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- December 14, 2022
Another tax hike for Canadians (ft. Dan Kelly)
Episode Stats
Length
14 minutes
Words per Minute
170.59993
Word Count
2,547
Sentence Count
160
Summary
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Transcript
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I want to turn to some cost of living issues, which are very much affecting Canadians.
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We spoke about inflation a fair bit last week, and I know we'll have a bit of a more in-depth
00:00:18.580
look at this in a couple of weeks with Franco Terrazzano of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation.
00:00:24.820
But I think one of the big things that it's important to identify here is that for most
00:00:29.980
Canadians who are grappling with inflation, there isn't just one instant snap-of-the-finger
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solution.
00:00:37.540
There are a number of inputs here.
00:00:39.020
There's general inflation, supply chain issues, there are the increases to the carbon tax.
00:00:44.820
And one that doesn't often get discussed, but I think it's important here, is the increases
00:00:49.480
to payroll taxes, which if you're talking about thousands of dollars a year that Canadians
00:00:54.480
are spending more on groceries and taxes.
00:00:57.300
A few hundred a year in payroll taxes is quite significant.
00:01:01.280
The Canadian Federation of Independent Business is calling on the federal government to pause
00:01:06.500
the planned increase of EI and CPP premiums, which will take about $305 away from the average
00:01:15.840
Canadian worker next year.
00:01:17.560
Dan Kelly, president of the CFIB, joins me now.
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Dan, good to talk to you.
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Thanks for coming on today.
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Do we have you there, Dan?
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I can hear you.
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Hope you can hear me.
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Okay, perfect.
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Sorry, we had a little bit of a technical issue there.
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Let's talk about what this is first off.
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These premiums go up every year, but we're also talking about a year that isn't exactly
00:01:38.700
business as usual economically for Canadian families.
00:01:41.640
No, I mean, typically there is an increase in the maximum amount that we can pay CPP and
00:01:49.680
EI on, but the rate generally has not risen.
00:01:53.700
In fact, for two years, the federal government froze the employment insurance rates because
00:01:58.100
they recognized the economy was in rough shape.
00:02:00.320
Canadians were struggling through the pandemic, and so they kept those rates frozen.
00:02:03.700
Now they've removed that cap on EI, and they're in the process of raising CPP rates significantly
00:02:10.940
over a seven-year period.
00:02:12.860
Those two things combined are going to raise employees' payroll taxes by over 6% this year.
00:02:20.620
As you said, about a $305 increase, up to a $305 increase for the employee, $325 increase
00:02:29.120
for the employer.
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So your payroll on January 1 for most working Canadians will drop.
00:02:35.140
That's in the face of an environment where we're all dealing with the inflationary pressures
00:02:39.560
on everything that we buy.
00:02:41.260
We're seeing EICPP premiums rise, and then, as you noted, later in the spring, in most provinces,
00:02:46.940
an increase in the carbon tax as well as an increase in liquor taxes.
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Do you recall in the last couple of years when the government put this freeze in, when that
00:02:58.020
decision was made?
00:02:59.540
What I mean by that, basically, is are we past that point where the government could easily
00:03:03.720
do something about this?
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Look, the government could, even now, announce a freeze or retroactively take out the increase.
00:03:13.020
There are ways to do that.
00:03:14.440
In fact, in 2015 and 2016, the Liberals, just as they took power, put a two-year freeze on,
00:03:21.080
a two-year reduction plan for small businesses on their share of the EI bill.
00:03:25.900
That could happen as soon as Budget 2023.
00:03:28.560
So it's not too late.
00:03:30.180
But, you know, we're a couple of weeks away from January 1, and rates are expected to rise.
00:03:36.000
They did increase them.
00:03:37.420
The Liberals did increase EI, sorry, did increase Canada Pension Plan premiums in both COVID years,
00:03:43.580
in 2021 and 2022, they're doing it again this year, despite the fact we're all dealing with
00:03:49.740
wicked inflation levels.
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You know, when you take 300 bucks out of somebody's take-home income, that's, you know, that's
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a round or two of groceries for many Canadian families at a time when Canadians are really
00:04:02.300
struggling.
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The benefits for CPP, the future benefits, they're going to be, that increase is going
00:04:08.200
to be phased in over the next 40 years.
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So putting a one-year pause in place, we don't think is too tall in order.
00:04:16.480
Unfortunately, the government has ignored these calls and is moving ahead.
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Now, if you're self-employed, you're getting hit on both ends of this, aren't you?
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The employer and the employee side?
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You're quite right.
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You don't have to face EI premiums, but on Canada Pension Plan, you pay both the share
00:04:31.520
as the employee and you pay the share as the employer on self-employment income.
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So you could have hundreds and hundreds of dollars of increased Canada Pension Plan
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premiums, and the self-employed really were huge losers out of COVID.
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For the business, of course, this is adding additional pressure.
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I mean, we talk about the inflationary pressures on average Canadians.
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For business owners, they're seeing that pressure on every line of their budget.
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And, of course, with rising taxes, these payroll taxes, that obviously saps their ability
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to provide raises for their employees to deal with the inflationary pressure that they're
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facing.
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So it's a pretty vicious circle right now.
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I know that there's this vision that, I don't even know if it's an intentional one,
00:05:14.420
but this approach of the business owner as being the miserly one that doesn't want to
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give their employees benefits.
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And, you know, any small business owner I've ever spoken to would love to pay their employees
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a lot more.
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But sometimes they look at their balance sheet and that money just isn't there.
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So when you're talking about, you know, a few hundred dollars per employee, if you've
00:05:32.720
got 10 employees, that $3,000 is not insignificant on some small businesses, is it?
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It's not at all.
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And look, I mean, we have to also put the context of what's happening right now.
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Sure, the COVID restrictions are behind us.
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But if you can believe it, only half of small businesses say that they are back to 2019 levels
00:05:52.500
of sales.
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For many, they're not seeing customers return in the volume that they did pre-pandemic.
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On top of that, just to get through the restrictions of the last two years, the average small firm
00:06:03.220
has taken on $110,000 in debt.
00:06:07.100
That's how much they now owe, exposed to higher interest rates that they're having to make
00:06:12.600
good on.
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And they're seeing these cost pressures.
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So lower sales, more debt at higher interest rates, and huge cost increases.
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This is not the boom times that people were predicting coming out of COVID that many of
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the articles were breathlessly talking about.
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Sadly, for many small businesses, these remain pretty bleak times.
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Small business optimism, if you can believe it, is actually fairly close to the low levels
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it was at the beginning of the pandemic.
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That's how bad it is for small businesses.
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And yet, the federal government feels like this is a great time to jack up taxes.
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Yeah.
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I mean, there's always been that divide that people have seen between the financial economy
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and the real economy.
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Between the picture of the economy that you might see looking at the stock market, although
00:07:01.760
not always.
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And what you see when you look on the ground.
00:07:04.760
And again, a lot of people have made billions in the pandemic, but for a lot of small business
00:07:10.940
owners, they haven't seen that.
00:07:12.160
They haven't seen that incredible financial success story that Amazon has.
00:07:17.380
No.
00:07:17.880
Well, look, restrictions really hit independent businesses particularly hard, especially in
00:07:22.700
retail, hospitality, the service sector, arts and entertainment, travel and tourism.
00:07:27.500
These were the sectors that were most directly affected by COVID restrictions.
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They took it on the chin to try to get through.
00:07:33.880
Yes, there were government support programs in place, but our data shows that only about
00:07:38.460
one-third of the cost to business was covered by COVID subsidies.
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Two-thirds was borne by the business itself.
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This is deeply unfair at this stage.
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And business owners are saying, look, give us a bit of a breather here before you start
00:07:52.240
to return to raising taxes.
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You add to that the carbon tax increase that we're expecting in April.
00:07:59.580
And for small businesses, that's especially deadly.
00:08:02.780
Small firms don't qualify for any of the rebates that supposedly are there for consumers.
00:08:08.280
They basically are just payers of the carbon tax itself.
00:08:12.060
Liquor tax increases affect hospitality and some in the retail sector.
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We need to make sure that Canadians have dollars to spend in businesses.
00:08:21.760
We're not doing a lot to help them.
00:08:23.920
I know that you have obviously called first and foremost for a freeze on these increases.
00:08:30.240
Another idea is putting forward a refundable tax credit.
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You mentioned 2015-2016 on that.
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The freeze would be, in your view, the ideal response, correct?
00:08:41.000
Yeah, absolutely.
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Look, our first choice is to put the brakes on the increase that is expected for January 1.
00:08:47.160
I'm not optimistic that that's going to happen, only two weeks away from the new year.
00:08:53.340
But, you know, that would be the best course of action for the federal government to take.
00:08:58.320
But there are ways, even after that, to try to offset these costs.
00:09:02.800
Even if they're not going to offset them for average Canadians,
00:09:05.340
trying to remove some of the payroll burden on Canadian employers would be helpful.
00:09:09.920
And there are ways, through a mix of credits, tax reductions, and other ways,
00:09:14.260
that the federal government can come to the aid of small and medium-sized firms.
00:09:18.820
You know, we've got all sorts of pressures right now,
00:09:21.800
and we need to get a few of them taken off our list.
00:09:25.460
Have you found that Christopher Freeland, the finance minister,
00:09:28.540
actually hears you out when you've brought these concerns historically?
00:09:31.260
Or do you find that the government is just completely detached
00:09:34.000
from the reality of what small business owners are facing?
00:09:37.560
Well, look, I've been doing this a long time.
00:09:39.920
And when the Liberals took office,
00:09:42.580
there was no secret that the finance minister, Bill Borneau,
00:09:46.300
did not listen one bit to the concerns of small business owners.
00:09:51.140
And that's when the CPP increase plan was first hatched.
00:09:55.600
It was negotiated, and I will say,
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criticism of the federal government alone does not set CPP rates.
00:10:02.580
Many provincial governments, including conservative provincial governments,
00:10:05.460
supported the increase in the Canada Pension Plan.
00:10:07.760
We're trying to convince some of those same governments to put pause, to press pause.
00:10:13.040
When the deputy prime minister, when Christy Freeland took the reins in finance,
00:10:17.040
she did listen to many of our requests over the course of the pandemic,
00:10:21.420
some of the work that we did to try to make sure that there were effective subsidy programs in place for small business.
00:10:27.200
But that remains incomplete.
00:10:29.200
And right now, what businesses need is a little bit of relief.
00:10:32.480
There was, in the fall economic statement, a plan to reduce credit card processing fees.
00:10:37.340
That's good news.
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I'm hoping to be speaking to her before the holidays in the next couple of days.
00:10:42.240
And we'll be putting this request to her once again to see if small firms can get at least some relief
00:10:49.000
from the massive pressures that Otto is imposing right now.
00:10:52.880
I wasn't going to go there, but since you mentioned credit card processing fees,
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I don't know if a lot of consumers realize how disruptive those are to businesses.
00:11:01.620
Oh, gosh.
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You know, the average consumer, of course, thinks that the credit card industry is funded
00:11:06.720
through the annual fee that they might pay to get a premium card
00:11:10.520
or is funded by the interest that they might pay if they carry a balance on their credit card.
00:11:15.760
What they don't know, for the most part, is that every time that card is swiped or chipped,
00:11:21.260
the merchant pays a fee somewhere in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% of the sale
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for the courtesy of making that transaction happen.
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That's somewhere in the range of $5 to $10 billion a year that Canadians pay
00:11:34.160
that is embedded in the prices of everything that we buy.
00:11:37.280
And those fees, sadly, in Canada are among the highest in the world.
00:11:42.480
So it is good that the government has talked about finding ways to lower the pressure of these fees
00:11:47.400
on average Canadians.
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We're working to make sure that that actually happens,
00:11:52.260
putting some ideas forward to government, to Visa, to MasterCard.
00:11:57.340
But the pressures are there.
00:12:00.380
The rewards that, you know, your free trip to Florida that you may never get,
00:12:04.200
that's funded by consumers that are paying with cash, paying with debit.
00:12:08.980
So it's actually, in many ways, a wealth transfer from low-income Canadians
00:12:12.660
that pay with cash and debit to wealthier Canadians that have one of these premium credit cards.
00:12:17.860
That's something that I think very few understand.
00:12:19.860
Yeah, and I'm guilty of it as well, because don't get me wrong,
00:12:23.440
I've got credit cards that, you know, give me AeroPlan points, and I use those things.
00:12:27.360
But it's not coming out, like, you know it's not being conjured out of thin air.
00:12:31.920
Someone is paying for that.
00:12:33.760
You got it.
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That's the merchant, ultimately.
00:12:36.520
And then that gets passed back to the consumer.
00:12:38.440
So we think that a fairer system would be to keep these fees low,
00:12:43.860
as is the case in many other countries in the world.
00:12:46.580
The reward schemes are still there.
00:12:48.800
But it's unfair that the merchant has to pay for the reward schemes,
00:12:53.520
the customer loyalty schemes that really do reward the banks
00:12:56.640
and the customers of the banks in the end.
00:13:00.100
That's not the way that this is supposed to work.
00:13:03.080
All right.
00:13:03.860
So here's, I guess, where we get down to the action item here.
00:13:06.560
We're looking at this increase going in January 1st,
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and I think you mentioned earlier that technically there are options after January 1st,
00:13:14.300
but this is really the crunch time if there's going to be a freeze,
00:13:17.660
most likely, on these increases in premiums, correct?
00:13:21.220
You got it.
00:13:21.940
And we have a petition on our website right now,
00:13:24.280
directed at the federal government and provinces,
00:13:26.800
to press pause on the EI and CPP premium increases that are expected,
00:13:31.120
that are planned for January 1st.
00:13:32.860
Again, I think, you know, one of my observations about Canadians
00:13:36.720
is we actually don't mind paying higher taxes.
00:13:39.180
We actually don't mind fees.
00:13:41.140
We just don't want to know about it.
00:13:43.040
And that's the problem with CPP and EI.
00:13:45.340
Because it comes off our paychecks,
00:13:47.140
most people, it flies right under their radar.
00:13:49.620
And then they realize in January,
00:13:51.380
hey, I'm a little bit poorer,
00:13:53.100
not drawing the connection, sadly,
00:13:55.340
between the policies that the government's putting in place
00:13:57.940
and their bottom line.
00:14:00.380
All right.
00:14:01.060
And yeah, certainly, I know a lot of,
00:14:02.640
I get a lot of emails from people who are self-employed.
00:14:04.700
You'll certainly see both ends of that as well.
00:14:07.340
Dan Kelly,
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President of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business.
00:14:10.840
Thanks very much.
00:14:11.680
And that petition is on the CFIB website.
00:14:14.420
So have a good one, Dan.
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Merry Christmas to you.
00:14:17.060
You too.
00:14:17.480
Thanks so much.
00:14:18.140
Thanks for listening to The Andrew Lawton Show.
00:14:20.420
Support the program by donating to True North
00:14:22.400
at www.tnc.news.
00:14:25.800
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