This is what happens when the Fourth Turning meets 5th Generation Warfare. A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran, Jack Posobiec, is here with details on what the White House is now calling an act of targeted terrorism.
00:08:23.100Well, the first thing you have to do to get to the BDA is get through the propaganda.
00:08:28.720And so what you've seen is, no doubt, this was a masterful attack.
00:08:34.740I'm not going to diminish the amount of gumption and planning it took to get those drones into those targets all the way to Siberia.
00:08:44.300But with that said, we have to evaluate what we see.
00:08:50.940A lot of the footage we've been given is from dates not relevant to this one.
00:08:56.640That is to say, the videos of the strikes aren't necessarily related to the spiderweb project.
00:09:05.880They're old or from different locations from different times.
00:09:09.160And what I'm seeing is an amplification primarily by the British media to make everybody believe there was something like $7 to $9 billion of damage done.
00:09:44.240But it wasn't anywhere near as significant as we were being led to believe.
00:09:49.280So we can't even get to the BDA until we figure out what exactly the damage was, because we're not really being told what it was.
00:09:59.680And secondly, why are we not being told?
00:10:01.880Well, the amplification here, Jack, is because we are supposed to buy into this idea as Americans that the Ukrainians, oh, yeah, they can still beat the Russians.
00:10:15.060And if they can do this with $40 million, imagine what they could do with several more billion.
00:10:21.300In other words, they're trying to both disrupt the peace process, which we know they're doing openly, and trying to eventually convince us, the United States, that the Biden policy was the correct policy to give them unlimited money.
00:11:19.300Because when I go and look at the front lines over in eastern Ukraine, when I look at Donetsk, Lugansk, or some of these areas of Sumay or around Kharkov, other areas that have been under dispute between the Russians and the Ukrainians, I don't see the Ukrainians making advances on the battlefield.
00:11:36.140I see the Russians making advances and, and by the way, not in these huge, you know, the, the, the barrel runs, the blitzkrieg attacks that you would see from an American military perspective or NATO perspective.
00:11:49.000It is slow encirclement operations and slowly and slowly grinding them down.
00:11:54.340So let me hit that because I see this constant, um, demunition by certain voices within conservative media about how effective the Russians are.
00:12:07.060Jack Keene was on the other day talking about almost dismissive.
00:12:10.240Oh, they've, uh, they've been fighting to take Ukraine for the past three years and it's, and they're still not doing it.
00:12:17.700It's like, uh, Jack, that's not what they're trying to do.
00:12:20.440This is, this is not a war of maneuver.
00:12:22.320This is not a war of blitzkrieg, it's a war of attrition.
00:12:26.160And the Russian objective is to degrade and de, uh, de, uh, um, basically, uh, uh, this, uh, um, demilitarize Ukraine and the West.
00:13:38.400And, and all of that ammunition, the NATO, the, the NATO supplies that are running through Jezhov and then also through Romania and other spots into, uh, into Ukraine.
00:14:08.620There's incredible things you can do with technology, but it doesn't matter how many Starlinks you have or how many drones you have.
00:14:14.020You cannot hold territory without soldiers.
00:14:17.300And so what the Russian military is doing is saying, well, we may not have the technological advantage, but we do have the, not the battlefield advantage in terms of numbers.
00:14:34.420Tony Schaefer, we've got a quick break coming up, but I want to hold you over because this is so important and people need to understand the danger of the escalation here.
00:14:44.040If we climb up that escalatory ladder with the Russians and walk away from these, this peace deal, which I think is it's in the works, but I keep saying this, this is not going to break.
00:16:01.340And so when people look at the map on a day-to-day basis, they'll say, wait a minute, Russia can't be winning.
00:16:06.200Look, Ukraine has held them to this pocket in the east.
00:16:10.920Well, the question on the other side is, perhaps, but which side has more lives?
00:16:16.080One side has many more than the other.
00:16:19.800I'm going to bring Lieutenant Colonel Schaefer on here.
00:16:21.780Tony, is this what the Russians' goal has been all along when they talk about demilitarization?
00:16:29.080Yes, they want these provinces, but they're also not sending, and we saw this, by the way, with some strategic drawdowns in places like Kherson switching to the other side of the river where the resupply is more advantageous to them because, obviously, it just shares the land border with Russia.
00:16:45.900Rather than have to go across the river, they're sitting on one side of it, and every time the Ukrainians attempt to cross the Dnepr, they are met with a massive onslaught and barrage.
00:16:55.740This has been their strategy for the last couple of years, and they seem to believe time is on their side.
00:17:02.880I sat down with Prime Minister Viktor Orban last week in Budapest in his presidential palace and the prime minister's residence, and absolutely honored to be there.
00:17:13.300And he told me that he went to the Russians and said, will you sue for peace?
00:17:21.080And the Russians told him, well, we're winning, and we have time on our side.
00:17:24.900And then he went to the Ukrainians and said, will you choose peace?
00:17:28.120And they told him, we're winning, and time is on our side.
00:17:46.500I think the Russians are winning, and not by a little, by a lot.
00:17:50.860To your point, the Russians, and let me phrase it as a question.
00:17:55.620Why would you expose yourself to extended risk by sending folks forward in offensive operations, which expose you to additional drones, additional, like you point out, doing river crossings, you become vulnerable.
00:18:12.180Why do that when you're basically facing an enemy who is badly advised, badly led?
00:18:17.040Frankly, people like Mark Milley, a rocket scientist, if I ever met one, is telling you stupid things, not giving you the right strategy.
00:18:27.120Why would you want to expose yourself to risk if you could just sit back and let them come wave after wave on your strength and lose?
00:18:36.240I would argue, by doing this, they're going to basically leave Ukraine a rump state by the fact that it'll be not only demilitarized, it'll be depopulated.
00:18:52.460The Russians have an order of magnitude more men and resources to throw at this, and they're just sitting there.
00:18:58.220And so the more Ukraine throws their stuff in there, they have their time, the more they lose time and lose resources.
00:19:32.080Do you think the Russians are poised for a breakout right now?
00:19:35.540I think if they choose to break out, absolutely.
00:19:38.520I don't think they're going to choose to break out.
00:19:40.020I think they're going to allow the remainder of Biden-approved materiel and equipment to show up over the next 30 days, get to probably the 1st of July.
00:19:51.100And then once that's done, by the way, the Russians notice already that with less patriot air defense systems, less stuff to stop their drones, they're being more effective.
00:20:04.940So why risk going at the Ukrainian strength when the Russians know it's just a matter of time before they run out of stuff?
00:20:15.300The Russians are going to hang back, Jack, and they're going to hit at the time of their choosing.
00:20:20.620And I think if things aren't resolved, if President Trump doesn't get Putin and Zelensky into a room and sit them down and try to talk reason with them,
00:20:29.960the Russians will decide in about 30 days probably to go on a breakout towards mid to late July.
00:20:39.660And I think they will implement a military solution to this.
00:20:45.180And I don't think they want all Ukraine.
00:22:00.860Americans want to know where their food comes from, and we don't want to be reliant on any foreign country for the food we put on our family's tables.
00:22:10.020That's exactly what Trump's tariff policy is all about.
00:22:13.280Bringing businesses back to Americans and American farms all across the country.
00:22:17.560That's why Human Events has partnered with Moink.
00:38:06.620But at the same time, and you hit the nail on the head in this one, he's also doing his best to pick off any kind of allies that they might get in their sort of parallel world, their parallel structure that's being formed in BRICS, which is basically a parallel G7.
00:38:24.080And about 50% of the world's energy is coming from BRICS countries right now.
00:38:28.360One country that was supposed to join was Saudi Arabia.
00:38:32.120But somehow Trump was very effective in telling Mohammed bin Salman, hey, why don't we do business together?
00:38:39.840We're going to be far more prosperous together with you having unlimited access, the number one mark in the world, than if you're working with Russia and China.
00:38:47.760And so many people were saying he did it.
00:38:50.320And the media was criticizing him for, why are you going to the Middle East?
00:40:03.780Progressive realism is this notion that, you know, progressivism is just, it's the wave of the future.
00:40:13.100The arc of history inevitably bends to liberal definitions of justice.
00:40:19.340So, we in the media who operate by progressive realism, all we have to do is expose how people like Jack Posobiec and Steve Bannon and so forth, how they're obscurantists, how they're trying to stop history.