John Bolton - The Boldest Canadian Political Prediction On The Internet

00:00:00.000 Hi, it's John, and welcome to the channel. Great to have you along today, last day of the year.

00:00:04.720 It is December the 31st, 4.54 a.m. I've got the big blue mug of coffee this morning,

00:00:11.000 about to go up and warm it up. This one's getting a little bit cool.

00:00:15.380 And today, I am going to make a prediction. Now, I said, you know, a few videos ago,

00:00:20.400 predictions are BS. Yeah, making political predictions is just fine. But today,

00:00:24.780 I'm making a prediction that no one else will be making on the internet today.

00:00:29.560 I can guarantee it. If you see somebody else who makes this prediction today,

00:00:33.680 you let me know about it in the comments. But I guarantee you'll not be able to find anybody else

00:00:38.540 going as bold as I am going today. And I woke up this morning thinking about this, folks.

00:00:44.460 This is the kind of stuff that wakes me up at night. And it haunts my dreams, too. You'll get

00:00:50.180 the idea in just a minute. So, I said a few videos ago that past behavior is a good way to predict

00:00:55.720 future behavior. And I believe politics are the same. Past politics are a good way to predict future

00:01:01.620 politics. You probably saw the poll numbers from yesterday. This is unbelievable. Trudeau liberals

00:01:09.280 reach all-time low in polls at 16%. I mean, this is just amazing. Look at the numbers here. 45% for

00:01:17.780 the conservatives. This is a 29% gap. I'm also wondering about this rise in the NDP. Who are

00:01:24.040 you people? Jagmeet Singh is the biggest piece of blank in Canadian political history. I did a video

00:01:30.520 on it. More than 100,000 views on that one, folks. He's the guy that's kept Trudeau in power.

00:01:37.380 Singh's the real problem here. I hate Justin Trudeau, but Singh's even worse, as far as I'm concerned.

00:01:43.240 But 16% right now, it's unreal to think this is where we are in Canadian politics. So,

00:01:48.840 Trudeau has to go, right? And how is he going to go? Well, there's a number of different options

00:01:54.720 here. Now, if we look at 1993, we're in the same territory now with the liberals. If you look at

00:02:00.760 the National Post story, and that poll right there, that's a screen capture from the National Post. I'll

00:02:05.700 put a link in the description. They say the conservatives in 93, when they got wiped out, they were at

00:02:11.140 16.03% in the polls. So, it's almost exactly the same. So, let's look at what happened in that

00:02:17.700 election. By the way, this is the only election. I did not vote conservative in a federal election.

00:02:23.340 The only one. I voted, I don't think I voted for a liberal or NDP or not a traitor to my country or

00:02:30.660 anything. I voted for a party called the National Party. I don't even think they were a national party

00:02:36.560 at the time. And the guy's name, if I remember correctly, I have to look it up. I think his name

00:02:39.880 was Andy Boyle. But it was a protest vote because I was sick of Brian Mulroney at the time, as most

00:02:44.920 conservatives were. So, I did not vote conservative in this election. But this is from Kim Campbell's

00:02:50.360 Wikipedia page. So, I'll put it up on screen right now. I wouldn't suggest going to Wikipedia. Lots

00:02:54.160 of misinformation on there. But this is just history. This is how I remember it. So, let me read this to

00:02:59.100 you. Mulroney entered 1993 facing a federal election. By then, his popularity had markedly declined.

00:03:05.780 And polls suggested that the Tories would be heavily defeated if he led them into that year's

00:03:10.660 election. Does this sound familiar, folks? In February 1993, Mulroney announced his retirement

00:03:16.720 from politics to take effect after his successor had been chosen. Campbell entered the party leadership

00:03:22.520 race to succeed Mulroney. Campbell had served in four cabinet portfolios prior to running for the

00:03:28.740 party leadership, including three years as Minister of Justice, and garnered the support of more than half

00:03:33.320 the PC caucus when she declared for the leadership. She defeated Jacques Charest at the Progressive

00:03:38.700 Conservative Leadership Convention that June, and Governor General Raina Titian appointed her

00:03:43.420 Prime Minister on June 25th. Now, let me just make this clear. I don't consider Kim Campbell a Prime

00:03:48.440 Minister of this country, even though history does. She was never voted in as Prime Minister. She got the

00:03:53.200 job by default. But this is exactly what's going to happen and play out until October when we have an

00:03:58.980 election. There will not be a non-confidence vote. There will be a non-confidence vote, but the

00:04:02.840 government will not be voted down. The NDP, as I said yesterday, are not going to support peer

00:04:07.720 poly. They just won't do it because they hate you if you're a conservative. That was my video yesterday.

00:04:12.920 But the other option that hasn't really been talked about much here is maybe here, Trudeau, if he resigns,

00:04:18.360 he does it in disgrace. He may prorogue, which is kind of dirty politics, but he may say,

00:04:23.200 I'll stick around for a number of months until we find a new leader. That's a possibility as well.

00:04:27.320 And I think it's the easiest way out for him. He can just kind of bow out, kind of fade away into

00:04:31.680 the background and let politics in the Liberal Party kind of happen so that it kind of takes the

00:04:37.480 focus off of him. That might be something that happens. And then the next person that's chosen

00:04:42.260 as the Liberal Party leader will be sworn in as the next Prime Minister. And I say Prime Minister

00:04:48.060 because I don't declare you the Prime Minister if you haven't been voted that way. They'll be the

00:04:52.240 new Prime Minister of the country before an election in October. And the Liberals are going to get wiped out.

00:04:57.220 But they've got to stay around, folks. They cannot go to an election in the next couple of months.

00:05:01.960 Their numbers are at 16%. So they've got to somehow bring those numbers up. So they need a new leader.

00:05:06.700 October election. Again, the 16% even makes that more possible. That's what's going to happen. 0.97

00:05:12.240 So what is my prediction? Oh, and by the way, I mean, if you look at what the Liberals are doing right now,

00:05:18.540 they're lining up. They're lining up for really thick-souled Doc Martens to kick Trudeau out the 0.98

00:05:23.460 door. And they are. But a lot of them aren't saying it, but they feel the same way. So what is my bold

00:05:28.860 prediction for the future for the Liberal Party? Well, Stephen Harper was the next Conservative Prime

00:05:35.720 Minister after the 1993 wipeout. It took 13 years. I mean, 13 years in the wilderness for the

00:05:43.680 Conservatives. And the Liberals have got a lot of years in front of them after they get wiped out

00:05:48.380 in October. And how many years will that be? Probably two election cycles. So probably 10 years.

00:05:55.920 It could be even longer. Let's say it's 13 years. Well, if it's 13 years, somebody new will be coming

00:06:02.980 on the horizon for the Liberal Party. And here is what you'll not hear on the internet today. A new

00:06:08.000 person is going to show up. A savior for the Liberal Party is going to show up. Who will that savior be?

00:06:13.880 Well, a young man. Early 30s is going to appear on the horizon. This person will have promise.

00:06:20.900 This person, obviously, in the early 30s has youth. They'll have exuberance. They'll have excitement.

00:06:25.880 They'll have a familiar name. And they'll be wearing a pink shirt. And this person's name is Xavier

00:06:35.500 Trudeau. Sunny ways, folks. Have a happy new year. See you on the next one.

John Bolton - December 31, 2024

The Boldest Canadian Political Prediction On The Internet

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