John Bolton - January 29, 2026


Is Pierre Poilievre a lost cause？ I know someone who can beat Carney


Episode Stats

Length

9 minutes

Words per Minute

183.78712

Word Count

1,782

Sentence Count

148

Misogynist Sentences

2

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

Is Pierre Polyev a lost cause as the next Conservative Party Leader? Is he a candidate to lead the Tories in the next election, or is there someone else who can do the job better than Polyev.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 At 4 o'clock this morning, I got a calendar reminder, and it got me thinking, is Pierre Polyev a lost cause?
00:00:11.920 Hi, it's John, and welcome to the channel, 4.56 a.m. It is Thursday, January the 29th.
00:00:17.120 Hope you're having a great start to your Thursday morning with the big blue mug of coffee, of course.
00:00:21.440 And I did have a calendar reminder pop up this morning. It's at 4 o'clock.
00:00:25.160 It said, Pierre Polyev's leadership review. And some of you may remember I made a prediction that I thought another conservative would walk across the aisle just prior to the conservatives being in Calgary and Polyev's leadership review, which happens this weekend.
00:00:41.440 I said I would mention it on January 29th, whether I was right or wrong, and I guess I'm wrong.
00:00:46.520 But then again, folks, I mean, a day is a whole year in politics. We've still got 36 hours before Polyev does his speech on Friday night, so we'll just have to wait and see.
00:01:00.020 So I'm wondering, do you think Pierre Polyev is a lost cause as the leader of the Conservative Party?
00:01:07.840 I like Pierre Polyev. Don't get me wrong. I think he's a good family man. I think he's a great communicator.
00:01:12.460 I think he would be a great prime minister, but I think he may be the greatest prime minister Canada never has. I've said that before.
00:01:18.960 But is he a lost cause? And who, right now, in the Conservative Party, should he not get favorable support this weekend?
00:01:26.100 Who would lead the Conservatives in the next election, which might happen very quickly, who would lead them to victory? Is there anybody?
00:01:33.200 Think outside the Conservative Party. My wife was awake this morning, and I asked her, and she said, there's one man in the country that could beat Mark Carney.
00:01:44.940 She doesn't think Polyev can.
00:01:48.160 My wife is a very smart person, and she came up with one person. I'm going to reveal that person at the end. Think about it.
00:01:54.660 Who would you put your trust in to vote for, even if he was the interim leader of the Conservative Party?
00:02:02.300 There might be one after this weekend if Polyev doesn't get enough votes. Who would you trust?
00:02:07.760 It's fascinating. I don't think it would ever happen. I think it's highly unlikely, but I would vote for this guy.
00:02:15.000 Okay, so I say good luck to Pierre Polyev. I also think Polyev is a bit of a...
00:02:18.660 Well, he looks at Alberta as a place of convenience. Lost his seat. I've said this. Lost his seat in Carlton to Bruce Fanjoy, the Liberal.
00:02:26.660 Comes to Alberta. Wins a seat in Battle River Crowfoot. Now says he won't run here again because he'd rather run in Ontario.
00:02:33.700 And I think that's where he'll run again. He's not saying where he's running, but it won't be in Alberta.
00:02:37.580 I think Conservatives as well think that Alberta is a place of convenience for them because they have so many seats here.
00:02:44.080 Look at this. All these seats. And why are they a party of convenience? And why do I think that way?
00:02:49.680 First off, I do not think that if we had a Conservative government in Ottawa, we would do much better here in Alberta.
00:02:56.100 I believe that. But whenever an election is called, the Conservatives think of Alberta as an afterthought.
00:03:03.440 We're easy votes for them. So they have to strategize to get votes in Ontario and Quebec.
00:03:08.060 So they have to kowtow to what Ontario and Quebec want. And they forget about us out here.
00:03:13.180 I also think Polyev and the Conservatives will be a threat to the independence movement.
00:03:17.160 A big threat because they can't afford to lose 36, 37 seats out here that they get every election.
00:03:23.000 They'll never be in power again if Alberta leaves.
00:03:25.880 So you'll find pure Polyev coming out. He will have to come out strong against the independence movement.
00:03:30.660 He'll have to come out strong for Canada.
00:03:32.780 He'll probably have his MPs from Alberta on the ground with boots on the ground fighting tooth and nail to keep Alberta in.
00:03:38.920 And so I see Polyev and the Conservative Party of Canada as a threat to the Alberta independence movement.
00:03:45.200 And we have to look at it this way.
00:03:47.260 There are some good articles online, a couple of them here, from Brian Lilly, talking about his big speech, how important this speech is going to be.
00:03:54.300 There's this one here as well.
00:03:56.120 This is from Stephanie Taylor.
00:03:58.060 She makes a good point here.
00:03:59.000 Polyev will face two very different audiences at his leadership review.
00:04:02.220 The first will be the people who can vote to keep him around or make him go away.
00:04:06.840 And the other is voters, because right now the Liberals are leading in a big way in a recent Leger poll.
00:04:13.120 47% voter support after Carney's Davos China trip, according to a Leger poll.
00:04:19.100 Let me bring that back up.
00:04:20.540 Because I want to read that subheading, Carney's gains appear to be entirely at the cost of the NDP and the Bloc Québécois.
00:04:27.500 Now, here's where I start to think a little bit differently than the previous articles from the Toronto Sun and the National Post.
00:04:33.900 And I'm going to go through my notes here, because I jotted these things down this morning, because it will make the video a little bit shorter.
00:04:39.180 It could go on forever.
00:04:40.520 So, the Liberals have got a big lead in the polls, as you see.
00:04:43.640 The baby boomers, according to the polls, still supporting the Liberals with their elbows up stuff.
00:04:49.040 Carney's Davos speech, very, very popular, because he was critical of Trump.
00:04:53.660 So, that was a big hit.
00:04:54.580 Trump's reaction, 100% tariffs on Canada, welcomed by Liberals.
00:04:59.060 The Liberals masterfully using Trump to their advantage.
00:05:02.740 And even some Conservative voters, according to the polls, say that they think Carney is doing a good job.
00:05:08.120 I do not, and you probably don't either.
00:05:10.180 Still thinking about the person who could run the Conservative Party?
00:05:13.020 I want to bring that up again.
00:05:14.160 You still thinking about that?
00:05:16.080 Keep thinking.
00:05:16.600 People seem to forget, and it wasn't mentioned in those two previous articles, in the Sun and in the National Post, that the NDP is without a leader right now and won't have one until the end of March.
00:05:30.500 So, they're vulnerable right now.
00:05:32.940 The Liberals are just, you know, shy of a majority.
00:05:35.620 They desperately want one, and there's talk of an election right now.
00:05:38.980 The Conservatives would destroy themselves if they urged Polyev to step down as leader, with a possible election looming.
00:05:45.560 So, they may limp into an election with a weakened leader, just as they need someone strong.
00:05:50.040 It all depends on this weekend's vote.
00:05:51.880 Now, Polyev isn't catching on with the people who voted Liberal on April the 28th.
00:05:56.320 This is what my wife said this morning, and she kind of looks at this from the outside.
00:06:00.220 His message has changed a bit, but I don't think they trust him to run the country.
00:06:05.040 Are you still thinking about the person they might trust?
00:06:08.480 I don't think boomers think he has solutions to problems and only complains.
00:06:12.740 He does have solutions, but they're not listening as the country spirals down.
00:06:16.600 Now, my wife said she thinks he's a little bit flippant.
00:06:19.640 She used the word crispy, and she was thinking of this.
00:06:24.020 On the topic, I mean, in terms of your sort of strategy currently, you're obviously taking the populist pathway.
00:06:33.920 What does that mean?
00:06:36.020 Well, appealing to people's more emotional levels, I would guess.
00:06:42.040 I mean, certainly you tap very strong ideological language quite frequently.
00:06:48.360 Like what?
00:06:48.720 You're sitting there thinking, we loved that.
00:06:52.080 It was fantastic.
00:06:53.200 I loved it too.
00:06:54.760 He's sticking it to the legacy media.
00:06:56.880 I used to work in the legacy media.
00:06:58.880 I loved this.
00:07:00.060 Joe Rogan talked about it.
00:07:01.400 This was talked about in Australia, around the world.
00:07:04.300 Look at the way this conservative leader is treating the mainstream media.
00:07:08.520 But is that the guy that baby boomers want to vote for?
00:07:13.440 I voted for him.
00:07:14.820 My wife voted for him.
00:07:16.280 We laughed and loved when he did that.
00:07:18.140 He took off his glasses.
00:07:19.740 He put on a t-shirt.
00:07:21.000 He looks like he works out.
00:07:22.520 But is he the guy that baby boomers want to vote for?
00:07:26.160 Or is this the guy, the central banker?
00:07:28.660 This is who they voted for.
00:07:32.440 Mark Carney.
00:07:33.880 He's not doing the job, but that's who they trust.
00:07:39.820 Is Pierre Pauly of a lost cause?
00:07:41.860 Are you still thinking about the person that could possibly lead the country?
00:07:45.040 Which I think is highly unlikely.
00:07:46.320 But my wife brought it up this morning.
00:07:48.320 And my wife has a different perspective.
00:07:50.140 She doesn't follow this all the time.
00:07:52.420 But she knows who she trusts.
00:07:54.920 Maybe they should recruit a guy like this.
00:07:58.300 Again, highly unlikely.
00:08:00.100 But would you vote for this guy again?
00:08:01.760 Can you imagine this guy going head-to-head with this guy?
00:08:11.040 I could.
00:08:12.400 Particularly when Carney took credit for bringing Canada out of the economic downturn in 2008.
00:08:20.140 When it was actually Stephen Harper and the late, great Jim Flaherty, who was finance minister at this time.
00:08:26.740 But don't you think that somebody like Stephen Harper of his stature could beat Mark Carney?
00:08:33.080 And I think he could do it even if he was the interim leader.
00:08:36.180 That's what my wife said this morning.
00:08:37.620 That's the kind of guy they need.
00:08:40.180 Highly unlikely.
00:08:41.120 But does the Conservative Party have anybody like that right now?
00:08:46.780 Is Polyev a lost cause?
00:08:49.580 It's going to be interesting to see what happens this weekend.
00:08:51.980 It really is.
00:08:53.080 Will he survive?
00:08:54.720 And will he get enough votes so that the mainstream media doesn't try to destroy him?
00:08:59.720 Look, he only got 75%.
00:09:01.480 He only got 70%.
00:09:03.080 Even his own caucus doesn't support him 100%.
00:09:06.120 He's got to get an overwhelming majority of the people to support him this weekend.
00:09:11.200 But can he win the next election?
00:09:14.320 I seem to think that we'll have another Liberal majority before the Conservatives are ever in power again.
00:09:20.760 That's just the way I'm seeing it.
00:09:22.000 They would win right now if an election were held.
00:09:25.680 I think that's obvious.
00:09:27.640 Let me know what you think in the comments.
00:09:29.760 Would you support Stephen Harper?
00:09:31.560 I would vote for him again.
00:09:33.520 Have yourself a great day.
00:09:34.560 If you liked the video, give it a thumbs up.
00:09:36.280 Subscribe to the channel.
00:09:37.240 Ring the bell for notifications.
00:09:38.960 I'll see you in the next one.
00:09:40.620 Recruit Stephen Harper.