Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - November 14, 2025


The MAGA Gut Check


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

177.94934

Word Count

8,551

Sentence Count

609

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

18


Summary

What happens when the Fourth Turning meets 5th Generation Warfare? A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran, Jack Posobiec, joins host Jack to discuss a major child pornography bust in the state of New York, a bill to end the H1-B visa program, and more.


Transcript

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00:00:23.420 humanevents.com slash Poso.
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00:00:25.820 The Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:41.040 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:47.440 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:00:50.840 Christ is king.
00:00:52.840 A major child pornography bust.
00:00:55.060 State police say they made more than 50 arrests in just three days.
00:00:58.980 Last week, troopers and officers arrested 55 men and one woman between the ages of 18 and 75 years old
00:01:04.760 for allegedly engaging in possession, production, and sharing of child sexual abuse material
00:01:09.420 as well as child enticement and other illegal activity.
00:01:13.080 My dear fellow Americans,
00:01:14.880 I'm introducing a bill to completely eliminate the H-1B visa program,
00:01:19.680 which has been riddled with fraud and abuse
00:01:21.920 and has been displacing American workers for decades.
00:01:26.840 There will only be one exemption in my bill,
00:01:29.860 and it will allow for a $10,000 per year cap on visas
00:01:33.640 issued to medical professionals like doctors and nurses
00:01:36.980 who provide life-saving care to Americans.
00:01:39.740 That approval rating for the president,
00:01:41.600 it is at a low point of his second term.
00:01:45.800 37% of Americans in our poll approved of the job Trump is doing.
00:01:50.260 63% disapproved.
00:01:52.460 Take a look at his approval in this term over time.
00:01:56.020 You see here, he was up, hovering near 50% in his honeymoon after the inauguration,
00:02:01.460 and it has been going down pretty steadily since.
00:02:04.220 Is the Coast Guard doing effective work in the Pacific?
00:02:06.880 Sure. I mean, interdictions continue.
00:02:09.880 The problem is interdictions alone are not effective.
00:02:12.280 You have to de-incentivize this industry that these terrorists are using
00:02:16.080 to flood our country with heroin, with cocaine, with fentanyl,
00:02:19.320 and so, and by the way, destabilize the Caribbean in the process.
00:02:23.700 Interdictions don't, interdictions have limited to no deterrent effect.
00:02:28.480 These drug organizations, they've already baked in the fact
00:02:32.440 they may lose 5% of their drug shipments.
00:02:34.660 It doesn't stop them from coming, continuing to do it.
00:02:37.140 What you have seen is an impact on drug boats.
00:02:39.280 You have seen much less of them.
00:02:41.100 You're starting to see it.
00:02:42.280 It's a reality in both the Pacific and in the Caribbean basin,
00:02:45.320 especially in the Caribbean.
00:02:46.340 Venezuela is ordering a massive mobilization of its military
00:02:50.000 as the United States sends more of its own firepower to the region.
00:02:56.780 We love peace.
00:02:58.000 We deeply love peace.
00:02:59.920 We don't want war here nor in any other place around the world.
00:03:03.460 But if they dare to touch Venezuela, they're going to find us in every street.
00:03:09.580 The announcement came after America's largest warship arrived
00:03:13.600 in U.S. Southern Command Area of Operations.
00:03:17.620 That area includes most of Latin America.
00:03:21.220 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard.
00:03:24.640 Today's edition of Human Events Daily, here live on Real America's Voice.
00:03:28.980 Today is November 14, 2025, Anno Domini.
00:03:34.340 As many of you know, if you were watching yesterday,
00:03:36.700 I did have to step away during President Trump's executive order signing with the First Lady.
00:03:42.760 They were signing an executive order on foster care.
00:03:46.680 Incredible thing.
00:03:47.900 A lot of parents have stepped up.
00:03:49.120 A lot of abuses in that system.
00:03:50.500 I certainly hope the President's working to correct that.
00:03:53.060 I had to take care of a matter that I'm...
00:03:57.360 I will be making public at the appropriate time.
00:04:01.720 And that's going to be the best way to put that.
00:04:03.860 So, what we're really excited about, though, today...
00:04:08.080 Everything's fine.
00:04:08.820 Don't worry.
00:04:09.260 Everyone is fine.
00:04:10.120 Don't worry.
00:04:11.060 That we are on with Rich Barrist.
00:04:15.780 And he's going to be coming on in a couple of minutes
00:04:17.480 because I think what we do need is a gut check.
00:04:20.500 It's time for a MAGA gut check on where we're at,
00:04:24.540 where we're going, where we could be going,
00:04:27.220 what our...
00:04:27.700 And it's time for an assessment on all of this.
00:04:30.040 When I was in the military,
00:04:31.180 we would do the intelligence briefings
00:04:34.100 for the commanding officer.
00:04:35.340 And the intelligence briefings would always include this
00:04:37.100 when we were talking about a threat briefing.
00:04:38.820 We would say,
00:04:39.840 what is the ML COA and the MD COA?
00:04:43.820 So, the ML COA,
00:04:45.140 the most likely course of action.
00:04:47.960 The MD COA,
00:04:49.400 the most deadly course of action
00:04:51.700 or the most dangerous course of action.
00:04:53.540 So, we're going to walk through a very...
00:04:57.360 You know, a various set of scenarios coming up.
00:05:00.540 And we're going to talk about
00:05:01.900 where MAGA stands on all the issues.
00:05:04.600 And we're going to talk about the most likely scenario.
00:05:06.960 We're also going to talk about the most dangerous scenario.
00:05:09.020 And I really want to get into New Jersey
00:05:10.840 because people say,
00:05:12.520 oh, you know, you guys took the L.
00:05:14.060 Are you going to talk about it?
00:05:15.080 No, we are going to talk about it.
00:05:16.240 We are going to do a thorough autopsy on New Jersey
00:05:19.040 because Jack Cittarelli,
00:05:20.660 who I thought was a decent candidate,
00:05:22.120 you know, he didn't have the problems,
00:05:23.580 he didn't have the baggage
00:05:24.240 that Winsome Sears had down in Virginia.
00:05:26.960 I thought he was a good guy.
00:05:27.880 But at the same time, it didn't happen.
00:05:30.480 It really didn't happen.
00:05:31.960 And we have to figure out why.
00:05:33.640 Because if we don't do that,
00:05:35.100 and if we don't do the work,
00:05:36.180 then we can't understand how to get better.
00:05:39.020 If we act like we did everything right,
00:05:41.320 if we act like everything's fine,
00:05:43.300 when everything's not,
00:05:44.660 then we're doing a disservice to ourselves,
00:05:46.560 we're doing a disservice to the movement,
00:05:48.420 and we are doing a disservice to the country.
00:05:51.240 And it's really as simple as that.
00:05:53.440 This movement is about making America great again.
00:05:58.060 And it's about supporting President Trump
00:06:00.580 in his fight to do so.
00:06:03.000 And that is what we're here for.
00:06:04.680 That is what we're here to do.
00:06:06.480 But we're also here to tell the truth.
00:06:08.220 Okay?
00:06:08.720 You can't do that if you don't tell the truth.
00:06:10.280 You can't be a good supporter
00:06:11.860 if you're not telling the truth.
00:06:13.900 That's what I do every day.
00:06:15.740 We're going to tell the truth,
00:06:16.920 same way we always tell the truth,
00:06:18.100 whether it's on the Iran strikes,
00:06:20.500 whether it's on Israel,
00:06:21.740 whether it is on anything that's going on.
00:06:24.340 Jeffrey Epstein,
00:06:24.960 we did a whole episode on yesterday.
00:06:26.700 More than happy to do it.
00:06:28.260 And we went through every single email
00:06:30.640 that came out regarding President Trump.
00:06:33.020 So let's go through all the emails,
00:06:34.300 see everything that came out.
00:06:35.600 And we did that.
00:06:37.220 Political playbook wrote us up.
00:06:39.040 Good for us.
00:06:40.120 So we're here to do that today.
00:06:42.140 So join us for the MAGA gut check.
00:06:45.200 It's Jack Posobiec from Human Events Daily.
00:06:47.780 We're going to have Richard Barris,
00:06:49.540 the People's Pundit, joining us now.
00:06:51.760 We're also going to do an autopsy
00:06:53.000 of the Jack Cittarelli campaign,
00:06:55.060 specifically in New Jersey,
00:06:56.500 a place where many of us
00:06:58.700 were trying to reach
00:06:59.620 those crossover Republican voters.
00:07:01.900 Didn't happen.
00:07:02.840 We want to understand why.
00:07:04.800 Be right back.
00:07:05.520 Welcome to the second American Revolution.
00:07:20.400 All right, Jack Posobiec.
00:07:21.580 Here we are back.
00:07:22.780 Live human events daily.
00:07:25.640 Real America's voice.
00:07:28.960 And really excited to be here today.
00:07:31.800 And, you know,
00:07:32.740 everything that we're cutting down,
00:07:33.860 this is going to be great.
00:07:34.800 And so, folks,
00:07:35.480 I want to tell you as well
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00:08:42.060 with the letter N.
00:08:44.560 Conversation that we were
00:08:45.720 attempting to have yesterday
00:08:46.880 got cut short a little bit
00:08:47.980 by President of the United States,
00:08:49.720 but you know, that is how it goes.
00:08:50.880 And the First Lady of the United States
00:08:52.380 Rich Barris,
00:08:54.060 the People's Pundit,
00:08:55.060 joins us yet again.
00:08:56.900 Rich, what's going on, man?
00:08:58.400 Living the dream as always, my friend.
00:09:00.120 How you doing?
00:09:01.660 Doing well.
00:09:02.380 So we've been, you know,
00:09:04.080 you and I have been chatting
00:09:05.160 behind the scenes.
00:09:06.120 We were looking at some of that stuff
00:09:07.880 with the New Jersey race.
00:09:09.700 We're looking at the president's numbers.
00:09:11.240 We're talking about a lot of the polling
00:09:12.820 that's sort of been up and down
00:09:15.080 and all over the place right now.
00:09:17.500 And I just wanted to get a gut sense.
00:09:19.820 You know, you've been out there.
00:09:20.940 I've seen Rasmussen be out there.
00:09:24.400 I want to get a gut sense from you.
00:09:26.600 Where do you think?
00:09:27.720 And as what did Charlie say to Tucker?
00:09:31.760 Go Max.
00:09:32.680 Go Max.
00:09:33.180 Go Max.
00:09:33.860 Where's the president at right now?
00:09:36.240 I listened to that video, by the way,
00:09:38.140 and I laughed because, I mean,
00:09:40.040 I'm sure you've heard Charlie say that too, right?
00:09:43.040 Look, the president is...
00:09:44.740 I was standing like three feet away
00:09:47.080 from Charlie and Megan and Tucker
00:09:48.920 when I was like over with one of the producers.
00:09:52.100 And he would do that too.
00:09:53.440 I remember giving remarks at a turning point event
00:09:57.800 after talking about election integrity.
00:10:00.060 I'll never forget.
00:10:01.020 That was the first one I ever gave.
00:10:02.040 It's a pretty common phrase.
00:10:04.720 He always said that.
00:10:06.320 He did.
00:10:07.000 Yeah.
00:10:07.740 Go Max.
00:10:08.380 For me, it was usually go hard.
00:10:10.180 He'd be like, hey, go hard.
00:10:11.720 All right.
00:10:12.660 Look, this is that version.
00:10:15.880 The president is not in the same situation
00:10:18.560 as Republicans, congressional Republicans,
00:10:21.160 but he is at a crossroads.
00:10:24.480 He's at a pivotal point
00:10:25.500 where he needs to course correct in the message
00:10:29.000 and in what people perceive
00:10:31.460 his main focus and priority is.
00:10:35.020 But again, I want to put this in context.
00:10:37.680 He is not in a terrible situation.
00:10:39.620 Our latest polling has him at about 45% approval.
00:10:43.020 That was out at the end of October.
00:10:44.360 We're still tracking right now.
00:10:45.780 He hasn't fallen below 43.
00:10:47.700 But if you look inside the numbers,
00:10:49.500 which is why we call the show Inside the Numbers,
00:10:52.060 there are cracks in the coalition
00:10:55.140 that should be addressed.
00:10:56.840 And there's nothing wrong with pointing those out
00:10:59.800 and saying, look, this is what this government's all about.
00:11:03.120 When somebody has grievance,
00:11:05.000 you have to pay attention to them
00:11:06.420 and try to get to the heart of what that is.
00:11:08.360 And young voters over, I would say,
00:11:10.900 the last three months in particular,
00:11:12.580 really, Jack, this started in July.
00:11:14.360 I mean, we could isolate this easily.
00:11:17.940 At the time, we did try to speak up, you know,
00:11:21.080 and say, look, this is problematic.
00:11:24.820 The president is beloved by a lot of people.
00:11:27.660 And then there are voters in this coalition
00:11:31.100 that are relatively new.
00:11:33.300 And so the task for Republicans
00:11:35.420 was to get those voters into the coalition
00:11:38.140 to complete that realignment.
00:11:40.580 So when you see an issue with some of those voters,
00:11:43.840 you have to address it, right?
00:11:45.840 Otherwise, you're not going to complete the realignment.
00:11:48.100 And that is what this race is all about.
00:11:51.040 This has been a decade-long race, Jack,
00:11:52.940 to complete a realignment
00:11:54.860 before the Democratic Party completes theirs.
00:11:57.480 And the Democrats are, they lost in 24,
00:12:00.780 but their base is now more defined and more clear.
00:12:04.120 What's going on in the administration
00:12:05.620 and, you know, with the debates
00:12:07.300 that have been happening on the right
00:12:08.400 is a product of this, right?
00:12:10.420 You have a part of the coalition
00:12:12.040 that everybody wants to prioritize
00:12:14.020 what they think is more important,
00:12:15.640 but there are those younger voters,
00:12:17.980 especially, and independents especially,
00:12:19.920 who really want to see more focus
00:12:21.940 on the economy at home.
00:12:24.080 They're not interventionist.
00:12:25.420 They were deeply disturbed
00:12:26.760 about any kind of military action
00:12:28.580 over the summer that was going to,
00:12:29.960 they were fearing would distract
00:12:32.000 the administration from doing,
00:12:35.200 you know, from focusing on the more
00:12:37.320 America at first, America at home agenda.
00:12:39.700 And that's where we're at now.
00:12:42.140 I mean, where it's been months
00:12:43.340 and we're at a key time before the holidays
00:12:46.920 where there has to be a course correction here.
00:12:49.460 That's the truth.
00:12:50.260 So when, so when you say course correction,
00:12:53.700 what are, what are the groups then
00:12:56.500 where, where Trump's numbers need to go up
00:12:59.480 from in what you're seeing?
00:13:01.260 So immediately the, the, the immediately
00:13:04.140 18 to 29 year olds, 30 to 39 isn't as bad,
00:13:07.840 but you can start to see that as well.
00:13:09.780 And then independence.
00:13:11.400 So, I mean, I'm, I'm always focused on age
00:13:13.700 because the signal is so strong with,
00:13:16.140 by age group, by age buckets.
00:13:17.820 They are not at all interested in foreign policy.
00:13:22.240 So last month we began to ask these questions.
00:13:25.140 And since July, we have been asking about
00:13:27.380 what they think the U S role should be
00:13:29.340 and how much focus they should put on domestic
00:13:31.400 items versus the foreign.
00:13:34.000 And honestly, Jack, these younger voters
00:13:35.880 have been saying, look, we're,
00:13:37.380 our inheritance has been squandered.
00:13:39.000 We're in trouble at home.
00:13:40.300 And we want a 90 10 split or a hundred zero split
00:13:44.420 focus on what the country that we will have
00:13:47.160 when all of, you know, when, when others
00:13:49.540 who have had a much easier go at it
00:13:51.920 and have been able to enjoy the peace dividends
00:13:54.440 that they have never had,
00:13:56.660 they, they are concerned about their future
00:13:59.720 and their financial stability
00:14:01.600 and the ability to raise a family
00:14:03.060 in this environment or in the future environment,
00:14:05.360 which is seen as kind of dire.
00:14:07.000 And they want that to be given the same,
00:14:10.560 you know, as much concern as they have,
00:14:12.280 they want their representatives to reflect
00:14:14.960 the concern that they have,
00:14:16.300 their energy to reflect that concern.
00:14:18.640 And it's definitely, I mean,
00:14:19.540 the 18 to 29 is the most crucial,
00:14:21.380 but it is more than that, Jack.
00:14:22.460 We're talking about under 50 altogether.
00:14:25.140 Under 50, the boomers are good.
00:14:26.460 You know, 15 above, they're good.
00:14:28.440 They think everything's fine,
00:14:29.640 or at least most of them,
00:14:30.920 but everyone under 50 has a lot of concern.
00:14:33.740 And, and one of the things that I'm seeing
00:14:37.940 and one of the reads that we're obviously getting
00:14:39.740 out of the 2025 elections we saw in New York,
00:14:42.840 New Jersey, Virginia is economic conditions.
00:14:46.900 And, you know, the, the, obviously the common way
00:14:49.680 of putting that is cost of living,
00:14:51.360 just the cost of living is, you know,
00:14:54.080 and, you know, we can talk about,
00:14:55.760 talk about it all day long.
00:14:56.700 We can talk about, you know,
00:14:58.060 president's efforts to fight for this,
00:14:59.940 but it really does seem like when,
00:15:02.340 when you go to these polls
00:15:03.300 and when I talk to people
00:15:04.300 that they seem to be saying
00:15:06.200 that the cost of living
00:15:07.080 and the optics surrounding the,
00:15:09.640 the prioritization of cost of living
00:15:13.500 are something people are responding to.
00:15:15.480 This is what I would tell the administration
00:15:17.440 is that sometimes it's not even what,
00:15:20.520 you know, what the,
00:15:21.860 the achievements you're making
00:15:23.160 or, or how, you know,
00:15:24.620 the big, beautiful bill had a lot of,
00:15:26.240 obviously had a lot of items in there
00:15:28.080 directed at that,
00:15:29.800 but it's the focus,
00:15:31.280 it's the optics of it, right?
00:15:33.020 And the overwhelming perception
00:15:34.820 is that since July,
00:15:36.180 particularly when first it was the Epstein stuff
00:15:39.960 and that caused a little bit of a shake,
00:15:41.360 Jack, you know, with younger voters
00:15:42.520 that made them very suspicious.
00:15:44.520 But then if,
00:15:45.780 if there was a pivot
00:15:46.700 and that pivot would have been,
00:15:48.220 you know, optic wise,
00:15:49.140 focused on the domestic
00:15:50.340 and their issues that they cared about,
00:15:52.580 that we wouldn't be here right now.
00:15:54.360 But instead the administration didn't do that.
00:15:56.500 They got surrounded by a bunch of neocon pressure
00:15:59.740 to deal with Israel's problems,
00:16:02.220 Ukraine's problems.
00:16:03.120 And of course he's the president.
00:16:04.620 He, you and I know he has to deal, right?
00:16:06.960 With foreign policy.
00:16:08.040 It's a big part of the presidency,
00:16:09.900 but it's about how much
00:16:12.320 it looks like the president
00:16:14.580 is concerned about that
00:16:15.960 versus what they're concerned about at home.
00:16:18.440 And when you, I mean,
00:16:19.340 honestly, anyone can go to the White House schedule
00:16:21.540 and go look at the last three months
00:16:22.960 and you can't argue with the voters.
00:16:24.400 They're right.
00:16:25.340 There has been more of a priority on that.
00:16:27.640 And they are, you know,
00:16:29.100 a lot of people make this mistake.
00:16:30.840 The Biden administration did it too.
00:16:32.720 They tried to basically tell people,
00:16:34.300 everything is fine.
00:16:34.960 We've done a lot for you.
00:16:35.900 You just haven't seen it yet.
00:16:37.520 That just doesn't work.
00:16:38.900 You know, I mean, it doesn't.
00:16:40.520 Obama did it too.
00:16:41.440 2% is a new normal.
00:16:42.580 What's wrong with you?
00:16:43.240 Get on with your life.
00:16:44.200 For the work, for the professional class
00:16:46.500 and for the older, older boomers and beyond
00:16:49.660 and super seniors,
00:16:51.580 they're doing all right.
00:16:52.960 But the rest of the voters are not
00:16:55.840 and they don't feel it.
00:16:57.920 So even just the appearance
00:17:00.460 that they are the priority would go a long way.
00:17:04.040 And they didn't, they haven't been getting that.
00:17:06.160 If we're all being honest,
00:17:07.260 they have not been getting that.
00:17:09.220 So, I mean, that's what has to change.
00:17:11.040 And by the way, that's why it's
00:17:12.980 because of that situation.
00:17:14.400 That's the context whereby in when,
00:17:16.900 you know, we've seen this backlash
00:17:18.860 to the H-1B comments,
00:17:20.580 that's where the backlash comes from.
00:17:22.800 Yes, 100%.
00:17:24.060 And I do think that a lot of people on the right
00:17:26.320 who are very passionate about their support for Israel
00:17:29.080 also don't realize that some of these issues
00:17:31.740 are just being you.
00:17:33.360 They're just pressure points, right?
00:17:35.440 And I think it could have been any other conflict, Jack.
00:17:39.280 I mean, it could have been South Korea.
00:17:41.700 It could have been Taiwan.
00:17:43.040 It could have been any other point on the map.
00:17:46.060 And it still would have led to this backlash
00:17:48.400 that we have seen.
00:17:50.760 I do think probably, you know, the way, not probably,
00:17:53.280 the way that the, you know,
00:17:55.160 the pro-Israel, more interventionist wing of the party,
00:17:59.080 the way they handled it
00:18:00.200 was the absolute worst way to handle it.
00:18:03.080 Because again, you have to realize
00:18:04.460 a lot of these people are new members of the coalition.
00:18:06.940 But for people who think,
00:18:09.440 well, they're new and, you know,
00:18:10.740 they got to do their time.
00:18:13.000 That's ridiculous.
00:18:14.140 They are the younger, less white, more diverse.
00:18:17.300 They are the future, right?
00:18:19.060 So you're kowtowing to,
00:18:21.800 you're kowtowing and letting this group of older,
00:18:26.160 you know, the past,
00:18:27.100 browbeat the younger part of your coalition,
00:18:29.700 which is your future.
00:18:30.720 And the way, the path to your victories,
00:18:32.760 your future victories,
00:18:33.960 you're letting them browbeat them.
00:18:35.340 And here's something that I think
00:18:36.520 people really need to understand.
00:18:38.380 Sometimes I forget to put it up daily,
00:18:40.220 but I try to remember to put it up daily.
00:18:42.560 The Republican Party is America first now,
00:18:45.180 by majority overwhelmingly,
00:18:47.160 because of these voters.
00:18:48.220 The older the age bucket,
00:18:52.080 the more split Republican voters are
00:18:54.460 between America first identification
00:18:56.440 and traditional Republican identification.
00:18:59.780 It's overwhelmingly America first.
00:19:00.760 I want to unpack that some more
00:19:02.000 when we get right back
00:19:03.140 on the other side of the break.
00:19:05.740 This is huge.
00:19:06.720 On one sec, Real America's Voice,
00:19:08.580 Human Events Daily.
00:19:12.160 Today, you know,
00:19:13.360 they talk about influencers.
00:19:14.900 These are influencers.
00:19:15.860 And they're friends of mine.
00:19:19.140 Jack Kerselbeck.
00:19:20.640 Where's Jack?
00:19:21.620 Jack.
00:19:22.720 He's done a great job.
00:19:24.080 All right, Jack Kerselbeck.
00:19:27.360 We are back live here.
00:19:28.880 Human Events Daily.
00:19:30.320 Real America's Voice.
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00:20:52.620 So Rich,
00:20:53.580 we're on with Rich Barris here,
00:20:55.320 Human Events,
00:20:56.220 the People's Pundit.
00:20:57.800 Rich,
00:20:58.380 you were talking about
00:20:59.420 how the president
00:21:00.140 is at an inflection point.
00:21:01.740 You were talking about
00:21:02.560 how there's really been
00:21:03.980 this huge drop-off
00:21:05.040 with Gen Z voters.
00:21:06.380 You've talked about
00:21:07.000 how there's a way to,
00:21:09.460 you know,
00:21:09.720 there are ways
00:21:10.600 to pivot on this
00:21:11.740 and really talking about
00:21:12.980 how it seems
00:21:14.080 as almost though
00:21:14.800 that foreign policy
00:21:16.580 has taken
00:21:17.440 the driver's seat
00:21:19.460 and taken the front row
00:21:20.680 while the backseat
00:21:22.800 are given to
00:21:23.820 domestic policy issues
00:21:26.000 and how this isn't
00:21:27.260 always necessarily
00:21:28.500 mean that the,
00:21:31.040 you know,
00:21:31.300 the White House
00:21:31.720 isn't doing anything,
00:21:32.680 but it does mean
00:21:34.040 it's an optics thing.
00:21:35.520 When the president
00:21:36.020 goes overseas
00:21:36.760 and the president's
00:21:37.520 receiving a foreign
00:21:38.360 dignitary,
00:21:39.040 it just seems like
00:21:40.340 that's where
00:21:40.940 his focus is at
00:21:42.040 because that's
00:21:42.920 what people see.
00:21:43.700 That's what they perceive.
00:21:45.240 And so,
00:21:45.820 you know,
00:21:46.920 attention is influence.
00:21:47.980 So it seems like
00:21:48.620 that's where
00:21:49.080 the influence is.
00:21:50.760 If you were talking
00:21:51.760 to the White House,
00:21:52.780 what are some of the things
00:21:54.300 that you would say?
00:21:55.880 Go on a tour.
00:21:57.360 Go on a tour.
00:21:58.420 Go on a manufacturing tour.
00:21:59.880 Go on an America
00:22:00.720 restoration tour.
00:22:02.320 All right?
00:22:02.640 Something like that.
00:22:03.620 Brand it.
00:22:04.040 Something to that effect.
00:22:06.100 Gear the messaging
00:22:07.040 towards people
00:22:08.620 who are 50 and under
00:22:10.020 in this country.
00:22:11.220 The fact of the matter is
00:22:12.420 the numbers haven't moved
00:22:13.420 all that much
00:22:14.160 with those who are 50 and above.
00:22:15.940 This is coming from
00:22:16.920 core working voters.
00:22:18.160 And the reason why
00:22:19.080 is very clear.
00:22:19.900 As far as I know,
00:22:20.760 we're the first,
00:22:21.460 not as far as I know.
00:22:22.200 I'm being,
00:22:22.720 I'm trying to be funny
00:22:23.940 and facetious here.
00:22:25.200 We are the first pollster
00:22:26.840 for years now
00:22:28.400 to start to ask Republicans
00:22:30.160 what they identify as
00:22:31.760 and what they want
00:22:32.840 prioritized by their leaders.
00:22:35.400 And if you look at,
00:22:37.580 and we've put this data out,
00:22:38.740 we have been for years now,
00:22:40.180 Jack,
00:22:40.480 if you look at it,
00:22:41.560 you will see
00:22:42.120 that the future
00:22:44.000 of the Republican Party,
00:22:45.460 if they have one,
00:22:46.800 is 100% built,
00:22:49.020 it has to be,
00:22:49.900 built around America first.
00:22:52.680 Older voters
00:22:53.380 are equally basically aligned
00:22:55.540 between traditional Republicans
00:22:56.920 and those who identify more
00:22:58.880 with the America first agenda.
00:23:00.080 They call themselves
00:23:00.820 America first Republicans.
00:23:02.680 But under 50,
00:23:03.920 it explodes.
00:23:05.380 Prime working age people,
00:23:06.700 30 to 44 are the most likely.
00:23:09.180 It's over two-thirds majority
00:23:10.500 to say they're America first.
00:23:11.900 And the younger generations
00:23:14.020 you can see
00:23:14.840 are getting more America first
00:23:17.100 the younger they get.
00:23:19.180 So, look,
00:23:20.120 this is a matter of numbers
00:23:21.320 and demographic trends.
00:23:23.440 You cannot give,
00:23:25.240 even if it's optics,
00:23:26.540 you cannot appear
00:23:27.660 to be giving more
00:23:28.560 of your attention
00:23:29.140 to the issues
00:23:30.000 that people who honestly
00:23:31.500 won't be much
00:23:32.260 of a political factor
00:23:33.160 in 10 years tops,
00:23:34.700 you cannot be giving them
00:23:36.080 all your attention
00:23:36.820 if you want to build
00:23:37.640 a durable,
00:23:38.320 long-lasting coalition.
00:23:39.980 And ironically, Jack,
00:23:41.320 we've also asked this question
00:23:42.760 now for a while.
00:23:44.060 It's the perceived focus
00:23:45.580 that the Trump administration
00:23:46.560 has been giving.
00:23:47.900 Do you think that they give
00:23:48.920 too much focus
00:23:50.060 on foreign policy
00:23:51.440 versus domestic policy,
00:23:52.680 too much focus
00:23:53.300 on domestic policy
00:23:54.300 versus foreign policy,
00:23:55.380 or the third option is
00:23:57.040 about right?
00:23:58.220 It's obvious.
00:23:59.440 It's very clear.
00:24:00.740 If you look at those
00:24:01.720 who are above the age
00:24:02.800 of 65 and above,
00:24:04.300 they are about split,
00:24:05.340 and they say
00:24:05.660 the largest pool of them
00:24:06.960 will say that it's about right.
00:24:09.060 You know,
00:24:09.480 the Trump administration
00:24:10.180 is splitting their time evenly.
00:24:12.260 Everybody else,
00:24:13.560 and it's an overwhelming majority
00:24:15.120 of all voters
00:24:16.380 because of this,
00:24:17.520 and then obviously
00:24:18.600 of the age buckets below,
00:24:21.140 everybody else,
00:24:22.960 it's overwhelming majorities
00:24:24.540 that say they are focused
00:24:25.740 too much on foreign policy.
00:24:27.760 And again,
00:24:29.340 the younger you get,
00:24:30.600 so if it's,
00:24:31.660 you know,
00:24:31.900 the 30 to 45,
00:24:33.840 the, you know,
00:24:34.560 and we also do age details,
00:24:36.260 so you could look at it
00:24:36.820 from 18 to 24,
00:24:37.920 25 to 29,
00:24:39.140 30 to 39,
00:24:40.160 40 to 49.
00:24:41.240 It's very clear.
00:24:42.360 It's a very textbook,
00:24:43.940 a very textbook age signal
00:24:45.500 where you can see
00:24:46.200 that the younger you are,
00:24:47.840 the more likely you are
00:24:48.800 to say that they want,
00:24:50.280 they think the president
00:24:51.040 and the administration
00:24:51.760 are too focused
00:24:52.540 on foreign stuff.
00:24:53.520 They want more attention
00:24:54.640 at home
00:24:55.120 and their own problems.
00:24:56.960 And I mean,
00:24:57.800 again,
00:24:58.420 honestly,
00:24:58.880 if you look at the,
00:25:01.260 I mean,
00:25:01.500 the president has to hold,
00:25:02.660 you know,
00:25:02.820 he has to host
00:25:04.260 foreign dignitaries.
00:25:05.160 He's got to make foreign trips,
00:25:07.080 but it's a matter of
00:25:08.580 how you're splitting your time.
00:25:10.360 It's the optics,
00:25:11.940 of course,
00:25:12.420 and we're using this word,
00:25:13.460 but the truth of the matter
00:25:14.300 is the voters are right.
00:25:15.840 And it's demonstrably true
00:25:17.580 that over the last three months,
00:25:19.260 you can look at the schedule
00:25:20.260 that the White House
00:25:21.060 has given much more weight,
00:25:23.120 much more time.
00:25:24.280 And then when you look
00:25:24.860 at congressional Republicans,
00:25:26.140 here's the real danger.
00:25:27.040 The entire nine months,
00:25:29.800 last nine months,
00:25:31.020 the number one priority,
00:25:32.900 the number one goal
00:25:33.980 for the Republican Party
00:25:35.260 and Congress specifically
00:25:36.720 was to convince voters
00:25:38.600 that they were more like Trump,
00:25:40.440 that they were going
00:25:41.240 to rebrand themselves
00:25:42.340 as the party of America first.
00:25:44.820 If they wanted to hold on
00:25:46.100 to these new
00:25:46.720 non-white voting coalitions,
00:25:48.640 younger voting coalitions,
00:25:49.920 they had to do that
00:25:51.260 because the truth is
00:25:52.240 these new Trump voters
00:25:53.260 don't really like
00:25:54.040 the Republican Party
00:25:54.880 all that much at all.
00:25:55.940 They don't identify
00:25:57.260 as conservatives.
00:25:59.120 In fact,
00:25:59.660 we're at a historic low
00:26:00.860 for overall identification
00:26:02.340 as conservative.
00:26:03.700 And it is the,
00:26:04.520 it's obviously worse.
00:26:05.700 It's the lowest,
00:26:06.640 the younger you go.
00:26:08.040 And Republicans
00:26:09.080 just didn't do that, Jack.
00:26:11.120 They didn't.
00:26:12.020 I mean,
00:26:12.260 that's just a fact.
00:26:13.460 So in order for them
00:26:14.860 to fix this,
00:26:15.780 they're going to have
00:26:16.620 to do something
00:26:17.180 that is relatively historic.
00:26:18.420 They're going to have
00:26:19.040 to break their tradition
00:26:20.440 of after the holidays,
00:26:22.340 you know,
00:26:22.660 shifting into campaign mode,
00:26:24.160 being risk adverse,
00:26:25.620 not wanting to take on
00:26:26.660 aggressive agenda items.
00:26:28.140 They're going to have
00:26:28.900 to put that aside.
00:26:30.340 And that's the way DC works.
00:26:32.100 And I understand that,
00:26:33.500 but their window
00:26:35.260 to rebrand themselves
00:26:36.320 has closed.
00:26:37.260 They literally have
00:26:38.220 to reopen it now
00:26:39.520 because any,
00:26:40.480 any course correction
00:26:41.440 the White House makes
00:26:42.560 is probably not going
00:26:44.180 to trickle down to them
00:26:45.100 in the generic ballot.
00:26:46.480 Those voters
00:26:47.240 are just going to continue
00:26:48.440 to see Donald Trump
00:26:49.540 as differently
00:26:50.540 than the Republican Party.
00:26:51.820 And that's going to hurt them
00:26:53.100 in the midterms badly.
00:26:55.260 Badly.
00:26:56.860 Well, I think that's right.
00:26:58.060 I think it's exactly right.
00:26:59.040 Rich Barris will be right back.
00:27:00.420 The People's Pundit,
00:27:01.260 Human Events Daily,
00:27:02.180 Real America's Voice.
00:27:07.800 Hey, Jack,
00:27:08.720 where is Jack?
00:27:10.800 Where is Jack?
00:27:13.120 Where is he?
00:27:14.400 Jack, I want to see you.
00:27:18.060 Great job, Jack.
00:27:19.440 Thank you.
00:27:20.220 What a job you do.
00:27:21.300 You know,
00:27:21.920 we have an incredible thing.
00:27:23.080 We're always talking
00:27:23.640 about the fake news
00:27:24.640 and the bad,
00:27:25.440 but we have guys
00:27:26.360 and these are the guys
00:27:27.760 who should be getting
00:27:28.320 policies.
00:27:30.320 All right,
00:27:30.940 Jack Posobiec,
00:27:31.560 back live,
00:27:32.660 Human Events Daily,
00:27:33.740 Real America's Voice.
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00:28:43.300 All right,
00:28:43.480 back on with Rich Barris.
00:28:44.540 Rich,
00:28:44.800 I gotta ask you,
00:28:45.580 man,
00:28:46.040 and you're someone
00:28:46.780 who knows the state
00:28:47.600 even better than me,
00:28:49.240 New Jersey.
00:28:50.360 We gotta talk
00:28:51.480 about New Jersey
00:28:52.520 because the Jack Cittarelli
00:28:53.780 campaign,
00:28:54.700 and I was remiss.
00:28:56.000 I did not have
00:28:56.560 the people's pundit on
00:28:57.420 before we went,
00:28:58.120 we, you know,
00:28:59.380 went into that state.
00:29:01.460 We fought the good fight,
00:29:02.940 but nobody saw
00:29:05.560 Mikey Sherrill
00:29:06.800 coming out
00:29:07.320 with a 13-point win,
00:29:08.880 and the pollsters
00:29:10.440 got this
00:29:11.080 completely wrong.
00:29:12.420 They completely blew it.
00:29:14.140 You did not release
00:29:15.240 any public polling
00:29:16.480 in that race,
00:29:18.100 but I would like
00:29:19.960 to get your read
00:29:21.500 on it as someone,
00:29:22.340 you're not from Jersey,
00:29:23.100 but you lived in Jersey
00:29:23.980 for a long time.
00:29:24.880 You understand Jersey.
00:29:26.600 Walk me through
00:29:27.240 what happened there.
00:29:28.860 I, uh,
00:29:29.340 and,
00:29:29.680 and obviously,
00:29:30.440 you do know,
00:29:31.400 I mean,
00:29:31.680 we just didn't release
00:29:32.740 any public polling,
00:29:33.980 but I will give,
00:29:35.500 I'll try to say this
00:29:36.380 because we,
00:29:36.880 we didn't view
00:29:38.020 that race at the end
00:29:39.120 to be that close.
00:29:40.120 It's the same thing
00:29:40.780 with Virginia,
00:29:41.380 but I will tell people
00:29:42.480 to give pollsters,
00:29:43.820 depending on when they polled,
00:29:45.120 um, you know,
00:29:46.540 cut them a little bit
00:29:47.400 of slack here
00:29:48.100 because it really did run away
00:29:50.560 in the polling
00:29:51.400 from Republicans
00:29:52.280 in about the last two weeks.
00:29:54.900 Uh,
00:29:55.420 so if somebody had polled
00:29:56.660 a little bit before that,
00:29:58.240 it,
00:29:58.580 it could have been,
00:29:59.640 you know,
00:29:59.880 if you,
00:30:00.200 if you got like a Sherrill
00:30:01.160 plus six or closer,
00:30:02.400 it's justifiable,
00:30:04.060 it,
00:30:04.460 but it got away.
00:30:06.180 And New Jersey,
00:30:07.320 the garden state,
00:30:08.580 um,
00:30:09.440 which I still have
00:30:10.280 a lot of love for.
00:30:11.640 This is a great example
00:30:12.920 of the voters
00:30:13.520 that you and I
00:30:14.200 were just talking about
00:30:15.020 specifically,
00:30:15.680 not so much even
00:30:16.600 on the younger side,
00:30:17.400 of course that matters too,
00:30:18.740 but definitely more
00:30:19.880 on the non-white side,
00:30:21.600 uh,
00:30:22.340 of the new MAGA coalition.
00:30:24.000 Donald Trump
00:30:24.540 made that state
00:30:25.260 five points,
00:30:26.200 Jack,
00:30:26.520 and it's a remarkable,
00:30:28.100 almost Herculean task
00:30:29.360 when you consider
00:30:30.000 that New Jersey
00:30:30.660 was one only of only
00:30:31.820 two states
00:30:32.420 along with Hawaii
00:30:33.820 in 2012
00:30:35.020 to vote more
00:30:36.100 for Barack Obama
00:30:37.160 than it did in 08.
00:30:38.780 And for people
00:30:39.460 who don't know
00:30:40.060 or don't remember,
00:30:41.280 Barack Obama
00:30:41.880 won in 2012
00:30:42.800 by a much now
00:30:43.660 or a margin
00:30:44.240 than he won in 08.
00:30:45.260 And he became
00:30:45.720 the first president
00:30:46.480 ever to be reelected
00:30:47.700 by a smaller margin
00:30:49.080 than when he was
00:30:50.040 first elected.
00:30:50.860 He has the dubious
00:30:51.600 distinction in history
00:30:52.640 for that,
00:30:53.140 but New Jersey
00:30:53.840 actually voted more.
00:30:55.180 By the way,
00:30:55.560 Rich,
00:30:55.840 I was talking about that
00:30:57.140 and I was talking
00:30:57.860 about how,
00:30:58.580 how Biden won
00:30:59.920 by a much wider margin
00:31:01.140 than Obama won
00:31:01.980 in 2012.
00:31:03.200 And that's how much
00:31:04.420 of an impact
00:31:05.120 the new
00:31:06.000 America First movement
00:31:07.780 in that led up
00:31:08.960 to 24
00:31:09.560 had,
00:31:11.180 Jack,
00:31:11.520 not only on New Jersey,
00:31:12.880 but literally
00:31:13.680 everywhere around
00:31:15.060 the country.
00:31:16.100 And I,
00:31:16.380 you know,
00:31:16.580 before,
00:31:17.020 maybe we didn't talk
00:31:17.560 about it before
00:31:18.060 this election,
00:31:18.660 but before 24,
00:31:19.800 you and I did speak
00:31:20.640 about this.
00:31:21.180 I went to northern
00:31:22.160 New Jersey,
00:31:22.820 New York
00:31:23.320 with my wife.
00:31:24.980 We were there
00:31:25.340 to see her cousin
00:31:27.160 get married
00:31:27.640 and we were in
00:31:28.960 a lot of the parts
00:31:30.340 of the state,
00:31:31.000 Passaic,
00:31:31.600 where there's heavily
00:31:32.260 non-white population.
00:31:34.480 You could see
00:31:35.020 the Trump supporters
00:31:35.860 everywhere.
00:31:36.740 And I'm not talking
00:31:37.540 about Appalachian
00:31:38.780 working class
00:31:39.460 Trump supporters.
00:31:40.440 These were non-whites,
00:31:42.640 multi-racial,
00:31:43.760 multi-religious
00:31:44.900 affiliations.
00:31:46.100 It was incredible
00:31:46.940 finding any spot
00:31:48.560 in where there's grass
00:31:51.160 in some of the areas
00:31:52.580 in northern Jersey
00:31:53.840 with crazy,
00:31:54.840 dangerous U-turns
00:31:56.120 still out there
00:31:57.200 packed in
00:31:57.760 and holding signs,
00:31:58.700 not because it was
00:31:59.260 a rally,
00:32:00.320 but because they were
00:32:00.900 just there to show
00:32:01.480 their support
00:32:01.900 for Donald Trump,
00:32:03.120 yet many of them
00:32:04.500 would still have
00:32:05.200 the Democratic candidates
00:32:07.180 lawn signs
00:32:08.020 right next to signs
00:32:09.460 that said Trump
00:32:10.180 or bust voters.
00:32:11.460 So when I stressed
00:32:13.160 after the election
00:32:14.040 that you could,
00:32:15.180 if you're the Republican
00:32:16.040 party,
00:32:16.420 you could assault
00:32:17.080 the Mid-Atlantic,
00:32:18.180 but it requires
00:32:19.940 something new.
00:32:21.700 And that's not
00:32:22.780 what we saw
00:32:23.260 in New Jersey.
00:32:23.880 For instance,
00:32:24.580 because let's get
00:32:25.260 to the heart of it.
00:32:25.800 There's a lot of things
00:32:26.500 that went wrong
00:32:26.980 for Republicans in New Jersey.
00:32:28.080 Let's get to the heart
00:32:28.880 of some of them.
00:32:30.100 The prevailing view
00:32:31.620 among people
00:32:32.720 who were most involved
00:32:33.640 or helping Jack Tittarelli
00:32:34.800 in the campaign,
00:32:35.920 the prevailing view
00:32:36.740 was that keep the president
00:32:38.100 out of here
00:32:38.860 because he's going
00:32:40.400 to drive up
00:32:41.100 Democratic turnout.
00:32:42.540 That,
00:32:43.140 when I hear things
00:32:44.100 like that,
00:32:44.580 10 years into this movement,
00:32:46.300 it's so frustrating
00:32:48.140 and I just find myself
00:32:49.400 shaking my head.
00:32:49.940 And by the way, Rich,
00:32:50.200 I have to say it,
00:32:50.980 I have to say it,
00:32:51.680 the people who were
00:32:52.260 pushing that
00:32:52.800 were the Chris Christie people.
00:32:54.440 It was this Chris Christie network
00:32:55.840 that's all throughout
00:32:57.080 the state of New Jersey.
00:32:59.440 The same way
00:33:00.040 that the McCain people,
00:33:01.140 it was the same thing
00:33:01.980 that McCain people did
00:33:02.940 with Carrie Lake
00:33:03.680 in Arizona
00:33:04.400 where this person
00:33:06.120 is not from our network,
00:33:07.280 this person is not one of us
00:33:08.720 and therefore,
00:33:10.180 he hasn't kissed the ring
00:33:11.220 and therefore,
00:33:12.160 you know,
00:33:12.600 we're not going to help him.
00:33:13.720 And also,
00:33:16.180 they really do believe
00:33:17.220 that nonsense, Jack,
00:33:18.620 you know,
00:33:18.980 and that's a,
00:33:20.000 when I hear it,
00:33:20.760 it tells me that
00:33:23.660 there's still too many
00:33:25.000 Republican consultants,
00:33:26.420 whether they mean well
00:33:27.220 or not,
00:33:27.800 there's Republicans
00:33:29.360 who think stale,
00:33:31.680 their thinking is stale
00:33:32.660 and they don't understand,
00:33:34.840 forget about any
00:33:35.700 of the intricacies,
00:33:36.840 they don't understand
00:33:37.860 the basics
00:33:38.320 of what,
00:33:39.780 of the realignment
00:33:40.580 that they needed
00:33:41.980 to complete.
00:33:42.940 And the truth is,
00:33:44.000 why,
00:33:44.220 why,
00:33:44.520 why am I saying that?
00:33:45.980 Because Democrats now
00:33:47.240 have the higher
00:33:47.960 propensity coalition.
00:33:49.720 They're always going
00:33:50.920 to have,
00:33:51.560 especially in off-cycle
00:33:52.720 and midterm races,
00:33:54.100 they're always going
00:33:55.060 to have a base
00:33:56.580 that is more reliable
00:33:58.220 to turn out
00:33:59.460 than Republicans
00:34:00.340 are going to.
00:34:01.080 They have a smaller one,
00:34:02.680 but they have that base
00:34:04.700 that's more reliable.
00:34:06.020 It used to be,
00:34:06.940 you know,
00:34:07.120 back in 2014,
00:34:08.300 back in 2010,
00:34:09.320 Republicans relied on this
00:34:10.640 in order to win midterms
00:34:12.220 that they really
00:34:12.980 shouldn't have won.
00:34:14.100 If all the voting population
00:34:17.040 came out,
00:34:17.560 they would have lost those,
00:34:18.560 right?
00:34:19.160 And Republicans have yet
00:34:20.200 to come to grips with this.
00:34:21.400 And the idea
00:34:22.280 that you're somehow
00:34:23.000 going to juice turnout
00:34:24.120 more among the Democratic base
00:34:25.740 because Donald Trump
00:34:26.520 is out there
00:34:27.140 is just ignorant.
00:34:28.200 It means you don't understand
00:34:29.740 this new world.
00:34:30.920 It is a new world.
00:34:32.060 It is a new coalition.
00:34:33.540 And it's because
00:34:34.220 of the realignment.
00:34:35.500 Donald Trump needs
00:34:36.840 to be involved
00:34:37.900 in order to match
00:34:39.200 the enthusiasm.
00:34:40.840 Look, Democrats
00:34:41.540 did not bring Barack Obama
00:34:42.920 into the urban areas,
00:34:44.300 folks,
00:34:44.600 because Mikey Sherrill
00:34:45.500 was in a good position
00:34:46.400 three weeks before the election.
00:34:48.120 That's just BS
00:34:49.120 and ridiculous.
00:34:50.480 They brought Barack Obama
00:34:51.420 in because their polls
00:34:52.420 were showing
00:34:52.860 what everybody else's
00:34:53.740 polls were showing,
00:34:54.660 which is that this is
00:34:55.520 kind of dangerously close.
00:34:57.240 We need to bring Obama
00:34:58.140 in to talk about
00:34:59.000 this shutdown,
00:35:00.080 which was another
00:35:00.660 big part of this,
00:35:01.520 especially in urban areas.
00:35:03.060 And you had Democrats,
00:35:04.080 including Barack Obama,
00:35:04.980 running around saying,
00:35:06.440 if you don't vote
00:35:07.000 for Mikey Sherrill,
00:35:08.140 Republicans are going
00:35:08.880 to starve you out.
00:35:09.800 Look at what they're
00:35:10.260 doing to you.
00:35:10.940 Even the snap benefits
00:35:12.500 are going to run out.
00:35:13.600 And people bought it.
00:35:14.700 And it's important
00:35:15.300 not to, you know,
00:35:16.720 look down on those people,
00:35:18.140 even if many of them
00:35:19.460 had just voted
00:35:20.520 for Donald Trump.
00:35:21.820 It's not,
00:35:22.900 you can't blame them
00:35:24.100 because they didn't
00:35:25.220 get a counter message.
00:35:26.640 They didn't see Donald,
00:35:27.960 who I know,
00:35:28.520 by the way,
00:35:28.940 the president
00:35:29.380 was willing to do
00:35:31.160 in-person events.
00:35:32.840 Tele-rallies do nothing.
00:35:34.900 They do nothing,
00:35:35.720 which is why.
00:35:36.780 Well, and so,
00:35:37.440 Rich,
00:35:37.580 you and I discussed
00:35:38.180 this a little bit earlier.
00:35:39.240 So, a lot of people
00:35:42.420 were putting the signal
00:35:43.660 out that there was
00:35:44.220 going to be this
00:35:44.840 crossover vote
00:35:46.040 of Democrats
00:35:46.720 voting for the Republican.
00:35:48.380 But are you saying
00:35:49.040 then that the crossover
00:35:50.100 actually went the other way
00:35:51.600 and there were Republicans
00:35:52.540 who voted for Mikey Sherrill?
00:35:54.700 In both polling
00:35:56.160 that Mark Mitchell
00:35:57.500 at Rasmussen Reports
00:35:58.800 did and polling I did,
00:36:01.500 there were actually
00:36:02.220 more Republicans
00:36:03.020 who were voting
00:36:03.720 for Mikey Sherrill
00:36:04.640 than there were Democrats
00:36:05.740 voting for Jack Cittarelli.
00:36:07.320 And that's of the likely
00:36:08.800 voter universe.
00:36:09.940 So, that goes to show you
00:36:11.060 how much they failed
00:36:12.220 at turning out
00:36:13.040 the universe of voters
00:36:14.120 that they needed to.
00:36:15.540 And I hear people
00:36:16.680 say things like,
00:36:17.440 but we got more votes
00:36:18.460 than we did in 21.
00:36:19.760 Guys, that is a basic
00:36:21.440 minimal requirement.
00:36:22.860 You shouldn't be patting
00:36:23.720 yourselves on the back
00:36:24.580 for it.
00:36:25.320 You, Donald,
00:36:26.740 unless you know
00:36:27.500 anybody else
00:36:28.200 than, other than
00:36:29.480 Donald Trump,
00:36:30.160 who could go to
00:36:31.200 Wildwood, New Jersey
00:36:32.420 and draw a crowd
00:36:33.220 of 100,000 people
00:36:34.500 than knock yourselves
00:36:35.580 out.
00:36:36.260 You can't.
00:36:37.300 Donald Trump,
00:36:37.920 those Democrats
00:36:38.560 that were in polls
00:36:40.180 like the Emerson poll,
00:36:41.340 right, that was showing
00:36:42.420 three to one crossover
00:36:43.500 that actually favored
00:36:44.600 Cittarelli,
00:36:45.280 they didn't vote.
00:36:46.700 Those are Democrats
00:36:47.580 that just voted
00:36:48.540 for Donald Trump,
00:36:49.640 you know,
00:36:50.020 12 months ago, Jack,
00:36:51.560 but weren't,
00:36:52.020 because Donald Trump
00:36:52.640 could not have gotten
00:36:53.660 within five points
00:36:54.720 just for all the,
00:36:55.660 to dispel all the
00:36:56.660 ridiculous, like,
00:36:57.660 you know,
00:36:58.120 exit poll myths
00:36:59.340 out there.
00:37:00.120 Donald Trump
00:37:00.620 cannot get within
00:37:01.540 five points
00:37:02.240 to Kamala Harris
00:37:02.900 in the state of New Jersey
00:37:03.940 without significant
00:37:04.900 help from Democrats,
00:37:05.840 and he got it.
00:37:07.200 He also won
00:37:07.860 independents
00:37:08.480 overwhelmingly.
00:37:09.860 There's just not
00:37:10.560 enough Republicans
00:37:11.280 in that state
00:37:12.220 to even get
00:37:13.160 that level of support,
00:37:14.540 but it's,
00:37:16.040 it's, it's,
00:37:17.200 the polling models
00:37:18.200 that were gauging
00:37:19.600 that universe
00:37:20.680 don't realize
00:37:21.600 that that universe
00:37:22.720 is not going
00:37:23.640 to be the electorate
00:37:25.000 without Donald Trump's
00:37:26.420 direct involvement.
00:37:28.620 I mean,
00:37:29.000 it's obvious.
00:37:30.160 At some point,
00:37:31.080 the Republicans
00:37:31.520 have to learn
00:37:32.080 to live without him.
00:37:32.740 Jack Buffett
00:37:33.140 right now,
00:37:33.680 they just simply
00:37:34.320 can't.
00:37:35.140 They just can't.
00:37:35.900 And for people
00:37:36.260 who don't understand
00:37:36.880 the significance
00:37:37.540 of when I say
00:37:38.220 he can bring
00:37:38.700 100,000 people
00:37:39.500 to Wildwood,
00:37:40.560 for everyone
00:37:41.200 who was born
00:37:42.940 and raised,
00:37:43.520 went to school
00:37:44.100 in South Central Jersey,
00:37:45.980 Wildwood,
00:37:46.460 you're going to laugh
00:37:47.000 when you hear me
00:37:47.440 say this,
00:37:47.820 because you know,
00:37:48.940 Wildwood is not
00:37:50.380 some typical
00:37:51.880 Republican
00:37:52.480 or Wasp Republican
00:37:54.080 or silk stocking
00:37:55.300 Republican town.
00:37:56.040 No, no, it's not
00:37:56.260 that spot.
00:37:56.660 Trump pulled him out.
00:37:58.200 He did it with,
00:37:59.060 he did it with
00:37:59.740 immigration and the economy.
00:38:01.380 Right back,
00:38:01.800 Jack Posobiec,
00:38:02.820 Bridge Barris.
00:38:07.260 Jack is a great guy.
00:38:08.820 He's written that
00:38:09.360 fantastic book.
00:38:10.520 Everybody's talking
00:38:11.200 about it.
00:38:11.700 Go get it.
00:38:12.820 And he's been my friend
00:38:13.780 right from the beginning
00:38:14.720 of this whole beautiful event.
00:38:16.820 And we're going to turn it around
00:38:18.160 and make our country
00:38:19.080 cry to get to him.
00:38:20.080 Amen.
00:38:20.340 All right, folks,
00:38:21.980 Jack Posobiec,
00:38:22.500 we're back live,
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00:38:24.080 daily,
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00:38:25.300 Folks,
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00:38:38.400 breast,
00:38:38.740 and prostate.
00:38:39.800 Researchers analyzed
00:38:40.720 health records
00:38:41.460 from more than
00:38:42.080 8.4 million adults
00:38:43.560 between 2021
00:38:44.860 and 2023,
00:38:45.740 and their findings
00:38:46.620 were published
00:38:47.120 in Biomarker Research,
00:38:49.040 a respected scientific journal.
00:38:51.480 Critics dismiss it,
00:38:52.260 but the data raises concerns
00:38:53.520 that the spike protein exposure
00:38:55.240 may be tied
00:38:55.920 to long-term health risks.
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00:39:43.220 All right,
00:39:43.360 so we're all with Rich Barris,
00:39:44.180 the People's Pundit.
00:39:44.860 Rich,
00:39:45.880 you know,
00:39:46.220 we're talking about
00:39:47.040 some of these things
00:39:47.780 and, you know,
00:39:48.560 we want to be constructive
00:39:49.360 as well here
00:39:50.100 that, you know,
00:39:53.280 it really goes back to
00:39:54.440 and as much as off the rocker
00:39:55.980 as he's been,
00:39:56.700 it really does feel like
00:39:57.880 it's the old James Carville.
00:39:59.480 It's the economy, stupid.
00:40:00.960 It's people want
00:40:03.100 and here's a big difference, right?
00:40:05.260 And I've been saying this online
00:40:06.620 a little bit
00:40:07.220 is we have to stop confusing
00:40:10.780 the GDP for economic conditions.
00:40:13.880 We have to stop confusing
00:40:15.600 the stock market
00:40:16.440 for cost of living.
00:40:17.820 They're not the same thing.
00:40:20.040 They're just not.
00:40:22.020 And in fact,
00:40:22.960 they probably never,
00:40:23.680 by the way,
00:40:23.960 the GDP doesn't even really exist.
00:40:26.120 It's a theory.
00:40:27.380 It's like an economic model,
00:40:28.760 the same way that we had climate models
00:40:30.780 that doesn't always necessarily mean
00:40:32.940 that it works out.
00:40:34.200 So when you take all that
00:40:36.440 into consideration,
00:40:37.740 Rich,
00:40:38.120 and this is something,
00:40:38.840 by the way,
00:40:39.500 Charlie talked about this
00:40:40.500 all the time,
00:40:41.520 especially with Gen Z.
00:40:42.540 He talked about the debt bubbles.
00:40:44.080 He talked about people
00:40:44.820 taking out these micro loans,
00:40:46.840 buy now, pay later,
00:40:48.100 all this stuff,
00:40:48.900 just to get food,
00:40:50.140 just to get DoorDash,
00:40:51.320 just to get Uber Eats.
00:40:52.340 This is not a way to live
00:40:54.280 and you wonder why
00:40:55.320 these people are so upset
00:40:56.880 at this system.
00:40:58.540 Talk to me about
00:40:59.960 the economic side of this.
00:41:02.260 People need to start thinking
00:41:03.920 about this as
00:41:05.320 people's perceptions
00:41:07.320 of their conditions in life, right?
00:41:10.780 I mean, it's funny
00:41:11.460 because you used to
00:41:12.260 foreign leaders
00:41:13.440 like George Bush
00:41:14.340 talk about the human condition
00:41:16.060 all around the world
00:41:17.320 except for in the United States.
00:41:19.520 For once,
00:41:19.940 people want their leaders
00:41:22.060 to care about
00:41:23.120 their conditions, Jack,
00:41:24.620 which is why
00:41:25.140 when we ask
00:41:26.000 about our most important issues,
00:41:28.480 we do a rank distribution,
00:41:29.940 which in my opinion
00:41:30.800 is far superior
00:41:32.000 than asking people
00:41:32.940 what their singular
00:41:33.660 most important issue is.
00:41:35.340 When we do a rank distribution,
00:41:37.240 cost of living
00:41:37.960 is running away with it.
00:41:41.800 And economy and jobs
00:41:43.120 is number two,
00:41:43.880 but it's amazing
00:41:44.840 how much of a distant
00:41:46.220 number two it is.
00:41:47.540 Number three, by the way,
00:41:48.920 is healthcare.
00:41:49.940 So all the top three issues
00:41:52.320 are about the conditions
00:41:54.020 of the economic conditions
00:41:55.460 that people feel
00:41:56.320 like they're living in, right?
00:41:58.100 And while it is important,
00:41:59.380 yes, that inflation
00:42:00.340 had a high of 9, what,
00:42:01.720 0.2 under Biden
00:42:02.840 and it has since cooled
00:42:04.180 under Donald Trump.
00:42:05.180 That's absolutely true.
00:42:06.820 It's the other things
00:42:08.080 in their lives,
00:42:09.560 healthcare costs,
00:42:10.540 premiums,
00:42:11.160 prescription drugs,
00:42:12.840 their rents, right?
00:42:13.980 How much you cost
00:42:14.860 to lease or buy a vehicle
00:42:16.040 if they're even able
00:42:17.060 able to do that
00:42:18.560 have far outpaced
00:42:20.940 the wages
00:42:21.440 that they're bringing in.
00:42:22.520 A voter told us
00:42:23.220 the other day,
00:42:23.780 and I know it's not
00:42:24.700 exactly right,
00:42:25.660 but this is a voter
00:42:26.920 at leisure and hospitality
00:42:28.060 voted for Trump,
00:42:29.060 young voter,
00:42:29.760 in Clark County,
00:42:30.720 in Nevada,
00:42:31.500 where people don't know
00:42:32.440 that it is.
00:42:33.080 That's Vegas.
00:42:34.180 And the tax on tips rule
00:42:36.520 is convoluted
00:42:37.940 with the IRS,
00:42:38.500 so they'll wind up
00:42:39.740 just taking a standard
00:42:40.580 deduction and that's it
00:42:41.840 and they won't even deal
00:42:43.400 with, you know,
00:42:44.240 how, you know,
00:42:45.280 whether or not
00:42:46.580 that policy can impact,
00:42:48.140 that can benefit them.
00:42:49.660 So we need to, you know,
00:42:51.040 look at this more.
00:42:52.800 And GDP, like you said,
00:42:53.920 it's totally useless
00:42:55.440 to the average voter
00:42:56.440 what GDP is
00:42:57.400 and it's been,
00:42:58.080 the methodology
00:42:58.680 has been changed
00:42:59.680 so often.
00:43:00.540 Obama changed it
00:43:01.500 to include his friends
00:43:02.360 in Hollywood.
00:43:03.380 They're going to get
00:43:03.920 a motion picture
00:43:04.660 in the next year or so?
00:43:05.840 Okay, throw that in GDP.
00:43:06.940 Well, how does that help
00:43:08.200 the average worker
00:43:09.020 in Clark County, Florida?
00:43:10.520 I mean, Clark County, Nevada.
00:43:12.460 How does that help
00:43:13.200 the average worker
00:43:14.040 in, you know,
00:43:15.660 Lackawanna, Pennsylvania, right?
00:43:17.540 It doesn't.
00:43:18.600 They don't care about that.
00:43:19.860 This is about
00:43:20.520 how they feel
00:43:21.740 their life,
00:43:22.820 their overall life's condition.
00:43:24.520 And we actually ask that
00:43:25.740 in our Economic Confidence Index,
00:43:27.300 business conditions,
00:43:28.780 employment conditions, right?
00:43:30.820 Income.
00:43:31.460 Do you feel like
00:43:32.340 in the next six months
00:43:33.260 your family income
00:43:34.200 is your total family income
00:43:35.240 is going to meet?
00:43:36.600 You know,
00:43:37.160 the requirements
00:43:37.860 of your, you know,
00:43:38.760 your economic conditions.
00:43:40.420 And that will tell you
00:43:41.880 a whole lot more.
00:43:42.900 And honestly,
00:43:43.400 that index plunged
00:43:44.820 last month in October.
00:43:46.380 It's not the lowest
00:43:47.240 it's ever been,
00:43:48.100 but it is,
00:43:49.040 it's the lowest
00:43:49.560 it's been in Trump's
00:43:50.340 second term.
00:43:51.380 And it's sad to watch this
00:43:52.960 because after Donald Trump
00:43:54.020 was elected,
00:43:54.820 it hit an all-time high
00:43:56.340 after being completely
00:43:58.280 stagnant under Joe,
00:43:59.860 under Joe Biden.
00:44:01.300 So, you know,
00:44:01.920 it's a very real thing.
00:44:03.000 And people, you know,
00:44:04.360 there's been a lot
00:44:05.180 of people out there
00:44:05.920 dismissive of this stuff
00:44:07.160 and pointing to
00:44:08.080 traditional indicators
00:44:09.140 that you're pointing at.
00:44:10.440 And it doesn't matter.
00:44:11.760 None of that matters.
00:44:12.840 This is about perception.
00:44:14.620 And honestly,
00:44:15.640 reality takes a while
00:44:17.300 to change perceptions.
00:44:19.020 We know this.
00:44:20.060 There's a lot of study on,
00:44:21.260 there's a lot of research
00:44:22.020 on this.
00:44:22.860 You could have a low CPI,
00:44:24.600 you know,
00:44:25.460 three months in a row
00:44:26.540 and it's going to take time
00:44:27.860 for people,
00:44:28.500 for that to sink in
00:44:29.620 and for,
00:44:30.640 you know,
00:44:31.200 for people's views
00:44:32.020 to change.
00:44:33.120 And by the way,
00:44:33.620 this was, again,
00:44:34.580 I'm pointing this out
00:44:35.360 for a reason.
00:44:36.140 This was an electorally
00:44:38.160 fatal mistake
00:44:39.300 that Democrats made
00:44:41.380 in the Obama
00:44:42.180 and the Biden years.
00:44:43.560 They would point to this
00:44:44.760 and they would say,
00:44:45.540 oh, look,
00:44:46.340 we created this many jobs.
00:44:48.160 You just don't realize
00:44:49.160 how good things are going.
00:44:50.380 And they would ignore
00:44:51.100 the conditions
00:44:52.060 that people felt
00:44:53.260 they were in
00:44:53.800 and perception
00:44:54.860 and the optics of it all.
00:44:56.700 Honestly,
00:44:57.640 Mark Penn,
00:44:58.700 he's a Democratic pollster.
00:44:59.840 He's been saying
00:45:02.160 this for a long time.
00:45:03.280 You know,
00:45:03.460 you can continue with that,
00:45:04.680 but reality always wins.
00:45:06.520 And the fact is
00:45:07.440 that Republicans
00:45:08.460 have to confront the reality
00:45:09.780 because it will win
00:45:10.920 and they will lose.
00:45:13.140 Well,
00:45:13.640 and this is what
00:45:14.260 it comes down to,
00:45:15.060 right?
00:45:15.320 And so it's optics.
00:45:16.860 Look,
00:45:17.000 I've been out there
00:45:18.000 a ton,
00:45:19.680 been out there a ton
00:45:20.440 talking about,
00:45:21.580 guys,
00:45:22.300 throw something out,
00:45:23.200 tariff the outsourcing,
00:45:24.600 tariff the remote work.
00:45:25.760 And they even said
00:45:26.440 they were going to start
00:45:26.980 looking at it,
00:45:27.800 by the way.
00:45:28.300 Like people do view themselves
00:45:30.420 as in a competition
00:45:31.540 with these foreign workers
00:45:32.860 and when they're attacking people
00:45:34.800 and all the rest of it.
00:45:36.260 And so you've got to look
00:45:37.680 like you're on the side
00:45:39.300 of the American worker.
00:45:40.400 If you look like
00:45:40.880 you're on the side
00:45:41.280 of the American worker,
00:45:42.380 then the American worker
00:45:43.580 is going to support you.
00:45:44.680 It's really as simple as that.
00:45:46.620 You know,
00:45:47.240 Barack Obama
00:45:47.820 in his first term
00:45:48.980 was actually really good at this.
00:45:50.880 You and I both know
00:45:51.900 that he did absolutely nothing
00:45:54.000 to address
00:45:55.220 the economic conditions
00:45:56.840 following the Great Recession.
00:45:59.040 But he sure looked like he was,
00:46:01.140 right?
00:46:02.020 I mean,
00:46:02.300 they were very good
00:46:03.260 at putting on a show.
00:46:05.640 And he would argue,
00:46:07.080 you know,
00:46:07.580 obviously the new normal line,
00:46:09.540 it got old
00:46:10.340 by the end of his second term.
00:46:11.540 And that's why Hillary Clinton,
00:46:12.620 who tried to run on it,
00:46:13.480 got wiped by Donald Trump.
00:46:15.360 But it did work
00:46:16.640 in the beginning.
00:46:17.320 And that's a lesson
00:46:18.580 Republicans should take.
00:46:19.900 The American Reinvestment Act
00:46:21.680 actually hurt the economy.
00:46:23.800 But it doesn't matter.
00:46:24.460 They weren't,
00:46:25.180 you know,
00:46:25.340 this was the American
00:46:26.320 Reinvestment Act.
00:46:27.260 Don't you see me
00:46:27.900 working very hard
00:46:28.820 to get you shovel-ready jobs?
00:46:30.520 It's optics.
00:46:31.740 And the difference here
00:46:33.060 is that Donald Trump's policies
00:46:34.800 actually do
00:46:35.840 have an economic benefit, right?
00:46:38.100 So it doesn't have to
00:46:39.340 all be about optics.
00:46:40.920 Eventually,
00:46:41.540 those policies will take root.
00:46:43.180 And people know that too,
00:46:44.540 which is a benefit
00:46:45.280 that he has
00:46:46.600 that others
00:46:47.580 like Barack Obama
00:46:48.460 were never given.
00:46:49.820 His approval rating
00:46:50.960 in Obama,
00:46:51.760 I'm talking about,
00:46:52.280 his approval rating
00:46:53.040 used to be positive
00:46:53.780 all the time.
00:46:54.460 But his approval rating
00:46:55.220 on the economy
00:46:55.940 was negative all the time.
00:46:57.780 Trump's first term,
00:46:58.780 it was the opposite.
00:46:59.980 His approval on the economy
00:47:01.000 was always positive.
00:47:02.680 But his overall approval
00:47:04.440 was negative.
00:47:05.560 That's the danger sign here.
00:47:07.000 Something people should be,
00:47:08.240 you know,
00:47:08.500 the red siren
00:47:09.800 should be going off
00:47:10.900 like crazy.
00:47:11.500 Because if you compare
00:47:12.920 his first term
00:47:13.600 to his second term
00:47:14.780 in recent,
00:47:15.940 recent,
00:47:16.660 from July on,
00:47:17.920 you'll see that
00:47:18.700 that now
00:47:19.620 is no longer the case.
00:47:21.000 That is optics.
00:47:22.480 All right.
00:47:23.220 They believe
00:47:24.400 that his administration,
00:47:27.220 you know,
00:47:27.500 by the spring
00:47:28.180 and the summer
00:47:28.820 kind of just
00:47:29.920 stopped
00:47:31.380 concerning themselves
00:47:32.960 about their problems.
00:47:35.020 And again,
00:47:36.480 that this,
00:47:37.160 until this is addressed,
00:47:38.700 recognized,
00:47:39.840 and course corrected,
00:47:41.320 it can only get worse.
00:47:43.580 So, I mean,
00:47:44.060 this was something
00:47:45.640 I tried to explain
00:47:46.380 back in July.
00:47:47.260 And I remember
00:47:48.660 a lot of people
00:47:49.860 scoffing it off
00:47:50.920 and saying,
00:47:51.480 oh my God,
00:47:52.120 he's making such
00:47:52.840 big deal out of this.
00:47:54.300 And his,
00:47:54.840 it's only slightly negative.
00:47:56.580 And the headline
00:47:57.120 in the press release
00:47:57.920 even said slightly negative.
00:47:59.620 Got it, Rich.
00:47:59.940 But it was a warning.
00:48:00.560 Ladies and gentlemen,
00:48:01.240 as always,
00:48:01.740 you have my permission
00:48:02.380 to lay a short.
00:48:03.100 Thank you.