Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - The MAGA Gut Check

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00:00:25.820 The Poso Daily Brief.

00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.

00:00:41.040 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.

00:00:47.440 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.

00:00:50.840 Christ is king.

00:00:52.840 A major child pornography bust.

00:00:55.060 State police say they made more than 50 arrests in just three days.

00:00:58.980 Last week, troopers and officers arrested 55 men and one woman between the ages of 18 and 75 years old

00:01:04.760 for allegedly engaging in possession, production, and sharing of child sexual abuse material

00:01:09.420 as well as child enticement and other illegal activity.

00:01:13.080 My dear fellow Americans,

00:01:14.880 I'm introducing a bill to completely eliminate the H-1B visa program, 1.00

00:01:19.680 which has been riddled with fraud and abuse

00:01:21.920 and has been displacing American workers for decades.

00:01:26.840 There will only be one exemption in my bill,

00:01:29.860 and it will allow for a $10,000 per year cap on visas

00:01:33.640 issued to medical professionals like doctors and nurses

00:01:36.980 who provide life-saving care to Americans.

00:01:39.740 That approval rating for the president,

00:01:41.600 it is at a low point of his second term.

00:01:45.800 37% of Americans in our poll approved of the job Trump is doing.

00:01:50.260 63% disapproved.

00:01:52.460 Take a look at his approval in this term over time.

00:01:56.020 You see here, he was up, hovering near 50% in his honeymoon after the inauguration,

00:02:01.460 and it has been going down pretty steadily since.

00:02:04.220 Is the Coast Guard doing effective work in the Pacific?

00:02:06.880 Sure. I mean, interdictions continue.

00:02:09.880 The problem is interdictions alone are not effective.

00:02:12.280 You have to de-incentivize this industry that these terrorists are using

00:02:16.080 to flood our country with heroin, with cocaine, with fentanyl,

00:02:19.320 and so, and by the way, destabilize the Caribbean in the process.

00:02:23.700 Interdictions don't, interdictions have limited to no deterrent effect.

00:02:28.480 These drug organizations, they've already baked in the fact

00:02:32.440 they may lose 5% of their drug shipments.

00:02:34.660 It doesn't stop them from coming, continuing to do it.

00:02:37.140 What you have seen is an impact on drug boats.

00:02:39.280 You have seen much less of them.

00:02:41.100 You're starting to see it.

00:02:42.280 It's a reality in both the Pacific and in the Caribbean basin,

00:02:45.320 especially in the Caribbean.

00:02:46.340 Venezuela is ordering a massive mobilization of its military

00:02:50.000 as the United States sends more of its own firepower to the region.

00:02:56.780 We love peace.

00:02:58.000 We deeply love peace.

00:02:59.920 We don't want war here nor in any other place around the world.

00:03:03.460 But if they dare to touch Venezuela, they're going to find us in every street. 1.00

00:03:09.580 The announcement came after America's largest warship arrived

00:03:13.600 in U.S. Southern Command Area of Operations.

00:03:17.620 That area includes most of Latin America.

00:03:21.220 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard.

00:03:24.640 Today's edition of Human Events Daily, here live on Real America's Voice.

00:03:28.980 Today is November 14, 2025, Anno Domini.

00:03:34.340 As many of you know, if you were watching yesterday,

00:03:36.700 I did have to step away during President Trump's executive order signing with the First Lady.

00:03:42.760 They were signing an executive order on foster care.

00:03:46.680 Incredible thing.

00:03:47.900 A lot of parents have stepped up.

00:03:49.120 A lot of abuses in that system.

00:03:50.500 I certainly hope the President's working to correct that.

00:03:53.060 I had to take care of a matter that I'm...

00:03:57.360 I will be making public at the appropriate time.

00:04:01.720 And that's going to be the best way to put that.

00:04:03.860 So, what we're really excited about, though, today...

00:04:08.080 Everything's fine.

00:04:08.820 Don't worry.

00:04:09.260 Everyone is fine.

00:04:10.120 Don't worry.

00:04:11.060 That we are on with Rich Barrist.

00:04:15.780 And he's going to be coming on in a couple of minutes

00:04:17.480 because I think what we do need is a gut check.

00:04:20.500 It's time for a MAGA gut check on where we're at,

00:04:24.540 where we're going, where we could be going,

00:04:27.220 what our...

00:04:27.700 And it's time for an assessment on all of this.

00:04:30.040 When I was in the military,

00:04:31.180 we would do the intelligence briefings

00:04:34.100 for the commanding officer.

00:04:35.340 And the intelligence briefings would always include this

00:04:37.100 when we were talking about a threat briefing.

00:04:38.820 We would say,

00:04:39.840 what is the ML COA and the MD COA?

00:04:43.820 So, the ML COA,

00:04:45.140 the most likely course of action.

00:04:47.960 The MD COA,

00:04:49.400 the most deadly course of action

00:04:51.700 or the most dangerous course of action.

00:04:53.540 So, we're going to walk through a very...

00:04:57.360 You know, a various set of scenarios coming up.

00:05:00.540 And we're going to talk about

00:05:01.900 where MAGA stands on all the issues.

00:05:04.600 And we're going to talk about the most likely scenario.

00:05:06.960 We're also going to talk about the most dangerous scenario.

00:05:09.020 And I really want to get into New Jersey

00:05:10.840 because people say,

00:05:12.520 oh, you know, you guys took the L.

00:05:14.060 Are you going to talk about it?

00:05:15.080 No, we are going to talk about it.

00:05:16.240 We are going to do a thorough autopsy on New Jersey

00:05:19.040 because Jack Cittarelli,

00:05:20.660 who I thought was a decent candidate,

00:05:22.120 you know, he didn't have the problems,

00:05:23.580 he didn't have the baggage

00:05:24.240 that Winsome Sears had down in Virginia.

00:05:26.960 I thought he was a good guy.

00:05:27.880 But at the same time, it didn't happen.

00:05:30.480 It really didn't happen.

00:05:31.960 And we have to figure out why.

00:05:33.640 Because if we don't do that,

00:05:35.100 and if we don't do the work,

00:05:36.180 then we can't understand how to get better.

00:05:39.020 If we act like we did everything right,

00:05:41.320 if we act like everything's fine,

00:05:43.300 when everything's not,

00:05:44.660 then we're doing a disservice to ourselves,

00:05:46.560 we're doing a disservice to the movement,

00:05:48.420 and we are doing a disservice to the country.

00:05:51.240 And it's really as simple as that.

00:05:53.440 This movement is about making America great again.

00:05:58.060 And it's about supporting President Trump

00:06:00.580 in his fight to do so.

00:06:03.000 And that is what we're here for.

00:06:04.680 That is what we're here to do.

00:06:06.480 But we're also here to tell the truth.

00:06:08.220 Okay?

00:06:08.720 You can't do that if you don't tell the truth.

00:06:10.280 You can't be a good supporter

00:06:11.860 if you're not telling the truth.

00:06:13.900 That's what I do every day.

00:06:15.740 We're going to tell the truth,

00:06:16.920 same way we always tell the truth,

00:06:18.100 whether it's on the Iran strikes,

00:06:20.500 whether it's on Israel,

00:06:21.740 whether it is on anything that's going on.

00:06:24.340 Jeffrey Epstein,

00:06:24.960 we did a whole episode on yesterday.

00:06:26.700 More than happy to do it.

00:06:28.260 And we went through every single email

00:06:30.640 that came out regarding President Trump.

00:06:33.020 So let's go through all the emails,

00:06:34.300 see everything that came out.

00:06:35.600 And we did that.

00:06:37.220 Political playbook wrote us up.

00:06:39.040 Good for us.

00:06:40.120 So we're here to do that today.

00:06:42.140 So join us for the MAGA gut check.

00:06:45.200 It's Jack Posobiec from Human Events Daily.

00:06:47.780 We're going to have Richard Barris,

00:06:49.540 the People's Pundit, joining us now.

00:06:51.760 We're also going to do an autopsy

00:06:53.000 of the Jack Cittarelli campaign,

00:06:55.060 specifically in New Jersey,

00:06:56.500 a place where many of us

00:06:58.700 were trying to reach

00:06:59.620 those crossover Republican voters.

00:07:01.900 Didn't happen.

00:07:02.840 We want to understand why.

00:07:04.800 Be right back.

00:07:05.520 Welcome to the second American Revolution. 0.56

00:07:20.400 All right, Jack Posobiec.

00:07:21.580 Here we are back.

00:07:22.780 Live human events daily.

00:07:25.640 Real America's voice.

00:07:28.960 And really excited to be here today.

00:07:31.800 And, you know,

00:07:32.740 everything that we're cutting down,

00:07:33.860 this is going to be great.

00:07:34.800 And so, folks,

00:07:35.480 I want to tell you as well

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00:08:42.060 with the letter N.

00:08:44.560 Conversation that we were

00:08:45.720 attempting to have yesterday

00:08:46.880 got cut short a little bit

00:08:47.980 by President of the United States,

00:08:49.720 but you know, that is how it goes.

00:08:50.880 And the First Lady of the United States

00:08:52.380 Rich Barris,

00:08:54.060 the People's Pundit,

00:08:55.060 joins us yet again.

00:08:56.900 Rich, what's going on, man?

00:08:58.400 Living the dream as always, my friend.

00:09:00.120 How you doing?

00:09:01.660 Doing well.

00:09:02.380 So we've been, you know,

00:09:04.080 you and I have been chatting

00:09:05.160 behind the scenes.

00:09:06.120 We were looking at some of that stuff

00:09:07.880 with the New Jersey race.

00:09:09.700 We're looking at the president's numbers.

00:09:11.240 We're talking about a lot of the polling

00:09:12.820 that's sort of been up and down

00:09:15.080 and all over the place right now.

00:09:17.500 And I just wanted to get a gut sense.

00:09:19.820 You know, you've been out there.

00:09:20.940 I've seen Rasmussen be out there.

00:09:24.400 I want to get a gut sense from you.

00:09:26.600 Where do you think?

00:09:27.720 And as what did Charlie say to Tucker?

00:09:31.760 Go Max.

00:09:32.680 Go Max.

00:09:33.180 Go Max.

00:09:33.860 Where's the president at right now?

00:09:36.240 I listened to that video, by the way,

00:09:38.140 and I laughed because, I mean,

00:09:40.040 I'm sure you've heard Charlie say that too, right?

00:09:43.040 Look, the president is...

00:09:44.740 I was standing like three feet away

00:09:47.080 from Charlie and Megan and Tucker

00:09:48.920 when I was like over with one of the producers.

00:09:52.100 And he would do that too.

00:09:53.440 I remember giving remarks at a turning point event

00:09:57.800 after talking about election integrity.

00:10:00.060 I'll never forget.

00:10:01.020 That was the first one I ever gave.

00:10:02.040 It's a pretty common phrase.

00:10:04.720 He always said that.

00:10:06.320 He did.

00:10:07.000 Yeah.

00:10:07.740 Go Max.

00:10:08.380 For me, it was usually go hard.

00:10:10.180 He'd be like, hey, go hard.

00:10:11.720 All right.

00:10:12.660 Look, this is that version.

00:10:15.880 The president is not in the same situation

00:10:18.560 as Republicans, congressional Republicans,

00:10:21.160 but he is at a crossroads.

00:10:24.480 He's at a pivotal point

00:10:25.500 where he needs to course correct in the message

00:10:29.000 and in what people perceive

00:10:31.460 his main focus and priority is.

00:10:35.020 But again, I want to put this in context.

00:10:37.680 He is not in a terrible situation.

00:10:39.620 Our latest polling has him at about 45% approval.

00:10:43.020 That was out at the end of October.

00:10:44.360 We're still tracking right now.

00:10:45.780 He hasn't fallen below 43.

00:10:47.700 But if you look inside the numbers,

00:10:49.500 which is why we call the show Inside the Numbers,

00:10:52.060 there are cracks in the coalition

00:10:55.140 that should be addressed.

00:10:56.840 And there's nothing wrong with pointing those out

00:10:59.800 and saying, look, this is what this government's all about.

00:11:03.120 When somebody has grievance,

00:11:05.000 you have to pay attention to them

00:11:06.420 and try to get to the heart of what that is.

00:11:08.360 And young voters over, I would say,

00:11:10.900 the last three months in particular,

00:11:12.580 really, Jack, this started in July.

00:11:14.360 I mean, we could isolate this easily.

00:11:17.940 At the time, we did try to speak up, you know,

00:11:21.080 and say, look, this is problematic.

00:11:24.820 The president is beloved by a lot of people.

00:11:27.660 And then there are voters in this coalition

00:11:31.100 that are relatively new.

00:11:33.300 And so the task for Republicans

00:11:35.420 was to get those voters into the coalition

00:11:38.140 to complete that realignment.

00:11:40.580 So when you see an issue with some of those voters,

00:11:43.840 you have to address it, right?

00:11:45.840 Otherwise, you're not going to complete the realignment.

00:11:48.100 And that is what this race is all about. 0.99

00:11:51.040 This has been a decade-long race, Jack,

00:11:52.940 to complete a realignment

00:11:54.860 before the Democratic Party completes theirs.

00:11:57.480 And the Democrats are, they lost in 24,

00:12:00.780 but their base is now more defined and more clear.

00:12:04.120 What's going on in the administration

00:12:05.620 and, you know, with the debates

00:12:07.300 that have been happening on the right

00:12:08.400 is a product of this, right?

00:12:10.420 You have a part of the coalition

00:12:12.040 that everybody wants to prioritize

00:12:14.020 what they think is more important,

00:12:15.640 but there are those younger voters,

00:12:17.980 especially, and independents especially,

00:12:19.920 who really want to see more focus

00:12:21.940 on the economy at home.

00:12:24.080 They're not interventionist.

00:12:25.420 They were deeply disturbed

00:12:26.760 about any kind of military action

00:12:28.580 over the summer that was going to,

00:12:29.960 they were fearing would distract

00:12:32.000 the administration from doing,

00:12:35.200 you know, from focusing on the more

00:12:37.320 America at first, America at home agenda.

00:12:39.700 And that's where we're at now.

00:12:42.140 I mean, where it's been months

00:12:43.340 and we're at a key time before the holidays

00:12:46.920 where there has to be a course correction here.

00:12:49.460 That's the truth.

00:12:50.260 So when, so when you say course correction,

00:12:53.700 what are, what are the groups then

00:12:56.500 where, where Trump's numbers need to go up

00:12:59.480 from in what you're seeing?

00:13:01.260 So immediately the, the, the immediately

00:13:04.140 18 to 29 year olds, 30 to 39 isn't as bad,

00:13:07.840 but you can start to see that as well.

00:13:09.780 And then independence.

00:13:11.400 So, I mean, I'm, I'm always focused on age

00:13:13.700 because the signal is so strong with,

00:13:16.140 by age group, by age buckets.

00:13:17.820 They are not at all interested in foreign policy.

00:13:22.240 So last month we began to ask these questions.

00:13:25.140 And since July, we have been asking about

00:13:27.380 what they think the U S role should be

00:13:29.340 and how much focus they should put on domestic

00:13:31.400 items versus the foreign.

00:13:34.000 And honestly, Jack, these younger voters

00:13:35.880 have been saying, look, we're,

00:13:37.380 our inheritance has been squandered.

00:13:39.000 We're in trouble at home.

00:13:40.300 And we want a 90 10 split or a hundred zero split 0.77

00:13:44.420 focus on what the country that we will have

00:13:47.160 when all of, you know, when, when others

00:13:49.540 who have had a much easier go at it

00:13:51.920 and have been able to enjoy the peace dividends

00:13:54.440 that they have never had,

00:13:56.660 they, they are concerned about their future

00:13:59.720 and their financial stability

00:14:01.600 and the ability to raise a family

00:14:03.060 in this environment or in the future environment,

00:14:05.360 which is seen as kind of dire.

00:14:07.000 And they want that to be given the same,

00:14:10.560 you know, as much concern as they have,

00:14:12.280 they want their representatives to reflect

00:14:14.960 the concern that they have,

00:14:16.300 their energy to reflect that concern.

00:14:18.640 And it's definitely, I mean,

00:14:19.540 the 18 to 29 is the most crucial,

00:14:21.380 but it is more than that, Jack.

00:14:22.460 We're talking about under 50 altogether.

00:14:25.140 Under 50, the boomers are good. 1.00

00:14:26.460 You know, 15 above, they're good.

00:14:28.440 They think everything's fine,

00:14:29.640 or at least most of them,

00:14:30.920 but everyone under 50 has a lot of concern.

00:14:33.740 And, and one of the things that I'm seeing

00:14:37.940 and one of the reads that we're obviously getting

00:14:39.740 out of the 2025 elections we saw in New York,

00:14:42.840 New Jersey, Virginia is economic conditions.

00:14:46.900 And, you know, the, the, obviously the common way

00:14:49.680 of putting that is cost of living,

00:14:51.360 just the cost of living is, you know,

00:14:54.080 and, you know, we can talk about,

00:14:55.760 talk about it all day long.

00:14:56.700 We can talk about, you know,

00:14:58.060 president's efforts to fight for this,

00:14:59.940 but it really does seem like when,

00:15:02.340 when you go to these polls

00:15:03.300 and when I talk to people

00:15:04.300 that they seem to be saying

00:15:06.200 that the cost of living

00:15:07.080 and the optics surrounding the,

00:15:09.640 the prioritization of cost of living

00:15:13.500 are something people are responding to.

00:15:15.480 This is what I would tell the administration

00:15:17.440 is that sometimes it's not even what,

00:15:20.520 you know, what the,

00:15:21.860 the achievements you're making

00:15:23.160 or, or how, you know,

00:15:24.620 the big, beautiful bill had a lot of,

00:15:26.240 obviously had a lot of items in there

00:15:28.080 directed at that,

00:15:29.800 but it's the focus,

00:15:31.280 it's the optics of it, right?

00:15:33.020 And the overwhelming perception

00:15:34.820 is that since July,

00:15:36.180 particularly when first it was the Epstein stuff

00:15:39.960 and that caused a little bit of a shake,

00:15:41.360 Jack, you know, with younger voters

00:15:42.520 that made them very suspicious.

00:15:44.520 But then if,

00:15:45.780 if there was a pivot

00:15:46.700 and that pivot would have been,

00:15:48.220 you know, optic wise,

00:15:49.140 focused on the domestic

00:15:50.340 and their issues that they cared about,

00:15:52.580 that we wouldn't be here right now.

00:15:54.360 But instead the administration didn't do that.

00:15:56.500 They got surrounded by a bunch of neocon pressure

00:15:59.740 to deal with Israel's problems,

00:16:02.220 Ukraine's problems.

00:16:03.120 And of course he's the president.

00:16:04.620 He, you and I know he has to deal, right?

00:16:06.960 With foreign policy.

00:16:08.040 It's a big part of the presidency,

00:16:09.900 but it's about how much

00:16:12.320 it looks like the president

00:16:14.580 is concerned about that

00:16:15.960 versus what they're concerned about at home.

00:16:18.440 And when you, I mean,

00:16:19.340 honestly, anyone can go to the White House schedule

00:16:21.540 and go look at the last three months

00:16:22.960 and you can't argue with the voters.

00:16:24.400 They're right.

00:16:25.340 There has been more of a priority on that.

00:16:27.640 And they are, you know,

00:16:29.100 a lot of people make this mistake.

00:16:30.840 The Biden administration did it too.

00:16:32.720 They tried to basically tell people,

00:16:34.300 everything is fine.

00:16:34.960 We've done a lot for you.

00:16:35.900 You just haven't seen it yet.

00:16:37.520 That just doesn't work.

00:16:38.900 You know, I mean, it doesn't.

00:16:40.520 Obama did it too.

00:16:41.440 2% is a new normal.

00:16:42.580 What's wrong with you?

00:16:43.240 Get on with your life.

00:16:44.200 For the work, for the professional class

00:16:46.500 and for the older, older boomers and beyond

00:16:49.660 and super seniors,

00:16:51.580 they're doing all right.

00:16:52.960 But the rest of the voters are not

00:16:55.840 and they don't feel it.

00:16:57.920 So even just the appearance

00:17:00.460 that they are the priority would go a long way.

00:17:04.040 And they didn't, they haven't been getting that.

00:17:06.160 If we're all being honest,

00:17:07.260 they have not been getting that.

00:17:09.220 So, I mean, that's what has to change.

00:17:11.040 And by the way, that's why it's

00:17:12.980 because of that situation.

00:17:14.400 That's the context whereby in when,

00:17:16.900 you know, we've seen this backlash

00:17:18.860 to the H-1B comments,

00:17:20.580 that's where the backlash comes from.

00:17:22.800 Yes, 100%.

00:17:24.060 And I do think that a lot of people on the right

00:17:26.320 who are very passionate about their support for Israel

00:17:29.080 also don't realize that some of these issues

00:17:31.740 are just being you.

00:17:33.360 They're just pressure points, right?

00:17:35.440 And I think it could have been any other conflict, Jack.

00:17:39.280 I mean, it could have been South Korea.

00:17:41.700 It could have been Taiwan.

00:17:43.040 It could have been any other point on the map.

00:17:46.060 And it still would have led to this backlash

00:17:48.400 that we have seen.

00:17:50.760 I do think probably, you know, the way, not probably,

00:17:53.280 the way that the, you know,

00:17:55.160 the pro-Israel, more interventionist wing of the party,

00:17:59.080 the way they handled it

00:18:00.200 was the absolute worst way to handle it.

00:18:03.080 Because again, you have to realize

00:18:04.460 a lot of these people are new members of the coalition.

00:18:06.940 But for people who think,

00:18:09.440 well, they're new and, you know,

00:18:10.740 they got to do their time. 0.97

00:18:13.000 That's ridiculous. 0.99

00:18:14.140 They are the younger, less white, more diverse. 0.99

00:18:17.300 They are the future, right?

00:18:19.060 So you're kowtowing to,

00:18:21.800 you're kowtowing and letting this group of older, 0.96

00:18:26.160 you know, the past,

00:18:27.100 browbeat the younger part of your coalition,

00:18:29.700 which is your future.

00:18:30.720 And the way, the path to your victories,

00:18:32.760 your future victories,

00:18:33.960 you're letting them browbeat them.

00:18:35.340 And here's something that I think

00:18:36.520 people really need to understand.

00:18:38.380 Sometimes I forget to put it up daily,

00:18:40.220 but I try to remember to put it up daily.

00:18:42.560 The Republican Party is America first now,

00:18:45.180 by majority overwhelmingly,

00:18:47.160 because of these voters.

00:18:48.220 The older the age bucket,

00:18:52.080 the more split Republican voters are

00:18:54.460 between America first identification

00:18:56.440 and traditional Republican identification.

00:18:59.780 It's overwhelmingly America first. 0.93

00:19:00.760 I want to unpack that some more

00:19:02.000 when we get right back

00:19:03.140 on the other side of the break.

00:19:05.740 This is huge.

00:19:06.720 On one sec, Real America's Voice,

00:19:08.580 Human Events Daily.

00:19:12.160 Today, you know,

00:19:13.360 they talk about influencers.

00:19:14.900 These are influencers.

00:19:15.860 And they're friends of mine.

00:19:19.140 Jack Kerselbeck.

00:19:20.640 Where's Jack?

00:19:21.620 Jack.

00:19:22.720 He's done a great job.

00:19:24.080 All right, Jack Kerselbeck.

00:19:27.360 We are back live here.

00:19:28.880 Human Events Daily.

00:19:30.320 Real America's Voice.

00:19:31.500 Folks, anyone that knows me

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00:20:52.620 So Rich,

00:20:53.580 we're on with Rich Barris here,

00:20:55.320 Human Events,

00:20:56.220 the People's Pundit.

00:20:57.800 Rich,

00:20:58.380 you were talking about

00:20:59.420 how the president

00:21:00.140 is at an inflection point.

00:21:01.740 You were talking about

00:21:02.560 how there's really been

00:21:03.980 this huge drop-off

00:21:05.040 with Gen Z voters.

00:21:06.380 You've talked about

00:21:07.000 how there's a way to,

00:21:09.460 you know,

00:21:09.720 there are ways

00:21:10.600 to pivot on this

00:21:11.740 and really talking about

00:21:12.980 how it seems

00:21:14.080 as almost though

00:21:14.800 that foreign policy

00:21:16.580 has taken

00:21:17.440 the driver's seat

00:21:19.460 and taken the front row

00:21:20.680 while the backseat

00:21:22.800 are given to

00:21:23.820 domestic policy issues

00:21:26.000 and how this isn't

00:21:27.260 always necessarily

00:21:28.500 mean that the,

00:21:31.040 you know,

00:21:31.300 the White House

00:21:31.720 isn't doing anything,

00:21:32.680 but it does mean

00:21:34.040 it's an optics thing.

00:21:35.520 When the president

00:21:36.020 goes overseas

00:21:36.760 and the president's

00:21:37.520 receiving a foreign 0.89

00:21:38.360 dignitary,

00:21:39.040 it just seems like

00:21:40.340 that's where

00:21:40.940 his focus is at

00:21:42.040 because that's

00:21:42.920 what people see.

00:21:43.700 That's what they perceive.

00:21:45.240 And so,

00:21:45.820 you know,

00:21:46.920 attention is influence.

00:21:47.980 So it seems like

00:21:48.620 that's where

00:21:49.080 the influence is.

00:21:50.760 If you were talking

00:21:51.760 to the White House,

00:21:52.780 what are some of the things

00:21:54.300 that you would say?

00:21:55.880 Go on a tour.

00:21:57.360 Go on a tour.

00:21:58.420 Go on a manufacturing tour.

00:21:59.880 Go on an America 0.82

00:22:00.720 restoration tour.

00:22:02.320 All right?

00:22:02.640 Something like that.

00:22:03.620 Brand it.

00:22:04.040 Something to that effect.

00:22:06.100 Gear the messaging

00:22:07.040 towards people

00:22:08.620 who are 50 and under

00:22:10.020 in this country.

00:22:11.220 The fact of the matter is

00:22:12.420 the numbers haven't moved

00:22:13.420 all that much

00:22:14.160 with those who are 50 and above.

00:22:15.940 This is coming from

00:22:16.920 core working voters.

00:22:18.160 And the reason why

00:22:19.080 is very clear.

00:22:19.900 As far as I know,

00:22:20.760 we're the first,

00:22:21.460 not as far as I know.

00:22:22.200 I'm being,

00:22:22.720 I'm trying to be funny

00:22:23.940 and facetious here.

00:22:25.200 We are the first pollster

00:22:26.840 for years now

00:22:28.400 to start to ask Republicans

00:22:30.160 what they identify as

00:22:31.760 and what they want

00:22:32.840 prioritized by their leaders.

00:22:35.400 And if you look at,

00:22:37.580 and we've put this data out,

00:22:38.740 we have been for years now,

00:22:40.180 Jack,

00:22:40.480 if you look at it,

00:22:41.560 you will see

00:22:42.120 that the future

00:22:44.000 of the Republican Party,

00:22:45.460 if they have one,

00:22:46.800 is 100% built,

00:22:49.020 it has to be,

00:22:49.900 built around America first.

00:22:52.680 Older voters

00:22:53.380 are equally basically aligned

00:22:55.540 between traditional Republicans

00:22:56.920 and those who identify more

00:22:58.880 with the America first agenda.

00:23:00.080 They call themselves

00:23:00.820 America first Republicans.

00:23:02.680 But under 50,

00:23:03.920 it explodes.

00:23:05.380 Prime working age people,

00:23:06.700 30 to 44 are the most likely.

00:23:09.180 It's over two-thirds majority

00:23:10.500 to say they're America first.

00:23:11.900 And the younger generations

00:23:14.020 you can see

00:23:14.840 are getting more America first

00:23:17.100 the younger they get.

00:23:19.180 So, look,

00:23:20.120 this is a matter of numbers

00:23:21.320 and demographic trends.

00:23:23.440 You cannot give,

00:23:25.240 even if it's optics,

00:23:26.540 you cannot appear

00:23:27.660 to be giving more

00:23:28.560 of your attention

00:23:29.140 to the issues

00:23:30.000 that people who honestly

00:23:31.500 won't be much

00:23:32.260 of a political factor

00:23:33.160 in 10 years tops,

00:23:34.700 you cannot be giving them

00:23:36.080 all your attention

00:23:36.820 if you want to build

00:23:37.640 a durable,

00:23:38.320 long-lasting coalition.

00:23:39.980 And ironically, Jack,

00:23:41.320 we've also asked this question

00:23:42.760 now for a while.

00:23:44.060 It's the perceived focus

00:23:45.580 that the Trump administration

00:23:46.560 has been giving.

00:23:47.900 Do you think that they give

00:23:48.920 too much focus

00:23:50.060 on foreign policy

00:23:51.440 versus domestic policy,

00:23:52.680 too much focus

00:23:53.300 on domestic policy

00:23:54.300 versus foreign policy,

00:23:55.380 or the third option is

00:23:57.040 about right?

00:23:58.220 It's obvious.

00:23:59.440 It's very clear.

00:24:00.740 If you look at those

00:24:01.720 who are above the age 0.78

00:24:02.800 of 65 and above,

00:24:04.300 they are about split,

00:24:05.340 and they say

00:24:05.660 the largest pool of them

00:24:06.960 will say that it's about right.

00:24:09.060 You know,

00:24:09.480 the Trump administration

00:24:10.180 is splitting their time evenly.

00:24:12.260 Everybody else,

00:24:13.560 and it's an overwhelming majority

00:24:15.120 of all voters

00:24:16.380 because of this,

00:24:17.520 and then obviously

00:24:18.600 of the age buckets below,

00:24:21.140 everybody else,

00:24:22.960 it's overwhelming majorities

00:24:24.540 that say they are focused

00:24:25.740 too much on foreign policy.

00:24:27.760 And again,

00:24:29.340 the younger you get,

00:24:30.600 so if it's,

00:24:31.660 you know,

00:24:31.900 the 30 to 45,

00:24:33.840 the, you know,

00:24:34.560 and we also do age details,

00:24:36.260 so you could look at it

00:24:36.820 from 18 to 24,

00:24:37.920 25 to 29,

00:24:39.140 30 to 39,

00:24:40.160 40 to 49.

00:24:41.240 It's very clear.

00:24:42.360 It's a very textbook,

00:24:43.940 a very textbook age signal

00:24:45.500 where you can see

00:24:46.200 that the younger you are,

00:24:47.840 the more likely you are

00:24:48.800 to say that they want,

00:24:50.280 they think the president

00:24:51.040 and the administration

00:24:51.760 are too focused

00:24:52.540 on foreign stuff.

00:24:53.520 They want more attention

00:24:54.640 at home

00:24:55.120 and their own problems.

00:24:56.960 And I mean,

00:24:57.800 again,

00:24:58.420 honestly,

00:24:58.880 if you look at the,

00:25:01.260 I mean,

00:25:01.500 the president has to hold,

00:25:02.660 you know,

00:25:02.820 he has to host

00:25:04.260 foreign dignitaries.

00:25:05.160 He's got to make foreign trips,

00:25:07.080 but it's a matter of

00:25:08.580 how you're splitting your time.

00:25:10.360 It's the optics,

00:25:11.940 of course,

00:25:12.420 and we're using this word,

00:25:13.460 but the truth of the matter

00:25:14.300 is the voters are right.

00:25:15.840 And it's demonstrably true 0.94

00:25:17.580 that over the last three months,

00:25:19.260 you can look at the schedule

00:25:20.260 that the White House

00:25:21.060 has given much more weight,

00:25:23.120 much more time.

00:25:24.280 And then when you look

00:25:24.860 at congressional Republicans,

00:25:26.140 here's the real danger.

00:25:27.040 The entire nine months,

00:25:29.800 last nine months,

00:25:31.020 the number one priority,

00:25:32.900 the number one goal

00:25:33.980 for the Republican Party

00:25:35.260 and Congress specifically

00:25:36.720 was to convince voters

00:25:38.600 that they were more like Trump,

00:25:40.440 that they were going

00:25:41.240 to rebrand themselves

00:25:42.340 as the party of America first.

00:25:44.820 If they wanted to hold on

00:25:46.100 to these new

00:25:46.720 non-white voting coalitions,

00:25:48.640 younger voting coalitions,

00:25:49.920 they had to do that

00:25:51.260 because the truth is

00:25:52.240 these new Trump voters

00:25:53.260 don't really like

00:25:54.040 the Republican Party

00:25:54.880 all that much at all.

00:25:55.940 They don't identify

00:25:57.260 as conservatives.

00:25:59.120 In fact,

00:25:59.660 we're at a historic low

00:26:00.860 for overall identification

00:26:02.340 as conservative.

00:26:03.700 And it is the,

00:26:04.520 it's obviously worse.

00:26:05.700 It's the lowest,

00:26:06.640 the younger you go.

00:26:08.040 And Republicans

00:26:09.080 just didn't do that, Jack.

00:26:11.120 They didn't.

00:26:12.020 I mean,

00:26:12.260 that's just a fact.

00:26:13.460 So in order for them

00:26:14.860 to fix this,

00:26:15.780 they're going to have

00:26:16.620 to do something

00:26:17.180 that is relatively historic.

00:26:18.420 They're going to have

00:26:19.040 to break their tradition

00:26:20.440 of after the holidays,

00:26:22.340 you know,

00:26:22.660 shifting into campaign mode,

00:26:24.160 being risk adverse,

00:26:25.620 not wanting to take on

00:26:26.660 aggressive agenda items.

00:26:28.140 They're going to have

00:26:28.900 to put that aside.

00:26:30.340 And that's the way DC works.

00:26:32.100 And I understand that,

00:26:33.500 but their window

00:26:35.260 to rebrand themselves

00:26:36.320 has closed.

00:26:37.260 They literally have

00:26:38.220 to reopen it now

00:26:39.520 because any,

00:26:40.480 any course correction

00:26:41.440 the White House makes

00:26:42.560 is probably not going

00:26:44.180 to trickle down to them

00:26:45.100 in the generic ballot.

00:26:46.480 Those voters

00:26:47.240 are just going to continue

00:26:48.440 to see Donald Trump

00:26:49.540 as differently

00:26:50.540 than the Republican Party.

00:26:51.820 And that's going to hurt them

00:26:53.100 in the midterms badly.

00:26:55.260 Badly.

00:26:56.860 Well, I think that's right.

00:26:58.060 I think it's exactly right.

00:26:59.040 Rich Barris will be right back.

00:27:00.420 The People's Pundit,

00:27:01.260 Human Events Daily,

00:27:02.180 Real America's Voice.

00:27:07.800 Hey, Jack,

00:27:08.720 where is Jack?

00:27:10.800 Where is Jack?

00:27:13.120 Where is he?

00:27:14.400 Jack, I want to see you.

00:27:18.060 Great job, Jack.

00:27:19.440 Thank you.

00:27:20.220 What a job you do.

00:27:21.300 You know,

00:27:21.920 we have an incredible thing.

00:27:23.080 We're always talking

00:27:23.640 about the fake news

00:27:24.640 and the bad,

00:27:25.440 but we have guys

00:27:26.360 and these are the guys

00:27:27.760 who should be getting

00:27:28.320 policies.

00:27:30.320 All right,

00:27:30.940 Jack Posobiec,

00:27:31.560 back live,

00:27:32.660 Human Events Daily,

00:27:33.740 Real America's Voice.

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00:28:43.300 All right,

00:28:43.480 back on with Rich Barris.

00:28:44.540 Rich,

00:28:44.800 I gotta ask you,

00:28:45.580 man,

00:28:46.040 and you're someone

00:28:46.780 who knows the state

00:28:47.600 even better than me,

00:28:49.240 New Jersey.

00:28:50.360 We gotta talk

00:28:51.480 about New Jersey

00:28:52.520 because the Jack Cittarelli

00:28:53.780 campaign,

00:28:54.700 and I was remiss.

00:28:56.000 I did not have

00:28:56.560 the people's pundit on

00:28:57.420 before we went,

00:28:58.120 we, you know,

00:28:59.380 went into that state.

00:29:01.460 We fought the good fight,

00:29:02.940 but nobody saw

00:29:05.560 Mikey Sherrill

00:29:06.800 coming out

00:29:07.320 with a 13-point win,

00:29:08.880 and the pollsters

00:29:10.440 got this

00:29:11.080 completely wrong.

00:29:12.420 They completely blew it.

00:29:14.140 You did not release

00:29:15.240 any public polling

00:29:16.480 in that race,

00:29:18.100 but I would like

00:29:19.960 to get your read

00:29:21.500 on it as someone,

00:29:22.340 you're not from Jersey,

00:29:23.100 but you lived in Jersey

00:29:23.980 for a long time.

00:29:24.880 You understand Jersey.

00:29:26.600 Walk me through

00:29:27.240 what happened there.

00:29:28.860 I, uh,

00:29:29.340 and,

00:29:29.680 and obviously,

00:29:30.440 you do know,

00:29:31.400 I mean,

00:29:31.680 we just didn't release

00:29:32.740 any public polling,

00:29:33.980 but I will give,

00:29:35.500 I'll try to say this

00:29:36.380 because we,

00:29:36.880 we didn't view

00:29:38.020 that race at the end

00:29:39.120 to be that close.

00:29:40.120 It's the same thing

00:29:40.780 with Virginia,

00:29:41.380 but I will tell people

00:29:42.480 to give pollsters,

00:29:43.820 depending on when they polled,

00:29:45.120 um, you know,

00:29:46.540 cut them a little bit

00:29:47.400 of slack here

00:29:48.100 because it really did run away

00:29:50.560 in the polling

00:29:51.400 from Republicans

00:29:52.280 in about the last two weeks.

00:29:54.900 Uh,

00:29:55.420 so if somebody had polled

00:29:56.660 a little bit before that,

00:29:58.240 it,

00:29:58.580 it could have been,

00:29:59.640 you know,

00:29:59.880 if you,

00:30:00.200 if you got like a Sherrill

00:30:01.160 plus six or closer,

00:30:02.400 it's justifiable,

00:30:04.060 it,

00:30:04.460 but it got away.

00:30:06.180 And New Jersey,

00:30:07.320 the garden state,

00:30:08.580 um,

00:30:09.440 which I still have

00:30:10.280 a lot of love for.

00:30:11.640 This is a great example

00:30:12.920 of the voters

00:30:13.520 that you and I

00:30:14.200 were just talking about

00:30:15.020 specifically,

00:30:15.680 not so much even

00:30:16.600 on the younger side,

00:30:17.400 of course that matters too,

00:30:18.740 but definitely more

00:30:19.880 on the non-white side,

00:30:21.600 uh,

00:30:22.340 of the new MAGA coalition.

00:30:24.000 Donald Trump

00:30:24.540 made that state

00:30:25.260 five points,

00:30:26.200 Jack,

00:30:26.520 and it's a remarkable,

00:30:28.100 almost Herculean task

00:30:29.360 when you consider

00:30:30.000 that New Jersey

00:30:30.660 was one only of only

00:30:31.820 two states

00:30:32.420 along with Hawaii

00:30:33.820 in 2012

00:30:35.020 to vote more

00:30:36.100 for Barack Obama

00:30:37.160 than it did in 08.

00:30:38.780 And for people

00:30:39.460 who don't know

00:30:40.060 or don't remember,

00:30:41.280 Barack Obama

00:30:41.880 won in 2012

00:30:42.800 by a much now

00:30:43.660 or a margin

00:30:44.240 than he won in 08.

00:30:45.260 And he became

00:30:45.720 the first president

00:30:46.480 ever to be reelected

00:30:47.700 by a smaller margin

00:30:49.080 than when he was

00:30:50.040 first elected.

00:30:50.860 He has the dubious

00:30:51.600 distinction in history

00:30:52.640 for that,

00:30:53.140 but New Jersey

00:30:53.840 actually voted more.

00:30:55.180 By the way,

00:30:55.560 Rich,

00:30:55.840 I was talking about that

00:30:57.140 and I was talking

00:30:57.860 about how,

00:30:58.580 how Biden won

00:30:59.920 by a much wider margin

00:31:01.140 than Obama won

00:31:01.980 in 2012.

00:31:03.200 And that's how much

00:31:04.420 of an impact

00:31:05.120 the new

00:31:06.000 America First movement

00:31:07.780 in that led up

00:31:08.960 to 24

00:31:09.560 had,

00:31:11.180 Jack,

00:31:11.520 not only on New Jersey,

00:31:12.880 but literally

00:31:13.680 everywhere around

00:31:15.060 the country.

00:31:16.100 And I,

00:31:16.380 you know,

00:31:16.580 before,

00:31:17.020 maybe we didn't talk

00:31:17.560 about it before

00:31:18.060 this election,

00:31:18.660 but before 24,

00:31:19.800 you and I did speak

00:31:20.640 about this.

00:31:21.180 I went to northern

00:31:22.160 New Jersey,

00:31:22.820 New York

00:31:23.320 with my wife.

00:31:24.980 We were there

00:31:25.340 to see her cousin

00:31:27.160 get married

00:31:27.640 and we were in

00:31:28.960 a lot of the parts

00:31:30.340 of the state,

00:31:31.000 Passaic,

00:31:31.600 where there's heavily

00:31:32.260 non-white population.

00:31:34.480 You could see

00:31:35.020 the Trump supporters

00:31:35.860 everywhere.

00:31:36.740 And I'm not talking

00:31:37.540 about Appalachian

00:31:38.780 working class

00:31:39.460 Trump supporters.

00:31:40.440 These were non-whites, 1.00

00:31:42.640 multi-racial,

00:31:43.760 multi-religious

00:31:44.900 affiliations.

00:31:46.100 It was incredible

00:31:46.940 finding any spot

00:31:48.560 in where there's grass

00:31:51.160 in some of the areas

00:31:52.580 in northern Jersey

00:31:53.840 with crazy,

00:31:54.840 dangerous U-turns

00:31:56.120 still out there

00:31:57.200 packed in

00:31:57.760 and holding signs,

00:31:58.700 not because it was

00:31:59.260 a rally,

00:32:00.320 but because they were

00:32:00.900 just there to show

00:32:01.480 their support

00:32:01.900 for Donald Trump,

00:32:03.120 yet many of them

00:32:04.500 would still have

00:32:05.200 the Democratic candidates

00:32:07.180 lawn signs

00:32:08.020 right next to signs

00:32:09.460 that said Trump

00:32:10.180 or bust voters. 0.89

00:32:11.460 So when I stressed

00:32:13.160 after the election

00:32:14.040 that you could,

00:32:15.180 if you're the Republican

00:32:16.040 party,

00:32:16.420 you could assault

00:32:17.080 the Mid-Atlantic,

00:32:18.180 but it requires

00:32:19.940 something new.

00:32:21.700 And that's not

00:32:22.780 what we saw

00:32:23.260 in New Jersey.

00:32:23.880 For instance,

00:32:24.580 because let's get

00:32:25.260 to the heart of it.

00:32:25.800 There's a lot of things

00:32:26.500 that went wrong

00:32:26.980 for Republicans in New Jersey.

00:32:28.080 Let's get to the heart

00:32:28.880 of some of them.

00:32:30.100 The prevailing view

00:32:31.620 among people

00:32:32.720 who were most involved

00:32:33.640 or helping Jack Tittarelli

00:32:34.800 in the campaign,

00:32:35.920 the prevailing view

00:32:36.740 was that keep the president

00:32:38.100 out of here

00:32:38.860 because he's going

00:32:40.400 to drive up

00:32:41.100 Democratic turnout.

00:32:42.540 That,

00:32:43.140 when I hear things

00:32:44.100 like that,

00:32:44.580 10 years into this movement,

00:32:46.300 it's so frustrating

00:32:48.140 and I just find myself

00:32:49.400 shaking my head.

00:32:49.940 And by the way, Rich,

00:32:50.200 I have to say it,

00:32:50.980 I have to say it,

00:32:51.680 the people who were

00:32:52.260 pushing that

00:32:52.800 were the Chris Christie people.

00:32:54.440 It was this Chris Christie network

00:32:55.840 that's all throughout

00:32:57.080 the state of New Jersey.

00:32:59.440 The same way 0.72

00:33:00.040 that the McCain people,

00:33:01.140 it was the same thing

00:33:01.980 that McCain people did

00:33:02.940 with Carrie Lake

00:33:03.680 in Arizona

00:33:04.400 where this person

00:33:06.120 is not from our network,

00:33:07.280 this person is not one of us

00:33:08.720 and therefore,

00:33:10.180 he hasn't kissed the ring

00:33:11.220 and therefore,

00:33:12.160 you know,

00:33:12.600 we're not going to help him.

00:33:13.720 And also,

00:33:16.180 they really do believe

00:33:17.220 that nonsense, Jack,

00:33:18.620 you know,

00:33:18.980 and that's a,

00:33:20.000 when I hear it,

00:33:20.760 it tells me that

00:33:23.660 there's still too many

00:33:25.000 Republican consultants,

00:33:26.420 whether they mean well

00:33:27.220 or not,

00:33:27.800 there's Republicans

00:33:29.360 who think stale,

00:33:31.680 their thinking is stale

00:33:32.660 and they don't understand,

00:33:34.840 forget about any

00:33:35.700 of the intricacies,

00:33:36.840 they don't understand

00:33:37.860 the basics

00:33:38.320 of what,

00:33:39.780 of the realignment

00:33:40.580 that they needed

00:33:41.980 to complete.

00:33:42.940 And the truth is,

00:33:44.000 why,

00:33:44.220 why,

00:33:44.520 why am I saying that?

00:33:45.980 Because Democrats now

00:33:47.240 have the higher

00:33:47.960 propensity coalition.

00:33:49.720 They're always going

00:33:50.920 to have,

00:33:51.560 especially in off-cycle

00:33:52.720 and midterm races,

00:33:54.100 they're always going

00:33:55.060 to have a base

00:33:56.580 that is more reliable

00:33:58.220 to turn out

00:33:59.460 than Republicans

00:34:00.340 are going to.

00:34:01.080 They have a smaller one,

00:34:02.680 but they have that base

00:34:04.700 that's more reliable.

00:34:06.020 It used to be,

00:34:06.940 you know,

00:34:07.120 back in 2014,

00:34:08.300 back in 2010,

00:34:09.320 Republicans relied on this

00:34:10.640 in order to win midterms

00:34:12.220 that they really

00:34:12.980 shouldn't have won.

00:34:14.100 If all the voting population

00:34:17.040 came out,

00:34:17.560 they would have lost those,

00:34:18.560 right?

00:34:19.160 And Republicans have yet

00:34:20.200 to come to grips with this.

00:34:21.400 And the idea

00:34:22.280 that you're somehow

00:34:23.000 going to juice turnout

00:34:24.120 more among the Democratic base

00:34:25.740 because Donald Trump

00:34:26.520 is out there 1.00

00:34:27.140 is just ignorant. 1.00

00:34:28.200 It means you don't understand 1.00

00:34:29.740 this new world.

00:34:30.920 It is a new world.

00:34:32.060 It is a new coalition.

00:34:33.540 And it's because

00:34:34.220 of the realignment.

00:34:35.500 Donald Trump needs

00:34:36.840 to be involved

00:34:37.900 in order to match

00:34:39.200 the enthusiasm.

00:34:40.840 Look, Democrats

00:34:41.540 did not bring Barack Obama

00:34:42.920 into the urban areas,

00:34:44.300 folks,

00:34:44.600 because Mikey Sherrill

00:34:45.500 was in a good position

00:34:46.400 three weeks before the election.

00:34:48.120 That's just BS 0.99

00:34:49.120 and ridiculous. 0.98

00:34:50.480 They brought Barack Obama 0.98

00:34:51.420 in because their polls

00:34:52.420 were showing

00:34:52.860 what everybody else's

00:34:53.740 polls were showing,

00:34:54.660 which is that this is

00:34:55.520 kind of dangerously close.

00:34:57.240 We need to bring Obama 1.00

00:34:58.140 in to talk about

00:34:59.000 this shutdown,

00:35:00.080 which was another

00:35:00.660 big part of this,

00:35:01.520 especially in urban areas.

00:35:03.060 And you had Democrats,

00:35:04.080 including Barack Obama,

00:35:04.980 running around saying,

00:35:06.440 if you don't vote

00:35:07.000 for Mikey Sherrill,

00:35:08.140 Republicans are going

00:35:08.880 to starve you out.

00:35:09.800 Look at what they're

00:35:10.260 doing to you.

00:35:10.940 Even the snap benefits

00:35:12.500 are going to run out.

00:35:13.600 And people bought it.

00:35:14.700 And it's important

00:35:15.300 not to, you know,

00:35:16.720 look down on those people,

00:35:18.140 even if many of them

00:35:19.460 had just voted

00:35:20.520 for Donald Trump.

00:35:21.820 It's not,

00:35:22.900 you can't blame them

00:35:24.100 because they didn't

00:35:25.220 get a counter message.

00:35:26.640 They didn't see Donald,

00:35:27.960 who I know,

00:35:28.520 by the way,

00:35:28.940 the president

00:35:29.380 was willing to do

00:35:31.160 in-person events.

00:35:32.840 Tele-rallies do nothing.

00:35:34.900 They do nothing,

00:35:35.720 which is why.

00:35:36.780 Well, and so,

00:35:37.440 Rich,

00:35:37.580 you and I discussed

00:35:38.180 this a little bit earlier.

00:35:39.240 So, a lot of people

00:35:42.420 were putting the signal

00:35:43.660 out that there was

00:35:44.220 going to be this

00:35:44.840 crossover vote

00:35:46.040 of Democrats

00:35:46.720 voting for the Republican.

00:35:48.380 But are you saying

00:35:49.040 then that the crossover

00:35:50.100 actually went the other way

00:35:51.600 and there were Republicans

00:35:52.540 who voted for Mikey Sherrill?

00:35:54.700 In both polling

00:35:56.160 that Mark Mitchell

00:35:57.500 at Rasmussen Reports

00:35:58.800 did and polling I did,

00:36:01.500 there were actually

00:36:02.220 more Republicans

00:36:03.020 who were voting

00:36:03.720 for Mikey Sherrill

00:36:04.640 than there were Democrats

00:36:05.740 voting for Jack Cittarelli.

00:36:07.320 And that's of the likely

00:36:08.800 voter universe.

00:36:09.940 So, that goes to show you

00:36:11.060 how much they failed

00:36:12.220 at turning out

00:36:13.040 the universe of voters

00:36:14.120 that they needed to.

00:36:15.540 And I hear people

00:36:16.680 say things like,

00:36:17.440 but we got more votes

00:36:18.460 than we did in 21.

00:36:19.760 Guys, that is a basic

00:36:21.440 minimal requirement.

00:36:22.860 You shouldn't be patting

00:36:23.720 yourselves on the back

00:36:24.580 for it.

00:36:25.320 You, Donald,

00:36:26.740 unless you know

00:36:27.500 anybody else

00:36:28.200 than, other than

00:36:29.480 Donald Trump,

00:36:30.160 who could go to

00:36:31.200 Wildwood, New Jersey

00:36:32.420 and draw a crowd

00:36:33.220 of 100,000 people

00:36:34.500 than knock yourselves

00:36:35.580 out.

00:36:36.260 You can't.

00:36:37.300 Donald Trump,

00:36:37.920 those Democrats

00:36:38.560 that were in polls

00:36:40.180 like the Emerson poll,

00:36:41.340 right, that was showing

00:36:42.420 three to one crossover

00:36:43.500 that actually favored

00:36:44.600 Cittarelli,

00:36:45.280 they didn't vote.

00:36:46.700 Those are Democrats

00:36:47.580 that just voted 0.57

00:36:48.540 for Donald Trump,

00:36:49.640 you know,

00:36:50.020 12 months ago, Jack,

00:36:51.560 but weren't,

00:36:52.020 because Donald Trump

00:36:52.640 could not have gotten

00:36:53.660 within five points

00:36:54.720 just for all the,

00:36:55.660 to dispel all the 0.56

00:36:56.660 ridiculous, like, 0.91

00:36:57.660 you know, 0.99

00:36:58.120 exit poll myths

00:36:59.340 out there.

00:37:00.120 Donald Trump

00:37:00.620 cannot get within

00:37:01.540 five points

00:37:02.240 to Kamala Harris

00:37:02.900 in the state of New Jersey

00:37:03.940 without significant

00:37:04.900 help from Democrats,

00:37:05.840 and he got it.

00:37:07.200 He also won

00:37:07.860 independents

00:37:08.480 overwhelmingly.

00:37:09.860 There's just not

00:37:10.560 enough Republicans

00:37:11.280 in that state

00:37:12.220 to even get

00:37:13.160 that level of support,

00:37:14.540 but it's,

00:37:16.040 it's, it's,

00:37:17.200 the polling models

00:37:18.200 that were gauging

00:37:19.600 that universe

00:37:20.680 don't realize

00:37:21.600 that that universe

00:37:22.720 is not going

00:37:23.640 to be the electorate

00:37:25.000 without Donald Trump's

00:37:26.420 direct involvement.

00:37:28.620 I mean,

00:37:29.000 it's obvious.

00:37:30.160 At some point,

00:37:31.080 the Republicans

00:37:31.520 have to learn

00:37:32.080 to live without him.

00:37:32.740 Jack Buffett

00:37:33.140 right now,

00:37:33.680 they just simply

00:37:34.320 can't.

00:37:35.140 They just can't.

00:37:35.900 And for people

00:37:36.260 who don't understand

00:37:36.880 the significance

00:37:37.540 of when I say

00:37:38.220 he can bring

00:37:38.700 100,000 people

00:37:39.500 to Wildwood,

00:37:40.560 for everyone

00:37:41.200 who was born

00:37:42.940 and raised,

00:37:43.520 went to school

00:37:44.100 in South Central Jersey,

00:37:45.980 Wildwood,

00:37:46.460 you're going to laugh

00:37:47.000 when you hear me

00:37:47.440 say this,

00:37:47.820 because you know,

00:37:48.940 Wildwood is not

00:37:50.380 some typical

00:37:51.880 Republican

00:37:52.480 or Wasp Republican

00:37:54.080 or silk stocking

00:37:55.300 Republican town.

00:37:56.040 No, no, it's not

00:37:56.260 that spot.

00:37:56.660 Trump pulled him out.

00:37:58.200 He did it with,

00:37:59.060 he did it with

00:37:59.740 immigration and the economy.

00:38:01.380 Right back,

00:38:01.800 Jack Posobiec,

00:38:02.820 Bridge Barris.

00:38:07.260 Jack is a great guy.

00:38:08.820 He's written that

00:38:09.360 fantastic book.

00:38:10.520 Everybody's talking

00:38:11.200 about it.

00:38:11.700 Go get it.

00:38:12.820 And he's been my friend

00:38:13.780 right from the beginning

00:38:14.720 of this whole beautiful event.

00:38:16.820 And we're going to turn it around

00:38:18.160 and make our country

00:38:19.080 cry to get to him.

00:38:20.080 Amen.

00:38:20.340 All right, folks,

00:38:21.980 Jack Posobiec,

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00:38:51.480 Critics dismiss it,

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00:39:43.220 All right,

00:39:43.360 so we're all with Rich Barris,

00:39:44.180 the People's Pundit.

00:39:44.860 Rich,

00:39:45.880 you know,

00:39:46.220 we're talking about

00:39:47.040 some of these things

00:39:47.780 and, you know,

00:39:48.560 we want to be constructive

00:39:49.360 as well here

00:39:50.100 that, you know,

00:39:53.280 it really goes back to

00:39:54.440 and as much as off the rocker

00:39:55.980 as he's been,

00:39:56.700 it really does feel like

00:39:57.880 it's the old James Carville. 1.00

00:39:59.480 It's the economy, stupid. 1.00

00:40:00.960 It's people want 1.00

00:40:03.100 and here's a big difference, right?

00:40:05.260 And I've been saying this online

00:40:06.620 a little bit

00:40:07.220 is we have to stop confusing

00:40:10.780 the GDP for economic conditions.

00:40:13.880 We have to stop confusing

00:40:15.600 the stock market

00:40:16.440 for cost of living.

00:40:17.820 They're not the same thing.

00:40:20.040 They're just not.

00:40:22.020 And in fact,

00:40:22.960 they probably never,

00:40:23.680 by the way,

00:40:23.960 the GDP doesn't even really exist.

00:40:26.120 It's a theory.

00:40:27.380 It's like an economic model,

00:40:28.760 the same way that we had climate models

00:40:30.780 that doesn't always necessarily mean

00:40:32.940 that it works out.

00:40:34.200 So when you take all that

00:40:36.440 into consideration,

00:40:37.740 Rich,

00:40:38.120 and this is something,

00:40:38.840 by the way,

00:40:39.500 Charlie talked about this

00:40:40.500 all the time,

00:40:41.520 especially with Gen Z.

00:40:42.540 He talked about the debt bubbles.

00:40:44.080 He talked about people

00:40:44.820 taking out these micro loans,

00:40:46.840 buy now, pay later,

00:40:48.100 all this stuff,

00:40:48.900 just to get food,

00:40:50.140 just to get DoorDash,

00:40:51.320 just to get Uber Eats.

00:40:52.340 This is not a way to live

00:40:54.280 and you wonder why

00:40:55.320 these people are so upset

00:40:56.880 at this system.

00:40:58.540 Talk to me about

00:40:59.960 the economic side of this.

00:41:02.260 People need to start thinking

00:41:03.920 about this as

00:41:05.320 people's perceptions

00:41:07.320 of their conditions in life, right?

00:41:10.780 I mean, it's funny

00:41:11.460 because you used to

00:41:12.260 foreign leaders

00:41:13.440 like George Bush

00:41:14.340 talk about the human condition

00:41:16.060 all around the world

00:41:17.320 except for in the United States.

00:41:19.520 For once,

00:41:19.940 people want their leaders

00:41:22.060 to care about

00:41:23.120 their conditions, Jack,

00:41:24.620 which is why

00:41:25.140 when we ask

00:41:26.000 about our most important issues,

00:41:28.480 we do a rank distribution,

00:41:29.940 which in my opinion

00:41:30.800 is far superior

00:41:32.000 than asking people

00:41:32.940 what their singular

00:41:33.660 most important issue is.

00:41:35.340 When we do a rank distribution,

00:41:37.240 cost of living

00:41:37.960 is running away with it.

00:41:41.800 And economy and jobs

00:41:43.120 is number two,

00:41:43.880 but it's amazing

00:41:44.840 how much of a distant

00:41:46.220 number two it is.

00:41:47.540 Number three, by the way,

00:41:48.920 is healthcare.

00:41:49.940 So all the top three issues

00:41:52.320 are about the conditions

00:41:54.020 of the economic conditions

00:41:55.460 that people feel

00:41:56.320 like they're living in, right?

00:41:58.100 And while it is important,

00:41:59.380 yes, that inflation

00:42:00.340 had a high of 9, what,

00:42:01.720 0.2 under Biden

00:42:02.840 and it has since cooled

00:42:04.180 under Donald Trump.

00:42:05.180 That's absolutely true.

00:42:06.820 It's the other things

00:42:08.080 in their lives,

00:42:09.560 healthcare costs,

00:42:10.540 premiums,

00:42:11.160 prescription drugs,

00:42:12.840 their rents, right?

00:42:13.980 How much you cost

00:42:14.860 to lease or buy a vehicle

00:42:16.040 if they're even able

00:42:17.060 able to do that

00:42:18.560 have far outpaced

00:42:20.940 the wages

00:42:21.440 that they're bringing in.

00:42:22.520 A voter told us

00:42:23.220 the other day,

00:42:23.780 and I know it's not

00:42:24.700 exactly right,

00:42:25.660 but this is a voter

00:42:26.920 at leisure and hospitality

00:42:28.060 voted for Trump,

00:42:29.060 young voter,

00:42:29.760 in Clark County,

00:42:30.720 in Nevada,

00:42:31.500 where people don't know

00:42:32.440 that it is.

00:42:33.080 That's Vegas.

00:42:34.180 And the tax on tips rule

00:42:36.520 is convoluted

00:42:37.940 with the IRS,

00:42:38.500 so they'll wind up

00:42:39.740 just taking a standard

00:42:40.580 deduction and that's it

00:42:41.840 and they won't even deal

00:42:43.400 with, you know,

00:42:44.240 how, you know,

00:42:45.280 whether or not

00:42:46.580 that policy can impact,

00:42:48.140 that can benefit them.

00:42:49.660 So we need to, you know,

00:42:51.040 look at this more.

00:42:52.800 And GDP, like you said,

00:42:53.920 it's totally useless

00:42:55.440 to the average voter

00:42:56.440 what GDP is

00:42:57.400 and it's been,

00:42:58.080 the methodology

00:42:58.680 has been changed

00:42:59.680 so often.

00:43:00.540 Obama changed it

00:43:01.500 to include his friends

00:43:02.360 in Hollywood.

00:43:03.380 They're going to get

00:43:03.920 a motion picture

00:43:04.660 in the next year or so?

00:43:05.840 Okay, throw that in GDP.

00:43:06.940 Well, how does that help

00:43:08.200 the average worker

00:43:09.020 in Clark County, Florida?

00:43:10.520 I mean, Clark County, Nevada.

00:43:12.460 How does that help

00:43:13.200 the average worker

00:43:14.040 in, you know,

00:43:15.660 Lackawanna, Pennsylvania, right?

00:43:17.540 It doesn't.

00:43:18.600 They don't care about that.

00:43:19.860 This is about

00:43:20.520 how they feel

00:43:21.740 their life,

00:43:22.820 their overall life's condition.

00:43:24.520 And we actually ask that

00:43:25.740 in our Economic Confidence Index,

00:43:27.300 business conditions,

00:43:28.780 employment conditions, right?

00:43:30.820 Income.

00:43:31.460 Do you feel like

00:43:32.340 in the next six months

00:43:33.260 your family income

00:43:34.200 is your total family income

00:43:35.240 is going to meet?

00:43:36.600 You know,

00:43:37.160 the requirements

00:43:37.860 of your, you know,

00:43:38.760 your economic conditions.

00:43:40.420 And that will tell you

00:43:41.880 a whole lot more.

00:43:42.900 And honestly,

00:43:43.400 that index plunged

00:43:44.820 last month in October.

00:43:46.380 It's not the lowest

00:43:47.240 it's ever been,

00:43:48.100 but it is,

00:43:49.040 it's the lowest

00:43:49.560 it's been in Trump's

00:43:50.340 second term.

00:43:51.380 And it's sad to watch this

00:43:52.960 because after Donald Trump

00:43:54.020 was elected,

00:43:54.820 it hit an all-time high

00:43:56.340 after being completely

00:43:58.280 stagnant under Joe,

00:43:59.860 under Joe Biden.

00:44:01.300 So, you know,

00:44:01.920 it's a very real thing.

00:44:03.000 And people, you know,

00:44:04.360 there's been a lot

00:44:05.180 of people out there

00:44:05.920 dismissive of this stuff

00:44:07.160 and pointing to

00:44:08.080 traditional indicators

00:44:09.140 that you're pointing at.

00:44:10.440 And it doesn't matter.

00:44:11.760 None of that matters.

00:44:12.840 This is about perception.

00:44:14.620 And honestly,

00:44:15.640 reality takes a while

00:44:17.300 to change perceptions.

00:44:19.020 We know this.

00:44:20.060 There's a lot of study on,

00:44:21.260 there's a lot of research

00:44:22.020 on this.

00:44:22.860 You could have a low CPI,

00:44:24.600 you know,

00:44:25.460 three months in a row

00:44:26.540 and it's going to take time

00:44:27.860 for people,

00:44:28.500 for that to sink in

00:44:29.620 and for,

00:44:30.640 you know,

00:44:31.200 for people's views

00:44:32.020 to change.

00:44:33.120 And by the way,

00:44:33.620 this was, again,

00:44:34.580 I'm pointing this out

00:44:35.360 for a reason.

00:44:36.140 This was an electorally

00:44:38.160 fatal mistake

00:44:39.300 that Democrats made

00:44:41.380 in the Obama

00:44:42.180 and the Biden years.

00:44:43.560 They would point to this

00:44:44.760 and they would say,

00:44:45.540 oh, look,

00:44:46.340 we created this many jobs.

00:44:48.160 You just don't realize

00:44:49.160 how good things are going.

00:44:50.380 And they would ignore

00:44:51.100 the conditions

00:44:52.060 that people felt

00:44:53.260 they were in

00:44:53.800 and perception

00:44:54.860 and the optics of it all.

00:44:56.700 Honestly,

00:44:57.640 Mark Penn,

00:44:58.700 he's a Democratic pollster.

00:44:59.840 He's been saying

00:45:02.160 this for a long time.

00:45:03.280 You know,

00:45:03.460 you can continue with that,

00:45:04.680 but reality always wins.

00:45:06.520 And the fact is

00:45:07.440 that Republicans

00:45:08.460 have to confront the reality

00:45:09.780 because it will win

00:45:10.920 and they will lose.

00:45:13.140 Well,

00:45:13.640 and this is what

00:45:14.260 it comes down to,

00:45:15.060 right?

00:45:15.320 And so it's optics.

00:45:16.860 Look,

00:45:17.000 I've been out there

00:45:18.000 a ton,

00:45:19.680 been out there a ton

00:45:20.440 talking about,

00:45:21.580 guys,

00:45:22.300 throw something out,

00:45:23.200 tariff the outsourcing,

00:45:24.600 tariff the remote work.

00:45:25.760 And they even said

00:45:26.440 they were going to start

00:45:26.980 looking at it,

00:45:27.800 by the way.

00:45:28.300 Like people do view themselves

00:45:30.420 as in a competition

00:45:31.540 with these foreign workers 1.00

00:45:32.860 and when they're attacking people

00:45:34.800 and all the rest of it.

00:45:36.260 And so you've got to look

00:45:37.680 like you're on the side

00:45:39.300 of the American worker.

00:45:40.400 If you look like 0.77

00:45:40.880 you're on the side

00:45:41.280 of the American worker,

00:45:42.380 then the American worker

00:45:43.580 is going to support you.

00:45:44.680 It's really as simple as that.

00:45:46.620 You know,

00:45:47.240 Barack Obama

00:45:47.820 in his first term

00:45:48.980 was actually really good at this.

00:45:50.880 You and I both know

00:45:51.900 that he did absolutely nothing

00:45:54.000 to address

00:45:55.220 the economic conditions

00:45:56.840 following the Great Recession.

00:45:59.040 But he sure looked like he was,

00:46:01.140 right?

00:46:02.020 I mean,

00:46:02.300 they were very good

00:46:03.260 at putting on a show.

00:46:05.640 And he would argue,

00:46:07.080 you know,

00:46:07.580 obviously the new normal line,

00:46:09.540 it got old

00:46:10.340 by the end of his second term.

00:46:11.540 And that's why Hillary Clinton, 1.00

00:46:12.620 who tried to run on it,

00:46:13.480 got wiped by Donald Trump.

00:46:15.360 But it did work

00:46:16.640 in the beginning.

00:46:17.320 And that's a lesson

00:46:18.580 Republicans should take.

00:46:19.900 The American Reinvestment Act

00:46:21.680 actually hurt the economy.

00:46:23.800 But it doesn't matter.

00:46:24.460 They weren't,

00:46:25.180 you know,

00:46:25.340 this was the American

00:46:26.320 Reinvestment Act.

00:46:27.260 Don't you see me

00:46:27.900 working very hard

00:46:28.820 to get you shovel-ready jobs?

00:46:30.520 It's optics.

00:46:31.740 And the difference here

00:46:33.060 is that Donald Trump's policies

00:46:34.800 actually do

00:46:35.840 have an economic benefit, right?

00:46:38.100 So it doesn't have to

00:46:39.340 all be about optics.

00:46:40.920 Eventually,

00:46:41.540 those policies will take root.

00:46:43.180 And people know that too,

00:46:44.540 which is a benefit

00:46:45.280 that he has

00:46:46.600 that others

00:46:47.580 like Barack Obama

00:46:48.460 were never given.

00:46:49.820 His approval rating

00:46:50.960 in Obama,

00:46:51.760 I'm talking about,

00:46:52.280 his approval rating

00:46:53.040 used to be positive

00:46:53.780 all the time.

00:46:54.460 But his approval rating

00:46:55.220 on the economy

00:46:55.940 was negative all the time.

00:46:57.780 Trump's first term,

00:46:58.780 it was the opposite.

00:46:59.980 His approval on the economy

00:47:01.000 was always positive.

00:47:02.680 But his overall approval

00:47:04.440 was negative.

00:47:05.560 That's the danger sign here.

00:47:07.000 Something people should be,

00:47:08.240 you know,

00:47:08.500 the red siren

00:47:09.800 should be going off

00:47:10.900 like crazy.

00:47:11.500 Because if you compare

00:47:12.920 his first term

00:47:13.600 to his second term

00:47:14.780 in recent,

00:47:15.940 recent,

00:47:16.660 from July on,

00:47:17.920 you'll see that

00:47:18.700 that now

00:47:19.620 is no longer the case.

00:47:21.000 That is optics.

00:47:22.480 All right.

00:47:23.220 They believe

00:47:24.400 that his administration,

00:47:27.220 you know,

00:47:27.500 by the spring

00:47:28.180 and the summer

00:47:28.820 kind of just

00:47:29.920 stopped

00:47:31.380 concerning themselves

00:47:32.960 about their problems.

00:47:35.020 And again,

00:47:36.480 that this,

00:47:37.160 until this is addressed,

00:47:38.700 recognized,

00:47:39.840 and course corrected,

00:47:41.320 it can only get worse.

00:47:43.580 So, I mean,

00:47:44.060 this was something

00:47:45.640 I tried to explain

00:47:46.380 back in July.

00:47:47.260 And I remember

00:47:48.660 a lot of people

00:47:49.860 scoffing it off

00:47:50.920 and saying,

00:47:51.480 oh my God,

00:47:52.120 he's making such

00:47:52.840 big deal out of this.

00:47:54.300 And his,

00:47:54.840 it's only slightly negative.

00:47:56.580 And the headline

00:47:57.120 in the press release

00:47:57.920 even said slightly negative.

00:47:59.620 Got it, Rich.

00:47:59.940 But it was a warning.

00:48:00.560 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:48:01.240 as always,

00:48:01.740 you have my permission

00:48:02.380 to lay a short.

00:48:03.100 Thank you.

Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - November 14, 2025

The MAGA Gut Check

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