Juno News - November 11, 2025
Andrew Lawton: Carney’s budget makes Trudeau look responsible
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this week's show, we speak with Andrew Lawton, MP for London, Ontario, on the latest on the Trudeau government's $80B deficit and the impact it will have on our economy. We also hear from the Alberta premier, Daniel Smith, who has a deadline of the Grey Cup to strike a deal with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to get Alberta's oil refineries and refineries on board the Keystone XL pipeline. Finally, Fitch downgrades Canada's credit rating, which means that our borrowing rate will go up.
Transcript
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Welcome to The Fighter with Chris Sims. I am Chris Sims. I'm the Alberta Director for the
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Canadian Taxpayers Federation, where we are always fighting for lower taxes, less waste,
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and more accountable government. Okay, this week is going to be a super busy week, so we really
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appreciate you guys making us a part of your day and a way to start the week. If you haven't done
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so yet, be sure to like this video, subscribe to the YouTube channel, and better yet, head on over
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to Juno News, take out a subscription there, head on over to Taxpayer.com, sign a petition that's
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making you the most mad, and that way you join the fight and you're getting some work done this week.
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Okay, big show for you today. We're going to be speaking with Andrew Lawton. Yeah, remember him?
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He's from such shows as kind of this one. He had his own show, of course, on True North for years,
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and then that became Juno. Now he's this big, fancy member of Parliament out of London, Ontario.
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We're going to get the latest from him in Ottawa on what is going on on Parliament Hill.
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What the heck was that budget? Why can't we get a trade deal with our biggest trading partner?
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What is going on there? And then we're going to shift gears slightly because I want to know what's
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happening here on the ground in Alberta because we have this deadline, remember? We have an ultimatum
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coming from Premier Daniel Smith with a deadline of Grey Cup. So Carney's got until Grey Cup kickoff
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to be able to actually reach all of those ultimatum deals that Premier Daniel Smith gave the Prime
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Minister. That includes things like pipelines, getting rid of the tanker ban, and getting rid of
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the energy cap, our production cap here in Alberta. So lots to talk about. Okay, the budget was a
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disaster, like flaming wreckage everywhere. It was nearly $80 billion in deficit. Sean, if you want
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to pull those numbers back up, I don't know if you have them. There we go. Oh, that's just disgusting.
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Take a look there. So the deficit, of course, is the annual debt. Okay, so it is close to $80 billion
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with a B. Spoiler alert, that is more than what Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was planning to blow his
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budget by. Carney's doing it worse, okay? The debt, the national debt, is going to hit $1.3 trillion
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this year with a T. That is terrifying because we pay the interest on that thing every single year. It is
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a line item in the budget, folks. It's something we all have to pay. Debt interest, more than $55 billion.
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dollars. That's just this year. Put another way, it costs about a billion dollars to build a new
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hospital, okay? So do that visualization. Build a brand new hospital, all the fresh paint and all
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the stuff. Instead of moving people into it, burn it down. Burn it down every single week, okay?
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Saturday night, gather around, kids. Burn down a hospital. That's what we're wasting on that debt
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interest. The problem here is twofold. One, the adults are noticing now, okay? Remember how we
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were warning that if we keep blowing our budgets like this, if we keep pretending that money isn't
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real and it's just some social construct that has no consequences, that we were going to get a warning
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coming from international credit rating agencies? It's happening. Here, let's pull up this headline.
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It is so scary. Fitch, okay? For those of you that don't know, that is an international credit
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rating agency, okay? Big money. Fitch warns Canada of credit downgrade. That is bad news for mortgages.
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Of course, that's bad news for mortgages because that affects our lending rates, okay? It's also bad
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news just for taxpayers writ large because if we... I don't want to say it out loud. If what was said
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in that headline actually happens, that means our borrowing rate as a country goes up, okay? That
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means that debt interest that we showed you there on a line item, it goes up and we all have to pay
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it. Now, one of the reasons why we're in such trouble is because we don't have serious people running
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the show, apparently. We don't have people in the finance department. I'm talking to you, bureaucrats.
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What the heck are you doing? Scream at that political staff who's coming to you with their
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stupid binders saying, we can go into deeper debt. It's all fine. No, stand up to them. Tell them that
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your charts and all your formulas are showing that this is a bad thing. I know that's what they're
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showing. So you tell them. Stand up to them. Say no. Say no to this ridiculous deficit spending,
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okay? The reason why we're in such trouble is twofold. A, because we've got unserious people
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who are printing off 500-page budgets that are full of fluff and nonsense and full of bad math
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like that. And on the other side of things, that same government is strangling our revenue side.
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So in the budget, okay, there's basically two columns, okay? There's spending, okay? So expenditure,
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doesn't matter if they call it operating or capital, by the way, it's all spending. So money going out,
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that's one column. Money coming in is the other column. The government gets money from tax dollars.
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How do we generate more tax dollars? We generate more wealth in Canada with good jobs, especially in
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things like the resource industry, which is why Premier Daniel Smith gave Carney that deadline of
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Grey Cup, saying, we have got to get our resources out to market. Take your foot off of our neck,
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approve our pipelines, get rid of the West Coast tanker ban so we can get more wealth coming back
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into this country and try to save that dumpster fire of a budget. Let's fix things. Let's write the
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ship. But I don't know, man. I don't know about writing this ship because now the captain
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the captain's cracking jokes about pipelines. I'm going to tee up this clip because I couldn't
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believe it when I saw it late last week. This is Prime Minister Mark Carney, a dude who has a PhD
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in economics from Oxford, I will point out, knows how to do the math, okay? Knows where money comes
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from. This is Prime Minister Mark Carney on stage being interviewed by a young lady who rightly is
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asking him about how do we get pipelines approved? Is it happening soon? Because it matters to our
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prosperity. She asks him this. Listen to his answer. One of my questions was, is this pipeline going to
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come? So boring. It's not actually for the big part of the country. It is because it's, look, it's,
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don't worry, we're on it. We're on it. Like we're on it. But there is this whole world. Okay, hands up.
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Who's working on the pipeline in this room? In case you didn't hear that little muttered thing
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that he just said, he said, so boring. Okay. Um, even I, in my most optimistic, a white pill mood
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cannot say, oh, he's just trying to make pipelines boring again because there's so many of them getting
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approved that it becomes ho-hum and just a thing. It just happens all the time. You know, water is wet,
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fork found in kitchen. Um, we're getting pipelines approved. So therefore it's boring.
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That is not how I'm reading that clip at all, at all. Um, because he goes on to say it's going to
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happen. And then he corrects himself. He says, well, something will happen. Okay. The prime minister,
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this current prime minister, not the last guy who kept on pointing to his socks and said that the
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budget will balance itself and clearly had a hate on for Alberta's energy sector. Not that guy.
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This guy, the current guy just called pipelines. So boring. Do you think this is going to work for
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him? Just from a pure comms perspective, do you think that this cute surfer dude thing is going to
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fit for Carney? I don't think he's pulling it off. I don't. Um, and financially speaking,
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we can't afford this. We can't afford grown men sitting there on stage, by the way, being super
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rude to that interviewer who was rightly asking about prosperity, saying pipelines are so boring.
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Boy, oh boy, we're in trouble. Where are we going to go from here? Okay. I, I think we need to find out
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from Parliament Hill on what the temperature is like in downtown Ottawa. Are they taking this seriously?
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What's happening with our money? We're going to get to that in a second, but first let's check in with
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to know. You can learn more by visiting unsmoke.ca. Okay. So we're in a serious situation here,
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folks. We're headed to a $1.3 trillion national debt. We're wasting money hand over fist. Just Google
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any of these silly government procurements. It's everything from a gender neutral race in Vietnam
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to a hundred thousand dollars for a grocery cart documentary. I'm not making any of that up. We
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spent money. It was over a thousand dollars. We spent money on a lesbian pirate musical last year.
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It's the craziest thing. Hey, if that is what you want to go watch, you go fill your peg leg, but you do it
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on your own dime. Don't make taxpayers pay for it. So we've got a serious situation with the budget.
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We don't have a renegotiated trade deal with our biggest trading partner. And we don't clearly have
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someone who sounds earnest about getting our natural resources to market because he's calling that
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boring. How do we fix this? Let's find out. Joining me now is Andrew Lawton. Yes, you must remember him
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from shows just like this one, in fact, on True North and Juneau. Now, Andrew, you are a member of parliament
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for, let's get the title correct here, Elgin, St. Thomas, London, South, also known as London, Ontario.
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Thank you so much, sir. Welcome. Thank you. Good to be with. This is actually, I believe my first time
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on Juneau since I was sworn in. I did an interview with Candace right after the election, but I was
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not yet a member of parliament. So what's been taking you guys so long? I'm sorry. It's one of
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those things where I just watch you and then I think about you and then it didn't make the connection
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of, oh, right. He should come on the actual program and talk with his face so that, you know, viewers can
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actually know what's going on with him instead of me just texting you. Okay, so just generally, how are
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you doing? What is the latest thing being like? What's it like being a member of parliament? Did
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they tell you where the alien spacecraft is buried yet or do you need to form government for that?
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Yeah, that might be in government. I haven't got many memos on that one, although I'm a little bit
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behind on the unmarked manila envelopes in the office, so we'll see. Look, it's been so exciting.
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I mean, I used to be an observer of politics for so long and I used to, on my show often with you,
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talk about all the things that I wish the people in Ottawa were doing and I got tired of waiting for
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them to do it. I figured I had to show up and do it myself and we're part of a fantastic team and
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obviously, look, we're in opposition, not government. We expected a different result and hoped for a
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different result, but there's still so much to do and we're seeing on, you know, a lot of the issues
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that I've been really, really driving hard on my shows over the years, whether it's, you know,
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reckless government spending, liberal government censorship, regulation and control of media,
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all of these things are still very much alive and well from the government. So I'm happy to be there
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in the chamber pushing back against this. It's neat. Like, do you, I have to ask you just
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personally, do you like it? Like, do you like being a member of parliament and like talking to people?
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I think you're in your constituency this week, right? Yeah, yeah. For Remembrance Day,
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we have a lot of events going on. I love it. I mean, what did I do if I weren't in politics right
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now? I'd still be doing the same thing, which is talking about politics and, you know, meeting
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with people and trying to move the needle on some of these big picture issues. So I'm happy to be
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doing it in the House of Commons, but I love being back in the constituency. It's the people there who
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are, you got to get the Ottawa off every now and then and talk to real people. So I really like weeks
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like this. Yeah. Getting Ottawa washed is a bane of federal politics. I know that you represent
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my uncle Brad actually is right in your riding there, there in London South. So thank you for
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joining us as your role as a member of parliament. Okay, let's get into the, I don't want to call it
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a budget. It seems like a violation of the English language that was released last week. But my
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goodness, Andrew, like we've got more close to an $80 billion deficit. And some of the language in
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there was just unserious. The way they're talking about maybe sort of having a meeting someday about
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lifting the energy cap on Alberta. There's no plans to ever balance the budget. And this is
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coming from a guy with a PhD in economics. Like, what is the mood in Ottawa when you guys saw this
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budget? What was your reaction? Well, I look, I wanted nothing more than for all of the fears that
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we had to be disproven. I wanted a fiscally responsible budget. I wanted a government that
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would listen to opposition parties. And I'll just say, you know, I've seen minority parliaments
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before. And the obligation, the onus has always been on the government to find a way to get a
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budget passed, to find a way to get support from opposition parties. And in this particular case,
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there's been basically no desire by the Liberal government to try to meet us in the middle even
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and talk about the affordability crisis, talk about how Canadians are being just driven into
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personal household debt, because of runaway inflation, which is directly tied to reckless
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government spending and deficit. So I was really hoping that we would get something that was trying
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to address some of these key issues. And instead, we have a debt, a deficit and a debt load that is
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making Justin Trudeau look fiscally responsible. And that is terrifying. Mark Carney's budget makes Justin
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Trudeau's financial plans look like they are responsible. I can't believe we're even saying
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this. Seriously, like think back years ago, even back when Mark Carney was the governor of the Bank of
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Canada. Like, can you imagine saying, oh, he's he's fiscally more reckless than Justin Trudeau? Like, what?
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Yeah, yeah, he is set to rack up about double in debt what Justin Trudeau was going to we're looking at over
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the next several years, $320 billion in debt. Now, just to put this in context, this year alone,
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we're going to be spending $55 billion, I think 55.6 on debt interest. And you and I used to talk about
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this when I was doing my show. That is money we are literally lighting on fire. That is money we are
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throwing into the paper shredder. That is money we are doing nothing with. That is more than the federal
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government spends in health transfers to provinces. That's more than Canada collects in GST revenue.
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That is debt interest. And that number gets larger and larger, the larger the debt gets.
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And it also gets larger when interest rates go up, which is another consideration we have to keep
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in mind here. So this is something that is going to I mean, Mark Carney liked to tell young Canadians
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at that speech a couple of weeks ago, they're going to need to be making sacrifices. Well, yeah,
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because he is mortgaging their fiscal future for his reckless spending right now.
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Yeah, that sacrifices quote was horrible, because some people were trying to spin it saying,
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Oh, he actually means he's going to reduce the size and the cost of the bureaucracy.
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No, no, no, no. He was talking to young people saying you need to sacrifice more. I'll be blunt.
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I've got Gen Z kids, they've sacrificed enough, thank you. In most places across Canada,
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most of that generation, they've given up on ever owning a house. And I hate saying that out loud,
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because it's a terrible thing to say. But this is the situation they're in right now.
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They were the kids that were directly impacted the most by lockdowns when they were kicked out of
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school for ages on end. Like they've had enough. Okay, like I think I can speak for Gen X and Gen Z,
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they've had enough of this. And so the language come in the millennials, the language coming out
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of Carney saying you're going to have to sacrifice more. Andrew, I think my nightmare kind of came true.
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I was holding out hope that it would be the fiscal guy, the Bank Canada guy, that would actually be
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able to be better than Trudeau with money. And not this guy, not the one who wrote the book
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as the UN special envoy about all this carbon taxes, carbon tariffs, all these extra prices on
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energy coming out of Canada, and just basically treating money as a social construct. But that
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guy's the one that showed up. And that's the budget we have. I got to ask you, what was the mood
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in the party? So you're there, you're with the Conservative Party, you're sitting in the House
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of Commons. What was the mood that ran through there? When we saw that warning come from Fitch
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about a possible, I don't even want to say it, the idea of our credit rating being adjusted,
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Well, look, I think the mood was, I don't even want to say surprise, because we're seeing what
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you've just identified, Chris, which is that during the campaign, Mark Carney's pitch to Canadians,
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he was going to be this fiscally moderate, maybe even fiscally conservative guy. He had all of this
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economic experience. He even called himself, I believe, the great economist. He said that
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in a response to question period, in question period. And that's not what we're seeing. We're
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not seeing this. And he also promised himself as the guy that could move quickly, he could move at
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the speed of crisis. And we have not seen all of these promises. We haven't seen him get spending
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under check. We haven't seen him get a deal with the US. We haven't seen him save the auto sector
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like he promised. Instead, we've seen just a summer and fall of hemorrhaging auto jobs. And that one's
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very near and dear to my riding. We lost the 1,200 jobs just down the road at the Cammie plant. We had
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3,000 at Brampton, Stellantis. We had in the hundreds, I believe, at Packer in Santa Fe, Quebec.
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We had GM in Oshawa. And this was literally just in the span of three to four weeks. So we now have
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a situation where more and more Canadians are not producing because they are out of work,
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because they are dealing with this. And now we have on the other side, a government that's not
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living within its means. And why this is so important is because all of this is subject to
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change if government spending goes up even further. This is just the roadmap. We have seen governments in
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the past blow past these things, what Chrystia Freeland jokingly called the, well, she didn't
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mean it as a joke, but the fiscal guardrail, which ended up just being like so small, you could barely
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see it because they blew past it so far. And this is what we're going to be seeing a lot more of over
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the next few years. So this is something that is very concerning. Deficits and debt, they may seem
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like abstract numbers, but it is literally Mark Carney spending $5,400 more on behalf of every Canadian
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household. So if you don't have that money lying around, you should ask why the liberal government
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thinks that it should be able to spend that on your behalf. Two more things, because I know you're
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very busy. You've got a very packed constituency week. Two more things. In the budget, they also
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talked about more money for media. I got to point out, they'd announced the extra $150 million for the
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CBC during the election campaign. And people were fine with that. No, we're not fine with that.
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Journalists should never be paid by the government. But here it is in the budget in black and white.
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Yep. An extra $150 million with an M for CBC and extra money for other forms of media.
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Is this ringing through? Are you guys able to punch through this noise? Because I feel bad for you
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guys sometimes in the opposition benches, actually, no matter which the party, if you're opposed to
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things like government funded media, because you're surrounded by government funded media,
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you're surrounded by the press gallery. Is this punching through this message that we need to
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defund the media? Look, there is a grocery store outside my constituency office. And I've been in
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there. Well, I go there all the time after work. And I've been in there several times. And you can
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actually see people just really looking at the price tags, really not sure if they can afford this.
00:20:49.120
I've seen people put things back on shelves. I hear people come into my office all the time,
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who don't know how they're going to fill up their car. They don't know how they're going to pay their
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rent. They don't know how they're going to choose between whether they buy groceries this week, or
00:21:02.400
whether they buy a birthday present for their child. I've heard this. And then the government
00:21:06.920
comes and says, Okay, well, we can't do that, really. But we can bring Eurovision to Canada.
00:21:13.660
Like, that's, that's what the Liberals have done. That's part of the things they want to do with the
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$140 million. They want to bring Eurovision to Canada. Now, I shouldn't be surprised. Mark Carney's a
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guy who, you know, openly identifies as European, he kind of collects passports like trading cars.
00:21:28.460
But I'm sorry, when you're dealing with an affordability crisis, Canadians want to be able
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to live, they want to be able to pay their bills on time, they don't want to be able to, you know,
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suffer in a cold house with an empty fridge while enjoying Euro pop on CBC.
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And folks, that's in the budget. I talked about that.
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Yeah, no, I'm not making that literally that is in the budget. Yes, I'm not making that up. That is not
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conjecture. That is literally what the government thought was so important. It had to be in black
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and white on the budget. Yep. Eurovision. I kid you not. Okay, lastly, you mentioned the cozying up
00:22:00.120
to the European Union. Last I checked, they are not the economic manufacturing powerhouse that they
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were, I don't know, in the 19th century. They're just not. And I hate to point this out. This is
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sounding a lot like the first Trudeau back in the 70s when he was trying to realign ourselves over with
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our cousins in Europe. Guys, we have the United States, okay? We do two-way trade every day.
00:22:24.600
Three billion dollars a day. A day. It's more than a trillion dollars a year. And they seem to be
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completely thumbing their nose at this relationship with the states. I don't care if you don't like
00:22:35.700
the president as a person. Don't care. Our trading relationship is super important. And yet, all we're
00:22:41.040
hearing is that they're not actually talking. Last I saw, there was a committee that was just given
00:22:46.400
testimony this morning that they haven't met since August. So it sure doesn't sound like they're
00:22:51.880
taking this trade situation seriously. I have to stress, I was listening to Ben Shapiro over the
00:22:58.060
weekend, and he rightly pointed out, again, tariffs are trade taxes. They're just trade taxes. And they
00:23:05.120
cost people money on both sides of the border. What are you hearing? Are we going to get a renegotiated
00:23:11.100
trade deal with the United States, this super important economy? Or are we not?
00:23:16.160
Yeah, you're right to point out the tariffs hurt everyone. They hurt both sides in the long run.
00:23:21.500
Some may disproportionately feel the pain more in the short term. But over time, I do not like
00:23:26.440
tariffs. I do not support them. I want what Mark Carney promised, which was a deal by July. But just on
00:23:31.940
Europe for a moment, it's not even like we're trading with Europe all that well. Because we have a steady
00:23:36.940
stream of European heads of government and heads of state that say they would love nothing more than
00:23:41.280
to buy Canadian LNG. And Justin Trudeau's famous words on this, there's no business case. Well,
00:23:47.020
the Prime Minister of Greece wants Canadian LNG, the Chancellor of Germany wants Canadian LNG.
00:23:52.220
There was another one as well, I can't remember who, but Europeans want Canadian resources. And we say,
00:23:58.280
okay, well, we'll replace the US with Europe. But we aren't even giving the Europeans access to the
00:24:04.160
special commodity that we have that would help offset some of what we're losing with the US. So
00:24:08.960
no, I do not believe we can ever conjure 350 million people to trade with out of thin air. So
00:24:14.580
we do want to make a deal. Obviously, we have to decide as a country what our non-negotiables are.
00:24:20.520
But you know, at the very least, we have to negotiate and that has not been happening. And I
00:24:24.780
think again, you know, Mark Carney may not have been able to promise that he was going to get a deal,
00:24:30.580
but he did. He chose to make that promise. He chose to do that. He chose to say that he would
00:24:35.380
get it done. And he hasn't. And look, I live in a riding that has a lot of manufacturing. We are just
00:24:41.100
about an hour from the Canada US border, I guess, you know, an hour and a bit. So we are really
00:24:46.380
personally hit by this, as are so many of the people that I represent. And they want a deal. This
00:24:51.320
isn't just some abstract, you know, chess piece, some chess game. This is literally their livelihood.
00:24:56.620
It is. It is. I want to let you go here. But this is the fighter. That's the show. We always want to
00:25:02.920
fight for change. So I want to encourage people, all of our viewers, all of our listeners and your
00:25:08.360
constituents, that the fight isn't over. We can still fix stuff. We can still change stuff.
00:25:14.120
This is a minority parliament. Andrew, how do they best fight to get these changes that they want to
00:25:20.580
see? How do your constituents fight for this? Look, the one thing I have learned being a member of
00:25:26.160
parliament is that you do receive the messages and the calls that come in. I know sometimes
00:25:30.880
people might have really bad MPs that aren't responsive. And sure, maybe that's there. I
00:25:34.840
make a point of reading everything that comes in. I make a point of talking to as many constituents as
00:25:39.220
possible. And if there's a trend, if people are saying, hey, you got to do X on this, even if it
00:25:44.200
goes against what my party thinks, I'm going to bring that up. And I encourage people to, as fruitless as
00:25:50.040
it may seem, make sure you're contacting your member of parliament and don't give them form
00:25:54.040
emails, request a meeting, sit down, look them in the eye and say, you know, I think you need to do
00:25:58.460
this on this. And it doesn't mean you're going to get your way, but it means that we have to start
00:26:03.120
putting some pressure on so that they can bring that to Ottawa. Because if no one does that, if no
00:26:07.980
one reaches out, then no one is standing up for what you believe. And I can assure you the other
00:26:13.180
side is. The other side is. So if I get, you know, 100 emails telling me, you know, they want a budget
00:26:18.320
that has an even bigger deficit and no one emails me to say, hey, I'm worried about government
00:26:21.840
spending. That's going to give me a skewed imbalance of what people think. Andrew Lawton,
00:26:26.640
member of parliament for Elgin, St. Thomas, London South and a friend to this show. Thank you so much
00:26:32.120
for your time today, sir. Always a pleasure, Chris, and keep up the great work. Thank you. So that you
00:26:38.340
just heard was Andrew Lawton. He gave us the perspective from the federal perspective. What is
00:26:45.960
happening with the big stage? What is happening with the United States? Why on earth did Carney
00:26:53.060
deliver the budget? I can't even call it that. That budget that he delivered last week. What do
00:26:59.200
we need to do to actually fight back? And he's absolutely right, folks. Again, I have family in
00:27:04.400
that area of Ontario. I'm sure lots of our viewers are right there in that area right now, or they have
00:27:09.300
family there. Ontario right now is just getting a beating because of what is going on, A, with this
00:27:17.320
budget, and B, with this lack of accountability with the responsibility to get a new deal with the
00:27:22.820
United States. And if we continuously allow all of these bureaucrats and the prime minister to just
00:27:31.040
waste our money, keep in mind the prime minister's paid $400,000 a year. Yes, I just said that $400,000 a
00:27:37.300
year. Bureaucrats in some of these cases who never have to get elected, they're paid between $200,000
00:27:43.080
and $300,000 a year. This is their job to straighten out things like this trade negotiation, this trade
00:27:49.820
fight they're having with the United States in order to get tariffs gone on both sides of the border.
00:27:55.140
And very importantly, to get investment flowing back into Canada so that we can build stuff like
00:28:01.680
mines and pipelines so that we can have that business case for things like natural gas. Because of course,
00:28:09.620
if we have our natural resources firing on all cylinders, that lifts all boats, that makes sure that we
00:28:15.980
have better paying jobs. And guess what? Those better paying jobs come along with income taxes that we are
00:28:22.600
paying, which then goes into government. So it's a two-way street. Most of those natural resources, and we're
00:28:29.320
talking about things like oil and natural gas, come from right here. They come from Alberta. And we've
00:28:34.980
got a deadline happening on Grey Cup. Remember? Folks, Grey Cup, it's this Sunday. It's going to be the
00:28:42.060
Rough Riders versus the Alouettes. They're kicking off in Winnipeg this Sunday. So at the start of next
00:28:46.960
week, that was the deadline that Alberta Premier Daniel Smith gave to the Prime Minister of Canada
00:28:52.280
Canada to get moving on things like getting rid of the No More Pipelines law, getting rid of the West
00:28:57.780
Coast tanker ban, getting things moving again here. So where are we with that? Let's find out.
00:29:03.960
Joining me now is Martin Belanger. You probably know him online as Marty Up North. You can find him
00:29:10.820
everywhere on X, the artist formerly known as Twitter. Marty, you are on a plethora of what I would
00:29:18.360
describe as, say, small, C, conservative, independent, kind of freedom-oriented media.
00:29:26.500
You're super active on X. I'm trying to remember when I first connected with you. I think it might
00:29:30.900
have been when you did that thing that went viral, where you show your picture and you say,
00:29:36.200
this is my name and this is what I stand for. Yeah. Chris, I just got goosebumps thinking about that
00:29:41.620
because, to be honest, you're one of the first people who reached out to me in real life.
00:29:45.960
Yes. Like, I had existed on X and I had a lot of connections, but you were one of the first
00:29:50.460
live connection. You reached out to me. Remember, we had coffee in Calgary. We did. I drove down to
00:29:54.620
Calgary and we had coffee. So, yeah. Oh, by the way, and I just want to mention this to people,
00:29:58.340
I noticed you got your poppy. I don't have a poppy on right now. Sorry, folks. It's not a political
00:30:03.620
statement. They're just in the car. I don't wear a poppy typically around the house, right? Same. I know.
00:30:08.980
I have to keep a stack next to the camera because otherwise, like, I buy like 10 at the beginning
00:30:14.740
of, you know, the commemorative season, but they always fall off. So, and they get mad at you if
00:30:19.200
you stick a pin through them and stuff. Anyway, no, all good. It's there in spirit. Marty, I wanted
00:30:24.260
to get your thoughts on what is going on coming out of Ottawa. In particular, let's start with the
00:30:29.740
freshest thing. I just saw you posting about, we've got some Canadians now saying, hey, why don't we
00:30:36.840
have a trade deal with the United States yet? Where are the negotiations happening between Canada
00:30:42.440
and U.S. President Donald Trump? I got to say over the weekend, I was listening to Ben Shapiro and he
00:30:48.440
made the great point and he said, yeah, from the American perspective on tariffs, do we really want
00:30:53.740
to go down this route forever? Because then another president can declare like a climate emergency
00:30:59.840
and impose a huge tariff on every single gasoline and diesel powered everything coming into the United
00:31:05.380
States. Do we want to do that? And he makes the right point that tariffs are just trade taxes,
00:31:10.280
but it doesn't sound like Ottawa is taking this seriously.
00:31:15.540
I, you know, I mean, we're all, yes, we're all asking those questions. I mean, we're supposedly,
00:31:22.100
you know, the election was won on the fact that we were supposedly in an existential threat,
00:31:27.200
the largest threat we'd ever faced, right? Nevermind World War II, COVID, all the climate change,
00:31:32.620
they're all gone now. The newest threat was that Donald Trump was attacking us and we were in a
00:31:38.960
trade war. But what's happened since? We don't know. Canadians are finally, some Canadians are
00:31:44.480
waking up. I mean, you know, Parliament's been sitting, what? It's going to be the shortest session
00:31:48.080
of a Parliament since like the 1930s. Like they'll have set 70 days this year. They're blowing hot air.
00:31:54.920
We got, and people are exposing it. I mean, you know, you know, just today, Arlene Dickinson was
00:31:59.760
in committee saying that, you know, actually back to that trade war. I mean, in the days after the
00:32:05.680
election, you know, Carney did all these things, you know, set up this committee of, what was it
00:32:11.600
called? The Canada-US Relations Committee or whatever that was going to negotiate. And he recruited
00:32:18.000
experts to help him negotiate. Well, one of those experts, Arlene, she said today, there hasn't been a
00:32:23.740
meeting of the committee in months. Like, you know, and they're not doing anything. So yeah,
00:32:29.580
you know, we're in a trade war, but we're losing it. It just doesn't seem like there's adults in the
00:32:35.280
room. Marty, you've worked in natural resources for a long time. And again, it's one of the things
00:32:40.340
we were talking about over that coffee. It was great actually meeting you in person. So we don't
00:32:45.180
seem to be having the adults in the room. I got to tell you, I still had a little bit of naivete
00:32:50.020
with Carney. I was telling myself, well, you know, he does have a PhD in economics from Oxford.
00:32:56.980
He is a former central banker. He's got to be better with the budget than Trudeau.
00:33:02.400
Spoiler alert, he was not. He's worse. And then I heard him say that crazy clip that was on Friday.
00:33:09.620
He's being interviewed by a young lady. It looks like it's in Toronto. And frankly, as an interviewer,
00:33:15.680
he was super rude, like terribly rude to the young woman. And she asks him about pipelines.
00:33:22.420
And he goes on this kind of valley girl thing of, oh, boring. This is so boring. I'm bored now.
00:33:28.580
What is the message? I mean, he basically was, sorry, he's doing, I was doing what he was doing
00:33:33.900
to her, right? He was basically putting his hand in her face and saying, let's talk about something
00:33:37.340
else. And that's an, well, that's an interesting one. Yes, pipelines are near and dear to me. You know,
00:33:43.440
you're talking about adults in the room. There is an adult in the room, right? That Danielle Smith
00:33:48.260
here in Alberta is trying to be an adult and God bless her. But, but maybe naively, like you just
00:33:55.560
said, she had a lot of faith in, in Carney in the beginning. Remember back during the election,
00:34:01.860
she didn't know who was going to be the prime minister, but she's kind of set out an ultimatum
00:34:05.560
of like nine requests to the future prime minister, which turned out to be Carney. And in there,
00:34:11.020
she said, you know, I want a pipeline. I want a bill C 69 repealed. I want the type of the tanker
00:34:18.340
ban gone, the net zero talk. I don't want to hear that anymore. I want, you know, she, she,
00:34:23.800
and, and her ultimatum is due next week during the great cup. And again, it's one of those things.
00:34:30.160
I don't see anything. I think she's going to be disappointed. I don't see anything Carney. I don't
00:34:35.500
see Carney taking her seriously, taking anybody seriously in this country. In fact, I was in the
00:34:42.620
same boat as you, Chris. I, I, I thought, okay, I wasn't happy that Carney got elected, but I kind
00:34:47.440
of thought, well, maybe he will be a little bit different. He's not different. The team around him
00:34:51.920
is absolutely not different. It's the same ministers. It's the same bunch. And, and I'm convinced more
00:34:57.540
than ever that he's pushing an agenda. That's not ours. That's not his. Well, it's his, it is,
00:35:02.360
it is the UN agenda 2030 and 2050. They're pushing those agendas on us because he lets it slip out
00:35:08.620
all the time. He's constantly talking about social credits and, and, and, and digital ID. And he can't,
00:35:15.520
he can't let go of net zero. He's still talking net zero. You got to watch his language. Like he talks,
00:35:20.900
he's not talking pipelines. He's talking energy corridors. Like it's, it's, it's a language. And
00:35:25.760
then when he's talking energy corridors, he's talking electricity. I mean, they want to electrify
00:35:31.380
everything. There's a reason they want to electrify everything because once everything's
00:35:34.940
electric, it's way easier to control. You can't control the, the, the gas and the oil because
00:35:40.300
we can move it around with trucks and everything else, but boy, the electricity, they can control
00:35:44.640
that. So we're going all over the place, but no, I, I, I don't, um, I don't see Carney doing
00:35:50.940
anything specific to, to fight the, the, the economic, uh, the trade war. And I don't see him
00:35:57.720
doing anything specific to try and get Alberta back on board on team Canada. Um, and then his
00:36:04.040
budget last week was an absolute disaster. I, I, I don't even, like, I don't know where you want to
00:36:09.920
go. There's not a lot of good news. No, no, no. I just basically wanted to get a checkup from you
00:36:12.820
because we already spoke with Andrew Lawton, who of course was a former host right here on
00:36:16.620
True North. And then that became Juneau. Now he's a member of parliament, uh, representing London,
00:36:21.440
Ontario, which I would describe as a really big working class city. I know I've got family there.
00:36:26.400
Um, and so I w I wanted to get your perspective from a Western perspective on what's your hunch?
00:36:34.200
Like, do you think that they're being serious about this? Because I'll put it this way. I'm
00:36:39.640
hearing some hope coming from Edmonton. I'm hearing some hope of a, we're close to a deal
00:36:44.880
on a pipeline. All we need to do is to do more kind of carbon capture magic stuff and that they're
00:36:51.360
going to go for it. Um, and I don't want to crush those hopes coming from Edmonton because I hope
00:36:57.340
it's true, but I don't know if it's true, man. And I wanted to get your gut check on this because two
00:37:03.780
things happened. The budget language, that was really squishy. I don't know if you saw it when
00:37:10.320
it was talking about maybe sometime eventually having a meeting to get rid of the energy cap
00:37:14.760
in Alberta. And it was all based on, yeah, like carbon capture, dah, dah, dah, dah. I'm worried
00:37:21.260
that that comes along with too big a price, i.e. a really big industrial carbon tax. So, and that's
00:37:28.220
written right into his budget documents. And then we see right on the heels of that, we see that clip
00:37:33.900
from Carney basically saying flippantly, oh, well, you know, pipelines are boring. And you notice how
00:37:39.680
he corrected himself at the end of that? He's like, it'll happen. Something will happen. He corrected
00:37:45.200
something will happen. And that's where I think you're right. I think this is going to be more
00:37:50.460
solar panels and wind farm corridors. Uh, I'll answer it very pragmatically. We, we hurt ourselves
00:37:57.500
in the last decade, more than the last decade in the last 15 years. So the, the, the private sector
00:38:02.860
right now is, is like arms crossed and waiting, really waiting to see what happens. Capital from
00:38:08.840
the private sector will not flow into this economy at this point. Like companies are willing to drill
00:38:13.880
a few wells and do, you know, maintain kind of status quo, but no company in Alberta at this point
00:38:19.600
wants to commit to a 10 or $15 billion pipeline. They just don't. And so that's the reality. And some
00:38:27.120
people have picked up on that and they're saying, you know, and then they're saying, well, that's because
00:38:30.920
the industry, there's no, there's no economics in it. No, no, no, no, no. The industry is just,
00:38:35.820
you know, when you're building stuff, you need to manage risk. And unfortunately, our governments
00:38:40.620
have become a, a very hard to manage risk. And so some companies are just not waiting in. Are there,
00:38:47.160
are there companies that have pipelines on the shelf ready to go? Absolutely. Enbridge does,
00:38:51.600
TransCanada does, they all do, but they're all arms crossed right now, waiting to hear what,
00:38:56.680
so it's a, it's a chicken and egg thing right now. It's a pro it's problematic because nobody
00:39:00.520
even wants, no company even wants to talk about pipelines until we truly hear what Carney has
00:39:06.080
to say. And then Carney's saying, well, there's no appetite for pipelines. You know what I mean?
00:39:09.760
So we're, we're, there's an appetite, but the risk is just too high. I mean, I, I sat in on those
00:39:16.100
meetings. I sat in, in, you know, trying to get my bosses interested in building pipelines here in the
00:39:23.980
last five years. And, and that's, my boss has said, no, we're not doing this. It's too risky.
00:39:29.640
So we have to, so there's a, and, and we need a serious, serious statesman because this, this is
00:39:36.340
not just a problem to pipelines, right? Like I've said this many times, this, this, this is a problem
00:39:40.660
for one, even if your pet project is, is, you know, like we said, hospitals, wind farms, uh, solar farms,
00:39:47.880
whatever, a mine capital in this, a mine, anything apart, an electric dam. It's like, it's all, it's
00:39:55.300
all, it's all dried up right now. The Capitol is not coming to Canada. And that's evidenced in a lot
00:40:00.840
of stats. Like there's a lot of stats that shows the Capitol leaving the country. Big time because
00:40:05.580
we have, so, so Carney has to, so next week's an important week. We'll see how, uh, I'm looking
00:40:11.320
forward to seeing how Danielle Smith manages her ultimatum because ultimatums are nasty, right? When you
00:40:15.980
issue an ultimatum and the other party ignores your ultimatum. So we, we have an interesting week
00:40:22.180
ahead of us. Uh, based on the record, I can't see her tolerating her ultimatum being ignored. I just
00:40:28.900
can't, uh, look at what just happened with, uh, the long going teacher strike. They, they were demanding
00:40:34.080
an extra $2 billion and they said no with an exclamation mark. So I can't see them ignoring that
00:40:40.340
ultimatum from the Alberta side of things. Uh, I wanted to leave on this, on this point. I
00:40:45.740
often leading up to this budget. I, to me, speaking of ultimatums, to me, this budget was
00:40:50.580
the true test. So, you know, yes, we had the election and then there was kind of the phony
00:40:55.360
sitting that happened and then we had the summer. And so I was waiting until this budget to see
00:41:00.760
which Mark Carney we were actually going to get. So there was the little silly hope inside
00:41:06.320
of me that was still in there somewhere, not completely black-pilled, um, that was saying,
00:41:10.500
oh, well, he's got to be better with Trudeau than money. Um, and so will that guy stand up?
00:41:15.500
Will he be that guy? Or will we get this guy, the one from his book that you were just describing,
00:41:20.800
the UN guy. And of course I keep on preaching this folks. You have to read this book. Okay.
00:41:26.160
It's called values. It's written by Mark Carney. It's basically his blueprint. It's literally the
00:41:31.120
planet earth was scaffolding around it. Okay. Um, it was endorsed by Bono and, uh, he mentions
00:41:36.540
Greta Thunberg all the way through it. And so he wrote this while he was the UN special envoy on
00:41:41.700
this topic. Um, and so the language in that budget, and it is like 500 pages long, the language in
00:41:49.160
that budget is alarming because it talks a lot about really fluffy stuff that doesn't belong inside of
00:41:54.460
a budget. It dangles a carrot on things like lifting the energy production cap, but doesn't
00:42:00.100
actually commit to doing it. And the numbers are astonishing. We've got an $80 billion deficit.
00:42:08.020
That means we're adding that that's how much we're in the hole just for this year. Our debt is going
00:42:12.980
to hit 1.3 trillion with a T by the end of this fiscal. Did you, I don't know. I don't know how
00:42:19.940
follow how closely you follow the financial markets. Did you see that warning come through from Fitch
00:42:24.820
saying that we might be getting a credit downgrade that that's when things really hit the road.
00:42:30.980
That's incredible because the companies never downgrade credit companies rarely ever downgrade
00:42:35.940
because they like, it's a game they play as long as they, as long as they, they got to keep lending
00:42:40.260
you money. They'd rather lend money to somebody who's about to go bankrupt and get nothing. Right.
00:42:44.900
But, but, um, no, I, yeah, yeah. You know, your point on the budget. I mean, the budget is a content.
00:42:50.180
It's worse than a continuity budget. Like if you look at the trend, right. Uh, I mean, Trudeau's first
00:42:54.660
budget was like $280 billion and now Carney's at like almost $600 billion. So in 10 years, the, the,
00:43:01.460
the spending by Ottawa has gone up by like 90%. Right. And so it's, it's outpacing inflation.
00:43:07.780
It's outpacing population growth, everything. And then, and then, yes, the, the, even, even if you
00:43:13.700
get into the minutia of the budget, there's some fluff in there, but even at the highest level,
00:43:17.460
there's crazy fluff, right? Like at the highest level this year, they're, you know, they're
00:43:21.380
borrowing recklessly and they always justified their reckless borrowing by saying, oh, our debt
00:43:25.860
to GDP was okay. GDP is a false number, by the way, you know, they can manipulate that,
00:43:30.420
but they couldn't even manipulate their own numbers in the way that they wanted to. So they had to go to
00:43:35.140
playing with the GDP and then they're playing with the definition of, uh, capital spending and things
00:43:39.860
like that. So at the high level, they're, they're, they're, they're running out of ways to sell
00:43:43.780
this insane budget, but unfortunately Canadians are still buying into the, into the insanity.
00:43:49.540
Well, it's going to hit the road. Uh, lastly, I wanted to end on this. What's your call?
00:43:53.540
Uh, not about the great cup itself, but about the great cup deadline. What do you think is going
00:43:58.420
to happen here next week? Oh, well, I, I think, uh, in the last second, uh, Carney's going to throw
00:44:07.940
something to Danielle. I don't know what it's going to look like. He's going to try and, you know,
00:44:11.620
that she's got to find, he's got to find something so she can save face because, um, she's got a
00:44:17.540
problem right now. She issued an ultimatum and then behind the scenes, she has a growing separatist
00:44:22.580
movement in her. Like she's, I mean, she's being attacked on all sides. So she needs a win if she,
00:44:27.540
and so Carney's going to have to try and throw her a win of some sort. That's, and I don't know what
00:44:32.100
it's going to look like, but he's going to do something. Martin, thank you so much for your time
00:44:35.540
today. As always folks go check out, um, Martin Belanger. You know him as Marty up north online,
00:44:40.740
go find him on X and he is on all of the shows. Uh, thank you so much for your time today, sir.
00:44:46.980
My pleasure. Cheers everyone. Okay, folks, this is where you get conversations like this. So make
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sure that you have liked this video and that you've headed on over to Juneau news and you have
00:44:57.140
subscribed to Juneau news. And I just wanted to point something out that tomorrow is November 11th.
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It's Remembrance Day. Um, if I may, I just wanted to mention that as a Gen Xer, okay,
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I was born in the seventies and raised in the eighties. I had a bird's eye view of being able
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to speak directly to second world war veterans, even the couple, couple first world war veterans
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when I was a little kid, but more importantly, being in touch with second world war veterans was
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a commonplace thing for Gen Xers. In fact, my, my elementary school teacher was a second world war
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vet. So to me, every day of that school year was a form of Remembrance Day because he was one of the
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rare Canadians who was over in the Pacific theater. And so he would talk about what happened and how he
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became a POW. And he last, he spent, you know, I think it was two years in a prison camp and it was a
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real living history. It was a real living memory for so many of our seniors that we talked to as kids
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all the time. And I've noticed that in younger generations, so my kids' generation, there is a huge
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deficit of knowledge about history and that's not a good thing. So I would strongly recommend for those
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of you watching, if you're Gen X and older, okay, don't take for granted what you know and understand,
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especially about the wars, the first world war, and in particular, the second world war. Don't assume
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your kid is learning this at school. Likely they're not. So I would just little dashboard light, ask them
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what they know about the second world war. And if they don't know that much, pop on a good documentary
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back from the 1980s when people did stuff thoroughly. And I'm going to be making sure to heading down to
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the Cenotaph here in Lethbridge tomorrow. Once again, folks, we're Juno. That's why we're called
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Juno, right? Is to honor that. So be sure to head on over to our website, Juno News, check out our articles
00:47:07.860
there, and especially share this video with friends who need to know.