Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - April 24, 2025


Trump's First 100 Days - The Fight Has Just Begun


Episode Stats


Length

41 minutes

Words per minute

175.37848

Word count

7,217

Sentence count

478

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

11

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Trump announces plans to hold a massive public rally to celebrate 100 days in office. Russian drone attack in Ukraine kills at least 9 people and wounds 70 more. China pushes back after Trump signals progress in trade talks with the world s other biggest economy. Supreme Court appears to favor an opt-out option for LGBTQ+ in school.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 I want to take a second to remind you to sign up for the Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:05.420 It is completely free.
00:00:06.760 It'll be one email that's sent to you every day.
00:00:08.640 You can stop the endless scrolling, trying to find out what's going on in your world.
00:00:11.720 We will have this delivered directly to you totally for free.
00:00:14.960 Go to humanevents.com slash Poso.
00:00:17.240 Sign up today.
00:00:18.460 It's called the Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:20.160 Read what I read for show prep.
00:00:21.740 You will not regret it.
00:00:23.320 Humanevents.com slash Poso.
00:00:25.060 Totally free.
00:00:25.780 The Poso Daily Brief.
00:00:30.000 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:40.680 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:47.260 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Poso.
00:00:50.240 Christ is King.
00:00:51.900 Breaking news from overnight.
00:00:53.280 Kyiv hit by a massive Russian drone and missile attack.
00:00:56.680 The deadliest since the summer of 2024.
00:01:00.060 Nine people were killed.
00:01:01.220 More than 70 were injured.
00:01:02.940 Two residential apartment buildings were hit, while other buildings in the capital were also targeted.
00:01:07.380 First responders are still looking for anyone that could be trapped in the rubble.
00:01:10.660 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy cut his trip in South Africa early in order to go back to Kiev.
00:01:15.580 This morning, trade war confusion.
00:01:17.960 China pushing back after President Trump indicated that the U.S. is negotiating with the world's other biggest economy.
00:01:24.040 Overnight, multiple Chinese officials denying that there have been talks.
00:01:28.040 One saying, quote, there are no trade negotiations between China and the U.S.
00:01:32.380 Any claims about progress are unfounded.
00:01:34.720 Yesterday, the president signed executive orders targeting universities he views as liberal adversaries to his political agenda.
00:01:42.560 It's part of his campaign to end what he calls wokeness and diversity efforts in education. 1.00
00:01:47.900 The Supreme Court appears to favor an opt-out option for LGBTQ plus readings in school.
00:01:55.120 A majority of the justices signaling support for the religious rights of parents in Maryland who want to remove their kids from classes using the storybooks.
00:02:04.360 Donald Trump's net approval rating on immigration is actually positive, which is very much unlike his first term.
00:02:09.700 If you ask, are we on the right track or the wrong track when it comes to immigration policy, the plurality say that we're on the right track,
00:02:16.120 which is very different from where we were just a few months ago under Joe Biden.
00:02:20.460 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily here live, Washington, D.C.
00:02:25.380 Today is April 24th, 2025, Anno Domini, 100 days.
00:02:32.540 That's right.
00:02:33.020 We are less than one week away from the 100th day of President Trump's second term, his second administration, many are calling it.
00:02:42.720 And in fact, I'm pleased to announce and to have heard the president and his team announce last night that they have decided they will, in fact, be holding a massive public rally to celebrate 100 days up in Michigan.
00:02:59.400 I think this is great.
00:03:00.360 I think the fact that the inauguration was itself canceled for President Trump, he wasn't able to have the parade, he wasn't able to celebrate the victory.
00:03:09.860 I think it's big and I think it's important.
00:03:12.120 I hope that there is, in fact, a lot of pomp and circumstance at this rally.
00:03:16.980 I hope that they add some more of those elements so that it's not just a traditional political rally for President Trump, but also a moment for the country and everyone to understand that this country has been changed, has been shaped and has been shifted because of the events of 2024, but even writ large, the events of the last 100 days.
00:03:37.880 And so what are we talking about, the things that have been done?
00:03:40.880 Look, my top three have always been, and I've been talking about this for years, trade, immigration, and foreign policy.
00:03:47.660 If we are able to change the trade, immigration, and foreign policy, we can change the entire trajectory of this country.
00:03:55.040 And how do we do that?
00:03:56.880 Well, on trade, of course, we know he's fighting the tariff fight.
00:03:59.780 On immigration, look what's happening.
00:04:02.600 The mass deportations.
00:04:03.740 Yes, I know there's fights in the courts, but the administration has completely changed the entire tenor of what's going on.
00:04:11.820 Now, if you get caught in one of these gangs, where do you get sent?
00:04:15.600 El Salvador.
00:04:16.900 You get sent to Bukele, and Bukele will put you away. 1.00
00:04:20.740 And then finally, of course, foreign policy, working to wind down the wars, particularly the war between Russia and Ukraine that, as we learned recently, has been run by the United States militarily on the tactical and operational level out of an intelligence command and control suite in Germany.
00:04:40.760 This is what we elected President Trump to do.
00:04:45.820 And so I sit there day in, day out, and say, you know what?
00:04:49.300 We've got to actually make sure that we get all that across in the swamp, because it is the swamp running these information warfare and 4GW attacks and operations on President Trump, on the administration, Pete Hegseth, and others about what they're doing.
00:05:06.100 But let's talk about where the American people are and how they think about this, coming up next.
00:05:18.240 Nothing will stand in our way.
00:05:20.600 And our golden age has just begun.
00:05:22.960 This is Human Events with Jack Posobiec.
00:05:24.720 Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.
00:05:29.380 Welcome to the second American Revolution. 0.56
00:05:33.800 All right, Jack Posobiec here.
00:05:36.560 Folks, we want to bring in Charlie Kirk's third hour audience on the Salem Radio Network for today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:05:45.260 Folks, President Trump has always put America first, strengthening our borders, strengthening our economy, and standing up to global elites who'd rather see us fall.
00:05:54.740 And just like Trump is fighting to protect America's future, you should be fighting to protect your financial future, too.
00:06:01.240 While others are distracted, gold is quietly making history, hitting record highs, moving part of our savings into real physical assets like gold and silver that doesn't depend on Wall Street.
00:06:12.540 It's a smart move.
00:06:13.700 Thinking about protecting your retirement is not enough.
00:06:16.580 Taking action is.
00:06:18.640 Roll over part of your IRA, your 401k, TSP, or make a direct purchase of gold and silver today and enjoy the peace of mind that comes with it.
00:06:26.340 Look, I trust my partners at Human Events Daily and Allegiance Gold to make that process simple and secure for you.
00:06:34.420 So give them a call, 844-577-7676 or visit protectwithposo.com.
00:06:40.960 That's 844-577-7676 or protectwithposo.com.
00:06:47.880 Get a free gold coin on qualified investment.
00:06:50.920 America is worth protecting, and so is everything that you've worked for.
00:06:56.640 All right, folks, coming up on the 100 days of President Trump's administration, the first 100 days of his second administration, we should say.
00:07:06.040 And I wanted to break down not only where the president is, but also where the country is.
00:07:12.100 And who better to understand that in public opinion than the People's Pundit himself, Rich Barris, joins us here on the program.
00:07:18.860 What's up, Rich?
00:07:19.520 Rich, living the dream.
00:07:21.640 Jack, how you doing, brother?
00:07:23.660 Oh, we always love the dream, and we're living the dream every single day.
00:07:28.740 And so, look, I got to tell you, I'm looking at some of the things across the board, and I don't just say, you know, people say, oh, it's, you know, it's, you know, there's this thing, there's that thing.
00:07:37.520 I say, guys, guys, it's a fight.
00:07:39.220 We always knew it was going to be a fight.
00:07:40.880 We told you it was going to be a fight.
00:07:42.780 Yeah, we won in November, but just because we won the battle didn't mean the war was over.
00:07:48.900 No, it meant that the war was moving to the next phase.
00:07:53.160 People say, what about the courts?
00:07:54.540 What about this?
00:07:55.100 Guys, guys, guys, did you really think that they were just going to give you your country back, hand you your country back?
00:08:01.740 Never, ever.
00:08:02.840 So, Rich, that being said, let's talk about where President Trump is now in terms of these approval ratings, which, by the way, are pretty high when it comes to President Trump to begin with.
00:08:16.180 Yeah, I just want to preface that answer with something.
00:08:22.340 But, yeah, I mean, they were never going to roll over, Jack.
00:08:24.460 Let me just say that.
00:08:25.240 But I want to preface this, what I'm about to say, with something, which is – and it's stunning to me that we have to go through this every year, every cycle after cycle.
00:08:34.440 I cannot beat this anymore like a dead horse.
00:08:39.660 Not all polls are created equal, and it is stunning to me that here we are now, a couple of months after the election in April, and we're still looking at the same pollsters who got stuff wrong and giving them the same level of credibility as those who got it right.
00:08:56.200 And if you look at RealClearPolitics right now, what you're going to see is that Trump's approval is underwater by about the average that these pollsters have understated his support.
00:09:06.820 And approval isn't support.
00:09:08.080 It's not completely equal to vote chair, of course, but it is one of our best gauges for whether or not, obviously, the country supports the president.
00:09:16.460 So what I mean by this is it's a little bit frustrating from my side of the fence here.
00:09:22.520 It's a little bit frustrating that every election we go through this and where people who will support Donald Trump are panicked over the media polls, and then we get to the election.
00:09:31.800 They're wrong.
00:09:32.860 They're wrong dramatically.
00:09:34.620 And there's like maybe three of us in the entire country or the entire world who got the election correct, Jack.
00:09:40.780 And yet when the election is over, we give them the same weight that we give to the others who got it correct.
00:09:48.360 And we have to stop doing that.
00:09:50.660 Emerging media should stop lending these people that much credibility because you are the new credible source of news for the generation that's 60 and under.
00:10:00.320 You are that source of news.
00:10:02.040 So when I turn on, you know, and I don't have to name drop anybody here.
00:10:05.980 You know the people I'm talking about.
00:10:07.300 When I turn on these shows and I see them obsessing over Reuters or Ipsos or this poll or that poll, I'll be honest with you.
00:10:15.160 It's a little bit disappointing.
00:10:16.820 You know, you spend hour after hour, day after day, breaking this stuff down and explaining to people that this industry is filled with incompetence and it's filled with corruption.
00:10:26.120 All right?
00:10:26.340 There's no other way to put it.
00:10:27.800 And whatever is fueling that is irrelevant in discussion for another day.
00:10:31.460 But it's proven.
00:10:32.720 That is demonstrably true.
00:10:34.700 Demonstrably true.
00:10:35.460 And every election, it continues to prove it, especially in the Trump era.
00:10:39.600 It's gotten worse.
00:10:40.380 So just remember that.
00:10:42.220 You know, there are a couple of us who know how to do this correctly.
00:10:45.280 And there are reasons for that we can get into.
00:10:47.480 But they're not many anymore.
00:10:49.660 And that's sad, but it's true.
00:10:51.260 And I'll also say this.
00:10:52.420 I was concerned about this.
00:10:53.700 I came on your show.
00:10:54.440 We talked about this a lot.
00:10:55.300 The no and low prop voters who supported Donald Trump, first time in my lifetime, that the adult or voter eligible population, the VP, the voting eligible population, was more Republican or more Trumpy in this case specifically than the likely voter population altogether.
00:11:11.980 That was being driven by these people, those low and no prop voters.
00:11:15.320 And they don't take surveys.
00:11:16.860 And they just appeared out of nowhere.
00:11:18.780 The response rates began to decline leading up into the election.
00:11:21.520 We were still all right.
00:11:22.300 We still did okay.
00:11:23.560 But after the election, since his honeymoon ended, these people have begun to phase out of the sample. 0.80
00:11:29.680 They go back to their normal life.
00:11:31.120 They're not your 65-year-old neighbor who's obsessing over Fox News or obsessing over CNN, is ready to pick up the poll the minute I call or one of my employees call.
00:11:40.560 That's just not how it works.
00:11:41.820 These guys are gone, and it's a challenge for us.
00:11:45.280 And if you read the media headlines, you would think that it's gospel, brother.
00:11:50.240 Easter Sunday gospel.
00:11:52.480 It's not.
00:11:53.620 Wait, Rich.
00:11:54.080 People need to remember that.
00:11:54.880 I got to tell you, man.
00:11:56.680 I got a neighbor that's like this.
00:11:58.260 My neighbor, he's…
00:11:59.880 He's just under 60, so he's right in the age range that you're talking about.
00:12:06.980 But, I mean, I don't even need to watch CNN and MSNBC because all I go do is I talk to my neighbor.
00:12:13.600 I'll be out, and I'm walking around, and here he comes, and it's going to be, oh, Jack.
00:12:19.380 COVID was going to kill everyone.
00:12:21.420 And then it was Russia.
00:12:23.180 It was Putin.
00:12:23.840 And Putin was going to kill the world.
00:12:25.500 We were all done for.
00:12:27.220 But then also Putin was done for at the same time.
00:12:29.720 It was, like, an interesting thing where Russia was about to collapse and also Russia was about to take over all of Europe. 0.65
00:12:37.900 I remember these conversations vividly.
00:12:41.140 And it was always this weird, like, I know more than everybody else.
00:12:45.340 And it's like, dude, you just sit and watch TV all day.
00:12:48.280 You're not, like, some special savant or anything.
00:12:50.740 All you're doing is repeating whatever they said on Morning Joe, whatever Jake Tapper said.
00:12:55.440 But it's like, oh, these people, they don't know what's coming.
00:12:58.980 They don't know what's coming.
00:13:00.260 They need to watch CNN.
00:13:01.760 Then they would know.
00:13:02.740 And it's like, do you ever – and I wonder this, Rich.
00:13:05.840 This is more of, I guess, like an epistemological question.
00:13:08.760 But it's like, do they ever actually wonder about the things that they told – were told were true that never actually came true?
00:13:15.780 I don't know.
00:13:17.100 I was – that definitely is that type of question because it's like, what do you think you know?
00:13:22.440 And do you ever look back and review something that you may have thought you did know or you had a good grasp on?
00:13:27.780 And then now it has proven – it never came to fruition and it's proven to be incorrect.
00:13:34.060 These are the people, honestly, who somehow sympathize with the Palestinians and Israel is the great big bad, yet they love Vladimir Zelensky.
00:13:44.120 I mean Vladimir Zelensky.
00:13:44.960 It doesn't make any – it's not intellectually consistent because they're following along with a social belief system, a social –
00:13:55.840 are they – Jack, you're not going to find that among like people who are 45 and below, right?
00:14:03.100 Also, they're just dying to tell you everything they think they know.
00:14:07.060 Meanwhile, the next time you land in Vegas or even D.C., ask your Palestinian taxi driver, all right? 0.98
00:14:13.640 Ask your Hispanic Uber driver or whatever the next time you guys run around and go to these – we all travel.
00:14:20.300 We all travel a lot.
00:14:21.180 And ask them the last time they even bothered taking a poll or speaking to a pollster.
00:14:24.820 I mean I know it's anecdotal, but the fact of the matter is these people have different behavioral – they're in different behavioral categories.
00:14:32.200 We actually assign people these.
00:14:34.400 This is so important because you're right.
00:14:36.060 It is.
00:14:36.460 Those are the people who hang up when the pollster calls.
00:14:39.900 They don't interact.
00:14:40.440 They don't pick up.
00:14:41.180 They're not interested versus the people who, like my neighbor, want to absolutely talk your ear off.
00:14:48.580 This is Jack Posobiec along with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.
00:14:52.700 We'll be right back.
00:14:53.720 Human Events Daily.
00:14:54.380 Today, you know, they talk about influencers.
00:15:14.260 These are influencers, and they're friends of mine, Jack Posobiec.
00:15:20.180 Where's Jack?
00:15:21.160 Jack.
00:15:22.140 He's done a great job.
00:15:24.720 All right, Jack Posobiec, and we are back.
00:15:27.400 This is today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:15:29.600 We're on with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.
00:15:33.080 Someone who was – and Rich, let's be fair, man.
00:15:35.440 You were literally, if not the best, within the top five pollsters nationwide on this election.
00:15:44.260 How many people said we would go seven for seven in the swing states?
00:15:47.460 Well, Rich Barris did, and it's funny how nobody wants to give Big Data Poll that level of credit.
00:15:54.240 Was it number one?
00:15:55.000 Yeah, that's one.
00:15:56.700 There were even the others who did a good job.
00:15:58.800 They may have had Harris winning Michigan, or they may have had Harris winning North Carolina.
00:16:03.500 We are the only ones who had him sweeping every seriously competitive state.
00:16:09.440 And then Minnesota was close, but it wasn't – it was closer than it has been in recent elections outside of 16, but it still was – it's still lean to Harris.
00:16:20.120 But everyone outside of myself consistently had that.
00:16:24.320 There was one pollster who flip-flopped like crazy at the end, and I don't even consider it credible.
00:16:30.460 I mean, they announced they were doing final polling, Jack.
00:16:33.120 Then we came out with our final polling, and they went, oops, let me – actually, we were just kidding.
00:16:39.140 Just kidding.
00:16:39.960 Here's our final polls.
00:16:41.120 It was a joke.
00:16:41.860 They took a bite at the apple, the same damn apple, and it was the same data set.
00:16:46.460 Everyone knows it.
00:16:47.360 Everyone could see it.
00:16:48.200 So there was one person who did that in this country.
00:16:51.640 But these others did a good job.
00:16:54.300 So, you know, when you have some other firms out there that did have Harris winning by one point in Michigan, that's within the sample era, and they gave an accurate depiction of how close that race was.
00:17:05.380 But that's not the industry standard.
00:17:08.300 And here's what – there's two things I'm worried about.
00:17:11.760 The people who don't know how to do this job day in and day out, and I know it sounds like I'm taking it personally, but I kind of do.
00:17:20.320 I have completely bought in, and I always have.
00:17:22.420 It's why I do this job.
00:17:23.680 I've completely bought in at George Gallup's belief in the role of public polling in a self-governing society.
00:17:30.920 And it's dangerous, and it undermines democracy, whether – it doesn't matter whether or not they're doing it in purpose or not.
00:17:37.500 It doesn't matter.
00:17:38.480 It sows distrust in the process to have polling that constantly is inaccurate in one direction, which isn't probable.
00:17:46.720 It's not even possible.
00:17:48.220 It's them – that that's a systemic, deep problem with the industry, and whether it's ethical or methodological, it doesn't matter.
00:17:56.180 It's happening, and the effect is the same.
00:17:58.140 And yet the people who are wrong year in and year out not only get elevated, but – and I think maybe this is the part that drives me nuts the most.
00:18:06.740 One side should expect this.
00:18:11.000 CNN is not going to suddenly change because they're embarrassed and humiliated that they were wrong.
00:18:16.240 That's not going to happen.
00:18:18.080 They're going to change when they go out of business because you don't watch or care about the CNN poll anymore.
00:18:23.540 All right, when they don't have the money to fund the poll.
00:18:25.780 Tell me how you really feel.
00:18:26.460 Tell me how you really feel.
00:18:28.520 Right.
00:18:28.820 I mean, let me tell the audience this.
00:18:31.880 You're doing this.
00:18:33.120 You're fueling this.
00:18:34.600 You're popping a blood vessel every time you gov, who hasn't gotten an election correct in 15 years, every time you gov puts out a poll that you pop a blood vessel over, you're doing it.
00:18:47.680 Just ignore them.
00:18:49.160 They're not credible.
00:18:50.220 Don't read the papers that fund them.
00:18:52.380 They're not credible.
00:18:53.200 So, Rich, guys, what Rich is talking about, just to zoom out a little bit, is the issue is that this generates headlines for so many news outlets, which then generates the clicks and shares to say, oh, my gosh, all of a sudden, Trump is underwater on war.
00:19:13.660 He's underwater on election, the stock market.
00:19:16.500 Oh, my gosh.
00:19:17.220 Look, he's totally lost this segment of the population on this issue, immigration.
00:19:23.220 It's, you know, people are totally the tariff.
00:19:25.300 I remember, Rich, they, I believe it was YouGov, actually, when that when Trump announced the tariffs, all of a sudden, YouGov snap poll comes out like 12 hours later.
00:19:35.260 And they're suddenly telling us that America hates the tariffs.
00:19:38.640 And then what do they do?
00:19:40.060 They get to go on CNN.
00:19:41.700 And then they get to go on MSNBC.
00:19:43.720 And then it feels like, and I understand why, but it's almost like the White House press team feels like we need to respond to the narrative that's being put out by these organizations.
00:19:55.020 And what Rich is saying is the initial data that's coming in is bad.
00:20:02.700 So garbage in, garbage out.
00:20:04.820 You're responding to a narrative that is knowingly false.
00:20:10.260 It's based on faulty assumptions.
00:20:12.380 It's based on bad data.
00:20:14.180 So the people that you then think you're responding to, they don't exist.
00:20:18.960 And I'll just, you know, we're coming up on the break, but I'll just put it this way.
00:20:21.980 Go up to somebody who voted for President Trump in the 2024 election and ask you, do you regret your vote?
00:20:31.000 Do you wish you had voted for Kamala Harris?
00:20:33.960 Do you wish Joe Biden could still have been president?
00:20:36.840 And see if you can find anyone, anyone who will say that they wish we had kept things going the way that they were going.
00:20:44.360 I guarantee you those people don't exist.
00:20:47.700 This is a false perception.
00:20:49.660 It is false data.
00:20:50.620 That's what's driving it.
00:20:52.320 And the White House, I love them.
00:20:54.660 And it's, guys, don't worry about this stuff.
00:20:57.440 It's fake.
00:20:58.200 It's fraudulent.
00:20:58.980 And look, that's why we call them the fake news.
00:21:01.800 Jack Posobiec.
00:21:02.360 We'll be right back.
00:21:16.060 Hey, Jack.
00:21:16.900 Where is Jack?
00:21:19.020 Where is Jack?
00:21:21.280 Where is he?
00:21:22.580 Jack, I want to see you.
00:21:26.240 Great job, Jack.
00:21:27.640 Thank you.
00:21:28.400 What a job you do.
00:21:29.840 You know, we have an incredible thing.
00:21:31.220 We're always talking about the fake news and the bad.
00:21:33.520 But we have guys.
00:21:34.980 And these are the guys who will be getting Pulisic.
00:21:37.020 All right, Jack Posobiec.
00:21:39.040 Here we are back.
00:21:40.360 It's today's edition of Human Events Daily.
00:21:43.840 Look, folks, I think it's no one's surprise that I've been at the White House recently, numerous times that I've been traveling with administration officials.
00:21:53.540 The media, of course, loves to report this every so often as much as they can.
00:21:58.380 But when you're in these various environments or when you're traveling to Ukraine with Secretary of Treasury, communications security is paramount.
00:22:08.220 First, who is getting into your devices?
00:22:11.240 Also, you know, when it comes to the secretary, when it comes to their security, and of course, they have Secret Service for the physical security.
00:22:17.560 But they also have to make sure that his communication security is protected, incredibly, of course, because of all of the documents and sensitive information that he is privy to in a real-time basis.
00:22:32.760 And, of course, whenever you're around the president, it only ratchets up further and further.
00:22:36.980 So what does this make us think?
00:22:40.800 Well, as consumers, as people who all have those cell phones in our pockets and around us and the laptops and everything else, we need to start thinking about our own communications security.
00:22:51.420 And that's where Silent comes in.
00:22:53.180 Silent provides Faraday products that block all incoming and outgoing signals so that your devices are safe from the outside world, from their backpacks, phone sleeves, and even pants.
00:23:05.360 Yes, pants. Their patented signal-blocking technology blocks wireless signals, giving you peace of mind that your data doesn't end up in the wrong hands.
00:23:13.440 Just place your device inside, close it, and that's it.
00:23:15.660 You're safeguarded from unauthorized access.
00:23:18.400 So between the government, big tech, corporate America, and criminals, your privacy is compromised already 24-7.
00:23:25.520 There's no other option. You have to protect yourself.
00:23:28.000 And that starts with Silent.
00:23:29.260 How do you get it?
00:23:29.900 Go silent today at slnt.com slash poso to save 15% plus for e-shipping on qualifying orders.
00:23:37.180 Stay ahead of what's coming.
00:23:38.460 Secure your privacy today.
00:23:39.840 Again, that's slnt.com slash poso for 15% off and free shipping.
00:23:45.020 This is Jack Posobiec.
00:23:46.480 We're on with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.
00:23:49.120 Rich, you've been going through and walking us really down this line about how the media runs these fake push-pulls to generate their narratives, to generate false perceptions of reality.
00:24:00.720 You know, and I love it because then Saturday rolls around, and here's Trump and Elon, and they're walking into the UFC, and everybody's cheering!
00:24:08.380 And everybody's, like, on their feet for him, and Mel Gibson's saluting from the front row, and you're like, wait a minute.
00:24:15.640 The people still like the guy.
00:24:17.160 This is not a situation where there's this, like, massive outcry against Trump the way that the media would have you believe.
00:24:24.840 But that being said, Rich, we do need to understand and tell the truth about what's going on.
00:24:32.000 And we know, of course, that President Trump, when it comes down to it, has been making some very big changes and talking about even bigger changes.
00:24:41.900 We know this has spooked the market the way that this always happens, particularly on the economy.
00:24:46.500 And that's why, on this issue, I did want to drill in, Rich, what are you seeing in those numbers when it comes down to it?
00:24:54.740 Because, look, these, for better or worse, you know, personally, I think that America has invested too much in the stock market.
00:25:03.160 I think this is something that ultimately, perhaps, has gotten too much exposure to the average American.
00:25:09.060 Washington, this is a, this is a, you know, like a, this is like a casino culture.
00:25:13.700 And yet, suddenly, we're told this is the best way to, to expand our money.
00:25:18.260 And because, of course, this is the way we've set ourselves up financially.
00:25:21.280 I don't usually pop off on this, but I guess I just am.
00:25:24.740 So, that being said, though, that is where a lot of people have their money.
00:25:28.300 So, Rich, what are you seeing on the economic front?
00:25:31.580 Yeah, I mean, it's, it's funny to me, Jack, in the period of, let's call it globalization, when they changed the economy from a goods-producing economy to a primarily service sector, reliant, market-based economy.
00:25:46.800 And I mean, I don't mean markets the way people think, I mean stock market-obsessed-based economy.
00:25:51.540 They've collapsed it no less than two times in order to change the economy into a cheap goods, no manufacturing, no living wage economy.
00:26:02.060 It was going to take disruption to be able to change it back, which is the agenda that people did vote for.
00:26:09.660 And so, I just want people to understand, I'm not saying here that there's not economic concern.
00:26:15.020 And for those who watch my show, everyone knows for weeks I've been very critical of the White House's messaging because I think they're reactive instead of being proactive, and they're not speaking in the terms that I think they should be speaking in or think would be effective.
00:26:29.420 All right, so I'm not absent criticism, but the truth is, it is your, the narrative you're hearing right now about the economy and everything is being, we're not the left.
00:26:40.960 That's right. I mean, it's being pushed by people who were never honest to begin with, right?
00:26:48.040 And what I really see is a similar situation to what happened with Reagan when he was elected in, of course, the 1980 election.
00:26:55.740 He was hammered from the day he took office in 81 after those tax cuts and the reforms that he pushed.
00:27:02.020 He was hammered all the way up until 83 when the economy started to turn around.
00:27:06.120 He needed to implement a little bit of pain in order to fix what the Carter mistake, Carter and others, it wasn't just Jimmy Carter.
00:27:13.960 But in order to, you know, get the country back in the right direction, he needed to implement some pretty big changes and it wasn't, the benefits were not immediate.
00:27:23.180 It hurt and people were concerned.
00:27:25.240 I just think that everything needs to be put in its proper context.
00:27:28.360 Most of the concern right now is not being driven by reality of higher prices.
00:27:33.300 It's being driven by the perception that there will be higher prices and it's being driven by a certain group's perception.
00:27:40.760 All right. It is not a bad thing.
00:27:42.140 You just mentioned the USA.
00:27:43.880 It is not a bad thing to be the party of younger, less white people. 0.65
00:27:49.640 OK, it is not a bad thing to be the party of people maybe who now vote at lower rates.
00:27:55.620 But in the future are the growing demographics of this country.
00:27:59.540 You're reacting to negative sentiment that is being put out and being exacerbated because these people take polls.
00:28:07.900 But particularly older voters who don't really care about what the economy will look like 10 years from now, Jack.
00:28:15.080 They care about what they had saved up for their golden years right now.
00:28:18.560 And they care about whether or not Social Security will be enough.
00:28:22.040 I cannot tell you when we poll how many times I hear from, you know, let's just call it 16 above.
00:28:27.700 How many times we will hear in a single polling session, Elon Musk is going to take my Social Security.
00:28:33.960 OK, I mean, I cannot tell you how many times we hear something like that.
00:28:37.680 That is what.
00:28:38.300 And so much of that, by the way, comes from what you hear.
00:28:40.780 You hear Democrats say this and broadcast media and cable media just regurgitate it.
00:28:46.060 Elon's never said anything about that.
00:28:48.580 He's actually spoken out against it so many times.
00:28:51.820 President Trump has been against it.
00:28:53.480 But they know that's the button to press for those voters.
00:28:57.500 It doesn't matter how many times President Trump has said it's a lie.
00:29:00.580 They will just lie.
00:29:02.980 That's right.
00:29:03.480 And you need to expect that.
00:29:04.960 Look at what I'm saying is here, you know, don't don't miss the forest through the trees.
00:29:09.400 Step and step back and look at the bigger picture.
00:29:12.240 All right.
00:29:12.600 I mean, if you course correct now, if you're the Trump administration and you think you're
00:29:17.560 course correcting and you change course now and try to go back to business as usual, you're
00:29:22.120 going to forsake all of the.
00:29:24.620 All right.
00:29:25.260 And it's time.
00:29:26.320 And I really don't know how else to say this.
00:29:28.760 I'm president's a bigger thinker guy.
00:29:30.740 You have to look past your own presidency and agenda right now.
00:29:34.420 And if you want your legacy to survive, you're going to need these voters to keep voting
00:29:39.260 for people who have the same letter after your name on the ballot in subsequent elections
00:29:43.960 in the present short term.
00:29:46.400 All right.
00:29:46.980 Let's say present to like short term future.
00:29:49.500 It is going to be a little bit tough at the ballot box during special elections, et cetera,
00:29:54.380 et cetera.
00:29:54.960 But the younger generation is basically the most conservative generation we've seen in 50
00:29:59.640 years.
00:30:00.000 I don't know what I don't know why we've been talking about, you know, we've been talking
00:30:04.760 about this 30 house all week to have a Roosevelt coalition for 30 years.
00:30:09.560 That is it is the you have you now have this situation where millennials and Gen Y are the 0.99
00:30:18.140 most right wing generation in America by almost 10 points, according to real clear politics,
00:30:25.360 almost 10 points.
00:30:27.120 So, yes, we've seen the 70 plus have like a negative 14 deficit, but it's it's blowing.
00:30:33.540 And by the way, you're not going to see this headline anywhere.
00:30:35.720 I want to say like outside of me and you and like Charlie Kirk, no one is talking about
00:30:40.240 this, that it's millennials.
00:30:42.060 Remember the millennials, the stupid, lazy millennials who can't do anything, can't do 1.00
00:30:46.300 anything right, who are ruining America.
00:30:48.720 Guess what?
00:30:49.180 They are the ones who realize that the system doesn't work for them and they love that Trump
00:30:56.580 is fighting the system.
00:30:57.980 That's what people elected Trump to do.
00:31:00.180 These are the ones who I'm not going to relitigate the whole thing, but they like the change versus
00:31:04.560 what you're talking about.
00:31:05.780 The people at the other end of the age spectrum and it is economic.
00:31:10.080 A lot of this is economic driven, folks.
00:31:12.840 Correction, all of this is economic driven, that they're the ones the system has worked
00:31:19.880 for.
00:31:20.380 And that's why they don't like the changes.
00:31:22.540 So what President Trump is doing is saying, look, we're going to do the best to take care
00:31:25.900 of everybody.
00:31:26.760 But the generation that's coming up right now, they need change. 1.00
00:31:31.000 And that's what they voted for.
00:31:32.200 And I would say this too, even that number that you just flashed on the screen is exaggerated
00:31:38.220 because, I mean, I don't want to go through this, but we've talked about this a lot going
00:31:42.560 in.
00:31:42.900 I told you he was not going to perform as poorly with seniors as the poll suggested going
00:31:47.240 to the election.
00:31:48.120 There are myriad reasons for this that we've discussed.
00:31:51.340 Polls are very bad.
00:31:52.440 The younger people are underrepresented, by the way, in those surveys, and the older people
00:31:58.540 are overrepresented and not even polled correctly.
00:32:01.520 All right, let me, just the sample sizes alone, I can tell, I already know the answer to this
00:32:06.400 question, but you do any post stratification, you do any multi-level regression, you did
00:32:11.060 not.
00:32:11.680 Your sample is not big enough.
00:32:13.640 We, when we do, and this is why people should go to the Public Polling Project, support the
00:32:17.320 Public Polling Project, yes, that is a pitch, go to Big Data Poll and do it.
00:32:21.200 This is why we break down age details the way we do and why we stress that in this day and
00:32:27.880 age, bigger is better.
00:32:29.680 All right, bottom line, you need much larger samples.
00:32:33.220 And the reason they all, and look at what Ann Seltzer did in Iowa. 1.00
00:32:36.240 She was a perfect example of this.
00:32:38.140 She completely mis-polled the senior vote.
00:32:41.160 Their samples are not big enough to even do that level of analysis or that level of that
00:32:45.560 granular level of weighting because they're not breaking up the 50 to 64s, the 65 to 74s,
00:32:52.080 the 75 pluses.
00:32:53.140 Laura hates it when I get into detail like this on shows because she thinks I'm telling
00:32:57.020 other pollsters who are bad at their job secrets that they should figure out on their
00:33:00.800 own.
00:33:01.060 And she's probably right, but it's true.
00:33:03.200 They're not, they do not have representative or large enough samples for each of these subgroups
00:33:08.620 to do the level of weighting that is necessary to see whether or not you are accurately polling
00:33:13.660 these age groups.
00:33:14.480 And they were a bust going into the election.
00:33:17.600 So now why?
00:33:18.740 Again, how many states did Reuters poll correctly?
00:33:21.540 How many states did the New York Times poll correctly?
00:33:23.900 How many states did Marist poll correctly?
00:33:26.140 How many, and I could just keep going because none of them did.
00:33:29.420 There were like three of us who did a good job.
00:33:31.520 And I'm telling you, it's because they're not doing any of this.
00:33:35.080 They get it all wrong.
00:33:36.720 They basically gave Harris a massive advantage with seniors that she never had.
00:33:40.820 By the way, they did it for Biden too.
00:33:42.380 And this has been a trend that's been happening for years.
00:33:45.460 And you know what?
00:33:46.160 And now here we are again.
00:33:48.260 This isn't what was reflected at the box, or excuse me, box office, at the polling.
00:33:54.360 This wasn't what was reflected at the ballot box.
00:33:57.780 Be right back.
00:33:58.720 Jack Posobiec, Rich Barris, Human Events Daily.
00:34:12.380 Jack is a great guy.
00:34:20.360 He's written a fantastic book.
00:34:22.120 Everybody's talking about it.
00:34:23.260 Go get it.
00:34:24.360 And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.
00:34:28.360 And we're going to turn it around and make our country great again.
00:34:31.500 Amen.
00:34:31.900 You poll the public, and it turns out the public can hold conflicting views even within themselves.
00:34:38.020 Part of my job to figure out, okay, where do they actually feel on the overall immigration picture?
00:34:43.540 And I think it's important to note, as we have mentioned, is that Donald Trump's net approval rating on immigration is actually positive, which is very much unlike his first term.
00:34:51.500 If you ask, are we on the right track or the wrong track when it comes to immigration policy, the plurality say that we're on the right track, which is very different from where we were just a few months ago under Joe Biden.
00:35:02.860 So, yeah, you see those polling, and you see it's conflicting.
00:35:05.160 It kind of actually reminds me a little bit of the gun control debate, right, where you see, oh, my God, 90% background checks.
00:35:11.340 And then, of course, you look at ballot measures in places like Nevada and Maine.
00:35:14.800 And then when it's actually on the ballot, it's basically 50-50.
00:35:17.440 In my opinion, on this particular topic, what we're really talking about, and the metric we should be looking to, is do people like, when they ask, do you like what Donald Trump's doing on immigration?
00:35:27.020 And if their plurality says yes, which is what's going on, then that's the number that I think is most representative of the public at large.
00:35:33.580 We're here for our final segment with Rich Barris.
00:35:36.540 And, you know, as we come to President Trump's first 100 days, his second 100 days, in a sense, because it's the second administration, let's take a look back, because we're almost coming up, and this will be here very soon, on the 10-year anniversary of President Trump coming down that golden escalator.
00:35:54.320 And remember what the world was like in 2015.
00:35:58.840 If you were Republican and you mentioned the word deportations, you were pushed to the side.
00:36:05.700 You were shunned.
00:36:07.040 You were publicly attacked by the media.
00:36:09.760 You were far right because you wanted illegal aliens out of the country, or, God forbid, you wanted to maintain the current standard of the country that we live in now. 0.97
00:36:22.040 You wanted peace, you didn't want congestion in your cities, you didn't want this creaking education system, health care system, housing situation, all of these problems that are exacerbated because there are too many people in this country, or the fact that you don't like the cheap foreign labor being imported that's literally pushing people out of their own jobs in places like Disney, where they were having to train their own foreign replacements.
00:36:47.880 You were considered a psycho.
00:36:49.380 And now you look what's going on.
00:36:52.040 They turn around and say, you know what, on this question, even CNN has to admit it, that Trump is ascendant on this issue, that Trump won on this issue.
00:37:03.440 His entire political career is because he got this right, and in addition, all of the incredible talents and everything else that he's accomplished, but he was right on the money.
00:37:17.420 When it came to this issue where the American people are, Rich Barris, I want to bring you in here, and I really do think that it's incredible that look at where, you know, just as we talk about, you know, the trajectory of things.
00:37:30.360 Look at where the Republican Party has come since the autopsy of 2012 to today on this issue.
00:37:38.320 It is night and day, and these people have absolutely fallen.
00:37:42.540 They have absolutely fallen, and I got to just say one more thing before we get out, is that to the Republicans in D.C., if you think, oh, well, we'll just slow roll Trump, and then we'll go back to the Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush.
00:37:56.420 No, no, no, no, no, no.
00:37:58.780 Those type of candidates are never going to win again.
00:38:01.880 If you do try to go back to that kind of party, not only will you destroy the coalition, Maha, as well, what you're going to end up with is a world where the far left, like the Luigi's, actually take over.
00:38:15.520 Rich Barris.
00:38:16.680 Yeah, that CNN clip, that was actually interesting.
00:38:20.440 What he's essentially referring to is the wording of surveys.
00:38:24.740 that is what he's being critical i am like forced to say that harry is right here he's not right
00:38:30.200 often but when he is he is what he's saying is the survey wording is not getting to the core of
00:38:35.900 public opinion and it's a great example is background check and gun control oh my god 90
00:38:41.860 support you know these databases and doing background checks right but then when these
00:38:46.520 measures get thrown on ballots initiatives and competitive states they get thrashed or at best
00:38:51.700 like he said it's 50 50 uh we we see this with a lot of um a lot of issues jack the bottom line is
00:38:58.040 tariffs do you uh or would you do you support what trump is doing with tariffs and and and do you
00:39:04.540 support the end gold are you willing to take a little bit of pain in order to get to like this
00:39:08.940 better future i mean they're not really wording these questions like that like you know do you
00:39:13.540 support tariffs that are going to increase the cost of prices i mean so that's what he's referring to
00:39:18.060 and the funny thing about the autopsy is this donald trump's republican party is exactly what
00:39:23.760 the so-called autopsy of 2012 uh called for the party to become and yet the very people who commissioned
00:39:32.180 uh the very you know politicos who commissioned it the very donors who paid for it they're the ones who
00:39:38.760 are making the biggest they pose the biggest threat to donald trump's white house his coalition
00:39:44.740 and the ultimate success of the policy agenda and i find that to be very ironic whatever you want to
00:39:52.680 call it uh and i have for many years this is the party the autopsy said they wanted this is the party
00:39:59.620 the autopsy claimed they needed to get in order to survive as a national political force they got younger
00:40:06.960 people they got more uh black voters they got more hispanic voters they are the party of the rising
00:40:14.440 demographics and that is amazing since you know once upon a time we were all obsessing over a book
00:40:20.640 called the emerging democratic majority which argued that demographics were destiny and that
00:40:25.460 democrats would be the ascendant party and there was nothing republicans could do about it that of
00:40:29.720 course i always thought was faulty because this is something republicans need to remember right now
00:40:34.800 demographics or destiny is a flawed theory because consistent political coalitions the only thing
00:40:41.700 they're consistent with jack is that they consistently evolve and the policy that parties support i believe
00:40:47.520 in rational policy choice the policies that parties support they back and they advance absolutely
00:40:53.960 and that's how you keep the coalition together rich barris that's the only way pundit please go
00:40:59.820 follow him peoplespundit.locals.com the big data poll i am jack pasobic ladies and gentlemen as always
00:41:07.340 as always you have my permission to lay short