Juno News - A new “Neighbour Poll” shows the Conservatives leading 40% to 38% over the Liberals

00:00:00.000 This is something that we came up with for this campaign. I know you said last time that it has

00:00:03.760 been used in other countries and it does help give us a better picture of what is happening

00:00:09.200 and that is something that we call the neighbor poll. So the neighbor poll, the idea behind this

00:00:13.800 is we're not asking you who are you voting for. The question isn't to the person who's responding

00:00:19.340 to the poll. It isn't hey who do you plan to vote on in the next election which could lead to people

00:00:24.500 not giving the straight answer or choosing not to answer or what we see is it skews more towards

00:00:29.340 the liberals, but asking people who their neighbors are voting for, which I think kind of cuts past

00:00:34.860 the distrust that many people have for pollsters. And you might be more open to telling a pollster

00:00:40.000 who you think your neighbor is going to vote for based on the momentum, based on the number of

00:00:43.500 signs in your neighborhood, based on the conversations that you're having at the coffee

00:00:47.260 shop or around the dinner table or around the water cooler at work. And it helps us tap into

00:00:52.160 something a little bit deeper. And this is why I think it's so important this time around,

00:00:57.280 this is the second time that we've asked this neighbor poll question. And this time around,

00:01:01.160 we actually see that the conservatives are winning when we look at it this way. When we look at it

00:01:06.600 this way and ask this question of who your neighbors are voting for, the conservatives are

00:01:10.060 at 40 percent. The liberals are at 38 percent. So, David, why don't you walk us through this?

00:01:16.860 Yeah. So what we're seeing is with this neighbor poll or with this neighbor question,

00:01:21.260 it's actually the conservatives that are leading over the liberals, the conservatives.

00:01:23.980 40% of people indicated that their neighbors would be voting for the Conservatives,

00:01:30.740 38% for the Liberals, and then 14% for the NDP,

00:01:34.640 4% for the Bloc Québécois, 3% for the Greens, and then 1% for others.

00:01:38.820 And this is among people who did not say that they didn't know how their neighbors were voting.

Juno News - April 14, 2025