Jack Posobiec and the Philadelphia Inquirer is back, and he's got a special guest on the pod to talk about it. Also, the Dbacks are back in the playoffs, and the Dodgers are not.
00:02:44.120No, Jack, I started with the goods, okay?
00:02:46.380I started with saying that I'm appreciating your results here.
00:02:49.400And then all of a sudden, on Friday afternoon, I was like, man, he's getting some traction on this stuff.
00:02:54.720And, like, Jack is talking about the fact that, you know, he might be in an IDF uniform and, like, all these, like, left-wing forums are exploding.
00:03:04.500And the betting markets had Shapiro at 80%.
00:05:35.780You know, slippery like an eel, these types.
00:05:38.060And people have seen that over the last couple of, I think, days and weeks culminating in this really cringy speech he gave last night after being passed over.
00:05:46.460Even though he's used to being passed over, lots of things pass over him.
00:05:55.400You know, they're all just passing over Josh Shapiro.
00:05:57.960So, and it's not hard because I can understand how you can miss him down there.
00:06:01.580But the, you know, the real thing is, though, I had so many people reaching out to me from the Philadelphia area.
00:06:09.940So many people bringing up, especially this case of Ellen Greenberg, which, you know, it had been out there before.
00:06:16.520And I think I had mentioned it on Twitter before a couple of times in 2022 when he was running for governor and I was going up to Pennsylvania campaigning against him and really just calling out who he was and what he was about.
00:06:29.440But the Pennsylvania Supreme Court then, I guess, for whatever reason, decided to pick up the case and put it under review for the first time since this happened in 2011, by the way, when this poor girl was killed.
00:06:45.420But that, and he wasn't involved in the case initially, his involvement as attorney general comes up way later in about 2021.
00:06:55.500So almost a decade later when it gets passed to him.
00:06:58.260But because, by the way, it's a crazy way that it gets involved because his, he gets the case because the family's lawyer, the lawyer of the family of the girl, this will make sense in a second, goes on to run for DA of Philadelphia.
00:07:17.820And then his name is Larry Krasner and he's the Soros DA of Philadelphia.
00:07:22.800So he has a conflict of interest and can't touch the case.
00:07:26.880So in 2017, he passes it over to the attorney general's office.
00:07:32.140And Josh Shapiro's office pretends to sit on it for all these years and there's no traction.
00:07:35.760And then suddenly the Pennsylvania Supreme Court says, you know what, there's just too much going on.
00:07:40.740We can talk a little bit about the case later if you guys want.
00:07:42.640But, you know, there's, like Blake was saying a second ago, there's just, it's just a very strange case to have been ruled suicide the way it was.
00:07:53.200Stabbed 20 times, I think it was nine in the front and 11 in the back.
00:07:57.960So just, just not the type of case that you would see easily ruled a suicide.
00:08:02.560And yet it hadn't gotten any traction until just last week.
00:08:05.540So we're putting that information out there.
00:08:07.400We're walking through time and time again on this thing.
00:08:10.660And then we're also putting out information about the sexual harassment case that he, he covered up when he was in office.
00:08:17.440And what's crazy is, so the guy who was, they keep saying it's the aide, it's the aide.
00:08:23.260No, it was his secretary of legislative affairs.
00:08:27.240So basically like his senior, almost a cabinet level official, that guy was the former Republican state rep who was one district away from me in Montgomery County.
00:08:39.100So these are guys who, the same way you guys and Tyler specifically are so tied in in Arizona, that's how tied I am in Pennsylvania.
00:08:46.460I used to see this guy's name is Mike Verbe.
00:08:49.100And I used to see him just being like blitz drunk, walking around Walmart at like four in the afternoon, former police officer.
00:08:55.680And he was a Republican who then went and cut a deal with the, with the Democrats and with Josh Shapiro, basically turned over MCRCs, the Montgomery County Republican committee control of it to Josh Shapiro.
00:09:08.400And this is what a lot of Republicans in Pennsylvania did to help Shapiro become governor.
00:09:12.260And, you know, people can go back and see what happened in 2022.
00:09:14.540In terms of that, he goes on and is sexually harassing this, I'm going to be very careful about this because her name is not public and I don't want to make it public.
00:09:23.800But this, this female staffer, another female staffer in the office for months there in Harrisburg and Shapiro claimed, oh, I didn't know about this.
00:09:32.580I had no idea that he was being investigated.
00:09:50.800Because why? Because he's all about creating this perfect picture, the perfect Josh Shapiro.
00:09:57.200Josh Shapiro, who is the heir apparent in all of politics.
00:10:00.580Josh Shapiro, who has studied Obama's voice and mannerisms down to the exact letter to be able to directly mimic him in such a way that if you if you close your eyes,
00:10:12.380you might actually think it's Obama up on stage, even though Obama's voice doesn't crack the way Josh Shapiro's does.
00:10:18.200And and again, so I'm just getting all of this information from a lifetime in Pennsylvania politics and putting it out and just putting it all out there.
00:10:26.980And by the way, I've got so, so, so much more.
00:10:29.120But it's also, by the way, you notice I didn't attack his record.
00:10:33.380I didn't bring up anything about, you know, what he what he had done as governor or anything like that,
00:10:38.020because I was deliberately making sure to focus on things that I knew would gain traction with the left, with Team Kamala, with their decision making loop, with the things that their side would care about.
00:10:49.240And then Charlie, you referenced this, of course.
00:10:50.980But his his time volunteering with the IDF also, by the way, a brief stint working in the Israeli embassy, something that I didn't even bring up.
00:11:00.180But it got recently added to his Wikipedia, all of that hitting the Democrat Party as they're looking at going to Chicago.
00:11:06.640What, in two weeks time here, it just turned into a situation that I think they were terrified of.
00:11:12.800And they said, look, you know, on paper, this guy seems like he makes sense.
00:11:17.220He's got this ability to appeal to crossover voters the way that Tim Walz claims to, but actually doesn't, by the way, that Shapiro did actually pick up a lot of working class voters in Pennsylvania and in Western Pennsylvania who typically go for Trump.
00:11:31.780And so they were these kind of like Trump Shapiro voters that were out there because these people vote with their wallets, not ideology.
00:11:37.340And and look, I just made sure to get into their cycle and get into their headspace to the point where they were so terrified of the skeletons.
00:15:23.900It was, it was, the way they had set it up was, it was supposed to be a Kamala Harris, you know, just like you say, this labor rally.
00:15:33.700And then, when Josh Shapiro's name was being floated around, they said, okay, you know, like you said, they turned it into a shadow Josh Shapiro for vice president rally.
00:15:42.760Then, then they cut the promo to make it look as if he had already been chosen.
00:15:47.060And there was this, there was this statement put out by the Philadelphia mayor's office, by Cheryl Parker's office saying that, oh, it was, it was posted by accident.
00:15:56.280It was posted because people in Shapiro's office and people in the Philadelphia machine were starting, and by the way, that's Bob Brady up there.
00:16:03.740That's the guy who's run the Philadelphia Democrat machine for an entire generation.
00:16:07.960That old, that one old white guy that you see standing up in those clips, that's Bob Brady.
00:16:12.200Like, if you want to know where the ballots in Philly are coming from, just go check Bob's house.
00:16:16.740That, you know, this was a complete operation because they wanted to make it look like Shapiro was already the shoe in.
00:16:22.400And keep in mind that when Shapiro was at Cheney University being asked about this, being asked about J.D. Vance, he makes some comments along the lines of like, I'll be happy to say that to J.D.'s face.
00:16:32.700I'll be happy to say, tell that to J.D.'s face as if he's going to be seeing him very soon.
00:16:37.640And so this, this was, this was ready to go.
00:16:41.060And then something happened this weekend, this last weekend, Jack, where they blinked, they second guessed, and they decided to go to Bernie Sanders, the beer belly, stolen valor.
00:16:51.440You know, I like the smell of burnt tires in the morning, Marxist, driver's license for illegals, tampons for boys.
00:16:59.900I mean, Jack, explain to me how Josh Shapiro was somehow a more controversial pick than the most unimpressive person in American politics that I've ever seen, Tim Walsh.
00:17:12.340Well, so the way to look at it this way is it's the most, he's more controversial for their side, right?
00:17:20.180So he's more controversial because he would have driven a wedge between the Democrats on their base.
00:17:25.120The same wedge, by the way, you're seeing come out right now with the Cori Bush race last night.
00:17:29.960The fact that she lost in a very close, I think it was the fifth most spent on primary in like all of American politics or something.
00:17:38.580So there's this huge intranescent party fight that's going on on the Democrat side right now.
00:17:43.940That's something that, and I kept hearing all throughout, that Barack Obama says just avoid Shapiro, go pick Tim Walsh.
00:18:58.760That's happening because – and he had warned Kamala Harris over the weekend, put in – basically put in through his aides this message that Josh Shapiro is overly ambitious and Josh Shapiro is not someone who can be trusted.
00:19:26.600You don't want to put – your vice presidential picks are supposed to be someone that doesn't hurt you rather than someone who helps you that much.
00:19:34.700So that's what – they start looking at all of these things and they say, all right, you know, maybe Tim Walls is better.
00:19:41.360They thought he was the safer pick as opposed to Shapiro being the quote-unquote controversial pick because we were able to make him look so based on what you're saying, these 48 hours of just – 48 hours of work.
00:19:56.140So, Blake, I want – objectively, did we dodge two bullets in Pennsylvania, one in Butler, the second with Josh Shapiro?
00:20:07.320I want you to look – don't give me the Blake objective take.
00:20:11.780What I'll say is before we got the announcement Sunday night, we were like, okay, let's make tweets to be ready for this so we can come out of the gate charging.
00:20:19.800And so just, you know, full disclosure, we wrote tweets for Walls and we wrote tweets for Shapiro.
00:20:25.520And I was trying to work up the ones for Shapiro and what struck me was, one, it's harder to write these than it is for Walls.
00:20:33.720With Walls, it's like, okay, we've got – we have the riots to work with.
00:20:37.520We have the stolen valor thing to work with.
00:20:39.480I didn't even know about the DUI yet at the time.
00:20:41.880We've got – it just felt like we had tons of stuff to work with for Walls.
00:20:45.720And with Shapiro, okay, we had – we had the stuff we've mentioned, but it was very much where essentially if we get this guy, we're just going to have to hope the left freaks out about him.
00:20:57.000And maybe they will, but the left is pretty good at coming together and getting over it.
00:21:12.720And so with Walls, I was like, okay, all these things are things that we can exploit to hurt him to win over middle-of-the-road voters.
00:21:20.820With Shapiro, we're just going to have to hope the left gets mad, votes for someone else, doesn't turn out, that they start a civil war, and we don't have much ability to affect it.
00:21:30.080Because even if we want to see it happen, we're not going to go out there and, like, say, like, oh, Shapiro sucks because he, like, supports Israel more than Hamas because we support Israel more than Hamas.
00:21:41.780And so I had gone back and forth, like, oh, do we want to get Shapiro out?
00:21:46.340Like, oh, this could be good stuff to hit him on.
00:21:48.080But I found myself Sunday night thinking, man, I hope they go with Walls because it's so much easier to attack this guy.
00:22:01.040And it was kind of interesting because I kind of had that thought when we got sent some insider information on Walls because some of the Minnesotans had sent it and said, hey, they hate him.
00:22:10.500And there was, like, a real opportunity to knock him out last time he ran for governor.
00:22:14.660And the candidate just wasn't strong enough, wasn't funded well enough.
00:22:18.340Good dude, but just didn't have enough oomph to get over the top.
00:22:21.900But when they said, no, this is a real possibility, everybody's talking about on the ground here, it kind of made a lot of sense because it was almost too much for the left to not do because they love that style of, like, radical, which is, like, that very Liz type, you know, upper, middle class, college educated.
00:22:45.460That's the whole attack vector that the left is taking is just try to take as many of those votes off the table in suburbia way.
00:22:53.940And that's kind of the M.O. of Minnesota.
00:22:57.620It does make a ton of sense when you look at that if they're going to go all in on Pennsylvania and then try to utilize someone like him to pick off votes in Wisconsin.
00:23:08.440And that's their strategy at this point.
00:23:09.720Yeah, it's it's win by more, lose by less.
00:23:12.220So run up the score in the in the black urban areas and then lose by less in rural areas.
00:23:16.100But there's no evidence that Tim Wells actually loses by less in MAGA areas.
00:23:46.200It is this operation that is being run to take like conservative aesthetics and run liberal ideals through them.
00:23:56.820By the way, Charlie, you were, you know, since you were putting me over so much earlier, Charlie was one of the first people to to call this out.
00:24:23.280But also, Charlie had a little bit of an ace in the up his sleeve there, just like I did in Pennsylvania, because Charlie doesn't like country music at all.
00:24:29.260I inherently thought it was noise, not music.
00:24:31.640So I was like, I can't stand this guy.
00:24:35.580This idea that you're going to take someone who's got the aesthetics of, you know, what you would you would you would traditionally think of as like the George W. Bush type, like, you know, country Midwestern, wears a cowboy hat, listens to country music, has got a pair of cowboy boots, you know, drinks beer, that type of thing.
00:24:56.100And probably owns a couple of guns, definitely owns a shotgun.
00:25:00.940And yet all of a sudden is like was like, yeah, man.
00:25:04.280And and that's why we need tampons for all the boys on this ranch.
00:25:09.200And that's like and so this is where the Yellowstone meme came from, which which, by the way, I also credit for driving Kevin Costner totally out of the show because we memed him so hard that he refused to even come back for Yellowstone after we made the meme.
00:25:22.280And that, you know, it's it's just been this thing that's going on.
00:25:28.840And Tim Walls is like the the political weaponization of the Hicklib trend that's been going on for so long.
00:25:36.500But the problem is that the people of Minnesota can see through it.
00:25:40.120And if you look at his voting patterns and some people were posting, I think Tom Bevins at RCP was posting the last the county by county election from his last gubernatorial, which I guess was 2022.
00:25:50.980And it's like, no, he won with metro city areas and like the metro bourbonites and the rural areas all voted Republican.
00:25:59.280So it's just not expressed in the data.
00:26:01.720It's just basically we have a post up at humanevents.com, a new op ed from the editorial board saying, no, he's not a folksy Midwestern dad.
00:26:11.160He's what a woke San Francisco liberal thinks a folksy Midwestern dad looks and talks like just because he sounds like he's from Fargo.
00:27:33.560And what's sad is for a long time, this did work.
00:27:37.520And for for decades, really, it would work.
00:27:40.140They honed this whole art of get this.
00:27:42.660Yeah, this like Hick Lib out of Minnesota where you can use this coded thing of like, oh, he he owns guns and he wears camo and he knows like what a shotgun formation is.
00:27:53.260And so he can be this insane, you know, Marxist who believes all the latest gender ideology.
00:28:00.440But I think people are starting to figure this out now.
00:28:03.980And I'm hoping we can prove they figured it out with how they'll react to tampon Tim.
00:28:10.820And there's there's also, you know, I was going to say, so a lot of people were going after him, you know, early on for and tampon Tim's hilarious, by the way.
00:28:45.560Like, why would you be so dumb as to amplify opposition propaganda against your own candidate?
00:28:50.380But OK, so, you know, thanks, Hillary Clinton.
00:28:54.660You know, the really big one, though, I think for Tim Walls isn't necessarily his wokeness.
00:28:59.020It's it's the and the one that's getting the most traction, even to the point where CNN had to address it and is trying to dispel it so much is, I think, within probably within 30 minutes of his and of the announcement that he was that he was definitely going to be the pick that.
00:29:15.540And by the way, you know, I could even go further.
00:29:18.580People saying like, oh, Josh Shapiro didn't really want it.
00:29:21.200And he was telling people you don't want that.
00:29:22.520That's a bunch of sitting there all night.
00:29:24.620He was in the drive. He was in the driveway playing basketball with his son, you know, playing up for the cameras, sitting by the phone, sitting by the phone.
00:29:32.480And it never rang. It never rang once.
00:29:35.340But probably within 30 minutes of the announcement, I posted a tweet from this letter I found from the a couple of command sergeant majors from Tim Waltz's National Guard unit in Minnesota,
00:29:48.060saying that this guy is stolen valor because he shirked the deployment.
00:29:53.240He deserted before deployment and has been running around embellishing his record, claiming that he served in combat, claiming that he fought in the war on terror, claiming that he carried weapons of war.
00:30:05.780And it's just a lot. So not only is it a lie that he didn't serve.
00:30:08.640Right. So that's number one. Excuse me. Serve in combat.
00:30:11.740And it but it's definitely a lie that he served in combat.
00:30:14.960But even more to the point, it's it's 10 times more egregious because he deserted his unit just as they were on the eve of deploying and deployment, by the way,
00:30:27.300where they lost a 19 year old soldier to an IED.
00:30:30.440And this guy was the senior NCO. So he would have been the command sergeant major.
00:30:34.460He then didn't even complete his his E-9 school.
00:30:38.680So his command sergeant major school, which means that he didn't even retire with his final rank.
00:30:43.400So he's been running around using this rank claiming even like Alyssa Farah is saying, oh, he was he's the highest ranking enlisted man to ever serve in Congress.
00:30:51.100But it's not actually true because he didn't retire with that rank.
00:30:54.680It's it's kind of complicated. But the way to explain it is that sometimes in the military or a lot of times in the military in the Navy, we call it frocking.
00:31:02.200It's you you get selected for your next rank.
00:31:05.900And so you kind of get to you kind of get to pin it on, but you don't on your uniform.
00:31:10.480But you don't necessarily get to actually serve in that rank until you complete whatever the requisite.
00:31:18.100Sometimes there's coursework. Sometimes there's other things you have to do to sign offs, et cetera, et cetera,
00:31:23.340before you get to actually fully attain that rank.
00:31:26.300And because he didn't do that, he didn't follow the rules.
00:31:28.980He left before his unit deployed to Iraq where a soldier died.
00:31:33.680He was retired at the lower rank of E-8, which, you know, is still a great rank and all, but it's not the one that he was claiming.
00:31:42.100And so he lied. And I found this letter, a paid letter to like the Central Western Tribune back in 2018 of two people just saying of two retired command sergeant majors saying,
00:31:52.160hey, this guy's been lying about his record. And and now J.D. Vance is getting in on it.
00:31:56.960And I think that's going to become a huge problem for them because it directly goes to what Blake has been talking about.
00:32:02.620It directly attacks him on those same grounds of like, I'm I'm one of a man of the people.
00:32:08.200I'm a regular Midwestern guy when you're not.
00:32:10.560So let's let's now examine this from a political standpoint.
00:32:13.640Tyler, why did they pass over the obviously more impressive astronaut who is the senator from Arizona, by all objective measurements, is more popular, more well known than Tim Walls, would have made a much better story.
00:32:29.100He could have been like my wife got shot, gun violence, all that nonsense that they push.
00:32:33.780Why did they go with Tim Walls? By the way, you could say we want Mark Kelly.
00:32:38.080Mark Kelly is perched by the CCP, has a very questionable personal life, but he doesn't have this crazy stuff like tampons and boys bathrooms and late term abortion.
00:32:48.100I mean, it would it would have been a much narrower attack vector if they would have went Harris Kelly.
00:32:53.340And by the way, Harris Kelly sounds better than Harris Walls.
00:32:56.020Yeah. Kamala Kelly sounds like, you know, Kamala. Right. Why did they pass over the Arizona astronaut?
00:33:02.220There's a couple there's like four different reasons. I don't know if we'll get to all of them right now.
00:33:05.580But the I mean, you're making a really good point that the scary part about Mark Kelly is that he basically has no record at all.
00:33:14.360So he's never served in any kind of capacity before getting elected to the Senate.
00:33:18.900He's done basically nothing in the Senate. In fact, the guy hides from everybody.
00:33:22.340He's rarely here. He lives in Houston.
00:33:24.040Houston. So he's not he's not even from here. Right.
00:33:26.420The only reason why he claims Arizona is because his wife, too.
00:33:30.120I think he really didn't live here for a couple of years when he was training for the Air Force in Tucson or something point.
00:33:35.260But yeah, I mean, but his wife's from Tucson. That's where she got shot.
00:33:38.740You know, that was a horrible incident that that occurred.
00:33:41.700But when he married, you know, after they got married, they would go back and forth.
00:33:45.160But he spent most of his time in Houston. That's where his kids were.
00:33:47.260That's where all everything else. Right. So we launch rockets. We've known that. Right.
00:33:50.380That's that's where he's from. So he's not he's not an Arizona.
00:33:53.240By any by any qualification. He's hardly spent any time here.
00:33:56.380He's probably spent more time. You know, I would guess in almost every other story.
00:34:01.960Yeah, in orbit for sure. He spent more time in orbit than he has in Arizona.
00:34:06.440But I mean, that's kind of impressive, though. I mean, no, but that's why he's perfect.
00:34:10.080His biography is that's why he's perfect. Extra terrestrial.
00:34:12.860That's why he's perfect is because he's like he's like anything you want to make him into.
00:34:17.660And that's what they love. The Democrat Party loves. Tim Waltz is not.
00:34:21.340So there's a couple of reasons why I'll get into one of them that I think is the most important.
00:34:25.960I think the most important issue for Mark Kelly that you just cannot ignore is I think they are so legitimately concerned about the about Arizona in the long term.
00:34:36.780that any kind of qualification of, you know, removing somebody that is the future for them.
00:34:44.500Like, I think they're afraid we're getting wise to the state.
00:34:46.900Well, number one, they don't want to pull out a talent because they have no one to legitimately replace him with.
00:34:52.860So if they win. Right. And this is how they think.
00:34:55.980I don't think they're going to win. But if they won, they think, well, then you're we're totally screwed now because we have no one to replace Mark Kelly with.
00:35:02.740And a Doug Ducey could run in a swing in a swing state, you know, type atmosphere.
00:35:09.120Number two, and I think can they do that? Well, can they just do that at convention?
00:35:14.900Well, hold on. I'm going to get to that in a second, Jack, because I think. Yes. But one second.
00:35:18.060I don't think we're out of the woods yet. Well, we're not. Yeah, we're not.
00:35:21.800Because this this stolen valor thing's heating up. Yeah.
00:35:24.980Maybe we should just chill a little bit. Well, no, I mean, I think we should be open about it.
00:35:28.160But just be very clear that a replacement of walls would be a like 40.
00:35:35.440You would cover it up and they'd be like, oh, sorry, he's a buffoon.
00:35:38.300We messed up. Now here's Mark Kelly. America is so.
00:35:40.960But let me be very clear. You pick Mark Kelly.
00:35:43.040He has suspicious CCP balloon ties. Yeah.
00:35:45.500And he also is not a loyally married, allegedly to there's a let's just say there's a lot of skeletons in the closet.
00:35:52.820Yeah. Right. And so a lot of skeletons in the what do you call the the storage bane within a within a rocket ship?
00:36:00.960There's a lot of skeletons in there. So that's the second point.
00:36:03.800The third point is, is that legitimately all the numbers and all the trends and everything looking in Arizona right now do not look good for the Democrats.
00:36:09.700So I'll just point out one thing. Michigan versus Arizona in the primary.
00:36:14.400Michigan early balloting. The Democrats were up basically 20 percent on the Republicans here in the primary.
00:36:20.680The Republican Party is basically up 20 percent.
00:36:24.500And that's with a bunch of our boomers in Midwestern states.
00:36:28.220Not here. The state loses like 15 percent of its population. 20 percent, right?
00:36:31.720Yeah, at least. We become 20 percent less populated in three months of the year.
00:36:35.560And that's that's just from makes sense. Having having lived here two summers now, for sure.
00:36:40.140I mean, they're all going. Yeah. And they go back to Iowa or they go back to Chicago or they go back to Minneapolis and younger families leave the state for going out of town.
00:36:49.820And so you're out of town for three to four weeks in the summertime, different places.
00:36:53.340So there's a lot of people missing there. There's a lot of uncertainty for the Democrats.
00:36:57.640They're looking at the operation of things that we're doing. Others are coming in and going, wait a minute.
00:37:02.500You know, the Republicans in Arizona have kind of figured some stuff out.
00:37:05.500You know, there's less of the of it being figured out into other places and they are.
00:37:11.840But they have dumped more money into Pennsylvania and Wisconsin than almost anywhere.
00:37:16.540They have to win Michigan. So they have a grassroots army that's there in Michigan.
00:37:30.080Trending on Twitter over three hundred six thousand.
00:37:32.200I'm telling this stolen valor thing is heating up and it's going to cause I don't think it's going to slow down anytime soon because it's so bad.
00:43:29.780It is, I'll say, when I'm in Egypt, I had the feeling, like, this country will eventually have a revolution, and, like, half the country will die.
00:43:38.540Don't they have a revolution, like, every five years there?
00:43:41.360Yeah, they had one in 2011, which made the tourism a lot cheaper, I will say.
00:44:06.880But, back on topic, with Walls, if he, what I'm wondering is, do we wish we can hit him so bad they force him to drop out, because then it'll be, oh, Kamala's campaign got really damaged.
00:44:39.600But, Jack, at the current trajectory right now of how Walls is getting beat up, I say that it would be silly to laugh at the possibility that Walls cannot get picked.
00:45:02.460It's like, I hope we win in Montana for no other reason than that, honestly.
00:45:07.180So, these guys, I mean, very well-funded.
00:45:10.840And they put up a meme today that was one of the worst leftist memes that I've ever seen.
00:45:16.140And I should have grabbed it before we went in.
00:45:19.100But it was something along the lines of, like, claim, tomb walls didn't have the right rank that he claimed and also shirked a deployment to Iraq.
00:45:29.980And then the truth, and it was just like, in 2005, it's like, just complete, like, complete gobbledygook leftist meme, like, a paragraph trying to explain its way out of the fact that, you know, he just lied.
00:46:18.660So, he's claiming that he served in – he was playing fast and loose with this.
00:46:23.320So, like, for example, when – and, like, people know that, like, I don't try to do the whole professional veteran thing and be like, oh, by the way, you know, I served all the time.
00:46:58.920That was part – so, JTF Gitmo was part of Operation Enduring Freedom under DIA.
00:47:03.780Where I served, there were elements in Europe that were in support of Operation Enduring Freedom.
00:47:09.100There were elements in the Philippines that were considered Operation Enduring Freedom because they were counterterror.
00:47:13.300But from the general public, when you say that phrase, Operation Enduring Freedom, or I served in the war on terror in Operation Enduring Freedom, they think you're talking about Afghanistan because that's where the bulk of Operation Enduring Freedom was.
00:47:27.120And basically, when he was saying that, oh, I was, you know, I was serving in – serving in Operation Enduring Freedom, that he was actually in Italy in, like, a support – you know, in, like, a support role, you know, doing some other kind of – some other kind of op, which was totally on base.
00:47:46.320And if last time I checked, Italy – now, of course, you can make this joke back then, but in 2009, there were not a lot of Afghans in Italy.
00:47:54.360Now, Blake would remind us there probably are a few more now.
00:47:57.640But back at the time, no, that was not the case.
00:48:00.480You were not in danger if you were in Italy.
00:48:02.640So, he ran around claiming that he was in Operation Enduring Freedom and played fast and loose with the facts because that same operational name was used to cover a lot of different missions.
00:48:12.620It was not in Afghanistan, and he was more than happy to let people think that he was in Afghanistan.
00:48:19.260So, yeah, I was just texting with some other people there.
00:48:40.240But if you're talking about the Veep in a negative way, you're talking about their ticket in a negative way.
00:48:46.260I generally think people focus on the potential upsides of VPs, but it's really a lot more downside overall.
00:48:52.640Like, a VP can hurt your campaign more than they can help it, I think.
00:48:57.080And so if he, like, blows up and it forces them to talk about it negatively, it really derails the entire – like, the game plan of the Harris campaign, which is have no substance, don't think about it too hard.
00:49:35.540And I think it's going to be incredibly difficult for them to hold this sort of fake plastic smile they've put on themselves for three straight months.
00:49:45.940And I know it's been a tough couple weeks since she came in.
00:49:50.420A lot of people who'd left Biden came back.
00:49:53.020And it might even be tough all the way through the convention because they're going to have positive stuff from that.
00:49:58.760But I think if we're damaging Walls and just forcing them to get Kamala out there to try to strengthen the campaign, we're in a good position.
00:50:06.540It will be very hard for them to signal strength with nothing to back it up for that long.
00:50:11.680In this picture, Congressman Walls here is holding a sign that says Enduring Freedom of Veterans for Care.
00:50:17.460This right here, under current U.S. law, this could get the congressman probably thrown in jail in violation of the 2006 Stolen Valor Act,
00:50:26.860which says it is a crime, a federal crime, to portray yourself in writing or verbally as having received an award or declaration authorized by Congress that you didn't receive.
00:50:37.460And Congresswoman Walls is clearly claiming in this sign, in this picture with this sign, to be an Enduring Freedom veteran.
00:50:45.060He is clearly, nobody disputes the fact that he is not an Afghanistaner or Enduring Freedom veteran.
00:50:50.880So this represents a fairly serious issue.
00:50:56.180Now, I might, Jack maybe can correct me on this, but I don't think just claiming to be on an operation would be a crime.
00:51:05.100And technically, I think he was part of Enduring Freedom.
00:51:08.560It's like he's taking advantage of the connection, but it was in support of...
00:51:14.100So what I was trying to say earlier is that I've always said I served at Gitmo.
00:51:18.480I've never referred to myself as an Operation Enduring Freedom veteran.
00:51:22.980And even though, like, technically I am because Gitmo was considered under OEF, but it just doesn't feel right because everyone knows that OEF is generally referring to Afghanistan and you've served in Afghanistan.
00:51:38.360So, you know, is he technically correct?
00:51:55.580Now, that being said, I believe that most of the Stalin-Valor Acts have more to do with awards rather than specific operations.
00:52:04.480There's been a bunch of different iterations, and the Supreme Court's ruled a bit on this.
00:52:08.320So I haven't looked at whatever the most updated version of it is.
00:52:12.120But I know that it generally has to do with awards.
00:52:15.340A recent Wisconsin poll just dropped, by the way, shows that Trump only down one, and that's a Marquette poll, which is a really good poll.
00:52:22.400And so that's, with all this common momentum and all that stuff, Tim Walls, that's a good data poll.
00:52:28.860And we've talked about, you know, with Walls and Kamala, I think it shifted the coalitions to be a little bit more like they were in 2016 and 2020.
00:52:37.720Which is good, because what did Wisconsin do in both of those elections?
00:52:53.440It was the closest 2020 state of the blue wall, by far.
00:52:57.200It is the hardest to poll, hardest to cheat, most decentralized, and the ones that are the most willing to just kind of check out of TV ads
00:53:06.800and just really look at the candidates and shock pollsters time and time again.
00:54:12.940I'm not saying that, but I'm saying that have they learned from their polling misses in years past, and this time they've changed their formula?
00:54:20.020They've definitely adjusted them, whether they've done it successfully.
00:54:23.980We really won't know, because what's crazy with this is we get a million polls, and we get one election day in November and—
00:54:31.960And I suppose, in addition, the sampling seems to be heavily Democratic recently in some of these polling.
00:54:38.980It is, but this is a thing they'll point out every time, and you can't go too far with that because, well, if a candidate is doing better in the election,
00:54:46.960more people are going to say, yes, I am a Democrat who supports this person.