Juno News - April 14, 2025


A new “Neighbour Poll” shows the Conservatives leading 40% to 38% over the Liberals


Episode Stats


Length

1 minute

Words per minute

218.34146

Word count

373

Sentence count

15


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, we discuss the importance of the neighbor poll and how it can help us understand who our neighbours are voting for in the upcoming election. We also discuss why the Conservative Party of Canada is leading in the polls and why the Liberals are not.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
00:00:00.000 This is something that we came up with for this campaign. I know you said last time that it has
00:00:03.760 been used in other countries and it does help give us a better picture of what is happening
00:00:09.200 and that is something that we call the neighbor poll. So the neighbor poll, the idea behind this
00:00:13.800 is we're not asking you who are you voting for. The question isn't to the person who's responding
00:00:19.340 to the poll. It isn't hey who do you plan to vote on in the next election which could lead to people
00:00:24.500 not giving the straight answer or choosing not to answer or what we see is it skews more towards
00:00:29.340 the liberals, but asking people who their neighbors are voting for, which I think kind of cuts past
00:00:34.860 the distrust that many people have for pollsters. And you might be more open to telling a pollster
00:00:40.000 who you think your neighbor is going to vote for based on the momentum, based on the number of
00:00:43.500 signs in your neighborhood, based on the conversations that you're having at the coffee
00:00:47.260 shop or around the dinner table or around the water cooler at work. And it helps us tap into
00:00:52.160 something a little bit deeper. And this is why I think it's so important this time around,
00:00:57.280 this is the second time that we've asked this neighbor poll question. And this time around,
00:01:01.160 we actually see that the conservatives are winning when we look at it this way. When we look at it
00:01:06.600 this way and ask this question of who your neighbors are voting for, the conservatives are
00:01:10.060 at 40 percent. The liberals are at 38 percent. So, David, why don't you walk us through this?
00:01:16.860 Yeah. So what we're seeing is with this neighbor poll or with this neighbor question,
00:01:21.260 it's actually the conservatives that are leading over the liberals, the conservatives.
00:01:23.980 40% of people indicated that their neighbors would be voting for the Conservatives,
00:01:30.740 38% for the Liberals, and then 14% for the NDP,
00:01:34.640 4% for the Bloc Québécois, 3% for the Greens, and then 1% for others.
00:01:38.820 And this is among people who did not say that they didn't know how their neighbors were voting.