A Tale of Two Pandemics
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Summary
Coming up, the threat of a third lockdown before we re out of the second lockdown, an election on the horizon, and an interview with potential B.C. Liberal leadership candidate Aaron Gunn. The Andrew Lawton Show starts right now.
Transcript
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This is The Andrew Lawton Show, brought to you by True North.
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Coming up, the threat of a third lockdown before we're out of the second lockdown
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is an election on the horizon and an interview with potential B.C. Liberal leadership candidate Aaron Gunn.
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Hello and welcome to another edition of Canada's Most Irreverent Talk Show.
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This is The Andrew Lawton Show on Thursday, March 11th, 2021.
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I am going to be talking later in the show in depth with Aaron Gunn,
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who is an advocate and activist for taxpayers and civil liberties and all these other great things
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that you may have heard of. He is entertaining a run for the leadership of the B.C. Liberals.
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And we'll talk with Aaron about why that's not actually a bad thing.
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No, I'm not just selling out and interviewing some liberal.
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The B.C. Liberal is a bit of a different animal.
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But again, we'll talk about that more later on in the show.
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I want to talk about the direction things are headed in the pandemic on freedom.
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And that is something that has been a recurring theme.
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We've talked in the past about the moving goalposts from the so-called public health advisors.
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But this story in the Globe and Mail, I think, is giving us a fairly solid roadmap
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at what may be on the way, at what may be coming down the pipeline.
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It's based on Ontario, but we know that all of the province's responses tend to be
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interdependent for the most part when it comes to these sort of things.
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The headline, we now have two pandemics, variant cases soar in Ontario.
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The story is based on a brief from Ontario's COVID-19 science table.
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These are the people who have been behind the modelling that's been wrong
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Peter Juney, who's the director of the science table,
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an epidemiology professor at the University of Toronto,
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says there's the traditional pandemic which is under control
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and the new pandemic which is not under control.
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So you may have thought we were still in the midst of the first pandemic.
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So when one pandemic isn't enough, you add a second pandemic into the mix.
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But we're all serving our pandemics concurrently.
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None of these consecutive sentences like they have in the US.
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And this means we are going to be seeing more and more lockdowns.
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another lockdown will likely be needed and may have to be stricter than earlier ones.
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even at their strictest, Ontario's lockdown measures never drove the reproductive number
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It's much more likely that we'll need to have another lockdown
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and it's much more likely that the lockdown needs to be more efficient than before.
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Now you may ask what efficient means in the context of a lockdown.
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Further lockdowns may need to be beefed up with curfews and travel restrictions
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you being able to have some sort of reprieve from literally being on house arrest
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This time, lockdown 2.0, about two and a half months
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if you were in parts of the greater Toronto area.
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So what's happening now is before we're even out of the second lockdown,
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we're just kind of getting to that point where we might be able to see some hope on the horizon
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It's not the old one and that means we need new lockdowns, new restrictions
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and all of the things that the government stopped short of doing like curfews,
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And I should say this isn't coming from Doug Ford.
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This isn't coming from the chief medical officer in Ontario.
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This is coming from the head of the science table,
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okay, well, there are some people that are going to be a little bit more alarmist
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Well, the government has been pretty deferential to this table.
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The government has been pretty deferential to the guidelines that are being put forward.
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See how people react and make sure that the person we can blame for this
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is a guy on the science table and not someone like Doug Ford or Christine Elliott in Ontario.
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Or they're just trying to put this out now so that when the government does,
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it looks like they were being more reasonable because,
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oh, well, you know, at least they didn't do a curfew.
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That was, I think, the strategy behind what happened in December
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when all of these media reports were talking about the Ontario government
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And then all of a sudden the lockdown comes on.
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And I'm like, wait, are we supposed to be grateful?
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Are we supposed to be relieved that we aren't literally being kept in our houses
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No, you don't get brownie points for respecting fundamental freedoms.
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And at this point, it's looking like we are headed towards a repeat of last year
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We get a bit of a normalcy return in the summer.
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And then once the fall comes, we start ramping right up again
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that in this case they say is going to be stricter than the prior ones.
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We are now at the one-year anniversary of the World Health Organization
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declaring this a pandemic, which means in just a few days
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we'll be at the one-year anniversary of our two weeks to flatten the curve.
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And we will be entering the 13 months of the 14 days to flatten the curve.
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So what's happening now is those goalposts continue to move
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based on numbers that have never quite panned out.
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It means that when numbers have been put forward to justify actions,
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not only have we steered clear of the worst-case scenario,
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in many cases we've steered clear of the best-case scenario.
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We've come out better than the best-case scenario.
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And this is something that we should be proud of.
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But instead there's this sort of Damocles hanging over our heads
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where governments are going to keep threatening more and more lockdowns
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Ontario's long-term care virus mortality has dropped 96%.
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Now, this is based on a report from the actual science table,
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a brief that came out of the latest data from long-term care homes.
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a combination of vaccinations and other efforts
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at long-term care homes have actually been working.
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that on one hand we've been told the vaccine is the goal.
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then we're going to be able to go back and live our lives normally.
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and we'll be able to get everyone who wants to be vaccinated,
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and different lines that we get from the federal government
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about which doses are coming when and all that.
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we want to have most of the country vaccinated,
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See, what the government is using as a cudgel here is the variant.
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the traditional COVID strain has been on the decline.
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It's plummeted, but the variants have skyrocketed.
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They're saying, I think, 40% of the Ontario cases
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which are the viruses that originated in Brazil,
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but you're allowed to say these other three places.
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those are the new things and they're more infectious.
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We have all these other problems that come from that.
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If long-term care fatalities are going down significantly
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And this, by the way, is not a grand conspiracy here.
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where there was some concern that the AstraZeneca virus
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specifically wasn't protecting against the strain,
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There hasn't actually been any reasonable grounds
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And if these variants are becoming dominant in Ontario,
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And I know there are a lot of people who watch this
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But I'm just talking about the government's own rhetoric on this.
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Remember, that's why two weeks to flatten the curve
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and then so on and so forth until when there's a vaccine,
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And this is why there are a lot of people who are saying
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And I think it's actually going to be interesting
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that if you want to go to a big rock concert in,
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even though COVID will have been long gone by then,
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There's a big outdoor venue near me in Michigan,
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And this is, I think, something that is so key.
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Their biggest fear is the delegitimization of themselves.
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is the pandemic fatigue that is sweeping people
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is how she didn't seem to have any data whatsoever.
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is the government has tried to make travel effectively banned.
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there's a lot of essential international travel.
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there are a lot of things you can't do for Zoom,
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because you need a break for your mental health
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And everyone likes to conjure up this image in their mind
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And I think the government would like us to believe
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and that's what international travel is right now.
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for they could be going for compassionate reasons,
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I think the answer is none of your damn business.
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whether something's essential or not like that.