treat polling and the industry of polling.

00:39:46.560 Some have very high trust for it and some have very, very low trust for it.

00:39:50.920 But that's why I think most of these pollsters now, most of these people who are analyzing polls like Nate Silver even, you hear him saying, well, Trump does overperform quite a bit in these pollsters.

00:40:00.620 They're acknowledging there's something wrong, not necessarily with maybe how they're operating with it, but the information that they're collecting is biased.

00:40:11.080 And that's what it really comes down to.

00:40:12.720 And, of course, when you're talking about it, if you're a public poll, if you're not trying to spend that much time in the field, if you don't want to – now, obviously, this can be controlled for, but it's going to take more time.

00:40:24.560 It's going to take more money.

00:40:25.980 It's going to take more responses, more phone calls, all of those things, more call centers.

00:40:30.280 And so eventually you get to the point where you say, you know what, well, you know, maybe I'll just – I'll dial it down a little bit in the data.

00:40:36.680 But even then, even if they're trying to wait for it, they're still not getting to the kind of fidelity that you would have if you had actually reached out to the correct number of people for each demographic.

00:40:48.800 Stay tuned, folks.

00:40:49.340 So coming right back, fantastic story about public polling and the potential for response bias and how it skews the polls that you're looking at on a day-to-day basis with Ryan Gradesky.

00:41:01.300 Right back.

00:41:01.740 Human Events continues.

00:41:02.400 In my ear about the boring people at your office, I'm trying to listen to the new Human Events with Jack Pazovic.

00:41:22.020 All right, Jack Pazovic back live, Human Events Daily.

00:41:24.760 We're all a political consultant and writer, Ryan Gradesky.

00:41:28.240 We're talking about his piece on response bias.

00:41:31.160 So, Ryan, earlier on the show, we were talking about this idea of the concept of a blue mirage, this idea that potentially, you know, is it possible that all this common lamentum doesn't actually exist because we know in reality that she wasn't someone that anybody wanted to be the VP?

00:41:47.880 And, by the way, there were people who were involved with that discussion, excuse me, about making her the nominee from the VP.

00:41:54.340 There were even people who said that maybe it's not a good idea to do this or maybe not even a good idea to pick her. 0.50

00:41:59.820 And we're talking about high-level Democrats, by the way, who were saying this.

00:42:03.660 And now, all of a sudden, right out of the gate, we just get this massive polling boost for her out of nowhere.

00:42:10.160 What's going on with all of this?

00:42:11.600 Well, if you check out my article in the American Conservative magazine, I sit there and I discuss how a lot of older voters, a lot of older liberals are really throwing these polls off.

00:42:21.340 But I want to say that, one, it definitely, the enthusiasm sometimes can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

00:42:28.640 So, go back to 2019, or 2013, rather.

00:42:34.740 Chris Christie in New Jersey is running for re-election.

00:42:37.560 Chris Christie wins in a huge landslide.

00:42:39.400 The polls sit there and say he's going to win in a huge landslide.

00:42:42.680 Christie did win by a 19, 20-point margin, but the turnout was substantially lower because voters felt like it was already over.

00:42:51.700 And it depressed Democrat turnout because they said, why bother voting?

00:42:56.340 Maybe this man already has it.

00:42:58.000 That does happen when people feel like the race is not even a race.

00:43:02.400 In New York City, in the last mayoral election, the Democratic primary was very, very tight.

00:43:08.060 Turnout was humongous.

00:43:09.420 By the general election, the consensus was that Mayor Eric Adams had in the bag.

00:43:13.800 Turnout was depressed significantly because no one showed up because they said, why bother?

00:43:18.240 So, there is something to polling.

00:43:20.600 Polling does matter in the sense that the news media sits there and says, it's a landslide one way or the other.

00:43:25.840 And people don't show up.

00:43:27.920 I would argue that the entire Harris, you know, huge push for Harris the media has been having and correlating with polling showing her surging has kind of fed into the entire thing.

00:43:38.300 Now, as we get into November and as polls have tied in, you already see Nate Silverday say Trump is the favorite to win the general election.

00:43:45.480 We'll sit there and maybe see a more competitive race in the polling even, which says, you know, everyone needs to go out and vote.

00:43:51.340 It's all hands on deck.

00:43:52.820 But that is how it happens in many, many places, not necessarily right now, but in many places.

00:43:58.100 Higher polling continuously can create the narrative and it can become a self-fulfilling prophecy when one party or another decides, I am just going to sit it out.

00:44:06.560 It doesn't really matter this election.

00:44:09.700 And this is a huge key because it can actually, so people talked about suppressive effect, but it can also have a depressive effect because it could depress your own side if your polls are too lofty.

00:44:22.660 And so, that being said, I really think that this election is tight.

00:44:28.480 I tend to think that Nate Silver's forecast today is accurate, that it's, you know, you're looking at a couple of points one way or the other in most of the swing states.

00:44:38.120 Michigan, as far as the Rust Belt, probably has the biggest split where Kamala would have the biggest lead. 1.00

00:44:43.360 Pennsylvania is probably the place where Trump has the best opportunity right now, which, of course, pains me to say that, not because I'm from there, but because I'm always biased against good news for Pennsylvania.

00:44:58.220 Because I just have this, I just have my own personal response bias is that I reject any good news potentially coming out of Pennsylvania.

00:45:06.600 Listen, this election will come down to working white voters.

00:45:10.860 It's not going to come down to special groups of minorities sitting there and turning out.

00:45:14.120 We need to say that every day.

00:45:15.360 We need to say it every day.

00:45:16.660 It will come down to do working white people actually show up to vote.

00:45:20.760 If you are a Trump person and you are an activist or you are working for the campaign, I would go to every mobile home community in every swing state and make sure they have turnout because whites without a college degree have the worst turnout of any group aside from recent immigrants. 0.62

00:45:36.220 That is our self-depressing thing.

00:45:41.180 We don't turn out to vote enough.

00:45:42.940 So get those people via the early ballot, people who are not reliable to show up on election day.

00:45:47.620 That is how they win this election.

00:45:49.160 It is the working class white vote showing up because they are not reliable, unfortunately. 1.00

00:45:54.600 And if they were, Republicans would never lose another national election.

00:45:57.560 I don't think that this gets enough discussion that working class whites is going to be what swings this.

00:46:09.020 And that's, yeah, Rich and I were just talking about this earlier about the Rust Belt, how these are groups that will split their votes.

00:46:15.280 Again, working class whites will split their votes. 0.65

00:46:18.960 They vote the man.

00:46:20.120 They do not vote the party.

00:46:21.580 If you're not from this part of the country, you might not get it.

00:46:25.160 It's just the, this is the political behavior that you will always see.

00:46:29.020 Why?

00:46:29.280 Because they just don't care.

00:46:30.680 I'm not saying partisanship doesn't exist.

00:46:32.420 I'm saying it's way different, though, when it comes to your overall voting swath of people.

00:46:37.840 So it's not this idea that they're, you know, suddenly one day they're for Kamala or one day they're for Trump.

00:46:42.520 It's just that whichever candidate makes the best pitch for what will help them the most, again, in their wallets, in their wallets, not, you know, on some esoteric issue.

00:46:54.140 No, the wallet issue, the economic issue, whichever candidate comes out in front of the economic issues for working class whites will win working class whites.

00:47:04.020 That's how Fetterman won.

00:47:05.100 That's how Casey wins, also because of his name.

00:47:07.260 That's how Josh Shapiro won in Pennsylvania.

00:47:09.520 That's how Trump won Pennsylvania the first time.

00:47:12.700 Again, you're just going to see that over and over and over.

00:47:16.860 Ryan Gerdusky.

00:47:19.840 Yes, I completely agree.

00:47:21.580 And listen, the good thing is if this election is tight, I mean, Arizona is going to take four days to count votes just the way that it is.

00:47:29.420 But the three states that will decide this election early on is Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.

00:47:34.540 If Trump wins all three, this election is effectively over, and Donald Trump will be the next president.

00:47:40.760 So that is what matters.

00:47:42.720 Those are the three early states that matter as far as east to west goes.

00:47:45.420 And it is because if the working class whites in all three states, including Georgia, where a number of districts in the southern part of the state and the northeastern part of the state, like Marjorie Taylor Greene's district, they have significantly lower turnout than the city of Atlanta, than the cities of Raleigh and near Wake County.

00:48:06.200 And just like in Pennsylvania, the Montgomery suburbs, the Collar counties of Philadelphia, they have high turnout.

00:48:12.240 It can all be countered because the votes are there.

00:48:14.500 It's just a matter of making them show up and don't believe the polling because it's really, really, really off because of the response bias.

00:48:23.360 Ryan, where can people go to read your work and to get more access to what you're up to?

00:48:26.500 Well, you can go on theamericanconservativemagazine.com to amcommag.com to go check out the article.

00:48:33.120 Otherwise, my substack, the National Populist Newsletter, or on Twitter, or at Ryan Grudusky.

00:48:38.020 All right, folks.

00:48:39.120 There you go.

00:48:40.100 Don't always trust the polls, but do pay attention to what the polls are up to.

00:48:45.020 This race is going to come down to working class whites. 0.97

00:48:48.580 We know that.

00:48:49.220 We're going to say it every day because it's true.

00:48:51.540 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay a short.

00:48:56.500 We're going to say it every day.

Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - August 29, 2024

REGIME SCRAMBLES MSM TO SMEAR TRUMP OVER ARLINGTON VISIT WHILE KAMALA STAYED HOME

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