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- March 31, 2022
An insider’s view on the political situation in Alberta
Episode Stats
Length
30 minutes
Words per Minute
200.38329
Word Count
6,169
Sentence Count
245
Misogynist Sentences
2
Hate Speech Sentences
2
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The knives have come out for Premier Jason Kenney in Alberta. United Conservative Party members will
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vote on the fate of Kenney's leadership in his time as Premier on April 9th. We'll get the
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inside scoop on what is really going on in Alberta. I'm Candace Malcolm and this is The
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Candace Malcolm Show. Hi everyone, thank you so much for tuning into the program. So a lot of
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people ask me, I get a lot of emails and just friends asking me like, hey Candace, what is going
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on in Alberta? What's going on with Premier Jason Kenney? Is he going to survive all this? And I
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thought it would be good to dedicate an episode of the show to sort of doing a deeper dive and trying
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to figure out what happened in Alberta, how we got to where we are and what is at stake, what is going
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to happen to the Premier over there. So to do that, I am bringing in my friend Brad Tennant. Brad is the
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vice president and Alberta lead of Wellington Advocacy, a national public affairs firm, and
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he is based out of Calgary. Previously, Brad served as the executive director of the United
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Conservative Party and was a senior member of Jason Kenney's leadership campaigns. So Brad,
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welcome to the podcast. Yeah, thank you very much for having me, Candace. Okay, so you know,
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there's really like a lot of drama going on in Alberta. If you read the headlines in legacy media,
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they sort of make it seem like Kenney's days are numbered, but we know that Kenney is a very
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resilient politician and he has beat the odds many, many times in his political career. So
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why don't we just start, Brad, by talking a little bit about what is going on in Alberta
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politics in a nutshell? What's happened in the last year? What is driving this whole leadership
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review process? Yeah, well, I think it comes a lot out of what you were just saying, but there's
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there's no shortage of drama in Alberta. And I think it's honestly been that way for more than a
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year. It's almost been that way since, since Ralph Klein kind of left politics, Alberta has seen a
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path of, you know, one term premiers ever since it's seen kind of disruption in the conservative
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movement. And I think, you know, after almost, almost two decades of that chaos, we're kind of
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getting to, you know, a conservative movement, I would say less so a conservative voter base and a
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conservative member base, but a conservative movement that is almost so focused on infighting
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that the first instinct when things get tough go towards infighting. And I think in the last year
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there's been, you know, COVID policy, I think, has been unpopular in Alberta, more so in Alberta than
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probably other parts of the country. That being said, Alberta's faced less lockdowns, less measures,
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but that's almost aggravated those on the political left and those in the mainstream media
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even more. And at the same time left some of the kind of conservative side, a little bit
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disenchanted, you know, not liking the last series of lockdown, not liking some of the measures that
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came with it. So that's led to a political environment that, like we said, is quite dramatic
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here in Alberta. But again, like you said, I don't think it's anything that Premier Kenney's not used
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to. Premier Kenney's been an effective conservative politician ever since he entered the arena almost
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three decades ago. He has always been counted out by kind of the mainstream media, elitist pundits,
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people that have not expected him to do something. And I think those people are already calling the
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cards that, you know, Kenney isn't going to be successful in the months ahead. But when you
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talk to people on the ground here and you talk to ordinary United Conservative members and,
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you know, a little bit more of the activists at the ground level, I think that a lot of people
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understand Premier Kenney was dealt a very tough hand in the last couple of years. And coming out
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of it, there's really no better place to be than Alberta. We have a balanced budget for the first
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time, really, you know, and you can go back and debate this, but a balanced budget leading into a
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balanced budget probably the first time since those Ralph Klein days. And, you know, the economy is
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booming, oil and gas is back up. It's not just oil and gas, a bunch of other industries and commodity
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industries are firing on all cylinders. So, you know, there's no better place to be than Alberta
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for a lot of Albertans. I think there's renewed hope and optimism, which is a lot of what Jason
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Kenney got elected on. But obviously, COVID threw a wrench in that. But coming out of that, I think,
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you know, there is a sense of optimism that I don't think really shines through the mainstream
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media a lot of the times here in the province, you know? Well, it's certainly one of those things
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where no one was happy in Alberta with the COVID stuff. As you alluded to, you know, the left
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wanted the premier to go so much further and lock down harder and follow some of the more draconian
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measures that were taken. I'm not saying that there weren't draconian measures in Alberta. There
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certainly were. And a lot of them, you know, I would be right there in line with people criticizing
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the premier saying, why did you do this? Why did you do that? Unnecessary. However, I think that,
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you know, people on the right were also had a very, very low tolerance for a lot of the COVID
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measures. And because of that, the premier wasn't pleasing anybody because, you know, the more
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conservative people in the province didn't want to have vaccine mandates. They didn't want the extra
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lockdown. So it was hard for him to please either side. Let's talk a little bit about this
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leadership review. Where did this come from? Why is it happening? And can you kind of walk us through
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what that's going to look like? Yeah, so there is a typically a leadership review. You know,
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federally, this doesn't happen after you win a majority government. In both legacy provincial
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parties, there is a leadership review, even if you win a majority government, the legacy parties begin
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the PC party in the wild rose. And they tend to have a lot of buildup, they tend to have a lot of,
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you know, a lot of mystique and a lot of media buildup around them. Because there is an opportunity
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for members to essentially vote down their leader. And at that point, you know, the leader has been
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the premier of the province and in all but the wild rose cases. Personally, I think the first
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convention I went to was the Ralph Klein one where they were actually voted down. And since then, I've,
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you know, being a political activist here, I would have attended or observed the Alison Redford,
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the Ed Stelmack, the Daniel Smith, the Brian Jean, all the kind of leadership reviews that followed.
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So having been through these, like they're, they're somewhat regular here, they have a lot of drama
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here. But I can tell why people in other provinces and other jurisdictions, you know, might be find the
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most sometimes peculiar, because they are a unique opportunity. I think Saskatchewan has a semi-righteous
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regular at their AGM process of doing this. But, you know, it is, it is something that's somewhat
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at least unique to Alberta politics. That being said, you know, in the lead up, obviously, this is
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kind of where Ralph Klein lost. It's also where Ed Stelmack and Alison Redford both kind of got second
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wins in their premierships, like both were unpopular for their own reasons, facing challenges in the lead
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up. I think both kind of surprised with getting their 77%. And they both, you know, were able to get some
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extra wind in their sales. So they've been, they've been a unique thing, I think, divine defining conservative
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premierships. And on the Wild Rose side, I think Danielle got 90% in one of hers and still obviously didn't carry on to the
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next election. And Brian Jean, if I recall, got 78% or 77% rounded up, and didn't carry on to the next election. So, you know,
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these things have been quite dramatic. And, you know, I think leaders have passed them more often than not. But they
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kind of fueled this cycle in Alberta that, you know, keeps, I think, political leaders focused a lot on the kind of
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internal workings of the party.
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Well, it's a great reminder of why you're there and who you represent. I think that a lot of the critique that comes to
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conservative leaders in Canada is, I mean, the saying in Canadian federal politics is that politicians get auto washed, right? They
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move to Ottawa, and they start representing the people around them, the bureaucracy, the media, the
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sort of left wing society in Ottawa, and they forget about the people maybe that sent them there. So
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it's a great way to connect with the authentic grassroots base of the party, and to make sure that
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you're that you're governing for them. So, so it's, it serves a useful purpose. But let's talk about
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a little bit of the drama that that happened with regards to the convention, because there was supposed
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to be a in person review on April 9, in Red Deer. And there was a membership cut off that happened on
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March 19. So after that, they were no longer able to purchase memberships. And then it was determined
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on March 23, so four days after the membership cut off, that, that the, that the review was going
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to be switched from in person, to a mail in ballot system, which, which obviously got a lot of people
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worried, concerned, a lot of accusations that something foul was happening. Can you can you sort
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of walk us through that decision making process? Why did it switch from a in person vote to a mail in
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vote? Yeah, so I think the first switch, you got to go back to, I think, late last fall, some
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individuals, particularly, it was more of some unhappy folks in the backbench, were speaking up
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and wanting a leadership review quicker. This leadership review was originally supposed to be
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at the AGM happening this fall, in Edmonton. I'm not sure if they've got that date scheduled,
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but usually happens around October and November. So the leadership was going to be decided by delegates,
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as was traditional through those previous leadership races I discussed. But you know,
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there was some desire to have this out there. You know, Premier Kenny said himself, he welcomes it,
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and he's always kind of happy to have that grassroots feedback on his premiership. So he,
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he actually moved it up to an SGM to a special vote. Traditionally, these leadership reviews are done
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at the AGM. And then, you know, I think that they ran into an issue quite quickly, there was,
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there was first, a number of unhappy people that they weren't able to make it there for that single,
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you know, six hour slot to join in Red Deer. And, you know, people kind of forget Alberta is a
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province that's larger than most countries, you know, and, you know, some people were looking at,
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you know, even living in some urban areas like Grand Prairie, where you were having to travel,
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you know, six, seven hours, you know, you can name the other spot on the map, there was quite a bit of
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travel that occurred for a lot of people. So I think some were unhappy with it being in one location,
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it was obviously costing individuals $100 to go for paying for the registration and the fees that
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usually go with an SGM. So I do feel for the party board is they were kind of hurt on that angle,
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and that there were people already unhappy. And then obviously, you know, and I've managed these AGMs
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before. So I've got a lot of sympathy for them. But even in Red Deer, at the exact location we were
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having it, we've had AGMs before there, and we had 2000 people. And in all honesty, you can't get
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parking within four or five city blocks. It's, it's a big mess. And that's with 2000 people.
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And I think they saw more interest in this leadership than they expected. Obviously,
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I believe at the end of it, there was something like 14,000 signups.
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Yeah, there was a global report that said 13,700 people had registered to vote, which just to me,
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thinking about the logistics of that to your point about finding parking, it's like
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managing a crowd of that size is not something that a group of volunteers or your political parties
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really used to, you know, unless you're talking about maybe a Donald Trump rally or something like
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that. But that's not something that we're used to here in Canada.
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Yeah, no, and it would have been, like, logistically, like, you know, the amount of
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volunteer staff you would have had, again, it's just like, it was fundamentally unserious. And I
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think it would have swelled quite a bit, because members still could buy delegate passes after that
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date. So I think it would have swelled to north of 20,000. And I think that would still be a fairly
00:12:00.680
conservative estimate. So, you know, all that being said, you're not going to fit that group into a hotel
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ballroom. You know, I respect the party volunteer board, because they do have to make some tough
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decisions. And here, like, if they would have went through with Red Deer, it would have been a
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logistical nightmare. And everybody would have been crying foul that day, the next day and crying, you
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know, if Kenny were to win it, the issue would have been that it was unfair, and you couldn't get in
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there and everything of the sort. So I think the party, you know, made the the, you know, this situation
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was pretty unprecedented. What they did is they opened it to the maximum amount of voters and maximum
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amount of members. They it's now so if you have a UCP party membership, you can vote, you will be
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getting a ballot package. You know, fundamentally, it's the most, you know, democratic and open way to
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do it. But Alberta does have like, a hyper online culture that there are people that will complain about
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something, no matter what those people kind of have done that. And there is, you know, this isn't
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a the Wild Rose Party, both of our leadership elections, I came from the Wild Rose side, personally,
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both of our leadership elections were done through the mail, every federal leadership has been done
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through the mail. It's an auditive process with an independent auditor. I can't help but think there's
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a group that would cry no matter how the process goes, if they lose. And, you know, that being said,
00:13:23.720
I think this is probably the best situate our best way to do it given a hard situation. And I've
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got to sympathize with the board as, you know, the kind of town criers kind of kept their voice
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very loud after the decision, you know? Well, it's very much one of those like the analogy that
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the squeaky wheel gets the grease. It's like, we hear a lot from the people who oppose the premier,
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we hear a lot from Jason Kenney's opposition. And it is hard to sort of speculate and quantify,
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like, what percentage of the party does that represent? You know, is it 10%? Is it 20? Is
00:13:58.120
it 50? Like, it's hard to it's hard to gauge and to your point about the online culture, it's like
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the same thing with the comment sections. You know, the people who sometimes are the loudest on the
00:14:08.600
comment boards are the ones that have the more extreme positions on the issues, they don't necessarily
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represent the medium or the everyday person. So let's talk a little bit about who is driving this
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revolt, who who who are Kenny's main opposition and in your view, your estimation as being sort
00:14:25.880
of a grassroots conservative in Alberta? How large is it? How much of the party does it represent?
00:14:32.920
Yeah, no, I think, I think that there is a group there that hasn't been happy, obviously, you know,
00:14:39.560
and I think it's been that way since the United Conservative Party with football was formed. I do
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think like, where you were mentioning at the start, Alberta does tend to have a little bit of that. But
00:14:48.360
Albertans also like they're, they're very involved, like it's a community where you get the most
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volunteers, you have the highest average per capita charitable donation, like it is a province that
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people are involved in their community, people are involved in their politics and stuff like that.
00:15:01.640
So I do think that there's a much quieter, you know, part of the party's membership and the party
00:15:07.880
support base, who just want to see politics done the right way and see things effectively move
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forward. So well, like you say, the squeaky wheel does sometimes get the grease. But you know,
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I think in Alberta, what still will drive this party, and what will drive this membership and
00:15:21.240
this leadership will be the more, you know, common everyday conservative, which is a good process in
00:15:27.240
this. As far as what's driving the opposition, like, you know, I think that there is, you know,
00:15:33.080
and it was no easy process to unite two conservative parties that actually did not like each other at
00:15:38.840
all like there was a point I could tell you, even from my point, as a former Wild Roser,
00:15:43.240
I did not like the idea. And, you know, I think a lot of people came around came together. Not
00:15:50.040
everybody did. So there's still a little bit of, you know, former rivalries that I think drive a
00:15:55.240
little bit of it. And, you know, just, obviously, a lot of this, well, not, I wouldn't say a lot of
00:16:01.400
this, but one of the lead proponents, and it's Brian Jean, who I think is still bitter about losing the
00:16:05.640
last leadership election and the last time members had their say, there is some caucus
00:16:10.520
members speaking out who might be unhappy about something else, one way or another. You know,
00:16:16.200
whether that's not getting into cabinet or not being in a certain role or, or something leadership's
00:16:20.600
not seeing things their way and they're balancing that back with, you know, talking about, you know,
00:16:26.520
being unhappy with the leader, unhappy with the process, this, this typically happens in politics,
00:16:30.600
uh, you know, even in Saskatchewan, Ontario, other conservative governments, uh, they've seen some
00:16:36.600
backbenchers kicked out and stuff like that in the last couple of years. Kenny's almost allowed for
00:16:41.560
more of this, um, kind of backbench speaking up. And I think that there's like a Puritan
00:16:48.040
conservative and all of us that likes that, that likes allowing for more dissent in the party,
00:16:52.840
but because Kenny's kind of allowed it, I think there's been a more vocal opposition to him. And,
00:16:57.080
and to answer your question more fully, I think there's some people bitter about them not being
00:17:01.320
in leadership and some people, you know, just genuinely who aren't happy with the, uh, direction
00:17:06.280
of the party that are kind of driving this. Well, it's, it's kind of almost confusing, uh,
00:17:11.560
from an outsider perspective because Jason Kenny didn't come from either camp really. Uh, he was a
00:17:17.240
federal conservative, he represented Calgary, but he was, you know, an MP in Ottawa. So he wasn't really
00:17:23.080
part of the conservative fracture in, in Alberta between the Wild Rose and the PCs. And, and it's
00:17:29.960
interesting because, you know, I know that he has a lot of, uh, support from Wild Rose people,
00:17:34.920
uh, former Wild Rose people working in his office and, and, you know, it's not, it's not an immediate
00:17:39.160
like, oh, Jason Kenny came from the PC side or the Wild Rose side. He, that, that was why he was sort of
00:17:43.960
the perfect person to merge the party because he didn't have baggage on either side. Um, but, but it's
00:17:49.240
interesting because the, the, the opposition to him seems to come from sort of the more rural
00:17:54.600
MLAs and people who are really unhappy with the vaccine mandates and the lockdowns. Um, and yet
00:17:59.320
the sort of main person that's coming out against him, Brian Jean seems to me, I mean, I know that
00:18:05.160
he has the endorsement of, uh, Peter McKay, a very prominent sort of red Tory in the left sort of
00:18:11.560
flank of the, of the federal conservatives. And when asked, uh, when Brian Jean was asked,
00:18:16.920
what would you do differently if you were running the province? He said that he would have invited
00:18:21.080
the NDP opposition leader, Rachel Notley to be part of cabinet, which, you know, for all of the,
00:18:25.960
all of the critiques, uh, that you might have about how premier Kenny governed over the last two years,
00:18:30.920
you know, not including Rachel Notley in the decision-making seemed like a really strange
00:18:35.080
opposition. So it's, it seems, it seems hard to really understand from an outside perspective,
00:18:40.680
uh, whether the opposition is coming from the left or the right, whether it's coming from the Wild Rose
00:18:44.760
camp or the PC camp, or whether it's just, I know that there was a, I wanted to ask you about this
00:18:49.640
leaked audio, uh, of, of premier Kenny, uh, sort of saying that, you know, a lot of this is just
00:18:54.440
people that are personally bitter that they didn't get a portfolio or they didn't get a position that
00:18:58.440
they wanted, their companies aren't getting government contracts. Um, you know, he also
00:19:02.840
characterized his opponents as being hateful bigots, which I'm sorry to say sounds a bit like what
00:19:07.960
Justin Trudeau would say. Um, but, but maybe you could, um, help explain that, help us understand
00:19:14.040
that. Well, yeah, I wouldn't, you know, I think that, you know, we, we all have had, uh, conversations
00:19:20.200
before where, you know, somebody else can take it and blow it up. I think, look, uh, Jason, um, you
00:19:26.120
know, was one of the most, uh, the, you know, out of all of Canadian politics and all of Canadian
00:19:31.400
punditry and media, Jason was one of the most, uh, aggressive defenders of kind of the truckers
00:19:37.720
rights during that time. He's been one of the biggest counterweights to Justin Trudeau. I can
00:19:42.040
only imagine, uh, how big of a mess we'd be in, in the last couple of years of the kind of Notley
00:19:46.600
Trudeau alliance had continued over that time. Um, so, you know, Jason has been, I think, you know,
00:19:52.280
one of the more vocal opponents of the kind of Trudeau era and the Trudeau kind of, um, you know,
00:19:58.120
comments and everything around that. Um, but largely like, um, you know, I think that it's,
00:20:04.360
it's a unique spot. I don't think it's, um, an ideological driven, uh, opposition to Premier
00:20:09.800
Kenney, quite frankly, I think, I think, you know, Jason Kenney, um, and, and I understand,
00:20:15.000
I like, I sympathize with a lot of the people that have frustrations about the COVID policies
00:20:19.000
of the last couple of years, because I was certainly there at points too. Uh, but Jason has
00:20:22.680
been one of the more effective conservatives, not just in Alberta, but nationally in the last,
00:20:26.360
like 20, 30 years. He was one of the most trusted individuals within the Stephen Harper government.
00:20:30.840
He is, uh, a genuine, uh, works 20 hours a day conservative, which in my opinion is what
00:20:36.440
Alberta kind of needs to push forward right now. Uh, his opposition comes from a lot of bitterness,
00:20:41.160
which, um, you know, and I, uh, I was lucky to be executive director of the party. I've been lucky
00:20:45.720
to be involved in, uh, kind of party politics. And, and I genuinely love, like, you know, the people
00:20:51.240
that donate, the people that support this party are kind of your ordinary, hardworking,
00:20:55.400
not overly political Albertans and it almost the process, especially I would think since Ralph,
00:21:01.320
uh, has left, um, political partisans have been so obsessed with infighting and, and everything along
00:21:06.760
that end, uh, within this province. And I think it's hurt our ability to, um, to, uh, you know,
00:21:12.680
do what I think ordinary conservative voters and supporters want us to do. Um, and I think
00:21:17.560
premier Kenny's falling a little bit victim to that because it is, you know, uh, campaign more driven
00:21:22.440
by bitterness. Like, um, you know, Brian Jean, he's a individual who's, um, you know, uh, when
00:21:28.680
he was leader, he said he would support some form or his own form of a carbon tax. Like,
00:21:34.360
uh, like you were saying, I can't imagine that, like, if you asked any Alberta conservative what
00:21:39.000
they should have done differently over COVID, I think Brian Jean's the only one who would call
00:21:42.760
himself conservative and say the first thing he'll say is we should have let Rachel Notley into cabinet.
00:21:47.720
Um, because I think that there's, you know, natural reasons for conservatives to be unhappy,
00:21:51.960
but it hasn't been what I think has been driving a lot of the opposition to, uh, Kenny. I would also
00:21:57.480
say, and this is pretty unique, but like, obviously we balance the budget here and, you know, despite
00:22:01.960
what Justin says, budgets don't balance themselves. And, um, you know, uh, a lot of the opposition to
00:22:08.520
Kenny even came from some in the conservative, uh, rank and file when he was holding the line on public
00:22:13.560
spending early in his term. Uh, a lot of people thought that there were like public servants that,
00:22:18.280
you know, they weren't getting the raise they want. And some from even like rural MLA backgrounds
00:22:23.160
were attacking him for not spending enough money, um, and not spending it on these issues. He held the
00:22:27.960
line today. We have a balanced budget. So, um, you know, getting back to your, your main question
00:22:32.840
here, I don't think it's really a kind of conservative thing. I think, you know, as, and, um,
00:22:38.040
I love this party, I love this movement, but like, uh, we've had a lot of fracture in the last 15 years
00:22:43.560
or so. And I think that's led to, you know, the activist crowd, almost liking infighting,
00:22:48.760
I think more than our supporters and, and ordinary members do, you know?
00:22:52.040
Right. No, absolutely. Uh, one of the other questions that came out of that and, and I, you know,
00:22:58.440
I, I, when I listened to the audio of that, uh, that, that, that leaked audio that I think went to the
00:23:04.760
CBC, I don't understand who, I don't, I don't understand who working for Jason Kenney would
00:23:09.960
think it was a good idea to record what he was saying in private conversation and then give it
00:23:12.920
to the CBC of all people. Uh, what does that say about the premier's office and, and sort of the
00:23:19.080
loyalty towards the premier that someone, someone did, some people were like speculating that maybe
00:23:24.440
it was all planned and that, that, that it wasn't like a candid conversation that he was doing it on
00:23:28.040
purpose, but maybe you can shed some, some light onto, uh, how that happened. If there's any idea of who
00:23:33.800
did it and, and we, you know, what were they thinking basically?
00:23:37.240
Yeah, no, I look, I can't imagine, especially, you know, in this year, um, any principled conservative
00:23:43.640
leaking that sort of stuff to the CBC, you know? Um, and look, I think, you know, governments,
00:23:49.080
um, you know, governments nowadays employ hundreds of people within an internal government to make sure
00:23:54.440
it runs properly. Um, just like any business, um, you never kind of strike a hundred percent in hiring
00:24:00.760
that number of people. And sometimes there are individuals that are frustrated. I'm disappointed
00:24:05.160
that I think any individual, um, you know, and I've had this privilege, like it's a privilege to
00:24:09.480
work in this movement. It's a privilege to work in this province. Um, it's disappointing that any
00:24:13.560
individual would think, you know, leaking an internal conversation to the CBC would be a good thing.
00:24:18.600
Uh, but I, I had to laugh too. People were acting like, oh, this was some Kenny chess move because he
00:24:23.160
wanted that out there. Just meaning like what he's saying behind the scenes, isn't, you know, that,
00:24:27.960
that a normal for, um, you know, I think regular conservative talk and, you know, um, uh, regular,
00:24:35.160
what, what I think conservatives are joining together and fight for. Um, so it was unique.
00:24:40.840
And, um, yeah, I think obviously that came from one person disgruntled, but in a government where
00:24:45.880
you're hiring hundreds, it's, it's sometimes too bad. But what I would say is, um, you know, for,
00:24:51.960
and I think true Norse put an awesome culture together, but for individuals who want to work in
00:24:56.760
politics, like, I think there's an awesome opportunity in this movement in politics. And
00:25:01.240
I would recommend you to recommend your family members to yourself. Like if you want to be
00:25:05.400
involved in politics, uh, I would say that the bar isn't sometimes as high as some people expect.
00:25:10.440
Um, and like, we need more good people elected. We need more good people working for government too.
00:25:15.640
So, um, you know, hopefully some people will, will hear that. And maybe even our culture of kind of
00:25:21.000
internal staff will improve over the years. Yeah, no, it's always a hard to find good people,
00:25:26.680
but, uh, you know, I lived in Alberta for several years during university and afterwards. And
00:25:31.640
you know, from someone who's a total outsider, politics can seem really like an insider's game
00:25:36.440
and almost intimidated. But I always found that the political culture in the conservative
00:25:41.160
movement, Alberta was so welcoming. Like, you know, you, you just show up to one event and 10 people
00:25:46.600
introduce themselves to you and be, you know, people invite you back to events. And, and there,
00:25:51.080
there really is a great culture, um, that's very inclusive and inviting, uh, to, to outsiders. And
00:25:57.480
so, uh, it's, it's really, uh, a big family of conservatives in Alberta. And that's, that's one of
00:26:02.760
the best parts. Uh, just, just on a final note here, Brad, I, I, I have to ask you about this because
00:26:08.680
I've seen a couple of recent polls in Alberta that indicate that the, that the NDP, uh, are ahead. I've
00:26:15.480
seen one poll that shows them like up 15 points, uh, another poll though, that shows the conservatives
00:26:20.200
up. So, uh, what do you make of these polls? Do you think they're accurate? Do you think that the
00:26:24.120
conservatives should be afraid on a broader level? Uh, I know there's an election, uh, coming up a
00:26:29.240
general election coming up in May, 2023. Do you think conservatives should be worried about their
00:26:33.960
chances, uh, uh, against an NDP, uh, party and the potential of an NDP government again in Alberta?
00:26:40.920
Totally. Well, conservatives should never take anything for granted, right? Like, um,
00:26:44.680
we need to work hard. We need to prove that, you know, there's, there's, uh, the reason we will
00:26:49.480
continue to be elected is the reason, um, you know, is quite simply because we're, we're the better
00:26:55.000
party. We're more representative of Albertans. So you can never take that for granted. You got to go
00:26:58.680
forward, um, with that attitude, uh, the recent polling. So, uh, I think during the, during the height
00:27:04.920
of COVID, like Jason was essentially taking it from both ends and his polling went down. Like, uh,
00:27:09.880
I saw the recent, um, uh, there was one polling company from a firm and I can say this because
00:27:15.240
I've worked internally in Alberta politics, like some firms here, they do online samples and their,
00:27:20.120
their data is usually garbage. Like some were putting like Trudeau, uh, right up with the
00:27:25.240
federal conservative party last election in Alberta. And obviously it didn't come close to that.
00:27:29.640
Uh, the two polls I watched most closely, um, I believe there was, um, a syndicate from Janet
00:27:35.400
Brown and a syndicate from, uh, Yorkville, uh, both of which I came out, those both gave the UCP leads
00:27:41.240
a four and 5% respectively because the conservatives are, are stronger in Calgary, uh, and rural and
00:27:47.640
weaker in Edmonton that would work out to a pretty big win for him. Now I think, look, last election,
00:27:52.920
Jason Kenny won with 55% of the vote. Um, that's a massive victory in Alberta politics. I think that's
00:27:58.440
larger than Ralph or, um, uh, Peter Law. He's like first victory. It's a, it's a very massive win.
00:28:04.360
Uh, so a high bar to keep up. And I don't think he's a guy that'll be content at all with a four
00:28:08.600
to five point win. Um, we've got to continue to do better, which I think Alberta really, uh, the UCP
00:28:15.000
has a team in place, despite us sometimes being more dramatic than I think the ordinary voter might
00:28:19.720
like, uh, a team to rebound out of COVID a lot is going well and, uh, a lot's going well in the
00:28:25.960
economy. Um, a lot of, I think what Jason Kenny and the initial UCP got elected to do is coming to
00:28:31.560
fruition now. And that's great. And I think too, like, um, you know, some of these same polls were
00:28:36.600
giving Rachel Notley and the NDP a 20 point lead like four or five months ago. So you don't see it
00:28:42.280
in the mainstream media at all, but like, it's also a story that I think any conservative that blew a 20
00:28:47.960
point lead in five months would be all over the news. Rachel Notley blew a 20 point lead and, um,
00:28:53.560
you know, is, is continuing down the same path of really the same style of opposition. So I think there's
00:28:59.240
some reasons to be optimistic, but there's nothing bigger that should be a priority than work hard,
00:29:03.320
make sure you're out there representing your voters, which, which I am happy to see that I
00:29:07.000
think the UCP is kind of, um, getting back to out of COVID, you know? Yeah. Listen to the grassroots,
00:29:12.360
listen to the base and, and the whole leadership review, uh, is, is exactly that. I remember I was
00:29:18.040
out in Alberta in 2019 for the UCP convention. And at the time, uh, you know, the media and the,
00:29:24.360
the narrative in the, in the headlines was so anti Kenny. It was like, there was some revolt of
00:29:29.480
nursing, uh, the nursing union and the, uh, you know, the economy that the price of oil was really,
00:29:35.320
really low. And everyone was talking about how the party was turning on Jason Kenny. And I, you know,
00:29:40.200
I walked into the main room and Jason got, you know, an overwhelming standing ovation that was like
00:29:46.360
extended on and on. And the room was going crazy. They were absolutely elated to see him. And
00:29:51.080
it couldn't have been a starker difference, Brad, between, you know, the stories that we were told
00:29:55.320
and the understanding that you would get from following the legacy media, uh, versus being in
00:29:58.760
the room and seeing like, okay, this is, this is, this is an incredibly popular premier that has the
00:30:03.560
full support of his party, despite, uh, the grumblings that you may hear. So, um, I, I don't think
00:30:08.600
it's a good idea to write off Jason Kenny. I think that, uh, he he's, he's come from behind so many
00:30:14.200
times. So I really appreciate your time today and helping us kind of get a better perspective, uh, that,
00:30:19.160
that you definitely won't see in the legacy media because they definitely have an agenda to push
00:30:23.720
a one way. And, and, and when it comes to the opposition as well, the, you know, the very, uh,
00:30:28.520
disgruntled people are sometimes the loudest. So I appreciate your time. Thanks Brad for joining us.
00:30:33.560
Yeah. Thank you very much, Candice.
00:30:35.480
All right. That is Brad Tennant. I'm Candice Malcolm, and this is the Candice Malcolm show.
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