Juno News - November 17, 2025
Aaron Gunn: Canada is sleepwalking into a crisis
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Summary
As of this recording, Monday morning, a Budget vote is looming in the House of Commons with a deficit of nearly $80 billion and a Liberal government facing defeat in a confidence vote. Chris Sims, the Alberta Director for the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, joins me to talk about what's going on and why you should be worried.
Transcript
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Welcome to The Fighter with Chris Sims. I am Chris Sims. I'm the Alberta Director for the
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Canadian Taxpayers Federation. Thank you so much for making us a part of your day and a very busy
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news week. If you have not done so yet, please remember to like this video on YouTube, subscribe
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to the channel, and most importantly, head on over to Juno News, subscribe to a truly free press,
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and be sure to share this show with people who need to know. Okay, action-packed show for you.
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As of this recording, today, Monday, we've got a big budget vote looming. I don't even want to call
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it a budget though, because that was just a disaster. As you know, we are now facing down a
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deficit, basically an overspending bill, that is close to $80 billion with a B. Remember when then
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Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland apparently quit over a lot less of a budget? Yeah, well, here we
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are. We are in a clown world. So what's happening right now in the House of Commons is every member
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of Parliament is getting contacted by their whip and their house leader. These are official roles
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within the House of Commons, and the phone calls are going something like this. Hey, Bob. Hi, Mike.
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Yeah, you're going to be there for the vote, right? Yes. And we can count on you to vote the correct
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way? Yes. Because what a budget vote is, is a confidence vote. It's an automatic confidence vote.
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What that is, is a gut check on the government. So if a government loses a budget vote, the government
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falls. And then the Prime Minister has to take that little walk to the Governor General's house,
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and bingo, bingo, kids, we are in an election. Now, I've been in the arena for a long time.
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I worked on Parliament Hill for decades. I don't think we are at risk of going to an election,
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but I will eat an entire pound of broccoli if I am wrong. What I think is happening here is the
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press gallery is keyed right up. And that has some members of Parliament keyed right up. And that was
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only made worse, or better, depending on your point of view, with the floor crossing that we
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recently saw. So people are jittery, okay? People are talking about previous governments that have
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fallen or not on budget votes, and everybody's running around. We've got an amazing guest for
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you in just a couple of minutes. Remember Aaron Gunn? Yeah. He is that rock star documentary filmmaker
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who made the film Vancouver is Dying. And then he made kind of a spin-off one where he made it more
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of a national show, and it was called Canada is Dying. I will say he actually premiered that in
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theatre here in Lethbridge, Alberta. It was a packed house. People from all sides of the political
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spectrum turned out to watch that documentary film. Now, Aaron Gunn is a Member of Parliament for the West
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Coast. He's up on the north side of Vancouver Island there. And he is going to be, of course,
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making a speech about the budget in the House of Commons today, and then voting accordingly. We're
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going to hear from him in just a moment. But I wanted to reset the stage here when it comes to how bad
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this budget is. This budget was so bad, and the forecasting for it was so bad, that the parliamentary
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budget officer, the nonpartisan government budget watchdog, hit the alarm button in the House of
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Commons, saying that this kind of spending was unsustainable. Remember this? How alarming is that
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for the average Canadian for the taxpayer? Because there is only one taxpayer, right? It should be very
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alarming, right? These are, I don't know, I think I used the words in French, which the translators
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probably got really well. Like, stupefying, shocking, right? This is not, like, it's not a, it's not a,
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it's not a, it's not a funny fiscal outlook. It's, it's a really serious fiscal outlook. It's, and we
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don't lightly use the word unsustainable, right? Unsustainable means you don't have the option of saying,
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maybe I'll wait a couple of years, I'll see how things go. It means, if you don't change, this is
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done. This is done. I have to stress, you don't get economy majors, like these kind of bureaucrat
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watchdoggy type folks in Ottawa, speaking like this very often. So this is why it is super important,
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if I can leave our audience with one lesson from today, is don't get caught up in the theater,
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okay? Don't get caught up in the hype of the politics, because all that's doing is clouding
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over terrible policy. It's distraction. It's one of the oldest tricks in the book. Gin up some drama
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on Parliament Hill, have some dramatic floor crossings, and it's basically like high school
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with salaries that are paid for by taxpayers, and power. And then they all stay in the same
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little terrarium, and they lose track of the big picture. And the big picture is, we are in serious
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trouble with this budget. Fitch, the International Credit Rating Agency, has issued a warning to Canada,
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basically saying, you're spending too much. You have got to rein in your wasteful spending,
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or you're at risk of getting a credit downgrade. What that would mean for all of us is that we
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would be paying more money on interest payments on the debt. As of right now, it's already more than
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$50 billion a year. What does this mean for the vote? And what does this mean going forward?
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Let's find out. Joining us now is Erin Gunn, a friend of the show. Erin, it's nice to see you,
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at least through video link. It's great to chat with you again, Chris. Thanks for having me.
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So you are now officially a member of Parliament. It's what, Vancouver Island North Powell River?
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What's the official title? Yeah, a member of Parliament for North Island Powell River,
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the Fight North, the north half of Vancouver Island, and a bit of the mainland as well.
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Love it. So for folks who don't know, Powell River is technically over on the mainland,
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and you need to take a little ferry from Comox to be able to go see it. I know, because I grew up
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there in the Comox Valley. So Erin, or Mr. Gunn, I don't know what I'm supposed to call you now.
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So you now are obviously a Conservative Member of Parliament. Safe to say that the opposition
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Conservative Party is going to be voting against this budget, correct?
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Yeah, I think that's pretty clear. At the end of the day, when you're talking about the largest
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deficit in Canadian history outside of COVID, over $300 billion in new debt being promised over the
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next five years, that's not a budget that anyone, I think, who considers themselves fiscally
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conservative or fiscally responsible, really, would be able to support in good conscience.
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Yeah, it is a mess. Now, I've been in the game for a long time. I've worked on the Hill for a long
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time. I'm a little worried that some of the drama of like floor crossy, it's kind of like high school
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politics, but with money and power, that that is getting some of the oxygen in the media. I'm worried
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that the focus is being taken off of what a disaster that budget was. To your point, it's fiscally
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irresponsible. It is close to an $80 billion deficit. The interest payments alone that we're paying on this
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thing is more than $50 billion a year. How is it feeling there? You're physically on the Hill, you're
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waiting to go into the House of Commons. Is the focus on voting down this budget?
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Well, it should be. I can't speak for the media. Of course, the media, it's a little bit like low
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hanging fruit for them. This kind of palace intrigue, the drama, the will he won't he kind of games, as opposed to
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talking about the really substantive fiscal issues that all Canadians need to be talking about. I mean,
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we are sleepwalking into insolvency. We are careening off a fiscal cliff. This is a liberal
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government that's picking up from 10 years of Justin Trudeau, where we doubled our national debt, as you
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well know. And now Mark Carney has put forward a budget where he's actually planning to borrow twice
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as much over the next five years as Justin Trudeau was planning to do. And we're leaving all of this
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debt to future generations to pay for. We're eroding our fiscal capacity as a country. And as you also
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mentioned, all of this debt is going to come up with a cost and it's going to mean higher and higher
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interest payments over the next five, 10 and really years in perpetuity. And that's money that can't be
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spent on schools, hospital roads, or brave men and women in uniform. That's very well put. I gotta say,
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you and I, you know, worked in and out together for many years. So my bias is here. I like Aaron.
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However, we do get the same sort of emails, I would argue. We get emails all the time in the
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Taxpayers Federation saying things like, I'm at my wit's end. I'm working harder than I've ever worked,
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but I can't save money. And I can't afford the basics. You're in a riding where it's a really
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high cost of living. It is absolutely gorgeous and is full of hardworking people, but man, it is
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expensive to live there. What are you hearing from your constituents? You just got off of a break week.
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What are you hearing from your constituents when it comes to things like affordability?
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Yeah. What I'm hearing from people right across the riding, and I think this is reflected to be
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frank in the national polls as well, is the number one issue is cost of living. Whether that's the,
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you know, your day-to-day affordability, whether that's food affordability, whether that's housing
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affordability. And one of the things that to me is one of the reasons why I find this budget so
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offensive is because across the board, that is the number one issue when asked that Canadians give. Yet
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all this budget promises is more deficits and inflationary spending. And when you print more
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money or you borrow more money, you inject tens or hundreds of billions of dollars into the economy
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without producing more of what that money buys, all you end up doing is devaluing your currency,
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which increases the cost of goods, which is basically the other is inflation. That's what
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inflation is. And of course, when you have inflation, you tend to have a corresponding rise in prices of
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assets. So if you have, you know, lots of money in real estate or stocks, you probably can weather the storm.
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Okay. So it disproportionately hurts those with less. And in particular, it hurts young Canadians. So
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on one hand, we're sticking them with a massive amount of debt in the form of deficits that they
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will have to pay off. And on the other hand, all this debt and deficit borrowing is leading to
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inflation that is disproportionately going to hurt them the most. So I think they're getting a real raw
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deal on this budget. And I think it makes, you know, the number one issue facing Canadians and
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I wanted to really put a point on that of what you just said there, which is bang on.
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During 2020, 2021, around those lockdown years, the government did two things at the same time,
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A, they locked down big chunks of the economy. So we weren't making the stuff that money buys.
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So that's locked down. Two, they printed hundreds of billions of dollars with a B out of thin air.
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Those two things, it's like a perfect storm for inflation. I'm also concerned about this current
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budget, because quite often, government will be tempted to print more money to paper over their
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deficit. And in this case, to your point, I can't believe this, Erin, that here we are with a deficit
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much bigger than what former finance minister Christia Freeland supposedly quit over. I'm worried
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that we're going to see more money printing and more inflation connected to this huge deficit budget.
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Is that what you're hearing in the House as well?
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Yeah, well, I mean, money printing is, I mean, it's either, it's either going to come in the form of
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money printing, or, you know, you have to issue new bonds and pay even higher interest rates. And
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sometimes, you know, you print money to try to lower your interest costs, but that just devalues your
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currency. So it's like, my grandfather is turning 95 next month told me a lesson early in life that
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there's no such thing as a free lunch, right? There's everything's got a cost, eventually,
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the bill comes due or in the famous words of Colonel Tom Parker, what does it cost if it's free?
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So you can't just print money or borrow money to prosperity, it's never worked in history,
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it logically makes no sense. And we as a country are going to end up paying that bill plus interest.
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And the longer we take to write this fiscal ship, the more of a shock that will eventually
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be whenever that day comes, and it will come. So I think it's, it's unfortunate that we're not
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talking about this more. I mean, just again, the largest deficit in Canadian history outside of
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COVID, this should be the top line story that everyone is discussing. And yet I've seen some
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people in the media refer to this as a progressive conservative budget, which to me is completely
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insane, and also frustrating. So it's, we have to get spending under control. I know you guys at the
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Taxpayers Federation have been great at pointing out, you know, this is not like this is a government
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revenue problem. And the federal government has run out of money or, you know, the taxes that
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the government takes in hasn't increased dramatically over the past 10 years, but
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it is a spending problem. It is a political short sightedness problem. And we need to get back to
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the deep structural reforms. I'll just make one more point. If I may, Chris, I always wonder how
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they justify this. How do they justify all the additional spending? How do they justify all the
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additional debt? And for me, it's always comes back to for them, being that what Canada needs is more
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government, government is a solution to all the problems. And I think if you look back over the last
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10 years, that hasn't been the case, all this economic stagnation has been because of government is
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because government is not that they didn't step up in any particular way. I said they didn't get
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out of the way. They blocked the Northern Gateway and Energy East pipeline. They introduced job-killing
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bills like C69, C48, the industrial carbon tax, and then they doubled our national debt with over
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600 billion dollars in inflationary spending and have almost nothing to show for it. So I think we could
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actually do with less government for a change, and that would actually solve a lot of these problems.
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It would certainly be more affordable. I only have you for three more minutes,
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and I really appreciate your time. For folks who don't know, when there's a vote coming,
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you'll suddenly start hearing these chimes. They ring all through parliament here. And that means
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you can see all these members of parliament running into the house to vote. So I've only got you for a
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couple more minutes, but I wanted to kind of ask you, it's kind of inside baseball, but it's meant in
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good faith and in hope. Is there any connection happening over there in the eyes of the government on,
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oh yeah, the lights are coming on? This is a serious problem. We have a spending problem.
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We have a fiscal problem. If we get a credit downgrade, we're in deep trouble. And I'm asking
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you this, Erin, because back in the day of the time of the Chrétien government, things weren't perfect,
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but they weren't fiscally like this. Paul Martin was the finance minister, and he was a liberal,
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and he tackled the deficit. He took it on at the urging of Preston Manning, but he did do it.
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Are there any lights going on in the eyes over there on the government side of, okay, party's over,
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Trudeau's gone. We've got a guy with a PhD in economics who's our prime minister now. It's time
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to be the adult in the room. Are there any of those MPs that are you seeing waking up here?
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Well, that's what I was hoping for. And you mentioned Paul Martin, and of course,
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he received the Tax Fighter Award from the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, rightly so,
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for slaying the deficit. But what I can't figure out right now, Chris, is if this government is
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gaslighting Canadians, or they're gaslighting Canadians and themselves. Because what they've
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been doing is they've been on this, oh, Mark Carney has literally said, we're not spending more.
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We're going to be spending less, and we're investing more, which makes no sense whatsoever.
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I mean, if you're a bondholder, you're a rating agency, you don't care if the government has brought
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300 billion to build roads, pay teachers, buy submarines. Debt is debt. It all carries interest.
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It all impacts your caring capacity as a government and as a country. And it's all hogwash. I mean,
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you could claim anything as an investment. You could claim paying teacher salaries as an investment
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in the future. So it's all trying to move numbers around to obfuscate the bottom line, which is that
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we're incurring massive amounts of new debt. And I just don't know if this government and this
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prime minister knows that and is gaslighting Canadians, or somehow they've convinced themselves
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that this is somehow sound economic policy. But to me, it's just the same old, same old from the
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Liberals, which is spend more, borrow more, and attempt to buy votes all at the expense of future
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generations and the fiscal stability of our country.
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Well, Erin, I hope that other parties and other members of parliament wake up to this,
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because this has got nothing to do with the team color of the jersey here. We're in trouble.
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And spending more than $50 billion a year on debt interest. Folks, we have to pay that. That isn't
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something that they can magically hide in the budget. It's a line item. It's like a bill that
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you don't like, but you have to pay. We're all paying it. So I really hope that sanity prevails.
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I know you got to go. Erin Gunn, member of parliament for Vancouver Island North Powell River.
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Good luck today. And thank you. Thank you very much, Chris.
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You betcha. Once again, that was Erin Gunn. He, of course,
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is a longtime documentary producer. He is the one that created the Vancouver is Dying documentary.
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And now he is a member of parliament. As you can hear, he's very concerned about the deficit.
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He's very concerned about these warnings we're hearing from the PBO saying that this is unsustainable
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because at the end of the day, all of us folks, it doesn't matter if you're a liberal fan or a
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conservative fan or a green party voter, we're all paying for this. And it's a huge waste of money.
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So folks, make sure you pick up the phone. You call your member of parliament. You tell them that you
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want them to balance the budget, that you want them to stop wasting money and to slay the deficit,
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the way the old liberal government had tackled back in the early 2000s. Folks, thank you so much for
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watching this special program, this special episode of the fighter with Chris Sims. Be sure to like this
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video, subscribe to the channel and head on over to Juno news, take out a subscription because then
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you're supporting a free press. Thanks so much.