The Death of Legacy Polling and the Rise of the People’s Pundit
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
176.67882
Summary
Jack Posobrand is back with a new episode of Human Events Daily. This week, he talks about the latest in the Iran-UAEA deal, the latest on J.D. Vance's comments on the Iran strikes, and more.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
I want to take a second to remind you to sign up for the Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:06.760
It'll be one email that's sent to you every day.
00:00:08.640
You can stop the endless scrolling, trying to find out what's going on in your world.
00:00:11.720
We will have this delivered directly to you totally for free.
00:00:30.000
This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:40.700
A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:47.280
This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.
00:00:51.120
Russian and American negotiators meeting for a new round of peace talks in Saudi Arabia
00:00:57.940
Both sides are now hammering out details on the technical level, with the White House still
00:01:02.760
insisting Russian President Vladimir Putin is looking for a deal to stop the fighting.
00:01:07.640
President Donald Trump taking on countries for buying oil from Venezuela.
00:01:11.700
He is promising a 25% tariff on all imports for any country making purchases, along with
00:01:18.120
new tariffs on Venezuela itself starting next week.
00:01:21.400
I think Greenland's going to be something that maybe is in our future.
00:01:24.400
President Trump is doubling down on his suggestion that the U.S. will play a larger role in the
00:01:30.460
Vice President J.D. Vance's wife, Usha, is scheduled to visit the Danish territory Thursday,
00:01:35.860
along with White House National Security Advisor Mike Waltz and Energy Secretary Chris Wright.
00:01:41.100
Vance is set to attend a dog sled race while Waltz tours a U.S. military base.
00:01:46.000
Since President Donald Trump took office, new approval ratings from online polling and analytics
00:01:50.220
company Civic show 45% of Americans approve of the president's job performance, compared
00:01:56.280
USA Today reports that Trump's approval ratings have not shown a major shift from the beginning
00:02:02.220
Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:02:16.200
After we wrapped the show yesterday, I heard about this.
00:02:24.300
In fact, I don't even have his phone number in my phone.
00:02:27.720
And I checked, I checked, I've never had his number in my phone at all.
00:02:36.040
People are saying, how could the administration do this?
00:02:41.520
How could this guy get added to a chat with the highest level principles going after this,
00:02:47.520
discussing issues of state, issues of warfare, obviously planned before the strikes took place,
00:02:54.520
even though I think people knew the strikes were going to take place.
00:02:59.900
Look, at the end of the day, it's simple as this.
00:03:03.340
Adding a reporter like that to a chat like this, it's an on-starter.
00:03:14.140
Look, if we're going to be the people who went after Hillary's emails,
00:03:21.120
That level of being able to have compromise, allowing compromise, it's a non-starter.
00:03:29.360
That said, I see people going after Vice President J.D. Vance on all of this,
00:03:34.080
and I'm looking at it saying, oh, J.D. Vance, you know, Mark Deeson,
00:03:37.900
what was he saying, this neocot, you know, oh, how dare J.D. Vance have a difference of opinion
00:03:52.300
I think he was trying to understand overall commander's desire to end state.
00:03:56.320
And he was weighing it against other things that President Trump had said,
00:04:00.600
but also saying that he wanted to be able to serve the president in the best way possible
00:04:06.460
and make sure the overall mission was served as long as he would publicly back him.
00:04:12.180
That's exactly what the job of the vice president is.
00:04:19.400
Your role is supposed to be subordinate and supportive to the president,
00:04:24.300
meaning when you have an idea or when you have a potential difference of opinion on a certain action,
00:04:31.240
you present that to the president in a constructive manner.
00:04:38.680
It's a fascinating discussion between principles to understand how these affairs are taking place.
00:04:47.140
I love the idea of Europe having to pay for this, having to give economic concessions,
00:04:52.300
because most of the trade going through the Red Sea affects Europe far more than the United States.
00:04:56.680
Of course, we talk about the Red Sea here on this program pretty much every day.
00:05:00.820
And so the people attacking J.D. Vance are completely out to left field.
00:05:08.080
But again, as I say, adding a reporter like that, a non-starter, biggest question of all,
00:05:13.180
why don't we have secure apps in the government?
00:05:17.300
Maybe Doge can come in and fix something to actually allow for this level of communication
00:05:38.160
Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.
00:05:51.520
We want to also bring in Hour 3 of the Charlie Kirk Program on the Salem Radio Network.
00:05:58.260
Folks, what if the next global health crisis isn't just a pandemic?
00:06:02.840
What if it's part of an actually much darker plan?
00:06:06.420
We know that the left, the deep state, would do anything to undermine the Trump administration
00:06:12.460
That's exactly what the Tesla terrorists and the rest of them are all about.
00:06:16.560
Well, it's no coincidence that Dr. Anthony Fauci's pardon started on January 1st, 2014.
00:06:21.340
This marks a pivotal moment in history, the year the Obama administration and four-letter
00:06:30.160
Shortly after, Fauci spearheaded controversial gain-of-function research on bat coronaviruses
00:06:36.160
This is a strategic bioweapon threat that's been brewing for over a decade.
00:06:42.300
And don't tell me for a second that the Chinese military wouldn't be looking at that for bioweapons.
00:06:47.220
And as if this wasn't disturbing enough, new findings, Pfizer, payments that were going
00:06:54.200
around through the FDA to disguise what they were really doing, what they were really up
00:07:01.020
This coordinated global development wasn't just about public health.
00:07:07.400
And incidentally, the media is sounding the alarm about a new strain of gold flu right now,
00:07:12.340
one that can spread rapidly, wiping out populations and overwhelming care systems.
00:07:16.940
This is why you need the wellness company's contagion emergency kit, engineered by Dr.
00:07:22.860
Peter McCullough and his medical board, including five life-saving medications, which have an
00:07:26.880
ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, chamoflu, and an ambulizer.
00:07:30.620
It's designed to protect you from the next global threat.
00:07:35.060
Fill out a digital intake form, and your kit arrives in one to two weeks.
00:07:38.860
Don't wait for the next outbreak to catch you off guard.
00:07:42.960
Head to twc.health slash POSO and use promo code POSO to save $32 off plus free shipping.
00:07:55.600
So it's been a minute since we've had this next guest on the program here on Human Events
00:08:11.780
Ladies and gentlemen, returning to Sherman Events Daily, triumphantly, to the People's
00:08:32.620
Rich, what's amazing to me, and I've got to get you on about this, because you look
00:08:39.140
what's going on to the polling industry right now, and in the last couple of weeks since
00:08:45.360
the election, it's, you're seeing, it's like, Rich, all the people that you targeted,
00:08:52.840
the Monmouth Poll, Rich, the Monmouth Poll has closed their doors, and Seltzer has retired.
00:09:02.160
Now, these are all the people, all the people that we were told, they were the gold standard.
00:09:06.500
Remember, all the eggheads were telling me, these are the gold standard.
00:09:10.140
You've got to trust them, and Seltzer has hit the gold standard.
00:09:12.800
That's the gold standard, and people are like, did we miss something?
00:09:21.480
If he was the one guy who was the one guy all through 2024, especially through the fall,
00:09:33.180
And it was Rich Barris, the one guy who was slimed, who was smeared, who was attacked,
00:09:41.380
And I've got to just say, wait a minute, how come all of you guys don't have jobs anymore,
00:09:46.200
Donald Trump is in office, and Rich Barris, the people's pundit, is still standing tall.
00:09:57.360
I have absolutely no sympathy for them whatsoever, and I like to consider myself a pretty good
00:10:11.180
You know, in 2016, when we were going through something as an industry, it was a little bit
00:10:15.220
tough to navigate, but those of us who used new collection methods and tried to understand
00:10:20.980
why people didn't answer polls anymore, the difficulties of it, and the differences in
00:10:25.380
people and who they are, and, you know, why does one want to be interviewed so much more
00:10:32.520
In 2020, COVID came, and it was difficult because everybody was home.
00:10:36.000
You had all of these Zoomers and professional class people signing up, especially for online
00:10:40.380
panels, and they're sitting there clicking how they hate Donald Trump all day.
00:10:43.460
So it was a little bit difficult, and I understood some of that, some of that.
00:10:50.340
If you had a response bias so bad that you had Kamala Harris ahead in Iowa, then you should
00:10:59.080
If you thought in any way, shape, or form that after the debate there was a bump for Kamala
00:11:04.180
Harris and she was, you know, suddenly ahead and had the edge in this election, you should
00:11:11.040
The truth is public opinion does not move like this.
00:11:14.300
It doesn't move as dramatically as these pollsters suggest, and that is narrative polling.
00:11:20.800
And now we know, by the way, I mean, with some of the government funding we've seen, Jack,
00:11:25.160
we know that some of these people are funded by incredibly odd, just odd, you know, sources.
00:11:33.020
And I would never do something like that or get myself involved, especially not my public
00:11:39.020
work, you know, with an arrangement that they have in some of these polling outfits.
00:11:45.160
And the bottom line is, I mean, if we ever thought that there were some methodological
00:11:50.180
issues and people needed to fix them, that's all.
00:11:58.860
Donald Trump was always going to win this election.
00:12:01.240
And anyone who found otherwise was either lying intentionally, bad at their job, or just
00:12:08.200
Well, Rich, I want to hear, and you're right, I think 2024 never, I think it never fundamentally
00:12:14.960
I think people saying that Biden would have won.
00:12:18.940
Even Biden, by the way, has said that he would have won if he had stayed in.
00:12:27.740
I want you to walk through a phrase that you just mentioned, a concept, narrative polling.
00:12:32.540
I think I know what you mean, but unpack that for our audience.
00:12:35.880
Look, Ann Seltzer held a poll for a ballpark a month that showed that Donald Trump was nearly
00:12:43.400
20 points ahead of Joe Biden in the state of Iowa.
00:12:51.360
I told Charlie Kirk it existed with you as a co-host on that show.
00:12:56.060
And then we found out when they pulled, or were trying to pull, the switcheroo on Joe
00:13:02.180
Biden after the debate, that they used it in a story for a narrative that, look, Biden
00:13:08.580
was down nearly 20 points last month, but Kamala's much closer.
00:13:16.320
And oh, by the way, Kamala Harris was never close in Iowa to Donald Trump.
00:13:20.360
In fact, Kamala Harris ran behind Joe Biden in most of the Great Lakes and the Midwest
00:13:33.860
It just meant the coalition looked a little bit different.
00:13:38.060
Who is going to do better in Bidentown, Pennsylvania?
00:13:40.780
Joe Biden, who's Scranton Joe Biden, or Canadian Kamala Harris?
00:13:45.760
Who do you think is going to perform better in northeastern Pennsylvania?
00:13:50.460
I cannot even believe we're having these conversations.
00:13:52.900
In the Plain states and in the farmer areas of Iowa, Joe Biden is more like than her.
00:14:00.380
He was still going to lose, but he's more like than her.
00:14:06.280
So the Democratic Party could later tell a story.
00:14:10.740
And I'm telling you, that's unacceptable behavior.
00:14:14.720
She was paraded around as if she was the gold standard.
00:14:22.260
She predicted and her poll suggested he would in a very comfortable margin.
00:14:31.940
I mean, it was just completely bogus push because when certain polls drop, they want people
00:14:36.920
to believe them more, and those polls are used to set a narrative, and it's sad, and I used
00:14:43.080
to give people the benefit of the doubt, but after this election, there is no more benefit
00:14:49.300
And I saw people at the time were trying to give her the benefit of the doubt and saying,
00:14:56.420
oh, she's really good, and maybe there was a methodology issue, et cetera, and I'm just
00:15:01.020
I'm sorry, you know, because, and I saw people asking her, she did this sort of like, she
00:15:06.180
opened Q&A on YouTube talking about the methodology, and she just kept writing them off over and
00:15:15.920
We're coming back, Human Events Daily, the postmortem on the 2024 polling with Richard
00:15:31.280
These are influencers, and they're friends of mine, Jack Pesovic.
00:15:44.760
Now, Rich, you know, we talked about it until during the last segment, but I got to get you
00:15:56.140
I know that you guys had this wonderful relationship.
00:15:58.700
You used to come on here all during 2024 and talk about how much you loved the Monmouth
00:16:03.620
You just, you just, you'd sit up the night before the Monmouth Poll would come out.
00:16:07.060
You'd get so excited, you know, like, like, like a little kid on Christmas Eve waiting
00:16:14.240
I think Rich's relationship was a little bit different.
00:16:16.900
Tell me your thoughts when you heard, put us in the room, paint the picture, when you
00:16:23.500
heard that Monmouth was shutting their entire polling operation.
00:16:27.960
Insta laughter, belly pain from the chuckles, you know?
00:16:38.720
They're like, oh, they shut it down, blah, blah, blah.
00:16:41.260
Like, they didn't run that poll all over the place during the election.
00:16:46.540
And there were only two columns that were, that made a big deal out of it.
00:16:53.180
And you see they're using words like gold standard polls, shuttering its doors after X
00:16:58.820
number of years in excellence since Patrick Murray came over in the early 2000s.
00:17:03.360
And I think he did in like, oh, five or something.
00:17:05.420
And then buried in page four, there's the mention briefly of how he had to write an op-ed
00:17:12.640
apologizing for how bad his polling is after their own state's gubernatorial election, their
00:17:18.960
own state's gubernatorial election, which he missed by about 10 points.
00:17:24.760
He showed that Patrick Murphy, of course, a Democrat, was going to easily beat Jack Cittarelli,
00:17:33.660
They had to stuff absentees in Bergen County in order to keep Governor Murphy in his seat.
00:17:39.860
So he wrote an article and he didn't, I mean, he acted like he accepted blame.
00:17:43.860
But then within, by the time he got to sentence three and four, it went on to, you know what?
00:17:49.220
We may not be able to do this anymore because horse race polling may not be possible.
00:18:05.740
I mean, in 2016, Monmouth was absolutely waiting for party to get Hillary Clinton closer to
00:18:11.540
Donald Trump in battleground states or indeed kind of comfortably ahead of Hillary, of Donald
00:18:18.000
Trump in states they polled, such as Pennsylvania, which they missed by seven points.
00:18:22.100
But when you miss your own state, okay, for years I was a guy who's, okay, what's really
00:18:28.880
Let's look at what the people's pundit has because those races used to be razor thin and
00:18:39.660
Rich won't toot his own horn, so I'm going to do this.
00:18:42.400
Rich Ferris was the first person in America to talk about the Hispanic swing, which started
00:18:48.760
in Florida, which then carried over through the rest of the states, wherever you saw this
00:18:53.840
sizable Hispanic population, that they were all swinging to Trump.
00:18:58.480
Rich Ferris was the first person, even before any of these other quote-unquote gold standard
00:19:06.320
Rich Ferris was five years ago, half a decade ago now, was Rich Ferris, the people's pundit
00:19:19.920
He did entertain that notion back then, but then like everybody else in that social circle,
00:19:29.780
Just now, you see some of these people responding to things we have been talking about for years,
00:19:40.880
He did take my side once in this dispute with Ann Seltzer.
00:19:44.280
We're going back to 2020 in the Democratic caucuses.
00:19:47.480
She was polling for CNN in a joint poll with the Des Moines Register, and they spiked the
00:19:52.240
final poll, which means they did not release it.
00:19:58.020
Cernovich and I both get our hands on this poll.
00:20:06.940
And Pete Buttigieg was used as an excuse for why they didn't release the poll.
00:20:11.640
And they were claiming the Buttigieg and Biden campaigns had issues with the poll because
00:20:15.760
they had found out about somebody who wasn't asked about Pete Buttigieg.
00:20:19.640
And when they investigated it, one interviewer had the Zoom set on her screen.
00:20:24.420
So when she was reading the interview, Jack, they were it was zoomed in and cutting off
00:20:33.220
And that is not a legitimate reason to spike a poll.
00:20:35.900
For example, if I give people any given shift that an interviewer is conducting a poll, they
00:20:42.780
may be gathered themselves a handful of interviews.
00:20:47.040
So in that event, you would just get rid of her responses to make sure that you didn't
00:20:53.240
You could go back and easily check whether or not she did it to anybody else.
00:20:56.540
It was plenty of good panels and you could wait that.
00:21:06.260
We're talking about the death of the legacy polling giants from the rise of Richard Barris
00:21:39.900
We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys.
00:21:43.220
And these are the guys who should be getting Pulisic.
00:21:48.520
Human Events Daily live on Real America's Voice and bringing in the third hour audience,
00:21:59.360
Last week, because gold just did something the mainstream media completely did not expect.
00:22:07.520
And experts now forecast that it could hit $3,500 by the third quarter.
00:22:11.500
Meanwhile, the world is watching history unfold.
00:22:14.140
Characters, inflation that wouldn't budge, market correction, and a weakening dollar.
00:22:19.220
As Trump works to clean up the Biden economic mess, one thing is clear.
00:22:24.000
If you don't control your wealth, you're exposed.
00:22:26.320
That's why I urge you to take action today and call Allegiance Gold, 844-577-7676.
00:22:34.360
If you call him right now, they can make it easier for you to learn about starting a gold IRA today.
00:22:41.220
You can have gold and silver right to your door.
00:22:44.180
You might even qualify for up to $5,000 in free silver.
00:22:59.120
Will you be playing ahead of the curve or playing catch-up?
00:23:15.580
So we're on with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.
00:23:18.420
We're talking about how the media completely got 2016, 2020, and 2024 wrong.
00:23:29.800
Perhaps, you know, where's all the Joe Biden voters go, especially in those swing states?
00:23:36.560
And isn't it weird, by the way, that the same state that had the most universal ballots were Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin,
00:23:44.420
that had the lockdowns, the universal mail-in ballots, all of the nonsense,
00:23:48.760
and what with the three Democrat governors, Josh Shapiro and Whitmer and Evers over in Wisconsin.
00:23:55.360
And we just couldn't seem to crack the code of what was really going on.
00:24:01.060
But there remains to be unfinished business on all of that.
00:24:10.660
We were talking about this phenomenon that you had originally identified.
00:24:14.840
We talked about the low-prop voters, these people who don't usually vote in many elections.
00:24:19.600
But you talked about the phenomenon of the no-prop voters.
00:24:23.740
This is a phrase you coined, and you said, these are just people who have never voted,
00:24:29.480
either because they're young or because they've just never been involved in the political process before.
00:24:35.540
But you correctly identified that Donald Trump was switching them on,
00:24:44.520
They're not exactly as conservative as your sort of core Republican voter.
00:24:55.680
And this is something that the media all of a sudden is acting like it's this huge revelation.
00:25:01.420
And I've seen people, you know, going on MSNBC now saying,
00:25:04.220
oh, my gosh, we've uncovered some incredible secret that Donald Trump is more popular than ever.
00:25:11.240
And if more people had voted, his numbers would have only gone up.
00:25:14.240
And I'm like, guys, we talked about it literally every single day for like 40 weeks straight
00:25:20.340
when we had Rich Barrison explaining this over and over and over,
00:25:24.700
and you guys just didn't listen because you were wrong and we were right.
00:25:32.680
And how is it that these people who are acting like they magically just found out
00:25:39.340
Yeah, ultimately, this was a result of the realignment,
00:25:43.600
and it had massive implications on the coalition and the outcome of the vote.
00:25:47.900
And we first identified the no-prop voter when we began to really study in greater detail
00:25:54.080
than others were even bothering to try the Trump or bust voter, right?
00:26:00.140
As somebody who comes out and votes for Donald Trump or would if you could get them to the ballot box,
00:26:10.940
And they lean to the right, but most of them will say that they're moderates.
00:26:14.860
And by the way, 24 was very moderate, the electorate.
00:26:18.200
It was as a percentage of the electorate, it usually would be that chair would represent a Republican loss.
00:26:25.020
But because of these no-prop voters actually coming out for the first time,
00:26:30.080
Trump was able to utilize them to win the election.
00:26:32.440
Years ago, USA Today used to do a survey, and it was called the Unlikely Voter Survey.
00:26:37.920
People understood that that number did matter and had predictive value,
00:26:41.240
but it was a massive implication of the realignment because many years ago and my entire career,
00:26:47.560
those voters were Democratic voters because the Democratic Party was the parting of the working man and woman
00:26:55.660
And they don't vote at the rate that educated voters and politicos vote.
00:27:00.620
So we identified them, seeing them in that Trump or bust number, and it was a very significant number.
00:27:07.700
All right, there's no, we would ask them to, if you could vote, if you were going to vote, who would you vote for?
00:27:14.560
The likely voter sample in polling is now more Democratic than the registered voter sample,
00:27:20.380
and the adult sample is now more Trumpy than either the register or likely.
00:27:25.040
It means that Trump, especially Trump, I mean, it's really not a Republican vote.
00:27:30.760
He had an enormous opportunity to go out and get these people,
00:27:36.520
He would make pollsters look like fools, and that's exactly what happened.
00:27:39.460
But now, two years later, we see people, like you said, on MSNBC, Harry Enten from CNN does a segment,
00:27:46.520
and they're acting as if they've made this novel discovery, Jack.
00:27:51.040
Like, this hasn't been going on for a very long time.
00:27:53.880
And in fact, we saw it from the very beginning of the Trump movement.
00:27:57.340
Trump got people out in 16 that had not voted since Bill Clinton.
00:28:03.740
Some of these people, especially in the Midwest, middle-aged to just about to be in the senior,
00:28:12.380
That age group, that was an extremely Trumpy voter, and they either had no vote history at all,
00:28:17.940
or they did not have a vote history within the last four cycles,
00:28:22.000
which is why we use the term, like, one out of four voters.
00:28:24.560
They've only voted in one out of the last four elections.
00:28:27.420
And this is one of the biggest findings of the 2024 election, along with, of course,
00:28:34.480
the change in vote preference for a Republican candidate among people of color, among younger voters.
00:28:41.200
So, you know, I mean, there are studies being done now, and we're all going to see them very soon.
00:28:46.780
We always wait for these post-election autopsies.
00:28:58.200
But you would not have been surprised if you did follow the public polling project that we conduct,
00:29:03.380
or you follow Big Data Poll, or People's Pundit, or you watch Jack Vostovic.
00:29:06.920
And, you know, we were talking about it on one of our segments.
00:29:09.840
So when you watch these people now act as if this came out of the blue,
00:29:13.300
and, you know, it's a big revelation, it wasn't.
00:29:15.660
Anyone who was really paying attention, doing an honest job,
00:29:18.460
and being honest with people would have been able to see this and identify it.
00:29:23.640
We talked about class realignment over and over and over.
00:29:28.920
We talked about how it was being done on economic lines, which shut across ethnic lines.
00:29:36.540
That's why you saw the big swing, particularly with African-American men.
00:29:39.720
And we talked about the fact that the Democrats saw it, too.
00:29:43.440
That's why they put Barack Obama out there, to have him start scolding African-American men.
00:29:48.060
Remember? Come on, brothers. Come on, brothers. We got to help our sister out.
00:29:52.840
Remember that? Come on. It was the most tristing I've ever seen.
00:29:59.500
I remember this. I was in the room when he gave the speech.
00:30:02.220
We infiltrated the whole thing, and we were in there.
00:30:07.720
We used to have this joke. It was Kamala's internals.
00:30:10.820
But Kamala's internals were basically our externals on this side of the football
00:30:16.020
because we were just telling the truth all along, and her internals were exactly the same.
00:30:23.620
Or these jokes about, like, well, she's up big in –
00:30:27.880
Remember, they were trying to say she's up big in Florida.
00:30:29.620
Why is she going to Florida then? Why isn't she going to Florida?
00:30:35.640
If she was so up in Iowa, why didn't Tim Walz go ever to Iowa
00:30:41.420
when she is the governor of the neighboring state?
00:30:44.920
Basic things that we could do to fact-check the numbers that point out that their actions only made sense
00:30:54.520
if you saw them through the lens of what we were talking about
00:31:02.180
And that's why you didn't even see a big freakout from the Democrat establishment when Trump won
00:31:05.600
because they knew he was going to win the whole time.
00:31:08.600
And on the flip side of that, there was the other lie,
00:31:11.660
which is that there was going to be a massive blowback.
00:31:14.920
And that maybe even if this is happening, that people like the People's Pundit and others are saying,
00:31:20.500
even if he's really doing better with younger voters, with non-white voters, it doesn't matter
00:31:25.220
because there's going to be this massive revolt, this massive defection of white Republican women,
00:31:32.540
especially educated white Republican women in the suburbs.
00:31:38.440
And you had people like Dave Wasserman on Twitter, basically – not basically.
00:31:42.260
He said the day before the election, we'll know immediately when we see New Jersey
00:31:46.900
because we're going to see Monmouth County come in.
00:31:51.180
And Monmouth County will tell us because there's a ton of white Republican women there
00:31:54.680
and he didn't do well with them last time and blah, blah, blah.
00:31:57.680
At the end of the day, Donald Trump obviously expanded his advantage in Monmouth County
00:32:02.100
and flip counties like Morris because none of that happened.
00:32:04.960
You could go through Upper and Lower Buckingham 1, 2 in Bucks County.
00:32:11.420
And you can see that these are very educated areas, by the way.
00:32:14.420
There's – you know, you have Lower 1, which is more working class, Lower 2, which is more educated.
00:32:24.260
Donald Trump not only improved his performance in those areas, he won them both.
00:32:33.600
He was one of the only people who pointed out that Trump was going to do better with suburban white women.
00:32:40.920
We talked about the impact of the trans in women's sports.
00:32:47.740
We talked about – I wrote a whole op-ed about the migrant violence, the MS-13, the Lake and Riley's, all of that.
00:32:55.220
And, of course, it can't be denied, the Maha movement.
00:32:58.640
The Maha movement is probably – and I'm just going to say it, right – is probably the most popular political movement in all of America today.
00:33:10.260
And I say that as like a card-carrying, you know, MAGA guy.
00:33:16.900
So the idea that the Democrats could run against this entire constellation of things, they just don't understand.
00:33:24.560
He intrinsically understands that this is where the country was at.
00:33:31.120
That's why he put together the coalition the way that he did.
00:33:37.560
Yeah, I would basically point out that what you just said is absolutely right.
00:33:42.660
And we did do the Four Freedoms poll leading up to the election, which showed that that Maha movement was it.
00:33:50.560
That was the final nail in the coffin of the Harris campaign as if she was ever going to win.
00:33:54.720
But it bridged this gap between, you know, people that were attracted to what people like Robert Kennedy was saying about food and freedoms, food and health freedoms.
00:34:12.200
And it gave them the permission to say, I'm not just voting for Trump.
00:34:16.160
I'm voting for the team with Bobby Kennedy on it.
00:34:19.920
We'll be right back here with more Human Events Daily.
00:34:37.340
And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.
00:34:41.300
And we're going to turn it around and make our country great again.
00:34:47.520
According to the NBC poll, Donald Trump achieved his highest approval rating ever.
00:34:52.060
He's ever had either time that he has been president.
00:35:01.800
Well, it turns out that pretty much nobody can stand them.
00:35:09.260
Look at this number for the Democratic Party right now.
00:35:21.800
And then there was the old question, is the country on the right track or the wrong track?
00:35:27.780
Well, again, despite the media hyperventilating about every damn thing Trump does being the end of democracy as we know it, guess what?
00:35:37.380
More Americans think the country is heading in the right direction than they have for at least a decade.
00:35:42.840
We're back, final segment, human events, daily Salem radio, Real America's Voice with the People's Pundit.
00:35:50.860
Rich, more Americans now believe that America is on the right track than have in a very long time.
00:35:59.000
And President Trump obviously, obviously, driving force behind that, the MAGA and MAHA movements that are firing on all cylinders.
00:36:08.880
This, I've described the London Review of Books, by the way, is quoting me, saying that what President Trump is doing right now is instituting an actual regime change in Washington, D.C.
00:36:21.720
And the people are saying, look, this is what we voted for.
00:36:26.800
In fact, this is what America wanted back in 2017.
00:36:30.160
And there's a whole story about why that didn't happen, because the regime fought back.
00:36:34.760
But this time around, no, that last gasp of the regime really was Joe Biden.
00:36:39.720
And then this insane Hail Mary with Kamala Harris.
00:36:42.600
Rich, what's going on with President Trump's true approval ratings right now?
00:36:54.540
If a pollster cannot poll an election, they can't poll anything else.
00:36:58.960
So if they can't tell you accurately who's going to win, what support levels each candidate has, then you really cannot trust a word of what they say when it comes to approval ratings, favorability ratings, even support or opposition towards an issue or a bill.
00:37:18.440
Do they approve or disapprove of the president, of this congressman, of this senator?
00:37:23.000
The test for any pollster comes on election day.
00:37:26.680
It's the only way for you guys to evaluate us and the quality of our work and the accuracy of our work.
00:37:32.800
So Reuters, Ipsos, the New York Times, throw them all in a big bucket.
00:37:37.420
Who cares what they say about his approval rating?
00:37:45.580
So I would I would I would also quote Mark Penn.
00:37:48.060
All of these negative approval polls are coming from people who did not do a good job during the election.
00:37:53.700
So we actually have not had Trump go negative yet in our own polling.
00:37:58.360
Now, of course, there was a honeymoon period and he hit as high as plus 18 with the approvals that we that we've gathered.
00:38:07.040
But now it's back down to planet Earth where you see for a typical popular president ranging anywhere between plus two when it gets a little hairy for him in certain, you know, certain times all the way back up to where it looks like it's going to be today, which is plus four.
00:38:20.680
So I was thinking at the start of this week, maybe it'll go negative.
00:38:24.240
But so far, it hasn't ticked back up, which I just looked at right now before the between the commercial break.
00:38:32.660
I mean, and it's normal to see somebody come back down.
00:38:36.400
Now, I think a big part of it is people are kind of waiting to see whether he delivered.
00:38:40.760
And I'm starting to think that after we got some economic numbers and, of course, with inflation, people always know before you hear those numbers.
00:38:48.280
And I'm thinking that's why maybe we're seeing a little bit of a rebound, because for a few weeks, people were basically saying, look, we think you can do this, but we are waiting and kind of reserving judgment.
00:38:59.300
So right now I may be somewhat approved or somewhat disapproved.
00:39:02.920
And now they're coming back into the camp of being more solid about their position.
00:39:06.580
So we'll see, you know, and we'll we'll always, you know, give you the latest on where that is.
00:39:10.680
But again, all of the negative polls, with the exception of one who I think was grifting anyway, the entire election, those of us who did a good job are have have been roughly in the same ballpark with each other.
00:39:22.600
I mean, if you look at us, Rasmussen, Penn over at Harvard and Robert Cahaly did a good job, too, over at Trafalgar.
00:39:33.500
You know, I mean, honestly, you can count them on one hand.
00:39:37.320
And, Rich, it's the fundamentals, right, the fundamental propositions that led the no prop voter to become the, you know, the Trump prop voter, whatever you want to call it, which, by the way, I'm going to throw this out there, that any of these Republicans, and we've got to get you back on, Rich, to talk about the 2028 primary, which has already begun.
00:40:03.620
And, you know, pretty much everybody in the 2028 primary, I think, was apparently all in a signal chat together recently that, sorry, I had to say it.
00:40:17.020
But look, you know, those voters, they're not going to be there for people who don't have Trump on their name.
00:40:23.060
So you've got to look at the country in fundamentally a different way.
00:40:25.860
And so Trump's approval rating is riding high on the fact that people who he brought into the process, they like him.
00:40:36.420
They're not necessarily going to be there for any other candidate.
00:40:39.840
So if you're a J.D. Vance, if you're a Pete Hegg set, if you're a Zulci Gap, whoever, right, whoever, you know, Ron DeSantis, if he wants to run again, he probably will.
00:40:55.040
So Rich Barris, where can people go to follow you?
00:41:01.800
But unfortunately, we just don't have it, right?
00:41:11.620
Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay a short.