A BIG win For Mark Carney - Columnist James Albers (Western Standard)
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Summary
James Albers joins us to discuss his article for the Western Standard, "Canada is risking its own collapse by sabotaging the west" and why he thinks there are still barriers in the way of the proposed Keystone XL pipeline being built.
Transcript
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hi it's john and welcome to the channel friday november the 28th 8 0 3 a.m i hope you're having
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a great friday looking forward to the weekend as well in about uh 30 minutes or so i'll be outside
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clearing snow off the ground once again we've got more snow here in calgary i've got my let me move
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my mug down so you can see i've got the big blue mug here and as you can see we've got a guest with
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us today and boy what a timely guest we've got i'd like to welcome james albers here james great to
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have you here thank you good to be here again james is a calgary-based management consultant
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specializing in leadership development and he wrote wrote an article for the western standard
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guest columnist and this article went up james one week ago today and i'll tell you um we talked
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earlier this week i said when did you want to do this prior to the announcement the pipeline
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announcement with danielle smith and mark carney or after and we decided after i'm glad kind of glad
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we did i went back and read your article this morning and it's almost almost more timely today
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than it was one week ago explain your article canada is risking its own collapse by sabotaging
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the west well basically in a nutshell we recognize that the economic engine of the country uh is so
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dependent on western um western uh power not just uh oil and gas but mining and you name it there's
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so many different things that we uh that we offer to the country and uh the energy sector is by far
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the biggest one and so uh kicking kicking them in the shins is not doing canada any good and so they
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really do uh threaten the livelihood of all of canada when they start taking shots at the west and
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uh liberal policy over the last 10 years you know just i think most albertans shake their head and go
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like what are you doing like why are you doing this it's like it's like somebody sitting on a
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branch and sawing it off um you know and they're just like why you know we we shake our heads but
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um it makes sense to somebody somewhere but not us for sure so what do you so what do you think has
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happened let's let's talk about this a little bit in relation to what happened yesterday do you do you
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think things are better today than they were yesterday or do you think they're the same it's just that
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we don't know that because everybody's everybody's saying that um this pipeline's going to go through
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i did a video earlier this morning saying i'm still skeptical about this there's so many barriers in the
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way what are you thinking now well i think uh i think we have a right to be skeptical number one
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but uh i'll i'll put it this way i'm going to go it on uh uh to use the same analogy i'm going to go
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out on a limb uh this is a big win for mark carney uh i'll let me let me start with that he still got
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his net zero agenda in place nothing has changed with with that whole approach uh none of his policies
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have been substantively uh altered or changed or dropped or or any of that uh i heard the premier
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yesterday talk about uh well we've got you know seven of the nine policies addressed i'm i'm going no
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actually we don't there were carve outs uh for certain pieces even on the clean electricity piece
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it's only for the pipeline pieces as i've read through the memorandum and there doesn't seem to
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be you know any effort to drop that so in terms of who got their agenda through with that memorandum
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yesterday mark carney did it in spades and let's be clear he wants this pipeline because he's looking
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to reduce canadian dependence on the american market he needs to start moving energy to the to
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asia and he may not say it out loud but ultimately this pipeline serves his purposes more than anything
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else because he wants to lessen our dependence on the u.s market so i'll put that out there for for
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discussion well yeah um so you think he wants an oil pipeline the guy who has been part of an
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organization that wanted nobody to invest in pipelines a guy who wants to see oil left in the
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ground do you not still think that there are the barriers in place i i talked about this this morning
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they're already lining up the environment i think was 41 environmental groups are now saying that
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they're going to get in the way of this pipeline aboriginal groups are saying no how no way i think the
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ndp right now are fundraising off of this issue right now um and i don't see any barriers out of
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the way at all i think they all still exist and i think mark carney knew that going in he said days
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ago there has to be an agreement from bc there has to be an agreement from aboriginals they all have to
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buy into this because we're canada first here and i don't think we're going to get all three of those
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things and it's up to danielle smith now to get the aboriginals aboard to get bc aboard to get
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investment to get the environmental things again nothing has changed but i just don't see how the
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pipeline goes through and i think mark carney knows that uh i would i agree with you on the
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for sure i nothing has changed with regard to the obstacles that are still in the way the only thing
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that i saw that made me wonder at all was the premier made it very clear that there's no mention
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in the mou of giving bc or the first nations groups uh a veto so that um that gave me pause for
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thought uh so i want to you know i want to look at it on the face of it you're taking her at her
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word for that and she has assurances from mark carney at this point that's what we have to do
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because the devil as you know is in the details and what we saw yesterday um probably created more
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questions than it answered i guess that's the best way to put it yeah and so we have to look at that
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but i'm looking at uh you know he has not abandoned you know when you read his book and you look at
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what he stands for none of those issues really are uh are being sacrificed he hasn't sacrificed
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any part of his vision at this point with regard to the pipeline the pipeline is an economic lever that
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he needs to move away from dependence on the u.s and that i think he's willing to do that temporarily
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that's why you don't see these policies being dropped uh at some point when he decides it's time
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uh they'll be closed again and you know get the pipe get the one pipeline through shut everything
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else back down and we're back to where we were before what i'm concerned about is alberta has um
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has given up uh some of its sovereignty over you know so for example the carbon tax um we we are
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supposed to be doing that but ottawa carved out a piece of that saying no we we demand that that
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carbon tax go up what six times i guess that's the number that they're talking about now six times so
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that's what we had to give up in order to get uh this pipeline at least agree to uh and that's all we
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can say at this point because i don't see any firm dates uh attached to this memorandum uh except when
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it comes to carney's net zero agenda so the stuff that he wants we've got dates on the stuff that we
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want as albertans in terms of a pipeline there's no dates on that there's no there's no uh commitment
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to say shovels will be in the ground by this date uh and at that point then all these other things
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will kick into gear what we're seeing is all these things are going to kick into gear and and we're
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going to discuss the pipeline and we have a two-year window a two-year window quite frankly
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is baloney uh i'm sorry it was like uh two-year window is you know the federal government has a
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jurisdiction they could be putting that pipeline through right now if they wanted to it's in the
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national interest everybody knows that even the people of bc know that uh and quite frankly most
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of the first nations that would be impacted by that know that as well uh and so you know those
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are the issues that we're dealing Alberta had i think has given up more than they got
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I don't think Carney has had to budge on his agenda and his his mission whatsoever and even
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though the pipeline seems like a bit of a strange thing uh I mean you're right we may well see him
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let uh EB uh carry the no for him so that he doesn't have to be the bad guy but uh uh it's all gonna
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my concern at this point is how is she going to sell this at the AGM well I was going to get to
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I've got down here UCPAGM at the bottom I want to talk to you about that um you said in your article
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last week again Canada is risking its own collapse by sabotaging the west link uh down below in the
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descriptions you can read the whole thing and we'll talk James got another article coming up which we'll
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talk about in just a moment uh you said in your article and yet the barriers continue to pile up the
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federal government fixation on net zero targets layered over provincial and indigenous approval
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complexities has produced a regulatory thicket so dense that projects which might take four years
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elsewhere now take 10 or 15 years in the west it's little wonder that private capital looks
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elsewhere investors require certainty Ottawa appears determined to offer only obstruction um yesterday I
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played a clip on the channel here Ezra Levant asking um Premier Smith about the the carbon tax
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which is going up apparently in April and we might not see a pipeline until 2040 uh we can't wait
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four years it could take 10 to 15 years for this and let me ask you this you say if Mark Carney
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Mark Carney really wants this pipeline if you were an investor James would you be investing in this
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because there's still so much uncertainty and that's the thing that's driven investors
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away for years in this province and in the country as well yeah I don't think that it has I don't think
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it's cleared that climate up at all to be totally honest except for those people that go okay we've got
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a we've got a really small window uh let's see if we can get that pushed through if if he had come in
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yesterday and said okay we are going to mandate that this is in the national interest and so um we're going
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to clear away all the regulatory issues so that this pipeline can be built we have a one-off and so
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you'll get investors for that but that doesn't clear away all the other issues that would happen
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subsequent to that and that's the issue that I think uh Premier Smith was trying to address with our nine nasty
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policies those haven't been addressed that really hasn't cleared the air with regard to making an environment
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that investors are going to feel confident with well James she said um I think it was March
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if I remember correctly about March 16th last year get rid of these nine bad things or we'll have a
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national unity crisis and you said they aren't gone of course we're talking about uh c48 c69 tanker
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pipeline ban um plastics I think net zero I think net zero is one of them EV I think the EV mandate is
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coming back they've already looked into that they finished up their um their discussion about that I
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think that's coming back as well and there's a number of other ones as well so obviously Daniel
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Smith gave he said we'll have a national unity crisis she put up the barrier she said here it is
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we must get rid of these things and now she's backing off on that does this make her look weak
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I think that's what she's going to find out this weekend uh to be completely honest and you know my
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question is how does she control the narrative at this point she's uh at least from what we saw
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yesterday she's touting this as a win and I think if she goes into the AGM saying that this is a big
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win for Alberta she may be in for a bit of a rude awakening because I don't think the base is buying
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it to be completely honest um so yes I I think she she may be in for a bit of a wild ride I I put in
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bold from your article a paragraph I'd like to read it in in total if I can again you can read the whole
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article and we'll I'll give you uh a little information about James's new article in just a
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moment but I wanted to read this whole thing okay if you if you'll let me and so the truly
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uncomfortable question is not what Ottawa will offer talking about this deal here but what position
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that offer will force Daniel Smith to occupy a mediocre deal rich in language but poor in substance
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filled with modest timelines and unconditional promises would not simply disappoint it would become
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a political trap if she accepts it she risks signaling that half measures and photo opportunities
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are sufficient responses to an existential threat if she rejects it she'll be branded unreasonable
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uncooperative even divisive this is the bind that western leaders have long faced accept crumbs and express
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gratitude or demand substance and be scolded for disunity are we filled with modest timelines and
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unconditional promises here and how much of that rings true you wrote this a week ago James
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yeah it was a little um it was a little unnerving to see how this all unfolded yesterday and I thought
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oh man she has she is now I think very firmly placed herself in a very precarious position
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she has to sell this to her base uh at the AGM I think Albertans in general aren't uh
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are committed one way or the other uh around this with the exception that I think universally Albertans don't
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really trust Ottawa at this stage of the game and so we're waiting for the other shoe to drop if that's
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a good way to put it but what she does in the next three days is going to uh truly truly determine uh
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what Alberta looks like going forward and I think she needs to be very very reticent about how she frames us
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and um if she's going to try and do a PR job and sell this as a big victory I think that spells trouble
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for her well you uh you also wrote in your article a thin deal does not resolve tension it deepens it
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it tells Albertans their warnings were politely heard and fundamentally ignored it signals that
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the economic engine of this country is not a strategic priority but an inconvenience to be managed
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with press conferences and carefully crafted phrases did you have did you look into a crystal ball uh
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last week when you wrote your article I was thinking this morning after I read it again I thought you
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know he needs to do an addendum to this like a follow-up couple of paragraphs because a lot of this came
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true it's the word omniscient I think I think you were um yeah it's a great it's a great article I hope
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everybody will read it once again the AGM I I talked a little bit about that this morning and I I said I'm not
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a violent person I I don't want people to throw things at Daniel Smith but the way I look at this
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James and you're a little more optimistic about it than I am because I don't trust the liberals as
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far as I can throw them um but I thought you know people might start throwing things at her because
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this gets worse the more I look at it this deal the so-called deal and that's the way I'm seeing it
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we hear more and more about it all the time we give this and and like you said right off the top
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this is a big win for Mark Carney is it a big win at all for Alberta at this point we can't see and
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that's the problem with this memorandum we we really don't know because there's so much that isn't uh
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talked about isn't addressed there is no firm commitment on the part of our government other
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than to uh at least let Alberta talk to BC who we know has been a little bit petulant about the whole
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process right from the very start so uh I don't see that we have anything of uh real tangible
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substance coming out of that memorandum at this point because and again they're not those dates
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aren't tied together it would be one thing if if she said yeah we're going to increase the carbon tax
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on April 1st because we will have an agreement for the pipeline on April 1st those two are tied
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together and so that's what we're going to get but none of that exists we have a promise that in two
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years we're going to we're going to hopefully have a pipeline in place but the carbon tax goes ahead
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regardless and for me that's a bit that's a that's a capitulation and we really need to
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reconsider that for sure the other thing I've thought about quite a bit I remember when uh
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Danielle Smith and Scott Moe the um the caucuses for Alberta and Saskatchewan sat down back in June
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and I remember them in a news conference after that and they asked Scott Moe they said you know about
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major projects because I I'm wondering at that time I'm thinking c5 had just been passed or it was
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very close to being passed and this gave Carney an override when it came to bill c69 and things like
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this but he said we have hundreds of projects ready to go and Danielle Smith was sitting there nodding
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her head and you you brought this up in this interview here we get the one thing and then he may back off
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and we and it's the only one thing we get and I wrote down here is one enough I certainly don't
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think it is and again we'll go begging to the liberals if they're still in power again and
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that's what really bugs me about this that's why I want independence we're on our knees our premier's
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on our knees begging Mark Carney and the liberal party that have abused us for years we're begging
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them for prosperity here is one enough James one pipeline absolutely not and I and I think what people
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are going to find confusing if that's a good way to put it is that she's done I'll give her credit
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she's you know I've met her several times she's one of the smartest politicians I've ever met and
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she's like James people we I like her but I'm disappointed in her with this one I really am and
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I think she's going to hear it like you said at the AGM which starts today so it's it's these two issues
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where she's done so much at and that's what we're going to be talking about a little bit later but
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she has done a lot to to um uh firewall Alberta from uh harmful Ottawa policies a lot of her her
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legislation is exactly that people are applauding her for it I I support that a hundred percent
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that's why this this capitulation on the issue around carbon tax and giving Ottawa any kind of
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franchise with regard to or a say with regard to how Alberta is going to set its own carbon
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uh pricing um that that just rubs completely the other way with regard to what she's been doing so
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far and I think that's going to be the question that that uh folks at the AGM are going to be asking
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her about for sure yeah I I don't I mean I don't want to get into a deep philosophical or um discussion
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about independence I I certainly don't think this does anything people who want Alberta independence I I
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haven't changed my mind one bit and it will be impossible for me to do that I think an article
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ran in the National Post just yesterday saying that this will you know the independence movement
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will be um calmed down a little bit over this thing what what do you think about the situation
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right now and do you think maybe some of this has to do with with that as well that Danielle Smith
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is a little bit concerned about that well I'm sure she is and she well ought to be I think the issue
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is it hasn't tapped that issue down at all I think if anything it is uh intensifying it and I look at
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that and I go why do we we are supposed to be an equal partner in Confederation and we are constantly
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fighting with the federal government to get simply our fair share uh to get our our product to market uh
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we're fighting with BC like this shouldn't even be an issue this shouldn't even be a discussion you
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don't hear that happening down in the US for example between various states it's like they're
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all in it together we have a system where for whatever reason Ottawa and the east have worked
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really hard to tamp us down don't understand why but at some point you have to say well enough is enough
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yeah what happened to team Canada so you have another article coming up in the um in the western
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standard uh has it got anything to do with this uh it will touch on that uh the the title is a bit um
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i'm not sure how i want to state it but the concept is basically this um not all ideas are equal and
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neither are all cultures and the idea is that it formed the west and i don't mean just western Canada
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but the western world right good ideas and there we know that because people have been moving from
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other countries to western countries because of those good ideas and so when we look at Canada
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we see a federal government that has in some cases and i think in large part abandoned those ideas as
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embarrassing and they're trying to replace it with something else which is why we have the issue with
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with Ottawa that we do right now and so the final question that i put to the premier in the article is
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simply this how many policies how many pieces of legislation do we have to put in place to protect
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Alberta from Ottawa before somebody goes wait a second why are we constantly doing this clearly
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this is not just a policy difference anymore this is a fundamental cultural um disagreement and we
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need to make steps to to go for independence i look forward to reading and i've something came to
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mind when you were saying that i want to i want to finish on it back in uh in 95 i was living in
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eastern Ontario at the time in Cornwall Ontario as a radio announcer there and that's when the
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referendum happened and i went i wouldn't do it today i got on a bus i remember Dennis Sabaran was
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the the local liberal there he got a whole bunch of buses together and we went to Montreal for that
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huge rally they had in downtown Montreal there was a huge Canadian flag i was under that flag i took this
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cell phone that was bigger than my head it was like one of those big remember those phones yeah like a
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giant five bricks it's all tied together and i did a report very very sketchy cell phone coverage in 95
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in Montreal but the words that came to mind all the time were distinct society that's what they said
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about about Quebec and and i moved out here 13 years ago James i think the west is a distinct society
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i don't think the east understands us i don't put bc in there i think they're a little bit different
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than us but Saskatchewan and Alberta for sure do you think we're a distinct society absolutely in fact
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i would i would venture to guess that we're really more of what Canada used to be
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which now makes us distinct and i know that's a sad thing to say but the east has moved so far from
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its roots in terms of what created Canada and what made Canada a great nation and we still believe
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those things here in Alberta that i think truly does make us distinct and and that's i think part of
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what's fueling you know when we look at independence we used to think well you know what it's policy
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difference there's structural issues with confederation that are driving this but it's
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more than that now because we see the eastern Canada stepping further and further away from the values
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and the the history that made Canada what it was whereas out here in the west we still hold true to
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those things and you know individualism hard work uh freedom those radical concepts
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we still believe in those things and i think now that you're right it truly does make us a distinct
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society yeah i think we're going to get a feel for that in your article when we read it right for sure
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absolutely and you actually spoke to Danielle Smith for your article uh no i i have not spoken with her
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okay but i've i've i've met her several times and um like i say i applaud what she's been doing
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she's a smart bright politician um but sometimes you know everybody anybody can make a mistake and i
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think this one um she's gonna have to take a cold sober second look at it's gonna be interesting to see
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what happens this weekend yes you know the old chinese proverb may you be cursed to live in interesting
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times well congratulations we are living in interesting times before we started recording
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i said boy the stuff that's happened in the last year in this country has been unbelievable and
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certainly here in alberta as well james we'll leave it at that it's wonderful to talk to you again